Community & Transportation Preferences Survey

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1 Community & Transportation Preferences Survey Webinar: August 5, 2015 Hugh Morris, AICP, LEED Realtor.org Jennifer Dill, Ph.D. trec.pdx.edu 1

2 Introduction National Association of Realtors Over 1,000,000 members. Started smart growth program 15 years ago. Conduct national community preference poll every two years version joined forces with Portland State University Larger sample Insightful analysis Previous polls available on search for Community 2

3 Methodology: Summary The sample included adults living in the 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the U.S. The survey was conducted May 13-19, ,000 respondents were interviewed by phone by American Strategies (679 by landline and 322 by wireless phone). Margin of error 3.1% 2,000 respondents were surveyed on-line by YouGov. Margin of error 2.2% Responses were weighted to better match demographics according to the American Community Survey and the two samples were combined. 3

4 Methodology: Metro Areas Sampled 4

5 Findings: Everyday travel How often are people walking, bicycling, and taking transit? What do they think about these travel modes? Why do they walk/bike/take transit and why not? 5

6 100% I like walking 80% +12% +8% +2% -11% Attitudes are an important determinant of people s travel behavior. 60% Of all four modes, walking was liked the most. But, while everyone likes walking, Millennials like it 12 percentage points higher than driving (83% agree that they like walking vs. 71% like driving). This is the largest gap of any generation. 40% 20% 0% Q Now, I d like to ask about your preferences regarding your daily travel. For each statement, please tell me if you strongly disagree, somewhat disagree, somewhat agree, or strongly agree. I like taking transit driving walking riding a bike taking transit driving walking riding a bike taking transit driving walking riding a bike taking transit driving walking riding a bike Millennial Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/ Greatest Strongly agree Somewhat agree 6

7 Millennials are most likely to walk for transportation 62% 86% 83% 75% 72% Over 30% of Millennials reported walking to or from work/school in the past 30 days, compared to less then 20% of Gen Xers or Baby Boomers. Over 60% of Millennials reported walking for errands, shopping or eating out. Gen Xers and Baby Boomers were more likely than Millennials to walk for exercise. 32% 32% 23% 19% 17% 13% 8% 3% 18% 20% 6% 2% 54% 53% 39% To/from work or school To/from public transportation Escorting children to/from school Running errands, shopping, or eating out Just for exercise, including walking the dog Q Were any of these walks you took Millennial (Born 1981 or later) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) 7

8 Findings: Transportation Policy Priorities What are respondents transportation priorities for the government? 8

9 Maintenance is the clear priority Maintenance is the highest priority for all generations, though it is less so for millennials compared to the older generations Millennials generally place higher priority on transit, walking, and bicycling as government priorities compared to the other generations Q Now, I'm going to read you a list, and I'd like you to tell me whether each of the following should be an extremely high priority, a high priority, a middle priority, a low priority, or an extremely low priority for the government. % indicating this is a high or extremely high priority 74% Millennials 89% 84% 85% Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/Greatest Gen. Maintaining and repairing roads, highways, freeways and bridges 62% 62% 56% 56% 59% 56% 58% 55% 53% 51% 50% 49% 48% 48% 48% 42% 42% 38% Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/Greatest Gen. Building more roads and expand existing roads to help reduce traffic congestion Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/Greatest Gen. Expanding public transportation, including trains and buses Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/Greatest Gen. Providing convenient alternatives to driving such as walking, biking, and public transportation Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/Greatest Gen. Developing communities where more people do not have to drive long distances to work or shop Millennials Gen X 42% 36% 36% 36% Baby Boomers Silent/Greatest Gen. Building more sidewalks Millennials Gen X 27% Baby Boomers 20% Silent/Greatest Gen. Building more bike lanes and paths 9

10 Maintenance is the clear priority 83% indicated that maintaining and repairing roads and bridges is a high priority, with over half of those saying it is an extremely high priority Maintaining and repairing roads, highways, freeways and bridges Building more roads and expand existing roads to help reduce traffic congestion Expanding public transportation, including trains and buses 25% 25% 44% 35% 29% 38% 27% 26% 13% 4% 14% 20% This far exceeded the next priority: expanding roads to help reduce congestion (60% high or extremely high) Over half indicated that expanding public transit and providing convenient alternatives to driving, such as walking, biking and transit were high priorities. Providing convenient alternatives to driving such as walking, biking, and public transportation Developing communities where more people do not have to drive long distances to work or shop Building more sidewalks 23% 19% 16% 28% 29% 30% 30% 31% 28% 19% 23% 24% Q Now, I'm going to read you a list, and I'd like you to tell me whether each of the following should be an extremely high priority, a high priority, a middle priority, a low priority, or an extremely low priority for the government. Building more bike lanes and paths 11% 21% 31% 37% Extremely High High priority Middle priority Low priority Don t know responses not included (<5%). 10

