October 23, 2015 FINAL STATISTICAL REPORT 2014/15

Transcription

1 C A L I F O R N I A D R I E D P L U M B O A R D 3840 Rosin Court Phone (916) Suite 170 Fax (916) Sacramento, CA October 23, 2015 FINAL STATISTICAL REPORT 2014/15 The attached tables reflect the results of marketing the 2014/15 prune crop under the provisions of the Marketing Order for California Dried Plums as Amended and Marketing Agreement No. 110, as Amended, and Order No. 993, as Amended, regulating the handling of dried prunes produced in California. They are listed as follows: Table No. Title 1 Summary of Supply and Shipments 2 Beginning and Ending Inventories 3 Bearing and Non-Bearing Acreage 4 Nursery Tree Sales 5 Production by Size 6 Production and Quality 7 Total Shipments 8 Domestic Shipments by Usage 9 Export Shipments by Destination 10 Shipment of Pitted Prunes 11 Whole Prune Packout by Type of Pack 12 Pitted Prune Packout by Type of Pack 13 Prune Imports by Country of Origin 14 Prune Juice Imports by Country of Origin 15 Competitive Prune Production 16 Average Grower Prune Prices We have calculated that the seasonal average parity price for dried prunes for the 2014/15 crop year was $4,615 per ton. The seasonal grower return finalized price, based on 43,340 tons for 2014/15 crop prunes, was calculated as $2,482 per ton. Purchases from producers, for whom pricing was NOT finalized, totaled 42,590 tons. The average "good faith" estimate of final weighted average price for this tonnage was $2,450 per ton.* * Information as reported by the National Agricultural Statistics Service in the "Walnut/Raisin/Prune Report, State Summary Crop Year" dated October 29, Link: An instrumentality of the Department of Food and Agriculture, State of California

2 Table 1 SUMMARY OF SUPPLY AND SHIPMENTS 2014/15 CROP YEAR Marketable Prunes Natural Condition Carryin, Inventory, 8/1/14 32,173 Marketable Production, 2014 Crop: (a) 107,106 Total Supply 139,279 Shipments 8/1/14-7/31/15 91,069 (65% of salable supply) 7/31/15 Carryout as computed 48,210 Carryout as Reported 7/31/15 (b) 45,830 (a) As reported by processors as of 7/31/15 on natural condition basis. (b) As reported by processors as of 7/31/15 on natural condition basis. Variance from calculated figure may be due to processor formula used in converting processed condition product back to natural condition for reporting purposes.

3 Table 2 BEGINNING AND ENDING INVENTORIES BY SIZE 2014/15 CROP YEAR Size Carryin Inventory Size Carryout Inventory % Count August 1, 2014 Count July 31, 2015 Change 60 and larger 16, and larger 14, to 80 4, to 80 9, to 91 1, to 91 4, to 100 1, to 100 2, and smaller and smaller 4, Pitted 5,526 Pitted 5,509 0 Manufactured Manufactured Products 3,113 Products 4, Total 32,173 Total 45, Source: As reported by processors at 7/31/14 and 7/31/15 on natural condition basis.

4 BEARING AND NON-BEARING ACREAGE BY COUNTY 2014/15 CROP YEAR Table 3 Non - Total District County Bearing Bearing Acreage Santa Clara/Napa/Sonoma: Alameda Napa Santa Clara Santa Cruz Sonoma TOTAL North Sacramento Valley: Butte 6, ,655 Glenn 3, ,987 Shasta Tehama 4, ,933 TOTAL 14,148 1,427 15,575 South Sacramento Valley: Amador Colusa Placer Solano ,080 Sutter 17, ,121 Yolo 1, ,880 Yuba 6, ,165 TOTAL 26,486 2,546 29,032 San Joaquin Valley: Fresno 1, ,307 Kern Kings Merced 1, ,386 Madera Stanislaus Tulare 2, ,697 TOTAL 5, ,176 STATE TOTAL 46,279 4,516 50,795 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processor reports

5 NURSERY TREE SALES Table 4 Year Number of Trees , , , , , , , , ,719 Source: California Dried Plum Board Nursery Survey

6 PRODUCTION BY SIZE 2014/15 CROP YEAR Table 5 Size 2013/ /15 % Count Production Production Change 60 and larger 59,055 53, to 80 18,195 31, to 91 2,667 7, to 100 1,172 6, and smaller 2,038 8, Total 83, , Source: Processor reports, natural condition basis.

