Vision Zero in vehicle safety? Illusion or future reality

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2 Vision Zero in vehicle safety? Illusion or future reality Wolfram Hell MESSRING GmbH

3 Quelle: Tony Seba, Stanford Universität MESSRING GmbH

4 Quelle: Tony Seba, Stanford Universität MESSRING GmbH

5 MESSRING GmbH

6 Safety Belt Life Saver No. 1 Invention of Nils Bohlin (Sweden) 10 most important inventions for mankind Until now the seat belt saved > 1,5 Mio. Lives Car/Truck/Bus very effective : -50% of severe injuries Non belted rear seat passenger reaches an impact force of von 3-4 Tons in a frontal impact at 50 km/h MESSRING GmbH

7 Ethical Platform Vision Zero The Vision is an expression of the ethical imperative that It can never be ethically acceptable that people are killed or seriously injured when moving within the transport system Since 1997 every FATAL accident in Sweden is analyzed, countermeasures after 6 Months checked = Man-Human-Enviroment Claes Tingvall MESSRING GmbH

8 ACCIDENT ANALYSIS William Haddon Matrix Interdisciplinary work: Medicine/Psychology Techology - Road Design MESSRING GmbH

9 Current Traffic Safety Situation (Tingvall ) Most countries in the developed part of the world have adopted Vision Zero (UN,USA, EU, Australia, NZ etc) Most car manufacturer and suppliers have adopted something similar (Volvo, Mercedes, Toyota, Autoliv etc) Most car manufacturers and suppliers have developed technology beyond imagination But! MESSRING GmbH

10 Current Traffic Safety Situation Few countries, few cities and few manufacturers have a robust plan to deliver a safe road trasport system! Few countries, few cities and few manufacturers does not even have a firm plan or idea to improve the current situation MESSRING GmbH

11 Traffic in future Quelle: Morgan Stanley MESSRING GmbH

12 Vision MESSRING GmbH

13 Japan 28% Germany 37% Acceptance for autonomous driving MESSRING GmbH

14 Vehicle technology (Claes Tingvall) Automation is the new seat belt! It is not the automated driving that is the main thing, it is all the sensors and actuators that are active all the time - even in manual use! Automation will put pressure on changing the transport system Automated driving must be safe - no room for blaming the users!!! MESSRING GmbH

15 MESSRING GmbH

16 MESSRING GmbH

17 Safe crash barrier? MESSRING GmbH

18 Most frequent Causes of death (WHO) Rank Disease or Injury Rank Disease or Injury 1 Ischaemic heart disease 2 Cerebrovascular disease 3 Lower respiratory infections 4 COPD 5 Diarrhoeal diseases 6 HIV/AIDS 7 Tuberculosis 8 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancer 9 Road traffic injuries 10 Prematurity & low-birth weight 1 Ischaemic heart disease 2 Cerebrovascular disease 3 COPD 4 Lower respiratory infections 5 Road traffic injuries 6 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancer 7 Diabetes mellitus 8 Hypertensive heart disease 9 Stomach cancer 10 HIV/AIDS MESSRING GmbH

19 Million people WHO Traffic deaths worldwide facts AIDS-related deaths UNAIDS 2008 Tuberculosis WHO million deaths million injured 1.3 Road traffic WHO 2004 <1 Malaria WHO MESSRING GmbH

20 Road traffic death rates per population, by country income status + Sweden Iran: Traffic fatalities 2012 (70 Mio. inhabitants) India: Traffic fatalities Low Middle High Sweden Global status report on road safety 2013, World Health Organization MESSRING GmbH

21 MESSRING GmbH

22 Vision Zero a policy innovation Traditional Vision Zero What is the problem? What causes the problem? Responsibility? Peoples demand for road safety? What is the appropriate goal? Accidents risk Human factors Individual road users People don t want safety Optimum number of fatalities and serious injuries Fatalities and serious injuries Humans make mistakes Humans are fragile System designers People want safety Eliminate fatalities and serious injuries MESSRING GmbH

23 MESSRING GmbH

24 MESSRING GmbH

25 MESSRING GmbH

26 MESSRING GmbH

27 MESSRING GmbH

28 MESSRING GmbH

29 On German roads nearly 780,000 people have died in traffic accidents since The number of injured exceeds 31 million MESSRING GmbH

30 EU MESSRING GmbH

31 Berlin declaration of Traffic Safety VDI Prof. Schöneburg MESSRING GmbH

32 Reality and Target MESSRING GmbH

33 Germany. Fatalities, severe injured and injured MESSRING GmbH

34 Germany Development of Fatalities Pedestrian Bicycle Truck Car Motorcycle MESSRING GmbH

35 Germany Development Severe injured Pedestrian Bicycle Truck Car Motorcycle Rückgang in % MESSRING GmbH

36 MESSRING GmbH

37 development dynamic seat test IFM Munich, IIHS, Thatcham, Folksam Improved car seat Low Cost car seat MESSRING GmbH

38 MESSRING GmbH

39 MESSRING GmbH

40 MESSRING GmbH

41 MESSRING GmbH

42 Truck emergency breaking to zero MESSRING GmbH

43 TRUCK: Blindspot detection system for bicyclists and pedestrians MESSRING GmbH

44 Rear seat belt pretensioners MESSRING GmbH

45 Rollover MESSRING GmbH

46 CAR head side-airbag Highly efficient head protection at lateral collision same Efficiency for Roll-Over MESSRING GmbH

47 Example Opposite Traffic 2+1 country road Mid-barrier would have prevented most severe accident consequences MESSRING GmbH

48 Cable barrier Sweden MESSRING GmbH

49 NEW DANGER: Smombie Traffic sign Stokholm NHTSA 10 % of all Fatalities MESSRING GmbH

50 Outlook Consumer testing sets the future standards (Euro-Ncap, IIHS ) Accident Research is still fundamental (Focus on FATAL and SEVERE injuries) Safety is more than Standard Test conditions Inderdisciplinary work necessary Medicine, Rehabilitation, road designers, City Planers MESSRING GmbH

51 I Thank you for your attention MESSRING GmbH

52 MESSRING GmbH

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