Bay Area Houston Economic Partnership Demographic Report. October 2014

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1 Bay Area Houston Economic Partnership Demographic Report October 2014

2 BAHEP Region Represented by 17 Zip Codes

Population Trend 1990 to 2014 329,091 406,765 477,733 506,123 7,376 new residents each year from 1990 to 2014. 1.8% average annual growth 7,097 average each year in the 2000 s.

3 Population Trend 1990 to , , , ,123 7,376 new residents each year from 1990 to % average annual growth 7,097 average each year in the 2000 s. 7,097 average each year in the 2010 s Source: US Bureau of the Census, Nielsen/Claritas 2014 estimates PCensus for Arcview

4 Households by Income Bay Area 2000 Census 2014 Estimate Change Count Share Count Share Count Household Income Groups - Total Households 146, ,255 33,736 % Change Less than $15,000 15, % 17, % 1, % $15,000 to $24,999 14, % 16, % 2, % $25,000 to $34,999 17, % 17, % % $35,000 to $49,999 23, % 21, % -1, % $50,000 to $74,999 31, % 32, % % $75,000 to $99,999 19, % 23, % 3, % $100,000 to $149,999 16, % 28, % 12, % $150,000 to $249,999 5, % 15, % 9, % $250,000 to $499,999 1, % 5, % 3, % $500,000 or more % 1, % 1, % Average Household Income $62,479 $82,075 Source: US Bureau of the Census 2000, Nielsen/Claritas 2014 estimates PCensus for Arcview

5 Labor Force & Occupations Bay Area 2000 Census 2014 Estimate Change Count Share Count Share Count % Change Occupation Employed Population Age , ,899 54, % Architect/Engineer 10, % 12, % 1, % Arts/Entertainment/Sports 2, % 3, % % Building Grounds Maintenance 4, % 8, % 4, % Business/Financial Operations 8, % 10, % 2, % Community/Social Services 2, % 2, % % Computer/Mathematical 6, % 7, % % Construction/Extraction 13, % 18, % 4, % Education/Training/Library 11, % 16, % 5, % Farm/Fish/Forestry % % % Food Preparation/Serving 8, % 12, % 4, % Health Practitioner/Technician 8, % 14, % 5, % Healthcare Support 2, % 3, % 1, % Maintenance and Repair 9, % 10, % % Legal 1, % 1, % % Life/Physical/Social Science 2, % 2, % % Management (2014 inc. farmers/farm managers) 18, % 24, % 6, % Office/Administration Support 28, % 29, % % Production 14, % 17, % 3, % Protective Services 3, % 4, % 1, % Sales/Related 22, % 25, % 3, % Personal Care/Services 4, % 7, % 2, % Transportation/Moving 9, % 13, % 4, % Source: US Bureau of the Census 2000, Nielsen/Claritas 2014 estimates PCensus for Arcview

6 Engineers & Architects One out of eight Houston Area Engineers & Architects live in the Bay Area Bay Area Engineers and Architects = 12,054, 4.9% of the labor force Houston MSA Engineers and Architects = 91, % of the labor force Source: Nielsen/Claritas 2014 estimates PCensus for Arcview

7 Census Employment Trend 2004 to , , , , , , , , ,093 3,694 new jobs each year from 2004 to % average annual growth Source: US Bureau of the Census, County Business Patterns, 2012, Does not include government.

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

8 Single-Family Housing Market Existing S.F. Home Sales Total S.F. Homes 2014 = 131,463 units Total S.F Homes before 1990 = 81,800 units 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 $220,000 $200,000 $180,000 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 Average Price Trend $200,000 $180,000 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 Median Price Trend Compared to Houston Overall Houston MSA BAHEP Source: Houston Association of Realtors, Nielsen/Claritas 2014 estimates PCensus for Arcview

9 New Single-Family Housing Total New S.F. Homes built 2006 to 2013 = 13,403 3,000 New S.F. Home Starts and Closings Total New S.F. Homes sold 2006 to 2013 = 14,303 Average 1,675 built annually from ,500 2,000 1,500 1, Starts Closings

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Apartment Market Total Apartments 2014 = 52,472

10 Apartment Market Total Apartments 2014 = 52,472 units in 265 Properties Total Apartments before 1990 = 37,937 units in 198 properties 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Annual Apartment Construction, Units 96% 94% 92% 90% 88% 86% 84% 82% 80% Apartment Occupancy Trend $1.20 $1.10 $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 Apartment Rent Trend, $/SF per month All Class A Source: O Connor & Associates, Apartment Database

2Q 2005 1Q 2006 4Q 2006 3Q 2007 2Q 2008 1Q 2009 4Q 2009 3Q 2010 2Q 2011 1Q 2012 4Q 2012 3Q 2013 2Q 2014 3Q 2005 2Q 2006 1Q 2007 4Q 2007 3Q 2008 2Q 2009 1Q 2010 4Q 2010 3Q 2011 2Q 2012 1Q 2013 4Q 2013

11 2Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q 2014 Office Market Total Office Space, 2012 = million square feet Office space before 1990 = 8.27 million square feet 500, , , , ,000 0 Annual Office Construction, Square Feet % Office Occupancy Trend Office Rent Trend $ % $ % $ % $ % $ % $15.00 Source: O Connor & Associates, Office Database

12 2Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q 2014 Retail Market Total Retail Space, 2014 = million square feet Retail space before 1990 = million square feet 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 0 Annual Retail Construction, Square Feet 93% 92% 91% 90% 89% 88% 87% 86% 85% 84% Retail Occupancy Trend Retail Rent Trend $2.00 $1.80 $1.60 $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 Source: O Connor & Associates, Shopping Centers Database, includes only centers with more than 10,000 square feet

13 Retail Sales Bay Area $10,000 Total Retail Sales, Millions $ $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 Drop in Bay Area Sales 2008 to 2009 = 6.0% Increase in Bay Area Sales 2009 to 2013 = 61.9% $6,000 $5,000 Increase in Bay Area Sales 2003 to 2014 = 122.8% $4,000 $3, Source: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts

14 Population Projection 1990 to 2040 Population in thousands ,454 new residents each year from 1990 to ,898 average each year in the 00 s 8,377 average each year 2010 to Source:, forecasts for the Grand Parkway Traffic and Revenue Study, CDM Smith, 2014.

Jobs Projection 1990 to 2040 Jobs in thousands 140 176 192 212 227 239 250 261 3,650 new jobs each year from 2000 to 2010.

15 Jobs Projection 1990 to 2040 Jobs in thousands ,650 new jobs each year from 2000 to ,822 average each year 2015 to Source:, forecasts for the Grand Parkway Traffic and Revenue Study, CDM Smith, 2014.

16 QUESTIONS/COMMENTS Ty Jacobsen

Transitions: 2019 Economic Forecast for Metro Denver February 6, 2019

Transitions: 2019 Economic Forecast for Metro Denver February 6, 2019 Prepared by: Can Stock Photo / jkirsh In Partnership with: Consumer Changes and Influences Slowing population growth Aging of the population