11 Most don t know how to replace shrinking gas tax revenue or don t want to When asked how to replace shrinking gas tax revenues, 28% indicated that they preferred no replacement and 25% did not have an opinion. Equal shares (17%) opted for increasing the gas tax or replacing it with a tax based on miles driven. A similar question on the 2013 NAR Smart Growth Poll representing both urban and rural Americans had only 8% favoring increasing the gas tax, compared to 20% opting for the tax on miles driven. Equal shares (29%) chose no replacement or were undecided. Q26 As you may know, increased fuel efficiency in cars has resulted in less gas tax funding to support roads and transit. Thinking about this, which ONE of the following approaches would you take to replace that tax revenue? 11% Increase tolls or more toll roads 17% 17% Increase the gas tax Replace the gas tax with a tax based on the number of miles driven 28% Do not replace the tax revenue 25% (Don't know/refused) 11

12 Findings: Housing Preferences What transportation features are important in deciding where to live? Do people prefer more walkable neighborhoods? 12

13 People want transportation options Important things when deciding where to live Important (very or somewhat) Very Important Sidewalks and places to take walks 85% 55% Easy access to the highway 82% 42% Being within an easy walk of other places and things in the community 79% 42% Being within a short commute to work 76% 44% Having public transit nearby 64% 37% Bike lanes and paths nearby 57% 24% Q If you were deciding today where to live, please indicate how important having each of the following is to you - is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important. 13

14 Some preferences vary by generation Millennials are more interested in being within easy walking distance of places and having public transit nearby. Both Millennials and Gen Xers are more interested in sidewalks and bike lanes and paths 57% 58% 53% 50% 50% 51% 38% 22% Millennial (Born 1981 or later) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) 50% 45% 43% 43% 40% 41% 41% 38% 38% 33% 32% 30% 28% 24% 21% % indicating very important in deciding where to live 15% Q If you were deciding today where to live, please indicate how important having each of the following is to you - is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important. Sidewalks and places to take walks Being within a short commute to work Easy access to the highway Being within an easy walk of other places and things in the community Having public transit nearby Bike lanes and paths nearby 14

15 Women value walkability more than men do A large majority (61%) of women indicated it was very important to have sidewalks and places to take walks when deciding where to live. 46% of women said it was very important to be within easy walking distance of places in the community. Having public transit nearby was also more important to women. Q If you were deciding today where to live, please indicate how important having each of the following is to you - is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important. % indicating very important in deciding where to live 49% 61% Sidewalks and places to take walks 46% 45% 42% 43% 41% 37% Being within an easy walk of other places and things in the community Being within a short commute to work Men Easy access to the highway Women 40% 33% Having public transit nearby 25% 22% Bike lanes and paths nearby 15

16 Americans Split on Preference Between Walkable, Mixed- Use Community and Conventional Suburban Community Preferred Community Community A: (conventional suburb) Houses with large yards and you have to drive to the places you need to go. Community B: (walkable community) Houses with small yards and it is easy to walk to the places you need to go. Q17. Imagine for a moment that you are moving to another community. These questions are about the kind of community where you would like to live. Please select the community where you would prefer to live. Don t Know/Neither 16

17 Millennials and Baby Boomers prefer smaller yards in walkable neighborhoods Community A: (conventional suburb) Houses with large yards and you have to drive to the places you need to go. Q17. Imagine for a moment that you are moving to another community. These questions are about the kind of community where you would like to live. Please select the community where you would prefer to live. 43% 48% Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) 44% 51% Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) 50% 43% Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) 42% 51% Millennial (Born 1981 or later) Community B: (walkable community) Houses with small yards and it is easy to walk to the places you need to go. 17

