NCAA SWEET 16 TOURNEY GUIDE!

Transcription

1 $0 Volume 1, Issue 1 March -April, 016 Special NCAA Tournament Final Rounds Issue! NCAA SWEET 16 TOURNEY GUIDE! INSIDE THIS ISSUE: MARYLAND KANSAS MIAMI FLA VILLANOVA DUKE OREGON TEXAS A&M OKLAHOMA INDIANA N CAROLINA WISCONSIN NOTRE DAME IOWA STATE VIRGINIA GONZAGA SYRACUSE Awesome Angle Incredible Stat & Upset Special Picks on Round Games NBA Day of the Week Trends GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein. VegasInsider.com

2 016 NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL SWEET 16 Marc Lawrence s award-winning football selections are available all season long at: VegasINSIDER.com SMART BOX SWEET 16 RETURNEES: Swimming With Sharks! by Marc Lawrence With the 016 NCAA Tournament entering the SWEET 16 round, let s take a different perspective in analyzing the teams that have arrived. This one pertains specifically to teams that are returning to the SWEET 16 for the nd straight year. Do these experienced teams perform with aplomb or do they bomb? Let s take a peek. ALL HANDS ON DECK Much like last year, six teams return to the Round of this season. They include Duke, Gonzaga, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin. According to our database, since 199, teams making a right-back appearance in the SWEET 16 are 77-8 SU but only ATS in this round of the tourney. The cut-line, however, is often times the pointspread. That s confirmed by the fact that pick or favorites of 6 points or less are just - SU and 15-0 ATS (although -0 ATS last year). Gonzaga, North Carolina and Oklahoma find themselves failing to make the cut this year, with the Notre Dame-Wisconsin game currently sitting on the bubble. NOT QUITE A '10' Looking at it from a varied perspective, SWEET 16 returnees seem to struggle when arriving off a win of less than 10 points, going just 1-5 SU and 1-- ATS. This year finds Duke, Oklahoma, Notre Dame and Wisconsin coming up short in the gene pool. And making matters worse, if any of these sweet tomatoes sport a high profile public-loving win percentage of.790 or greater on the season, they fall to 10- ATS. Not good news for the Sooners. SWEET 16 INCREDIBLE STAT No. 1 seeds in the round off BB SUATS wins are 17-0 SU and 1- ATS since 1991 if they scored less than 85 points in their last game (Kansas). SUB 7'S It s easy for teams to breathe a sigh of relief when they return to the for a nd straight season. Especially so when they take on not-so-stellar opposition (read: less-than.700 foes). In playing down to the level of this type of opposition, these returnees are a competent 1-6 SU but only 5 ATS. Don t be surprised to find Gonzaga torpedoed against the spread this Friday. (Note: both Notre Dame and Wisconsin square off with each team owning a sub. 700 win percentage). SWEET 16 AWESOME ANGLE PLAY ON any NCAA tournament team in the round if they upset a #1 seed as an underdog in the round. 16-LB SLEDGEHAMMER ATS W-L Record Since 1996: 1-0 (100%) SEEDY DEVELOPMENT As expected, #1 and # seeds fare the best in games as returnees, going 567 SU combined. To the spread, however, they are small money burners, going 5-7 ATS. Meanwhile, # or lower seed returnees are just 1- SU and 169- ATS. That s not good news for Duke, Gonzaga, Notre Dame and Wisconsin. Even worse news for the Zags, though, is a 6 SU and 5- ATS mark in games when these # or lower seeds are facing a foe off a double-digit win. Make no mistake, when it comes to handicapping teams in the SWEET 16, the winners will likely be the better-qualified teams that have been there-and-done that. Or those who know how to keep a ship afloat, if you know what I mean... page

