VOLUME 35 ISSUE 12 November 16, 2018 COLLEGE 4 H s % THIS YEAR! NFL 3 & 4H s now % L4W!

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1 2018 Northcoast Sports Service NORTHCOAST SPORTS $ 10 POWER PLAYS VOLUME 35 ISSUE 12 November 16, 2018 COLLEGE 4 H s % THIS YEAR! NFL 3 & 4H s now % L4W! IND PAC-12 BIG TEN ACC BIG 12 AAC ATLANTIC COASTAL NORTH SOUTH 2018 COLLEGE STANDINGS Ttl Scr Ttl Scr Net Avg SU ATS O/U Off Off Def Def Ypg Scr Conf All Conf All Conf All UCF Cincinnati Temple USF East Carolina Connecticut Houston SMU Tulane Memphis Navy Tulsa Oklahoma West Virginia Texas Iowa St Texas Tech Baylor Oklahoma St TCU Kansas St Kansas Clemson Syracuse Boston College NC State Wake Forest Florida St Louisville Pittsburgh Virginia Georgia Tech Virginia Tech Duke Miami, Fl North Carolina Michigan Ohio St Michigan St Penn St Maryland Indiana Rutgers Northwestern Wisconsin Purdue Iowa Illinois Minnesota Nebraska Washington St Washington Stanford Oregon California Oregon St Utah Arizona Arizona St USC Colorado UCLA Notre Dame Army West Point BYU Liberty UMass New Mexico St MAC CUSA SBC MW SEC 2018 COLLEGE STANDINGS Ttl Scr Ttl Scr Net Avg SU ATS O/U Off Off Def Def Ypg Scr Conf All Conf All Conf All COLLEGE BUTTON #9 COMP PLAYS NOW % LAST 7 WEEKS!!!! TEN FREE PLAYS EACH WEEK! EARLY BIRD EVERY MONDAY!! MOUNTAIN Georgia Kentucky Florida South Carolina Missouri Tennessee Vanderbilt Alabama LSU Texas A&M Auburn Miss St Mississippi Arkansas Utah St Boise St Colorado St Wyoming Air Force New Mexico Fresno St San Diego St Nevada Hawaii San Jose St UNLV Troy GA Southern Appalachian St ULM Arkansas St Louisiana Texas St South Alabama Coas Carolina Georgia St Midd Tenn FIU Marshall Florida Atlantic Charlotte Old Dominion WKU UAB Louisiana Tech North Texas Southern Miss UTSA UTEP Rice Buffalo Ohio Miami, OH Akron Kent St Bowling Green Northern Illinois West Michigan East Michigan Toledo Ball St Cent Mich

2 CAPS Home Team lower case away team Neutral site (B) Bowl game (C) Conf Champ Year in 14 column last time they met No yr In 14 column first meeting WEDNESDAY November 14, 2018 BG +6/ Buffalo OU -19 / Ohio UB +2 / Miami, OH Northern Illinois niu -15 / THURSDAY November 15, 2018 Toledo Kent St UT -14/ TU +9 / Tulane UH -25/ Houston uh -20 / FAU -3 / FAU North Texas FRIDAY November 16, 2018 UM -12 / Memphis um -3/ SMU UM -21 / BSU -14 / Boise St bsu -18/ New Mexico unm +31/ SATURDAY November 17, 2018 um -7 / Indiana UM -24 / Michigan um -13/ Pittsburgh Wake Forest IOWA -17/ Iowa iowa -10/ Illinois IOWA -10/ WEEK NINE COLLEGE MATCHUP HISTORY UW -17/ Wisconsin uw -28/ Purdue UW -23/ UV +7 / Virginia GT -10 / Georgia Tech UV +6/ NWU -7/ Northwestern UM +1 / Minnesota NWU -4 / Duke Clemson PSU -31/ Penn St psu -26 / Rutgers PSU -9/ ksu +3 / Texas Tech KSU -10/ Kansas St TTU -5 / ecu +4 / Connecticut ECU -7/ E Carolina UC +7/ USF -19 / USF TU +6 / Temple USF +2/ UMass Georgia CCU +3/ Ga Southern Coastal Carolina UM -11 / Missouri UT -17/ Tennessee ut -7/ Middle Tenn Kentucky OSU -30 / Ohio St osu -29 / Maryland OSU -31 / NCSU +3 / NC State UL -19 / Louisville ul +3 / ucf -17/ Cincinnati UCF -11/ UCF UC -25/ Liberty Auburn FIU -10/ FIU fiu -4 / Charlotte FIU -17/ New Mexico St BYU uw +3/ Air Force UW +11 / Wyoming AFA -21 / UU -10 / Utah UC -9 / Colorado UU -16 / csu -8 / Utah St CSU +6/ Colorado St USU -4/ Syracuse nd ( ) -10/ Notre Dame asu -7/ Georgia St ASU -19/ Appalachian St asu -15 / UTSA -2 / UTSA Marshall THE MOST UNIQUE POWER RATINGS IN THE COUNTRY These Power Play Forecasts are the most unique in the country because they are based on Northcoast Sports Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer rating, as we take into account all of the following: Strength of Opponents Individual Units (Rushing Offense and Defense, Passing Offense, & Defense, Scoring Offense and Defense, Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edge, and Successful Unbalanced Attacks). Here is how each is reflected: Strength of Opponent: Our ratings do not just take the opposing team s overall power rating into account. For example, last year, Florida Atlantic s defense vs the rush was rated at 119. They faced Alabama and allowed just 256 yds rushing and dropped 5 spots in the national overall defensive ratings. However, Power Plays took into account the potent Crimson Tide run attack and had forecasted the Owls yielding 289 yds. Due to the fact they did better than the forecast, Power Plays raised their rating to 112 even though they slipped in the national (straight yardage) rankings. Another example last season was Wisconsin vs UTEP. Wisconsin held UTEP to just 77 yards rushing and stayed the same in the overall defense in the national statistics. However, our