18 Americans split between attached homes in walkable neighborhoods and detached homes in conventional neighborhoods Preferred Community Home A: (attached, walkable) Own/rent an apartment/townhouse, and you have an easy walk to shops/restaurants & have a shorter commute Home B: (detached, conventional) Own/rent detached, single-family house, and you have to drive to shops, restaurants, & have a longer commute Q18. Imagine for a moment that you are moving to another community. These questions are about the kind of community where you would like to live. Please select the community where you would prefer to live. Don t Know/Neither 18

19 Millennials prefer attached homes in walkable neighborhoods Home A: (attached, walkable) Own/rent an apartment/townhouse, and you have an easy walk to shops/restaurants & have a shorter commute 41% 47% Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) 43% 51% Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Home B: (detached, conventional) Own/rent detached, singlefamily house, and you have to drive to shops, restaurants, & have a longer commute 44% 50% Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Q18. Imagine for a moment that you are moving to another community. These questions are about the kind of community where you would like to live. Please select the community where you would prefer to live. 51% Millennial (Born 1981 or later) 43% 19

20 What about households with kids? For Millennials with kids in the household, there was no significant difference in the share that chose the attached home in a walkable location (vs. the detached home that required more driving). Over half chose that option. For Gen Xers with kids, there is a difference. Only 40% of the Gen Xers with kids preferred the attached walkable option, compared to 49% of the Gen Xers without kids. The difference for Baby Boomers with and without kids is not statistically significant. 51% 52% Community A: Attached walkable Kids in HH 49% 40% 38% Community A: Attached walkable No kids 43% Community A: Attached walkable Millennial (Born 1981 or later) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) 20

21 Findings: Current home and neighborhood What is the transportation environment where people currently live? How well does that match their preferences? 21

22 Most people live in detached homes 60% of the adults surveyed in the metro areas live in detached, single-family homes. South West South New York City West Coast North East Middle America Los Angeles Hispanic/Mexican Asian African American, Black White (non-hispanic) 8% 19% 11% 22% 8% 7% 24% 23% 16% 10% 19% 15% 27% 15% 25% 10% 13% 19% 9% 30% 67% 61% 44% 45% 61% 55% 67% 50% 52% 59% 37% 44% 67% A building with 2 or more apartments or condos $100k and above $50k to <$100k Less than $50k 9% 9% 17% 9% 12% 36% 45% 70% 81% Single family attached house, such as a townhouse or row house. Single family detached house No kids in HH Kids in HH 9% 18% 13% 27% 58% 65% Q9. Do you live in a Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Millennial (Born 1981 or later) 9% 17% 9% 18% 11% 24% 11% 33% 49% 59% 66% 68% Total 10% 24% 60% 22

23 But, 25% live in detached homes and would prefer an attached home in a walkable neighborhood Mismatched Matched Lives in Prefers % Detached home Apartment/townhouse in walkable neighborhood 25% Attached home Detached home in conventional neighborhood 13% Attached home Apartment/townhouse in walkable neighborhood 24% Detached home Detached home in conventional neighborhood 38% n=2,655; Excludes people living in mobile homes and other housing types 23

24 Mismatch differs some by income People in the highest income level ($100k and above) are the most likely to be living in detached homes and prefer to live in an attached home in a walkable neighborhood. On the other hand, 17% of people in the lowest income group live in an attached home and would prefer a detached home in a conventional neighborhood. $100k and above (n=471) $50k to <$100k (n=742) Less than $50k (n=1,098) 31% 25% 23% 7% 10% 17% 0% 50% 100% Mismatch: Live in detached, prefers attached Mismatch: Live in attached, prefers detached Match: lives/prefers attached Match: lives/prefers detached 24

25 Most people have sidewalks available, but fewer have lots of places to walk to nearby, such as shops, cafes, and restaurants. There are bike lanes and paths nearby There are lots of places to walk to nearby, such as shops, cafes, and restaurants There is public transit nearby 33% 34% 46% 27% 16% 25% 27% 19% 21% 24% 11% 19% Only one-third of people strongly agreed that there are bike lanes and paths nearby. There are parks within walking distance 47% 24% 12% 16% There are sidewalks on most of the streets 52% 24% 9% 16% Q4-8. Now, I have a few questions about your neighborhood and home. For each, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with that statement. Strongly agree Somewhat disagree Somewhat agree Strongly disagree 25

