Third Quarter 2017 Social Weather Survey: Net satisfaction rating of the Duterte National Administration at "Very Good" +58

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1 19 October 2017, page 1 of Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City Website: Tel: , Fax: Third Quarter 2017 Social Weather Survey: Net satisfaction rating of the Duterte National Administration at "Very Good" +58 Excellent in Mindanao; Very Good in Visayas, Balance Luzon, and Metro Manila Very Good on 4, Good on 8, and Moderate on 5 subjects Net rating improves on 1 subject, declines on 4 subjects, steady on others Social Weather Stations The Third Quarter 2017 Social Weather Survey, done on September 23-27, 2017, found 71% of adult Filipinos satisfied, 16% neither satisfied nor dissatisfied, and 13% dissatisfied with the general performance of the current National Administration, for a net satisfaction rating of +58 (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied), classified by SWS as very good [Chart 1; Table 1]. This is 6 points below the very good +64 (75% satisfied, 11% dissatisfied) in June Excellent in Mindanao; Very Good in Visayas, Balance Luzon, and Metro Manila The 6-point decline in the Duterte Administration s general net satisfaction rating was due to declines of 16 points in Metro Manila and 11 points in Balance Luzon, combined with increases of 2 points in Mindanao and 1 point in the Visayas. The National Administration s net rating stayed excellent in Mindanao, at +74 in September 2017, up by 2 points from +72 in June 2017 [Chart 2; Table 2]. It stayed very good in the Visayas, at +57 in September, hardly changing from +56 in June. It stayed very good in Balance Luzon, at +52 in September, although down by 11 points from +63 in June. It also stayed very good in Metro Manila, at +51 in September, although down by 16 points from +67 in June. Very Good in classes ABC and D; Good in class E The National Administration s net satisfaction rating stayed very good in class ABC, at +60 in September 2017, up by 5 points from +55 in June 2017 [Chart 3; Table 3]. It stayed very good in class D or the masa, at +60 in September, although 4 points below the +64 in June. Oct 19 - with National Admin Overall and on Issues (Special report_final).docx

2 19 October 2017, page 2 of 20 However, it fell by one grade from very good to good in class E, at +46 in September, down by 22 points from +68 in June. Double-digit declines in the National Administration s net satisfaction rating occurred among men, among 55 year olds and above, and among non-elementary school graduates and college graduates [Table 4]. The SWS terminology for net satisfaction ratings is as follows: +70 and above, excellent ; to +69, very good ; to +49, good ; to +29, moderate, +9 to 9, neutral ; 10 to 29, poor ; 30 to 49, bad ; 50 to 69, very bad ; 70 and below, execrable. Very Good on 4, Good on 8, and Moderate on 5 subjects Out of 17 specific performance subjects rated, the net satisfaction ratings of the Duterte administration were very good on 4 subjects, good on 8 subjects, and moderate on 5 subjects. SWS calls this its Governance Report Card [Tables 5 and 6]. The net rating of the National Administration was very good on: Helping the poor (+67), Protecting the environment (+58), Defending the country's territorial rights (+52), and Providing jobs () [Charts 4 to 7]. It was good on: Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform (+49), Fighting terrorism (+47), Protecting human rights (+46), Foreign relations (+40), Reconciling with Muslim rebels (+38), Eradicating graft and corruption (+35), Reconciling with communist rebels (+35), and Fighting crimes () [Charts 8 to 15]. It was moderate on: Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry (+29), Recovering the ''hidden wealth'' stolen by Marcos and his cronies (+28), Resolving the traffic problem (+22), Solving the problem of extra judicial killings or EJK (+22), Fighting inflation (+21) [Charts 16 to 20]. National Administration s net rating improves on 1 subject, declines on 4 subjects, steady on others The September 2017 survey found the National Administration s net rating improved on 1 specific subject, declined on 4 subjects, and steady on others, compared to when they were last surveyed. The National Administration s net rating rose by one grade from good to very good on Protecting the environment, at +58, up by 26 points from +32 in March It stayed very good on three specific subjects. The very good +67 on Helping the poor was 2 points above the very good +65 in June. The very good +52 on Defending the country's territorial rights hardly changed from the very good +51 in June.

