COLLEGE 4! s HITTING % L/2W! NFL OPENS 2-0-1! COLLEGE 4.5! s NOW L2Y

Transcription

1 NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS $ Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 28 ISSUE 3 September 1620, 2010 COLLEGE 4! s HITTING % L/2W! NFL OPENS 201! COLLEGE 4.5! s NOW 2113 L2Y NEWS AND NOTES WEEK THREE, 2010 Wisconsin took their opening drive vs SJSt 80/8pl for a TD and took their 2nd drive for an apparent TD but fmbl d into the EZ for a TB. At the half they only led 170 with a yd edge and SJSt got two 2H TD s, the latter with 5:45 left only to lose Michigan St s secondary was a problem last year and Florida Atl, basically playing a road game at Ford Field in Detroit, had their QB Jeff Van Camp hit yds despite the fact FAU has zero ret st rs on the Oline...UConn scored the 1st 5x they had the ball vs TX Southern and allowed just 1 FD in the 1H while rolling up 288 total yards offense. RB Jordan Todman rushed for 151 yds, his 7th career 100 yd game and did not play in the 2H...Northwestern scored on their fi rst poss vs Illinois St and led 303 at the half. It was just 173 when NU took over with 4:24 left 1H on an int. They went 60/6pl for a TD and following a 2nd int with just :28 left in the half, they went 22/3pl for a TD with :10 left for that lead. NU was a 28 pt favorite and only got ahead of the spread when Illinois St fmbl d at their own 19 with 8:36 left and NU converted on 4th & 1 for a FD and got a TD with 4:31 left. ISt got to the NU18 but was SOD...Wake Forest had their 2nd consecutive 50 pt game for the fi rst time in school history and won the 2nd highest scoring game in ACC history, 5448 over Duke. In the 1H Ted Stachitas who hit 04 with 1 int shared time with Tanner Price. Price played the entire 2H for WF and hit WF led 4841 when they took over with 8:45 left and went 79/13pl for a TD with 2:53 left. Duke was int d with 2:16 left then after a punt got a 51 yd TD with 1:39 left but WF rec d the onside kick and ran out the clock...pitt got a TD with :18 left 1H to take a 173 lead and only had a yd edge. New Hampshire did drive 67/13pl for a garbage TD with 1:13 left while trailing East Carolina only had a yd edge vs Memphis but their 30 TO edge was huge as Memphis fmbl d at their own 12 & 24 yd lines setting up 2 TD drives consisting of 36 total yards and also gave up a 41 yard IR TD. Those 3 TD s turned out to be a big difference in the 4927 game...cincinnati led 127 at the half and after losing just 2 fumbles all of 2009, lost 2 in the 1H against lowly Indiana St which came in with a 355 record over the L6Y. They left the fi eld to a smattering of boos but did score TD s on their fi rst 4 poss of the 2H although one was on a 10 yd drive after ISt fumbled the punt snap. ISU was SOD at the UC9 and missed a 36 yd FG in the 4Q in UC s 407 win...w Illinois and Purdue were tied at 7 when WI went on a 72/14pl drive but missed a 37 yd FG. WI went on a 51/9pl drive but was SOD at the PU29 with 3:17 left in the half. PU went 71/14pl for a TD with just :18 left then WI fmbl d the KO and PU added a 36 yd FG to lead by 10 despite only having a yd edge. Each team fi nished with 22 FD and WI had a yd edge...iowa scored TD s on their fi rst 3 poss over rival Iowa St and then their 5th poss went 66 yds for a TD. At the half they led 280 with a yd edge. While ISU was int d at the UI3 in the 3Q, the Hawkeyes led 350 when ISU took over with 3:37 left and went 71/6pl for a garbage TD with 1:51 left marking the 1st time the Cyclones scored an offensive TD in the annual series since Turnovers were the key in the USF/Florida game. USF went on a 96/17pl drive for a TD in the 1Q and led 70 and had the ball back with 2:14 left in the half when the game started to turn on USF s fi rst TO of the game, an int at their own 29. UF got a TD 3pl later, 77 at the half. USF had a FD at the UF16 threatening to retake the lead and fmbl d and the Gators got a 62 yd TD run 3pl later. A 30 yd PR set up UF for a 35 yd drive for a TD and they then got a 35 yd IR TD and stunningly led 287. USF got back under the number at 2814 on a 69 yd drive but UF got a 22 yd FG with 12:20 left and following yet another TO (int) went 57/13pl for the clinching TD...As you would expect with both Georgia Southern and Navy running the triple option offense, the D s played well. In fact Navy had a just 98 FD edge and yd edge in the game. Navy got a 55 yd KR to set up an 18 yd FG then after a fmbl, drove 1 yd for a 42 yd FG. After a fake punt was stopped at the GS40, Navy drove 40/8pl for a TD to lead 130 at the half with a yd edge. GS got a 4&8, 17 yd TD pass to open the 3Q, 137. GS punted with 6:08 left and Navy would convert on 3&11, 3&10 and 3&8 running out the clock at the GS9. GS QB Jaybo Shaw is a GT transfer...oklahoma s Landry Jones completed less than 50% of his passes in the opener vs Utah St while Florida St dominated Samford. Jones hit 3040 for 380 yds vs FSU while Heisman candidate Christian Ponder hit The game was even more lopsided than the 4717 fi nal. FSU got 4 FD s on their fi rst series but then just 5 over the next Q s. In fact OU led 4710 when Florida St went 71/7pl and on 3&10 on the last play of the game got a 47 yd garbage TD pass...while Cal did indeed dominate Colorado with their 527 win they did just have 1817 FD and yd edges. They got a 41 yd IR TD with :11 left 1H and then at the end of the game, Cal was SOD at the CU41 with :35 left. CU got 2 FD s to the Cal29 but was int d again and this time ret d 82 yds for a TD with :28 left in the game...utah/unlv was actually a lot closer than the fi nal score would indicate. In fact, UNLV had an 1814 FD edge and if not for spec tms, would have had a shot at the game. Utah got a 30 yd PR setting up a 5 yd drive for a 44 yd FG. UNLV fmbl d a punt at their own 20 setting up a Utah TD pass on the next play with just :32 left 1H, 173. Utah blk d a punt and ret d it 19 yds for a TD then got a 77 yd PR TD by Smithson, UNLV had a bad snap on the punt and while their P got the punt off, it went for 20 yds and that set up a 33 yd Utah TD drive and a 3810 lead. LV had a 1st & gl at the 1 but was SOD and on their next drive had a 4th & gl at the 1 and were SOD...While Clemson only beat Presbyterian 5821 they led 520 mid3q. In fact, in the 1Q CU played 57 different players and took advantage of some short fi eld position so the stats were not overwhelming as they only had a yd edge... Louisville only beat E Kentucky by 10 but the game was not that close. In the 1H UL led 230 with a yd edge. The Cards were at the EK27 with that lead mid3q when they were int d on 2nd & 4 and ret d 80 yds for a TD. EK took over with 6:48 left and punted on 4&14 but roughing the P gave them a FD. They got a 41 yd run 2pl later then on 4th & 1 a TD with 2:28 to make it There were a couple of key stories in the Michigan/Notre Dame game. First, UM QB Denard Robinson had another record breaking performance as his 502 yds broke the UM QB record he set the previous week vs Connecticut (383). He rushed for 258 yds, another UM QB record. The other story was that ND QB Crist played just the 1st series in the 1H and that was a ND TD drive in which he was banged up. Tommy Rees and Nate Montana combined for 8 series is his place hitting yd and both threw an int. Rees int was followed by a 30/1pl TD pass by