Famous Idaho Potato Bowl 22-Dec. Birmingham Bowl 23-Dec. Armed Forces Bowl 23-Dec. Dollar General Bowl 23-Dec. Heart of Dallas Bowl 26-Dec

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1 PHIL STEELE S Bowl Confidence Picks Click Here Inside the Pressbox NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP Monday January 8th 151 ALABAMA 8:10 p.m. 152 GEORGIA BEST BETS in green High Scoring in red FCS CHAMPIONSHIP Saturday January 6th 367 North Dakota St 12:00 p.m. 368 James Madison GRAMBLING ST N CAROLINA A&T TROY NORTH TEXAS WKU GEORGIA ST BOISE ST OREGON H MARSHALL COLORADO ST MIDDLE TENN ARKANSAS ST H AKRON FAU LOUISIANA TECH SMU TEMPLE H FIU H UAB OHIO Celebration Bowl 16-Dec New Orleans Bowl 16-Dec Cure Bowl 16-Dec Las Vegas Bowl 16-Dec New Mexico Bowl 16-Dec Camellia Bowl 16-Dec Boca Raton Bowl 19-Dec Frisco Bowl 20-Dec Gasparilla Bowl 21-Dec Bahamas Bowl 22-Dec CENT MICHIGAN WYOMING TEXAS TECH USF SAN DIEGO ST ARMY H PALACHIAN ST TOLEDO FRESNO ST HOUSTON UTAH WEST VIRGINIA DUKE NORTHERN ILLINOIS HH KANSAS ST UCLA SOUTHERN MISS FLORIDA ST IOWA BOSTON COLLEGE Famous Idaho Potato Bowl 22-Dec Birmingham Bowl 23-Dec Armed Forces Bowl 23-Dec Dollar General Bowl 23-Dec Hawaii Bowl 24-Dec Heart of Dallas Bowl 26-Dec Quick Lane Bowl 26-Dec Cactus Bowl 26-Dec Independence Bowl 27-Dec Pinstripe Bowl 27-Dec HHTEXAS MISSOURI ARIZONA HPURDUE VIRGINIA NAVY VIRGINIA TECH HOKLAHOMA ST STANFORD TCU WASHINGTON ST MICHIGAN ST WAKE FOREST TEXAS A&M NC STATE H ARIZONA ST KENTUCKY NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO ST UTAH STATE Texas Bowl 27-Dec Foster Farms Bowl 27-Dec Military Bowl 28-Dec Camping World Bowl 28-Dec Alamo Bowl 28-Dec Holiday Bowl 28-Dec Belk Bowl 29-Dec Sun Bowl 29-Dec Music City Bowl 29-Dec Arizona Bowl 29-Dec USC OHIO STATE H LOUISVILLE MISSISSIPPI ST IOWA STATE MEMPHIS WASHINGTON H PENN STATE WISCONSIN MIAMI MICHIGAN SOUTH CAROLINA UCF AUBURN NOTRE DAME LSU GEORGIA OKLAHOMA H H ALABAMA CLEMSON Cotton Bowl 29-Dec Taxslayer Bowl 30-Dec Liberty Bowl 30-Dec Fiesta Bowl 30-Dec Orange Bowl 30-Dec Outback Bowl 1-Jan Peach Bowl 1-Jan Citrus Bowl 1-Jan Rose Bowl 1-Jan Sugar Bowl 1-Jan

2 North Texas Mean Green Mean Green Logs CUSA SUN TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Lamar W TEAM RANKINGS /2 at Boise St L /9 at SMU L /9 Alabama St 34-7 W /16 at Iowa L North Texas Troy /16 at New Mexico St W /23 UAB W #53 Rush Off # /23 Akron W /30 at Southern Miss W #22 Pass Off # /30 at LSU W / #19 Total Off # / /14 UTSA W #20 Off # /11 South Alabama 8-19 L /21 at Florida Atlantic L #109 Sks Allowed # /21 at Georgia St W /28 Old Dominion W #107 Rush Def # /28 GA Southern W /4 at Louisiana Tech W #64 Pass Def # /2 Idaho W /11 UTEP W #97 Total Def # /11 at Coastal Carolina W /18 Army West Point W #106 Def # / /25 at Rice W #83 Sks By # /25 Texas St 62-8 W /2 at Florida Atlantic L #50 Ypg Diff # /2 at Arkansas St W / Total TO's / /16 Troy /16 North Texas Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Lamar at Boise St at SMU Alabama St at Iowa at New Mexico St UAB Akron at Southern Miss at LSU UTSA South Alabama at Florida Atlantic at Georgia St Old Dominion GA Southern at Louisiana Tech Idaho UTEP at Coastal Carolina Army West Point at Rice Texas St at Florida Atlantic at Arkansas St Troy North Texas Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Lamar Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Michael Lawrence North Texas Troy at Boise St Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Damion Willis at SMU Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Jalen Guyton Alabama St Brandon Silvers Jamarius Henderson Damion Willis North Texas QB/WR at Iowa Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Turner Smiley at New Mexico St Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Deondre Douglas UAB Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Kelvin Smith Troy DB's Akron Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Deondre Douglas at Southern Miss Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Jalen Guyton at LSU Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Deondre Douglas North Texas RB's 0.44 UTSA Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Jalen Guyton Troy LB's South Alabama Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Emanuel Thompson at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Michael Lawrence North Texas OL at Georgia St Brandon Silvers Josh Anderson Tray Eafford Old Dominion Mason Fine Nic Smith Rico Bussey GA Southern Brandon Silvers Josh Anderson Tray Eafford at Louisiana Tech Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Michael Lawrence Troy DL Idaho Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Damion Willis UTEP Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Rico Bussey North Texas DL at Coastal Carolina Brandon Silvers Josh Anderson Deondre Douglas Army West Point Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Turner Smiley at Rice Mason Fine Nic Smith Rico Bussey Troy OL Texas St Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Emanuel Thompson at Florida Atlantic Mason Fine Nic Smith Rico Bussey at Arkansas St Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Deondre Douglas North Texas LB'S 0.95 Troy Troy RB's North Texas Mason Fine Jeffery Wilson Jalen Guyton Brandon Silvers Jordan Chunn Deondre Douglas North Texas DB's North Texas Leaders Quinn Shanbour Nic Smith Michael Lawrence Troy Leaders Kaleb Barker Josh Anderson Damion Willis TEAM Evan Johnson Rico Bussey Troy QB/WR John Johnson Jamarius Henderson Emanuel Thompson Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) North Texas ST's Projected Box Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 0.15 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2012 Las Vegas Line Troy tied for the SBC title, while NT got to the CUSA title game. I give a slight North Texas Troy ST's Troy By 7 Troy Projected North Texas K at QB to Mason Fine, who improved in his 2nd year as a starter. The Mean Las Vegas Total 138 yards North Texas Troy 164 yards Points Green has a slight at WR. Notre Dame transfer Jalen Guyton (PS#39), led Projected Passing Troy K +/- Ratings 293 yards North Texas Troy 290 yards Troy By 6.5 North Texas Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.75 with 749 yards. NT has a good-sized on ST s. NT has faced the tougher sked. With the Mean Green s top RB Jeffery Wilson out, I give Troy the, 430 yards North Texas Troy 454 yards Troy Coaches Troy By 2.2 led by the schools all-time rushing leader, Jordan Chunn. Troy s biggest is Game Grade Projected Final North Texas Pts at DL. Troy has an at LB, DB, and HC Neal Brown is 1-0 in bowls, while Computer Yards 28 points North Texas Troy 36 points Troy Seth Littrell is 0-1. I give the Trojans a slight crowd in their second trip to Experience Rankings Troy Pts Computer Points Louisiana this year. I like Troy to win the game as they have a significant 74 North Texas Troy 35 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Troy Team Schedule Strength on defense. Troy Phil Steele 103 North Texas Troy 128 Troy by 11 By 3.16 Points Troy 38 North Texas 27 Return to Table of Contents North Texas Mean Green LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Troy Trojans Troy Trojans Trojans Logs

3 TROY (10-2) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 3-9 NEW ORLEANS BOWL Saturday, December 16, :00 pm ESPN Mercedez-Benz Superdome New Orleans, LA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TROY UNT 129 rush yd pass yd pts 36-8 ytd to +4 #117 sked #94 CHECKLIST TROY UNT QB 1/2 4 RB WR 1/2 OL 444 DL 4 LB 41/2 DB 4 CCH 1/2 SITE 41/2 MTCH INT 4 ST 4 4 SKED 4 OVERALL TROY BY 4 4 s NORTH TEXAS (9-4) ATS: 8-5 O/U: 7-6

4 Georgia St Panthers Panthers Logs SUN CUSA Hilltoppers Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST CONF TM +/- +/- CONF CONF TM +/ TEAM --PS RANK-- REC NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /31 Tennessee St L TEAM RANKINGS /2 Eastern Kentucky W / /9 at Illinois 7-20 L Georgia St WKU /16 at Penn St 0-56 L /16 Louisiana Tech L /23 at Charlotte 28-0 W #117 Rush Off # /23 Ball St W / #31 Pass Off # / /7 at Coastal Carolina W #86 Total Off # /7 at UTEP W /14 at ULM W #119 Off # /14 Charlotte W /21 Troy L #58 Sks Allowed # /20 at Old Dominion W /26 South Alabama W #46 Rush Def # /28 Florida Atlantic L /4 at GA Southern W #93 Pass Def # /4 at Vanderbilt L /11 at Texas St W #62 Total Def # /11 at Marshall L / #55 Def # /17 Middle Tennessee W /25 Appalachian St L #107 Sks By # /25 at FIU L /2 Idaho L #77 Ypg Diff # / / Total TO's /16 Georgia St /16 WKU Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Tennessee St Eastern Kentucky at Illinois at Penn St Louisiana Tech at Charlotte Ball St at Coastal Carolina at UTEP at ULM Charlotte Troy at Old Dominion South Alabama Florida Atlantic at GA Southern at Vanderbilt at Texas St at Marshall Middle Tennessee Appalachian St at FIU Idaho Georgia St WKU Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Tennessee St Conner Manning Taz Bateman Taz Bateman Georgia St WKU Eastern Kentucky Mike White Marquez Trigg Lucky Jackson at Illinois Mike White D'Andre Ferby Nacarius Fant Georgia St QB/WR at Penn St Conner Manning Taz Bateman Penny Hart Louisiana Tech Mike White Quinton Baker Xavier Lane at Charlotte Conner Manning Glenn Smith Penny Hart WKU DB's Ball St Mike White Jakairi Moses Xavier Lane Georgia St RB's at Coastal Carolina Glenn Smith Tra Barnett Tra Barnett at UTEP Mike White Jakairi Moses Lucky Jackson at ULM Conner Manning Glenn Smith Penny Hart WKU LB's Charlotte Mike White Quinton Baker Kylen Towner Troy Conner Manning Kyler Neal Penny Hart Georgia St OL at Old Dominion Mike White Quinton Baker Quin Jernighan South Alabama Conner Manning Glenn Smith Tamir Jones Florida Atlantic Mike White Jakairi Moses Cameron Echols-Luper at GA Southern Conner Manning Glenn Smith Penny Hart WKU DL at Vanderbilt Mike White D'Andre Ferby Lucky Jackson at Texas St Conner Manning Glenn Smith Penny Hart Georgia St DL at Marshall Mike White D'Andre Ferby Cameron Echols-Luper Conner Manning Glenn Smith Devin Gentry Middle Tennessee Mike White D'Andre Ferby Lucky Jackson Appalachian St Conner Manning Tra Barnett Penny Hart WKU OL at FIU Mike White D'Andre Ferby Cameron Echols-Luper Idaho Conner Manning Glenn Smith Tamir Jones Georgia St LB'S 0.41 Georgia St WKU WKU RB's Conner Manning Glenn Smith Penny Hart Georgia St DB's Mike White D'Andre Ferby Nacarius Fant Georgia St Leaders Aaron Winchester Kyler Neal Glenn Smith WKU Leaders Drew Eckels Jakairi Moses Lucky Jackson Glenn Smith Taz Bateman Tamir Jones WKU QB/WR Nacarius Fant Quinton Baker Deon Yelder Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Georgia St ST's Projected Box Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 2.08 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2013 Las Vegas Line WKU WKU ST's Wku By 6.5 Georgia St Projected Georgia St K Both teams got here by beating bad teams as WKU defeated teams that were a Las Vegas Total 120 yards Georgia St WKU 51 yards Points combined 18-53, while GSt vanquished foes that combined for a record. Projected Passing WKU K +/- Ratings While both teams come in with 6 wins, the Panthers losses were by an avg of 246 yards Georgia St WKU 373 yards Georgia St Coaches Wku By 9.0 Projected Yardage Total 29 ppg vs FBS foes. WKU avg just 326 ypg and 21.6 ppg their F/5 games, but 366 yards Georgia St WKU 424 yards Game Grade WKU Coaches Wku By 3.2 over the L/7 games, improved to 453 ypg and 29.4 ppg. WKU has the on Projected Final Georgia St Pts OFF, D, and ST s and needs a win to avoid a losing season. GSt is 6-5 and just Computer Yards 21 points Georgia St WKU 26 points Wku happy to be in a bowl. WKU was +23 ypg vs the 5 bowl teams they faced, while Experience Rankings WKU Pts Computer Points GSt was -165 ypg vs the 3 bowl teams they faced. 18 Georgia St WKU 80 Wku POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 126 Team Schedule Strength Georgia St WKU 127 WKU Phil Steele By 3.68 Points WKU by 11 WKU 28 Georgia St 17 Return to Table of Contents Georgia St Panthers LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES WKU Hilltoppers WKU Hilltoppers

5 WKU (6-6) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 7-5 CURE BOWL Saturday, December 16, :30 pm CBS Camping World Stadium Orlando, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WKU GST 55 rush yd pass yd pts 21-6 ytd to -7 #128 sked #124 CHECKLIST WKU GST 4 QB RB 4 WR OL 4 DL 4 LB 4 1/2 DB CCH SITE MTCH INT 4 4 ST SKED OVERALL WKU BY 5 4 s GEORGIA ST (6-5) ATS: O/U: 3-8

6 Oregon Ducks Ducks Logs PAC 12 MTW Broncos Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Southern Utah W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Troy W /9 Nebraska W /9 at Washington St L Oregon Boise St /16 at Wyoming W /14 New Mexico W /23 at Arizona St L #8 Rush Off # /22 Virginia L /30 California W #97 Pass Off # / /7 Washington St L #25 Total Off # /6 at BYU 24-7 W /14 at Stanford 7-49 L #18 Off # /14 at San Diego St W /21 at UCLA L #45 Sks Allowed # /21 Wyoming W /28 Utah W #26 Rush Def # /28 at Utah St W /4 at Washington 3-38 L #76 Pass Def # /4 Nevada W / #41 Total Def # /11 at Colorado St W /18 Arizona W #77 Def # /18 Air Force W /25 Oregon St W #23 Sks By # /25 at Fresno St L / #23 Ypg Diff # /2 Fresno St W /16 Boise St Total TO's / /16 Oregon Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Southern Utah Troy Nebraska at Washington St at Wyoming New Mexico at Arizona St Virginia California Washington St at BYU at Stanford at San Diego St at UCLA Wyoming Utah at Utah St at Washington Nevada at Colorado St Arizona Air Force Oregon St at Fresno St Fresno St Boise St Oregon Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Southern Utah Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Charles Nelson Oregon Boise St Troy Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson Nebraska Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Charles Nelson Oregon QB/WR at Washington St Montell Cozart Montell Cozart Cedrick Wilson at Wyoming Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Dillon Mitchell New Mexico Montell Cozart Montell Cozart Cedrick Wilson at Arizona St Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Jacob Breeland Boise St DB's Virginia Brett Rypien Robert Mahone Cedrick Wilson California Justin Herbert Kani Benoit Brenden Schooler Oregon RB's Washington St Braxton Burmeister Royce Freeman Brenden Schooler at BYU Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson at Stanford Braxton Burmeister Royce Freeman Brenden Schooler Boise St LB's at San Diego St Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson at UCLA Braxton Burmeister Royce Freeman Charles Nelson Oregon OL Wyoming Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson Utah Braxton Burmeister Royce Freeman Jacob Breeland at Utah St Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson at Washington Braxton Burmeister Royce Freeman Charles Nelson Boise St DL Nevada Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson Oregon DL at Colorado St Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson Arizona Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Charles Nelson Air Force Brett Rypien Alex Mattison AJ Richardson Oregon St Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Dillon Mitchell Boise St OL at Fresno St Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson Oregon LB'S Fresno St Brett Rypien Ryan Wolpin Cedrick Wilson Boise St 1.95 Boise St RB's Oregon Justin Herbert Royce Freeman Charles Nelson Oregon DB's Brett Rypien Alex Mattison Cedrick Wilson Oregon Leaders Braxton Burmeister Kani Benoit Dillon Mitchell Boise St Leaders Montell Cozart Ryan Wolpin AJ Richardson Taylor Alie Tony Brooks-James Jacob Breeland Boise St QB/WR Cedrick Wilson Montell Cozart Jake Roh Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Oregon ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box 2.27 Las Vegas Line BSt got off to a slow start this year. Their OFF avg just 337 ypg the F/7 games. Over None Boise St ST's Oregon By 7 Projected the L/6 games, BSt improved to 474 ypg overall and won the MWC. Top RB Alex Oregon K 236 yards Oregon Boise St 111 yards Las Vegas Total Points Mattison inj d his ankle and is questionable. BSt s top WR is the dangerous Cedrick Projected Passing Boise St K Wilson and that is the only position that they have an on OFF or D. BSt does +/- Ratings 198 yards Oregon Boise St 239 yards Oregon Coaches Oregon By 5.0 have a veteran HC in Bryan Harsin, who is 2-1 in bowls. Oregon HC Willie Taggart left Projected Yardage Total 0.25 for FSU, but the new HC was already on staff in Mario Cristobal. He is 1-1 in bowls. Game Grade 434 yards Oregon Boise St 350 yards Oregon By 5.0 While BSt has the statistically on D, the Ducks took on much more potent OFF s. Boise St Coaches Projected Final Oregon Pts Computer Yards I give Oregon a small on the DL with good sized s at LB and DB. The 34 points Oregon Boise St 27 points Oregon biggest wild card is QB Justin Herbert, who started the F/5 games, but was inj d and Experience Rankings Boise St Pts Computer Points 21 Oregon Boise St 119 missed 5. Without Herbert, Oregon avg just 15 ppg, but in his 7 games they avg an POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Oregon Team Schedule Strength amazing 52.1 ppg! I like Oregon to win the game. Oregon Phil Steele Oregon Boise St 77 Oregon by 7 By 5.05 Points Oregon 34 Boise St 27 Return to Table of Contents Oregon Ducks LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Boise St Broncos Boise St Broncos

7 BOISE STATE (10-3) ATS: 7-6 O/U: 5-8 LAS VEGAS BOWL Saturday, December 16, :30 pm ABC Sam Boyd Stadium Las Vegas, NV COMPUTER PROJECTIONS BOISE OREG 109 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +1 #68 sked #58 CHECKLIST BOISE OREG QB 4 RB 44 1/2 1/2 WR OL 44 DL 1/2 LB 41/2 DB 41/2 41/2 CCH SITE MTCH /2 INT 44 ST SKED 4 OVERALL OREGON BY 7 4 s OREGON (7-5) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4

8 Marshall Thundering Herd CONF 7-5 Thundering Herd Logs CUSA MTW Rams Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK-- REC TM +/- TM TEAM --PS RANK-- CONF OFF DEF ST OFF TM +/- +/- +/- REC CONF NCAA RANKINGS CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L DEF ST /2 Miami, OH W TEAM RANKINGS /26 Oregon St W /9 at NC State L Marshall Colorado St /1 Colorado 3-17 L /16 Kent St 21-0 W /9 Abilene Christian W / #104 Rush Off # /16 at Alabama L /30 at Cincinnati W #57 Pass Off # / /7 at Charlotte 14-3 W #94 Total Off # /30 at Hawaii W /14 Old Dominion 35-3 W #81 Off # /7 at Utah St W /20 at Middle Tennessee W #2 Sks Allowed # /14 Nevada W /28 FIU L #19 Rush Def # /20 at New Mexico W /3 at Florida Atlantic L #47 Pass Def # /28 Air Force L /11 WKU W #25 Total Def # /4 at Wyoming L /18 at UTSA 7-9 L #17 Def # /11 Boise St L /25 Southern Miss L #48 Sks By # /18 San Jose St W / #54 Ypg Diff # / /16 Colorado St Total TO's /16 Marshall Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Miami, OH Oregon St at NC State Colorado Kent St Abilene Christian at Alabama at Cincinnati at Charlotte at Hawaii Old Dominion at Utah St at Middle Tennessee Nevada FIU at New Mexico at Florida Atlantic Air Force WKU at Wyoming at UTSA Boise St Southern Miss San Jose St Colorado St Marshall Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Miami, OH Chase Litton Trey Rodriguez Willie Johnson Marshall Colorado St Oregon St Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup at NC State Chase Litton Keion Davis Tyre Brady Colorado Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Detrich Clark Marshall QB/WR Kent St Chase Litton Tyler King Marcel Williams Abilene Christian Nick Stevens Izzy Matthews Michael Gallup at Alabama Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup Colorado St DB's at Cincinnati Chase Litton Keion Davis Ryan Yurachek Marshall RB's at Charlotte Chase Litton Keion Davis Tyre Brady at Hawaii Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup Old Dominion Chase Litton Tyler King Tyre Brady Colorado St LB's at Utah St Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup at Middle Tennessee Chase Litton Tyler King Willie Johnson Marshall OL Nevada Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup FIU Chase Litton Keion Davis Tyre Brady at New Mexico Nick Stevens Izzy Matthews Olabisi Johnson at Florida Atlantic Chase Litton Tyler King Marcel Williams Colorado St DL Air Force Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup WKU Chase Litton Tyler King Willie Johnson Marshall DL at Wyoming Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Dalton Fackrell at UTSA Chase Litton Keion Davis Obi Obialo Boise St Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup Southern Miss Chase Litton Tyler King Hyleck Foster Colorado St OL San Jose St Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Cameron Butler Marshall LB'S Colorado St 0.67 Marshall Colorado St RB's Chase Litton Tyler King Tyre Brady Marshall DB's Nick Stevens Dalyn Dawkins Michael Gallup Marshall Leaders Keion Davis Marcel Williams Colorado St Leaders Izzy Matthews Olabisi Johnson Anthony Anderson Willie Johnson Colorado St QB/WR Rashaad Boddie Detrich Clark Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Marshall ST's Projected Box 2.87 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Colorado St ST's Colorado St By 5.5 This game features a couple of teams that started out fast and both had solid Projected Marshall K Las Vegas Total 143 yards Marshall Colorado St 169 yards Points hopes of winning their conferences, but they combined to finish 3-7 over the Projected Passing Colorado St K L/5 games of the season. CSt has the clear OFF at RB and Biletnikoff +/- Ratings 268 yards Marshall Colorado St 277 yards Colorado St By 6.0 finalist Michael Gallup at WR. Marshall has the clear on D. Marshall also Marshall Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.80 Game Grade ranks #58 in my pass D rankings (Rams #90). CSt is used to altitude and 411 yards Marshall Colorado St 445 yards Colorado St Coaches Colorado St By 3.1 played in this stadium this year. The final 3 factors all favor the Herd. Marshall Projected Final Marshall Pts Computer Yards faced the tougher sked and is #16 in my ST ratings, while CSt is #55. Doc 27 points Marshall Colorado St 28 points Colorado St Experience Rankings Colorado St Pts Holiday is a perfect 4-0 in bowl games and Mike Bobo is 0-2. I will take the Computer Points 61 Marshall Colorado St 22 Colorado St points in a possible upset. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 91 Team Schedule Strength Marshall Colorado St 97 Marshall Phil Steele By 3.34 Points Marshall by 1 Best Bet: Marshall 28 (+) Colorado St 27 Return to Table of Contents Marshall Thundering Herd LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES 7-5 Colorado St Rams Colorado St Rams

9 MARSHALL (7-5) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 6-6 NEW MEXICO BOWL Saturday, December 16, :30 pm ESPN Dreamstyle Stadium Albuquerque, NM COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MAR CSU 148 rush yd pass yd pts 26-6 ytd to 0 #99 sked #114 CHECKLIST MAR CSU QB 1/2 RB 44 WR 4 OL 4 44 DL 4 LB 41/2 DB 41/2 CCH SITE 44 MTCH INT 4 ST 4 SKED OVERALL MARSHALL BY 1 4 s COLORADO ST (7-5) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 6-6

