TODAY S RACING DIGEST: Del Mar August 19, Today's Racing Digest FAQ

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1 Dear Digest Readers, TODAY S RACING DIGEST: Del Mar August 19, For those of you who might have missed it, we are producing Digests for every track in the country. You can buy the Data Lines for every race from Assiniboia Downs to Zia Park. And, we do complete Digests for the major meetings: Saratoga, Gulfstream Park, Belmont, Aqueduct, Keeneland and Churchill Downs. We ve added the Monmouth summer meeting, too. All of these editions are available for download and we continue to publish hard copy for Southern and Northern California. If you are in Las Vegas and aren t getting the Digest delivered to your race book, contact your race book manager and ask for them to begin carrying the Digest for you. issue. Our goal is to help you make informed betting decisions on a daily basis and strive to offer a handicapping lesson in every FAQ What is Today s Racing Digest? For over 40 years Today s Racing Digest has specialized in California racing, producing handicapping information in both a Southern and Northern California issue in print and on-line at Today s Racing Digest has, and always will be, dedicated to the survival of the horseplayer. What makes Today s Racing Digest different from other racing publications? The Digest offers many features that cannot be found in other horseracing publications. Features such as track bias, Pace Ratings, which measure early speed, and a paper race called the Fractional Charting which compares each horse in today s race based on a representative past performance. A page dedicated entirely to workout analysis has always been a popular feature, along with Hot & Cold trainer reports, a Claim Box report for owners and trainers, and our Better-Than-Looked List, which highlights horses exiting troubled or exceptional performances. What are Data Lines? A horse s Data Lines can be found under the name of each horse on the race page. Often called running lines and past performances, the Digest s Data Lines are unique in that the times for each race are adjusted to today s distance, taking into account track pars and the track variant (the speed of the track). This allows for an accurate and easier comparison when horses are coming together after racing at different distances and/or surfaces. Also listed in the Data Lines are the conditions of the horse s previous races, jockeys, track, track condition, finish position, track bias and morning line (ML) and actual odds (A). Does the Digest offer performance ratings or speed figures? Today s Racing Digest prides itself in offering numerous performance figures for the handicapper. Pace and Final Time Ratings can be found at the end of each Data Line and are the most popular. The Pace Rating measures early speed, while the Final Time Rating assigns a figure for the final time. The Digest also offers the CPR (Comprehensive Performance Rating) and FIRE Number, ratings which take into account each time recorded in the race and put it all together in one number. Noted handicapper/writer Tim Osterman also contributes the Fast Figs, which are a speed and class figure all in one. Where can I find a copy of Today s Racing Digest? Today s Racing Digest can be purchased at every major track in California, as well as major satellite facilities. The Digest is also sold at selected retail outlets throughout the state, and is usually available 24 hours before first post. For a location nearest you or for the number of your local distributor, please call (760) The Digest, along with a stable full of simulcast handicapping information, can also be purchased on-line at On our website you can purchase all issues of Today s Racing Digest for tracks across the country at a discount in price and selections from our stable of handicappers. There are also numerous free areas, such as the Daily Money Plays, Feature Races, and Week In Review, which provides commentary on all the previous week s races. Give it a look. We think you ll like what you see. THE DIGEST IS DEDICATED TO THE SURVIVAL OF HORSEPLAYERS Published by: LLC, 1945 Camino Vida Roble Suite H, Carlsbad, CA Phone (760) , Fax (760) info@todaysracingdigest.com Website: General Manager: Jason Karches Operations/Distribution Manager: John Scheidt Statistical Administrator: Amy Bryant This product was created with data that was supplied by and is proprietary to Equibase Company LLC. All rights reserved. Reuse of this data is expressly prohibited. Data provided or compiled by Equibase Company LLC generally are accurate but errors and omissions occur as a result of incorrect data received from others, mistakes in processing and other causes. Today s Racing Digest LLC and Equibase Company LLC disclaim responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors, but would appreciate having any such errors called to their attention. Copyright 2014, LLC

