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1 weekly football tip sheet ISSUE 15 NFL Week 14 College Football Week 15

2 INDEX Rotation Schedule...2 NFL VI Picks...3 NFL VI Best Bets...4 NFL Strength Ratings...5 Top 10 Matchup Trends for the Week 14 NFL Board...6 NFL Top Weekly Trends...9 NFL Matchups...10 Top NFL Head to Head Trends...18 Recent NFL Head to Head History...18 NFL Observations...21 Army vs Navy...22 CFB Observations...23 Football Line Moves...24 WELCOME TO THE VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY Thank you for downloading issue #15 of the Vegas Insider Football Weekly. It s hard to believe that other than the Army-Navy game on Saturday, the college football regular season is officially concluded. That said, Sunday s bowl announcements ushered in what is always one of the most exciting times of the year, the college bowl season. Highlighting the list of bowl games of course are the New Year s Day semifinal playoff showdowns between Clemson and Alabama as well as Oklahoma and Georgia. The winners will of course play a week later for the national championship on January 8th. We will cover those games in due time, and in fact, will cover every bowl game continuing with the same Wednesday through Thursday weekly schedule that we have maintained all year long. The first eight bowl games will be tackled in next week s issue, #16. If you are looking for even more great bowl coverage, don t forget to order our special Vegas Insider Bowl Guide, featuring in-depth coverage of all 40 bowl games, including stats, matchups, editorial previews, and staff selections on both sides and totals. Steve Makinen is again back to lead the effort. He has become well known for his bowl preparation routine and he shares that with everyone in our exclusive guide. Steve and his staff have already begun feverishly putting the bowl guide together, so be sure you get your hands on a copy by prepurchasing via any of the appropriately promotions on our website, VegasInsider.com. The picks this past week in college football were fantastic, with each of our four human handicappers posting a 75% record or better! Collectively, they were an amazing ATS, good for 78%. They actually pushed on more games than they lost! On Best Bets, the combined mark was also an impressive ATS, hitting 75%. We have a new leader in college football Best Bets too, as first year wonder VI Matt took over the lead from Doug. However, all four guys are separated by just 1.5-games, and with all of them heating up heading into bowl season, it figures to be a mad race to the finish. In the pro s, our experts didn t fare quite as well as that, but each of our three STRENGTH RATINGS indicators picked up the pace, all with 6-4 ATS records or better on our featured games. Be sure to visit the applicable pages for this week s slew of NFL selections and the Army-Navy game picks. This week s issue is a bit lighter than usual in that we are covering just the Army-Navy game for college. However, we have another valuable NFL trend piece prepared for you, quite similar to the one a few weeks ago that was a hit with readers. The 10 trends we picked that day wound up 7-3 ATS. For this week, we offer up a trend for every one of the 16 NFL games. Enjoy this week s action everyone, and remember to get ready for next week s release of the Vegas Insider Bowl Guide! 1 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

3 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 ROTATION SCHEDULE NFL WEEK 14 THURSDAY, DECEMBER 7, NEW ORLEANS 55-2 P: 5:25PM C: 7:25PM E: 8:25PM NBC 102 ATLANTA COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 15 SATURDAY, DECEMBER 9, 2017 LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD - Philadelphia 103 ARMY P: 12:00PM C: 2:00PM E: 3:00PM CBS 104 NAVY NFL WEEK 14 cont'd SUNDAY, DECEMBER 10, DETROIT P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 106 TAMPA BAY CHICAGO P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 108 CINCINNATI INDIANAPOLIS P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 110 BUFFALO SEATTLE P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 112 JACKSONVILLE OAKLAND P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 114 KANSAS CITY MINNESOTA -1-3 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 116 CAROLINA GREEN BAY -4-3 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 118 CLEVELAND SAN FRANCISCO P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 120 HOUSTON WASHINGTON P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 122 LA CHARGERS NY JETS P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 124 DENVER TENNESSEE P: 1:05PM C: 3:05PM E: 4:05PM 126 ARIZONA PHILADELPHIA P: 1:25PM C: 3:25PM E: 4:25PM 128 LA RAMS DALLAS -6-5 P: 10:00AM C: 12:00PM E: 1:00PM 130 NY GIANTS BALTIMORE P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM NBC 132 PITTSBURGH -6-6 MONDAY, DECEMBER 11, NEW ENGLAND P: 5:30PM C: 7:30PM E: 8:30PM ESPN 134 MIAMI THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

4 NFL VI PICKS VI Jim (48%) (59%)* VI Jason (53%) (54%)* VI Doug (49%) (43%)* VI Matt (50%) (49%)* Power Rating (56%) Effective Strength (47%) Thursday, December 7, (101) NEW ORLEANS at (102) ATLANTA (+2) New Orleans New Orleans* New Orleans Atlanta Atlanta New Orleans Bettors Ratings (54%) Atlanta Thursday, December 7, (101) NEW ORLEANS at (102) ATLANTA - TOTAL (53) Consensus (47%) * indicates Best Bet (BB) New Orleans UNDER* UNDER OVER* OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER Sunday, December 3, (113) OAKLAND at (114) KANSAS CITY (-4) Kansas City Oakland Oakland Kansas City* Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City Sunday, December 3, (113) OAKLAND at (114) KANSAS CITY - TOTAL (47.5) UNDER OVER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER Sunday, December 3, (115) MINNESOTA at (116) CAROLINA (+3) Carolina Carolina* Minnesota* Minnesota* Carolina Carolina Carolina Carolina Sunday, December 3, (115) MINNESOTA at (116) CAROLINA - TOTAL (41) UNDER OVER UNDER OVER OVER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, December 3, (121) WASHINGTON at (122) LA CHARGERS (-6) Washington* LA Chargers* Washington Washington* Washington LA Chargers Washington Washington Sunday, December 3, (121) WASHINGTON at (122) LA CHARGERS - TOTAL (45.5) OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER UNDER OVER OVER Sunday, December 3, (131) BALTIMORE at (132) PITTSBURGH (-6) Baltimore* Pittsburgh Baltimore* Baltimore Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Sunday, December 3, (131) BALTIMORE at (132) PITTSBURGH - TOTAL (44) UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER UNDER OVER UNDER VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY SEASON PASS - $119 FULL SEASON The Tip Sheet Season Pass runs through Febraury 2018, so you ll be covered for the entire Regular Season and Playoffs. $119 FULL SEASON VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM/WEEKLY-INSIDER VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 3

5 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL VI BEST BETS Jim says Thursday s game is an interesting one in that the total started out four points higher than I projected it to be at 55 but dipped a couple points since to 53. I believe it could continue to descend up until kickoff. I don t see why the total shot up like that anyway, with Atlanta coming off a game in which it failed to reach the end zone. It seems that those setting the numbers are mistaking this year s Falcons offense with that of last year, and this year s team is only producing 22.8 PPG. Likewise for the Saints, who have obviously turned to a much more run-oriented attack that is not conducive to such lofty totals. You might be surprised to see how well HC Sean Payton s teams have fared defensively on the road in divisional games too, going UNDER the total in such contests while yielding just 19.8 PPG. Both of these teams are actually highly undervalued defensively, as they are each holding opponents about 3.0 points below their usual scoring averages. With the stakes in this contest being pretty high, and it being on a Thursday night, I would expect both coaches to play it a little closer to the vest. Let s go UNDER this jacked up total. Jason says It sure feels like the right time to start believing in Minnesota, doesn t it? That said, I think this week s line has gone too far in crediting the Vikings for their recent success. I had this game at Minnesota -1, and with it climbing to -3, I have to believe that all of the value lies with the Panthers now. This is an extremely tough spot for a visiting team to cover a pointspread, with the Panthers fully capable talent-wise of competing with Minnesota while also now being motivated by the prospect of being a home underdog in the game. There is a long running system that indicates the chances of HC Mike Zimmer s team pulling off back-to-back key wins like this on the road are long: Play on Road teams off an upset win, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This system is ATS over the last 30+ seasons. Again, long running but successful. The Vikings have not faced any quarterbacks like Cam Newton this year, and with him using his legs more lately, he poses a big threat. The Panthers also boast a nice trend going 18-3 ATS off a road loss under Ron Rivera. Let s take the points here with Carolina. Doug says Being a contrarian thinker in football is never a bad idea, as it adds perspective and gives one another point of view. Like anything in sports betting, limiting one s thought process to a single strain of thinking can be costly, because not all situations are the same nor do they necessarily play out that way. Last week I went against Philadelphia as a road favorite on a 8-0 SU and ATS streak and won. This Sunday, Minnesota is road favorite at Carolina and they are on a 7-0 SU and ATS stretch. Who am I on, the Vikings. Minnesota s defense has more overall skill than the Eagles and Cam Newton is a less reliable performer than Russell Wilson. Toss in the Panthers vaunted defense has permitted 26.3 PPG in last three outings and I ll give the three points. VEGASINSIDER FOOTBALL WEEKLY SEASON PASS - $119 FULL SEASON The Tip Sheet Season Pass runs through Febraury 2018, so you ll be covered for the entire Regular Season and Playoffs. 4 $119 FULL SEASON VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM/WEEKLY-INSIDER THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

6 NFL STRENGTH Three different types of time-tested strength ratings have been created for use in the publication. In the chart below, you ll find the ratings, along with potential edges shown for the upcoming games. The Power Ratings columns RATINGS are in-house ratings kept and maintained manually for every game throughout the season. The Effective Strength (Effective Strg) Ratings quantify a team s performance against varied schedule strengths. Finally, the Bettors Ratings (Bettors Rtng) are built using a unique formula of a team s closing lines in relation to its past opponents and game performances, giving a good indication of how bettors feel about a team. Each rating is built exclusive from the others, and thus has its own merits. Track the results of the ratings weekly and see which one works best for you. Edges are given when a projection varies 3.0 points or more from an actual line or total. BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Bettors Rtng # s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 101 NEW ORLEANS UNDER ATLANTA DETROIT TAMPA BAY CHICAGO CINCINNATI INDIANAPOLIS BUFFALO SEATTLE JACKSONVILLE OAKLAND KANSAS CITY MINNESOTA CAROLINA CAR 117 GREEN BAY CLEVELAND CLE 119 SAN FRANCISCO HOUSTON HOU 121 WASHINGTON LA CHARGERS NY JETS DENVER DEN 125 TENNESSEE ARIZONA PHILADELPHIA LA RAMS DALLAS NY GIANTS BALTIMORE PITTSBURGH PIT 133 NEW ENGLAND MIAMI VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