ratings had them rated at 15 and moved them down, as they should have yielded just 50 yards to a weak UTEP rush attack. Next time an announcer on TV tells you that a certain team is #3 in the country vs the run you better check Northcoast Sports Power Ratings and see how good a rush defense they really have! The top twenty ratings in Power Ratings for each offensive and defensive category will be listed in each week s issue of Power Plays. Garbage yards: These are yards that a team gains or allows in the final minutes of a game when it has been decided. For example, Team A is ahead 63-0 and allows 93 yards passing for a TD vs its fourth string defense. These yards are counted into national ratings, but not in Northcoast Sports Power Ratings! Weather: If a game is played in miserable weather conditions and is low scoring, the straight statistics credit the defense with outstanding performances. Our Power Ratings reflect the conditions and do not give excess credit to the defenses. Injuries: When Missouri played Vanderbilt last year, Tigers QB James Franklin was injured early in the game. His backup, who had seen very little action (rfr), was not prepared and hit on 30%, 9-30 passes. The offensive coordinator simplified the offense. In the national statistics Vanderbilt s overall defense MOVED UP 8 NOTCHES. In Phil s Power Ratings they went from #11 dropping out of the Top 15, as the poor performance WAS NOT reflective of an outstanding performance by the defense. Home Field Edges: The weekly projection of yards and points is weighted with the home field factored in. Successful Unbalanced Attacks: Last season, Tulsa was held to 155 yards passing vs Houston. This dropped Tulsa in the national passing offense ratings & RAISED the Cougars in the pass defense ratings. In our ratings the two units remained rated around the same. Why? Tulsa rushed for 350 yards & DID NOT HAVE TO RELY ON THE PASS & when they did they hit 18 of 32. While Houston s pass defense looked good in the national ratings, only Northcoast Sports Power Ratings reflected the TRUTH! There you have it. More than just numbers, THESE RATINGS REFLECT the true strength of each unit and allow them to have the most accurate forecast of yards gained and points allowed in the country! No other rating system takes into account all the previous factors. Next time you hear that a team is rated third in the country in pass defense, just remember, yards are not everything and Northcoast Sports Power Plays will show you how strong the team really is. NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s final computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the final score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. The Power Ratings listed below can be used for you as a base power ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents, etc. Once again, they are not based on Power Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years, which has been our actual computer Power Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Power Ratings. SEC Alabama Georgia Miss St LSU Missouri Texas A&M Auburn Florida S Carolina Kentucky Vanderbilt Tennessee Mississippi Arkansas MOUNTAIN Fresno St Utah St Boise St Nevada Air Force San Diego St Wyoming UNLV New Mexico Hawaii Colorado St San Jose St BIG TEN Michigan Ohio St Penn St Iowa Michigan St Northwestern Purdue Wisconsin Nebraska Maryland Indiana Minnesota Illinois Rutgers CUSA UAB Middle Tenn Marshall FAU FIU S Miss North Texas La Tech Charlotte Old Dominion UTEP WKU Rice UTSA BIG 12 Oklahoma West Virginia Iowa St Texas Texas Tech Oklahoma St Baylor Kansas St TCU Kansas MAC Buffalo Ohio N Illinois Miami, OH E Michigan Toledo W Michigan Akron Bowling Green Kent St Ball St C Michigan PAC-12 Utah Wash St Washington Arizona St Stanford California Arizona Oregon USC UCLA Colorado Oregon St SUN BELT Appalachian St Troy Arkansas St Louisiana ULM Georgia Southern Coastal Carolina Georgia St Texas St S Alabama SU -14/ Stanford su -10 / California SU -9 / ASU +14 / Arizona St UO -9 / Oregon uo +2 / UA +2 / Arizona WSU -16 / Washington St wsu +7/ UN -18 / Nevada SJSU -2 / San Jose St UN -1/ TCU -24 / TCU tcu +8/ Baylor TCU -1/ navy -8 / Tulsa NAVY +1/ Navy navy -13 / UAB Texas A&M msu -13/ Arkansas ua +1 / Mississippi St msu +5/ osu -7/ West Virginia OSU +3 / Oklahoma St osu +7/ usm +2 / Louisana Tech USM +14 / Southern Miss usm +5 / ua +2 / Bowling Green bg +10/ Akron BG -10/ Rice LSU UM -3 / Ole Miss VU +9 / Vanderbilt UM -26 / ACC Clemson Pittsburgh Boston College Syracuse Georgia Tech Duke Miami, Fl Virginia N Carolina St Wake Forest N Carolina Florida St Virginia Tech Louisville INDEPENDENT Notre Dame Army BYU Liberty