10 Middle Tenn Blue Raiders Blue Raiders Logs CUSA SUN Red Wolves Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Vanderbilt 6-28 L TEAM RANKINGS /2 at Nebraska L /9 at Syracuse W / Middle Tenn Arkansas St /16 at Minnesota 3-34 L /16 Ark Pine Bluff 48-3 W /23 Bowling Green W #92 Rush Off # /23 at SMU L /30 at Florida Atlantic L #45 Pass Off # / /7 FIU W #68 Total Off # /4 at GA Southern W /14 at UAB L #93 Off # /14 Coastal Carolina W /20 Marshall L #64 Sks Allowed # /19 Louisiana 47-3 W / #34 Rush Def # /28 at New Mexico St W /4 UTEP 30-3 W #46 Pass Def # / /11 at Charlotte W #30 Total Def # /11 at South Alabama L /17 at WKU L #45 Def # /18 Texas St W /25 Old Dominion W #55 Sks By # /25 at ULM W / #43 Ypg Diff # /2 Troy L /16 Arkansas St Total TO's / /16 Middle Tennessee Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Vanderbilt at Nebraska at Syracuse at Minnesota Ark Pine Bluff Bowling Green at SMU at Florida Atlantic FIU at GA Southern at UAB Coastal Carolina Marshall Louisiana at New Mexico St UTEP at Charlotte at South Alabama at WKU Texas St Old Dominion at ULM Troy Arkansas St Middle Tennessee Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Vanderbilt Brent Stockstill Maurice Gordon Richie James Middle Tenn Arkansas St at Nebraska Justice Hansen Warren Wand Kendrick Edwards at Syracuse Brent Stockstill Ty Lee Richie James Middle Tenn QB/WR at Minnesota John Urzua Richie James Patrick Smith Ark Pine Bluff Justice Hansen Warren Wand Justin McInnis Bowling Green John Urzua Jocquez Bruce Brad Anderson at SMU Justice Hansen Warren Wand Blake Mack Arkansas St DB's at Florida Atlantic John Urzua Brad Anderson Ty Lee Middle Tenn RB's FIU John Urzua Brad Anderson Ty Lee at GA Southern Justice Hansen Warren Wand Chris Murray at UAB John Urzua Brad Anderson Brad Anderson Coastal Carolina Justice Hansen Justice Hansen Justin McInnis Arkansas St LB's Marshall John Urzua Brad Anderson Ty Lee Middle Tenn OL Louisiana Justice Hansen Justice Hansen Blake Mack at New Mexico St Justice Hansen Jamal Jones Justin McInnis UTEP Brent Stockstill Tavares Thomas Ty Lee Arkansas St DL at Charlotte Brent Stockstill Tavares Thomas Ty Lee Middle Tenn DL at South Alabama Justice Hansen Justice Hansen Blake Mack at WKU Brent Stockstill Tavares Thomas Ty Lee Texas St Justice Hansen Warren Wand Omar Bayless Old Dominion Brent Stockstill Terelle West Ty Lee Arkansas St OL at ULM Justice Hansen Warren Wand Justin McInnis Troy Justice Hansen Johnston White Blake Mack Middle Tenn LB'S Arkansas St 0.10 Middle Tennessee Arkansas St RB's John Urzua Brad Anderson Ty Lee Justice Hansen Warren Wand Justin McInnis Middle Tenn DB's Middle Tenn Leaders Brent Stockstill Tavares Thomas Brad Anderson Arkansas St Leaders Logan Bonner Johnston White Chris Murray Kyle Banks Terelle West Patrick Smith Arkansas St QB/WR Chauncey Mason Justice Hansen Blake Mack Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Middle Tenn ST's Projected Box Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 1.47 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2012 Las Vegas Line Middle Tenn Arkansas St ST's Arkansas St By 3.5 Arkansas St Projected Middle Tenn K ASt might have been the best team in the SBC, but did not share the title. MT Las Vegas Total 113 yards Middle Tenn Arkansas St 127 yards Points came into the season in great shape with its pass game, but QB Brent Stockstill Projected Passing Arkansas St K +/- Ratings was inj d after 2 games, missed 6, and his top WR Richie James was lost for the 278 yards Middle Tenn Arkansas St 317 yards Arkansas St By 2.0 Middle Tenn Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.30 year after 8 games. With Stockstill in the lineup, MT avg 30 ppg, but without Game Grade 390 yards Middle Tenn Arkansas St 444 yards Arkansas St By 3.7 him avg just 19.5 ppg. ASt has a legitimate DL led by Javon Rolland-Jones and Arkansas St Coaches Projected Final Middle Tenn Pts Bama transfer Dee Liner. I give MT the at LB, but ASt has the DB Computer Yards 24 points Middle Tenn Arkansas St 31 points Arkansas St with a #31 ranking in my pass D rankings (Blue Raiders #94). I like ASt to win Experience Rankings Arkansas St Pts Computer Points the game. 69 Middle Tenn Arkansas St 97 Arkansas St POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 115 Team Schedule Strength Middle Tenn Arkansas St 130 Arkansas St Phil Steele By 3.85 Points Arkansas St by 7 Arkansas St 37 Middle Tennessee 30 Return to Table of Contents Middle Tenn Blue Raiders LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Arkansas St Red Wolves Arkansas St Red Wolves

11 MIDDLE TENN (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 4-8 CAMELLIA BOWL Saturday, December 16, :00 pm ESPN Crampton Bowl Montgomery, AL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MTSU A-ST 111 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -1 #122 sked #130 CHECKLIST MTSU A-ST QB 1/2 RB 1/2 WR 4 OL DL 4 1/2 4 LB DB 4 1/2 CCH SITE MTCH 4 4 INT ST SKED OVERALL ARKANSAS ST BY 4 4 s ARKANSAS ST (7-4) ATS: 6-5 O/U: 4-7

12 Akron Zips Zips Logs MAC CUSA Owls Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 at Penn St 0-52 L TEAM RANKINGS /1 Navy L /9 Ark Pine Bluff 52-3 W /9 at Wisconsin L Akron FAU /16 Iowa St L /16 Bethune-Cookman 45-0 W /23 at Troy L #119 Rush Off # /23 at Buffalo L /30 at Bowling Green W #74 Pass Off # /30 Middle Tennessee W /7 Ball St 31-3 W #118 Total Off # /7 at Old Dominion W /14 at Western Michigan W #103 Off # / /21 at Toledo L #109 Sks Allowed # /21 North Texas W /28 Buffalo W #100 Rush Def # /28 at WKU W /7 at Miami, OH L #83 Pass Def # /3 Marshall W /14 Ohio W #99 Total Def # /11 at Louisiana Tech W /21 Kent St W #60 Def # /18 FIU W / #92 Sks By # /25 at Charlotte W /2 Toledo L #117 Ypg Diff # /2 North Texas W / Total TO's / /19 at Florida Atlantic /19 Akron Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Return to Table of Contents Projected 89 yards Akron FAU 302 yards Projected Passing 237 yards Akron FAU 226 yards Projected Yardage Total 326 yards Akron FAU 528 yards Projected Final 20 points Akron FAU 38 points Experience Rankings 27 Akron FAU 1 Team Schedule Strength 83 Akron FAU Akron Zips LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Akron K FAU K Akron Pts FAU Owls Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards 63.5 Points Fau By 15.0 FAU Owls Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Penn St Navy Ark Pine Bluff at Wisconsin Iowa St Bethune-Cookman at Troy at Buffalo at Bowling Green Middle Tennessee Ball St at Old Dominion at Western Michigan at Toledo North Texas Buffalo at WKU at Miami, OH Marshall Ohio at Louisiana Tech Kent St FIU at Charlotte Toledo North Texas at Florida Atlantic Akron Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Passing at Penn St Thomas Woodson Kato Nelson AJ Coney Akron FAU Navy Daniel Parr Kerrith Whyte Willie Wright Ark Pine Bluff Thomas Woodson Warren Ball Tra'Von Chapman Akron QB/WR at Wisconsin Daniel Parr Devin Singletary De'Andre McNeal Iowa St Thomas Woodson Warren Ball Kwadarrius Smith Bethune-Cookman Daniel Parr Gregory Howell Jr De'Andre McNeal at Troy Thomas Woodson Warren Ball Kwadarrius Smith FAU DB's at Buffalo Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Willie Wright at Bowling Green Thomas Woodson Van Edwards Austin Wolf Akron RB's Middle Tennessee Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Harrison Bryant Ball St Thomas Woodson Deltron Sands AJ Coney at Old Dominion Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Harrison Bryant at Western Michigan Thomas Woodson Manny Morgan AJ Coney FAU LB's at Toledo Thomas Woodson Van Edwards Kwadarrius Smith Akron OL North Texas Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Willie Wright Buffalo Thomas Woodson Deltron Sands AJ Coney at WKU Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Willie Wright at Miami, OH Kato Nelson Manny Morgan Kwadarrius Smith FAU DL Marshall Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Devin Singletary Ohio Kato Nelson Manny Morgan Kwadarrius Smith Akron DL at Louisiana Tech Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Kalib Woods Kent St Kato Nelson Van Edwards Kobie Booker FIU Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Kalib Woods FAU OL at Charlotte Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Willie Wright Toledo Kato Nelson Manny Morgan Kwadarrius Smith Akron LB'S North Texas Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Kalib Woods at Florida Atlantic FAU RB's Akron Thomas Woodson Manny Morgan Kwadarrius Smith Akron DB's Jason Driskel Devin Singletary Willie Wright Akron Leaders Kato Nelson Van Edwards AJ Coney FAU Leaders Daniel Parr Gregory Howell Jr Kalib Woods Robbie Kelley Warren Ball Tra'Von Chapman FAU QB/WR Kamrin Solomon Jason Driskel Harrison Bryant Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Akron ST's Projected Box 3.02 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line FAU ST's Fau By Akron Coaches FAU Coaches FAU Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: FAU By Points 1.89 Computer Points Phil Steele Fau By 17.9 Fau Fau FAU by 14 This is the largest point spread in a bowl game in 20+ yrs and it is deserved. FAU won 10 games and 7 were by 24+. FAU outgained conf foes by 127 ypg and Akron, despite going 6-2 versus the weak MAC East, was actually outgained by 103 ypg. Akron QB Thomas Woodson was susp d a couple of games. Kato Nelson completed just 49%. Akron lost their top RB, Ohio St transfer Warren Ball early. FAU RB Devin Singletary will be the best player on the field and my computer calls for the Owls to rush for 301 yards and pass for 226. FAU s biggest is on ST s. Akron does have the of being a huge bowl dog as they should be highly motivated with no one giving them a chance to win. I like the Zips to keep this within the huge spread. Best Bet: Akron 24 (+) FAU 38

13 AKRON (7-6) ATS: O/U: 3-10 BOCA RATON BOWL Tuesday, December 19, :00 pm ESPN FAU Stadium Boca Raton, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS AKRON FAU 80 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +13 #81 sked #89 CHECKLIST AKRON FAU QB 1/2 RB 444 WR OL 444 DL 4 LB DB 4 4 CCH SITE 444 MTCH 44 4 INT ST SKED OVERALL FAU BY 16 4 s FAU (10-3) ATS: O/U: 6-7

14 LA Tech Bulldogs Bulldogs Logs CUSA AAC Mustangs Logs TM TM CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK-- TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Northwestern St W TEAM RANKINGS /2 SF Austin W /9 Miss St L /9 North Texas W LA Tech SMU /16 at WKU W /16 at TCU L /23 at South Carolina L #55 Rush Off # /23 Arkansas St W /30 South Alabama W #64 Pass Off # /30 Connecticut W /7 at UAB L #57 Total Off # /7 at Houston L / #63 Off # / /21 Southern Miss L #64 Sks Allowed # /21 at Cincinnati W /28 at Rice W #80 Rush Def # /27 Tulsa W /4 North Texas L #56 Pass Def # /4 UCF L /11 Florida Atlantic L #64 Total Def # /11 at Navy L /18 at UTEP W #66 Def # /18 at Memphis L /25 UTSA 20-6 W #97 Sks By # /25 Tulane W / #65 Ypg Diff # / /20 SMU Total TO's /20 Louisiana Tech Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Northwestern St SF Austin Miss St North Texas at WKU at TCU at South Carolina Arkansas St South Alabama Connecticut at UAB at Houston Southern Miss at Cincinnati at Rice Tulsa North Texas UCF Florida Atlantic at Navy at UTEP at Memphis UTSA Tulane SMU Louisiana Tech LA Tech Bulldogs LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Passing Northwestern St J'Mar Smith Jarred Craft Boston Scott LA Tech SMU SF Austin Ben Hicks Braeden West Brandon Benson Miss St J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Marcus Gaines LA Tech QB/WR North Texas Ben Hicks Xavier Jones Courtland Sutton at WKU J'Mar Smith Jarred Craft Rhashid Bonnette at TCU Ben Hicks Ke'Mon Freeman Trey Quinn at South Carolina J'Mar Smith Jarred Craft Teddy Veal SMU DB's Arkansas St Ben Hicks Xavier Jones James Proche South Alabama J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Teddy Veal LA Tech RB's Connecticut Ben Hicks Xavier Jones Trey Quinn at UAB J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Teddy Veal at Houston Ben Hicks Xavier Jones Courtland Sutton SMU LB's Southern Miss J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Marlon Watts LA Tech OL at Cincinnati Ben Hicks Xavier Jones Trey Quinn at Rice J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Teddy Veal Tulsa Ben Hicks Braeden West Courtland Sutton North Texas J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Rhashid Bonnette SMU DL UCF Ben Hicks Xavier Jones James Proche Florida Atlantic J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Teddy Veal LA Tech DL at Navy Ben Hicks Xavier Jones Courtland Sutton at UTEP J'Mar Smith Jaqwis Dancy Teddy Veal at Memphis Ben Hicks Xavier Jones James Proche UTSA J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Rhashid Bonnette SMU OL Tulane Ben Hicks Ke'Mon Freeman Trey Quinn LA Tech LB'S SMU 1.22 Louisiana Tech SMU RB's J'Mar Smith Boston Scott Teddy Veal LA Tech DB's Ben Hicks Xavier Jones Trey Quinn LA Tech Leaders Westin Elliott Jarred Craft Rhashid Bonnette SMU Leaders Rafe Peavey Ke'Mon Freeman Courtland Sutton Team J'Mar Smith Marlon Watts SMU QB/WR DJ Gillins Braeden West James Proche Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) LA Tech ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box 0.51 Las Vegas Line Chad Morris did a great job getting SMU to a bowl for the first time s/ 12. They played None SMU ST's Smu By 5 Projected at just a avg game grade the L/4 games. LT needed to win their L/2 to get to 6 LA Tech K 205 yards LA Tech SMU 194 yards Las Vegas Total Points wins, but only played at an avg game grade of the L/4 games. Morris has left Projected Passing SMU K for Arkansas so SMU will be led by former LT HC Sonny Dykes. LT s Skip Holtz is 3-0 +/- Ratings 265 yards LA Tech SMU 311 yards Smu By 7.5 in bowls with the Bulldogs. SMU has the at all 4 areas on OFF. SMU avg 70 ypg LA Tech Coaches Projected Yardage Total 1.20 more than their opponents allow on avg. LT has the on D in all 3 areas. The ST s Game Grade 470 yards LA Tech SMU 505 yards SMU Coaches Smu By 7.5 are even. SMU will have the crowd as they were the first choice of the Frisco Projected Final LA Tech Pts Computer Yards Bowl all season. LT did lead SC almost the entire game, missed a tying PAT vs UAB, 34 points LA Tech SMU 42 points Smu led SM by 11 with under 2 minutes left, and led NT late 3Q. SMU did win every game Experience Rankings SMU Pts Computer Points 120 LA Tech SMU 9 they were favored in, and lost every game they were a dog. They were 4-3 ATS as a POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Smu Team Schedule Strength favorite. I like the over 70 in this one. LA Tech Phil Steele LA Tech SMU 72 SMU by 9 By 2.62 Points SMU 44 Louisiana Tech 35 Return to Table of Contents SMU Mustangs SMU Mustangs

15 LOUISIANA TECH (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 FRISCO BOWL Wednesday, December 20, :00 pm ESPN Toyota Stadium Frisco, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS LT SMU 221 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +10 #103 sked #67 CHECKLIST LT SMU QB 4 RB 1/2 WR 44 1/2 OL 1/2 4 DL 4 LB 41/2 DB 4 4 CCH SITE 44 MTCH INT ST SKED 44 OVERALL SMU BY 3 4 s SMU (7-5) ATS: O/U: 7-5

16 Temple Owls CONF TM +/- +/ Owls Logs AAC CUSA Golden Panthers Logs TM TM CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM OFF DEF TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK-- REC CONF NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L ST OFF DEF ST /2 at Notre Dame L TEAM RANKINGS /31 at UCF L /9 Villanova W Temple FIU /9 Alcorn St W /15 UMass W / /21 at USF 7-43 L #99 Rush Off # /23 at Rice 13-7 W /30 Houston L #46 Pass Off # /30 Charlotte W /7 at East Carolina W #79 Total Off # /7 at Middle Tennessee L /14 Connecticut L #92 Off # /14 Tulane W /21 at Army West Point L #38 Sks Allowed # / / #84 Rush Def # /28 at Marshall W /2 Navy W #42 Pass Def # /4 UTSA 14-7 W /10 at Cincinnati W #63 Total Def # /11 Old Dominion L /18 UCF L #74 Def # /18 at Florida Atlantic L /25 at Tulsa W #23 Sks By # /25 WKU W / #76 Ypg Diff # /2 UMass W /21 FIU Total TO's / /21 Temple Net Comp Yds Net Defense Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Temple Owls LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES FIU Golden Panthers FIU Golden Panthers Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Notre Dame at UCF Villanova Alcorn St UMass at USF at Rice Houston Charlotte at East Carolina at Middle Tennessee Connecticut Tulane at Army West Point at Marshall Navy UTSA at Cincinnati Old Dominion UCF at Florida Atlantic at Tulsa WKU UMass FIU Temple Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing at Notre Dame Logan Marchi Ryquell Armstead Isaiah Wright Temple FIU at UCF Alex McGough Napoleon Maxwell Thomas Owens Villanova Logan Marchi David Hood Ventell Bryant Temple QB/WR Alcorn St Alex McGough Alex Gardner Julian Williams UMass Logan Marchi Ryquell Armstead Isaiah Wright at USF Frank Nutile Rob Ritrovato Adonis Jennings FIU DB's at Rice Alex McGough Alex Gardner Tony Gaiter IV Houston Logan Marchi Ryquell Armstead Isaiah Wright Temple RB's Charlotte Alex McGough Napoleon Maxwell Thomas Owens at East Carolina Logan Marchi David Hood Isaiah Wright at Middle Tennessee Alex McGough Alex Gardner Thomas Owens Connecticut Logan Marchi Ryquell Armstead David Hood FIU LB's Tulane Alex McGough Alex Gardner Thomas Owens at Army West Point Frank Nutile Ryquell Armstead Isaiah Wright Temple OL 0.08 at Marshall Alex McGough Napoleon Maxwell Thomas Owens Navy Frank Nutile Isaiah Wright Adonis Jennings FIU DL UTSA Alex McGough Shawndarri Phillips Thomas Owens at Cincinnati Frank Nutile David Hood Ventell Bryant Temple DL Old Dominion Alex McGough Alex Gardner Thomas Owens UCF Frank Nutile David Hood Adonis Jennings at Florida Atlantic Alex McGough Alex Gardner Sherman Thornton at Tulsa Frank Nutile David Hood Adonis Jennings FIU OL WKU Alex McGough Shawndarri Phillips Pharoah McKever Temple LB'S UMass Alex McGough Alex McGough Bryce Singleton FIU 0.18 FIU RB's Temple Logan Marchi David Hood Adonis Jennings Temple DB's Alex McGough Alex Gardner Thomas Owens Temple Leaders Frank Nutile Ryquell Armstead Isaiah Wright FIU Leaders Thomas Owens Shawndarri Phillips Pharoah McKever Todd Centeio Isaiah Wright Keith Kirkwood FIU QB/WR Stone Wilson Napoleon Maxwell Tony Gaiter IV Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Temple ST's Projected Box 0.35 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Las Vegas Line FIU ST's Temple By 7.5 Temple looked like they were going to miss the postseason in their first year Projected Temple K Las Vegas Total 162 yards Temple FIU 142 yards Points under new HC Geoff Collins. QB Frank Nutile started the L/5 and the Owls won Projected Passing FIU K 3 of their L/4 games. They avg 19.8 ppg the F7, but 31.8 ppg in Nutile s starts. +/- Ratings 250 yards Temple FIU 244 yards Temple Coaches Temple By 4.0 Butch Davis did a great job his first year as FIU doubled its win total and pulled Projected Yardage Total 1.50 Game Grade off 5 outright upsets. The Panthers veteran QB Alex McGough opened slow, but 412 yards Temple FIU 385 yards FIU Coaches Temple By 3.0 had a 12-2 ratio his L/6 games. Temple has the at WR, while FIU has the Projected Final Temple Pts Computer Yards slight at RB. Temple has the on D in all 3 areas, but FIU doesn t 31 points Temple FIU 28 points Temple Experience Rankings FIU Pts have to leave the state and will have the crowd. FIU also has the ST s Computer Points 111 Temple FIU 4 Temple Despite getting over a td, FIU could pull the upset. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 79 Team Schedule Strength Temple FIU 110 FIU Phil Steele By 0.64 Points FIU by 1 Best Bet: H FIU 31 (+) Temple 30 Return to Table of Contents

17 TEMPLE (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 GASPARILLA BOWL Thursday, December 21, :00 pm ESPN Tropical Field St Petersburg, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TEMP FIU 169 rush yd pass yd pts 30-6 ytd to -1 #78 sked #105 CHECKLIST TEMP FIU QB 1/2 RB 4 41/2 WR OL 1/2 4 DL 1/2 LB 41/2 DB CCH 44 SITE 41/2 4 MTCH INT ST 4 4 SKED OVERALL EVEN 4 s FIU (8-4) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4

18 UAB Blazers Ohio Bobcats Blazers Logs CUSA MAC Bobcats Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK-- CONF OFF DEF ST OFF TM +/- +/- TM CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK-- REC CONF NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Alabama A&M 38-7 W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Hampton 59-0 W /9 at Ball St L /8 at Purdue L /16 Coastal Carolina W UAB Ohio /16 Kansas W /23 at North Texas L #37 Rush Off # /23 at Eastern Michigan W / #106 Pass Off # /30 at UMass W /7 Louisiana Tech W #98 Total Off # /7 Central Michigan L /14 Middle Tennessee W #55 Off # /14 at Bowling Green W /21 at Charlotte L #58 Sks Allowed # /21 Kent St 48-3 W /28 at Southern Miss W #72 Rush Def # /31 Miami, OH W /4 Rice W #22 Pass Def # /8 Toledo W /11 at UTSA W #36 Total Def # /14 at Akron L /18 at Florida 7-36 L #46 Def # / /25 UTEP 28-7 W #101 Sks By # /24 at Buffalo L / #70 Ypg Diff # / /22 Ohio Total TO's /22 UAB Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Alabama A&M Hampton at Ball St at Purdue Coastal Carolina Kansas at North Texas at Eastern Michigan at UMass Louisiana Tech Central Michigan Middle Tennessee at Bowling Green at Charlotte Kent St at Southern Miss Miami, OH Rice Toledo at UTSA at Akron at Florida UTEP at Buffalo Ohio UAB UAB Blazers LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Leaders Passing By Game Leaders Passing Yardage Position by Position Edges Yardage Alabama A&M AJ Erdely Carlos Stephens Collin Lisa UAB Ohio Hampton Quinton Maxwell AJ Ouellette Cameron Odom at Ball St AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Sederian Copeland UAB QB/WR at Purdue Nathan Rourke Julian Ross Papi White Coastal Carolina AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Collin Lisa Kansas Nathan Rourke AJ Ouellette Brendan Cope at North Texas AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Andre Wilson Ohio DB's at Eastern Michigan Nathan Rourke AJ Ouellette Cameron Odom UAB RB's at UMass Nathan Rourke AJ Ouellette Brendan Cope Louisiana Tech AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Andre Wilson Central Michigan Nathan Rourke Nathan Rourke Brendan Cope Middle Tennessee AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Ronnie Turner Jr Ohio LB's at Bowling Green Nathan Rourke Nathan Rourke Andrew Meyer at Charlotte AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Sederian Copeland UAB OL Kent St Nathan Rourke Dorian Brown Papi White at Southern Miss AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Xavier Ubosi Miami, OH Nathan Rourke AJ Ouellette Brendan Cope Rice AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Donnie Lee Ohio DL Toledo Nathan Rourke Dorian Brown Papi White at UTSA AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Ronnie Turner Jr UAB DL at Akron Nathan Rourke Nathan Rourke Papi White at Florida AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Xavier Ubosi UTEP AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Collin Lisa Ohio OL at Buffalo Nathan Rourke Julian Ross Cameron Odom UAB LB'S Ohio 0.49 UAB Ohio RB's AJ Erdely Spencer Brown Andre Wilson UAB DB's Nathan Rourke AJ Ouellette Papi White UAB Leaders Tyler Johnston III AJ Erdely Collin Lisa Ohio Leaders Quinton Maxwell Nathan Rourke Brendan Cope Collin Lisa James Noble III Xavier Ubosi Ohio QB/WR Brendan Cope Dorian Brown Andrew Meyer Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UAB ST's Projected Box 3.81 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Ohio ST's Ohio By 5 Projected UAB K Bill Clark is up for most national COY awards. OU turned the OFF over to Las Vegas Total 213 yards UAB Ohio 215 yards Points Canadian Nathan Rourke in week 2. OU WR Papi White will be the most Projected Passing Ohio K +/- Ratings explosive player on the field. OU has the on both the OL and DL s, and at 135 yards UAB Ohio 193 yards UAB Coaches Ohio By 7.0 Projected Yardage Total 1.00 LB. UAB has the in 1 area, the DB s, where they were #38 in my pass D 348 yards UAB Ohio 407 yards Game Grade Ohio Coaches Ohio By 11.6 numbers, led by first team CUSA Darious Williams. Frank Solich has the bowl Projected Final UAB Pts game experience, but it must be noted that he is just 4-9 in bowl games. Computer Yards 28 points UAB Ohio 34 points Ohio OU s biggest in this game is ST s. UAB pulled 5 outright upsets and is Experience Rankings Ohio Pts Computer Points getting over a td. 130 UAB Ohio 76 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Ohio Team Schedule Strength UAB Ohio 116 Ohio Phil Steele By 8.13 Points Ohio by 3 Best Bet: UAB 28 (+) Ohio 31 Return to Table of Contents Ohio Bobcats

19 UAB (8-4) ATS: O/U: 4-8 BAHAMAS BOWL Friday, December 22, :30 pm ESPN Thomas Robinson Stadium Nassau Bahamas COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UAB OHIO 114 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -4 #129 sked #119 CHECKLIST UAB OHIO QB 1/2 RB WR 1/2 OL 41/2 DL 4 LB 1/2 41/2 DB CCH 4 SITE MTCH 4 INT ST 4441/2 SKED 1/2 OVERALL OHIO BY 6 4 s OHIO (8-4) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 8-4