3 16-TEAM UPDATED SU AND ATS RESULTS LEGEND TEAM ATS SU/ATS ATS HISTORY ATS: ATS Record For 016 Tourney SU/ATS: Previous SU and ATS Results since 1990 ATS HISTORY: All Results ELITE 8 SU & ATS RESULTS: Duke: 8- / 5-5 Gonzaga: 0 / 0 Indiana: / Kansas: - / - Kansas: 6- / 5-5 Maryland: -0 / N Carolina: 9- / 7-5 Notre Dame: 0 / 1-0 Oklahoma: 1- / 0- Oregon: 0- / 0- Syracuse: / Villanova: / Virginia: 0 / 0 Wisconsin: / -0 DUKE GONZAGA INDIANA IOWA STATE KANSAS MARYLAND MIAMI FLA NORTH CAROLINA NOTRE DAME OKLAHOMA OREGON SYRACUSE TEXAS A&M VILLANOVA VIRGINIA WISCONSIN / / 1- - / - 1- / 10-6 / 60-5 / - 0- / 0-1- / 8-6 / - / / -6 / -7 0 / 0 - / - 1- / - / 6- : # seed dogs < 8 pts are 9- ATS : #10 or higher seed favs are -6 ATS Big 10 Conference: 7 ATS as dogs 6 < pts Big 1 Conference: Non-#1 seeds are 0- ATS : #1 seeds off BB ATS wins are 19-8 ATS : #5 seeds off a DD SU win are -7 ATS # seed dogs of > pts are 5 ATS vs a # seed : Favs of 5 > pts are -7 ATS Favs of 6 < pts off a 1-point SU win are 10- ATS Tourney favs off BB ATS losses are -7 ATS TY : Pac teams are -6 ATS L8Y 0-5 SU versus No. 10 or lower seeds : SEC teams are 1- ATS L11Y 1-6 ATS as NCAA Tourney favs 5 < pts : ACC favs of < 9 pts are ATS : <.650 dogs of 11 < pts are 0- ATS NCAA TOURNAMENT SUPER 16 COACHES Overall records accrued in NCAA Tournament games by this year's coaches participating in the 016 NCAA Tournament from the Round out. All results are since 1990 and appear in SU and ATS sequence. COACH TEAM ALL GAMES ROUND ROUND ROUND 5 ROUND 6 OPTIMAL ATS ROLES ALTMAN Oregon 81 / / / / / SU versus >.750 opp (0- ATS favored) BENNETT Virginia 8-5 / / 0-0 / / / ATS after score > 70 points BOEHEIM Syracuse 78 / / -7 / / / -0 7 ATS as double-digit favorite BREY Notre Dame 1 / 8- / 0 / / / ATS as favorite CREAN Indiana 11-8 / / / / / 0-0 ATS versus >.88 opp FEW Gonzaga 6 / / 1-0 / / / ATS as favorite off BB SUATS wins GARD Wisconsin -0 / / / / / ATS all games KENNEDY Texas A&M - / / / / / 0-0 SU & -0 ATS not off DD ATS win KRUGER Oklahoma / 15 - / - / 0 / / SUATS versus foe off ATS win 15 > points KRZYZEWSKI Duke 699 / / / / 6-5- / ATS as dog versus foe off BB SUATS wins LARRANAGA Miami Fla 9-6 / 8-7 / 1-0 / / / SU & ATS versus No. 6 or lower seed PROHM Iowa State -0 / / / / / ATS all games SELF Kansas 96 / 1-7- / / / -0 / ATS versus opponent with revenge TURGEON Maryland 7-6 / / / / / ATS versus opponent off SUATS win WRIGHT Villanova 160 / - / - / 0 / / ATS off DD ATS win WILLIAMS N Carolina 66- / / / / - - / - 10 SUATS versus foe off ATS win 16 > points DUKE GONZAGA INDIANA IOWA STATE KANSAS MARYLAND MIAMI FLORIDA NORTH CAROLINA NOTRE DAME OKLAHOMA OREGON SYRACUSE TEXAS A&M VILLANOVA VIRGINIA WISCONSIN CURRENT OFFENSIVE & DEFENSIVE TEAM STATS TEAM Ret Starters 1 BEST IN CATEGORY Offensive PPG X Defensive PPG X Scoring Margin X X WORST IN CATEGORY Offensive FG % X Defensive FG %.X FG % Margin X Rebound Margin X Free Throw % X page

4 016 NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL SWEET 16 MARCH -6 KFC Yum! Center Louisville, KY THU / SOUTH REGIONAL OPEN CLOSE FINAL 5 Maryland (7-8) 1 Kansas (-) -6.5 Miami Fla (7-7) Villanova (1-5) -.5 (1) Kansas over (5) Maryland by 10 The, or should we say the ACC Invitational, tips off in the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville with the Hurricanes and Wildcats getting the first dance. However, it s this nightcap that may require some rhythm (i.e., fast dancing) as the Jayhawks are scoring 8.0 PPG on 9.6% shooting while the Terps are straight shooters from both the field (8.8) and the charity stripe (77.1). Those who like it slow may beg to differ as the Jayhawks along with Gonzaga top the remaining participants in Defensive Field Goal Percentage at 9.7%. (Remarkably, that ranks only rd in the nation which tells us either college coaches are taking a page out of the NFL playbook or the Steph Curry posters hanging on every dorm room wall are taking effect). KU also tops the loop in scoring margin (1.1), making it no surprise that they have held 0+ point leads in the first half of both tourney games. And while the Big Ten is -0 SUATS versus the Big 1 in this round since 001, our Fred Astaire-like database reminds us: No. 1 seeds off back-to-back SUATS tourney wins are 5- SU and 19-8 ATS, including the 17-0 SU and 1- ATS INCREDIBLE STAT tightener outlined on page. We also must point out that Kansas has topped the century mark on five different occasions this season and that doesn t bode well for Maryland head coach Mark Turgeon, who is 570- ATS in his career when his teams surrender 70 or more points. Thus, we think you ll agree that the Jayhawks waltz into the. Lay it if you play it. () Miami Fla over () Villanova by Speaking of the Canes, they delivered our 5* Tournament Play of the Year with last Saturday s win over Wichita State thanks to a heavenly performance by senior PG Angel Rodriguez. One of six ACC squads ( SU thus far) to reach Week