2 DEL MAR TODAY'S RACING DIGEST CONSENSUS Del Mar Aug. 19 th CPR Charting FIRE Race Analyst Consensus No Tricks For Jack Lexie Arleen Smooth Talker Cadet Roni Bella Sierra Analysis Paralysis Lime Rickey Wicked Finance Image Of Joplin Devil Rising Top Drawer Next Right Frandontjudge Stole A Kiss Q Viva Dixie Writer Unbridled Rocket True Ranger Distinctiv Passion City Of Vengeance Bobby Z Man Lucky Shoes To Win Ghost Of Navigator Santiago s Home No Tricks For Jack Smooth Talker Lexie Arleen Cadet Roni Bella Sierra Analysis Paralysis Image Of Joplin Lime Rickey Short Heat Wave Top Drawer Devil Rising Clever Move Frandontjudge Stole A Kiss Q Viva Dixie Writer Unbridled Rocket True Ranger Distinctiv Passion City Of Vengeance Heir Of Storm Lucky Shoes To Win Ghost Of Navigator Fortyate Hi Points No Tricks For Jack Lexie Arleen Warrensdollarsigns Too Many Unshowns Image Of Joplin Lime Rickey Short Heat Wave Next Right Top Drawer Devil Rising Frandontjudge Sidepocket Run Big Move Too Many Unshowns Distinctiv Passion Bobby Z Man Heir Of Storm Ghost Of Navigator Fortyate Hi Points Aaron Again No Tricks For Jack Sallyana Lexie Arleen Cadet Roni Bella Sierra Appealing Lady Image Of Joplin Lime Rickey Follow Me Crev Top Drawer Devil Rising Heavenly Haze Frandontjudge Big Move Sidepocket Run Unbridled Rocket Frac Candy Sugar Buzz Distinctiv Passion Inkling City Of Vengeance Santiago s Home Ghost of Navigator Lucky Shoes to Win No Tricks For Jack-20 Lexie Arleen-6 Smooth Talker-3 Cadet Roni-15 Bella Sierra-6 Analysis Paralysis-2 Image Of Joplin-16 Lime Rickey-11 Short Heat Wave-2 Top Drawer-14 Devil Rising-10 Next Right-6 FRANDONTJUDGE-20 Stole A Kiss-4 Big Move-3 Dixie Writer-10 Unbridled Rocket-9 Frac Candy-5 Distinctiv Passion-20 City Of Vengeance-5 Bobby Z Man-3 Lucky Shoes To Win Ghost Of Navigator Santiago s Home POINTS: First Choice - 5; Second Choice 2; Third Choice 1. ALPHABETICAL LIST OF HORSES IN TODAY'S RACES HORSE RACE # HORSE RACE # HORSE RACE # HORSE RACE # Aaron Again 8 Filly On Fire 5 Maxticator 8 Somethingaboutnick 4 All Star Parade 8 Flat Footed Mama 5 Star Express 6 Analysis Paralysis 2 Follow Me Crev 3 Next Right 4 Start a Runnin 6 Ankeny Hill 7 Forest Chatter 7 # No Tricks for Jack 1 Stole a Kiss 5 Apostle Paul 3 Fortyate Hi Points 8 Norastone 1 Sugar Buzz 6 Appealing Lady 2 Frac Candy 6 Awesome Lookn 5 Frandontjudge 5 Palamon 6 The Fox Said What 8 Pleasure Point 8 # Top Drawer 4 Bella Sierra 2 Ghost of Navigator 8 Prodigious 4 True Ranger 6 Benesh 6 Proud Manes 6 Bern 8 Heavenly Haze 4 Pyrotechnics 8 Unbridled Rocket 6 Big Move 5 Heir of Storm 7 Boat Trip 7 Holiday Starlet 2 Q' Viva 5 Vegas Bound 5 # Bobby Z Man 7 Holy Lute 7 Brownie Finale 6 Redo It 5 War Destiny 4 Iam Dani 8 Rocky Justice 6 Warrensdollarsigns 1 Cadet Roni 2 Image of Joplin 3 # Whiskey Wild 4 Carbon Beach 2 Inkling (AUS) 7 Sallyana 1 Wicked Finance 3 Chief Warrior 6 Interject 3 Santiago's Home 8 Wild 8 City of Vengeance 7 Seaward Cottage 2 Clever Move 4 # Lexie Arleen 1 Short Heat Wave 3 Lime Rickey 3 Shot in the Dark 6 Devil Rising 4 Lucky Shoes to Win 8 Sidepocket Run 5 Distinctiv Passion 7 Lynn's Chancie 2 Smil'n From Above 1 Dixie Writer 6 Smooth Talker 1 For Explanation of Layouts & Features - See Back Cover

3 DEL MAR FRACTIONAL TIME COMPARISONS Shown below is the order of finish that would be likely if each horse repeated a representative race. There are many reasons why this may not happen. Foremost of these is that, like humans, horses have good and bad days. Also, today's race may differ from the representative race due to changes in the post position, weight carried, class, track, surface, pace characteristics etc. Nevertheless, plotting and studying times from previous performances is a basic part of handicapping. If the representative race was not on a normal track, the times shown have been adjusted by the track variant applicable. The underlined fractions indicate the leader(s) at that particular point in the race. Except for the LF = Last Fraction, which indicates the fastest closer(s). X = No recent or available time at or about the distance. The date of the selected, representative race is shown followed by a number indicating how many races back it was. Wednesday, August 19, 2015 DEL MAR THIS IS NOT A SELECTION THIS IS NOT A SELECTION NAME - TRK,DATE NAME - TRK,DATE BY ORDER OF FINISH 1/4 1/2 3/4 FINISH LF & RCS BK BY ORDER OF FINISH 1/4 1/2 3/4 FINISH LF & RCS BK 1 st Post Time 2:05 PT :22.5 :45.4 1:10.7 1:18.0 (Avg This Level) 6 1/2F - CLM - PICK 5 BEGINS 1.No Tricks For Jack :10.8 1: SA-06/25/ Smooth Talker :12.3 1: DMR-07/23/ Lexie Arleen :11.4 1: OTP-06/20/ Sallyana :11.3 1: OTP-07/04/ Warrensdollarsigns :11.9 1: DMR-08/08/ Norastone :11.7 1: SA-06/26/ Smil'n From Above :13.6 1: DMR-08/09/ nd Post Time 2:35 :22.2 :45.4 :57.8 1:11.4 (Avg This Level) 6F - MCL 1.Cadet Roni : SA-06/20/ Bella Sierra : SA-05/23/ Analysis Paralysis :00.1 1: SA-10/30/ Appealing Lady : DMR-08/21/ Lynn's Chancie :00.5 1: DMR-07/24/ Carbon Beach :01.5 1: SA-06/27/ Holiday Starlet :01.5 1: DMR-07/16/ Seaward Cottage :00.8 1: DMR-07/16/ th Post Time 4:35 :22.2 :45.3 :57.8 1:04.6 (Avg This Level) 5 1/2F - MCL 1.Dixie Writer : DMR-07/30/ Unbridled Rocket : DMR-07/30/ True Ranger : MTH-07/12/ Frac Candy : SA-06/11/ Benesh : DMR-07/17/ Start A Runnin : DMR-07/30/ Star Express : SA-06/11/ Proud Manes : DMR-07/30/ Brownie Finale X X X X X XXX 10.Chief Warrior X X X X X XXX 11.Palamon X X X X X XXX 12.Rocky Justice X X X X X XXX 13.Shot In The Dark X X X X X XXX 14.Sugar Buzz X X X X X XXX 3 rd Post Time 3:05 :24.5 :48.1 1:12.8 2:13.3 (Avg This Level) 1 3/8M() - AOC - PICK 6 BEGINS 1.Image Of Joplin :13.3 2: DMR-08/09/ Lime Rickey :14.6 2: DMR-07/24/ Short Heat Wave :15.0 2: DMR-08/01/ Wicked Finance :15.5 2: DMR-07/24/ Follow Me Crev :13.3 2: DMR-08/02/ Apostle Paul :16.1 2: SA-06/19/ Interject :15.1 2: DMR-08/05/ th Post Time 3:35 :21.9 :45.0 :57.2 1:03.5 (Avg This Level) 5 1/2F - CLM 1.Top Drawer : SA-05/30/ Devil Rising : GP-06/14/ Clever Move : LRC-12/21/ Next Right : SA-04/19/ Heavenly Haze : LRC-07/03/ War Destiny : DMR-07/19/ Whiskey Wild : SA-03/01/ Prodigious : SA-05/09/ Somethingaboutnick : SA-05/21/ th Post Time 4:05 :23.9 :47.8 1:11.9 1:42.3 (Avg This Level) 1 1/16M() - ALW - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS 1.Frandontjudge :13.1 1: DMR-08/02/ Stole A Kiss :12.7 1: SA-05/21/ Q' Viva :12.4 1: DMR-07/26/ Flat Footed Mama :12.4 1: SA-05/21/ Awesome Lookn :12.0 1: SA-06/19/ Redo It :13.0 1: DMR-07/23/ Vegas Bound :12.4 1: LRC-07/12/ Sidepocket Run :14.9 1: SA-03/06/ Big Move X X X X X XXX 10.Filly On Fire X X X X X XXX 7 th Post Time 5:05 :21.7 :44.1 : :55.3 (Avg This Level) 5F() - OST 1.Distinctiv Passion SA-05/25/15-2<< 2.City Of Vengeance GP-03/11/15-3<< 3.Heir Of Storm DMR-07/22/15-1<< 4.Forest Chatter DMR-07/22/15-1<< 5.Bobby Z Man DMR-08/05/15-1<< 6.Boat Trip DMR-07/22/15-1<< 7.Ankeny Hill SA-01/25/15-4<< 8.Holy Lute DMR-07/22/15-1<< 9.Inkling (Aus) X X X X X XXX 8 th Post Time 5:35 :23.5 :47.2 1:12.1 1:45.6 (Avg This Level) 1 1/16M - MCL 1.Lucky Shoes To Win :12.3 1: SA-06/05/ Ghost Of Navigator :13.7 1: DMR-08/06/ Fortyate Hi Points :13.3 1: LRC-07/10/ Santiago's Home :13.4 1: DMR-08/06/ Aaron Again :12.4 1: LRC-07/03/ Wild :13.8 1: LRC-07/10/ Pleasure Point :14.1 1: SA-12/28/ All Star Parade :13.5 1: SA-05/25/ Pyrotechnics :12.8 1: LRC-07/10/ Maxticator :15.7 1: DMR-08/02/ Bern X X X X X XXX 12.Iam Dani X X X X X XXX 13.The Fox Said What X X X X X XXX MAJOR TRACK FRAC PACK AVAILABLE ON-LINE A Fractional Charting package is available on our website each racing day when at least four of the tracks we cover are racing (the package will usually contain So Cal, No Cal, Kentucky and New York). In the package, you get a Fractional Chart Page for each of the four tracks and occasionally a bonus track when available. Individually, each page costs $4, but with the Major Track Frac Pack, you get four tracks for $8, a savings of $8. Available now at

4 DEL MAR DEL MAR - Digest Quick Picks Aug 19 Selections and Betting Strategies at a Glance $0.50 Pick 5 Ticket = $36.00 (Use BOLDED horses in Races 1-5) 1st Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice No Tricks For Jack Smooth Talker is probably the one to Main Threats Lexie Arleen, Smooth Talker, Warrensdollarsigns beat, but the race seems worth gambling Longshot Sallyana in. We ll play Tricks at 3/1+ 2nd Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Cadet Roni, Bella Sierra The top two are both interesting. Cadet Main Threats Appealing Lady, Analysis Paralysis, Roni looks the most-likely winner & Bella Longshot Sierra the value play. 3 rd Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Image Of Joplin Image Of Joplin should clear early and Main Threats Lime Rickey, Follow Me Crev control the pace. We ll key him in the Longshot Interject Exacta. 4 th Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Top Drawer Top Drawer & Devil Rising should sit Main Threats Devil Rising, Heavenly Haze, Next Right perfect trips behind all the speed. Play Longshot Clever Move Top Drawer at 2/1+ or Devil at 7/2+ 5 th Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Frandontjudge Judge rates first look if she draws in. Main Threats Big Move, Sidepocket Run, Awesome Lookn, Q Viva Move is the one to catch and Run the Longshot Redo It one to fear most if she doesn t go. 6 th Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Unbridled Rocket We list six, but only Rocket and Candy Main Threats Frac Candy, Sugar Buzz, Rocky Justice have run. They rate the edge. Longshot Papamon, Shot in the Dark 7 th Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Distinctiv Passion Passion tends to win these non-graded Main Threats Inkling, Forest Chatter, Ankeny Hill, City of Vengeance events. Catch him to win. Longshot Holy Luke 8 th Race Horses Betting Strategy Top Choice Santiago s Home Key the speedy Home in Quinellas and Main Threats Ghost of Navigator, Pleasure Point, Lucky Shoes to Win win bet at 7/2 Longshot Horses to Bet Against $1 Pick Four Ticket ($24) Leg 1 Frandontjudge, Big Move, Sidepocket Run Leg 2 Unbridled Rocket, Frac Candy Leg 3 Distinctiv Passion Leg 4 Santiago s Home, Ghost of Navigator, Pleasure Point, Lucky Shoes to Win Horses to Bet Against are entrants that, for various handicapping reasons, have been determined to be vulnerable at short odds. Betting Strategies are provided for races that have been deemed exceptional wagering opportunities by the handicapper. Therefore, not all races will include a Betting Strategy.

5 DEL MAR WORKOUT ANALYSIS FOR HORSES RACING Wednesday, August 19 th NAME/ WORK TRK NAME/ WORK TRK COMMENT DATE COND DIST WORK COMMENT DATE COND DIST WORK 1 st RACE Smooth Talker 08/09 DMR/FT 5F 101.0h Decent mid range move that was accomplished easily void of any urging. Norastone 08/08 DMR/FT 5F 100.2h Good solo move while showing good energy for drill's duration. No Tricks for Jack 08/15 DMR/FT 3F 37.2h Easy lung expansion drill that went as planned on a full tank. 2 nd RACE Seaward Cottage 08/14 DMR/FT 4F 47.6h Best of a team over Master of the Blues in quick ½ mile session. Holiday Starlet 08/09 DMR/FT 5F 103.6h Dull mid range drill was very average & surely needs to show more to expect any improvement. Cadet Roni 08/12 DMR/FT 4F 48.2h Easy solo move while retaining full energy reserves & turn back in distance & return to main track will lead to improved effort. Appealing Lady 07/29 DMR/FT 5F 100.8hG Excellent gate drill while best of threesome. Been away ten months & appears to be ready to fire after the long vacation. Analysis Paralysis 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 101.4h Proved best over Side Pocket Run in mid range drill while winning out by a the wire. 3 rd RACE Wicked Finance 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 102.6h Maintenance mode move from the outset while never being asked for any serious run. Lime Rickey 08/15 DMR/FT 4F 48.8h ½ mile session in the dark while finishing up better than started. Veteran barn starting to heat up a bit along w/ the local weather. Interject 08/11 DMR/FT 3F 37.4h Solo drill of the maintenance variety easily accomplished. Apostle Paul 08/16 DMR/FT 3F 36.6hG Just a break from the gate & pulling up quickly in solo session. Easily accomplished. 