3 19 October 2017, page 3 of 20 The very good on Providing jobs hardly changed from the very good +51 in June. It stayed good on six specific subjects. The good +38 on Reconciling with Muslim rebels was 6 points above the good +32 in June. The good +35 on Reconciling with communist rebels was 4 points above the good +31 in June. The good +47 on Fighting terrorism was 2 points below the good +49 in June. The good +40 on Foreign relations was 3 points below the good +44 in June. The good +35 on Eradicating graft and corruption was 8 points below the good +43 in June. The good on Fighting crimes was 13 points below the good +43 in June. The National Administration s net rating stayed moderate on three specific subjects. The moderate +28 on Recovering the ''hidden wealth'' stolen by Marcos and his cronies was 2 points above the moderate +26 in June. The moderate +22 on Resolving the traffic problem was 3 points below the moderate +25 in June. The moderate +21 on Fighting inflation was 3 points below the moderate +24 in June. However, it fell by one grade from very good to good on two subjects. The good +49 on Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform was 4 points below the very good +53 in September The good +46 on Protecting human rights was 9 points below the very good +55 in June. It fell by one grade from good to moderate on two subjects. The moderate +29 on Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry was 2 points below the good +32 in June. The moderate +22 on Solving the problem of extra judicial killings or EJK was 12 points below the good +34 in June. Survey Background The Third Quarter 2017 Social Weather Survey was conducted from September 23-27, 2017 using face-to-face interviews of 1,500 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 600 in Balance Luzon, and 300 each in Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±2.5% for national percentages, ±4% for Balance Luzon, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Visayas, and Mindanao). The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2017 to obtain the national estimates.

4 19 October 2017, page 4 of 20 The Social Weather Survey items on public satisfaction with the general performance of the National Administration, and its performance on specific subjects, are non-commissioned. These items were included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service. The satisfaction rating of the general performance of the National Administration is based on a single question, and is not an average of answers to separate questions on specific subjects. The general rating is repeated every quarter, whereas only a core of the specific subject-ratings are repeated. Subjects are included or excluded depending on their contemporary salience. SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. The survey question on public satisfaction with the overall performance of the national administration is as follows: "Sa pangkalahatan, gaano po kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa kasalukuyang administrasyong nasyonal? Kayo po ba ay LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN, MEDYO NASISIYAHAN, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NASISIYAHAN O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NASISIYAHAN, o LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN? [On the overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the present national administration? Are you VERY SATISFIED, SOMEWHAT SATISFIED, UNDECIDED IF SATISFIED OR NOT, SOMEWHAT DISSATISFIED, or VERY DISSATISFIED?]" For the specific subjects, the survey questions are as follows: " GAANO PO KAYO NASISIYAHAN O HINDI NASISIYAHAN SA PAMAMALAKAD NG KASALUKUYANG ADMINISTRASYONG NASYONAL TUNGKOL SA (PROGRAMS OR ACTIVITIES)? MASASABI BA NINYONG KAYO AY LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN, MEDYO NASISIYAHAN, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NASISIYAHAN O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NASISIYAHAN, O LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN? PAKISAGOT PO ANG MGA ITO SA PAMAMAGITAN NG PAGLALAGAY NG BAWAT KARD SA NAAANGKOP NA LUGAR SA RATING BOARD NA ITO. (SHUFFLE CARD) [How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the present national administration s performance in (programs or activities)? Would you say that you are VERY SATISFIED, SOMEWHAT SATISFIED, UNDECIDED IF SATISFIED OR NOT, SOMEWHAT DISSATISFIED, or VERY DISSATISFIED? You may indicate your answers by placing each card on the appropriate box on this rating board. (SHUFFLE CARD)]" 1. PAGLABAN SA TERORISMO (Fighting terrorism) 2. PAKIKIPAG-UGNAYAN SA MGA REBELDENG MUSLIM UPANG ANG MGA ITO AY MAGBALIK-LOOB SA PAMAHALAAN (Reconciliation with Muslim rebels) 3. PAKIKIPAG-UGNAYAN SA MGA REBELDENG KOMUNISTA UPANG ANG MGA ITO AY MAGBALIK-LOOB SA PAMAHALAAN (Reconciliation with communist rebels) 4. PAGTUTULONG SA MGA MAHIHIRAP (Helping the poor)

