Inside the Pressbox. The Perfect Complement to Phil Steele s INSIDE THE PRESSBOX COLLEGE. BEST BETS in green

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1 PHIL STL S Inside the Pressbox BST BTS in green 311 TNNSS 8:25 p.m. Thursday NBC 312 PITTSBURGH 451 DTROIT 452 CHICAGO 453 KANSAS CITY 454 NY GIANTS 455 H TAMPA BAY 456 MIAMI 457 BALTIMOR 458 GRN BAY 459 LA RAMS 460 MINNSOTA 461 ARIZONA 462 HOUSTON 463 JACKSONVILL 464 CLVLAND The Perfect Complement to s INSID TH PRSSBOX COLLG 465 WASHINGTON 466 NW ORLANS 467 BUFFALO 4:05 p.m. 468 LA CHARGRS 469 CINCINNATI 4:25 p.m. 470 H DNVR 471 NW NGLAND 4:25 p.m. 472 OAKLAND 473 PHILADLPHIA 8:30 p.m. NBC 474 DALLAS 475 ATLANTA 8:30 p.m. Monday SPN 476 SATTL BYS: Carolina, Indianapolis, NY Jets,San Francisco

2 Tennessee Titans Titans Logs Vs AFC South RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS TN --PS RANK RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS PIT --PS RANK-- TN TN TN DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST NFL RANKINGS PIT PIT PIT DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST # #115 9/10 Oakland L CURRNT RANKINGS # #124 9/10 at Cleveland W # #283 9/17 at Jacksonville W # #200 9/17 Minnesota 26-9 W Tennessee Pittsburgh # #192 9/24 Seattle W # #102 9/24 at Chicago L # #2 10/1 at L #8 Rush Off # # #226 10/1 at Baltimore 26-9 W # #175 10/8 at L #27 Pass Off # # #15 10/8 Jacksonville 9-30 L # #246 10/16 Indianapolis W #19 Total Off # # #185 10/15 at Kansas City W # #189 10/22 at Cleveland 12-9 W #13 Off # # #248 10/22 Cincinnati W / #13 Sks Allowed # # #61 10/29 at Detroit W # #156 11/5 Baltimore W #6 Rush Def # / # #237 11/12 Cincinnati W #19 Pass Def # # #114 11/12 at Indianapolis W /16 at Pittsburgh #16 Total Def # /16 Tennessee /26 at Indianapolis #22 Def # /26 Green Bay / #30 Sks By # /4 at Cincinnati /10 at Arizona #14 Ypg Diff # /10 Baltimore /17 at San Francisco Total TO's /17 New ngland /24 LA Rams Off YPP /25 at /31 Jacksonville #12 Off YPP Rank # /31 Cleveland Def YPP #25 Def YPP Rank #6 Vs AFC North Pittsburgh Steelers Steelers Logs Titans Net Stats Steelers Net Stats Oakland at Cleveland at Jacksonville Minnesota Seattle at Chicago at at Baltimore at Jacksonville Indianapolis at Kansas City at Cleveland Cincinnati at Detroit Baltimore Cincinnati at Indianapolis at Pittsburgh Tennessee at Indianapolis Green Bay at Cincinnati at Arizona Baltimore at San Francisco New ngland LA Rams at Jacksonville Cleveland Average % % Average % % Vs AFC South % % Vs AFC North % % Away % % Home % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position dges By Game Yardage Leaders Oakland -2.5/50.5 Marcus Mariota DeMarco Murray Derrick Henry Tennessee Pittsburgh at Cleveland -9/47 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Antonio Brown at Jacksonville -1/41.5 Marcus Mariota Derrick Henry Delanie Walker TN QB/WR Minnesota -9.5/43.5 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Martavis Bryant Seattle -2.5/41.5 Marcus Mariota DeMarco Murray Rishard Matthews at Chicago -7.5/44 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Antonio Brown at -2.5/43 Marcus Mariota Marcus Mariota Delanie Walker PIT SCONDARY at Baltimore -3/42.5 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Martavis Bryant at +2/42.5 Matt Cassel DeMarco Murray Rishard Matthews TN RB's Jacksonville -7.5/42.5 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Antonio Brown Indianapolis -7/47 Marcus Mariota Derrick Henry ric Decker at Kansas City +4/46.5 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Antonio Brown at Cleveland -5.5/43.5 Marcus Mariota DeMarco Murray Delanie Walker PIT LB's Cincinnati -4/40.5 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Antonio Brown TN OFF LIN at Detroit -3/45 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell JuJu Smith-Schuster Baltimore -3/41.5 Marcus Mariota Derrick Henry Delanie Walker Cincinnati -4/41 Marcus Mariota Derrick Henry Delanie Walker PIT DF LIN at Indianapolis -10/46.5 Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell JuJu Smith-Schuster at Pittsburgh TN DF LIN Tennessee at Indianapolis 0.58 Green Bay PIT OFF LIN at