U.S. Property Market Outlook, 2013Q1. Jim Costello, Managing Director CBRE Americas Research Investment Research
|
|
- Morgan Kelly
- 6 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 U.S. Property Market Outlook, 2013Q1 Jim Costello, Managing Director CBRE Americas Research Investment Research
2 CBRE Page 2 Outlook for the Real Side of the Economy
3 Operationally, what do Research Teams do? Strategy Provide input to fund strategies, ensuring that they are consistent with house view, providing input into capital allocation decisions Business Development Support new and existing product with business cases and identification of opportunities. Client Relations / Marketing Strengthen relationships with clients Investment Analysis Input to the decision on major acquisitions, developments and asset reviews and ensure assumptions are consistent with the house view Information Management Maintain libraries and coordinate databases of information for use by the business. CBRE Page 3
4 The Future of Manufacturing Source: Wikipedia CBRE Page 4
5 National Economic Summary 2004 to to 2017 Employment G rowth Retail Sales G rowth Inflation Ten Year Treasury Unemployment Rate GDP Growth Sources: Moody s Analytics, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 5
6 U.S. Back to Peak Jobs in 2014: A Year Later in the Midwest Employment Index, 1997q1 = Forecast Chicago Midwest U.S. Sources: Moody s Analytics, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 6
7 Chicago Losing Ground as a Manufacturing Hub % Share of Jobs in Manufacturing Forecast Chicago Midwest U.S. Overall Sources: Moody s Analytics, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 7
8 Nationally, Manufacturing Jobs at the Peak Jobs x 1 million Industrial Production 2007 = Manufacturing Jobs Industrial Production Sources: Moody s Analytics, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 8
9 Greatest Job Momentum by Industry Professional and business services, Construction, Health Care, and Education saw the greatest job growth relative to their share of total jobs. Construction and Education added the greatest number of jobs relative to their low share of the current total. Retail Trade and Government jobs were the worst performers of the month. Sources: BLS, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 9
10 Lower Unemployment Rate is Not Under Best Circumstances The unemployment rate moved down a tick to 7.6% in March. This is not entirely good news nearly 500,000 people fell out of the labor force last month. The labor force participation rate dropped.2% to 63.3%, the lowest level since Sources: BLS, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 10
11 CBRE Page 11 The Financial Side of the of the Economy
12 Baseline Outlook: Everything Works out O.K. % Rate Forecast Ten Year Treasury Inflation Sources: Federal Reserve Bank, Moody s Analytics CBRE Page 12
13 Asset Values are Climbing Appraised Values, 2005 q1 = Apartment Industrial Office Retail Source: NCREIF 2013q1 CBRE Page 13
14 Composition of Value Growth in Apartments Apartment Year over Year Change in Value Income Contribution Cap Rate Contribution Value Growth Source: NCREIF 2013q1, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 14
15 Composition of Value Growth in Offices Office Year over Year Change in Value Income Contribution Cap Rate Contribution Value Growth Source: NCREIF 2013q1, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 15
16 Commercial Real Estate Is Still A Good Relative Value Cap Rate Spreads Remain Wide bps 57 bps bps Q2 2000Q4 2001Q2 2001Q4 2002Q2 2002Q4 2003Q2 2003Q4 2004Q2 2004Q4 2005Q2 2005Q4 2006Q2 2006Q4 2007Q2 2007Q4 2008Q2 2008Q4 2009Q2 2009Q4 2010Q2 2010Q4 2011Q3 2012Q1 2012Q4 10-Year UST Rate NCREIF Transaction Cap Rate Moody's Baa Corporate Bond Rate Source: Moody s Economy.com, NCREIF, CBRE Research CBRE Page 16
17 Cap Rate Spreads Tend to Compress During Periods of Rising Rates Basis Point Change During Periods of Rising Treasury Rates Mar '78 to Sep '83 Jun '83 to Jun '84 Mar '87 to Mar '89 Dec '93 to Dec '94 Dec '98 to Mar '00 Mar '04 to Jun '06 10-Year UST Moody's Baa Corporate Bond NCREIF Appraisal Cap Rate Source: Moody s Economy.com, NCREIF, CBRE Research CBRE Page 17
18 CBRE Page 18 Property Market Trends
