(ALL H S WINNING) Volume 31 Issue 8 October 19, NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE P.O. BOX CLEVELAND, OHIO 44145

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1 30 Years POWER SWEEP NINETEEN NFL POWER SWEEPS since 07 (ALL H S WINNING) Volume 31 Issue 8 October 19, Northcoast Sports Service COLL 4H KEYS 6-1 TY!!! KEYS % L3W!!!! 3 RD STRAIGHT OUTRIGHT UNDERDOG WIN 4 TY!!! NOW 5-2! NFL 4H KEYS %! L2Y! NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE P.O. BOX CLEVELAND, OHIO Re-subscribe now at the CHEAPEST RATE! Price will go up November 1st and will continue to increase, so lock your 2014 price in now! Great Savings as a 2014 Subscriber but... version mail version version mail version Week 8 EXECUTIVE CLUB SERVICE Tuesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday & Monday Marquees Saturday Late Phones Sides Saturday Late Phone Totals Sunday NFL Sides Top Play on Monday Incredible Savings as a 2015 Subscriber!!! The Longer YOU SUBSCRIBE THE MORE YOU SAVE! 2013 SUB 279 Call our office today

2 AAC BIG 12 ACC 30 Years COLL 4H KEYS 6-1 TY!!! KEYS % L3W!!!! 3 RD STRAIGHT OUTRIGHT UNDERDOG WIN 4 TY!!! NOW 5-2! NFL 4H KEYS %! L2Y! Off Off Def Def YPG Scr Atlantic Conf All Conf All Conf All Clemson Florida St Maryland Syracuse (68.7) (25-26) Boston College (41.3) (20-22) Wake Forest NC State Coastal Conf All Conf All Conf All Virginia Tech Miami, Fl (1.4) Pittsburgh Georgia Tech Duke (22-27) Virginia (43.2) (24-31) N Carolina Off Off Def Def YPG Scr conf All Conf All Conf All Texas Tech Texas Baylor Oklahoma Oklahoma St TCU (39.0) (24-29) West Virginia (94.4) (18-26) Kansas (60.2) (29-30) Iowa St Kansas St Off Off Def Def YPG Scr conf All Conf All Conf All Louisville Houston (83.5) (16-30) USF UCF Cincinnati Rutgers (27-43) SMU (59.6) (16-29) Connecticut (18-20) Memphis (162.8)(17-29) Temple POWER SEC PAC-12 BIG TEN SWEEP NINETEEN NFL POWER SWEEPS since 07 (ALL H S WINNING) Volume 31 Issue 8 October 19, Northcoast Sports Service NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE P.O. BOX cleveland, OHIO UPSET CORNER FBS tms to lose to an FCS tm: Dogs of 17+ outright upsets: Dogs of outright upsets: Dogs of 7-9 outright upsets: biggest upsets this season WM -28 lost to Nicholls St (23-27) Oreg St -27 lost to E Wash (46-49) USF -20 lost to McNeese St (21-53) Okla St -19 lost to WV (21-30) Ohio -18 lost to C Mich (23-26) S Miss -17 lost to FIU (23-24) S Alabama -17 lost to S Utah (21-22) Conn -16 lost to Towson (18-33) USC -15 lost to Wash St (7-10) SDSt -14 lost to E Illinois (19-40) Kan St -13 lost to N Dak St (21-24) ULM -13 lost to Tulane (14-31) Indiana -12 lost to Navy (35-41) 13 (10 LY) 7 (8 LY) 11 (25 LY) 12 (30 LY) UNC -12 lost to E Carolina (31-55) Wyoming -12 lost to Texas St (21-42) Oklahoma -12 lost to Texas (20-36) Cincy -11 lost to USF (20-26) Iowa St -9 lost to N Iowa (20-28) S Miss -8 lost to TXSt (15-22) Cincy -8 lost to Illinois (17-45) NCSt -7 lost to WF (13-28) Stanford -7 lost to Utah (21-27) OVER/UNDER NUMBERS ATS LINE TTL OU s OU (YTD) Conf OU s Conf OU (YTD) O/U LINE U O-U OU s OU (YTD) Conf OU s Conf OU (YTD) ATS WIN ATS LOSS OVER UNDER Oregon 6 California 6 Tennessee 5 UMass 6 Memphis 5 Ohio St 5 Arkansas St 5 Boise St 5 Ohio 6* Kent St 4 UCLA 5 Georgia 4 Oregon St 4 Bowling Green 5* Navy 4 Florida St 4* Louisiana 4 S Alabama 4 STREAKERS Lost as a TD+ Fav LW Houston 5 Northwestern 4 Missouri 4 W Michigan 4 Ohio -18 lost to C Mich (23-26) Michigan St 4 Oklahoma -12 lost to Texas (20-36) Miami, Fl 4 UMass 4 Stanford -7 lost to Utah (21-27) * means had a NL game S Alabama 4 Georgia -7 lost to Missouri (26-41) Georgia St COLLEGE STANDINGS (negative) WEEK SEVEN BREAKDOWNS ATS NUMBERS LINE TTL HF s HF (YTD) Conf HF s Conf HF (YTD) AF s AF (YTD) Conf AF s Conf AF (YTD) NF (YTD) COLLEGE STANDINGS No n-aq s o n p g 8 Off Off Def Def YPG Scr LEADERS Conf All Conf All Conf All Ohio St Wisconsin Indiana Penn St Illinois (129.8)(15-38) Purdue LEGENDS Conf All Conf All Conf All Michigan St Nebraska Michigan Iowa (51.2) Minnesota (12.3) Northwestern Off Off Def Def YPG Scr NORTH Conf All Conf All Conf All Oregon Oregon St Stanford Washington St Washington (35.0) (25-44) California SOUTH Conf All Conf All Conf All UCLA Arizona St USC Utah Arizona (117.2) (24-41) Colorado Off Off Def Def YPG Scr EAST Conf All Conf All Conf All Missouri S Carolina Florida Georgia (41.3) Tennessee Vanderbilt (85.0) (20-29) Kentucky WEST Conf All Conf All Conf All Alabama LSU Auburn Texas A&M Mississippi Miss St (23-28) Arkansas

3 CAPS home team lower case away team & Mixed neutral site Shaded covered ATS (B) Bowl game (C) Conf Championship Year in 10 column last time they met No yr In 10 column first meeting Tuesday, October 15, 2013 MICH ST MSU -20/ NC Open 2012 UL +2 / NC Open 2012 USM -7 / Louisiana WKU +11 / S Mississippi 2011 ECU +8 / WKU NL UL -12/ E CAROLINA USM -8/ Thursday, October 17, 2013 NC Open 2012 FSU -14 / NC Open 2012 UM +7 / Florida St CU -2 / Miami, Fl NL UNC -2 / N CAROLINA UM -6 / Friday, October 18, 2013 Ucf LOUISVILLE NL Saturday, October 19, 2013 NC Open 2012 DU -1/ Duke 2011 UVA -10/ Minnesota 2011 NW -16/ VIRGINIA E DU +1/ N WESTERN NL NL 2010 UM +5/ NC Open 2012 ARMY -3 / Army TU -13/ Navy TEMPLE ARMY +6/ TOLEDO NC Open 2012 OU -16/ NC Open 2012 CON +5/ Ohio Connecticut 2011 CIN -7 / EAST MICH 2010 EMU +10/ WEST MICH 2010 BSU -5 / POWER SWEEP ON FIRE! COLLEGE 4H S 6-1 TY! COLLEGE KEYS % L3W!! % ON THE YEAR!!! UNDERDOG WINS OUTRIGHT FOR 4 TH TIME TY!!! NOW 3 STRAIGHT OUTRIGHT UPSETS!!!! 4H NFL KEYS % L2Y! Power Sweep is definitely on FIRE! After posting a POWER SWEEP 2 weeks ago (all H rated plays + Underdog winning) we were one 2H short of a back-to-back POWER SWEEPS! The College 4H Keys in Power Sweep are an incredible % on the year. The College Keys over the last 3 weeks are %!!!!! The Underdog has now won OUTRIGHT for 3 weeks in a row (and for the 4th time this year)! The NFL Keys over 2 years are hitting 80%!!!!! If you are not a subscriber for this year - WHAT ARE YOU WAITING FOR? Call us today and start your subscription for only 69 for the remainder of the year - and that will INCLUDE our Double Bowl Issue which is a 36 page bowl booklet that nobody wants to be without! If you have NOT renewed for 2014 or check out page 8 for special pricing (which will increase on 11/1/13). The season is only half way over folks - there is PLENTY of winning left to be done! GAMES OF THE MONTH(Y) % S/ 07!! COLLEGE LPS GO 14-3 L3W NOW % TY! Just like the Power Sweep, the College Late Phones continue to post phenomenal records as they went 4-1 again last Saturday and are currently % this