Africa on the Rise: Opportunities and Challenges

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2 Africa on the Rise: Opportunities and Challenges African Development Bank Group Domenico Fanizza Executive Director October 2018

3 Africa: a vast and fragmented continent

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5 The Africa Rising Story..

6 SSA has done well Figure 2.1a. Sub-Saharan Africa: GDP per Capita (PPP) 4,000 3,500 3, percent of distribution percent of distribution percent of distribution 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook database. Note: PPP = Purchasing power parity Figure 2.1b. Sub-Saharan Africa: Human Development Index Source: United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Report. PPP dollars Index Niger Congo, Dem. Rep. of Sierra Leone Mozambique Mali Burundi Ethiopia Chad Central African Rep. Liberia Rwanda Malawi Gambia, The Tanzania Uganda Angola Zimbabwe Zambia Benin Côte d'ivoire Senegal Togo Madagascar Cameroon Lesotho Kenya Ghana Congo, Republic of Equatorial Guinea Swaziland Cabo Verde Namibia Botswana South Africa Gabon Mauritius Seychelles

7 Demographic Trends: The youngest population in the World (60 percent < 25 years) with a rapidly expanding labor force. By 2040, Africa s labor force is likely to be larger than that of China and India.

8 Africa s Youth Bulge 8

9 9

10 Opportunity/Challenge : Urbanization

11 Opportunity/Challenge: Infrastructure Normalized units Sub Saharan Africa- Low Income Countries Other Low Income Countries Paved Road Density Total road density Main line density Mobile density Internet density 2 3 Generation Density Electricity Coverage Improved water Improved sanitation 34 51

12 Agriculture (1):

13 Africa is the most mobile-banked continent:

14 New technologies hold great promise: Comparative adoption of technologies in the United States and Kenya Source: Figure 1 from Suri, Jack and Stoker (2014), Documenting the Birth of a Financial Economy, PNAS, June 26, 2012 vol. 109 no. 26, pp

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16 Projection of Mobile Subscriptions (from 2017 onward) OECD (log Mobile Suscription) Africa (log Mobile Suscription) OECD (log Mobile Suscription Projected) Africa (log Mobile Suscription Projected)

17 3 Change in Penetration Rate 2,5 2 1,5 1 0, Africa OECD

18 Employment Simulation Work force Empt Ind with 6% Emp Ind with 12% Emp Ind with African recent Emp growth rate (5%)

19 HEADQUARTERS: Abidjan, CÔTE D'IVOIRE 19

20 AfDB Member Countries: member countries in total: 54 African countries (regional members) 26 non African countries (non regional members) * UAE is only a member of ADF 20

21 THE AfDB GROUP - THREE WINDOWS African Development Bank Established in 1964 Authorized Capital as at Dec 2014: UA66.97 Billion (US$ 97 Billion) Member Countries of the Group: 80 Regional Member Countries: 54 Non-Regional Member Countries: 26 Nigerian Trust Fund Established in 1976 Its initial capital of US$ 80 million was replenished in 1981 with US$ 71 million African Development Fund Established in 1972 ADF 13 Replenishment ( ): UA 4.86 Billion (US$ 7.3 Billion) 21

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24 PROMOTING AFRICA S SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT African Development Bank Group AfDB 24

25 The High 5s Light up and power Africa Unlock the continent s energy potential in order to drive muchneeded industrialization Improve the quality of life for the people of Africa Develop innovative flagship programs to open up opportunities for youth employment, improve access to basic services and create economic opportunities for the extreme poor Feed Africa Industrialize Africa Integrate Africa Transform agriculture to increase productivity, lower food prices, enhance food security, revive rural areas and create jobs for Africans Lead other partners in the process of industrializing Africa and developing the private sector to create wealth from natural assets Address barriers, create regional value chains and leverage complementarities in order to tap the continent s huge market potential 25

26

27 QUESTIONS? us/careers

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