2007 Adult Returns and 2008 Expectations Columbia River
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1 2007 Adult Returns and 2008 Expectations Columbia River Preliminary Draft December 11, 2007 (updated ) Adult Returns Willamette Spring Upriver Spring Upriver Summer Sockeye Upriver Summer Steelhead Bright Fall Tule Fall Coho 2007 Results 2008 Expectations 52,000 predicted return to CR (10% wild) 40,468 actual return to CR (~25% wild) -lowest return jack return (279) 2 nd lowest since ,600 actual return to Willamette R -23,098 count at falls -8,644 actual return to Clackamas -North Fork Dam count 2,266 -Clackamas Hatchery return 6,100 78,500 predicted adult return 86,230 actual return Mark rate 77% 20,239 jacks highest since 2000 (24,400) 45,600 predicted adult return 37,200 actual return 10,100 jacks exceeds 10-year average (4,100) 27,300 predicted return 26,700 actual return 314,600 predicted return at Bonneville 328,700 actual return 268,000 predicted adult return 170,300 actual return 112,600 URB return Above average jack count 76,700 predicted adult return 47,300 actual return Improved jack returns (BPH 40% > 10-year ave) 366,900 predicted adult return ~300,000 preliminary actual return Poor jack return (43% of 10-year average) 34,000 predicted (1,400 jacks) -14,800 Age-4; 17,200 Age-5-15% wild -29,000 hatchery run 269,300 predicted (2.0% impact) Mostly 4-yr-olds Mark rate similar to recent years 52,000 predicted 75,600 predicted 322,000 predicted return ~228,700 predicted return (162,500 URB) 146,200 predicted return Likely down from 2007 Shad 3.8 million run (strong return) Likely strong return Smelt Poor return Poor return Sturgeon 2006 legal pop. estimate down 15K from estimate will indicate trend
2 Recreational Fisheries Willamette River Spring - Recreational Lower Willamette Clackamas River 2007 Results 2008 Expectations 74,800 angler trips 5,380 kept adult catch (+57 jacks) 2,000 released 73% mark rate (vs ~80% expected) 4,670 angler trips 201 kept adult catch (+10 jacks) 57 released TBD Open 7 days/week under permanent selective fishery regulations Open 7 days/week under permanent selective fishery regulations 79% mark rate (vs ~75% predicted) Mark rate ~75% Washington Tributary Spring - Recreational Cowlitz River Kalama River Lewis River 3,700 actual adult return vs 6,400 predicted 7 day/week fishery 2 fish bag limit 7,400 actual return vs 4,000 predicted 7 day/week fishery 2 fish bag limit 6,800 actual return vs 5,500 predicted 7 day/week fishery 2 fish bag limit Columbia River Fisheries - Recreational Lower Columbia Spring Season Mid Columbia Spring Season (not including Washington terminal fisheries) Spring open: 1) Tongue Pt. to I-5 Br. (1/1-4/15 and 5/16-6/5) 2) Tongue Pt. to Bonn. Dam (6/6-6/15) 2 daily bag 7 th year selective fishery regs. 4 th year unmarked fish must remain in water 83,000 angler trips 6,480 adult kept (+340 jacks) 1,650 released 1,900 hatchery steelhead kept (330 released) 80% mark rate Spring open: 3/16-5/4 and 6/ bag limit; selective fishery regs. 600 fin-clipped kept 150 released 5,200 predicted 3,700 predicted 3,500 predicted Mainstem fishery could be focused >I-5 Bridge Selective fishery regulations Upriver mark rate ~65-70% Selective fishery regulations
3 Columbia River Fisheries - Recreational (continued) Columbia Summer Season Buoy 10 Lower Columbia Fall Season Mid Columbia Fall Season Sturgeon Shad Summer open: 6/16-6/30 Tongue Pt. to Bonneville Dam 2 bag limit and non-selective regs. 23,700 angler trips < Bonneville ~2,200 adult kept (+150 jacks) <0 released (219 rel. in July) 1,900 hatchery steelhead kept 270 released 6/16-7/2 Bonneville Dam to Priest Rapids Dam <60 kept 7/1-10/15 upstream of Priest Rapids Dam Open 8/1-12/31; 2 fish limit; only 1 retention restricted to 8/23-9/3 Below average fishery 36,100 angler trips 3,800 and 8,400 fin-clipped coho Open 8/1-12/31; 2 fish limit thru 9/28; 4 fish