26 Millennials are living in more walkable, transit-oriented neighborhoods Millennials were most likely to say that there were lots of places to walk to nearby and public transit, but least likely to say that there were bike lanes and paths nearby. % strongly agreeing 38% 31% 33% 32% 46% 49% 48% 42% 49% 52% 53% 54% 26% 35% 33% 41% 49% 47% 44% 38% Q4-8. Now, I have a few questions about your neighborhood and home. For each, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with that statement. Millennial Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/ Greatest Gen. There are lots of places to walk to nearby, such as shops, cafes, and restaurants Millennial Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/ Greatest Gen. Millennial Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/ Greatest Gen. There are parks within There are sidewalks on walking distance most of the streets Millennial Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/ Greatest Gen. There are bike lanes and paths nearby Millennial Gen X Baby Boomers Silent/ Greatest Gen. There is public transit nearby 26

27 People with places to walk to are more satisfied with the quality of life in their community Quality of life in your community (all respondents) 100% Very dissatisfied 5% Somewhat dissatisfied 12% Don't know 2% 80% 60% 33% 49% 43% 37% Somewhat satisfied 40% Very satisfied 41% Satisfaction with quality of life in community 40% 20% 0% 54% 32% 35% 38% Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Q3. Would you say that you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied with the quality of life in your community? There are lots of places to walk nearby, such as shops, cafes, and restaurants Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied 27

28 Questions? These are just our initial big picture findings. Stay tuned for more! Acknowledgements The research was conducted by the National Association of Realtors and Portland State University, with additional funding from the National Institute for Transportation and Communities (a US DOT University Transportation Center). Project team: Jennifer Dill and Nathan McNeil, Portland State University Joe Molinaro and Hugh Morris, National Association of Realtors Joe Goode, American Strategies 28

29 Bonus slides 29

30 Used transit in the past 30 days Transit use in the past 30 days South West South New York City West Coast North East Middle America Los Angeles 20% 20% 18% 29% 26% 27% 56% Millennials are more likely to have taken transit in the past month than nearly any other demographic category. Hispanic/Mexican Asian African American, Black White (non-hispanic) 19% 33% 37% 42% College grad (incl. grad school) Non-college post H.S. & Some college HS grad or less 28% 23% 26% $100k and above $50k to <$100k Less than $50k 24% 23% 29% No kids in HH Kids in HH 26% 26% Female Male 24% 28% Q35. In the past 30 days, about how many days did you use public transportation such as buses, subways, light rail, or commuter trains? Silent/Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Millennial (Born 1981 or later) 8% 19% 28% 40% Overall: 26% 30

31 Gas price increases won t motivate more transit use Respondents say that lower or free fares and better transit service would encourage them to ride more, but a $1 increase in gas prices likely would not. 62% 61% 61% 60% 59% 56% 57% 53% 54% 52% 51% 50% 54% 47% 27% 21% % saying yes Free transit service Service Faster service More reliable extended to service nearby communities / place I need to go More frequent service Safer service Cleaner service If the price of gas increased by $1 or more Q37 Please tell me, yes OR no, if any of the following would encourage you to make greater use of transit service. Only asked of people who said they had transit available. All respondents People who had not used transit in the past 30 days 31

32 People who had used transit in the last 30 days Most transit riders have other options Only 22% of Millennials and Baby Boomers, 29% of Gen Xers, and 4% of the Silent Generation who had taken transit in the past 30 days strongly agreed that it is their only option. Of those who used transit, Millennials were the least likely to strongly agree that service is reliable. This is likely a result of their more frequent use. Gen Xers who used transit were the most likely to strongly agree that they preferred transit to driving because they would be productive. Q45 For each of the following statements, please tell me if you agree or disagree. Only asked of people who said they had transit available. % strongly agreeing 32% 32% 29% 30% 27% 27% 22% 22% 23% 24% 21% 21% 18% 18% 4% Public transit is my only transportation option I prefer public transit over driving, even if it takes longer so I can be productive during my trip 5% 2% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 5% Public transit is my only transportation option I prefer public transit over driving, even if it takes longer so I can be productive during my trip 41% Local public transit service is reliable 13% 23% 23% 19% Local public transit service is reliable Local public transit service is safe from crime 14% 16% 15% 11% Local public transit service is safe from crime Millenial (Born 1981 or later) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) People who had NOT used transit in the last 30 days 39% 34% 27% 29% The cost of local public transit is reasonable 25% 23% 19% 19% The cost of local public transit is reasonable Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) 30% 27% 23% 18% Local public transit service is fast enough for my needs 16% 8% 10% 11% Local public transit service is fast enough for my needs 32

