POLL. July 20-22, 2007 N= 889

Transcription

1 POLL July 0-, 007 N= 889 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only.

2 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA /10-1/01 CBS /1-1/ /8-1/ /1-1/04 CBS /4-/01 CBS /4-7/04 CBS /10-1/01 CBS /10-14/ /14-18/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /8-31/01 CBS /3-7/ /11-1/01 CBS /0-3/04 CBS /13-14/ /3-7/ /0-3/ /11-1/ /-8/ /1-18/04 CBS /7-10/ /1-16/ /-6/0 CBS /0-/04 CBS /1-17/0 CBS /1-3/ /1-4/ /9-11/04 CBS /4-6/0 CBS /14-17/ /1-/0 CBS /8-30/ /8-/1/ /18-1/ /13-14/0 CBS /14-18/ /19-0/0 CBS /4-8/ /18-0/0 CBS /9-14/0 NYT /8-9/0 CBS /13-16/0 CBS /13-16/ /0-4/0 CBS /-3/0 CBS /10-1/ /6-7/0 CBS /13-14/0 CBS 4 0 9/-/ /9-8//0 CBS /-3/0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS /3-6/ /6-7/0 CBS /7-31/ /9-13/ /0-4/ /3-/0 CBS /4-6/03 CBS /30-11/1/0 CBS /19-/ /-6/ /-6/03 CBS /-8/06 CBS 41 7 /10-1/ /0-/ /4-/03 CBS /-6/06 CBS /4-/03 CBS /9-1/06 CBS /7-9/ /6-9/06 CBS /1-16/03 CBS /8-30/06 CBS /17/03 CBS /4-8/ /0/03 PANEL /10-11/06 CBS /0-1/ /1-/ // /11-13/06 CBS /3/ /17-1/ /4/ /1-19/ /0-4/ /-8/ /6-7/03 CBS /7-31/ /-3/03 CBS /1-13/06 CBS /11-13/ /8-10/06 CBS /6-7/03 CBS /1-3/07 CBS /9-1/ /18-1/07 CBS /13-7/ /8-11/07 CBS /6-8/03 CBS 37 8 /3-7/ /1-16/03 CBS /7-11/ /8-10/1/ /6-7/07 CBS /0-1/03 CBS /9-1/07 CBS /10-1/03 CBS /0-4/ /14-1/ /18-3/ /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/

3 . Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA /10-1/ /8-30/ /4-/03 CBS /18-1/ /4-/03 CBS /14-18/0 40 3/7-9/ /4-8/ /1-16/03 CBS /13-16/04 CBS /17/03 CBS 63 3 /0-4/0 CBS /0/03 PANEL /10-1/ /0-1/ /8-8//0 CBS // /9-31/0 CBS /3/ /6-7/0 CBS /4/ /9-13/ /0-4/ /3-/0 CBS /6-7/03 CBS /30-11/1/0 CBS /-3/03 CBS /-6/ /11-13/ /-8/06 CBS /6-7/03 CBS /0-/ /9-1/ /-6/ /7-8/03 CBS /9-1/ /8-9/03 CBS /6-9/ /11-1/03 CBS /8-30/06 CBS /1-16/03 CBS /4-8/ /8-10/1/ /10-11/06 CBS /0-1/03 CBS /1-/ /10-1/03 CBS /11-13/06 CBS /10-13/ /17-1/ /14-1/ /1-19/ /1-1/ /-8/ /1-1/04 CBS /7-31/ /4-7/04 CBS /8-10/06 CBS /10-14/ /1-3/07 CBS 3 7 3/30-4/1/04 CBS /18-1/07 CBS /3-7/ /8-11/07 CBS 7 68 /0-3/04 CBS /3-7/ /3-7/ /7-11/ /11-1/ /6-7/07 CBS /1-18/04 CBS /9-1/07 CBS /1-3/ /0-4/ /9-11/04 CBS /18-3/ /14-17/ /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/

