WORKFORCE LOCAL AREA EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS (LAUS)
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1 AUGUST 2018
2 WORKFORCE LOCAL AREA EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS (LAUS)
3 1,200,000 1,100,000 1,000, ,000 Labor Force Employment 1,152,626 1,116, , , , , to 2017: (3.1%) added to labor force (3.3%) added to employment 866 (2.4%) subtracted from unemployed Source: Texas Workforce Commission, LAUS.
4 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Labor Force Employment -1% Source: Texas Workforce Commission, LAUS.
5 1,200,000 1,150,000 1,100,000 1,050,000 1,000, , ,000 Labor Force Employment 850, Source: Texas Workforce Commission, LAUS.
6 Austin MSA Texas United States 4% 3% 3.1% 3.3% 2% 1% 1.6% 0.7% 2.0% 1.2% 0% Labor Force Employment Source: Texas Workforce Commission, LAUS.
7 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Unemployed Unemployment Rate 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % Source: Texas Workforce Commission, LAUS.
8 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Unemployed Unemployment Rate NSA Unemployment Rate SA 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % Source: Texas Workforce Commission & Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, LAUS.
9 Austin Texas United States 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Source: Texas Workforce Commission, LAUS.
10 Unemployment Rate Difference Rank Denver MSA 3.1% 2.7% San Francisco MDiv Nashville MSA Austin MSA Minneapolis Boston NECTADiv San Jose MSA Indianapolis MSA Silver Spring MDiv San Antonio MSA Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS.
11 WORKFORCE CURRENT EMPLOYMENT STATISTICS (CES)
12 772, , , , , , , , ,300 1,000,500 1,032,600 1,200,000 1,000, , , , , Source: Texas Workforce Commission, Current Employment Statistics (CES).
13 1,075,000 1,050,000 1,025,000 1,000, , , , , , , , , , , ,000 Not Seasonally Adjusted Seasonally Adjusted Austin added 33,800 jobs (3.3%) in the 12 months ending Dec Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES.
14 Millions Austin MSA 1,100,000 1,050,000 1,000, , , , , , , , , , , Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES. United States
15 Millions 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 (10,000) (20,000) (30,000) (40,000) Austin MSA United States '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 ' (2) (4) (6) (8) Source: Texas Workforce Commission & U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
16 Thousands 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 (10,000) (20,000) (30,000) (40,000) (50,000) Austin MSA Texas '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 ' (100) (200) (300) (400) (500) Source: Texas Workforce Commission & U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
17 Austin MSA Texas United States 4% 3% 3.2% 2% 1.8% 1.6% 1% 0% Source: Texas Workforce Commission & U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
18 Nonfarm payroll jobs 2017 Difference Percent Ch. Riverside MSA 1,451,600 49, % 1 Austin MSA 1,032,600 32, Nashville MSA 980,000 30, Orlando MSA 1,247,100 38, Jacksonville MSA 689,700 21, Charlotte MSA 1,181,500 33, Las Vegas MSA 976,800 27, Dallas MDiv 2,567,100 70, Phoenix MSA 2,034,100 54, Seattle MDiv 1,688,000 43, Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES. Rank
19 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 - (1,000) (2,000) (3,000) (4,000) (5,000) (6,000) (7,000) Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES.
20 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - (2,000) (4,000) (6,000) (8,000) (10,000) (12,000) Private Goods Producing Private Service Providing Government Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES. Net job creation for the 12 months ending December 2017: +4,000 private goods producing jobs +33,300 private service providing jobs -3,500 government jobs
21 Other services 44, % Construction & nat res 61, % Leisure & hospitality 125, % Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES. Government 179, % Education & health services 120, % Prof & business services 176, % Manufacturing 57, % Retail trade 105, % Wholesale trade 51, % Transp, warehousing, & utilties Information 20,200 30, % 2.9% Financial activities 59, %
22 Construction & nat res Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transp, warehousing, & utilties Information Financial activities Prof & business services Education & health services Leisure & hospitality Other services Government 58,800 61,500 55,800 57,100 49,500 51,500 18,400 20,200 28,900 30,100 56,800 59,700 43,800 44, , , , , , , , , , ,800 Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES.
23 Construction & nat res Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transp, warehousing, & utilties Information Financial activities Prof & business services Education & health services Leisure & hospitality Other services Government 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Difference Percent Change 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES.
24 Construction & nat res Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transp, warehousing, & utilties Information Financial activities Prof & business services Education & health services Leisure & hospitality Other services Government 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Difference Austin % Ch. Austin % Ch. Texas % Ch. U.S. 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES.
25 Const & natural resources Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transp & utilties Information Financial activities Prof & business services Education & health services Leisure & hospitality Other services Government 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Austin MSA Texas United States Source: Texas Workforce Commission, CES.
26 WORKFORCE Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) & Current Employment Statistics (CES)
27 1,200,000 Employees on Nonfarm Payrolls (CES) Employment (LAUS) 1,100,000 1,000, , , , , Source: Texas Workforce Commission.
28 Index, Jan. 2007= Employees on Nonfarm Payrolls (CES) Employment (LAUS) Source: Texas Workforce Commission.
29 Employees on Nonfarm Payrolls (CES) Employment (LAUS) 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 - (10,000) (20,000) (30,000) Source: Texas Workforce Commission.