20 C Michigan Chippewas Chippewas Logs MAC MTW Cowboys Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /31 Rhode Island W TEAM RANKINGS /2 at Iowa 3-24 L /9 at Kansas W /9 Gardner-Webb 27-0 W C Michigan Wyoming /16 at Syracuse L /16 Oregon L /23 Miami, OH L #93 Rush Off # /23 Hawaii W /30 at Boston College 8-28 L #48 Pass Off # /30 Texas St W /7 at Ohio W #71 Total Off # / /14 Toledo L #53 Off # /14 at Utah St W /21 at Ball St 56-9 W #32 Sks Allowed # /21 at Boise St L / #91 Rush Def # /28 New Mexico 42-3 W /1 at Western Michigan W #23 Pass Def # /4 Colorado St W /8 Eastern Michigan W #54 Total Def # /11 at Air Force W /14 at Kent St W #68 Def # /18 Fresno St 7-13 L /24 Northern Illinois W #27 Sks By # /25 at San Jose St L / #66 Ypg Diff # / /22 Wyoming Total TO's /22 Central Michigan Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Rhode Island at Iowa at Kansas Gardner-Webb at Syracuse Oregon Miami, OH Hawaii at Boston College Texas St at Ohio Toledo at Utah St at Ball St at Boise St New Mexico at Western Michigan Colorado St Eastern Michigan at Air Force at Kent St Fresno St Northern Illinois at San Jose St Wyoming Central Michigan C Michigan Chippewas LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Passing Rhode Island Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Mark Chapman C Michigan Wyoming at Iowa Josh Allen Milo Hall Austin Conway at Kansas Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Mark Chapman Gardner-Webb Josh Allen Kellen Overstreet Austin Conway C Michigan QB/WR at Syracuse Shane Morris Kumehnnu Gwilly Cameron Cole Oregon Josh Allen Milo Hall Austin Conway Miami, OH Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Eric Cooper Wyoming DB's Hawaii Josh Allen Trey Woods Tyree Mayfield at Boston College Shane Morris Kumehnnu Gwilly Tony Poljan C Michigan RB's Texas St Josh Allen Trey Woods CJ Johnson at Ohio Shane Morris Tony Poljan Tyler Conklin Toledo Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Mark Chapman Wyoming LB's at Utah St Josh Allen Trey Woods James Price at Ball St Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Corey Willis C Michigan OL at Boise St Josh Allen Josh Allen Austin Conway New Mexico Josh Allen Trey Woods James Price at Western Michigan Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Corey Willis Wyoming DL Colorado St Josh Allen Josh Allen CJ Johnson Eastern Michigan Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Corey Willis C Michigan DL at Air Force Josh Allen Trey Woods Trey Woods at Kent St Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Tyler Conklin Fresno St Nick Smith Kellen Overstreet Austin Conway Northern Illinois Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Mark Chapman Wyoming OL at San Jose St Nick Smith Kellen Overstreet CJ Johnson C Michigan LB'S Wyoming 0.81 Central Michigan Wyoming RB's Shane Morris Jonathan Ward Mark Chapman C Michigan DB's Josh Allen Trey Woods Austin Conway C Michigan Leaders Tony Poljan Kumehnnu Gwilly Corey Willis Wyoming Leaders Nick Smith Kellen Overstreet CJ Johnson Jonathan Ward Romello Ross Tyler Conklin Wyoming QB/WR Austin Conway Josh Allen James Price Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) C Michigan ST's Projected Box 1.46 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Wyoming ST's Even Projected The big question for this bowl is whether NFL prospect Josh Allen will be healthy C Michigan K 128 yards C Michigan Wyoming 123 yards Las Vegas Total Points enough to play. CM has the on OFF. Wyoming has a slight on D. Wyoming s Projected Passing Wyoming K biggest s is with their ST s unit, and the site. Wyoming is used to altitude and +/- Ratings 225 yards C Michigan Wyoming 167 yards C Michigan Coaches C Michigan By 6.0 played at this stadium this year. This game looks like a toss-up and that is where the Projected Yardage Total 0.35 line is. 2 factors will have me leaning with the MAC squad. Over the L/4 games, CM Game Grade 353 yards C Michigan Wyoming 290 yards C Michigan By 3.3 played to an avg game grade of 82.2 and Wyoming to just a 74.7 grade. Wyoming Wyoming Coaches Projected Final C Michigan Pts Computer Yards beat 2 bowl teams, but trailed in the 4Q in those wins. CM beat a Big 12 team on the 21 points C Michigan Wyoming 20 points C Michigan road, while also beating 3 bowl teams. CM was -6 ypg vs the 5 bowl teams they Experience Rankings Wyoming Pts Computer Points 55 C Michigan Wyoming 45 C Michigan faced, while Wyoming was -109 ypg vs their 6 bowl foes. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 95 Team Schedule Strength C Michigan Wyoming 111 Wyoming Phil Steele By 0.89 Points C Michigan by 3 Central Michigan 21 Wyoming 18 Return to Table of Contents Wyoming Cowboys Wyoming Cowboys

21 CENTRAL MICH (8-4) ATS: 7-5 O/U: FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO Friday, December 22, :00 pm ESPN Albertson s Stadium Boise, ID COMPUTER PROJECTIONS CM WYO 142 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +16 #107 sked #111 CHECKLIST CM WYO 41/2 QB 4 RB 4 WR OL DL LB 4 4 DB CCH 4 SITE 44 MTCH INT ST 441/2 1/2 SKED OVERALL WYOMING BY 1 4 s WYOMING (7-5) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 3-9

22 Texas Tech Red Raiders Red Raiders Logs BIG 12 AAC Bulls Logs TM --PS RANK-- TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Eastern Washington W TEAM RANKINGS /26 at San Jose St W / /2 Stony Brook W Texas Tech USF /16 Arizona St W / /23 at Houston W #96 Rush Off # /15 Illinois W /30 Oklahoma St L #11 Pass Off # /21 Temple 43-7 W /7 at Kansas W #17 Total Off # /30 at East Carolina W /14 at West Virginia L #26 Off # / /21 Iowa St L #72 Sks Allowed # /14 Cincinnati 33-3 W /28 at Oklahoma L #53 Rush Def # /21 at Tulane W /4 Kansas St L #124 Pass Def # /28 Houston L /11 Baylor W #100 Total Def # /4 at Connecticut W /18 TCU 3-27 L #94 Def # / /25 at Texas W #107 Sks By # /16 Tulsa W / #51 Ypg Diff # /24 at UCF L /23 USF Total TO's / /23 Texas Tech Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Eastern Washington at San Jose St Stony Brook Arizona St at Houston Illinois Oklahoma St Temple at Kansas at East Carolina at West Virginia Iowa St Cincinnati at Oklahoma at Tulane Kansas St Houston Baylor at Connecticut TCU at Texas Tulsa at UCF USF Texas Tech Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Leaders Passing By Game Leaders Passing Yardage Position by Position Edges Yardage Eastern Washington Nic Shimonek Desmond Nisby Derrick Willies Texas Tech USF at San Jose St Quinton Flowers D'Ernest Johnson Marquez Scantling Stony Brook Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Tyre McCants Texas Tech QB/WR Arizona St Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton Keke Coutee at Houston Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton Keke Coutee USF DB's Illinois Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Marquez Scantling Oklahoma St Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton Cameron Batson Texas Tech RB's Temple Quinton Flowers Darius Tice Tyre McCants at Kansas Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton Keke Coutee at East Carolina Quinton Flowers D'Ernest Johnson Marquez Scantling at West Virginia Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton T.J Vasher USF LB's Iowa St Nic Shimonek Tre King Keke Coutee Texas Tech OL Cincinnati Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Deange Antoine at Oklahoma Nic Shimonek Tre King T.J Vasher at Tulane Quinton Flowers Darius Tice Darnel Salomon Kansas St Nic Shimonek Tre King Keke Coutee USF DL Houston Quinton Flowers Darius Tice Marquez Scantling Baylor Nic Shimonek Tre King Dylan Cantrell Texas Tech DL at Connecticut Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Marquez Scantling TCU Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton Dylan Cantrell at Texas McLane Carter Justin Stockton Keke Coutee USF OL Tulsa Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Darnel Salomon Texas Tech LB'S at UCF Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Tyre McCants USF 0.14 USF RB's Texas Tech Nic Shimonek Justin Stockton Keke Coutee Texas Tech DB's Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Marquez Scantling Texas Tech Leaders McLane Carter Tre King Dylan Cantrell USF Leaders Brett Kean Darius Tice Tyre McCants Jett Duffey Desmond Nisby Cameron Batson USF QB/WR Chris Oladokun D'Ernest Johnson Darnel Salomon Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Texas Tech ST's Projected Box 1.09 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line USF ST's Usf By 2.5 Projected Texas Tech K After a slow start, USF dominated 4 straight foes, but lost their L/4 regular Las Vegas Total 133 yards Texas Tech USF 231 yards Points season games ATS. USF has a nice matchup with my #18 rated pass D vs Projected Passing USF K +/- Ratings the pass heavy TT OFF. Nik Shimonek is your typical first year TT QB. USF QB 334 yards Texas Tech USF 228 yards Texas Tech By 2.0 Texas Tech Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.50 Quinton Flowers is dangerous. TT has a slight on OFF and USF a slight Game Grade 467 yards Texas Tech USF 459 yards USF Coaches Texas Tech By 2.2 on D. Charlie Strong and his Tx squad was 2-1 vs Kingsbury. USF has the Projected Final Texas Tech Pts on ST s. USF went just 1-2 vs bowl teams. TT beat AZSt, Hou, and Tx, Computer Yards 34 points Texas Tech USF 33 points Texas Tech and had close losses to OKSt, WV (blew lead) and KSt (OT). I will go Experience Rankings USF Pts Computer Points with the more battle tested team to pull off the upset. 118 Texas Tech USF 36 Texas Tech POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 13 Team Schedule Strength Texas Tech USF 112 USF Phil Steele By 3.85 Points Texas Tech by 1 Texas Tech 36 USF 35 Return to Table of Contents Texas Tech Red Raiders LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES USF Bulls USF Bulls

23 TEXAS TECH (6-6) ATS: O/U: 5-7 BIRMINGHAM BOWL Saturday, December 23, :00 pm ESPN Legion Field Birmingham, AL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TTECH USF 150 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +9 #14 sked #120 CHECKLIST TTECH USF QB 1/2 RB 4 WR OL 1/2 DL 4 LB 1/2 DB 4 1/2 CCH SITE MTCH 4 INT ST 41/ SKED OVERALL USF BY 1 4 s SOUTH FLORIDA (9-2) ATS: 5-6 O/U: 4-7

24 San Diego St Aztecs Aztecs Logs MTW IND Black Knights Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 UC Davis W TEAM RANKINGS /1 Fordham 64-6 W /9 at Arizona St W /9 Buffalo W San Diego St Army /16 Stanford W /16 at Ohio St 7-38 L /23 at Air Force W #12 Rush Off # /23 at Tulane L /30 Northern Illinois W #118 Pass Off # /30 UTEP W /7 at UNLV W #55 Total Off # /7 at Rice W /14 Boise St L #48 Off # /14 Eastern Michigan W /21 Fresno St 3-27 L #95 Sks Allowed # /21 Temple W /28 at Hawaii 28-7 W #8 Rush Def # / /4 at San Jose St 52-7 W #27 Pass Def # /4 at Air Force 21-0 W / #11 Total Def # /11 Duke W /18 Nevada W #15 Def # /18 at North Texas L /25 New Mexico W #68 Sks By # / / #19 Ypg Diff # /9 Navy W /23 Army West Point Total TO's / /23 San Diego St Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks UC Davis Fordham at Arizona St Buffalo Stanford at Ohio St at Air Force at Tulane Northern Illinois UTEP at UNLV at Rice Boise St Eastern Michigan Fresno St Temple at Hawaii at San Jose St at Air Force Duke Nevada at North Texas New Mexico Navy Army West Point San Diego St Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing UC Davis Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Kahale Warring San Diego St Army Fordham Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Zach Saum at Arizona St Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Rashaad Penny San Diego QB/WR Buffalo Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Jordan Asberry St Stanford Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder at Ohio St Ahmad Bradshaw Darnell Woolfolk Kell Walker at Air Force Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder Army DB's at Tulane Ahmad Bradshaw Andy Davidson Zach Saum Northern Illinois Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Kahale Warring UTEP Ahmad Bradshaw Andy Davidson Jordan Asberry San Diego St RB's at UNLV Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder at Rice Kelvin Hopkins Kell Walker Kjetil Cline Boise St Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Fred Trevillion Army LB's Eastern Michigan Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Zach Saum Fresno St Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder San Diego St OL Temple Ahmad Bradshaw Darnell Woolfolk Kell Walker at Hawaii Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder at San Jose St Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Fred Trevillion Army DL at Air Force Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Zach Saum San Diego St DL Duke Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Kell Walker Nevada Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder at North Texas Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw John Trainor New Mexico Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Fred Trevillion Army OL Navy Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Calen Holt San Diego St LB'S Army West Point 0.16 Army RB's San Diego St Christian Chapman Rashaad Penny Mikah Holder Ahmad Bradshaw Ahmad Bradshaw Kell Walker San Diego St DB's San Diego St Leaders Ryan Agnew Juwan Washington Fred Trevillion Army Leaders Kelvin Hopkins Darnell Woolfolk Jordan Asberry Team Chase Jasmin Kahale Warring Army QB/WR Zach Potter Kell Walker Jeff Ejekam Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) San Diego St ST's Projected Box Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 2.08 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2012 Las Vegas Line San Diego St Army ST's San Diego St By 6.5 Army has a nice of having played just 2 weeks ago. Army did win their first CIC Army West Point Projected San Diego St K Las Vegas Total trophy s/ 96 and is attempting to get a rare 10 win season. Army has the in only 214 yards San Diego St Army 285 yards Points 2 areas. Rashaad Penny will have success vs an Army D allowing 5.0 ypc. Army 141 yards Projected Passing Army K +/- Ratings figures to have the crowd, with a good portion of their roster originating from San Diego St Army 42 yards San Diego St Coaches San Diego St By 3.0 Projected Yardage Total Tx. SDSt is the more talented team, but their biggest is that Rocky Long s D s yards San Diego St Army 328 yards Game Grade Army Coaches San Diego St By 1.6 always do well vs the option. He is 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS vs option teams. This year Projected Final the Aztecs held AF to 178 yards below their season avg, and then held NM to 121 San Diego St Pts Computer Yards 24 points San Diego St Army 22 points San Diego St yards below their season avg. They have the bowl practices to help prep for the option Experience Rankings Army Pts and in the 14 bowl held Navy to a season low 271 yards, which was 161 ypg below Computer Points 115 San Diego St Army 8 the Middies season avg. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: San Diego St Team Schedule Strength San Diego St Army 87 San Diego St Phil Steele By 2.88 Points San Diego St by 10 San Diego St 27 Army 17 Return to Table of Contents San Diego St Aztecs LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Army Black Knights Army Black Knights

25 SAN DIEGO ST (10-2) ATS: 8-4 O/U: ARMED FORCES BOWL Saturday, December 23, :30 pm ESPN Amon G Carter Stadium Fort Worth, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS SDST ARMY 208 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +4 #97 sked #100 CHECKLIST SDST ARMY QB 44 RB 4 WR OL 44 41/2 DL 4 LB 44 DB 1/2 CCH SITE MTCH INT 4 ST 4 SKED OVERALL SAN DIEGO ST BY 6 4 s ARMY (9-3) ATS: 5-7 O/U: 6-6

26 Rockets Logs MAC SUN Mountaineers Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /31 Elon W TEAM RANKINGS /2 at Georgia L /9 at Nevada W /9 Savannah State 54-7 W Toledo Appalachian St /16 Tulsa W /16 at Texas St W /23 at Miami, Fl L #26 Rush Off # /23 Wake Forest L / #21 Pass Off # / /7 Eastern Michigan W #8 Total Off # /7 New Mexico St W /14 at Central Michigan W #11 Off # /14 at Idaho W /21 Akron W #32 Sks Allowed # /21 Coastal Carolina W /26 at Ball St W #68 Rush Def # /28 at UMass L /2 Northern Illinois W #49 Pass Def # /4 at ULM L /8 at Ohio L #55 Total Def # /9 GA Southern 27-6 W /15 at Bowling Green W #56 Def # / /24 Western Michigan W #83 Sks By # /25 at Georgia St W /2 Akron W #13 Ypg Diff # /2 Louisiana W / Total TO's / /23 Appalachian St /23 Toledo Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Toledo Rockets Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Elon at Georgia at Nevada Savannah State Tulsa at Texas St at Miami, Fl Wake Forest Eastern Michigan New Mexico St at Central Michigan at Idaho Akron Coastal Carolina at Ball St at UMass Northern Illinois at ULM at Ohio GA Southern at Bowling Green Western Michigan at Georgia St Toledo Rockets LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Akron Louisiana Appalachian St Toledo Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Return to Table of Contents Appalachian St Mountaineers Appalachian St Mountaineers

27 PALACHIAN ST (8-4) ATS: 5-7 O/U: 5-7 DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL Saturday, December 23, :00 pm ESPN Ladd-Peebles Stadium Mobile, AL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS P ST TOL 218 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +5 #126 sked #102 CHECKLIST P ST TOL QB 1/2 RB WR 4 OL 4 DL LB DB 1/2 CCH 4 1/2 SITE MTCH INT ST 44 SKED 4 OVERALL TOLEDO BY 1 4 s TOLEDO (11-2) ATS: 7-6 O/U: 7-6

28 Houston Cougars Fresno St Bulldogs Cougars Logs AAC MTW Bulldogs Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 at TEAM RANKINGS /2 Incarnate Word 66-0 W /9 at Arizona W /9 at Alabama L Houston Fresno St /16 Rice 38-3 W /16 at Washington L /23 Texas Tech L #54 Rush Off # / /30 at Temple W #38 Pass Off # /30 Nevada W /7 SMU W #35 Total Off # /7 at San Jose St W /14 at Tulsa L #67 Off # /14 New Mexico 38-0 W /19 Memphis L #14 Sks Allowed # /21 at San Diego St 27-3 W /28 at USF W #47 Rush Def # /28 UNLV L /4 East Carolina W #119 Pass Def # /4 BYU W / #84 Total Def # /11 at Hawaii W /18 at Tulane L #39 Def # /18 at Wyoming 13-7 W /24 Navy W #83 Sks By # /25 Boise St W / #63 Ypg Diff # /2 at Boise St L /24 Fresno St Total TO's / /24 Houston Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Incarnate Word at Arizona at Alabama Rice at Washington Texas Tech at Temple Nevada SMU at San Jose St at Tulsa New Mexico Memphis at San Diego St at USF UNLV East Carolina BYU at Hawaii at Tulane at Wyoming Navy Boise St at Boise St Fresno St Houston Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing at Houston Fresno St Incarnate Word Chason Virgil Ronnie Rivers KeeSean Johnson at Arizona Kyle Allen Dillon Birden Steven Dunbar at Alabama Chason Virgil Ronnie Rivers Da'Mari Scott Houston QB/WR Rice Kyle Allen Mulbah Car Linell Bonner at Washington Chason Virgil Ronnie Rivers KeeSean Johnson Texas Tech Kyle Allen Kyle Postma Steven Dunbar Fresno St DB's at Temple Kyle Postma Kyle Postma Steven Dunbar Houston RB's Nevada Marcus McMaryion Ronnie Rivers KeeSean Johnson SMU Kyle Postma Duke Catalon Steven Dunbar at San Jose St Marcus McMaryion Ronnie Rivers KeeSean Johnson at Tulsa Kyle Postma Dillon Birden Steven Dunbar Fresno St LB's New Mexico Marcus McMaryion Josh Hokit Jamire Jordan Memphis Kyle Postma Dillon Birden Linell Bonner Houston OL at San Diego St Marcus McMaryion Jordan Mims Da'Mari Scott at USF D'Eriq King Mulbah Car Courtney Lark UNLV Marcus McMaryion Jordan Mims Derrion Grim East Carolina D'Eriq King Duke Catalon Steven Dunbar Fresno St DL BYU Marcus McMaryion Josh Hokit Da'Mari Scott Houston DL at Hawaii Marcus McMaryion Jordan Mims KeeSean Johnson at Tulane D'Eriq King D'Eriq King Linell Bonner at Wyoming Marcus McMaryion Josh Hokit KeeSean Johnson Navy D'Eriq King D'Eriq King Steven Dunbar Fresno St OL Boise St Marcus McMaryion Jordan Mims KeeSean Johnson Houston LB'S at Boise St Marcus McMaryion Josh Hokit KeeSean Johnson Fresno St 1.52 Fresno St RB's Houston Kyle Postma Duke Catalon Steven Dunbar Houston DB's Marcus McMaryion Jordan Mims KeeSean Johnson Houston Leaders D'Eriq King Mulbah Car Linell Bonner Fresno St Leaders Chason Virgil Josh Hokit Da'Mari Scott Kyle Allen D'Eriq King D'Eriq King Fresno St QB/WR Josh Hokit Ronnie Rivers Jamire Jordan Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Houston ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Return to Table of Contents Projected Box 0.21 Houston Cougars LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Fresno St Bulldogs Las Vegas Line Fresno St ST's Houston By 2.5 Projected Houston K Las Vegas Total 125 yards Houston Fresno St 87 yards Points Projected Passing Fresno St K +/- Ratings 250 yards Houston Fresno St 277 yards Fresno St By 0.0 Houston Coaches Projected Yardage Total 1.50 Game Grade 374 yards Houston Fresno St 364 yards Houston By 0.5 Fresno St Coaches Projected Final Houston Pts Computer Yards 18 points Houston Fresno St 17 points Houston Experience Rankings Fresno St Pts Computer Points 41 Houston Fresno St 28 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Houston Team Schedule Strength Houston Phil Steele 70 Houston Fresno St 90 Houston by 1 By 1.28 Points Jeff Tedford did an incredible job as FSt won just 1 game last year and played in the MW title game this year. DC Orlando Steinhauer came over from the CFL, but had no problems adjusting to the college game as his D held foes to 53 ypg below their season avg. Despite using 3 QB s, the Cougars completed 70% of their passes. The top NFL prospect in this game is Nagurski Award winning DT Ed Oliver, who is just a true soph. The D s are even. Houston has the on OFF, while FSt has the on ST s and played at this site 6 weeks ago. The game is a toss-up. Houston s OFF gains 12 ypg less than their foes allow on avg, and FSt is -8 ypg in that category as well. Houston limits foes to 30 ypg below their season avg, and FSt is even better at 53 ypg below. My computer is calling for 35 total points scored. I like the under 50 in this one. Houston 18 Fresno St 17

29 FRESNO STATE (9-4) ATS: O/U: 4-9 HAWAII BOWL Sunday, December 24, :30 pm ESPN Aloha Stadium Honolulu, HI COMPUTER PROJECTIONS FSU HOU 86 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -2 #76 sked #84 CHECKLIST FSU HOU QB 4 RB 4 1/2 WR OL 1/2 DL 4 LB 1/2 DB 4 1/2 CCH 4 SITE MTCH INT 1/2 ST SKED OVERALL HOUSTON BY 1/2 4 s HOUSTON (7-4) ATS: 6-5 O/U: 2-9

30 Phil Steele's 2017 Bowl Confidence Picks Team Rank FAU-Boca Raton 41 Auburn-Peach 40 Northwestern-Music City 39 Florida St-Independence 38 Louisville-Taxslayer 37 Michigan-Outback 36 Oklahoma St-Camping World 35 Troy-New Orleans 34 Utah-Heart of Dallas 33 Utah St-Arizona 32 Kansas St-Cactus 31 Oregon-Vegas 30 Penn St-Fiesta 29 WKU-Cure 28 North Carolina A&T 27 Ohio St-Cotton 26 San Diego St-Armed Forces 25 Texas-Texas 24 Ohio-Bahamas 23 Atkansas St-Camellia 22 Champ Game Winner 21 SMU-Frisco 20 TCU-Alamo 19 Duke-Quick Lane 18 Wisconsin-Orange 17 Alabama-Sugar 16 Toledo-Dollar General 15 Purdue-Foster Farms 14 Central Michigan-Idaho Potato 13 Boston College-Pinstripe 12 TexasTech-Birmingham 11 Michigan St-Holiday 10 Wake Forest-Belk 9 Notre Dame-Citrus 8 Marshall-New Mexico 7 FIU-Gasparilla 6 Arizona St-Sun 5 Houston-Hawaii 4 Navy-Military 3 Memphis-Liberty 2 Oklahoma-Rose 1

31 West Virginia Mountainers Mountainers Logs BIG 12 PAC 12 TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Virginia Tech L TEAM RANKINGS /31 North Dakota W /9 East Carolina W /9 at BYU W West Virginia Utah /16 Delaware St W /16 San Jose St W /23 at Kansas W #72 Rush Off # /22 at Arizona W / #12 Pass Off # / /7 at TCU L #16 Total Off # /7 Stanford L /14 Texas Tech W #19 Off # /14 at USC L /21 at Baylor W #26 Sks Allowed # /21 Arizona St L /28 Oklahoma St L #104 Rush Def # /28 at Oregon L /4 Iowa St W #101 Pass Def # /3 UCLA W /11 at Kansas St W #111 Total Def # /11 Washington St L /18 Texas L #92 Def # /18 at Washington L /25 at Oklahoma L #107 Sks By # /25 Colorado W / #53 Ypg Diff # / /26 Utah Total TO's /26 West Virginia Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds West Virginia Mountainers Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Virginia Tech North Dakota East Carolina at BYU Delaware St San Jose St at Kansas at Arizona at TCU Stanford Texas Tech at USC at Baylor Arizona St Oklahoma St at Oregon Iowa St UCLA at Kansas St Washington St Texas at Washington at Oklahoma Colorado Utah West Virginia LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Leaders Passing By Game Leaders Passing Yardage Position by Position Edges Yardage Virginia Tech Will Grier Justin Crawford Gary Jennings Utah North Dakota Tyler Huntley Zack Moss Darren Carrington West Virginia East Carolina Will Grier Justin Crawford David Sills at BYU Tyler Huntley Tyler Huntley Darren Carrington West Virginia QB/WR Delaware St Will Grier Justin Crawford Gary Jennings San Jose St Tyler Huntley Tyler Huntley Darren Carrington at Kansas Will Grier Justin Crawford David Sills Utah DB's at Arizona Troy Williams Zack Moss Darren Carrington West Virginia RB's at TCU Will Grier Justin Crawford Ka'Raun White Stanford Troy Williams Zack Moss Darren Carrington Texas Tech Will Grier Justin Crawford Ka'Raun White Utah LB's at USC Troy Williams Zack Moss Demari Simpkins at Baylor Will Grier Kennedy McKoy David Sills Arizona St Tyler Huntley Zack Moss Darren Carrington West Virginia OL Oklahoma St Will Grier Justin Crawford Marcus Simms at Oregon Tyler Huntley Zack Moss Darren Carrington Iowa St Will Grier Justin Crawford Ka'Raun White Utah DL UCLA Tyler Huntley Zack Moss Troy McCormick at Kansas St Will Grier Justin Crawford Ka'Raun White West Virginia DL Washington St Tyler Huntley Tyler Huntley Demari Simpkins Texas Chris Chugunov Justin Crawford Gary Jennings at Washington Tyler Huntley Zack Moss Raelon Singleton at Oklahoma Chris Chugunov Kennedy McKoy David Sills Utah OL Colorado Troy Williams Zack Moss Darren Carrington West Virginia LB'S Utah 0.16 West Virginia Utah RB's Will Grier Justin Crawford Gary Jennings Tyler Huntley Zack Moss Darren Carrington West Virginia DB's West Virginia Leaders Chris Chugunov Kennedy McKoy David Sills Utah Leaders Troy Williams Tyler Huntley Raelon Singleton Team Martell Pettaway Ka'Raun White Utah QB/WR Demari Simpkins Devonta'e Henry-Cole Siaosi Wilson Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) West Virginia ST's Projected Box 1.39 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Utah ST's Utah By 6.5 The big news in this game is that WV QB Will Grier inj d his finger and is Projected West Virginia K Las Vegas Total 144 yards West Virginia Utah 190 yards Points doubtful. Utah switched to more of a pass OFF this year and the unit operated Projected Passing Utah K at its best with Tyler Huntley under center. WV has the on the OL. Utah +/- Ratings 272 yards West Virginia Utah 252 yards Utah By 1.0 has a large on D. The biggest is on ST s as Utah is #15 in my West Virginia Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.85 Game Grade rankings and WV is at the other end of the spectrum at #120. The Utah DL is yards West Virginia Utah 442 yards Utah Coaches W Virginia By 0.8 of the best in the country led by Lowell Lotulelei and Filipo Mokofisi. Dana Projected Final West Virginia Pts Computer Yards Holgorson is 2-3 in bowl games, while Kyle Whittingham is 1 of the best at points West Virginia Utah 32 points Utah Experience Rankings Utah Pts SU and 7-3 ATS. With a HC that knows how to win along with the D and ST s Computer Points 125 West Virginia Utah 122 Utah s, I will side with the Utes. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: 33 Team Schedule Strength West Virginia Utah 53 Utah Phil Steele By 6.50 Points Utah by 11 Utah 34 West Virginia 23 Return to Table of Contents Utah Utes Utah Utes Utes Logs