limit 9/29-12/31 retention (1 fish) prohibited: 9/5-9/28 downstream of Lewis R 9/19-9/28 Lewis R to Bonn Dam 79,800 angler trips 8,100 adult fall (+630 jacks) 900 fin-clipped coho 4,700 fin-clipped steelhead Open 8/1-12/31; 2 limit retention prohibited: 9/20-9/21 from Hood R Br. to Hwy 395 and 9/20-9/28 from Bonn. Dam to Hood R Br. 1,000 kept Managed for 29,600 annual catch guideline split 15,274 estuary and 13,500 non-estuary with 1,800 fish buffer (corrected for 45 estuary reg) Trips Catch Estuary 50,100 19,130 Non-Estuary 82,600 11,150 (projected) Willamette na 3,800 (estimated) 132,700 34,080 Expanded season above Wauna 18,900 trips and 118,230 catch in Columbia 10,940 trips and 32,200 catch in Willamette Improved return in 2008 Fall should be more abundant; Coho down LRH may constrain fishery similar to 2007 Fall should be more abundant LRH and URB may constrain fishery similar to 2007 Likely similar to 2007 season 3 rd year of period Estuary Manage for < 13,140 harvest Above Wauna Manage for < 13,700 harvest Maybe 4-d/week Jan-July Adjust Aug-Dec accordingly Huge population-no limits
4 Ocean Fisheries - Recreational Cape Falcon, OR to Leadbetter Pt, WA Cape Falcon to Humbug Mtn. Humbug Mtn. to OR/CA Border (OR KMZ) Chetco Terminal Coho and open: 7/1-8/25, 9/2-9/30, 7 days/week, Coho quota 71,450 (58,800 pre-season, 4,250 In-season transfer) 4,300 42,400 trips 66,700 fin-clipped coho 2,200 open 3/15-10/31 (7days/week) Coho open: 6/17-9/16 (7days/week) Coho quota 50,000 (Cape Falcon-OR/CA Border) 58,100 trips 40,700 fin-clipped coho 2,300 open 5/5-9/4 (7days/week) Coho open: 6/17-9/4 (7days/week) 7,200 trips 2,500 1,600 Coho fin-clipped coho -only open 10/1-10/14 3,300 trips 500 Oregon Coastal Rivers - Recreational North Coast Spring North Coast Fall Central and South Coast Fall Rogue River Spring Poor hatchery return 6 th year selective fishery Poor returns Fair fishery Possibly similar to 2007 Possibly similar to 2007 Possibly similar to 2007 Fair returns/fishery Possibly similar to 2007 Poor fishery Gold Ray Dam count 11,200 (adults and jacks) Wild number currently not available In-season closures (fair?) Modified selective fishery
5 Columbia River Commercial Fisheries Columbia River Fisheries - Commercial 2007 Results 2008 Expectations Winter Sturgeon 7, 24-h and 2, 12-h periods (Jan 9-Feb 23; Z 1-5) 1,424 white sturgeon ($2.42/lb) 194 ($10.02/lb) Winter Salmon Summer Salmon August Late Fall Mediocre season (low catch but high price/lb) 3 periods Mar (8-12 h; Z 1-4) 1 period June (8-h; Z 4-5) Two tangle net periods and two large-mesh 2,726 spring ($7.50/lb) 47 white sturgeon ($2.47/lb) Short season 2 periods (10-h each; ; Z 1-5) 1,122 ($2.89/lb) 414 white sturgeon ($2.20/lb) Ave of 88 deliveries/period Restricted season due to natural-spawn tules 3 periods Aug 2-10 (12-h each; ; Z 1-5) 1 period Aug (11-h; ; Z 4-5) 3,981 ; 57 coho; 2,737 white sturgeon Fishery constrained due to tule and coho listings 26 fishing periods (Sep. 19-Oct. 31) Various mesh/zone restrictions 8,169 ($1.91/lb); 30,136 coho ($1.61) 2,734 white sturgeon ($2.01/lb) Shad Area 2S (29 days; May 14-June 22) 14,125 shad landed ($0.14/lb) No Washougal Reef fishery 1,600 white sturgeon guideline Don t expect to fish past mid-feb Low Willamette run is a constraint WFMEP only allows 290 Fishing restricted to > I-5? 200 white sturgeon guideline Some improvement for white sturgeon guideline Likely similar to 2007 Natural tules still an issue 2,000+ white sturgeon guideline More but less coho? 3,200+ white sturgeon guideline Smelt Poor (CR 7,100 # $3.62; Cowlitz 1,200 # s) Poor; Level 1 Select Area Fisheries - Commercial Winter (YB/BS/DR) Spring (YB/BS/DR) Above average season YB - 2 nd exp. season (20 periods 2/14-4/10) BS - Standard season; DR - No effort 968 (2 nd highest); 14 sturgeon Below average harvest (78% of ave.) Very high ex-vessel price ($5.06/lb) 5,550 ; 233 white sturgeon Below average season SAFE CHS prediction 3,700 Low return due to: Age-5 likely weak at all sites Age-4 SFK released early/sick Season structure similar to 2007 Limited TP spring fishery possible Manage for stability Summer (YB) Below average harvest (69% of ave.) Similar approach to ($3.55); 10 white sturgeon ($2.79) Fall (YB/BS/TP/DR) Below average season : 4,533 (YB ave.; TP/BS/DR low; $2.80) Coho: 10,516 (YB/TP poor; BS/DR ave.; $1.40) h Chi k 0 h Same season approach Smolt releases still reduced
