2017 Adult Returns and 2018 Expectations Columbia River Updated Draft January 11, 2018
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1 Willamette Spring 2017 Adult Returns and 2018 Expectations Columbia River Updated Draft January 11, Results 2018 Expectations 38,100 predicted adult return to CR (19% wild) 50,774 actual adult return (23% wild) 2,879 jack return (recent 5-year ave. 2,324) 51,071 return to Willamette R (48,233 adult) 34,186 adult/2,442 jack count at falls (late run) 4,336 adult return to Clackamas 53,820 CR adult return 2,130 jacks 43,060 hatchery adults 19,460 harvestable 20% wild adults 4,490 Clackamas Sandy River 3,600 predicted adult return vs. 5,900 actual 4,600 CR return Cowlitz River 17,100 predicted adult return vs. 14,000 actual 5,150 CR return Kalama River 3,100 predicted adult return vs. 2,500 actual 1,450 CR return Lewis River 700 predicted adult return vs. 2,400 actual 3,700 CR return Wind River 3,600 predicted adult vs. 5,400 actual 5,300 adult return Drano (LWS) 7,500 predicted vs 8,900 actual 10,200 adult return Klickitat 2,080 predicted adults vs. 2,281 actual 1,990 adult return Upriver Spring Upper Columbia Summer Sockeye Upriver Summer Steelhead Bright Fall Tule Fall Coho 160,400 predicted adult return 115,821 actual return (72% of forecast) 21,692 jacks at BON (7 th highest since 1979; 2/3 rd of recent 10yr ave.) 63,100 predicted adult return 68,204 actual return (108% of forecast) 7,066 jacks (~50% of recent 10yr ave.) Adult mark rate BON 198,500 predicted return 88,263 actual return (lowest since 2007; 445 SR) 184,044 predicted return at BON 113,088 at BON; 36% of 10-yr ave. (~315K) 350,700 predicted adult return Preliminary total return similar to forecast 2017 jack count similar to ,140 predicted adult return Preliminary returns well below forecast 319,300 predicted adult return Actual return about 62% of forecast 166,700 predicted 90% of recent 10-year ave. return 67,300 predicted Mark rate 40-60% 99,000 predicted 600 SR stock Trending down; expect to be similar to returns prior to 2013 Less than recent 10-year average Jack return 70% of recent 3-year average Shad 3.3 million run vs.10-yr average of 2.2 million Strong run expected Smelt Reduced return (1.6 M lbs based on spawning stock biomass (SSB)); 19% of 2014; 50% of White Sturgeon Legal estimate 199,800 (224,000 in 2016) Adult abundance improved; juvenile recruitment much improved (LCR highest since 2009; LWR highest) Trending downward; expected to be <2017 1
2 Oregon Tributary Spring Lower Willamette River Recreational Fisheries 2017 Results 2018 Expectations Open 7 d/week Jan 1-May 7 and >June 6 Thu-Sat only during May 11-June 4 (1 CHS); 53,700 angler trips (Feb 27-June 30) 7,266 adults kept (1,262 rel.) 85% mark rate Permanent regulations likely Clackamas River 2,911 angler trips <River Mill Dam (5/1-6/30) 86 adults kept (138 released) Permanent regulations likely Sandy River ~1,000 adults kept Permanent regulations likely Washington Tributary Spring Cowlitz River Kalama River Lewis River Columbia River Fisheries LCR BON to McN Open 7 days/week; 2 fish bag; open Jan July 5,000 adults kept 7 days/week; 2 fish bag; open Jan July 600 adults kept 7 days/week; 1 fish bag; closed March May 300 adults kept B10-I-5 Bridge; Jan-Feb; 7 d/wk; 2 bag B10-BON: Mar 1-Apr 10, 13-17, Bank only Beacon R to BON; Lewis sanctuary 2 fish/1 hatchery