32 UTAH (6-6) ATS: 9-3 O/U: 6-6 HEART OF DALLAS BOWL Tuesday, December 26, :20 pm ESPN Cotton Bowl Stadium Dallas, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UTAH WVU 192 rush yd pass yd pts 30-1 ytd to -5 #41 sked #39 CHECKLIST UTAH WVU 441/2 QB RB 4 WR 41/2 OL 1/2 441/2 DL LB 4 DB 4 CCH SITE MTCH INT /2 ST SKED OVERALL UTAH BY 6 4 s WEST VIRGINIA (7-5) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 8-4

33 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST REC TM CONF CONF TM +/- +/- Duke Blue Devils Blue Devils Logs TEAM /2 NC Central 60-7 W TEAM RANKINGS /1 Boston College L /9 Northwestern 41-1 W /9 Eastern Illinois W Duke N Illinois /16 Baylor W /16 at Nebraska W /23 at North Carolina W #61 Rush Off # / /29 Miami, Fl 6-31 L #80 Pass Off # /30 at San Diego St L /7 at Virginia L #92 Total Off # /7 Kent St 24-3 W /14 Florida St L #86 Off # /14 at Buffalo W /21 Pittsburgh L #80 Sks Allowed # /21 at Bowling Green W /28 at Virginia Tech 3-24 L #58 Rush Def # /26 Eastern Michigan W / #12 Pass Def # /2 at Toledo L /11 at Army West Point L #22 Total Def # /9 Ball St W /18 Georgia Tech W #25 Def # /15 Western Michigan W /25 at Wake Forest W #48 Sks By # /24 at Central Michigan L / #47 Ypg Diff # / ACC /26 Northern Illinois Total TO's /26 Duke MAC --PS RANK NCAA RANKINGS REC TM CONF CONF TM +/- +/- N Illinois Huskies Huskies Logs TEAM --PS RANK-- Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks NC Central Boston College Northwestern Eastern Illinois Baylor at Nebraska at North Carolina Miami, Fl at San Diego St at Virginia Kent St Florida St at Buffalo Pittsburgh at Bowling Green at Virginia Tech Eastern Michigan at Toledo at Army West Point Ball St Georgia Tech Western Michigan at Wake Forest at Central Michigan Northern Illinois Duke Duke Blue Devils LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES N Illinois Huskies Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % NC Central Daniel Jones Brittain Brown Aaron Young Duke N Illinois Boston College Ryan Graham Ryan Graham Chad Beebe Northwestern Daniel Jones Daniel Jones TJ Rahming Duke QB/WR Eastern Illinois Daniel Santacaterina Jordan Huff DJ Brown Baylor Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson Brittain Brown at Nebraska Daniel Santacaterina Jordan Huff Christian Blake at North Carolina Daniel Jones Brittain Brown TJ Rahming N Illinois DB's Miami, Fl Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson Johnathan Lloyd Duke RB's at San Diego St Daniel Santacaterina Jordan Huff Christian Blake at Virginia Daniel Jones Brittain Brown TJ Rahming Kent St Marcus Childers Marcus Childers Shane Wimann Florida St Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson TJ Rahming N Illinois LB's at Buffalo Marcus Childers Marcus Childers DJ Brown Pittsburgh Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson TJ Rahming Duke OL at Bowling Green Marcus Childers Tommy Mister Chad Beebe at Virginia Tech Daniel Jones Daniel Jones Johnathan Lloyd Eastern Michigan Marcus Childers Marcus Childers DJ Brown N Illinois DL at Toledo Marcus Childers Marcus Jones Spencer Tears at Army West Point Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson TJ Rahming Duke DL Ball St Marcus Childers Jordan Huff Jauan Wesley Georgia Tech Daniel Jones Brittain Brown Johnathan Lloyd Western Michigan Marcus Childers Jordan Huff Mitch Brinkman at Wake Forest Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson TJ Rahming N Illinois OL at Central Michigan Marcus Childers Tre Harbison Spencer Tears Duke LB'S Northern Illinois 1.33 Duke None By Game Yardage Leaders Duke Leaders Passing Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson TJ Rahming Duke DB's Marcus Childers Jordan Huff Spencer Tears Quentin Harris Brittain Brown Johnathan Lloyd N Illinois Leaders Daniel Santacaterina Marcus Childers Christian Blake Parker Boehme Daniel Jones Chris Taylor N Illinois QB/WR Ryan Graham Marcus Jones Chad Beebe Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents 141 yards 217 yards 25 points Duke Duke 358 yards Duke Projected Yardage Total Duke N Illinois Experience Rankings Duke N Illinois N Illinois Projected Final Duke Projected Box Projected N Illinois Projected Passing N Illinois Team Schedule Strength N Illinois 146 yards 152 yards 298 yards 18 points Position by Position Edges N Illinois RB's Duke ST's N Illinois ST's Duke K N Illinois K Duke Coaches N Illinois Coaches Duke Pts N Illinois Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Duke By 1.38 Points By Game Yardage Leaders Category Las Vegas Line Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin Duke By Points Duke By 8.5 Duke By 4.9 Duke Duke Duke by 3 Passing Phil's Forecast: Duke has won a grand total of 1 bowl game s/ 61. NIU HC Rod Carey is 0-3 in bowls both SU and ATS. NIU was in contention for the MAC West into the final week. The Duke OFF was dynamic early with Daniel Jones throwing for 226 ypg and having a 5-2 ratio the F/4 games, but he struggled the rest of the year. He finished strong, including 346 yards in the penultimate win over WF. Duke has my #22 rated D, and holds foes to 41 ypg below their season avg. NIU switched QB s mid-year. NIU is #8 in the country, allowing just 4.9 yards per play. Their D is led by Sutton Smith, who had 14 sks. NIU has the on the DL, but Duke has s at LB and DB. NIU has the of playing in the MAC title game 6 of the L8Y at this site. I think this will be a lower scoring game with the two solid D s. These teams are very close talent wise, so I will take the points with the Huskies. Duke 20 Northern Illinois 17

34 DUKE (6-6) ATS: O/U: 2-10 QUICK LANE BOWL Tuesday, December 26, :15 pm ESPN Ford Field Detroit, MI COMPUTER PROJECTIONS DUKE NIU 145 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -3 #57 sked #106 CHECKLIST DUKE NIU 1/2 QB RB 1/2 WR OL DL 41/2 4 LB 1/2 DB 41/2 CCH SITE 41/2 MTCH INT ST 4 441/2 SKED OVERALL DUKE BY 2 4 s NORTHERN ILLINOIS (8-4) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6

35 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF UCLA Bruins Bruins Logs TEAM PAC 12 BIG 12 --PS RANK NCAA RANKINGS REC /3 Texas A&M W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Central Arkansas W /9 Hawaii W /9 Charlotte 55-7 W UCLA Kansas St /16 at Memphis L /16 at Vanderbilt 7-14 L /23 at Stanford L #112 Rush Off # / /30 Colorado W #5 Pass Off # /30 Baylor W / #20 Total Off # /7 at Texas L /14 at Arizona L #31 Off # /14 TCU 6-26 L /21 Oregon W #88 Sks Allowed # /21 Oklahoma L /28 at Washington L #129 Rush Def # /28 at Kansas W /3 at Utah L #40 Pass Def # /4 at Texas Tech W /11 Arizona St W #123 Total Def # /11 West Virginia L /18 at USC L #118 Def # /18 at Oklahoma St W /24 California W #101 Sks By # /25 Iowa St W / #85 Ypg Diff # / /26 Kansas St Total TO's /26 UCLA TM CONF CONF TM +/- +/- Kansas St Wildcats Wildcats Logs TEAM --PS RANK-- Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Texas A&M Central Arkansas Hawaii Charlotte at Memphis at Vanderbilt at Stanford Colorado Baylor at Texas at Arizona TCU Oregon Oklahoma at Washington at Kansas at Utah at Texas Tech Arizona St West Virginia at USC at Oklahoma St California Iowa St Kansas St UCLA UCLA Bruins LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Kansas St Wildcats Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Texas A&M Josh Rosen Soso Jamabo Caleb Wilson UCLA Kansas St Central Arkansas Jesse Ertz Skylar Thompson Byron Pringle Hawaii Josh Rosen Nate Starks Theo Howard UCLA QB/WR Charlotte Jesse Ertz Alex Barnes Isaiah Zuber at Memphis Josh Rosen Bolu Olorunfunmi Darren Andrews at Vanderbilt Jesse Ertz Jesse Ertz Isaiah Zuber at Stanford Josh Rosen Soso Jamabo Jordan Lasley Kansas St DB's Colorado Josh Rosen Soso Jamabo Jordan Lasley UCLA RB's Baylor Jesse Ertz Jesse Ertz Isaiah Zuber at Texas Jesse Ertz Alex Delton Dalton Schoen at Arizona Josh Rosen Bolu Olorunfunmi Jordan Lasley Kansas St LB's TCU Alex Delton Alex Delton Byron Pringle Oregon Josh Rosen Bolu Olorunfunmi Christian Pabico UCLA OL Oklahoma Alex Delton Alex Delton Byron Pringle at Washington Josh Rosen Soso Jamabo Darren Andrews at Kansas Alex Delton Alex Barnes Byron Pringle at Utah Devon Modster Bolu Olorunfunmi Darren Andrews Kansas St DL at Texas Tech Alex Delton Justin Silmon Dalton Schoen Arizona St Josh Rosen Bolu Olorunfunmi Jordan Lasley UCLA DL West Virginia Skylar Thompson Dalvin Warmack Isaiah Zuber at USC Josh Rosen Soso Jamabo Jordan Lasley at Oklahoma St Skylar Thompson Skylar Thompson Byron Pringle California Josh Rosen Brandon Stephens Jordan Lasley Kansas St OL Iowa St Skylar Thompson Dalvin Warmack Isaiah Zuber UCLA LB'S Kansas St 0.07 UCLA UCLA Leaders Passing Josh Rosen Bolu Olorunfunmi Jordan Lasley UCLA DB's Jesse Ertz Alex Barnes Byron Pringle Devon Modster Soso Jamabo Darren Andrews Kansas St Leaders Skylar Thompson Alex Delton Isaiah Zuber Caleb Wilson Brandon Stephens Caleb Wilson Kansas St QB/WR Alex Delton Jesse Ertz Dalton Schoen Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) 2014 Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Kansas St UCLA Return to Table of Contents 364 yards Projected Box 84 yards UCLA Projected Kansas St Projected Passing UCLA Kansas St 169 yards Projected Yardage Total 448 yards UCLA Kansas St 433 yards Projected Final 28 points UCLA Kansas St 35 points Experience Rankings 43 UCLA Kansas St Team Schedule Strength 7 UCLA Kansas St 264 yards Position by Position Edges Kansas St RB's UCLA ST's Kansas St ST's UCLA K Kansas St K UCLA Coaches Kansas St Coaches UCLA Pts Kansas St Pts Kansas St By 9.59 Points POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: By Game Yardage Leaders +/- Ratings Phil Steele Category Las Vegas Line Las Vegas Total Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Team & Margin Kansas St By Points Kansas St By 6.5 Kansas St By 0.5 Ucla Kansas St Kansas St by 7 Passing Phil's Forecast: Bill Snyder is 1 of the greatest head coaches in the country, so it is a surprise to me that he is just 8-10 in bowl games SU. UCLA is led by interim HC Jedd Fisch, who called all the plays as the OC. The UCLA D suffered a bunch of inj s to the front 7 and allowed a ridiculous 283 rush ypg and 5.7 ypc. KSt was down to their third string QB Skylar Thompson over the L/3 games, but he acquitted himself well. The Wildcats matchup well as they like to run the ball and go vs that porous rush D. While KSt is further away, they usually travel better to bowl games. I was already leaning with KSt with the D and coaching, but then tossed in the ST s. I rate KSt with the #1 ST s unit, while UCLA is way down at #116. I am surprised that KSt is favored by less than fg. Best Bet: Kansas St 35 UCLA 28

36 KANSAS ST (7-5) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 6-6 CACTUS BOWL Tuesday, December 26, :00 pm ESPN Chase Field Phoenix, AZ COMPUTER PROJECTIONS K-ST UCLA 251 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -9 #59 sked #8 CHECKLIST K-ST UCLA QB 444 RB 1/2 WR 1/2 1/2 OL 44 DL 4 LB DB 1/2 444 CCH 41/2 SITE MTCH INT ST SKED 44 OVERALL KANSAS ST BY 6 4 s UCLA (6-6) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 8-4

37 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Alabama 7-24 L TEAM RANKINGS /2 Kentucky L / /9 Southern 45-0 W Florida St Southern Miss / /16 at ULM W NC State Rush Off / L #84 # / /30 at Wake Forest W #92 Pass Off # /30 North Texas L /7 Miami, Fl L #107 Total Off # /7 at UTSA W /14 at Duke W #79 Off # /14 UTEP 24-0 W /21 Louisville L #104 Sks Allowed # /21 at Louisiana Tech W at Boston College Rush Def UAB / L #33 # / L /4 Syracuse W #36 Pass Def # /4 at Tennessee L /11 at Clemson L #24 Total Def # /11 at Rice W Delaware St Def Charlotte / W #33 # / W /25 at Florida W #36 Sks By # /25 at Marshall W ULM Ypg Diff / W #71 # / / Total TO's /27 Florida St /27 Southern Miss Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Alabama Kentucky Southern at ULM NC State at Wake Forest North Texas Miami, Fl at UTSA at Duke UTEP Louisville at Louisiana Tech at Boston College UAB Syracuse at Tennessee at Clemson at Rice Delaware St Charlotte at Florida at Marshall ULM Southern Miss Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Alabama Deondre Francois Cam Akers Keith Gavin Florida St Southern Miss Kentucky Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Korey Robertson Florida St QB/WR Southern Kwadra Griggs T-Rod Daniels Allenzae Staggers at ULM Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Allenzae Staggers NC State James Blackman Cam Akers Auden Tate Southern Miss DB's at Wake Forest James Blackman Jacques Patrick Auden Tate Florida St RB's North Texas Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Allenzae Staggers Miami, Fl James Blackman Cam Akers Auden Tate at UTSA Keon Howard Ito Smith Quez Watkins at Duke James Blackman Cam Akers Nyqwan Murray Southern Miss LB's UTEP Keon Howard Ito Smith Jaylond Adams Louisville James Blackman Cam Akers Nyqwan Murray Florida St OL at Louisiana Tech Keon Howard Tez Parks Korey Robertson at Boston College James Blackman Cam Akers Nyqwan Murray UAB Keon Howard Ito Smith Ito Smith Syracuse James Blackman Cam Akers Nyqwan Murray Southern Miss DL at Tennessee Keon Howard Ito Smith Korey Robertson at Clemson James Blackman Cam Akers Nyqwan Murray Florida St DL at Rice Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Korey Robertson Delaware St James Blackman Ryan Green Keith Gavin Charlotte Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Korey Robertson at Florida James Blackman Jacques Patrick Ermon Lane Southern Miss OL at Marshall Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Korey Robertson ULM James Blackman Jacques Patrick Ermon Lane Florida St LB'S Florida St 0.91 Florida St Southern Miss None REC TM CONF Florida St Leaders CONF By Game Yardage Leaders TM +/- +/- Net Passing James Blackman Cam Akers Nyqwan Murray Florida St DB's Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Korey Robertson Deondre Francois Jacques Patrick Auden Tate Southern Miss Leaders Keon Howard Tez Parks Allenzae Staggers J.J Cosentino Amir Rasul Keith Gavin Southern Miss QB/WR Allenzae Staggers Kwadra Griggs Ito Smith Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Florida St Seminoles Seminoles Logs TEAM --PS RANK TM TM +/- +/- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF Return to Table of Contents Projected Box Projected 146 yards Florida St Southern Miss 109 yards 186 yards Florida St Projected Passing Southern Miss Projected Yardage Total 332 yards Florida St Southern Miss 33 points Projected Final Florida St Southern Miss Experience Rankings 208 yards 317 yards 18 points 44 Florida St Southern Miss 85 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Florida St 20 Florida St Southern Miss Florida St Seminoles LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Florida St K 0.25 Category Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings 49 Points 0.70 Game Grade Southern Miss Coaches Florida St By 8.2 Florida St Pts ACC 1.91 CUSA Southern Miss Golden Eagles 0.95 Southern Miss Golden Eagles Golden Eagles Logs Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Southern Miss RB's Florida St ST's Southern Miss ST's Southern Miss K Florida St Coaches Southern Miss Pts By 7.27 Points Las Vegas Line Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin Florida St By 16.5 Florida St By 16.5 Florida St Florida St Florida St by 9 Phil's Forecast: TEAM --PS RANK-- FSU may be 6-6, but that was vs the 13th toughest sked, while SM faced the #127 sked (4th easiest). One of the main things to look for when trying to find value in a bowl game is finding a team that is excited and wants to be there vs a team that will find it hard to get fired up for their opponent. This gm has that. FSU played well in the ssn finale to get to 6 wins and keep their bowl streak alive. Interim HC Haggins is well liked, but is just keeping the seat warm for Taggart. Play this game during the ssn at FSU and have it mean something and the Seminoles would roll, but that is not the case here. FS James is sitting out the bowl. SM will have the crowd and be far more excited to be here and they have weapons like RB Smith QB Griggs. I ll call for FSU to win by just over a td as SM keeps it closer than expected. Florida St 30 Southern Miss 21

38 SOUTHERN MISS (8-4) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 6-6 INDEPENDENCE BOWL Wednesday, December 27, :30 pm ESPN Independence Stadium Shreveport, LA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS SMISS FSU 128 rush yd pass yd pts 35 0 ytd to -7 #127 sked #13 CHECKLIST SMISS FSU QB 4 RB 1/2 WR 1/2 4 OL DL 41/2 LB 41/2 DB 44 4 CCH 441/2 SITE MTCH 44 INT ST 44 SKED OVERALL FLORIDA ST BY 7 4 s FLORIDA ST (6-6) ATS: O/U: 4-8

39 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF Iowa Hawkeyes 7-5 Hawkeyes Logs BIG 10 ACC Eagles Logs TEAM --PS RANK TM NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM +/- +/ /2 Wyoming 24-3 W TEAM RANKINGS /1 at Northern Illinois W /9 at Iowa St W /9 Wake Forest L Iowa Boston College /16 North Texas W /16 Notre Dame L /23 Penn St L #94 Rush Off # /23 at Clemson 7-34 L /30 at Michigan St L #88 Pass Off # /30 Central Michigan 28-8 W /7 Illinois W #108 Total Off # /7 Virginia Tech L / #68 Off # /14 at Louisville W /21 at Northwestern L #50 Sks Allowed # /21 at Virginia W /28 Minnesota W #37 Rush Def # /27 Florida St 35-3 W /4 Ohio St W #50 Pass Def # / /11 at Wisconsin L #34 Total Def # /11 NC State L /18 Purdue L #20 Def # /18 Connecticut W /25 at Nebraska W #48 Sks By # /25 at Syracuse W / #83 Ypg Diff # / /27 Boston College Total TO's /27 Iowa Boston College Eagles TEAM --PS RANK-- Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Wyoming at Northern Illinois at Iowa St Wake Forest North Texas Notre Dame Penn St at Clemson at Michigan St Central Michigan Illinois Virginia Tech at Louisville at Northwestern at Virginia Minnesota Florida St Ohio St at Wisconsin NC State Purdue Connecticut at Nebraska at Syracuse Boston College Iowa Iowa Hawkeyes LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Boston College Eagles Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Wyoming Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Nick Easley Iowa Boston College at Northern Illinois Anthony Brown Jon Hilliman Kobay White at Iowa St Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Akrum Wadley Iowa QB/WR Wake Forest Anthony Brown Thadd Smith Jeff Smith North Texas Nate Stanley Toren Young Akrum Wadley Notre Dame Anthony Brown Jon Hilliman Charlie Callinan Penn St Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Akrum Wadley Boston College DB's at Clemson Anthony Brown AJ Dillon Jeff Smith at Michigan St Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley T.J Hockenson Iowa RB's Central Michigan Anthony Brown AJ Dillon Jeff Smith Illinois Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Noah Fant Virginia Tech Anthony Brown Anthony Brown Travis Levy Boston College LB's at Louisville Anthony Brown AJ Dillon Tommy Sweeney at Northwestern Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Matt Vandeberg Iowa OL at Virginia Anthony Brown AJ Dillon Kobay White Minnesota Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Noah Fant Florida St Anthony Brown AJ Dillon Kobay White Ohio St Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley T.J Hockenson Boston College DL at Wisconsin Nate Stanley James Butler Nick Easley Iowa DL NC State Darius Wade AJ Dillon Tommy Sweeney Purdue Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Nick Easley Connecticut Darius Wade AJ Dillon Tommy Sweeney at Nebraska Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Noah Fant Boston College OL at Syracuse Darius Wade AJ Dillon Travis Levy Iowa LB'S Boston College 0.29 Iowa None By Game Yardage Leaders Iowa Leaders Passing Nate Stanley Akrum Wadley Nick Easley Iowa DB's Anthony Brown AJ Dillon Kobay White Colten Rastetter James Butler Noah Fant Boston College Leaders Darius Wade Jon Hilliman Tommy Sweeney Tyler Wiegers Toren Young Matt Vandeberg Boston College QB/WR Jeff Smith Thadd Smith Jeff Smith Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents 174 yards Iowa 66 Projected Passing 143 yards Iowa Boston College 139 yards Projected Yardage Total 316 yards Iowa Boston College 23 points Projected Box Projected Boston College Projected Final Iowa Boston College 19 points Experience Rankings Iowa Boston College Team Schedule Strength 214 yards 353 yards 21 Iowa Boston College Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Boston College RB's Iowa ST's Boston College ST's Iowa K Boston College K Iowa Coaches Boston College Coaches Iowa Pts Boston College Pts 46 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Iowa By 0.98 Points /- Ratings Category Las Vegas Line Las Vegas Total Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin Iowa By Points Boston College By 5.0 Boston College By 0.3 Boston College Iowa Boston College by 3 Phil's Forecast: BC lost 3 of their F/4 gms, losing each by 24+. AJ Dillon took over as the feature RB and BC went 6-2 down the stretch beating FSU by 32 and topping L Ville on the road. Dillon rushed for 1099 yds in just the L/6 gms alone. BC did lose QB Brown (inj) and Darius Wade took over the L/3 gms. Iowa rates the at QB with Stanley, but BC has the better run game. Iowa allows 4.1 ypc and BC 5.0. BC has my #1 rated pass eff D, but Iowa is not far behind at #7. Iowa rates the on ST s, but BC will have the crowd only 210 miles away from NY and has experience playing in this bowl game in 14. While the teams are similar in both talent and style, BC is +15 ypg in conf play and Iowa is -41 ypg & I ll call for BC to pull off the outright upset. Boston College 23 Iowa 20

40 IOWA (7-5) ATS: O/U: 5-7 PINSTRIPE BOWL Wednesday, December 27, :15 pm ESPN Yankee Stadium Bronx, NY COMPUTER PROJECTIONS IOWA BC 185 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +8 #5 sked #9 CHECKLIST IOWA BC 4 QB RB 4 WR OL 41/2 4 DL 1/2 LB DB 1/2 4 CCH SITE 41/2 MTCH INT 4 44 ST SKED OVERALL EVEN BOSTON COLLEGE (7-5) ATS: 9-3 O/U: 4-7-1

41 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST Missouri Tigers Texas Longhorns Tigers Logs SEC BIG 12 Longhorns Logs CONF TM +/- CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK TEAM --PS RANK-- TM TM +/- REC CONF REC CONF NCAA RANKINGS Missouri St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS 117 Maryland / W / L /9 South Carolina L /9 San Jose St 56-0 W Missouri Texas /16 Purdue 3-35 L /16 at USC L /23 Auburn L #35 Rush Off # / / #14 Pass Off # /28 at Iowa St 17-7 W /7 at Kentucky L #7 Total Off # /7 Kansas St W /14 at Georgia L #10 Off # /14 Oklahoma L /21 Idaho W #7 Sks Allowed # /21 Oklahoma St L /28 at Connecticut W #60 Rush Def # /28 at Baylor 38-7 W /4 Florida W #109 Pass Def # /4 at TCU 7-24 L /11 Tennessee W #89 Total Def # /11 Kansas W /18 at Vanderbilt W #94 Def # /18 at West Virginia W /25 at Arkansas W #27 Sks By # /24 Texas Tech L / #26 Ypg Diff # / /27 Texas Total TO's /27 Missouri Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Missouri St Maryland South Carolina San Jose St Purdue at USC Auburn at Iowa St at Kentucky Kansas St at Georgia Oklahoma Idaho Oklahoma St at Connecticut at Baylor Florida at TCU Tennessee Kansas at Vanderbilt at West Virginia at Arkansas Texas Tech Texas Missouri Missouri Tigers LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Texas Longhorns Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Missouri St Drew Lock Damarea Crockett J'Mon Moore Missouri Texas Maryland Shane Buechele Chris Warren Collin Johnson South Carolina Drew Lock Damarea Crockett Jason Reese Missouri QB/WR San Jose St Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren Armanti Foreman Purdue Drew Lock Ish Witter J'Mon Moore at USC Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren Collin Johnson Auburn Drew Lock Damarea Crockett Johnathon Johnson Texas DB's Missouri RB's at Iowa St Shane Buechele Chris Warren Lil'Jordan Humphrey at Kentucky Drew Lock Ish Witter Emanuel Hall Kansas St Sam Ehlinger Sam Ehlinger Reggie Hemphill at Georgia Drew Lock Damarea Crockett Emanuel Hall Texas LB's Oklahoma Sam Ehlinger Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren Idaho Drew Lock Larry Rountree J'Mon Moore Missouri OL Oklahoma St Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren John Burt at Connecticut Drew Lock Ish Witter Johnathon Johnson at Baylor Shane Buechele Toneil Carter Lil'Jordan Humphrey Florida Drew Lock Larry Rountree Emanuel Hall Texas DL at TCU Shane Buechele Daniel Young Lil'Jordan Humphrey Tennessee Drew Lock Ish Witter Emanuel Hall Missouri DL Kansas Shane Buechele Daniel Young Lorenzo Joe at Vanderbilt Drew Lock Ish Witter Albert Okwuegbunam at West Virginia Sam Ehlinger Daniel Young Reggie Hemphill at Arkansas Drew Lock Ish Witter J'Mon Moore Texas OL Texas Tech Sam Ehlinger Daniel Young Armanti Foreman Missouri LB'S Texas 0.06 Missouri Missouri Leaders Drew Lock Ish Witter J'Mon Moore Missouri DB's Sam Ehlinger Sam Ehlinger Collin Johnson Micah Wilson Larry Rountree Emanuel Hall Texas Leaders Shane Buechele Daniel Young Lil'Jordan Humphrey Team Damarea Crockett Johnathon Johnson Texas QB/WR Lil'Jordan Humphrey Chris Warren Reggie Hemphill Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents 140 yards Projected Box Projected Projected Passing 281 yards Missouri Texas 421 yards Missouri 28 points Missouri 19 Missouri Experience Rankings Missouri Texas Projected Yardage Total Texas Projected Final Texas 140 yards 327 yards 467 yards 32 points Texas 10 Team Schedule Strength 68 Missouri Texas Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Texas RB's Missouri ST's Texas ST's Missouri K Texas K Missouri Coaches Texas Coaches Missouri Pts Texas Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Texas By 2.50 Points Category Las Vegas Line Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin Missouri By Points Texas By 4.0 Texas By 6.8 Texas Texas Texas by 7 Phil's Forecast: This is the 1st bowl gm for each s/ 14 & as B12 rivals, Tx won 6 of the L/7 mtgs. TX will be w/o DB Elliot & OL Williams (both sitting out). MO comes in on a 6 gm win streak which they outscored their foes While that is impressive, not a single one of their 7 wins came over a FBS team that was bowl eligible (0-5 in those games). LY Drew Lock had a 12-0 ratio vs non P5 tms & just vs the SEC. TY he has an amazing 33-6 ratio vs non bowl teams & 10-6 vs bowl teams. He completed just 54% vs the SEC. After losing to TT to fall to 6-6, Tom Herman said it was important to win the bowl game. The clincher is Herman is 9-1 ATS as a dog and won 6 of those outright so I ll call for the Horns to pull off the minor outright upset, making this a Best Bet selection. Best Bet: Texas 34 (+) Missouri 27

