TABLE OF CONTEXT. Background...2. Introduction...2. Local Sugar Market...4. Ex-factory Sugar Prices...4. Wholesale Sugar Prices...

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2 TABLE OF CONTEXT Background...2 Introduction...2 Local Sugar Market...4 Ex-factory Sugar Prices...4 Wholesale Sugar Prices...4 Retail Sugar Prices...5 Foreign Trade...6 Sugar Imports...6 Sugar Exports...7 World Sugar Market...7 Market in August Conditions and Prospects...7 World Molasses Market...8 List of Tables Table 1: Sugar Production, Sales and Closing Stocks August 2018 and Table 2: Wholesale Sugar Prices Table 3: Retail Selling and Stocking Prices...6 Table 4(a): Sugar Imports in January - August 2018 & 2017 by Origin...6 Table 4(b): Sugar Imports in August 2018 & 2017 by Type...6 Table I: Average Monthly Sugar Prices January August 2017 & Table II: Wholesale Sugar Prices during the Month of August Table III: Wholesale Sugar Stocking Prices during the Month of August Table IV: Retail Prices for Loose Sugar during the Month of August Table V: Retail Sugar Prices (packed/branded) during the Month of August Table VI: Retail Sugar Stocking Prices during the Month of August Table VII: Sugar & Sugar By-Products Imports January - August 2018 & Table VIII: Sugar & Sugar By-Products Exports January - August 2018 & List of Figures Figure I: Sugar Production, Sales, Closing Stocks, Imports and Exports Jan - August Figure II: Wholesale Sugar Prices in Various Towns during the Month of August Figure III: Wholesale Sugar Stocking Prices in Various Towns, August Figure IV: Retail Prices for Loose Sugar in Various Towns, August Figure V: Retail Sugar Stocking Prices in Various Towns, August Figure VI: Retail Sugar Prices (packed/branded) in Various Towns, August

3 I: BACKGROUND The Agriculture and Food Authority - Sugar Directorate produces a monthly newsletter that gives insights into how the sugar industry performed in a given period focusing on the local sugar market prices, production, imports, exports, sugar by-products and the world sugar market. This is the August 2018 newsletter that covers the period January August 2018 vis-à-vis January - August II: INTRODUCTION In the period January - August 2018, the Sugar Industry reported a sugar production of 325,393 tonnes compared to 230,766 tonnes achieved in the same period last year, an increase of 41%. The increase in production is attributed to improved performance in all the sugar factories during the period under review except for Chemelil and Muhoroni sugar factories. The production was further boosted by operationalization of Olepito Sugar Company and inclusion of processed bulk sugar imports at West Kenya and Sukari mills. From January to June 2018, sugar production has been on the declining side; the decrease in production was brought about by a number of factors cutting across the entire sugar factories. The downward trend reversed from a low of 28,320MT in June 2018 to close the period under review (August 2018) with an improved sugar production of 35,533 MT. Overall, most sugar factories are operating below 50% of their installed crushing capacity due to cane shortage in most sugar zones. On the other hand, Kwale International Sugar Company remained closed during the month for a scheduled factory annual maintenance. Meanwhile, Mumias and Muhoroni Sugar Companies stopped milling operations in March 2018 and May 2018 respectively, due to farmers withdrawal due to delayed cane payments. Total sugar sales in January August 2018 were 315,529 tonnes compared to 232,384 tonnes sold in the same period last year, an increase of 36%, attributed to improved production and rising local sugar demand. Total sugar closing stock held by all the sugar factories at the end of August 2018 was 6,705 tonnes against 1,464 tonnes observed in August During the period under review, Kwale International Sugar Company accounted for the highest proportion of stocks, representing 88% of the industry s total. More details on sugar production, sales and closing stocks are given on Figure I & Table 1 below. 2

4 METRIC TONNE Figure I 70,000 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 - Sugar Production, Sales and Closing Stocks January - August 2018 JAN '18 FEB '18 MAR '18 APR '18 MAY '18 JUN '18 JULY '18 AUG '18 PRODUCTION SALES SUGAR CLOSING STOCKS Table 1: Sugar Production, Sales and Closing Stocks; January August 2018 and 2017 Company Nzoia Chemelil South Nyanza Muhoroni West Kenya Mumias Kibos Butali Sukari Transmara Total Sugar Production Jan August (T) Total Sugar Sales Jan August (T) Closing Stocks August (T) ,224 15,157 19,517 14, ,248 7,653 6,105 7, ,620 25,823 26,021 26, ,656 12,731 6,794 12, ,118 51,022 72,962 51, ,768 3,692 6,252 3, ,988 30,613 42,389 30, ,950 33,085 46,289 33, ,242 15,788 35,494 15, ,151 24,050 44,533 24, Kwale Olepito* 17,570 11,152 4,724 11,253 5, ,858-4, , , , ,384 6,705 1,464 * Olepito Sugar Company data for July - August 2018 is consolidated with that for West Kenya

