Today. Decline of Parties. Machines New Deal Realignment. In Electorate In Nominations In Government?

Save this PDF as:
 WORD  PNG  TXT  JPG

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Today. Decline of Parties. Machines New Deal Realignment. In Electorate In Nominations In Government?"

Transcription

1 Today Decline of Parties In Electorate In Nominations In Government? Machines New Deal Realignment

2 The New Deal Party System Crash and Depression Hoover s cautious response, Roosevelt s cautious campaign Election of 1932 New Party Alignment Democrats: Catholic, Jewish, urban, labor, working class, blacks Republicans: professions, business, rich, native rural Protestants New Cleavage: Government Role in Economy & Income Democratic Party s long return to dominance Sources of Democratic Coalition Stability FDR appeal, depression efforts, war leadership State control and seniority incentives Historical legacy label, exclusion of blacks

3 Consolidation and Change Consolidation in North and South Postwar Southern Politics Rise of the New South Third party defections in 1948, 1968 New era of ticket-splitting Turning points: 1958 midterms, Goldwater campaign (1964) Fusion of racial and economic ideology (ambitious politicians) Transformation into competitive party politics New Supplemental Cleavages/Issues Cold War New Social Issues (law & order, race, environment, education) New Cultural Issues (abortion, family values, religion, sex)

4 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Democratic Presidential Vote, Border South vs. Deep South Deep South Average Border South Average

5 Republican Officeholding in the South, Governorships U.S. House and Senate Seats State House and Senate Seats Proportion of Seats Held by GOP

6 Choosing the Chosen Nomination Process Reform

7 Choosing the Chosen Importance of Recruitment & Nomination Process Political Leadership Qualities of the Process Open? Competitive? Rational? Democratic? Contemporary Complaints What It Takes: permanent campaign, money, loss of privacy What It Gives: pander & sidestep, quality of information, tone Effect of Selection Process on Kind of Leader

8 Evolution of Candidate Selection The Electoral College Hopes for a deliberative search committee Caucus and Convention System Legislative Caucus Delegate Convention System Party Primary Purpose of Primaries Mixed System: Primaries & Conventions

9

10 Turning Points 1960 John F. Kennedy Media savvy Lessons Popular outsider It s the Television, Stupid! (changing tools & changing rules) The Sixties: Radicals & Right-Wingers Barry Goldwater v. Nelson Rockefeller (1964) Johnson, Humphrey, McCarthy, Kennedy Democrats 68 The Chicago Convention

11 Recommendations for Reform Aftermath of 1968 McGovern-Fraser Commission ( ) Reform Proposals Public Notice Closed Primary Proportional Representation Modified Quotas New Incentives Encourage primaries Encourage better candidates

12 Party Reform Differences in Party Rules Democrats Openness requirements Proportional allocation + Minority/Woman quotas Republicans State deference Winner-take-all Rise of Primaries Application of new rules by state legislatures Mixture of open and closed primaries 1968: 17 (D), 16 (R), 41-43% of delegates 1980: 30 (D), 33 (R), 71-75% of delegates 1996: 34 (D), 41 (R), 62-81% of delegates 2000: 40 (D), 42 (R)

13 Carter 1976 An unknown: 4 years state senate + 4 as governor. What s my Line? Late % before Iowa. Winning elements: Time. Early Entry. Momentum.Iowa..New Hampshire = 16% Scoop Jackson, George Wallace skip NH. Mo Udall 2 nd Lessons or Not Advantages outsiders. Party loses control.

14 No Repeat of Carter Others Catch on: 7 of 8 Contested Races won by pre-iowa Frontrunner 7 of 8 winners forecasted by $$$.

15 Presidential Primary Politics Frontloading Media and Momentum Impact of Frontloading Early withdrawal? Higher turnout? The Long Campaign

16 Frontloading: Clinching the Nomination 250 Republicans 200 Days until Nomination Clinched Democrats

17 Frontloading: Rate of Delegate Selection Delegates Chosen by End of Week Percentage of Delegates Democrats Republicans

18 Presidential Primary Politics Frontloading Media and Momentum Impact of Frontloading Early withdrawal? Higher turnout? The Long Campaign

19 U.S. Map Resized by Electoral College Vote (1984)

20 U.S. Map Resized by News Media Coverage of Nominations

21 Presidential Primary Politics Frontloading Media and Momentum Impact of Frontloading Early withdrawal? Higher turnout? The Long Campaign

22 OPEN QUESTIONS Do primaries give more power to extremists? What is the role of parties? Is the process representative?

23 New Hampshire Primary Voters (Compared to Same-Party Voters Elsewhere) REPUBLICANS Similar in race Similar in gender Younger Better educated Slightly wealthier More catholics, fewer protestants Larger share of independents Similar share of strong identifiers Smaller share of weak identifiers Similar ideology (labels) More pro-choice Less religious right DEMOCRATS Fewer (almost no) minorities Similar in gender Younger Better educated Considerably wealthier More catholics, fewer protestants Much larger share of independents Much smaller share of strong IDers Much smaller share of weak IDers More liberal, less conservative

24 Republican Activists Average Lib/Con Index Position Independents Republican Identifiers Democratic Identifiers 35 Democratic Activists Source: ANES Cumulative Data File. Note: Activists are defined as respondents who engaged in 3 or more campaign activities as coded in vcf0723.

