8th Annual. Statewide Energy Efficiency Forum Bridging the Gap

Transcription

1 8th Annual Statewide Energy Efficiency Forum Bridging the Gap

2 8 th Annual Statewide Energy Efficiency Forum Save Money, Save the World The Next Level of Energy Efficiency Dian Grueneich June 15, 2017

3 Topics Why Am I Optimistic? California s Future Driven By Climate Change What Are the Challenges? What Must We Do For The Next Level of Energy Efficiency? 3

4 Why Am I Optimistic? Per Capita Electricity Sales (not including self-generation) 14,000 12,000 California without standards and programs 10,000 United States kwh/person 8,000 6,000 4,000 California 2,

5 U.S. Energy Use Since EE savings ~$2500/capita Source: ACEEE, EE in US, 2015

6 Back to California s Leadership (NRDC) Source: NRDC, California s Golden Energy Efficiency Opportunity, Utilities and Energy Efficiency 18

7 Factors Reducing US Carbon Dioxide Intensity Pre 1973 Energy Intensity Trend ) = (1 P D 0.7 Gl a Re f o r 0.6 al o Dr e 0.5 P e o dixo i D 0.4 n o b r a C f 0.3 o x e d n I 0.2 Index of Carbon Dioxide Per Dollar of Real GDP (1973=1) (1 Enhanced Energy Efficiency Carbon Intensity of the Economy Decarbonization of Energy Consumption 0.1 Source: Jim Sweeney, Stanford Univ., Energy Efficiency, Building a Clean, Secure Economy 0

8 Local Government Leadership (CA s Local Government EE Portal) CA s Energy Efficiency Strategic Plan Local EE, sustainability, and climate action plans Lead by Example in city buildings, esp. benchmarking Education, promotion and support Adoption of Title 24 Reach and local codes Supporting increased EE code compliance 8

9 What Are the Challenges?

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11 CA s Big Picture

12 CA Climate Change Strategies 2050 Goal Source: The Technology Path to Deep Greenhouse Gas Emissions Cuts by 2050: The Pivotal Role of Electricity, Science January, 2012

13 CA s Energy Use Per Capita Challenge 13 Source: Energy and Environmental Economics (E3), California PATHWAYS: GHG Scenario Results

14 EE s Role - SB 350 NOTE: 1 MMBtu = 300kWh 350,000,000 MMBtu = approx 100,000 GWH Source: CEC 14

15 What Must We Do For The Next Level Of Energy Efficiency?

16 Use Our New Tools! Intelligent efficiency New technologies Behavior interventions and information Expanding financing mechanisms Focus on localized EE 16

17 Engage Locally and Internationally! Under 2 MOU/Compact of States and Regions Local Government Climate Roadmap ICLEI/Local Governments for Sustainability Global Network of Cities, Local and Regional Governments (UCLG) C40 Cities City Energy Project (NRDC/IMT) 100 Resilient Cities United States Climate Alliance 17

18 What Else Needs to Be Done? Enhance agency coordination and integration Update rules and policies Track progress and performance 18

19 Enhance Agency Coordination and Integration Establish an EE Statewide Leadership Collaborative with dedicated staffing Expand use of stakeholder collaboration, including parties that do not traditionally participate before state agencies Establish a statewide Market Transformation Collaborative 19

20 Update Rules: Technical and Economic vs. Market ( Regulatory ) Potential 70,000 60,000 50,000 Energy Savings (GWh) 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, Technical Potential Economic Potential Market Potential Source: Navigant, 2013 Goals & Potential Study

21 20,000 Update Rules: CCAs Need to Adopt Decoupling! Additional load from EVs In 2027, EVs only 17% of reduced load 10, ,000-20,000-30,000-40,000 Reduced load from self- gen PV Reduced load from additional achievable energy efficiency for IOUs - 50,000 Sources: CEC, California Energy Demand 2016 Update - Mid Demand Case, Jan. 23, 2017; CEC, California Energy Demand Updated Forecast, , Feb. 2,

22 Track Progress EE actions to track Utility customer- funded EE programs (IOU/POU) Mandatory building codes and appliance standards (state and federal) Other programmatic efforts (PACE, local gov ts, etc.) Price and market effects Link EE reporting with carbon goal reporting Other considerations (count transportation electrification, fuel switching) 22

23 Dr. Arthur H. Rosenfeld ( ) The Art of Energy Efficiency

24 Thank You Dian Grueneich California PUC Commissioner Emeritus Senior Research Scholar Precourt Institute for Energy Precourt Energy Efficiency Center Shultz- Stephenson Energy Policy Task Force