PowerS picks $10. Best Bets: (62%) #1 in the country!!! Week 9 CFB Best Bets Pg 3! NFL Week 8 Best Bets Pg 7!

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1 PowerS picks $10 Volume 3 Issue 15 November 4-9, BP Sports, LLC Best Bets: (62%) #1 in the country!!! Week 9 CFB Best Bets Pg 3! NFL Week 8 Best Bets Pg 7! Week 9 News and Notes! In this section we ll recap what happened last week specifically, the misleading finals, the key injuries, the bad beats and the line moves. We ll include most of these recaps here, therefore you don t have to waste time reading about them in our gameby-game write-ups for the upcoming week. Without further adieu, here s a run down of what happened last week in the world of college football. Largest money line upsets: Miami FL (+10, +290 ML) at Duke Purdue (+8, +282 ML) over Nebraska North Texas (+7, +234 ML) over UTSA New Mexico State (+7, +216 ML) over Idaho Highest total: Oklahoma State-Texas Tech 77 (easily went over, with Oklahoma State winning Lowest total: Virginia Tech-Boston College 37.5 (went under, as VT won 26-10). Highest spread: Oklahoma (-39) at Kansas (OU easily covered winning 62-7). ATS Notables that have best ATS records this season: Central Michigan is ATS. Toledo is 6-1 ATS and Southern Miss is 7-2 ATS. Old Dominion still hasn t covered a game this season at ATS. Central Florida is 1-8 ATS while Fresno State is ATS. The UNDER is a perfect 8-0 ATS in Missouri games this year while it s ATS in Vanderbilt games. The UNDER is also 7-1 ATS in Washington games and ATS in Iowa State games. The OVER is 8-1 ATS in Eastern Michigan games this year while its 7-1 ATS in Syracuse games. LSU games are 6-1 ATS to the OVER and New Mexico State games are ATS to the OVER. Miami (FL)/DUKE Wild Finish and Aftermath For the third consecutive weekend a Top 25 team fell on the final play of the game due to a special teams mistake. Duke trailed Miami-Florida with less than six minutes remaining in regulation, but the Blue Devils were able to fight back and take the lead with a touchdown and two-point conversion with :06 left. Game over right? Well, on the ensuing kickoff, the Hurricanes used a series of eight laterals to get what appeared to be a miraculous win. However, there was a block in the back flag which was called, then picked up and, of course, a lengthy review process. In the end, despite a Miami player s knee clearly being on the ground, despite there being as many as three blocks in the back and despite there being too many Miami players on the field, the Hurricanes were awarded the TD. There was also a bad beat in this game. Some bettors got a total of 51.5 and it was just with 11 minutes left. Duke fought and clawed to take a lead with :06 and went for two. They converted, pushing for some total bettors, but still cashing under for those with 51.5 tickets. However, you know the rest as total bettors suffered not just a bad bet, but a terrible beat. On Sunday, the ACC found as many as 4 officiating errors on the last play and have suspended the entire crew for 2 games as a result. Bad Beats Many sharp people took South Florida plus the 6.5 points this Saturday at Navy. At the beginning of the fourth quarter, USF was driving into Navy territory and held a lead. With a chance to go up by four, the Bulls missed a 32-yard field goal (their second miss of the day). With 6:58 left, Navy scored a TD to take a five-point lead. Those who took South Florida needed a stop on the upcoming two-point conversion, which they got as the Middies couldn t convert. On the ensuing kickoff, USF fumbled and gave the ball right back to Navy. Then on the 10th play of Midshipmen s drive, Navy QB Reynolds ran it in on fourth-and-goal to put them up by 12. Reynolds touchdown tied Montee Ball s FBS record of 77 career rushing touchdowns. Unfortunately for bettors who took South Florida, it marked the final score of the game. My VIP customers got Iowa (-17) as a play that just missed out on being a star-rated release (also was the Saturday FREE comp play). Iowa led 21-0 at the half. There was no scoring in the third quarter, but Maryland got on the board early in the fourth with a touchdown to get within the spread, trailing by 14. Iowa answered with a field goal following a failed on-side kick attempt to get the margin back to 17 points, even with the common spread throughout the week. Maryland appeared to be in position to score again with a 1st down to the Iowa 12- yard line but they were intercepted with Iowa taking it 88 yards for a touchdown to put the lead up to 24 points. The Iowa cover did not last long however as Maryland returned the kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown and went for two in what ultimately was a huge play for those on the game. The Terrapins were successful and a 16-point margin was the final result with Iowa failing to cover by 1. Misleading Finals The Wyoming/Utah State game was competitive early as Utah State led just with halftime approaching. Utah State added 10 points in the final two minutes of the first half with the touchdown coming on a blocked punt return. Both teams scored touchdowns on short-field drives in the third quarter as the Aggies were still short of the spread up by just 16 heading into the fourth quarter. Utah State wound up with three straight touchdowns to start the fourth quarter to take a commanding lead and while Wyoming would score a touchdown in the final minute, the Aggies had done enough to cover the heavy favorite spread. Despite the lopsided final in the Boise State/UNLV game (Boise won 55-27), this was a seven-point game heading into the fourth quarter and remained at a seven-point margin over five minutes into the final frame as the teams traded touchdowns. Boise State scored three touchdowns in the final 10 minutes to pull away however as UNLV came up empty going for it on 4th down deep in Boise territory and then had consecutive interceptions on their final two possessions. While we won t consider the Rutgers/Wisconsin 2H UNDER 50.5 play on these pages last week a bad beat, it was certainly a misleading game. That featured 58 points on only 23 total first downs and only 591 combined yards between the two teams. There were 5 TD s drives of 40 yards or less and also a 50-yard pick-six in the game. To put in perspective how misleading that box score was, the Ole Miss/ Auburn featured 45 combined first downs and 985 combined yards, but the Rebels and Tigers combined to score only 46 points. Another misleading totals loss was the UNDER in the San Diego State/Colorado State game. San Diego State led just with 7 minutes left in the third quarter (total was 51) but the two teams after combining for just 2 TD s in the first 37 minutes, had 5 TD s in the final 23 minutes as the Aztecs won Major Injuries Florida State played without RB Dalvin Cook (ankle) and QB Everett Golson (concussion symptoms) in last week s win and cover over Syracuse. Both practiced on Tuesday and while they are both currently listed as questionable, we expect them to play in this week s showdown at Clemson. While the wild finish grabbed the headlines, Miami (FL) played without QB Brad Kaaya (concussion) in last week s win over Duke. Freshman Malik Rosier filled in admirably completing 20 of 29 passes for 272 yards and 2 TD s. As of press time, Kaaya is questionable for this week s game against Virginia but was practicing with the first-team on Tuesday. Michigan QB Jake Rudock left last week s Minnesota game in the second half after taking a violent upper body hit. His replacement Wilton Speight was 3 of 6 for 29 yards and a TD in the win. Rudock was practicing on Monday. Missouri QB Maty Mauk who has been suspended the last 4 weeks, was officially dismissed from the team for the remainder of the season. NC State leading rusher Matt Dayes (865 yards) left last week s game against Clemson with a toe injury and is questionable for this week s game against Boston College. While not an injury, Ohio State QB J.T Barrett was arrested this past weekend for driving while impaired and will be suspended for this week s game against Minnesota. He will also lose his scholarship for one semester. Cardale Jones who started the Buckeyes first 7 games this season will get the nod this week. Nebraska WR De Mornay Pierson-El after missing most of the first 5 games, is now officially out for the rest of the season after suffering a knee injury while celebrating a teammates TD last week. The Huskers do expect QB Tommy Armstrong (foot) back this week against Michigan State as he sat out last week s loss to Purdue. His replacement Ryker Fyfe threw for 407 yards and 4 TD s, but also had 4 int s. Wyoming QB Cameron Coffman who injured his shoulder late in the loss to Boise State two weeks ago, sat out last week s game against Utah State. His replacement, redshirt freshman Nick Smith threw for only 83 yards in the loss. Coffman has been downgraded to doubtful for this week s game against Colorado State.