PRIMARY AND GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGNS IN THE UNITED STATES. November 5, 2012 Hans Noel Georgetown University

PRIMARY AND GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGNS IN THE UNITED STATES. November 5, 2012 Hans Noel Georgetown University PRIMARY AND GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGNS IN THE UNITED STATES November 5, 2012 Hans Noel Georgetown University PRIMARY AND GENERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGNS IN THE UNITED STATES NOMINATIONS Origins of U.S. Primaries

More information

Daron Shaw Department of Government University of Texas at Austin

Daron Shaw Department of Government University of Texas at Austin Issues, Ideology, Gender, and Race in the 2008 Election Daron Shaw Department of Government University of Texas at Austin Hosted by the s Opportunity 08 project In partnership with the Center for the Study

More information

The American Electorate of the 21st Century. Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais NDN Fellows and Co-authors of Millennial Makeover

The American Electorate of the 21st Century. Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais NDN Fellows and Co-authors of Millennial Makeover The American Electorate of the 21st Century Morley Winograd and Michael D. Hais NDN Fellows and Co-authors of Millennial Makeover New American Demographics The New America: America Is a Dynamic and Changing

More information

Purpose. The purpose of our paper is to analyze changes in the American electorate and how they are changing the American party system itself.

Purpose. The purpose of our paper is to analyze changes in the American electorate and how they are changing the American party system itself. 2013 State of the Parties Paper Summary The Changing American Voter and Party System by Edward Hasecke, Wittenberg University and Joel Lieske, Cleveland State University with the assistance of Kasey Fisher,

More information

CHAPTER 16 JUSTIFICATION FOR THE SPORTS PLAYOFF SYSTEM

CHAPTER 16 JUSTIFICATION FOR THE SPORTS PLAYOFF SYSTEM CHAPTER 16 JUSTIFICATION FOR THE SPORTS PLAYOFF SYSTEM In the good old days, say the 1940s and 1950s, professional sports in the United States were played without finishing the season with a series of

More information

The Red & Blue Nation

The Red & Blue Nation The Red & Blue Nation & 4 election outcomes Partisanship Ideology Dem. & Rep. States: & 4 8 Outcome Source: Dave Leip s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections http://www.uselectionatlas.org/results/ Partisanship

More information

Illinois General Exit Poll

Illinois General Exit Poll Page 1 of 5 Number of Interviews - 1,896 Are you: (n=1,863) Male 47 45 42 12 - Female 53 53 36 10 - Sex by race (n=1,830) White male 37 37 47 14 - White female 40 44 44 11 - Non-white male 10 73 23 3 -

More information

VIEWS ON STEM CELL RESEARCH ----March August More important to... More important to... Change in Conduct research

VIEWS ON STEM CELL RESEARCH ----March August More important to... More important to... Change in Conduct research VIEWS ON STEM CELL RESEARCH ----March 2002---- ----August 2004---- More important to... More important to... Change in conduct Total 43 38 19=100 52 34 14=100 +9 Sex Male 47 35 18 53 33 14 +6 Female 39

More information

Political Forecast for 2016

Political Forecast for 2016 Political Forecast for 2016 Dr. Susan A. MacManus University of South Florida, Tampa Dept. of Govt. & Intl. Affairs Anthony Cilluffo, Georgia Pevy, David Bonanza Research Associates FSASE Canvassing Board

More information

CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement. Electoral Engagement Among Minority Youth

CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement. Electoral Engagement Among Minority Youth FACT SHEET CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement Electoral Engagement Among Minority Youth By Mark Hugo Lopez, Research Director and Emily Kirby, Research Associate

More information

US ELECTIONS THE GENERAL ELECTION

US ELECTIONS THE GENERAL ELECTION US ELECTIONS THE GENERAL ELECTION Third debate - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/us_elections_2008/7672978.stm Polls - http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/in_depth/629/629/7360265.stm Ads - http://politicalrealm.blogspot.com/search/label/ad%20wars

More information

THE AP-GfK POLL July, 2016

THE AP-GfK POLL July, 2016 Public Affairs & Corporate Communications THE AP-GfK POLL July, 2016 Conducted by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications A survey of the American general population (ages 18+) Interview dates: July

More information

BUSH MARGIN WIDENS AGAIN, DESPITE VULNERABILITIES

BUSH MARGIN WIDENS AGAIN, DESPITE VULNERABILITIES NEWS RELEASE 1150 18 th Street, N.W., Suite 975 Washington, D.C. 20036 Tel (202) 293-3126 Fax (202) 293-2569 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: September 28, 2004 4 PM FOR FURTHER INFORMATION Andrew Kohut, Director