Robinson. UM did miss 39 and 40 yd FG s in the 2H but needed a Robinson TD run with :27 left for the lead. ND got to the UM27 but Crist s fi nal pass was incomplete...gary Patterson has gone out of his way to not roll it up the last 2 weeks and he better get over it because it may cost TCU a shot at the National Title. Versus Oreg St he didn t want to tack on to a slim 9 pt lead at the end of the game and vs Tenn Tech, running the ball with a backup FB he apologized to TT for scoring a TD with 4:09 left. Coach Patterson Isn t it the responsibility of the opposing team to stop you? If you are using backup players what s the harm in scoring TD s? Especially if you are not throwing the football. Last year TCU put the hammer down on foes and nearly made it to play in the National Title game if Texas would have missed the FG in the Big 12 Title Game. Patterson better change his approach to the games for the remainder of the season or they will not get to the big show...arkansas St QB Ryan Aplin hit a school record 438 yds passing but Louisiana led 317 heading into the 4Q. ASU still got the ball back at their own 31 with 2:22 left, down by 7 but Aplin was int d on 3&10...Miami, FL s special teams kept them in the game vs Ohio St in the 1H as they had an 88 yd KR and 79 yd PR TD s and only trailed 2617 despite being outgained It marked the fi rst time since OSU began keeping records in 1936 that the Bucks allowed a KR and PR TD in the same game. Two key factors were in Ohio St s favor in this one as Terrelle Pryor was the more mobile QB rushing for 113 yds while Harris had just 8 and Harris threw 4 int s to Pryor s none. Miami trailed 2617 early 3Q when DL Heyward dropped back after faking a blitz and int d a pass and ret d it 80 yds to the UM15 setting up a TD. The Buckeyes had a 39 yd FG blk d and settled for a 24 yd FG on their next 2 drives, and then on their fi nal drive took over at their 39 with 7:31 left and converted on 3&5, 4&1, 3&7 and got a 1st & gl at the 6 and took a knee...tennessee played a much better game than the fi nal score would indicate. The Vols actually led 133 after a 1 hour long lighting delay in the 2Q with the Ducks getting a 42 yd FG with 2:56 left in the half then going 62/5pl for a 27 yd TD pass with 1:04 left, UT had a yd edge at the half. Two key plays happened in the next 5:00. UO got a 72 yd TD run by James to take their fi rst lead and then with UT having a FD at the Duck24, on 3rd & 13, Simmons was not only int, but ret d 76 yds for a TD putting UT in a 2 TD hole. UO got a TD with 11:39 left and added an 80 yd PR TD with 11:39 left and backup QB Costa led them 51/10pl for a TD with 3:54 left for the 35 pt blowout...penn St actually played closer than the fi nal would indicate vs Alabama. In the 1H they had a 3rd & 8 at the Tide 20 at the end of a 10pl drive but was int at the 3. They had a 2&6 at the Tide 16 after a 68 yd drive but fmbl d and it was ret d 75 yds. In the 3Q PSU had a 3&8 from the Bama26 but was int at the 13 and PSU s fi nal drive ended on an int at the Bama25. While Bama only had a 1917 FD edge, a 41 TO edge was the key...hawaii scored TD s on 3 of their fi rst 4 poss to lead 210. Army trailed 217 at the half and UH had a yd edge. Army took advantage of some crucial TO s in the 2H driving 24 & 11 yds for TD s after TO s. Their fi rst TD of the 3Q came after they lined up for a 19 yd FG and UH was called for too many men on the fi eld and they went for it on 4th & gl at the 1. With the game tied at 28, Army had a 37 yd FG blk d with 7:02 left and then was setting up for the game winning FG when they fmbl d at the UH27 with :24 left. UH went 59/4pl and got a 31 yd FG with :07 left for the win...at the half Baylor had a yd edge and Robert Griffi n did not play the entire 4Q as the Bears opted to rest him leading Tulsa had a 3118 FD edge vs BG and in the 1H had a yd edge. BG, after a fmbl, went 44 yds for a TD to take an early 70 lead but TU led 207 and had the ball late 1H when they were int d and ret d to the 1 setting up a BG TD. TU still got a TD with :32 left in the half to lead TU settled for 34 & 46 yd FG s in the 3Q to extend it to 3314 and was SOD at the BG28 in the 4Q and fi nished the game at the BG14 taking a knee. Continued on page 2

2 Continued from Front Page... LSU has now won 11 of their last 12 vs Vanderbilt and held VU to 31 pts combined the past 6 games. LSU and VU was closer than the fi nal indicates even though LSU had 218 FD and yd edges. The fi rst 5 poss of the game were 3 & outs and LSU led 100 at the half with a 127(7) yd edge. VU had a 1st & gl to the LSU8 but settled for a 23 yd FG. LSU was int d in the EZ from the VU13 and settled for a 23 yd FG and after that VU fmbl d the KO at their own 26 and 4pl later LSU added a TD. VU got to the LSU31 but punted and 4pl later Ridley broke off a 65 yd TD run to extend the margin with 4:34 left...it was a wild game between Troy and Oklahoma St. In the 1H there were 3 long drives of 11, 12 and 10 plays that all resulted in short FG s incl a 22 yd r by OSU which put them up 63. The 2Q featured 41 pts and 100 yd KO return by Jernigan put Troy up 2720 at the half. OSU drove for a TD to open the 3Q then got a 66 yd PR TD to lead. In the 4Q Troy fmbl d at the OSU 22 and fmbl d at the OSU36. They got a TD and 2 pt conv with 4:00 left to pull within OSU was about to take a knee on 1st & 20 from the Troy34 but QB Weeden fmbl d and Troy had 1 shot left but QB Robinson was sk d and fumbled on the next play and OSU held on for the 3 pt win...toledo only had 1311 FD edge and yd edge while UT did have one solid offensive drive where they went 84/14pl for a TD, their other 2 TD s both came after int. They got a 28 yd IR to the 2 setting up a 2pl TD drive and a 20 yd IR to the 5 setting up a 3pl drive for another TD. UT did miss a 40 and a 41 yd FG in the 2H. FRONTDOOR AND BACKDOOR COVERS: Neb took adv of six TO s. Nathan Enderle, a Neb native had 5 int s and when the Huskers got 40 and 47 IR TD s just before the half, they took a 310 lead. Idaho gained 60 of their yds on 12pl drive getting a 34 yd FG on the 1H fi nal play. The Huskers had numerous opportunities to turn it into a blowout leading 3810 (ahead ATS) they got an IR to the ID21. With bkup QB Green in, they were SOD on 4&1 at the 13. ID fmbl d it at its own 4 yd line but NU fmbl d it back at the 2 w/6:19 left and ID gained 98 of their yds on a 10pl drive for the spread covering TD w/2:31 left. NU ended the game at the ID23. POINTS LEFT OFF THE BOARD: UAB could have led early in the 3Q but blew 2 opportunities at the 1 yd line. Trailing 147 they had a 1st & gl at the 1 with :41 left 1H. On 2nd & gl at the 1 they ran the ball with no timeouts then hurried the FG unit on and the snap went through the holder s hands and they did not score. UAB opened the 3Q with a 74/5pl drive and got basically a 50 yd TD pass from Isabelle to Forrest but he fmbl d the ball before he crossed the goal line for a TB. UAB was int at the SMU21 with 12:52 left and then down 2 scores, opted to go for it on 4th & 4 at their own 38 and was SOD less than a yd short setting up a short SMU TD. UAB was also SOD at the 5 yd line on 4th & 2. MORE FCS UPSETS: Opening week saw a couple of upsets by the FCS and last week even more as you would expect with a large amount of games vs IAA foes. Akron only