Environmental Protection The answer my friend is blowing in the wind

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1 Environmental Protection The answer my friend is blowing in the wind Nolan Doesken Colorado Climate Center Colorado State University Presented at the Pesticide Conference, November 17, 2005, Denver, CO Prepared by Odie Bliss

2 It is commonly sunny and dry

3 When it storms, it storms! Fort Collins Flood, July 28, 1997

4 Precipitation varies greatly from place to place

5 Colorado average annual precipitation map

6 Water year average precipitation for selected stations Water Year Average Precipitation for Selected Stations Grand Junction Glenwood Spr Vail Pass Loveland Pass Denver Limon Precipitation (inches) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep

7 Every storm is different

8 Colorado Statewide CoCoRaHS precipitation for August 19, 2004

9 Colorado Statewide CoCoRaHS precipitation for October 10, 2005

10 Upper San Juan Snotel

11 Temperatures vary greatly -- even during fair weather Fort Lupton CoAgMet station for October 2003

12 Winds are erratic WIND SPEED WIND DIRECTION Fort Lupton CoAgMet station for Oct 15- Nov 15, 2005

13 Elevation is a factor, but not the only factor Collegiate Peaks

14 The Western Slope is a lot different than the Front Range Olathe CoAgMet station, January 2005 Haxtun CoAgMet station, January 2005

15 Climate variability overwhelms climate change 25 Colorado Statewide Water Year (Oct-Sep) Precipitation from Precipitation (inches) Year

16 April 1 Snowpack APRIL 1 SNOWPACK COLORADO STATEWIDE Percent of Average Year

17 Fort Collins water year precipitation Fort Collins Water Year Precipitation Totals Oct-Mar Winter Apr-Sep Summer Year Precipitation (inches)

18 Colorado Statewide Winter Average Temperature Colorado Statewide Average Winter (Dec-Feb) Temperature Temperature Average Temperature Temperatuure (deg F)

19 Colorado Statewide Summer Average Temperature Colorado Statewide Average Summer (Jun-Aug) Temperature Temperature Average Temperature Temperature (deg F)

20 Fraction of Colorado in Drought 48-Month SPI Fraction of Colorado in Drought Based on 48 month SPI ( September 2005) Year Fraction (in percent)

21 How many of you watch or listen to the daily weather forecast?

22 Believe it or not, weather forecasts have gotten really good

23

24 Forecast for today issued on Tuesday morning

25 Climate forecasts are not so good, but are getting slowly better

26 Temperature Dec-Feb 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

27 Precipitation Dec-Feb 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

28 Temperature Jun-Aug 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

29 Precipitation Jun-Aug 2006 From the Colorado Prediction Center

30 We are measuring and monitoring like never before

31 National Weather Service Cooperative Weather Stations Cooperative Weather Stations in Colorado Typical Cooperative Weather Station

32 National Weather Service Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) Denver International Airport ASOS, Photo courtesy of the National Weather Service

33 CoAgMet Weather Data for Agriculture Automated weather stations with daily and hourly readings of: Temperature Humidity Wind Precipitation Solar energy Evapotranspiration

34 USDA, Natural Resources Conservation Service Typical NRCS Snotel Site NRCS Snotel Sites for Colorado

35 Urban Drainage and Flood Control District (UDFCD) ALERT system New ALERT weather station & stream gauge on Marston Lake North Drainageway.

36 Other Data Sources RAWS (Remote Automated Weather Stations) Storm King RAWS

37 Water Year 2005 temperature departures from average Water Year Departure (Degrees Fahrenheit) Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Eastern Plains Foothills Mountains Western Valleys

38 2005 Water Year Precipitation for Colorado

39 You can help! Sign up for CoCoRaHS!

40 Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow Network

41 Colorado Statewide CoCoRaHS Precipitation Map for August 4, 2005

42 Jefferson County CoCoRaHS Precipitation Map for Nov 15, 2005

43 Volunteers Wanted! Our goal is at least one per square mile over urbanized areas. As many as we can find in rural areas.

44 For More Information, Visit the CoCoRaHS Web Site Support for this project provided by Informal Science Education Program, National Science Foundation and many local charter sponsors.

45 Colorado Climate Center Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading click on Drought then click on Presentations

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