UMass N Mexico St PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS UPDATED FOR GAMES THROUGH 11/10 BC +5 / Boston College FSU -20 / Florida St fsu -7 / ou -37 / Kansas OU -40/ Oklahoma ou -39/ uw -27 / Oregon St UW -36/ Washington uw -15 / asu -8/ ULM ASU -20 / Arkansas St asu -14 / TU -24 / Texas St tu -28/ Troy ull +5 / S Alabama ULL -2 / Louisana USA -2/ UM -2/ Miami, FL VT -6 / Virginia Tech UM -3/ wku -17 / UTEP WKU Michigan St Nebraska UN +5 / ut -4 / Iowa St UT -14/ Texas ISU +3 / USC -15 / USC usc -14/ UCLA USC -3/ fsu +7 / San Diego St sdsu -17/ Frenso St SDSU -7 / UNLV -8 / UNLV unlv +8 / Hawaii UNLV -9 / TUESDAY November 20, 2018 NIU -8/ N Illinois WMU -17/ W Michigan NIU -3/ AAC UCF Temple Cincinnati Memphis Houston Tulane SMU Navy USF Tulsa E Carolina Connecticut FOLLOW US ON FOLLOW US ON TWITTER

3 WEEKLY MATCHUP STAT COMPARISON *FCS LAST YEAR PPG Off Rush Off Rush Off Pass Off PPG Def Rush Def Rush Def Pass Def Off Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp % Def Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp% A Buffalo H Ohio A Miami, Oh H Northern Illinois A Toledo H Kent St A Tulane H Houston A Florida Atlantic H North Texas A Memphis H SMU A Boise St H New Mexico A Indiana H Michigan A Pittsburgh H Wake Forest A Iowa H Illinois A Wisconsin H Purdue A Virginia H Georgia Tech A Northwestern H Minnesota A Duke H Clemson A Penn St H Rutgers A Texas Tech H Kansas St A Connecticut H East Carolina A USF H Temple A Massachusetts H Georgia A GA Southern H Coastal Carolina A Missouri H Tennessee A Middle Tenn H Kentucky A Ohio St H Maryland A NC State H Louisville A Cincinnati H UCF A Liberty H Auburn A FIU H Charlotte A New Mexico St H BYU A Air Force H Wyoming A Utah H Colorado A Utah St H Colorado St A Syracuse H Notre Dame A Georgia St H Appalachian St A UTSA H Marshall A Stanford H California A Arizona St H Oregon A Arizona H Washington St A Nevada H San Jose St A TCU H Baylor A Tulsa H Navy A UAB H Texas A&M A Arkansas H Mississippi St A West Virginia H Oklahoma St A Louisiana Tech H Southern Miss A Bowling Green H Akron A Rice H LSU A Mississippi H Vanderbilt A Boston College H Florida St A Kansas H Oklahoma A Oregon St H Washington A ULM H Arkansas St A Texas St H Troy A South Alabama H Louisiana A Miami, Fl H Virginia Tech A UTEP H WKU A Michigan St H Nebraska A Iowa St H Texas A USC H UCLA A San Diego St H Fresno St A UNLV H Hawaii A Northern Illinois H Western Michigan A Ball St H Miami, Oh Listed below are Northcoast Sports Power Play Rankings. These Power Play Rankings are unique. Our rankings are unlike any computer ranking, as we take into account all the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units (Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, and Passing Defense) Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges, and successful Unbalanced Attacks. Regular rankings based solely on numbers DO NOT take into account these factors. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 1 Georgia Tech 1 Washington St 1 Oklahoma 1 Clemson 1 Michigan 1 Alabama 2 Army 2 Texas Tech 2 Alabama 2 Alabama 2 Mississippi St 2 Clemson 3 Navy 3 West Virginia 3 Clemson 3 Texas A&M 3 C Michigan 3 Mississippi St 4 Pittsburgh 4 Mississippi 4 Utah St 4 Michigan St 4 California 4 Michigan 5 Oklahoma 5 Oklahoma 5 West Virginia 5 Michigan 5 Alabama 5 Michigan St 6 Air Force 6 Oklahoma St 6 Houston 6 NC State 6 Kentucky 6 LSU 7 Wisconsin 7 Ohio St 7 Oklahoma St 7 Cincinnati 7 Miami, Fl 7 Fresno St 8 Illinois 8 Stanford 8 Michigan 8 Mississippi St 8 Washington 8 Iowa St 9 Georgia 9 NC State 9 Ohio St 9 Miami, Fl 9 E Michigan 9 Kentucky 10 Maryland 10 E Carolina 10 Texas Tech 10 Iowa 10 Clemson 10 California 11 Clemson 11 Baylor 11 Missouri 11 Northwestern 11 Maryland 11 Northwestern 12 Notre Dame 12 Purdue 12 Memphis 12 Ohio St 12 BYU 12 Kansas St 13 UCF 13 Alabama 13 Syracuse 13 LSU 13 Florida 13 Washington 14 FAU 14 Houston 14 Georgia Tech 14 Washington 14 USC 14 Auburn 15 Alabama 15 Boise St 15 Georgia 15 San Diego St 15 UCLA 15 Miami, Fl 16 Memphis 16 Missouri 16 Texas 16 Southern Miss 16 Fresno St 16 Cincinnati 17 Michigan 17 North Texas 17 Mississippi 17 N Illinois 17 Washington St 17 Iowa 18 Florida 18 Texas 18 Washington St 18 Air Force 18 Virginia 18 Boston College 19 Mississippi St 19 Arkansas St 19 Nebraska 19 Troy 19 Iowa 19 Georgia 20 Nebraska 20 UMass 20 Temple 20 Utah 20 Wyoming 20 Ohio St RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 111 Southern Miss 111 Virginia 111 E Carolina 111 C Michigan 111 Rice 111 UTSA 112 Old Dominion 112 Appalachian St 112 Colorado St 112 Kent St 112 Colorado St 112 Illinois 113 TCU 113 Wisconsin 113 La Tech 113 Illinois 113 Utah St 113 