The New York Times/CBS News Poll

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "The New York Times/CBS News Poll"

Bryce Paul
6 years ago
Views:

1 The New York Times/CBS News Poll July 21-25, 2006 For release in paper of July 27 N= 1,127 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only.

2 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 2/10-12/01 CBS /9-12/ /8-12/ /13-27/ /4-5/01 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /14-18/ /28-10/1/ /28-31/01 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /11-12/01 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /13-14/ /10-13/ /20-23/ /14-15/ /25-28/ /12-15/ /7-10/ /12-15/04 CBS /5-6/02 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /10-14/ /21-24/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /24-26/02 CBS /23-27/ /1-2/02 CBS /20-23/04 CBS /28-5/1/ /23-27/ /13-14/02 CBS /11-15/ /19-20/02 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /12-16/ /8-9/02 CBS /20-22/04 CBS /13-16/ /1-3/ /22-23/02 CBS /9-11/04 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /14-17/ /2-5/ /28-30/ /22-23/02 CBS /18-21/ /3-6/ /14-18/ /27-31/ /24-28/ /20-24/ /9-14/05 NYT /4-6/03 CBS /13-16/05 CBS /19-22/ /20-24/05 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /10-15/ /10-12/ /13-14/05 CBS /24-25/03 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /7-9/ /6-7/05 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /9-13/ /17/03 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /20/03 PANEL /30-11/1/05 CBS /20-21/ /2-6/ /22/ /5-8/06 CBS /23/ /20-25/ /24/ /22-26/06 CBS /20-24/ /9-12/06 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /2-3/03 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /11-13/ /4-8/ /26-27/03 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/

3 2. Do you feel things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Right Wrong DK/NA Right Wrong DK/NA 1/ /11-13/ /83 NYT /13-27/ /83 NYT /28-10/1/ / /10-12/03 CBS / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ /94 CBS /12-15/04 CBS /95 NYT /10-14/ / /30-4/1/04 CBS /96 CBS /23-27/ /96 NYT /20-23/04 CBS / /23-27/ / /11-15/ / /15-18/04 CBS / /12-16/ / /20-22/04 CBS / /1-3/ /98A /14-17/ /98B /28-30/ / /18-21/ /8-12/ /14-18/ /23-25/01 CBS /24-28/ /14-18/ /9-14/05 NYT /25-28/ /13-16/05 CBS /7-10/ /20-24/05 CBS /24-27/ /10-15/ /13-16/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /9-13/ /6-7/02 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /2-5/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /3-6/ /2-6/ /27-31/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-24/ /20-25/ /10-12/ /9-12/06 CBS /22/ /28-30/06 CBS /4-8/ /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/ QUESTION READ: DO YOU FEEL THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION TODAY, OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 2 ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL. QUESTION READ: DO YOU THINK THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN PRETTY SERIOUSLY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 3 ABC NEWS POLL. QUESTION READ: DO YOU THINK THINGS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE GENERALLY GOING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION OR DO YOU FEEL THINGS HAVE GOTTEN PRETTY SERIOUSLY OFF ON THE WRONG TRACK? 4 WASHINGTON POST POLL, CONDUCTED 1/28-31, AFTER THE LEWINSKY SCANDAL BROKE. 3

4 3. What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? 7/03 10/03 11/04 1/05 2/05 6/05 9/05 12/05 1/06 5/06 7/06 Health Care Social Security Budget Deficit Education Medicare/ Medicaid Taxes Economy Immigration Defense Poverty Crime Foreign Policy Jobs Abortion Moral Values Welfare War Hurricane Katrina Politicians/ Government Heating oil/gas Crisis Environment Religious Values Iraq/Osama Bin Laden Terrorism general Other DK/NA

