Including: Week 3 NFL selections+!!

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1 2015 WEEK 3 $25 Featuring the SDQL Including: Week 3 NFL selections+!! NFL Player Trends, SBB s Spotlight System, Dozens of NFL/NCAA Trends MTI s Newsletter Teaser Plays... Two-Team, Six-Point Teaser Play of the Week 5-Star Baltimore +3.5, Green Bay -1 Supporting Teaser-Specific Trends: The Ravens are 20-0 ATSp6 when the line is within 3 of pickem vs a team that has averaged + rushing first downs per game. The Packers are 18-0 ATSp6 vs a team with a third down make percentage less than 35. Three-Team, Ten-Point Teaser Play of the Week 4-Star San Diego +12.5, Tampa Bay +16.5, Carolina +6.5 Supporting Teaser-Specific Trends: The Chargers are 24-0 ATSp10 (on the road vs an opponent allowing an average of more than 375 offensive yards per game. The Buccaneers are 22-0 vs a winless opponent after week one. The Panthers are 22-0 ATSp10 vs a winless opponent after week one. Don t Miss the Trends Mart... For the first time, the Killersports.com Trends Mart is up and running for football season. Several masters and pros are offering systems on the trends mart including SportsBook Breakers with featured weekly trends and system 5-packs. Watch Daily Trends Videos... The Sports Data Query Group is posting daily NFL query videos on YouTube each Tuesday-Sunday during the season. Subscribe to these videoson YouTube. In This Issue: MTi s Week 3 Selections... 2 SportsBook Breakers Week 3 Selections... 3 SBB s NFL Player Trends... 4 SportsBook Breakers Spotlight System... 4 Cajun Sports College Football System... 5 SBB s Five NFL Trends to Watch in Week SBB s NCAA Trends to Watch... 6 Pick Sixty Sports: Tips and Totals... 7 NFL Schedule Chart... 8 NFL Trends and Notes The Power of Two-Team Teasers NFL Annual Active Trends Tracking The 2015 Season... While the powerful SDQL is great for tracking complex and very specific handicapping information, it is also just as useful for tracking the basics. In this spot all season long we will track basic handicapping situations over the full season, as well as how they ve gone the past three weeks. Situation 2015 ATS record 2014 ATS record Home Home Dog Home Favorite Off a win Off a Cover Passes Per Game 35.1 passes 35.0 passes Rushes Per Game 26.5 rushes 26.7 rushes Average Total Score 46.5 ppg ppg.

2 MTi s NFL Selections / Week 3 MTi s Newsletter Side Play 4-Star San Diego +2.5 over MINNESOTA -- The Vikings got things going last week against the Lions after their poor performance vs the 49ers in their opener. This, however, has been a negative indicator for them. Minnesota is 0-13 the week after a home game in which they had at more than 95 yards greater than their season-to-date average total yards of offense and they are lined from a seven-point favorite to a three-point dog. Minnesota lost every game straight up, getting outscored by an average of more than a TD. The SDQL text is: team=vikings and -7<=line<=3 and p:h and p:ty - ta(p:ty)>95 and NB Also, Minnesota is 0-9 ATS when their line is within three of pick they week following a game in which they scored at least seven points more than their season-to-date average, losing by an average of more than ten points per game. The SDQL text here is: team=vikings and -3<=line<=3 and p:points- ta(p:points)>=7 and NB and season>=2003 This has been a great situational spot for the Chargers, as they are 12-0 ATS as a road dog off a road game when they have home games in each of the next two weeks. The SDQL text is: team=chargers and AD and p:a and n:h and nn:h and n:nb and nn:nb San Diego had so many chances to win last week, or at least come within the number, but they did not capitalize on their opportunities. The Chargers have been a good investment in this spot, going 10-0 SU and 10-0 ATS the week after a game in which they scored worse than 9.25 points below their season-to-date average and were not turnover-free. The SDQL text is:<p> team=chargers and ta(p:points) - p:points > 9.25 and NB and p:to>0 and date>= Note that the Chargers were the DOG in SIX of the ten games. Make the Chargers the play. FORECAST: San Diego 31 Minnesota 23 MTi s Newsletter Totals Play 4-Star Chicago at Seattle UNDER The Bears allowed a lot of points last week and we expect them to focus on defense