Spring Carnival is here

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Collin Hunter
5 years ago
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1 Spring Carnival is here Well the Spring Carnival is here and in full swing. Last Saturday we saw the lot; top horse top jockeys, top trainers, interstate and international raiders plus an unbelievable round of football. Last Saturday we tipped in five Beasley s Best Bets races for one winner and one third place getter. Our Winners tipped in 4 races for one winner, one second and one third. That elusive longshot continues to elude us. However maybe it s not that surprising this weekend, given that there were only two horses in 33 races around the Eastern seaboard that won at odds of more than $20. In fact of the 33 races in the four main Eastern states, 22 winners came from horses priced at less than $5. In particular, Sydney and Adelaide punters being right on top with all 8 races in Sydney and 6 of the 8 in Adelaide going to horses priced at less than $5, i.e. favourites or near favourites. Some special mentions from Saturday are: J. Moreira, Singapore s Top Jockey who flew to Australia overnight to ride Trusting in Sydney race 4. Moreira caught the overnight red-eye after having ridden four winners in Singapore the day before. Not a bad effort! Sincero in Sydney race 5. Was beaten 10 times up the straight and kept coming back and finally won George Main Stakes. This unfashionable winner of the Doomben 10,000 is finally starting to get the recognition he deserves. After all, he is a winner of 11 of his 15 starts and is now the favourite for the Epsom and is strongly in the market of the Cox Plate. December Draw won Melbourne race 8 at $1.90 and now has a guaranteed start in the Caulfield Cup. We tipped this one in May at the beaut odds of $ Don t expect those odds again anytime soon. Trainers and Jockeys Trainers and Jockeys to watch out for over the Spring; those making comebacks or new strategic approaches, or may be have been on a holiday and are feeling refreshed: David Hayes has now completed his transition to Victoria and is starting to clean up with his younger horses, especially in Adelaide. Trained a double in Adelaide on Saturday. Anthony Freedman now has the reins to the Freedman brothers empire and whilst the stable has been in a bit of a lull for the past 3 or 4 years may well bring a fresh new feel. Trained his first city winner on Saturday 10 th September and followed up with another last weekend. Gai Waterhouse in Melbourne. Hasn t done much in Melbourne, but last year won the Caulfield Cup and has stated she wants to take on the Melbourne Spring carnival. John Thompson (Patinack stable) in anything. Damien Oliver has had a quiet couple of years by his standards but is starting to pick up some good rides again.

2 Michael Rodd s double at Caulfield on Saturday shows that the former wonder boy of Queensland racing is starting to make Victorian trainers sit up and take notice. He s also backed by the powerful Kavanagh stable from South Australia and it may well be a powerful combination in Melbourne this Spring. Hugh Bowman is now back in Sydney after a working holiday in the UK and looks in great shape with his double last Saturday. Chris Munce when he visits Sydney. Of course Nash Rawiller and Corey Brown, possibly the two best riders in Australia at the moment can t be ignored. Weekly Results Here are our Winners and Beasley s Best Bests results from Saturday and also the results since we changed to the plus concept. September 2011 Winners Winners & Beasley's Best Bets No. of Races No. of Winners Win Strike rate 27.3% 23.1% Profit on Turnover (Win Bets) -100% -39% -59.4% -10% Year to Date 2011 Winners Winners & Beasley's Best Bets No. of Races No. of Winners Win Strike rate 33% 17.5% Profit on Turnover (Win Bets) 40% -15% 3.3% -25%

3 Profit worm Racing Roundup Winners Melbourne s weather on Saturday had a significant influence on the results. Mostly when we talk about the weather having an influence, we talk about the rain (and sometimes the lack of it), but on Saturday it was the WIND. The wind factor is often overlooked but it can be quite significant. The factor that is most significant is that, like bike riders, the wind hits the leaders and those most-sheltered from the wind have a huge advantage - the stronger the wind, the bigger the advantage. And so it proved in Melbourne on Saturday when, in most races, the leaders collapsed and the swoopers won most of the races. Winners tipped in 4 races last Saturday for one winner, Top Drop in the last race in Sydney, and a second and third in Melbourne race 6. In Melbourne race 2, our tips were Beethog as our and Balavan and Acorns were our savers. Of these the best finish was Balavan who came from the tail of the field and finished fourth.