year. We re on an incredible run as the last 3 weeks the College LPS are 14-3! The NFL dropped to 5-4 the L3W incl our Oct GOM on Houston. Even with the NFL GOM loss (1-2 on day), our GOM(Y) record is still a very respectable % since Make sure you check out page 8 to get in on the exciting Late Phones this weekend - don t miss out!!! The College Marquee Plays are doing well so we sure hope that all of you who have a Marquee 7-Pack are taking advantage of the discount on the BIG WINNERS we release! Remember, if you are NOT a current Power Sweep subscriber and would like to sign up, there is still a FREE Marquee 7-Pack Bonus included with your paid subscription or COMP PHONE HEATING UP! % L5W!!! EARLY BIRD A WINNER AGAIN! NOW 5-2 TY!!! We know most of you call the comp tapes on a daily basis for your FREE winners and updates on what s available from Northcoast Sports. As always, the Early Bird Play (given away FREE on Monday on Button #9) continues to roll, as last week we posted another winner with Alabama! The Early Bird is now 5-2 on the year and over the last 15 years it s posting a 64% winning record! Call daily for ALL of the FREE winners on the Northcoast Comp line. WEEK EIGHT OPENING COLLEGE LINES AND MATCHUP HISTORY NC Open 2012 NIU -10/ N Illinois CMU +9 / CENT MICH 2010 NIU -10/ Purdue CLEMSO010 FSU -5 / NC Open 2012 UMD -7/ Maryland NL NL 2011 WFU -9 / WAKE FOR 2010 UMD -5 / NC Open 2012 TT +3 / Texas Tech E WEST VIRG NC Open 2012 UM +3 / CINCINNATI CON -2 / NC Open 2012 BSU -3/ NC Open 2012 SMU -21 / Ball St WMU -12/ Smu MEMPHIS E UM / NC Open 2012 UW -7/ Colorado St 2011 CSU +5 / WYOMING UW -2 / NC Open 2012 AU +14 / Auburn TEXAS A&M NC Open 2012 Uo ( ) -30 / Wash St 2011 UO -35/ OREGON WSU +35 / Indiana MICHIGAN IU +10/ Syracuse GEO TECH NC Open 2012 OSU -14 / Oregon St UC -9/ CALIFORNIA 2010 OSU -3/ Iowa OHIO ST UI +3/ NC Open 2012 ARK +20/ Arkansas 2011 ALA -11/ ALABAMA ARK +7 / NC Open 2012 USC -13 / S Carolina E UT +3 / TENNESSEE 2010 USC -17/ Washington ARIZONA ST UW -1/ N Texas LA TECH NC Open 2012 KSU -10/ Kent St S ALABAMA NL NL Utah St NL NL NEW MEXICO NC Open 2012 UF -18/ Florida E MISSOURI NC Open 2012 LSU -19/ Lsu UM +30 / MISSISSIPPI 2010 LSU -15 / Byu E HOUSTO010 - NC Open 2012 UM +11/ UMass BUFFALO Georgia St TEXAS ST NC Open 2012 UA +2/ Akron MU -14/ MIAMI, OH 2010 UA +9/ NC Open 2012 ISU -2 / Iowa St 2011 BU -16/ BAYLOR NORTHCOAST COMP LINE IS YOUR SOURCE FOR FREE WINNERS! FREE EARLY BIRD ON MON ( 15 VALUE)!!! 64% L15Y LAST WEEK'S COLLEGE STATS RUSHING PASSING TEAM LINE SCORE FD Att-Yds Att-Comp-Yds I-F COLLEGE Week Seven Oct 10-12th Rutgers Louisville San Diego St Air Force Arizona USC Temple Cincinnati Oklahoma Texas Indiana Michigan St Pittsburgh Virginia Tech Miami, Oh Massachusetts Boston College Clemson Buffalo W Michigan Cent Michigan Ohio E Michigan Army Virginia Maryland USF Connecticut Navy Duke Troy Georgia St Texas A&M Mississippi Kent St Ball St Bowling Green Mississippi St Akron N Illinois Iowa St Texas Tech Rice E UTSA New Mexico Wyoming Stanford Utah Georgia Tech BYU NC Open 2012 OU -35/ Oklahoma KU +35 / KANSAS NC Open 2012 OSU -6 / Tcu OKLA ST NC Open 2012 SU (C) -9/ Ucla 2012 UCLA +3/ STANFORD SU -22/ NC Open 2012 USC +5 / Usc UND -9 / NOTRE DAME USC -4 / Rice NEW MEX ST NC Open 2012 UN +8/ Nevada 2011 BSU -27 / BOISE ST UN +14/ NC Open 2012 UW -14 / Wisconsin UI +14 / ILLINOIS NC Open 2012 UGA -14 / Georgia VU +11 / VANDERBILT 2010 UGA -14/ NC Open 2012 UU -2/ Utah 2011 UA -3 / ARIZONA Unlv FRESNO ST Old Dominion PITTSBURGH NL NL Nebraska Purdue Missouri Georgia Baylor Kansas St Florida LSU Colorado Arizona St Oregon Washington California UCLA Northwestern Wisconsin East Carolina Tulane South Carolina Arkansas Alabama Kentucky San Jose St Colorado St Idaho Arkansas St Michigan Penn St Syracuse NC State Memphis Houston UAB FIU Marshall FAU Kansas TCU Middle Tenn North Texas ULM Texas St Boise St Utah St Oregon St Washington St E Tulsa UTEP Hawaii UNLV Western Carolina NL Auburn The Newsletter Contest Here is the Newsletter contest for the 2013 football season. We are happy to provide you with the records and standings from the Power Sweep, Gold Sheet, Power Plays, the Sports Reporter, Winning Points, Pointwise and Playbook. The newsletters are graded from the lines in Tuesday's USA Today. If there is no line we will use the first available line in the USA Today. We use the Tuesday line because Newsletters are written on Sunday night and that would be the first day that most subscribers would have access to them as all of the Newsletters post online by then. There will be 6 categories in all. Net winners in College, NFL, and combined as well as the win percentage in College, NFL and combined. An (*) indicates that a Sunday or Monday night game is pending. College Wins College Win % NFL Wins NFL Win % Combined Wins Combined Win % Winning Points Winning Points 75.6% Playbook 11-5* +6 Playbook 68.8% Winning Points Power Sweep 65.0% Power Sweep Power Sweep 75.0% Pointwise Pointwise 56.3% Power Sweep Winning Points 62.9% Sports Reporter Sports Reporter 61.5% Power Plays Sports Reporter 45.5% Playbook Playbook 62.2% Power Plays Gold Sheet 57.7% Sports Reporter Power Plays 42.9% Pointwise Sports Reporter 56.8% Gold Sheet Playbook 57.1% Power Sweep Power Sweep 41.7% Sports Reporter Pointwise 55.2% Pointwise Pointwise 54.8% Winning Points Winning Points 38.1% Power Plays Power Plays 52.3% Playbook Power Plays 53.2% Gold Sheet Gold Sheet 27.8% Gold Sheet Gold Sheet 45.5%

4 4 Excellent 3 Very Good 2 Good COLLEGE SELECTIONS KEY SELECTIONS 4H Wisconsin over ILLINOIS - UW is 7-1 SU vs Illinois but he HT has covered 4 in a row and Illinois has covered the last 3 here. LY we had a 3H Key Selection on these pages on Wisc. UW was at home -14 and the game was tied at 7 at half. UW led 24-7 but UI got a td with 6:27 left to pull within 10. UW rec d the onside kick, went 46/6pl and got an 18 yd td run with 3:26 left for the cover. UW did take a knee at the 18 at the end. UW is off a bye and NW with bye on deck while Illinois is off a bye. LW we used the Badgers as a 4H Key Selection on these pages and also our 4H Top Weekly LPS and they crushed the Wildcats 35-6 (-10) w/24-10 FD and yd edges. The Gordon/White combo each topped 100 rush yds as the Badger OL just wears tms down and off a bye are nearly unbeatable. Look for them to overwhelm an Illini D that all d 273 (5.5) to Wash and 335 (6.7) to Neb. We re not afraid to continue to ride the Badgers here as we always prefer big physical tms down the stretch especially against an undersized Illini front 4 that avg 268 lbs. FORECAST: Wisconsin by 21 over