San Jose St 114 North Texas 114 San Diego St 114 Georgia St 114 FIU 114 Oklahoma 114 Oregon St 115 Bowling Green 115 Coastal Carolina 115 Ball St 115 Akron 115 Air Force 115 Houston 116 Colorado St 116 Charlotte 116 Rutgers 116 USF 116 UTSA 116 Ball St 117 Rice 117 Rutgers 117 San Diego St 117 San Jose St 117 Illinois 117 S Alabama 118 UTEP 118 Kansas St 118 Akron 118 Liberty 118 Missouri 118 W Michigan 119 WKU 119 Pittsburgh 119 Tulsa 119 Tulsa 119 Boise St 119 Rice 120 Texas St 120 Maryland 120 UTEP 120 Ball St 120 Connecticut 120 Old Dominion 121 E Carolina 121 N Illinois 121 Kent St 121 Georgia St 121 Tulane 121 UNLV 122 UMass 122 Air Force 122 Wyoming 122 Coastal Carolina 122 S Alabama 122 Hawaii 123 Hawaii 123 C Michigan 123 Rice 123 Hawaii 123 E Carolina 123 Bowling Green 124 C Michigan 124 UTSA 124 Coastal Carolina 124 Old Dominion 124 N Mexico St 124 Georgia St 125 Akron 125 Tulsa 125 Texas St 125 Bowling Green 125 UNLV 125 Louisville 126 N Mexico St 126 Wyoming 126 WKU 126 UMass 126 San Jose St 126 Colorado St 127 S Alabama 127 Georgia Tech 127 Charlotte 127 Louisville 127 New Mexico 127 Liberty 128 UTSA 128 Ga Southern 128 S Alabama 128 N Mexico St 128 Liberty 128 UMass 129 San Jose St 129 Navy 129 C Michigan 129 Oregon St 129 Houston 129 Connecticut 130 Washington St 130 Army 130 UTSA 130 Connecticut 130 NC State 130 N Mexico St 2018 TOUGHEST OPPONENT UNITS FACED WHAT ARE THE TOUGHEST OPPONENT RANKINGS? These rankings go far beyond the NCAA s straight statistical ranking of each team. For example in 12 Notre Dame ranked #89 in the NCAA in rush defense allowing 170 ypg, but ranked #40 in our rush defense rankings because they faced the toughest schedule of rush offenses in the NCAA in 13. As you can see, the NCAA s statistical rankings can be misleading. In the upcoming weeks we ll provide examples of this year s statistical disparities. These are the current rankings for this year. Here are the teams that have took on the toughest & easiest schedules last year. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 1 Virginia Tech 1 Iowa St 1 Iowa St 1 Penn St 1 UCLA 1 Missouri 2 Clemson 2 Oregon St 2 Texas 2 Northwestern 2 Tennessee 2 Oklahoma 3 Michigan 3 Kansas St 3 Texas Tech 3 Iowa 3 Arizona St 3 Iowa 4 Louisville 4 Texas Tech 4 Alabama 4 Michigan St 4 Oklahoma 4 Michigan St 5 Penn St 5 Texas 5 Michigan St 5 Notre Dame 5 Stanford 5 Penn St 6 Duke 6 TCU 6 Kansas St 6 NC State 6 USC 6 Arizona St 7 Missouri 7 UCLA 7 TCU 7 Maryland 7 Missouri 7 Northwestern 8 Temple 8 USC 8 LSU 8 Vanderbilt 8 West Virginia 8 LSU 9 Oklahoma 9 Alabama 9 UCLA 9 Missouri 9 Colorado 9 Iowa St 10 N Carolina 10 Wyoming 10 S Carolina 10 Mississippi 10 Utah 10 Vanderbilt 11 Air Force 11 Stanford 11 Purdue 11 UCLA 11 LSU 11 UCLA 12 Alabama 12 Utah 12 N Carolina 12 Texas A&M 12 Washington 12 Texas A&M 13 LSU 13 California 13 Florida St 13 Purdue 13 California 13 Ohio St 14 S Carolina 14 Oklahoma St 14 Penn St 14 Boise St 14 Kansas 14 Tennessee 15 Rutgers 15 Colorado 15 Oregon St 15 N Carolina 15 Oregon St 15 Mississippi St 16 Arkansas St 16 Oregon 16 Oklahoma St 16 Florida St 16 Northwestern 16 Purdue 17 Miami, Fl 17 Minnesota 17 Louisville 17 Michigan 17 Oregon 17 Notre Dame 18 Michigan St 18 Arizona 18 Rutgers 18 Arizona St 18 Washington St 18 Utah 19 Texas A&M 19 Arkansas 19 Michigan 19 LSU 19 Miami, Oh 19 West Virginia 20 Indiana 20 Washington 20 Vanderbilt 20 Louisville 20 Michigan St 20 Maryland RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 116 C Michigan 116 Duke 116 UTEP 116 UTEP 116 UAB 116 Cincinnati 117 Toledo 117 Southern Miss 117 Marshall 117 FIU 117 Texas St 117 UCF 118 Army 118 La Tech 118 Utah St 118 Arkansas St 118 San Diego St 118 Kent St 119 Marshall 119 Virginia Tech 119 North Texas 119 Cincinnati 119 Southern Miss 119 Appalachian St 120 Southern Miss 120 Utah St 120 Charlotte 120 Kent St 120 E Carolina 120 Memphis 121 UTEP 121 UAB 121 Buffalo 121 Ohio 121 ULM 121 ULM 122 Charlotte 122 Appalachian St 122 Rice 122 FAU 122 Navy 122 UAB 123 Old Dominion 123 UMass 123 Southern Miss 123 N Mexico St 123 Army 123 Ohio 124 FIU 124 Liberty 124 Appalachian St 124 Troy 124 UMass 124 UMass 125 Ga Southern 125 Buffalo 125 FIU 125 UMass 125 Liberty 125 Liberty 126 Wyoming 126 Air Force 126 La Tech 126 Liberty 126 Old Dominion 126 FIU 127 UAB 127 Arkansas St 127 N Mexico St 127 Appalachian St 127 Troy 127 Troy 128 Akron 128 Hawaii 128 Akron 128 North Texas 128 USF 128 Texas St 129 Rice 129 Texas St 129 Texas St 129 Coastal Carolina 129 Tulsa 129 Coastal Carolina 130 North Texas 130 N Mexico St 130 UAB 130 Texas St 130 Memphis 130 North Texas 3

