Worst economic crisis since WWII and lack of funds posing internal and external barriers to internationalisation
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1 Hot Topics Dr Janet Ilieva International Education Intelligence Unit Setting the context Worst economic crisis since WWII and lack of funds posing internal and external barriers to internationalisation Related to the above lack of resources impact on the international competitiveness of education institutions Changes in the visa system UK student visas more transparent and much harder (additional security and biometrics requirements) Even greater need to internationalise the campus both in terms of students, researchers and academics. 1
2 Internationalising Education in UK Under PMI (Prime Minister s Initiative) student recruitment was the key element of the strategy; Under PMI 2, they key areas were: Marketing and recruitment Student experience Strategic Alliances and Partnerships (PMI2 Connect) Project activities under PMI2 Connect? Between 2006 and 2010, we funded a total of 363 projects: Research Co-operation (84) Research Co-operation Gulf States (13) Collaborative Programme Delivery (29) UK-Pakistan Research Co-operation (9) UK- China Partnerships in employability and entrepreneurship (22) International Mobility of UK Students (78) Partnership Development Grants (97) Sri Lanka (3) Nigeria Collaborative Programme Delivery (8) US Travel Grant (20) Planned activity for the remainder of Year Four of PMI2 Connect UK- China Partnerships in employability and entrepreneurship (5) UK-US New Partnership Fund (20) 2
3 Other International Education Initiatives International Strategic Partnerships in Research and Education (INSPIRE) is a British Council funded project that aims to strengthen the academic and research partnerships between the UK and countries in Central South Asia, including: Pakistan, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan and Afghanistan. UK India Education Research Initiative (UKIERI) currently covers 6 major research awards (up to 500,000 each), 61 research awards (up to 150,000 each); 20 PhD scholarships and 43 fellowships. DelPHE (Development of Partnerships in Higher Education) - UK government s Department for International Development (DFID) has invested up to 15 million in DelPHE to support the building and strengthening of capacity in HE in 22 countries across sub-saharan Africa & Asia. Programme will run until March Covers 109 projects in Africa and 51 projects in Asia. Education Partnerships in Africa (EPA) is a programme for English HE and FE institutions wishing to work in partnership with counterparts in sub-saharan Africa. This is funded by the UK Department for Business, Innovation and Skills (BIS) and managed by the British Council. BIS are investing 4.5 million in 72 EPA partnerships between England and Africa between Coalition Government Priorities The new UK government recognises the importance of international higher education (Cameron & Cable speeches in India: July ) driving skills, science, research & innovation as a major source of long term economic growth (BIS) Emerging list of priority countries for UK Government includes China, India, Turkey, Brazil, Vietnam, Indonesia, Pakistan, the Gulf States. 3
4 log(enrolment rate) Positive relationship between economic : development (GDP per head) and enrolment in tertiary education All countries CUBA GREECE FINLAND UKRAINE RUSSIAN BELARUS LITHUANIA LATVIA NEW ZEALAND AUSTRALIA DENMARK HUNGARY ESTONIA ITALY BELGIUM BULGARIA CROATIA CZECH REPUBLIC FRANCE ICELAND NORWAY POLAND FEDERATION SLOVENIA SWEDEN UNITED STATES KAZAKHSTAN ISRAEL JAPAN IRELAND LEBANON ROMANIA PORTUGAL UNITED SPAIN NETHERLANDS KINGDOM y = 0.80x THAILAND URUGUAY VENEZUELA AUSTRIA GEORGIA JORDAN PANAMA SLOVAKIA SWITZERLAND ARMENIA COLOMBIA PERU PHILIPPINES TUNISIA TURKEY R 2 = 0.77 MEXICO EL SALVADOR CHINA ALGERIA TAJIKISTAN INDONESIA AZERBAIJAN SOUTH MAURITIUS AFRICA INDIA MOROCCO UZBEKISTAN GUYANA YEMEN CAPE VERDE GUATEMALA CAMEROON GUINEA GHANA BENIN NAMIBIA CAMBODIA PAKISTAN LESOTHO SWAZILAND BURUNDI ETHIOPIA MADAGASCAR BURKINA FASO log(gdp per capita, PPP $) Population (%) with annual income >US$25, Nigeria India China
5 Households in China Households in China (as a % of the total households) with children and income > US$15, % 2.50% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% International students as a % of home enrolments in China, India and Nigeria 2.50% 2.00% China India Nigeria 1.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00%
6 Estimated number of Chinese tertiary level students in UK, '000s Baseline EIU forecast Optimistic scenario Pessimistic scenario Chinese students studying in the UK (undergraduate and postgraduate), 00 0 Estimated number of Indian tertiary level students in UK, '000s Baseline EIU forecast Optimistic scenario Pessimistic scenario Indian students studying in the UK (undergraduate and postgraduate), 000s
7 Estimated number of Nigerian tertiary level students in UK, '000s Baseline EIU forecast Optimistic scenario Pessimistic scenario Nigerian students studying in the UK (undergraduate and postgraduate), 000s Keeping up with the markets So far, some of the major early indicators determining the future demand from overseas include: Stable ratio between the students opting to study overseas and the students studying at home (i.e. leakage rate) Dynamics of people s income (for the population above the take-off threshold, different levels for different countries: e.g. US$15,000 in China, US$25,000 in India and Nigeria); income as a function of the GDP growth Relative tuition fees levels (UK vs. the competitor set) Exchange rate movements of GBP against the competitor set (determined by key destination countries for country s students) Fluctuations in the volumes of trade between UK and the respective country 7
8 Future Priorities for the UK Addressing dis-balances in student mobility Increase in the engagement: student/academic level; institutional level; government level British Council s International Higher Education Strategy: Global Policy Dialogue Global University Partnerships: University to University Sector to sector Academic community collaboration Global Mobility and Experience facilitating and supporting inward and outward international mobility and experience for students, academics and researchers Global Market Intelligence Balance between inward and outbound students No of students 000 s 2007 Ranking United States China United Kingdom France Germany Australia Japan India Korea Canada Students sent Students received The top ten ranked countries sent 945,000 students abroad and received 1,950,000 international students in This equates to 2.2 students received for every one student sent abroad China has been catching up with the US over the period The UK growth driven by inward students India growth driven by outbound students Very little change in composition of rankings 8
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