led 2117 at the half and Gardner Webb had a yd edge but the Zips did lead 3117 late in the 3Q. GW tied it with 5:05 left and the kicking game cost the Zips. They missed a game winning 34 yd FG on the fi nal play of regulation then while each team scored a TD in OT, UA missed the xp on theirs and was upset by 1. GW fi nished with 2422 FD and yd edges. INJURIES OF NOTE: Wisconsin WR/RM David Gilreath was taken off the fi eld on a stretcher after a suffering a concussion vs SJSt and his status for next week will be questionable. Also, SJSt starting C Robbie Reed hurt his right leg and was on crutches with an immobilizing knee brace in the 2H...Georgia was not only without star WR AJ Green (susp) but also their top RB Caleb King missed the game with an injured ankle. UGA still had a chance vs SC despite being outfd d In the 3Q they rec a fmbl and got a 55 yd pass and had a 2nd & gl at the 8. Only down by 8 pts, RB Ealey fmbl d and SC rec at the 1 and ret d it 13 yds. UGA did not threaten after that and SC got a 24 yd FG with 1:12 left that iced it. Probably the key component of the game was SC true frosh Marcus Lattimore (PS#1) who was dominant from start to fi nish and fi nished with 182 yds rushing with his 3rd and 4th TD s of the season. THE MOST UNIQUE POWER RATINGS IN THE COUNTRY These Power Play Forecasts are the most unique in the country because they are based on Northcoast Sports Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer rating, as we take into account all of the following: Strength of Opponents Individual Units (Rushing Offense and Defense, Passing Offense, & Defense, Scoring Offense and Defense, Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edge, and Successful Unbalanced Attacks). Here is how each is re ected: Strength of Opponent: Our ratings do not just take the opposing team s overall power rating into account. For example, in 1992, Washington s defense vs the rush was rated at a 110 (From 1100). They faced Colorado and allowed 183 yds rushing and dropped 12 spots in the national rushing defense ratings. However, Power Plays took into account the potent Buffalo run attack and had forecasted the Huskies yielding 225 yds. Due to the fact they did better than the forecast, Power Plays raised their rating to 112 even though they slipped in the national (straight yardage) rankings. Another example was Michigan vs Purdue in Michigan held Purdue to just 45 yards rushing and improved their ratings in rushing defense in the national statistics. However, our ratings had them rated at a 102 and moved them down to 99, as they should have yielded just 32 yards to an impotent Purdue rush attack. Next time an announcer on TV tells you that a certain team is #3 in the country vs the run you better check Northcoast Sports Power Ratings and see how good a rush defense they really have! The top twenty ratings in Power Ratings for each offensive and defensive category will be listed in each week s issue of Power Plays. Garbage yards: These are yards that a team gains or allows in the nal minutes of a game when it has been decided. For example, Team A is ahead 630 and allows 93 yards passing for a TD vs its fourth string defense. These yards are counted into national ratings, but not in Northcoast Sports Power Ratings! Weather: If a game is played in miserable weather conditions and is low scoring, the straight statistics credit the defense with outstanding performances. Our Power Ratings re ect the conditions and do not give excess credit to the defenses. Injuries: When South Carolina played NC State in 1989, South Carolina QB Todd Ellis was injured on the third play of the game. His backup, who had seen very little action all year, was not prepared and hit on just 4 of 13 passes for 65 yards. The offensive coordinator did not risk any passes. In the national statistics NC State s pass defense MOVED UP 14 NOTCHES. In Phil s Power Ratings they stayed the same, as the low yardage WAS NOT re ective of an outstanding performance by the defense. Home Field Edges: The weekly projection of yards and points is weighted with the home eld factored in. Successful Unbalanced Attacks: In 1989, Ohio St was held to 127 yards passing vs Northwestern. This dropped OSU in the national passing offense ratings & RAISED the Wildcats in the pass defense ratings. In our ratings the two units remained rated the same. Why? OSU rushed for 456 yards & DID NOT HAVE TO PASS & when they did they hit 9 of 11 passes, which is VERY effective. While Northwestern s pass defense looked good in the national ratings, only Northcoast Sports Power Ratings re ected the TRUTH! There you have it. More than just numbers, THESE RATINGS REFLECT the true strength of each unit and allow them to have the most accurate forecast of yards gained and points allowed in the country! No other rating system takes into account all the previous factors. Next time you hear that a team is rated third in the country in pass defense, just remember, yards are not everything and Northcoast Sports Power Plays will show you how strong the team really is. NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s nal computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the nal score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. The Power Ratings listed below can be used for you as a base power ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents, etc. Once again, they are not based on Power Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years, which has been our actual computer Power Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Power Ratings. ACC Virginia Tech Miami, Fl North Carolina 131 Florida St Boston College Georgia Tech Clemson NC State Maryland Wake Forest Virginia 121 Duke 116 CONFERENCE USA Houston 127 SMU 116 UCF 116 S Mississippi 114 Tulsa 114 East Carolina 114 Marshall 110 UAB 109 Rice 107 UTEP 104 Memphis 99 Tulane 94 BIG EAST Connecticut West Virginia Pittsburgh Rutgers South Florida Syracuse 120 Cincinnati Louisville INDEPENDENT Notre Dame Navy 121 Army 106 SUN BELT Middle Tennessee 115 Troy St 115 Florida Atlantic 108 North Texas 104 Florida International 103 LouisianaLft 101 Arkansas St 101 UL Monroe 100 Western Kentucky 99 MAC Temple 118 Cent Michigan 114 N Illinois 112 Kent St 110 Bowling Green 108 Miami, Oh 108 Ohio 107 Toledo 106 Buffalo 106 Ball St 106 West Michigan 105 East Michigan 98 Akron 96 WAC Boise St 143 Nevada Fresno St 125 Utah St Louisiana Tech 115 Hawaii Idaho San Jose St New Mexico St PAC10 Oregon 143 Stanford 138 Arizona 132 California 131 Oregon St 131 Washington 129 USC Arizona St 121 UCLA 115 Washington St 101 BIG TEN Ohio St Iowa Penn St Wisconsin Michigan Michigan St Northwestern Illinois Purdue 118 Minnesota Indiana SEC Alabama 145 Arkansas 136 Florida 135 South Carolina 135 Georgia 134 LSU 133 Auburn 130 Miss St 130 Kentucky Tennessee 118 Mississippi Vanderbilt 113 BIG 12 Oklahoma Nebraska Texas Texas Tech Texas A&M Colorado Missouri Baylor Kansas St 118 Oklahoma St Kansas 116 Iowa St 116 MOUNTAIN WEST TCU 138 Air Force 129 Utah 127 BYU San Diego St 114 Wyoming 111 UNLV 108 Colorado St 101 New Mexico 100