Two, Miami has our database in a bit of a tizzy. You see, Big East teams (Nova) in the Big Dance are just -6 SU and -7 ATS in games off back-to-back SUATS wins when taking on an ACC entry. However, ACC clubs are a mediocre 18-0 SU and money-burning 11-6 ATS versus foes off a SUATS win in this round. Ugh! Thus, it s time to take a look at the coaches and we find Nova head man Jay Wright - SU and 1-5 ATS versus ACC foes since bowing out to North Carolina in the 01 Dance (also fell to NC State in the nd round of this event last year) while Miami s Jim Larranaga can lean on his victory over Wright and the Wildcats in the opening round of the 011 tournament when he coached George Mason. And since this is the first since 006 (and only the second in the last 5 years) where you won t find a favorite of 7 or more points, it looks to us like this is one of a handful of games where the wrong team may be on the left side of the column. Hence, we say take what you can get as this victory should be finger-lickin good for the wily Larranaga especially if he grabs a bottle of red with Louisville head coach Rick Pitino at his Italian restaurant (if you get our drift). THU / MARCH -6 Honda Center Anaheim, CA WEST REGIONAL OPEN CLOSE FINAL Duke 1 Oregon Texas A&M Oklahoma (50) (0-6) (8-8) (7-7) () Duke over (1) Oregon by 1 The scene shifts to the Honda Center in Anaheim for the West Region semis and while it would take an SUV to house all of Oregon s unique jerseys (we re being nice just in case we find out we re long-lost relatives of Phil Knight), the Civic has more than enough room to house Coach K s 6-deep squad. In fact, if the Blue Devils didn t hit this contest on plenty of rest (played early Saturday while the Ducks played late Sunday), we might accord Oregon some love. However, we still can t ignore the fact that the Dukies have dominated the Pac of late, going 11- SU and 9-5 ATS, including 5 SU in this event. Nor can we turn a blind eye to our mean machine which notes: No. seeded dogs of less than 8 points are 9- ATS in this round since 006 while No. 1 seeds off an ATS loss are 158- ATS, including -5 SU and 1-8 ATS as favorites of 5 points or fewer. And, of course, there s the huge coaching disparity with Oregon s Dana Altman owning the same amount of wins as Dana Delany or the Altman Brothers (take your pick). Thus, it s Ore- Gone for the Pac as the ACC continues its 016 dominance. Another must take. () Texas A&M over () Oklahoma by Unless you had Northern Iowa on the money line (+80) in search of a Sunday night bailout (which, by the way, you wouldn t have needed if you had joined us over the weekend: -, +7.7 units on late phones), how can you buck a team (A&M) that rallied to win its last game after trailing by 1 points with seconds to play? YOU CAN T especially with the SMART BOX calling for its opponent s head and the Aggies playing with house money. In addition, favorites off a pair of ATS failures in the first two rounds of this tourney are just -9 ATS when facing a No. 6 or higher seed, including 1-6 ATS versus a.750 or greater foe. Series history also sides with the Agriculturalists who are 6- ATS when riding the Schooner. We can certainly dig that especially knowing the Aggies own a stellar 7- ATS mark in this event when facing sub.80 opposition. The feeling here is that heartbreaking loss to Kentucky in the SEC final should have A&M more than prepared tonight in Anaheim. Hield our advice take the points in another False Favorite Special. MARCH 5-7 Wells Fargo Center Philadelphia, PA FRI /5 EAST REGIONAL OPEN CLOSE FINAL 5 Indiana 1 North Carolina 7 Wisconsin 6 Notre Dame (7-7) (0-6) () (1) -.5 Pk page