7 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 6 TOP 10 MATCHUP TRENDS ANALYZED FOR THE WEEK 14 NFL BOARD It was just about four weeks ago that I put out a pair of articles detailing ten top trends for both the college and pro football games of that week. After the angles I selected went ATS, I received some great feedback from readers, most of them wanting more of that type of material. With most of our staff buried in serious preparation for our upcoming bowl guide, I thought this would be a good time to rerun another of those pieces. So I rummaged through the database of my buddies at Tradewyz and picked out more top NFL trends for this week s games. This time though, I hand picked a key angle out for every game. Being the 14th week of the NFL campaign, it s safe to say that our teams have some defined characteristics, and those traits can make for some very good and/or bad matchup types for them. These trends I ve selected highlight some of those specifics and angles like this can be used to produce great profits for bettors. For each of the trends, I offer the records, the average scores of the games in the trend, plus the units won, and ROI had a bettor played the angle every time it had come up. I also provide my own personal analysis as to why the angle has become so definitive and whether or not it should be used relevantly in the foreseeable future. As you look at these, consider for yourself the importance you put on trends. Do they stand the test of time? Are they able to carry over from season to season? Are they only valid so long as the current coach/key players are around? Here are those top handpicked trends for NFL week 14. They are in order by game board number. (101) NEW ORLEANS AT (102) ATLANTA ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER(L2Y) - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards per play(cs). The average score was: ATLANTA: 32.4, Opponent: (Win Pct: 78.6%, Units Won: +770, R.O.I.: 50%) Analysis: When Atlanta s offense has gone well lately, HC Dan Quinn has had no problem with getting into shootouts with other good offensive teams. For Thursday s showdown between the Falcons and Saints, two of the top offenses in the league will go at it. Both are averaging over 6.0 yards per play. The games in this trend have produced almost 58 PPG. Another such outing will make for an OVER once again. For Sunday 12/10/17 (105) DETROIT AT (106) TAMPA BAY DETROIT is 16-3 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9 yards per attempt(cs). The average score was: DETROIT: 19.8, Opponent: (Win Pct: 84.2%, Units Won: +1270, R.O.I.: 60.8%) Analysis: The simple fact is that Detroit has been a much better offensive team at home than on the road since QB Matt Stafford has been under center. The Lions will have an occasional break out game scoringwise on the road, but for the most part they are reliable as a good UNDER team away. Against even the worst pass defenses, Detroit has put up just 19.8 PPG in its L19 road games. (107) CHICAGO AT (108) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI is ATS(L5Y) - Against weak teams being outscored by opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs). The average score was: CINCINNATI: 25.2, Opponent: (Win Pct: 75%, Units Won: +570, R.O.I.: 39.9%) Analysis: If HC Marvin Lewis team could only face bad teams each week, they d have a good shot at making a championship run. Unfortunately, that is not the case, particularly when reaching the postseason, and with having Pittsburgh in the division. The Bengals have outscored opponents with point differentials of -6.0 or worse by an average of nearly 12 PPG over the L5 years. Chicago is a weak team heading into the Queen City on Sunday. (109) INDIANAPOLIS AT (110) BUFFALO BUFFALO is 10-1 OVER(L3Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs). The average score was: BUFFALO: 25.9, Opponent: (Win Pct: 90.9%, Units Won: +890, R.O.I.: 73.6%) Analysis: Most bettors consider Buffalo a weak offensive team that is further hindered by playing in the difficult conditions of Orchard Park eight times a year. In truth, it is quite the opposite, and the Bills have been fairly explosive when playing at home, especially with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback. ras a starter at home, his teams have averaged nearly 28 PPG. The Bills as a team have averaged just less than 26 when hosting poor defensive teams over the L3 years. Unfortunately for Buffalo, it has allowed 28.5 PPG as well in these contests, leading to many OVER s. THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

8 (111) SEATTLE AT (112) JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE is ATS(L25G) - Nonconference games. The average score was: JACKSONVILLE: 18, Opponent: (Win Pct: 83.3%, Units Won: +1560, R.O.I.: 56.7%) Analysis: Jacksonville has struggled with unfamiliarity. Fortunately the Jaguars only play four non-conference games a year because they have only covered the point spread in four of their L25 such games. This could prove a severe problem should they ever make a postseason run all the way to a Super Bowl. For now, Jacksonville would seem to be in a difficult winning/covering spot on Sunday hosting Seattle. (113) OAKLAND AT (114) KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY is 23-2 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs). The average score was: KANSAS CITY: 18.1, Opponent: (Win Pct: 92%, Units Won: +2080, R.O.I.: 75.6%) Analysis: The record of this totals trend and its corresponding score are simply astounding to me. Against even the lesser defenses in the league, Kansas City just can t capitalize, as the Chiefs are scoring just 18.1 PPG at home in their L25 games against teams allowing 5.6 or more yards per play. The result has been 23 UNDER s on the total in that span. Simply an amazing angle, and I credit the Tradewyz guys for making such info available to us. Oakland is in the bottom five in the league in yards per play allowed, yet you shouldn t expect a shootout here. (115) MINNESOTA AT (116) CAROLINA MINNESOTA is 9-33 ATS(L42G) on ROAD - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG(CS). The average score was: MINNESOTA: 16.2, Opponent: (Win Pct: 78.6%, Units Won: +2310, R.O.I.: 50%) Analysis: This trend goes back quite a while, and it deserves mentioning because of how strong of a team the Vikings have been overall lately in the Mike Zimmer era in terms of covering point spreads. Against solid defenses allowing 20 PPG or less, Minnesota has covered just 21.4% of its L42 games! They have averaged just 16.2 PPG in those contests, an output level that won t win very often in the NFL. We ll see if the 2017 Vikings can start turning such trends around. (117) GREEN BAY AT (118) CLEVELAND CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(cs). The average score was: CLEVELAND: 18.4, Opponent: (Win Pct: 81.3%, Units Won: +970, R.O.I.: 55.1%) Analysis: With Brett Hundley still in at quarterback for the Packers, there will be a lot of talking heads this week suggesting that the Browns can finally get an elusive victory at home. However, the Packers defensive struggles this season are probably going to lead to a more favorable line for them in this game at Cleveland, and the Browns don t have the offensive firepower to take advantage anyway. (119) SAN FRANCISCO AT (120) HOUSTON SAN FRANCISCO is 3-9 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs). The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO: 16.4, Opponent: (Win Pct: 75%, Units Won: +570, R.O.I.: 43.2%) Analysis: This is another trend that I picked out simply because of the score differential. We all know that the 49ers have struggled on the road in recent years, but to cover the pointspread in just three of 12 games while being doubled up on the scoreboard by lesser defensive teams is true sign of ineptitude. San Francisco has proven it can t score well on the road nor stop the opposing offense. They are not worthy of your $. (121) WASHINGTON AT (122) LA CHARGERS WASHINGTON is 4-19 ATS(L5Y) - More than 6 days rest. The average score was: WASHINGTON: 17.5, Opponent: (Win Pct: 82.6%, Units Won: +1460, R.O.I.: 57.7%) Analysis: Washington will have a little extra rest as it gets ready for its trip to L.A. to take on the Chargers on Sunday. That is awful news for HC Jay Gruden & Co., as they have been purely flat when playing with extra rest lately, going just 4-19 ATS in their L23 games with more than the standard Sundayto-Sunday rest period. As it is, Washington comes off a miserable Thursday night performance at Dallas, a game in which they were routed by a seemingly listless Cowboys team, The Chargers will be anxious to keep the Redskins down. (123) NY JETS AT (124) DENVER NY JETS is ATS(L25G) - Against lesser-scoring teams averaging 18.5 PPG or less(cs). The average score was: NY JETS: 23.2, Opponent: (Win Pct: 72.7%, Units Won: +940, R.O.I.: 34.2%) Analysis: There are some of the league s bottom feeders that actually do fare well when going up against other lesser teams. The Jets are one of them, as they boast a strong ATS mark in their L25 games against teams scoring 18.5 PPG or worse on the season. Denver s offensive struggles in 2017 are no secret, but this trend might be, so don t be overzealous thinking that the Broncos are going to get healthy on Sunday just because they are playing New York. (125) TENNESSEE AT (126) ARIZONA TENNESSEE is 4-13 ATS(L17G) or more travel miles. The average score was: TENNESSEE: 20.1, Opponent: (Win Pct: 76.5%, Units Won: +860, R.O.I.: 46%) VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 7

9 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 Analysis: Some teams are not affect by travel in the NFL. Tennessee is not one of those teams. When you combine the fact that the Titans have been a miserable road team in December lately with the fact that they are traveling 1,600+ miles to Phoenix on Sunday, it doesn t bode well for HC Mike Mularkey s team. Defensive fatigue from all this travel seems to be a real issue, with Tennessee yielding 31.5 PPG in the games of this trend. (127) PHILADELPHIA AT (128) LA RAMS LA RAMS is ATS(L73G) - Against strong defensive teams allowing less than 18.5 PPG(CS). The average score was: LA RAMS: 17.6, Opponent: (Win Pct: 73.2%, Units Won: +3110, R.O.I.: 38.7%) Analysis: While it can be argued that the Rams offense of 2017 should negate any trends that had arisen under Jeff Fisher, I would caution you on that, simply because of what Jacksonville s & Minnesota s defense have done to L.A. in recent games. The Rams have been hovering around the 30 PPG mark this season but were held by the Jaguars to 249 yards and by the Vikings to 254 yards, easily their two lowest offensive outputs of the season. Philadelphia boasts a pretty strong defense itself this season and will be a challenge to HC Sean McVay s emerging offense. were below that benchmark, Baltimore was one of them. (133) NEW ENGLAND AT (134) MIAMI NEW ENGLAND is 11-0 ATS(L2Y) - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(cs). The average score was: NEW ENGLAND: 34.6, Opponent: (Win Pct: 100%, Units Won: +1100, R.O.I.: 90.9%) Analysis: The do your job mentality in New England leads to trends that suggest the Patriots simply taking take of business. This particular angle is evidence of that, as they have covered the point spread in 11 straight games against teams allowing 5.7 yards per play or more. QB Tom Brady & Co. have put up 34.6 PPG in those contests, a production level that will win a lot of games in this league. Don t get cute on MNF thinking the Dolphins can sneak in under the large chalk line. (129) DALLAS AT (130) NY GIANTS DALLAS is ATS(L36G) - Against poor passing teams averaging less than 5.7 yards per attempt(cs). The average score was: DALLAS: 22.3, Opponent: (Win Pct: 68.6%, Units Won: +1190, R.O.I.: 30.1%) Analysis: Dallas has held weaker passing teams down lately, and quite honestly, after the Giants benched Eli Manning last week, there might be no worse passing offense in the NFL than that of New York. Truthfully, the Giants passing game in 2017 broke the same moment that Odell Beckham s ankle did. With little reason to think that New York will produce a lot offensively on Sunday, it seems safe to ride Dallas on this trend as it looks for a surge to reach the postseason. 8 (131) BALTIMORE AT (132) PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH is OVER(L25G) at HOME - Against solid defensive teams yielding less than 5.1 yards per play(cs). The average score was: PITTSBURGH: 25.6, Opponent: (Win Pct: 82.6%, Units Won: +1460, R.O.I.: 53.1%) Analysis: It seems to take a real strong defensive challenge to motivate the Pittsburgh offense of late, much to the chagrin of head coach Mike Tomlin. The Steelers have been maddeningly inconsistent on that side of the ball, but they seem to get up for their better opponents, averaging 25.6 PPG against defenses allowing 5.1 yards per play or less. As of press time only seven teams in the league THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