5 19 October 2017, page 5 of PAGLALABAN SA PAGTAAS NG PRESYO (Fighting inflation) 6. PANINIGURO NA WALANG PAMILYANG KAILANMAN AY MAGUGUTOM AT WALANG MAKAIN (Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry and have nothing to eat) 7. PAGBIBIGAY NG HANAPBUHAY (Providing jobs) 8. PAGRESOLBA NG PROBLEMA SA TRAFFIC (Resolving the traffic problem) 9. PAKIKIPAG-UGNAYAN SA IBANG BANSA (Foreign relations) 10. PAGPUPUKSA NG KATIWALIAN AT PANGUNGURAKOT SA GOBYERNO (Eradicating graft and corruption in government) 11. PAGBAWI NG MGA YAMAN NA NINAKAW AT TINAGO NINA MARCOS AT ANG KANYANG MGA KASABWAT O "CRONY" (Recovering the "hidden wealth" stolen by Marcos and his cronies) 12. PAGTATANGGOL SA TERITORYO NG BANSA (Defending the country's territorial rights) 13. PAGLALABAN SA MGA KRIMENG BUMIBIKTIMA SA ORDINARYONG MAMAMAYAN TULAD NG PAGPATAY, HOLDAP, PAGNANAKAW, PANANAKIT NA PISIKAL, ATBP. (Fighting crimes that victimize ordinary citizens, like killings, holdups, robberies, physical violence, etc.) 14. PAGLUTAS NG PROBLEMA NG EXTRAJUDICIAL KILLINGS O EJK (Solving the problem of Extrajudicial Killings or EJK) 15. PAGTATANGGOL SA KARAPATANG PANTAO (Protection of human rights) 16. PAMAMAHAGI NG LUPA SA MGA KARAPAT-DAPAT NA MAGBUBUKID SA ILALIM NG REPORMA SA LUPA (Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform) 17. PAGTATANGGOL NG KAPALIGIRAN (Protecting the environment) SWS terminology for Net Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; to +69, "very good"; to +49, "good"; to +29, "moderate", +9 to 9, "neutral"; 10 to 29, "poor"; 30 to 49, "bad"; 50 to 69, "very bad"; 70 and below, "execrable"]. A single-digit net satisfaction is considered not significantly different from zero. #

6 19 October 2017, page 6 of 20 Chart 1 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION: PHILIPPINES, FEB 1989 SEP 2017 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE VG Table 1 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION: PHILIPPINES C. AQUINO FEB SEP APR NOV 90 JUL 91-1 NOV FEB 92-2 APR 92-5 RAMOS SEP DEC 92 APR JUL SEP DEC APR AUG NOV DEC MAR 95 JUN OCT DEC 95-3 APR 96 0 JUN RAMOS (cont.) SEP 96 DEC 96-1 APR JUN SEP DEC FEB MAR ESTRADA SEP NOV MAR JUN OCT DEC 99-8 MAR JUL SEP 00 DEC ARROYO MAR JUL SEP NOV MAR ARROYO (cont.) MAY 02 0 SEP NOV MAR 03-3 JUN SEP 03-6 NOV MAR AUG DEC MAR 05-6 MAY AUG DEC MAR JUN SEP 06-3 NOV 06-2 FEB 07-3 SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP 08-4 DEC 08-1 FEB ARROYO (cont.) JUN SEP DEC MAR B. AQUINO SEP NOV MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR MAY AUG DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN B. AQUINO (cont.) SEP DEC APR JUN 16 DUTERTE SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP Ignores Don t Know and Refused responses. Q: Sa pangkalahatan, gaano po kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa kasalukuyang administrasyong nasyonal? (SHOWCARD) LUBOS NA NASISIYAHAN, MEDYO NASISIYAHAN, HINDI TIYAK KUNG NASISIYAHAN O HINDI, MEDYO HINDI NASISIYAHAN, LUBOS NA HINDI NASISIYAHAN