2 CFB & NFL Schedules with Lines Wk 10 November 5-9 NFL Week 9 Thursday, Nov 5th Line BP All Times Eastern 305 CLEVELAND :25 p.m. NFL Network 306 CINCINNATI -11 CFB Week 10 Thursday, Nov 5th Line BP 307 BAYLOR :30 p.m. FOX Sports KANSAS STATE BUFFALO :00 p.m. 310 KENT STATE ARKANSAS STATE :30 p.m. ESPNU 312 APPALACHIAN ST BALL STATE :30 p.m. 314 WESTERN MICHIGAN MISSISSIPPI STATE :00 p.m. ESPN 316 MISSOURI NEVADA :30 p.m. ESPN2 318 FRESNO STATE Friday, November 6th Line BP 319 TEMPLE :00 p.m. ESPN2 320 SMU RICE :00 p.m. CBS College 322 UTEP BYU :30 p.m. CBS College 324 SAN JOSE STATE Saturday, November 7th Line BP 325 ILLINOIS :00 p.m. Big Ten 326 PURDUE DUKE :00 p.m. ESPN2 328 NORTH CAROLINA FLORIDA ATLANTIC :00 p.m. 330 WKU TEXAS TECH :00 p.m. 332 WEST VIRGINIA KENTUCKY :00 p.m. SEC Network 334 GEORGIA UL-LAFAYETTE :00 p.m. 336 GEORGIA STATE IOWA ESPN 338 INDIANA SOUTH FLORIDA :30 p.m. CBS College 340 EAST CAROLINA VANDERBILT :00 p.m. ESPN 342 FLORIDA CHARLOTTE :00 p.m. 344 FIU SYRACUSE :30 p.m. 346 LOUISVILLE CINCINNATI ESPN2 348 HOUSTON AKRON :00 p.m. 350 MASSACHUSETTS EASTERN MICHIGAN :30 p.m. 352 MIAMI, OH RUTGERS Big Ten 354 MICHIGAN ARMY ESPNU 356 AIR FORCE NC STATE :30 p.m. 358 BOSTON COLLEGE PENN STATE :00 p.m. ESPNU 360 NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO STATE :00 p.m. 362 TEXAS STATE CONNECTICUT :00 p.m. ESPN News 364 TULANE KANSAS :00 p.m. 366 TEXAS COLORADO STATE NL -6 3:00 p.m. 368 WYOMING NL STANFORD :00 p.m. Pac COLORADO CENTRAL FLORIDA :00 p.m. ESPN News 372 TULSA UTAH STATE CBS College 374 NEW MEXICO UTAH :30 p.m. 376 WASHINGTON ARIZONA NL 63 10:30 p.m. ESPN 378 USC SOUTH CAROLINA :00 p.m. SEC Network 380 TENNESSEE IOWA STATE :00 p.m. ESPNU 382 OKLAHOMA TCU FOX 384 OKLAHOMA STATE UCLA :30 p.m. Pac OREGON STATE FLORIDA STATE ABC 388 CLEMSON NAVY :00 p.m. ESPN2 390 MEMPHIS WISCONSIN MARYLAND NORTH TEXAS LOUISIANA TECH LSU :00 p.m. CBS 396 ALABAMA UL-MONROE TROY HAWAII :00 p.m. 400 UNLV CALIFORNIA :30 p.m. ESPN2 402 OREGON OLD DOMINION :00 p.m. 404 UTSA NOTRE DAME :00 p.m. ABC 406 PITTSBURGH MARSHALL MIDDLE TENNESSEE ARKANSAS CBS 410 MISSISSIPPI MINNESOTA :00 p.m. ABC 412 OHIO STATE AUBURN :30 p.m. SEC Network 414 TEXAS A&M ARIZONA STATE WASHINGTON STATE VIRGINIA NL 53 3:00 p.m. 418 MIAMI, FL NL IDAHO :00 p.m. 420 SOUTH ALABAMA MICHIGAN STATE :00 p.m. ESPN 422 NEBRASKA Sunday, November 8th Line BP All Times Eastern 451 OAKLAND :00 p.m. CBS 452 PITTSBURGH JACKSONVILLE NL 40 1:00 p.m. CBS 454 NY JETS NL ST. LOUIS :00 p.m. FOX 456 MINNESOTA MIAMI :00 p.m. CBS 458 BUFFALO TENNESSEE NL 51 1:00 p.m. CBS 460 NEW ORLEANS NL WASHINGTON :00 p.m. FOX 462 NEW ENGLAND GREEN BAY :00 p.m. FOX 464 CAROLINA ATLANTA :05 p.m. FOX 466 SAN FRANCISCO NY GIANTS :05 p.m. FOX 468 TAMPA BAY DENVER :25 p.m. CBS 470 INDIANAPOLIS PHILADELPHIA :30 p.m. NBC 472 DALLAS Monday, November 9th Line BP All Times Eastern 473 CHICAGO :30 p.m. ESPN 474 SAN DIEGO

3 4H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR THE POWERS PACK 3H Florida State (+12) over CLEMSON 3H OKLAHOMA STATE (+5) over Tcu 2H NEW MEXICO (+14.5) over Utah State 2H Lsu (+6.5) over ALABAMA 2H OVER 56.5 Byu/SAN JOSE STATE Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Wednesday, November 4th BOWLING GREEN 44 Ohio 24. One of the bigger line movers of the week so far is this one as BG opened as a 17-point favorite and now stands as a 3-TD favorite. The Falcons have won and covered 3 straight in this series and come in on a 5-game winning streak (4-1 ATS). They have beaten their last two MAC foes by 49 and 48 points respectively as their defense has made significant strides. On the other side, after a 5-1 SU/ATS start, the Bobcats have gotten blown out in each of their last two games. Considering these team s recent performances, it s tough going against the Falcons here and Ohio is just 3-10 ATS as an away dog. However, this line may have been BG -10 just 3 weeks ago and we ll pass here for now. Thursday, November 5th Baylor 43 KANSAS STATE 30. Baylor will have a true freshman in Jarrett Stidham at QB making his first start on the road against arguably the best underdog head coach (sans recent OU/Texas debacles) in college football the last 25 years. The Wildcats only lost by 7 to Top 5 TCU at home earlier this year and led that one at halftime before collapsing. The Wildcats have lost by just 10 and 11 points to Baylor the last two seasons and have covered 4 of the last 5 meetings. They were also only a 7-point road dog to Baylor last season. On the negative side and something we were not aware of earlier this week, the Wildcats do have some significant injury concerns in their secondary and that s never a good thing going against the Bears offense. Clear lean on the home team here but it s not star-rated material. Buffalo 24 KENT STATE 23. The teams have split their two recent meetings while last year s game was canceled (snow). Buffalo comes in off back-to-back wins while Kent State has alternated wins and losses nearly all season.their last game was arguably their worst as they lost to BG 48-0 getting out-gained They are off a bye while Buffalo played last Thursday. Two very similar teams as we ll put a slight lean on the home team here as long as they re getting a FG. APPALACHIAN STATE 34 Arkansas State 26. The Mountaineers won last year s meeting as 2-TD road underdogs. Last week in a clear flat spot, they managed just a OT win over lowly Troy. It was their 13th win in their last 14 games but they failed to cover the huge spread. On the other side, Arkansas State has won 4 straight conference games and this could be for the Sun Belt title as they are the only two remaining unbeaten teams in conference play. We have the slightest of leans on the road team here but Appalachian State s domination over Georgia Southern here two weeks ago makes us cautious. WESTERN MICHIGAN 41 Ball State 20. Western Michigan has beaten their last 3 MAC opponents by an average of 29 ppg and Ball State is traveling on a short week fat and happy off a conference win over Massachusetts last week. That win would break their 5-game losing streak, but they still have serious defensive issues allowing 70.4% completions this year. That s not good news facing WMU QB Terrell (69.5%, 20-6 ratio). The Cardinals are an incredible ATS as an away dog the last 11 years but they are stepping out of class here against a red-hot Western Michigan team that is 14-6 ATS their last 20 games. Mississippi State 19 MISSOURI 16. This will be their first meeting as conference opponents. It s also Mississippi State s first road game in 33 days as they are off 3 blowout home wins. On the other side, there maybe no bigger disparity among offense and defense on a team this year than what Missouri has. Their offense ranks No. 126 in scoring and No. 125 in total yards while their defense ranks No. 3 in scoring and No. 6 in yards allowed. The offense has failed to score a TD in 3 straight games! However, one of the key handicapping systems to lean with this time of year is backing defensive home dogs and it s tough getting more than a TD margin on a Missouri defense allowing just 13 ppg this year. The UNDER is also worth a look as Missouri games are a perfect 8-0 ATS to the UNDER this year. Nevada 30 FRESNO STATE 24. Fresno State has won 3 straight in the series and last year stunned us by beating Nevada as TD road underdogs. Both come in off a bye after key conference wins and Nevada desperately needs a win to keep their bowl hopes alive at 4-4. The Bulldogs are just ATS this year, have been outscored by 21 ppg and out-gained by 214 ypg in conference play while Nevada is +4 ppg and +63 ypg in MW play. We ll put a small lean on the road favorite here. Friday, November 6th Temple 34 SMU 24. This is a horrible spot for Temple, traveling on a short week after giving it their all against ND on Saturday night. In that game, the Irish managed just 3 total points in the