Mike Smith was busy last weekend winning a stakes race on Midnight Bisou at Sam Houston (Sunday).

Transcription

1 californiawinning.com SANTA ANITA RACE COURSE (The Great Race Place) Thursday, January 31, 2019 Message Board to My Subscribers Mike Smith was busy last weekend winning a stakes race on Midnight Bisou at Sam Houston (Sunday). $2,000,000 Guaranty on the Rainbow 6/ Guaranteed Payout Saturday Apparently Santa Anita is guaranteeing a $2 million payoff on the Rainbow 6 from today through February 2. I am also told by one of my savvy subscribers that there is a mandatory payout on the Pick 6 this Saturday. We Have Many of the Top All-Time Jockeys Right Here in this Racing Circuit We really do have the best weather, best trainers, and best jockeys in the world here. I just noticed a neat compilation, courtesy Equibase, of the top all-time earning jockeys. We have seven of the top twenty all-time associated with our track, or formerly associated in the case of Gary Stevens, now retired. Here are our seven with respective ranking, plus the top three including Mike Smith: John R. Velazquez #1 Mike E. Smith #2 Javier Castellano #3 (all- time leader in earnings per start )

2 Kent J. Desormeaux #6 Gary L. Stevens (Retired) #9 Corey S. Nakatani #12 (out on injured reserve) Victor Espinoza #16 (out on reserve) Rafael Bejarano #17 Joel Rosario #20 No other track in the world comes close: no other track can claim four of the top twenty all-time earning jockeys racing on race day. And how about when Victor Espinoza and Corey Nakatani return what then? Post Time today is 12:30 PT, 3:30 PM ET PEGASUS SELECTIONS/results For the benefit of those of you who did not choose to obtain my prognostications on the two races- toot toot- For the turf race, the winner was Bricks and Morter, my second pick. My LL- Delta Prince- came in 3 rd. Four of my top six came in in the top 4, so some subscribers were able to put together the Super High Five with my picks as the foundation. For the $9 million dirt race, my top pick, City of Light, won. My second pick, Accelerate, came in 3 rd. The place horse was my 5 th pick, so again some subscribers put together the trifecta, which paid about $200 for $2, because of Delta Prince. Mini Happy New Year Handicapping Tips *** wring everything you can out of your DRF, Racing Digest, Race Lens etc., look at everything, every nuance, there could be a clue lurking there don t be formulistic and rely on multiple angles, not just one

3 *** don t be overly concerned about slow workout times, as some trainers don t push it until race time do pay attention to very recent very fast workouts, they provide a great insight as to the race day condition of the horse Horsecallany It is said by the horse whisperers that horses probably do not recognize their name, as dogs do. However, they can routinely be trained to come when called, and that is likely a product of the fact they do recognize familiar faces and voices. Recent studies also show that horses recognize human emotions by the person s countenance. Thursday, January 31, 2019 Santa Anita Race Course FOR AMUSEMENT---AND NOT BEMUSEMENT---ONLY!!! (Of course, these are recommendations only, and there are no guarantees in this sport, but that is what generates its mystique. And so, please follow your own heart and mind, considering me as a mere advisor, when making your selections. In any event, I do wish you all the best in your quest to predict the future, because it ain t easy. And remember, horses, just like us, have aches and pains, headaches, suffer fatigue, etc. Try not to get mad at me, I usually have excellent days, occasionally, not-so-excellent days: with all of the informative past performance data we handicappers have in front of us, we have no idea how a particular horse feels at race time. (By way of example, maybe that 50/1 colt is in a big hurry because he has a hot filly waiting for him back at the barn so please stick with me if there are a few speed-bumps along the way.) This analysis is prepared under the reasonable assumption that (i) all turf races will be run on a firm turf track, and (ii) all dirt races will be run on a track graded fast. Should different conditions exist at post time for a given race, please temper these selections with your own best judgment in light of less-than-ideal conditions. Please see my Handicapping Tips No. 6, What If It Rains on Race Day?, in this regard