5 5

6 4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling foreign policy? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 3/8-12/ /26-28/03 CBS /4-5/01 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /28-10/1/ /10-12/01 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /14-18/ /10-13/ /25-28/ /14-15/ /07-10/ /12-15/ /15-17/02 CBS /12-15/04 CBS /21-24/ /24-27/04 CBS /24-26/02 CBS /10-14/ /1-2/02 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /15-18/02 CBS /23-27/ / CBS /20-23/04 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /23-27/ /18-20/02 CBS /11-15/ /8-9/02 CBS /1-3/ /13-16/ /14-17/ /2-5/ /28-30/ /22-23/02 CBS /18-21/ /3-6/ /14-18/ /27-31/ /24-28/ /20-24/ /20-24/05 CBS /4-6/03 CBS /10-15/ /19-22/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /9-13/ /10-12/ /2-5/ /24-25/03 CBS /20-25/ /4-5/03 CBS /9-12/ /7-9/ /4-8/ /13-27/ /21-25/

7 5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy? Dis- Dis- Approve approve DK/NA Approve approve DK/NA 3/8-12/ /26-28/03 CBS /4-5/01 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /28-10/1/ /10-12/01 CBS /10-13/ /14-18/ /14-15/ /25-28/ /12-15/ /7-10/ /12-15/04 CBS /5-6/02 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /15-17/02 CBS /10-14/ /21-24/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /24-26/02 CBS /23-27/ /13-14/02 CBS /20-23/04 CBS /18-20/02 CBS /23-27/ /8-9/02 CBS /11-15/ /13-16/ /15-18/04 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /12-16/ /6-7/02 CBS /1-3/ /2-5/ /9-11/04 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /14-17/ /3-6/ /28-30/ /27-31/ /18-21/ /20-24/ /14-18/ /4-6/03 CBS /24-28/ /19-22/ /13-16/05 CBS /5-6/03 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /10-12/ /10-15/ /24-25/03 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /7-9/ /9-13/ /20-21/ /3-5/05 CBS /22/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /23/ /2-6/ /24/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-24/ /20-25/ /11-13/ /22-26/06 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /9-12/ /6-9/06 CBS /13-27/ /28-30/06 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /4-8/ /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/

8 6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 2/10-12/ /23-27/ /24-25/03 CBS /20-23/04 CBS /4-5/03 CBS /23-27/ /7-9/ /11-15/ /15-16/03 CBS /15-18/04 CBS /17/03 CBS /12-16/ /20/03 PANEL /1-3/ /20-21/ /9-11/04 CBS /22/ /14-17/ /23/ /28-30/ /24/ /18-21/ /20-24/ /14-18/ /26-27/03 CBS /24-28/ /2-3/03 CBS /13-16/04 CBS /11-13/ /20-24/05 CBS /26-27/03 CBS /10-15/ /9-12/ /28-8/2/05 CBS /27-28/03 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /8-9/03 CBS /6-7/05 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /9-13/ /15-16/03 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /28-10/1/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /2-6/ /10-12/03 CBS /5-8/06 CBS /10-13/ /20-25/ /14-15/ /22-26/ /12-15/ /9-12/ /12-15/04 CBS /6-9/ /24-27/04 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /10-14/ /4-8/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/

9 7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with North Korea? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 2/10-12/ /7-9/ /24-28/ /21-25/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the campaign against terrorism? App Disapp DK/NA App Disapp DK/NA 10/25-28/ /9-11/04 CBS /07-10/ /14-17/ /5-6/02 CBS /28-30/ /15-17/02 CBS /18-21/ /21-24/ /14-18/ /24-26/02 CBS /24-28/ /1-2/02 CBS /13-16/05 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /19-20/02 CBS /10-15/ /18-20/02 CBS /13-14/05 CBS /8-9/02 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /22-23/02 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /6-7/02 CBS /6-7/05 CBS /2-5/ /9-13/ /22-23/02 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /27-28/03 CBS /30-11/01/05 CBS /10-13/ /2-6/ /14-15/ /5-8/06 CBS /12-15/ /20-25/ /12-15/04 CBS /22-26/06 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /10-14/ /6-9/06 CBS /30-4/1/04 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /23-27/ /4-8/ /20-23/04 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /23-27/ /21-25/ /11-15/ /15-18/04 CBS /12-16/ /1-3/ QUESTION READ WAR ON TERRORISM 9