19 Vacancy and Availability Rates Q Q Past Cyclic High Natural Rate Year Back to "Natural Rate" Office Vacancy Rate / to Industrial Availability Rate / to Retail Availability Rate / to Multi-Housing Vacancy Rate / to Full Service Hotels* Vacancy Rate / to *Forecast values of 2012Q4, Hotels report an occupancy rate normally, this figure is the inverse for purposes of comparison to other asset classes Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 19 19
20 CBRE Page 20 Office
21 Significant Excess Capacity Remains in Office Market Occupied Square Feet per Worker Inflation Adjusted TW Rent Index Forecast Occupied sqft per Worker Inflation Adjusted Rents Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 21
22 The Demand for Suburbs is not what it was Net Absorption as % of Stock 8 Forecast Downtown Suburban Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 22
23 Office Performance Suggests Limited Supply Ahead Office Completions & Net Absorption, SF x 1MM Vacancy Rate, % Forecast Completions Net Absorption Vacancy Rate 4 Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 23
24 CBRE Page 24 Industrial
25 Skewed Demand for Warehouse Subtypes Warehouse Net Absorption, sqft x 1 million * Modern Assets 450k sqft + Rest of the Warehouse Market Warehouse Net Absorption *2013 Year to Date Sources: CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 25
26 Industrial Availability Varies by Size Range Availability Rate, % National Average K- 49K 50K- 99K 100K- 199K 200K- 399K 400K+ Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 26
27 Industrial Supply Rising to meet Demand Net Absoption and Construction x 1 million Availability Rate, % Forecast Construction Net Absorption Availability Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 27
28 CBRE Page 28 Retail
29 E-Commerce Taking a Bite out of Local Sales Year Over Year Growth 40% E-Commerce Share of Core Sales 8% 35% 7% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Yr/Yr Growth in E-Commerce Yr/Yr Growth in Core Share of Core Sources: Bureau of the Census, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 29
30 Retailers are Shrinking their Footprints Average Store Square Feet (x 1,000) Best Buy Lowe's Office Depot Target Wal- Mart Sources: CBRE-EA/FW Dodge Pipeline, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 30
31 Perversely, Retail Construction Grows Quickly Net Absoption and Construction x 1 million Availability Rate, % Forecast Construction Net Absorption Availability Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 31
32 CBRE Page 32 Multi-Housing
33 Home Ownership Rate falls to early 1990s Levels US Homeownership Rate, % Households x 1 million Homeownership Rate % (right) Rental Households Sources: Bureau of the Census, CBRE Research Calculations CBRE Page 33
34 The Next 7 Years Are Not Like the Last 2 Average annual income growth, % Atlanta Boston San Francisco Los Angeles Washington, DC Phoenix Last 15 years Last 2 years Next 7 years New York Average Chicago Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 34
35 Multi-Housing Vacancy Stable Moving Forward Net Absoption and Construction, units x 1,000 Vacancy Rate, % Forecast Construction Net Absorption Availability Sources: CBRE-EA 2013Q1 CBRE Page 35
36 Jim Costello Jim Costello joined CBRE in 1995 with economic and real estate research experience developed through work with government agencies in the Chicago area. Jim manages the Investment Strategy and Consulting group within the America s Research team. This group delivers investment opinions and insights to institutional investors with the aim of helping them develop a house view. Mr. Costello holds a BA in Political Science from the University of Chicago and a MA in Economics. jim.costello@cbre.com CBRE Page 36
37 Commercial Real Estate Services, Worldwide Thank You CBRE Global Research and Consulting 260 Franklin Street, Suite 400 Boston, MA Tel: Fax:
THE MOST INFORMATIVE EVENT COVERING REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS
THE MOST INFORMATIVE EVENT COVERING REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS 2014 U.S. Economic, Capital Markets, and Retail Market Overview and Outlook Retail Trends 2014 U.S. Economic Overview and Outlook Total Employment
More informationKevin Thorpe Financial Economist & Principal Cassidy Turley
Kevin Thorpe Financial Economist & Principal Cassidy Turley Economic & Commercial Real Estate Outlook Kevin Thorpe, Chief Economist 2012 Another Year Of Modest Improvement 2006Q1 2006Q3 2007Q1 2007Q3 2008Q1
More informationFrederick Ross. Real Estate Market Overview. Presented by: Kevin Thomas Senior Vice President. Frederick Ross. Company.