10 NFL TOP WEEKLY TRENDS TEAMS TO PLAY ON 41.5% ROI (107) CHICAGO AT (108) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI is ATS(L25G) - In December ( $1140 Profit with a 41.5% ROI ) TEAMS TO PLAY AGAINST 42.2% ROI (117) GREEN BAY AT (118) CLEVELAND CLEVELAND is ATS(L3Y) - As underdog ( $1810 Profit with a 42.2% ROI ) 20.4% ROI (117) GREEN BAY AT (118) CLEVELAND GREEN BAY is ATS(L73G) - In December ( $1640 Profit with a 20.4% ROI ) 56.7% ROI (111) SEATTLE AT (112) JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE is ATS(L25G) - Non-conference games ( $1560 Profit with a 56.7% ROI ) 27.5% ROI (115) MINNESOTA AT (116) CAROLINA CAROLINA is ATS(L36G) at HOME - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) ( $1090 Profit with a 27.5% ROI ) 39.8% ROI (133) NEW ENGLAND AT (134) MIAMI MIAMI is ATS(L50G) at HOME - Against lesser passing defenses yielding more than 6.75 yards per attempt(cs) ( $2190 Profit with a 39.8% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY OVER 45.1% ROI (117) GREEN BAY AT (118) CLEVELAND GREEN BAY is 19-6 OVER(L25G) - All Games ( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI ) GAMES TO PLAY UNDER 18.0% ROI (123) NY JETS AT (124) DENVER NY JETS is UNDER(L77G) - In December ( $1520 Profit with a 18.0% ROI ) 45.1% ROI (111) SEATTLE AT (112) JACKSONVILLE SEATTLE is 19-6 OVER(L25G) - Before playing LA RAMS ( $1240 Profit with a 45.1% ROI ) 40.0% ROI (105) DETROIT AT (106) TAMPA BAY DETROIT is 22-8 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Conference games ( $1320 Profit with a 40.0% ROI ) 45.5% ROI (121) WASHINGTON AT (122) LA CHARGERS WASHINGTON is OVER(L2Y) - OU line of 45 or more ( $1150 Profit with a 45.5% ROI ) 14.0% ROI (105) DETROIT AT (106) TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY is UNDER(L93G) at HOME - As favorite ( $1430 Profit with a 14.0% ROI ) 9 VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

11 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 10 NFL MATCHUPS (101) NEW ORLEANS (-2 53) [SU:9-3 ATS:8-4] AT (102) ATLANTA [SU:7-5 ATS:5-7] DECEMBER 7, :25 PM on NBC - MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM (ATLANTA, GA) NEW ORLEANS [5.0] [7.8] [4.6] [6.5] ATLANTA [4.4] [7.7] [4.3] [5.9] After winning three in a row, Atlanta was thought to be on a roll. But Minnesota s stingy defense held the Falcons to three field goals and Atlanta fell to 7-5. A loss to New Orleans might be a death blow to HC Dan Quinn s team, who would fall to 7-6 and still have to face each division rival yet, with two on the road. If New Orleans can win in Georgia, they are in good shape to win the NFC South with at least a virtual two-game lead over Carolina because of a season sweep. With a Drew Brees and Matt Ryan matchup, it starts to look like whichever defense can contain the other offense will be your winner. NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS(L3Y) - division games ATLANTA is 4-8 ATS(L5Y) at HOME - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(cs) ATLANTA is 13-5 UNDER(L5Y) - Against poor rushing defenses yielding more than 4.4 yards per carry(cs) NEW ORLEANS RESULTS ATLANTA RESULTS VS CAROLINA W W O VS MINNESOTA L L U at LA RAMS L L U VS TAMPA BAY W W O VS WASHINGTON W L O at SEATTLE W W O at BUFFALO W W O VS DALLAS W W U VS TAMPA BAY W W U at CAROLINA L L U VS CHICAGO W W U at NY JETS W L O at GREEN BAY W W U at NEW ENGLAND L L U VS DETROIT W W O VS MIAMI L L U ** MIAMI W W U VS BUFFALO L L U at CAROLINA W W O at DETROIT W W O VS NEW ENGLAND L L O VS GREEN BAY W W O at MINNESOTA L L O at CHICAGO W L U (105) DETROIT [SU:6-6 ATS:5-6-1] AT (106) TAMPA BAY (-2 49) [SU:4-8 ATS:3-8-1] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on FOX - RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM (TAMPA, FL) DETROIT [3.4] [7.2] [4.2] [7.1] TAMPA BAY [3.6] [6.9] [4.3] [7.7] Once again the Lions got off to a slow start and dug such a deep hole for themselves in Baltimore, they could not climb out. Detroit s only shot for the playoffs now is a 4-0 finish and that seems very unlikely at this point. Because Tampa Bay is just as prone to beating itself as Detroit, the Lions with have a chance in west Florida. The Buccaneers had a yards edge against Green Bay heading into OT, but could not put the Pack away. The Bucs gave away or came up short on 15 points, which any mistake-free situation would have lead to a victory. With Tampa Bay reverting to previous form, note that the Bucs are 4-10 ATS when hosting Detroit. DETROIT is 8-5 ATS(L3Y) - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 PPG(CS) TAMPA BAY is 6-19 ATS(L25G) at HOME - In December DETROIT is 11-2 UNDER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 PPG(CS) DETROIT RESULTS TAMPA BAY RESULTS at BALTIMORE L L O at GREEN BAY L L O VS MINNESOTA L L O at ATLANTA L L O at CHICAGO W P O at MIAMI W W O VS CLEVELAND W W O VS NY JETS W W U at GREEN BAY W W O at NEW ORLEANS L L U VS PITTSBURGH L L U VS CAROLINA L L U at NEW ORLEANS L L O at BUFFALO L P O VS CAROLINA L L O at ARIZONA L L O at MINNESOTA W W U VS NEW ENGLAND L L U VS ATLANTA L L O VS NY GIANTS W L O at NY GIANTS W W U at MINNESOTA L L O VS ARIZONA W W O VS CHICAGO W W U THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

12 NFL MATCHUPS (107) CHICAGO [SU:3-9 ATS:5-6-1] AT (108) CINCINNATI (-6 37) [SU:5-7 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on FOX - PAUL BROWN STADIUM (CINCINNATI, OH) CHICAGO [4.3] [5.7] [3.9] [6.7] CINCINNATI [3.4] [6.7] [4.0] [6.0] Some of the positive vibes for Chicago took a step backwards with a home loss to San Francisco on Sunday. Granted, the Bears did not allow touchdown, but Chicago defense conceded 388 yards of offense to the 49ers, while only putting up just 147 themselves. For this game and remainder of the season, Chicago should just run normal offense and find out what rookie QB Mitch Trubisky can do. After building a 17-0 lead at home, Cincinnati was not able to withstand the Pittsburgh push on MNF and lost to fall to 5-7. The Bengals are not done, but have to finish 9-7 to have any shot at playoffs. Emotionally, this will be hard game for Cincinnati to play inspired football in after blowing Monday s terrific opportunity. CINCINNATI is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) - Against mediocre teams being outscored by opponents by more than 4.0 points per game(cs) CHICAGO is 3-10 ATS(L2Y) on ROAD - All Games CINCINNATI is UNDER(L5Y) - Less than 6 days rest CHICAGO RESULTS CINCINNATI RESULTS VS SAN FRANCISCO L L U VS PITTSBURGH L W P at PHILADELPHIA L L U VS CLEVELAND W W O VS DETROIT L P O at DENVER W W U VS GREEN BAY L L O at TENNESSEE L W O at NEW ORLEANS L L U at JACKSONVILLE L L U VS CAROLINA W W U VS INDIANAPOLIS W L O at BALTIMORE W W O at PITTSBURGH L L O VS MINNESOTA L W U VS BUFFALO W W U at GREEN BAY L L O at CLEVELAND W W U VS PITTSBURGH W W U at GREEN BAY L W O at TAMPA BAY L L U VS HOUSTON L L U VS ATLANTA L W U VS BALTIMORE L L U (109) INDIANAPOLIS [SU:3-9 ATS:6-6] AT (110) BUFFALO ( ) [SU:6-6 ATS:5-5-2] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on CBS - NEW ERA FIELD (BUFFALO, NY) INDIANAPOLIS [3.7] [6.3] [3.9] [8.0] BUFFALO [4.2] [5.7] [4.3] [6.7] After being a competitive 3-1 ATS over a four-game stretch, Indianapolis was never in the Jacksonville contest. It would appear that coach Chuck Pagano will not have future employment wearing a Colts hat, but he did not assemble this rotten roster and has done his best to keep them competitive, which Indy should be this week. Technically, Buffalo is still in playoff hunt at 6-6, but with QB Tyrod Taylor battling a knee contusion, the Bills might be wise to look towards 2018 and beyond and determine whom they want to keep for the future. While starting QB Nathan Peterman was a bad idea previously, it might be Buffalo s only option now and it would be good to see if he can produce with less pressure. INDIANAPOLIS is ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against mediocre teams being outscored by opponents by more than 4.0 points per game(cs) BUFFALO is ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) BUFFALO is 12-2 OVER(L2Y) at HOME - All Games INDIANAPOLIS RESULTS BUFFALO RESULTS at JACKSONVILLE L L U VS NEW ENGLAND L L U VS TENNESSEE L L U at KANSAS CITY W W U VS PITTSBURGH L W U at LA CHARGERS L L O at HOUSTON W W U VS NEW ORLEANS L L O at CINCINNATI L W O at NY JETS L L O VS JACKSONVILLE L L U VS OAKLAND W W O at TENNESSEE L L O VS TAMPA BAY W P O VS SAN FRANCISCO W W O at CINCINNATI L L U at SEATTLE L L O at ATLANTA W W U VS CLEVELAND W W O VS DENVER W W O VS ARIZONA L W U at CAROLINA L P U at LA RAMS L L O VS NY JETS W W U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 11