3 WEEKLY MATCHUP STAT COMPARISON TEAM PPG Off Rush Off Rush Off Pass Off PPG Def Rush Def Rush Def Pass Def Off Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp % Def Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp% A Cincinnati H NC State A Kansas H Southern Miss A California H Nevada A Arkansas H Georgia A Maryland H West Virginia A Iowa St H Kansas St A Ball St H Purdue A Northern Illinois H Illinois A Connecticut H Temple A Ohio H Ohio St A Kent St H Penn St A Georgia Tech H North Carolina A Vanderbilt H Mississippi A East Carolina H Virginia Tech A San Diego St H Missouri A Tulsa H Oklahoma St A Alabama H Duke A Hawaii H Colorado A BYU H Florida St A Colorado St H Miami, Oh A Florida H Tennessee A USC H Minnesota A Washington St H SMU A Arizona St H Wisconsin A Nebraska H Washington A Louisville H Oregon St A Air Force H Oklahoma A Central Michigan H Eastern Michigan A Baylor H TCU A Marshall H Bowling Green A Navy H Louisiana Tech A UCF H Buffalo A Akron H Kentucky A Toledo H Western Michigan A Clemson H Auburn A Texas H Texas Tech A Northwestern H Rice A Mississippi St H LSU A Utah H New Mexico A Fresno St H Utah St A Notre Dame H Michigan St A Boise St H Wyoming A New Mexico St H UTEP A UNLV H Idaho A Iowa H Arizona A Houston H UCLA A Wake Forest H Stanford A Indiana H WKU A North Texas H Army A ULM H Arkansas St A FIU H Texas A&M A Middle Tenn H Memphis A Troy H UAB Listed below are Northcoast Sports Power Play Rankings. These Power Play Rankings are unique. Our rankings are unlike any computer ranking, as we take into account all the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units (Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, and Passing Defense) Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges, and successful Unbalanced Attacks. Regular rankings based solely on numbers DO NOT take into account these factors. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 1 Houston 1 Oregon 1 Ohio St 1 Florida 1 S Carolina 2 Hawaii 2 Houston 2 Miami, Fl 2 Arizona 2 Oklahoma 3 Texas Tech 3 TCU 3 Boise St 3 Texas 3 Nebraska 4 Arkansas 4 California 4 LSU 4 Nebraska 4 Alabama 5 Oklahoma 5 Ohio St 5 S Carolina 5 Oregon 5 Ohio St 6 Tulsa 6 Texas A&M 6 Penn St 6 Oklahoma 6 Florida 7 Texas A&M 7 Oklahoma 7 Pittsburgh 7 UCLA 7 Iowa 8 Duke 8 Stanford 8 Texas 8 Boise St 8 Mississippi St 9 Boise St 9 Florida St 9 Oklahoma 9 Iowa 9 Texas 10 Washington 10 Boise St 10 Georgia 10 TCU 10 LSU 11 Notre Dame 11 Connecticut 11 Boston College 11 Ohio St 11 Oregon 12 San Diego St 12 Nevada 12 Mississippi St 12 Georgia 12 Georgia 13 Miami, Fl 13 Georgia 13 Alabama 13 Clemson 13 Miami, Fl 14 Florida St 14 Texas Tech 14 TCU 14 UCF 14 Penn St 15 North Texas 15 Auburn 15 Iowa 15 Alabama 15 Arizona 16 Missouri 16 Florida 16 Syracuse 16 Miami, Fl 16 TCU 17 Troy 17 Alabama 17 California 17 Air Force 17 Boston College 18 Indiana 18 Arkansas 18 Connecticut 18 Navy 18 Notre Dame 19 NC State 19 Miami, Fl 19 Auburn 19 Stanford 19 West Virginia 20 UTEP 20 Washington 20 Missouri 20 Mississippi St 20 Clemson 1 Georgia Tech 2 Oregon 3 Nevada 4 Navy 5 Air Force 6 Ohio St 7 Michigan 8 Alabama 9 Wisconsin 10 TCU 11 Virginia Tech 12 Army 13 Auburn 14 Kansas St 15 Nebraska 16 USF 17 Penn St 18 UAB 19 Florida St 20 Stanford RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 101 LA Tech 101 Rutgers 101 FIU 101 Baylor 101 Toledo 101 FIU 102 E Carolina 102 Wake Forest 102 Memphis 102 FIU 102 Mid Tenn 102 North Texas 103 FIU 103 Tulane 103 Louisiana 103 W Michigan 103 Duke 103 Troy 104 San Diego St 104 Temple 104 C Michigan 104 Mid Tenn 104 Wake Forest 104 Arkansas St 105 Kent St 105 Mid Tenn 105 ULM 105 San Jose St 105 WKU 105 Toledo 106 Idaho 106 Kansas St 106 Wyoming 106 Wyoming 106 Tulane 106 Indiana 107 Texas Tech 107 E Michigan 107 UAB 107 Houston 107 Indiana 107 E Carolina 108 Arizona St 108 Ohio 108 E Michigan 108 Idaho 108 Memphis 108 Mid Tenn 109 FAU 109 Vanderbilt 109 Army 109 Iowa St 109 New Mexico 109 Duke 110 NC State 110 WKU 110 N Illinois 110 Tulane 110 Akron 110 Louisiana 111 SMU 111 Ball St 111 Vanderbilt 111 Indiana 111 Nevada 111 Tulsa 112 W Michigan 112 Maryland 112 Akron 112 Washington St 112 UL Monroe 112 Tulane 113 Arkansas St 113 Akron 113 Bowling Green 113 Arkansas St 113 Marshall 113 N Mexico St 114 Ohio 114 N Mexico St 114 New Mexico 114 Vanderbilt 114 Louisiana 114 Akron 115 Wyoming 115 N Illinois 115 Ohio 115 Bowling Green 115 Troy 115 UTEP 116 Tulane 116 UAB 116 N Mexico St 116 WKU 116 Tulsa 116 Memphis New Mexico Georgia Tech Buffalo FAU Temple Wash St 118 Miami, Oh 118 Air Force 118 San Jose St 118 N Mexico St 118 Minnesota 118 E Michigan 119 Bowling Green 119 Army 119 Tulane 119 UTEP 119 Wash St 119 New Mexico 120 Hawaii 120 Navy 120 Colorado St 120 E Michigan 120 E Carolina 120 Western 2010 TOUGHEST OPPONENT UNITS FACED WHAT ARE THE TOUGHEST OPPONENT RANKINGS? These rankings go far beyond the NCAA s straight statistical ranking of each team. For example last year Bowling Green ranked #3 in the NCAA avg 40.8 ppg, but ranked #39 in our scoring off rankings. However they faced the #114th schedule of scoring defenses. As you can see, the NCAA s statistical rankings can be misleading. In the upcoming weeks we ll provide examples of this year s statistical disparities. These are the current rankings for this year. Here are the teams that have taken on the toughest & easiest schedules. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 1 San Jose St 1 ULM 1 ULM 1 Oregon St 1 Oregon St 1 Marshall 2 Boise St 2 Fresno St 2 Oregon St 2 Marshall 2 WKU 2 Oregon St 3 Oregon St 3 Bowling Green 3 Boise St 3 San Jose St 3 San Jose St 3 N Carolina 4 Marshall 4 N Mexico St 4 San Jose St 4 S Carolina 4 Marshall 4 WKU 5 Kansas 5 New Mexico 5 New Mexico 5 Virginia 5 Rice 5 Boise St 6 BYU 6 Rice 6 Fresno St 6 Ohio St 6 Miami, Oh 6 San Jose St 7 Hawaii 7 Oregon St 7 UNLV 7 FIU 7 New Mexico 7 Michigan 8 UNLV 8 Oklahoma 8 S Carolina 8 Vanderbilt 8 Iowa St 8 Iowa St 9 UCLA 9 UTEP 9 Oklahoma 9 UNLV 9 E Michigan 9 Ohio St 10 Colorado St 10 USC 10 Bowling Green 10 N Carolina 10 Wyoming 10 ULM 11 Ohio 11 Notre Dame 11 Marshall 11 Hawaii 11 Boise St 11 New Mexico 12 Tennessee 12 SMU 12 N Carolina 12 Iowa St 12 N Carolina 12 Florida St 13 FAU 13 UAB 13 UCLA 13 Michigan 13 Hawaii 13 Vanderbilt 14 New Mexico 14 Army 14 Colorado St 14 Colorado 14 Virginia Tech 14 S Carolina 15 Virginia Tech 15 Florida 15 Illinois 15 FAU 15 North Texas 15 Hawaii 16 WKU 16 San Jose St 16 BYU 16 Washington 16 Utah St 16 FIU 17 Mississippi St 17 Washington 17 Notre Dame 17 Boise St 17 Toledo 17 Washington 18 Oklahoma 18 Texas A&M 18 Louisiana 18 Auburn 18 USF 18 Virginia Tech 19 Miami, Fl 19 S Carolina 19 WKU 19 Rice 19 Washington 19 Toledo 20 Temple 20 UNLV 20 Rice 20 UCLA 20 Arkansas St 20 UNLV RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 106 Akron 107 NC State 108 N Mexico St 109 Kent St 110 Tulsa 111 Baylor 112 Boston College 113 UAB 114 Rutgers 115 Wake Forest 116 Arkansas Texas Tech 118 Texas A&M 119 Arizona St 120 UTEP 106 Kent St 107 W Michigan 108 Missouri 109 C Michigan 110 Ball St 111 NC State 112 Navy 113 Mid Tenn 114 Cincinnati 115 Temple 116 Ohio Kansas 118 Indiana 119 San Diego St 120 Maryland Houston 107 Nevada 108 N Illinois 109 Ball St 110 NC State 111 Rutgers 112 Arkansas 113 Akron 114 Mississippi 115 Air Force 116 Indiana Baylor 118 West Virginia 119 Maryland 120 San Diego St 106 Wisconsin 107 Arkansas 108 Cincinnati 109 Maryland 110 Indiana 111 Arizona 112 Mississippi 113 Rutgers 114 Army 115 Ball St 116 San Diego St Wake Forest 118 UTEP 119 Houston 120 Clemson 106 Houston 107 Nevada 108 San Diego St 109 Maryland 110 Arizona 111 Mid Tenn 112 Northwestern 113 Temple 114 UTEP 115 Arizona St 116 Ball St Minnesota 118 Wake Forest 119 N Illinois 120 UCF 106 W Michigan 107 Arizona St 108 Minnesota 109 Ball St 110 Rutgers 111 Arkansas 112 Mid Tenn 113 Ohio 114 Houston 115 Arizona 116 Wake Forest UTEP 118 San Diego St 119 Clemson 120 Indiana