Cincinnati at Arizona TN LB'S Baltimore at San Francisco 0.21 New ngland LA Rams PIT RB's at Jacksonville TN SCONDARY Cleveland 1.58 Marcus Mariota DeMarco Murray Rishard Matthews Ben Roethlisberger Le'Veon Bell Antonio Brown Tennessee Season Leaders Matt Cassel Derrick Henry Delanie Walker PIT SPCIAL TMS Pittsburgh Season Leaders Robert Golden James Conner JuJu Smith-Schuster Marcus Mariota ric Decker TN KICKR Martavis Bryant Martavis Bryant Comp-Att-Yds Tennessee Pittsburgh Projected 2013 Comp-Att-Yds Tennessee Pittsburgh yards Tennessee Pittsburgh 275 yards Line Yds FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds TO's Tennessee Pittsburgh yards Tennessee Pittsburgh 112 yards 304 yards 15 points Projected Box Projected Tennessee Tennessee Pittsburgh Projected Final Pittsburgh 387 yards 26 points #32 Tennessee Pittsburgh #28 #17 Tennessee Pittsburgh #23 Tennessee Titans PIT QB/WR Pittsburgh Steelers TN SPCIAL TMS PIT KICKR TN COACHS PIT COACHS TN TOTAL PTS PIT TOTAL PTS Pittsburgh Steelers 4.39 POSITIONAL DG AWARDD TO: By 2.87 Points 1.48 Pittsburgh By 7 44 Points Pittsburgh By 10.5 Pittsburgh By 8.4 Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pittsburgh By 15 Weather: Cloudy, Low 40's. While I feel that the Steelers are one of the top three teams in the NFL, I went with the Colts last week because Pittsburgh is poor off a bye and had only won one of the last nine road games by over a touchdown. They were lucky to escape with a win overcoming a 17-3 deficit. Pittsburgh is 7-2 despite having six of their first nine games on the road. At home this year they have outgained teams by a margin and they will be fired up for the 6-3 Titans. Tennessee has a good shot at the playoffs, but they are being outscored on the year and have not impressed me the last four weeks. They did have first down and yardage edges against a weak Bengals teams at home. The Steelers defense holds foes to 44 yards per game below their season average and the Titans allow teams 12 above. The last four weeks Pittsburgh has the No. 4 offense in the NFL and Tennessee is No. 26. The Titans average just 261 yards per game on the road. Let s clinch it with the trends. Pittsburgh is 10-4 ATS as a nondivision home favorite since 2014 and Tennessee is 7-16 as an away dog the past four years. Pittsburgh 28 Tennessee 13

3 Detroit Lions Lions Logs Chicago Bears Vs NFC North Vs NFC North Bears Logs RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS DT --PS RANK RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS CHI --PS RANK-- DT DT DT DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST NFL RANKINGS CHI CHI CHI DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST # #225 9/10 Arizona W CURRNT RANKINGS # #95 9/10 Atlanta L # #205 9/18 at NY Giants W # #58 9/17 at Tampa Bay 7-29 L Detroit Chicago # #77 9/24 Atlanta L # #129 9/24 Pittsburgh W # #186 10/1 at Minnesota 14-7 W #28 Rush Off # # #63 9/28 at Green Bay L # #43 10/8 Carolina L #8 Pass Off # # #106 10/9 Minnesota L # #46 10/15 at New Orleans L #15 Total Off # # #179 10/15 at Baltimore W / #6 Off # # #203 10/22 Carolina 17-3 W # #132 10/29 Pittsburgh L #27 Sks Allowed # # #116 10/29 at New Orleans L # #272 11/6 at Green Bay W #10 Rush Def # / # #160 11/12 Cleveland W #25 Pass Def # # #103 11/12 Green Bay L /19 at Chicago #22 Total Def # /19 Detroit /23 Minnesota #21 Def # /26 at Philadelphia /3 at Baltimore #18 Sks By # /3 San Francisco /10 at Tampa Bay #19 Ypg Diff # /10 at Cincinnati /16 Chicago Total TO's /16 at Detroit /24 at Cincinnati Off YPP /24 Cleveland /31 Green Bay #3 Off YPP Rank # /31 at Minnesota Def YPP #21 Def YPP Rank #22 Lions Net Stats Bears Net Stats Arizona Atlanta at NY Giants at Tampa Bay Atlanta Pittsburgh at Minnesota at Green Bay Carolina Minnesota at New Orleans at Baltimore Carolina Pittsburgh at New Orleans at Green Bay Cleveland Green Bay at Chicago Detroit Minnesota at Philadelphia at Baltimore San Francisco at Tampa Bay at Cincinnati Chicago at Detroit at Cincinnati Cleveland Green Bay at Minnesota Average % % Average % % Vs NFC North % % Vs NFC North % % Away % % Home % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position