Frederick Ross Real Estate Market Overview Presented by: Kevin Thomas Senior Vice President Frederick Ross Company January 2003 Business Consumers Source: BEA, Ross Research Housing...Bust or Rust? 2001
More informationU.S. Economic and Apartment Market Overview and Outlook. July 15, 2014
2014 U.S. Economic and Apartment Market Overview and Outlook July 15, 2014 U.S. Economic Overview U.S. GDP Growth Persistent Despite 1Q Polar Vortex Annualized Quarterly Percent Change 10% 5% 0% -5% -10%
More information2012 Raleigh-Durham Market Forecast Investment Sales. Jeff Glenn CBRE Wednesday, March 21, 2012
2012 Raleigh-Durham Market Forecast Investment Sales Jeff Glenn CBRE Wednesday, March 21, 2012 What s Wrong with this Picture? TOPICS I. National Perspective II. Raleigh-Durham Spotlight III. A Closer
More informationWill 2016 Be the Last Hurrah for Commercial Real Estate? Presented By: John Chang First Vice-President Marcus & Millichap Research Services
Will 2016 Be the Last Hurrah for Commercial Real Estate? Presented By: John Chang First Vice-President Marcus & Millichap Research Services Rising Uncertainty Creating Headwinds for Commercial Real Estate
More informationABA Commercial Real Estate Lending Committee
ABA Commercial Real Estate Lending Committee Commercial Real Estate Outlook The Good, the Bad and the Ugly January 16, 2019 Rob Strand Senior Economist American Bankers Association aba.com 1-800-BANKERS
More informationDr. Richard Wobbekind Executive Director, Business Research Division and Senior Associate Dean for Academic Programs University of Colorado Boulder
Dr. Richard Wobbekind Executive Director, Business Research Division and Senior Associate Dean for Academic Programs University of Colorado Boulder Member FDIC VectraBank.com Economic Outlook 2015 Richard
More informationEconomic Update Edward Seiler NH&RA
Economic Update Edward Seiler NH&RA 2 Annual Real GDP Growth (%) 5.0 4.0 Actual (BEA) Forecast (CBO in red, OMB red + orange) 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0-1.0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
More informationCU Real Estate Forum. The Game is Still Going. The Longest 7 th Inning Ever. Presenter: Doug Wulf. Monday, December 7, 2015
CU Real Estate Forum The Game is Still Going The Longest 7 th Inning Ever Presenter: Doug Wulf Monday, December 7, 2015 Out! Safe! Where Are We in the Cycle? Recession-Recovery Table History is not on
More informationTHE GLOBAL ECONOMY, GLOBAL CHALLENGES & U.S. REAL ESTATE TIMOTHY H. SAVAGE, PH.D. SENIOR MANAGING ECONOMIST PRINCIPAL DATA SCIENTIST
THE GLOBAL ECONOMY, GLOBAL CHALLENGES & U.S. REAL ESTATE TIMOTHY H. SAVAGE, PH.D. SENIOR MANAGING ECONOMIST PRINCIPAL DATA SCIENTIST GROWTH SLIGHTLY BETTER IN THE NEXT 2 YEARS Source: Macrobond, Oxford
More informationVancouver Real Estate Forum
Vancouver Real Estate Forum MODERATOR John O Bryan Chairman CBRE Limited PANELIST Chris Dobrzanski, CEO, Citizens Bank David Franklin, President, CMLS Financial Ltd. Morley Greene, President, Trez Capital
More informationEconomic Overview. Melissa K. Peralta Senior Economist April 27, 2017
Economic Overview Melissa K. Peralta Senior Economist April 27, 2017 TTX Overview TTX functions as the industry s railcar cooperative, operating under pooling authority granted by the Surface Transportation
More informationDFW MULTIFAMILY TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS Q2 2017
DFW MULTIFAMILY TRENDS & OBSERVATIONS Q2 2017 DALLAS / FORT WORTH The Top US Demand Driven Apartment Market DFW MULTIFAMILY STARTS A HISTORY LESSON!!! The challenge boom or bust perception vs recent history
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Intermountain Credit Education League May 10, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around
More informationThe State of the Commercial Real Estate Industry: Year-End 2010 Office Review & Outlook
The State of the Commercial Real Estate Industry: Year-End 2010 Office Review & Outlook Copyright 2011 CoStar Realty Information, Inc. No reproduction or distribution without permission. The following
More informationFundamental Certainty
Fundamental Certainty.or No? a presentation at: R. Mark Woodworth PKF Hospitality Research, LLC May 7, 2013 mark.woodworth@pkfc.com Hotel Horizons Forecasting Model Smith Travel Research Historical rooms
More informationHotel Industry Update. Stephen Hennis, CHA, ISHC
Hotel Industry Update Stephen Hennis, CHA, ISHC 1 Through Aug 2012: Strong Results Despite Headwinds % Change Room Supply* 1.2 bn 0.4% Room Demand* 741 mm 3.3% Occupancy 63% 2.9% A.D.R. $106 4.3% RevPAR
More informationEconomic and Real Estate Outlook
Economic and Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist, National Association of REALTORS Presentation at Charlottesville Area Association of REALTORS October 13, 2016 1990 1991 1992 1993
More informationPresident and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of New York Washington and Lee University H. Parker Willis Lecture in Political Economics
The U.S. Economic Outlook Chartspresented by WilliamC Dudley Charts presented by William C. Dudley President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of New York Washington and Lee University H.
