JOINT INDUSTRY FORECAST
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- Harriet York
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1 JOINT INDUSTRY FORECAST January 2018
2 10-YEAR GOALS NET NEW JOBS CAPITAL INVESTMENT PER CAPITA INCOME Current: 144,599 Current: $8.9B Current: 24.4% Goal: 150,000 Pace: 184,594 Goal: $8B Pace: $11.1B Goal: 30% Pace: 43.9% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS, seasonally adjusted by Columbus 2020, January 2010 November 2017 Source: Columbus 2020, as of December 2017 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis,
3 A DECADE OF GROWTH Net new job growth is on pace to = $184,000+ Jan 2010 Nov ,599 Net Jobs Jan 2000 Dec ,999 Net Jobs Jan 1990 Dec ,535 Net Jobs 0K 50K 100K 150K 200K Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, seasonally adjusted by Columbus 2020
4 REGIONAL ECONOMY Change in JobsOhio regional employment January 2010 to November 2017 Central (Columbus Region) 15.7% 147,400 Southwest (Cincinnati) 10.5% 101,878 Northwest (Toledo) West (Dayton) 7.9% 43, % 42,600 Northeast (Cleveland, Akron) Southeast (Appalachia) 4.1% 78, % 16,300 Source: Ohio LMI, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics, not seasonally adjusted. Southwest (Cincinnati)
5 PRIVATE SECTOR JOB GROWTH Columbus MSA average annual private sector employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, seasonally adjusted by Columbus Annual average for 2017 calculated through November.
6 New Facebook Data Center a Boost to Ohio s Tech Sector Columbus 2020 on Track to Exceed Jobs Goal UnitedHealth to bring 700 jobs to Dublin Amazon Chooses 20 Finalists, Including Columbus, for HQ2 An Alternate Universe of Shopping, in Ohio
7 CONDITIONS FOR GLOBAL GROWTH U.S. exports, $ million 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, , U.S. companies exported $2.2 trillion in goods and services in 2016, down slightly from previous two years but still far above historical levels Source: Census Bureau
8 CONDITIONS FOR GLOBAL GROWTH U.S. net foreign direct investment, $ million 500, , , , , , ,000 In 2015, the U.S. reached record levels of FDI, but global foreign direct investment has declined for the past two years. 150, ,000 50, Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Note: Net FDI equals greenfield investment and acquisitions minus closures and dispositions back to domestic ownership.
9 GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS Fortune Global 500 companies by country in 2000 vs United States Source: Fortune China Japan France Germany United Kingdom South Korea Netherlands Switzerland Canada As of 2017, China boasted over 100 unicorns ($1B tech startups) and 8 decacorns ($10B tech startups)
10 COLUMBUS GLOBAL REACH Foreign HQ plus other key locations of Columbus Region firms Source: Columbus 2020
11 CONDITIONS FOR U.S. GROWTH Millennials are the United States largest living generation 80 million millennials Expected to benefit our market through 2036 and beyond The relative safety of the U.S. business and legal system remains a durable competitive advantage U.S. regulatory and tax policies are encouraging investment by domestic and international firms (short-term)
12 TECH GROWTH Top publicly traded companies by market capitalization Rank General Electric Apple 2 Cisco Systems Alphabet 3 Exxon Mobil Microsoft 4 Pfizer Amazon.com 5 Microsoft Berkshire Hathaway 6 Wal-Mart Alibaba Group 7 Citigroup Tencent 8 Vodafone Facebook 9 Intel Corporation ExxonMobil 10 Royal Dutch Shell Johnson & Johnson Source: Financial Times, Wikipedia
13 BIG FIVE ON FORTUNE Source: Fortune
14 TECH AND MANUFACTURING Columbus Region manufacturing output versus employment (indexed to 100 in 2001) 130 Output Employment 120 $12.2B $10.5B 113K 80 86K Sources: Moody s Economy.com (output in 2009 USD); EMSI
15 TECH AND MANUFACTURING In 1980 it took 25 jobs to generate $1 million in manufacturing output in the U.S. Today it takes five jobs. ( Manufacturing jobs aren t coming back, MIT Technology Review, November 18, 2016) Robots do my [old] job, and I am managing people that manage them. Automation manager at Wisconsin plant earning $120K/year who started career at $5.50/hour ( Despite fears, Mexico's manufacturing boom is lifting U.S. workers. Los Angeles Times, August, 21, 2016)
16 REGIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT COMPETITIVENESS AGENDA Meet the workforce challenge Increase global trade and investment Develop competitive infrastructure Generate highgrowth opportunities Increase manufacturing competitiveness It is more important than ever to define who is leading, influencing, and executing on these issues within our community.
17 THANK YOU COLUMBUSREGION.COM
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