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1 The gambler may be prepared to stake his/her all on a sudden glimpse of divine insight, but are we gamblers.do we want to take risks? I don t believe in divine insight any more than I believe in gambler s luck I believe in hard facts: I believe in probable, I reject the spasmodic; I reject inspiration, haphazard flashes of genius, visions, dreams, hunches: I put my faith in the things that professional punters use as their arsenal to make steady profit, the law of averages, sequences, trends, statistics and so on. Patience is the virtue of making money! G Savage Dec 2005
2 This betting strategy was devised and copyrighted by G Savage. If you have bought this from anyone other then G Savage, please forward me me full details for a full refund and a cash award for info that will lead to the prosecution of the fraudster you made your initial purchase from. (lurganbap@yahoo.com) Property of Bet-U-Make-Profit.com
3 Market Mover As the name suggests the Backing and Laying markets do change constantly on Betfair and it is in fact possible to make money before a ball is even kicked. If you know what you re looking for. There are several matches every week that have massive changes in odds and a number of factors can lead to a massive change in odds prior to kick off. These include 1) A top European Away match where an English league team (e.g. Man Utd, Arsenal, Chelsea) have to win to qualify or keep their campaign alive. 2) Cup finals involving Red Hot favourites 3) League Cup matches prior to teams being announced. 4) Champions League matches that have seen a team qualify, and they put out a weakened team. 5) Odds for Live matches regularly change after Team News announcements 50 minutes prior to kick off / But How do I know that a market s odds are going to change? Before we go into this any further the change odds can be anything from 0.1 to 4.5 depending on a number of factors. The whole secret of market movers is gaining knowledge of how the changes in odds work, looking for clues and also the most important of all getting in and placing your bet early, preferably 24/48 hours before kick off and then making another bet just before kick off.
4 Let s take the Champions League Match between Benfica Vs Man Utd and let s look at how we can recognise that a market is one the move. The match was to kick off on Wednesday 7 th December, however for those professional punters among us, we had a look at the odds on Monday the 5 th December and we noticed that Benfica were 3.72 to back and 3.74 to Lay. By Tuesday their odds were increasing at an alarming rate : They crept up to 4.5 to back and 4.6 to Lay. Property of Bet-U-Make-Profit.com
5 On clicking on Benfica, it was noted that graph was showing a continual upward movement which meant that the odds would continue to spiral because it wasn t even match day yet!!! ODDS ARE RISING FOR BENFICA. At this point the professional punter must make a decision. A decision that has minimum risk but massive potential for PROFIT!!!! A graph that is spiralling upwards is like your dream bank balance. However this graph was going upwards and it wasn t even match day. Let s say on Tuesday the 6 th December I layed Benfica at 100 therefore risking = 3.6 x 100 = 360. That is fine. That means if Benfica don t win I make 100. But I reckon due to the nature of the graph a full 24 hours before kick off that odds will continue to rise.
6 Proof is in the pudding? My theory was proved correct, the massive British public were convinced that Man Utd would not get beaten as that would mean a shock exit and therefore Benfica s odds continued to rise on Match Day. The odds 1 hour before kick off show that they have now risen to 5.2 that is a 0.6 rise which will lead to profit being made before kick off. If I now take 90 and backed Benfica to win at 5.2 I would now be making profit no matter what the outcome profit if Benfica won, and 18 profit if Man Utd won or drew. This was 100% guaranteed even before a ball was kicked. You will never be risking any money because a market that is moving
7 upwards on the day before kick will very, very rarely fall, at most it may reach it s peak and level off, however if that is the case then you simply back the team with the same odds and you ll be 99.98% certain not to lose a single penny. The whole secret is looking at the graphs 48 hours before kick off, then 24 hours before kick off and then if possible 12/16 hours if they show a continual rise get on that. Ideally to make this bet work you would have to place your 1 st bet 24 hours before kick off and then your 2 nd bet 1 hour or ½ an hour before actual kick off. Doing your homework Other matches will also move and fall over the 24 hour build up to a match and if you visit websites and look at team news and managers plans you can be at a massive advantage. 24 hours before the Udinese Vs Barca match in the Champions League I visited Barca s website as I suspected a weakened team may be fielded as they had already guaranteed top spot in their group.
8 Rijkaard was stating that he may make a few changes In other words a manager s way of saying I m resting some of my better players. The British public were obviously unaware of this and were backing Barcelona all the way to roll over Udinese at short priced odds. However I knew that once word got around internet chatrooms etc that Barca s odds would climb. And sure enough..the inevitable happened. Backing at hours before kick off and then ½ hour before kick off A massive climb of 0.7. There was some money to be madehere. Lets say 24 hours before kick off I Layed Barcelona for 1000 at 2.76 therefore risking But I was convinced once the word spread that their odds would not shorten anymore and would be more than likely to go up. I watched the odds all of the next day and just before
9 kick off I was met with this. At this point if I took 800 and backed Barcelona I would have made 200 profit no matter what the outcome even before a ball was kicked. This system is amazing but you must remember to look carefully at the graph 48 hours, then 24 hours before kick off and look for a steady increase in the teams odds, or a steady decrease in the teams odds as the case may be. Only take matches that you know the British Public would be interested in and would wager vast amounts of money. Good Luck and let me see you making that money before kick off!!!!!!!
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