here. The 0-2 Seahawks are in a great spot to get Lynch going and re-establish their defensive reputation. We like the UNDER. First of all, the league is on an 0-14 OU run as a dog off a 21-plus point defeat, with the average final score of It cashed once already this season when the Bucs held the Saints to 19 points after getting demolished by the Titans in week one. The Bears are 0-18 OU as a six-plus point dog with more than three days rest vs a team that has allowed less than 3.85 yards per carry season-to-date. The SDQL text is: team=bears and line>=6 and oa(o:ypra)<3.85 and rest>3 and date>= Note that the Bears have not scored more than 14 points in any of their last six games in this spot. In addition, the Bears are 0-20 OU in the history of the database when they allowed more points than expected in each of the previous two weeks with the last game at home, as long as they scored 10-plus points in that home game. The SDQL text is: team=bears and D and p:h and 0<p:dpa and 0<pp:dpa and p:points>=10 Finally, the Seahawks are 0-7 OU as a favorite over a team that has averaged at least 6.5 rushing first downs per game season-to-date when they were a dog in their last game. The SDQL text is: team=seahawks and F and p:d and oa(rfd)>6.5 and date>= We don t see the Bears scoring a lot of points here. FORECAST: SEATTLE 23 Chicago

3 SportsBook Breakers NFL Selections / Week 3 SBB s Newsletter Side 4-STAR Tampa Bay over HOUSTON We are going back to the well with Tampa Bay on the road for the second straight week after they pulled off a huge win as a double-digit dog last week. This week they again travel to a team that has showed nothing so far this year and are getting no respect yet again. Both these teams were terrible in week one, but because Tampa Bay did it on a more prominent stage, they are being discredited for the one performance much more than Houston. Obviously Tampa Bay struggled to a 2-14 record a season ago but are in a good spot here getting points on the road because of it. In the first four week of the season, teams that are road dogs of less than a TD that won less than seven games last season are ATS (week<=4 and tps(w)<7 and 6.5>=line>0 and A). They are on the road for the second straight week, giving them an advantage of being used to the routine. Teams playing their second straight road games are ATS since 2003 (A and p:a and season>=2003). And for the second straight week they are playing as a huge dog. Teams that are at least 6.5 point dogs after playing as at least seven point dogs last game are ATS since 2006 (line>=6.5 and p:line>= 7 and season>=2006). Tampa Bay won as a double digit dog while Houston failed to cover in a loss in Carolina. The Buccaneers are 7-0 ATS (7.71 ppg) since Oct 05, 2008 on the road and after an ATS win in a win with their opponent off an ATS loss in a loss (team=buccaneers and A and p:w and p:atsw and op:l and op:atsl and date>= ). Tampa Bay put up 26 points in that week two win. The Buccaneers are 8-0 ATS (10.06 ppg) since Nov 15, 2009 on the road after scoring 10+ points more than their season-to-date average (team=buccaneers and A and ta(p:points)+10<=p:points and date>= ). For Houston, moving the ball constantly was a real struggle in Houston. They faced 19 third down attempts and picked up just five of them. Teams which had at least 19 third down attempts last game and made fewer 50% of those teams are ATS (p:3da>=19 and p:3dp<50). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Tampa Bay by 1 SportsBook Breakers Total Play 4-STAR Dallas and Atlanta Under Dallas knows its limitations right now. We saw it last game just with the loss of Dez Bryant, their only current big play threat. The trouble multiplied tenfold with the loss of Tony Romo. They know that they aren t winning any shootouts on the arm of Brandon Weeden, so their hope is to shorten the game and win on the ground. Dallas s defense far exceeded expectations last week, allowing 20 points less than expected in their win over Philadelphia. Teams that allowed at least 19 points fewer than expected last game are OU (p:dpa <= -19). That was expected to be one of the highest scoring games of the season with a total of Teams coming off a game where the total was at least 49 and the game went under the total by at least 12 points are OU (p:total>=49 and p:ou margin<-12). So far this season, Dallas has been throwing often with 39.5 passes per game. The Falcons are 0-9 OU ( ppg) since 2014 vs an opponent averaging at least 35 passes per game (team=falcons and 35<=Average(o:passes@o:team and season) and season>=2014). Even more importantly, they ve managed to control the ball with a league high 38:50 time of possession per game. The Falcons are 0-7 OU (-9.6 ppg) since Nov 03, 2013 and vs an opponent averaging more than 32 minutes of possession time (team=falcons and oa(top)>=1900 and date>= ). Atlanta went into New York last week and stole a win. Julio Jones had a monster game with 135 yards on 13 catches. The Falcons are 0-12 OU (-9.7 ppg) since 2012 after a road game in which a receiver had more than 115 receiving yards (team=falcons and max:p:receiving yards>115 and p:a and season>=2012). SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 38 points Vince Akins of SportsBook Breakers has proven to be one of the best handicappers in the business and has dominated the NFL the past four seasons. Over that time, SportsBook Breakers has gone a huge +$4109 with its selections. Last season, SBB finished as the top handicapper on VegasInsider.com with a +$1826 finish. Vince Akins picks, which include can be found at Vegasinsider.com NFL Week 3 3

4 SBB s SportsBook College Football Breakers Trends NFL Player to Watch Trends (9-12) Trends Carson Palmer is ATS (8.5 ppg) since October 27, 2013 after a game where he completed at least 60% of his passes. Adrian Peterson is 0-10 ATS (-14.8 ppg) since December 2009 coming off a win as a favorite where he rushed for at least 70 yards. Andrew Luck: is 8-0 ATS (7.1 ppg) since November 2003 as a favorite facing a team he threw at least 2 TDs passes against in a win last meeting. Frank Gore is 7-0 ATS( 9.3 ppg) since January 20, 2013 when a road favorite coming off a game where he rushed the ball at least 15 times. Matt Ryan is 0-7 ATS (-12.1 ppg) since December 2012 when facing a team he threw for at least 300 yards against as a favorite last meeting. Sports Data Query Language Carson Palmer:p:completions / Carson Palmer:p:passes>=.60 and date>= Adrian Peterson:p:rushing yards>=70 and p:fw and date>= Andrew Luck:P:passing touchdowns>=2 and P:W and F and date>= AF and Frank Gore:p:rushes>=15and date>= Matt Ryan:P:passing yards>=300 and P:F and date>= SportsBook Breakers Spotlight System SportsBook Breakers has spent the past season focused on league systems and has found over 100 that are winners at well over the 55% required rate for the long-term success. Each week, SBB will highlight an active league system here. If you are looking for more SDQL-based systems from SBB each week, check out their offerings on the Killersports.com Trends Mart. PLAY ON Playoff teams from a season ago which are between 0-2 and ATS (3.96, 63.6%) SDQL TEXT: tps(w)+tps(l)+tps(margin=0)>16 and wins=0 and 4>=losses>=2 4 The betting world is a very reactionary space. Bettors are have trouble enough shrugging off just one week of results. So when the results span multiple weeks, suddenly what occurred last season seems like ancient news and the public tends to accept a new reality too quickly. We find that to be the case in this early season system. Playoff teams from a season ago which are between 0-2 and 0-4 are ATS (3.96, 63.6%). There are a couple of things we like about this system. For starters, playoff teams from a season ago rarely fall off to such an extend that they are going to start the season on a long winless streak as there is still talent on the team. These playoff teams also carry themselves with enough pride not to turn the next season into a complete disaster. Despite these all being playoff teams from just last season, the early season struggles have been enough to make these teams slight dogs on average in these games. And the system has performed particularly well when these teams are underdogs. In 2015, this system will be active more than normal as four of the 12 playoff teams from last year find themselves winless thus far. Baltimore, Detroit, Indianapolis and Seattle are all still searching for their first win. Consider picking them to exceed expectations this week and if they happen to fail, watch out for them in the next two weeks as well.