5 III: LOCAL SUGAR MARKET a) Ex-Factory Sugar Prices The ex-factory sugar prices started the year 2018 at a monthly average of Kshs 3,626 and increased to Kshs 3,745 per 50kg bag in February. However, due to pressure from low priced sugar imports, the price dwindled to a monthly average of Kshs 3,671 per 50kg bag in March Some price re-correction was observed in the subsequent months to end August at a high monthly average of Kshs 6,024 and a range of Kshs 5,100-6,600 per 50kg bag. The steady increase in ex-factory prices in the period between May - August 2018 was due to high demand of local sugar from consumers arising from scarcity of imported sugar in the market amidst acute shortage in local sugar production. It is good to note that imported sugar supply dropped in May 2018 drastically following the Government s crackdown on contaminated sugar in the market. Overall, in the period January - August 2018, ex-factory sugar prices ranged between Kshs 3,400 and Kshs 6,600 with a mean price of Kshs 4,283 per 50kg bag compared to an average price of Kshs 5,564 per 50kg bag recorded in the same period last year, a decrease of 23%. The price decrease is attributed to competition from cheap imports. For more details, refer to Tables II. b) Wholesale Sugar Prices Wholesale sugar prices opened the year 2018 at a monthly average of Kshs. 3,877 per 50kg bag and picked an upward trend in the succeeding months, though with some hesitations in April to record a lower price of Ksh 3,925/ 50kg bag. Thereafter, the prices increased steadily to end August 2018 at a monthly average of Kshs. 6,723 per 50kg bag. Notable is the sharp increase in sugar prices in August 2018 (by 22%) from the previous month s, attributed to Government s intensified crackdown on non-compliant sugar in the market, causing the commodity to be scarce. In the month of August 2018, local sugar price was ranging from Kshs. 5,900 to Kshs. 7,700 giving a mean of Kshs. 6,744 per 50kg bag, whereas imported sugar ranged Kshs. 5,500-7,700 yielding a monthly average of Kshs 6,808 per 50 kg bag. Thus local sugar was cheaper than imported sugar by Kshs 64 per 50kg bag. Wholesale prices for both local and imported sugar averaged Kshs 6,723 compared to Kshs 4,624 per 50kg bag in August 2017, an increment of 45%, attributed to increased stocking prices witnessed in the period between June - August Overall, in January August 2018, the wholesale sugar prices traded in the range of Kshs 3,600 to 7,700, resulting to a mean price of Kshs 4,620 per 50kg bag compared to an average price

6 of Kshs 5,884 per 50kg bag observed in the same period last year, a 21% decrease. Wholesale stocking prices for local sugar in August 2018 ranged between Kshs. 6,000 and Kshs. 7,500 with a mean price of Kshs. 6,562 per 50-kg bag. Imported sugar was stocked at a price range of Kshs. 5,650-7,500 per 50-kg bag, giving an average of Ksh. 6,624 per 50-kg bag. Overall, wholesale sugar stocking price in August 2018 averaged at Kshs. 6,541. It is therefore observed that a trader was making a gross profit of Kshs. 182 per 50kg bag. For more details, refer to Tables I, II, III and Figures II & III. Table 2 below gives a summary of wholesale sugar prices during the month of August 2018 Table 2: Wholesale Sugar Prices Types of Sugar Wholesale Sugar Prices (Kshs/50 Kg bag) Wholesale Stocking Prices (Kshs/50 Kg bag) Range Mean Range Mean Local Sugar 5,900 7,700 6,744 6,000 7,500 6,562 Imported Sugar 5,500 7,700 6,808 5,650 7,500 6,624 Overall 5,500 7,700 6,723 5,650 7,500 6,541 c). Retail Sugar Prices The retail sugar prices started the year 2018 at a monthly average of Kshs 107 and dealt on a decreasing trend to attain a low of Kshs 101 per kilogram in May However, due to increased scarcity of sugar in the market (as discussed above), the prices picked an upwards trend in the succeeding months to end August 2018 at a monthly average of Ksh 152 per kg. In August 2018, loose sugar traded at a price range of Kshs 120 to Kshs 180 per kilogram, resulting to an average price of Kshs 151/kg. On the other hand, prices for branded sugar ranged between Kshs 135 and Kshs 185 per kilogram, resulting to an average price Kshs 155/kg. It is noted that branded sugar was more expensive than loose sugar by Kshs 4 per kg, attributed to the packaging costs. Overall, in January August 2018, retail sugar prices ranged between Kshs 75 and Kshs 200, yielding an average of Kshs 114 per kg, compared to average price of Kshs 141/kg witnessed in the same period last year, a 19% decrease. In August 2018, retail stocking prices for local sugar ranged Kshs. 5,800-8,000, giving a mean price of Kshs. 6,674 per 50kg bag, while imported sugar was supplied at an average price of 5