42 TEXAS (6-6) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 3-9 TEXAS BOWL Wednesday, December 27, :00 pm ESPN NRG Stadium Houston, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS TEXAS MIZZ 134 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -4 #29 sked #82 CHECKLIST TEXAS MIZZ QB 4 RB 4 WR 1/2 OL 4 4 DL 44 LB 44 DB 41/2 CCH 44 SITE MTCH INT ST 1/2 44 1/2 SKED OVERALL TEXAS BY 7 4 s MISSOURI (7-5) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 7-5

43 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM REC CONF Purdue Boilermakers Boilermakers Logs BIG 10 PAC 12 Wildcats Logs TEAM CONF TM +/- +/- --PS RANK NCAA RANKINGS TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF /2 Louisville L TEAM RANKINGS /2 Northern Arizona W /8 Ohio W /9 Houston L Purdue Arizona /16 at Missouri 35-3 W /15 at UTEP W /23 Michigan L #83 Rush Off # /22 Utah L / #55 Pass Off # / /7 Minnesota W #74 Total Off # /7 at Colorado W /14 at Wisconsin 9-17 L #97 Off # /14 UCLA W /21 at Rutgers L #95 Sks Allowed # /21 at California W /28 Nebraska L #30 Rush Def # /28 Washington St W /4 Illinois W #86 Pass Def # /4 at USC L /11 at Northwestern L #47 Total Def # /11 Oregon St W /18 at Iowa W #18 Def # /18 at Oregon L /25 Indiana W #58 Sks By # /25 at Arizona St L / #62 Ypg Diff # / /27 Arizona Total TO's /27 Purdue Arizona Wildcats TEAM --PS RANK-- Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Louisville Northern Arizona Ohio Houston at Missouri at UTEP Michigan Utah Minnesota at Colorado at Wisconsin UCLA at Rutgers at California Nebraska Washington St Illinois at USC at Northwestern Oregon St at Iowa at Oregon Indiana at Arizona St Arizona Purdue Purdue Boilermakers LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Arizona Wildcats Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Louisville David Blough Tario Fuller Jackson Anthrop Purdue Arizona Northern Arizona Brandon Dawkins Brandon Dawkins Tony Ellison Ohio David Blough Tario Fuller Cole Herdman Purdue QB/WR Houston Brandon Dawkins JJ Taylor Shun Brown at Missouri David Blough Tario Fuller Cole Herdman at UTEP Brandon Dawkins Brandon Dawkins Tyrell Johnson Michigan Elijah Sindelar Richie Worship Terry Wright Arizona DB's Utah Brandon Dawkins Brandon Dawkins Tony Ellison Purdue RB's Minnesota Elijah Sindelar DJ Knox Anthony Mahoungou at Colorado Khalil Tate Khalil Tate Tony Ellison at Wisconsin Elijah Sindelar DJ Knox Brycen Hopkins Arizona LB's UCLA Khalil Tate Khalil Tate Shun Brown at Rutgers Elijah Sindelar DJ Knox Anthony Mahoungou Purdue OL at California Khalil Tate Khalil Tate Shun Brown Nebraska David Blough Richie Worship Jackson Anthrop Washington St Khalil Tate JJ Taylor Jamie Nunley Illinois David Blough DJ Knox Brycen Hopkins Arizona DL at USC Khalil Tate Khalil Tate Shun Brown at Northwestern Elijah Sindelar DJ Knox Jared Sparks Purdue DL Oregon St Khalil Tate Khalil Tate Tyrell Johnson at Iowa Elijah Sindelar Markell Jones Anthony Mahoungou at Oregon Khalil Tate Nick Wilson Tony Ellison Indiana Elijah Sindelar Markell Jones Anthony Mahoungou Arizona OL at Arizona St Khalil Tate JJ Taylor Shawn Poindexter Purdue LB'S Arizona 0.13 Purdue None By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Purdue Leaders Arizona RB's Elijah Sindelar Markell Jones Anthony Mahoungou Purdue DB's Khalil Tate Khalil Tate Shun Brown David Blough DJ Knox Jackson Anthrop Arizona Leaders Brandon Dawkins JJ Taylor Tony Ellison Joe Schopper Tario Fuller Brycen Hopkins Arizona QB/WR Rhett Rodriguez Nick Wilson Tyrell Johnson Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents Projected Box Purdue ST's By 3.06 Points Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 0.49 Las Vegas Line Arizona ST's Arizona By 3 In bowl games Rich Rod is 5-5 SU & 2-8 ATS and Jeff Brohm is 2-0 SU & 1-1. Projected Purdue K QB Tate came in for an inj d Dawkins in the 1Q vs Colorado with the Cats at 2- Las Vegas Total 204 yards Purdue Arizona 251 yards Points 2. He guided them to a 5-3 finish & even earned some Heisman attention after Projected Passing Arizona K rushing for 327 & 230 yds his F/2 gms. He did avg just 110 ypg the L/6. AZ +/- Ratings 261 yards Purdue Arizona 205 yards Purdue Coaches Purdue By 2.0 rates the s at QB & on the OL and has my #10 rated OFF w/pu at just Projected Yardage Total 1.00 #54. PU has an even larger on D with their biggest s on the DL and Game Grade 465 yards Purdue Arizona 456 yards Arizona Coaches Purdue By 3.4 at LB. PU has my #30 rated D & AZ comes in at #94, all g foes 50 ypg more Projected Final Purdue Pts Computer Yards than their ssn avg. PU has also faced my #23 toughest sked & AZ just #68, but 34 points Purdue Arizona 30 points Purdue they are even statistically. I rate Purdue the stronger team and they are getting Experience Rankings Arizona Pts Computer Points points & I ll make this a Best Bet selection by calling for the Boilermakers to 39 Purdue Arizona 42 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Purdue pull off the outright upset. Team Schedule Strength Arizona Phil Steele 18 Purdue Arizona 59 Purdue by 4 Best Bet: Purdue 34 (+) Arizona 30

44 ARIZONA (7-5) ATS: O/U: 9-3 FOSTER FARMS BOWL Wednesday, December 27, :30 pm FOX Levi s Stadium Santa Clara, CA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ARIZ PUR 261 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +3 #70 sked #22 CHECKLIST ARIZ PUR 44 QB 1/2 RB WR 1/2 OL DL 41/2 LB 41/2 DB 1/2 CCH SITE MTCH INT 4 4 ST SKED 44 OVERALL PURDUE BY 1/2 4 s PURDUE (6-6) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 3-9

45 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST William & Mary 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Florida Atlantic / W / W /9 Indiana L /9 Tulane W Virginia Navy /16 Connecticut W / at Boise St Rush Off Cincinnati / W #126 # / W / #41 Pass Off # /30 at Tulsa W /7 Duke W #100 Total Off # /7 Air Force W /14 at North Carolina W #101 Off # /14 at Memphis L /21 Boston College L #95 Sks Allowed # /21 UCF L at Pittsburgh Rush Def / L #81 # / /4 Georgia Tech W #15 Pass Def # /2 at Temple L at Louisville Total Def SMU / L #36 # / W /18 at Miami, Fl L #66 Def # /18 at Notre Dame L Virginia Tech Sks By at Houston / L #48 # / L / #75 Ypg Diff # / at Navy Total TO's Army West Point / / L /28 Virginia Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks William & Mary at Florida Atlantic Indiana Tulane Connecticut at Boise St Cincinnati at Tulsa Duke Air Force at North Carolina at Memphis Boston College UCF at Pittsburgh Georgia Tech at Temple at Louisville SMU at Miami, Fl at Notre Dame Virginia Tech at Houston at Navy Army West Point Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % William & Mary Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Doni Dowling Virginia Navy at Florida Atlantic Zach Abey Zach Abey Tyler Carmona Indiana Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Virginia QB/WR Tulane Zach Abey Zach Abey Tyler Carmona Connecticut Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Doni Dowling at Boise St Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Andre Levrone Navy DB's Cincinnati Zach Abey Zach Abey Tyler Carmona Virginia RB's at Tulsa Zach Abey Zach Abey Malcolm Perry Duke Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Air Force Zach Abey Zach Abey Malcolm Perry at North Carolina Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Navy LB's at Memphis Zach Abey Zach Abey Darryl Bonner Boston College Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Virginia OL UCF Zach Abey Zach Abey Malcolm Perry at Pittsburgh Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Georgia Tech Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Navy DL at Temple Zach Abey Zach Abey Malcolm Perry at Louisville Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Andre Levrone Virginia DL SMU Zach Abey Malcolm Perry Zach Abey at Miami, Fl Kurt Benkert Olamide Zaccheaus Joe Reed at Notre Dame Zach Abey Zach Abey Anthony Gargiulo Virginia Tech Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Andre Levrone Navy OL at Houston Zach Abey Malcolm Perry Tyler Carmona Virginia LB'S Zach Abey Malcolm Perry Malcolm Perry at Navy 0.21 Army West Point None REC TM CONF Virginia Leaders CONF TM +/- +/- Kurt Benkert Jordan Ellis Olamide Zaccheaus Virginia DB's Zach Abey Zach Abey Tyler Carmona Lindell Stone Lamont Atkins Andre Levrone Navy Leaders Garret Lewis Malcolm Perry Malcolm Perry TEAM Olamide Zaccheaus Doni Dowling Navy QB/WR Malcolm Perry Chris High Darryl Bonner Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Virginia Cavaliers Cavaliers Logs Virginia Navy 364 yards ACC 0.35 Virginia Cavaliers LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Navy RB's Virginia ST's Virginia Virginia Category 0.29 Las Vegas Line Navy ST's Navy By 1 Virginia K Virginia Coaches Navy Coaches AAC Navy Midshipmen 1.25 Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Team & Margin 55 Points Navy By 1.0 Navy Midshipmen Midshipmen Logs TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK-- TEAM TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF NCAA RANKINGS By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Return to Table of Contents Projected Box Projected 56 yards Virginia Navy 330 yards 265 yards 321 yards 23 points Projected Passing Virginia Navy Projected Yardage Total Projected Final 34 yards Virginia Navy 26 points 3.27 Navy K Virginia Pts 2.75 Game Grade Computer Yards Navy By 2.9 Navy Experience Rankings Navy Pts Computer Points 77 Virginia Navy 102 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Navy Team Schedule Strength Virginia Phil Steele 43 Virginia Navy 62 Navy by 1 By 0.52 Points Phil's Forecast: This is Navy s 6th str bowl and they ve covered their L/4 incl a win in the Military Bowl in 15. UVA has not been to a bowl game in 6Y and opened 5-1, but then went 1-5 and were outg d by 99 ypg down the stretch with their 5 losses by an avg of 15.1 ppg and no loss closer than 10. Navy got here in similar fashion, opening 5-0 then 1-6, but the Middies 6 losses were all by 10 or less and all vs bowl tms. Navy looks like the stronger team, but HC Mendenhall knows how to defend the option. Dating back to his days at BYU he is 9-1 SU/ATS vs option tms, incl their lone win the L/6 gms when they beat GT. All 9 sets of my power ratings call for a close game, but also for a score in the 40 s. Mendenhall knows the option & Navy s D is holding foes to 62 ypg below their avg & I ll call for this game to be a low scoring affair. Navy 24 Virginia 23

46 VIRGINIA (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 5-7 MILITARY BOWL Thursday, December 28, :30 pm ESPN Navy-Marine Corps Stadium Annapolis, MD COMPUTER PROJECTIONS VIRG NAVY 66 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -6 #49 sked #50 CHECKLIST VIRG NAVY QB 1/2 RB 441/2 4 WR OL 41/2 4 DL 41/2 LB 444 DB CCH 1/2 SITE /2 MTCH INT 4 ST 1/2 SKED OVERALL VIRGINIA BY 1/2 4 s NAVY (6-6) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 4-8

47 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF Virginia Tech Hokies Hokies Logs TEAM --PS RANK ACC BIG NCAA RANKINGS REC /3 West Virginia W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Tulsa W /9 Delaware 27-0 W /9 at South Alabama 44-7 W Virginia Tech Oklahoma St /16 at East Carolina W /16 at Pittsburgh W /23 Old Dominion 38-0 W #63 Rush Off # /23 TCU L /30 Clemson L #61 Pass Off # /30 at Texas Tech W /7 at Boston College W #61 Total Off # / / #63 Off # /14 Baylor W /21 North Carolina 59-7 W #45 Sks Allowed # /21 at Texas W /28 Duke 24-3 W #16 Rush Def # /28 at West Virginia W /4 at Miami, Fl L #21 Pass Def # /4 Oklahoma L /11 at Georgia Tech L #12 Total Def # /11 at Iowa St W /18 Pittsburgh W #5 Def # /18 Kansas St L /24 at Virginia 10-0 W #36 Sks By # /25 Kansas W / #22 Ypg Diff # / /28 Oklahoma St Total TO's /28 Virginia Tech TM CONF Oklahoma St Cowboys Cowboys Logs CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK-- Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks West Virginia Tulsa Delaware at South Alabama at East Carolina at Pittsburgh Old Dominion TCU Clemson at Texas Tech at Boston College Baylor North Carolina at Texas Duke at West Virginia at Miami, Fl Oklahoma at Georgia Tech at Iowa St Pittsburgh Kansas St at Virginia Kansas Oklahoma St Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Oklahoma St Cowboys Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % West Virginia Josh Jackson Josh Jackson Cam Phillips Virginia Tech Oklahoma St Tulsa Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington Delaware Josh Jackson Jalen Holston Cam Phillips Virginia Tech QB/WR at South Alabama Mason Rudolph JD King James Washington at East Carolina Josh Jackson Travon McMillian Cam Phillips at Pittsburgh Mason Rudolph Justice Hill Jalen McCleskey Old Dominion Josh Jackson Coleman Fox Cam Phillips Oklahoma St DB's TCU Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington Clemson Josh Jackson Coleman Fox Cam Phillips Virginia Tech RB's at Texas Tech Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington at Boston College Josh Jackson Travon McMillian Sean Savoy Oklahoma St LB's Baylor Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington North Carolina Josh Jackson Coleman Fox Cam Phillips Virginia Tech OL at Texas Mason Rudolph Justice Hill Marcell Ateman Duke Josh Jackson Deshawn McClease Chris Cunningham at West Virginia Mason Rudolph JD King James Washington at Miami, Fl Josh Jackson Travon McMillian Cam Phillips Oklahoma St DL Oklahoma Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington at Georgia Tech Josh Jackson Sean Savoy Eric Kumah Virginia Tech DL at Iowa St Mason Rudolph Justice Hill Jalen McCleskey Pittsburgh Josh Jackson Deshawn McClease Cam Phillips Kansas St Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington at Virginia Josh Jackson Steven Peoples Hezekiah Grimsley Oklahoma St OL Kansas Mason Rudolph Justice Hill Dillon Stoner Virginia Tech LB'S Oklahoma St 0.89 Virginia Tech None By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Virginia Tech Leaders Josh Jackson Travon McMillian Cam Phillips Virginia Tech DB's Mason Rudolph Justice Hill James Washington A.J Bush Deshawn McClease Sean Savoy Oklahoma St Leaders Taylor Cornelius JD King Marcell Ateman Oscar Bradburn Josh Jackson Eric Kumah Oklahoma St QB/WR Keondre Wudtee LD Brown Jalen McCleskey Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents Projected Box Projected 143 yards Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 252 yards 395 yards Virginia Tech Projected Passing Oklahoma St 116 yards Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 372 yards Projected Yardage Total Projected Final 488 yards points Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 35 points 6.10 Oklahoma St RB's Virginia Tech ST's Category Las Vegas Line Oklahoma St ST's Oklahoma St By 4 Virginia Tech K Oklahoma St K Virginia Tech Coaches Oklahoma St Coaches Virginia Tech Pts Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Team & Margin 63 Points Oklahoma St By 6.0 Oklahoma St By 6.7 Computer Yards 3.90 Oklahoma St Experience Rankings Oklahoma St Pts Computer Points 103 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 25 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Oklahoma St Team Schedule Strength Virginia Tech Phil Steele 61 Virginia Tech Oklahoma St 22 Oklahoma St by 8 By 2.20 Points Phil's Forecast: It s no surprise that OSU has a huge on OFF as they avg 576 ypg w/qb Rudolph having a 35-9 ratio throwing to perhaps the best set of WR s in the country led by Biletnikoff winner Washington & a run game that powers for 4.7 ypc. VT QB Jackson has a 9-7 ratio vs P5 tms & the Hokies topped 24 pts just once vs P5 teams and OSU avg 45 ppg vs the big boys. VT has the on D all g almost 100 ypg less & has my #3 rated ST s vs the Pokes #94 unit. All ssn I have felt OSU is close to the elite teams & VT has been more middle of the road. Here is a stat that shows my thinking. OSU has outgained their 10 P5 foes (8 are in bowls) by 156 ypg. VT has only outg d their P5 foes by 30 ypg & only faced 6 bowl teams. I ll call for OSU to win by over a td, making this a Best Bet selection. Best Bet: Oklahoma St 35 Virginia Tech 27

48 VIRGINIA TECH (9-3) ATS: 6-6 O/U: CAMPING WORLD BOWL Thursday, December 28, :15 pm ESPN Camping World Stadium Orlando, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS VT OSU 145 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +1 #66 sked #56 CHECKLIST VT OSU QB 441/2 RB 41/2 WR 441/2 OL 4 1/2 DL 4 LB 4 DB CCH 4 SITE MTCH 4 INT 4441/2 ST SKED 4 OVERALL OKLAHOMA ST BY 4 4 s OKLAHOMA ST (9-3) ATS: O/U: 9-3

49 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /26 Rice 62-7 W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Jackson St 63-0 W / /9 at Arkansas 28-7 W Stanford TCU /9 at USC L /16 SMU W /16 at San Diego St L #32 Rush Off # /23 at Oklahoma St W /23 UCLA W #98 Pass Off # / /30 Arizona St W #75 Total Off # /7 West Virginia W /7 at Utah W #39 Off # /14 at Kansas St 26-6 W /14 Oregon 49-7 W #20 Sks Allowed # /21 Kansas 43-0 W / #73 Rush Def # /28 at Iowa St 7-14 L /26 at Oregon St W #73 Pass Def # /4 Texas 24-7 W /4 at Washington St L #72 Total Def # /11 at Oklahoma L /10 Washington W #30 Def # /18 at Texas Tech 27-3 W California Sks By Baylor / W #23 # / W /25 Notre Dame W #79 Ypg Diff # /2 Oklahoma L USC Total TO's / L / /28 TCU /28 Stanford Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Rice Jackson St at Arkansas at USC SMU at San Diego St at Oklahoma St UCLA Arizona St West Virginia at Utah at Kansas St Oregon Kansas at Iowa St at Oregon St Texas at Washington St at Oklahoma Washington at Texas Tech California Baylor Notre Dame Oklahoma USC TCU Stanford Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Rice Keller Chryst Bryce Love Connor Wedington Stanford TCU Jackson St Kenny Hill Darius Anderson TreVontae Hights Stanford QB/WR at Arkansas Kenny Hill Darius Anderson John Diarse at USC Keller Chryst Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside SMU Kenny Hill Darius Anderson KaVontae Turpin at San Diego St Keller Chryst Bryce Love Trenton Irwin TCU DB's at Oklahoma St Kenny Hill Darius Anderson Jaelan Austin UCLA KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside Stanford RB's Arizona St KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside West Virginia Kenny Hill Kyle Hicks John Diarse at Utah Keller Chryst Bryce Love Kaden Smith TCU LB's at Kansas St Kenny Hill Kyle Hicks KaVontae Turpin Oregon Keller Chryst Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside Stanford OL Kansas Kenny Hill Darius Anderson John Diarse at Iowa St Kenny Hill Darius Anderson Jaelan Austin at Oregon St Keller Chryst Cameron Scarlett Kaden Smith TCU DL Texas Kenny Hill Darius Anderson John Diarse at Washington St KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside Stanford DL at Oklahoma Kenny Hill Darius Anderson Kyle Hicks Washington KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside at Texas Tech Shawn Robinson Shawn Robinson Sewo Olonilua California KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside TCU OL Baylor Kenny Hill Sewo Olonilua Jarrison Stewart Notre Dame KJ Costello Bryce Love Kaden Smith Stanford LB'S Oklahoma Kenny Hill Kenny Hill John Diarse USC KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside TCU TCU RB's Stanford None REC TM CONF CONF TM +/- +/- Stanford Cardinal Cardinal Logs KJ Costello Bryce Love JJ Arcega-Whiteside Stanford DB's Kenny Hill Darius Anderson John Diarse Keller Chryst Cameron Scarlett Trenton Irwin TCU Leaders Shawn Robinson Kyle Hicks Jalen Reagor Ryan Burns Trevor Speights Kaden Smith TCU QB/WR KaVontae Turpin Sewo Olonilua Desmon White yards Stanford 49 Stanford 8 Projected 146 yards Stanford TCU 166 yards Projected Passing Team Schedule Strength PAC 12 BIG 12 Stanford Cardinal LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Stanford Leaders Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents TCU Horned Frogs Category Stanford Pts Computer Yards 25 points Tcu TCU Horned Frogs Horned Frogs Logs TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM CONF TM +/- +/- --PS RANK-- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF 147 yards Stanford TCU 225 yards 17 points Projected Box 0.99 Projected Yardage Total Stanford TCU Projected Final TCU Experience Rankings TCU 392 yards Stanford TCU Stanford ST's Las Vegas Line TCU ST's Tcu By 2.5 Stanford K TCU K Stanford Coaches TCU Coaches TCU Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Stanford By 1.15 Points Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin 49 Points Tcu By 4.0 Tcu By 7.6 Tcu TCU by 8 Phil's Forecast: HC s Shaw & Patterson get the most out of their teams and are 2 of my favorite coaches. The star player is Heisman runner up RB Love who despite playing the 2H of the yr on a bum ankle rushed for 1,973 (8.3). The tms were almost dead even in my OFF rankings with Stanford better running it & the Frogs better thru the air w/qb Hill completing 67%. This is not your typical Stanford D as they are allowing 4.5 ypc. The L5Y they have held P12 foes to 103 ypg below their ssn avg, but just 13 ypg TY despite the presence of AA s DT Phillips & S Reid. TCU allows just 2.9 ypc & 52% completions despite playing in the wide open B12 and facing OU twice. TCU has held foes to 122 ypg below their avg. I will go with the tougher D of the Frogs, they will also have a decent crowd as well and I ll call for TCU to win by over a td. TCU 25 Stanford 17

50 STANFORD (9-4) ATS: 6-7 O/U: 7-6 ALAMO BOWL Thursday, December 28, :00 pm ESPN Alamodome San Antonio, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS STAN TCU 127 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +4 #4 sked #32 CHECKLIST STAN TCU QB 41/2 41/2 RB WR 1/2 OL DL 41/2 LB 1/2 DB 4 CCH SITE 44 MTCH 4 INT 4 ST 4 SKED OVERALL TCU BY 3 4 s TCU (10-3) ATS: O/U: 3-10