4 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the campaign against terrorism? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 1/07-10/ /13-16/0 CBS /-6/0 CBS /0-4/0 CBS /1-17/0 CBS /10-1/ /1-4/ /13-14/0 CBS /4-6/0 CBS /9-8//0 CBS /1-/0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS 4 40 /13-14/0 CBS /6-7/0 CBS /19-0/0 CBS /9-13/ /18-0/0 CBS /3-/0 CBS /8-9/0 CBS /30-11/01/0 CBS /-3/0 CBS /-6/ /6-7/0 CBS /-8/06 CBS /-/ /0-/ /-3/0 CBS 71 7 /-6/06 CBS /7-8/03 CBS /9-1/06 CBS /10-13/ /6-9/06 CBS /14-1/ /8-30/06 CBS /1-1/ /4-8/ /1-1/04 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /4-7/04 CBS /1-/ /10-14/ /11-13/06 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /17-1/ /3-7/ /1-19/ /0-3/04 CBS /-8/ /3-7/ /7-31/ /11-1/ /8-10/06 CBS /1-18/04 CBS /1-3/07 CBS /1-16/ /18-1/07 CBS /1-3/ /8-11/07 CBS /9-11/04 CBS /3-7/ /14-17/ /7-11/ /8-30/ /6-7/07 CBS /18-1/ /9-1/07 CBS /14-18/ /0-4/ /4-8/ /18-3/ /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/

5 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 7/19-/ /13-17/ /3-6/ /19-0/ /8-1/ /3-4/99 CBS /3-7/ /10-13/99 CBS /19-3/ /30-/1/ /-9/ /1/99 CBS /-7/ /4/99 CBS /3-8/ /8/99 CBS /13-1/ /-6/ /16-19/ /-6/99 CBS /8-10/ /13-14/99 CBS /8-31/ /1-3/99 CBS /7-8/ /1/99 CBS /4-6/ /3-4/99 CBS /18-/ /-30/99 CBS /-7/ /4-7/ /1-18/ /1-14/ /-/ /10-13/ /6-3/1/ /0-3/ /6-9/ /7-10/1/ /8-11/ /10-1/01 CBS /8-31/ /8-1/ /7-9/ /3-/01 CBS /1-3/ /10-1/01 CBS /-3/93 CBS /14-18/ /16-19/ /-8/ /11-14/ /07-10/ /-7/93 CBS /1-4/ /1-17/ /4-6/0 CBS /16-17/ /18-0/0 CBS /8-11/ /13-16/ /9-11/1/ /-3/0 CBS /10-0/9 CBS /3-6/ /-/ /7-31/ /1-14/ /9-1/ /1-4/ /13-7/ /4-6/9 CBS /8-10/1/ /-9/ /1-1/ /-/ /14-17/ /9-11/ /14-18/ /18-0/96 CBS /4-8/ /-4/ /1-/0 CBS /10-11/96 CBS /13-16/0 CBS /31-4// /0-3/0 CBS 9 16 /31-6/3/ /10-1/ /0-3/96 NYT /13-14/0 CBS /11-13/ /9-13/ /3-/ /3-/0 CBS /-4/ /30-11/1/0 CBS /14-17/ /-6/ /-/ /-8/06 CBS /6-8/97 CBS /0-/ /13-14/97 CBS /-6/06 CBS /-3/97 CBS /9-1/06 CBS /6-8/ /6-9/06 CBS /10-1/ /4-8/ /18-1/98 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /4-/ /1-/ /19-1/ /17-1/ /19-1/98 CBS /1-19/ /19-1/ /-8/ /8-10/98 CBS /7-31/ /1-1/98 CBS /18-1/07 CBS /-3/ /8-11/07 CBS /3-4/98 CBS /3-7/ /7-8/98 CBS /7-11/ /1-13/ /9-1/07 CBS /6-8/ /18-3/ /31-11/1/98 CBS /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/