ILLINOIS 3H GEORGIA TECH over Syracuse - Third meeting and 3rd diff venue. The L/gm was in the 04 Champs Sports Bowl, SU lost What could the ACC do to give Syracuse a difficult start? How about their first conf game vs Clemson at home, make them travel to face a new offense in NCSt (did win as a 6 pt AD) and then have them prep for the option on a 2nd straight away. GT needs to take some frustration out having faced #3 D of VT, Mia, and BYU s D (#14). Cuse HC Shafer was the DC here the L4Y and the closest thing they saw to an option offense vs was USF LY with a mobile QB as USF put up 552 yds (369, 8.2 rush). GT is ATS as a HF. Off 3 str losses, the locals are starting to get restless in ATL as the Yellow Jackets are just SU their L/26 gms. The Orange are fat and happy after LW s upset win and get stung in a big way here. FORECAST: GEORGIA TECH by 24 over Syracuse 3H HOUSTON over Byu - First meeting. EXPOSURE GAME. The undefeated yet unranked Cougs still are getting no respect from the nat l media. They are off a bye and a HG vs Memphis where we cashed a 3H Key Selection on the Cougs for the 3rd time this year! BYU, on the other hand is not in a good spot here as they just faced the GT option at home and has a huge revenge gm vs Boise St on deck Friday. Now they must travel down south to the heat and humidity (although Reliant could be closed). BYU is 9-4 ATS the L2Y on the road but UH counters that by being 11-5 ATS at home and they are also a perfect 5-0 ATS TY covering their games by an avg of 10 ppg. Ring up 3H Key Selection winner No. 4 for UH here as they pull the upset and move to 6-0! FORECAST: HOUSTON by 1 over Byu OTHER SELECTIONS 2H Usc (+) over NOTRE DAME - The visitor has won the L/4 SU and has covered 3 straight (2 upsets). USC has actually won 5 str in South Bend as Bob Davie was still pacing the sidelines in ND s last win over USC here (27-16 in 01). LY was the 2nd most watched game of the reg ssn as USC was +5 at home and ND was playing to get to the Nat l Title game. ND did have a FD edge and yd edge. USC was w/o QB Barkley and Wittek got his first start and hit USC could easily have gotten the cover. Trailing they went 80/13pl and got a td but Kiffin called time-out prior to the snap and they settled for a 21 yd FG. ND got a 19 yd FG with 5:58 left. USC got to the 1 yd line but they dropped a td pass and were SOD at the 2 with 2:33 left and lost by 9. Irish are off a bye but not the full edge as USC was home on Thursday. ND was also off a bye in their 11 loss to USC as they were favored by 9 and lost outright Irish have been very unimpressive TY prior to their L/gm, a win (+6 ) over ASU. That win was costly though as they lost their best blk g WR Smith and their best MLB Grace for the yr. Meanwhile the Trojans playing with renewed confidence after giving Kiffin the boot, had some fun LW in a (-5 ) win over Ariz. The final was a bit misleading as USC jumped out to 28-3 and leads and the off finally threw the ball down the field despite playing w/o inj d star WR Lee who should be back here. The Trojans have the talent edges (#35-50 off, #6-21 def) and as long as they continue to play loose, we think they are a play-on team the rest of the year. Fight On! FORECAST: Usc by 3 over NOTRE DAME 2H OKLAHOMA ST over Tcu - LY was only mtg in the L16Y. OSU came in #1 in the FBS in offense but did not get their first FD until 3:00 remained in the 1Q. We used OSU as our 5H Oct GOM and after that slow start, OSU dominated. OSU settled for 22 and 30 yd FG s and trailed 14-9 despite having a yd edge at the half. The Cowboys got 2 td s and a FG to open the 3Q, added another 27 yd FG and won easily covering by 2 plus td s. The Cowboys are 21-8 ATS as a HF (6-0 LY) and come in off a bye. Both tms have not lived up to their preseason hype as OSU has already been upset and TCU has not impressed us in any of their 6 gms TY. LW was no exception as they beat lowly KS (-24 ) as Boykin only has a 5-4 ratio on the yr. While OSU has struggled on off, they are still avg 38 ppg and 445 ypg and look for them to get it in gear here. We like them for the 2nd yr in a row at home vs the Frogs. FORECAST: OKLAHOMA ST by 14 over Tcu OTHER GAMES Thursday, October 17th Miami, Fl at NORTH CAROLINA - While Miami has covered 3 straight, they did lose outright at home LY (+7 ) and NC blew some opportunities like being int d at the 1 and also missing a 33-yd FG. TY these two tms look to be going in opposite directions as the Canes are 5-0 for the 1st time s/ 04 and have covered 4 str gms. UNC, on the other hand, is 1-4 SU/ATS as they have yet to find a replacement for the all-everything RB Bernard. While Miami is clearly the more impressive tm so far, this is UNC s last chance to save their ssn. Will they play their A game or will they continue their slide? Friday, October 18th Ucf at LOUISVILLE - While it s only Oct, the AAC champ and a possible BCS berth is on the line here. Only prev mtg came in 1985, a UL win. UCF has the luxury off a bye while UL is home for a 2nd str huge midweek gm after their (-19) win over Rut last Thur. This matchup features 2 great QB s: Bridgewater who is avg 312 ypg (71%) w/an 18-2 ratio and gets all the pub vs the underrated Bortles (avg 267 ypg, 65%, 9-3 ratio). With not many more opportunities to impress the nat l media, will UL play sloppy for the 2nd wk in a row or will they make a statement over arguably the best tm they will face in the reg ssn? MARQUEE GAMES THURSDAY & FRIDAY! HOME TEAM IN CAPS g e t t h e w i n n e r s f o r j u s t 12 o n y o u r n o r t h c o a s t v i p c a r d. ava i l a b l e a f t e r n o o n e t o n g a m e d ay Saturday, October 19th Duke by 1 over VIRGINIA - This gm brings back great memories as it was our very first FREE Sept 5H back in 1984 and UVA won (-3) on the road. Let s put this series in perspective - Duke has NINE ACC wins the 6 yrs under Cutcliffe and FOUR have come vs UVA (4 of last 5 SU). In fact, Duke is ATS in the series. Duke had a bye to prep for Navy LW (also prepped for GT earlier TY) and it showed in their 35-7 (-4) win. QB Boone was named the surprise st r 10 min before KO and was as Cutcliffe termed it just ridiculous. However, this is the 1st conf road game for Boone and only 2nd away gm for the Devils this yr (Mem 6 wks ago). Boone did get his only start LY vs Virginia and hit guiding the (+1) win. In a gm UVA HC London needed badly, the Cavs lost a heartbreaker to MD LW (+5 ) as K Vozenilek s 42-yd FG sailed wide right w/:10 left. Three wks ago in the loss to Pitt, it was the offense that did in the Cavs (188 yds) but its the pass D which has been gashed for 339 ypg in the