13 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS (111) SEATTLE [SU:8-4 ATS:5-6-1] AT (112) JACKSONVILLE ( ) [SU:8-4 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 10, :25 PM on FOX - EVERBANK FIELD (JACKSONVILLE, FL) SEATTLE [3.9] [6.9] [3.8] [6.1] JACKSONVILLE [4.5] [6.4] [4.5] [5.1] While questions still remain about just how good Seattle actually is, against Philadelphia, the Seahawks proved in a one-game scenario, they can beat anyone. Russell Wilson and company will take on the second of three up-and-comers, traveling to Jacksonville. Priority one for the Seahawks is stifling the Jaguars running game and making Blake Bortles beat them via the pass. Jacksonville is guaranteed to have its first non-losing season in seven years and has sights set on a first-ever AFC South crown. Though Wilson is extremely elusive, the Jaguars defense has to feel confident, leading the NFL in sacks and capable of dominating the Seahawks pedestrian offensive line. Bortles will not be asked to match numbers with Wilson, but he cannot have a bad game either for the Jags to win. SEATTLE is 20-5 ATS(L25G) - In December JACKSONVILLE is 2-16 ATS(L5Y) - Non-conference games JACKSONVILLE is 18-3 OVER(L21G) - VS Opp With 1500 or more travel miles SEATTLE RESULTS JACKSONVILLE RESULTS VS PHILADELPHIA W W U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W U at SAN FRANCISCO W W U at ARIZONA L L O VS ATLANTA L L O at CLEVELAND W W U at ARIZONA W P U VS LA CHARGERS W L U VS WASHINGTON L L U VS CINCINNATI W W U VS HOUSTON W L O at INDIANAPOLIS W W U at NY GIANTS W W U VS LA RAMS L L O at LA RAMS W W U at PITTSBURGH W W U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W O at NY JETS L L O at TENNESSEE L L O ** BALTIMORE W W O VS SAN FRANCISCO W L U VS TENNESSEE L L O at GREEN BAY L L U at HOUSTON W W U (113) OAKLAND [SU:6-6 ATS:4-7-1] AT (114) KANSAS CITY (-4 47) [SU:6-6 ATS:6-6] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on CBS - ARROWHEAD STADIUM (KANSAS CITY, MO) OAKLAND [4.0] [6.9] [4.0] [7.3] KANSAS CITY [4.8] [7.6] [4.3] [7.2] Two weeks ago, the thought Oakland could even be in contention in the AFC West was unthinkable. But thanks to Kansas City being in free fall, the Raiders can break free of a three-way tie in the division with a win here. This outcome rests on Derek Carr making plays, Marshawn Lynch running, and the defense creating stops. Remember, an Oakland wins gives them sweep of K.C. For the Chiefs, the woes continue. With Alex Smith and the offense coming alive, the Kansas City defense allowed the Jets to score a season-high 38 points in defeat. Andy Reid s club has fallen into finding a new way to lose every week, in posting a 1-6 SU & ATS record since the 5-0 start. The SU winner of Chiefs games are 12-0 ATS this season. OAKLAND is ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) KANSAS CITY is ATS(L5Y) at HOME - OU line of 45 or more KANSAS CITY is 11-0 UNDER(L3Y) at HOME - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) 12 OAKLAND RESULTS KANSAS CITY RESULTS VS NY GIANTS W L U at NY JETS L L O VS DENVER W W U VS BUFFALO L L U ** NEW ENGLAND L L U at NY GIANTS L L U at MIAMI W P O at DALLAS L L U at BUFFALO L L O VS DENVER W W O VS KANSAS CITY W W O at OAKLAND L L O VS LA CHARGERS L L U VS PITTSBURGH L L U VS BALTIMORE L L O at HOUSTON W W O at DENVER L L U VS WASHINGTON W W O at WASHINGTON L L U at LA CHARGERS W W U VS NY JETS W W O VS PHILADELPHIA W W O at TENNESSEE W W U at NEW ENGLAND W W O THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

14 NFL MATCHUPS (115) MINNESOTA (-3 41) [SU:10-2 ATS:9-3] AT (116) CAROLINA [SU:8-4 ATS:7-4-1] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on CBS - BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM (CHARLOTTE, NC) MINNESOTA [3.9] [7.4] [3.5] [6.0] CAROLINA [4.2] [6.3] [4.0] [6.4] It s not like we were not taking Minnesota seriously, yet with recent victories over the Rams and at Atlanta, there is not much the Vikings seem incapable of doing. Minnesota is one of two teams in the Top 5 in total offense and defense and they are No.1 in stopping opponents on third down. If they can manage to beat Carolina this week, they are looking potentially at a 14-2 season record. If the Panthers are legitimate postseason contenders, they beat the Vikes Sunday. This will require Cam Newton and the Carolina offense to be at peak efficiency. The Panthers defense also has to do better than 27th in red zone defense. A setback does not destroy Carolina, but it would erode the club s confidence. CAROLINA is ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent rushing defenses yielding less than 3.9 yards per carry(cs) MINNESOTA is 9-33 ATS(L42G) on ROAD - Against solid defensive teams allowing less than 20 PPG(CS) CAROLINA is 19-6 UNDER(L25G) at HOME - Against decent passing defenses yielding less than 6.15 yards per attempt(cs) MINNESOTA RESULTS CAROLINA RESULTS at ATLANTA W W U at NEW ORLEANS L L O at DETROIT W W O at NY JETS W W O VS LA RAMS W W U VS MIAMI W W O at WASHINGTON PK W W O VS ATLANTA W W U ** CLEVELAND W W O at TAMPA BAY W W U VS BALTIMORE W W O at CHICAGO L L U VS GREEN BAY W W U VS PHILADELPHIA L L O at CHICAGO W L U at DETROIT W W O VS DETROIT L L U at NEW ENGLAND W W O VS TAMPA BAY W W O VS NEW ORLEANS L L O at PITTSBURGH L L U VS BUFFALO W P U VS NEW ORLEANS W W O at SAN FRANCISCO W W U (117) GREEN BAY (-3 40) [SU:6-6 ATS:6-6] AT (118) CLEVELAND [SU:0-12 ATS:3-9] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on FOX - FIRSTENERGY STADIUM (CLEVELAND, OH) GREEN BAY [4.5] [5.9] [3.9] [7.3] CLEVELAND [4.4] [5.5] [3.3] [7.1] For winless Cleveland, realistically there are two chances left find a W. One is this week at home against Green Bay, who has lost five of seven and only taken down Chicago and Tampa Bay. The Browns only chance is not turning the pigskin over, something they have done at least twice in seven of previous eight losses. Cleveland is on NFL record of 29 straight Sunday setbacks. For Green Bay, it is about finding a way to win. Beating Cleveland makes them 7-6 and if Aaron Rodgers could return the following week, well, you know the rest. The Packers cannot give Cleveland hope and need to run the ball and play tight coverage, because DeShone Kizer will them give chances at interceptions. GREEN BAY is 9-3 ATS(L5Y) - Against lesser passing teams averaging less than 6.0 yards per attempt(cs) CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS(L3Y) - Against poor defensive teams yielding more than 5.7 yards per play(cs) GREEN BAY is 14-3 OVER(L5Y) on ROAD - Against decent rushing teams averaging more than 4.3 yards per carry(cs) GREEN BAY RESULTS CLEVELAND RESULTS VS TAMPA BAY W W O at LA CHARGERS L W U at PITTSBURGH L W O at CINCINNATI L L O VS BALTIMORE L L U VS JACKSONVILLE L L U at CHICAGO W W O at DETROIT L L O VS DETROIT L L O ** MINNESOTA L L O VS NEW ORLEANS L L U VS TENNESSEE L W U at MINNESOTA L L U at HOUSTON L L O at DALLAS W W O VS NY JETS L L U VS CHICAGO W W O VS CINCINNATI L L U VS CINCINNATI W L O at INDIANAPOLIS L L O at ATLANTA L L O at BALTIMORE L L U VS SEATTLE W W U VS PITTSBURGH L W U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 13