dges By Game Yardage Leaders Arizona +2.5/48.5 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate Detroit Chicago Atlanta +7/48.5 Mike Glennon Tarik Cohen Tarik Cohen at NY Giants +3/42 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah ric bron DT QB/WR at Tampa Bay +7/44.5 Mike Glennon Tarik Cohen Kendall Wright Atlanta +3/50 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah TJ Jones Pittsburgh +7.5/44 Mike Glennon Jordan Howard Jordan Howard at Minnesota +2.5/43 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr CHI SCONDARY at Green Bay +7/45 Mike Glennon Jordan Howard Kendall Wright Carolina -2.5/42.5 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr DT RB's Minnesota +3.5/40.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Kendall Wright at New Orleans +4.5/50 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr at Baltimore +6/39.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Dion Sims CHI LB's Carolina +3/41 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Tarik Cohen Pittsburgh +3/45 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr DT OFF LIN at New Orleans +9.5/47 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Tre McBride at Green Bay -2.5/43 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate Cleveland -10.5/43 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate CHI DF LIN Green Bay -4.5/37.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Dontrell Inman at Chicago DT DF LIN Detroit Minnesota 0.30 at Philadelphia at Baltimore CHI OFF LIN San Francisco at Tampa Bay DT LB'S at Cincinnati Chicago 0.97 at Detroit at Cincinnati CHI RB's Cleveland Green Bay DT SCONDARY at Minnesota 0.81 DT SPCIAL TMS 1.87 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate Mike Glennon Jordan Howard Kendall Wright Detroit Season Leaders CHI SPCIAL TMS Chicago Season Leaders Theo Riddick Marvin Jones Jr Mitch Trubisky Tarik Cohen Tarik Cohen DT KICKR Matthew Stafford TJ Jones Pat O'Donnell Mitch Trubisky Zach Miller Line Yds FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Projected Box TO's CHI KICKR Weather: Mostly Cloudy, Mid 30's, Winds mph. With Mitch Trubisky as the starter the Detroit DT COACHS Detroit By 3 Projected Bears are 4-1 ATS. I pointed out last week that Chicago is great as a home dog at ATS, CHICAGO Comp-Att-Yds 108 yards Detroit Chicago 115 yards but had not been a division home favorite in three years and they lost outright to a Packers team CHI COACHS 41 Points Detroit Projected DT TOTAL PTS without Aaron Rodgers. Chicago is back in their preferred home dog role where they upset yards Chicago Detroit 5.06 CHICAGO yards 2.74 Detroit By 4.5 Pittsburgh and Carolina and gave Atlanta and Minnesota all they could handle. Chicago s defense 2015 Comp-Att-Yds CHI TOTAL PTS is holding foes to 31 yards per game below their season average. Detroit beat Cleveland by 14 Detroit yards Detroit Chicago 327 yards Detroit By 1.6 POSITIONAL DG AWARDD TO: last week, but was outgained and trailed versus the winless Browns. Cleveland CHICAGO Projected Final 22 points Detroit Chicago 23 points blew scoring opportunities at the Lions two-yard line before the half and at the Lions four at the 2015 Comp-Att-Yds Detroit Detroit end of the game. Detroit is just ATS as a division away favorite and last year in Chicago Detroit CHICAGO #12 Detroit Chicago #2 Lions they were favored by three and lost outright being outgained I like the home dog here. Chicago Comp-Att-Yds Detroit #29 Detroit Chicago #31 Chicago By 1 By 2.32 Points Chicago 21 Detroit Chicago Detroit Lions Chicago Bears CHI QB/WR