More information

Federalist. Party Emerges Inside Congress to Push Hamilton's Agenda

Federalist. Party Emerges Inside Congress to Push Hamilton's Agenda No Political Parties Pro-Admin Anti-Admin No Political Parties Tensions Intensify Between Hamilton and Jefferson Federalist Party Emerges Inside Congress to Push Hamilton's Agenda Washington's Farewell

More information

The New York Times/CBS News Poll Sept. 9-13, 2005

The New York Times/CBS News Poll Sept. 9-13, 2005 The New York Times/CBS News Poll Sept. 9-13, 2005 For release in paper of Sept. 15 N= 1,167 White N= 877 Black N= 211 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk

More information

U.S. Government and Politics Core

U.S. Government and Politics Core Unit 1: Principles of Government Lesson 1.1: The Purposes and Origins of Government 1.1.1: Study - The Purposes of Government Duration: 30 min 1.1.2: Discuss - Who Are You? Duration: 20 min / 10 1.1.3:

More information

Aug , 2006 N= 1,206

Aug , 2006 N= 1,206 POLL Aug. 17-21, 2006 N= 1,206 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George

More information

America s Diversity Explosion: What it means for Presidential Politics. WILLIAM H. FREY Brookings Institution and University of Michigan

America s Diversity Explosion: What it means for Presidential Politics. WILLIAM H. FREY Brookings Institution and University of Michigan America s Diversity Explosion: What it means for Presidential Politics r WILLIAM H. FREY Brookings Institution and University of Michigan Millions 225 U.S. White and Minority Populations, 1970-2050 200

More information

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL SURVEY - NATIONAL REVIEW INSTITUTE TABLE OF CONTENTS JANUARY 20, 2010 TABLE # TABLE TITLE

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL SURVEY - NATIONAL REVIEW INSTITUTE TABLE OF CONTENTS JANUARY 20, 2010 TABLE # TABLE TITLE McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES NATIONAL SURVEY - NATIONAL REVIEW INSTITUTE TABLE OF CONTENTS JANUARY 20, 2010 TABLE # TABLE TITLE ---------------------------------------- Pg 1 1 Q1. - HOW LIKELY IS IT THAT YOU

More information

Introduction to the American Political Process. Political Participation

Introduction to the American Political Process. Political Participation Introduction to the American Political Process Political Participation Turnout: Presidential Elections 1960-2000 100 90 80 70 Percent Voting 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988

More information

The Effect of Newspaper Entry and Exit on Electoral Politics Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro, and Michael Sinkinson Web Appendix

The Effect of Newspaper Entry and Exit on Electoral Politics Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro, and Michael Sinkinson Web Appendix The Effect of Newspaper Entry and Exit on Electoral Politics Matthew Gentzkow, Jesse M. Shapiro, and Michael Sinkinson Web Appendix 1 1 Sources of Voting Data Our primary source for county-level voting

More information

The Western Heritage Since th Edition, AP Edition 2014

The Western Heritage Since th Edition, AP Edition 2014 A Correlation of The Western Heritage Since 1300 11th Edition, AP Edition 2014 Advanced Placement Course Topic Outline AP is a trademark registered and/or owned by the College Board, which was not involved

More information

CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement. Civic Engagement Among Minority Youth

CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement. Civic Engagement Among Minority Youth FACT SHEET CIRCLE The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement Civic Engagement Among Minority Youth By Mark Hugo Lopez, Research Director 1 September 2002 There are many ways to

More information

March 7-11, N= 1,362 Republican N= 698

March 7-11, N= 1,362 Republican N= 698 POLL March 7-11, 2007 N= 1,362 Republican N= 698 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. REP refers to self-identified

More information

A THEORY OF CRITICAL. v O. Key, Jr. ELECTIONS. v. O. Key, Jf.

A THEORY OF CRITICAL. v O. Key, Jr. ELECTIONS. v. O. Key, Jf. v. O. Key, Jf. 199 36 A THEORY OF CRITICAL ELECTIONS v O. Key, Jr. Perhaps the basic differentiating characteristic of democratic order consists in the expression of effective choice by the mass of the

More information

The New York Times/CBS News Poll January 12-15, 2004

The New York Times/CBS News Poll January 12-15, 2004 For release in paper of January 18, 2004 The New York Times/CBS News Poll January 12-15, 2004 N=1,022 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered

More information

A Virtual Dead Heat In Campaign s Final Days

A Virtual Dead Heat In Campaign s Final Days ABC NEWS POLL: CAMPAIGN TRACKING #25 10/30/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 7 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 31, 2004 A Virtual Dead Heat In Campaign s Final Days George W. Bush and John Kerry are running all but even

More information

AP UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS COURSE SYLLABUS TEXTBOOKS

AP UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS COURSE SYLLABUS TEXTBOOKS AP UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AND POLITICS COURSE SYLLABUS TEXTBOOKS Wilson, James Q. and John J. DiIulio. American Government: 12 th Edition; Boston; Houghton Mifflin, 2011 ISBN-10: 0495802832. ISBN: 9780495802839