7 Kshs. 6,623 per 50kg bag. Overall, retail stocking price for the month averaged Kshs. 6,637; thus a trader was making a gross profit of Kshs. 913 per 50kg bag. For more details, refer to Tables I, IV, V, VI and Figures IV VI. Table 3 below gives a summary of the retail sugar prices during the month of August Table 3: Retail Selling and Stocking Price Type of Sugar Retail Sugar Selling Prices ( Kshs. / kg) Retail Stocking Prices (Kshs. / 50kg bag and 20kg bale, respectively) Range Mean Range Mean Local Loose ,800-8,000 6,674 Imported Loose ,200-7,900 6,623 Branded ,500-3,000 2,806 Overall IV: FOREIGN TRADE a). Sugar Imports Total sugar imports in August 2018 were 22,565 tonnes compared to 523,542 tonnes imported in the same period last year, a decrease of 96%. During the month of August 2018, table sugar imports totaled 14,492 tonnes while refined white sugar was 8,073 tonnes. COMESA FTA countries supplied Kenya with 4,531 tonnes, while 2,500 tonnes came from COMESA NON FTA. EAC provided 9,921 tonnes, all being from Uganda whereas the rest of the world countries imports were 5,613 tonnes. Tables 4 (a) & (b) below gives the summary for Sugar Imports. For more details, refer to Table VII Table 4 (a) Sugar Imports in January - August 2018 and 2017 by Origin (tonnes) Table 4 (b) Sugar Imports August 2018 and 2017 by Type in Tonnes. SOURCE SOURCE COMESA FTA 63, ,314 COMESA NON-FTA 3,500 82,024 E.A COMMUNITY 40,817 26,390 REST OF THE WORLD 45, ,668 MILL/ BROWN 14, ,417 WHITE REFINED 8,073 9, , ,396 22, ,542 6

8 b) Sugar Exports Total sugar exports in August 2018 were 865 tonnes against a mere 0.83 tonnes in the same period last year. Tanzania received the highest exports (845MT), all being white refined sugar. Overall, sugar exported during the entire period January August 2018 was 1,947 tonnes against 361 tonnes in the same period last year. The low exports are attributed to the fact that Kenya is a deficit sugar producer with most of her production being targeted to local consumers. Moreover, Kenyan sugar is expensive and therefore not attractive for exports. For more details, refer to Table VIII. V: WORLD SUGAR MARKET a) Market in August 2018 During August, the world market remained under pressure of surplus fundamentals, further reinforced by a renewed weakness of the currency of the world s dominant sugar exporter Brazil, with prices pushed to multi-year lows. Raw sugar spot prices (the ISA daily price) started the month at cents/lb, improved to the month s high at cents/lb on August 7th but moved down to the level of cents/lb on August 20th, the lowest daily quote since December With a subsequent technical correction, raw sugar prices ended the month on a friendlier note improving to cents/lb. This circular motion resulted in a monthly average of cent/lb, down 5.4% from cents/lb in July Spot prices for white sugar (the ISO White Sugar Price Index) followed a similar path, improving first from USD /tonne to USD /tonne but falling to only USD /tonne on August 20th. Then, the prices partly recovered to USD /tonne resulting in a monthly average of USD /tonne. This is the lowest monthly price since December Meanwhile, the Nominal White Sugar Premium (the differential between the ISO White Sugar Price Index and the ISA Daily Price) showed only marginal changes, decreasing from USD 70.64/tonne in July to USD 70.11/tonnes. It remains considerably lower than the long-term (threeyear) average of USD 84.57/tonne. b) Conditions and Prospects On August 21st, the ISO released its first full-scale forecast for the world sugar balance in 2018/19 (October/September). In line with the initial expectations, another substantial statistical surplus is forecast for the season to start in October with the global surplus being estimated at mln tonnes. This surplus is lower than 8.6 mln tonnes established in the previous season. So,