6 6. Looking back, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed out? Right thing Stay out DK/NA 1/10-13/ /14-16/ /1-1/04 CBS 8 37 /4-7/04 CBS /10-14/ /3-7/ /0-3/04 CBS /3-7/ /11-1/ /1-18/04 CBS /1-16/ /1-3/ /9-11/04 CBS /14-17/ /8-30/ /18-1/04 1/14-18/ /4-8/ /13-16/0 CBS /0-4/0 CBS /10-1/ /13-14/0 CBS /9-8//0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS /9-13/ /3-/0 CBS /30-11/1/0 CBS /-6/ /-8/06 CBS /0-/ /-6/06 CBS /8-1/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /8-30/06 CBS 44 1 /4-8/ /1-/ /11-13/06 CBS /17-1/ /1-19/ /-8/ /7-31/ /1-13/06 CBS /8-10/06 CBS /1-3/07 CBS /18-1/07 CBS 39 6 /3-7/ /7-11/ /9-1/07 CBS 44 1 /18-3/ /0-/

7 7. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its efforts to bring stability and order to Iraq? Would you say things are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly? Very Somewhat Somewhat Very well well badly badly DK/NA /7-8/03 CBS /8-9/03 CBS /11-1/03 CBS /6-8/03 CBS /1-16/03 CBS /0-1/03 CBS /10-1/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-1/ /1-/03 CBS /8/04 CBS /3-7/ /0-3/04 CBS /3-7/ /11-1/ /1-18/ /1-16/ /14-17/ /8-30/ /18-1/04 1/14-18/ /4-8/ /13-16/0 CBS /0-4/0 CBS /10-1/ /13-14/0 CBS 7/9-8//0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS /3-/0 CBS 10/30-11/1/0 CBS /-6/ /-8/06 CBS 1/0-/ /-6/06 CBS /9-1/06 CBS 4/6-9/06 CBS /8-30/06 CBS /4-8/ /1-/ /11-13/06 CBS /17-1/ /1-19/ /-8/ /7-31/ /8-10/06 CBS /1-3/07 CBS /18-1/07 CBS /8-11/07 CBS /4-7/ /7-11/07 4/9-1/07 CBS /18-3/ /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/

8 8. Do you think of the war with Iraq as part of the war on terrorism, or do you think of it as separate from the war on terrorism? IF ANSWERED PART OF WAR ON TERRORISM, ASK: Is it a major part of the war on terrorism, or a minor part of the war on terrorism? Major part Minor part Not part DK/NA 4/-3/03 CBS /11-13/ /9-1/ /1-16/03 CBS /8-10/1/ /10-13/03 CBS /1-/03 CBS /1-1/04 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /-6/ /9-1/06 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /11-13/06 CBS /17-1/ /1-19/ /-8/ /0-/ Thinking about the last few weeks, how much attention have you been able to pay to news about the war in Iraq? -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far? A lot Some Not much None at all DK/NA 7/0-/ Which comes closer to your view about the Iraq war? 1. The United States was right to remove Saddam Hussein and stay in Iraq to help build a new government there. or. The United States was right to remove Saddam Hussein but then should have left Iraq soon after that. OR 3. The United States should never have gotten involved in Iraq in the first place. Right to Remove Hussein Never have remove and stay and left gotten involved DK/NA 3/9-1/06 CBS /8-30/06 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /9-1/07 CBS /0-/

9 1. From what you have seen or heard about the situation in Iraq, what should the United States do NOW should the U.S. increase the number of U.S. troops in Iraq, keep the same number of U.S. troops in Iraq as there are now, decrease the number of U.S. troops in Iraq, or remove all its troops from Iraq? Increase Keep same Decrease Remove all DK/NA 8/6-8/03 CBS /8-10/1/ /13-14/0 CBS /9-8//0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS /6-7/0 CBS /9-13/ /-6/ /9-1/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /-8/ /7-31/ /8-10/06 CBS /1-3/07 CBS /18-1/07 CBS /8-11/07 CBS /7-11/ /9-1/07 CBS /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/ QUESTION DID NOT INCLUDE or remove all its troops from Iraq. 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Democrats in Congress are handling the situation with Iraq? ROTATED WITH QUESTION 16. Approve Disapprove DK/NA 7/0-/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way Republicans in Congress are handling the situation with Iraq? ROTATED WITH QUESTION 1. Approve Disapprove DK/NA 7/0-/