bag 63,303 angler trips 9,047 adult kept (943 rel.) 137 steelhead kept (113 rel.) Mar 16-May 5; 2 fish/1 hatchery 1,149 angler trips; 15 adult kept (27 rel) McN-OR/WA Snake River Summer Season LCR Mar 16-May 5; 2 fish/1 hatchery 0 caught Three sections; 2d/wk; Apr 28, - May 15 5,807 angler hours; 65 adult kept (8 rel) Summer open: Astoria Bridge to BON: Jun and July fish/ 2 hatchery bag 41,595 angler trips below BON, 3,516 adult kept (4 th highest; 2,248 rel) 264 Sockeye kept (71 rel.); 1,439 steelhead kept (1,042 rel.) at NOF 2
3 Summer Season BON to McN: Jun 16-Jul 31 2,567 trips; 133 adults kept (18 rel.) McN to PRD: Jun 16-Aug 15 (sockeye closed July 7) 2,606 trips 115 kept (76 rel.); 885 sockeye kept Upstream of PRD (includes tribs): Jul 1-Oct 22 20,200 trips; 4,072 adults kept (987 unmarked), 1,689 adults released Buoy 10 LCR Sport TP/RP - BON BON - McNary McNary-Hwy 395 Hanford Reach Sturgeon LCR B10-BON Sturgeon BON-McNary Shad Smelt Aug 1-Sep 4 2 fish/1 bag Oct 1-Dec 31 2 fish/2 bag Coho retention open Aug 1-Dec 31 Steelhead retention closed Aug 1-31 ~91,200 angler trips (11 th highest since 1982) ~28,400 kept (4 th highest; ~6,200 rel.) ~18,300 Coho kept (~11,600 rel.) Tongue Pt.-Warrior R: Aug 1-Sep 7, Sep 8-14 (MSF); 2 fish/1 Oct 1-Dec 31 2 fish/2 bag Warrior R. to BON: Aug 1-Dec 31 2 fish/2 bag Steelhead retention closed Aug ,721 angler trips (7 th highest since 1980) 26,138 adult kept (6 th highest; 2,846 rel) 3,114 Coho kept (4 th highest; 1,488 rel.) 237 steelhead kept (881 rel.) Aug 1-Dec 31; 2 fish/2 bag Steelhead retention closed: Aug 1-31 BO-TD; Sep 1-30 TD-JD; and Sep 1-Oct 31 JD-McN 20,679 trips; 5,823 kept (709 rel) Aug 1-Dec 31; 2 fish/2 bag Steelhead retention closed Oct 1-Nov 30 ~2,226 trips; 21 kept; 27 STH kept (22 rel) ~11,315 adults (862 jack) kept ~30,070 angler trips Below Wauna: 3,000 fish guideline; FL; 2 PM closure 5 retention days (June 5-14); ~14,500 angler trips; 3,235 kept (~8,900 rel) Above Wauna: 1,250 fish guideline; FL 3 retention days (Oct 21, 26, 28) ~9,500 angler trips; ~430 kept (~2,350 rel) BO Pool: 1/1-2/7, 6/10.& 6/23; 279 kept (86%) TD Pool: Jan 1-Mar 24; 84 kept (84%) JD Pool: Jan 1-Mar 29; 127 kept (121%) 13,200 trips; 170,000 kept in LCR (2 nd highest) 3,700 trips; 29,400 kept in LWR (through 6/30) Cowlitz open 1 day (Feb 25); low catch Sandy R. did not open at NOF at NOF 2018 objectives: retention through Labor Day LCR tules remain a at NOF 2018 objectives: TP-WR thru Sept 7, then one week MSF (Sep 8-14) WR-BON full season LCR tules and upriver steelhead remain a at NOF Upriver steelhead remain a at NOF Upriver steelhead remain a 2018 season and guidelines Reopen 1/1/18 Guidelines Large population No changes to fishery 3
4 Columbia River Commercial Fisheries 2017 Results 2018 Expectations Columbia River Fisheries Winter Sturgeon No fishery No fishery Winter/Spring No fishery Summer No fishery ; alternative gear only August (Early Fall) Aug 22 Sept 1, 5 periods; 9 hrs each Zones 4-5; 9 min mesh deliveries per period 13,808 CHF; 220 Coho; 485 WSTG LCR tules and upriver steelhead remain a Late Fall directed: 2 periods Sep 17-20, Z4-5, 9, 10 hrs ea Constrained by B-Index STH impacts 5,176 CHF; 715 Coho; 235 WSTG No Coho target fisheries Seine No fishery Shad 2S fishery open May 20-Jun 20 (perm regs) ~2,000 shad landed No experimental gear permits issued Smelt Mainstem only; Feb 2 27, 