4 Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs Logs 6-3 Vs AFC West RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS KC --PS RANK RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS NYG --PS RANK-- KC KC KC DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST NFL RANKINGS NYG NYG NYG DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST # #264 9/7 at New ngland W CURRNT RANKINGS # #75 9/10 at Dallas 3-19 L # #143 9/17 Philadelphia W # #144 9/18 Detroit L Kansas City New York # #233 9/24 at LA Chargers W # #236 9/24 at Philadelphia L # #188 10/2 Washington W #12 Rush Off # # #197 10/1 at Tampa Bay L # #220 10/8 at W #7 Pass Off # # #152 10/8 LA Chargers L # #41 10/15 Pittsburgh L #5 Total Off # # #247 10/15 at Denver W # #99 10/19 at Oakland L #5 Off # # #39 10/22 Seattle 7-24 L # #162 10/30 Denver W #19 Sks Allowed # / # #60 11/5 at Dallas L #29 Rush Def # # #11 11/5 LA Rams L / #28 Pass Def # # #148 11/12 at San Francisco L /19 at NY Giants #30 Total Def # /19 Kansas City /26 Buffalo #19 Def # /23 at Washington /3 at NY Jets #22 Sks By # /3 at Oakland /10 Oakland #20 Ypg Diff # /10 Dallas /16 LA Chargers Total TO's /17 Philadelphia / Off YPP /24 at Arizona /31 at Denver #4 Off YPP Rank # /31 Washington Def YPP #8 Def YPP Rank # Vs NFC ast New York Giants Giants Logs Chiefs Net Stats Giants Net Stats at New ngland at Dallas Philadelphia Detroit at LA Chargers at Philadelphia Washington at Tampa Bay at LA Chargers Pittsburgh at Denver at Oakland Seattle Denver at Dallas LA Rams at San Francisco at NY Giants Kansas City Buffalo at Washington at NY Jets at Oakland Oakland Dallas LA Chargers Philadelphia at Arizona at Denver Washington Average % % Average % % Vs AFC West % % Vs NFC ast % % Away % % Home % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position dges By Game Yardage Leaders at New ngland +8.5/48 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Tyreek Hill Kansas City New York at Dallas +4/47 li Manning Paul Perkins Roger Lewis Philadelphia -5/46.5 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Travis Kelce KC QB/WR Detroit -3/42 li Manning Shane Vereen van ngram at LA Chargers -3/48 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Tyreek Hill at Philadelphia +6/43.5 li Manning Paul Perkins Sterling Shepard Washington -7/48.5 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Travis Kelce NYG SCONDARY at Tampa Bay +3/45 li Manning Wayne Gallman Odell Beckham Jr at -1/45 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Travis Kelce KC RB's LA Chargers -3/45.5 li Manning Orleans Darkwa Odell Beckham Jr Pittsburgh -4/46.5 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Kareem Hunt at Denver +12/38.5 li Manning Orleans Darkwa van ngram at Oakland -3/46.5 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Tyreek Hill NYG LB's Seattle +3.5/39.5 li Manning Orleans Darkwa van ngram Denver -7/42.5 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Travis Kelce KC OFF LIN at Dallas +2.5/53 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Travis Kelce LA Rams +4.5/42 li Manning Orleans Darkwa Sterling Shepard NYG DF LIN at San Francisco -2.5/41.5 li Manning Orleans Darkwa Sterling Shepard at NY Giants KC DF LIN Kansas City Buffalo 1.11 at Washington at NY Jets NYG OFF LIN at Oakland Oakland KC LB'S Dallas LA Chargers 1.14 Philadelphia NYG RB's at Arizona at Denver KC SCONDARY Washington 0.36 Alex Smith Kareem Hunt Travis Kelce li Manning Orleans Darkwa Sterling Shepard Kansas City Season Leaders Tyreek Hill Alex Smith Tyreek Hill NYG SPCIAL TMS New York Season Leaders Geno Smith Wayne Gallman van ngram Tyreek Hill Kareem Hunt KC KICKR Shane Vereen Odell Beckham Jr Comp-Att-Yds Kansas City Projected Box NY Giants Projected yards Kansas City New York 114 yards Projected 270 yards Kansas City New York 393 yards Kansas City New York Projected Final 27 points Kansas City New York 252 yards 367 yards #3 Kansas City New York #17 #28 Kansas City New York 23 points # Kansas City Chiefs New York Giants NYG QB/WR KC SPCIAL TMS NYG KICKR KC COACHS Kansas City By 10.5 NYG COACHS KC TOTAL PTS NYG TOTAL PTS POSITIONAL DG AWARDD TO: Kansas City Chiefs By 7.37 Points Points Kansas City By 9.5 Kansas City By 4.4 Kansas City Kansas City Kansas City By 18 Weather: Mostly Sunny, Low 50's, Winds mph. Coming into last week, favorites of nine points or more were just 3-6 ATS, but went 2-1 last week. The Chiefs opened 5-0 and were anointed the best team in the NFL, but have struggled since going 1-3. In the last four weeks rankings, they are just No. 20 on offense and No. 31 on defense and are being outgained by 102 yards per game. Facing Pittsburgh, Oakland, Denver