30 WORKFORCE Current Employment Statistics (CES) & Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW)
31 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 CES QCEW 10,000 - (10,000) (20,000) (30,000) Source: Texas Workforce Commission. QCEW data lag CES estimate by several months, however QCEW data is based universe counts rather than sample based survey estimates. Preliminary CES data is revised annually based on QCEW data and other adjustments.
32 Not Seasonally Adj. Seasonally Adj. (TWC) Seasonally Adj (Dallas Fed) 1,070,000 1,050,000 1,030,000 1,010, , , , The Dallas Fed revises their series quarterly based on QCEW releases, while BLS/TWC benchmark CES data to QCEW only annually. Sources: Texas Workforce Commission & Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (CES).
33 WORKFORCE AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS
34 37.0 Austin MSA Texas United States Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
35 Austin MSA Texas United States Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
36 Austin MSA Texas United States $29 $28 $27 $26 $25 $24 $23 $22 $21 $ Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
37 Austin MSA Texas United States $30 $29 $28 $27 $26 $25 $24 $23 $22 $21 $ Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CES.
38 BUSINESS CYCLE INDEX
39 Index, Oct. 1980= The index summarizes movements in: Nonagricultural employment The unemployment rate Inflation-adjusted wages Inflation-adjusted retail sales Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
40 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% -0.2% -0.4% -0.6% Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
41 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% -0.2% -0.4% -0.6% Austin MSA Texas Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
42 Austin Dallas Ft.Worth Houston San Antonio 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% -0.2% -0.4% -0.6% -0.8% Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
43 Austin Dallas Ft.Worth Houston San Antonio 7% 6.6% 6% 5% 4.5% 4% 3% 3.3% 3.5% 2% 1% 1.3% 0% Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
44 Index, 1987= Index % Ch. 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. -8%
45 HOUSING MARKET PERMITS
46 30,000 Single Family Multifamily 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
47 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Single Family Multifamily Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
48 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% Austin MSA United States -10% Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
49 Millions Single Family Multifamily $4,500 $4,000 $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $ Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
50 Millions Single Family Multifamily $600 $550 $500 $450 $400 $350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $ Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
51 Units Value Austin MSA United States Austin MSA United States 25% 25% 20% 20% 15% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% -5% -10% Total Single-family Multifamily -10% Total Single-family Multifamily Source: U.S. Census Bureau.
52 HOUSING MARKET HOME SALES & PRICES
53 4,000 3,500 3, : +0.6% : +4.2% : +4.1% : +3.8% 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Source: Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.
54 60% Austin MSA Texas United States 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% Source: Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.
55 14 Austin Texas United States Source: Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University & National Association of Realtors.
56 $320,000 $300,000 $280,000 $260,000 $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 Austin MSA United States $180, Dec 2017 Jan 2017 Feb 2017 Mar 2017 Apr 2017 May 2017 Jun 2017 Jul 2017 Aug 2017 Sep 2017 Oct 2017 Nov 2017 Dec Source: Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University & National Association of Realtors.
57 Austin MSA Texas United States 7% 6% 5.4% 6.2% 5.7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Source: Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University & National Association of Realtors.
58 90% 80% 70% Austin MSA United States 60% 50% 40% 30% The HOI is a measure of the % of homes sold in a given area during the quarter that are affordable to households earning that area s median family income Source: National Association of Home Builders.
59 COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
60 16% Vacancy Rate Lease Rate $40 14% $35 12% $30 10% $25 8% $20 6% Source: CoStar. $15
61 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% Vacancy Rate Lease Rate $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 2% Source: CoStar. $2
62 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% Vacancy Rate Lease Rate $24 $21 $18 $15 $12 $9 2% Source: CoStar. $6
63 SALES TAX & RETAIL SALES
64 Millions $250 City of Austin Austin MTA City of Round Rock City of San Marcos $200 $150 $100 $50 $ Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts.
65 Billions $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $ Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts.
66 Billions of 2017 Q1 Dollars $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $ Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
67 VENTURE CAPITAL
68 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 Austin MSA United States $90,000 $75,000 $60,000 $45,000 $30,000 $15,000 $ Source: PwC/CB Insights MoneyTree Survey. $0
69 Millions VC Investment in Austin $1,200 $1,000 $800 Austin as a % of Total U.S. VC Investment 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% $600 $400 $200 $ Source: PwC/CB Insights MoneyTree Survey. 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
70 Millions $16 Austin MSA Texas United States $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $ Source: PwC/CB Insights MoneyTree Survey.
71 PATENT ACTIVITY
72 ,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Source: U.S. Patent & Trademark Office.
73 % 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Source: U.S. Patent & Trademark Office.
74 AIR SERVICE
75 Millions Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
76 Passengers Passengers, 12-Mo. Moving Avg. 1,400,000 1,300,000 1,200,000 1,100,000 1,000, , , , , , Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
77 ,400,000 1,300,000 1,200,000 1,100,000 1,000, , , , , ,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
78 Index, 2007= ABIA United States Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport & U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics.
79 Millions of Pounds Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
80 Millions of Pounds Cargo Cargo, 12-Mo. Moving Avg Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
81 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% Passengers Cargo Source: Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
82 Beverly Kerr, Vice President, Research Chris Ramser, Director, Research This file & latest monthly report/spreadsheets: Bi-monthly Central Texas Economy in Perspective articles:
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