second and third quarters despite three trips inside the Temple red-zone (ND yard edge). However, we dropped a 2H on these pages going against the Owls. On the other side, SMU has lost 6 straight games (2-4 ATS) and it doesn t get any easier with road trips to Navy and Memphis still left. We ll back the home underdog here but we re leery after Temple beat us last week. Rice 28 UTEP 24. Rice has won each of the last 4 meetings and have also covered all 4 by an average of 11 ppg. However, the Owls were an embarrassing loser on these pages last week (part of our first overall losing week in the newsletter since week 1) as they fell to Louisiana Tech On the other side, UTEP lost to Southern Miss but did manage the cover and the UNDER also cashed for the fourth time in their last 5 games. We ll back the home underdog in this one and also keep an eye on the UNDER with the totals line climbing to 60. Get FREE daily football/hoops picks at bradpowerssports.com starting Nov 1 3 2H OVER 56.5 Byu 40 SAN JOSE STATE 27. The Cougars should be well rested as they beat Wagner 70-6 in their last game and had a bye last week. They have won 4 straight games and their only two losses this year have come against the likes of UCLA and Michigan. San Jose State is also off bye and at 4-4 could use a big upset win to boost their possible bowl resume. They have notably covered 4 of their last 5 games. We ll pass on the side and lean with the OVER here as BYU games have topped this total in each of their last 3 while San Jose State is facing the best offense they ve seen all year and are notably getting gashed by the run allowing 225 ypg. Saturday, November 7th Illinois 27 PURDUE 26. Purdue has won 8 of the last 10 meetings. After initially playing well under interim head coach Bill Cubit (4-1 first 5), the Illini have slowly gotten worse each game and last week were crushed by Penn State 39-0 giving Cubit slim hopes of retaining his job. However, we re leery of backing Purdue too much here as they were +5 in TO s last week in their upset win over Nebraska (Huskers were starting a backup QB). We look for this one to go down to the wire and don t see any value on either side or total. Pass. NORTH CAROLINA 30 Duke 23. NC has won 22 of the last 25 but Duke pulled the upset the last time here. The Blue Devils shocking loss last week to Miami (FL) was not only one of the most embarrassing performances from an officiating crew, but also one of the worst bad beats we ve ever seen for UNDER bettors (see page 1 for a full write-up of the game). The Blue Devils are 12-1 SU their last 13 away games, but on the other side, North Carolina has quietly won 7 straight games (most since Mack Brown s last year in 1997). A lot of it can be attributed to the most improved defense in the country. Thanks to new DC Gene Chizik, the Tar Heels are allowing 22 ppg and 140 ypg less than last year. We ll pass on the side and see if we like the UNDER with a climbing totals line later in the week. WESTERN KENTUCKY 48 Florida Atlantic 23. This is a revenge game for WKU as last year they allowed a halftime team dissolve into a loss. They are just 1-5 SU the last 6 meetings (former Sun Belt rivals). While WKU comes in at 7-2 SU, this is their 10th straight week playing (bye on deck) and they have failed to cover each of their last 3 games. On the other side, FAU comes in off a big rivalry upset win over FIU last week and is 17-4 ATS their last 21 road games. With that in mind, we ll pass on the side and put a small lean on the OVER. WEST VIRGINIA 41 Texas Tech 37. Texas Tech has covered all 3 recent meetings. The Red Reaiders are playing a 10th straight week and have given up 55 or more points in 4 of their last 6 games. Last week s loss to Oklahoma State was a bit misleading considering the Red Raiders led in the first half and still led early in the 4Q. On the other side, West Virginia has lost 4 straight games to the top teams in the Big 12, but their conference schedule gets easier from this point forward. There s not much to like about either team at this point, so we ll put a small lean on the road dog. GEORGIA 34 Kentucky 21. A different QB didn t make a difference for Georgia last week as Faton Bauta was a dumpster fire throwing 4 int s in the 27-3 loss to Florida. The QB switch was supposed to ignite the Georgia offense, but they ve now managed just 12 points the last two games without RB Chubb. On the other side, it s 2014 Deja Vu for the Wildcats. After a hot start, they ve now lost 3 straight games and were destroyed at home by Tennessee last week The Bulldogs have won 5 straight in the series by 20 ppg but after last week s embarrassing 3H loser on these pages, we will pass on both side and total here. UL-Lafayette 34 GEORGIA STATE 27. UL-Lafayette has won both meetings but has failed to cover as large favorites in each game. Last week ULL rallied from a 24-9 halftime deficit and shutout their rival ULM 21-0 in the second half. On the other side, Georgia State has covered in back-to-back games. This seems like a fishy line here considering all the money has poured in on the home team (ULL opened -6.5). While Georgia State has been money as an away dog, they ve lost 8 straight at home including to the likes of New Mexico State, Charlotte and Liberty. We ll lean with the road team here and pass on the total. Iowa 34 INDIANA 24. The Hawkeyes have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Iowa beat Maryland last week to move to 8-0, but their backers including us suffered a bad beat (see page 1). Indiana is coming off a bye and two misleading losses as they had melt-downs against the likes of Michigan State and Rutgers (also played Ohio State very tough). However, the Hawkeyes have a big defensive edge allowing just 15 ppg (Indy allowing 37 ppg) and are notably on an 8-0 ATS run as an away favorite. While the situation isn t great, we ll back the road team here. EAST CAROLINA 27 South Florida 24. Last week South Florida suffered a misleading loss to Navy (see page 1 for full recap) but it s still evident they re much improved in year 3 under Willie Taggart as they are 4-4 and still very much alive for a bowl bid. On the other side, the Pirates are off a very disappointing loss to Connecticut as they were beat despite being near TD road favorites. They are just 4-5 and in danger of missing out on a bowl for only the 2nd time in the last 10 years. They are also playing their 10th straight week. This one is a complete pass. FLORIDA 30 Vanderbilt 6. Shockingly a win here for the Gators and they can book their tickets to Atlanta as winners of the SEC East. It ll be their first appearance there since 2009 and Jim McElwain deserves coach of the year honors for that alone. He is also ATS his last 37 games as head coach. They are off a big win over rival Georgia (much to our dismay) and have a key game at South Carolina on deck. On the other side, Vanderbilt disappointed us greatly last week as they were crushed by Houston Remember, we mentioned TO s were our only worry? Well, they had 4 of them including a pick 6. We did cash a VIP star-rated totals play on the UNDER which is now ATS in Vanderbilt games this year. There s only one way to go here as the Gators take a bite out of another SEC foe. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 37 Charlotte 16. This is the first meeting. FIU has won their home games this by 25 over NC Central, by 40 over UTEP and by 29 over Old Dominion so they re not afraid to run up the score against lesser competition. They should come in angry as their bowl hopes most likely evaporated with the upset loss to rival FAU last week. Their remaining games are against Marshall and WKU so this could be the last chance for a win for them in On the other side, after a 2-0 start, the first season in FBS play has been tough on Charlotte as they have lost 6 straight games by 27 ppg. Slight lean on the home team here.

