Ageing, transport and mobility

Transcription

1 Ageing, transport and mobility Stuart Murray Transport for Greater Manchester 29 th October 2013

2 Structure of presentation Who/what is TfGM? What do we do? In what context? Illustrations of TfGM work Significant factors impacting on transport and mobility points for discussion? Conclusion

3 Transport for Greater Manchester (TFGM) Greater Manchester Combined Authority Transport for Greater Manchester Committee (elected representatives) TfGM is the delivery arm charged with improving transport services and facilities across GM. Promote and support travel choices in walking, cycling and public transport Ownership of Metrolink, GM bus stations and bus stops Paying for buses in areas/at times when no commercial services are provided Help for disabled, younger and older passengers to travel at reduced fares Local voice to help secure rail services that match local travel needs Management of traffic signals on major roads Information and analysis to inform GM's transport strategy and planning

4 Illustrations of work/context of older people Metrolink Concessionary Fares Demand Responsive Transport

5 Wider context in which we are working Transportation, including accessible and affordable public transport, is a key factor influencing active ageing. It is a theme running through many other areas of discussion. In particular, being able to move about the city determines social and civic participation and access to community and health services (Global Age Friendly Cities: A Guide 2007).

6 Metrolink network effect Burton Road to Piccadilly, same platform to go on to Etihad Campus. I can walk to the stop in two minutes and easily reach the Board meetings I have to attend for the Trust I am on Drive to the Rochdale Park and Ride, tram to Trafford Bar, walk to the health centre. I have to make this journey for a health appointment once every three weeks and this is a great way to do it Withington to East Manchester Pennine township, Rochdale to Trafford Bar Bus to Bolton railway station, train to Victoria, tram to East Didsbury. This is a chance to travel to somewhere new and my pass allows me to do this for nothing I am going to have lunch and look at the shops Walk to East Didsbury, tram to Cornbrook, bus to Salford Royal. My travelling time is cut and a journey which used to need four buses is now so much easier North Bolton to Didsbury Old Moat, Manchester to Salford Royal

7 English National Concessionary Travel Scheme 000s 60,000 Annual Concessionary bus patronage in GM 12 months to June 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 Elderly Disabled Children and Scholars 10,

8 Demand Responsive Transport Local Link and Ring and Ride brands 1.3m passenger trips per annum Over 40% Ring and Ride aged over 80

9 Local Link Operating Areas (2010)

10 Use of public transport by age (ELSA 2012) Males Females Every day or nearly every day Two or three times a week Once a week Two or three times a month Once a month or less Never

11 What factors should we consider Size and demographics of the older population Where does this population live How often and how far do they travel Why are they travelling What issues may affect their ability to travel

12 Population forecasts GM (ONS 2012)

13 Trips and Distances (NTS 2012) 1,400 1,200 1,000 Trips per person per year 12,000 10,000 Distances per person per year 800 8, All Males Females 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 All Males Females

14 Trips (NTS 2012) Number of trips in relation to all age average number of trips 1,200 1,000 All age average All 800 Male Female % Percentage trips by mode and age 60% 40% 20% 0% Driver/passenger all Walk all Bus all Rail all

15 Distances (NTS 2012) 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Percentage distance by mode and age Driver Passenger Bus Walk Rail ,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Distance travelled in relation to average for all ages - recognises male/female at different starting points All Males Females

16 Journey Purpose by age (NTS) Distribution of trips by journey purpose - GM 2007/12 Other including just walk Holiday / day trip Sport / entertainment Visit friends elsewhere Visit friends at private home Personal business Other escort Shopping Escort education Education Business Commuting

17 Journey purpose examples by gender Shopping trips by age - GM 2007/12 Visiting friends at home by age - GM 2007/ Shopping Male Shopping Female Shopping All Visiting friends at home Male Visitng friends at home Female Visiting friends at home All

18 Travelling to the Airport

19 School holiday duties

20 Distribution of older population Over the last decade, migration, particularly the selective emigration of healthier and/or affluent older people to neighbouring suburbs and beyond, combined with high immigration from abroad and certain wards having high population churn, has left Manchester with pockets of isolated older people with few or no stable social relationships. A study by the Audit Commission in 2008 found that the remaining older population tends to be.poorer, isolated and more vulnerable with a lower life expectancy and a need for acute interventions. Profile of Older People, Manchester City Council 2012

21 Use of public transport by wealth group (ELSA 2012) Use of public transport (%) by wealth group for men Every day or nearly every day Two or three times a week Once a week Two or three times a month Once a month or less Never Use of public transport (%) by wealth group for women Every day or nearly every day Two or three times a week Once a week Lowest 2nd 3rd 4th Highest Two or three times a month Once a month or less Never

22 Compression of Morbidity (Fries) Capacity - Period of morbidity (1) Period of morbidity (2) Age -

23 Conclusions Same or similar transport and related factors persist across the life course and remain determinants of modal choice The dynamics between different factors and the impact they have changes over time Transport and mobility are key issues in respect of successful periods of transition in the lives of older people The challenge (for TfGM) is to sustain access to and use of public transport over time Solutions need to be person centred, flexible and increasingly smart this applies to older people as much as to other population cohorts