More informationRiverside Rising Economic Outlook for the Region April 2015
Analysis. Answers Riverside Rising Economic Outlook for the Region April 2015 Beacon Economics, LLC California fact versus fiction Looking back a few years (2009 / 2010) everyone was saying that CA would
More informationCarol Tomé CFO and Executive Vice President, Corporate Services
Carol Tomé CFO and Executive Vice President, Corporate Services Financial Overview December 6, 2017 1 Discussion Overview Fiscal 2017 Financial Guidance Our View of the Economy and State of the U.S. Housing
More informationMore of the Same; Or now for Something Completely Different?
More of the Same; Or now for Something Completely Different? C2ER Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Chief Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations June 14, 2017 Real GDP
More informationThe U.S. Economy How Serious A Downturn? Nigel Gault Group Managing Director North American Macroeconomic Services
The U.S. Economy How Serious A Downturn? Nigel Gault Group Managing Director North American Macroeconomic Services Growth Is Cooling; But a Soft Landing Is Likely (Real GDP, annualized rate of growth)
More informationReal Estate: Investing for the Future. Sponsored By:
Real Estate: Investing for the Future Sponsored By: Percent Change, Year Ago 6 5 4 3 2 1 Real GDP Growth United States, 2000 Prices 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 U.S. Employment
More informationThe Global Economy: Sustaining Momentum
The Global Economy: Sustaining Momentum David J. Stockton Senior Fellow Peterson Institute for International Economics Chief Economist Monetary Policy Analytics October 5, 2017 What s Driving the Global
More informationFrom Recession to Recovery
From Recession to Recovery Monday, April 26, 2010 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM Moderator Michael Klowden, President and CEO, Milken Institute Speakers Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer, Pacific
More informationDr. James P. Gaines Research Economist recenter.tamu.edu
Texas Uncertain Economy in a World of Uncertain Oil Prices Dr. James P. Gaines Research Economist recenter.tamu.edu National Economic Recovery still Going 2 U.S. Outlook Expected GDP growth still modest:
More informationBig Changes, Unknown Impacts
Big Changes, Unknown Impacts Boulder Economic Forecast Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations January 17, 2018 Real GDP Growth
More informationTHIS AIN T THE 80s! And Houston isn t going anywhere.
THIS AIN T THE 80s! And Houston isn t going anywhere. EXPECTEDLY, A DRAMATIC DOWNTURN IN OIL, ONE THAT HAS RUN EVEN FASTER AND DEEPER THAN DURING 2008-2009, RAISED ALARM ABOUT THE STABILITY OF THE HOUSTON
More informationEconomy On The Rebound
Economy On The Rebound Robert Johnson Associate Director of Economic Analysis November 17, 2009 robert.johnson@morningstar.com (312) 696-6103 2009, Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Executive
More informationSouthern California Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook
2016-17 Southern California Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Sr. VP/Chief Economist, LAEDC February 17, 2016 Outline U.S. Economy California Economy Southern California Economy
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Veteran Owned Business Conference May 11, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around Correction
More information10 County Conference. Richard Wobbekind. Executive Director Business Research Division & Senior Associate Dean Leeds School of Business
10 County Conference Richard Wobbekind Executive Director Business Research Division & Senior Associate Dean Leeds School of Business Hmm... (http://myfallsemester.blogspot.com) Real GDP Growth Percent
More information2017 Nebraska Profile
2017 Nebraska Profile State, 9 NEW Regions, 93 Counties, plus 31 Cities Three Volumes Demographic Change in the State Economic Influences at Work Housing Statistics and Trends Summary of Findings Discuss
More informationSpring Time for Housing
Spring Time for Housing Arizona State University December 2 nd, 2015 Presented By: Elliott D. Pollack CEO, IN PHOENIX 1 2 The World has Changed Pre-2007 Post-2007 3 Employment Growth From Bottom of Recession
More information11.433J / J Real Estate Economics
MIT OpenCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu 11.433J / 15.021J Real Estate Economics Fall 2008 For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms. Week 10: Commercial
More informationU.S. REITs have rebounded strongly Dow Jones Equity REIT Total Return Index