More information

International Fund for Animal Welfare. Research on Attitudes toward Commercial Whaling. Conducted by: Benenson Strategy Group April 2012

International Fund for Animal Welfare. Research on Attitudes toward Commercial Whaling. Conducted by: Benenson Strategy Group April 2012 International Fund for Animal Welfare Research on Attitudes toward Commercial Whaling Conducted by: Benenson Strategy Group April 2012 Methodology The Benenson Strategy Group conducted 800 telephone interviews

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER NEWS INTEREST INDEX July 28-31, 2011 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1001

PEW RESEARCH CENTER NEWS INTEREST INDEX July 28-31, 2011 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1001 7 PEW RESEARCH CENTER NEWS INTEREST INDEX July 28-31, 2011 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1001 ASK ALL: PEW.1 As I read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past week, please tell me if you

More information

Official Summary Report 2016 Colorado Republican Party State Assembly April 9, 2016 The Broadmoor World Arena PARTY RESOLUTIONS

Official Summary Report 2016 Colorado Republican Party State Assembly April 9, 2016 The Broadmoor World Arena PARTY RESOLUTIONS Page: 1 of 17 Official Summary Report 2016 Colorado Republican Party State Assembly April 9, 2016 The Broadmoor World Arena PARTY RESOLUTIONS Registered Voters: 3,752 of 3,897 (96.28%) Ballots Cast: 3,752

More information

Bush Leads on More Attributes Heading Into the Final Debate

Bush Leads on More Attributes Heading Into the Final Debate ABC NEWS POLL: CAMPAIGN TRACKING #8 10/11/04 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 12, 2004 Bush Leads on More Attributes Heading Into the Final Debate George W. Bush maintains substantial leads

More information

Sept , N= 936 Registered Voters= 844

Sept , N= 936 Registered Voters= 844 POLL Sept. 21-24, 2008 N= 936 Registered Voters= 844 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. Some people are registered

More information

POLL. July 20-22, 2007 N= 889

POLL. July 20-22, 2007 N= 889 POLL July 0-, 007 N= 889 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W.

More information

The New York Times/CBS News Poll October 28-30, 2004

The New York Times/CBS News Poll October 28-30, 2004 The New York Times/CBS News Poll October 28-30, 2004 For release in paper of November 1, 2004 N= 920 Registered N= 824 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS SEPTEMBER 5-8, 2008 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY TOPLINE N=1,004. John McCain Other 1 Don t know/

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS SEPTEMBER 5-8, 2008 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY TOPLINE N=1,004. John McCain Other 1 Don t know/ PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS SEPTEMBER 5-8, 2008 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY TOPLINE N=1,004 Q.1 Apart from who you support, which presidential candidate have you heard the most

More information

South Africa: Seeds of Electoral Change?

South Africa: Seeds of Electoral Change? South Africa: Seeds of Electoral Change? IPSA conference Poznań, Poland 16 Robert Mattes University of Cape Town Collette Schulz Herzenberg Stellenbosch University 1 The Problem 2 ANC Electoral Victories

More information

Republican VP Poll 7/8/2016 Newsmax. 605 (weighted)

Republican VP Poll 7/8/2016 Newsmax. 605 (weighted) Sponsor Target Population Republican VP Poll Newsmax United States; likely voters; Republican Sampling Method Blended sample; mixed mode: Registered voters were selected at random from lists supplied by

More information

UNITED STATES NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION DECEMBER 2017

UNITED STATES NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION DECEMBER 2017 UNITED STATES NATIONAL PUBLIC OPINION DECEMBER 2017 Survey conducted December 2 through December 3, 2017. 3,011 registered voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics

More information

Bush Bounce Begins, But Cheney Could Cause Concern

Bush Bounce Begins, But Cheney Could Cause Concern ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: CONVENTION OPENER 7/29/00 EMBARGO: 6 P.M. BROADCAST, 9 P.M. PRINT/WEB, Saturday, July 29, 2000 Bush Bounce Begins, But Cheney Could Cause Concern George W. Bush's "convention

More information

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES VIRGINIA 7th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT - POST ELECTION SURVEY TABLE OF CONTENTS JUNE 15, 2014

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES VIRGINIA 7th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT - POST ELECTION SURVEY TABLE OF CONTENTS JUNE 15, 2014 McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES VIRGINIA 7th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT - POST ELECTION SURVEY TABLE OF CONTENTS JUNE 15, 2014 TABLE # TABLE TITLE ---------------------------------------- Pg 1 1 Q1. - IN LAST TUESDAY'S

More information

The New York Times/CBS News Poll September 12-16, 2004

The New York Times/CBS News Poll September 12-16, 2004 The New York Times/CBS News Poll September 12-16, 2004 For release in paper of September 18, 2004 N= 1,287 Registered N= 1,088 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted.

