Investigating Precarious Employment in Rural Ontario. Valencia Gaspard, PhD Student University of Guelph

Transcription

1 Investigating Precarious Employment in Rural Ontario Valencia Gaspard, PhD Student University of Guelph

2 A reminder - what is it? Unpredictable work schedules Impermanent jobs Low-paying No or little benefits No training/opportunities High turnover (quicker termination) Low employee engagement Low worker advocacy (no Union or collective voice) Neoliberal employment trend

3 The Team Dr. Al Lauzon Carol Kenny Dr. Heather Mair Dr. Miana Plesca Dr. Ray Bollman Dr. Ryan Gibson The Advisory Group

4 The Plan Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Contextual Analysis Review employment trends Consider different census divisions Case Studies What is the precarious work experience in rural communities? Key informant interviews Report Capture experiences Discuss success strategies

5 What have we learned?

6 It s happening.

7 Within the 12 months up to September, 2016, the number of paid employees with a contract or term job varied between 401 and 466 thousand, Ontario Number of paid employees with a term or contract job (,000) (excluding students) (15+ yr.) All census divisions,ontario Number employed: contract or term job MAX: previous 12 months MIN: previous 12 months MAX minus MIN: within-year variation Note: Students are excluded. Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, special tabulation. RayD.Bollman@sasktel.net

8 There is an increase in the number of workers with a term or contract job in each age group, Ontario Number employed with a term or contract job (,000) (excluding students) All census divisions, Ontario Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr MMA Age yr. Age yr MMA Age yr. Age 65+ yr MMA Age 65+ yr Note: Students are excluded. Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, special tabulation. RayD.Bollman@sasktel.net 8

9 In non-metro census divisions, the number of workers with a term or contract job increased in the 65+ age group but has declined in recent years in the other age groups Number employed with a term or contract job (,000) (excluding students) Non-metro census divisions, Ontario Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age 65+ yr MMA Age 65+ yr Note: Students are excluded. Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, special tabulation. RayD.Bollman@sasktel.net 9

10 There is an increase in the number of workers with a low wage job in each age group, Ontario 1, Number employed with a low wage (,000) (under 1.5 times the minimum wage) (excluding students) All census divisions, Ontario Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr Note: Students are excluded. "Low wage" is defined as less than 1.5 times the minimum wage. Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, special tabulation MMA Age yr. Age 65+ yr. 36MMA Age 65+ yr. Date: increase in minimum wage RayD.Bollman@sasktel.net 10

11 In non-metro census divisions, there is an increasing trend in the number of low wage workers only for those ages Number employed with a low wage (,000) (under 1.5 times the minimum wage) (excluding students) Non-metro census divisions, Ontario Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age yr. 36MMA Age yr. Age 65+ yr Note: Students are excluded. "Low wage" is defined as less than 1.5 times the minimum wage. Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, special tabulation MMA Age 65+ yr. Date: increase in minimum wage RayD.Bollman@sasktel.net 11

12 Demographic replacement of working age population fell below 100% in 2009, non-metro Ontario 250 Number of potential labour market entrants (10 to 19 years of age) as a percent of number of potential labour market retirees (55 to 64 years of age) Metro Non-metro 0 *Data for 1996 to 2000 are classified according to the 2006 grid for CMA boundaries and data since 2001 are classified according to the 2011 grid for CMA boundaries. Source: Statistics Canada. Annual Demographic Statistics. CANSIM Table and RayD.Bollman@sasktel.net

13 Self-Employment

14 7,000 Number employed (000) 1.1 million self-employed workers in Ontario, December, ,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 Employees Self-employed 2,000 1, Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey CANSIM Table

15 1,200 Number employed (000) 1.1 million self-employed workers in Ontario, December, 2016 Self-employed 1, Self-employed unincorporated, no paid help Self-employed incorporated, with paid help Self-employed incorporated, no paid help Self-employed unincorporated, with paid help Source: Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey CANSIM Table

16 Self-Employment Number self-employed people in Ontario is increasing Percent self-employed was highest in late 1990s, then declined somewhat to mid-2000s, increased somewhat during recession and has not increased since then When things get tough, people work for themselves

17 Hearing the stories.