6 2008 Columbia River Fishery Process Schedule (Preliminary Draft) Nov. 13, Nov. 27, 2007 CR Stakeholder/Visioning Operating principles WDFW Regional Office CR Recreational Advisory Group 4-7 Sturgeon fishing plan WDFW Regional Office Nov. 29, :30-3:30 CR Commercial Advisory Group Rainier, OR Sturgeon fishing plan City Hall Spring discussion Dec. 13, 2007 CR Compact/Joint State Hearing Kelso, WA 10-2 Commercial sturgeon and smelt City Hall-Council Room Recreational sturgeon 203 S. Pacific Ave Dec. 17, 2007 CR Commercial Advisory Group Cathlamet, WA 10-1 (tentative) Spring/Summer allocation Spring fishing plan Dec. 17, 2007 CR Recreational Advisory Group 4-7 (tentative) Spring/Summer allocation WDFW Regional Office Spring fishing plan Dec. 20, 2007 CR Stakeholder/Visioning Longview, WA 9-4 Fishery vision/goals discussion Cowlitz PUD Jan. 8, 2008 CR Stakeholder/Visioning TBD 9-4 Fishery vision/goals discussion Jan. 10, 2008 Joint OR/WA Fish and Wildlife Comm. Meeting Presentation on CR Allocation Inn at the Quay Jan. 11, 2008 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Portland, OR Oxford Suites Jan , 2008 Jan. 24, ? Feb. 1-2, 2008 WA Fish and Wildlife Commission CR spring/summer allocation CR Compact Commercial winter sturgeon and smelt Winter Treaty Indian and February SAFE commercial WA Fish and Wildlife Commission CR spring/summer allocation decision Teleconference Olympia, WA Feb. 8, 2008 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Salem, OR CR spring/summer allocation decision ODFW Headquarters CR permanent regulations Feb. 15, ? CR Compact/Joint State Hearing Recreational and Commercial spring Commercial shad, Select Areas Water Resources Education Center Mar. 21, 2008 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Coos Bay Ocean and state waters salmon fishery options Apr. 18, 2008 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Salem, OR Ocean/state waters salmon regulations, CR fall regs ODFW Headquarters See Ocean Process for North of Falcon schedule
7 2008 Ocean Fishery Process Schedule (Preliminary Draft) Feb.?, 2008 CDFG Public Meeting Sacramento, CA 2008 forecasts 2008 salmon season discussions Mar. 4, 2008 WDFW Public Meeting Olympia, WA 2008 forecasts and fishing opportunities Mar.?, 2008 Ocean Salmon Industry Group Newport, OR 2008 forecasts Initial discussions of 2008 season options Mar , 2008 Pacific Fishery Management Council Adopt 2008 ocean salmon options for public Sacramento, CA Doubletree Hotel review Mar.?, 2008 Columbia River North of Falcon meeting TBD Vancouver area Mar. 18, 2008 North of Falcon I (Public Meetings) Olympia, WA Salmon season negotiations for Columbia River, Puget Sound, Willapa Bay, Grays Harbor, and ocean areas north of Cape Falcon, OR Mar. 21, 2008 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Coos Bay, OR Ocean and state waters salmon fishery options Mar. 31, 2008 PFMC Public Options Hearing Public input on 2008 season options Coos Bay, OR Red Lion Hotel Apr. 1, 2008 North of Falcon II (Public Meeting) Lynnwood, WA Continued negotiations Apr. 7-11, 2008 PFMC Adopt 2008 ocean salmon fishery regulations Seattle, WA Seattle Mariott Hotel Sea Tac Apr. 18, 2008 Oregon Fish and Wildlife Commission Adopt state water ocean salmon fishery regulations Adopt certain coastal and inland salmon fishery regulations Salem, OR ODFW Headquarters
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