More information

Key Findings from a Statewide Survey of Wyoming Voters October 2018 Lori Weigel

Key Findings from a Statewide Survey of Wyoming Voters October 2018 Lori Weigel Key Findings from a Statewide Survey of Wyoming Voters October 2018 Lori Weigel #181147 2 Partners Involved Methodology A statewide survey of 600 registered voters throughout Wyoming conducted on both

More information

The British Election Study

The British Election Study The British Election Study Professor Ed Fieldhouse (Manchester) Professor Jane Green (Manchester) Professor Geoffrey Evans (Oxford) Professor Hermann Schmitt (Manchester) Professor Cees van der Eijk (Nottingham)

More information

Key Findings. National Survey of Hunters and Anglers June/July Lori Weigel Al Quinlan #15254

Key Findings. National Survey of Hunters and Anglers June/July Lori Weigel Al Quinlan #15254 Key Findings National Survey of Hunters and Anglers June/July 2015 Lori Weigel Al Quinlan #15254 METHODOLOGY + 1,000 interviews with voters who identify as a hunter, an angler or both. + Respondents participated

More information

History in the Making: The Presidential Election of Andrew Rudalevige Dickinson College Pennsylvania, USA

History in the Making: The Presidential Election of Andrew Rudalevige Dickinson College Pennsylvania, USA History in the Making: The Presidential Election of 2008 Andrew Rudalevige Dickinson College Pennsylvania, USA A Wild Ride And then there were two or maybe not The Map to Now And the Map to Know: The Electoral

More information

HART/NEWHOUSE Study #6084--page Connecticut Avenue, NW Interviews: 1,074 voters

HART/NEWHOUSE Study #6084--page Connecticut Avenue, NW Interviews: 1,074 voters HART/NEWHOUSE Study #6084--page 1 1724 Connecticut Avenue, NW Interviews: 1,074 voters Washington, DC 20009 Cross section of 1,003 registered voters (202) 234-5570 Oversample of 71 Hispanic voters Total

More information

Who votes is a key question to understanding electoral politics in the United States. Answering

Who votes is a key question to understanding electoral politics in the United States. Answering Chapter 3 Composition of the Exit Polls Who votes is a key question to understanding electoral politics in the United States. Answering that question allows us to assess the relative importance of different

More information

Media, Polarization, and the 2016 Election. Matthew Gentzkow

Media, Polarization, and the 2016 Election. Matthew Gentzkow Media, Polarization, and the 2016 Election Matthew Gentzkow Questions 1. Are Americans more polarized than ever before? 2. Is it the Internet s fault? 3. Did fake news change the 2016 election outcome?

More information

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE 2018 MIDTERM ELECTION

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE 2018 MIDTERM ELECTION GALLUP NEWS SERVICE 2018 MIDTERM ELECTION Results are based on telephone interviews with a random sample of 1,508 -- national adults, aged 18+, living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, conducted

More information

OVERVIEW OF PRESENTATION

OVERVIEW OF PRESENTATION ACT RELATING TO REVENUE PROTECTION S 3001 AND H 8213 Joint Committee Meeting of the House and Senate Finance Committees Presentation by House and Senate Fiscal Staff May 29, 2012 OVERVIEW OF PRESENTATION

More information

Kantar Public Election Talk: German Election. Is Merkel s reelection a forgone conclusion?

Kantar Public Election Talk: German Election. Is Merkel s reelection a forgone conclusion? Kantar Public Election Talk: German Election Is Merkel s reelection a forgone conclusion? Dr. Nico A. Siegel CEO Kantar Public Germany Managing Director Infratest dimap Jürgen Hofrichter Senior Director

More information

The 2018 FIU Cuba Poll: How Cuban-Americans in Miami View U.S. Policies toward Cuba

The 2018 FIU Cuba Poll: How Cuban-Americans in Miami View U.S. Policies toward Cuba The 2018 FIU Cuba Poll: How Cuban-Americans in Miami View U.S. Policies toward Cuba The 2018 Cuba Poll Telephone surveys (cell phone and landline) of 1,001 randomly selected Cuban-American residents of

More information

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES ANZALONE-LISZT RESEARCH FLORIDA STATEWIDE SURVEY TABLE OF CONTENTS NOVEMBER 4, 2010 TABLE # TABLE TITLE

McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES ANZALONE-LISZT RESEARCH FLORIDA STATEWIDE SURVEY TABLE OF CONTENTS NOVEMBER 4, 2010 TABLE # TABLE TITLE McLAUGHLIN & ASSOCIATES ANZALONE-LISZT RESEARCH FLORIDA STATEWIDE SURVEY TABLE OF CONTENTS NOVEMBER 4, 2010 TABLE # TABLE TITLE ---------------------------------------- Pg 1 1 Q1. - WHEN THERE IS A GENERAL

More information

BUDGET, TAXES HURT CONNECTICUT GOV, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; FOLEY TIES MALLOY, HAS BIG LEAD IN REPUBLICAN FIELD

BUDGET, TAXES HURT CONNECTICUT GOV, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; FOLEY TIES MALLOY, HAS BIG LEAD IN REPUBLICAN FIELD Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D. Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) 582-5201 FOR RELEASE: MAY 9, 2014 BUDGET, TAXES HURT CONNECTICUT GOV, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; FOLEY TIES MALLOY, HAS BIG LEAD

More information

ASK ALL: Q.1 All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country today?