4 th RACE War Destiny 08/10 DMR/FT 5F 100.0h Very strong mid range solo drill while finding best stride in the lane finishing up in 23 4/5. Top Drawer 08/10 DMR/FT 4F 49.8h Was 2nd best to Magical Touch in easy ½ mile session. Somethingaboutnick 07/30 DMR/FT 4F 47.8h Preparation for comeback has been solid & Maldonado has been aboard several times in the morning drills. Heavenly Haze 08/13 DMR/FT 4F 49.2h Easy maintenance mode move while under a snug hold finishing up all square w/ Quietasacat. Devil Rising 08/12 DMR/FT 4F 48.6h Simplistic ½ mile gig easily accomplished void of any urging. 5 th RACE Sidepocket Run 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 101.4h Was beaten a length but stablemate, Analysis Paralysis in maintenance 5 panel maneuver. 06/13 SA /FT 6F 113.2h Solid elongated drill from the beginning. Brings a lot of speed to this heat & not sure she want's to go this far but if she gets an easy lead she may grow a big heart. Q' Viva 08/11 DMR/FT 5F 101.2h Worked as a single & while leaving a mostly positive the conclusion of the drill. Flat Footed Mama 08/13 DMR/FT 6F 116.0h Very dull solo elongated drill while never really showing any kind of run which is rare for connections. 06/11 SA /FT 4F 49.8h Love these Temple City offspring. She's bred to run all day & we expect a much improved effort w/ the longer distance today. Filly On Fire 08/09 DMR/FM 5F 104.2h Easy gallop over the grass course while showing a decent turn of foot late to finish w/ some energy. Exotics players looking for a price should include this gal in your plans. Big Move 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 100.2h Very strong drill in company w/ Tossmeacutie to finish all the wire. Should relish 2 turns. 6 th RACE Sugar Buzz 08/13 DMR/FT 4F 48.2hG Was best over Royal Rebel in ½ mile gate drill without being asked. Shot in the Dark 08/01 DMR/FT 5F 104.4hG Got destroyed out of the gate w/ some company while not appearing to be much. Rocky Justice 08/05 DMR/FT 5F 101.4hG Was clearly 2nd best to company out of the gate, Sea the Preacher finishing behind by almost double digits. Palamon 08/02 DMR/FT 5F 103.6hG Doesn't appear ready for debut & in this gate work was clearly 2nd best to Among the Angels. Brownie Finale 08/15 DMR/FT 4F 49.0hG Worked in company w/ another gray out of the gate, There for You. Finished all conclusion of the work session. Benesh 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 101.6h Average solo maneuver while appearing capable of more if called upon. 7 th RACE Holy Lute 08/15 DMR/FT 3F 38.4b Was under a strong hold for throughout for easy lung expansion drill from the 3/8 s pole. Heir of Storm 08/13 DMR/FM 4F 48.4h Owns a win over the this distance so this maintenance ½ mile maneuver is redundant to say he appears very comfortable over the local lawn. Forest Chatter 08/11 DMR/FT 4F 50.0h Solo move that was best but in his defense he wasn't asked for much. Boat Trip 08/13 DMR/FT 4F 48.8h Best of team in easy ½ mile drill in company w/ stablemate, Two Ten. Ankeny Hill 08/14 DMR/FT 3F 35.0hG Looked good in short gate drill w/ Talamo aboard while under a good hold & best over O'Neill trained, Excessive Journey. 8 th RACE Wild 08/12 DMR/FT 4F 49.2h Was drifting out late in the solo session but T. Baze stays aboard & figures for a piece of the minor awards. The Fox Said What 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 102.8hG Was trounced by a Headley trainee on the comeback trail, Circle the Moon out of the gate in mid range maneuver. Pyrotechnics 08/11 DMR/FT 4F 49.4h Proved best in team drill w/ recent winner China Girl Lover who received a major trainer upgrade from Carl O'Callaghan to Dan Hendricks. Exotics players may want to include this guy in your plans. Pleasure Point 08/12 DMR/FT 5F 102.2h Solo move that was best. Nothing positive to recommend. Maxticator 08/13 DMR/FT 5F 100.6h This drill was a decent time but looked horrible in the process. 3 straight double digits defeats say...no. Lucky Shoes to Win 08/12 DMR/FT 6F 113.6h Solid elongated move while finishing all square to Rockin Bayou after departing the 6 on equal terms. Improved effort could be in the a decent price. Aaron Again 08/14 DMR/FT 4F 48.6h Finished up heads up w/ grass performer Unusual Style while leaving a positive impression for this lowly bottom level clm event.

6 DEL MAR TIM OSTERMAN'S FAST FIGS has been producing performance figures for over 25 years and have most recently introduced our newest figure, the FIRE Number. However, there are other sources for such numbers and we are proud to now offer Tim Osterman's FAST FIGS. Osterman, a fixture in the California Handicapping scene for the last 20 years will provide a 'FAST FIG' for each horse. This rating is a combined class/performance figure based on the horse's overall effort and the strength and level of the fields faced. Horse's scoring within FIVE points of the top figures should be considered contenders in today's race. if a horse's rating is following by a (+) it means a horse may be ready to improve on today's figure. Generally, a plus (+) is potentially worth an additional FIVE points. Runners rated 'X' are either first-time starters, shippers from a new circuit, comebackers off more than four months or horses that simply could not be assigned a reliable rating. Aug DEL MAR NAME - Osterman's NAME - Osterman's BY POST POSITION 'FAST FIG' BY POST POSITION 'FAST FIG' 1st RACE -- Class Par (112) 1.Smil'n From Above Smooth Talker Sallyana No Tricks for Jack Warrensdollarsigns Lexie Arleen Norastone nd RACE -- Class Par (112) 1.Bella Sierra Appealing Lady Seaward