The New York Times/CBS News Poll January 12-15, 2004

Transcription

1 For release in paper of January 18, 2004 The New York Times/CBS News Poll January 12-15, 2004 N=1,022 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. 1

2 1. I'd like you to compare the way things are going in the United States to the way they were going five years ago. Generally, would you say things are going better today, worse today, or about the same as they were going five years ago? Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/ / / / / /19-22/ /12-15/ VARIED WORDING: (RESPONDENTS WERE ASKED TO RATE THE WAY THINGS WERE GOING IN THE UNITED STATES, ON A SCALE OF ONE TO TEN, WITH ONE THE WORST POSSIBLE SITUATION, AND TEN THE BEST POSSIBLE SITUATION. NUMBERS SHOW THE PERCENTAGE WHO RATED THE PRESENT BETTER THAN THE PAST, WORSE THAN THE PAST, OR THE SAME AS THE PAST.) WHERE WOULD YOU SAY THE UNITED STATES WAS FIVE YEARS AGO? REMEMBER, ONE IS THE WORST POSSIBLE SITUATION AND TEN IS THE BEST POSSIBLE SITUATION? BETTER WORSE SAME DK/NA 11/ / /83 NYT /83 NYT / / / / And what is your best guess about the United States five years from now? Generally, if things go pretty much as you now expect, do you think things will be better, worse, or about the same as they are today? Better Worse Same DK/NA 1/ / / / / /19-22/ /12-15/ VARIED WORDING: (NUMBERS SHOW THE PERCENTAGES WHO RATED THE FUTURE BETTER THAN THE PRESENT, WORSE THAN THE PRESENT, OR THE SAME AS THE PRESENT.) AND AS YOUR BEST GUESS, IF THINGS GO PRETTY MUCH AS YOU NOW EXPECT, HOW WOULD YOU RATE THE UNITED STATES FIVE YEARS FROM NOW? BETTER WORSE SAME DK/NA 11/ / /83 NYT /83 NYT / / / /

3 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS /8-12/ /4-5/01 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /14-18/ /28-31/01 CBS /11-12/01 CBS /13-14/ /20-23/ /25-28/ /7-10/ /5-6/02 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /21-24/ /24-26/02 CBS /1-2/02 CBS /28-5/1/ /13-14/02 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /13-16/ /22-23/02 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /2-5/ /22-23/02 CBS /3-6/ /27-31/ /20-24/ /4-6/03 CBS /19-22/ /5-6/03 CBS /10-12/ /24-25/03 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /7-9/ /15-16/03 CBS /17/03 CBS /20/03 PANEL /20-21/ /22/ /23/ /24/ /20-24/ /26-27/03 CBS /2-3/03 CBS /11-13/ /26-27/03 CBS /9-12/ /13-27/ /11-12/03 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/

4 4. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right direction Wrong track DK/NA 1/ /83 NYT /83 NYT / / / / /94 CBS /95 NYT / /96 CBS /96 NYT / / / / / / /98A /98B / /8-12/ /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /25-28/ /7-10/ /24-27/ /13-16/ /22-23/02 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /2-5/ /3-6/ /27-31/ /20-24/ /10-12/ /20-21/ /22/ /20-22/ /11-13/ /13-27/ /28-10/1/ /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ QUESTION READ: DO YOU FEEL THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION TODAY, OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 2 ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL. Question read: DO YOU THINK THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN PRETTY SERIOUSLY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 3 ABC NEWS POLL. QUESTION READ: DO YOU THINK THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN PRETTY SERIOUSLY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 4 WASHINGTON POST POLL, CONDUCTED 1/28-31, AFTER THE LEWINSKY SCANDAL BROKE. 4

5 5. Which one issue would you most like to hear the candidates for president discuss during the 2004 presidential campaign? 12/10-13/03 12/14-15/03 1/12-15/04 Economy War Health Care Jobs and Unemployment Medicare/Medicaid Education Specific country/person Defense/Military Taxes Poverty/Homelessness Budget Deficit Foreign Policy Social Security Terrorism Abortion Immigration Environment Elderly Religious Values Foreign Trade Security/Safety Foreign Aid/Domestic Affairs Politicians/Government Other DK/NA