5 Cajun Sports College Football System Play ON a CFB home team (not a favorite of more than two points or an underdog of more than six points) coming off back-toback home straight up victories. SDQL Text game number>2 and pp:wh and p:wh and H and 6.1>line>-2.1 and date> System Analysis We enter Week Four of the college football season with our best bets hitting a little over 60 percent on the year so far and our NFL best bets are performing even better with back-to-back winning weeks going 4-1 ATS and 4-2 ATS the last two weeks. Make sure you join us each week for our NCAA and NFL Best Bets. In trying to decide what to research for this week s system of the week we wanted to know how teams respond coming off back-to-back victories at home. We wanted to know would they come out flat after two home straight up victories would those wins cause them to possibly be overconfident and not prepare as hard or with as much dedication to the process. If in fact any of these happened to be the case would it affect their ability to cover the spread in their next game? There are many different situations and parameters that could be researched and we looked at several before uncovering the set that makes up our system of the week. We wanted our team to be at home for at least the third straight week. This fact could negatively affect the team if as we mentioned they do not prepare for this matchup with the same vigor and concentration. What we found surprised some of us in the office because under the right situation these home teams are money in the bank. We did not want them to be laying heavy chalk or be more than a touchdown underdog we felt either of those two factors could cause our theory and numbers to be skewed in this particular situation. Using a less than a field goal favorite and no touchdown or more underdog gave us the parameters that paid dividends. This week our nugget of gold qualifies two Saturday College Football Home Teams who fit our parameters perfectly. With all of the system parameters met our NCAA Football System of the Week calls for a play ON the Arizona State Sun Devils (+5.5) in their game at home versus the USC Trojans and a play ON the Washington Huskies (+4) in their game at home versus the California Golden Bears. SU: (4.72, 70.0%) ATS: (6.74, 76.9%) avg line: 2.0 O/U: (-5.82, 29.4%) avg total: 54.4 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team Opp NFL Week 3 5

6 SBB s Five NFL Trends to Watch: Week 3 Trends The Cowboys are 12-0 ATS (12.3 ppg) since 2000 as a dog vs an opponent that allows a completion rate of more than 65.2 percent. The Eagles are 0-13 ATS (-14.7 ppg) since January 9, 2011 after a home loss in which a receiver had a reception of 30+ yards. The Raiders are 0-12 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since October 25, 2009 as a dog and after a 10+ point ATS win. The Raiders are 0-13 OU (-12.2 ppg) since December 28, 2003 off a game as a dog where they allowed at least 100 more passing yards than their season-to-date average. The Eagles are 12-0 OU (11.3 ppg) since November 26, 2006 on the road the week after scoring 10+ points less than their season-to-date average. Sports Data Query Language team=cowboys and D and oa(o:cp)>65.2 and season>=2000 team=eagles and 30<=max:p:longest reception and p:hl and date>= team=raiders and D and 10<=p:ats margin and date>= team=raiders and p:d and ta(po:py)+100<=po:py and date>= team=eagles and A and p:points+10<=ta(p:points) and NB and date>= SBB s College Football Trends to Watch (9-26) Trends Sports Data Query Language Ohio State is 14-0 ATS (15.1 ppg) since October 18, 2008 after scoring no more than 21 points last game. Rice is ATS (9.7 ppg) since October 8, 2011 coming off a road game where they scored more than expected. Ball State is 11-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since November 2006 on the road after a win on the road. Army is 0-11 ATS (-12.4 ppg) since September 24, 2011 on the road after a game as a dog. Louisiana-Lafayette is OU (11.6 ppg) since December 2006 at home coming off a game where they picked up no more than 18 first downs. team=ohst and p:points<=21 and date>= team=rice and p:dps>0 and p:a and date>= team=ball and A and p:aw and date>= team=army and A and p:d and date>= team=llaf and H and p:first downs<=18 and date>= SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS NFL AND NCAA SELECTIONS ARE NOW AVAILABLE UNDER VINCE AKINS AT VEGASINSIDER.COM 6

