ANNEXES - KYRGYZSTAN. Independent Country Programme Evaluation

Transcription

1 ANNEXES - KYRGYZSTAN Independent Country Programme Evaluation

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4 3 World Development Indictors (accessed April 2016). 4 World Bank List of economies (July 2015) 5 World Development Indicators (accessed April 2016) 2

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8 o o o 6 Using the United Nations System-wide Action Plan (UN SWAP) to improve gender equality and the empowerment of women across the United Nations system (UN Women, 2012) and the gender results effectiveness scale developed by the Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) (UNDP IEO, 2015). 7 The Strategic Plan engagement principles include: national ownership and capacity; human rights-based approach; sustainable human development; gender equality and women s empowerment; voice and participation; South-South and triangular cooperation; active role as global citizens; and universality. 8 Using inter alia the gender marker data and the Gender Equality Seal parameters based on UNDP and United Nations Evaluation Group (UNEG) methods. 9 This information is extracted from analysis of the goals input in the Enhanced Results-Based Management platform, the financial results in the Executive Snapshot, the results in the Global Staff Survey, and interviews at the management and operations levels in the Country Office. 6

9 10 Theory of change is an outcome-based approach which applies critical thinking to the design, implementation and evaluation of initiatives and programmes intended to support change in their contexts. At a critical minimum, theory of change is considered to encompass discussion of the following elements: (i) context for the initiative, including social, political and environmental conditions; long-term change that the initiative seeks to support and for whose ultimate benefit; process/sequence of change anticipated to lead to the desired long-term outcome; and (ii) assumptions about how these changes might happen, as a check on whether the activities and outputs are appropriate for influencing change in the desired direction in this context; diagram and narrative summary that captures the outcome of the discussion (Vogel, 2012). 7

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13 11 web.undp.org/evaluation 12 erc.undp.org 11

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15 FDI, net inflows (BoP, millions of current US$) GDP per capita, PPP % GDP growth $3, % 12% $3,000 $2,500 $2, % 5.3% 7.0% 7.0% 8.5% 8.4% 6.0% 10% 8% 6% $1, % 2.9% 3.6% 4% $1,000 2% $500 $0 0.0% -0.2% -0.1% -0.5% % -2% GDP growth (annual %) GDP per capita, PPP (constant 2011 international $) 1, ,

16 Net ODA received (millions US$) Net ODA (% of GNI) % 18.0% 16.0% 12.8% 14.0% 12.0% 12.4% 11.3% 10.8% 11.1% 12.0% 8.5% 9.5% 10.0% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Net ODA received (% of GNI) Net ODA received (constant 2012 US$) Turkey United States AsDB Special Funds IDA Germany Russia EU Institutions Japan Switzerland United Kingdom Global Fund Islamic Development Bank Sweden UNDP Norway ODA disbursements (millions of US$, current prices) 14

17 Human Development Index Uzbekistan Kyrgyzstan Tajikistan Medium HDI Europe and Central Asia Poverty headcount ratio at national poverty lines (% of population) Rural poverty headcount ratio at national poverty lines (% of rural population) Urban poverty headcount ratio at national poverty lines (% of urban population) 15

18 Millions US$ Millions US$ Budget Expenditure Execution Rate 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Core Non-Core Core to Non-Core 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 16

19 Global Fund European Union Japan International Cooperation Agency Peacebuilding Fund GEF MDTFO/JP_Kyrgyzstan_One_Fund Open Society Institute European Commission Government of Finland $11.96 $8.14 $4.44 $3.50 $1.65 $1.61 $1.52 $1.08 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $42.52 Millions UN Volunteers, 5 PA, 7 Service Contract, 148 UNDP Staff, 40 FTA, 29 TA, 4 Service Contract UN Volunteers FTA PA TA 17

20 Disaster risk management Environment and energy Socio-economic development HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis, Malaria Democractic governance Peace and development GEN0 GEN1 GEN2 GEN3 18

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25 13 Outcome, indicator, baseline and target are defined in the CPAP, ROAR and the Corporate Planning System (CPS). 14 Status and progress information was extracted from the 2012 and 2013 ROARs. For 2014 and 2015, where there was no reporting in the ROAR, the information was extracted from the UNDP CPS. Term Data for 2014 and 2015 indicates quantity. 23

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28 15 The CPAP combined this indicator with the one below; however, all other target and baseline information did not vary from the ROARs and CPS. 16 The CPAP combined the baseline of this indicator with the one below (number of complaints on corruption). The baseline for this indicator was reported as, 164 ranking score in CPI 2010; Corruption baseline survey to be conducted in 2011; survey will also establish a baseline on total number of complaints. 17 The CPAP combined the target of this indicator with the one below (number of complaints on corruption). The target for this indicator was reported as, Ranking score of 163 or better in CPI; number of complaints on corruption tripled. 18 The CPAP combined this indicator with the one above; however, all other target and baseline information did not vary from the ROARs and CPS. 19 The CPAP combined the baseline of this indicator with the CPI ranking score. The baseline for this indicator was reported as, 164 ranking score in CPI 2010; Corruption baseline survey to be conducted in 2011; survey will also establish a baseline on total number of complaints. 20 The CPAP combined the target of this indicator with the CPI ranking score. The target for this indicator was reported as, Ranking score of 163 or better in CPI; number of complaints on corruption tripled. 26

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32 21 Poverty ratio was 31.7 percent in accordance with methodology of National Statistical Committee. Currently National Statistical Committee does not provide data lower than level of provinces; 40 percent of the assisted households upgraded from poor to borderline or acceptable food consumption pattern (Government of the Kyrgyz Republic and UNDP in the Kyrgyz Republic, 2011). 30

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