U.S. REITs have rebounded strongly Dow Jones Equity REIT Total Return Index Index, 2005 = 100 250 200 150 100 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones. Affordability
More informationLodging Market Update. Valley Hotel and Resort Association April 13, 2016 Presented by: Robert Hayward
Lodging Market Update Valley Hotel and Resort Association April 13, 2016 Presented by: Robert Hayward United States Lodging Market 63.7% 59.8% 58.9% 59.2% 61.3% 63.1% 63.3% 63.1% 60.3% 55.1% 57.5% 59.9%
More information2014 Economic Forecast: Boulder & Beyond. Keynote Presentation
2014 Economic Forecast: Boulder & Beyond Keynote Presentation Business Research Division Richard Wobbekind Executive Director Business Research Division & Senior Associate Dean Leeds School of Business
More informationThe Houston Economy Jesse Thompson Regional Business Economist The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Houston Branch June 2016
The Houston Economy Jesse Thompson Regional Business Economist The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Houston Branch June 2016 Image from http://peoplesguidetohouston.wordpress.com/category/uncategorized/
More informationEurope June Craig Menear. Chairman, CEO & President. Diane Dayhoff. Vice President, Investor Relations
Europe June 2016 Craig Menear Chairman, CEO & President Diane Dayhoff Vice President, Investor Relations Forward Looking Statements and Non-GAAP Financial Measurements Certain statements contained in today
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview. December 5, 2017
Zions Bank Economic Overview December 5, 2017 National Economic Conditions Dow Breaks 24,000 The Trump Bump Dow Reaches New Heights Following U.S. Presidential Election Source: Federal Reserve Bank of
More informationEast Bay Financial Planners Association Conference
East Bay Financial Planners Association Conference Is The New Normal Here to Stay? January 10, 2018 Rich Taylor Vice President Client Portfolio Manager Percent Change (%) Subpar Economic Growth Real GDP
More informationCanadian Teleconference: Can the Canadian Economy Survive the Turmoil in the United States?
Canadian Teleconference: Can the Canadian Economy Survive the Turmoil in the United States? Nigel Gault Chief U.S. Economist Dale Orr Canadian Macroeconomic Services Copyright 2008 Global Insight, Inc.
More informationEconomic Update and Outlook
Economic Update and Outlook NAIOP Vancouver Chapter November 15, 2012 Helmut Pastrick Chief Economist Central 1 Credit Union Outline: Global, U.S., and Canadian economic conditions Canada economic and
More informationHouston and Tomball Economic and. Housing Outlook. recenter.tamu.edu. Dr. James P. Gaines Research Economist
Houston and Tomball Economic and Dr. James P. Gaines Research Economist Housing Outlook recenter.tamu.edu THE CURRENT SITUATION The Future Just Ain t What It Used to Be! Yogi Berra National Economic Recovery
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview National Assoc of Credit Managers Member Seminar December 12, 2017 National Economic Conditions Dow Breaks 24,000 The Trump Bump Dow Reaches New Heights Following U.S. Presidential
More informationU.S. Overview. Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013
U.S. Overview Gathering Steam? Tuesday, October 1, 2013 Uneven global economic recovery Annual real GDP growth projections (%) Projections 2013 2014 World 3.1 3.1 3.8 United States 2.2 1.7 2.7 Euro Area
More informationEconomic Outlook March Economic Policy Division
Economic Outlook March 212 Economic Policy Division Real GDP Outlook Percent Change, Annual Rate 2 1 1 - -1 197 197 198 198 199 199 2 2 21 U.S. GDP Actual and Potential Quarterly, Q1 197 to Q4 211 Real
More informationJOINT INDUSTRY FORECAST
JOINT INDUSTRY FORECAST January 2018 10-YEAR GOALS NET NEW JOBS CAPITAL INVESTMENT PER CAPITA INCOME Current: 144,599 Current: $8.9B Current: 24.4% Goal: 150,000 Pace: 184,594 Goal: $8B Pace: $11.1B Goal:
More informationCharting a Path to Lift Off? Understanding the Shifting Economic Winds
Charting a Path to Lift Off? Understanding the Shifting Economic Winds Thomas F. Siems, Ph.D. Assistant Vice President and Senior Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Government Finance Officers Arlington,
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Utah Bankruptcy Lawyers Forum March 20, 2018 National Economic Conditions When Good News is Bad News Is Good News?? Dow Tops 26,000 Up 44% Since 2016 Election Source: Wall
More informationThe Economy: A View from the (Atlanta) Fed (Staff)
The Economy: A View from the (Atlanta) Fed (Staff) 2018 Alabama Economic Outlook Montgomery, AL January 11, 2018 2 The new supply-side economics? In their discussion of monetary policy, participants saw