7 Pick Sixty Sports: Tips and Totals Five NFL teams that started this season with back-to-back home games will play Game No. 3 on the road this week. All five are getting points and by now, you may already know the outcome of the first road dog, Washington at New York on Thursday night. The record for these teams heading into the week is straight-up and against the spread (63-percent). You can have a look at the complete list with this code: SDQL Text: week = 3 and p:h and pp:h and D Oakland, Jacksonville, Buffalo and Chicago are the four road teams this weekend and all but Chicago were able to split their first two dates. Teams off a Week 2 win (Redskins, Raiders, Jaguars) have carried their momentum into a Week 3 cover 71-percent of the time ( ATS) and you may want to note this stat for line ranges, as it applies to two of the Sunday matchups. SDQL Text: week = 3 and p:hw and pp:h and D and (line < 4 or line > 6) Play ON Week 3 dogs of less than four points or more than six points who are coming off back-to-back home games, as long as they won their second contest. The database shows a ATS record (79-percent) with a current run of ATS since realignment. When the total is O/U 41 or more, road dogs off a win with any line have a record of 5 overs and 12 unders; something to consider if you don t want to back Oakland in the early body clock spot or step in front of that Patriot machine. Since 2006, six-straight games in this spot have stayed under by an average of more than eight points per game. SDQL Text: week = 3 and p:hw and pp:h and D and total >= 41 and season >= 2006 I ll note that Oakland has lost 16-straight road games straightup in the eastern time zone since 2009, but when getting points early in the year, they are 5-0 ATS including an unlikely cover last season in New England. Here s the game list: SDQL Text: team = Raiders and AD and o:time zone = E and date >= and week < 7 Stop by Pick Sixty Sports on Sunday morning for more on these games. PK60 TOTAL OF THE WEEK My top play for this week comes from the NFC West, where San Francisco and Arizona hookup for what should be a spirited affair. The past two seasons, Arizona has averaged 20 points in four games against San Fran but they ve scored 79 points in the first two games of this season and are ready to let the Niners have a piece of that offensive pie. SDQL Text: team = Fortyniners and season >= 2011 and p:l As you can see from the above code, the Niners off a straightup loss were a big Under team with Jim Harbaugh but in divisional road games against good teams (Cards and Hawks), they gave up 23 and 24 points. Games with a total of 43 or more, San Fran was 1-5 O/U off a loss. The two bad teams they played (Rams and Skins) scored 13 and 6 points. The four good teams (Colts, Eagles, Saints twice) scored 27, 21, 24 and 23 points. SDQL Text: tpa(o:p3 + site) < 7 and H and REG and -7.5 <= line <= -3.5 and DIV and season >= 2007 Arizona ranked third in the NFL with 7.9 second-half points allowed last season and so far this year they have give up 12 points in two games (6.0 PPG). That has setup some nice value on this Over/Under profile with a 18-9 O/U record since 2007 including 10 overs and 4 unders (71-percent) when its the first meeting of the season. Take the Niners and Cardinals OVER 43.5 points 2015 NFL Week 3 7