4 NOTE: Power Plays - PP COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOV 14 th - NOV 20 TH The Power Plays Newsletter consists of forecasts that are made by a special rating system. You will see in the write-ups that we agree with the majority of the PP forecasts. However, there are times when we will disagree. We want to make it clear that this is the PP Newsletter and these forecasts are based purely on the power ratings. If the PP s rating is strong enough to be a 4 Play, yet we are on the other side of the game, we will clearly state that we like the other side of the game. With all that said here are this week s PP Selections. WEDNESDAY NOVEMBER 14TH BUFFALO OHIO PP is calling for OU to pull off the upset. A BU win would clinch a spot in the MAC Title gm. NO PLAY: OHIO 39 BUFFALO 31 MIAMI, OH NORTHERN ILLINOIS of 2 gms to choose from for our Wed Night Marquee, available after noon ET gameday. NO PLAY: NORTHERN ILLINOIS 25 MIAMI, OH 21 THURSDAY NOVEMBER 15TH TOLEDO KENT ST PP has a slight lean with UT, but the yds forecast suggests a closer outcome. Pass. NO PLAY: TOLEDO 38 KENT ST 23 TULANE HOUSTON PP is calling for TU to keep this gm closer than expected, but there s better value elsewhere. NO PLAY: HOUSTON 40 TULANE 32 FAU NORTH TEXAS PP is leaning with the dog, however we feel NTx wins this game by close to a td. Pass. NO PLAY: NORTH TEXAS 29 FAU 28 FRIDAY NOVEMBER 16TH MEMPHIS SMU PP is calling for SMU to keep this game closer than expected & we agree. The Ponies are in control of their own destiny to reach the AAC Title gm & are 1 win away from bowl elig. 4H SMU 42 (+) MEMPHIS 45 BOISE ST NEW MEXICO PP is projecting this game to finish near the opening line, making this a no play. NO PLAY: BOISE ST 42 NEW MEXICO 23 SATURDAY NOVEMBER 17TH INDIANA MICHIGAN While PP leans with UM, it doesn t take into account their huge gm vs OSU on deck. NO PLAY: MICHIGAN 44 INDIANA 11 PITTSBURGH WAKE FOREST Despite Pitt being slightly outg d in the forecast, PP is calling for the Panthers to win by DD s! We agree w/the MOV as a Pitt win clinches a spot in the AAC Title gm so they ll be focused. 2H PITTSBURGH 37 WAKE FOREST 27 IOWA ILLINOIS PP is calling for this game to finish right at the opening line, making this a no play. NO PLAY: IOWA 41 ILLINOIS 25 WISCONSIN PURDUE PP agrees with the Vegas line, as the 6 point MOV is exactly where this gm opened at. NO PLAY: PURDUE 30 WISCONSIN 24 VIRGINIA GEORGIA TECH PP doesn t factor in UVA HC Mendenhall s success at defending the option. No play. NO PLAY: GEORGIA TECH 33 VIRGINIA 24 NORTHERN MINNESOTA PP projects MN to finish +46 yds w/a HUGE ST s advantage, but the MOV is near the line. NO PLAY: NORTHERN 25 MINNESOTA 23 DUKE CLEMSON No question CU is the superior tm, but Duke is 22-9 as a dog incl 5-1 as an AD. Pass. NO PLAY: CLEMSON 47 DUKE 12 PENN ST RUTGERS PP calls for RU to keep this gm closer than expected, but RU is 1-5 ATS hosting PSU. NO PLAY: PENN ST 34 RUTGERS 12 TEXAS TECH KANSAS ST There s no line at presstime due to uncertainty at QB for both teams. No play. NO PLAY: TEXAS TECH 28 KANSAS ST 25 CONNECTICUT CAROLINA PP leans w/the dog, but we disagree & feel EC can take out their frustrations on Sr day. NO PLAY: CAROLINA 42 CONNECTICUT 29 USF TEMPLE USF QB Barnett was a surprise scratch LW & there s no line a presstime this week. NO PLAY: TEMPLE 46 USF 26 MASSACHUSETTS GEORGIA PP is calling for this 1st all-time mtg to finish close to the opening line. No play. NO PLAY: GEORGIA 55 MASSACHUSETTS 13 GEORGIA SOUTHERN COASTAL CAROLINA Despite PP proj g CC to finish +29 yds, the MOV calls for GS by nearly 2 td s, which we feel is more likely. Factor in ST s & GS ply g w/revenge & you get a H rated selection! 3H GEORGIA SOUTHERN 32 COASTAL CAROLINA 20 MISSOURI TENNESSEE The yds forecast suggests a 2 pt MOV & we lean with TN, making this a no play. NO PLAY: MISSOURI 33 TENNESSEE 25 MIDDLE TENN KENTUCKY PP doesn t factor in the situation that MT has a crucial CUSA contest on deck. No play. NO PLAY: KENTUCKY 27 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 14 OHIO ST MARYLAND While OSU has UM on deck, they still need to gain more confidence & will show up here. NO PLAY: OHIO STATE 37 MARYLAND 23 NC STATE LOUISVILLE The yds forecast suggests a closer outcome & tms usually play tough after a HC firing. NO PLAY: NC STATE 43 LOUISVILLE 26 CINCINNATI UCF PP is calling for Cincy to keep this game closer than expected with the yards nearly even. We agree as College Gameday is here & UCF is ply g with unbeaten pressure. 2H CINCINNATI 24 (+) UCF 28 LIBERTY AUBURN PP has this game finishing right at the opening line, making this a no play. NO PLAY: AUBURN 44 LIBERTY 16 FIU CHARLOTTE While PP calls for this gm to finish near the opening line the yds forecast favors UC. NO PLAY: FIU 24 CHARLOTTE 20 NEW MEXICO ST BYU BYU is off an east coast trip w/utah on deck & NMSt is fresh off a bye. No play. NO PLAY: BYU 48 NEW MEXICO ST 16 AIR FORCE WYOMING PP is calling for AF to pull off the outright upset, but we disagree as WY is 5-1 as a HF. NO PLAY: AIR FORCE 21 WYOMING 17 UTAH COLORADO Utah is ply g w/bkps at QB & RB. CU needs 1 win to become bowl elig. No play. NO PLAY: UTAH 29 COLORADO 20