5 016 NCAA MEN'S BASKETBALL SWEET 16 (1) North Carolina over (5) Indiana by Seldom have we seen a team pay such a big price as Indiana did for getting bounced out of its conference tournament in the first round. That loss to Michigan caused the Big Ten regular season champ Hoosiers to be under-seeded and locked into a bracket for a Game Two matchup with Kentucky, a contest usually reserved for the or. Despite getting no love from the selection committee, though, Tom Crean s team survived to reach today s game against the top-seeded Tar Heels. Only No. 1 overall seed Kansas brought more wins into the field than opening-day opponent Chattanooga, and IU s 99-7 destruction of the Mocs prompted UTC coach Matt McCall to say, They re going to make a really deep run into this thing. McCall proved to be a prophet as Indiana forced Kentucky into 16 turnovers and stopped the Wildcats, 7-67, to move on to today s game in Philly between two of the highest-scoring squads left in the field. North Carolina s tourney M.O. has been to play a close first half, then turn on the afterburners following intermission: the Tar Heels two wins over Florida-Gulf Coast and Providence saw UNC pull away and win the second half by identical 15-point margins. But while North Carolina ranks as the top team in the in Assists Per Game (17.8) and Rebound Margin (8.) ask Michigan State how being the top-rated team in key categories worked out this tournament, the Heels have been guilty of lengthy defensive lapses that kept lesser opponents within striking distance. Such a lapse could be fatal tonight as the Big Ten has dominated the ACC in this round, going 9- SU and 8- ATS since 199. In the coaching matchup, Carolina s Roy Williams owns a lethargic 61 ATS mark in his last 17 battles with Big Ten foes when off a SUATS win, while Indiana s Crean has gone 6- ATS versus No. 7 higher seeded teams in this tourney, including ATS versus greater than.88 opposition. The Hoosiers have enough size down low to counter the foul-prone Carolina bigs and IU guard Yogi Ferrell has caught fire at just the right time (8 points and 1 assists in two wins). The icing on the cake is a recommendation from our very own SMART BOX to fade the Heels and when the square talks, we listen. Can t call for the outright upset but grabbing the points with a determined bunch of Hoosiers is the way to go here. (6) Notre Dame over (7) Wisconsin by Notre Dame s win over Duke in the ACC Tournament was quickly forgotten after the Irish were squashed by North Carolina, 78-7, so few expected Mike Brey s boys to rebound in the Big Dance with a win over play-in foe Michigan. And let s face it: the Dame was ready to go down against Stephen F. Austin last Sunday until unheralded Rex Fluke Pflueger tapped in a missed shot with just 1.5 seconds left his only made field goal since March 5th. Wisconsin has taken a similar path to this game, getting booted in the first round of the Big Ten tourney by Nebraska, then somehow eking out a pair of SU underdog wins in NCAA Tournament games they clearly should have lost (scored only 16 points in first half against Pittsburgh and trailed by 9 points with 6 minutes left versus Xavier). What makes Bucky s run even more amazing is the fact that veteran HC Bo Ryan stepped down on December nd and handed the reins to Greg Gard, and by mid-january the team that had tangled with Duke in last year s National game was floundering at 9-9. Both squads are returnees from last season s Sweet 16 but our SMART BOX call on this game between two defensive titans is incomplete at the moment, pending the status of whichever team settles in as the favorite (most sportsbooks currently list the contest as a Pick). Until that happens, we ll side with a Notre Dame outfit that commits the fewest fouls per game of any team in the nation (15.) versus a Wisky squad that is the s weakest in Assists Per Game (11.). Granted, the Badgers can claim a glimmering 16- ATS mark versus ACC foes, and like Indiana above, the Big Ten has dominated the ACC in this round (9- SU and 8- ATS since 199). The deal-breaker comes courtesy of our database: teams in this round, off a win-no-cover, are 15- SU when taking on a foe off a SU underdog victory, including 6-0 SU versus greater-than No. 6 seeded opponents. We also believe that having Ryan on the sidelines would have been a huge edge for the Badgers, but having to go with rookie Greg Gard leaves us leaning with the Irish. Look for Notre Dame s sticky D to deny Wisconsin sharpshooter Bronson Koenig any late-game heroics here as Brey and company move one step closer to the Final Four. FRI /5 MARCH 5-7 United Center Chicago, IL MIDWEST REGIONAL OPEN CLOSE FINAL Iowa State (1) 1 Virginia (8-7) Gonzaga 10 Syracuse (8-7) () -.5 (1) Virginia over () Iowa State by 10 Both squads feature can t miss NBA prospects in UVA s Malcolm Brogdon (the ACC Player of the Year) and Iowa State team leader Georges Niang, a rare th-year