and Dallas had something to do with it. They need a magic elixir to get their season turned around and they get it in a couple of ways. Andy Reid may be the best NFL coach ever off a bye, as his combined record at Philadelphia and Kansas City is 16-2 straight up and 13-5 ATS. The last 17 times Kansas City has been an away favorite they have gone 14-3 ATS. Finally, their opponent is the New York Giants who look like they have checked out. In the last four weeks, they are No. 31 on offense and No. 32 on defense being outgained by 149 yards per game while losing their last two home games by an average of 25.5 points. Tough to lay big points in the NFL, but this is one situation that you should. Kansas City 34 NY Giants 16

5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Buccaneers Logs Dolphins Vs NFC South Vs AFC ast Dolphins Logs RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS TB --PS RANK RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS MIA --PS RANK-- TB TB TB DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST NFL RANKINGS MIA MIA MIA DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST /10 Bye CURRNT RANKINGS /10 Bye # #273 9/17 Chicago 29-7 W # #252 9/17 at LA Chargers W Tampa Bay # #37 9/24 at Minnesota L # #78 9/24 at NY Jets 6-20 L # #211 10/1 NY Giants W #28 Rush Off # # #66 10/1 New Orleans 0-20 L # #176 10/5 New ngland L #3 Pass Off # # #270 10/8 Tennessee W # #164 10/15 at Arizona L #14 Total Off # # #249 10/15 at Atlanta W # #167 10/22 at Buffalo L #22 Off # # #267 10/22 NY Jets W # #88 10/29 Carolina 3-17 L #9 Sks Allowed # # #36 10/26 at Baltimore 0-40 L # #40 11/5 at New Orleans L #14 Rush Def # # #243 11/5 Oakland L # #209 11/12 NY Jets W #29 Pass Def # # #51 11/13 at Carolina L /19 at #27 Total Def # /19 Tampa Bay /26 at Atlanta #19 Def # /26 at New ngland /3 at Green Bay #28 Sks By # /3 Denver /10 Detroit #23 Ypg Diff # /11 New ngland /18 Arizona Total TO's /17 at Buffalo /24 at Carolina Off YPP /24 at Kansas City /31 New Orleans #27 Off YPP Rank # /31 Buffalo Def YPP #11 Def YPP Rank #28 Buccaneers Net Stats Dolphins Net Stats Bye Bye Chicago at LA Chargers at Minnesota at NY Jets NY Giants New Orleans New ngland Tennessee at Arizona at Atlanta at Buffalo NY Jets Carolina at Baltimore at New Orleans Oakland NY Jets at Carolina at Tampa Bay at Atlanta at New ngland at Green Bay Denver Detroit New ngland Arizona at Buffalo at Carolina at Kansas City New Orleans Buffalo Average % % Average % % Vs NFC South % % Vs AFC ast % % Away % % Home % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position dges By Game Yardage Leaders Bye Tampa Bay Bye Chicago -7/44.5 Jameis Winston Jacquizz Rodgers Mike vans TB QB/WR at LA Chargers +3.5/45.5 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi DeVante Parker at Minnesota -1.5/40 Jameis Winston Jacquizz Rodgers DeSean Jackson at NY Jets -6/43.5 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi DeVante Parker NY Giants -3/45 Jameis Winston Jacquizz Rodgers Cameron Brate MIA SCONDARY New Orleans +3/52 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi DeVante Parker New ngland +5.5/55 Jameis Winston Doug Martin DeSean Jackson TB RB's Tennessee -2/42.5 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry at Arizona -2/46 Ryan Fitzpatrick Doug Martin Mike vans at Atlanta +13/46 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry at Buffalo +3/45.5 Jameis Winston Doug Martin OJ Howard MIA LB's NY Jets -3/38.5 Matt Moore Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry Carolina -1.5/46 Jameis Winston Doug Martin Cameron Brate TB OFF LIN at Baltimore +3/37.5 Matt Moore Jay Ajayi Kenny Stills at New Orleans +7/54 Ryan Fitzpatrick Peyton Barber DeSean Jackson Oakland +3/45 Jay Cutler Kenyan Drake Julius Thomas NY Jets +2.5/44 Ryan Fitzpatrick Doug Martin DeSean Jackson MIA DF LIN at Carolina +8.5/38.5 Jay Cutler Kenyan Drake Kenny Stills at TB DF LIN Tampa Bay at Atlanta 0.08 at New ngland at Green Bay MIA OFF LIN Denver Detroit TB LB'S New ngland Arizona 1.67 at Buffalo at Carolina MIA RB's at Kansas City New Orleans TB SCONDARY Buffalo 0.88 Jameis Winston Doug Martin Mike