Cottage Holiday Starlet Lynn's Chancie Cadet Roni Carbon Beach Analysis Paralysis rd RACE -- Class Par (126) 1.Interject Wicked Finance Apostle Paul Image of Joplin Follow Me Crev Lime Rickey Short Heat Wave th RACE -- Class Par (112) 1.Devil Rising War Destiny Top Drawer Somethingaboutnick...X 5.Heavenly Haze Next Right Prodigious Clever Move Whiskey Wild th RACE -- Class Par (118) 1.Awesome Lookn Vegas Bound Big Move Filly On Fire Stole a Kiss Sidepocket Run Flat Footed Mama Q' Viva Redo It Frandontjudge th RACE -- Class Par (110) 1.Benesh Sugar Buzz... X 3.Rocky Justice... X 4.Chief Warrior... X 5.Palamon... X 6.Frac Candy Brownie Finale... X 8.Shot in the Dark... X 9.Unbridled Rocket Star Express Start a Runnin Dixie Writer Proud Manes True Ranger... X 7th RACE -- Class Par (134) 1.Holy Lute Forest Chatter Ankeny Hill Inkling (AUS)... X 5.Boat Trip Distinctiv Passion Heir of Storm City of Vengeance... X 9.Bobby Z Man th RACE -- Class Par (108) 1.Fortyate Hi Points Ghost of Navigator Bern Pleasure Point Aaron Again Santiago's Home Maxticator Wild All Star Parade The Fox Said What Pyrotechnics Lucky Shoes to Win Iam Dani... 82

7 DEL MAR STEVE FIERRO S RACEDAY USA BETTING LINE Today s Racing Digest now features a betting line. A betting line is the second quarter of a complete handicapping/investing process. The betting line is applied following contender selection. This is outlined in Steve's book "The Four Quarters of Horse Investing". PLEASE READ THE ITEMS LISTED BELOW The betting line is simple and easy to use. It is designed to point out the value opportunities in a race. Here are the recommendations or "best way" to use the betting line: 1. The top contender is offered at odds higher than listed on the betting line (overlayed). This is the strongest feature of the betting line. 2. If two contenders are overlayed, start at the top. The contender listed closest to the top is the play. If the two are above 8/1, play them both. 3. If three contenders are overlayed the race is a pass. The race is chaos and long term this is a losing situation. 4. Legitimate favorites: If the betting line lists the top contender at 3/2 or less and the betting public sends this contender to post at 3/2 or less, this race must also be passed. This is a strong contender. The other contenders become "false overlays" because of the heavy action on the "legitimate" favorite. They do win, but long term they pay far too little to produce a profit. Exotics: The betting line is a "win oriented" service. It is an excellent tool in constructing doubles, Pick 3's, and 4's, from a value standpoint. DEL MAR - August 19 th, st race Lexie Arleen 2/1 Smooth Talker 5/2 Warrensdollarsigns 7/2 Lexie Arleen was claimed from her last start. The new connections have an excellent opportunity to head right to the profit plus category with the win. 2 nd race Analysis Paralysis 2/1 Bella Sierra 5/2 Cadet Roni 9/2 Analysis Paralysis is an early projection play on the card. I look for her to improve with the move to this high-end maiden claimer. 3 rd race Follow Me Crev 2/1 Wicked Finance 3/1 Image of Joplin 7/2 This turf Marathon is interesting. You have to go back to April to find a win from the seven entrants. Let s see if Follow Me Crev can get to the wire first. 4 th race War Destiny 2/1 Heavenly Haze 3/1 Prodigious 7/2 Sadler went to the maiden claiming basement with War Destiny last time out. The just hung on for the win. This is a logical spot for the first start versus winners. 5/2 and up will do. 5 th race Big Move 9/5 Q Viva 3/1 Redo It 4/1 Big Move is stretching out on the turf off a short layoff. I don t think she needs the lead to hit the wire first. Fair odds may be a real challenge. 6 th race Sugar Buzz 5/2 Unbridled Rocket 5/2 Frac Candy 3/1 Three runners are close together on the betting line in this one. I am partial to the debuting Sugar Buzz from the Dollase barn. 3/1 and up will do. 7 th race Forest Chatter 2/1 Distinctiv Passion 5/2 Heir of Storm 4/1 There is plenty of early speed signed up for this featured race. If Forest Chatter runs his race he should run them all down before the wire. 8 th race Aaron Again 2/1 Santiago s Home 3/1 Wild 7/2 Let s close out the card with Aaron Again. He was 7/1 in his last race. I am thinking a price in the 3/1 range will be offered today. Steve Fierro has been involved in horseracing since n 1998 he started the RACEDAYUSA betting line service. Steve is the host of ESPNS EVERYBODY S RACING. This is a Reno based radio show all about the Sport Of Kings. He also promotes racing for the Northern Nevada horseplayer with educational seminars and programs. In 2002 his book "The Four Quarters of Horse Investing" was released. On the internet Steve can be heard every Saturday as one of the featured handicappers on Thoroughbred Digest.

8 FIRST RACE - DEL MAR 4 Distance: 6 1/2 Furlongs Race Level: Base 115 Race Cond: CLM 10 Conditions: CLAIMING FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND Purse: $22,000 UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of AFTL: :22.5, :45.4 and 1:18.0 Two Races Since May 19 Allowed 3 lbs. A Race Since Then Allowed 5 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000, if for $9,000, allowed 2 lbs. (Maiden Favorites: 26.2% Win; 54.1% in-the-money races and Claiming races for $8,500 or less not considered). Track Profile: 18 races F=50% P=16.7% M=5.6% R=27.8% HORSE JOCKEY FIRE WT & AGE HANDICAPPING OFF BEST PREV PAST AVG LAST (Post Position Order) NUM CHNG SEX RRL RCL + CPR =TOT PER FACTORS EQUIP TROUBLE TRK SUR DIS CLAS RCL CPR Smil'n From Above M.Perez m P 10c,17,21 B,FW X 81 Smooth Talker Van Dyke m M 10c,19,21c B X 104 Sallyana Pereira m F 10d,19,20,21 X X 89 No Tricks