8 2015 NFL Week 3 Time Teams Prev. Next Lines Final Notes 8:25 THUR 1;00 4:05 4:05 4:25 8:20 10:15 MON Washington at NY Giants San Diego at Minnesota Oakland at Cleveland Cincinnati at Baltimore New Orleans at Carolina Atlanta at Dallas Tampa Bay at Houston Indianapolis at Tennessee Pittsburgh at St. Louis Jacksonville at New England Philadelphia at N.Y. Jets San Francisco at Arizona Chicago at Seattle Buffalo at Miami Denver at Detroit Kansas City at Green Bay W vs STL L vs ATL CIN W vs DET W vs BAL W vs TEN W vs SD OAK L vs TB W vs HOU NYG PHL NO CAR L vs NYJ# CLE W vs SF WAS W vs MIA BUF L vs DAL IND# PIT CHI L vs ARZ GB* L vs NE JAC KC^ MIN L vs DEN^ W vs SEA* vs BUF vs SD vs PIT^ vs TB vs NO* vs ATL vs JAC BYE vs IND WAS vs MIA vs GB vs STL vs OAK vs DET# vs NYG vs NYJ vs SF #On Monday Night, *On Sunday Night, % On Saturday Night, ^On Thursday Night Notes: 8

9 Trends and Notes / Week 3 Redskins at Giants - The Redskins are 6-0 ATS (8.67 ppg) since Sep 28, 2008 on the road and as a dog and off a home game and after a game with fewer than 10 incompletions. The Giants are 0-8 ATS ( ppg) since Dec 27, 2009 and as a favorite and vs an opponent averaging at least 30 rushes per game. The Giants are 7-0 OU (8.57 ppg) since Oct 10, 2013 after a home game in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. The Giants are 0-6 OU (-7.33 ppg) since Oct 26, 2008 and vs an opponent allowing an average of less than 275 offensive yards per game. Falcons at Cowboys - The Falcons are 0-7 ATS ( ppg) since Sep 30, 2012 after two consecutive games with a negative DPA. The Cowboys are 10-0 ATS (10.75 ppg) since Dec 21, 2003 off a road game after their opponent scored 10+ points less than their season-to-date average. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS (6.71 ppg) since Dec 05, 2010 as a dog and after a game with more than 34 minutes of possession time. The Falcons are 9-0 OU (16.50 ppg) since Dec 15, 2002 off a game as a dog in which they had at least 10 more rushes than their seasonto-date average. The Falcons are 0-9 OU ( ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 and vs an opponent averaging at least 35 passes per game. The Cowboys are 6-0 OU (16.08 ppg) since Dec 08, 2002 at home as a dog and vs opponents scoring on more than 40% of their drives. The Cowboys are 0-6 OU (-9.75 ppg) since Oct 27, 2002 at home off a game as a dog and after their opponent scored 10+ points less than their season-to-date average. Colts at Titans - The Colts are 9-0 ATS (10.11 ppg) since Dec 04, 2011 after a loss in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. The Titans are 0-7 ATS (-9.64 ppg) since Nov 14, 2013 after a 10+ point ATS loss. The Titans are 9-0 OU (13.44 ppg) since Oct 03, 1999 as a dog off a road game where they scored 10+ points less than their season-to-date average. The Titans are OU (-8.94 ppg) since Dec 22, 2013 and vs opponents scoring on less than 30% of their drives. Raiders at Browns - The Raiders are 0-8 ATS ( ppg) since Nov 26, 2009 off a home game where they scored 10+ points more than their season-to-date average. The Raiders are 0-7 ATS ( ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 after a win in which a receiver had at least 5 receptions. The Raiders are 6-0 OU (4.17 ppg) since Nov 20, 2011 vs an opponent averaging less than 30 passes per game. The Browns are 0-8 OU ( ppg) since Dec 02, 2007 after a win in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. Bengals at Ravens - The Bengals are 7-0 ATS (10.00 ppg) since Dec 02, 2012 after a game in which their completion rate was at least 10 percentage points less than their average. The Bengals are ATS (5.93 ppg) since Sep 20, 2009 and as a dog and vs an opponent averaging fewer than 25 rushes per game. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS (13.86 ppg) since Dec 23, 2012 after a loss in which a receiver had at least 6 receptions. The Ravens are OU (8.07 ppg) since Nov 18, 2007 within 3 of pickem and after a 10+ point ATS loss. Jaguars at Patriots - The Patriots are 7-0 ATS (25.07 ppg) since Dec 22, 2013 after a game in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. The Jaguars are 7-0 OU (11.50 ppg) since Nov 20, 2005 after a win in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. The Jaguars are 6-0 OU (16.42 ppg) since Oct 24, 2004 on the road and after wins and ATS win following a loss and ATS loss the game prior. The Jaguars are 0-9 OU ( ppg) since Dec 09, 2001 as a dog off a game as a dog in which they held their opponent to less than 50 rushing yards. The Patriots are 8-0 OU (9.88 ppg) since Sep 26, 2010 after a game in which their completion rate was at least 10 percentage points less than their season-to-date average. Saints at Panthers - The Saints are 8-0 ATS (11.62 ppg) since Dec 10, 2006 off a game as a favorite where they passed for at least 100 yards less than their average. The Panthers are 7-0 ATS (6.71 ppg) since Dec 28, 2003 off a home game vs an opponent off two 7+ point losses. The Saints are 6-0 OU (8.58 ppg) since Sep 14, 1997 off a home game and when they are winless. The Panthers are 0-7 OU (-6.57 ppg) since Oct 05, 2003 at home as a favorite against the Saints. The Panthers are 6-0 OU (10.42 ppg) since Dec 05, 2010 and vs an opponent off two 7+ point losses. Eagles at Jets - The Jets are ATS ( ppg) since Sep 25, 2011 and after a game in which they had at least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date average. The Eagles are 11-0 OU (13.77 ppg) since Nov 20, 2005 off a home game and vs an opponent forcing more than 2.25 turnovers per game. The Eagles are 8-0 OU (10.94 ppg) since Nov 26, 2012 and after two consecutive losses and ATS losses. The Jets are 0-8 OU ( ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at home after a game in which a receiver had a reception of 40+ yards. The Jets are 6-0 OU (6.08 ppg) since Nov 09, 2008 as a favorite off a game as a dog where they covered by 10+ points. Buccaneers at Texans - The Buccaneers are 8-0 ATS (10.06 continued on page NFL Week 3 9

10 Trends and Notes / Week 3 continued ppg) since Nov 15, 2009 and on the road and after scoring 10+ points more than their season-to-date average. The Texans are 0-6 ATS ( ppg) since Dec 13, 2010 at home off a game as a road dog and when traveling on the road next game. The Buccaneers are 0-7 OU (-7.79 ppg) since Nov 02, 2014 after a game in which a receiver had more than 75 receiving yards The Texans are 0-8 OU (-8.38 ppg) since Oct 18, 2009 off a road game in which they threw at least 10 more passes than their season-to-date average. Chargers at Vikings - The Chargers are 7-0 ATS (10.57 ppg) since Dec 05, 2011 on the road before 2+ home games. The Vikings are 0-11 OU (-9.18 ppg) since Sep 20, 1998 at home as a favorite after they rushed for at least 50 yards more than their season-to-date average. Steelers at Rams - The Steelers are 8-0 ATS (8.56 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 within 3 of pickem and after a 10+ point ATS win. The Steelers are 6-0 OU (10.75 ppg) since Nov 19, 2006 on the road as a favorite off a home game where they committed zero turnovers. The Rams are 9-0 OU (9.22 ppg) since Nov 29, 2009 at home before 2+ road games. Fortyniners at Cardinals - The Fortyniners are 6-0 ATS (13.75 ppg) since Nov 30, 2008 after a road loss in which a receiver had a reception of 40+ yards. The Fortyniners are 0-7 ATS ( ppg) since Dec 10, 2006 off a game as a dog where they suffered a 21+ point loss. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (6.19 ppg) since Sep 15, 2013 after a game with at least one defensive TD. The Cardinals are 8-0 OU (8.56 ppg) since Nov 25, 2007 at home after scoring more than 33 points. The Cardinals are OU (-9.00 ppg) since Nov 29, 2010 after a game in which they had at least 3 more penalties than their season-to-date average. Bills at Dolphins - The Dolphins are 0-8 ATS ( ppg) since Sep 30, 2007 at home after a game in which they had continued on page 11 The Power of Two-Team Teasers One of the fantastic and unique features of is the ability to run teaser trends. Each week we ll show off five such two-team teaser trends in this space utilizing this important and often overlooked area of handicapping. Any trend with a p6 designation is for a play on/under 6-pt teaser and a trend including m6 is for a play against/over 6-pt teaser. Teaser