ASK ALL: Q.1 All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country today? PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS AND PEW FORUM ON RELIGION & PUBLIC LIFE AUGUST 2008 RELIGION AND PUBLIC LIFE SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE July 31-August 10, 2008 N=2905 ASK ALL: Q.1 All in all,

More information

POLL March 28 April 2, 2008

POLL March 28 April 2, 2008 POLL March 28 April 2, 2008 N = 1,368 Registered Voters = 1,196 Democratic Primary Voters= 510 Republican Primary Voters= 323 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An

More information

lapopsurveys.org Síganos en

lapopsurveys.org Síganos en lapopsurveys.org Síganos en AmericasBarometer Brief: Ecuador 2016/17 In Depressed Times, Support for the Incumbent Slips While Support for Democracy Declines Dr. J. Daniel Montalvo, LAPOP Program Manager

More information

Tax Reform in a Trump World

Tax Reform in a Trump World Tax Reform in a Trump World Government Fleet Expo and Conference Kenneth J. Kies Managing Director The Federal Policy Group San Antonio, Texas June 14, 2017 Overview The 2016 Election did not Change Our

More information

HART/McINTURFF Study # page 1. Interviews: 1000 adults, including 250 cell phone only respondents Date: June 20-24, 2012

HART/McINTURFF Study # page 1. Interviews: 1000 adults, including 250 cell phone only respondents Date: June 20-24, 2012 HART/McINTURFF Study #12581--page 1 Interviews: 1000 adults, including 250 cell phone only respondents Date: June 20-24, 2012 Study #12581 48 Male 52 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS JULY 2007 POLITICAL SURVEY / MEDIA UPDATE FINAL TOPLINE July 25-29, 2007 N=1,503

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS JULY 2007 POLITICAL SURVEY / MEDIA UPDATE FINAL TOPLINE July 25-29, 2007 N=1,503 PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS JULY 2007 POLITICAL SURVEY / MEDIA UPDATE FINAL TOPLINE July 25-29, 2007 N=1,503 Q.1 Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his

More information

Getting into office...

Getting into office... JIMMY CARTER Getting into office... He focused on being an outsider (one term governor of Georgia) He was an honest, moral, born-again Christian Was focused on a better future for America He was a liberal...

More information

POLL April 30-May 3, 2015 Total N= 1027 Registered N = 868

POLL April 30-May 3, 2015 Total N= 1027 Registered N = 868 POLL April 30-May 3, 2015 Total N= 1027 Registered N = 868 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. Asterisk indicates registered respondents only. 1. Do you approve or

More information

The New York Times/CBS News Poll

The New York Times/CBS News Poll The New York Times/CBS News Poll January 20-25, 2006 For release in paper of January 27, 2006 N= 1,229 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered

More information

On Eve of Newtown Recommendations, Most Back New Gun Control Measures

On Eve of Newtown Recommendations, Most Back New Gun Control Measures ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL: Gun Control EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE AFTER 5 p.m. Monday, Jan. 14, 2013 On Eve of Newtown Recommendations, Most Back New Gun Control Measures Majorities of Americans favor gun

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER NEWS INTEREST INDEX OCTOBER 6-9, 2011 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1000

PEW RESEARCH CENTER NEWS INTEREST INDEX OCTOBER 6-9, 2011 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1000 PEW RESEARCH CENTER NEWS INTEREST INDEX OCTOBER 6-9, 2011 OMNIBUS FINAL TOPLINE N=1000 ASK ALL: PEW.1 As I read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past week, please tell me if you

More information

TRCP National Sportsmen s Survey Online/phone survey of 1,000 hunters and anglers throughout the United States

TRCP National Sportsmen s Survey Online/phone survey of 1,000 hunters and anglers throughout the United States #17144 TRCP National Sportsmen s Survey Online/phone survey of 1,000 hunters and anglers throughout the United States Methodology Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national survey of N =1,000 voters

More information

Beyond the Headlines: Olympic Politics -- Past & Present

Beyond the Headlines: Olympic Politics -- Past & Present Beyond the Headlines: Olympic Politics -- Past & Present UNC Chapel Hill CSEEES cseees.unc.edu Luke Gensler, MA RUES Candidate 2014 Melissa McDonald, MA RUES Candidate 2014 Zach Tewell, MA RUES Candidate

More information

Administrative Note: The collection was reprocessed by Kevin Abing, February The finding aid was retyped on August 8, 2011 by Jenny Stevenson.

Administrative Note: The collection was reprocessed by Kevin Abing, February The finding aid was retyped on August 8, 2011 by Jenny Stevenson. Title: Farmer-Labor-Progressive Federation Collection Call Number: Mss-0813 Inclusive Dates: 1936 1940 Bulk: 4.6 cu. ft. Location: ER, Sh. 213-214 OS SM F (1 item) Abstract: In November 1935, a coalition

More information

THE AP-GfK POLL March, 2016

THE AP-GfK POLL March, 2016 Public Affairs & Corporate Communications THE AP-GfK POLL March, 2016 Conducted by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications A survey of the American general population (ages 18+) Interview dates:

More information

ASK ALL: How much thought have you given to the coming presidential election... Quite a lot or only a little?

