ICES advice for North western waters. Martin Pastoors (vice-chair of ICES Advisory Committee

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1 ICES advice for 2009 North western waters Presented at: North Western RAC, Madrid, 3-4 July 2008 Martin Pastoors (vice-chair of ICES Advisory Committee

2 Sustainable exploitation is the key to fisheries management

3 You are looking for relevant information on sustainable exploitation

4 ICES has released new information on the status of ecosystems and fish

5 You want to be on top of the new information

6 Review the basis and the content of the new information How? Big picture? My stock?

7 1. How did we do it?

8 Changed to one integrated advice ACOM Fisheries Ecosystems Environment

9 New timing: advice early in the year

10 No new advice

11 Still to come: data workshops

12 Still to come: fisheries & ecosystem focus

13 2. The big picture?

14 Stock status largely similar to last year N green orange red unknown green orange red unknown Number of stocks in Celtic Seas and West of Scotland relative to biomass reference points

15 Nephrops advice: stocks appear stable

16 Sharks and Rays advice: reason for concern

17 3. What happened to my stock?

18 Stocks overview WG 1- West of Scotland Cod Haddock Anglerfish (*) Nephrops Saithe Megrim (*) Whiting (*) WG4 - Stocks in Irish Sea Cod Haddock Plaice Nephrops Sole Whiting (*) WG2 - Southwest Cod (VIIe-k) Haddock (VIIb-k) (*) Anglerfish (VIIb-k, VIIIab) (*) Plaice (Celtic Sea, VIIIh-k (*), VIIbc (*) Northern hake Nephrops Sole (Celtic Sea, VIIh-k (*), VIIbc (*) Whiting (VIIe-k) (*) Megrim (VIIc-k, VIIIabd) (*) (* No new advice in 2008) WG3 Channel Plaice in VIId (*) Plaice in VIIe (*) Sole in VIId Sole in VIIe Cod in IV, VIId and Skagerrak

19 Cod VIIe-k home WG2

20 Cod in Divisions VIIe-k: trends Landings Fishing mortality tonnes F(2-5) Flim Fpa Recruitment SSB age 1 () Bpa Blim

21 Cod VIIe-k: advice Advice last year Low R, lowest observed SSB: zero catch zero catch SSB ~ B pa in 2009 New advice 50% reduction in fishing mortality. This F corresponds to high long-term yield and low risk of stock depletion. Landings of 2600 t SSB is expected to reach Bpa in 2010.

22 Celtic Sea Plaice (VIIfg) home WG2

23 Celtic Sea Plaice: trends Landings Fishing mortality tonnes F(3-6) F(pa) undefined F(lim) undefined Recruitment SSB age 1 () Bpa Blim

24 Celtic Sea Plaice VIIfg: advice Last year 60% reduction in F to increase SSB to B pa in landings 240 t in 2008 consideration: otherwise recovery plan This year 75% reduction in F needed to increase SSB to around Bpa in Corresponds to landings of less than 170 t in 2009.

25 Celtic Sea Sole (VIIfg) home WG2

26 Celtic Sea Sole: trends Landings Fishing mortality tonnes F(4-8) Flim Fpa Recruitment SSB age 1 () Blim undefined Bpa

27 Celtic Sea Sole: advice Last year Fish at F pa, expected to keep stock above B pa Landings t. This year Stock that is above Bpa Fishing mortality below Fpa No long-term gain in yield to increase F. ICES recommends status quo F: landings no more than 940 t.