More informationSouthwest Ohio Regional Economy in Context. Richard Stock, PhD. Business Research Group
Southwest Ohio Regional Economy in Context Richard Stock, PhD. Business Research Group State of the Metro Area (in January Each Year) Total Employment has slowly increased in the last three years after
More informationUS LODGING INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
US LODGING INDUSTRY OVERVIEW Mark V. Lomanno President SMITH TRAVEL RESEARCH Presentation Outline US Lodging Industry Macro Trends Daily Data Chain Scales Resort Performance Construction Pipeline Forecast
More informationBob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations. Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends. September 10, 2013
Bob Costello Chief Economist & Vice President American Trucking Associations Economic & Motor Carrier Industry Trends September 10, 2013 The Freight Economy Washington continues to be a headwind on economic
More informationA comment on recent events, and...
A comment on recent events, and... where we are in the current economic cycle November 15, 2016 Mark Schniepp Director Likely Trump Policies $4 to $5 Trillion in tax cuts over 10 years to corporations,
More informationTransitions: 2019 Economic Forecast for Metro Denver February 6, 2019
Transitions: 2019 Economic Forecast for Metro Denver February 6, 2019 Prepared by: Can Stock Photo / jkirsh In Partnership with: Consumer Changes and Influences Slowing population growth Aging of the population
More informationBusiness Cycles. Chris Edmond NYU Stern. Spring 2007
Business Cycles Chris Edmond NYU Stern Spring 2007 1 Overview Business cycle properties GDP does not grow smoothly: booms and recessions categorize other variables relative to GDP look at correlation,
More informationZions Bank Municipal Conference Economic Overview August 13, 2015
Zions Bank Municipal Conference Economic Overview August 13, 2015 Overview National Economic Conditions Utah Economic Conditions Utah is One of the Fastest Growing CA 0.9% States in the Country Percent
More information2014 Economic Indicators, Trends & Observations. 51 South Main Street Janesville, WI P F RockCountyAlliance.
2014 Economic Indicators, Trends & Observations 51 South Main Street Janesville, WI 53545 P.608.757.5598 F.608.757.5586 RockCountyAlliance.com Indicators, Trends & Observations National Level State of
More informationState of the City of Carpinteria
April 21, 2017 Mark Schniepp Director State of the City of Carpinteria jobs 1,000 Employment in Information / Carpinteria Valley 2006 -- 2016 800 600 400 200 0 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 ConstructiveDIVE.com
More informationAs Good as it Gets. The Aging Expansion Powers On... but for How Much Longer? Andrew J. Nelson Chief Economist USA, Colliers International
As Good as it Gets The Aging Expansion Powers On... but for How Much Longer? Andrew J. Nelson Chief Economist USA, Colliers International #NMHCstudent @ApartmentWire Ten Years After: A Full if Imperfect
More informationBriefing on the State of the State. presented to the. SCAA Schuyler Center for Analysis and Advocacy
Briefing on the State of the State presented to the SCAA Schuyler Center for Analysis and Advocacy Rae D. Rosen Assistant Vice President Federal Reserve Bank of New York November 16, 2006 Key Points: Economic
More informationReal Estate and Economic Outlook
Real Estate and Economic Outlook Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS Presentation at Inforum Outlook Conference University of Maryland College Park, MD December 12, 2013
More informationFuture Global Trade Trends - Risks & Opportunities. Pulse of the Ports: Peak Season Forecast March 21, 2013
1 Future Global Trade Trends - Risks & Opportunities Pulse of the Ports: Peak Season Forecast March 21, 2013 June 2012 Dr. Walter Kemmsies Chief Economist Summary Higher economic growth in 2013, possible
More informationAustin office market grows finer with maturation
Austin Office, Q1 2019 Austin office market grows finer with maturation 9.3% 5,100,332 SF 1,674,961 SF 548,351 SF $37.62 PSF Figure 1: Net Absorption and Vacancy Net Absorption (000s SF) 2,200 *Arrows
More informationMAINTAINING MOMENTUM:
MAINTAINING MOMENTUM: 2018 National Economic Update September 12, 2018 noun mo men tum \ mō-ˈmen-təm, mə- \ 1 b : the strength or force that allows something to continue or to grow stronger or faster as
More informationMARKET AND CAPACITY UPDATE. Matthew Marsh September 2016
MARKET AND CAPACITY UPDATE Matthew Marsh September 2016 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
More information2019 Economic Outlook: Will the Recovery Ever End?