10 17. As you may know, the U.S. has sent more than 0,000 additional troops to Iraq. From what you have heard or read, would you say this troop increase is making the situation in Iraq better, making it worse, or is it having no impact on the situation in Iraq so far? Better Worse No impact DK/NA 4/9-1/07 1 CBS /18-3/ /6-8/07 CBS /9-17/ /0-/ QUESTION READ: the U.S. is sending more than 0,000 additional troops to Iraq. 18. Which of these comes closest to your opinion?...congress should block all funding for the war in Iraq no matter what; OR Congress should allow funding, but only on the condition that the US sets a timetable for the withdrawal of US troops; OR Congress should allow all funding for the war without any timetable conditions. Block all funding Fund with timetable Allow all funding DK/NA 7/9-17/ /0-/ Right now, is the U.S. involvement in Iraq creating more terrorists who are planning to attack the U.S.; or eliminating terrorists who were planning to attack the U.S.; or is the U.S. involvement in Iraq not affecting the number of terrorists planning to attack the U.S.? Creating Eliminating Not affecting DK/NA 6/3-7/ /1-3/ /13-14/0 CBS /6-8/07 CBS /0-/ RELATED TREND: Right now, is the U.S. involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan Creating Eliminating Not affecting DK/NA 8/17-1/ Looking back on the Iraq war, which comes closer to your view: 1) The Bush Administration has handled the war as well as could be expected; OR ) The Bush Administration handled the war well at the start, but in the last couple of years has handled it badly; OR 3) The Bush Administration has handled the war badly from the start. Well as could Well at start, be expected badly recently Badly from start DK/NA 9/1-19/ /0-/ As far as you know, do you think most of the insurgents in Iraq today are under the command of Osama bin Laden and Al Qaeda, or not? Yes No Depends/some are(vo l.) US ca using( v ol.) DK /NA 7/0-/

11 3. How likely do you think it is that there will be another terrorist attack in the United States within the next few months very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, not at all likely? Very Somewhat Not very Not at all DK/NA 9/0-3/ /8/01 CBS /-8/ /7-10/ /-6/0 CBS /1-4/ /4-6/0 CBS /1-/0 CBS /1-18/0 CBS /13-14/0 CBS /19-0/0 CBS /18-0/0 CBS /8-9/0 CBS /13-16/ /-/ /7-31/ /0-4/ /19-/ /10-1/ /4-/03 CBS /4-/03 CBS /7-8/03 CBS /6-8/03 CBS /11-1/ /1-18/04 CBS /1-16/ /13-14/0 CBS /9-8//0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS /0-/ /11-13/06 CBS /17-1/ /9-17/ /0-/ How much confidence do you have in the ability of the U.S. government to protect its citizens from future terrorist attacks a great deal, a fair amount, not very much, or none at all? Great deal Fair amount Not very much None at all DK/NA 9/0-3/ /8/ /-8/ /7-10/ /-6/0 CBS /18-0/0 CBS /8-9/0 CBS /13-16/ /-/ /9-8//0 CBS /9-31/0 CBS /6-7/0 CBS /3-/0 CBS /-8/06 CBS /9-1/06 CBS /11-13/06 CBS /17-1/ /0-/