9 market fundamentals are not likely to be supportive of market values over the coming 12 months. DATAGO currently expects a global surplus of 9.39 mln tonnes in 2017/18 and 6.71 mln tonnes in 2018/19, compared to the previously estimated 9.66 mln tonnes and 6.48 mln tonnes, respectively. The August update of FO Licht world sugar balance led to an upward revision of the 2018/19 (October/September) world sugar surplus to 8.3mln tonnes from 7.2 mln tonnes in the previous estimate in June, while the 2017/18 surplus rose to 7.9 mln tonnes from 7.3 mln tonnes. Projected world production remains practically unchanged at mln tonnes, raw value, as an increase in the estimate for India (+1.5 mln tonnes) is offset by a reduction in the European Union (-0.9 mln tonnes) and Brazil (-0.6 mln tonnes). However, global offtake was cut to mln tonnes from mln before. VI: WORLD MOLASSES MARKET The outlook for the grains market for the July 2018 to June 2019 period points to increasing feedgrain prices. Both compound mixers and feed blenders are looking towards the steady availability and recent decline in the cost of molasses as credentials for its inclusion into rations. Additionally, the warm summer weather in Europe, and the increased size and number of feedlots in the US, increased the overall volume of feed that was required over the last few months. In India, the price has also risen. However, the next crop is coming while tanks are still full. Higher ethanol purchase intentions by the oil companies, from December 2018, will help to lift finished product. But it is difficult to see an increase in in-season ethanol offtake by the oil majors from the distillers, which would be needed to help the sugarcane industry manage its molasses storage issues. Molasses prices in India have remained below USD100.00/tonne since the beginning of the year. Lastly, the use of molasses as a feedstock in other industrial applications, other than ethanol production, needs to also be considered. The EU change to eliminate molasses from its register of waste products eligible for double counting under its biofuels programme reflects the increased use of molasses as a substrate for the fermentation industry. For the first five months of 2018, EU imports total 847,000 tonnes, up from 639,000 tonnes last year. Increased imports from other origins have contributed to this higher total. Interestingly, the second biggest origin last year Egypt has only shipped around half the volume that it exported to the EU during the January-May 2017, but this has been replaced by others. 8

10 KSHS. PER 50-KG BAG KSHS. PER 50-KG BAG FIGURE II WHOLESALE SUGAR PRICES IN VARIOUS TOWNS DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST ,900 7,700 7,500 7,300 7,100 6,900 6,700 6,500 6,300 6,100 5,900 5,700 5,500 TOWNS FIGURE III WHOLESALE SUGAR STOCKING PRICES IN VARIOUS TOWNS DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST ,700 7,500 7,300 7,100 6,900 6,700 6,500 6,300 6,100 5,900 5,700 5,500 TOWNS 9

11 KSHS. 50-KG BAG KSHS. PER KG FIGURE IV RETAIL PRICES FOR LOOSE SUGAR IN VARIOUS TOWNS DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 TOWNS FIGURE V RETAIL SUGAR STOCKING PRICES IN VARIOUS TOWNS DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST ,700 7,500 7,300 7,100 6,900 6,700 6,500 6,300 6,100 5,900 5,700 5,500 TOWNS 10

12 KSHS. PER KG FIGURE VI RETAIL SUGAR PRICES (PACKED / BRANDED) IN VARIOUS TOWNS DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 TABLE I: AVERAGE MONTHLY SUGAR PRICES FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY JULY 2017 AND 2018 EX-FACTORY (KSHS/50-KG BAG) WHOLESALE (KSHS/50-KG BAG) RETAIL (KSHS/KG) MONTH RANGE MEAN* RANGE MEAN RANGE MEAN* January ,398 3, ,672 3, February ,065 3, , ,352 3, March ,552 3, ,174 3, April ,154 3, ,228 3, May ,292 3, ,583 3, June ,850 4, ,870 5, July ,663 5, ,567 5, August ,537 6, ,624 6, OVERALL ,564 4, ,884 4, *Weighted Average 11

13 TABLE II: WHOLESALE SUGAR PRICES DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 (KSHS. PER 50-KG. BAG) OVERALL LOCAL SUGAR PRICES IMPORTED SUGAR TOWN RANGE MODE MEAN RANGE MODE MEAN KILIFI ,667 MALINDI N/A ,358 MARIAKANI - N/A ,800 MOMBASA - N/A ,800 MSAMBWENI - N/A N/A - N/A ,900 MTWAPA - N/A N/A ,988 VOI N/A ,870 WATAMU - N/A N/A N/A N/A 7,400 WUNDANYI - N/A ,000 TAITA TAVETA ,850 NAROK N/A ,696 NAIVASHA - N/A N/A N/A ,660 NAKURU N/A N/A N/A 6,525 NYAHURURU N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,925 OL KALAU N/A N/A ,563 GILGIL N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,685 WOTE N/A N/A N/A ,150 MACHAKOS N/A ,969 ATHI RIVER N/A N/A N/A N/A ,700 KITENGELA N/A N/A N/A N/A ,850 KAJIADO N/A N/A N/A N/A ,150 MOLO N/A N/A N/A 6,600 NAIROBI N/A N/A N/A ,585 THIKA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,550 MURANGA N/A N/A N/A - N/A ,600 KARATINA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,700 NYERI N/A N/A ,950 NANYUKI N/A N/A N/A 6,767 ISIOLO ,812 MAUA ,803 MERU N/A ,783 CHUKA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 7,000 KERUGOYA N/A N/A N/A 6,600 EMBU N/A ,800 KITUI N/A N/A N/A 6,950 KERICHO N/A N/A N/A 6,590 SOTIK N/A N/A N/A 6,525 KEROKA N/A N/A N/A 6,588 KISII N/A N/A N/A 6,467 KILGORIS N/A N/A N/A 6,738 RONGO N/A N/A N/A 6,513 AWENDO N/A N/A N/A 6,300 MIGORI N/A N/A N/A 6,467 ISEBANIA , N/A N/A N/A 6,760 MBITA N/A N/A N/A 6,867 HOMA BAY N/A N/A N/A 6,660 BONDO , N/A N/A N/A 6,930 SIAYA N/A N/A N/A 6,910 LUANDA N/A N/A N/A 6,875 KISUMU N/A N/A N/A 6,750 CHAVAKALI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,670 MBALE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,775 MAJENGO N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,650 KAPSABET N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,587 NANDI HILLS N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,645 ELDORET N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,663 12