L/2. Must-win here for London while it s also a must-win for Duke if they want to get back to another bowl. Look for this to go down to the wire and we ll side with the series history and the dog. Army by 3 over TEMPLE - These 2 have played the L5Y with Temple going 5-0 SU/ATS as there is no looking past Army like some teams do, plus they have familiarity seeing them every ssn. However, Temple does have a new staff and the L4Y shows Temple s ypc all d has increased (3.6, 3.8, 4.1, 5.7, 6.6). The Owls come in winless at 0-6 (3-3 ATS) after LW s loss (+21) to Cincy. It was late 2Q before UC got a td w/1:00 left to give them momentum. With QB Reilly less than 100%, they have decided to go with frosh Walker who was and had 47 rush (5.2). Army has been playing FB s/1890 but LW RB Baggett did something not even Heisman winners Blanchard, Davis or Dawkins could accomplish - top the 300-yd rush mark. Baggett finished with 304 yds (16.9) and 4 td s in Army s win (-7 ) over EM. Knights are clearly the better tm (+16 ypg vs -163 ypg) and they do have familiarity w/this stadium as they routinely play Navy here (4 of L/5 yrs). Ohio by 17 over EASTERN MICHIGAN - OU has won 5 str and has gone ATS but this is only the 3rd gm in 6Y. LY Ohio hosted EM off a loss to rival Miami. They were tied at 7 but OU led at HT. Bobcats D shut EM out in the 2H incl holding them to -6 yds in three 4Q drives. Every yr English says his team is bigger, stronger and faster but outside the 2011 ssn, you have to wonder if he needs new eye glasses. TY while the off has been respectable, the D continues its woes (English also DC) as they are all g 263 rush ypg (6.6) after LW s loss (+7 ) to Army. Even though it was their 4th time seeing the option in 5Y, they were gashed for 513 (9.5). Speaking of getting gashed, after 4 str wins/covers, OU shockingly was upset by CM LW (-18 ) as they all d 208 rush (4.7). What made it even more shocking was that all wk long the Bobcats said they were the healthiest they had been in 2Y while CM played w/o arguably its best ply r in WR Davis. OU should come in angry (5-2 ATS off a loss) while Eagles had to prep for Army LW and this HG is sandwiched by 4 road gms. Ball St by 21 over WESTERN MICHIGAN - Ball St is 5-1 ATS vs WM plus they ve covered 4 straight when visiting Kalamazoo. They are 11-1 ATS as a conf AD (5-0 under Lembo). LY WM had a yd edge on the road at the half and led WM went 55/16pl but missed a 28 yd FG w/7:33 left. BS got an 11 yd td pass with :50 left to take the lead and WM got a 52 yd FG for OT but missed a 36 yd FG in OT and BS scored a td for the cover (-3). WM comes in 0-7 SU and have failed to cover 4 str gms by 21 ppg after LW s 33-0 loss to UB (+10). It was the 1st time s/ 04 that WM was shutout but they were only trailing 6-0 at HT. QB Terrell made his 1st start and was as WM QB s have just a 6-15 ratio TY. Ball St is 6-1 but LW failed to cover in a win (-14) over Kent St as they rallied to score the gm s final td w/1:29 left. The Cards were on an overall 19-6 ATS run coming in and were 7-0 ATS as a HF. This will be only the 2nd time they ve been a DD AF s/ 08 but they did cover in that role earlier TY vs EM. First-yr HC Fleck didn t have a lot of nice things to say about the state of the program he inherited and with him deciding to RS their best ply r, WR Wilson (inj d 1st 4 gms) you have to wonder if they are just throwing the rest of the ssn in the trash. Northern Illinois by 14 over CENTRAL MICHIGAN - The Huskies are 25-2 SU vs the MAC recently with BOTH losses to CM. The home team has now won and covered 4 straight (6-1 ATS). CM has won their last 3 in Mt Pleasant SU winning by 25, 14 and 7 and are 4-2 SU in the series. In that last game here, CM was a Big Dog POW and an outright upset winner as a 9 pt HD. Chips in tough spot off 3 straight away but should be confident after LW s shocking upset of OU (+18 ). Despite playing w/o WR Davis (CS), RB Lavallii has been a revelation w/tipton OFY in the opener and he has tallied 335 (6.6) in the L/2 wins alone. Huskies have this sandwiched between HG s vs Akron and E Mich so CM should get focus. The Huskies are living dangerously TY but they continue to find ways to win as they won their 23rd consec HG (longest in nation) LW (-23 ) over Akron. Unlike most of the yr, it was the D that bailed out an offense that was struggling. It was their 27th overall win in 29 gms and they are now 12-1 SU in gms decided by a td or less in that run. While technical edges favor the Huskies who are 5-0 ATS as a conf AF while CM is 1-6 as a HD under Enos, undefeated pressure will start settling in as they are ranked in the Top 25 getting everyone s best shot. MICHIGAN ST by 28 over Purdue - MSU has won 4 str but in their L/2 mtgs ( 09-10), they pushed as a 3 pt AF in 09 (-162 yds) and then failed to cover as a 20 pt HF in a win (+3 yds). Even though the Spartans were on a 1-8 ATS run as a HF heading into LW and Indy has looked impressive, we boldly went against that trend and called for them to win and cover vs the Hoosiers. Sparty didn t let us down as after giving up a 64 yd td run 1:01 into the gm, MSU outscored the Hoosiers before IU went 37/6pl after an int getting a td w/2:17 left. After struggling for most of the ssn, the Spartan offense has managed B2B 400+ yd efforts while the D is still only all g 58 rush (2.2). The Boilers off a bye were destroyed LW 44-7 (+13 ) at home to Neb (although crowd was split 50-50) as frosh QB Etling struggled in his 1st start going PU s only win TY came vs FCS Indiana St (-11 yds) and they are now getting outgained by 130 ypg. MSU, on the other hand, could be a play-on tm down the stretch off B2B covers and are now +146 ypg (#15) this yr. A frosh QB making his 1st career road start vs our #4 D. Yikes! EAST CAROLINA by 21 over Southern Miss - The visitor has won 3 str and is 6-2 SU/7-1 ATS (3 upsets). SM is also 7-0 ATS here. LY SM had its largest crowd ever for a CUSA gm. However, we used EC as our NC Sportsline Comp Underdog POW and they were +7 and won outright This is the Pirates only home game from Sept 14-Nov 9th and they are off 3 str road gms. LW we loved the fact that they were on their 3rd str away while Tulane was playing w/confidence at home. We used the Green Wave (+10 ) as our Underdog POW on these pages and for the 4th time TY, it won outright as Tulane won in 3OT. EC s only lead prior to OT was 3-0 but they did have a yd edge getting most of those yds in the 4Q as they rallied from a 10 pt deficit. S Miss riding a 17-gm losing streak is off a bye after a disappointing (-17) loss to prev winless FIU in their last outing. For a tm