senior who s averaging 0. PPG. But today s matchup is clearly a numbers game. The Cyclones have been dangerous dogs this season when limiting opponents to fewer than 80 points, posting an impressive 19- SU and 1- ATS record. But when ISU fails to score at least 7 in this event, they fizzle out to a puny -9 SU and 5-8 ATS mark. If you re one of those that believe in the adage defense wins championships, check this out: as of March 1, Virginia ranked second nationally behind departed Wichita State in scoring D, allowing just 59.5 PPG (Iowa State ranked #8!) so it s safe to say the Clones won t come anywhere near reaching the all-important 7-point mark against the Cavaliers. And while Virginia may own the weakest rebounding team of the remaining teams (.0), our all-knowing database counters with this nugget: No. 1 seeds in the round who failed to beat the spread in their previous game are 10 SU and 8- ATS as single-digit favorites versus sub.750 foes. In fact, the only thing holding us back from making an even bigger play is the current 5-point line as Sweet 16 No. 1 seeds off an ATS loss are just -5 SU and 1-8 ATS as favorites of 5 or fewer points. If someone should tempt you to take a money-line shot with Iowa State, remember that the Cyclones are a disastrous 0-7 SU in their last seven tourney appearances versus No. 1 or seeds. We ve seen high-scoring teams smothered by the Cavs defense enough times this season to pass on the flash and go with the grind-it-out Wahoos. UPSET SPECIAL (10) Syracuse over (11) Gonzaga by This marks the first time in NCAA tournament history that 15 of the 16 teams are from Power 5 Conferences yet we ve still got a matchup between double-digit seeds this late in the Dance. That s because Syracuse and Gonzaga have both caught fire in a big way: the Orange outscored their first two foes by 19 and 5 points, while the Zags almost duplicated that feat with a 16-point win and a -point win. It s also a showdown between two of the college game s best head coaches, Jim Boeheim and Mark Few. While we ve got the utmost respect for the Gonzaga head coach, this is Boeheim at his best 8-9 SU versus a lowerseeded foe in this tourney, including 0-5 SU versus No. 10 or lower seeds, with only ONE LOSS by more than points. It s fitting that Boeheim, like us a huge Bruce Springsteen fan, has taken a team that most talking heads thought should ve been relegated to the NIT and is once again putting on a masterful Brilliant Disguise during March Madness. With the Spokane Bulldogs currently on a 7-0 SU and 6-0 ATS run, the linesmakers knew they had to up the price from the and --point lines carried by the Zags against Seton Hall and Utah, and we ll gladly take the gift. After all, our SMART BOX forewarns that returnees like Gonzaga may be 1-6 SU in this round when facing a sub.700 foe but they re only 5 ATS (it s called playing down to the level of the opposition). Yes, the Bulldogs are the best free throw shooting team left in the tournament (75.8) but Syracuse was whistled for only 9 fouls in its blowout of giant-killer Middle Tennessee on Sunday. And if the Orange s ATS mark as dogs off a win versus.75 or greater foes this season still leaves you wanting more, there s always The Clincher: No. 10 or lower seeds returning to the round for a nd straight year are 0-5 SUATS since PLAYBOOK selection in all game writeups is Bold and Underlined. page 5

6 UPDATED FINAL-ROUND TOURNAMENT HISTORY NCAA Round Notes #1 Seeds off BB SUATS wins are 19-8 ATS (Kansas) # Seed favs of > pts are -6 ATS (Villanova) # Seed dogs of > pts are 6 ATS (Miami Fla) # Seed dogs < 6 pts are 6 ATS (Duke, Iowa State) #5 Seeds off a DD SU win are 0- ATS (Maryland) #6 Seeds off a SU favorite win are 5-0 ATS (Notre Dame) #7 Seed dogs of < pts are 1- ATS (Wisconsin) #10 or worse seed dogs of > pts are 6 ATS (Syracuse) Favorites off a SU win of 0 > pts are 0- ATS (Gonzaga) Best Team ATS records in this round Wisconsin -0, Oregon, Virginia -0, Oklahoma, Duke. Worst Team ATS records in this round Miami Fla 0-, Syracuse 1-6, Gonzaga, Indiana 1-, Kansas 0. Best Conference ATS records in this round SEC: 7-, Big East: 5 as dogs. Worst Conference ATS records in this round Big 1: 0-6, MVC: 0-, West Coast: 1-, Pac: -6. NCAA Round Notes #1 Seed favs > 7 pts are 1-9 ATS # Seeds