14 MATUNDA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,617 KITALE N/A N/A N/A 6,600 WEBUYE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,650 BUNGOMA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,517 MALABA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,620 BUSIA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,630 NAMBALE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,670 MUMIAS N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,563 KAKAMEGA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,567 BUTERE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,610 ITEN N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,610 KAPENGURIA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,640 KHUMSALABA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,700 KIMININI N/A N/A N/A 6,593 KAPSAKWANYI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,670 CHWELE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,675 KIMILILI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,583 GARISSA N/A N/A N/A ,020 OVERALL ,900 6, ,800 6,808 6,723 TABLE III: WHOLESALE SUGAR STOCKING PRICES DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 (KSHS. PER 50-KG. BAG) LOCAL SUGAR PRICES IMPORTED SUGAR RANGE MODE MEAN RANGE MODE MEAN TOWN OVERALL KILIFI ,500 MALINDI N/A ,138 MARIAKANI - N/A ,533 MOMBASA - N/A ,683 MSAMBWENI N/A N/A N/A - N/A ,700 MTWAPA - N/A ,800 VOI N/A ,600 WATAMU - N/A N/A N/A N/A 7,300 WUNDANYI - N/A ,850 TAITA TAVETA N/A ,650 NAROK N/A N/A ,363 NAIVASHA N/A N/A N/A N/A ,515 NAKURU N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,500 NYAHURURU N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,800 OL KALAU N/A N/A N/A ,550 GILGIL N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,520 WOTE N/A N/A N/A ,950 MACHAKOS N/A ,669 ATHI RIVER N/A N/A N/A N/A ,550 KITENGELA N/A N/A N/A N/A ,650 KAJIADO N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A ,400 MOLO N/A N/A N/A 6,513 NAIROBI N/A N/A N/A ,461 THIKA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,350 KARATINA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,650 NYERI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,800 NANYUKI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,700 ISIOLO ,733 MAUA N/A N/A N/A 6,825 MERU N/A ,570 CHUKA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,900 KERUGOYA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,525 EMBU N/A N/A ,717 KITUI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,875 KERICHO N/A N/A N/A 6,260 13

15 SOTIK N/A N/A N/A 6,213 KEROKA N/A N/A N/A 6,450 KISII N/A N/A N/A 6,067 KILGORIS N/A N/A N/A 6,555 RONGO N/A N/A N/A 6,075 AWENDO N/A N/A N/A 6,100 MIGORI N/A N/A N/A 6,108 ISEBANIA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,180 MBITA N/A N/A N/A 6,683 HOMA BAY N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,424 BONDO N/A N/A N/A 6,600 SIAYA N/A N/A N/A 6,625 LUANDA , N/A N/A N/A 6,670 KISUMU N/A N/A N/A 6,414 CHAVAKALI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,550 MBALE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,550 MAJENGO N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,450 KAPSABET N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,450 NANDI HILLS N/A N/A N/A 6,500 ELDORET N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,475 MATUNDA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,450 KITALE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,338 WEBUYE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,457 BUNGOMA N/A N/A N/A 6,333 MALABA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,525 BUSIA N/A N/A N/A 6,363 NAMBALE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,450 MUMIAS N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,450 KAKAMEGA N/A N/A N/A 6,267 BUTERE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,410 ITEN N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,460 KAPENGURIA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,517 KHUMSALABA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,500 KIMININI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,483 KAPSAKWANYI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,550 CHWELE N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,475 KIMILILI N/A N/A N/A 6,383 GARISSA N/A N/A N/A ,815 OVERALL ,500 6, ,600 6,624 6,541 TABLE IV: RETAIL PRICES FOR LOOSE SUGAR DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 (KSHS. PER KG) LOCAL SUGAR PRICES IMPORTED SUGAR TOWN RANGE MODE MEAN RANGE MODE MEAN OVERALL KILIFI - N/A N/A KWALE N/A N/A N/A 161 LUNGALUNGA N/A MALINDI N/A MARIAKANI - N/A MOMBASA MSAMBWENI - N/A MTWAPA VOI N/A N/A N/A 156 WATAMU N/A WUNDANYI N/A TAITA TAVETA N/A NAROK NAIVASHA NAKURU