4 Note: Please keep in mind that I call them as I see them and do not set the odds, nor do I even look at the M/L before I conduct my comprehensive analysis of each race I just select the horses who I believe are the most likely to come in first, second and third, respectively however, as we all know, a horse is a horse, of course, of course on any given day. Additional Note: There is no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise with respect to these graded selections, they are for amusement only. There is likewise no warranty, express, implied, legal, moral, or otherwise, for any failure on my part to transmit any daily analysis to you: your sole remedy in the unlikely event that happens is that you will receive a credit for one day s analysis and you will receive the next racing day s analysis free of charge. All purchases are final, and thank you. Incidentally, did you know: the average career of an NFL running back is a mere 2.57 years, and the average number of total career races for a thoroughbred is a mere eighteen races? Did you know: while thoroughbred horses tend to max out at about 40 m.p.h., quarter horses in very short races have been clocked at 55 m.p.h For only $2 for a daily card, or $20 for a thirty calendar-day subscription, you can have my full card delivered to your electronic mail inbox for each racing day for a calendar month. Even if you prefer your selections to mine, look at it this way: I provide a rather elegant summary, in one sentence, of all of the relevant information from the past performances of three contestants, the three horses whom most would agree are the contenders just look after Today s Free Selections below to see how to order, and thank you THE FOLLOWING ARE TODAY S FREE SELECTIONS : Races 7 and 8 (see below) Note- for newcomers: here is the definition of a Likeable Longshot : it is a horse whom we do not expect to win or place in the contest, however, his/her payoff will be huge (usually, 10/1 or better) and there is some other mitigating factor that suggests that a nominal bet could payoff really nicely. Other mitigating factors which suggest you make a nominal (by your definition) win/place bet on this longshot might include one of more of the following: the horse has a high percentage of winning at race distance, he or she carries a great jockey, or carries a good jockey with a significant weight allowance, or, the horse comes out fourth in your ranking of the top three, and so on and so on. Sometimes it is almost visceral, preternatural even I am sure you get the

5 idea now don t bet the house but it makes an excellent beer money, as in Bud Light, bet! Note: Likeable Longshots are not available in this free version of californiawinning.com s analysis. To view Likeable Longshots please go to californiawinnig.com and click on Today s Full Racing Card and follow the process indicated. You will be glad you did, my subscribers are way ahead on the Likeable Longshots--- we just had a $75 winner recently, $75 for $2!!! ***** ATTENTION: NEW SUBSCRIBERS ARE ELIGIBLE TO GET SIX WEEKS OF COVERAGE FOR $20, INSTEAD OF THE USUAL FOUR, THAT S EONS CHEAPER THAN YOUR DRF OR RACING DIGEST OR LIKE PUBLICATION! SUBSCRIBE NOW AT TODAY S FULL RACE CARD ON THIS SITE RACE 7: Very well-rested Extra Hope moves down from the graded stakes realm, where he hit the board twice, in six races he won a route and hit the board in the other five, connections are top notch and he looms large. Gray Magician also moves down from a graded route at RD where he hit the board, and he posted a win at RD in his prior race, his rider/trainer duo is a raison d etre. Kingly is the prohibitive ML favorite, in large measure because he is trained by the white-haired legend and ridden by the top rider in his usual cadre, the well-rested colt won a sprint in his debut in early December. RACE 8: Mobou, an AE, is one of three entries to have as much as placed in a turf race, in a route, with this top-drawer jockey aboard, the colt has hit the board in all five lifetime races, including two grass routes, the rest is rather short but if anyone can compensate for that it is Smith. Brix placed here at RD last time out, he carries our winningest apprentice and the five-pound weight allowance is equivalent to a head start in the race. Play Money is a first-time starter with top tier connections, including the undersung Talamo, that six furlong workout at 1:12 1,

6 albiet on the main track, begs for attention. Preaching Trainer is my third choice if Mobou does not make the cut: this first-time starter shows a string of creditable works, not the least of which was five furlongs at a bullet 58 3 a few weeks ago, he too carries a talented apprentice with the appurtenant weight allowance. Likeable Longshots: (there are several today, but such are not available in this free version you can go to Today s Full Race Card on this site and purchase today s full analysis for a mere $5, less than you pay for your DRF or Racing Form, and they don t handicap for you OR you can subscribe for thirty (3) calendar days for a mere $20, at the same location on this website ***** californiawinning.com (all rights reserved) NOTE: IF THIS IS YOUR FIRST SUCH REQUEST, YOU CAN ME AT fryer08057@yahoo.com, WITH THE CODE MR ED AND I WILL SEND YOU TODAY S FULL ANALYSIS FREE OF CHARGE THANK YOU See instructions below on how to buy today s card, or to subscribe for a mere $20 for thirty days of race analysis ***** californiawinning.com All rights reserved You can buy today s full analysis for $5, or, Why not subscribe now, it s less than $1 per day far less than what you pay for The DRF or Racing Digest and more informative to boot, since they do not provide a graded handicap and far less than the touts charged for their card when this track opened on December 25, 1934 So, for Today s Full Race card for the mere sum of $5, or, better yet, to subscribe for 45 calendar days analysis for only $20 (FIRST- TIME SUBSCRIBERS), go to californiawinning.com, click on Today s Full Race Card and pay through your PayPal account (or use a credit card or debit

7 card), OR, if you have a PayPal account, for an easier one-click process go to PayPal.me/SailorBoston and make your payment Today s deadline for payments is 2:00 p.m. PDT, 5:00 p.m. EDT, and I will send you today s selections promptly after you make your payment. If you have made a payment after that time in error, I will issue a credit to you. Thank you. Comments, constructive criticism? For example, how soon before the first post time should I try to post my recommendations? Try: fryer08057@yahoo.com Also, check out my free Handicapping Tips at californiawinning.com. You will really like the one, Probabilities (Pick 6) It s a can t miss and the latest one, What If It Rains on Race Day?