ASK ALL: How much thought have you given to the coming presidential election... Quite a lot or only a little? PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS NOVEMBER 2008 ELECTION WEEKEND SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE October 29-November 1, 2008 General Public N=3,402 Registered Voters N=2,995 ASK ALL: THOUGHT How much

More information

Olympic Reform: Current Status and Future Steps. Peter Donnelly and Bruce Kidd (University of Toronto, Canada):

Olympic Reform: Current Status and Future Steps. Peter Donnelly and Bruce Kidd (University of Toronto, Canada): Olympic Reform: Current Status and Future Steps Peter Donnelly and Bruce Kidd (University of Toronto, Canada): MOMENT OF REFORM? In the late 1990s, the IOC underwent a key moment of reform (following Salt

More information

Party ID with Leaners vs Long Run Party ID, Registered Voters October 3 7, 2018

Party ID with Leaners vs Long Run Party ID, Registered Voters October 3 7, 2018 October 3-7, 2018 Party ID with Leaners vs Long Run Party ID, Registered Voters October 3 7, 2018 Current sample Long run 47 43 44 47 8 9 Republican Democrat Independent Party ID with Leaners vs Long Run

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS NOVEMBER 9-12, 2007 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE N=1,017

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS NOVEMBER 9-12, 2007 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE N=1,017 PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS NOVEMBER 9-12, 2007 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE N=1,017 Q.1 There are already many candidates for the 2008 presidential election. Can

More information

National Survey Results 2018 General Election Likely Voters Political Environment, Trends & Analysis

National Survey Results 2018 General Election Likely Voters Political Environment, Trends & Analysis National Survey Results 18 General Election Likely Voters Political Environment, Trends & Analysis October 18 John McLaughlin On the web www.mclaughlinonline.com Part One Political Environment 2 Direction:

More information

More Interest in GOP Platform than Romney s Speech

More Interest in GOP Platform than Romney s Speech MONDAY, AUGUST 27, 2012 More Interest in GOP Platform than Romney s Speech FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Andrew Kohut President, Pew Research Center Carroll Doherty and Michael Dimock Associate Directors

More information

THE CONSTITUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS UNION OF NARVIK

THE CONSTITUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS UNION OF NARVIK THE CONSTITUTION OF THE INTERNATIONAL STUDENTS UNION OF NARVIK Main Provisions The organization to which this Constitution refers is known as International Students Union of Narvik referred to hereafter

More information

Nebraska Births Report: A look at births, fertility rates, and natural change

Nebraska Births Report: A look at births, fertility rates, and natural change University of Nebraska Omaha DigitalCommons@UNO Publications since 2000 Center for Public Affairs Research 7-2008 Nebraska Births Report: A look at births, fertility rates, and natural change David J.

More information

The U.S. Economic Recovery: Why so weak and what should be done? William J. Crowder Ph.D.

The U.S. Economic Recovery: Why so weak and what should be done? William J. Crowder Ph.D. The U.S. Economic Recovery: Why so weak and what should be done? William J. Crowder Ph.D. Weak Recovery? It s no secret that the U.S. economy has still not fully recovered from the financial crisis and

More information

Legalizing Sports Betting: A Winning Wager

Legalizing Sports Betting: A Winning Wager April 24, 2017 Legalizing Sports Betting: A Winning Wager To: From: American Gaming Association Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Support for expanded sports betting has gained traction in recent years

More information

The Economic Status of Women in the U.S. What Has Changed in the Last Years

The Economic Status of Women in the U.S. What Has Changed in the Last Years The Economic Status of Women in the U.S. What Has Changed in the Last 20 40 Years March 28, 2018 Heidi Hartmann, Ph.D. President, IWPR Scholar in Residence, American University Editor, Journal of Women,

More information

The NDP platform has seven key commitments in this election; I hope that your members can take a moment to review them at

The NDP platform has seven key commitments in this election; I hope that your members can take a moment to review them at Halifax Chamber of Commerce Attn.: Valerie Payn, President and CEO September 25th, 2013 Via email: to valerie@halifaxchamber.com Dear Ms Payn: On behalf of Premier Darrell Dexter, Leader of the New Democratic

More information

GROWING INEQUALITY AND ITS IMPACTS: Bulgaria and Romania

GROWING INEQUALITY AND ITS IMPACTS: Bulgaria and Romania GROWING INEQUALITY AND ITS IMPACTS: Bulgaria and Romania Vassil Tsanov Economic Research Institute of BAS Concluding Conference, Amsterdam, 4-5 Jun 2013 INCOME INEQUALITY DEVELOPMENT 1. Similarities: -

More information

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1

HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study # page 1 HART RESEARCH ASSOCIATES/PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Study #18570 -- page 1 Interviews: 900 Registered Voters, including 405 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: July 15-18, 2018 11 respondents reached