4 LOUISVILLE 33 Syracuse 20. Louisville has won 7 of the last 10 meetings including last year 28-6 on the road. Last week Louisville out-scored lowly Wake Forest 3-0 in the second half as the Cardinals avoided an embarrassing loss as a double-digit favorite in the win. They were +4 TO s and still almost lost the game outright! On the other side, despite playing a Florida State team without QB Golson and RB Cook, the Orange still managed to lose and fail to cover the spread. That s five straight losses for them, but it is notable the OVER is 7-1 ATS in their games this year. We re not a fan of either team s performances in the last 3 weeks so this will be a complete pass for us. HOUSTON 42 Cincinnati 30. Cincy has won each of the last two meetings by 7 points each. The race for the AAC championship begins this week with a couple of great match-ups among the top teams in the conference. This is one of them as Houston comes in 8-0 SU off three straight covers including last week s dominating 34-0 win over Vanderbilt. They are now out-scoring their opponents by 29 ppg and are +198 ypg. They are No. 1 in the country in TO margin at +15 while Cincy is -9! On the other side, Cincy is off a dominating 52-7 win over UCF as QB Kiel was a perfect 15 of 15 with 5 TD s. Look for a lot of points but we re backing the red-hot Cougars here whose defense has gotten better throughout the year. Akron 21 MASSACHUSETTS 20. Akron is 2-1 SU but 1-2 ATS in their MAC meetings. Both teams have been disappointments this season. Last week, UMass had 444 yards of total offense but managed just 1 TD in their loss at Ball State. They are now just 1-7 this season as we thought they were capable of winning 6 games. On the other side, Akron is 3-5 and has already cashed the UNDER for their season win total (was 7.5 and our #3 value play in our June issue). Last week they managed just 6 points in a loss to Central Michigan. On the bright side, their defense is allowing just 98 rush ypg this year. We ll put a slight lean on the road team here but think there is much more value with the UNDER especially considering the recent offensive struggles of both. MIAMI, OH 31 Eastern Michigan 27. These two conference rivals haven t played each other since EMU has lost 7 straight games and are getting outscored by 28 ppg and out-gained by 144 ypg in MAC play. Menawhile, Miami has lost 8 straight games but has managed back-to-back covers. They are -20 ppg and -109 ypg in MAC play. This game is a complete pass for us as we would like to back the UNDER and EMU, however EMU games are 8-1 ATS to the OVER this year. Also this line has dropped from Miami being a 6.5-point favorite on Sunday. MICHIGAN 37 Rutgers 9. This will be Rutgers first ever trip to the Big House. The Wolverines are playing with revenge for last year s loss at Rutgers. Last week UM survived a last-second scare against Minnesota as the Gophers mis-managed the final :20 and came up one-yard short in the UM win. Michigan did lose starting QB Rudock in the second half, but he should play here (see page 1). On the other side, last week s 2H UNDER loss on these pages in the Rutgers/Wisconsin game still has us fuming (see page 1). That is now back-to-back blowout losses for the Scarlet Knights against the big boys of the conference. We think a third straight beatdown is in the offing here as we ll call for the Wolverines defense to get back on track with a dominating win. AIR FORCE 31 Army 17. Originally, we were wanting to back the large road underdog in this one as a possible star-rated play. Army after losing 20 straight on the road (1-19 ATS) has actually covered 4 straight road games and come in off a bye. Meanwhile, this is a tough spot for the Falcons off the trip to Hawaii where they won 58-7 and they have key conference games against Utah State and Boise State on deck (still in hunt for MW championship). However, Air Force has dominated this series. The Falcons have won 15 of the last 16 meetings and have gone 13-2 ATS in the last 15. That alone downgrades this to only a slight lean on the road team. NC State 20 BOSTON COLLEGE 17. Both teams are banged up and struggling. NC State has lost 3 of their last 4 games (although competed very well against Clemson last week). However, their leading rusher is? here (see page 1). On the other side, BC has lost 5 straight games as their offense has not topped 17 points against any FBS foe this season (avg 9 ppg vs FBS team). Last week after QB Flutie continued to struggle early, BC HC Addazio opted to go with frosh walk-on Fadule in the loss to Virginia Tech. Fadule is the 4th BC QB to play this year. As of press time, a starter was not named for this week s game (original starter Wade out for the season and recent starter Jeff Smith has concussion symptoms). With so much uncertainty, this game is a complete pass for us. NORTHWESTERN 21 Penn State 17. The Nittany Lions are playing with revenge for last year s 29-6 loss at home. However, Northwestern has the situational edge here coming off a bye while Penn State is playing a 10th straight week. Both teams are already bowl eligible and this will be for bowl positioning in the conference. Last week the Nittany Lions had arguably their best performance of the season as they blanked Illinois 39-0 with a yard edge. However, the Nittany Lions are just 1-9 ATS in true road games the last 3 years. Northwestern, however, is a poor home favorite at 3-9 ATS. We ll pass on this one. TEXAS STATE 42 New Mexico State 28. Texas St won last year s game on the road. The Bobcats come in off a misleading loss to Georgia Southern last Thursday as they only trailed late 3Q. On the other side, New Mexico State is also off a misleading game as they trailed Idaho 30-7 early in the second half and also late in the 4Q before winning in OT notching their first win of the season. We ll actually lean with the road underdog in this one as we think this line is too inflated. The UNDER might also be worth a look if it continues to climb. Remember, we told you about the changes Texas State has made on the defensive side weeks ago and their totals have went UNDER each of the last 2 and this is their highest totals line of the entire season. Connecticut 24 TULANE 20. Tulane won last year s meeting 12-3 at home and get the Huskies at home again. The Green Wave have lost 4 straight games but they came against arguably the best 4 teams in the AAC in Temple, Houston, Navy and Memphis. Last week s loss to Memphis was a bit misleading as they led 13-0 in the second quarter and only trailed with less than 5 minutes left in the third quarter. On the other side, The Huskies come in off arguably their biggest win of the Diaco era as they upset East Carolina at home At 4-5, they maybe thinking possible bowl but Houston and Temple are on deck so this might be their last chance for a win. We ll put a slight lean on the under here. 4 TEXAS 40 Kansas 10. The Longhorns have won the last 12 straight up (9-3 ATS). Last year they blanked the Jayhawks Speaking of blanked, that s what Texas got dealt to them last week in surprising fashion as they fell to Iowa State 24-0 putting the heat right back on head coach Charlie Strong after getting some lee way with wins over Oklahoma and Kansas State. On the other side, it was another week, another blowout loss and another non-cover for the Jayhawks as this time they lost 62-7 to Oklahoma getting out-gained They are getting out-scored by 30 ppg this season and that s where this week s line is. We won t get involved here on the side, but we will put a slight lean on the UNDER. Colorado State 30 WYOMING 24. The Border War has seen Colorado State win each of the last 2 meetings after Wyoming had won 4 straight in the series. Both teams had misleading games last week (see page 1) as neither were blown out as bad as the finals indicated. The Pokes will most likely be without QB Coffman for a second straight week and backup Nick Smith had just 83 yards passing last week. On the other side, new head coach Mike Bobo is just 3-5 but their toughest games are all behind them now and they could be favored in the rest of their games. With no line at press time, we ll pass on this one for now. Stanford 37 COLORADO 21. The Cardinal have won the two Pac-12 meetings ( ) by a combined Last week the Cardinal s playoff hopes were in dire straits as they trailed Washington State late and after taking the lead, needed the Cougars to miss a FG on the final play to come away with a win. On the other side, we re still kicking ourselves for not using the Buffs as a star-rated play last week (were a just missed the cut play for VIP customers) as they lost to UCLA easily covering the 23.5-point spread. In fact, the Buffaloes had a FD edge and led outright in the 4Q. While the Cardinal could be in look ahead mode to Oregon next week, it should be noted they are 7-1 ATS in that role the last 8 years. This one is a pass for us. TULSA 45 Central Florida 23. These programs look like they are heading in opposite directions