7 PRODUCTION AND QUALITY 2014/15 CROP YEAR Table 6 (b) Total (a) (a) (a) Dried Substandard Under- (b) % Change Prune in Excess Trash sized Marketable From Year Production of Tolerance Content Prunes Content Prior Year Net Tons Natural Condition ,106 N/A N/A N/A N/A 107, ,404 N/A N/A N/A N/A 83, ,387 N/A N/A N/A N/A 137, ,061 N/A N/A N/A N/A 136, ,510 N/A N/A N/A N/A 129, ,114 N/A N/A N/A N/A 166, ,668 N/A N/A N/A N/A 129, ,276 N/A N/A N/A N/A 83, (a) Due to suspension of PMC incoming inspections, data is no longer available. (b) As reported by processors

8 Table 7 TOTAL SHIPMENTS 2014/ Net Tons Natural Condition Domestic Including Total Quarter Canada Export Shipments BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 10,723 10,943 21,666 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 13,325 10,503 23,828 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 10,115 15,393 25,508 4th: May '15 - July '15 10,212 9,855 20,067 Total 44,375 46,694 91,069 CUMULATIVE October 2014 January ,723 10,943 21,666 24,048 21,446 45,494 April ,163 36,839 71,002 July ,375 46,694 91,069 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processors' Report of Shipments

9 Table 8 DOMESTIC SHIPMENTS BY USAGE, BY QUARTER 2014/15 CROP YEAR Net Tons Natural Condition Natural Total Dried Condition Domestic Quarter Prunes Manufacturing Pitted (shipped in) Gov't. Shipments BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 1,153 2,295 7, ,723 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan ' ,458 8,338 1, ,325 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr ' ,901 1, ,115 4th: May '15 - July ' ,695 5,318 2, ,212 Total 2,952 6,597 28,613 6, ,375 CUMULATIVE October 2014 January ,153 2,295 7, ,723 2,096 4,753 15,394 1, ,048 April ,480 4,902 23,295 3, ,163 July ,952 6,597 28,613 6, ,375 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding Source: Processors' Report of Shipments

10 PRUNE EXPORT SHIPMENTS BY DESTINATION Table 9 Page 1 of 2 AREA/COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service (Metric Tones) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/ / / / /15 % Chg. from previous year Argentina Armenia Australia(*) 2, , , , , Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas, The Barbados Belgium-Luxembourg(*) Belize Bermuda Brazil Brunei Cambodia Canada 5, , , , , Cayman Islands Chile China 2, , , Colombia Costa Rica Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark(*) Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt El Salvador Estonia Finland , France(*) French Pacific Islands(*) Georgia Germany(*) 9, , , , , Greece Guatemala Guyana Haiti Honduras Hong Kong 3, , , , , Hungary 1, Iceland India Indonesia Ireland Israel(*) 2, , , , , Italy(*) 3, , , , ,

11 Table 9 Page 2 of 2 AREA/COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/ / / / /15 % Chg. from previous year Jamaica Japan 12, , , , , Jordan Kazakhstan Korea, South 1, , , , , Kuwait Latvia Lebanon Leeward-Windward Lithuania Malaysia 1, , , , , Malta Mexico , , , Mongolia Netherlands Netherlands Antilles(*) New Zealand(*) 1, , , , Nicaragua Nigeria Norway(*) Other Pacific Islands, Panama Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland 1, , , , , Romania Russia 5, , , , Saudi Arabia Singapore South Africa Spain Suriname Swaziland Sweden Switzerland(*) 1, , , , Taiwan , Thailand Trinidad and Tobago Turkey Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom 2, , , , , Venezuela Vietnam , , , Total 68, , , , , Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. (*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries. Countries supported by Market Access Program (MAP) funds from USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service.