28 Northern hake (IIIa, IV, VI, VII, VIIIabd) home

29 Northern hake: trends Landings Fishing mortality tonnes F(2-6) Flim Fpa Recruitment SSB age 0 () Bpa Blim

30 Northern hake: advice Last year According to recovery plan: target F= ,000 t TAC change: 3% This year Fpa = maximum fishing mortality recovery plan Landings for 2009 should not exceed t. home

31 Nephrops in Subarea VII Ire NW coast Irish Sea East 13 Irish Sea West J Porcupine bank Aran Grounds Ire SW&SE coast Celtic Sea home WG2

32 Nephrops in VII: landings Other rectangles Celtic Sea FU Ireland SW& SEast coast FU19 Aran Grounds FU17 Porcupine bank FU 16 Irish Sea West FU Irish Sea East FU

33 Nephrops in VII: approaches

34 Nephrops in VII: trends Porcupine bank Irish Sea East 13 Irish Sea West J Aran Grounds Ire SW&SE coast Celtic Sea

35 Nephrops: advice Advice in 2006 Total landings relative stable constrain fisheries to recent levels of effort at Functional Unit This year Porcupine Apparent low recruitment Recent expansion of the fishery ~ increased exploitation. Reduce exploitation rate: restrict catches to no more than 1000t (catch level before the expansion of the fishery ( ). Other areas Current fishery appears sustainable Constrain to recent average effort and landings (2007)

36 Anglerfish in VIIb-k and VIIIabd Lophius budegassa (black bellied angler) No new advice Lophius piscatorius (angler) home WG2

37 Anglerfish in VIIb-k and VIIIa,b,d Landings and survey information do not change stock perception Same advice as in 2007: indicators point to the stocks being stable. ICES recommends that the landings [..] should not exceed the average landings of ~ tonnes.

38 Megrim in Divisions VIIb-k and VIIIabd L. whiffiagonis (megrim) No new advice home WG2

39 Megrim in VII and VIII New survey data do not change stock perception Advice same as in survey indicators and commercial data series point to the stock being stable. Landings of L. whiffiagonis in 2009 should not exceed the average landings of ~ tonnes.

40 Plaice Southwest of Ireland (VIIh-k) No new advice home WG2

41 Plaice in VIIh-k: advice New data do not change stock perception Advice is the same as in 2007 Catches should be no more than the recent average ( ) of around 177 t, in order to avoid an expansion of the fishery until there is more information to facilitate an adequate assessment.

42 Plaice West of Ireland (VIIbc) No new advice home WG2

43 Plaice in VIIbc: advice New data do not change stock perception Same advice as in 2007 Catches should be no more than the recent average ( ) of around 40 t, in order to avoid an expansion of the fishery until there is more information to facilitate an adequate assessment.

44 Sole Southwest of Ireland (VIIh-k) No new advice home WG2

45 Sole in VIIh-k New data do not change stock perception Advice same as in 2007 Catches should be no more than the recent average ( ) of around 300 t avoid an expansion of the fishery until there is more information to facilitate an adequate assessment.

46 Sole West of Ireland (VIIbc) No new advice home WG2

47 Sole VIIb,c: advice New landings data do not change stock perception Advice same as in 2007: Catches should be no more than the recent average ( ) of around 50 t Avoid an expansion of the fishery until there is more information to facilitate an adequate assessment.

48 Haddock VIIb-k No new advice home WG2

49 Haddock VIIb-k Updated exploratory assessment does not change stock perception Same advice as in 2007 Future catches and SSB will be highly dependent on the strength of incoming year classes and their discard mortality. No strong recruitment has been observed since 2002 and estimated recruitment for 2006 is the lowest since In this context the stock should be managed by ensuring that fishing effort is not allowed to increase.

50 Whiting VIIe-k No new advice home WG2

51 Whiting VIIe-k: advice New exploratory assessment does not change stock perception Advice same as in 2007 The current estimates of fishing mortality and SSB are uncertain, but SSB shows a decreasing trend while recruitment is low. fishing mortality should be reduced. ICES cannot quantify the required reduction in fishing mortality.

52 Whiting VIIe-k: consideration surveys do indicate that the 2007 year class may be strong. Management measures should be introduced in the Celtic Sea to reduce discarding Maximize the contribution to future yield and SSB.

53 Back to the big picture?

54 Stock status: similar to last year green orange red unknown

55 New advice on nephrops and Sharks and Rays

56 We are changing the advisory process

57 Still to come: data workshops & integration

58 ICES and RACs: manage the process of change

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