vans Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry Tampa Bay Season Leaders Ryan Fitzpatrick Jacquizz Rodgers DeSean Jackson MIA SPCIAL TMS Season Leaders Matt Moore Kenyan Drake Kenny Stills Peyton Barber Cameron Brate TB KICKR MarQueis Gray Damien Williams DeVante Parker Comp-Att-Yds Tampa Bay Projected 121 yards 229 yards Tampa Bay 351 yards Tampa Bay 335 yards Projected Final 20 points #9 Tampa Bay #14 #4 Tampa Bay 23 points Tampa Bay Projected Box Projected Tampa Bay 106 yards 229 yards # Tampa Bay Buccaneers MIA KICKR TB COACHS Dolphins MIA QB/WR TB SPCIAL TMS MIA COACHS TB TOTAL PTS MIA TOTAL PTS Tampa Bay Buccaneers POSITIONAL DG AWARDD TO: By 0.61 Points ven 41.5 Points Tampa Bay By 2.5 Tampa Bay By 0.8 Tampa Bay Tampa Bay Tampa Bay By 4 Weather: Mostly Sunny, Low 80's. These two teams both were involved in games that delivered me ATS winners last week. Tampa Bay was a home dog to the New York Jets and led 15-3 before allowing a touchdown with :28 left. They get Mike vans back this week and while they are 0-4 on the road, they did almost beat a stronger Buffalo team up North with a yardage edge. They get to stay in Florida for this. Last year the Buccaneers were talked about as a possible playoff team, but opened the year 3-5 and were written off. They won their next five, finished 9-7 and just missed the playoffs (minus 22 yards per game). That surge had them a trendy playoff pick this year, but they opened 2-6 and were written off. The defense had six sacks last week after having just eight sacks in the first eight games. I had near the bottom of the NFL at the start of the year and they used smoke and mirrors including some big comebacks and opened 4-2. They have lost their last three and are only a garbage touchdown and two-point conversion versus Oakland from being 0-3 ATS in that stretch. Best Bet: Tampa Bay 21 17

6 Baltimore Ravens Ravens Logs Vs AFC North Green Bay Packers RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS BAL --PS RANK RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS GB --PS RANK-- BAL BAL BAL DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST NFL RANKINGS GB GB GB DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST # #284 9/10 at Cincinnati 20-0 W CURRNT RANKINGS # #259 9/10 Seattle 17-9 W # #196 9/17 Cleveland W # #120 9/17 at Atlanta L Baltimore Green Bay # #1 9/24 Jacksonville 7-44 L # #159 9/24 Cincinnati W # #22 10/1 Pittsburgh 9-26 L #10 Rush Off # # #266 9/28 Chicago W # #254 10/8 at Oakland W #32 Pass Off # # #212 10/8 at Dallas W # #123 10/15 Chicago L #30 Total Off # # #65 10/15 at Minnesota L # #57 10/22 at Minnesota L #18 Off # # #47 10/22 New Orleans L # #288 10/ W #12 Sks Allowed # / # #153 11/5 at Tennessee L #28 Rush Def # # #26 11/6 Detroit L / #3 Pass Def # # #242 11/12 at Chicago W /19 at Green Bay #6 Total Def # /19 Baltimore / #8 Def # /26 at Pittsburgh /3 Detroit #15 Sks By # /3 Tampa Bay /10 at Pittsburgh #21 Ypg Diff # /10 at Cleveland /17 at Cleveland Total TO's /17 at Carolina /23 Indianapolis Off YPP /23 Minnesota /31 Cincinnati #7 Off YPP Rank # /31 at Detroit Def YPP #10 Def YPP Rank #18 Vs NFC North Packers Logs Ravens Net Stats Packers Net Stats at Cincinnati Seattle Cleveland at Atlanta Jacksonville Cincinnati Pittsburgh Chicago at Oakland at Dallas Chicago at Minnesota at Minnesota New Orleans at Tennessee Detroit at Chicago at Green Bay Baltimore at Pittsburgh Detroit Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh at Cleveland at Cleveland at Carolina Indianapolis Minnesota Cincinnati at Detroit Baltimore Ravens Average % % Average % % Vs AFC North % % Vs NFC North % % Away % % Home % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position dges By Game Yardage Leaders at Cincinnati +3/41 Joe Flacco Terrance West Jeremy Maclin Baltimore Green Bay Seattle -3/51 Aaron Rodgers Ty Montgomery Randall Cobb Cleveland -7.5/39 Joe Flacco Javorius Allen Benjamin Watson BAL QB/WR at Atlanta +3/54.5 Aaron Rodgers Ty Montgomery Davante Adams Jacksonville -3.5/39.5 Ryan Mallett Alex Collins Nick Boyle Cincinnati -7/47 Aaron Rodgers Ty Montgomery Geronimo Allison Pittsburgh +3/42.