10 9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA Approve Disapprove DK/NA 8/74 CBS /98A / /98B / /98 CBS / / / /17/ / /19/ / /20/ / /99 CBS / /99 CBS / / / /99 CBS / /24/99 CBS / /28/99 CBS / /4-5/ / /99 CBS / /99 CBS / /99 CBS /90B /99 CBS / /99 CBS / / / / /91A / /92B /00B /92B /00D / /8-12/ / /4-5/01 CBS / /23-25/01 CBS /93B /10-12/01 CBS /93A /14-18/ /93 CBS /25-28/ / /07-10/ / /21-24/ /93 CBS /24-26/02 CBS / /18-20/02 CBS / /13-16/ / /22-23/02 CBS /95 CBS /3-6/ / /27-31/ / /9-12/ /95 CBS /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /12-15/ / /14-17/ / /14-18/ / /24-28/ /96 CBS /21-22/05 CBS / /13-16/05 CBS / /20-23/05 CBS /96 NYT /10-15/ / /13-14/05 CBS / /9-13/ / /3-5/05 CBS /97 CBS /30-11/1/05CBS /97 CBS /2-6/ /97 CBS /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ / /22-26/06 CBS /98B /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/06 CBS /98 CBS /4-8/

11 9/98B /10-11/06 CBS /98C /21-25/ /98 CBS /98 CBS How about the Representative in Congress from your district? Do you approve or disapprove of the way your Representative is handling his or her job? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 6/ /78 CBS / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / / /13-16/05 CBS /2-6/ /20-25/ /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

12 11. How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good, fairly good, fairly bad or very bad? Very Fairly Fairly Very Very Fairly Fairly Very good good bad bad DK/NA good good bad bad DK/NA 8/ / / /00D* /90B / / / / /00 CBS / /01 CBS /91D /01 CBS / /8-12/ /92A /01B CBS /92B /01 CBS /92A /14-18/ /92B /20-23/ / /25-28/ / /07-10/ / /5-6/02 CBS /92A /15-17/02 CBS /92A /21-24/ /92A /24-26/02 CBS /92C /13-14/02 CBS /92D /18-20/02 CBS /92E /13-16/ / /22-23/02 CBS / /6-7/02 CBS / /2-5/ / /3-6/ /93A /27-31/ /93B /20-24/ / /4-6/03 CBS / /19-22/ / /10-12/ / /20-24/ / /11-13/ / /9-12/ / /28-10/1/ / /20-21/03 CBS / /10-13/ / /14-15/ / /12-15/ / /10-14/ / /23-27/ / /20-23/04 CBS / /23-27/ / /15-18/04 CBS / /12-16/ / /1-3/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ / /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /29-8/2/05 CBS /96B /9-13/ / /30-11/1/05 CBS / /2-6/ / /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ /96C /22-26/06 CBS / /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/06 CBS / /28-30/06 CBS / /4-8/ / /21-25/ / / /

13 2/ /11-13/ /19-20/ /98A /98B / Do you think the economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Better Worse Same DK/NA Better Worse Same DK/NA 9/ / /76A / /76B / / / / / / / / /96 NYT / / / /96C / / / / / / / / / / /80A / / /97 CBS / /97 CBS / / / / /86* /98A /87A /98B /87BNYT / / /01 CBS / /01 CBS / /8-12/ /88* /01B CBS /88A* /01 CBS /88A* /14-18/ /88B /20-23/ / /25-28/ / /07-10/ / /5-6/02 CBS /90B /21-24/ /91 CBS /13-14/02 CBS /91 CBS /13-16/ / /3-5/ / /27-31/ / /20-24/ /91D /19-22/ / /11-13/ /92A /9-12/ /92B /13-27/ /92B /26-28/03 CBS / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ / /14-15/ /92A /12-15/ /92A /12-15/04 CBS /92A /10-14/ /92C /23-27/ /92D /20-23/04 CBS /92E /23-27/ / /15-18/04 CBS / /12-16/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ /93A /14-18/ /93 CBS /24-28/ / /10-15/ / /29-8/2/05 CBS / /9-13/