4 NOTE: Power Plays PP COLLEGE FOOTBALL September 1619, 2010 Welcome to this week s issue of Power Plays. The Power Plays Newsletter consists of forecasts that are made by a special Power Plays rating system. This is a system developed many years ago and we regard it very highly. In our final analysis of the plays the Power Plays forecast takes up anywhere from 25 to 30% of our total analysis. You will see in the Power Plays Newsletter in the writeups that we agree with the majority of the Power Plays forecasts. However, there are times when we will disagree with the Power Plays forecast. We want to make it clear that this is the Power Plays Newsletter and these forecasts are based purely on the power ratings. You should never use just one method, system or angle to determine your handicapping. The times that we disagree with the Power Plays Newsletter we will clearly note it. If the Power Plays rating is strong enough to be a 4! Play, yet we are on the other side of the game, we will clearly state that we like the other side of the game. With all that said here are this week s Power Plays Selections. THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 16th CINCINNATI NC STATE Call Thurs for your Marquee Winner after 3:00 pm ET at for $15 or $9 on the debit card. NO PLAY: NC STATE 32 CINCINNATI 27 FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 17th KANSAS SOUTHERN MISS SM is playing with legitimate revenge after outplaying KU LY but losing 3528 (+13). NO PLAY: SOUTHERN MISS 26 KANSAS 22 CALIFORNIA NEVADA We will choose the best Friday night play as our Friday Night Marquee play released after 3:00 pm ET on Friday. Call for $15 or on the Northcoast debit card for only $9. NO PLAY: CALIFORNIA 39 NEVADA 33 SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 20th ARKANSAS GEORGIA PP likes GA in this one showing them with a 10 pt win (line 3) and a yd edge. GA WR Green is susp but that is under appeal and if he is reinstated (BIG IF), then we like Georgia also. NO PLAY: GEORGIA 33 ARKANSAS 23 MARYLAND WEST VIRGINIA WV has won the L4 in this series by an avg of WV just sweated out a comefrombehind OT win over Marshall. PP calls for another close one with WV winning by 7 (line 13) and we like the Terps. 3! MARYLAND (+) 20 WEST VIRGINIA 27 IOWA ST KANSAS ST Arrowhead Stadium. LY we won a 4! LPS on KSt and TY PP predicts an 8 pt win (line 5 ) with a massive yd rush edge. We ll go back to KSt again. 3! KANSAS ST 32 IOWA ST 24 BALL ST PURDUE PU is 70 SU and 32 ATS outscoring instate BSU by 23 ppg. PP calls for a closer result TY showing PU with only a 12 pt win (line 16 ) and we ll take the points. 3! BALL ST (+) 19 PURDUE 31 NORTHERN ILLINOIS ILLINOIS NI is 03 SU but 30 ATS vs IL. PP calls for IL to win by 23 (line 7 ) with a substantial yd edge. 4! ILLINOIS 35 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 12 CONNECTICUT TEMPLE Temple used to be a member of the BE and was booted out being replaced by Conn. TU is 50 ATS in this series, but PP calls for UC to win by 12 (line 4). We disagree with PP and lean with the HD Temple. NO PLAY: CONNECTICUT 35 TEMPLE 23 OHIO OHIO ST OSU is 60 SU but 02 ATS vs Ohio but PP calls for a 38 pt win with a dominating yd edge. The Bucks are on a 20 ATS run and we will ride that streak. 4! OHIO ST 40 OHIO 2 KENT ST PENN ST PP says that Penn St will win by 21 which is right at the line and gives PSU a yd edge. We like Penn St in this one as the Lions played better than LW s fi nal indicates vs Alabama. NO PLAY: PENN ST 30 KENT ST 9 GEORGIA TECH NORTH CAROLINA There is no line on this at presstime waiting to see if NC players will be reinstated. If NC is close to 100% then we like the Tarheels. NO PLAY: NORTH CAROLINA 31 GEORGIA TECH 27 VANDERBILT MISSISSIPPI The visitor is 1042 ATS and Vandy is 821 ATS in this series. PP calls it right at the line. NO PLAY: MISSISSIPPI 27 VANDERBILT 13 4 EAST CAROLINA VIRGINIA TECH VT is off an embarrassing loss to FCS James Madison but PP shows them bouncing back with a 20 pt win over EC with a yd edge. We will pass on this for now. NO PLAY: VIRGINIA TECH 42 EAST CAROLINA 22 SAN DIEGO ST MISSOURI MU is 38 ATS as a DD HF and PP leans with the dog here calling for a 14 pt win by MU (line 16). 2! SAN DIEGO ST (+) 20 MISSOURI 34 TULSA OKLAHOMA ST PP calls this right at the line showing OSU with an 8 pt win, but we like Tulsa here. NO PLAY: OKLAHOMA ST 41 TULSA 33 ALABAMA DUKE Alabama is in a massive sandwich off a nice win over Penn St with Ark and Florida on deck. PP says Duke can stay within the spread (22) and we agree. 1! DUKE (+) 23 ALABAMA 42 HAWAII COLORADO CU is 08 ATS in home openers but UH is on a 13 day road trip staying on the mainland. PP calls for CU to win by 10 which is right at the line and we will pass. NO PLAY: COLORADO 32 HAWAII 24 BYU FLORIDA ST # Both are off disappointing losses but PP chooses FSU to bounce back big with a 17 pt win (line 9) over BYU and a yd edge. 4.5! FLORIDA ST 39 BYU 22 COLORADO ST MIAMI, OH PP says that Miami will win by 12 (line 8) with a yd edge. We disagree with PP and like CSU as they are better than EMich and Miami barely got past the Eagles this past week. NO PLAY: MIAMI, OH 27 COLORADO ST 15 FLORIDA TENNESSEE Florida has dominated this rivalry lately going 134 SU and 1151 ATS. PP is near the line TY showing UF with a 15pt win (line 16 ) and a yd edge. We will pass. NO PLAY: FLORIDA 33 TENNESSEE 18 USC MINNESOTA PP calls for USC to win by 14 which is right at the line. USC was VERY disappointing for us LW. NO PLAY: USC 35 MINNESOTA 21 WASHINGTON ST SMU PP calls for SMU to win by 19 (line 21) with a yd edge and SMU is playing with legitimate revenge after LY s loss despite a yd edge. NO PLAY: SMU 37 WASHINGTON ST 18 ARIZONA ST WISCONSIN UW is 51 SU but 24 ATS vs P10 tms and PP says ASU covers easily ! ARIZONA ST (+) 24 WISCONSIN 32 NEBRASKA WASHINGTON UW HC Sarkisian is 41 ATS as a HD and upset 3 ranked tms LY in that role. PP calls for NU to win by 5 (line 4) and the yardage forecast favors the Huskies NO PLAY: NEBRASKA 29 WASHINGTON 24 LOUISVILLE OREGON ST Long road trip for Louisville and road opener for new coach Strong. PP shows OSU with a 23 pt win (line 16 ) and a massive yd edge. 4! OREGON ST 37 LOUISVILLE 14 STREAKERS STREAKERS WILL BEGIN AFTER 3 WEEKS OF PLAY