6 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling foreign policy? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 3/8-12/ /4-5/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /14-18/ /25-28/ /07-10/ /15-17/02 CBS /21-24/ /24-26/02 CBS /1-2/02 CBS /15-18/02 CBS / CBS /19-20/02 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /13-16/ /2-5/ /22-23/02 CBS /3-6/ /27-31/ /20-24/ /4-6/03 CBS /19-22/ /5-6/03 CBS /10-12/ /24-25/03 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /7-9/ /13-27/ /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /20-21/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/

7 7. How about the economy? Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 3/8-12/ /4-5/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /14-18/ /25-28/ /7-10/ /5-6/02 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /21-24/ /24-26/02 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /13-16/ /22-23/02 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /2-5/ /22-23/02 CBS /3-6/ /27-31/ /20-24/ /4-6/03 CBS /19-22/ /5-6/03 CBS /10-12/ /24-25/03 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /7-9/ /20-21/ /22/ /23/ /24/ /20-24/ /11-13/ /26-27/03 CBS /9-12/ /13-27/ /11-12/03 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/

8 8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 2/10-12/ /24-25/03 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /17/03 CBS /7-9/ /20/03 PANEL /20-21/ /22/ /23/ /24/ /20-24/ /26-27/03 CBS /2-3/03 CBS /11-13/ /26-27/03 CBS /9-12/ /27-28/03 CBS /8-9/03 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the campaign against terrorism? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 10/25-28/ /07-10/ /5-6/02 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /21-24/ /24-26/02 CBS /1-2/02 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /2-5/ /22-23/02 CBS /27-28/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ VARIED WORDING: QUESTION READ AWAR ON TERRORISM@ 8

9 10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA 8/74 CBS / / /98B / / / /98 CBS / /98B / /98C / /98 CBS / /98 CBS / /98A / /98B / /98 CBS / / / /17/ / /19/ / /20/ / /99 CBS / /99 CBS /90B / / /99 CBS / /24/99 CBS / /28/99 CBS /91A /4-5/ /92B /99 CBS /92B /99 CBS / /99 CBS / /99 CBS / /99 CBS /93B / /93A / /93 CBS / / /00B / /00D /93 CBS /8-12/ / /4-5/01 CBS / /23-25/01 CBS / /10-12/01 CBS /95 CBS /14-18/ / /25-28/ / /07-10/ /95 CBS /21-24/ / /24-26/02 CBS / /18-20/02 CBS / /13-16/ / /22-23/02 CBS / /3-6/ /96 CBS /27-31/ / /9-12/ / /13-27/ /96 NYT /28-10/1/ / /12-15/ / / /97 CBS /97 CBS /97 CBS /

10 11. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Fairly Very Very Fairly Fairly Very good good bad bad DK/NA good good bad bad DK/NA 8/ / / / /90B / / / / / / /11-13/ /91D /19-20/ / /98A /92A /98B /92B / /92A / /92B /00D* / / / / / /00 CBS /92A /01 CBS /92A /01 CBS /92A /8-12/ /92C /01A CBS /92D /01B CBS /92E /01 CBS / /14-18/ / /20-23/ / /25-28/ / /07-10/ /93A /5-6/02 CBS /93B /15-17/02 CBS / /21-24/ / /24-26/02 CBS / /13-14/02 CBS / /18-20/02 CBS / /8-9/02 CBS / /13-16/ / /22-23/02 CBS / /6-7/02 CBS / /2-5/ / /22-23/02 CBS / /3-6/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /4-6/03 CBS / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /20-21/ / /22/ / /23/ / /24/ / /20-24/ / /11-13/ / /26-27/03 CBS /96B /28-10/1/ / /20-21/03 CBS / /10-12/03 CBS / /10-13/ / /14-15/ /96C /12-15/ / / / /

11 12. Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA Better Worse Same DK/NA 9/ / /76A / /76B / / /95 CBS / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /96 NYT /80A / / /96C / / / / / / /86* / /87A / /87BNYT / / /97 CBS / /97 CBS / / /88* / /88A* /98A /88A* /98B /88B / / /01 CBS / /01 CBS / /8-12/ /90B /01A CBS /91 CBS /01B CBS /91 CBS /01 CBS / /14-18/ / /20-23/ / /25-28/ /91D /07-10/ / /5-6/02CBS /92A /15-17/02 CBS /92B /21-24/ /92B /13-14/02 CBS / /13-16/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ /92A /20-24/ /92A /4-6/03 CBS /92A /19-22/ /92C /11-13/ /92D /26-27/03 CBS /92E /9-12/ / /13-27/ / /11-12/03 CBS / /26-28/03 CBS / /28-10/1/ /93A /20-21/03 CBS /93 CBS /10-12/03 CBS / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ /

12 13. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven=t you heard enough about George W. Bush yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not Fav. Undecided DK enough Refused 4/99 CBS /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99* /99* CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* CBS /00* /00* /00B* /00* CBS /00* CBS /00A* /00D* /00* CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* /00L* /15-17/01 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /8-12/ /4-5/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /28-31/01 CBS /13-16/ /20-24/ /13-27/ /26-28/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/

13 14. Is your opinion of Dick Cheney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven=t you heard enough about Dick Cheney yet to have an opinion? Favorable Not Fav. Undecided DK enough Refused 8/00* CBS /00* CBS /00A* /00D* /00* CBS /00* /00L* /15-17/01 CBS /8-12/ /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /21-24/ /13-16/ /12/15/ Do you think George W. Bush has strong qualities of leadership, or not? Yes No DK/NA 10/28-30/ /19-21/00* CBS /10-13/00* /20-23/00B* /18-20/00* CBS /9-11/00* /27-10/1/00* /6-9/00* CBS /18-21/00* /15-17/01 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /11-12/01 CBS /13-14/ /20-23/ /21-24/ /9-12/ /28-10/1/ /12-15/

14 16. Which comes closer to your opinion about what the United States policy should be after the war with Iraq? The United States should not attack another country unless the U.S. is attacked first, OR the U.S. should be able to attack any country it thinks might attack the United States? U.S. should not attack U.S. should attack DK/NA 4/11-13/ /26-27/03 CBS /27-28/03 CBS /8-9/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /12-15/ Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren t you? Yes No DK/NA 1/12-15/ How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2004 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much None DK/NA 7/8-9/03* CBS /26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03* /10-12/03* CBS /10-13/03* /14-16/03* /12-15/04* If the 2004 Presidential election were being held today, do you think you would probably vote for George W. Bush or probably vote for the Democratic candidate? Democratic Can t say until Won t vote Bush candidate chosen(vol.) (vol.) DK/NA 12/21-22/03* CBS /12-15/04* RELATED TREND: IF GEORGE W. BUSH RUNS FOR RE-ELECTION IN 2004, DO YOU THINK YOU WILL PROBABLY VOTE FOR GEORGE W. BUSH, OR PROBABLY VOTE FOR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE? CAN'T SAY BUSH DEMOCRAT UNTIL CHOSEN(VOL.) NONE(VOL.) DK/NA 9/28-10/1/03* /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/03* /14-16/03*

15 20. Is your mind made up or is it too early to say for sure? Mind made up Too early DK/NA 1/12-15/04* Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2004, who do you expect to finally win the 2004 presidential election --- the Democratic candidate or George W. Bush? Democrat Bush Depends(vol.) DK/NA 9/28/-10/1/03* /14-16/03* /12-15/04* I m going to name some possible Presidential candidates and ask what you think of them. If you haven t heard much about someone I name, just tell me. (NAMES WERE ROTATED.) Is your opinion of Carol Moseley Braun favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Carol Moseley Braun yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 9/28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV Is your opinion of Wesley Clark favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Wesley Clark yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 9/28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV

16 24. Is your opinion of Howard Dean favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Howard Dean yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 8/26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV Is your opinion of John Edwards favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about John Edwards yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 8/26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV Is your opinion of Dick Gephardt favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Dick Gephardt yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 5/ / / / /95* /96C* /26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV

17 27. Are you more likely to vote in a Democratic presidential primary or caucus, or a Republican primary or caucus, or aren t you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all? Dem. Rep. Won t vote DK/NA 6/99* CBS /4-7/99* /28-10/1/ /10-13/03* /14-16/03* /12-15/04* Is your opinion of John Kerry favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about John Kerry yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 8/26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV Is your opinion of Dennis Kucinich favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Dennis Kucinich yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 9/28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV

18 30. Is your opinion of Joe Lieberman favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Joe Lieberman yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undec. heard enough Refused 8/00* CBS /00* CBS /00A* /00D* /00* CBS /00* /00L* /26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV Is your opinion of Al Sharpton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Al Sharpton yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Favorable Fav. Undecided heard enough Refused 9/28-10/1/03* /28-10/1/03 DPV /10-13/03* /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03* /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV

19 32. Who would you like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004 Wesley Clark, Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Joe Lieberman, Carol Moseley-Braun, Al Sharpton, or someone else? (NAMES WERE ROTATED.) Democratic Primary Voters 9/28-10/1/03* Democratic Primary Voters 11/10-12/03 CBS Democratic Primary Voters 12/10-13/03 Democratic Primary Voters 12/14-16/03 Democratic Primary Voters 1/12-15/04 Clark Dean Edwards Gephardt Graham 3 Kerry Kucinich Lieberman Moseley-Braun Sharpton Other(vol.) DK/NA NOTE: BOB GRAHAM OFFICIALLY WITHDREW FROM THE PRESIDENTIAL RACE ON OCTOBER 6, Is your mind made up or is it too early to say for sure? Mind made up Too early DK/NA 12/10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03 DPV /12-15/04 DPV

20 34. What is the main reason you would like to see the Democratic party nominate (CANDIDATE NAME ANSWERED TO QUESTION 33)? 1/12-15/04 DPV Stance against Iraq war 1 Iraq war (general) 1 Foreign policy 3 Economy/taxes/jobs 9 Represents the middle class 4 Military background/veteran 6 Most anti-bush 2 Can win November election 8 Issue positions 10 Honesty/integrity 4 Style/leadership 3 Good person 4 Outsider/not from Washington - Experience 4 Understands my problems - From the area 1 Education - Healthcare 1 Pro-union/pro-labor 1 Endorsements - Moderate Ideology 1 Better than the rest 6 Personal characteristics 7 Party leadership 5 Advertising 1 Other 7 DK/NA Would you prefer the Democratic nominee for President be someone who supported the war in Iraq, someone who opposed the war in Iraq, or would this not matter to you? Supported Opposed Doesn't matter DK/NA 8/26-28/03* CBS /28-10/1/03 DPV /10/12/03 DPV CBS /10-13/03 DPV /14-16/03 DPV /21-23/04 DPV CBS /12-15/04 DPV

21 37. Would you prefer the Democratic nominee for President be someone who would eliminate most of the recent Federal tax cuts, someone who would keep most of the recent Federal tax cuts in place, or would this not matter to you? Eliminate cuts Keep cuts Doesn't matter DK/NA 8/26-28/03 DPV /12-15/04 DPV Should presidential candidates discuss the role of religion in their lives or is this something that should not be part of a presidential campaign? Should discuss Not part of campaign DK/NA 9/12-16/84* /12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV Regardless of how you intend to vote, do you think any of the 2004 presidential candidates are using religion improperly in this campaign? Yes No DK/NA 1/12-15/04* /12-15/04 DPV IF ANSWERED YES TO QUESTION 39, ASK: Who is doing this? 1/12-15/04 DPV Dean 3 Kerry - Lieberman - Sharpton 1 Bush 8 Other 2 Don t Know 8 21

22 41. Do you think it is better for the country to have a President who comes from the same political party that controls Congress, or do you think it is better to have a President from one political party and the Congress controlled by another? Better when Better when same party different parties DK/NA 9/ /92* / / /96* / /96* / /96* /96B* /96* /3-5/02* /27-31/02* /20-24/ /12-15/ Do you have confidence in George W. Bush s ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence Uneasy DK/NA 7/00B* /00* CBS /00* CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* /00* /15-17/ /10-12/ /8-12/ /4-5/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /20-24/ /7-9/ /11-13/ /28-10/1/ /12-15/

23 43. Do you have confidence in George W. Bush's ability to make the right decisions about the nation's economy, or are you uneasy about his approach? Confidence Uneasy DK/NA 11/20-24/ /19-22/ /11-13/ /9-12/ /28-10/1/ /12-15/ How much do you think George W. Bush cares about the needs and problems of people like you -- a lot, some, not much or none at all? A Lot Some Not Much None at all DK/NA 3/8-12/ /14-18/ /21-24/ /20-24/ /19-22/ /9-12/ /13-27/ /28-10/1/ /12-15/ Do you think George W. Bush has the same priorities for the country as you have, or not? Has Does not have DK/NA 1/15-17/01 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /19-22/ /5-6/03 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /12-15/ Do you think George W. Bush's presidency has brought different groups of Americans together, or do you think it has divided them? Brought together Divided DK/NA 1/12-15/