that is getting outscored by 25 ppg, the Golden Eagles are only getting outgained by 76 ypg as TO s continue to be the issue as they have a negative ratio in all 5 gms TY and are -13 for the yr (#124). QB Bridgford only has a 6-11 ratio on the year and SM is 2-7 ATS as an AD. EC is 6-0 ATS off a loss and will be angry here. Florida St by 3 over CLEMSON - The game of the wk and maybe entire month of Oct as the winner here takes a major step in the race for the BCS Champ. The home team has won 6 str and Clemson is 7-1 ATS in the series. The Tigers have also won and covered 5 straight at home (avg cover by 15 ppg). LY was a big showdown and it was just the 9th time 2 ACC teams came in ranked in the top 10. FSU only won (-14, yd edge) as they missed 2 crucial FG s, fmbl d a punt, ended the game at the CU9 and CU got the backdoor cover on a tipped pass td on 4&3. Clem hosted BC LW and it was a clear flat spot as they trailed for most of the first 3Q s. With the offense struggling, the Clem D held tough as they held their 5th str opp to 14 pts or less while nat l sk leader Beasley had a 13 yd FR td to close the scoring. That D will be greatly tested here against a FSU off that is avg 54 ppg and can beat you both w/the run 228 (6.0) and through the air as QB Winston (as we predicted in the preseason) is this yr s RS frosh sensation avg 288 ypg (73%) w/a 17-2 ratio. While both tms have played similar sked, FSU is +272 ypg while Clem is +170 ypg and this is 5th str gm for Clem while FSU is off a bye. This one goes down to the wire but the Noles come out on top. Maryland by 3 over WAKE FOREST - The home team is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS. LY WF had susp d 6 ply rs incl 4 st rs and then lost 3 more in a CB, S and LB during the game. MD (-7) got a td with 5:37 left, MD is 2-9 ATS vs the ACC when the line is SD. MD is in a UVA/CU sandwich and WF is off bye where the crafty Grobe is 8-1 ATS covering the wins by 8 ppg. The Deacons got a much-needed ACC win in their L/gm vs NC State as QB Price had one of the better gms of his career (40 starts!) going while running for a car-high 82 (4.6). After the 63-0 embarrassing loss to FSU, MD needed a bounce-back win LW and they got it (-5 ) benefiting from a UVA 42-yd missed FG w/:10 left. QB Rowe st g in place of Brown (head, CS) was and MD got the win despite being -3 in TO s. MD does have the off (#51-108) and def (#23-66) edges and become bowl elig with a win but Wake is dangerous here. 3

5 OTHER COLLEGE GAMES cont from page 3 NORTHWESTERN by 14 over Minnesota - Visitor is 10-2 ATS (4-1 SU) AND Minny has covered EIGHT straight here! LY UM was at home and both of their QB s were less than 100%. Venric Mark rushed for 182 yds as NW won (-3 ). UM trailed at the half despite a yd edge. NW was 4-13 ATS as a HF in Fitzgerald s F6Y but now is on a 6-2 ATS run dating back to LY. Minny is 0-4 ATS as an AD and has lost last 2 SU/ATS off a bye (LY also vs NW). They will be playing here w/o HC Kill who took a leave of absence foll g his 5th epileptic attack in 2+ yrs. DC Claeys will fill in as the Gophers try to snap a 2 gm losing streak. In their L/gm vs Mich, the (+19) final was a bit misleading as the Gophers had a rush edge and it was only until the L/4:00. B2B wks we have cashed going against the Wildcats and LW we had a 4H Key Selection on these pages and a 4H Top Weekly LPS on Wisc as the Wildcats were off the huge HG vs OSU while the Badgers were off a bye. NW (+10) was dominated as the Badgers had FD and yd edges. QB Colter left the gm in the 1H w/a head inj (CS) while Siemian was only We wonder what both teams frame of mind will be here and for now we ll call for the HT by 2 td s. TOLEDO by 14 over Navy - UT s won 2 of 3 vs Navy but all were prior to 01. UT s Campbell s first gm as HC was in the bowl vs AF and they held them to 48 yds and 1.2 ypc under their avg. Toledo does have edge off a bye to prep for Mids and that worked wonders LW for Duke (also prepped for GT earlier) in their 35-7 win over the Mids. Navy was trying to start the ssn 4-1 for the 1st time s/ 06 but according to HC Niumatalolo, it was one of the worst days Navy s had in the a long, long time. The gm was tied at 7 mid-2q and the Mids were -3 in TO s. While their record stands at 3-3, the Rockets have been impressive TY at 5-1 ATS and their only losses are at SEC powers UF and Mizzou and a nail-biter at 6-1 Ball St. They are +17 ypg vs a #59 sked while Navy is -10 ypg vs the #104 sked. With avg QB play from Owens, the Rockets have ridden RB Fluellen to the tune of 846 (6.6) and 9 td s while the D has all just 119 rush ypg (3.2) s/the opener. Solid rush D plus time to prep equals another DD loss for the Mids. CINCINNATI by 17 over Connecticut - Prior to LY the home team was 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS. The Bearcats lead wire-to-wire scoring 2 td s off a pair of int s. CT trailed and was w/o starting QB Whitmer for the 4Q and after a McEntee int, CIN went 4 yds for a td and got the road win (-5). Conn has lost 5 str gms to open the ssn for the 1st time s/ 77 as LW despite USF playing w/o QB Bench and st g RB Shaw (best ply r), the Huskies fell (-4). Conn did have FD and yd edges but all d a 44 yd FR td and had a FG blk d. In his 1st start, true frosh Boyle struggled mightily going Cincy playing w/heavy hearts LW at home for 1st time s/losing their teammate in a car accident beat Temple (-21). It was a back and forth gm until Cincy scored the final 17 pts incl shutting out the Owls in the 2H. QB Kay was Bearcats at home are outscoring their opp TY (+263 ypg) and this will be a true frosh s 1st career road start. Smu by 1 over MEMPHIS - The L/2 meeting avg s have favored SMU greatly as they are outscoring Memphis 43-7 (+333 ypg). Mustangs have already faced 4 BCS tms and despite losing all 4 gms are undervalued plus they are off a bye. In their L/gm they cashed as our Oct 5H GOM rallying from a 21 pt 2H deficit but eventually lost in 3OT to Rut. QB Gilbert broke schl rec going while WR Johnson also broke records w/217 (12.1) and 3 td s. Despite playing the #12 sked, SMU is actually +1 ypg. Memphis is off B2B losses incl LW when we cashed a 3H Key Selection on these pages on UH in a final. Memphis is a HF for only the 3rd time in the L3Y (1-1 LY, win) but SMU is 3-8 ATS as an AD the L3Y. We ve had a pretty good vibe on these 2 tms in the L/2 wks and we ll side with the rested dog here vs a tm they have owned each of the L/2 yrs. WYOMING by 3 over Colorado St - Border War. Wyoming is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS while the home team has covered 3 str (8-2 ATS). LY