For Jack F.Perez m M 10d,15a,17,19,21 FW X 57 Warrensdollarsigns Maldonado f M 10c,17,19,21c FW X 88 Lexie Arleen Baze f P 10c,17,19,21 B,FW X 89 Norastone Pedroza f P 10c,21c X X 88 FRACTIONAL CHART ORDER OF FINISH AND AVERAGE TIMES (This is not a Selection) 1: No Tricks For Jack ET: :22.3, :45.7 and 1:17.8 2: Smooth Talker and Lexie Arleen (tie) AT: :22.1, :44.7 and 1:15.8 (Average Times for mid-level races) 3: Sallyana and Warrensdollarsigns (tie) AFTL: :22.5, :45.4 and 1:18.0 (Average Times for this level) ANALYSIS: The Wednesday opener could be a competitive affair. Smooth Talker beat a couple of these when easily winning an $8,000 claimer July 23. She figures to attract plenty of attention off that win over the track, and she would hardly be a surprise, but her form prior to that win wasn t great, so she s probably beatable if her odds are too low to play. Lexie Arleen finished 2nd behind Smooth Talker in that $8,000 claimer July 23. She d won two straight in No Cal against this kind prior to that, and her new trainer has a good record first off the claim. She may have a chance to turn the tables. No Tricks For Jack was claimed by Diodoro off a poor outing with $16,000 claimers July 16. That effort has to concern, but she d probably win if she could duplicate her winning effort against $12,500 Starter Handicap foes June 25. She s bounce back from poor efforts recently before, and her good race/bad race pattern has her sitting on another good race if the pattern holds. Sallyana ships down from No Cal where she beat (via the Dq) $8,000 claimers July 4 and was 4 th with RACE APPRAISAL HORSE COMMENTS Smil'n From Above finished in the money in four straight at and around this level, but hasn t run well in two starts with $8,000 claimers here at Del Mar since. She s 1-for-32 in dirt sprints and doesn t appear to like this track. Smooth Talker easily beat $8,000 claimers, including a few of these, July 23. She was dropping from the restricted $16,000 ranks and it looks like she should fit Ok at this level. That last win charts well, too, so we ll count her a threat. Sallyana was claimed by Thomas off a 2nd with $8,000 claimers at Pleasanton July 4, and then ran decently when stepped up to face $20,000 claimers routing at Sacramento July 24. She struggled the last two times she raced in So Cal, but that was with tougher. She looks like a threat at this level, and her odds should be decent given her low profile connections. No Tricks for Jack beat tougher $12,500 Starter Handicap types June 25, but then finished up the track with $16,000 claimers when claimed by Smil'n From Above ( M.Polanco/M.Perez = ) 7M - Unbridled Energy(10%T,10%S,12%M) - With a Song by With Approval LAST 15: (0.0%) DIRT SPR: (0.0%) UP: (0.0%) $20,000 routers July 24. She has speed, and the winner of that $20,000 claimer at Sacramento came back to win her next start as well. She could be sneaky dangerous, although she did run 3 rd to Lexie Arleen at this level three back. Finally, Warrensdollarsigns just missed with $16,000 non-winners of two, but was awarded the win by the stewards Aug 8. Knapp got his second win of the meet in a cheap claiming race on Sunday, so this gal isn t without a look at this level. In the end, Smooth Talker might be the obvious play, but we re going to look for some value. We ll make No Tricks For Jack the HF 15a and hope that last race was just a hiccup. Our longshot is Sallyana, although it wouldn t be too surprising to see the betting spread pretty evenly in this heat. CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance have been: Smooth Talker : Warrensdollarsigns : Lexie Arleen :31.7 Diodoro (from Miller) July 16. That last effort concerns, but she has been a good race/bad race pattern, so she could be sitting on a good one if that pattern continues. Warrensdollarsigns finished 2nd and was moved up to 1st via the Dq when facing $16,000 non-winners of two Aug 8. She s in decent form and might fit Ok with this kind. Her low-profile barn won the last race on Sunday, also a cheap claiming race. Lexie Arleen beat this kind in two straight in No Cal before running 2nd behind Smooth Talker when claimed by Freeman (from Miranda) for $8,000 July 23. She s sharp, and her new barn has a solid record first off the claim, so she appears to merit contender status. Norastone crushed restricted $8,000 claimers June 26 before running 3rd with open $8,000 claimers in that race won by Smooth Talker July 23. She was 2nd with this kind four starts back, but we may have to limit her to minor award consideration as her barn has had trouble winning at the meet. NOTES: 4wd into str,no bid 8/9/15 btwn into lane,wkened 7/23/15 pulled,3wd into lane 7/11/15 3wd into str,late 2nd 6/26/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: DMR Aug 3 :37.8h ft (6/9) LAST 10 FIRE: 51, 57, 76, 63, 65, 73, 68, 66, 61, 44 DIST/ POS/FLD TRNR TK TRK RACE RACE FIN POS/ MORN ACTL TRK Pos1 Pos2 Pos3 Pos4 Today's LST PAC FNL LxClm TRK DATE&RACE SURF WINNERS WGT JCKY CD BIAS TYPE CONDITIONS RCL CPR BTN LNGH LINE ODDS VAR 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH FINAL FRT RAT RAT EQUIP DMR 8/9/15-9 6F 1/ M.Plo/E.Fos FT F1 CLM 8-7 R110-0 C ML20 A :13.6 1: LbF DMR 7/23/ /2 1/ M.Plo/J.Vra FT O2 CLM 8-7 R110-0 C ML12 A :13.2 1: LbF LRC 7/11/ /2 4/ M.Plo/J.Vra FT NONE CLM 16 NW2-L-X R120-0 C ML4 A :11.9 1: LbF SA 6/26/ /2 6/ M.Plo/E.Fos FT NONE CLM 8 NW1-6M R105-0 C ML7/2 A :12.4 1: LbF SA 5/29/ /2 6/ M.Plo/E.Fos FT NONE CLM 10-9 R115-0 C ML8 A :12.9 1: LbF SA 5/14/15-7 6F 2/ M.Plo/E.Fos WF NONE CLM 8 R110-0 C ML15 A :11.8 1: LbF