5 Yards Turn Special AIR FORCE OKLAHOMA PP predicts OU will continue to dominate with a 28 pt win (line 18) and a yd edge. 4.5! OKLAHOMA 41 AIR FORCE 13 C MICHIGAN E MICHIGAN We ll disagree with this forecast as PP give Central the edge but we like Eastern. PP can not factor in the emotions and EM always guns for them. CM had 12 MAC losses the L4Y w/ 4 to EM. NO PLAY: CENTRAL MICHIGAN 29 EASTERN MICHIGAN 16 BAYLOR TCU PP knows that this TCU team is for real and projects a yd edge. Lets not forget that TCU has won 16 straight home games by 35 ppg and is 101 ATS as a HF if laying under 35 pts. 3! TCU 41 BAYLOR 16 MARSHALL BOWLING GREEN Marshall must rebound off an emotional OT loss to WV but we think they will. This one looks easy as MU has a yard edge, has the turnover edge, ST s edge and is laying under a FG. 3! MARSHALL 25 BOWLING GREEN 20 NAVY LOUISIANA TECH PP is calling for LT to fi nish with a yard edge in their home opener. The Bulldogs have gone 81 ATS at home the L2Y and also have the advantage of having played Navy last season. 4! LA TECH (+) 22 NAVY 22 UCF BUFFALO UCF travels to Buffalo and PP is calling for them to get the win fi nishing with a yd edge. Check out the ST edge for the Knights. UCF is however laying over a TD so we ll pass. NO PLAY: UCF 21 BUFFALO 15 AKRON KENTUCKY Kentucky is off to an impressive start outgaining Louisville & WKU LW. PP likes the matchup against an Akron team that is off a loss to GarnerWebb and projects a yd edge. 3! KENTUCKY 42 AKRON 16 TOLEDO W MICHIGAN West Mich has beaten Toledo 4 straight times by an avg of 25 ppg. The surprising thing is that they were a dog 3 of those times incl by 9 & 10 pts. PP has WM with a yard edge. 2! WESTERN MICHIGAN 31 TOLEDO 25 CLEMSON AUBURN While the situation favors a Clemson squad off Presbyterian with a bye on deck PP is too strong on Auburn to look the other way. AU is forecasted with a dominating yard edge. 1! AUBURN 32 CLEMSON 24 TEXAS TEXAS TECH Not hard to see why we ll side with TT. The Raiders are forecasted with a yd edge and while PP is calling the game even TT is +4. Lubbock at night is a great homefi eld advantage. 3! TEXAS TECH (+) 28 TEXAS 28 NORTHWESTERN RICE Rice is now 20 ATS after LW s road win at NT. Wildcat fans are excited as they re off to a 20 start and PP is calling for them to move to 30. The yardage is basically even so we ll pass. NO PLAY: NORTHWESTERN 30 RICE 23 MISSISSIPPI ST LSU We like this Mississippi St team and PP agrees they ll keep it under the number. LSU is 2141 as an SEC HF under Miles. LY Miss St outgained LSU and they could pull the upset. 3! MISSISSIPPI ST 17 (+) LSU 23 UTAH NEW MEXICO NM has dropped their 1st 2 games by a margin and while this may be their closest margin thus far this year its not enough. We like Utah with their yardage, TO and ST edges. 3! UTAH 41 NEW MEXICO 15 FRESNO ST UTAH ST Fresno comes in off an early season bye having already knocked off Cincinnati. USU beat Idaho St LW with a yd edge. PP is calling for USU to have the yard edge but for Fresno to win. NO PLAY: FRESNO ST 31 UTAH ST 25 5 NOTRE DAME MICHIGAN ST ND s stats for LW are skewed with QB Crist missing most of the 1H. PP s is calling for an even game with only a 21 yd difference. We ll take the Irish plus the points off their last second loss and the visitor is 711 ATS in this series. 3! NOTRE DAME 23 (+) MICHIGAN ST 24 BOISE ST WYOMING Tough spot for UW playing Texas & Boise B2B. The Broncos had a bye after their huge MN win over VT. PP thinks they ll control here fi nishing with a yd edge. It s at the line so we ll pass. NO PLAY: BOISE ST 38 WYOMING 13 NEW MEXICO ST UTEP Both teams failed to cover as DD dogs LW and each defense gave up big yardage. Despite PP calling for the score to fall under the number we ll lean with the UTEP off and a edge. NO PLAY: UTEP 34 NEW MEXICO ST 24 UNLV IDAHO Idaho is projected to win but check out the yardage. The Rebels put up 319 yds LW at Utah and when PP matches them up vs Idaho it shows UI with just a yd edge. NO PLAY: IDAHO 33 UNLV 24 IOWA ARIZONA Arizona is now 901 ATS vs ranked opponents and PP is calling for them to knock off another. The forecast is for the Wildcats to fi nish with a yd edge plus they re currently a small dog. 3! ARIZONA 20 IOWA 18 HOUSTON UCLA The Bruins offense struggled LW vs Stanford but should fare much better against Houston. UH QB Keenum s status is in question due to a concussion and there is no line at press time. We ll pass without knowing if he ll play this week. NO PLAY: HOUSTON 37 UCLA 31 WAKE FOREST STANFORD While WF s off gained 500 yards LW, the defense also allowed 487 yds. Stanford is off a shutout win at UCLA and despite having sizeable edges we still can t lay the high number with the Cardinal. NO PLAY: STANFORD 42 WAKE FOREST 22 INDIANA WKU WKU has to be excited hosting a BCS team but that won t be enough. PP is calling for Indy to win by 13, have the yardage edge and the turnover edge. We agree and like the Hoosiers. 1! INDIANA 44 WKU 31 NORTH TEXAS ARMY When you match 2 totally different styles of teams PP s worth is obvious. NT is forecasted to fi nish with a yd edge and get a 3 pt road win. It s easy because the Mean Green are a dog. 4! NORTH TEXAS 29 ARMY 26 ULM ARKANSAS ST ASU gained 456 yards LW as ULL but 3 TO s did them in. PP is now calling for them to have a edge. PP certainly favors ASU on the yards and we agree. 2! ARKANSAS ST 29 ULM 24 FIU TEXAS A&M The potent A&M offense outgained LT LW and PP is calling for a repeat as they re projected to have a edge here. FIU did outgain Rutgers by a margin LW. 1! TEXAS A&M 47 FUI 16 MIDDLE TENNESSEE MEMPHIS The status of MT QB Dasher is still in question so we ll pass on this one. Memphis did gain 413 yds LW at East Carolina and PP calls for them to have a yard edge here. NO PLAY: MIDDLE TENNESSEE 32 MEMPHIS 29 TROY UAB PP is torn on this forecast. It calls Troy to win but for UAB to have a yd edge plus they re at home. With the Trojans opening as a road favorite we ll pass. NO PLAY: TROY 35 UAB 27

6 PRO FOOTBALL SEPTEMBER 19th20th, 2010 Just a quick note for our Power Plays Subscribers. Obviously this newsletter is based upon statistical numbers & rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. The numbers here are based upon how they fi nished last season with adjustments made due to personnel changes. Preseason statistics are not included in any of the projections as we do not feel they would accurately adjust the numbers. SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 19th KANSAS CITY #11 CLEVELAND #1 KC is in a letdown spot after hosting their 1st MNF game since Nov Both teams are equipped with coaches that worked for Bill Belichick & will be familiar with each others gameplans. CLE had a yd edge vs TB but a Delhomme Int at the end of the 1H that set up a 3 yd TD was the difference. Without a feel of how KC s youth movement fared on MNF though we ll have to call this a No Play. NO PLAY: BROWNS 27 CHIEFS 22 BUFFALO #10 GREEN BAY #29 In the NFL the higher powered offenses need a Qtr or so to get up to speed at the start of the season & after a bye week. LW GB only had 24 yds in the 1Q but 278 yds on their next 6 drives before wearing down without RB Grant (ankle sprain). They do have a MNF event vs CHI on deck vs CHI. BUF was listless LW (166 yds) & CJ Spiller had 25 all purpose yards on the day. Their OL is still coming together & the Bills are now 4131 ATS vs a 34 defense. PP calls for a close game here but we disagree despite the large line & this is a No Play. NO PLAY: PACKERS 23 BILLS 15 BALTIMORE #16 CINCINNATI #24 BAL is off the MNF game vs their former DC Rex Ryan & are 38 SU & ATS vs CIN with Palmer as the starter. Marvin Lewis used to be a BAL DC & the Ravens still use the same concepts when he was there. While CIN outgained NE LW, 267 of those yards came in the 2H after they were down 313. PP likes BAL to keep this close on a short week but