Finland s sawmilling industry
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1 Finland s sawmilling industry Howard Sidney-Wilmot Stora Enso - Sales Director UK, Ireland & Benelux September 2015 Stora Enso Wood Products 13/10/2015 1
2 Finland s forest products 19bn total value 11bn exported 18% of industrial output 48,000 directly employed in forest products industry Over 170 sawmills Stora Enso Building & Living
3 Forests cover 60% of Finland s total area GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km2 GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 Stora Enso Building & Living 3
4 Development of forest resources in Finland GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km2 GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 Stora Enso Building & Living 4
5 Forest industry production plants in Finland GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km2 GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 Stora Enso Building & Living 5
6 Forest industry investments in Finland 800 Million Euro Pulp and paper Wood products 700 GDP bn Euros Population million 9% unemployment 400 Size 339,000km2 300 GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 +50% increase in 2015! Year Stora Enso Building & Living 6
7 Bio refineries using wood-based raw material GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km2 GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 Stora Enso Building & Living 7
8 RW and WW production in Finland m 3 Finnish sawnwood production, July 2015 Y-o-y YTD Redwood 28.6% 1.2% Whitewood 4.4% -6.2% Total 15.6% -2.6% Month Source: Finnish Forest Industries Latest data point: July 2015 Stora Enso Wood Products
9 Quarterly sawn softwood production 4.0 Million m GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km Sawn softwood production quarters moving average 0.5 GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 Production Mill. m 3 2Q2015 2,9 %Change from the previous quarter 8 % %Chg. from the same quarter previous year -3 % Cumulative 5,5 %Change from previous year -4 % Stora Enso Building & Living 9
10 RW and WW inventories in Finland m³ Sawnwood inventories in Finland July 2015 M-o-m Y-o-y Redwood -17.1% 49.8% Whitewood -20.3% 25.5% Total -18.7% 36.6% Redwood Whitewood Source: Finnish Forest Industries, Skogsindustrierna Latest data point: July 2015 Stora Enso Wood Products
11 Inventory comparison m³ Sawnwood inventories in Finland and Sweden July 2015 M-o-m Y-o-y Redwood -15.0% 30.3% Whitewood -15.0% 11.1% Total -15.0% 19.1% Redwood Whitewood Source: Finnish Forest Industries, Skogsindustrierna Latest data point: July 2015 Stora Enso Wood Products
12 Logs stumpage prices in Finland Four-week sliding average 70 GDP 195bn 60 Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment 50 Size 339,000km2 40 EUR/m 3 sob Pine logs Spruce logs Birch logs GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km Stora Enso Building & Living 12
13 Finnish softwood exports by countries in 2015 Other Euro countries 19% Egypt 16% GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km2 Germany 6% France 6% GDP. Japan 10% Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 China 8% Main export markets m3 % change Egypt % Japan 413-6% China % UK % France % Germany % Total % UK 10% Other overseas 25% Stora Enso Building & Living 13
14 Exports in 2015 GDP 195bn Euros Population 5.45 million 9% unemployment Size 339,000km2 Jan-Jun 2015 v 2014 European exports RW Change WW Change Planed Change Total Change 1000m3 1000m3 1000m3 1000m3 France 30-16% % 6 12% % GDP. Population Unemployment UK 244,000km2 Germany 13 11% % 23-21% % UK 200-3% 124 6% % % Total Europe % % 1,646-6% Overseas exports China 41 25% % 5 28% % Egypt % 78 1% 0-21% % Japan 201-1% 164-9% 48-13% 413-6% Total outside Europe 1,458 9% % 82 1% 2,364 10% Stora Enso Building & Living 14
15 units units units - Housing starts by region Europe -49% 14 15: +6% 15 16: +4% USA 14 15: +10% 15 16: +27% Japan 14 15: 0% 15 16: +4% % -12% +12% % % % +24% -5% West East Sources: Consensus (Apr 2015) Euroconstruct (Nov 2014), NAHB (Mar 2015) Stora Enso Wood Products
16 units units - Euroconstruct housing starts European housing starts % change in housing starts Housing starts 2014 vs : +6%/a 15 17: +4%/a -49% +16% +1% -12% Austria Belgium Czech Rep. Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Ireland Italy Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Slovakia Spain Sweden Switzerland UK -18% -2% 0% 2% 3% 4% 10% 7% 4% 1% 5% 10% 6% 2% 3% 0% 2% 29% 23% Country Change Austria Belgium Czech Rep Denmark Finland France Germany Hungary Ireland Italy Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Slovakia Spain Sweden Switzerland UK West East -50% 0% 50% % change 2014 to 2017 Sources: Euroconstruct (Nov 2014) Stora Enso Wood Products
17 Sulphur Directive Challenges & opportunities Sawmill profitability Rising costs Improved efficiency/production Global economic uncertainty Customer focus Reinvention New revenue streams
18 Conclusions Competitiveness and mill profitability are key Changing export markets Continued transition of forest industry September,
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