14 4/ /30-11/1/05 CBS / /2-6/ / /5-8/06 CBS / /20-25/ /95 CBS /9-12/ / /4-8/ / /21-25/ /

15 Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the precinct or election district where you now live, or aren't you? Yes No DK/NA 7/21-25/ If the 2006 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district? Rep. Dem. Other(vol.) Won t vote(vol.) Depends(vol.) DK/NA 12/2-6/ /2-6/05* /20-25/06* /4-8/06* /21-25/06* HISTORICAL DATA: IF THE 1994/1998/2002 ELECTION FOR U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES WERE BEING HELD TODAY, WOULD YOU VOTE FOR THE REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE OR THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE IN YOUR DISTRICT? OTHER WON'T VOTE DEPENDS REP. DEM. (VOL.) (VOL.) (VOL.) DK/NA 9/8-11/94* /94* CBS /29/11/1/94* /19-21/ /22-23/98* /12-13/98* /21-24/02* /13-16/ /2-5/ /3-5/02 LIKELY VTRS /27-31/02 LIKELY VTRS Do you think of your vote for Congress this fall as a vote for George W. Bush, a vote against George W. Bush, or don t you think of your vote this fall as being about George W. Bush s presidency? For Against Not about GWB Won t vote DK/NA 10/27-31/02* /6-9/06* CBS /4-8/06* /21-25/06* Do you think of your vote for Congress this fall as a vote to help put Democrats in control of Congress, a vote to help keep Republicans in control of Congress, or will your vote be about something else? Put Dems in Keep Reps in Something else DK/NA 7/21-25/06*

16 16. Is your opinion of George W. Bush favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about George W. Bush yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t heard Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 4/99 CBS /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99* /99* CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* CBS /00* /00* /00B* /00* CBS /00* CBS /00A* /00D* /00* CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* /00L* /15-17/01 CBS /10-12/01 CBS /8-12/ /4-5/01 CBS /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /28-31/01 CBS /13-16/ /20-24/ /13-27/ /26-28/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ /10-14/ /10-14/04* /30-4/1/04* /23-27/04* /20-23/04* CBS /23-27/04* /11-15/04* /15-18/04* CBS /12-16/04* /20-22/04* CBS /1-3/04* /14-17/04* /28-30/04* /18-21/04* /14-18/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /20-25/

17 5/4-8/ /21-25/

18 17. Is your opinion of Dick Cheney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about Dick Cheney yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t heard Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 8/00* CBS /00* CBS /00A* /00D* /00* CBS /00* /00L* /15-17/01 CBS /8-12/ /23-25/01 CBS /14-18/ /21-24/ /13-16/ /12-15/ /10-14/ /23-27/ /23-27/ /11-15/04* /15-18/04* CBS /12-16/04* /20-22/04* CBS /1-3/04* /9-11/04* CBS /14-17/04* /14-18/ /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /20-25/ /4-8/ /21-25/

19 18. Is your opinion of Hillary Rodham Clinton favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Hillary Rodham Clinton yet to have an opinion? THE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 18 AND 19 WAS ROTATED. Not Don t know Favorable favorable Undecided enough Refused 3/92* /92* /92A* /92D* /92A* / / / /93A 2 CBS /93B 2 CBS /93B /93 2 CBS / /93 2 CBS / /94 CBS / /94 CBS / / /94 CBS / / /94A /95 CBS / / /96* /96* /96* /96* NYT /96* /96* /96C* /96D* CBS /96* / / /97 CBS / /98B / / /98 CBS /98 CBS / / /99 CBS /99 CBS / / /13-17/ /12-13/03 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /20-25/

20 5/4-8/ /21-25/ QUESTION READ: HILLARY CLINTON, BILL CLINTON'S WIFE,..." 2 QUESTION READ: " HILLARY CLINTON..." 19. Is your opinion of John McCain favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven t you heard enough about John McCain yet to have an opinion? THE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 18 AND 19 WAS ROTATED Not Don t know Favorable Favorable Undecided enough Refused 4/ /99* CBS /99*CBS /99* /99*CBS /00* /00* CBS /00* /14-18/ /20-23/03 CBS /20-25/ /4-8/ /21-25/

