Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX

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1 Demographic Characteristics and Trends of Bexar County and San Antonio, TX Leadership San Antonio Understand Infrastructure. Prepare for Growth. May 2, 2012 San Antonio, TX

2 Select Growing States, Population* 2010 Population* Numerical Change Percent Change United States 281,421, ,745,538 27,323, % Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293, % California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382, % Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818, % Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501, % North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486, % Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261, % 15.7% of numerical change in U.S. Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts. 2

3 Total Population by County, 2010 Total Population Population % Change, 2000 to 2010 Number of People 82-9,999 10,000-24,999 25,000-99, , ,999 1,000,000-4,092,459 Percent Change -21% % -10% % 0% % 25% % 55% % Source: U.S. Census Bureau P.L Redistricting Data. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 3

4 Select Growing Counties, Population* 2010 Population* Numeric Change Percent Change Harris County 3,400,578 4,092, , Dallas County 2,218,899 2,368, , Tarrant County 1,446,219 1,809, , Bexar County 1,392,931 1,714, , Travis County 812,280 1,024, , Guadalupe County 89, ,533 42, % Comal County 78, ,472 30, % Wilson County 32,408 42,918 10, % Kendall County 23,743 33,410 9, % Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts. 4

5 Select Growing U.S. Cities, Population* 2010 Population* Numeric Change Percent Change New York, NY 8,008,278 8,175, , % Los Angeles, CA 3,694,820 3,796,621 97, % Chicago, IL 2,896,016 2,695, , % Houston, TX 1,953,631 2,099, , % Philadelphia, PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8, % Phoenix, AZ 1,321,045 1,445, , % San Antonio, TX 1,144,646 1,327, , % San Diego, CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84, % Dallas, TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9, % San Jose, CA 894, ,942 50, % Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts. 5

6 Numeric and Percent Change of Top 10 Fastest Growing MSAs, , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, Numeric Change Percent Change 6

7 Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, Year* Population Numerical Change** Percent Change Percent Change Due to Natural Increase Net Migration ,711, ,579,677 1,868, ,196,730 1,617, ,229,191 3,032, ,986,510 2,757, ,851,820 3,865, ,782,302 3,930, ,145,561 4,293, ,674, , All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2009 and 2011 are for July 1, as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous decade/time period Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center. 7

8 Components of Change for Bexar County, Area Total Population Change Natural Increase Vital Events Net Migration Total Percent Births Deaths Total Percent International Domestic Texas 529, , , , , , ,315 Harris County Dallas County Travis County Bexar County 88,452 61, ,975 27,735 27, ,187 3,156 47,875 34, ,851 17,642 13, ,203-1,511 38,858 14, ,273 5,608 23, ,461 17,453 41,376 19, ,357 13,822 21, ,605 17,000 Value for 2010 is for the decennial census conducted April 1, Values for 2011 are for July 1, as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. ** Change is from previous time period Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center. 8

9 Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Other 2000 NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Other 2010 NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Other 2% 12% 11% 4% 11% 6% 45% 25% 61% 32% 53% 38% Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census counts. 9

10 Bexar County Racial and Ethnic Composition, NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Other 2000 NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Other 2010 NH White Hispanic NH Black NH Other 7% 1% 42% 7% 3% 36% 7% 4% 30% 50% 54% 59% Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census counts. 10

11 1990 NH White NH Black San Antonio Racial and Ethnic Composition, Hispanic NH Other 2000 NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Other 2010 NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Other 1% 3% 4% 7% 36% 6% 32% 6% 27% 56% 59% 63% Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1990, 2000, and 2010 Census counts. 11

12 Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, % 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Anglo Black Hispanic Other 0% Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, Migration Scenario. 12

13 Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Bexar County, % 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% White Black Hispanic Other 10% 0% Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, Migration Scenario. 13

14 Texas Population Pyramids by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Median age Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer. 14

15 Texas Population Pyramid, 2010 Median age Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer. 15

16 Percent Age Group as a Percentage of the Total Bexar County Population, Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer. 16

17 Percent Percent Change in Population by Age Group, Texas San Antonio Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Summary File 1 data by the Office of the State Demographer. 17

18 Percent of Persons Aged 65 Years and Older in Texas Counties, 2000 Census and 2040 Projected Percent 5% - 9.9% 10% % 15% % 20% % 25% % Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 0.5 Migration Scenario. Maps produced by the Office of the State Demographer. 18

19 Projected Population Among Older Texans 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500, to to plus 1,000, ,000 0 Source: Texas State Data Center, Projection Scenario. 19

20 Projected Population Among Seniors in Bexar County 200, , , , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20, to to plus Source: Texas State Data Center, Projection Scenario. 20

21 Implications for Education, the Labor Force, Health Care, and Transportation 21

22 Percent Educational Attainment for Population 25 and Over 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Less than High School High School or equivalency Some college or Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Graduate or Professional degree Texas Bexar County San Antonio Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates. 22

23 Percent Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity, % 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% NH White Hispanic NH White Hispanic Texas San Antonio Less than High School High School or equivalency Some college or Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Graduate or Professional degree Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates. 23

24 Socioeconomic Characteristics for San Antonio Population 25 Years Plus, 2010 Percent Educational Attainment Median Earnings Percent in Poverty Less than High School High School or equivalency Some college or Associate s degree Bachelor s degree Graduate or Professional degree $18,379 $23,395 $30,360 $46,169 $61, * -- Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates. Note: Percent in poverty for population with Bachelor s degree also includes those with graduate and professional degrees 24

25 Percent Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and No High School Diploma High School Graduate Some College Bachelor's Degree Graduate/Professional Degree Source: Texas State Data Center Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.

26 Health Insurance Coverage Status, 2009 Adults aged 18 to 64 Children aged 18 and under Number Uninsured Percent Uninsured Number Uninsured Percent Uninsured Texas 4,607, ,205, Bexar County 282, , Harris County 830, , Dallas County 553, , Travis County 184, , Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Small Area Health Insurance Estimates. 26

27 Projected Increase in Obesity in Texas by Ethnicity, 2006 to 2040 Source: Office of the State Demographer using 2006 Texas State Data Center Population Projections, Migration Scenario 27

28 Projected Number of Adults with Diabetes by Race and Ethnicity, Texas, ,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 Total Latino Anglo African American Other 0 Source: Office of the State Demographer using 2006 Texas State Data Center Population Projections, Migration Scenario 28

29 Sizing and Serving Texas Urban Gaps 29

30 Sizing and Serving Texas Urban Gaps Urban gaps identified in the following urbanized areas: Amarillo Austin Beaumont College Station Bryan Corpus Christi Dallas Fort Worth Arlington Denton Lewisville El Paso Galveston Houston Killeen Longview Lubbock Midland Odessa Port Arthur San Antonio Temple Texarkana Tyler Victoria Waco Wichita Falls Source: Texas Department of Transportation: RMC Texas A&M University/Texas Transportation Institute & University of Texas at San Antonio, Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research

31 Urban Transit Gap Findings Estimated 4.2 million persons living in urban gaps in 2010 Urbanized area Dallas-Fort Worth- Arlington Percent of Texas Urban Gap Population, 2010 Percent of Urbanized Area Population 45.9% 38.1% Houston 31.1% 27.3% San Antonio 4.6% 12.5% Austin 5.0% 17.8% Source: Texas Department of Transportation: RMC Texas A&M University/Texas Transportation Institute & University of Texas at San Antonio, Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research 31

32 Demographics & Destiny 32

33 Contact Office of the State Demographer Office: (512) or (210) Website: 33

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