15 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS (119) SAN FRANCISCO [SU:2-10 ATS:6-6] AT (120) HOUSTON (-3 43) [SU:4-8 ATS:7-5] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on FOX - NRG STADIUM (HOUSTON, TX) SAN FRANCISCO [4.2] [5.8] [3.9] [7.1] HOUSTON [4.0] [6.7] [4.1] [7.4] San Francisco never found the end zone versus Chicago, but they left the Windy City with a triumph and hope for the future. Jimmy Garoppolo s debut was not perfect, nonetheless, the 49ers had five scoring drives including the game winner and they head to Houston winners of two of three and making progress. What Garappolo did more than anything was move the chains on third down in San Fran territory, which led to the field goals. Can the Niners make it two straight? Having suffered injuries all season, Houston suffered six more last week and coach Bill O Brien has to wonder what he can do to field a team this week. This is why the Texans opened as such short favorites. HOUSTON is ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 6.9 yards per attempt(cs) SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS(L2Y) - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) HOUSTON is 14-2 OVER(L5Y) - Against unopportunistic offenses averaging more than yards per point(cs) SAN FRANCISCO RESULTS HOUSTON RESULTS at CHICAGO W W U at TENNESSEE L L U VS SEATTLE L L U at BALTIMORE L W U VS NY GIANTS W W O VS ARIZONA W W O VS ARIZONA L L U at LA RAMS L L U at PHILADELPHIA L L U VS INDIANAPOLIS L L U VS DALLAS L L O at SEATTLE L W O at WASHINGTON L W O VS CLEVELAND W W O at INDIANAPOLIS L L O VS KANSAS CITY L L O at ARIZONA L W U VS TENNESSEE W W O VS LA RAMS L W O at NEW ENGLAND L W O at SEATTLE L W U at CINCINNATI W W U VS CAROLINA L L U VS JACKSONVILLE L L U (121) WASHINGTON [SU:5-7 ATS:5-7] AT (122) LA CHARGERS ( ) [SU:6-6 ATS:6-5-1] DECEMBER 10, :05 PM on CBS - STUBHUB CENTER (CARSON, CA) WASHINGTON [3.8] [7.2] [4.3] [6.8] LA CHARGERS [3.7] [7.4] [4.8] [6.0] Despite a 5-7 record and boatload of injuries, Washington players insist they are not going to throw the towel in on the season and want to finish 4-0 to set the table for next year s success. Yet the fact remains that the offense has come down to Kirk Cousins having to play like Russell Wilson, and on defense, the Redskins are 30th in points allowed. The L.A. Chargers have moved into a first place tie in the AFC West and are playing like the best team in the division in assembling a 6-2 SU and ATS mark since an 0-4 start. If the Bolts protect Philip Rivers, they should be able to pick apart the Washington secondary, which would in turn also open running lanes for RB Melvin Gordon. WASHINGTON is 10-3 ATS(L3Y) - Against poor rushing teams averaging less than 3.8 yards per carry(cs) LA CHARGERS is 2-9 ATS(L3Y) at HOME - Against decent offensive teams averaging more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) WASHINGTON is OVER(L2Y) on ROAD - OU line of 45 or more 14 WASHINGTON RESULTS LA CHARGERS RESULTS at DALLAS L L O VS CLEVELAND W L U VS NY GIANTS W W U at DALLAS W W U at NEW ORLEANS L W O VS BUFFALO W W O VS MINNESOTA PK L L O at JACKSONVILLE L W U at SEATTLE W W U at NEW ENGLAND L L U VS DALLAS L L O VS DENVER W W U at PHILADELPHIA L L O at OAKLAND W W U VS SAN FRANCISCO W L O at NY GIANTS W W O at KANSAS CITY L L O VS PHILADELPHIA L L O VS OAKLAND W W U VS KANSAS CITY L L U at LA RAMS W W P VS MIAMI L L U VS PHILADELPHIA L L U at DENVER L P O THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

16 NFL MATCHUPS (123) NY JETS ( ) [SU:5-7 ATS:7-4-1] AT (124) DENVER [SU:3-9 ATS:2-9-1] DECEMBER 10, :05 PM on CBS - SPORTS AUTHORITY FIELD AT MILE HIGH (DENVER, CO) NY JETS [3.9] [6.9] [4.3] [6.8] DENVER [4.1] [5.7] [3.4] [6.7] How would you have liked to made this bet in August? After 12 games, who would have a better record, the Jets or Broncos? There is no other way to put this, journeyman Josh McCown has given a New York a chance almost every which shows up with the Flyboys ATS record. At this point, Denver wishes they had signed McCown, since he is better than the three-headed quarterback conundrum they now have. The Broncos should be glad they do not have to face Cleveland, because they may be the only NFL team worse than them at the moment. The Broncos whipping by Miami was confounding and it is hard to fathom this team won a Super Bowl 22 months ago. NY JETS is ATS(L5Y) - Against inefficient defenses allowing less than 14.4 yards per point(cs) DENVER is 8-17 ATS(L25G) - VS AFC-EAST DENVER is UNDER(L3Y) - VS Opp With 1000 or more travel miles NY JETS RESULTS DENVER RESULTS VS KANSAS CITY W W O at MIAMI L L O VS CAROLINA L L O at OAKLAND L L U at TAMPA BAY L L U VS CINCINNATI L L U VS BUFFALO W W O VS NEW ENGLAND L L O VS ATLANTA L W O at PHILADELPHIA L L O at MIAMI L P O at KANSAS CITY L L O VS NEW ENGLAND L W U at LA CHARGERS L L U at CLEVELAND W W U VS NY GIANTS L L U VS JACKSONVILLE W W O VS OAKLAND W W U VS MIAMI W W U at BUFFALO L L O at OAKLAND L L O VS DALLAS W W O at BUFFALO L L U VS LA CHARGERS W P O (125) TENNESSEE (-3 44) [SU:8-4 ATS:5-6-1] AT (126) ARIZONA [SU:5-7 ATS:3-8-1] DECEMBER 10, :05 PM on CBS - UNIVERSITY OF PHOENIX STADIUM (GLENDALE, AZ) TENNESSEE [4.5] [6.5] [3.5] [6.3] ARIZONA [3.2] [6.5] [3.7] [6.4] When it comes to the football eye test, Tennessee is more like a Velvet Elvis painting than a Monet. Nonetheless, the Titans may be winning ugly, but they are winning and that is what counts in this league to reach the playoffs. Next up is a tough task in the desert and one of these times Marcus Mariota will be called upon to lead his club to victory and not be bailed out by running game. Arizona claims they like the all-around performances of Blaine Gabbert even in defeat, which is saying something since Gabbert tossed two more picks again last week. The Cardinals will have success moving the ball on the Titans, but will they make critical mistake(s) that separate winning and losing teams? ARIZONA is ATS(L5Y) at HOME - AS underdog of 7 or less points TENNESSEE is ATS(L5Y) on ROAD - Against weak teams being outscored by opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) TENNESSEE is 12-4 OVER(L3Y) - Against lesser rushing teams averaging less than 3.9 yards per carry(cs) TENNESSEE RESULTS ARIZONA RESULTS VS HOUSTON W W U VS LA RAMS L L O at INDIANAPOLIS W W U VS JACKSONVILLE W W O at PITTSBURGH L L O at HOUSTON L L O VS CINCINNATI W L O VS SEATTLE L P U VS BALTIMORE W P O at SAN FRANCISCO W W U at CLEVELAND W L U ** LA RAMS L L U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W O VS TAMPA BAY W W O at MIAMI L L U at PHILADELPHIA L L U at HOUSTON L L O VS SAN FRANCISCO W L U VS SEATTLE W W O VS DALLAS L L U at JACKSONVILLE W W O at INDIANAPOLIS W L U VS OAKLAND L L U at DETROIT L L O VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 15

17 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 NFL MATCHUPS (127) PHILADELPHIA [SU:10-2 ATS:9-3] AT (128) LA RAMS ( ) [SU:9-3 ATS:8-4] DECEMBER 10, :25 PM on FOX - LOS ANGELES MEMORIAL COLISEUM (LOS ANGELES, CA) PHILADELPHIA [4.6] [7.2] [3.5] [5.9] LA RAMS [4.0] [7.8] [4.7] [6.3] The NFC has been great the last couple weeks with so many terrific games and this will be another. Philadelphia is now tied with Minnesota for best conference record after a humbling loss to Seattle. The Eagles are out west again to face an opponent similar to them. Carson Wentz played human and the Philly running game was limited in defeat. Philadelphia has five turnovers the last couple weeks and that could be devastating against the Rams quick strike offense. L.A. North is a new team this season and having arguably the best special teams can be a gamechanger, along with everything else they are doing right. The Rams run defense will have to tighten up to beat the Eagles (137.3 RYPG, L3 contests). LA RAMS is ATS(L34G) at HOME - Against strong offensive teams averaging more than 5.8 yards per play(cs) PHILADELPHIA is ATS(L25G) - Against strong teams outscoring opponents by more than 6.0 points per game(cs) PHILADELPHIA is OVER(L23G) - Against weak rushing defenses yielding more than 4.7 yards per carry(cs) PHILADELPHIA RESULTS LA RAMS RESULTS at SEATTLE L L U at ARIZONA W W O VS CHICAGO W W U VS NEW ORLEANS W W U at DALLAS W W U at MINNESOTA L L U VS DENVER W W O VS HOUSTON W W U VS SAN FRANCISCO W W U at NY GIANTS W W O VS WASHINGTON W W O ** ARIZONA W W U at CAROLINA W W O at JACKSONVILLE W W O VS ARIZONA W W U VS SEATTLE L L U at LA CHARGERS W W O at DALLAS W W O VS NY GIANTS W L O at SAN FRANCISCO W L O at KANSAS CITY L L O VS WASHINGTON L L P at WASHINGTON W W U VS INDIANAPOLIS W W O (129) DALLAS ( ) [SU:6-6 ATS:6-6] AT (130) NY GIANTS [SU:2-10 ATS:5-7] DECEMBER 10, :00 PM on FOX - METLIFE STADIUM (EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ) DALLAS [4.7] [6.1] [4.3] [6.7] NY GIANTS [3.8] [5.7] [4.3] [7.4] Dallas has to win out to even have a chance in the top heavy NFC and they should make it two straight when traveling to New Jersey. The Cowboys weaknesses have been well documented and this will be another opportunity to mask them while finding ways to manufacture points, at the same time keeping New York off the scoreboard. Having RB Alfred Morris running for close to 5 YPC would set the right tone. So much for the Giants Evaluating everyone until the end of the season with coach Ben McAdoo and General Manager jettisoned. With this, reports are Eli Manning is reclaiming the starting job, but it does not eliminate the stench of a 2-10 campaign. Ruining the Cowboys season should motivate Giants players at home. DALLAS is 9-3 ATS(L3Y) on ROAD - Against lesser defensive teams allowing more than 23.5 PPG(CS) NY GIANTS is ATS(L2Y) - AS underdog of 7 or less points NY GIANTS is 12-1 UNDER(L2Y) - VS OPP with more than 6 days rest 16 DALLAS RESULTS NY GIANTS RESULTS VS WASHINGTON W W O at OAKLAND L W U VS LA CHARGERS L L U at WASHINGTON L L U VS PHILADELPHIA L L U VS KANSAS CITY W W U at ATLANTA L L U at SAN FRANCISCO L L O VS KANSAS CITY W W U VS LA RAMS L L O at WASHINGTON W W O VS SEATTLE L L U at SAN FRANCISCO W W O at DENVER W W U VS GREEN BAY L L O VS LA CHARGERS L L O VS LA RAMS L L O at TAMPA BAY L W O at ARIZONA W W U at PHILADELPHIA L W O at DENVER L L O VS DETROIT L L U VS NY GIANTS W W U at DALLAS L L U THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