5 UTAH ST COLORADO ST It s tough to disagree with PP as UTSt is winning their MW gms by an avg of 28 ppg. The Aggies have BSU on deck, but are as DD conf chalk, while CSU is 4-9 ATS vs MW foes. 4.5H UTAH ST 57 COLORADO ST 22 SYRACUSE NOTRE DAME This gm is being ply d at Yankee Stadium in NYC. ND QB Book is expected to return, but the Irish are just as chalk of 7+ pts, while Syr is 9-2 as a dog. PP calls for a close finish. 4H SYRACUSE 31 (+) NOTRE DAME 34 GEORGIA ST APPALACHIAN ST There s no line at presstime due to GSt QB Ellington being a? for this game. No play. NO PLAY: APPALACHIAN ST 42 GEORGIA ST 12 UTSA MARSHALL UTSA seems to have gone in the tank, losing their L/2 games by a combined 97-10! UTSA has the nation s worst OFF (146 ypg less than foes allow) and MU s Def is solid. Lay it and play it! 4.5H MARSHALL 37 UTSA 3 STANFORD CALIFORNIA PP calls for Cal to win by 2 pts with a solid +83 yds edge. The Bears have lost 8 straight in this series by 20 ppg, but SU hasn t been their usual selves. We agree with a slight lean on Cal. 3H CALIFORNIA 20 STANFORD 18 ARIZONA ST OREGON UO is out for revenge but PP can t pick a winner here. UO does have the yards edge. NO PLAY: OREGON 31 ARIZONA ST 31 ARIZONA WASHINGTON ST PP calls for WSU to win by DD s but close to the opening line. WSU is ply g with playoff pressure. NO PLAY: WASHINGTON ST 38 ARIZONA 27 NEVADA SAN JOSE ST NV is bowl elig after LW s win. Their projected MOV here is right at the opening line. We ll pass. NO PLAY: NEVADA 40 SAN JOSE ST 24 TCU BAYLOR TCU has lost their L/3 road gms. BU is proj d to win by just 2 pts but w/a +112 yd edge. NO PLAY: BAYLOR 25 TCU 23 TULSA NAVY PP calls for Navy to win by 2 td s w/a +153 yd edge. Navy has struggled to defend the run so we think Tulsa keeps it closer. Navy has also won just 3 of their 17 reg ssn games SU! NO PLAY: NAVY 30 TULSA 16 UAB TEXAS A&M PP calls for A&M to win by 11 w/a +167 yd edge. No line at presstime due to QB Erdely s inj (CS). NO PLAY: TEXAS A&M 28 UAB 17 ARKANSAS MISSISSIPPI ST PP calls for MSU to dominate w/a yd edge. We feel Ark keeps this game closer. NO PLAY: MISSISSIPPI ST 34 ARKANSAS 9 VIRGINIA OKLAHOMA ST WV is proj d to get a 5 pt win here which is at the opening line. OKSt has the yards edge. NO PLAY: VIRGINIA 42 OKLAHOMA ST 37 LOUISIANA TECH SOUTHERN MISS SM only allows 278 ypg in CUSA play and has the ST edge! PP projects SM to pull their 4th straight outright upset in this series by a td, and gives the Golden Eagles a +121 yd edge. 4.5H SOUTHERN MISS 25 LOUISIANA TECH 18 BOWLING GREEN AKRON PP calls for Akron to win by a td. There is no line at presstime due to QB Nelson s inj (CS). NO PLAY: AKRON 32 BOWLING GREEN 25 RICE LSU PP calls for LSU to win by 44 pts which is exactly where the opening line landed. No play. NO PLAY: LSU 44 RICE 0 MISSISSIPPI VANDERBILT Vandy has been impressive their L/4, and must win out to get bowl elig. UM has lost 3 straight and their Def has struggled. We like the Dores as well but the yards forecast is a concern. 4H VANDERBILT 41 MISSISSIPPI 31 BOSTON COLLEGE FLORIDA ST BC QB Brown is a? (CS) so there s no line. We are surprised by the yards projection here. NO PLAY: BOSTON COLLEGE 30 FLORIDA ST 21 KANSAS OKLAHOMA OK has the firepower to name the score but PP leans with KU who is ply g inspired for HC Beatty. NO PLAY: OKLAHOMA 50 KANSAS 26 OREGON ST WASHINGTON UW is proj d to win by 33 pts with a +273 yd edge. The MOV falls too close to the opening line. NO PLAY: WASHINGTON 42 OREGON ST 9 ULM ARKANSAS ST Ark St is 8-0 SU/ATS in this series and PP calls for more of the same with the Red Wolves winning by 13 pts with a +118 yd edge. We completely agree and will play the chalk here. 3H ARKANSAS ST 38 ULM 25 TEXAS ST TROY PP calls for Troy to win by 23 but they ve got App St on deck. MOV is right at the line. NO PLAY: TROY 33 TEXAS ST 10 SOUTH ALABAMA LOUISIANA PP calls for UL to win by over 3 td s. There is no line at presstime due to QB Orth s inj (CS). NO PLAY: LOUISIANA 41 SOUTH ALABAMA 19 MIAMI, FL VIRGINIA TECH VT s defense is in shambles but Miami has lost 4 straight. How do you back either team? NO PLAY: MIAMI, FL 26 VIRGINIA TECH 21 UTEP WKU PP calls for WKU to hold a +100 yd edge but UTEP to keep it closer than expected. NO PLAY: WKU 26 UTEP 22 MICHIGAN ST NEBRASKA NU is improving every week but PP calls for MSU to win by a fg. We like the dog outright. NO PLAY: MICHIGAN ST 25 NEBRASKA 22 IOWA ST TEXAS PP calls for TX to pull out a 1 pt win but does have a +79 yds edge. We feel it ends at the line. NO PLAY: TEXAS 26 IOWA ST 25 USC UCLA USC still needs a win to get bowl elig but PP calls for UCLA to stay within the line. We ll pass. NO PLAY: USC 28 UCLA 27 SAN DIEGO ST FRESNO ST Fresno St comes in angry off their loss to Boise LW. PP calls for the Bulldogs to dominate with a 24 pt win. We agree as SDSt has struggled on OFF vs upper-echelon MW defenses. 