7 19 October 2017, page 7 of 20 Chart 2 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by AREA, FEB 1989 SEP 2017 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +70 MIN: +74 VIS: +57 BAL LUZ: +52 NCR: Table 2 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by LOCATION (page 1 of 2) NCR LUZ VIS MIN C. AQUINO FEB SEP APR NOV JUL NOV FEB APR RAMOS SEP DEC APR JUL SEP DEC APR AUG NOV DEC MAR JUN OCT DEC APR RAMOS (cont.) JUN SEP DEC APR JUN SEP DEC ESTRADA SEP NOV MAR JUN OCT DEC MAR JUL SEP DEC ARROYO MAR JUL SEP NOV *Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. NCR LUZ VIS MIN NCR LUZ VIS MIN ARROYO (cont.) MAR MAY SEP NOV MAR JUN SEP NOV MAR AUG DEC MAR MAY AUG DEC MAR JUN SEP NOV FEB SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP

8 19 October 2017, page 8 of 20 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by LOCATION (page 2 of 2) NCR LUZ VIS MIN ARROYO (cont.) DEC FEB JUN SEP DEC MAR B. AQUINO SEP NOV MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR MAY AUG DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN NCR LUZ VIS MIN B. AQUINO (cont.) SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC APR JUN DUTERTE SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP *Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. Chart 3 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMIN., by ECONOMIC CLASS, FEB 1989 SEP C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE ABC: +60 D: +60 E:

9 19 October 2017, page 9 of 20 Table 3 NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by ECONOMIC CLASS (page 1 of 2) ABC D E C. AQUINO FEB SEP APR NOV JUL NOV FEB APR RAMOS SEP DEC APR JUL SEP DEC APR AUG NOV DEC MAR JUN OCT DEC APR ABC D E RAMOS (cont.) JUN SEP DEC APR JUN SEP DEC FEB MAR SEP ESTRADA NOV MAR JUN OCT DEC MAR JUL SEP DEC ARROYO MAR JUL *Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded. ABC D E ARROYO (cont.) JUN SEP DEC FEB JUN SEP DEC MAR B. AQUINO SEP NOV MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR MAY AUG DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC ABC D E ARROYO (cont.) SEP NOV MAR MAY SEP NOV MAR JUN SEP NOV MAR AUG DEC MAR MAY AUG DEC MAR JUN SEP NOV FEB SEP DEC MAR NET* SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION, by ECONOMIC CLASS (page 2 of 2) ABC D E B. AQUINO (cont.) MAR JUN SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP DEC APR JUN DUTERTE SEP DEC MAR JUN SEP *Net figures (% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied) correctly rounded.

10 19 October 2017, page 10 of 20 Table 4 PUBLIC SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION: MAR 2017 TO SEP 2017 (page 1 of 2) Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Total PH 75% 75% 71% 16% 13% 16% 9% 11% 13% NCR Bal. Luzon Visayas Mindanao Urban Rural ABC D E PUBLIC SATISFACTION WITH GENERAL PERFORMANCE OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION: MAR 2017 TO SEP 2017 (page 2 of 2) Satisfied Undecided Dissatisfied Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Total PH 75% 75% 71% 16% 13% 16% 9% 11% 13% Men Women Some Elem Some HS Some Voc/Coll Coll. Grad *% Satisfied minus % Dissatisfied correctly rounded. Ignores Don t Know and Refused to Answer responses. Question. On the overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the present national administration? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied?