2d/wk, Z 1-3 5,019 pounds landed LCR tules and upriver steelhead remain a Area 2S fishery; experimental gear permits possible Select Area Fisheries Winter/Spring Summer Fall Above average season (2 nd highest) Winter 856 Spring 11,274 Expanded sites/season) 5,466 (record) 266 WSTG Below average season 11,843 (58% of 5-year avg) 37,154 Coho (64% of 5-year avg) 227 WSTG 12,300 Select Area-origin predicted return (structure expected to be similar to past years) (structure expected to be similar to 2017) (structure expected to be similar to 2017) 4
5 2018 Columbia River Process Schedule (Preliminary Draft Dates are Tentative) Jan 9 7-8p Jan 10 10a-12p Jan 11 4p-6p Jan a-5p Jan 30 10a Feb 9 Feb 9-10 Feb p Select Area Fisheries Public Meeting 2017 results; 2018 season structure discussion Columbia River Commercial Advisor Group Meeting Sturgeon and smelt Columbia River Recreational Advisor Group Meeting Sturgeon and smelt WFWC Agenda - CR Compact/Joint State Hearing SAFE Commercial MS & Tributary smelt () BO sport stg Treaty Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Lower Columbia River White Sturgeon - Briefing Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission Review of Columbia River Sturgeon Management Policy C Columbia River Recreational Advisor Group Meeting Spring/Summer Holiday Inn Express Astoria, OR City Hall Rainier, OR WDFW Ridgefield, WA Vancouver, WA Teleconference Portland, OR WDFW ODFW Clackamas, OR Feb 14 10a-12p Feb 21 10a Mar 16 Columbia River Commercial Advisor Group Meeting Spring/Summer CR Compact/Joint State Hearing Recreational spring Select Area Fisheries Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission 2017 Columbia River Fisheries Update Mar Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission Review of Columbia River Basin Salmon Management Policy C-3620 See Ocean Calendar for NoF planning process City Hall Rainier, OR Shilo Inn Portland Airport ODFW HQ Salem, OR Wenatchee, WA 5
6 Feb 27? () Feb 27 Mar 8-14 Mar Ocean Fishery Process Schedule (Preliminary Draft Dates are Tentative) Ocean Salmon Industry Group 2018 forecasts Initial discussions of 2018 season options WDFW Public Meeting 2018 forecasts and fishing opportunities Pacific Fishery Management Council (PFMC) Adopt initial 2018 ocean salmon options for public review North of Falcon #1 (Public Meetings) Salmon season negotiations for Columbia River, Puget Sound, Willapa Bay, Grays Harbor, and ocean areas north of Cape Falcon, OR Newport, OR Lacey Community Center 6729 Pacific Ave SE Double Tree Rohnert Park, CA DSHS Office Bldg 2 Auditorium 14 th Ave SE Mar Columbia R North of Falcon WDFW Ridgefield, WA Mar Apr 2 PFMC Public Options Hearings Public input on 2018 season options North of Falcon #2 (if needed) Columbia River/Ocean Westport, WA Coos Bay, OR WDFW Ridgefield, WA Apr 3 Apr 4-11 Apr 20 Apr North of Falcon #2 (Public Meetings) Puget Sound Pacific Fishery Management Council (PFMC) Adopt 2018 ocean salmon fishery regulations Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Adopt state water ocean salmon fishery regulations Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission Agenda Lynwood Embassy Suites th Ave W Lynwood, WA Sheraton - PDX Portland, OR Astoria, OR 6
2018 Adult Returns and 2019 Expectations Columbia River Revised Draft December 12, 2018
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