12 6. Which comes closer to your view: In the long run, the U.S. will be safer from terrorism if it confronts the countries and groups that promote terrorism in the Middle East; OR In the long run, the U.S. will be safer from terrorism if it stays out of other countries' affairs in the Middle East? Confronts countries/groups Stays out DK/NA 9/1-19/ /-8/ /0-/ These days, when members of the Bush Administration talk about the threat of terrorism, do you think they are doing it mostly because they are worried about the threat of terrorism or mostly for their own political gain? Terrorism Political gain Both(vol.) DK/NA 9/1-19/ These last few questions are for background only. vt04. Did you vote in the 004 presidential election, did something prevent you from voting, or did you choose not to vote? IF VOTED, ASK: Did you vote for John Kerry, George W. Bush, or Ralph Nader? Voted, won t Kerry Bush Nader say whom(vol.) Didn't vote DK/NA 7/0-/ evan. Some people think of themselves as evangelical or born again Christians. ever think of yourself in either of these ways? Do you Yes No DK/NA 7/0-/

13 Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what? Rep Dem Ind DK/NA Rep Dem Ind DK/NA 1/9A /98A /9B /98B /9A / /9B / / / / / /9A / / / / / /9B /00B /9A /00A /9D /00D /9E / /9A / /9A /00L /9C /8-1/ /9D /14-18/ /9E /-8/ / /7-10/ / /1-4/ / /8-/1/ / /13-16/ /93A /-/ /93A /3-/ /93B /7-31/ / /0-4/ / /19-/ / /10-1/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-7/ / /8-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-1/ / /1-1/ / /10-14/ / /3-7/ / /3-7/ / /11-1/ / /1-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /8-30/ / /18-1/ / /14-18/ / /4-8/ /96 NYT /10-1/ / /9-13/ / /-6/ /96C /0-/ / /4-8/ / /1-/ /96C /17-1/ / /1-19/ / /-8/ / /7-31/ / /4-7/ / /7-11/ /98B /0-4/ / /18-3/ / /9-17/ / /0-/ / / /98B /98C

14 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally, do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? Lib Mod Con DK/NA Lib Mod Con DK/NA 1/9A / /9B / /9A / /9B / / / / /98C /9A /98B / / / / /9B / /9A / /9D / /9A / /9C / /9D /00B /9E /00A / /00D / /7-10/ / /1-4/ / /8-/1/ /93A /13-16/ /93A /-/ /93B /3-/ / /7-31/ / /0-4/ / /19-/ / /10-1/ / /7-9/ / /11-13/ / /13-7/ / /8-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-1/ / /1-1/ / /10-14/ / /3-7/ / /3-7/ / /11-1/ / /1-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /8-30/ / /18-1/ / /14-18/ / /4-8/ / /10-1/ / /9-13/ / /-6/ /96C /0-/ / /4-8/ / /1-/ /96C /17-1/ / /1-19/ / /-8/ / /7-31/ / /4-7/ / / 7-11/ / /0-4/ / /18-3/ /9-17/ /0-/

15 What is your religious preference today? Protestant Catholic Jewish Other None DK/NA 7/0-/ How old are you? Over 64 7/0-/ What was the last grade in school you completed? Not a Some College H.S. grad H.S. grad college grad Post Grad Refused 7/0-/ Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, or not? Hispanic Not Hispanic DK/NA 7/0-/ Are you white, black, Asian or some other race? White Black Asian Other Refused 7/0-/ Are you now married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? Never Married Widowed Divorced Separated married DK/NA 7/0-/ Do you have any children? IF YES, ASK: Are any of your children under 18? Yes, under 18 Yes, over 18 No DK/NA 7/0-/ Was your total family income in 00 UNDER or OVER $0,000? IF UNDER, ASK: Was it under $1,000, between $1,000 and $30,000, or between $30,000 and $0,000? IF OVER, ASK: Was it between $0,000 and $7,000 or between $7,000 and $100,000 or was it over $100,000? Under $1,000- $30,000- $0,000- $7,000- Over $1,000 $9,999 $49,999 $74,999 $100,000 $100,000 Refused 7/0-/ Male Female 7/0-/