51 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM REC CONF CONF TM +/- +/- Wash St Cougars Cougars Logs PAC 12 BIG 10 Spartans Logs TEAM --PS RANK TM NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF Michigan St Spartans TEAM --PS RANK-- CONF TM +/- +/ /2 Montana St 31-0 W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Bowling Green W /9 Boise St W /9 Western Michigan W Wash St Michigan St /16 Oregon St W / /23 Nevada 45-7 W #129 Rush Off # /23 Notre Dame L /29 USC W #2 Pass Off # /30 Iowa W /7 at Oregon W #32 Total Off # /7 at Michigan W /13 at California 3-37 L #41 Off # /14 at Minnesota W /21 Colorado 28-0 W #127 Sks Allowed # /21 Indiana 17-9 W /28 at Arizona L #42 Rush Def # /28 at Northwestern L /4 Stanford W #9 Pass Def # /4 Penn St W /11 at Utah W #15 Total Def # /11 at Ohio St 3-48 L / #47 Def # /18 Maryland 17-7 W /25 at Washington L #13 Sks By # /25 at Rutgers 40-7 W / #12 Ypg Diff # / /28 Michigan St Total TO's /28 Washington St Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Montana St Bowling Green Boise St Western Michigan Oregon St Nevada Notre Dame USC Iowa at Oregon at Michigan at California at Minnesota Colorado Indiana at Arizona at Northwestern Stanford Penn St at Utah at Ohio St Maryland at Washington at Rutgers Michigan St Washington St Wash St Cougars LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Michigan St Spartans Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Montana St Luke Falk Jamal Morrow James Williams Wash St Michigan St Bowling Green Brian Lewerke Brian Lewerke Darrell Stewart Boise St Tyler Hilinski James Williams Renard Bell Wash St QB/WR Western Michigan Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Felton Davis Oregon St Luke Falk James Williams Tavares Martin Jr Nevada Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tavares Martin Jr Michigan St DB's Notre Dame Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Hunter Rison USC Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Renard Bell Wash St RB's Iowa Brian Lewerke Brian Lewerke Felton Davis at Oregon Luke Falk Gerard Wicks Kyle Sweet at Michigan Brian Lewerke Brian Lewerke Darrell Stewart at California Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Isaiah Johnson-Mack Michigan St LB's at Minnesota Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Felton Davis Colorado Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tay Martin Wash St OL Indiana Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Cody White at Arizona Tyler Hilinski James Williams Tavares Martin Jr at Northwestern Brian Lewerke Brian Lewerke Cody White Stanford Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tavares Martin Jr Michigan St DL Penn St Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Felton Davis at Utah Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tavares Martin Jr Wash St DL at Ohio St Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Cody White Maryland Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Matt Sokol at Washington Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Jamal Morrow Michigan St OL at Rutgers Brian Lewerke Gerald Holmes Felton Davis Wash St LB'S Michigan St 0.99 Washington St None By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Wash St Leaders Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tavares Martin Jr Wash St DB's Brian Lewerke LJ Scott Felton Davis Tyler Hilinski James Williams Isaiah Johnson-Mack Michigan St Leaders Trishton Jackson Brian Lewerke Darrell Stewart Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Gerard Wicks Renard Bell Michigan St QB/WR Connor Heyward Madre London Cody White Return to Table of Contents -21 yards Projected Wash St Michigan St Projected Passing 368 yards Wash St Michigan St 173 yards 347 yards Projected Box 19 points Wash St Projected Yardage Total Wash St Michigan St 319 yards Projected Final Michigan St Experience Rankings 15 Wash St Michigan St Team Schedule Strength 44 Wash St Michigan St Category Wash St K Las Vegas Total 145 yards Points 21 points Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Michigan St RB's Wash St ST's Michigan St K Wash St Coaches Michigan St Coaches Michigan St By 1.73 Points /- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards Team & Margin 0.65 Las Vegas Line Michigan St ST's Wash St By 1.5 Wash St Pts 4.56 Michigan St Pts Computer Points 129 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Michigan St Phil Steele Michigan St By 3.5 Wash St By 2.0 Wash St Michigan St by 3 Phil's Forecast: This is the 2nd straight yr that Wazzu is in this bowl. LY vs a depleted MN D but managed just 12 pts & 303 ttl yds. TY the Cougars are depleted as they are without their top 2 WR s who are off the tm & star DL Mata afa must sit the 1H. HC Leach is 7-5 in bowls, but just 4-8 ATS. MSU has my #23 rated pass eff D to battle Wazzu s talented QB Falk. Wazzu won their home games by 20 ppg & were +224 ypg in those. They were just 2-3 away from home & outscored by 10 ppg. The Cougars D, led by DC Grinch is underrated, holding foes to 96 ypg below their ssn avg and I rate as the #20 D. The Spartans took on the tougher sked & have my #11 rated D. HC Dantonio is 5-5 in bowls, but won his L/4 non playoff bowl games outright all as a dog. I ll call for Sparty to pull off the minor outright upset. Michigan St 23 Washington St 20

52 WASHINGTON ST (9-3) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 5-7 HOLIDAY BOWL Thursday, December 28, :00 pm ESPN SDCCU Stadium San Diego, CA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WSU MSU -19 rush yd pass yd pts 23-2 ytd to +2 #34 sked #17 CHECKLIST WSU MSU 41/2 QB RB 1/2 WR OL 1/2 DL 1/2 LB 4 4 DB CCH 1/2 SITE 1/2 MTCH INT ST SKED 4 OVERALL MICHIGAN ST BY 1 4 s MICHIGAN ST (9-3) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 5-7

53 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST REC Texas A&M Aggies Aggies Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- CONF CONF SEC ACC Demon Deacons Logs NCAA RANKINGS REC TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- CONF /3 at UCLA L TEAM RANKINGS /31 Presbytrian 51-7 W /9 Nicholls W /9 at Boston College W Texas A&M Wake Forest /16 Louisiana W /16 Utah St W /23 Arkansas W #74 Rush Off # /23 at Appalachian St W /30 South Carolina W #65 Pass Off # /30 Florida St L /7 Alabama L #76 Total Off # /7 at Clemson L /14 at Florida W #43 Off # / / #80 Sks Allowed # /21 at Georgia Tech L /28 Miss St L #64 Rush Def # /28 Louisville W /4 Auburn L #68 Pass Def # /4 at Notre Dame L /11 New Mexico W #60 Total Def # /11 at Syracuse W /18 at Mississippi W #82 Def # /18 NC State W /25 at LSU L #6 Sks By # /25 Duke L / #74 Ypg Diff # / /29 Wake Forest Total TO's /29 Texas A&M TM CONF Wake Forest Demon Deacons Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at UCLA Presbytrian Nicholls at Boston College Louisiana Utah St Arkansas at Appalachian St South Carolina Florida St Alabama at Clemson at Florida at Georgia Tech Miss St Louisville Auburn at Notre Dame New Mexico at Syracuse at Mississippi NC State at LSU Duke Wake Forest Texas A&M Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % at UCLA Nick Starkel Trayveon Williams Christian Kirk Texas A&M Wake Forest Presbytrian Kendall Hinton Arkeem Byrd Greg Dortch Nicholls Kellen Mond Kendall Bussey Christian Kirk Texas A&M QB/WR at Boston College John Wolford John Wolford Greg Dortch Louisiana Kellen Mond Jacob Kibodi Damion Ratley Utah St John Wolford Arkeem Byrd Tabari Hines Arkansas Kellen Mond Kellen Mond Christian Kirk Wake Forest DB's at Appalachian St John Wolford John Wolford Scotty Washington South Carolina Kellen Mond Kellen Mond Jhamon Ausbon Texas A&M RB's Florida St John Wolford John Wolford Greg Dortch Alabama Kellen Mond Trayveon Williams Trayveon Williams at Clemson Kendall Hinton Kendall Hinton Greg Dortch at Florida Kellen Mond Kellen Mond Damion Ratley Wake Forest LB's Texas A&M OL at Georgia Tech John Wolford Cade Carney Greg Dortch Miss St Nick Starkel Trayveon Williams Camron Buckley Louisville John Wolford Matt Colburn II Greg Dortch Auburn Nick Starkel Trayveon Williams Damion Ratley Wake Forest DL at Notre Dame John Wolford Matt Colburn II Alex Bachman New Mexico Nick Starkel Trayveon Williams Roshauud Paul Texas A&M DL at Syracuse John Wolford Matt Colburn II Tabari Hines at Mississippi Nick Starkel Trayveon Williams Damion Ratley NC State John Wolford Matt Colburn II Tabari Hines at LSU Nick Starkel Trayveon Williams Christian Kirk Wake Forest OL Duke John Wolford John Wolford Alex Bachman Texas A&M LB'S Wake Forest 1.32 Texas A&M None By Game Yardage Leaders Texas A&M Leaders Passing Kellen Mond Trayveon Williams Christian Kirk Texas A&M DB's John Wolford Matt Colburn II Greg Dortch Nick Starkel Keith Ford Damion Ratley Wake Forest Leaders Kendall Hinton John Wolford Tabari Hines Jake Hubenak Kellen Mond Jhamon Ausbon Wake Forest QB/WR Jamie Newman Arkeem Byrd Scotty Washington Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents Projected Box 121 Texas A&M Projected 129 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest 298 yards Projected Passing Texas A&M Wake Forest Projected Yardage Total 427 yards Texas A&M Wake Forest Projected Final Experience Rankings 182 yards 294 yards 476 yards 30 points Texas A&M Wake Forest 37 points Texas A&M Wake Forest Texas A&M Aggies Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Wake Forest Team Schedule Strength 0.01 LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Wake Forest RB's Texas A&M ST's Texas A&M Pts Wake Forest Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Category Las Vegas Line Wake Forest ST's Wake Forest By 3 Texas A&M K Wake Forest K Texas A&M Coaches Wake Forest Coaches Texas A&M By 3.15 Points Wake Forest Demon Deacons Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin 64.5 Points Wake Forest By 6.5 Wake Forest By 8.6 Wake Forest Wake Forest Wake Forest by 7 Phil's Forecast: WF had an ugly start on OFF under HC Clawson took over as the horrible OL avg just 216 ypg in 14 & in 15 he went to 4 frosh starters on the OL & had just 330 & 311 ypg the L2Y. The unit has now become a strength, going from 3.6 ypc & 39 sacks in 16 to 4.5 ypc & 17 sacks. Not coincidentally, Wolford has become a better QB, having a negative ratio each of his F3Y & 25-6 TY. WF avg 451 ypg & 34 ppg. The Deacons D is allowing 444 ypg & 38 yards above what their foes come in avg & the L/4 weeks they allowed 569 ypg. A&M was just 1-5 vs bowl teams, while WF was 4-5 vs a tougher sked. A&M fired Sumlin. QB Starkel returned from inj & in his 5 starts, the Aggies avg 36 ppg. The D allowed the L/5 P5 foes 37 ppg. I ll call for WF to win by a td. Wake Forest 37 Texas A&M 30

54 WAKE FOREST (7-5) ATS: O/U: 6-6 BELK BOWL Friday, December 29, :00 pm ESPN Bank of America Charlotte, NC COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WF A&M 202 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +4 #19 sked #45 CHECKLIST WF A&M 4 QB RB 4 WR 1/2 1/2 OL DL 4 LB 4 DB 44 CCH 41/2 SITE MTCH INT 41/2 ST 44 SKED OVERALL WAKE FOREST BY 1 4 s TEXAS A&M (7-5) ATS: O/U: 6-6

55 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF NC State Wolfpack Arizona St Sun Devils Wolfpack Logs ACC PAC 12 Sun Devils Logs TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF /2 South Carolina L TEAM RANKINGS /31 New Mexico St W /9 Marshall W /9 San Diego St L NC State Arizona St /16 Furman W /16 at Texas Tech L /23 at Florida St W #51 Rush Off # /23 Oregon W /30 Syracuse W #29 Pass Off # /30 at Stanford L /5 Louisville W #30 Total Off # / /14 at Pittsburgh W #45 Off # /14 Washington 13-7 W / #7 Sks Allowed # /21 at Utah W /28 at Notre Dame L #29 Rush Def # /28 USC L /4 Clemson L #97 Pass Def # /4 Colorado W /11 at Boston College W #52 Total Def # /11 at UCLA L /18 at Wake Forest L #49 Def # /18 at Oregon St W /25 North Carolina W #48 Sks By # /25 Arizona W / #34 Ypg Diff # / /29 Arizona St Total TO's /29 NC State Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks South Carolina New Mexico St Marshall San Diego St Furman at Texas Tech at Florida St Oregon Syracuse at Stanford Louisville at Pittsburgh Washington at Utah at Notre Dame USC Clemson Colorado at Boston College at UCLA at Wake Forest at Oregon St North Carolina Arizona Arizona St NC State NC State Wolfpack LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Arizona St Sun Devils Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % South Carolina Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Kelvin Harmon NC State Arizona St New Mexico St Manny Wilkins Kalen Ballage John Humphrey Marshall Ryan Finley Reggie Gallaspy Kelvin Harmon NC State QB/WR San Diego St Manny Wilkins Kalen Ballage Frank Darby Furman Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Jaylen Samuels at Texas Tech Manny Wilkins Kalen Ballage N'Keal Harry at Florida St Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Jakobi Meyers Arizona St DB's Oregon Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry Syracuse Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Stephen Louis NC State RB's at Stanford Manny Wilkins Demario Richard Demario Richard Louisville Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Kelvin Harmon at Pittsburgh Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Kelvin Harmon Arizona St LB's Washington Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry NC State OL at Utah Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry at Notre Dame Ryan Finley Reggie Gallaspy Kelvin Harmon USC Manny Wilkins Demario Richard Kyle Williams Clemson Ryan Finley Reggie Gallaspy Kelvin Harmon Arizona St DL Colorado Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry at Boston College Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Kelvin Harmon NC State DL at UCLA Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry at Wake Forest Ryan Finley Jaylen Samuels Kelvin Harmon at Oregon St Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry North Carolina Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Jakobi Meyers Arizona St OL Arizona Manny Wilkins Demario Richard Frank Darby NC State LB'S Arizona St 0.31 NC State None By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders NC State Leaders Ryan Finley Nyheim Hines Kelvin Harmon NC State DB's Manny Wilkins Demario Richard N'Keal Harry Jaylen Samuels Reggie Gallaspy Jakobi Meyers Arizona St Leaders Blake Barnett Kalen Ballage Kyle Williams Gavin Locklear Jaylen Samuels Jaylen Samuels Arizona St QB/WR N'Keal Harry Manny Wilkins Jalen Harvey Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents 281 yards NC State Arizona St 261 yards NC State Coaches 7 Projected Box Projected 188 yards NC State Arizona St 121 yards 470 yards NC State 32 points NC State Projected Passing Projected Yardage Total Projected Final Team Schedule Strength 16 NC State Experience Rankings NC State Arizona St 26 points 2.99 NC State ST's NC State K Arizona St K Arizona St 382 yards Arizona St Coaches Arizona St 54 Arizona St 28 Arizona St RB's Arizona St ST's NC State Pts Arizona St Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Arizona St By 0.60 Points 3.59 Category Las Vegas Line Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Team & Margin NC State By Points NC State By 6.0 NC State By 7.4 NC State NC State Arizona St by 1 Passing Phil's Forecast: The P12 his historically good in this bowl, winning 5 of the L/6 & usually has the crowd. NCSt has one of the nation s best DL, led by Nagurski winner B. Chubb. The OFF s are close, but the Wolfpack has my #23 D & the Sun Devils check in at #55. ASt has a large on ST s. ASt faced 11 bowl teams & went ATS as a dog, including 4 outright upsets. I was very high on the Wolfpack TY & they didn t disappoint, outgaining both Clemson & SC in losses & getting stopped at the WF GL down 7 at the end. The Wolfpack were just 1-7 ATS as a favorite. The talent gap isn t big and ASt will be playing 1 final game for HC Graham, who in his 6th yr brought in all these recruits & I ll call for the outright upset, making this a Best Bet selection. Best Bet: Arizona St 28 (+) NC State 27

56 NC STATE (8-4) ATS: 4-8 O/U: 4-8 SUN BOWL Friday, December 29, :00 pm CBS Sun Bowl Stadium El Paso, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS NCST ASU 200 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +5 #23 sked #25 CHECKLIST NCST ASU QB RB 4 WR 1/2 4 OL 41/2 DL LB 1/2 DB CCH SITE 4 4 MTCH INT 444 ST 44 SKED OVERALL ARIZONA ST BY 3 4 s ARIZONA ST (7-5) ATS: O/U: 5-7

57 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM REC CONF CONF Northwestern Wildcats Wildcats Logs BIG 10 SEC TEAM --PS RANK TM TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF Kentucky Wildcats Wildcats Logs TEAM --PS RANK /2 Nevada W TEAM RANKINGS /2 at Southern Miss W /9 at Duke L /9 Eastern Kentucky W Northwestern Kentucky /16 Bowling Green 49-7 W /16 at South Carolina W / #71 Rush Off # /23 Florida L /30 at Wisconsin L #51 Pass Off # /30 Eastern Michigan W /7 Penn St 7-31 L #59 Total Off # /7 Missouri W /14 at Maryland W #53 Off # / /21 Iowa W #88 Sks Allowed # /21 at Miss St 7-45 L /28 Michigan St W #9 Rush Def # /28 Tennessee W /4 at Nebraska W #100 Pass Def # /4 Mississippi L /11 Purdue W #38 Total Def # /11 at Vanderbilt W /18 Minnesota 39-0 W #19 Def # /18 at Georgia L /25 at Illinois 42-7 W #31 Sks By # /25 Louisville L / #44 Ypg Diff # / /29 Kentucky Total TO's /29 Northwestern Net Defense Net Defense Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Nevada at Southern Miss at Duke Eastern Kentucky Bowling Green at South Carolina Florida at Wisconsin Eastern Michigan Penn St Missouri at Maryland Iowa at Miss St Michigan St Tennessee at Nebraska Mississippi Purdue at Vanderbilt Minnesota at Georgia at Illinois Louisville Kentucky Northwestern Northwestern Wildcats LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Kentucky Wildcats Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Nevada Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Bennett Skowronek Northwestern Kentucky at Southern Miss Stephen Johnson Benny Snell C.J Conrad at Duke Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Riley Lees Northwestern QB/WR Eastern Kentucky Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Blake Bone Bowling Green Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Garrett Dickerson at South Carolina Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Garrett Johnson Kentucky DB's Florida Stephen Johnson Sihiem King Garrett Johnson at Wisconsin Clayton Thorson Jeremy Larkin Flynn Nagel Northwestern RB's Eastern Michigan Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Garrett Johnson Penn St Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Macan Wilson Missouri Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Garrett Johnson at Maryland Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Macan Wilson Kentucky LB's Iowa Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Macan Wilson Northwestern OL at Miss St Stephen Johnson Stephen Johnson Lynn Bowden Jr Michigan St Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Flynn Nagel Tennessee Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Tavin Richardson at Nebraska Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Macan Wilson Kentucky DL Mississippi Stephen Johnson Benny Snell C.J Conrad Purdue Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Bennett Skowronek Northwestern DL at Vanderbilt Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Lynn Bowden Jr Minnesota Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Garrett Dickerson at Georgia Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Blake Bone at Illinois Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Bennett Skowronek Kentucky OL Louisville Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Kayaune Ross Northwestern LB'S Kentucky 0.67 Northwestern None By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Northwestern Leaders Clayton Thorson Justin Jackson Bennett Skowronek Northwestern DB's Stephen Johnson Benny Snell Garrett Johnson Matt Alviti Jeremy Larkin Flynn Nagel Kentucky Leaders Lynn Bowden Jr Stephen Johnson C.J Conrad Justin Jackson Corey Acker Macan Wilson Kentucky QB/WR Drew Barker Sihiem King Tavin Richardson Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents Projected Box 173 yards Northwestern Projected Kentucky Projected Passing 124 yards 253 yards Northwestern Kentucky 201 yards Projected Yardage Total 427 yards Northwestern Kentucky 325 yards Projected Final 30 points Northwestern Kentucky 16 points Experience Rankings 17 Northwestern Kentucky Team Schedule Strength Northwestern Kentucky Kentucky RB's Northwestern ST's Category 0.22 Las Vegas Line Kentucky ST's Northwestern By 7.5 Northwestern K Northwestern Pts Las Vegas Total Computer Yards Team & Margin 51 Points Kentucky K +/- Ratings Northwestern Coaches Northwestern By 17.5 Kentucky Coaches Kentucky Pts Computer Points POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Northwestern Northwestern By 5.06 Points Game Grade Phil Steele Northwestern By 10.1 Northwestern Northwestern by 15 Phil's Forecast: If KY holds the rush, they usually win. If they outrushed their opponent they were 6-1. They lost 3 games by 38, 29 & 27, being outrushed by 181 ypg. 2 of those rush D s were in the Top 25. Here they run into the #10 rush D in NW. NW has career rush leader in Jackson, and in the L/4 games rushed for 227 ypg & 4.9 ypc. I always think of HC Fitzgerald as great as a dog & poor as a favorite. He opened his career just in the favorites role, but is actually 13-7 ATS the L3Y as a favorite. KY is -75 ypg & NW is + 46 ypg. NW will have the rush & come into this as the hottest team in college football, winning their L/7 both SU & ATS. NW has s at almost every position with KY s only being the crowd with Lexington just 214 miles away. I ll call for NW to win by over 2 td s. Northwestern 31 Kentucky 16

58 KENTUCKY (7-5) ATS: 3-9 O/U: 6-6 MUSIC CITY BOWL Friday, December 29, :30 pm ESPN Nissan Stadium Nashville, TN COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UK NW 129 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +5 #52 sked #61 CHECKLIST UK NW QB 1/2 RB 1/2 WR 4 OL DL 44 LB 41/2 DB 44 CCH 4 41/2 SITE MTCH 44 INT 4 ST SKED OVERALL NORTHWESTERN BY 8 4 s NORTHWESTERN(9-3) ATS: 9-3 O/U: 6-6

59 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST REC at Wisconsin 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Arizona St / L / L Idaho St at New Mexico / W / W Utah St New Mexico St at Wake Forest Troy / L / L at San Jose St Rush Off UTEP / W #56 # / W BYU Pass Off at Arkansas / W #71 # / L Colorado St Total Off at Appalachian St / L #70 # / L Wyoming Off at GA Southern / L #44 # / W at UNLV Sks Allowed / W #68 # / Boise St Rush Def Arkansas St / L #117 # / L /4 at New Mexico W #17 Pass Def # /4 at Texas St W Total Def / #75 # / Hawaii Def at Louisiana / W #70 # / L at Air Force Sks By Idaho / L #68 # / W / #78 Ypg Diff # /2 South Alabama W New Mexico St Total TO's / / TM CONF CONF TEAM --PS RANK TM TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF /29 Utah St Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Wisconsin at Arizona St Idaho St at New Mexico at Wake Forest Troy at San Jose St UTEP BYU at Arkansas Colorado St at Appalachian St Wyoming at GA Southern at UNLV Boise St Arkansas St at New Mexico at Texas St Hawaii at Louisiana at Air Force Idaho South Alabama New Mexico St Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % at Wisconsin Kent Myers Tonny Lindsey Jaren Colston-Green Utah St New Mexico St at Arizona St Tyler Rogers Jason Huntley Jaleel Scott Idaho St Kent Myers Eltoro Allen Ron'Quavion Tarver Utah St QB/WR at New Mexico Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Izaiah Lottie at Wake Forest Jordan Love Eltoro Allen Zach Van Leeuwen Troy Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Izaiah Lottie at San Jose St Kent Myers Eltoro Allen Dax Raymond New Mexico St DB's UTEP Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Jaleel Scott BYU Kent Myers LaJuan Hunt Ron'Quavion Tarver Utah St RB's at Arkansas Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Jaleel Scott Colorado St Kent Myers LaJuan Hunt Eltoro Allen at Appalachian St Tyler Rogers Jason Huntley Jason Huntley Wyoming Jordan Love LaJuan Hunt Dax Raymond New Mexico St LB's at GA Southern Tyler Rogers Jason Huntley Anthony Muse at UNLV Jordan Love LaJuan Hunt Jordan Nathan Utah St OL Boise St Jordan Love Tre Miller Ron'Quavion Tarver Arkansas St Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III OJ Clark at New Mexico Jordan Love LaJuan Hunt Ron'Quavion Tarver New Mexico St DL at Texas St Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Jaleel Scott Utah St DL Tyler Rogers Jason Huntley Larry Rose III Hawaii Jordan Love LaJuan Hunt Braelon Roberts at Louisiana Nick Jeanty Larry Rose III Jaleel Scott at Air Force Jordan Love Gerold Bright Ron'Quavion Tarver New Mexico St OL Idaho Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Jaleel Scott Utah St LB'S South Alabama New Mexico St 0.30 Jordan Love LaJuan Hunt Ron'Quavion Tarver Utah St DB's Tyler Rogers Larry Rose III Jaleel Scott Utah St Leaders Kent Myers Kent Myers Dax Raymond New Mexico St Leaders Nick Jeanty Jason Huntley OJ Clark Aaren Vaughns Eltoro Allen Jordan Nathan New Mexico St QB/WR Conner Cramer Nick Jeanty Larry Rose III Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Utah St Utah St Aggies Aggies Logs By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Return to Table of Contents Projected Box 164 yards Utah St New Mexico St 233 yards Utah St New Mexico St 397 yards Utah St New Mexico St 450 yards 107 Utah St Projected Projected Passing Projected Yardage Total Projected Final Experience Rankings Team Schedule Strength 306 yards 35 points Utah St New Mexico St 28 points 104 Utah St New Mexico St 144 yards 14 New Mexico St 118 MTW New Mexico St RB's Utah St ST's New Mexico St K Utah St Coaches New Mexico St Coaches Utah St Pts 6-6 AAC Position by Position Edges 3.36 Utah St By Game Yardage Leaders Utah St +/- Ratings Category Las Vegas Total Game Grade Computer Yards Team & Margin 2012 Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 3.08 Las Vegas Line New Mexico St New Mexico St ST's Utah St By 4 Utah St Aggies LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Utah St K New Mexico St Aggies 61 Points Utah St By 11.0 N Mexico St By 0.5 N Mexico St New Mexico St Pts Computer Points POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Utah St Passing New Mexico St Aggies Aggies Logs TEAM --PS RANK-- Utah St Phil Steele Utah St by 7 By 4.56 Points Utah St 35 New Mexico St 28 Phil's Forecast: NMSt is playing in its 1st bowl s/ 60, winning the last 2 to get to 6 wins. They will be everyone s sentimental favorite. UTSt has been to bowls in 6 of the L7Y, but is hungry off a 3-9 season in 16. The teams are close statistically with UTSt having faced the tougher sked. The biggest for either team is on ST s. HC Wells is 2-1 in bowl games and this is HC Martins 1st. Most of my 9 sets of power ratings have UTSt by a touchdown or more & I agree.