without MNF s input this is going to be a No Play. NO PLAY: BENGALS 24 RAVENS 23 PITTSBURGH #25 TENNESSEE #30 PP adjusts for OT results & doesn t overreact to blowout wins vs inferior foes but this remains a bit of a surprise forecast here. PIT will be without 5 starters (4 off, 1 def) from 2009 s season ending roster that they were counting on in the offseason here. TEN throttled OAK LW & RB Johnson (12 straight 100 yd games) will have a stiff challenge vs PIT s defense. PP has this around the line but we feel the loss of the intangibles that put PIT in a good situation are gone & this is a No Play. NO PLAY: TITANS 21 STEELERS 17 PHILADELPHIA #5 DETROIT #31 Both teams are likely to be starting their backups here as Kolb (concussion) is likely to be rested & Stafford (shoulder) is out 46 Wks. PHI also lost Ctr Jackson (biceps) & RB/FB Weaver (ACL). GB wasn t prepared for Vick s ability to extend a play with his legs (103 yds 9.4) as he led them to 17 2H points. Despite being outgained LW vs CHI, DET had a chance to win the game thanks to 4 Bears TO s. This is a No Play due to the QB situations. NO PLAY: LIONS 29 EAGLES 22 CHICAGO #3 DALLAS #4 The Bears were able to hang on to a 5 pt win vs DET despite 4 TO s & giving up 16 plays behind the LOS (23% of snaps). DAL imploded due to mental errors by Romo at the end of the 1H & the blatant hold by RT Barron for their 12th penalty of the nite. Both teams have promising defenses vs questionable OL s. CHI s timing offense will have to deal with DAL s home crowd & look for DAL to try & establish the run here which makes the Total is attractive here as we don t overreact to the Cowboys loss. NO PLAY: COWBOYS 19 BEARS 18 2! COWBOYS/BEARS: UNDER TAMPA BAY #2 CAROLINA #32 CAR was able to hang with the Giants for the 1H LW but the Giants shut down their run game in the 2H (6 yds 1.0) & teed off on Moore giving him a concussion. Clausen has a good shot to make his 1st NFL start here vs a fast TB defense that gets #1 CB Talib (susp) back. TB s special teams edge is for real & but with no line we have to pass here. NO PLAY: BUCS 24 PANTHERS 17 ARIZONA #22 ATLANTA #8 The Cardinals struggled to put away the Rams LW as Anderson was making his 1st start behind an OL with 4 different starters & no RB Wells. They now travel vs a team with a real homefi eld edge (115 ATS) off a loss vs a quality defense. ARZ runs a Steeler based 34 but are coping with their FA losses (STL ran 81 plays LW. Yes its very early in the season but the quality of foes faced LW does make a difference here & we agree with PP. 4! FALCONS 32 CARDINALS 8 MIAMI #18 MINNESOTA #14 MIN has extra rest to recover from LW s loss where they were held to 2 1st Dns & 65 yds in the 2H vs NO. Favre will also have extra reps to smooth out the read & react problems he & his receivers had vs NO. Despite holding BUF to 166 yds MIA couldn t put away BUF only beating them by 5 despite their lack of weapons. Henne didn t look entirely comfortable despite taking all the #1 QB snaps in the offseason LW & will have to deal with the best pass rushing DL in the NFL on the road. PP has this right around the line for the side making it a No Play but the Totals is worth a look. NO PLAY: VIKINGS 28 DOLPHINS 22 3! VIKINGS/DOLPHINS: OVER ST LOUIS #9 OAKLAND #12 STL was unable to fi nd any offensive balance LW as Bradford set an NFL record with 55 pass att s for a QB debut. Both teams gave their games away due to penalties & TO s (10 pen & 4 fbls each). OAK hasn t covered as a HF since Oct 2005 dropping 10 straight & STL is a surprising 72 ATS as a NDIV AD. With Bradford s 1st road game in the Black hole, PP giving OAK a 138 yd edge & OAK not in a spot to overlook anyone after a 25 pt loss its worth a look on the home team. 4! RAIDERS 23 RAMS 12 SEATTLE #26 DENVER #27 SEA is off a huge upset win over SF despite having 26 new players on the roster thanks to Qwest Fields home edge. DEN was in a tough spot LW with 3 rookies starting on the OL playing in a 98 deg heat index in an early game after playing 4 nite preseason games. PP calls for another upset here but SEA won t have their intangibles edge here & this is a No Play. NO PLAY: SEAHAWKS 24 BRONCOS 19 HOUSTON #17 WASHINGTON #21 WAS pulled off the upset win LW due to being the more disciplined & better coached team. This game will have a division rivalry familiarity with Gary Kubiak having been Mike Shanahan s OC & Kyle having been HOU s OC. HOU will be getting lots of accolades about their huge win vs IND which they had plenty of extra time to gameplan for. Consistency hasn t been a Texans strength (59 ATS after SU win) & look for WAS to remain focused due to Shanahan. PP calls for a higher scoring game but for WAS to keep it close & we ll take the points. 3! REDSKINS (+) 27 TEXANS 28 JACKSONVILLE #13 SAN DIEGO #6 SD is off LW s MNF game vs KC & were 15 ATS in the 1st 2 Wks under Turner. JAX was in a great situation LW at home in the heat & humidity vs DEN. JAX was in must win mode as it was a rare sellout & the front offi ce was bringing pressure to avoid future blackouts. JAX had a very clean game 0 TO s, only 5 penalties & Garrard was only touched 6 times by DEN. There is no line & no update for SD due to the MNF game so No Play. NO PLAY: CHARGERS 36 JAGUARS 20 NEW ENGLAND #15 NY JETS #20 Despite this being a home game the Jets are in the lesser situational role here off MNF vs a traditionally tough BAL team. They will now have to cope with a NE team that went up 313 on a CIN team that used a lot of the Jets 43 principles. With a healthy WR corps Brady owned the Jets defense in the rematch LY with 310 yds (68%) & a TD. With no line due to MNF & with the changes to LY s #1 rush offense this is a No Play. NO PLAY: PATRIOTS 24 JETS 22 NY GIANTS #23 INDIANAPOLIS #28 The lack of practice time by the IND OL in preseason was apparent LW as they punted on their 1st 4 drives. Their defense gave up a franchise high 257 yds (6.1) rushing as they lost to HOU for the 2nd time ever. While the Giants beat CAR by 13 pts LW it was vs the youngest team in the NFL with no depth in the passing game. Can Peyton beat Eli again in the 2006 rematch & avoid their 1st 02 start since his 1998 rookie season? NO PLAY: COLTS 30 GIANTS 24 MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 20th NEW ORLEANS #19 SAN FRANCISCO #7 NO wasn t very crisp offensively LW vs MIN despite the energy of opening the NFL season at home with their Super Bowl banner. They now travel to a hostile grass site vs a SF team that is off a surprising 25 pt loss to a division rival with a half a roster of new players. A SF win will go a long ways to proving that they are a true contender in 2010 & not a product of a weak NFC West. A Saints win puts the NFL on notice that there will be no letdown for them. NO PLAY: SAINTS 30 49ERS 23 6 STREAKERS 2010 NFL POWER RATINGS STREAKERS WILL BEGIN AFTER 3 WEEKS OF PLAY TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG 1 New England Houston Jacksonville Minnesota Cincinnati Washington Denver New Orleans Atlanta Carolina NY Giants Chicago Tampa Bay Pittsburgh San Diego Seattle Indianapolis Miami Cleveland Green Bay Baltimore Oakland Buffalo NY Jets San Francisco Kansas City Tennessee Arizona St Louis Dallas Philadelphia Detroit These are current 2010 Power Rating grades for each team based on talent.