16 NYAHURURU N/A OL KALAU GILGIL WOTE N/A MACHAKOS ATHI RIVER N/A N/A N/A KITENGELA N/A KAJIADO N/A MOLO N/A N/A N/A 151 NAIROBI N/A THIKA N/A MURANGA N/A N/A N/A N/A 148 KARATINA N/A N/A N/A N/A 161 NYERI N/A NANYUKI N/A ISIOLO N/A MAUA N/A N/A N/A 166 MERU N/A N/A N/A 149 CHUKA N/A N/A N/A 150 KERUGOYA N/A N/A N/A 166 EMBU N/A N/A N/A N/A 145 KITUI N/A N/A N/A KERICHO N/A N/A N/A 147 SOTIK N/A N/A N/A 149 KEROKA N/A N/A N/A 143 KISII N/A KILGORIS N/A N/A N/A 149 RONGO N/A N/A N/A 144 AWENDO N/A N/A N/A 144 MIGORI N/A N/A N/A 142 ISEBANIA N/A N/A N/A 136 MBITA , N/A N/A N/A 145 HOMA BAY N/A N/A N/A 146 BONDO N/A N/A N/A 147 SIAYA N/A N/A N/A 150 LUANDA N/A N/A N/A 146 KISUMU CHAVAKALI N/A N/A N/A 151 MBALE N/A N/A N/A 152 MAJENGO N/A N/A N/A 147 KAPSABET N/A N/A N/A 154 NANDI HILLS N/A N/A N/A 154 ELDORET N/A N/A N/A 146 MATUNDA N/A N/A N/A 156 KITALE N/A N/A N/A 154 WEBUYE N/A N/A N/A 146 BUNGOMA N/A N/A N/A 150 MALABA N/A N/A N/A 150 BUSIA N/A N/A N/A 144 NAMBALE N/A N/A N/A 154 MUMIAS N/A N/A N/A 150 KAKAMEGA N/A N/A N/A 150 BUTERE N/A N/A N/A 155 ITEN N/A N/A N/A 148 KAPENGURIA N/A N/A N/A 144 KHUMUSALABA N/A N/A N/A 157 KIMININI N/A N/A N/A 146 KAPSAKWANYI N/A N/A N/A 148 CHWELE N/A N/A N/A 146 KIMILILI N/A N/A N/A 145 GARISSA N/A N/A N/A OVERALL

17 TABLE V: RETAIL SUGAR PRICES (PACKED / BRANDED) DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 (KSHS. PER KG) LOCAL SUGAR PRICES IMPORTED SUGAR RANGE MODE MEAN RANGE MODE MEAN TOWN OVERALL KILIFI N/A N/A N/A N/A 153 MALINDI - N/A N/A N/A N/A 185 MTWAPA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 150 VOI - N/A N/A N/A N/A 160 UKUNDA N/A N/A N/A 153 NAROK N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 145 NAIVASHA N/A N/A N/A 149 NAKURU N/A N/A N/A 151 NYAHURURU N/A N/A N/A 154 OL KALAU N/A N/A N/A N/A 145 GILGIL N/A N/A N/A 152 WOTE N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 165 MACHAKOS N/A N/A N/A 146 ATHI RIVER N/A N/A N/A 148 KITENGELA N/A N/A N/A 144 KAJIADO N/A N/A N/A 150 MOLO N/A N/A N/A 157 NAIROBI N/A N/A N/A 150 THIKA N/A N/A N/A 149 MURANGA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 155 KARATINA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 155 NYERI N/A N/A N/A 156 MAUA N/A N/A N/A 166 MERU N/A N/A N/A 154 CHUKA N/A N/A N/A 153 KERUGOYA N/A N/A N/A 152 EMBU N/A N/A N/A 148 KITUI N/A N/A N/A 148 KERICHO N/A N/A N/A 156 SOTIK N/A N/A N/A 159 KEROKA N/A N/A N/A 144 KISII , N/A N/A N/A 155 KILGORIS N/A N/A N/A 156 RONGO N/A N/A N/A 153 AWENDO N/A N/A N/A 150 MIGORI N/A N/A N/A 153 ISEBANIA N/A N/A N/A 150 MBITA N/A N/A N/A 156 HOMA BAY N/A N/A N/A 152 BONDO N/A N/A N/A 159 SIAYA N/A N/A N/A 162 LUANDA N/A N/A N/A 154 KISUMU N/A N/A N/A 153 CHAVAKALI N/A N/A N/A 168 MBALE N/A N/A N/A 158 MAJENGO N/A N/A N/A 153 KAPSABET N/A N/A N/A 162 NANDI HILLS N/A N/A N/A 166 ELDORET N/A N/A N/A 151 MATUNDA N/A N/A N/A 163 KITALE N/A N/A N/A 158 WEBUYE N/A N/A N/A N/A 153 BUNGOMA N/A N/A N/A 154 BUSIA N/A N/A N/A