60 NEW MEXICO ST (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 5-7 ARIZONA BOWL Friday, December 29, :30 pm CBS Arizona Stadium Tucson, AZ COMPUTER PROJECTIONS NMST UT ST 149 rush yd pass yd pts 37-1 ytd to +4 #121 sked #98 CHECKLIST NMST USU 1/2 QB 4 RB 1/2 WR OL 1/2 4 DL LB DB 41/2 CCH 41/2 4 SITE MTCH INT ST SKED 4 OVERALL UTAH STATE BY 5 4 s UTAH ST (6-6) ATS: 6-6 O/U: 7-5

61 TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST Western Michigan 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Indiana / W / W Stanford Oklahoma / W / L USC Ohio St Texas Army West Point / W / W at California Rush Off UNLV / W #36 # / W at Washington St Pass Off at Rutgers / L #20 # / W Oregon St Total Off Maryland / W #15 # / W Utah Off at Nebraska / W #24 # / W at Notre Dame Sks Allowed / L #50 # / at Arizona St Rush Def Penn St / W #56 # / W /4 Arizona W #98 Pass Def # /4 at Iowa L at Colorado Total Def Michigan St / W #76 # / W UCLA Def Illinois / W #60 # / W Sks By at Michigan / #2 # / W /2 Stanford W #28 Ypg Diff # /2 Wisconsin W Total TO's / / /29 Ohio St /29 USC Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Western Michigan at Indiana Stanford Oklahoma Texas Army West Point at California UNLV at Washington St at Rutgers Oregon St Maryland Utah at Nebraska at Notre Dame at Arizona St Penn St Arizona at Iowa at Colorado Michigan St UCLA Illinois at Michigan Stanford Wisconsin Ohio St USC Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Western Michigan Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett USC Ohio St at Indiana JT Barrett JK Dobbins Parris Campbell Stanford Sam Darnold Stephen Carr Deontay Burnett USC QB/WR Oklahoma JT Barrett JK Dobbins KJ Hill Texas Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett Army West Point JT Barrett JK Dobbins KJ Hill at California Sam Darnold Stephen Carr Deontay Burnett Ohio St DB's UNLV Dwayne Haskins JK Dobbins Parris Campbell at Washington St Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Tyler Vaughns USC RB's at Rutgers JT Barrett Demario McCall Johnnie Dixon Oregon St Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Tyler Vaughns Maryland JT Barrett JK Dobbins Binjimen Victor Utah Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett Ohio St LB's at Nebraska JT Barrett JK Dobbins KJ Hill at Notre Dame Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett USC OL at Arizona St Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Tyler Vaughns Penn St JT Barrett JT Barrett KJ Hill Arizona Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Tyler Vaughns Ohio St DL at Iowa JT Barrett JT Barrett Johnnie Dixon at Colorado Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Steven Mitchell USC DL Michigan St JT Barrett Mike Weber Binjimen Victor UCLA Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Steven Mitchell Illinois JT Barrett Mike Weber Parris Campbell Ohio St OL at Michigan Dwayne Haskins JK Dobbins KJ Hill Stanford Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Michael Pittman USC LB'S Wisconsin JT Barrett JK Dobbins Terry McLaurin Ohio St Ohio St RB's USC None REC TM CONF CONF TM +/- +/- USC Trojans Trojans Logs By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges USC Leaders TEAM --PS RANK USC Trojans LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES 11-2 Ohio St Buckeyes Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett USC DB's JT Barrett JK Dobbins Parris Campbell Matt Fink Stephen Carr Tyler Vaughns Ohio St Leaders Dwayne Haskins JT Barrett KJ Hill Team Vavae Malepeai Steven Mitchell Ohio St QB/WR Joe Burrow Mike Weber Terry McLaurin Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Return to Table of Contents Projected Box Category Ohio St Buckeyes PAC 12 BIG 10 Buckeyes Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF USC ST's By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 0.40 Las Vegas Line Ohio St ST's Ohio St By 7.5 Projected USC K OSU will have the crowd as their fans travel better. OSU is off the charts Las Vegas Total 104 yards USC Ohio St 239 yards Points on computer numbers & has played to a in my avg game grades, while Projected Passing Ohio St K USC has played to an avg grade of OSU has not dominated their toughest +/- Ratings 270 yards USC Ohio St 280 yards USC Coaches Ohio St By 13.0 foes. Against their top 4 opponents, they went 3-1 with the only win by more Projected Yardage Total 1.50 than 6 being against UM, when they got a TD with under 2 min left. USC had Game Grade 374 yards USC Ohio St 519 yards Ohio St Coaches Ohio St By 15.6 over 20 players inj when they limped into ND & lost by 35. USC has lost 3 DL, a Projected Final USC Pts Computer Yards K & an OL for the season, but has gotten healthier each week. With Darnold, 25 points USC Ohio St 39 points Ohio St Jones, Burnett & co., they have the talent to take this to the wire. I ll call for Experience Rankings Ohio St Pts Computer Points USC to keep it closer than expected. 72 USC Ohio St 38 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Ohio St Team Schedule Strength Ohio St Phil Steele 15 USC Ohio St 25 Ohio St by 14 By 3.57 Points Ohio St 31 USC 28

62 USC (11-2) ATS: 4-9 O/U: 6-7 COTTON BOWL Friday, December 29, :30 pm ESPN AT&T Stadium Arlington, TX COMPUTER PROJECTIONS USC OSU 105 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +1 #24 sked #18 CHECKLIST USC OSU 1/2 QB 1/2 RB 1/2 WR OL 4 DL 4 LB DB CCH 41/2 SITE 44 MTCH 4 INT ST SKED OVERALL OHIO STATE BY 6 4 s OHIO STATE (11-2) ATS: 7-6 O/U: 9-4

63 Louisville Cardinals Cardinals Logs ACC SEC Miss St Bulldogs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Purdue W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Charleston Southern 49-0 W /9 at North Carolina W /9 at Louisiana Tech W Louisville Miss St /16 Clemson L /16 LSU 37-7 W /23 Kent St 43-3 W #13 Rush Off # /23 at Georgia 3-31 L /30 Murray St W #15 Pass Off # /30 at Auburn L /5 at NC State L #3 Total Off # / /14 Boston College L #13 Off # /14 BYU W /21 at Florida St W #80 Sks Allowed # /21 Kentucky 45-7 W /28 at Wake Forest L #52 Rush Def # /28 at Texas A&M W / #79 Pass Def # /4 UMass W /11 Virginia W #59 Total Def # /11 Alabama L /18 Syracuse W #71 Def # /18 at Arkansas W /25 at Kentucky W #58 Sks By # /23 Mississippi L / #5 Ypg Diff # / /30 Miss St Total TO's /30 Louisville Bulldogs Logs Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Purdue Charleston Southern at North Carolina at Louisiana Tech Clemson LSU Kent St at Georgia Murray St at Auburn at NC State Boston College BYU at Florida St Kentucky at Wake Forest at Texas A&M UMass Virginia Alabama Syracuse at Arkansas at Kentucky Mississippi Miss St Louisville Louisville Cardinals LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Miss St Bulldogs Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Purdue Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Jay Smith Louisville Miss St Charleston Southern Nick Fitzgerald Aeris Williams Farrod Green at North Carolina Lamar Jackson Malik Williams Jaylen Smith Louisville QB/WR at Louisiana Tech Nick Fitzgerald Nick Fitzgerald Aeris Williams Clemson Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Traveon Samuel LSU Nick Fitzgerald Aeris Williams Keith Mixon Kent St Lamar Jackson Malik Williams Seth Dawkins Miss St DB's at Georgia Nick Fitzgerald Nick Gibson Deddrick Thomas Murray St Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Corey Reed Louisville RB's at Auburn Nick Fitzgerald Nick Fitzgerald Jamal Couch at NC State Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Dez Fitzpatrick Boston College Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Dez Fitzpatrick Miss St LB's BYU Nick Fitzgerald Aeris Williams Keith Mixon at Florida St Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Jaylen Smith Louisville OL Kentucky Nick Fitzgerald Nick Fitzgerald Donald Gray at Wake Forest Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Jaylen Smith at Texas A&M Nick Fitzgerald Nick Fitzgerald Farrod Green Miss St DL UMass Nick Fitzgerald Nick Fitzgerald Jesse Jackson Virginia Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Jaylen Smith Louisville DL Alabama Nick Fitzgerald Aeris Williams Deddrick Thomas Syracuse Lamar Jackson Malik Williams Jaylen Smith at Arkansas Nick Fitzgerald Nick Fitzgerald Reggie Todd at Kentucky Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Jaylen Smith Miss St OL Mississippi Keytaon Thompson Keytaon Thompson Jordan Thomas Louisville LB'S Miss St 0.67 Louisville Louisville Leaders Miss St RB's By Game Yardage Leaders Lamar Jackson Lamar Jackson Jay Smith Louisville DB's Nick Fitzgerald Aeris Williams Keith Mixon Jawon Pass Malik Williams Dez Fitzpatrick Miss St Leaders Keytaon Thompson Nick Fitzgerald Jesse Jackson Reggie Bonnafon Reggie Bonnafon Seth Dawkins Miss St QB/WR Reggie Todd Kylin Hill Deddrick Thomas Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Louisville ST's Projected Box Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None 2.36 Las Vegas Line Miss St ST's Louisville By 6.5 Projected Louisville K LY the Card s did great early and finished poorly. TY they were 5-4, but played Las Vegas Total 222 yards Louisville Miss St 240 yards Points their best in a 3-0 finish with an avg game grade of QB Jackson helped Projected Passing Miss St K the OFF avg 176 ypg above what their opponents normally allow, which is 2nd in +/- Ratings 266 yards Louisville Miss St 170 yards Louisville By 7.0 the country. The D allowed 410 ypg the F/9 games, but just 315 ypg the L/3. Louisville Coaches Projected Yardage Total 2.75 MSt lost QB Fitzgerald vs Ole Miss. True frosh Thompson has 299 yards rushing. Game Grade 488 yards Louisville Miss St 410 yards Miss St Coaches Louisville By 2.9 MSt has my #19 rated D & L Ville is just #44. MSt also lost their HC Mullen, both Projected Final Louisville Pts coordinators & will be led by interim HC Knox. Petrino needs a solid finish after Computer Yards 34 points Louisville Miss St 29 points Louisville an unexpected 4 losses & I ll call for L Ville to win by over 2 td s, making this a Experience Rankings Miss St Pts Computer Points Best Bet selection. 63 Louisville Miss St 86 Louisville POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Louisville Phil Steele 54 Louisville Miss St 46 Louisville by 15 By 2.26 Points Best Bet: Louisville 35 Mississippi St 20 Return to Table of Contents Position by Position Edges Passing

64 LOUISVILLE (8-4) ATS: 5-7 O/U: 6-6 TAXSLAYER BOWL Saturday, December 30, :00 pm ESPN Everbank Field Jacksonville, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS L VILL MSU 246 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to -2 #71 sked #21 CHECKLIST L VILL MSU 4444 QB RB 44 WR OL DL 4 LB DB CCH SITE MTCH 4 INT ST 44 SKED 44 OVERALL LOUISVILLE BY 4 4 s MISSISSIPPI ST (8-4) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 4-8

65 REC TM CONF --PS RANK-- TM CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS CONF CONF TM +/- +/- REC TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Northern Iowa W TEAM RANKINGS /31 ULM W /9 Iowa L / Iowa St Memphis /16 at Akron W /16 UCLA W / #114 Rush Off # /23 Southern Illinois W /28 Texas 7-17 L #32 Pass Off # /30 at UCF L /7 at Oklahoma W #78 Total Off # /6 at Connecticut W /14 Kansas 45-0 W #51 Off # /14 Navy W /21 at Texas Tech W #20 Sks Allowed # /19 at Houston W /28 TCU 14-7 W #31 Rush Def # /27 Tulane W /4 at West Virginia L #82 Pass Def # /3 at Tulsa W /11 Oklahoma St L #46 Total Def # / /18 at Baylor W #29 Def # /18 SMU W /25 at Kansas St L #97 Sks By # /25 East Carolina W / #61 Ypg Diff # /2 at UCF L /30 at Memphis Total TO's / Net /30 Iowa St Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Northern Iowa ULM Iowa at Akron UCLA Southern Illinois Texas at UCF at Oklahoma at Connecticut Kansas Navy at Texas Tech at Houston TCU Tulane at West Virginia at Tulsa Oklahoma St at Baylor SMU at Kansas St East Carolina at UCF at Memphis Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Northern Iowa Jacob Park David Montgomery Allen Lazard Iowa St Memphis ULM Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller Iowa Jacob Park David Montgomery Hakeem Butler Iowa St QB/WR at Akron Jacob Park David Montgomery Trever Ryen UCLA Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller Memphis DB's Southern Illinois Riley Ferguson Patrick Taylor John Williams Texas Jacob Park David Montgomery Allen Lazard Iowa St RB's at UCF Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Tony Pollard at Oklahoma Kyle Kempt David Montgomery Trever Ryen at Connecticut Riley Ferguson Doroland Dorceus Anthony Miller Kansas Kyle Kempt David Montgomery Allen Lazard Memphis LB's Navy Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller at Texas Tech Kyle Kempt David Montgomery Marchie Murdock Iowa St OL at Houston Riley Ferguson Patrick Taylor Anthony Miller TCU Kyle Kempt David Montgomery Allen Lazard Tulane Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller at West Virginia Kyle Kempt David Montgomery Hakeem Butler Memphis DL at Tulsa Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Phil Mayhue Oklahoma St Zeb Noland David Montgomery Allen Lazard Iowa St DL at Baylor Zeb Noland David Montgomery Hakeem Butler SMU Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller at Kansas St Kyle Kempt Sheldon Croney Allen Lazard Memphis OL East Carolina Riley Ferguson Patrick Taylor Anthony Miller Iowa St LB'S at UCF Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller at Memphis 0.01 Iowa St Leaders Iowa St Cyclones Iowa St Cyclones LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Kyle Kempt David Montgomery Allen Lazard Iowa St DB's Riley Ferguson Darrell Henderson Anthony Miller Jacob Park Sheldon Croney Hakeem Butler Memphis Leaders Riley Patterson Patrick Taylor Tony Pollard Zeb Noland Joel Lanning Marchie Murdock Anthony Miller Tony Pollard Phil Mayhue Memphis QB/WR Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Iowa St ST's Projected Box Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None 2.53 Las Vegas Line Memphis ST's Memphis By 3.5 Projected Iowa St K Memphis has a balanced OFF that avg 548 ypg, 5.9 ypc & the super passing Las Vegas Total 145 yards Iowa St Memphis 181 yards Points combo of Ferguson & Miller. They avg 91ypg more than their opponents allow & Projected Passing Memphis K ISU avg 24 ypg less. Memphis is also playing in their home stadium & will have a +/- Ratings 303 yards Iowa St Memphis 281 yards Memphis By 4.0 large crowd. Memphis has my #6 ST s & ISU is just #69. ISU has a large Iowa St Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.50 on D as they allow over 100 ypg less. The Clones have also taken on the Game Grade 448 yards Iowa St Memphis 462 yards Iowa St By 2.9 #20 toughest sked, facing 10 P5 teams, including 9 in bowls. Memphis has faced Memphis Coaches Projected Final Iowa St Pts just 1 P5 team & just 6 bowl teams overall. The Clones D did hold OU to just 31 Computer Yards 32 points Iowa St Memphis 34 points Memphis points. This game is a tossup & I ll call for Memphis to win by the slimmest of Experience Rankings Memphis Pts Computer Points margins. 71 Iowa St Memphis 5 Memphis POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Memphis Phil Steele 12 Iowa St Memphis 82 Memphis by 1 By 2.18 Points Memphis 32 Iowa St 31 Memphis Tigers Position by Position Edges Memphis RB's Iowa St By Game Yardage Leaders Iowa St Memphis Tigers Cyclones Logs BIG 12 AAC Tigers Logs Return to Table of Contents Passing

66 IOWA STATE (7-5) ATS: O/U: 4-8 LIBERTY BOWL Saturday, December 30, :30 pm ESPN Liberty Bowl Stadium Memphis, TN COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ISU MEMP 146 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +14 #20 sked #88 CHECKLIST ISU MEMP QB 41/2 RB 1/2 WR 1/2 OL 4 DL 4 LB DB 4 CCH SITE 444 MTCH INT ST 4441/2 SKED 441/2 OVERALL MEMPHIS BY 2 4 s MEMPHIS (10-2) ATS: O/U: 9-3

67 TM REC CONF CONF Washington Huskies Penn St Nittany Lions Huskies Logs PAC 12 BIG 10 Nittany Lions Logs TEAM --PS RANK-- TEAM --PS RANK-- TM TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF NCAA RANKINGS TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /1 at Rutgers W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Akron 52-0 W /9 Montana 63-7 W /9 Pittsburgh W Washington Penn St /16 Fresno St W /16 Georgia St 56-0 W /23 at Colorado W #38 Rush Off # /23 at Iowa W /30 at Oregon St 42-7 W #73 Pass Off # /30 Indiana W /7 California 38-7 W #54 Total Off # /7 at Northwestern 31-7 W /14 at Arizona St 7-13 L #17 Off # / / #20 Sks Allowed # /21 Michigan W /28 UCLA W #1 Rush Def # /28 at Ohio St L /4 Oregon 38-3 W #19 Pass Def # /4 at Michigan St L /10 at Stanford L #5 Total Def # /11 Rutgers 35-6 W /18 Utah W #6 Def # /18 Nebraska W /25 Washington St W #10 Sks By # /25 at Maryland 66-3 W / #11 Ypg Diff # / /30 Penn St Total TO's /30 Washington Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Rutgers Akron Montana Pittsburgh Fresno St Georgia St at Colorado at Iowa at Oregon St Indiana California at Northwestern at Arizona St Michigan UCLA at Ohio St Oregon at Michigan St at Stanford Rutgers Utah Nebraska Washington St at Maryland Penn St Washington Washington Huskies LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Penn St Nittany Lions Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing at Rutgers Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Dante Pettis Washington Penn St Akron Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley Juwan Johnson Montana Jake Browning Salvon Ahmed Will Dissly Washington QB/WR Pittsburgh Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley Saquon Barkley Fresno St Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Hunter Bryant Georgia St Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley Saquon Barkley at Colorado Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Dante Pettis Penn St DB's at Iowa Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley Saquon Barkley at Oregon St Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Dante Pettis Washington RB's Indiana Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley DaeSean Hamilton California Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Hunter Bryant at Northwestern Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley Saeed Blacknall at Arizona St Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Dante Pettis Penn St LB's Washington OL Michigan Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley DaeSean Hamilton UCLA Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Lavon Coleman at Ohio St Trace McSorley Trace McSorley Mike Gesicki Oregon Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Dante Pettis Penn St DL at Michigan St Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley DaeSean Hamilton at Stanford Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Aaron Fuller Washington DL Rutgers Trace McSorley Trace McSorley Juwan Johnson Utah Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Myles Gaskin Nebraska Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley Juwan Johnson Washington St Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Ty Jones Penn St OL at Maryland Trace McSorley Tommy Stevens Juwan Johnson Washington LB'S Penn St 0.22 Washington Washington Leaders Position by Position Edges Jake Browning Myles Gaskin Dante Pettis Washington DB's Trace McSorley Saquon Barkley DaeSean Hamilton KJ Carta-Samuels Lavon Coleman Hunter Bryant Penn St Leaders Tommy Stevens Trace McSorley Juwan Johnson Dante Pettis Salvon Ahmed Will Dissly Penn St QB/WR Saquon Barkley Tommy Stevens Saquon Barkley Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Washington ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box None 0.30 Las Vegas Line Penn St ST's Penn St By 2 Return to Table of Contents Projected 136 yards Washington Penn St Projected Passing 225 yards 361 yards Washington Penn St Projected Final 24 points Washington Penn St Projected Yardage Total Washington Penn St Experience Rankings 13 Washington Penn St Team Schedule Strength 134 yards 250 yards 384 yards 32 points Washington Penn St Penn St RB's Washington K Penn St K Washington Coaches Penn St Coaches Washington Pts Penn St Pts Washington By 0.09 Points POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: By Game Yardage Leaders Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings Game Grade Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele 55 Points Penn St By 6.0 Penn St By 4.4 Penn St Penn St Penn St by 8 Passing PSU would be in the playoffs had they held onto an 11 point 4Q lead with 5 min to go at OSU. UW has the D, holding foes to 121 ypg below their season avg with 2 AA s in DT Vea & LB Victor. PSU has a solid D, allowing just 329 ypg. PSU has a good-sized on OFF w/barkley & McSorley, and avg 96 ypg more than their foes normally allowed, while UW s OFF avg exactly what their opponents allowed. PSU played the tougher sked & 8 of my 9 sets of power ratings has them winning by 4+. PSU gets the call as a Best Bet selection as they ll win by over a td. Best Bet: Penn St 32 Washington 24

68 WASHINGTON (10-2) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6 FIESTA BOWL Saturday, December 30, :00 pm ESPN University of Phoenix Stadium Glendale, AZ COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WASH PSU 153 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +14 #65 sked #48 CHECKLIST WASH PSU QB 1/2 RB 1/2 WR 4 OL 4 DL LB DB CCH SITE 4 MTCH INT ST SKED 4 OVERALL PENN STATE BY 3 4 s PENN STATE (10-2) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6

69 REC TM CONF +/- TEAM --PS RANK TM TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK-- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /1 Utah St W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Bethune-Cookman W /9 Florida Atlantic W / Wisconsin Miami, Fl /16 at BYU 40-6 W / / #21 Rush Off # /23 Toledo W /30 Northwestern W #94 Pass Off # /29 at Duke 31-6 W /7 at Nebraska W #50 Total Off # /7 at Florida St W /14 Purdue 17-9 W #30 Off # /14 Georgia Tech W /21 Maryland W #42 Sks Allowed # /21 Syracuse W /28 at Illinois W #2 Rush Def # /28 at North Carolina W /4 at Indiana W #4 Pass Def # /4 Virginia Tech W /11 Iowa W #1 Total Def # /11 Notre Dame 41-8 W /18 Michigan W #3 Def # /18 Virginia W /25 at Minnesota 31-0 W #8 Sks By # /24 at Pittsburgh L /2 Ohio St L #8 Ypg Diff # /2 Clemson 3-38 L / Total TO's / /30 at Miami, Fl /30 Wisconsin Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Utah St Bethune-Cookman Florida Atlantic at BYU Toledo Northwestern at Duke at Nebraska at Florida St Purdue Georgia Tech Maryland Syracuse at Illinois at North Carolina at Indiana Virginia Tech Iowa Notre Dame Michigan Virginia at Minnesota at Pittsburgh Ohio St Clemson at Miami, Fl Wisconsin Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Utah St Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Troy Fumagalli Wisconsin Miami, Fl Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier Mark Walton Darrell Langham Florida Atlantic Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Troy Fumagalli Wisconsin QB/WR at BYU Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Danny Davis Miami, Fl DB's Toledo Malik Rosier Mark Walton Braxton Berrios Northwestern Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Quintez Cephus Wisconsin RB's at Duke Malik Rosier Mark Walton Ahmmon Richards at Nebraska Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Quintez Cephus at Florida St Malik Rosier Travis Homer Braxton Berrios Purdue Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Quintez Cephus Miami, Fl LB's Georgia Tech Malik Rosier Travis Homer Darrell Langham Maryland Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Troy Fumagalli Wisconsin OL Syracuse Malik Rosier Travis Homer Ahmmon Richards at Illinois Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Kendric Pryor at North Carolina Malik Rosier Travis Homer Jeff Thomas at Indiana Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor AJ Taylor Miami, Fl DL Virginia Tech Malik Rosier Travis Homer Christopher Herndon Iowa Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Danny Davis Wisconsin DL Notre Dame Malik Rosier Travis Homer Lawrence Cager Michigan Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor AJ Taylor Virginia Malik Rosier Travis Homer Ahmmon Richards at Minnesota Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Kendric Pryor Miami, Fl OL at Pittsburgh Malik Rosier Malik Rosier Braxton Berrios Ohio St Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Danny Davis Wisconsin LB'S Clemson Malik Rosier Deejay Dallas Braxton Berrios at Miami, Fl Miami, Fl RB's Wisconsin Wisconsin Leaders CONF TM +/- Net Wisconsin Badgers Badgers Logs Wisconsin Badgers LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Miami, Fl Hurricanes Alex Hornibrook Jonathan Taylor Troy Fumagalli Wisconsin DB's Malik Rosier Travis Homer Braxton Berrios Jack Coan Bradrick Shaw Quintez Cephus Miami, Fl Leaders Braxton Berrios Mark Walton Christopher Herndon Return to Table of Contents 12-1 BIG Miami, Fl Hurricanes ACC Hurricanes Logs Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Garrett Groshek Garrett Groshek AJ Taylor Evan Shirrefs Malik Rosier Ahmmon Richards Miami, Fl QB/WR Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Wisconsin ST's Projected Box 0.47 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Miami, Fl ST's Wisconsin By 6 I picked Miami as my #2 Surprise team in my magazine. They got as high as #2 Projected Wisconsin K Las Vegas Total in the Playoff rankings, but lost their star TE & one of their top WR s prior to the 186 yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 76 yards Points ACC title game. Rosier completed just 49% the L/6 games. Miami s D comes to Projected Passing Miami, Fl K +/- Ratings play in big games as they held VT, ND & Clemson to 90 ypg below their season 189 yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 203 yards Wisconsin Coaches Wisconsin By 9.5 avg. Clemson only had 331 yards. UW has the nation s top D statistically, Projected Yardage Total 0.25 Game Grade allowing just 253 ypg. The Badgers took on a light sked, but held foes to yards Wisconsin Miami, Fl 279 yards Miami, Fl Coaches Wisconsin By 8.4 Projected Final ypg below their season avg, which is 4th best. While UW comes in avg 5.1 ypc, Wisconsin Pts 26 points Wisconsin Miami, Fl 16 points Computer Yards Wisconsin keep in mind ND was at 7.0 ypc & Miami held them to 109 rush yards. Both have Experience Rankings Miami, Fl Pts gread D s & can be stopped on OFF. I ll call for Miami to keep this game close in Computer Points 33 Wisconsin Miami, Fl 73 Wisconsin a lower than expected scoring game. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Wisconsin Phil Steele 47 Wisconsin Miami, Fl 31 Wisconsin by 3 By 2.78 Points Wisconsin 20 Miami, FL 17

70 WISCONSIN (12-1) ATS: 8-5 O/U: 7-6 ORANGE BOWL Saturday, December 30, :00 pm ESPN Hard Rock Stadium Miami Gardens, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS WISC MIA 175 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +15 #51 sked #33 CHECKLIST WISC MIA 441/2 QB 1/2 1/2 RB WR OL DL 1/2 LB 4 DB CCH SITE 41/2 44 MTCH INT 1/2 41/2 ST SKED 1/2 OVERALL WISCONSIN BY 5 4 s MIAMI (10-2) ATS: 5-7 O/U: 2-10

71 South Carolina Gamecocks Gamecocks Logs Michigan Wolverines SEC BIG 10 Wolverines Logs TM TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM +/- +/- TM +/- +/- REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 NC State W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Florida W /9 at Missouri W /9 Cincinnati W South Carolina Michigan /16 Kentucky L /16 Air Force W /23 Louisiana Tech W #108 Rush Off # /23 at Purdue W /30 at Texas A&M L #79 Pass Off # / /7 Arkansas W #109 Total Off # /7 Michigan St L /14 at Tennessee 15-9 W #98 Off # /14 at Indiana W / #72 Sks Allowed # /21 at Penn St L /28 Vanderbilt W #43 Rush Def # /28 Rutgers W /4 at Georgia L #72 Pass Def # /4 Minnesota W /11 Florida W #51 Total Def # /11 at Maryland W /18 Wofford W #26 Def # /18 at Wisconsin L /25 Clemson L #61 Sks By # /25 Ohio St L / #89 Ypg Diff # / /1 Michigan Total TO's /1 South Carolina Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks NC State Florida at Missouri Cincinnati Kentucky Air Force Louisiana Tech at Purdue at Texas A&M Arkansas Michigan St at Tennessee at Indiana at Penn St Vanderbilt Rutgers at Georgia Minnesota Florida at Maryland Wofford at Wisconsin Clemson Ohio St Michigan South Carolina Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing NC State Jake Bentley Rico Dowdle Deebo Samuel South Carolina Michigan Florida Wilton Speight Ty Isaac Tarik Black at Missouri Jake Bentley Ty'Son Williams Hayden Hurst South Carolina QB/WR Cincinnati Wilton Speight Ty Isaac Kekoa Crawford Kentucky Jake Bentley Rico Dowdle Deebo Samuel Air Force Wilton Speight Ty Isaac Tarik Black Louisiana Tech Jake Bentley Ty'Son Williams Bryan Edwards Michigan DB's at Purdue John O'Korn Chris Evans Sean McKeon at Texas A&M Jake Bentley Ty'Son Williams Shi Smith South Carolina RB's Arkansas Jake Bentley Rico Dowdle Hayden Hurst Michigan St John O'Korn Karan Higdon Grant Perry at Tennessee Jake Bentley AJ Turner Bryan Edwards Michigan LB's at Indiana John O'Korn Karan Higdon Donovan Peoples-Jones South Carolina OL at Penn St John O'Korn Karan Higdon Grant Perry Vanderbilt Jake Bentley AJ Turner Shi Smith Rutgers Brandon Peters Karan Higdon Sean McKeon at Georgia Jake Bentley AJ Turner Hayden Hurst Michigan DL Minnesota Brandon Peters Karan Higdon Sean McKeon Florida Jake Bentley AJ Turner OrTre Smith South Carolina DL at Maryland Brandon Peters Chris Evans Zach Gentry Wofford Jake Bentley AJ Turner Bryan Edwards at Wisconsin Brandon Peters Chris Evans Donovan Peoples-Jones Clemson Jake Bentley Ty'Son Williams Bryan Edwards Michigan OL Ohio St John O'Korn Chris Evans Kekoa Crawford South Carolina LB'S Michigan 0.68 South Carolina South Carolina Leaders Jake Bentley AJ Turner Bryan Edwards South Carolina DB's John O'Korn Karan Higdon Grant Perry Hayden Hurst Ty'Son Williams Hayden Hurst Michigan Leaders Wilton Speight Chris Evans Sean McKeon Team Rico Dowdle Shi Smith Michigan QB/WR Brandon Peters Ty Isaac Zach Gentry Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) South Carolina ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: Projected Box 2012 Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's 1.53 Las Vegas Line Michigan Michigan ST's Michigan By 8 South Carolina Return to Table of Contents 81 yards 152 yards 12 points Projected South Carolina Michigan Projected Passing South Carolina Michigan Projected Yardage Total 233 yards South Carolina Michigan Projected Final 178 yards 195 yards 26 South Carolina Michigan 127 Team Schedule Strength 52 South Carolina Michigan 373 yards South Carolina Michigan 23 points Experience Rankings South Carolina Gamecocks LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Michigan RB's South Carolina K Michigan K South Carolina Coaches Michigan Wolverines 1.25 Las Vegas Total +/- Ratings 43 Points Michigan By Game Grade Michigan Coaches Michigan By 10.6 South Carolina Pts Michigan Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Michigan By 5.56 Points 7.29 Computer Yards Computer Points Phil Steele Michigan Michigan Michigan by 14 Michigan 24 South Carolina 10 SC is 6-1 ATS as a dog with 4 outright wins. HC Harbaugh is just 5-10 ATS as a favorite. SC overachieved, winning 8 games & playing in the weak SEC East. They avoided LSU, Bama & Aub out of the West. Their win over NCSt was misleading as they were outgained by 258 yds. On the ssn, SC was outgained by 34 ypg. UM won the same amount of games, but outgained their foes by 86 ypg. UM s D allowed just 269 ypg, while SC allowed 375 ypg. UM has the potential to be a top 10 team to open up 18 and will finish off the season with an impressive win by 2 td s.