18 NFL MATCHUPS (131) BALTIMORE [SU:7-5 ATS:6-5-1] AT (132) PITTSBURGH ( ) [SU:10-2 ATS:6-6] DECEMBER 10, :30 PM on NBC - HEINZ FIELD (PITTSBURGH, PA) Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics 2016 Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF BALTIMORE [4.0] [5.1] [3.9] [6.1] PITTSBURGH [3.7] [7.3] [4.2] [6.2] Baltimore has won three straight and four of five and controls its destiny towards the postseason. Any confrontation with Pittsburgh is going to be physical and catching the Steelers on a short week can only help a Ravens team that is starting to believe that they are building towards something special. Baltimore has an 11-1 turnover margin during this winning streak and needs another big effort from QB Joe Flacco on Sunday. After an extremely physical game with Cincinnati, Pittsburgh is on a short week and figures to be involved in a very similar contest and with New England to follow, making this potentially the hardest stretch any team will face this season. The Steelers also lost their defensive leader in LB Ryan Shazier, which will not make their task any easier. PITTSBURGH is ATS(L5Y) - Against decent defensive teams yielding less than 5.2 yards per play(cs) BALTIMORE is 8-17 ATS(L25G) - In December PITTSBURGH is 9-2 UNDER(L5Y) - Against lesser offensive teams averaging less than 5.1 yards per play(cs) BALTIMORE RESULTS PITTSBURGH RESULTS VS DETROIT W W O at CINCINNATI W L P VS HOUSTON W L U VS GREEN BAY W L O at GREEN BAY W W U VS TENNESSEE W W O at TENNESSEE L P O at INDIANAPOLIS W L U VS MIAMI W W O at DETROIT W W U at MINNESOTA L L O VS CINCINNATI W W O VS CHICAGO L L O at KANSAS CITY W W U at OAKLAND W W O VS JACKSONVILLE L L U VS PITTSBURGH L L U at BALTIMORE W W U ** JACKSONVILLE L L O at CHICAGO L L U VS CLEVELAND W W U VS MINNESOTA W W U at CINCINNATI W W U at CLEVELAND W L U (133) NEW ENGLAND (-11 47) [SU:10-2 ATS:8-4] AT (134) MIAMI [SU:5-7 ATS:4-6-2] DECEMBER 11, :30 PM on ESPN - HARD ROCK STADIUM (MIAMI, FL) NEW ENGLAND [4.2] [8.0] [5.1] [6.8] MIAMI [3.7] [5.8] [4.3] [6.9] Winning in the NFL is not easy on consistent basis, but doesn t it seem New England is always on cruise control most of the regular season? In two-thirds of the Patriots games, they have been favored by touchdown or more and this will add to list. Though Miami has been pesky over time at home (15-10 SU and ATS), versus the Pats, the eventual pointspread winner in this divisional battle appears more in doubt than the game winner. The Dolphins ended their fivegame slide last week, yet, they still have committed 11 turnovers in past three contests and that is asking to be beaten against a team like New England. Miami s only chance, no miscues, potent running game, and pass rushers in Tom Brady s face. NEW ENGLAND is 13-2 ATS(L2Y) - Against lesser defensive teams yielding more than 5.6 yards per play(cs) MIAMI is 5-14 ATS(L3Y) - Against decent passing teams averaging more than 6.8 yards per attempt(cs) MIAMI is 11-2 OVER(L2Y) at HOME - All Games NEW ENGLAND RESULTS MIAMI RESULTS at BUFFALO W W U VS DENVER W W O VS MIAMI W W O at NEW ENGLAND L L O ** OAKLAND W W U VS TAMPA BAY L L O at DENVER W W O at CAROLINA L L O VS LA CHARGERS W W U VS OAKLAND L P O VS ATLANTA W W U at BALTIMORE L L O at NY JETS W L U VS NY JETS W P O at TAMPA BAY W W U at ATLANTA W W U VS CAROLINA L L O VS TENNESSEE W W U VS HOUSTON W L O ** NEW ORLEANS L L U at NEW ORLEANS W W O at NY JETS L L U VS KANSAS CITY L L O at LA CHARGERS W W U VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 17

19 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 TOP NFL HEAD TO HEAD TRENDS (101) NEW ORLEANS AT (102) ATLANTA UNDERDOGS have gone 7-0 ATS in L7 of NO-ATL h2h series (105) DETROIT AT (106) TAMPA BAY DETROIT is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS at Tampa Bay since 2000 (107) CHICAGO AT (108) CINCINNATI UNDERDOGS are ATS in the CHI-CIN h2h series since 92 (109) INDIANAPOLIS AT (110) BUFFALO HOME TEAMS are ATS in L12 of the IND-BUF h2h series (111) SEATTLE AT (112) JACKSONVILLE HOME TEAMS are on 4-0 SU & ATS run in SEA-JAC series, avg MOV 22.5 PPG (113) OAKLAND AT (114) KANSAS CITY Nine of the L12 of OAK-KC series at Arrowhead have gone UNDER the total (115) MINNESOTA AT (116) CAROLINA The L3 games of MIN-CAR series in Charlotte went UNDER the total (117) GREEN BAY AT (118) CLEVELAND FAVORITES are 5-1 ATS in the Green Bay-Cleveland series since 92 (119) SAN FRANCISCO AT (120) HOUSTON HOME TEAMS are 3-0 SU & ATS in SF-HOU series all-time (121) WASHINGTON AT (122) LA CHARGERS FAVORITES are 5-0 SU & ATS in L5 of Redskins-Chargers series (123) NY JETS AT (124) DENVER UNDER the total is 5-1 in L6 games when Denver hosted NY Jets (125) TENNESSEE AT (126) ARIZONA ARIZONA & FAVORITES are ATS all-time in TEN-ARI h2h series (127) PHILADELPHIA AT (128) LA RAMS PHILADELPHIA is ATS in its L11 games versus Rams (129) DALLAS AT (130) NY GIANTS NY GIANTS are 5-1 ATS in L6 vs. Dallas but lost 19-3 in September (131) BALTIMORE AT (132) PITTSBURGH BALTIMORE is 4-2 SU & ATS in L6 vs. Pittsburgh but lost L2 (133) NEW ENGLAND AT (134) MIAMI HOME TEAMS are on a 9-1 ATS run in L10 of NE-MIA h2h series RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (101) NEW ORLEANS AT (102) ATLANTA NEW ORLEANS (32) at ATLANTA (38) NEW ORLEANS ROAD DOG OVER ATLANTA (45) at NEW ORLEANS (32) ATLANTA ROAD DOG OVER NEW ORLEANS (20) at ATLANTA (17) NEW ORLEANS ROAD DOG UNDER ATLANTA (21) at NEW ORLEANS (31) NEW ORLEANS HOME DOG UNDER ATLANTA (30) at NEW ORLEANS (14) ATLANTA ROAD DOG UNDER (105) DETROIT AT (106) TAMPA BAY TAMPA BAY (17) at DETROIT (34) DETROIT HOME FAV OVER TAMPA BAY (24) at DETROIT (21) TAMPA BAY ROAD DOG UNDER DETROIT (27) at TAMPA BAY (20) DETROIT ROAD DOG OVER DETROIT (23) at TAMPA BAY (20) DETROIT ROAD DOG xxxx TAMPA BAY (38) at DETROIT (20) TAMPA BAY ROAD FAV OVER 18 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

