Colorado Weather and Climate Update
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1 Colorado Weather and Climate Update Nolan J. Doesken State Climatologist Colorado Climate Center, Atmospheric Science Department, Colorado State University Presented to Colorado Livestock Association, Greeley, CO, Tuesday, February 13, 2007 Prepared by Odie Bliss
2 Colorado s s Climate What We Expect
3 Average Monthly Temperatures Average Monthly Temperatures ( ) for Selected Stations Denver Sterling Evergreen Berthoud Pass Lamar Temperature (deg F) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Month
4 CoAgMet Annual Temperatures Kersey CoAgMet Actual temperatures, predictable annual cycle, but large daily variations
5 Colorado Average Annual Precipitation
6 Monthly Average 30-year Precipitation for Greeley, CO 3.0 Monthly Precipitation Averages for Selected Sites ( averages) 2.5 Precipitation (inches) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
7 Monthly Average 30-year Precipitation for Brighton, Sterling and Holyoke, CO Monthly Precipitation Averages for Selected Sites ( averages) Holyoke Sterling Brighton 3.0 Precipitation (inches) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
8 Precipitation Averages for Selected Sites Precipitation (inches) Comparison Monthly Precipitation for Selected Sites ( averages) Flagler Lamar Goodland, KS Denver Rocky Ford Grand Junction Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
9 Holyoke 2004, 2005 & 2006 daily accumulated precipitation compared to daily average 25 Holyoke Daily Accumulated Precipitation for 2004, 2005 & 2006 and 30-year average Accumulated Precipitation (Inches) Average Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
10 Lots of Sunshine!
11 CoAgMet Solar Radiation Rocky Ford, CO
12 Recent Climate Ups and Downs
13 Month SPI Fraction of Colorado in Drought Based on 48 month SPI ( Nov 2006) Year Fraction (in percent)
14 Rocky Ford Water Year Precipitation Water Year (Oct-Sep) Precipitation Comparison for Rocky Ford through YEAR Precipitation (inches)
15 1999 Water Year Precipitation
16 2000 Water Year Precipitation
17 2001 Water Year Precipitation
18 2002 Water Year Precipitation
19 2003 Water Year Precipitation
20 2004 Water Year Precipitation
21 2005 Water Year Precipitation
22 Water Year 2006 precipitation as a percent of average (Prism)
23 NOW!
24 December 2006
25 Greeley Daily Total Snowdepth Greeley Snowdepth from November 28, February 11, Snowdepth (inches) 11/28/ /5/ /12/ /19/ /26/2006 1/2/2007 1/9/2007 1/16/2007 1/23/2007 1/30/2007 2/6/2007
26 Kersey CoAgMet Temperature Dec 05 Jan 2006 Dec 06 Jan 2007
27 Colorado Agricultural Meteorological (CoAgMET) Network Kersey site, photo by Harold Duke
28 CoAgMet Statewide Station Map
29 Water Year 2006 Snowpack Accumulation and Meltout Photo courtesy NRCS
30 University Camp Snotel
31 Upper San Juan Snotel
32 Mesa Lakes Snotel
33 What Comes Next?
34 Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
35 Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Departure from Average
36 El Nino Status and Projections
37 Feb-Apr Temperature
38 Feb-Apr Precipitation
39 Mar-May Temperature
40 Mar-May Precipitation
41 Jun-Aug Temperatures
42 Jun-Aug Precipitation
43 Finally, some thoughts on Climate Change
44 Many questions remain, and no one knows for sure, but. Colorado Statewide Water Year (Oct-Sep) Average Temperatures From
45 Colorado Winter Statewide Temperatures Colorado Statewide Average Winter (Dec-Feb) Temperature ( ) Temperatuure (deg F) Temperature Average Temperature
46 Colorado Summer Statewide Temperatures Colorado Statewide Average Summer (Jun-Aug) Temperature ( ) Temperature (deg F) Temperature Average Temperature
47 Colorado Statewide Water Year (Oct-Sep) Precipitation Colorado Statewide Water Year (Oct-Sep) Precipitation from Year Precipitation (inches)
48 Precipitation is highly variable, so detecting trends in precipitation will be difficult. If temperatures rise, evapotranspiration rates will also rise. More precipitation may be needed just to break even. This is a concern in a dry state like Colorado!
49 So what should I do? Help measure the rain! Photo by H. Reges
50 Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow (CoCoRaHS) Network Photo by H. Reges
51 For More Information, Visit the CoCoRaHS Web Site Support for this project provided by NSF Informal Science Education Program, NOAA Environmental Literacy Program and many local charter sponsors.
52 Colorado Climate Center Data and Power Point Presentations available for downloading
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