Trends The Ravens are ATSp6 (14.12 ppg) since Sep 30, 2002 at home vs an opponent averaging at least 30 rushes per game. The Chargers are ATSp6 (11.91 ppg) since Oct 15, 2000 as a dog after scoring 10+ points less than their season-to-date average. The Jets are 0-20 ATSm6 ( ppg) since Nov 21, 1993 as a favorite the week after a 10+ point win in which they were up by at least a TD at the half. The Browns are 0-18 ATSm6 (-9.64 ppg) since Oct 28, 2007 vs an opponent getting more than 67% of their first downs passing. The Fortyniners are 0-26 OUp6 ( ppg) since Nov 05, 2006 the week after a 10+ point ATS loss. Sports Data Query Language team=ravens and H and oa(rushes)>=30 and date>= team=chargers and D and p:points+10<=ta(p:points) and date>= team=jets and F and 10<=p:margin and 7<=p:M2 and NB and date>= team=browns and os(first downs*0.67)<os(passing first downs) and date>= team=fortyniners and p:ats margin<=-10 and NB and date>=

11 Trends and Notes / Week 3 continued more than 300 passing yards. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS ( ppg) since Oct 04, 2010 after they allowed 10+ points more than their season-to-date average last game. The Bills are 0-6 OU (-9.00 ppg) since Sep 28, 2014 and after a loss and ATS loss. The Dolphins are 0-6 OU (-9.50 ppg) since Sep 20, 1998 at home as a favorite off a game as a favorite where they had zero turnovers. Bears at Seahawks - The Bears are ATS (8.56 ppg) since Dec 13, 1998 on the road and after two consecutive 7+ losses. The Seahawks are 9-0 ATS (12.56 ppg) since Nov 06, 2006 at home after two consecutive losses and ATS losses. The Bears are 8-0 OU (10.44 ppg) since Oct 01, 2006 against the Seahawks. Broncos at Lions - The Broncos are 7-0 ATS (8.36 ppg) since Dec 06, 2012 and on the road and with their opponent after two consecutive losses. The Lions are 6-0 ATS (14.08 ppg) since Nov 12, 1989 within 3 of pickem at home after two away losses. The Broncos are 8-0 OU (8.81 ppg) since Jan 04, 2004 on the road off a road game where they allowed 10+ points more than their season-to-date average. The Broncos are 0-11 OU (-7.77 ppg) since Dec 11, 1994 off a win as a dog in which they were outgained by their opponent. The Seahawks are 0-7 OU ( ppg) since Oct 13, 2013 after a loss in which a receiver had a least 1 receiving touchdown. Chiefs at Packers - The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS (6.79 ppg) since Nov 02, 2008 and as a dog and after a game with at least one defensive TD. The Packers are 0-6 ATS ( ppg) since Dec 19, 2005 off a home game on Monday night. The Chiefs are 0-8 OU ( ppg) since Nov 27, 2005 off a game as a favorite with at least one defensive TD. The Packers are 6-0 OU (11.67 ppg) since Oct 02, 2014 at home after a game in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards. NFL HANDICAPPING ANNUAL Active Trends Trends IND003: The Colts are 13-0 ATS vs a divisional opponent. Sports Data Query Language team=colts and DIV and date>= NO004: The Saints are 9-0 ATS when facing an undefeated team after week 1. CLE009: The Browns are 0-8 ATS at home when they play on the road in their next two games. STL004: The Rams are 7-0 ATS at home when facing a team with no wins after week 2. CAR012: The Panthers are 0-14 OU as a home favorite in the first match-up of the season vs a divisional opponent. team=saints and week>1 and o:losses=0 and season>=2006 team=browns and H and n:a and nn:a and date>= team=rams and H and o:wins=0 and week>2 and season>=1992 team=panthers and HF and DIV and season==tp:season + 1 and season>=1998 COPYRIGHT NOTICE All the material in this publication is copyrighted by the United States Government. No part of this periodical may be reproduced in any form by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, and electronic recording without written consent from Killer Sports Publishing. If the reader has any questions or comments about this newsletter, please write us at: Killer Sports Publishing or us at: PO Box 862, Berea OH support@killersports.com 2015 NFL Week 3 11