are 0 ATS off a DD ATS win # Seeds are -9 ATS # Seeds are 11- ATS #5 Seeds are 7-0 ATS #6 Seeds are -5 ATS #7 Seeds are - ATS #8 Seeds are 5 ATS Teams that score 67 < pts are 17-9 SU & ATS Teams that score 85 > pts are 9-7 SU & 6-8- ATS Teams off + ATS wins are 7- ATS Teams with Revenge are 16-6 ATS Dogs off straight DD wins are -7 ATS Best Conference ATS records in this round Big East: 6 as dogs < pts, Big Ten: 5 as dogs, SEC: 5 as favs 7 > pts, Pac: as dogs. Worst Conference ATS records in this round Big 1: 01, ACC: 0- as favs > 7 pts, Pac: 1-5 as favs > pts, Big East: 1- as favs < pts, SEC: -5 as favs < 7 pts. NCAA Final Round Notes #1 Seed favs > pts are 1-5 ATS # Seed favs > pts are 1-5 ATS # Seeds are ATS # Seeds are -5 ATS Favs who won by 0 > pts are 1-5 ATS Favs > pts who scored 80 > pts in round are 1-8 ATS Teams off a SU dog win are 6-0 ATS Dogs off an ATS loss are 6-0 ATS Dogs off BB DD SU wins are 1-6 ATS Teams who are -0 SUATS last games are - Teams with Revenge are 1 ATS Big Ten favs of > 1 pt are -0 ATS SEC dogs are -0 ATS ACC teams are 6 ATS Big East teams are 1-5 ATS Big 1 favs are 1- ATS NCAA Notes #1 Seed favs are 8- ATS # Seeds are 6- ATS # Seeds are ATS #5 or worse Seeds are 1-6 SU & -5 ATS Favorites are 6 ATS vs an opponent w/ revenge Favorites of 5 < pts are 1- ATS Favorites who score 80 > pts in the Final are 5 ATS Teams with a win percentage of.850 > are 5 ATS Teams with a win percentage of.810 < are -7 ATS Dogs > pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final round are 0-5 ATS Dogs of > pts off a SU dog win are 0- ATS Big East teams are 5-0 ATS ACC teams are 6- ATS Big Ten teams are 1- ATS SEC teams are -5 ATS Marc Lawrence s award-winning basketball selections are available all season long at: VegasINSIDER.com page 6

7 SWEET 16 AND LATER ROUND RESULTS / Tournament Results - (1) St. Joe's vs () Wake F () Okla St vs () Pittsburgh (5) Syracuse vs (8) Alabama () UConn vs (6) Vanderbilt (1) Duke vs (5) Illinois () Texas vs (7) Xavier () Ga Tech vs (10) Nevada () Kansas vs (9) UAB () Kansas vs () Ga Tech (1) Duke vs (7) Xavier () UConn vs (8) Alabama () Okla St vs (1) St. Joe's 6-6 Final - () Okla St vs () Ga Tech () UConn vs (1) Duke () UConn vs () Ga Tech Tournament Results 0.5 (1) Illinois vs (1) Wis-Milw () Okla St vs () Arizona () Louisville vs (1) Wash (6) Tex Tech vs (7) West Va (10) NC St vs (6) Wisconsin (1) N Caro vs (5) Villanova () Kentucky vs (6) Utah (1) Duke vs (5) Mich St (5) Mich St vs () Kentucky (1) N Caro vs (6) Wisconsin () Louisville vs (7) West Va (1) Illinois vs () Arizona Final -5 (1) N Carolina vs (5) Mich St (1) Illinois vs () Louisville (1) N Carolina vs (1) Illinois Tournament Results -6 (1) Duke vs () LSU () Texas vs (6) West Va () UCLA vs () Gonzaga (1) Memphis vs (1) Bradley (11) G Mason vs (7) Wich St (1) UConn vs (5) Wash () Florida vs (7) G'town (1) Villanova vs () Bost Coll () Texas vs () LSU (1) Memphis vs () UCLA (1) UConn vs (11) Geo Mason (1) Villanova vs () Florida 6-75 Final - () LSU vs () UCLA () Florida vs (11) Geo Mason 7-58 () Florida vs () UCLA Tournament Results - () Tex A&M vs () Memphis (1) Ohio St vs (5) Tennessee (1) Kansas vs () So Illinois () UCLA vs () Pittsburgh () G'town vs (6) Vanderbilt (1) N Carolina vs (5) USC () Oregon vs (7) UNLV (1) Florida vs (5) Butler (1) Ohio St vs () Memphis (1) Kansas vs () UCLA (1) N Carolina vs () G'town (1) Florida vs () Oregon Final - (1) Florida vs () UCLA () G'town vs (1) Ohio St (1) Florida vs (1) Ohio St Tournament Results - () Texas vs () Stanford (1) Memphis vs (5) Mich St () Wisky vs (10) Davidson (1) Kansas vs (1) Villanova 7-57 (1) UCLA vs (1) W Kentucky (7) West Va vs () Xavier () Louisville vs () Tenn (1) N Caro vs () Wash St (1) Memphis vs () Texas (1) Kansas vs (10) Davidson (1) UCLA vs () Xavier (1) N Caro vs () Louisville 8-7 Final - (1) N Carolina vs (1) Kansas (1) Memphis vs (1) UCLA (1) Memphis vs (1) Kansas Tournament Results Pk () Okla vs () Syracuse 8-71 () Mich St vs () Kansas (1) Louisville vs (1) Arizona () Memphis vs () Missouri (1) Pittsburgh vs () Xavier (1) N Carolina vs () Gonzaga (1) UConn vs (5) Purdue () Duke vs () Villanova (1) N Caro vs () Oklahoma (1) Louisville vs () Mich St (1) UConn vs () Missouri (1) Pittsburgh vs () Villanova Final -7 (1) N Carolina vs () Villanova (1) UConn