9 FIRST RACE - DEL MAR Smooth Talker ( D.O'Neill/D.Van Dyke = ) 5M - Flatter(8%T,12%S,19%M) - Maid for Speed by Phone Trick LAST 15: (6.7%) DIRT SPR: (20.9%) UP: (13.7%) LAST 10 FIRE: 72, 71, 63, 69, 71, 78, 64, 59, 63, 62 NOTES: 4wd into str,rallied 7/23/15 off bit slow,inside 7/11/15 5wd into str,no rally 5/17/15 angled in str,no bid 4/25/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: DMR Aug 14 :59.6h ft (7/44) DMR Aug 9 1:01.0h ft (5/67) DMR 7/23/ /2 2/ D.ONl/D.Vne FT O2 CLM 8-7 R110-0 C ML6 A :12.3 1: Lb LRC 7/11/ /2 2/ D.ONl/J.Tlo FT NONE CLM 16 NW2-L-X R120-0 C ML5/2 A :11.7 1: Lb SA 5/17/ /2 5/ D.ONl/D.Vne FT F1 CLM 16 NW3-L R115-0 C ML5 A :12.6 1: Lb SA 4/25/15-3 6F 3/ D.ONl/S.Gnz FT F2 CLM 16 NW3-L R115-0 C ML3 A :12.3 1: Lb SA 4/12/ /2T 3/ D.ONl/D.Vne FM UP15 CLM R135-0 C ML9/2 A :12.0 1:18.4« Lb SA 3/6/15-2 7F 8/ D.ONl/D.Vne FT L1/O1 CLM 12.5 NW2-L R105-0 C ML4 A :11.5 1: Lb Sallyana ( J.Thomas/T.Pereira = ) 5M - Top Hit(12%T,20%S,29%M) - Ayanna by In Excess (IRE) LAST 15: (6.7%) DIRT SPR: (12.0%) R/S: (5.0%) DOWN: (16.2%) NOTES: pace inside, wknd 7/24/15 shook free,caught 1/16 7/4/15 dueled btwn, wknd 6/20/15 pace 2w, tired 5/23/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: GG Aug 14 :49.6h ft (7/27) GG Aug 8 :49.8h ft (17/29) 2ND CLM: (12.5%) LAST 10 FIRE: 74, 73, 70, 71, 54, 70, 60, 61, 80, 85 SAC 7/24/15-4 1M 4/ J.Tos/F.Avo FT O1 CLM R130-0 C ML5/2 A : :39.1 1: L OTP 7/4/ /2 3/ R.Kny/W.AtI FT NONE CLM 8-7 R110-0 C ML3 A :11.3 1: LC OTP 6/20/15-3 6F 2/ R.Kny/W.AtI FT F1 CLM 10-9 R115-0 C ML8 A :11.3 1: L GG 5/23/15-3 6F A 2/ R.Kny/W.AtI FT NONE CLM 10-9 R115-0 C ML8 A :10.9 1: L SA 4/18/15-3 6F 6/ R.Oes/K.Sra FT NONE CLM R125-0 C ML6 A :12.4 1: L SA 2/21/ /2 4/ R.Oes/K.Sra FT F1 AOC 40 NW1$-X R140-0 C ML8 A :11.8 1: L No Tricks For Jack ( R.Diodoro/F.Perez = ) 6M - Jackpot(13%T,14%S,24%M) - Swift Trick by Mazel Trick LAST 15: (26.7%) DIRT SPR: (28.4%) : (22.1%) DOWN: (26.6%) ST CLM: (21.4%) NOTES: saved ground, no rally 7/16/15 bid btw,led 1/16,clear 6/25/15 steadily faded 5/23/15 bid 1/8th, edged clear 5/1/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: DMR Aug 15 :37.2h ft (7/10) DMR Aug 9 :49.8h ft (44/89) DMR Aug 2 :50.4h ft (60/83) SLR Jul 10 :49.2h ft (6/13) LAST 10 FIRE: 52, 83, 58, 78, 77, 92, 90, 78, 80, 64 DMR 7/16/15-2 6F 2/ P.Mlr/I.Pgi FT O2 CLM R125-0 C ML7/2 A :12.8 1: LFC SA 6/25/15-1 7F 4/ P.Mlr/I.Pgi FT NONE SHP 12.5 R130-0 C ML3 A2.6w :10.8 1: LF ALB 5/23/15-9 1M 6/ H.Dmz/E.Gmz FT NONE STK $55K R155 C ML10 A : :15.6 1: L ALB 5/1/15-6 7F 6/ H.Dmz/E.Gmz FT NONE AOC 15 C R140 C ML3 A1.2w :10.4 1: L SUN 4/11/15-9 6F 6/ H.Dmz/A.Ja. FT NONE STK $50K R155 C ML5 A :11.4 1: L SUN 3/22/ M 6/ H.Dmz/L.Cns FT NONE STK $100K R175 C ML6 A :10.7 1: L Warrensdollarsigns ( S.Knapp/E.Maldonado = ) 4F - Affirmative(8%T,10%S,14%M) - A. P. Money by Apollo LAST 15: (6.7%) DIRT SPR: (8.8%) UP: (8.2%) NOTES: steadied 1/8,came out 8/8/15 btwn,inside,best rest 7/4/15 saved ground, no rally 5/17/15 3wd,stdied 3/16,wkened 4/24/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: DMR Aug 2 :48.4h ft (9/83) LAST 10 FIRE: 73, 67, 68, 61, 59, 74, 71, 53, 70, 62 DMR 8/8/ /2 2/ S.Kap/E.Mlo FT NONE CLM 16 NW2-L R110-0 C88 2/ ML8 A :11.9 1: LF LRC 7/4/ /2 5/ S.Kap/E.Mlo FT F1 CLM 8 NW2-L-X R105-0 C ML3 A1.9w :11.8 1: LF SA 5/17/ /2 2/ S.Kap/S.Ais FT F1 CLM 16 NW3-L R115-0 C ML30 A :12.2 1: LF SA 4/24/ /2T 6/ S.Kap/A.Qiz FM UP30 AOC 20 NW1$-X-S R130-0 C ML15 A :12.9 1:20.2« LF SA 4/10/ /8T 7/ S.Kap/A.Qiz FM UP24 STR 40 R115-0 C ML5 A : :40.0 1:47.9« LF SA 3/26/ /2T 5/ S.Kap/A.Qiz FM UP24 AOC 20 -C-S R130-0 C ML20 A :12.0 1:18.1« LF Lexie Arleen ( E.Freeman/T.Baze = ) 4F - Raise the Bluff(13%T,15%S,13%M) - Lucky Lexie by Kentucky Lucky LAST 15: (13.3%) DIRT SPR: (12.7%) UP: (4.3%) ST CLM: (23.1%) NOTES: 3wd to turn,held 2nd 7/23/15 dropped inside, drvng 6/20/15 5w,pushed out 1/16 5/23/15 pace,cght,stayed,wknd 4/26/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: GG Jul 11 :49.8h ft (19/41) LAST 10 FIRE: 69, 75, 76, 66, 68, 70, 67, 67, 75, 72 DMR 7/23/ /2 8/ E.Mra/M.Gra FT O2 CLM 8-7 R110-0 C ML9/2 A :11.9 1: LbFC OTP 6/20/15-3 6F 3/ E.Mra/J.Hdz FT F1 CLM 10-9 R115-0 C ML9/5 A :11.4 1: LbF GG 5/23/15-3 6F A 6/ B.Wit/R.Gnz FT NONE CLM 10-9 R115-0 C111 2/ ML8/5 A0.8w :11.0 1: LbFC GG 4/26/ /16T 5/ B.Wit/D.Lpz GD DN ALW NW1$-X-S R120-0 C ML6 A : :38.5 1:47.4« LbF GG 4/2/15-5 1T 1/ B.Wit/L.Mwg FM UP10 CLM R130-0 C118 3/ ML12 A : :39.0 1:45.6« LbF GG 3/12/ /2 A 5/ B.Wit/L.Mwg FT F2/O1 CLM R120-0 C ML9/2 A :12.2 1: LbF Norastone ( K.Mulhall/M.Pedroza = ) 4F - Kafwain(11%T,13%S,16%M) - Throne Seeker by Deputy Commander LAST 15: (13.3%) DIRT SPR: (9.2%) UP: (14.9%) NOTES: btwn,inside,edged 2nd 7/23/15 dueled,clear,driving 6/26/15 4wd into lane,weakened 5/14/15 inside duel, held 2nd 5/3/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS WORKS: DMR Aug 14 :36.6h ft (6/24) DMR Aug 8 1:00.2h ft (8/90) DMR Aug 2 :48.8h ft (14/83) DMR Jul 17 :49.2h ft (35/78) SA Jul 10 :50.2b ft (43/49) LAST 10 FIRE: 68, 73, 58, 70, 64, 59, 72, 76, 68, 37 DMR 7/23/ /2 7/ K.Mll/M.Pda FT O2 CLM 8-7 R110-0 C ML4 A :12.0 1: L SA 6/26/ /2 5/ K.Mll/M.Pda FT NONE CLM 8 NW1-6M R105-0 C ML2 A :11.7 1: L SA 5/14/15-7 6F 8/ K.Mll/M.Pda WF NONE CLM 8 R110-0 C ML5/2 A :12.6 1: LF SA 5/3/ /2 6/ K.Mll/M.Pda FT F1 CLM 10-9 R115-0 C ML5/2 A :11.8 1: LF SA 4/19/ /16 5/ K.Mll/M.Pda FT NONE SHP 12.5 R130-0 C ML8 A : :39.3 1: L SA 3/5/ /2 8/ K.Mll/F.Prt FT L1/O1 CLM R135-0 C ML8 A :13.1 1: Lb