CSU actually had a yd edge. The key play of the game happened when WY got a 99 yd IR td and instead of a tie at 14, WY led 21-7 (3:27 1Q). Cowboys had been a HF 10 times in 4Y (5-5 ATS) under Christensen but this is the 4th gm TY they are a HF (1-2 ATS). LW vs NM, it was a back and forth gm as after jumping out to a 21-0 early lead, WY was outscored 24-3 in the next 16:00. The Pokes did retake control and held on for a win (-14) as QB Smith continued his impressive ssn incl running for 140 (9.3) and 2 td s. CSU went 1-4 as an AD in McElwain s 1st ssn and they were -TO s in all 5 gms finishing -8. TY they are 2-0 ATS but lost outright in both. They are off a disappointing (-3 ) home loss to SJSt as they were outscored 17-3 in the 2H. QB Grayson threw for 310 yds and 3 td s but two 2H int led to 10 SJSt pts. The tms are evenly matched talent-wise and we think after UW s impressive 3-1 SU/ATS (non-cover was by a 1/2 pt) start, their lines have been inflated a bit the L/2 gms and they have failed to cover both. TEXAS A&M by 14 over Auburn - LY A&M was off a big game vs LSU and had struggled in their only 2 prev road games beating Ole Miss by 3 and La Tech by 2. They were -14 and Aub was in a must-win situation. It wasn t even close. In the 8 poss Manziel was on the field, A&M scored 7 td s and their only non-score was a missed FG right before the half as A&M won TY Aub is coming off lowly WC as they cruised 62-3 (-41 ) as frosh QB Johnson got the start in place of inj d Marshall (CS) and was The Tigers racked up a schl-rec 712 yds and after a 3-9 disaster ssn a yr ago are now just one win away from bowl elig. Manziel continues to work his magic as LW he overcame an inj scare and several early mistakes to lead A&M to a comeback win (-7) over Ole Miss for the 2nd year in a row. The Aggies did have FD and yd edges as Johnny Football had 470 total yds. With Aub s QB situation up in the air as of presstime, we ll call this game near the line. OREGON by 42 over Washington St - Oregon is 6-0 SU beating Wash St by an avg of The surprising number is that WSU has covered 3 in a row and the L2Y UO has only outgained WSU by 29.5 ypg. In almost all of the Ducks games LY they blew teams out in the 1H and let up in the 2H but LY UO only led Wazzu at half. They did win and actually got ahead of the spread going up with 10:52 left but WSU went 72/6pl and got a 25 yd td pass with 4:13 left for the cover and ended the game at the UO17 running out of time. The #2 Ducks continue to win and cover as LW they beat their rival Wash for the 10th consec yr (also 10 str ATS wins) and are now the only tm in the country to be 6-0 ATS TY. They outgained UW and outfd d them QB Mariota should be the Heisman frontrunner at this point as he has a perfect 17-0 ratio while also adding 426 rush (10.4) and 8 td s. LW s home loss (E) to Oreg St dealt the Cougs a blow in their hopes of reaching a bowl for the 1st time in a decade. The gm was misleading as they led late in the 3Q before the Beavers erupted for 3 quick td s (Wazzu also had 6 TO s). While Wash St is 1-21 SU vs ranked tms losing by 25 ppg, they are 9-2 ATS. The Ducks are in a Wash/UCLA sandwich but there is no way we are stepping in front of their streak here. MICHIGAN by 7 over Indiana - Indiana is 1-32 SU vs Michigan incl 17 str losses and Vegas agrees with the series domination making the Wolverines a DD favorite FOURTEEN straight times (this barely makes it 15 str). IU was outgained by 235 ypg from (1-4 ATS) but in the L/2 gms was only outgained by 45 ypg and covered both. Hoosiers are on B2B away and are 1-4 SU/ATS as a B10 AD while UM has gone 6-1 ATS as a B10 HF under Hoke. The Wolverines are off a OT marathon loss (-2 ) at Penn St. It was another NC Sports Comp Underdog POW outright upset winner (get it FREE on button #3 every Tue at ). The Wolves trailed at HT but were in control in the 4Q up 10 before PSt made a furious rally. UM K Gibbons after 16 str makes will go down as the scapegoat as he missed 2 FG s and had another blk d, each time with the gm on the line and it spoiled a decent performance by QB Gardner (still had 2 TO s) as he tallied 361 total yds. LW we loved physical MSU over pass-happy Indiana off a 20 pt win over PSt and the Spartans delivered with a win (-9 ). It should be noted that the Hoosiers did tally 351 yds vs the Spartans and are avg 157 ypg more than what their opp are all g on the ssn. We have not been impressed w/ the Wolves at all this yr and look for this to go down to the wire like many of their gms TY. 4 Oregon St by 17 over CALIFORNIA - Home teams has won 3 str covering by 22 ppg. LY OSU was off their crushing loss to Stanford which eliminated them from the P12 North Title chase and were -14 at home and it was the first time all season Reser Stadium was not sold out. Mannion hit in just over 3Q s of work and OSU crushed Cal getting revenge for their 23-6 loss in 11 where they were outrushed Beavers also have a HC gm vs Stanford on deck but they have won 5 str gms after the shocking opening loss to FCS E Wash. LW they scored the gm s final 35 pts in a win (E) over Wazzu as Mannion is having a monster ssn avg 419 ypg (67%) w/a 25-3 ratio while WR Cooks has 944 (15.0) and 11 td s. Cal is off a loss (+25 ) to UCLA but it was a bit misleading as the Bears were driving down (81/21pl drive) but fmbl d at the UCLA3 and the Bruins would go 97/10pl for the frontdoor cover. The Bears have now lost 10 str gms vs FBS opp (longest streak among BCS tms) while OSU is 4-0 SU/ATS in Berkeley as 11 s loss was at AT&T Park. These tms continue to go in opposite directions. OHIO ST by 21 over Iowa - OSU is 12-1 SU/9-3-1 ATS SU but in the L/2 mtgs ( 09 and 10) Iowa covered by 13 and pushed. Completely different mentality coming out of their byes as Iowa lost their 4th straight conf home gm while Ohio St took care of their toughest home opp in Wisc and then what most called their toughest road foe in NW. Meyer has now covered 8 str off a bye and the Buckeyes have covered 7 str vs BCS teams. The Hawkeyes rely on RB Weisman (624, 5.0) to alleviate pressure and vs the one quality D they ve faced (MSU), he had 9 yds (1.3) while being bothered by an ankle inj. Iowa totaled just 13 FD s at home in the loss! OSU s young D is still a work in progress, but they have made it a priority to stop the run each of the L/2 wks and have just 99 rush ypg (2.8). Look for them to make the Hawkeyes one dimensional, while OSU QB Miller after an off-performance vs NW (3 TO s, nearly pulled) will rebound in a big way here. ALABAMA by 31 over Arkansas - LY Bama posted a shutout vs Ark which was 1 of 4 on the season. The 