vs () Mich St (1) N Carolina vs () Mich St Tournament Results -8.5 (1) Kentucky vs (1) Cornell () West Va vs (11) Wash (1) Syracuse vs (5) Butler () Kansas St vs (6) Xavier (5) Mich St (9) No Iowa () Ohio St vs (6) Tennessee () Baylor vs (10) St. Mary's (1) Duke vs () Purdue (1) Duke vs () Baylor (6) Tennessee vs (5) Mich St () Kansas St vs (5) Butler (1) Kentucky vs () West Va 66-7 Final.5 (5) Butler vs (5) Mich St (1) Duke vs () West Va (1) Duke vs (5) Butler Tournament Results - () N Caro vs (11) Marquette (1) Kansas vs (1) Richmond (10) Florida St vs (11) VCU () Florida vs () BYU () Wisconsin vs (8) Butler (1) Duke vs (5) Arizona (1) Ohio St vs () Kentucky () San Diego St vs () UConn (1) Kansas vs (11) VCU () Kentucky vs () N Caro () Florida vs (8) Butler () UConn vs (5) Arizona 65-6 Final -.5 (8) Butler vs (11) VCU () Kentucky vs () UConn () UConn vs (8) Butler 5 01 Tournament Results -9.5 (1) Kentucky vs () Indiana () Baylor vs (10) Xavier (1) N Carolina vs (1) Ohio () Kansas vs (11) NC State (1) Syracuse vs () Wisconsin () Ohio St vs (6) Cincinnati () Marquette vs (7) Florida (1) Mich St vs () Louisville () Kansas vs (1) N Carolina (1) Kentucky vs () Baylor 8-70 (7) Florida vs () Louisville () Ohio St vs (1) Syracuse Final -8.5 (1) Kentucky vs () Louisville () Ohio St vs () Kansas (1) Kentucky vs () Kansas Tournament Results -5 (1) Indiana vs () Syracuse () Miami Fl vs () Marquette () Ohio St vs (6) Arizona (9) Wichita St vs (1) La Salle (1) Louisville vs (1) Oregon () Duke vs () Mich State (1) Kansas vs () Michigan () Florida vs (15) FGCU (1) Louisville vs () Duke () Florida vs () Michigan () Syracuse vs () Marquette () Ohio St vs (9) Wichita St Final -9.5 (1) Louisville vs (9) Wichita St () Michigan vs () Syracuse (1) Louisville vs () Michigan Tournament Results -.5 (1) Florida vs () UCLA (10) Stanford vs (11) Dayton () Wisconsin vs (6) Baylor (1) Arizona vs () S Diego St 70-6 Pk () Iowa St vs (7) UConn () Mich St vs (1) Virginia () Michigan vs (11) Tenn () Louisville vs (8) Kentucky (1) Florida vs (11) Dayton (1) Arizona vs () Wisconsin () Mich St vs (7) UConn (8) Kentucky vs () Michigan 75-7 Final -7 (1) Florida vs (7) UConn 5-6 Pk () Wisconsin vs (8) Kentucky (8) Kentucky vs (7) UConn Tournament Results (1) Kentucky vs (5) West Va (7) Wichita St vs () N Dame () Arizona vs (6) Xavier (1) Wisconsin vs () N Carolina () Louisville vs (8) NC State (7) Mich St vs () Oklahoma () Gonzaga vs (11) UCLA (1) Duke vs (5) Utah (1) Kentucky vs () N Dame () Arizona vs (1) Wisconsin (7) Mich St vs () Louisville (1) Duke vs () Gonzaga 66-5 Final -5 (1) Kentucky vs (1) Wisconsin (1) Duke vs (7) Michigan St (1) Wisconsin vs (1) Duke page 7

8 016 NBA POWER RATINGS & DAY TO DAY TRENDS BY VICTOR KING NBA POWER RATINGS HOME COURT VALUE HOME & AWAY OVER / UNDER RATINGS EASTERN CONFERENCE TEAM PWR HCV H O/U A O/U CLEVELAND TORONTO ATLANTA MIAMI BOSTON CHARLOTTE INDIANA DETROIT WASHINGTON CHICAGO MILWAUKEE ORLANDO NEW YORK BROOKLYN PHILADELPHIA WESTERN CONFERENCE TEAM PWR HCV H O/U A O/U GOLDEN STATE SAN ANTONIO OKLAHOMA CITY LA CLIPPERS UTAH PORTLAND HOUSTON MEMPHIS DALLAS DENVER NEW ORLEANS SACRAMENTO MINNESOTA PHOENIX LA LAKERS All results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise noted. Legend as follows: A: Away AFT: After BB: Back to Back BEF: Before CONF: Conference Dog: Underdog DD: Double Digit Fav: Favorite Gm:Game H: Home HD: Home Dog HF: Home Favorite HG: Home Game HS: Home Stand L: Last O : Over OPP: Opponent RD : Road Dog Res: Rest RF: Road Favorite RG: Road Game RT: Road Trip SS: Same Season SIT: Situation SU: Straight Up TY: This Year 'U: Under V: Versus Vst: Visiting Team w/: With Y : Year /: After >: More Than < : Less Than All ATS ties omitted. O/U trends are ATS and / or in OVER (First) and UNDER (Second) sequence. WED / WASHINGTON Hawks: 1-5 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit / Wiz: 1-8 O/U home in 1/1 rest sit... BOSTON Raptors: 5-0 L5 div RG / Celtics: 1-8 as div HF s < 8 pts... DETROIT Magic: 1-7 O/U Wednesdays / Pistons: 1-5 O/U Wednesdays... New CHICAGO Knicks: 1- away in /1 rest sit / Bulls: home vs ATL Div CLEVELAND Bucks: 5 O/U away vs div TY / Cavs: -0 O/U L vs Milw... MINNESOTA Kings: 9- O/U vs.50 < opp / T Wolves: as conf HF s... HOUSTON Jazz: -0 O/U in /0 rest sit / Rockets: -0 O/U