10 SECOND RACE - DEL MAR ANALYSIS: In this Maiden-Claimer two horses have really caught our eye. Cadet Roni ran poorly in a turf route with straight Maidens July 25, but was competitive with that kind in her last two dirt sprints. She wins the paper race and should be dangerous dropping to this level and return to a dirt sprint. Bella Sierra was dismissed at long odds in her debut, but showed some speed and finished a decent 4 th with Cal-bred straight Maidens May 23. The interesting part is that race has produced four nextout winners, including the horses that finished 1 st and 3 rd. She ll add blinkers and might offer good value at the windows given her modest connections. We ll make both HF 15a s as Cadet Roni is the most-likely Distance: 6 Furlongs Race Level: Base 115 Race Cond: MCL 50 Conditions: MAIDEN CLAIMING FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE Purse: $36,000 YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 AFTL: :22.2, :45.4 and 1:11.4 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, For Each $5,000 To $40,000 1 lb. Favorites: 27.3% Win; 72.7% in-the-money Track Profile: 28 races F=28.6% P=28.6% M=28.6% R=14.3% HORSE JOCKEY FIRE WT & AGE HANDICAPPING OFF BEST PREV PAST AVG LAST (Post Position Order) NUM CHNG SEX RRL RCL + CPR =TOT PER FACTORS EQUIP TROUBLE TRK SUR DIS CLAS RCL CPR Bella Sierra # Maldonado? f P 4,15a,19,21 B X X 93 Appealing Stevens f 105 x 68 M 4,10d,21r,25 X X 80 X X 55~ Seaward Cottage Desormeaux? 120 3f 125 x x? 10d B 1 1 X X 1 Holiday Starlet D.Flores? f 125 x 5? 10d X 5 5 X X 5 Lynn's Chancie # F.Perez? 120 3f 105 x 62 F 4,10c B X X 62 Cadet Roni # Blanc f P 4,10d,15a,19,21 B X X 42 Carbon Beach Talamo? f 95 x 84 R 10c X X X 84 Analysis Paralysis # Baze f 115 x 82 M 10d,16,25 B X 82 X X 62~ FRACTIONAL CHART ORDER OF FINISH AND AVERAGE TIMES (This is not a Selection) 1: Cadet Roni ET: :22.1, :45.6 and 1:11.9 2: Bella Sierra AT: :21.8, :44.7 and 1:09.2 (Average Times for mid-level races) 3: Analysis Paralysis AFTL: :22.2, :45.4 and 1:11.4 (Average Times for this level) RACE APPRAISAL HORSE COMMENTS Bella Sierra outran long odds when 4th in her debut with Cal-bred straight Maidens May 23. She ll add blinkers and is facing open $50,000 Maiden- Claimers today, but that last heat has produced four next-out winners, including the winner and the 3rd-place finisher. She rates attention and her odds could stay high. Appealing Lady has not raced since a distant 4th with $75,000 nonwinners routing Oct 23. She moves from Sadler to Eurton, has the blinkers worn for her last start removed and has worked 10 times since June 10. She could be a threat on her past form, but her new barn has been kind of cold at the meet (1-for-35). In this field, we still might give her a look in the exotics. Seaward Cottage ran last debuting with straight Maidens July 16. The drop in class might help, but that first effort was pretty bad. Holiday Starlet ran poorly in her debut when beating only neighbor Seaward Cottage in that straight Maiden heat July 16. Like that one, she Bella Sierra ( J.Sierra/E.Maldonado = ) 3F - Council Member(16%T,7%S,23%M) - Bigtimeaffair by Arch winner, while Bella Sierra is probably the value play. Appealing Lady and Analysis Paralysis are both coming off layoffs, but at least rate a look on the track and on the tote board. Appealing Lady is now in a chilly barn, but her form against tougher last year for Sadler was pretty solid. Analysis Paralysis ran just Ok in a couple of races against straight Maidens last year, but her trainer has a good record with comebackers, and the softer competition can t hurt. CLOSERS: Fastest in the stretch in recent races at or near this distance have been: Carbon Beach : Cadet Roni : Analysis Paralysis, Bella Sierra :26.6 might improve with racing and the drop in class, but she s tough to like off that first effort. Lynn's Chancie finished a distant 3rd debuting with $40,000 Maiden- Claimers July 24. She ll add blinkers, but the slight jump in class seems unwarranted. Cadet Roni ran decently with tougher straight Maidens sprinting May 24 and June 20, but then ran poorly when tried in a turf route with that kind July 25. She ll add blinkers and might rebound in a big way with the drop in class and return to sprinting. The paper race winner deserves a long look. Carbon Beach finished a distant 3rd debuting with much softer $20,000 Maiden-Claimers June 27. She d be a surprise at this level. Analysis Paralysis hasn t raced since running last with straight Maidens in a synthetic route Nov 21. She s worked 14 times since May 13 and her barn is pretty good with comebackers. Tote and post parade checks couldn t hurt. NOTES: 3wd into str,outkicked 5/23/15 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS LAST 15: (6.7%) DIRT SPR: (5.1%) WORKS: DMR Jul 31 1:03.0hg ft (47/58) DMR Jul 23 :51.4h ft (47/52) B ON: (7.7%) : (9.1%) LAST 10 FIRE: 71 MDN 2ND (0.0%) DIST/ POS/FLD TRNR TK TRK RACE RACE FIN POS/ MORN ACTL TRK Pos1 Pos2 Pos3 Pos4 Today's LST PAC FNL LxClm TRK DATE&RACE SURF WINNERS WGT JCKY CD BIAS TYPE CONDITIONS RCL CPR BTN LNGH LINE ODDS VAR 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH FINAL FRT RAT RAT EQUIP SA 5/23/15-4 6F 2/ J.Sea/D.Fos FT NONE MSW S R115-0 C ML20 A :58.6 1: L Appealing Lady ( P.Eurton/G.Stevens = ) 3F - Cindago(8%T,16%S,22%M) - Tough Apples by Exploit NOTES: 3 wide,drifted in str 10/23/14 rallied lane,clear 3rd 10/9/14 off bit slow,3wd lane 8/21/14 angled in str,no bid 7/26/14 DMR DIRT SPRINTS ALL DIRT SPRINTS LAST 15: (0.0%) DIRT SPR: (12.8%) WORKS: DMR Aug 12 1:02.4h ft (28/46) DMR Aug 5 1:01.8h ft (34/86) R/S: (7.1%) B OFF: (16.7%) DMR Jul 29 1:00.8hg ft (7/64) DMR Jul 22 1:01.4h ft (29/79) 90+: (15.3%) UP: (12.6%) SA Jul 15 1:00.6h ft (2/2) SA Jul 9 :48.8h ft (20/48) LAST 10 FIRE: 50, 62, 56, 55 SA 10/23/14-3 1M 5/ J.Sdr/J.Tlo FT NONE MCL 75 R105 C ML5/2 A : :40.3 1: Lb SA 10/9/14-1 1M 3/ J.Sdr/R.Bjo FT NONE MSW S R105 C ML6/5 A0.6w : :40.2 1: L DMR 8/21/14-5 6F A 8/ J.Sdr/R.Bjo FT NONE MSW S R105 C ML7/2 A1.9w :59.8 1: L DMR 7/26/14-3 5F A 1/ J.Sdr/R.Bjo FT O1 MSW S R105 C ML3 A1.9w : L