as Tulsa under first-year head coach Montgomery are now 4-4 after last week s win over SMU and are thinking possible bowl bid. Meanwhile the Knights are 0-9 SU/1-8 ATS this season and the move to the interim head coach paid no dividends last week as they fell to Cincinnati 52-7 getting out-gained We re usually not ones to lay it and play it, but that is our recommendation here. Just make sure you do it early as this line looks to be on the move. 2H NEW MEXICO (plus the points) Utah State 30 NEW MEXICO 23. We leaned against Utah State last week and it was a misleading loss for us (see page 1), but this is a good situation to go against them (remember when they were a road favorite at San Diego State a few weeks ago?). The Aggies are playing a 6th straight week while New Mexico is coming off a bye and they still have bowl hopes sitting at 4-4. Utah State was a 19.5 point home favorite against New Mexico last year and only won by 7 and could find themselves peeking ahead to Air Force next week. We ll gladly take the two touchdowns and the hook here as New Mexico boasts a 11-4 ATS record as a double-digit Mountain West dog. Utah 24 WASHINGTON 23. Washington pulled easy outright upsets in both Pac- 12 meetings ( ). Some of you may be surprised to see the 4-4 Huskies enlisted as the favorites over the 7-1 Utes. However, be wary of a fishy line (see Utah- USC two weeks ago). Also keep in mind, the last two times Washington has had a healthy QB Jake Browning for an entire game they upset USC as 17-point dogs and destroyed Arizona 49-3 as 5-point favorites last week. The Utes are only +24 ypg this year. With all of that being said, we look for this one to go down to the wire and outside of the USC game, that s all that has mattered for Utah this year. USC 40 Arizona 23. Arizona has covered 8 of the last 10 meetings but last year lost a heart-breaker After back-to-back wins and covers over the likes of Utah and California, the Trojans are playing like we thought they were capable of at the start of the year. However, note that the first downs have been even in those games and the Trojans are only +43 yards. Now their spreads are starting to get inflated again and some of it has to do with their opponent this week in Arizona who was destroyed 49-3 last week at Washington. The Wildcats are playing a 10th straight week (no bye this year) and with games against USC and Utah on deck could be in danger of missing out on a bowl. We ll pass on this one. TENNESSEE 34 South Carolina 21. The Vols have won back-to-back meetings outright despite being TD underdogs in each game. However, that is not the case this year as the Vols find themselves huge favorites and the last time Tennessee beat an SEC foe not named Kentucky by 17 or more points came all the way back in Last week they did maul Kentucky and the Vols will be favored in each of their last 4 games. On the other side, after last week s respectable loss to Texas A&M, the Gamecocks are 2-0 ATS under interim head coach Shawn Elliott and we ll call for them to make it 3-0 here. OKLAHOMA 45 Iowa State 17. The Sooners have won 16 straight in the series by 27 ppg. Ever since the loss to Texas, OU looks to be on a mission as they have won and covered 3 straight games by a combined score of Almost impressive is Iowa State s current run as since falling behind Baylor 35-0 two weeks ago, they have out-scored the Bears and the Longhorns by a combined and shut out Texas 24-0 last week. We ll put the slightest of leans on the home team here, but this line looks like it will be climbing. Also note that the Sooners have a monster game against Baylor on deck, although they are 5-0 ATS in that role the last 5 years. 3H OKLAHOMA STATE 40 Tcu 37. Oklahoma is 2-1 SU/ATS the last 3 years against the Frogs but lost 42-9 last year. Both teams come in 8-0, but neither has played a tough schedule. TCU is out-scoring their opponents by 24 ppg (+228 ypg) while Oklahoma State is +21 ppg (+146 ypg). The Horned Frogs are just 2-5 ATS as an away favorite dating back to November of last year which includes just a 1-point win over West Virginia (-3.5), a 4-point win over Kansas (-28), a 6-point win over Minnesota (-16), a 3-point win over Texas Tech (-5.5) and a 7-point win over Kansas State (-9.5). That old adage if you play with fire, you get burned and TCU has been playing with fire all season. The difference is, this is the best team they ve faced all year and we ll call for TCU s 16-game winning streak to come to an end this week as the Pokes pull the upset!!

5 Ucla 36 OREGON STATE 21. These two haven t faced each other since 2012, a Oregon State upset win at UCLA. UCLA s banged-up defense could show some signs of fatigue here as they faced an FBS-high 114 plays last week against Colorado as they were nearly upset as 23.5-point favorites. However, Oregon State isn t known for their up-tempo offense. The Beavers did notch a nice cover at Utah last week in a 15-point loss, but they had failed to cover the number in their previous 4 games. We ll put a slight lean with the home underdog and pass on the total. 3H Florida State (plus the points) CLEMSON 30 Florida State 27. The Seminoles have beaten the Tigers in 3 straight years but have gone just 2-8 ATS against them the last 10 years. However, this will be Florida State s largest underdog role in the Jimbo Fisher era (78 games) and their largest underdog role in the series since they joined the ACC back in In fact, the Noles have been a double-digit underdog just one time in ACC play since It came in the 2005 ACC Championship game where they upset No. 5 Virginia Tech (+14.5). While Jimbo Fisher is just 1-4 ATS as an underdog here, he is 10-3 SU vs unbeaten foes including 10 straight wins! Last week they notably rested QB Golson and RB Cook and still won and covered over Syracuse They are a fluke play away against Georgia Tech from winning 30 straight ACC games. Clemson came in at No. 1 in the first CFB playoff rankings on Tuesday and it s the first time they held a top spot in any poll since With that top ranking comes added pressure and we ll gladly take the Noles in an extremely rare big underdog role here. MEMPHIS 37 Navy 30. Another great match-up in the AAC this week. Memphis has won 15 straight games dating back to last year (7-7-1 ATS). However, they have trailed by double-digits in 5 games this season and that included last week s win over Tulane as they fell behind 13-0 early. They can ill afford to do that this week against a Navy team that is 23-9 ATS the last 10 years as an away underdog and have gone 12-2 SU their last 14 games with the only losses coming to Notre Dame. The Middies will no doubt try to play keep away from that powerful Memphis offense but we think this number is about right. Pass. Wisconsin 30 MARYLAND 13. The Badgers dominated last year s meeting 52-7 (-10). Both of these teams were involved in misleading games last week (see page 1). Wisconsin did get back RB Clement for the first time in a month and he ran for 115 yards and 3 TD s in their win over Rutgers. The Badgers are playing a 10th straight week (bye on deck) and their only two losses this season have come against the likes of Alabama and Iowa (15-1 combined SU). On the other side, Maryland has lost 5 straight games but has managed 3 straight covers and last week held Iowa to just 293 yards. TO s have been their issue as they have 9 of them in the last two weeks alone. We ll put a lean on the Badgers here. LOUISIANA TECH 45 North Texas 17. The two teams have split their two CUSA meetings. The Bulldogs are off back-to-back blowout wins (much to our dismay last week) and look to have a firm grip in the CUSA West division. They are playing a 10th straight week. After starting the season 0-5 SU/ATS, North Texas has managed 3 straight covers under interim head coach Canales and last week got their first outright upset win of the season beating UTSA However, they are just 1-9 ATS as an away dog while Louisiana Tech is on a 5-1 ATS run as a home favorite. Pass. 2H Lsu 24 ALABAMA 23. Alabama has won four straight versus LSU, but the Saban-Miles series has been so competitive that in nine meetings, as many games have gone to overtime (three) as have been decided by more than a TD. Both teams were in the top 4 of the initial CFB playoff rankings on Tuesday and the loser here could find themselves out of the mix. Both teams come in off a bye but Miles and Co have been better in that role as of late (6-2 ATS) while Saban sports just a ATS record in the regular season with rest. LSU has actually been the more dominant team in SEC play at +156 ypg and +14 ppg while Bama is +93 ypg and +11 ppg. The Crimson Tide have also gone 0-5 ATS as a home favorite this season. With both teams going all out to stop the opposing team s RB s, this game could come down to a key big pass or two. The Alabama pass defense has given up 6 pass plays of 50 yards or more while LSU has given up ZERO this season. Also TO s could be critical and LSU QB Harris has yet to throw an