12 Table 10 SHIPMENTS OF PITTED PRUNES 2014/15 CROP YEAR Net Tons Natural Condition Quarter Domestic Export Total BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 7,056 7,869 14,925 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 8,338 7,470 15,808 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 7,901 10,391 18,292 4th: May '15 - July '15 5,318 6,676 11,994 Total 28,613 32,406 61,019 CUMULATIVE October ,056 7,869 14,925 January ,394 15,339 30,733 April ,295 25,730 49,025 July ,613 32,406 61,019 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding Source: Processors' Report of Shipments

13 Table 11 WHOLE PRUNE PACKOUT BY TYPE OF PACK 2014/15 CROP YEAR Net Tons Natural Condition Quarter Consumer Bulk Pack Pack Total BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 4,355 2,204 6,559 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 3,961 4,311 8,272 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr ' ,984 6,780 4th: May '15 - July '15 2,458 5,423 7,881. Total 11,570 17,922 29,492 CUMULATIVE October ,355 2,204 6,559 January ,316 6,515 14,831 April ,112 12,499 21,611 July ,570 17,922 29,492 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processors' Report of Shipments

14 Table 12 PITTED PRUNE PACKOUT BY TYPE OF PACK 2014/15 CROP YEAR Net Tons Natural Condition Quarter Consumer Pack Bulk Pack Total BY QUARTER 1st: Aug '14 - Oct '14 10,825 4,282 15,107 2nd: Nov '14 - Jan '15 11,235 4,321 15,556 3rd: Feb '15 - Apr '15 13,025 5,703 18,728 4th: May '15 - July '15 7,500 4,686 12,186 Total 42,585 18,992 61,577 CUMULATIVE October ,825 4,282 15,107 January ,060 8,603 30,663 April ,085 14,306 49,391 July ,585 18,992 61,577 Detail will not necessarily add to totals due to rounding. Source: Processors' Report of Shipments

15 PRUNE IMPORTS BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN Table 13 AREA/COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Dried Prune, Not Elsewhere Specified (MT) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/ / / / /15 % Chg. from previous year Afghanistan Argentina , Australia (*) Bulgaria Chile , , China France (*) Germany (*) Hong Kong Iran Mexico Pakistan Syria Taiwan Thailand Turkey United Kingdom Uzbekistan, Republic of Total , , AREA/COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN Dried Prune in Brine (MT) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/ / / / /15 % Chg. from previous year Argentina Cameroon Chile China Cyprus France (*) Italy (*) Mexico Norway Taiwan Thailand Turkey Total Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. (*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries.

16 PRUNE JUICE IMPORTS BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN Table 14 AREA/COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Prune Juice, Unfermented (KL) AUGUST - JULY QUANTITIES 2010/ / / / /15 % Chg. from previous year Argentina Australia (*) Canada Chile 15, , , , , Egypt France (*) 2, , , , Mexico Panama Turkey Total 18, , , , , Data Source: Department of Commerce, U.S. Census Bureau, Foreign Trade Statistics. (*) denotes a country that is a summarization of its component countries.

17 COMPETITIVE PRUNE PRODUCTION (Short Tons) Table 15 Crop Year Country Carry-In Production Supply 2015 Argentina 0 38,581 38,581 Australia 331 3,968 4,299 Chile 11,784 84,817 96,601 France 16,465 35,274 51,739 Italy ,852 Serbia ** South Africa 88 1,102 1,190 Total 29, , , Argentina 0 14,881 14,881 Australia 937 2,508 3,445 Chile 11,070 72,641 83,711 France 17,305 39,173 56,478 Italy 496 1,499 1,995 Serbia * 110 8,929 9,039 South Africa 0 1,047 1,047 Total 29, , , Argentina 7,716 33,064 40,780 Australia 783 3,219 4,002 Chile 3,058 69,400 72,458 France 26,746 35,004 61,750 Italy 198 1,562 1,760 Serbia * 0 9,921 9,921 South Africa Total 38, , , Argentina 5,071 20,062 25,133 Australia 661 2,976 3,637 Chile 8,818 82,673 91,491 France 25,643 46,387 72,030 Italy 198 1,096 1,294 South Africa 0 1,213 1,213 Total 40, , ,798 Source: International Prune Association (IPA) * New IPA member as of 2014 ** IPA has not reported Serbia's 2015 figures as of October 23, 2015.

18 3000 Average Grower Prune Price per Ton Table Price per Ton The seasonal grower return finalized price, based on 43,340 tons for 2014/15 crop prunes, was calculated as $2,482 per ton. Purchase from producers, for whom pricing was NOT finalized, totaled 42,590 tons. The average "good faith" estimate of final weighted average price for this tonnage was $2,450 per ton.* * Information as reported by the National Agricultural Statistics Service in the "Walnut/Raisin/Prune Report, State Summary Crop Year" dated October 29,