52-0 win was Bama s largest MOV in an SEC game s/ 48. Bama has won 5 str (4-1 ATS). Solid technical edges here as the Tide are 6-1 ATS L3Y as SEC HF over 21 pts. Ark was 1-3 as an AD LY (0-2 ATS TY) and Bielema went 0-4 ATS as conf AD his F2Y at Wisc as well as 0-4 ATS vs top 10 his F4Y there. Ark is on the final leg of the toughest 4 gm stretch in the country having just faced A&M, Florida and SC in B2B2B weeks while Bama only has faced Georgia St and Kentucky the L2W. The Tide LW easily cashed a 2H Selection on these pages and another Early Bird POW winner (given out FREE on button #9 every Mon at ) in their 48-7 win (-26 ) over UK. After a scoreless 1Q, the Tide rolled to 8 consec scores as they racked up FD and yd edges. Keep in mind this was vs a UK tm that was only outscored by 13 ppg vs UL/UF/SC. With no pass gm whatsoever (just 30 yds LW in 52-7 loss to SC), the Hogs have become one-dimensional and they were outfd d 32-7 LW! LTH in 11 we used Bama (-11) as a 4H Key Selection on these pages and a Top Weekly LPS and they dominated even more than the final. Will we go back to the Tide yet again here? South Carolina by 1 over TENNESSEE - SC has won 3 str while the visitor is 14-2 ATS incl 3 straight covers. LY with SC leading 21-14, they lost Marcus Lattimore to a gruesome season ending inj. They led at the half with a yd edge. UT trailed and had the ball at the SC14 but Bray was sk d by Clowney and fmbl d and SC rec d with 1:18 left and escaped. SC is away for 3rd time in 4 gms and has another road game on deck. Tenn is off a bye but AMAZINGLY coming into TY w/3 diff HC they were 1-9 ATS as a HD with the cover +1.5 vs a team they were 21-1 SU against (Vandy). However, that may be changing here with new HC Jones as in their L/gm, they were a 13 pt HD to UGA and nearly pulled the outright upset losing in OT. SC, despite all the distractions LW were able to beat Ark 52-7 (-5 ), which gives us some line value here. While we definitely lean with the home dog here, we won t call for the outright upset until we actually see the Vols pull one of these games out (19 str losses to ranked tms). ARIZONA ST by 3 over Washington - Last met in 10. ASU has the situational edge here off a blowout win over Colorado and have a bye on deck while UW is off Stan/Oregon w/hc vs Cal on deck. Also series domination as the Sun Devils are 7-0 SU/ATS in the series. UW is 5-9 ATS as P12 AD under Sark and ASU is 9-3 ATS as a fav under Graham. We do think UW has the better team but a high-level HC told us in the offseason that it s much tougher to bounce back from an emotional loss giving all that effort and coming up short than it is to come off an emotional win. You have to wonder how much UW has left in the tank after two huge gms where they came up short. North Texas by 4 over LOUISIANA TECH - L/gm 06. LT is one of the least exp d tms but now have 6 gms under their belt and are off a bye. Prior to the bye they got a confidence-boosting win (-2 ) over UTEP as prior to that their only win came against FCS Lamar LW we loved NT at home in Apogee off a loss to Tulane. They were a 3H LPS and easily cashed 34-7 (-6) having FD and yd edges. They got the easy win despite QB Thompson having an off night ( ) as RB s Byrd and Pegram combined for 227 (5.4) and 3 td s. NT does have a # D edge but LT is 11-5 ATS as a HD. While McCarney took over a team that had 7 wins in 4Y and has posted 12 in his 3 ssns they are still 2-14 SU on the road and we can t lay too many pts here. Kent St at SOUTH ALABAMA - The Golden Flashes hosted the Jaguars in 2011 and they were USA s 2nd ever FBS opponent. The Flashes dominated the 1H with a 26-0 lead and yd edge. USA actually rallied in the 2H and got the backdoor cover (+10). Kent is on a 2nd str away but is playing their 8th str gm while the Jags come in fresh off a bye. Both tms have had some tough luck TY as USA has lost 3 gms by a total of 9 pts while Kent St had to play much of the 1H of the yr w/o AA Archer. LW they nearly pulled the road upset vs Ball St but lost (+14). Even more costly than the loss, however, was the fact that QB Reardon and RB Durham were lost to inj and are? here. While the Jags have certainly impressed us TY, we can t lay too many pts as they are 0-4 ATS as a HF and we ll wait to check the Kent St inj report later in the week. Utah St by 6 over NEW MEXICO - Lobos lead the all-time series 11-8 but have met just 4x s/ 67 with the last mtg in 03. The dynamics have certainly changed for the Aggies TY as after a 3-2 start w/only losses to Utah and USC by a comb 7 pts, they lost QB Keeton for the year and lost to BYU by 17 and LW trailed Boise St before putting up some window dressing td s incl a 65 yd IR td in the loss (+6). QB Harrison in his 1st start was 7 of 17 for 105 yds before frosh Garretson replaced him in the 3Q and was While at most program s a 6-13 start to your tenure may have you on the hot seat, at NM, HC Davie is doing a great job inheriting a program that was just 3-33 in the prev 3Y and then lost nearly 2 dozen players to attrition. After 3 str losses to their in-state rival NMSt, Davie has regained control of the state and LW had an impressive outing in a loss (+14) to WY. Now they return home and have a bye on deck. Prior to Keeton s injury, the Aggies might have been 3 td fav s here but now we can t lay more than a td vs a NM off that is avg 37 ppg. Florida by 1 over MISSOURI - LY UF was at home -18 (off a loss to Georgia) but MU had a yd edge at the half. James Franklin ret d to the lineup for MU and hit but had 4 int s. UF was w/o their LT, a DE and K and then lost both starting G s in the 2H to injury. UF fmbl d at their own 27 setting up a MU td with 6:10 left in the half and MU led 7-0. UF tied it w/9:03 left in the 3Q and MU had a 25 yd FG blk d. UF got a 45 yd td pass w/13:32 left and held on. UF has a bye on deck but is off their showdown at LSU and interestingly the Gators are 1-7 ATS off a SU loss under Muschamp. This is Mizzou s SEC home opener and despite losing QB Franklin (shld r) for the rest of the reg ssn, Tiger fans have to be jubilant after LW s win (-7) over UGA. It should be noted that they did benefit from a +4 TO margin and were outgained The Tigers are now 6-0 and control their own destiny in the SEC East but that is easier said than done as they have UF here and SC on deck. Their DL, however (4 str SEC DPOW awds) continues to play lights out as DE Sam scored on a FR td. Keep in mind, that despite losing their QB, Franklin s replacement Mauk was highly regarded coming out of HS and was in a hotly contested competition w/franklin in the spg. This goes down to the wire.