72 MICHIGAN (8-4) ATS: 7-5 O/U: OUTBACK BOWL Monday, January 1, :00 pm ESPN2 Raymond James Stadium Tampa, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS MICH S CAR 179 rush yd pass yd pts 10-2 ytd to +9 #35 sked #42 CHECKLIST MICH S CAR QB 41/2 44 RB WR 1/2 1/2 OL 4 DL 41/2 LB 44 DB 4 CCH SITE 4 MTCH INT 4 ST 1/2 SKED OVERALL MICHIGAN BY 6 4 s SOUTH CAROLINA (8-4) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 4-8

73 REC UCF Knights Knights Logs AAC SEC Tigers Logs TEAM --PS RANK-- TM TEAM TM +/- +/- CONF TM +/- +/ PS RANK-- TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /31 FIU W TEAM RANKINGS /2 GA Southern 41-7 W / /9 at Clemson 6-14 L UCF Auburn / /16 Mercer W /23 at Maryland W #34 Rush Off # /23 at Missouri W /30 Memphis W #7 Pass Off # /30 Miss St W /7 at Cincinnati W #5 Total Off # /7 Mississippi W /14 East Carolina W #1 Off # /14 at LSU L /21 at Navy W #7 Sks Allowed # /21 at Arkansas W /28 Austin Peay W #65 Rush Def # / /4 at SMU W #111 Pass Def # /4 at Texas A&M W /11 Connecticut W #94 Total Def # /11 Georgia W /18 at Temple W #53 Def # /18 ULM W /24 USF W #92 Sks By # /25 Alabama W /2 Memphis W #18 Ypg Diff # /2 Georgia 7-28 L / Total TO's / /1 Auburn /1 UCF TM CONF Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FIU GA Southern at Clemson Mercer at Maryland at Missouri Memphis Miss St at Cincinnati Mississippi East Carolina at LSU at Navy at Arkansas Austin Peay at SMU at Texas A&M Connecticut Georgia at Temple ULM USF Alabama Memphis Georgia Auburn UCF Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing FIU McKenzie Milton Jawon Hamilton Dredrick Snelson UCF Auburn GA Southern Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Will Hastings UCF QB/WR at Clemson Jarrett Stidham Kamryn Pettway Ryan Davis Mercer Jarrett Stidham Kamryn Pettway Will Hastings at Maryland McKenzie Milton McKenzie Milton Jordan Akins Auburn DB's at Missouri Jarrett Stidham Kam Martin Nate Craig-Myers Memphis McKenzie Milton Adrian Killins Tre'Quan Smith UCF RB's Miss St Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Eli Stove at Cincinnati McKenzie Milton Marlon Williams Tre'Quan Smith Mississippi Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Ryan Davis East Carolina McKenzie Milton Greg McCrae Tre'Quan Smith Auburn LB's at LSU Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Ryan Davis at Navy McKenzie Milton Adrian Killins Dredrick Snelson UCF OL at Arkansas Jarrett Stidham Kamryn Pettway Darius Slayton Austin Peay McKenzie Milton Noah Vedral Dredrick Snelson at SMU McKenzie Milton Adrian Killins Tre'Quan Smith Auburn DL at Texas A&M Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Darius Slayton Connecticut McKenzie Milton Otis Anderson Tre'Quan Smith UCF DL Georgia Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Kerryon Johnson at Temple McKenzie Milton Otis Anderson Tre'Quan Smith ULM Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Darius Slayton USF McKenzie Milton Adrian Killins Dredrick Snelson Auburn OL Alabama Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Ryan Davis Memphis McKenzie Milton Otis Anderson Tre'Quan Smith UCF LB'S Georgia Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Ryan Davis Auburn Auburn RB's UCF UCF Leaders UCF Knights LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Auburn Tigers Auburn Tigers McKenzie Milton Adrian Killins Tre'Quan Smith UCF DB's Jarrett Stidham Kerryon Johnson Ryan Davis Noah Vedral McKenzie Milton Dredrick Snelson Auburn Leaders Ryan Davis Kam Martin Darius Slayton Otis Anderson Jordan Akins Auburn QB/WR Malik Willis Kamryn Pettway Will Hastings Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UCF ST's Projected Box 2.30 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Auburn ST's Auburn By 9.5 Projected UCF K UCF s explosive OFF scored 49 ppg & avg 540 ypg. Upon closer inspection, UCF Las Vegas Total 107 yards UCF Auburn 236 yards Points took on 1 of the weakest slates of D s any team faced. The highest ranked D Projected Passing Auburn K they opposed was #49 in my rankings & just 3 of their 13 foes ranked higher +/- Ratings 269 yards UCF Auburn 300 yards UCF Coaches Auburn By 8.5 than #85. Auburn comes in with my #7 rated D & 1 of the best front 7 s in the Projected Yardage Total 0.80 country. The G5 NYD bowl team is 3-1 SU/ATS & is always more motivated. The Game Grade 376 yards UCF Auburn 536 yards Auburn Coaches Auburn By 9.6 lone loss was LY & that was when WM came in unbeaten. UCF comes in Projected Final UCF Pts unbeaten & Auburn has knocked off a pair of undefeated #1 teams, each by Computer Yards 27 points UCF Auburn 37 points Auburn DD s. While those wins were at home, Bama & UGA are a lot stronger than this Experience Rankings Auburn Pts Computer Points UCF squad & I ll call for the Tigers to win by over 2 td s. 53 UCF Auburn 6 Auburn POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Auburn Phil Steele 78 UCF Auburn 19 Auburn by 17 By 5.95 Points Auburn 40 UCF 23 Return to Table of Contents

74 UCF (12-0) ATS: O/U: 7-4 PEACH BOWL Monday, January 1, :30 pm ESPN Mercedez-Benz Stadium Atlanta, GA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UCF AUB 107 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +1 #79 sked #3 CHECKLIST UCF AUB 1/2 QB RB 41/2 WR OL 1/2 DL 444 LB 44 DB 4 CCH 4 SITE 41/2 MTCH 44 INT 41/2 ST SKED 4441/2 OVERALL AUBURN BY 10 4 s AUBURN (10-3) ATS: O/U: 7-6

75 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Fighting Irish Logs IND SEC LSU Tigers TEAM --PS RANK TEAM --PS RANK-- TM TM REC CONF REC CONF NCAA RANKINGS TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Temple W TEAM RANKINGS /2 BYU 27-0 W /9 Georgia L /9 Chattanooga W Notre Dame LSU /16 at Boston College W /16 at Miss St 7-37 L /23 at Michigan St W #7 Rush Off # /23 Syracuse W /30 Miami, OH W #104 Pass Off # /30 Troy L /7 at North Carolina W #24 Total Off # /7 at Florida W / #22 Off # /14 Auburn W /21 USC W #72 Sks Allowed # /21 at Mississippi W /28 NC State W #49 Rush Def # / /4 Wake Forest W #51 Pass Def # /4 at Alabama L /11 at Miami, Fl 8-41 L #44 Total Def # /11 Arkansas W /18 Navy W #32 Def # /18 at Tennessee W /25 at Stanford L #83 Sks By # /25 Texas A&M W / #24 Ypg Diff # / /1 LSU Total TO's /1 Notre Dame Tigers Logs Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Temple BYU Georgia Chattanooga at Boston College at Miss St at Michigan St Syracuse Miami, OH Troy at North Carolina at Florida Auburn USC at Mississippi NC State Wake Forest at Alabama at Miami, Fl Arkansas Navy at Tennessee at Stanford Texas A&M LSU Notre Dame Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Temple Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Equanimeous St. Brown Notre Dame LSU BYU Danny Etling Derrius Guice DJ Chark Georgia Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Josh Adams Notre Dame QB/WR Chattanooga Danny Etling Derrius Guice DJ Chark at Boston College Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Alize Mack at Miss St Danny Etling Derrius Guice Darrel Williams at Michigan St Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Equanimeous St. Brown LSU DB's Syracuse Danny Etling Darrel Williams Drake Davis Miami, OH Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Miles Boykin Notre Dame RB's Troy Danny Etling Darrel Williams DJ Chark at North Carolina Ian Book Deon McIntosh Alize Mack at Florida Danny Etling Russell Gage DJ Chark LSU LB's Auburn Danny Etling Russell Gage DJ Chark USC Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Kevin Stepherson Notre Dame OL at Mississippi Danny Etling Derrius Guice Darrel Williams NC State Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Durham Smythe Wake Forest Brandon Wimbush Brandon Wimbush Chase Claypool LSU DL at Alabama Danny Etling Darrel Williams DJ Chark at Miami, Fl Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Equanimeous St. Brown Notre Dame DL Arkansas Danny Etling Derrius Guice DJ Chark Navy Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Kevin Stepherson at Tennessee Danny Etling Derrius Guice Darrel Williams at Stanford Brandon Wimbush Brandon Wimbush Kevin Stepherson LSU OL Texas A&M Danny Etling Derrius Guice DJ Chark Notre Dame LB'S LSU 0.97 Notre Dame Notre Dame Fighting Irish By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Notre Dame Leaders LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES LSU RB's Brandon Wimbush Josh Adams Equanimeous St. Brown Notre Dame DB's Danny Etling Derrius Guice DJ Chark Ian Book Brandon Wimbush Chase Claypool LSU Leaders Myles Brennan Darrel Williams Darrel Williams TEAM Deon McIntosh Kevin Stepherson LSU QB/WR Russell Gage Russell Gage Russell Gage Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Comp-Att-Yds Projected Box Notre Dame ST's Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2014 Rank Line FD Rush TO's 0.98 Las Vegas Line Notre Dame LSU ST's Lsu By 3 ND has the best OL in the nation, capped off by winning the Joe Moore Awd. LSU Projected Notre Dame K Las Vegas Total 224 yards Notre Dame LSU 178 yards Points Projected Passing LSU K +/- Ratings They have 2 AA s in Nelson & McGlinchey. The unit will need to live up to that billing for the Irish to win. ND was avg 7.0 ypc in the Miami game, but their powerful rush attack was grounded the L/3 games, avg just 142 rushing ypg & 173 yards Notre Dame LSU 200 yards Notre Dame Coaches Lsu By ypc. ND lost their L/4 games ATS. LSU took the opposite tact. They lost 2 of Projected Yardage Total 1.00 Game Grade their F/5 games, but covered their L/7 games. The LSU D held foes to 88 ypg 397 yards Notre Dame LSU 377 yards LSU Coaches Notre Dame By 9.8 Projected Final below their season avg & ND held foes to 50 ypg below. ND took on my #2 Notre Dame Pts 28 points Notre Dame LSU 23 points Computer Yards Notre Dame toughest sked, while LSU only faced my #55 toughest so the Irish is more battle Experience Rankings LSU Pts tested. I ll call for ND to pull off the outright upset by the slimmest of margin in 84 Notre Dame LSU 95 Computer Points a lower than expected scoring game. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Notre Dame Team Schedule Strength LSU Phil Steele 2 Notre Dame LSU 51 Notre Dame by 1 By 0.46 Points Notre Dame 21 (+) LSU 20 Return to Table of Contents LSU Tigers

76 NOTRE DAME (9-3) ATS: 7-5 O/U: 6-6 CITRUS BOWL Monday, January 1, :00 pm ABC Camping World Stadium Orlando, FL COMPUTER PROJECTIONS ND LSU 190 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +6 #2 sked #55 CHECKLIST ND LSU 1/2 QB RB WR 41/2 OL DL 41/2 LB 4 DB 41/2 41/2 CCH SITE MTCH 1/2 INT ST 1/2 441/2 SKED OVERALL NOTRE DAME BY 1 4 s LSU (9-3) ATS: 8-4 O/U: 5-7

77 Georgia Bulldogs Bulldogs Logs SEC BIG 12 TM REC CONF CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK TM TEAM --PS RANK-- TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF CONF TM +/- +/- TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Appalachian St W TEAM RANKINGS /2 UTEP 56-7 W /9 at Notre Dame W /9 at Ohio St W Georgia Oklahoma /16 Samford W /16 Tulane W /23 Miss St 31-3 W #11 Rush Off # /23 at Baylor W /30 at Tennessee 41-0 W #111 Pass Off # / /7 at Vanderbilt W #36 Total Off # /7 Iowa St L /14 Missouri W #23 Off # /14 Texas W / #20 Sks Allowed # /21 at Kansas St W /28 Florida 42-7 W #12 Rush Def # /28 Texas Tech W /4 South Carolina W #2 Pass Def # /4 at Oklahoma St W /11 at Auburn L #4 Total Def # /11 TCU W /18 Kentucky W #4 Def # /18 at Kansas 41-3 W /25 at Georgia Tech 38-7 W #55 Sks By # /25 West Virginia W /2 Auburn 28-7 W #9 Ypg Diff # /2 TCU W / Total TO's / /1 Oklahoma /1 Georgia Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Appalachian St UTEP at Notre Dame at Ohio St Samford Tulane Miss St at Baylor at Tennessee at Vanderbilt Iowa St Missouri Texas at Kansas St Florida Texas Tech South Carolina at Oklahoma St at Auburn TCU Kentucky at Kansas at Georgia Tech West Virginia Auburn TCU Oklahoma Georgia Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Appalachian St Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Javon Wims Georgia Oklahoma UTEP Baker Mayfield Abdul Adams Mark Andrews at Notre Dame Jake Fromm Sony Michel Terry Godwin Georgia QB/WR at Ohio St Baker Mayfield Trey Sermon Dimitri Flowers Samford Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Terry Godwin Tulane Baker Mayfield Abdul Adams Marquise Brown Miss St Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Terry Godwin Oklahoma DB's at Baylor Baker Mayfield Abdul Adams Mark Andrews at Tennessee Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Terry Godwin Georgia RB's at Vanderbilt Jake Fromm Sony Michel Terry Godwin Iowa St Baker Mayfield Trey Sermon Dimitri Flowers Missouri Jake Fromm D'Andre Swift Javon Wims Oklahoma LB's Texas Baker Mayfield Trey Sermon Mark Andrews Georgia OL at Kansas St Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson Marquise Brown Florida Jake Fromm Sony Michel D'Andre Swift Texas Tech Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson CeeDee Lamb South Carolina Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Terry Godwin Oklahoma DL at Oklahoma St Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson Marquise Brown at Auburn Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Javon Wims Georgia DL TCU Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson Rodney Anderson Kentucky Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Javon Wims at Kansas Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson Grant Calcaterra at Georgia Tech Jake Fromm Sony Michel Ahkil Crumpton Oklahoma OL West Virginia Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson CeeDee Lamb Auburn Jake Fromm D'Andre Swift Mecole Hardman Georgia LB'S TCU Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson Marquise Brown Oklahoma Oklahoma RB's Georgia Georgia Leaders Georgia Bulldogs LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Jake Fromm Nick Chubb Javon Wims Georgia DB's Baker Mayfield Rodney Anderson Marquise Brown Jacob Eason Sony Michel Terry Godwin Oklahoma Leaders Kyler Murray Trey Sermon Mark Andrews Brice Ramsey D'Andre Swift Mecole Hardman Trey Sermon Abdul Adams CeeDee Lamb Oklahoma QB/WR Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Georgia ST's Projected Box 2.59 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: None Las Vegas Line Oklahoma ST's Georgia By 2 The Granddaddy of them all is a battle of OFF vs D. OU has 1 of the nation s Projected Georgia K Las Vegas Total best OL s, a deep set of RB s, a Mackey Awd winning TE, dangerous WR s & the 256 yards Georgia Oklahoma 147 yards Points Heisman winner. Despite facing 9 bowl teams, they avg 199 ypg more than what Projected Passing Oklahoma K +/- Ratings their opponents allowed on avg. OU s much maligned D did hold foes to 33 ypg 173 yards Georgia Oklahoma 323 yards Georgia Coaches Oklahoma By 2.0 below their season avg. UGA has my #4 rated D, led by SEC DPOY Smith. The Projected Yardage Total 1.50 Game Grade Bulldogs D held foes to 158 ypg below their season avg. UGA also has the ST s 429 yards Georgia Oklahoma 470 yards Oklahoma Coaches Oklahoma By 4.7 Projected Final. I find it tough to go against each. I normally side with the team that has Georgia Pts 33 points Georgia Oklahoma 31 points Computer Yards Oklahoma the stronger D & ST s, but OU has taken on the tougher sked and the majority of Experience Rankings Oklahoma Pts UGA s foes had below avg passing attacks. I ll call for OU to advance to the Nat l Computer Points 12 Georgia Oklahoma 29 Georgia Champ by the slimmest of margins. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Georgia Phil Steele 36 Georgia Oklahoma 3 Oklahoma by 1 By 5.37 Points Oklahoma 34 (+) Georgia 33 Return to Table of Contents Oklahoma Sooners Passing Oklahoma Sooners Sooners Logs

78 GEORGIA (12-1) ATS: 9-4 O/U: 5-8 ROSE BOWL Monday, January 1, :00 pm ESPN Rose Bowl Pasadena, CA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS UGA OKLA 269 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +5 #38 sked #16 CHECKLIST UGA OKLA QB 441/2 4 RB WR 4 OL 4 DL 44 LB 41/2 DB 4 CCH SITE MTCH INT 4 44 ST SKED 4 OVERALL GEORGIA BY 1 4 s OKLAHOMA (12-1) ATS: 9-4 O/U: 7-5-1

79 REC Alabama Crimson Tide TEAM --PS RANK TM TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST CONF TM +/- +/- TEAM --PS RANK-- NCAA RANKINGS REC CONF TM DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST /2 Florida St 24-7 W TEAM RANKINGS /2 Kent St 56-3 W /9 Fresno St W /9 Auburn 14-6 W Alabama Clemson /16 Colorado St W /16 at Louisville W /23 at Vanderbilt 59-0 W #10 Rush Off # /23 Boston College 34-7 W /30 Mississippi 66-3 W #86 Pass Off # /30 at Virginia Tech W /7 at Texas A&M W #21 Total Off # /7 Wake Forest W /14 Arkansas 41-9 W #12 Off # /13 at Syracuse L /21 Tennessee 45-7 W #50 Sks Allowed # / / #3 Rush Def # /28 Georgia Tech W /4 LSU W #7 Pass Def # /4 at NC State W /11 at Miss St W #2 Total Def # /11 Florida St W /18 Mercer 56-0 W #1 Def # /18 The Citadel 61-3 W /25 at Auburn L #27 Sks By # /25 at South Carolina W #2 Ypg Diff # /2 Miami, Fl 38-3 W /1 Clemson Total TO's / TM CONF /1 Alabama Net Comp Yds Net Comp Yds Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Florida St Kent St Fresno St Auburn Colorado St at Louisville at Vanderbilt Boston College Mississippi at Virginia Tech at Texas A&M Wake Forest Arkansas at Syracuse Tennessee Georgia Tech LSU at NC State at Miss St Florida St Mercer The Citadel at Auburn at South Carolina Miami, Fl Clemson Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Florida St Jalen Hurts Damien Harris Calvin Ridley Alabama Clemson Kent St Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Milan Richard Fresno St Jalen Hurts Jalen Hurts Calvin Ridley Alabama QB/WR Auburn Kelly Bryant Kelly Bryant Ray-Ray McCloud Colorado St Jalen Hurts Jalen Hurts Calvin Ridley at Louisville Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Ray-Ray McCloud at Vanderbilt Tua Tagovailoa Damien Harris Jerry Jeudy Clemson DB's Boston College Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Hunter Renfrow Mississippi Jalen Hurts Jalen Hurts Cam Sims Alabama RB's at Virginia Tech Kelly Bryant Kelly Bryant Tavien Feaster at Texas A&M Jalen Hurts Damien Harris Jalen Hurts Wake Forest Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Hunter Renfrow Arkansas Jalen Hurts Damien Harris Calvin Ridley Clemson LB's at Syracuse Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Hunter Renfrow Tennessee Jalen Hurts Damien Harris Calvin Ridley Alabama OL 0.29 Georgia Tech Kelly Bryant Kelly Bryant Deon Cain LSU Jalen Hurts Jalen Hurts Calvin Ridley Clemson DL at NC State Kelly Bryant Tavien Feaster Deon Cain at Miss St Jalen Hurts Damien Harris Calvin Ridley Alabama DL Florida St Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Hunter Renfrow Mercer Jalen Hurts Bo Scarbrough Calvin Ridley The Citadel Kelly Bryant Tavien Feaster Tee Higgins at Auburn Jalen Hurts Jalen Hurts Cam Sims Clemson OL at South Carolina Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Tee Higgins Alabama LB'S Miami, Fl Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Ray-Ray McCloud Clemson 1.17 Alabama Crimson Tide LEADERS & TEAM AVERAGES Clemson RB's Jalen Hurts Damien Harris Calvin Ridley Alabama DB's Kelly Bryant Travis Etienne Deon Cain Tua Tagovailoa Jalen Hurts Cam Sims Clemson Leaders Zerrick Cooper Tavien Feaster Hunter Renfrow JK Scott Bo Scarbrough Jerry Jeudy Hunter Johnson Kelly Bryant Ray-Ray McCloud Clemson QB/WR Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Alabama ST's Projected Box Comp-Att-Yds 1.30 Category Team & Margin Phil's Forecast: 2016 Rank Line FD Rush TO's Las Vegas Line Alabama Clemson ST's Alabama By 3 Clemson has the nation s best DL & the D has held foes to 138 ypg below their ssn avg. Clemson Projected Alabama K Clemson has a solid rush attack & is ATS. HC Swinney is 7-3 SU/8-2 ATS in his Las Vegas Total 177 yards Alabama Clemson 135 yards Points L/10 postssn gms. Clemson beat 5 ranked foes, while Bama beat 3. Despite that, I feel Comp-Att-Yds 2015 Rank Line FD Rush TO's Alabama Projected Passing Clemson K the perfect storm will see the Tide crash in & win. Bama s D was beat up down the +/- Ratings Clemson yards Alabama Clemson 203 yards Clemson By 3.0 stretch. They not only get back most of the LB s that missed the end of the ssn, but Alabama Coaches Projected Yardage Total 0.50 also Miller & Lewis. Bama has a great OL with my #1 set of RB s that avg 6.0 ypc. Game Grade 348 yards Alabama Clemson 339 yards Alabama By 0.6 Ridley is a top NFL prospect. Hurts should be highly motivated after LY s poor title Clemson Coaches Projected Final Alabama Pts game & his rating is 19 pts higher than Bryant. I give Bama the on OFF along Computer Yards 25 points Alabama Clemson 22 points Alabama with a slight on D. defense. Bama feels like the dog as they barely made the Experience Rankings Clemson Pts playoffs. They are playing with legit revenge & enter off a loss. I ll call for Bama to win Computer Points 67 Alabama Clemson 108 Alabama by over a td, making this a Best Bet selection. POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Team Schedule Strength Alabama Phil Steele 57 Alabama Clemson 29 Alabama by 8 By 6.85 Points Best Bet: Alabama 28 Clemson By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Alabama Leaders CONF TM +/- +/- Crimson Tide Logs Return to Table of Contents SEC ACC Clemson Tigers Alabama Alabama Clemson Tigers Tigers Logs

80 ALABAMA (11-1) ATS: O/U: 5-7 SUGAR BOWL Monday, January 1, :45 pm ESPN Mercedes-Benz Superdome New Orleans, LA COMPUTER PROJECTIONS BAMA CLEM 175 rush yd pass yd pts ytd to +5 #54 sked #28 CHECKLIST BAMA CLEM 1/2 QB 44 RB WR 4 OL DL 4 LB 4 DB 1/2 CCH SITE MTCH 1/2 INT 441/2 ST SKED 4 OVERALL ALABAMA BY 6 4 s CLEMSON (12-1) ATS: O/U: 5-8