24 47. Do you think George W. Bush is in charge of what goes on in his administration most of the time, or do you think other people are really running the government most of the time? Bush in charge Other people running Both Equal DK/NA 3/8-12/ /21-24/ /18-20/02 CBS /13-16/ /19-22/ /10-13/03 CBS /12-15/ Do you think leaders of other countries around the world have respect for George W. Bush, or not? Have respect Do not DK/NA 6/14-18/ /24-26/02 CBS /24-25/03 CBS /7-9/ /11-13/ /28-10/1/ /20-21/ /12-15/ Do you think George W. Bush is more interested in protecting the interests of ordinary Americans or more interested in protecting the interests of large corporations? Ordinary Large Both Americans corporations equal(vol.) DK/NA 7/13-16/ /6-7/02 CBS /3-5/ /12-15/ Do you think the reductions in federal taxes enacted since 2001 have been good for the economy, bad for the economy or haven t they made much difference? Good Bad Not much difference DK/NA 5/9-12/ /28-10/1/ /12-15/

25 51. Compared to when George W. Bush took office, is your family financially better off today, is it worse off financially, or about the same as it was before George W. Bush became president? Better Worse About the same DK/NA 1/12-15/ VARIED WORDING: IS YOUR FAMILY FINANCIALLY BETTER OFF TODAY THAN IT WAS BEFORE GEORGE W. BUSH BECAME PRESIDENT, IS IT WORSE OFF FINANCIALLY OR IS IT ABOUT THE SAME AS IT WAS BEFORE GEORGE W. BUSH BECAME PRESIDENT? BETTER WORSE ABOUT THE SAME DK/NA 9/28-10/1/ In general, do you think the policies of the Bush administration favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or do they treat all groups the same? Rich Middle class Poor All same DK/NA 6/14-18/ /21-24/ /13-16/ /3-5/ /4-6/03 CBS /19-22/ /9-12/ /28-10/1/ /10-12/03 CBS /12-15/ Do you think big business has too much influence, too little influence, or the right amount of influence on the Bush administration? Too much Too little Right amount No influence DK/NA 1/21-24/ /24-26/02 CBS /13-16/ /9-12/ /12-15/

26 54. Do you think the Bush Administration has made a lot of progress, some progress, not much progress, or no progress at all in improving the nation's economy? A lot Some Not much No progress at all DK/NA 1/19-22/ /9-12/ /13-27/ /26-28/03* CBS /12-15/ Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have increased the number of jobs in the United States, decreased the number of jobs, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the number of jobs in the U.S.? Increased Decreased No effect DK/NA 9/28-10/1/ /12-15/ Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made your taxes go up, go down, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected your taxes? Go up Go down No effect DK/NA 9/28-10/1/ /12-15/ Do you think the Bush Administration has made a lot of progress, some progress, not much progress, or no progress at all in reducing the cost of prescription drugs for the elderly? A lot Some Not much No progress at all DK/NA 1/19-22/ /9-12/ /13-27/ /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ Do you think the Bush Administration has made a lot of progress, some progress, not much progress, or no progress at all in making sure Social Security and Medicare are there for future generations? A lot Some Not much No progress at all DK/NA 1/19-22/ /9-12/ /12-15/

27 59. Do you think the Bush Administration has made a lot of progress, some progress, not much progress, or no progress at all in improving public schools? A lot Some Not much No progress at all DK/NA 1/19-22/ /9-12/ /12-15/ Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made the United States safer from terrorism, less safe from terrorism, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the U.S.' safety from terrorism? Safer Less safe No effect DK/NA 9/28-10/1/ /12-15/ Do you think the policies of the Bush Administration have made the United States' image in the Arab world better, made it worse, or have the policies of the Bush Administration not affected the United States' image in the Arab world? Better Worse No effect DK/NA 1/12-15/ RELATED TREND: DO YOU THINK THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION HAS MADE A LOT OF PROGRESS, SOME PROGRESS, NOT MUCH PROGRESS OR NO PROGRESS AT ALL IN IMPROVING THE IMAGE OF THE UNITED STATES IN THE ARAB WORLD? A LOT SOME NOT MUCH NO PROGRESS DK/NA 9/2-5/ /19-22/ Do you favor or oppose mandatory testing of students in public schools each year as a way to determine how well the school is doing educating students? Favor Oppose DK/NA 1/15-17/01 CBS /8-12/ /14-18/ /12-15/