4.5H FRESNO ST 27 SAN DIEGO ST 3 UNLV HAWAII UNLV didn t get QB Rodgers back LW but still beat SDSt. No line at presstime. NO PLAY: UNLV 38 HAWAII 35 TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 20th NORTHERN ILLINOIS ERN MICHIGAN PP calls for NIU to win by more than 2 td s, but WM has the yards edge? Surprising! NO PLAY: NORTHERN ILLINOIS 34 ERN MICHIGAN 19 BALL ST MIAMI, OH Miami is proj d to win by 4 td s. Call for our Tues Night Marquee. NO PLAY: MIAMI, OH 44 BALL ST 16

6 PRO FOOTBALL NOVEMBER 15 th - NOVEMBER 19 TH NOTE: Power Plays - PP Power Plays is based upon statistical numbers and rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. The numbers in parenthesis are a comparison of the teams rankings (Visitor, visitors offense ranking vs home defense ranking, Home home offensive ranking vs visitor defensive ranking) over each teams last 4 games. THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 15TH GREEN BAY #25 SEATTLE #14 (GB #6 vs SEA #12, SEA #9 vs GB #28) - Tough spot for the Packers in this one as they head to the Pacific NW on short rest to take on the Seahawks. While both teams gave us LP winners a week ago (3.5H Top Play on GB, 3H on SEA), the forecast is too close to the opening line to make a call prior to Thursday. Grab this Thursday Night Marquee Winner at Noon EST gameday. NO PLAY: SEATTLE 26 GREEN BAY 23 SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18TH CAROLINA #19 DETROIT #21 (CAR #18 vs DET #20, DET #20 vs CAR #21) - The Panthers suffered their 2nd worst defeat in franchise history LW in PIT against the Steelers. The Lions meanwhile have dropped 3 in a row SU and ATS and have their Thanksgiving Day matchup on deck. While PP calls for just a 1 pt win by CAR, we like the visitor here as DET is just ATS as a HD. NO PLAY: CAROLINA 28 DETROIT 27 DALLAS #26 ATLANTA #17 (DAL #17 vs ATL #30, ATL #4 vs DAL #7) - While PP is calling for the Falcons to claim just a 3 pt win this week against the Cowboys, we get some solid line value here with DAL off of a SU win as a 7 pt dog and ATL losing at CLE as 5 pt chalk. If ATL is to get back into the NFC playoff picture, they ll need to go all out in this one. No Play. NO PLAY: ATLANTA 25 DALLAS 22 CINCINNATI #22 BALTIMORE #6 (CIN #30 vs BAL #6, BAL #23 vs CIN #32) - CIN became the 1st tm in the Super Bowl era to allow 500+ yds in 3 consec games. They now head to BAL with an interim DC (Austin fired on Mon) to take on a Ravens squad that could be missing starting QB Flacco after a bye week injury. With rookie QB Jackson getting some reps on occasion TY for BAL and a huge forecast in favor of the home team (28-17 win, yd edge), we ll call for the Ravens to earn the ssn split against their DIV rival. 2H BALTIMORE 28 CINCINNATI 17 PHILADELPHIA #5 NEW ORLEANS #8 (PHI #10 vs NO #26, NO #7 vs PHI #24) - The Saints are on an outstanding ATS run (7-0) following LW s easy victory over the Bengals. The Eagles meanwhile are sitting at 4-5 following LW s home loss to DAL. With PP calling for a 12 pt win, we see no reason not to back the Saints yet again. 3.5H NEW ORLEANS 33 PHILADELPHIA 21 TENNESSEE #3 INDIANAPOLIS #2 (TEN #26 vs IND #22, IND #5 vs TEN #8) - The Titans continue to dominate as a dog this year following their 5th outright upset of the ssn LW against the Patriots. The Colts meanwhile have also strung together a handful of solid wins to become relevant in the AFC South. With TEN forecasted for a 2 pt win and once again listed as a dog, they get the call as our Top Weekly 4H selection. 