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Mike Wallace GB SCONDARY Chicago -7/45 Aaron Rodgers Aaron Jones Jordy Nelson at Oakland +3/40 Joe Flacco Javorius Allen Mike Wallace BAL RB's at Dallas +2.5/53 Aaron Rodgers Aaron Jones Davante Adams Chicago -6/39.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Chris Moore at Minnesota -3/45.5 Brett Hundley Aaron Jones Jordy Nelson at Minnesota +4/38.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Benjamin Watson GB LB's New Orleans +3.5/47 Brett Hundley Aaron Jones Martellus Bennett /37.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Jeremy Maclin BAL OFF LIN at Tennessee +3/41.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Jeremy Maclin Detroit +2.5/43 Brett Hundley Ty Montgomery Randall Cobb GB DF LIN at Chicago +4.5/37.5 Brett Hundley Jamaal Williams Davante Adams at Green Bay BAL DF LIN Baltimore 0.72 at Pittsburgh Detroit GB OFF LIN Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh BAL LB'S at Cleveland at Cleveland 1.20 at Carolina Indianapolis GB RB's Minnesota Cincinnati BAL SCONDARY at Detroit 0.14 GB QB/WR Joe Flacco Alex Collins Jeremy Maclin Aaron Rodgers Aaron Jones Davante Adams Baltimore Season Leaders Ryan Mallett Javorius Allen Mike Wallace GB SPCIAL TMS Green Bay Season Leaders Brett Hundley Ty Montgomery Randall Cobb Sam Koch Terrance West Benjamin Watson BAL KICKR Jamaal Williams Jordy Nelson Line Yds FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Projected Box TO's GB KICKR Baltimore BAL COACHS Baltimore By 2 Weather: Mostly Sunny, Low 30's. I mentioned earlier in the year that the Green Bay Packers Green Bay Projected yards Baltimore Green Bay 125 yards GB COACHS 38 Points were an average team, but Aaron Rodgers gave them Super Bowl aspirations. With Brett Hundley Projected BAL TOTAL PTS under center they lost to a couple of playoff contenders at home in New Orleans and Detroit 221 yards Baltimore Green Bay 201 yards Green Bay By 2.0 (minus 165 yards per game). Last week they surprised me and won on the road and now GB TOTAL PTS get another beatable opponent at home. Baltimore does have the No. 6 defense in the NFL, but 330 yards Baltimore Green Bay 326 yards Green Bay By 2.5 POSITIONAL DG AWARDD TO: Joe Flacco is averaging 5.3 yards per attempt with an 8-10 ratio (offense is No. 30 in the league). Projected Final Baltimore is 2-9 their last 11 road games, but they are also 7-2 ATS off a bye. While Green Bay 20 points Baltimore Green Bay 21 points Baltimore lost running back Aaron Jones last week, they will be in a circle the wagons mode knowing they Baltimore #22 Baltimore Green Bay #5 Green Bay need to earn a victory in Lambeau this weekend. Ravens #26 Baltimore Green Bay #24 Green Bay By 3 By 4.21 Points Green Bay Packers BAL SPCIAL TMS Green Bay 20 Baltimore 17

7 Los Angeles Rams Rams Logs Minnesota Vikings Vs NFC West Vs NFC North Vikings Logs RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS LAR --PS RANK RCORD PLUS/MINUS GAM GRADS MIN --PS RANK-- LAR LAR LAR DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST NFL RANKINGS MIN MIN MIN DAT W/L OFF DF ST OFF DF ST # #271 9/10 Indianapolis 46-9 W CURRNT RANKINGS # #184 9/11 New Orleans W # #19 9/17 Washington L # #18 9/17 at Pittsburgh 9-26 L Los Angeles Minnesota # #69 9/21 at San Francisco W # #245 9/24 Tampa Bay W # #89 10/1 at Dallas W #5 Rush Off # # #42 10/1 Detroit 7-14 L # #48 10/8 Seattle L #4 Pass Off # # #140 10/9 at Chicago W # #55 10/15 at Jacksonville W #3 Total Off # # #210 10/15 Green Bay W # #274 10/22 Arizona 33-0 W #1 Off # # #169 10/22 Baltimore W / #5 Sks Allowed # # #219 10/29 Cleveland W # #277 11/5 at NY Giants W #24 Rush Def # / # #260 11/ W #8 Pass Def # # #126 11/12 at Washington W /19 at Minnesota #14 Total Def # /19 LA Rams /26 New Orleans #3 Def # /23 at Detroit /3 at Arizona #5 Sks By # /3 at Atlanta /10 Philadelphia #5 Ypg Diff # /10 at Carolina /17 at Seattle Total TO's /17 Cincinnati /24 at Tennessee Off YPP /23 at Green Bay /31 San Francisco #1 Off YPP Rank # /31 Chicago Def YPP #4 Def YPP Rank #12 Rams Net Stats Vikings Net Stats Indianapolis New Orleans Washington at Pittsburgh at