28 63. What about using the results of these kinds of tests to determine whether or not a school can receive federal funds, giving money to schools where students score well on tests and withholding federal money from schools where students score poorly on tests? Would you favor or oppose that? Favor Oppose DK/NA 1/15-17/01 CBS /8-12/ /14-18/ /12-15/ Do you think the result of the war with Iraq was worth the loss of American life and other costs of attacking Iraq or not? Worth it Not worth it DK/NA 8/11-12/03 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ Looking back on it now, do you think the Bush Administration was too quick to get the United States involved in a war in Iraq, too slow, or was the timing about right? Too quick Too slow Timing about right DK/NA 12/10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ Do you think the Bush Administration has focused too much on the Iraq war and not enough on the Al Qaeda terrorists OR too much on the Al Qaeda terrorists and not enough on the Iraq war OR has the balance been about right? Too much Too much Balance on Iraq on Al Qaeda about right DK/NA 1/12-15/

29 67. As a result of the United States' military action against Iraq, do you think the United States is more safe from terrorism, less safe from terrorism, or hasn't it made any difference? More safe Less safe No difference DK/NA 1/12-15/ If Iraq becomes a stable democracy, do you think that will make the United States more safe from terrorism, less safe from terrorism, or won't it make any difference? More secure Less secure No difference DK/NA 9/15-16/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /21-22/03 CBS /12-15/

30 ROTATE BETWEEN QUESTIONS 71 AND In general, is your opinion of the Republican party favorable or not favorable? Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT /19-22/ /88B /9-12/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ /92 CBS /14-16/ / /12-15/ /92* /92* / / / /94 CBS /95 CBS / / / /96* /96* /96B* CBS /96C* /96D* CBS /96* / / / / / /99 CBS / /99 CBS /99 CBS /99 CBS / / /00* /00B* /00D* /00L /8-12/ /14-18/ /21-24/ /13-16/ /3-5/ /27-31/ /20-24/

31 72. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable or not favorable? Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT /13-27/ /88B /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-16/ / /12-15/ /92 CBS / /92* /92* / / / /94 CBS /95 CBS / / / /96* /96* /96B* CBS /96C* /96D* CBS /96* / / / / / /99 CBS / / / / / / /00* /00B* /00D* /00L /8-12/ /14-18/ /21-24/ /13-16/ /3-5/ /27-31/ /20-24/ /19-22/ /9-12/

32 73. Should legal immigration into the United States be kept at its present level, increased, or decreased? Present level Increased Decreased DK/NA 6/24-29/ /25-28/ /19-23/ /21-24/ /8-11/ /18-22/ /3-6/95 NYT /23-27/96 CBS /26-28/ /11-13/ /26-28/ /13-14/ /7-10/ /13-27/ /12-15/ THE GALLUP ORGANIZATION: SHOULD IMMIGRATION BE KEPT AT ITS PRESENT LEVEL, INCREASED OR DECREASED? 2 QUESTION READ: SHOULD IMMIGRATION BE KEPT AT ITS PRESENT LEVEL, INCREASED OR DECREASED? 3 QUESTION READ: SHOULD IMMIGRATION TO THE UNITED STATES BE KEPT AT ITS PRESENT LEVEL, INCREASED OR DECREASED? 4 QUESTION READ: DO YOU THINK IMMIGRATION INTO THE UNITED STATES SHOULD BE INCREASED, DECREASED, OR KEPT ABOUT THE SAME? 5 THE GALLUP ORGANIZATION: IN YOUR VIEW, SHOULD IMMIGRATION BE KEPT AT ITS PRESENT LEVEL, INCREASED, OR DECREASED? 74. Do you think the immigrants coming to this country today take jobs away from American citizens, or do they mostly take jobs Americans don't want? Take jobs from Take jobs American citizens Americans don't want Both DK/NA 6/83 NYT / /93B /94 CBS / /22-24/ /23-27/96 CBS /13-27/ /12-15/ Should immigrants who have entered the U.S. illegally be allowed to apply for work permits which would allow them to stay and work in the United States for three years, or shouldn't they be allowed to do that? Should be allowed Should not DK/NA 1/12-15/