21 20. Is your opinion of Al Gore favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Al Gore yet to have an opinion? Not Haven t Not Haven t Fav Fav Und hrd Ref Fav Fav Und hrd Ref 5/ /99* CBS / /00* / /00* CBS /92* /00* CBS /92A* /00* CBS /92B* /00* /92D* /00* /92E* /00B* /92A* /00* CBS /92A* /00* CBS /92C* /00A* /92D* /00D* /92E* /00* CBS /93* /00* /93* /00* CBS /93* /00* /94 CBS /00L* /94* /9-10/00 CBS /95* /14-16/00 CBS /96* /15-17/01 CBS /96* /8-12/ /96B* CBS /28-31/01 CBS /96C* /20-24/ /96D* CBS /10-13/ /96* /14-16/ /96* /4-8/ /96C* /21-25/ /96* / /97 CBS / /97 CBS /97 CBS /97 CBS /97 CBS / /98B / / /98 CBS / / /98 CBS /12 CBS / / /98B /98 CBS / /99 CBS /99 CBS / /99 CBS /99 CBS /99 CBS*

22 7/99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99 CBS* /99* During wartime, some presidents have either received or assumed special war powers, which give the president more authority to act independently when he feels it is necessary. In the current campaign against terrorism, is it a good idea or a bad idea for the president to have the authority to make changes in the rights usually guaranteed by the Constitution? Good idea Bad idea DK/NA 12/7-10/ /5-8/06 CBS /21-25/ How much confidence do you have in George W. Bush's ability to handle a crisis lot, some, a little, or none at all? A lot Some A little None at all DK/NA 9/20-23/ /6-7/05 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /2-6/ /4-8/ /21-25/ Do you think leaders of other countries around the world have respect for George W. Bush, or not? Have respect Do not DK/NA 6/14-18/ /24-26/02 CBS /24-25/03 CBS /7-9/ /11-13/ /28-10/1/ /20-21/ /12-15/ /1-3/04* /21-25/ Do you think George W. Bush has respect for leaders of other countries around the world, or not? Yes No DK/NA 7/21-25/ When it comes to foreign policy, do you think the Bush Administration has focused too much on Iraq and not enough on other countries, or too much on other countries and not enough on Iraq, or has the balance been about right? Too much Too much Iraq other countries Balance about right DK/NA 7/21-25/

23 31. Is your overall opinion of Israel very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable or very unfavorable? Very Mostly Mostly Very favorable favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable DK/NA 2/ / / / / / / / / / / / / / /25-28/ / / / / / /21-25/ THE GALLUP POLL 32. In general, is your opinion of the Democratic party favorable or not favorable? THE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 32 AND 33 WAS ROTATED. Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT / /88B / / / / /00* / /00B* /92 CBS /00D* / /00L /92* /8-12/ /92* /14-18/ / /21-24/ / /13-16/ / /3-5/ /94 CBS /27-31/ /95 CBS /20-24/ / /19-22/ / /9-12/ / /13-27/ /96* /28-10/1/ /96* /10-13/ /96B* CBS /14-16/ /96C* /12-15/ /96D* CBS /10-14/ /96* /11-15/ / /14-17/ / /18-21/ / /14-18/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ /99 CBS /8-12/06 CBS

24 1/ /6-9/06 CBS / /4-8/ / /21-25/

25 33. In general, is your opinion of the Republican party favorable or not favorable? THE ORDER OF QUESTIONS 32 AND 33 WAS ROTATED. Fav Not fav DK/NA Fav Not fav DK/NA 12/85 NYT /99 CBS /88B /99 CBS / /99 CBS / / / / /92 CBS /00* / /00B* /92* /00D* /92* /00L / /8-12/ / /14-18/ / /21-24/ /94 CBS /19-22/ /95 CBS /9-12/ / /13-27/ / /28-10/1/ / /10-13/ /96* /14-16/ /96* /12-15/ /96B* CBS /10-14/ /96C* /11-15/ /96D* CBS /14-17/ /96* /18-21/ / /14-18/ / /2-6/ / /20-25/ / /9-12/06 CBS / /6-9/-6 CBS /99 CBS /4-8/ / /21-25/ Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions about the war in Iraq? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 7/11-15/ /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