33 Health and being outside are the main reasons for biking and walking However, some motivations vary by age. While a majority of all adults indicate that health and exercise benefits are a main motivation for walking, Millennials were less likely to give this reason. 19% of Millennials indicated that saving money was a main reason for walking. The environment is more of a motivation for bicycling than for walking. % indicating this is a main reason for walking 53% 66% 68% 65% For health/exercise benefits 8% 7% 3% 4% Faster than driving 56% 58% 56% 55% To enjoy being outside Main reasons for walking 19% 14% 13% 13% 12% 8% 9% 11% 5% 5% 6% 2% To save money on To reduce impact gas and travel costs on environment/air quality To avoid having to park my car Millennial (Born 1981 or later) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Silent/ Greatest Generation (Born 1944 or before) Q Why do you choose to walk? Is this a main reason, somewhat of a reason, or not a reason at all? % indicating this is a main reason for biking 33

34 Reason for not biking: Needing a vehicle for other reasons People with kids are most likely to cite this as a barrier to bicycling more Need vehicle for work/school/other reasons Hispanic/Mexican Asian African American, Black White (non-hispanic) College grad (incl. grad school) Non-college post H.S. & Some college HS grad or less 52% 56% 53% 51% 55% 54% 45% $100k and above $50k to <$100k Less than $50k 58% 54% 48% No kids in HH Kids in HH 47% 61% Female Male 52% 51% Q86 (If able to ride bicycle and know how in bike or temporary condition) Now, I'd like you to think about things that may keep you from doing more biking. Please tell me yes OR no, if any of these keep you from doing more biking? Silent/Greatest Generation (Born Baby Boomers (Born 1945 to 1964) Gen X (Born 1965 to 1980) Millennial (Born 1981 or later) 38% 49% 56% 51% Overall 51% 34

35 Comfort level biking in different environments Most people feel very comfortable riding a bike on a separate path or trail. But only 13% feel very comfortable riding on a busy urban street with only a striped bike lane the most common type of bike infrastructure in most cities. Adding more protection from traffic, such as with a curb, planters, or parked cars, increased comfort. 31% said they would feel very comfortable riding in such a lane. Women and older adults feel least comfortable. Q84. Only includes people who can physically ride a bicycle and know how. Now, I'm going to read you a list of places you could ride a bike. For each, please tell me whether you would be comfortable or uncomfortable biking there. path or trail separate from the street major urban or suburban street with four lanes, on-street parking, traffic speeds of miles per hour, and a striped bike lane major urban or suburban street with four lanes, on-street parking, traffic speeds of miles per hour, and wide bike lane physically separated from traffic by a raised curb, planters, or parked cars College grad (incl. grad school) Non-college post H.S. & Some college Silent/Greatest Generation Separate path HS grad or less $100k and above $50k to <$100k Less than $50k Female Male Baby Boomers Gen X Millennial Overall Major street with striped bike lane % indicating they would feel very comfortable biking there 12% 12% 10% 13% 11% 14% 14% 14% 12% 15% 13% 13% 16% 26% 25% 28% 30% 27% 33% 33% 31% 32% 31% 35% 36% 36% 48% 47% 46% 53% 51% 54% 57% 58% 56% 55% Major street with protected bike lane 63% 65% 62% 35

36 Our Sample vs. ACS (Census) data The survey sample is pretty similar to the population HH Income (2013 3yr ACS) Gender (2013 ACS 5yr) Age (2013 ACS 5yr) Education - 25 years and over (2013 ACS 5yr) 50 largest MSAs Survey sample Less Than $15, % 11.2% $15,000 to less than $50, % 38.2% $50,000 to less than $75, % 18.9% $75,000 to less than $100, % 12.2% $100,000 to less than $150, % 10.6% $150,000 or more 12.6% 8.9% Male 49.0% 47.6% Female 51.0% 52.4% 18 to 24 years 12.6% 10.9% 25 to 34 years 18.7% 17.0% 35 to 44 years 18.2% 17.3% 45 to 54 years 19.1% 17.9% 55 to 64 years 15.2% 19.3% 65 to 74 years 8.8% 11.1% 75 or older 7.3% 6.5% Did not complete high school 13.6% 6.3% High school graduate (includes equivalency) 25.0% 29.1% Some college or Associates 28.0% 30.0% Bachelor's degree 20.7% 21.3% Graduate or professional degree 12.7% 11.9% 36

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