33 76. Generally, do today's immigrants work harder than people born here, not as hard, or isn't there much difference? Harder Not as hard Not much difference DK/NA 6/19-23/ /21-24/ /12-15/ SPLIT HALF ASK EITHER QUESTION 77 OR When it comes to possible weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, has the Bush Administration told the public most of what it knows or has it been hiding important elements of what it knows? Told public Hiding important elements DK/NA 12/10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ Before the war with Iraq, when talking about what they knew about the existence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, do you think the members of the Bush Administration were telling everything they knew, most of what they knew, hiding important elements of what they knew, or mostly lying? Telling Telling Hiding Mostly everything most elements lying DK/NA 11/10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ Are we spending too much, too little, or about the right amount on space exploration programs? Too much Too Little Right Amount DK/NA 10/26-28/ /1-3/99 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /12-15/ Would you favor or oppose the United States sending astronauts to explore Mars? Favor Oppose DK/NA 6/20-22/94 CBS /13-14/97 CBS /1-3/99 CBS /12-15/

34 81. Given the costs and risks involved in manned space exploration, do you think building a permanent space station on the moon is worth it, or not? Worth it Not worth it DK/NA 1/12-15/ These days, how hard is it to keep up with your bills -- very hard, somewhat hard, somewhat easy or very easy? Very hard Somewhat hard Somewhat easy Very easy DK/NA 3/9-12/ /8-12/ /21-24/ /12-15/ How concerned are you that you or someone else in your household will lose their job in the next year? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not very concerned, or not concerned at all? Very Somewhat Not very Not at all DK/NA 5/9-12/ /13-27/ /28-10/1/ /12-15/ RELATED TRENDS: HOW CONCERNED ARE YOU THAT IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS YOU OR SOMEONE ELSE IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD MIGHT BE OUT OF WORK AND LOOKING FOR A JOB -- VERY CONCERNED, SOMEWHAT CONCERNED, OR NOT CONCERNED AT ALL? VERY SOMEWHAT NOT AT ALL DK/NA 10/3-5/ HOW WORRIED ARE YOU THAT IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS YOU OR SOMEONE ELSE IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD MIGHT BE OUT OF WORK AND LOOKING FOR A JOB -- VERY WORRIED, SOMEWHAT WORRIED, OR NOT WORRIED AT ALL? VERY SOMEWHAT NOT AT ALL DK/NA 12/ / /6-7/02 CBS

35 85. Regardless of what you think about George Bush now, looking back to 2000, would you say George W. Bush legitimately won the 2000 presidential election, or not? Legitimately won Did not win legitimately DK/NA 12/00 CBS /15-17/01 CBS /8-12/ /9-12/ /28-10/1/ /10-13/ /14-16/03* /12-15/ QUESTION DID NOT INCLUDE REGARDLESS TO These last few questions are for background only. How important is religion in your daily life? Is it extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not at all important? Extremely Very Somewhat Not at all DK/NA 1/12-15/ President Bush's State of the Union address is scheduled for Tuesday evening, January 20th. How likely is it you will watch the President's State of the Union address next Tuesday? Is it very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely? Very Somewhat Not very Not at all DK/NA 1/12-15/

36 Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep Dem Ind DK/NA Rep Dem Ind DK/NA 1/92A / /92B /98B /92A / /92B / / / / / /92A / / /98B / /98C /92B /98A /92A /98B /92D / /92E / /92A / /92A / /92C / /92D / /92E / / /00B / /00A / /00D / / /93A / /93A /00L /93B /8-12/ / /14-18/ / /25-28/ / /7-10/ / /21-24/ / /28-5/1/ / /13-16/ / /2-5/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / / /96 NYT / / /96C / / /96C / / / /

37 Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican party or to the Democratic party? PERCENTAGES INCLUDE THE RESULTS OF THE PREVIOUS QUESTION Rep Dem DK/NA Rep Dem DK/NA 1/92A / /92B / /92A / /92B / / /98B / / /92A / / / / / /92B / /92A / /92D /98C /92E /98A /92A /98B /92A / /92C / /92D / /92E / / / / / / / /93A /00B /93A /00A /93B /00D / / / / / /00L / /8-12/ / /14-18/ / /20-23/ / /15-17/02 CBS / /21-24/ / /24-26/02 CBS / /13-16/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ /96 NYT /12-15/ / / /96C / / /96C / /

38 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Lib Mod Con DK/NA Lib Mod Con DK/NA 1/92A / /92B / /92A / /92B / / /98B / / /92A / / / / / /92B / /92A / /92D /98C /92E /98A /92A /98B /92C / /92D / /92E / / / / / / / / / /93A /00B /93A /00A /93B /00D / /7-10/ / /21-24/ / /28-5/1/ / /13-16/ / /2-5/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / / / / / / / / /96C / / /96C / /