home w/ no rest... SAN ANTONIO Heat: -9 O/U as non-conf dogs 7 > pts / Spurs: 1-6 O/U as HF s 1 < vs unrested opp... DENVER Sixers: 5- L7 vs Den / Nuggets: 7 O/U home in 1/1 rest sit... La PHOENIX Lakers: O/U Wednesdays / Suns: 8 L9 home vs LAL... La GOLDEN STATE Clips: 9-0 O/U as RD s 6 > pts / Warriors: 5 O/U home in 1/ rest sit... PORTLAND Mavs: -0 O/U away w/ rest / Blazers: 6-0 home w/ rest. THU / New INDIANA Pelicans: 0- away in 1/ rest sit / Pacers: 8-0 L8 vs NOrl... BROOKLYN Cavs: 8 on Thursdays / Nets: -9 home vs unrested opp... NEW YORK Bulls: 1-9 O/U away in 0/0 rest sit / Knicks: 9- home in 0/0 rest sit... OKLAHOMA CITY Jazz: 0-7 O/U L7 vs OKC / Thunder: 1- home vs unrested div opp... LA CLIPPERS Blazers: 7-0 O/U on Thursdays / Clips: 1- in 0/0 rest sit. FRI /5 WASHINGTON T Wolves: 5 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf / Wiz: 1-5 home in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf... DETROIT Hornets: 5 O/U in /1 rest sit / Pistons: Series host 6... ATLANTA Bucks: 5-0 away vs SE Div / Hawks: 1-9 O/U Friday HG... HOUSTON Raptors: 10 away off div RG / Rockets: 1-7 home vs ATL Div... MIAMI Magic: 1-5 in 1/1 rest sit vs div / Heat: 0-6 O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs div... SAN ANTONIO Grizz: 8- in /1 rest sit / Spurs: -7 in 1/ rest sit... SACRAMENTO Suns: 9- O/U L1 vs Sac / Kings: 6 O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs div LA LAKERS 5***** Best Bet OVER Nuggets: 5-0 O/U Fridays / -0 O/U away vs. < opp TY / 1- O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs non-div conf // Lakers: 5-0 O/U L6 as non-div conf HF s / 5-0 O/U after div RG vs conf opp / 1 O/U L1 vs Den... GOLDEN STATE Mavs: 1-8 L9 vs Gold St / Warriors: 8 Friday HG vs conf. SAT /6 BROOKLYN Pacers: 5-0 as non-div conf RF s / Nets: 6 O/U L7 vs Ind... NEW ORLEANS Raptors: 5 O/U away in 0/1 rest sit / Pelicans: -9 L11 vs Tor... ORLANDO Bulls: 1-5 Saturday RG / Magic: 6-0 L6 vs Chi DETROIT Hawks: 0- away in 0/0 rest sit / Pistons: -0 in 0/0 rest sit TY... NEW YORK **** Best Bet UNDER Cavs: 1 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit vs nondiv conf / 0 O/U aft Brook / 1-7 O/U Saturday favs 6 > pts // Knicks: 0-6 O/U L6 vs Clev / 0- O/U vs.666 > non-div conf TY / 1-5 O/U in 1/1 rest sit... MINNESOTA Jazz: 5 O/U away vs unrested div opp / T Wolves: -9 home w/ no rest... San OKLAHOMA CITY Spurs: 1-6 O/U Saturday conf RG / Thunder: -9 O/U on Saturdays... MILWAUKEE Hornets: 1-5 as favs in 0/0 rest sit / Bucks: 5-0 in 0/0 rest sit... PHOENIX Celtics: 00 as non-conf RF s > pts / Suns: 1- O/U home w/ no rest... PORTLAND Sixers: 1-5 away in 1/ rest sit / Blazers: 6 home in 1/ rest sit. SUN /7 LA CLIPPERS Nuggets: 0-5 O/U L5 vs LAC / Clips: 0-5 O/U as HF s 8 > pts... SACRAMENTO Mavs: 1-8 O/U L9 vs Sac / Kings:1-6 O/U on Sundays... INDIANA Rockets: -0 O/U away vs unrested opp / Pacers: 9 O/U on Sundays... GOLDEN STATE ** Best Bet UNDER Sixers: 1-7 O/U vs.750 > opp / 1-7 O/U Sunday DD dogs / 1-5 O/U in 0/1 rest sit vs non-conf // Warriors: 0-7 O/U vs.50 < opp / 0-7 O/U in 1/0 rest sit vs non-conf / 1- O/U L5 vs Phil... LA LAKERS Wiz: -0 as non-conf RF s / Lakers: 1-5 O/U Sunday HG. MON /8 MIAMI Nets: -0 O/U L vs Mia / Heat: 5 O/U Monday HG... Oklahoma TORONTO Thunder: O/U Mondays / Raptors: 5-0 L5 vs OKC MINNESOTA Suns: 0- O/U L vs Min / T Wolves: 1-6 home vs.00 < opp... CHICAGO Hawks: 9- Monday RG / Bulls: 1-5 L6 vs Atl... San MEMPHIS Spurs: 8 aft OKC / Grizz: 7 O/U L8 as div HD s... New NEW ORLEANS Knicks: 6-0 away in 1/1 rest sit / Pelicans: L15 vs NY... DENVER Mavs: -0 O/U L away vs Den / Nuggets: 9- O/U in 0/0 rest sit... La UTAH Lakers: O/U away w/ no rest vs non-div / Jazz: 5-0 as HF s > pts vs unrested opp... PORTLAND Kings: 1-5 O/U L6 vs Port / Blazers: 8-0 O/U home vs unrested opp... LA CLIPPERS Celtics: 1- away in 1/0 rest sit / Clips: 1-7 O/U home w/ no rest. TUE /9 ORLANDO Nets: 1- O/U away in 0/ rest sit / Magic: 0- O/U L vs Brook... INDIANA Bulls: 1-6 away w/ no rest / Pacers: 6 L7 vs Chi... PHILADEPHIA Hornets: 5 O/U in /1 rest sit / Sixers: 6 O/U on Tuesdays... Oklahoma DETROIT Thunder: 1- as RF s w/ no rest / Pistons: 1 O/U home in /0 rest sit... CLEVELAND Rockets: 5 O/U on Tuesdays / Cavs: 1-6 on Tuesdays... GOLDEN STATE Wiz: 1-6 away vs PAC Div / Warriors: 5 L6 vs Wash. page 8