interception this season while Bama QB Coker has 7. We ll back the road underdog getting the TD here as this has the makings of an instant classic. The UNDER had some legitimate value early in the week as it opened at 54 but has since dropped a TD. TROY 30 UL-Monroe 27. ULM has won 4 straight in the series and the dog is 4-0 ATS with 3 outright upsets. Troy s last two games, a 52-7 win over New Mexico State and a near upset of Appalachian State (lost in 3OT) as 24-point dogs has inflated this number. Keep in mind, the last two times the Trojans were at home they were a 6.5-point favorite to South Alabama and lost outright Then they were a 11-point favorite against Idaho and lost outright ULM is just 1-7 SU this season but gave a great effort last week against their rival UL-Lafayette before falling (ULM led 24-9 at halftime). Despite the two teams having similar records this season, note that ULM was a 2-TD favorite in last year s game and now find themselves nearly a 10-point dog. We ll take the points here. UNLV 31 Hawaii 23. These two are rivals and each of the last two games have gone down to the wire. The Rebels are just 2-6 SU this season but are clearly an improved football team under Tony Sanchez. Last week s 28-point loss to Boise State was misleading as they only trailed by 7 entering the 4Q. On the other side, Norm Chow was dismissed (just SU) after last week s humiliating 58-7 loss to Air Force. It was the most lopsided home loss in school history. Chris Naeole will serve as the interim for the rest of the season. We ll pass on this one for now and see how the Rainbows fare under the interim. OREGON 38 California 31. The Ducks have won and covered each of the last 4 meetings. They have also won and covered each of their last two games with QB Adams back in the line-up both in the road underdog role. Now they come home where they owe their fan base a solid win after two embarrassing home losses. On the other side, Cal has begun their typical late-season collapse losing their last 3 games. They still need to notch the all-important win No. 6 and a lot of people are on the Cal bandwagon this weekend (went from TD dogs to 4-point dogs) and they are 6-1 ATS as an away dog. However, we ll side with the home team by a TD. OVER bettors beware of California s 5-game run to the UNDER. 5 UTSA 30 Old Dominion 27. We know Old Dominion is ATS this season, but UTSA just lost outright as a TD favorite to North Texas (bottom 10 team) and they are now laying double-digits to a similarly talented Old Dominion team. On a neutral field, we would have UTSA maybe a FG favorite at most over Old Dominion. Clearly a 3/4 empty Alamo Dome doesn t equal to 9 home field advantage points. This number should be around 6-7 max and we ll back the road underdog who has actually won 3 games outright this season while UTSA is just 1-7 SU. Notre Dame 23 PITTSBURGH 20. The underdog has gone ATS in the series and none of the last 6 games game has been decided by more than a TD. Pitt has gone ATS in those last 6 meetings and beat the Irish outright here in The Irish are in a tough spot on back-to-back road and remarkably are playing their first Noon ET start in the regular season since a non-cover win over Pitt back in The Panthers had a couple extra days to lick their wounds from a loss to North Carolina last Thursday. New head coach Pat Narduzzi should be well versed in handling ND s offense as while he was the DC at Michigan State, his defenses limited the Irish to 300 yards or less in each of the last three meetings. We ll back the home team especially considering ND s struggles on the road this year including last week s disappointment against Temple. The UNDER is also worth a look as these two have averaged just 33 total ppg in regulation their last 5 meetings. Marshall 28 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 27. The Thundering Herd have seen some very fishy lines in recent weeks. First, it was their road trip to Florida Atlantic where they were only a 4-point favorite and won Then last week they were surprisingly only a 17-point road favorite against Charlotte and won Now at 8-1, they find themselves a 3-point underdog to a 3-5 Middle Tennessee team?!? However, please note Middle Tennessee is coming off a bye while the Herd are playing a 10th straight week. The Blue Raiders also upset Marshall the last time here and have played a much tougher schedule. While we re leaning with the road team here, this line almost looks too good to be true. MISSISSIPPI 31 Arkansas 23. The Rebels are playing with legitimate revenge after Arkansas embarrassed them a year ago Last week Ole Miss and WR Treadwell got a little bit of revenge over Auburn in their win. Meanwhile, Arkansas is basically coming off a bye as they beat FCS UT-Martin last week While the Hogs are just 4-4 this season, they are a perfect 3-0 ATS away from home and the underdog is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 4 years in this series. Despite Ole Miss revenge factor, we ll grab the road team getting double-digits here. OHIO STATE 38 Minnesota 13. The Bucks have won 9 straight in the series but last year only won It was an eventful bye week for them as starting QB J.T Barrett was arrested (see page 1) and will be suspended for this game. Cardale Jones will resume the role of starting QB. On the other side, Minnesota played with a lot of emotion in last week s game but came up 1-yard short against Michigan. Urban Meyer is one of the best in getting his guys to play the disrespect card and despite being the unbeaten defending champs, the Bucks came in at No. 3 in the first CFB playoff poll. That should get them to play with a chip on their shoulder here but we re leery as they were just 1-5 ATS in games when Jones took the majority of the snaps. TEXAS A&M 34 Auburn 24. Each of the last two meetings has seen double-digit outright upsets for the away dog. Last week A&M survived a scare from South Carolina as they won The switch to QB Murray paid off as he accounted for 379 total yards. On the other side, Auburn played a solid game against Ole Miss but came up short losing because of failed opportunities in the red zone. The return of DE Lawson did help. Despite the last two series meetings being huge wins for the underdog, we ll put a slight lean on the home team and pass on the total. WASHINGTON STATE 35 Arizona State 34. We wonder what both teams emotions will be for this one after last-second losses a week ago. Washington State s FG on the last play went wide and they lost to Stanford Meanwhile, Arizona State, despite a yard edge lost to Oregon in 3OT s The key play being a 4th down Oregon miracle TD pass late in regulation. ASU has owned the series going 10-1 SU and 3-0 SU/ATS the last 3 years, however Washington State has covered each of their last 5 games this season. We ll pass on the side and lean with the OVER as we re not so sure why this totals line has dropped 4 points this week. MIAMI (FL) 27 Virginia 26. Virginia has upset Miami 3 times in the last 5 years and has gone ATS in the series including a win last year. It was a travesty to see the officials award Miami the win last week against Duke (see page 1 for full details). They were very undisciplined in that game committing 23 penalties for 194 yards. On the other side, the Cavs were one of the few bright spots for us last week winning outright over Georgia Tech as a 2H on these pages. There is no line at press time with Miami QB Kaaya still questionable. That means we ll pass on this one for now, but rest assured we are looking to back the road team. SOUTH ALABAMA 36 Idaho 30. S Alabama won the only meeting between the two last year Idaho is making their third long road trip in 4 weeks while S Alabama is coming off a bye and playing only their 2nd game in the last 25 days. Idaho is off a very misleading game against New Mexico State where they should have won the game (leading 30-7 and in the second half). It could have been their third straight win. While it s not a great situation for them, we re backing the road team getting double-digits as S Alabama is on a ATS run as a home favorite. Michigan State 34 NEBRASKA 27. The two teams have split their 4 Big Ten meetings while the Huskers have gone 3-1 ATS. Mike Riley s first-year nightmare continued last week as they fell to Purdue as they were -5 in TO s. They lost WR Pierson-El for the season but do get back QB Armstrong for this game. On the other side, the Spartans are 8-0 but just No. 7 in the first CFB playoff poll and head coach Dantonio will no doubt be playing the disrespect card here. They come in off a bye while Nebraska is playing a 10th straight week. The Huskers are certainly due for some good fortune but we think their misery continues here. brad powers ats stat of the week: Florida State has been a double-digit underdog just one time in ACC play since It came in the 2005 ACC Championship game where they upset No. 5 Virginia Tech (+14.5)! This week they find themselves 12-point underdogs at Clemson.