20 RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (107) CHICAGO AT (108) CINCINNATI CINCINNATI (21) at CHICAGO (24) x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER CHICAGO (10) at CINCINNATI (45) CINCINNATI HOME DOG OVER CINCINNATI (24) at CHICAGO (7) CINCINNATI ROAD FAV UNDER CHICAGO (24) at CINCINNATI (0) CHICAGO ROAD DOG UNDER CHICAGO (10) at CINCINNATI (16) CINCINNATI HOME DOG UNDER (109) INDIANAPOLIS AT (110) BUFFALO INDIANAPOLIS (14) at BUFFALO (27) PK 44.0 BUFFALO HOME xxx UNDER BUFFALO (13) at INDIANAPOLIS (20) INDIANAPOLIS HOME FAV UNDER INDIANAPOLIS (7) at BUFFALO (30) BUFFALO HOME FAV OVER BUFFALO (16) at INDIANAPOLIS (17) BUFFALO ROAD DOG UNDER INDIANAPOLIS (17) at BUFFALO (14) x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER (111) SEATTLE AT (112) JACKSONVILLE JACKSONVILLE (17) at SEATTLE (45) SEATTLE HOME FAV OVER JACKSONVILLE (0) at SEATTLE (41) PK 44.5 SEATTLE HOME xxx UNDER SEATTLE (14) at JACKSONVILLE (26) JACKSONVILLE HOME FAV OVER JACKSONVILLE (15) at SEATTLE (24) SEATTLE HOME FAV OVER SEATTLE (28) at JACKSONVILLE (21) SEATTLE ROAD DOG OVER (113) OAKLAND AT (114) KANSAS CITY KANSAS CITY (30) at OAKLAND (31) OAKLAND HOME DOG OVER OAKLAND (13) at KANSAS CITY (21) KANSAS CITY HOME FAV UNDER KANSAS CITY (26) at OAKLAND (10) KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV UNDER OAKLAND (17) at KANSAS CITY (23) OAKLAND ROAD DOG UNDER KANSAS CITY (34) at OAKLAND (20) KANSAS CITY ROAD FAV OVER (115) MINNESOTA AT (116) CAROLINA MINNESOTA (22) at CAROLINA (10) MINNESOTA ROAD DOG UNDER CAROLINA (13) at MINNESOTA (31) MINNESOTA HOME FAV OVER CAROLINA (35) at MINNESOTA (10) CAROLINA ROAD DOG OVER MINNESOTA (24) at CAROLINA (21) MINNESOTA ROAD DOG UNDER MINNESOTA (7) at CAROLINA (26) CAROLINA HOME DOG UNDER (117) GREEN BAY AT (118) CLEVELAND CLEVELAND (13) at GREEN BAY (31) GREEN BAY HOME FAV UNDER GREEN BAY (31) at CLEVELAND (3) GREEN BAY ROAD FAV UNDER CLEVELAND (26) at GREEN BAY (24) CLEVELAND ROAD DOG OVER CLEVELAND (7) at GREEN BAY (30) GREEN BAY HOME FAV OVER GREEN BAY (31) at CLEVELAND (20) GREEN BAY ROAD FAV OVER (119) SAN FRANCISCO AT (120) HOUSTON HOUSTON (3) at SAN FRANCISCO (34) SAN FRANCISCO HOME FAV UNDER SAN FRANCISCO (21) at HOUSTON (24) x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER HOUSTON (17) at SAN FRANCISCO (20) SAN FRANCISCO HOME FAV OVER (121) WASHINGTON AT (122) LA CHARGERS SAN DIEGO (24) at WASHINGTON (30) WASHINGTON HOME FAV OVER WASHINGTON (20) at SAN DIEGO (23) x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER SAN DIEGO (23) at WASHINGTON (17) SAN DIEGO ROAD FAV UNDER WASHINGTON (3) at SAN DIEGO (30) SAN DIEGO HOME FAV UNDER SAN DIEGO (20) at WASHINGTON (24) WASHINGTON HOME FAV OVER (123) NY JETS AT (124) DENVER DENVER (31) at NY JETS (17) DENVER ROAD FAV OVER NY JETS (13) at DENVER (17) DENVER HOME DOG UNDER NY JETS (24) at DENVER (20) NY JETS ROAD FAV OVER DENVER (34) at NY JETS (17) DENVER ROAD DOG OVER NY JETS (0) at DENVER (27) DENVER HOME FAV UNDER (125) TENNESSEE AT (126) ARIZONA ARIZONA (37) at TENNESSEE (34) x x x x x xxxx xxx OVER ARIZONA (17) at TENNESSEE (20) x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER TENNESSEE (10) at ARIZONA (20) ARIZONA HOME FAV UNDER TENNESSEE (41) at ARIZONA (14) TENNESSEE ROAD DOG OVER ARIZONA (30) at HOUSTON(O) (12) ARIZONA ROAD FAV OVER VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 19

21 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 RECENT NFL HEAD TO HEAD HISTORY (127) PHILADELPHIA AT (128) LA RAMS ST LOUIS (28) at PHILADELPHIA (34) PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV OVER PHILADELPHIA (31) at ST LOUIS (13) PHILADELPHIA ROAD FAV xxxx ST LOUIS (3) at PHILADELPHIA (38) PHILADELPHIA HOME FAV UNDER PHILADELPHIA (17) at ST LOUIS (16) PHILADELPHIA ROAD DOG UNDER PHILADELPHIA (7) at ST LOUIS (20) ST LOUIS HOME FAV UNDER (129) DALLAS AT (130) NY GIANTS NY GIANTS (3) at DALLAS (19) DALLAS HOME FAV UNDER DALLAS (7) at NY GIANTS (10) NY GIANTS HOME DOG UNDER NY GIANTS (20) at DALLAS (19) NY GIANTS ROAD DOG UNDER DALLAS (20) at NY GIANTS (27) NY GIANTS HOME FAV OVER NY GIANTS (26) at DALLAS (27) NY GIANTS ROAD DOG OVER (131) BALTIMORE AT (132) PITTSBURGH PITTSBURGH (26) at BALTIMORE (9) PITTSBURGH ROAD FAV UNDER BALTIMORE (27) at PITTSBURGH (31) BALTIMORE ROAD DOG OVER PITTSBURGH (14) at BALTIMORE (21) BALTIMORE HOME DOG UNDER PITTSBURGH (17) at BALTIMORE (20) BALTIMORE HOME DOG UNDER BALTIMORE (23) at PITTSBURGH (20) x x x x x xxxx xxx UNDER (133) NEW ENGLAND AT (134) MIAMI MIAMI (17) at NEW ENGLAND (35) NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV OVER NEW ENGLAND (35) at MIAMI (14) NEW ENGLAND ROAD FAV OVER MIAMI (24) at NEW ENGLAND (31) NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV OVER NEW ENGLAND (10) at MIAMI (20) MIAMI HOME DOG UNDER MIAMI (7) at NEW ENGLAND (36) NEW ENGLAND HOME FAV UNDER 20 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

22 NFL OBSERVATIONS NEW YORK DEALS WITH A GIANT(S) MESS Just think, it was less than a year ago, the New York Giants were 11-5 during the regular season in Ben McAdoo s first season. Though Eli Manning was showing signs of decay, the Giants had a big play offense that could strike at any time and had spent a great deal of cash to rebuild its defense. They were No.2 in fewest points allowed at 17.8 per game. There were a couple of warning signs coming into this season that essentially everyone missed. While having a great defense is a wonderful anchor, if you study statistics on team defense, the numbers are more variable than most realize. If for example you put together what Seattle did this decade or what Baltimore, Pittsburgh or Chicago did in the past, you can have three, maybe four years near the top, but it is not the same as having a top notch quarterback for a decade. Manning came in one year older and quarterbacks his age always play better with a stellar offensive line and running game. New York has neither. Lastly, of the eight teams that lost four to six games in 2016, the Giants had the worst point differential at +26, which is generally more reflective of a.500 team or 9-7, not Fast forward to Big Blue starts 0-5, loses it entire receiving corps, the offensive line could not push over a kids plastic corral and the running backs could not fall in a giant hole, let alone run thru one. The defense was brutal at all three levels and clearly quit in at least four games. McAdoo lost his team with questionable suspensions and the final straw was benching Manning, who had given his all for the franchise, but was pushed aside by McAdoo. week we had Minnesota upset Atlanta, Seattle do the same to Philadelphia and New Orleans engineer sweep of Carolina. This week we have the Vikings at the Panthers and the Eagles in L.A. to wrestle with the Rams, plus, several more contests in the following three weeks to determine playoff positioning. The sample size is certainly small, but in the last three weeks of these kinds of matchups, the home team is 5-1 SU and ATS, with the SU winner a perfect 6-0 ATS. Stay tuned. UPDATE ON SCORING, SCORING DEFENSE AND COVERING SPREADS About a month ago here, there was a story line that wondered aloud if sports wagering in the NFL was changing towards following points scored and points allowed on both offense and defense. Thought we would follow up with latest information and see what you think. If we take the Top 4 scoring teams in the league and bet on them, they are ATS, which is a wonderful win percentage of 68.7 percent. On the other end of the spectrum is the weakest scoring clubs and if we bet against them we would be sitting at ATS, a not too shabby 59.5 percent. Moving to defense we find a larger sampling, as the Top 10 scoring defenses are ATS, 60.5 percent. Only Seattle at has a negative spread record. Meanwhile, the worst eight scoring defenses are ATS (61.9%) in play against situations. Without question I realize some of these numbers might be adding a winner to each category for pessimistic thinkers, but the same would be true the other way, they could be 0-2 and anytime they play in the same grouping, there is a split. This should be followed the rest of the season. At 2-10 (5-7 ATS), the G-Men need a completely rebuilt offensive line, running backs who can find and run thru holes, and a quarterback of the immediate future. Maybe a new head coach, GM and defensive coordinator can salvage the defense, but when guys quit, that is an issue. How quickly things change in the NFL. NFC CONFERENCE TOP TIER IS FASCINATING If you are a fan of the NFL and are betting regularly, we have and will continue to watch the best teams in the NFC playing each other late in the season. This past NFL BETTING NUMBERS The sportsbooks finally had something go their way, as underdogs were 9-7 ATS, though favorites were 10-6 SU. That broke a streak of six consecutive winning weeks for favorites. As has been the case most of the season, the totals were nearly even at UNDER. VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 21

23 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 ARMY VS NAVY (103) ARMY [SU:8-3 ATS:5-6] VS (104) NAVY ( ) [SU:6-5 ATS:6-4-1] DECEMBER 9, :00 PM on CBS - LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD (PHILADELPHIA, PA)[NEUT] Season PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT PPG FD RUSHING PASSING YPPT TOD PDIF ARMY [6.2] [5.6] [4.8] [7.8] NAVY [5.5] [10.1] [4.6] [8.9] Army snapped Navy s 14-game winning streak in their head-to-head rivalry and now will look to make it two in a row when the teams square off Saturday in Philadelphia. For the second straight season, both teams will be headed to bowl games following this one, so it can be stated that both programs enjoyed successful seasons. For Army at 8-3, a win here and another in the Armed Forces Bowl game to which they ve already committed, will give them 10 victories in a season for the first time since 96. The Knights are led by 3-year starting QB Ahmad Bradshaw, who has only thrown for 259 yards on the season but has run for 1,472 yards and 11 TD s. Fullback Darrell Woolfolk matches that touchdown total and is obviously a key part in the option arsenal. Army comes in having won six of their L7 contests. Navy, on the other hand, has lost five of six games after a 5-0 start, however, all five of those losses came to teams you will be watching in bowl play. The Midshipmen are guided by QB Zach Abbey, who leads a more balanced option attack, boasting 803 yards passing to go along with 1,322 rushing. He has 21 total touchdowns on the season. Generally, Navy is still considered the better team in 2017 and is thus still listed as a small favorite. That said, the game figures to close at the smallest pointspread in the series since Army was last favored by 1.5-points back in It will be interesting to see how Navy reacts, no longer being seen as the dominant team in the matchup. Many experts feel that in last year s game Army had an advantage in that Navy had to play the week prior in the American Athletic Conference Championship game, and was not only flat for Army, but was shorted a week of preparation for the big contest. NAVY is 13-3 ATS(L16G) at NEUTRAL SITE - Non-conference VS NON-BIG 5 ARMY is ATS(L5Y) - Against poor passing defenses yielding more than 7.9 yards per attempt(cs) ARMY is 11-0 UNDER(L5Y) - Against big play passing teams averaging more than 8.3 yards per attempt(cs) STRENGTH RATINGS BRD Power Ratings Effective Strg Simulation Bettors Rtng # s Teams Actual Rtg Line Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? Proj Edge? 103 ARMY NAVY VI PICKS VI Jim (48%) (49%)* VI Jason (53%) (49%)* VI Doug (51%) (53%)* VI Matt (53%) (53%)* Power Rating (51%) Saturday, December 9, (103) ARMY vs. (104) NAVY (-3.5) Effective Strength (51%) Bettors Ratings (48%) Consensus (51%) * indicates Best Bet (BB) Army* Army* Army* Army* Army Army Army Army Saturday, December 9, (103) ARMY vs. (104) NAVY - TOTAL (48) OVER OVER UNDER OVER OVER OVER OVER OVER BEST BET Jim says For the second straight season, Army comes into its annual rivalry game with Navy owning a distinct defensive advantage. Prior to last year it has been over a decade since the Knights were the better defensive team in the matchup. We all know that Army snapped a lengthy losing streak in this series last year. In that game, Navy was held to just 201 yards. Part of that defensive edge has to be attributed to Navy playing in the offensively prolific AAC, but even still, allowing 6.5 yards per play leaves the Midshipmen very vulnerable for a second straight loss in this series. In three common opponents games this season, Army has allowed just 16.3 PPG compared to Navy s Army also comes in as the hot team, having won six of its L7 games, while Navy hit a tailspin down the stretch, losing five of six. With two veteran quarterbacks going at it, I think this year s contest has a chance to break the long string of UNDER s in the series, and I certainly give Army a great shot at the upset. 22 THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