11 19 October 2017, page 11 of 20 Table 5 SATISFACTION WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON SPECIFIC ISSUES: PHILIPPINES, SEP 2017 SAT UND DIS NET Overall performance rating 71% 16% 13% +58 Helping the poor Protecting the environment Defending the country's territorial rights Providing jobs Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform Fighting terrorism Protecting human rights Foreign relations Reconciling with Muslim rebels Eradicating graft and corruption Reconciling with communist rebels Fighting crimes Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry Recovering the ''hidden wealth'' stolen by Marcos and his cronies Resolving the traffic problem Solving the problem of extra judicial killings or EJK Fighting inflation Very Good Very Good (4) Good (8) Moderate (5) Table 6 ON SPECIFIC ISSUES: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2016 SEP 2017 Overall performance rating Helping the poor Protecting the environment +32 (Mar15) +58 Defending the country's territorial rights Providing jobs Distributing lands to deserving tillers under land reform +49 Fighting terrorism Protecting human rights Foreign relations Reconciling with Muslim rebels Eradicating graft and corruption Reconciling with communist rebels Fighting crimes Ensuring that no family will ever be hungry Recovering the ''hidden wealth'' stolen by Marcos and his cronies Resolving the traffic problem Solving the problem of extra judicial killings or EJK Fighting inflation Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Very Good Very Good (4) Good (8) Moderate (5)

12 19 October 2017, page 12 of 20 Chart 4 ON HELPING THE POOR: PHILIPPINES, DEC 1993 SEP 2017 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE VG Chart 5 NET* SATISFACTION RATINGS OF THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT: PHILIPPINES, JUN SEP 2017 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +58 VG

13 19 October 2017, page 13 of 20 Chart 6 ON DEFENDING THE COUNTRY S TERRITORIAL RIGHTS: PHILIPPINES, MAR 1999 SEP 2017 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +52 VG Chart 7 NET SATISFACTION* WITH THE NATIONAL ADMINISTRATION ON PROVIDING JOBS: PHILIPPINES, NOV 1998 SEP 2017 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE VG

14 19 October 2017, page 14 of 20 Chart 8 ON DISTRIBUTING LANDS UNDER LAND REFORM: PHILIPPINES, NOV SEP 2017 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +49 G Chart 9 ON FIGHTING TERRORISM: PHILIPPINES, NOV 2002 SEP 2017 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +47 G

15 19 October 2017, page 15 of 20 Chart 10 ON PROMOTING/PROTECTING HUMAN RIGHTS: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2016 JUN 2017 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +46 G Chart 11 ON FOREIGN RELATIONS: PHILIPPINES, SEP 1992 SEP 2017 RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +40 G

16 19 October 2017, page 16 of 20 Chart 12 ON RECONCILING WITH MUSLIM REBELS: PHILIPPINES, SEP 1998 SEP 2017 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +38 G Chart 13 ON ERADICATING GRAFT AND CORRUPTION: PHILIPPINES, MAR 1987 SEP 2017 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE G

17 19 October 2017, page 17 of 20 Chart 14 ON RECONCILING WITH COMMUNIST REBELS: PHILIPPINES, SEP 1998 SEP 2017 ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +35 G Chart 15 ON FIGHTING CRIMES: PHILIPPINES, NOV 1990 SEP 2017 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE G

18 19 October 2017, page 18 of 20 Chart 16 ON ENSURING THAT NO FAMILY WILL BE HUNGRY: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2004 SEP 2017 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +29 M Chart 17 ON RECOVERING THE ''HIDDEN WEALTH'' STOLEN BY MARCOS AND HIS CRONIES: PHILIPPINES, JUN 2002 SEP 2017 ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +28 M

19 19 October 2017, page 19 of 20 Chart 18 ON RESOLVING THE TRAFFIC PROBLEM: PHILIPPINES, MAR 2017 TO SEP 2017 B. AQUINO DUTERTE +22 M * 2016 * 2017 * Chart 19 ON SOLVING THE PROBLEM OF EXTRA JUDICIAL KILLINGS OR EJK: PHILIPPINES, DEC 2016 SEP 2017 B. AQUINO DUTERTE +22 M * 2016 * 2017 *

20 19 October 2017, page 20 of 20 Chart 20 ON FIGHTING INFLATION: PHILIPPINES, NOV 1991 SEP 2017 C. AQUINO RAMOS ESTRADA ARROYO B. AQUINO DUTERTE +21 M