26 35. Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to ensure a strong economy? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 1/14-21/84* /30-10/4/84* /8-10/88* /4-6/91* /3-5/96* / * CBS /16-18/96* /26-28/96* CBS /2-4/96* /4-7/ /20/23/00* /18-20/00* /22/ /23/ /24/ /22-24/ /9-12/ /10-12/03* CBS /10-13/ /14-16/ /2-6/ /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /21-25/ QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU INTEND TO VOTE, DO... 2 QUESTION READ: REGARDLESS OF WHICH PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE YOU INTEND TO VOTE FOR NEXT MONTH, DO Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to make the right decisions when it comes to dealing with terrorism? Republican Democratic Both(vol.) Neither(vol.) DK/NA 1/21-24/ /13-16/ /3-5/ /27-31/ /22-24/ /10-13/ /14-16/ /11-15/ /2-6/ /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

27 37. Do you think the result of the war with Iraq was worth the loss of American life and other costs of attacking Iraq or not worth it? Worth it Not worth it DK/NA 8/11-12/03 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /28-10/1/ /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /12-15/ /12-15/04 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /10-14/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /23-27/ /23-27/ /11-15/ /29-8/2/05 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /22-26/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/ Compared to one year ago, do you feel more safe from the threat of terrorism, less safe, or about as safe as you felt one year ago? More Less Same DK/NA 7/21-25/ When it comes to foreign policy in general, do you think the Bush Administration SHOULD do what it thinks is right no matter what U.S. allies think, or should the Bush Administration take into account the views of U.S. allies before taking action? QUESTIONS 41 AND 42 WERE ROTATED. Do what is right Take allies even if allies disagree views into account Depends(vol.) DK/NA 7/21-25/ RELATED TREND: WHEN IT COMES TO FOREIGN POLICY IN GENERAL, DO YOU THINK THE U.S. SHOULD DO WHAT IT THINKS IS RIGHT NO MATTER WHAT ITS ALLIES THINK, OR SHOULD THE U.S. TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE VIEWS OF ITS ALLIES BEFORE TAKING ACTION? TAKE ACTION TAKE ALLIES VIEWS NO MATTER INTO ACCOUNT DEPENDS(VOL.) DK/NA 2/24-26/02 CBS /27-31/ /24-25/03 CBS When it comes to foreign policy in general, what do you think the Bush Administration usually DOES? Do you think the Bush Administration usually does what it thinks is right no matter what U.S. allies think, or does the Bush Administration usually take into account the views of U.S. allies before taking action? QUESTIONS 41 AND 42 WERE ROTATED. Do what is right Take allies 27

28 even if allies disagree views into account Depends(vol.) DK/NA 7/21-25/ Which of the following statements comes closer to your point of view the United States should take the lead in solving international crises and conflicts, or the United States should let other countries and the United Nations take the lead in solving international crises and conflicts? U.S. should U.S. should Depends/Some take lead not take lead of both (vol.) DK/NA 9/22-23/02 CBS /21-25/ As you may know, the federal minimum wage is currently $5.15 an hour. Do you favor or oppose raising the minimum wage to $7.25 an hour over the next two years, or not? IF FAVOR OR OPPOSE: Do you favor/oppose raising the minimum wage strongly or not so strongly? Favor not Oppose not Favor strongly so strongly so strongly Oppose strongly DK/NA 7/21-25/ Overall, in its efforts to fight terrorism, do you think the Bush Administration has gone too far in restricting people's civil liberties, or has it not gone far enough, or has the balance been about right? Too far Not far enough About right DK/NA 7/21-25/ What about ILLEGAL immigration? How serious a problem do you think the issue of ILLEGAL immigration is for the country right now -- very serious, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not at all serious? Very Somewhat Not too Not at all DK/NA 1/5-8/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

29 47. Looking back, do you think the United States did the right thing in taking military action against Iraq, or should the U.S. have stayed out? Right thing Stay out DK/NA 12/10-13/ /14-16/ /12-15/04 CBS /24-27/04 CBS /10-14/ /23-27/ /20-23/04 CBS /23-27/ /11-15/ /15-18/04 CBS /12-16/ /1-3/ /9-11/04 CBS /14-17/ /28-30/ /18-21/ /14-18/ /24-28/ /13-16/05 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /10-15/ /13-14/05 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /9-13/ /3-5/05 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-25/ /22-26/06 CBS /8-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