More information

CHAPTER FOUR. Part V: Athletics

CHAPTER FOUR. Part V: Athletics CHAPTER FOUR Part V: Athletics With a new gymnasium built in 1928, one might expected that women s varsity basketball for women students would really have taken off, but was not the case. Just at the time

More information

Edmund S. Muskie papers Page 1 of 10 Series XVI.A Photographs: Prints and Negatives

Edmund S. Muskie papers Page 1 of 10 Series XVI.A Photographs: Prints and Negatives Edmund S. Muskie papers Page 1 of 10 Portraits of Edmund S. Muskie circa 1920 1996 Boxes 1, 2, 78 1 Formal and studio portraits, some including Jane G. Muskie. Box 78 includes portraits prior to 1940,

More information

Back in the Black. States Gambling Revenues Rose in Introduction Gambling revenues to states rose modestly in fiscal 2010, HIGHLIGHTS

Back in the Black. States Gambling Revenues Rose in Introduction Gambling revenues to states rose modestly in fiscal 2010, HIGHLIGHTS F I S C A L S T U D I E S WWW.ROCKINST.ORG JUNE 23, 2011 Back in the Black States Gambling Revenues Rose in 2010 Lucy Dadayan and Robert B. Ward HIGHLIGHTS State-local gambling revenues from lotteries,

More information

FOR RELEASE: THURSDAY, MARCH 2 AT 4 PM

FOR RELEASE: THURSDAY, MARCH 2 AT 4 PM CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL FEBRUARY WAVE 2 -- FINAL TOPLINE -- Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,020 National Adults, aged 18+, conducted February 28- March 1, 2006. For results based on

More information

December 5-8, 2013 Total N= December 4-15, 2013 Uninsured N = 702

December 5-8, 2013 Total N= December 4-15, 2013 Uninsured N = 702 POLL December 5-8, 2013 Total N= 1000 December 4-15, 2013 Uninsured N = 702 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. Asterisk indicates registered respondents only. 1.

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS OCTOBER 2011 GENERATIONS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE September 22- October 4, 2011 N=2410

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS OCTOBER 2011 GENERATIONS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE September 22- October 4, 2011 N=2410 105 PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS OCTOBER 2011 GENERATIONS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE September 22- October 4, 2011 N=2410 RANDOMIZE Q.1/Q1.a BLOCK AND Q.2 Q.1 Do you approve or disapprove of

More information

Wildlife Ad Awareness & Attitudes Survey 2015

Wildlife Ad Awareness & Attitudes Survey 2015 Wildlife Ad Awareness & Attitudes Survey 2015 Contents Executive Summary 3 Key Findings: 2015 Survey 8 Comparison between 2014 and 2015 Findings 27 Methodology Appendix 41 2 Executive Summary and Key Observations

More information

HOUSE REPUBLICAN STAFF ANALYSIS

HOUSE REPUBLICAN STAFF ANALYSIS HOUSE REPUBLICAN STAFF ANALYSIS Bill: HF 631 formerly- HF 574/HSB 175 Committees: Ways & Means Natural Resources Floor Manager: Rep. Wills Date: April 22, 2017 Staff: Lew Olson (1-3096) House Natural Resources

More information

March 14, Public Opinion Survey Results: Restoration of Wild Bison in Montana

March 14, Public Opinion Survey Results: Restoration of Wild Bison in Montana March 14, 2011 TO: FROM: RE: Kit Fischer, National Wildlife Federation Kelly Middendorff, Public Opinion Survey Results: Restoration of Wild Bison in Montana Methodology This memo contains results of a

More information

What HQ2 Finalist Cities Think about Amazon Moving to Town. Table of Contents

What HQ2 Finalist Cities Think about Amazon Moving to Town. Table of Contents What HQ2 Finalist Cities Think about Amazon Moving to Town Survey of Adult Residents in U.S. Finalist MSAs In Partnership with the Business Journals March 30 th April 3 rd, 2018 Table of Contents SURVEY

More information

1 PEW RESEARCH CENTER

1 PEW RESEARCH CENTER 1 SEPTEMBER 2018 POLITICAL SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE SEPTEMBER 18-24, 2018 N=1,754 RANDOMIZE Q.1 AND Q.2 BLOCK Q.1 All in all, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country

More information

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS AUGUST 10-13, 2007 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE N=1020

PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS AUGUST 10-13, 2007 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE N=1020 PEW RESEARCH CENTER FOR THE PEOPLE & THE PRESS AUGUST 10-13, 2007 NEWS INTEREST INDEX OMNIBUS SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE N=1020 Q.1 Can you tell me the name of the person you ve heard the most about in the news

More information

The U. S. Economic Outlook: Robert J. Gordon

The U. S. Economic Outlook: Robert J. Gordon The U. S. Economic Outlook: Upside and Risks Robert J. Gordon Ottawa a Economics Association Ottawa, a, September 14, 2017 Immigration Medical Care My Policy Package: Be Like Canada d University Tuition

More information