6 Week 9 CFB and Week 8 NFL Finals, Lines and ATS Results Thursday, October Miami Under: New England Cover: North Carolina Cover: Pittsburgh Under: W Michigan Cover: E Michigan Over: Buffalo Over: Miami (OH) Cover: Texas State Under: Ga Southern Cover: West Virginia Under: TCU Cover: Oregon Cover: Arizona State Over: 116 Friday, October Louisville Under: Wake Forest Cover: East Carolina Under: Connecticut Cover: Louisiana Tech Cover: Rice Under: Wyoming Over: Utah State Cover: 5.5 Saturday, October South Florida Under: Navy Cover: Marshall Cover: Charlotte Under: Troy Cover: Appalachian St Over: Massachusetts 65 PK 10 Under: Ball State Cover: Rutgers Over: Wisconsin Cover: Nebraska Over: Purdue Cover: Clemson Cover: NC State Over: Maryland Cover: Iowa Under: Mississippi Push 140 Auburn Under: Georgia State Cover: Arkansas State Over: C Michigan Cover: Akron Under: Arizona Under: Washington Cover: San Diego State Cover: Colorado State Over: Stanford Under: Washington St Cover: 8 Saturday, October Georgia Under: Florida -3 PK 27 Cover: USC Cover: California Under: Notre Dame Under: Temple Cover: Georgia Tech Under: Virginia Cover: Oklahoma State Cover: Texas Tech Over: Oklahoma Cover: Kansas Over: Texas Under: Iowa State Cover: Illinois Under: Penn State Cover: Vanderbilt Under: Houston Cover: South Carolina Cover: Texas A&M Over: Tennessee Cover: Kentucky Over: Oregon State Cover: Utah Under: Central Florida Under; Cincinnati Cover: Syracuse Over: Florida State Cover: UL-Monroe Cover: UL-Lafayette Over: W Kentucky Push 182 Old Dominion Over: UTEP Cover: Southern Miss Under: Florida Intl Under: Florida Atlantic Cover: UTSA Under: North Texas Cover: Miami (FL) Cover: Duke Over: Tulsa Cover: SMU Under: Virginia Tech Cover: Boston College Under: Idaho Over: New Mexico St Cover: Tulane Cover: Memphis Under: Michigan Over: Minnesota Cover: Boise State Cover: UNLV Over: Colorado Cover: UCLA Over: 66 Saturday, October Air Force Cover: Hawaii Over: UT-Martin Cover: Arkansas Over: 91 Sunday, November Detroit Over: Kansas City Cover: Minnesota Cover: Chicago Under: Tampa Bay Cover: Atlanta Under: N.Y. Giants Push 258 New Orleans Over: San Francisco Under: St. Louis Cover: Arizona Cover: Cleveland Over: Cincinnati -2.5 PK 16 Cover: Pittsburgh Under: San Diego Cover: Baltimore Over: Tennessee Under: Houston Cover: N.Y. Jets Over: Oakland Cover: Seattle Under: Dallas Cover: Green Bay Under: Denver Cover: 21.5 Monday, November Indianapolis Carolina College Recap: The largest underdogs to win straight up: Miami FL (+10, +290 ML) at Duke Purdue (+8, +282 ML) over Nebraska North Texas (+7, +234 ML) over UTSA New Mexico State (+7, +216 ML) over Idaho The largest favorite to cover: Oklahoma (-39.5) at Kansas, 62-7 Overall Results: Wager Favorites-Dogs Straight Up Against the Spread Wager Totals (O/U) Over-Under Updated College Football Power Ratings for Week 10 Rank Team Pre 11/3 1 Ohio State Alabama Baylor TCU Clemson LSU Florida Stanford Michigan State Oklahoma Notre Dame Florida State Michigan Utah Oklahoma State Iowa USC Ole Miss UCLA Oregon Mississippi State Memphis Texas A&M North Carolina Wisconsin Arkansas Tennessee Georgia Arizona State Houston Duke Boise State Rank Team Pre 11/3 33 Temple Washington Auburn California Pittsburgh Toledo BYU Washington State Northwestern Kansas State West Virginia Penn State San Diego State Missouri Arizona Virginia Tech NC State Georgia Tech Bowling Green South Carolina WKU Louisiana Tech Texas Utah State Cincinnati Texas Tech Louisville Marshall Kentucky Illinois Nebraska Minnesota Rank Team Pre 11/3 65 Colorado Navy Miami, Fl Boston College Northern Illinois Air Force Virginia Appalachian State Rutgers Indiana Vanderbilt Iowa State Western Michigan South Florida Purdue East Carolina Maryland Central Michigan Wake Forest Georgia Southern Southern Miss Ohio Middle Tennessee Tulsa Connecticut Arkansas State Colorado State Rice Kent State UL-Lafayette Oregon State Syracuse Get FREE daily picks at bradpowerssports.com Rank Team Pre 11/3 97 FIU Ball State San Jose State Buffalo Akron New Mexico Massachusetts Nevada Tulane SMU Texas State UNLV Fresno State Florida Atlantic UTSA UTEP South Alabama UCF Hawaii Troy ULM Kansas Old Dominion Idaho Wyoming Miami, Oh Army North Texas Georgia State Eastern Michigan Charlotte New Mexico State Biggest Movers Since Preseason Team Pts Florida +13 Houston +12 Iowa Bowling Green +10 Michigan +9 Toledo +8 Central Michigan +8 Clemson +7.5 Memphis +7 Southern Miss +7 Connecticut +7 Washington State +6.5 UNLV +6 Temple +5.5 Washington +5.5 Virginia Tech -7 Texas -7 Oregon State -7 Ball State -7 Fresno State -7 Hawaii -7 Old Dominion -7 Oregon -7.5 Kansas -8 Wyoming -8 North Texas -8.5 Missouri -9.5 Arizona -9.5 Auburn -11 Georgia Tech -11 Georgia -12 UCF -20

7 4H = BEST 3H = BETTER 2H = GOOD 1H = FAIR THE POWERS PACK 3H Philadelphia (-2.5) over DALLAS 2H PITTSBURGH (-4.5) over Oakland 2H NY Giants (-2.5) over TAMPA BAY Games in Rotation Order HOME TEAM IN CAPS Thursday, November 5th CINCINNATI 27 Cleveland 16. Remember last year s Thursday night er here as Cleveland won 24-3? So do the Bengals as they revenged it later in the year by beating Cleveland The Bengals are now 7-0 SU/6-0-1 ATS for the first time in franchise history after their win over Pittsburgh. QB Dalton had an 0-2 ratio (15-4 on the year) before the game-winning drive. On the other side, the Browns have lost 3 straight games and blew a halftime lead against Arizona last week (out-scored 20-0 in the second half). QB McCown who is nursing sore ribs and an injured shoulder is doubtful here as Johnny Manziel will get the start. That pretty much sealed our fate on this game as we were looking to back the Browns as a possible star-rated play. Pass. Sunday, November 8th 2H PITTSBURGH 30 Oakland 19. QB Roethlisberger was clearly rusty in his return as he threw 3 int s in the loss to the Bengals. It was the first time Pittsburgh had lost back-to-back games since 2013, but please note their defense did hold the Bengals to a season-low 296 yards. They ve also held the Patriots, Cardinals and Rams to season-lows in points. The offense, however did lose RB Bell for the rest of the season to a knee injury. On the other side, the surprising 4-3 Raiders notched yet another impressive win under new head coach Del Rio this time upsetting the NY Jets However, now they re fat and happy traveling east for a 10am PST start time (1-15 SU/6-10 ATS in EST time zone) against a desperate Steelers team in must-win mode. Lay it and play it. NY JETS 23 Jacksonville 17. This is a nice situation for Jacksonville coming off a win over Buffalo in London while having a bye last week. However, they haven t won a true road game in almost two years. On the other side, the Jets are off a lackluster loss at Oakland a week ago. Their defense after allowing 18 ppg, was exposed allowing 451 total yards. They also loss to QB Fitzpatrick to a thumb injury and QB Smith could start here (he is also banged up). No line at press time due to Fitzpatrick s injured thumb means this game is a pass for us for now. MINNESOTA 21 St. Louis 17. This game is very important in the NFC playoff picture as both teams are upstarts. We went against the Vikings on these pages last week and they cost us a perfect sweep as they rallied from a late 4Q deficit to win (-1) getting a FG on