4 In Melbourne race 3 we tipped Apollo Creed as our longshot and saved with Mossero and Mr. Chez. These guys got lost in the race which was won by Costly Commitment which was protected from the wind, and took an inside split and won well. Melbourne race 6 had the lot, photos, protests upheld and a wall of horses finishing together. Over the line, Bliss Street came from nowhere to dead heat with Celebrity Girl. Also in the photo were our savers, Hallowell Belle and Mosheen. Our tip was Emerald Downs which was with the leaders and finished well back. Mosheen protested against Celebrity Girl as a result of interference just after they turned into the straight. Hallowell Belle was also unlucky as it was buried on the inside and fell back as the leaders tired. In the end, Hallowell Belle got out and just missed, the protest was upheld and Celebrity Girl was relegated to fourth. Our savers finished second and third. In Sydney race 8 we got our winner, Top Shot which really was a regulation ride for Nash Rawiller. Many punters believed the weight might be too much, and the horse travelled about mid field during the race. Nash pulled the horse out for its run half way up the straight and it won well. It was also well backed from its newspaper price of $7.50 to $4.40, Beasleys Best Bets Beasley s Best Bets tipped five selections for one winner and a third place getter. Our winner came from Streama in Syndey race 6. This was a gem of a ride by Hugh Bowman who went straight to the lead when they jumped, and won as he liked. There was still plenty of petrol left in the tank at the end so it could easily another one or two this preparation. In Melbourne race 4, Zaira sat behind the leaders and had the run of the race, but it didn t finish on when the back markers came. It finished an ok fourth. Lights of Heaven was our Beasleys Best Bet in Melbourne race 7, but its lights were dim for most of the race. The mail on this one was pretty good, so its performance was a bit of a surprise. Maybe give it one more chance. In Sydney race 1, Nobby Snip was a huge street corner tip, but it clearly outpaced by a sensational Karuta Queen who had been performing well in the blue ribbon races. Back to own class she proved way too hard to beat. Give Nobby one more chance to prove himself maybe over a bit more distance. Tullamore in Sydney race 4 gave them a big start and couldn t catch them. Trusting in this race was way too strong. No wonder they sent for J. Moreira to ride him. He seems to have found the secret to Trusting.

5 Football Finals By the end of the second week on AFL and NRL finals, there are only four teams left in each of the competitions, but there is something VERY unusual this year (2011). In BOTH competitions the survivors to this stage are the teams that finished in the top four in each of the competitions AND the first teams into the preliminaries were the TOP 2 in each of their comps. This continues the winning runs of favourites in the AFL and now the NRL. Our tips for the Grand Final participants should therefore come as no surprise and are Collingwood and Geelong in the AFL and Melbourne and Manly in the NRL. After that it s a toss of the coin. However if we are right with these prognostications, then our football codes may well be in danger of becoming predictable, If that is the case, then our premier football sports are in danger of going the same way as the US; overpaid players, dwindling crowds AND ratings and lower clubs unable to sustain themselves. In fact, if it wasn t for the TV rights, half of the AFL and NRL clubs couldn t sustain themselves, NOW. In the US, mergers and club ownership changes are common place and happen virtually every year with new billionaires taking over the costs of struggling clubs. Makes you wonder what happens when we run out of TV rights and billionaires, doesn t it? Feedback Please keep sending us your feedback because this is the way we improve and make the product even better for you. Hoping you all had a successful weekend, the team at Winners.

NEWSLETTER - JANUARY 2018

NEWSLETTER - JANUARY 2018 Mark s Message Thank-you for taking the time to read the latest edition of the Minervini Racing newsletter. We ve had an eventful few months and have finally found the time to