OMS-MISO Survey RASC 01/10/2018

Transcription

1 OMS-MISO Survey RASC 01/10/2018 1

2 Purpose & Key Takeaways Purpose: Updated OMS-MISO Potential (new resource) proposal based on stakeholder feedback Key Takeaways: Modifications made to the DPP weighting More weight applied to the later phases of the DPP Study Propose moving up by a week the schedule for 2018 OMS-MISO survey, compared to previous years, so that results can be reported during June Board week 2

3 Adjustments to proposal for OMS-MISO survey Potential (new resources) focused on DPP study phase weighting v. Proposal Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting Jan. Proposal Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting t = 10% Phase 1 = 10% Phase 2 = 25% Phase 3 = 50% GIA = 100% t = 10.0% Phase 1 = 10.0% Phase 2 = 50.0% n-intermittent, 25.0% Intermittent Phase 3 = 75.0% n-intermittent, 50.0% Intermittent GIA in Progress = 90.0% (nprovisional) DPP Study Phase Weighting is applied to recognize that as projects move through the queue process they generally become more certain 3

4 GW of Comparison of Potential (new resources) as proposed vs. the 2017 OMS-MISO survey Potential new capacity in 2017 OMS-MISO survey MISO Proposal - Potential new capacity for 2018 OMS-MISO survey January MISO Proposal - Potential new capacity for 2018 OMS-MISO survey 4 *In service dates are extended to reflect expected GIA dates and possible construction timelines This number can t be compared directly to slide 6 numbers for phase 2 &3. This numbers reflects the new weighting under the MISO proposal for the entire queue as of Sept 2017

5 January RASC proposal for OMS-MISO survey Potential (new resources) Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting Requested In- Service Date DPP Study Cycle t Wind 15.6% Solar 50% All other 100% t = 10% Phase 1 = 10% Phase 2 = 50% n- Intermittent, 25% Intermittent Phase 3 = 75% n- Intermittent, 50% Intermittent GIA in Progress = 90% If requested inservice date is prior to 2018, projects would be moved to their DPP study cycle end date, unless an updated date is provided in the OMS-MISO Survey If the DPP Study Cycle hadn t started, then project requested in-service dates would be moved to their DPP study cycle end date plus 2 years, unless an updated date is provided in the OMS-MISO Survey DPP Study Phase Weighting is applied to recognize that as projects move through the queue process they generally become more certain In-service adjusted if the DPP Study Cycle t to recognize that a project likely can t get capacity credit until at least the end of the DPP study cycle and additional 2 years to to reflect expected GIA dates and possible construction timelines 5

6 Example: 100 MW wind resource in phase 2 of the DPP study cycle with a anticipated in service date of 12/1/2019 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 100 MW X Wind X Phase 2 = = 15.6% 25% 3.9 MW 12/1/2019 Requested In- Service Date After 2018 Adjustment DPP Study Cycle t DPP Phase Adjustment Potential for Planning Year 2020/21 6 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.

7 2018 OMS-MISO survey tentative schedule Propose sending out and returning the 2018 OMS-MISO survey a week earlier than previous years Date Would accommodate the June System Planning Committee, which is scheduled a week earlier than previous years Deliverable 2/7/2018 Review feedback from the RASC for the OMS-MISO Survey 3/7/2018 Finalized OMS-MISO Survey to include more new potential resources at the RASC 3/26/2018 Send out the OMS-MISO Survey to the LSEs 4/4/2018 Instructional training on the OMS-MISO Survey 4/11/2018 Instructional training on the OMS-MISO Survey 4/20/2018 OMS-MISO Surveys due back to MISO June 2018 OMS-MISO Survey Executive presentation 7/11/2018 OMS-MISO Detailed Presentation for the July RASC 7

8 Next steps Requesting feedback on updated proposal and the OMS-MISO survey tentative schedule Comments due back by January 20,

9 9 EXAMPLES

10 Example: 1000 MW gas resource in phase 1 of the DPP study cycle with a anticipated in service date of 10/1/2017 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 1000 MW X X Phase 1 = 10% = Applied 100 MW 10/1/2017 Requested In- Service Date Prior to 2018 Adjusted In- Service Date 2/1/2019 DPP Study Cycle t DPP Phase Adjustment Potential for Planning Year 2019/20 10 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.

11 Example: 100 MW solar resource, DPP study cycle hasn t started, with a anticipated in service date of 4/1/2019 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 100 MW X Solar 50% X t = = 10% 5 MW 4/1/2019 Requested In- Service Date After 2018 Adjustment DPP Study Cycle t DPP Study Cycle End Date 10/01/2019 Plus 2 Years 10/1/2021 Potential for Planning Year 2022/23 11 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.

12 Example: 500 MW gas resource in phase 3 of the DPP study cycle with a anticipated in service date of 5/1/2019 Apply Apply DPP Study Phase Weighting 500 MW X X Phase 3 = 75% = Applied 375 MW 5/1/2019 Requested In- Service Date After 2018 Adjustment DPP Study Cycle t DPP Phase Adjustment Potential for Planning Year 2019/20 12 Adjusted in-service data has to be before start of Planning Year (June) to qualify for that Planning Year.