Interviews with 1,027 adult Americans conducted by telephone by Opinion Research Corporation on March 9-11, The margin of sampling error for
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1 Interviews with 1,027 adult Americans conducted by telephone by Opinion Research Corporation on March 9-11, The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points and for results based on half-samples is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points March 9-11, 2007
2 4. Next, we'd like to get your overall of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable of these people -- or if you have never heard of them. (RANDOM ORDER) Favor- Unfavor- Never able able Heard of Opinion Hillary Rodham Clinton March 9-11, % 44% 2% 5% vember 3-5, % 40% 3% 7% September 22-24, % 45% 2% 4% April 21-23, % 42% 2% 6% Barack Obama March 9-11, % 21% 19% 16% vember 3-5, % 11% 37% 16% John Edwards March 9-11, % 27% 18% 13% Al Gore March 9-11, % 40% 2% 8% September 22-24, % 45% 2% 5% Bill Clinton March 9-11, % 36% 1% 5% September 22-24, % 37% * 3% April 21-23, % 38% * 4% (CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS ON FOLLOWING PAGES) 4-2- March 9-11, 2007
3 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Hillary Rodham Clinton Aug Oct Aug Jul Aug May Feb Feb Jan 30-Feb Jan Jul 19-21* Jan Oct Dec Sep Oct Jun 27-29* Jun Jun Feb Mar Jan 31-Feb Jan Dec Sep Oct 26-29*** Aug 28-29** Aug Aug 16-18** Mar Aug 5-7** Feb Jun Feb Mar Jan v Oct Jul Aug Mar Feb Jan Dec v Sep Sep Aug Jul Jul Apr Jun Mar Mar Mar Feb Jan Feb v Dec Sep Oct 9-12*** Aug Sep *Asked of a half sample. **Based on likely voters. ***Based on registered voters March 2003 WORDING: New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton March 9-11, 2007
4 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Bill Clinton Oct Feb Jun Mar Jul 19-21* Mar Jun Feb Feb Jun Jan 30-Feb Mar Jan Jan Sep Jan Jan v Aug Dec Apr Oct Mar Oct Feb Sep Feb Sep Jul Dec Jun v Apr Oct Mar Sep 15-17** Feb Aug Jan 31-Feb Aug Jan Apr Jan Dec v 3-4*** Sep v 2-3*** Aug v 1-2*** Jul Oc31-Nv 1*** Jun Oct 30-31*** Apr 30-May Oct 26-29*** Apr Oct 19-20*** Mar Oct 18-19*** Feb Oct 17-18*** Feb Oct 16-17*** Jan Oct 15-16*** Oct 14-15*** Dec Oct 13-14*** Dec Oct 12-13*** v Oct 11-12*** Oct Oct 5-6*** Sep Oct 4-5*** Aug Oct 3-4*** Aug Oct 2-3*** Aug Sep 27-29*** Aug Sep 3-5*** Aug Sep 2-4*** Bill Clinton Trend Continued on the next page 4-4- March 9-11, 2007
5 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Bill Clinton (continued) Favor-able Favor-able Sep 2-4** Dec Ag30-Sep1** v Aug 28-29** Sep Aug 16-18** Jul Aug 14-15** Apr Aug 5-7* Mar Jul Mar Jun Jan May Jan May Mar v Feb v Jan v Sep v Aug Sep Jul Aug Jun Jul Apr Apr Jan Mar Jan Jan v *Asked of a half sample **Based on registered voters. ***Based on likely voters March 9-11, 2007
6 CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Al Gore Favor -able Jun Apr 30-May Apr Dec Apr Sep Feb Apr 29-May Feb Aug Dec Apr Sep Jan Feb Jan 30-Feb Dec Jan Dec Jan v v 13-15** Dec v 4-5** Oct Oct 24-26** Oct Oct 23-25** Sep Oct 20-22** Sep Oct 5-7** Jun Sep 28-30** Apr Sep 15-17** Mar Aug Jan Aug Jul Oct Jul Ag30- Sp 1** Jun Aug 28-29** Jun ** Apr Aug 11** Mar Jan Feb Feb Jan Feb Sep Jan Apr Mar Dec Jan Dec Oct v Oct Jul Sep Apr Aug Jan Aug Jul v Jun *Asked of a half sample. **Based on registered voters March 9-11, 2007
7 BASED ON 447 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 32. Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for President in the year Delaware Senator Joe Biden, Retired General Wesley Clark, New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Connecticut Senator Christopher Dodd, Former rth Carolina Senator John Edwards, Former Vice President Al Gore, Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich, Illinois Senator Barack Obama, New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, or the Reverend Al Sharpton? (RANDOM ORDER) Registered Democrats Mar Jan Dec. 5-7 v Oct Aug 30-Sep Clinton 37% 34% 37% 33% 28% 38% Obama 22% 18% 15% 15% 17% N/A Gore 14% 10% 14% 14% 13% 19% Edwards 12% 15% 9% 14% 13% 12% Richardson 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% Biden 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% Clark 1% 2% 2% 4% N/A N/A Kucinich 1% 2% N/A N/A N/A N/A Dodd * 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A Sharpton * 1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 9% 7% 10% 4% 8% 8% 33. Would you say you will definitely support that candidate in 2008, or is it possible you would change your mind? (REGISTERED DEMOCRATS WHO CHOSE A CANDIDATE) Mar Definitely support 46% Possible to change mind 52% 2% 4-7- March 9-11, 2007
8 BASED ON 447 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS. 33a. And who would be your second choice? (ASKED OF GORE SUPPORTERS ONLY) QUESTIONS 32 AND 33a COMBINED: If All Candidates Run If Gore Were t In Race Clinton 37% 44% Obama 22% 23% Edwards 12% 14% Gore 14% -- Richardson 3% 4% Biden 1% 1% Clark 1% 2% Kucinich 1% 1% Dodd * * Sharpton * * second choice -- * 9% 10% 4-8- March 9-11, 2007
9 35. Which comes closest to your view of the way George W. Bush won the 2000 presidential election -- he won fair and square, he won, but only on a technicality, or he stole the election? Mar Won fair and square 40% Won on technicality 30% Stole the election 24% 6% CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Won fair and square Won on technicality Stole the election 2004 Jan Apr v Jul Apr 20-22* Jan * * 2000 Dec * Based on half sample. WORDING: Which comes closest to your view of the way George W. Bush won the election -- [ROTATED: he won fair and square, he won, but only on a technicality, (or) he stole the election]? 4-9- March 9-11, 2007
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