18 NAMBALE N/A N/A N/A 160 MUMIAS N/A N/A N/A 155 KAKAMEGA N/A N/A N/A 155 ITEN N/A N/A N/A 159 KAPENGURIA N/A N/A N/A 156 KIMININI N/A N/A N/A 155 CHWELE N/A N/A N/A 157 KIMILILI N/A N/A N/A 156 OVERALL N/A N/A N/A 155 TABLE VI: RETAIL SUGAR STOCKING PRICES DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST 2018 (KSHS. PER 50- KG. BAG) TOWN LOCAL SUGAR PRICES IMPORTED SUGAR RANGE MODE MEAN RANGE MODE MEAN OVERALL KILIFI - N/A ,500 KWALE N/A N/A N/A 7,171 LUNGALUNGA N/A ,868 MALINDI N/A ,123 MARIAKANI - N/A ,533 MOMBASA N/A N/A N/A ,667 MSAMBWENI - N/A ,163 MTWAPA ,833 VOI N/A N/A N/A 6,840 WATAMU N/A N/A ,072 WUNDANYI ,867 TAITA TAVETA N/A ,750 NAROK N/A ,731 NAIVASHA N/A N/A ,641 NAKURU N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,555 NYAHURURU N/A N/A N/A N/A ,575 OL KALAU ,824 GILGIL N/A N/A ,601 WOTE N/A N/A ,988 MACHAKOS N/A N/A N/A N/A ,550 ATHI RIVER N/A N/A N/A 6,750 KITENGELA N/A N/A ,625 KAJIADO N/A ,243 MOLO N/A N/A N/A 6,709 NAIROBI N/A N/A N/A ,558 THIKA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,583 MURANGA N/A N/A N/A 6,583 KARATINA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,650 NYERI N/A N/A N/A 6,667 NANYUKI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,630 ISIOLO ,800 MAUA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,783 MERU N/A N/A N/A 6,825 CHUKA - N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,500 KERUGOYA N/A N/A N/A 6,600 EMBU - N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,700 KITUI - N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,700 KERICHO ,856 SOTIK N/A N/A N/A 6,378 KEROKA N/A N/A N/A 6,589 6, N/A N/A N/A KISII 17

19 KILGORIS N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,605 RONGO N/A N/A N/A 6,283 AWENDO , N/A N/A N/A 6,040 MIGORI N/A N/A N/A 6,270 ISEBANIA N/A N/A N/A 6,693 MBITA N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,650 HOMA BAY N/A N/A N/A 6,567 BONDO N/A N/A N/A 6,794 SIAYA N/A N/A N/A 6,755 LUANDA N/A N/A N/A 6,856 KISUMU N/A N/A N/A 6,638 CHAVAKALI N/A N/A N/A 6,567 MBALE N/A N/A N/A 6,633 MAJENGO N/A N/A N/A 6,483 KAPSABET N/A N/A N/A 6,588 NANDI HILLS N/A N/A N/A 6,557 ELDORET N/A N/A N/A 6,558 MATUNDA N/A N/A N/A 6,580 KITALE N/A N/A N/A 6,607 WEBUYE N/A N/A N/A 6,542 BUNGOMA N/A N/A N/A 6,517 MALABA N/A N/A N/A 6,572 BUSIA N/A N/A N/A 6,560 NAMBALE N/A N/A N/A 6,648 MUMIAS N/A N/A N/A 6,543 KAKAMEGA N/A N/A N/A 6,633 BUTERE N/A N/A N/A 6,540 ITEN N/A N/A N/A 6,408 KAPENGURIA N/A N/A N/A 6,512 KHUMUSALABA N/A N/A N/A 6,628 KIMININI N/A N/A N/A 6,548 KAPSAKWANYI N/A N/A N/A 6,596 CHWELE N/A N/A N/A 6,578 KIMILILI N/A N/A N/A N/A 6,573 GARISSA N/A N/A N/A ,067 OVERALL ,600 6, ,700 6,623 6,637 TABLE VII :SUGAR AND SUGAR BY-PRODUCT IMPORTS FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 AND 2017 BY TYPE AND COUNTRY OF ORIGIN i) Sugar By-product i.e Molasses and Jaggery COUNTRY OF ORIGIN Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 India United Arab Emirates JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 Switzerland France Japan China Australia