24 CFB OBSERVATIONS LET THE BOWL RUSH BEGIN! The college football playoffs are set with No. 3 Georgia facing No.2 Oklahoma in the Rose Bowl, followed by No.1 Clemson meeting No.4 Alabama for a third straight year, this time in the Sugar Bowl. While a case was made for both Ohio State and Alabama as the fourth seed, Nick Saban s team won out. Two things need to be done going forward. Either the conference championship games mean something or they don t. The last two years in the Big Ten, the winner of that game did not advance, as Penn State was looked over last year and the Buckeyes on Sunday, as they were left standing with teams playing musical chairs with only four seats. I am not saying the winner of a conference championship deserves an automatic bid, because Ohio State proved it had Top 4 capability, but it s drubbing at Iowa showed it was just not able to prove it over 13 contests. However, the Crimson Tide were not even the best team in the SEC West, yet they got in. Here is my solution. Let s go to six teams, the Top 2 get byes. On the third Saturday of December, No.3 hosts No.6 and No.4 is home to No.5 seed. That is two weeks after conference championships and 11 to 15 days before semi-finals. If the seventhbest team is left out, too bad, they almost assuredly would have two losses. Also, you would have to play in conference championship unless you are Notre Dame, who would never get in without being 12-0 or The opening line on each semifinal showdown has both SEC teams favored with Georgia at -1 and Alabama at -2. MORE BIG GAME LINES OF INTEREST AND THOUGHTS It seemed like it was just yesterday Miami 10-0, No.2 in the polls and controlled its destiny. After ugly losses to Pittsburgh and Clemson, now sportsbooks have the Hurricanes as -6.5 point underdogs to Wisconsin in the Orange Bowl, right in their own building, astonishing. While the Big Ten might not have gotten anyone in the CFP, their four-best teams, including Wisconsin, are all bowl favorites. Ohio State is a touchdown choice over Pac- 12 champion USC in the Cotton Bowl, Penn State was sent out as -1.5 point pick over Washington in the Fiesta Bowl and Michigan is a good-sized 9.5-point favorite over South Carolina. Most years, the Big Ten is a decided underdog in these types of games. In the Peach Bowl, Central Florida might be undefeated and the top-scoring team in the country, but the Knights have not faced a team close to Auburn s skill level defensively. We found an early number on UCF of +9.5 and after they allowed 42 points to South Florida and 55 in two OT s to Memphis at home, not sure Central Florida will have what it takes to compete with the Tigers in the trenches. OTHER ELEMENTS TO PONDER EARLY FOR BOWL GAMES The Alamo Bowl with Stanford vs. TCU (-2.5) has the potential to be entertaining in what could be named the Runner-Up Bowl, with their conference championship setbacks. LSU (-3) and Notre Dame will face off for a third postseason matchup since 2006 in the Citrus Bowl. The Holiday Bowl has a nice study in contrast with Michigan State and Washington State (-3) and the Texas Bowl brings together old Big 12 partners Texas and Missouri (-1.5). On Dec. 28th, we have the Camping World Bowl and though Virginia Tech and Oklahoma State (-6.5) sounds like a competitive contest, back in early November, this was not a destination either team was thinking about as a bowler. The Sun Bowl features a N.C. State (-6.5) squad who had bigger dreams a month ago and Arizona State. The Sun Devils had a surprise season at 7-5, fired their coach and just made one of the poorest hires in years with Herm Edwards. Akron was routed in the MACtion title game by Toledo and now they have to go on the road to C-USA champion Florida Atlantic (-18) and take on their explosive offense. With Northwestern (-7) closing the season on a 7-0 SU and ATS run, the Wildcats might well have their way with Kentucky. It would have been fun to have Sun Belt co-champions Appalachian State and Troy face off in a bowl for a defacto Sun Belt championship, instead of two separate assignments. Finally, let s hear it for New Mexico State (+3), who heads to a bowl game for the first time since 1960 to face Utah State in the Arizona Bowl in Tucson. ONE LAST LOOK AT THE NUMBERS The last week of the regular season had the favorites 13-3 SU and 9-7 ATS. On the totals, a decided edge on the UNDER s at With apologies to Army and Navy, we wrap up the final tallies on the closing lines and find the Underdogs had a ATS edge and the UNDER was VISIT VEGASINSIDER.COM FOR THE LATEST IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION 23

25 AUGUST 30 SEPTEMBER 3 24 FOOTBALL LINE MOVES Welcome back to another edition of Line Moves, looking at all the biggest betting moves in college football and the NFL. Besides this, we also offer free picks (61.8% in NFL) on these contests. COLLEGE FOOTBALL (103) ARMY vs. (104) NAVY 3:00 ET CBS With the Army finally winning last year and ending long losing streak, the competitive nature is back in the contest. However, what football bettors are interested in is the total, which has fallen dramatically from 51 to The large drop is not a surprise since the UNDER is 10-0 the last decade. This does make sense as the teams are mirror images of one another and they know how to defend the opposing offense. Our View- Lean Under NFL (101) NEW ORLEANS at (102) ATLANTA 8:25 ET NBC This NFC South showdown opened as a Pick, but with New Orleans playing like the better team all season, the Saints have been elevated to -1.5 point favorites. Atlanta has not had any home field advantage over New Orleans over the years and the Falcons are only 3-3 SU in their new building with the Saints 4-2 SU on the road. The total has slid from 55 to 53 and we agree with this since both are off big contests and might not have same energy on a short week. Our View- Leans New Orleans and Under (115) MINNESOTA at (116) CAROLINA 1:00 ET FOX Minnesota has played virtually as stable as New England, which is why those betting football have no problem backing the Vikings even on the road, pushing them from -1 to Being a more defensive and ball control squad, Minnesota is the likely driver for the total dipping a point to 41. It seems risky to go against Carolina at home off a loss, yet the Vikings are very steady and 6-0 UNDER off a road win. Our View- Leans Minnesota and Under (119) SAN FRANCISCO at (120) HOUSTON 1:00 ET FOX An eyebrow or two was probably raised when Houston went from -1 to -3 against San Francisco. The 49ers have won two of three, while the Texans are 1-5 SU recently (3-3 ATS) and Houston s injuries continue to mount. The other perspective is this can you imagine the Niners winning consecutive road games? That is where it really becomes tricky to back San Fran. Our View- Lean Houston covers (121) WASHINGTON at (122) L.A. CHARGERS 4:05 ET CBS The Carson Chargers are playing like they could win their division, on a major 6-2 SU and ATS roll. The Bolts were released as touchdown favorites, but have been backed down to a -6 point choice. Washington is unpredictable, as Kirk Cousins can get hot as a passer, which could alter game dynamics. The question becomes can you trust the Redskins after an awful showing at Dallas last Thursday? At adjusted price, the value is with Chargers. Our View- Lean Chargers cover (123) N.Y. JETS at (124) DENVER 4:05 ET CBS These matchups with bad teams are tough to predict. With Denver playing so dreadful on an eight-game losing streak (0-8 ATS), the Broncos have been flipped from -1 to +1 home underdogs against the Jets. It is easy to understand why since New York is still trying, while Denver looks to have packed in the season already. The Broncos have committed 21 turnovers in this atrocious stretch and this seems to be key to every outcome. Fingers crossed on the home team. Our View- Lean Denver covers (127) PHILADELPHIA at (128) L.A. RAMS 4:25 ET FOX With Philadelphia falling in Seattle, the money trail is going against the Eagles and they have gone up from +1 to 2.5 in Los Angeles. This might be an overreaction to Philadelphia losing for just a second time and while turnovers helped dictate that outcome, the Eagles had a +115 yardage edge in the contest. The Rams are young, talented and exciting but so are the Eagles and I would not recommend giving up on them just yet. Our View- Philadelphia covers (129) DALLAS at (130) N.Y. GIANTS 1:00 ET FOX Is New York dipping a point to +5 a reflection of Ben McAdoo being fired? Possibly, but it is also saying Eli Manning gives the Giants a better chance to win than Geno Smith. We all understand the G-Men stink and are a rotten team, yet when you factor in the coaching change and Manning unquestionably laserfocused at home against Dallas, anything less than New York s best effort would be a stunner. Our View- New York covers (133) NEW ENGLAND at (134) MIAMI 8:30 ET ESPN Both the side and total moved in this Monday night clash, with one more meaningful than the other. The total has crumbled from 48.5 to 47 and New England is down a digit to -11. The Patriots adjustment seems inconsequential, as typically a -12 to -11 seldom would matter and it seems driven by Rob Gronkowski s suspension. The sinking total is also a reflection that the New England offense has not been quite as sharp lately and is second in the league in field goal attempts. Our View- Leans New England and Under RECORDS College Best Bets College Leans NFL Best Bets NFL Leans THE GLOBAL LEADER IN SPORTS GAMING INFORMATION

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