30 48. How would you say things are going for the U.S. in its efforts to bring stability and order to Iraq? Would you say things are going very well, somewhat well, somewhat badly, or very badly? Very Somewhat Somewhat Very well well badly badly DK/NA 5/27-28/03 CBS /8-9/03 CBS /11-12/03 CBS /26-28/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /20-21/03 CBS /10-12/03 CBS /10-13/ /14-15/ /21-22/03 CBS /8/04 CBS /23-27/ /20-23/04 CBS /23-27/ /11-15/ /15-18/ /12-16/ /14-17/ /28-30/ /18-21/ /14-18/ /24-28/ /13-16/05 CBS /20-24/05 CBS /10-15/ /13-14/05 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /29-31/05 CBS /3-5/05 CBS /30-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /20-25/ /22-26/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /28-30/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ Regardless of whether you think taking military action in Iraq was the right thing to do, would you say that the U.S. is very likely to succeed in Iraq, somewhat likely to succeed, not very likely to succeed, or not at all likely to succeed in establishing a democratic government in Iraq? Very Somewhat Not very Not at all DK/NA 7/13-14/05 CBS /29-8/2/05 CBS /5-8/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

31 50. How much longer do you think the United States troops will have to remain in Iraq -- for less than a year, one to two years, two to five years, or will U.S. troops have to stay in Iraq for longer than five years? Less than More than a year 1-2 years 2-5 years 5 years DK/NA 7/8-9/03 CBS /14-15/ /30-4/1/04 CBS /23-27/ /9-13/ /2-6/ /20-25/ /9-12/06 CBS /21-25/ Which of these do you think is most likely? 1. Iraq will become a stable democracy in the next year or two, OR 2. Iraq will become a stable democracy, but it will take longer than a year or two, OR 3. Iraq will probably never become a stable democracy. Will, 1-2 years Will, longer Will never DK/NA 12/21-22/03 CBS /24-28/ /29-31/05 CBS /9-13/ /3-5/05 CBS /31-11/1/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /6-9/06 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/ Who do you think is currently winning the war in Iraq the United States, or the Iraqi resistance and insurgents, or neither side? U.S. Iraq resistance Neither side DK/NA 1/5-8/06 CBS /9-12/06 CBS /10-11/06 CBS /21-25/ From what you have heard or read, how much progress has the United States made in training Iraqi troops to take over from the U.S. -- a lot, some, not much, none at all, or don't you know enough about it yet to say? A lot Some Not much None at all Don't know enough DK/NA 12/2-6/ /20-25/ /9-12/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/

32 54. Do you think the United States should or should not set a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq? Should Should not DK/NA 7/13-14/05 CBS /2-6/ /5-8/06 CBS /4-8/ /21-25/ If you knew that the insurgents would gain control of Iraq as soon as the Americans left, would you favor or oppose setting a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq? ASKED OF THOSE WHO ANSWERED SHOULD TO QUESTION 54. Still favor Oppose DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you think it is worth the loss of life and other costs for the United States to remain in Iraq until there is a stable democracy there, or is it not worth the loss of life and other costs, or are you unsure? Worth it Not worth it Unsure DK/NA 7/21-25/ How do you think the war with Iraq is affecting the United States' image in the world? Is the war making the U.S. image in the world better, making it worse, or is the war having no effect on the U.S. image in the world? Better Worse No effect DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you think the war with Iraq has made U.S. diplomatic efforts in the rest of the Middle East easier, harder, or has it had no effect? Easier Harder No effect DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you think the U.S. presence in Iraq is leading to greater stability in the Middle East, less stability, or won't it have any effect on the stability of the Middle East? Greater Less No effect DK/NA 7/21-25/ RELATED TREND: DO YOU THINK THE U.S. PRESENCE IN IRAQ WILL LEAD TO GREATER STABILITY IN THE MIDDLE EAST, LESS STABILITY, OR WON'T IT HAVE ANY EFFECT ON THE STABILITY OF THE MIDDLE EAST? GREATER LESS NO EFFECT DK/NA 4/2-3/03 CBS /15-16/03 CBS /9-12/06 CBS If the U.S. stays in Iraq for several more years, do you think that will eventually make the United States more safe from terrorism, less safe, or won't it make any difference? More Less No effect DK/NA 32