2019 Economic Outlook: Will the Recovery Ever End? Advantage Bank Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations November 15 th, 2018
More informationReading the Tea Leaves: Investing for 2010 and Beyond
Reading the Tea Leaves: Investing for 2010 and Beyond Wednesday, April 28, 2010; 8:00 AM - 9:15 AM Moderator: Maria Bartiromo, Anchor, CNBC's Closing Bell With Maria Bartiromo Speakers: Nick Calamos, President
More informationState of American Trucking
State of American Trucking October 11, 2018 Rod Suarez Economic Analyst American Trucking Associations rsuarez@trucking.org Business Cycles U.S. Expansions Duration October 1949 - July 1953 May 1954 -
More informationINTERSECTIONS. Metro Denver 2016 Economic Forecast January 2016
INTERSECTIONS Metro Denver 2016 Economic Forecast January 2016 Employment Intersections Employment growth and Great Recession recovery Industry clusters Average annual salary Photo Credit: istockphoto
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview Utah Bankers Association Emerging Bank Leaders Conference. November 9, 2017
Zions Bank Economic Overview Utah Bankers Association Emerging Bank Leaders Conference November 9, 2017 National Economic Conditions Dow Breaks 23,000 The Trump Bump Dow Reaches New Heights Following U.S.
More informationHow Much Wind Is in the Sails?
How Much Wind Is in the Sails? Erie Chamber of Commerce Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations September 20, 2017 Real GDP Growth
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Utah Manufacturers Association & Associated General Contractors Utah Finance and Economic Summit September 26, 2017 National Economic Conditions Dow Breaks 22,000 The Trump
More informationUS Economic Outlook IHS ECONOMICS. Paul Edelstein, Director NA Financial Economics, ,
IHS ECONOMICS US Outlook US Economic Outlook How long will the ride last? September 2014 ihs.com Paul Edelstein, Director NA Financial Economics, +1 781 301 9014, paul.edelstein@ihs.com The US economy
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview Coldwell Banker Commercial Group. November 6, 2017
Zions Bank Economic Overview Coldwell Banker Commercial Group November 6, 2017 National Economic Conditions Dow Breaks 23,000 The Trump Bump Dow Reaches New Heights Following U.S. Presidential Election
More information2019 ECONOMIC FORECAST AND FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE
2019 ECONOMIC FORECAST AND FINANCIAL MARKET UPDATE January 14, 2019 Scott Colbert, CFA Executive Vice President Director of Fixed Income & Chief Economist scott.colbert@commercebank.com GLOBAL GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
More informationU.S. and Colorado Economic Outlook National Association of Industrial and Office Parks. Business Research Division Leeds School of Business
U.S. and Colorado Economic Outlook National Association of Industrial and Office Parks Presented by the Business Research Division Leeds School of Business University of Colorado at Boulder U.S. Economic
More informationECONOMIC CALENDAR 2010
J.P. Morgan ECONOMIC CALENDAR 2010 Release dates for US economic indicators and Treasury auctions J.P. Morgan ECONOMIC CALENDAR 2010 Release dates for US economic indicators and Treasury auctions This
More informationBabson Capital/UNC Charlotte Economic Forecast. May 13, 2014
Babson Capital/UNC Charlotte Economic Forecast May 13, 2014 Outline for Today Myths and Realities of this Recovery Positive Economic Signs Negative Economic Signs Outlook for 2014 The Employment Picture
More informationWHERE ARE ARIZONA DEMOGRAPHICS TAKING US? HOW GROWING SLOWER, OLDER AND MORE DIVERSE AFFECTS REAL ESTATE
WHERE ARE ARIZONA DEMOGRAPHICS TAKING US? HOW GROWING SLOWER, OLDER AND MORE DIVERSE AFFECTS REAL ESTATE March 2017 Tom Rex Office of the University Economist and Center for Competitiveness and Prosperity
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview
Zions Bank Economic Overview Logan Rotary Club June 28, 2018 Dow Tops 26,000 Up 48% Since 2016 Election Jan 26, 2018 26,616 Oct 30, 2016 17,888 Source: Wall Street Journal Dow Around Correction Territory
More informationWhat s Ahead for The Colorado Economy?