20 ii) Mill/Brown Sugar (Tonnes) Country Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 Egypt ,000 41,928 United Arab Emirates ,662 Uganda ,815 2,227 5,207 6,479 14,744 9,921 40,792 26,390 Mauritius ,897 Zambia ,569 Malawi Zimbabwe 1,000 1, ,000 2,000 6,175 25,650 Germany ,500 Swaziland ,000 2,500 3,500 66,774 Madagascar ,200 United States of America China United Kingdom Netherlands Korea Republic Switzerland India Thailand ,807 Tanzania Guatemala ,206 Brazil ,704 Botswana Sudan ,999 South Africa ,500 El Salvador Vietnam ,825 Mexico ,000 Mozambique ,250 Sub-total 1,000 1,900 1,815 2,402 5,732 7,229 18,494 14,492 53, ,271 iii) White Refined Sugar (Tonnes) Country Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 Egypt 5,464 4,167 2,169 2,420 3, ,500 1,335 20,625 42,895 Saudi Arabia 2,012 1, ,320 1, ,612 9,070 United Arab Emirates United Kingdom 19

21 ,657 2, ,095 1 Mauritius 9, ,099 3,649 3,561 2,750 4,700 1,125 34,212 11,150 Belgium 950-1, ,950 1,150 Germany KOREA REPUBLIC China India 1,729 1, ,140 1,097 3,804 2,651 2,050 15,027 34,066 France , ,152 1,152 5, Lebanon Pakistan - 1, ,560 - Thailand ,569 1,150 Netherlands , South Africa ,015 3, Denmark Switzerland Brazil Morroco united States of America Italy Sub-total 20,982 8,007 15,740 9,669 13,349 11,319 13,558 8, , ,125 SUGAR IMPORTS (ii+iii) 21,982 9,907 17,555 12,071 19,081 18,548 32,052 22, , ,396 iv) SUGAR IMPORTS FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 AND 2017 BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN (TONNES) Country of origin Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 1) COMESA FTA JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 Egypt 5,464 4,167 2,169 2,420 4, ,250 1,335 22,625 84,823 Zimbabwe 1,000 1, ,000 2,000 6,175 25,650 Zambia ,569 Malawi Madagascar ,200 Mauritius 9, ,099 3,649 3,561 2,750 4,700 1,196 34,283 65,047 Sudan ,999 Sub-total 16,021 6,438 10,268 6,244 7,581 3,550 8,950 4,531 63, ,314 2) COMESA NON FTA Swaziland ,000 2,500 3,500 66,774 Mozambique ,250 Sub-total ,000 2,500 3,500 82,024 3) EAST AFRICA COMMUNITY Uganda ,815 2,227 5,207 6,479 14,744 9,921 40,792 26,390 20

22 Tanzania Sub-total ,815 2,227 5,232 6,479 14,744 9,921 40,817 26,390 4) NON-COMESA Belgium 950-1, ,950 1,150 Saudi Arabia 2,012 1, ,320 1, ,612 9,070 India 1,729 1, ,140 1,097 3,804 2,651 2,050 15,027 34,449 China United Arab emirates ,662 United States of America Lebanon Pakistan - - 1, ,560 - KOREA REPUBLIC France , ,152 1,152 5, Germany ,500 Thailand ,569 69,957 Netherlands , United Kingdom ,657 2, ,096 1 South Africa ,015 3,337 8,200 Denmark Switzerland Brazil ,104 Botswana Guatemela ,206 El Salvador Morroco Italy Vietnam ,825 Mexico ,000 Sub-total 5,961 3,069 5,472 3,600 6,268 8,519 7,358 5,613 45, ,668 SUGAR IMPORTS ( ) 21,982 9,907 17,555 12,071 19,081 18,548 32,052 22, , ,396 21

23 TABLE VIII: SUGAR AND SUGAR BY-PRODUCT EXPORTS FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 AND 2017 BY TYPE AND DESTINATION i) SUGAR BY-PRODUCTS I.E JAGGERY & MOLASSES(MT) COUNTRY OF DESTINATION Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 SOUTH SUDAN SUDAN RWANDA AIRCRAFT & SHIPSTORES ii) BROWN / MILL WHITE SUGAR (MT) COUNTRY OF DESTINATION Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 AIRCRAFT & SHIP STORES SOUTH SUDAN SOMALIA SAINT HELENA BURUNDI UGANDA iii) REFINED WHITE SUGAR (MT) COUNTRY OF DESTINATION Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 JANUARY - AUGUST 2018 JANUARY - AUGUST 2017 SOMALIA UGANDA RWANDA SOUTH SUDAN GERMANY UNITED ARAB EMIRATES ETHIOPIA TANZANIA ANGOLA SUGAR EXPORTS (ii+iii)

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