33 7/21-25/

34 65. How much have you heard or read about the United States government holding suspected terrorists at the U.S. military prison in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba -- a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all? A lot Some Not much Nothing at all DK/NA 7/21-25/ As you may know, for the past five years the United States has been holding a number of suspected terrorists at a U.S. military prison in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Based on what you have heard or read, do you think the U.S. should continue to operate the prison, or do you think the U.S. should close the prison and transfer the prisoners somewhere else? Continue to operate Close it DK/NA 7/21-25/ When it comes to the treatment of prisoners of war, should the United States follow the international agreements that it and other countries have agreed to, or should the U.S. do what it thinks is right, even if other countries disagree? Should follow Should not DK/NA 7/21-25/ How much have you heard or read about North Korea test-launching a series of missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads a lot, some, or not much or nothing at all? A lot Some Not much Nothing DK/NA 7/21-25/ Which of these comes closest to your opinion 1. North Korea s development of weapons is a threat to the United States that requires military action right now, OR 2. North Korea s development of weapons is a threat that can be contained with inspections for now, OR 3. North Korea s development of weapons is not a threat to the United States at all? Requires action now Can be contained Not a threat DK/NA 2/10-12/ /7-9/ /11-13/ /21-25/

35 70. Do you think there will or will not come a time when Israel and the Arab nations will be able to settle their differences and live in peace? Yes No DK/NA 8/12-13/ /4-6/ /22-25/ /25-26/ /1-4/ /10-12/ /4-6/ /5-7/ /19-21/ /12-15/ /19-21/ /7-10/ /25-27/ /6-9/ /21-25/ THE GALLUP POLL 71. How much have you heard or read about the current conflict between Israel and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon a lot, some, not much, or nothing at all? A lot Some Not much Nothing DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you think the U.S. has a responsibility to try to resolve the conflict between Israel and other countries in the Middle East, or is that not the United States business? U.S. responsibility Not U.S. business DK/NA 7/21-25/ What do you think about the way Israel is responding in the current conflict with Hezbollah militants in Lebanon? Has Israel gone too far, not gone far enough, or has Israel's response been about right? Gone too far Not far enough About right DK/NA 7/21-25/ In your opinion, do you think that the conflict between Israel and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon is likely to lead to a larger war between other countries in the Middle East, or not? Yes, likely No, not likely DK/NA 7/21-25/

36 77. Who do you think is mostly to blame for the current fighting between Israel and Hezbollah militants in Lebanon - mostly Israel, mostly the Hezbollah militants, or both sides equally? Israel Hezbollah Both equally Other nation(vol.) DK/NA 7/21-25/ What should the United States do in this conflict? Should the United States government publicly support Israel, should it say or do nothing, or should it publicly criticize Israel? Support Say nothing Criticize DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you think the United States should play a more active diplomatic role in trying to bring peace between Israel and its neighbors, or should the United States reduce its diplomatic role in trying to bring peace between Israel and its neighbors, or should it maintain its present role? More active Reduce Maintain DK/NA 7/21-25/ In order to try and end the fighting between Israel and the Hezbollah militants in Lebanon, would you favor or oppose the United Nations sending in a peacekeeping force? IF YES: Would you favor or oppose the United States sending ground troops as part of the United Nations peace-keeping force? Favor UN and US troops Favor UN, oppose US Oppose UN troops DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you approve or disapprove of medical research using embryonic (em-bree-on-ic) stem cells? Approve Disapprove DK/NA 5/20-23/05 CBS /13-14/05 CBS /21-25/ Should federal spending on medical research using embryonic stem cells be increased, decreased, or kept about the same? Increased Decreased Same DK/NA 7/21-25/ Do you or does any member of your immediate family now serve in the U.S. armed forces or in the U.S. reserves? No Yes, self Yes, other Yes, self and other DK/NA 7/21-25/

March 7-11, N= 1,362 Republican N= 698

March 7-11, N= 1,362 Republican N= 698 POLL March 7-11, 2007 N= 1,362 Republican N= 698 All trends are from New York Times/CBS News polls unless otherwise noted. An asterisk indicates registered respondents only. REP refers to self-identified