What s Ahead for The Colorado Economy? Colorado Counties Inc. Place cover image here Richard Wobbekind Senior Economist and Associate Dean for Business and Government Relations November 28, 2017 Real GDP
More informationwww.colorado.edu/leeds/brd CAREER ADVANCING DEGREES FROM LEEDS EVENING MBA PROGRAM FOR WORKING PROFESSIONALS #1 PART-TIME MBA Program in Colorado according to U.S. News & World Report Engage in a collaborative
More information2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy
2018 Annual Economic Forecast Dragas Center for Economic Analysis and Policy PRESENTING SPONSOR EVENT PARTNERS 2 The forecasts and commentary do not constitute an official viewpoint of Old Dominion University,
More informationThe Changing Global Economy Impacts on Seaports and Trade Dr. Walter Kemmsies
The Changing Global Economy Impacts on Seaports and Trade Dr. Walter Kemmsies Chief Economist, PAGI Group, JLL (Port, Airport & Global Infrastructure) Agenda Where are we in the cycle? What are the barriers
More informationZions Bank Economic Overview West Point Economic Summit. March 30, 2017
Zions Bank Economic Overview West Point Economic Summit March 30, 2017 National Economic Conditions Dow 20,000 The Trump Bump Dow Reaches New Heights Following U.S. Presidential Election Source: Wall Street
More informationA Housing Correction or a Housing Recession?
A Housing Correction or a Housing Recession? Professor William Wheaton Department of Economics Center for Real Estate MIT January, 2007 MIT, IAP Topics: 1 Historic Housing Prices: relation to income. Cycles
More informationInvesting in Real Estate. The smart choice for today s investor
Investing in Real Estate The smart choice for today s investor Real Estate is preferred over stocks Real estate out performs stocks http://blog.863katy.com/category/national-housing-news/page/2/ Real Estate
More informationGlobal economy s strong momentum intact despite elevated level of uncertainty. Canada headed for another year of solid growth
ECONOMICS I RESEARCH Global economy s strong momentum intact despite elevated level of uncertainty Canada headed for another year of solid growth Dawn Desjardins (Deputy Chief Economist) (416) 974-6919
More informationThe U. S. Economic Outlook: Robert J. Gordon
The U. S. Economic Outlook: Upside and Risks Robert J. Gordon Ottawa a Economics Association Ottawa, a, September 14, 2017 Immigration Medical Care My Policy Package: Be Like Canada d University Tuition
More information2015 Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook. Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist, Kyser Center for Economic Research, LAEDC October 8, 2014
2015 Economic Forecast & Industry Outlook Robert A. Kleinhenz, Ph.D. Chief Economist,, LAEDC October 8, 2014 Outline U.S. Economy California Economy Southern California Economy & Industries Five-Year Outlook
More informationRISI Housing Report An Update on the Housing Market
RISI Housing Report An Update on the Housing Market North American Conference October 2018 Jennifer Coskren Senior Economist Agenda Current housing demand and demographic conditions Supply and impediments
More informationPHILADELPHIA HOUSE PRICE INDICES
PHILADELPHIA HOUSE PRICE INDICES February 13, 2017 KEVIN C. GILLEN, Ph.D. Kevin.C.Gillen@Drexel.edu Disclaimers and Acknowledgments: The Lindy Institute for Urban Innovation at Drexel University provides
More informationDown with vacancy and up with absorption in Q3 2018
Austin Office, Q3 2018 Down with vacancy and up with absorption in Q3 2018 580,487 SF 575,927 SF 10.2% 4,445,358 SF $35.49 PSF Figure 1: Net Absorption and Vacancy Net Absorption (000s SF) 2,200 1,400
More informationAlternative Measures of Economic Activity. Jan J. J. Groen, Officer Research and Statistics Group
Alternative Measures of Economic Activity Jan J. J. Groen, Officer Research and Statistics Group High School Fed Challenge Student Orientation: February 1 and 2, 217 Outline Alternative indicators: data
More information