4H TENNESSEE 25 INDIANAPOLIS 23 HOUSTON #13 WASHINGTON #24 (HOU #29 vs WAS #29, WAS #22 vs HOU #5) - The Redskins somehow picked up a road victory LW in TB despite a yd disadvantage (+4 TO s). They now return home to take on a red-hot Texans squad who has won 6 straight overall (4-2 ATS). While we do like the Texans to potentially run away with this matchup, the forecast (20-19 win) won t allow us to make this a selection. NO PLAY: HOUSTON 20 WASHINGTON 19 TAMPA BAY #31 NY GIANTS #15 (TB #1 vs NYG #23, NYG #8 vs TB #15) - TB suffered a disappointing home loss LW to the Redskins in a game that they were held to just 3 points despite 500+ yds of offense (-4 TO s). They now head up North to take on a Giants squad that s on short rest following a trip to the West Coast to take on the 49ers on MNF. While our forecast calls for the Giants to earn the win, the yardage favor TB. No Play. NO PLAY: NY GIANTS 26 TAMPA BAY 20 DENVER #23 LA CHARGERS #30 (DEN #16 vs LAC #14, LAC #11 vs DEN #9) - The Chargers return home sitting at 7-2 on the season following an easy win LW in OAK. The Broncos meanwhile head to LA on just a ATS run against AFC West foes incl a 21-0 loss here a year ago. While the forecasted 7 pt win for the Chargers is right at the opening line, we like the home team here. NO PLAY: LA CHARGERS 25 DENVER 18 OAKLAND #20 ARIZONA #7 (OAK #25 vs ARZ #11, ARZ #32 vs OAK #16) - The OAK offense has been M.I.A. in 3 of their past 4 games as they ve been held without a TD against SEA, SF and LAC. While the Cardinals own just 2 wins in 18, they did play relatively well LW in Arrowhead against the Chiefs. With an 8 pt forecasted win by ARZ and OAK s ATS run vs the NFC, the Cardinals get the call in this one. 3H ARIZONA 25 OAKLAND 17 NFL GOM NCSPORTS.com for $75 ET) NYJ & SF PITTSBURGH #11 JACKSONVILLE #18 (PIT #2 vs JAX #18, JAX #28 vs PIT #2) - A pair of teams heading in the opposite directions meet here as the Steelers (5-0 SU & ATS run) take on a Jags squad who s lost 5 in a row (SU & ATS) by 14 ppg. With an 8 pt forecasted win and seeking revenge from a pair of losses LY (incl playoffs), we ll go ahead and ride with the Steelers in this one. 1H PITTSBURGH 28 JACKSONVILLE 20 MINNESOTA #12 CHICAGO #28 (MIN #15 vs CHI #4, CHI #14 vs MIN #1) - This game was flexed into SNF and deservedly so as the NFC North-leading Bears head into action a half game ahead of the Vikings. While the Bears (B2B 4H Newsletter Winners) are on a 4-0 ATS run as a HF, the yards (MIN ) have us passing here. Grab this Sunday Night Marquee Winner at 11am EST gameday. NO PLAY: CHICAGO 24 MINNESOTA 20 MONDAY, NOVEMBER 19TH KANSAS CITY #1 LA RAMS #27 (KC #3 vs LAR #13, LAR #13 vs KC #10) - Mexico City. After weeks of mediocre MNF matchups it appears that ESPN has struck gold with a matchup between a pair of 9-1 squads in the Chiefs and Rams. While the Rams are forecasted for a 1 pt victory, the opening line of -2 is too close for us to make a call this early in the week. NO PLAY: LA RAMS 32 KANSAS CITY 31 Monday Night Magic releases are available on gameday for a Money Back PLUS Guarantee! Simply get the MNM Play through our office for $30 after noon EST on Monday and if the release fails to win, you will be credited back $40 on your Winning is easy - and Guaranteed on Monday Night! 6 ATS WINS Buffalo 5 Clemson 5 Pittsburgh 5 Alabama 4 California 4 Nevada 4 Arizona 3 Georgia 3 Georgia Tech 3 Middle Tennessee 3 Northern Illinois 3 Rutgers 3 Syracuse 3 Utah St 3 Vanderbilt 3 West Virginia 3 Wyoming 3 NFL STREAKERS ATS WINS New Orleans 7 Pittsburgh 5 Chicago 3 Houston 3 Tennessee 3 ATS LOSSES Oakland 5 Cincinnati 4 NY Jets 4 Baltimore 3 Detroit 3 LA Rams NFL POWER RATINGS TEAM LA RAMS KANSAS CITY NEW ORLEANS NEW ENGLAND PITTSBURGH MINNESOTA LA CHARGERS CAROLINA PHILADELPHIA CHICAGO HOUSTON ATLANTA WASHINGTON BALTIMORE GREEN BAY CINCINNATI 99.4 BYES: BUF, CLE, MIA, NE, 18 NFL Top Late Phone Play %!!! avg cover 9.2 ppg 3 H UNDER 42 Jacksonville (20) NY Giants (15) WIN 3 H UNDER 42 NY Giants (13) Dallas (20) WIN 3 H UNDER 41 Dallas (13) Seattle (24) WIN 4 H Sep NFL GOM New England (-6 ) 38 Miami 7 WIN 3 H Pittsburgh (-3) 41 Atlanta 17 WIN 3 H Atlanta (-3) 34 Tampa Bay 29 WIN 3 H UNDER 41.5 Dallas (17) Washington (20) WIN 4 H Oct NFL GOM Washington (-1) 20 NY Giants 13 WIN 3 H Houston (+1 ) 19 Denver 17 WIN 3 H Green Bay (-10) 31 Miami 12 WIN ATS LOSSES TCU 7 Louisville 5 Miami, FL 5 Virginia Tech 5 Washington 5 Hawaii 4 Mississippi 4 New Mexico St 4 San Diego St 4 Ball St 3 Colorado 3 Colorado St 3 Florida 3 Florida St 3 Purdue 3 South Alabama 3 Wisconsin 3 OVERS Indiana 5 FIU 4 Houston 4 Georgia Southern 4 Illinois 4 North Carolina 4 Texas Tech 4 Arizona 3 Florida St 3 Liberty 3 Louisville 3 Memphis 3 New Mexico 3 Notre Dame 3 Oregon 3 Stanford 3 Texas 3 OVERS (Cont) Utah St 3 West Virginia 3 UNDERS Mississippi St 7 California 6 Boston College 5 Central Michigan 5 Michigan St 5 Miami, FL 4 Tulane 4 Bowling Green 3 BYU 3 Louisiana Tech 3 LSU 3 Missouri 3 Tennessee 3 Wisconsin 3 OVERS Carolina 3 UNDERS Green Bay 3 LA Chargers 3 New England 3 San Francisco 3 TEAM TENNESSEE DALLAS JACKSONVILLE SEATTLE DETROIT INDIANAPOLIS DENVER MIAMI TAMPA BAY CLEVELAND SAN FRANCISCO ARIZONA BUFFALO NY JETS OAKLAND NY GIANTS 94.3

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