the final play. They have now covered 14 of their last 17 games including 6 straight games this season. On the other side, St. Louis is off back-to-back dominating home wins over the likes of the hapless Browns and 49ers. RB Gurley has 564 rush yards the last 4 weeks but is taking a big step up in competition here. We ll finally jump on board this money-making Minnesota train, but they, like the Rams, haven t faced top-level competition in recent weeks. BUFFALO 24 Miami 20. The Bills embarrassed the Dolphins earlier this year but that was when HC Philbin was still on the sidelines for Miami. The Dolphins will be playing with revenge here, but they have failed to cover each of their last 3 trips to Buffalo by 14 ppg. After back-to-back impressive wins the Dolphins came back to earth a week ago with New England smashing them Miami lost their best pass rusher Cameron Wake for the season (achilles) in the game. The Bills needed the bye after another dismal performance this time losing to Jacksonville in London. They did rally from a 27-3 deficit in that one only to blow it in the final 2 minutes. QB Taylor is expected to be back for this one and that s good news for the home team. Slight lean on the Bills, but it s definitely not star-rated material. Updated NFL Records: Straight Up, ATS and Over/Under Straight-Up Against The Spread Over/Under Team Total Home Away Total Home Away Total Home Away Arizona Atlanta Baltimore Buffalo Carolina Chicago Cincinnati Cleveland Dallas Denver Detroit Green Bay Houston Indianapolis Jacksonville Kansas City Miami Minnesota New England New Orleans NY Giants NY Jets Oakland Philadelphia Pittsburgh San Diego San Francisco Seattle St. Louis Tampa Bay Tennessee Washington NEW ORLEANS 31 Tennessee 20. The Saints are off a thrilling win over the Giants where QB Brees was sensational going 40 of 50 for 511 yards and an NFL-record-tying 7 TD passes. On the other side, Tennessee s struggles continued as QB Mettenberger making his second straight start couldn t muster much offense (211 total yards) in the Titans 20-6 loss to the Texans. The Titans would then fire head coach Whisenhunt (3-20 start) and Mike Mularkey has been named interim head coach for the rest of the season. As of press time, QB Mariota is still questionable for this one, but even if it does play, we don t want any part of this one especially with the Saints off a tiring win and the Titans playing with an interim. Pass. NEW ENGLAND 31 Washington 20. It s somewhat surprising that this 7-0 start for the Patriots is only the second time they ve done it in franchise history ( ). Despite being 38 years young, Tom Brady has a remarkable 20-1 TD-to-INT ratio this season. The last time we saw these Redskins (off a bye), they were making the largest comeback in franchise history beating Tampa Bay (still cashed a 2H going against them on these pages). This is usually the time of year where Patriots spreads get too large and they are just 4-16 ATS as a chalk of 13 or more points since We ll take the 2 TD s here as this Washington team is a legit team unlike the one (Jacksonville), the Patriots crushed earlier this year as a large favorite. Green Bay 23 CAROLINA 20. A tough stretch for the Pack on back-to-back road against unbeaten teams. Last week QB Rodgers had a career-low 77 yards (in a game he played from start to finish) in the loss the Broncos. They are on a ATS run off a SU loss. On the other side, the Panthers 4Q collapse nearly cost them but they did manage a OT win over Indianapolis on Monday Night improving their current run to 11-0 SU in the regular season dating back to last year. A week after cashing our top play of the week on these pages going against the Packers, we ll actually call for a win here but there s not much value. Atlanta 27 SAN FRANCISCO 16. We easily cashed going against the Falcons last week on these pages as they lost outright as a TD-plus home favorite to Tampa Bay. However, we love them here as new head coach Quinn was the Seattle DC and is quite familiar with the 49ers personnel. On the other side, the benching of QB Kaepernick in favor of the dumpster fire Gabbert saw this line immediately climb 2.5 points yesterday. We still aren t afraid to lay it and play it as Gabbert is on a 0-7 SU/ATS run as a starting QB at home. However, please note VIP customers got Atlanta -4.5 yesterday as an early lean as there has been clear value lost. 2H NY Giants 30 TAMPA BAY 23. The Bucs are off a big upset win over Atlanta as we cashed a 2H on them on these pages (third straight game QB Winston didn t throw an interception). Meanwhile the Giants became just the second team in NFL history to lose while scoring 49 points in the thrilling loss at New Orleans. There has to be a sense of urgency here for the Giants as the Patriots are on deck and a loss in this one would make them 4-6. Tampa Bay, while a profitable road team for us in the last two weeks is just 3-9 ATS their last 12 home games and we ve had a good pulse on both of these teams this year. DENVER 24 Indianapolis 23. You can t get much more of a dominating performance than what Denver did last week out-gaining the previously unbeaten Packers in an easy 3H winner on these pages. They are now 7-0 for the first time since On the other side, the Colts are off a OT loss at Carolina on Monday night to drop to just 3-5 this season. They still look to be in complete control of the division, however. The underdog is 8-0 ATS in Indy games this year and Luck is 2-0 vs Manning including last year s playoff shocker in Denver. Luck is also 8-0 ATS as a home underdog in his career. A lot will be made of Manning s possible final game in Lucas Oil Stadium but we actually like the home underdog in this one. 3H Philadelphia 27 DALLAS 17. The Cowboys have given maximum effort in each of the last two weeks and have come up just short on the scoreboard while the Eagles are coming in off a bye and are playing with revenge after Dallas took them to the wood shed earlier this year. That was Dallas last win as they have dropped 5 straight contests without QB Romo (1-4 ATS). Before that loss, the Eagles had covered 4 straight in this series and prior to the bye, they were leading the NFL in take aways while the Cowboys are -8 this year. Revenge! Monday, November 9th SAN DIEGO 30 Chicago 24. Despite ranking No. 1 in the NFL in total offense, the Chargers have lost 4 straight games as they ve allowed at least 24 points in every game this season. Meanwhile, Chicago games have gone down to the wire in each of their last 4 with a combined 9 point margin. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong end of one last week as they let a late 4Q lead turn into a loss to Minnesota (our only NFL loser). More importantly, it looks like RB Forte (knee) will be out here and Langford will get the start. San Diego is on a 8-3 ATS run vs the NFC and they are the lean here along with the OVER. Week 9 NFL Power Ratings Rk Team Pre 11/3 1 New England Cincinnati Denver Green Bay Carolina Arizona Minnesota Pittsburgh Seattle St. Louis Indianapolis Atlanta Philadelphia NY Jets NY Giants New Orleans Rk Team Pre 11/3 17 Dallas Oakland Buffalo Miami Kansas City Chicago Washington San Diego Tampa Bay Houston Cleveland Baltimore San Francisco Detroit Tennessee Jacksonville

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