Clouds, Crowds, and Traffic: What 10 Emerging Megatrends Mean for the Future of Transportation

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1 Portland State University PDXScholar TREC Friday Seminar Series Transportation Research and Education Center (TREC) Clouds, Crowds, and Traffic: What 10 Emerging Megatrends Mean for the Future of Transportation Ted Trepanier INRIX, Inc. Let us know how access to this document benefits you. Follow this and additional works at: Part of the Transportation Commons, and the Urban Studies and Planning Commons Recommended Citation Trepanier, Ted, "Clouds, Crowds, and Traffic: What 10 Emerging Megatrends Mean for the Future of Transportation" (2013). TREC Friday Seminar Series This Book is brought to you for free and open access. It has been accepted for inclusion in TREC Friday Seminar Series by an authorized administrator of PDXScholar. For more information, please contact

2 Clouds, Crowds & Traffic Ten Emerging Megatrends Impacting the Future of Transportation Ted Trepanier Confidential & proprietary 1 Confidential & proprietary

3 INRIX Powers the World's Largest Traffic Intelligence Network Crowdsourcing technology pioneer 175 million consumers reached daily 100 million GPS-enabled vehicles & devices 200+ blue-chip customers Market leader in North America and Europe 1.8 million miles of road and 32 countries 2 Confidential & proprietary

4 TEN MEGATRENDS Reshaping Mobility 3 Confidential & proprietary

5 GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Population of urban areas Now Confidential & proprietary UN Department of Economics & Social Affairs (ESA), 2011

6 GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Confidential & proprietary UN Department of Economics & Social Affairs (ESA), 2011

7 GROWTH OF URBANIZATION Percentage of Chinese residents living in urban centers 50% 70% Now Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

8 COST OF CONGESTION Annual hours wasted per driver 59 Los Angeles 65 Stuttgart 63 Paris 7 Confidential & proprietary INRIX Scorecard 2012

9 COST OF CONGESTION Economic impact in billions $121 United States 7.8 Germany 5.6 France 8 Confidential & proprietary TTI; Centre for Economics and Business Research, 2012

10 POLLUTION % of carbon emissions from vehicles 23% 9 Confidential & proprietary OECD, 2011

11 POLLUTION World CO 2 emissions MILLION METRIC TONS 12,000 China 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - United States Europe (OECD) India Confidential & proprietary U.S. EIA, 2011

12 CONNECTED CARS 11% 60% Now Confidential & proprietary ABI Research (ABI), 2012

13 URBAN MOBILITY Rise of on-demand transportation 12 Confidential & proprietary

14 THE CROWD 1.3 billion drivers by 2017 G C S T V S S G C T Flow Road sensor S N C C V Traffic camera Commercial Vehicle GPS Probe Consumer Vehicle GPS Probe T C V D! D G GPS-Enabled Smartphone Probe G! Cellular Network Probe N N Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident D! Construction! Event 13 Confidential & proprietary Scotia Bank, 2011

15 INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network North America, Spring 2010 Road sensor Traffic camera! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples 14 Confidential of & 15-Minute proprietary Real-Time Snapshots

16 INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network North America, Spring 2013 Road sensor Traffic camera! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples 15 Confidential of & 15-Minute proprietary Real-Time Snapshots

17 INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network Europe, Fall 2010 Road sensor Traffic camera!! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples of&15-minute Real-Time Snapshots 16 Confidential proprietary

18 INRIX Traffic Intelligence Network Europe, Spring 2013 Road sensor Traffic camera!! Incidents Driver Generated Report Accident Construction Event Examples of&15-minute Real-Time Snapshots 17 Confidential proprietary

19 ACTIVE ROAD NETWORK MANAGEMENT Real-time data and analytics for millions of miles 18 Confidential & proprietary

20 FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION Big Data and ITS technologies will drive improved urban mobility Integrated corridor management Network-wide analysis System performance monitoring Active/adaptive traffic management Dynamic traffic signal timing Multi-modal travel Smart parking meters and predictive availability Variable HOT lanes Congestion based tolling Multi-mode management Car sharing 19 Confidential & proprietary

21 CONNECTED DEVICES 25 billion 50 billion Confidential & proprietary Cisco IBSG, 2011

22 CONNECTED DEVICES Penetration of Internet usage by country MILLIONS OF PEOPLE 1,600 1,400 1,200 40% 11% 1, China Total population 78% United States India Japan Brazil Russia Germany Indonesia United Kingdom Internet users 80% 46% 48% 83% 22% 84% 80% France As of 6/30/ Confidential & proprietary Internetworldstats.com 6/30/2012

23 CONNECTED DEVICES 1.5 billion smartphones globally MILLIONS OF PEOPLE China United States Japan Brazil India United Kingdom Korea Indonesia France Germany Smartphone subscribers 22 Confidential & proprietary Informa, 2013

24 PERSONALIZATION Navigating your world 23 Confidential & proprietary INRIX Concept, 2013

25 How long will it take to get to home or work? Where can I charge my electric vehicle? Where is the closest available parking? How efficiently do I drive compared to others in my city? Where is the cheapest fuel along my route? Would it be quicker to park and take the train? Is the roadway starting to ice up? What s the best way to avoid this traffic? 24 Confidential & proprietary

26 IN-CAR INFOTAINMENT Adoption by % 25 Confidential & proprietary Strategy Analytics 2012

27 THE CONNECTED CAR B A 26 Confidential & proprietary

28 TRAFFIC B Traffic! A 27 Confidential & proprietary

29 DAILY NAVIGATION B Traffic Daily navigation A 28 Confidential & proprietary

30 MULTIMODAL ROUTING B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing A 29 Confidential & proprietary

31 ROAD WEATHER B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather A 30 Confidential & proprietary

32 LOCAL SEARCH B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather Local search A 31 Confidential & proprietary

33 FUEL PRICES B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather Local search Fuel prices A 32 Confidential & proprietary

34 PARKING AVAILABILITY B Traffic Daily navigation Multimodal routing Road weather Local search Fuel prices P Parking availability P A 33 Confidential & proprietary

35 DRIVING FORWARD Ten Megatrends Growth of Urbanization Cost of Congestion The Crowd Active Road Network Pollution Connected Devices Connected Cars Personalization 34 Confidential & proprietary Urban Mobility In-car Infotainment

36 AUTONOMOUS DRIVING We should be able to do 90% of miles driven within 3 years. Elon Musk, Tesla 36 Confidential & proprietary Image: Continental Automotive, 2013

37 Twisted Trends Woman in the Workforce The Baby Boom Household Income Suburbanization Automobile Ownership Congestion Generational Preferences 38 Confidential & proprietary U.S. EIA, 2011

38 The Planners Challenge It is well understood We cannot build ourselves out of congestion. 39 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

39 The Planners Challenge It s also been long assumed that VMT will continue to grow. Then the trend twisted 40 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

40 The Planners Challenge It is well understood Maximum Freeway Capacity is near 2000 vphpl Smart Cars will increase this to??? More 41 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

41 The Planners Challenge Consider decreasing demand added capacity 42 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

42 The Planners Challenge What does this mean to the assumption? We cannot build ourselves out of congestion 43 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

43 The Planners Challenge Instead of planning for the Next Transportation Package 44 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

44 The Planners Challenge Let s think about planning for - The Last Transportation Package 45 Confidential & proprietary China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), 2013

45 Multnomah County Bottlenecks 46 Confidential & proprietary

46 Thank You Ted Trepanier 47 Confidential & proprietary

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