San Francisco Tampa Bay at Dallas Detroit Seattle at Chicago at Jacksonville Green Bay Arizona Baltimore Cleveland at NY Giants at Washington at Minnesota LA Rams New Orleans at Detroit at Arizona at Atlanta Philadelphia at Carolina at Seattle Cincinnati at Tennessee at Green Bay San Francisco Chicago Average % % Average % % Vs NFC West % % Vs NFC North % % Away % % Home % % By Game Yardage Leaders Position by Position dges By Game Yardage Leaders Indianapolis -3.5/41.5 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Cooper Kupp Los Angeles Minnesota New Orleans -3/48 Sam Bradford Dalvin Cook Adam Thielen Washington -2.5/45.5 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Gerald verett LAR QB/WR at Pittsburgh +9.5/43.5 Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Kyle Rudolph at San Francisco -2.5/40 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Robert Woods Tampa Bay +1.5/40 Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Stefon Diggs at Dallas +6/49 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Todd Gurley MIN SCONDARY Detroit -2.5/43 Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Stefon Diggs Seattle -1.5/47.5 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Tyler Higbee LAR RB's at Chicago -3.5/40.5 Case Keenum Jerick McKinnon Jerick McKinnon at Jacksonville +2.5/42 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Robert Woods Green Bay +3/45.5 Case Keenum Jerick McKinnon Adam Thielen Arizona -3/46 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Robert Woods MIN LB's Baltimore -4/38.5 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Jarius Wright LAR OFF LIN Cleveland -9.5/38 Case Keenum Jerick McKinnon Adam Thielen at NY Giants -4.5/42 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Robert Woods /45.5 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Robert Woods MIN DF LIN at Washington -1.5/41 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Adam Thielen at Minnesota LAR DF LIN LA Rams New Orleans 0.22 at Detroit at Arizona MIN OFF LIN at Atlanta Philadelphia LAR LB'S at Carolina at Seattle 0.50 Cincinnati at Tennessee MIN RB's at Green Bay San Francisco LAR SCONDARY Chicago 0.33 Jared Goff Todd Gurley Robert Woods Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Adam Thielen Los Angeles. Season Leaders Johnny Hekker Tavon Austin Cooper Kupp MIN SPCIAL TMS Minnesota Season Leaders Sam Bradford Jerick McKinnon Stefon Diggs Sean Mannion Malcolm Brown Todd Gurley LAR KICKR Ryan Quigley Latavious Murray Kyle Rudolph Comp-Att-Yds MIN KICKR St Louis MINNSOTA Projected 2014 Comp-Att-Yds St Louis yards Los Angeles Minnesota 251 yards 2.46 Minnesota Comp-Att-Yds 2012 St Louis Minnesota yards Los Angeles Minnesota 109 yards 339 yards 23 points Projected Box Projected Los Angeles Los Angeles Minnesota Projected Final Minnesota 22 points #29 Los Angeles Minnesota # yards #6 Los Angeles Minnesota #12 Los Angeles Rams Minnesota Vikings MIN QB/WR LAR SPCIAL TMS LAR COACHS MIN COACHS LAR TOTAL PTS MIN TOTAL PTS By 0.96 Points POSITIONAL DG AWARDD TO: Minnesota Vikings Minnesota By Points LA Rams By 6.0 Minnesota By 1.4 Minnesota LA Rams Minnesota By 1 Weather: Dome. I feel this is a matchup of two go with teams as both sit atop their respective divisions. Minnesota has the No. 9 offense and No. 5 defense in the NFL and outgain their foes by an average of at home. This is their only home game in a five-week span and the Vikings are a solid 12-3 ATS the past three years as a home favorite. I have been riding the Rams since their home loss to Seattle where they had a yardage edge. They are 4-0 straight up and ATS since winning by 10, 33, 34 and 26. Their last two games have been versus the lowly New York Giants and a Texans squad minus Deshaun Watson. They were outgained in each of their first three road games and Minnesota has a great home field edge. Jared Goff is getting a lot of accolades, but the last time he took on a top-notch defense on the road he hit just 11 of 21 for 107 yards versus the Jaguars. I cannot go against either of these teams, but will be looking to play on the loser next week. Minnesota 24 LA Rams 23