7 TEAM YDS ATT COM % TD INT GRADE OPP 1 Florida Oklahoma UCF New Mexico St Alabama Oregon Michigan Ohio St Texas A&M Utah St Arizona St California USC Baylor Fresno St Georgia Houston Bowling Green Kansas St Rice Iowa Air Force Nebraska TCU Syracuse Utah USF Buffalo Tennessee Arizona Missouri Clemson Texas Tech Washington Auburn Michigan St S Mississippi Stanford North Texas BYU UCLA Arkansas Kentucky Nevada Miami, Fl Boston College UAB Georgia Tech SMU Virginia Wyoming Florida International Mississippi St Iowa St Wake Forest New Mexico Florida Atlantic Rutgers Notre Dame LouisianaLft Oregon St UL Monroe Wisconsin Duke Oklahoma St Louisville Navy Troy South Carolina Northwestern Idaho Illinois Texas Army UTEP Middle Tennessee Miami, Oh Tulsa Kansas LSU Pittsburgh Indiana Ohio Tulane Virginia Tech E Michigan Connecticut West Virginia NC State Louisiana Tech Kent St Colorado Vanderbilt Akron Purdue W Michigan Colorado St Mississippi Marshall Washington St East Carolina N Illinois Ball St San Diego St Arkansas St Florida St North Carolina Boise St Cincinnati San Jose St Temple Toledo UNLV Cent Michigan Maryland Penn St Memphis Minnesota Hawaii COLLEGE TEAM STATISTICAL AVERAGES OFF OFF RUSHING PASSING DEF DEF OPPONENTS RUSH SKS SKS PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FUM COM ATT PCT YDS INT TD PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FUM VS BY Air Force Akron Alabama Arizona Arizona St Arkansas Arkansas St Army Auburn Ball St Baylor Boise St Boston College Bowling Green Buffalo BYU California Cent Michigan Cincinnati Clemson Colorado Colorado St Connecticut Duke E Michigan East Carolina Florida Florida Atlantic Florida International Florida St Fresno St Georgia Georgia Tech Hawaii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Iowa St Kansas Kansas St Kent St Kentucky Louisiana Tech LouisianaLft Louisville LSU Marshall Maryland Memphis Miami, Fl Miami, Oh Michigan Michigan St Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi St Missouri N Illinois Navy NC State Nebraska Nevada New Mexico New Mexico St North Carolina North Texas Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio St Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oregon Oregon St Penn St Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers S Mississippi San Diego St San Jose St SMU South Carolina Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas Texas A&M Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UAB UCF UCLA UL Monroe UNLV USC USF Utah Utah St UTEP Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech W Michigan Wake Forest Washington Washington St West Virginia Western Kentucky Wisconsin

8 LATE PHONE SPECIALS Northcoast Sports is the #1 ranked College Late Phone Service over 22 years in net wins as documented by The Sports Monitor of Oklahoma City, OK. Our weekly Late Phone Selections are the same plays we release to our Executive Club Members, The Sports Monitor and SportsWatch.! GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT! GAME OF THE MONTH ALERT! This Sunday, Sept 19 th we ll release our NFL SEPTEMBER GAME OF THE MONTH! We WILL NOT release a stronger play in the entire month in the NFL Late Phones!!! GAMES OF THE MONTH S/' %!!!!! reg ssn NFL GAME OF THE MONTH... $ 50 GAME RELEASED AT 11:00 AM EST ON SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 19TH, 2010 SUNDAY'S LATE PHONES INCLUDING THE GOM!... $ 75 SUNDAY'S LATE PHONES with 2 out of 3 GUARANTEE incl GOM... $ 100 BEST VALUE PACKAGE: THURSDAY MARQUEE FRIDAY MARQUEE SATURDAY LATE PHONES SUNDAY LATE PHONES MONDAY NIGHT TOTAL SUBSCRIBE TO POWER PLAYS $ I enclose $145 for my 2010 subscription to POWER SWEEP. (Every issue thru the Super Bowl!) This includes $50 on a Northcoast Debit Card, the 9/25 Sept 5! Late Phone Selection and FREE Schedules subs pay only $69 (download only) with no bonuses. $# I enclose $145 for my '10 subscription to Power Plays. (Every issue thru the Super Bowl!) This includes $50 on a Northcoast Debit Card, the 9/25 Sept 5! Late Phone Selection and FREE Schedules. ***All prices in Vol. 28 Issue 3 Expire & Cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer*** Payment Method: $#MasterCard $#Visa $#American Express $#Discover $#Check/Money Order Exp. Date NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE PO Box Cleveland, OH OR and go to the NCstore INCLUDES THE NFL GAME OF THE MONTH BIG DOG PLAY Pay $ 15 thru the 900 line or just $ 9 using the NC Debit Card 135 OUTRIGHT UPSETS in 17 Years by 7+ point dogs!! FOURTEEN OUTRIGHT UPSETS BY DD DOGS IN 2006!!! SEVENTEEN in 2007!!!!! SIXTEEN in 2008!!!!! TWENTYONE in 2009!!!!! TWO THIS YEAR! EARLY BIRD PLAY % L/5Y%!! % L/14Y!!! COLLEGE 900 PLAY OF THE DAY % L/13Y THURSDAY NIGHT TV PLAY Since L7Y!! NFL TOTALS PLAY % L/12Y!! Including % L9Y!!! SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY % L/12Y!! BIG 12 PLAY % In 07 and % L/71!!! MAC/SBC PLAY % Last 2 Years!!!!! VISA/MC has 16 or 13 digits DISC has 16 digits / AMEX has 15 digits TOTAL VALUE $ 245 SPECIAL $ SUBS $ 149 SATURDAY'S COLLEGE TOTALS with at least a 3'! rated Totals Play... $ 75 ADD Totals to BEST VALUE PACKAGE (above)... $ 35 FORGET DON'T TOTALS! THE TOP PLAY TRIO... $ 99 Sat's Top College LPS, Sat's Top College Totals Play (at least a 3'! release) and Sunday's NFL GOM! NORTHCOAST SPORTS TOP 40 POWER POLL The following Power Ratings are a combination of 6 different of Phil Steele s Power Ratings, including his Plus & Minus, Power Plays and Computer Power Ratings. 1 Alabama 2 Ohio St 3 Oklahoma 4 Oregon 5 TCU 6 Boise St 7 Florida 8 South Carolina 9 Nebraska 10 Iowa 11 California 12 Stanford 13 Texas 14 Texas A&M 15 Arizona 16 Arkansas 17 Miami, Fl 18 Auburn 19 Georgia 20 LSU 21 Michigan 22 North Carolina 23 Florida St 24 Miss St 25 Washington 26 Wisconsin 27 Nevada 28 Missouri 29 Houston 30 Virginia Tech 31 Penn St 32 Oregon St 33 Notre Dame 34 Utah 35 Texas Tech 36 USC 37 Michigan St 38 Boston College 39 West Virginia 40 Clemson NORTHCOAST SPORTS PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE WINS OR EXT # 1 ON THE NORTHCOAST DEBIT CARD SYSTEM $ 9 PER PLAY using the NC Debit Card Up To 3 New Plays Updated Each Day for College & NFL Monday GET THE The Early Bird Tuesday GET THE A 4! Power Plays Wednesday GET THE #2 Economy Club Play Thursday GET THE The Pac 10 Play Friday GET THE The Big 12 Play Saturday GET THE A College PPH Play Sunday GET THE The Pro PPH Play Comp Plays are HOT! BUTTON # % L/4W!!!! FREE PLAYS ARE GIVEN OUT EVERY DAY!!!! CALL TODAY FOR YOUR FREE WINNERS!