6 UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK Over 32 years this play has been a reader favorite hitting The last 14 years the Underdog Play of the Week has recorded numerous OUTRIGHT UPSET WINNERS (50!) to the incredible record INCLUDING 4 TY including LW with Tulane - the 3rd straight outright winner!!!!! Here is this week's Underdog Play: WEST VIRGINIA (+8) over TEXAS TECH Holgorsen was the WR cch the L2Y Kingsbury was QB at TT. LY WV was off its big win at Texas and was travelling for a 2nd str week in a letdown spot. TT was a 3 pt HD whereas UT had been a 7 pt HF. The prev wk vs UT, WV converted on all five 4th down att s but vs TT was 2 of 7. Smith came in with 38 inc on the season and tossed 26 in this game. TT led 49-7 before WV went 73/9pl getting a garbage td with 3:14 left. TY TT is off a HC win over ISt but has another away trip to OU on deck. The Red Raiders are 6-0 for the 1st time s/ 08 and Kingsbury is the 1st HC to win his 1st 6 gms in TT history. LW QB Webb got his 1st start in place of inj d Mayfield (CS) and was in the win (-14). The Red Raiders outgained the Cyclones but were -3 in TO s and gave up a 95-yd KR td. WV is 0-4 ATS in the reg ssn off a bye under Holgorsen but did pull off a big upset earlier TY at home (+19) over OSU. They are playing with legit revenge (were undefeated and #5 when lost LY) and this is TT s first trip to WV (which has been tricky for most B12 tms). Make it 5 outright upsets for the Underdog POW TY. FORECAST: WEST VIRGINIA by 1 over Texas Tech OTHER COLLEGE GAMES cont from page 4 Lsu by 6 over MISSISSIPPI - LSU has won the L/3 SU and the visitor has covered 4 str. LY LSU was -19 at home but UM s Wallace threw for 310 yds vs them. UM led at the half and had a yd edge. UM led when the ghost of Billy Cannon emerged. Cannon had a memorable PR td on Halloween night to beat UM and here it was Beckham that got an 89 yd PR with 9:10 left to tie it at 35. UM missed a 53 yd FG w/4:18 left after having a FD at the 16 and LSU went 64/9pl getting a td with :15 left to pull it out. Ole Miss was a HD twice LY losing to Texas and covering vs A&M ( ) and LW again blew a late lead to A&M in a loss (+7). The key play being a 4th Dn conv where Manziel picked up a FD as Ole Miss dropped 8 in coverage and had no spy on the QB. That makes it 3 str losses for the Rebs who came into the ssn w/high expectations. The Tigers, meanwhile, are off a 17-6 win (-7) over UF. After being ridiculed all yr long, the D stepped up when the offense was struggling vs the best D in the country. The Rebs have been so close to getting that signature win over highly ranked foe under Freeze and while we ll side with them here, we can t yet call for the outright upset. BUFFALO by 24 over Massachusetts - LY UM outplayed UB in the 1H but they were SOD at the 1 and settled for 39 and 32 yd FG s. Mass led 13-0 at half but Buffalo blk d a punt and ret d it 33 yds for a td with 10:31 left 3Q to get back in it. UM still led 19-7 (6:49 3Q) when Buffalo got a 79 yd td pass, went 77/9pl for a td and a stunning lead. After a safety, UB went 80/15pl after the free kick for the td and a 10 pt win. TY the Bulls dropped their 1st 2 gms to highly ranked OSU and Baylor but since then have won 4 str gms in relatively impressive fashion. Their ground gm with a now healthy Oliver has gotten better each week TY going from 73 yds in the opener to 290 yds (5.2) LW in their 33-0 win (-10) over WM. The D which was burned in the 1st 3 gms has given up just 71 rush ypg (2.3) the L/3 and will be facing a UMass off that is avg just 282 total ypg. LW s 376 yds in the (-5 ) win over Miami, Oh was their highest total of the ssn but was actually 130 yds less than what MU was all g coming in. Look for the Bulls to continue their winning ways as they make it one step closer to bowl elig. TEXAS ST by 21 over Georgia St - Georgia St played their inaugural Sun Belt game LW cashing versus Troy giving them 4 straight covers. During the ATS win streak, the Panthers were +94 pts vs WV and Bama while being a 10 pt HD to an FCS team and a 16 pt HD LW. They did post an FBS high 422 yards vs Troy but where their lack of depth truly shows is on the defensive side of the ball where they allowed Troy 634 yards. Now for the first time ever they travel as a conf foe playing a team hungry off a loss that allowed just 192 yards but threw a pair of 70+ yard pick-6 s. The Bobcats have won their other 2 home games by 24 ppg (Wyoming and SF Austin) and don t think they ll be afraid to run it up versus a conf foe as evidenced by home wins LY vs previous WAC foes in New Mexico St (66-28) and Idaho (38-7). Akron by 7 over MIAMI, OH - It s time to start using the phrase historically bad in the same sentence as Miami. Many teams have been horrendous but the RedHawks do have the dubious distinction of being the only team to ever be an underdog to UMass then they got outgained Now they return home and Akron gets to be an AF for the first time in 5Y. While we would usually fade the Zips in this unusual role the offense has proven they can play competitively on the road only getting outgained at Michigan, Bowling Green and Northern Illinois by 45 ypg despite an avg line of +25. The Zips have shown they prefer to push the pace and against a defense that is allowing 51% conversions on 3D and 6.7 yds/ply there will be no mercy for this Akron squad, which has lost 30 straight away from home. BAYLOR by 30 over Iowa St - The headlines on Baylor s website read: Football Reaches Highest AP Ranking s/'91. That press has players thinking too highly of themselves which means a bull s-eye for opponents. LW Kansas St almost knocked them from their perch as the Bears were making their first road trip TY and after avg over 16 FD s per half they totaled only 15 on the day finishing with a edge. Iowa St is in an extremely difficult situation having to face the Bears and their offense which has run 78 plys/gm vs conf foes the week after the defense was on the field for 101 plays and 666 yards at Texas Tech. Cyclones have rushed for 174 ypg and 3.9 ypc their last 3 games and with couple of long drives they can shorten the clock as they have done in the past under Rhoads going 5-1 ATS as a 20+ pt dog. Oklahoma by 24 over KANSAS - Oklahoma has won 8 str (all by 14+ and by 26 ppg), and has covered 5 of 7 but LTH the #3 Sooners were -35 and only won LY KU trailed 52-0 after 3Q s getting 7 of their 19 FD s in the 4Q. LW the 2 td favorite Sooners were punched in the mouth by a hungrier underdog Texas tm who beat them in all 3 phases of the gm especially at the LOS where they outrushed the Sooners This is the 4th time in 5Y OU plays KU the week after Texas and after the one game they lost to UT they beat KU (-7 ). In fact, OU is 9-2 ATS off a SU loss the L4Y. Kansas went 3-1 ATS as a HD LY losing as a SD dog and going 3-0 as a DD dog covering by 14 ppg. TY after 4 str ATS losses they covered LW as a 24 pt AD to TCU losing While OU does not have the same explosive offense they had when Bradford/Jones were behind center (avg only 29 ppg TY), look for them to get their ground gm on track while the Sooner front 7 will play feast upon a KU run off that after avg 212 rush ypg (4.6) LY is only avg 79 rush ypg (2.3) vs FBS opp TY. STANFORD by 10 over Ucla - Stanford has won 5 str and covered 4 str before LY s second mtg in P12 champ. It was an unusual first meeting because a UCLA win over Stanford would put the Bruins at Oregon for the P12 Title game where a UCLA loss to Stanford would have them playing SU again. SU controlled that meeting on the road recording 7 sacks and won (-3). The next week they met again in the P12 Title game and the field conditions were poor and the Bruins blew a Q lead. UCLA had a yd edge but lost UCLA went 4-1 ATS as a dog LY (L vs 1st SU) pulling 3 upsets. Stanford was 12-5 ATS vs P12 at home but now is on a 0-5 ATS conf HF run. LW after the tough win over UW, they travelled to Salt Lake City to take on an underrated Utah tm. They found themselves down in the 2H, but were down 6 late in the 4Q and inside the Utah 10 decided to throw it on their final 2 plays even with a timeout and lost (-7 ). UCLA now comes in undefeated after their misleading win (-25 ) over Cal as they got a 97-yd drive for the front door cover after Cal was going in to make it in the 4Q. Look for them to bounce back in a big way here as UCLA is 0-9 SU, 1-8 ATS in the state of CA outside the Rose Bowl and the HT is ATS in the series. The Computer Corner will feature the top plays from our Computer Power Ratings. These plays are based solely on the teams' Power Ratings vs the Vegas Line & do not take into account matchups, injuries, etc. The team that is listed in bold is the computer's selection. 9 on your VIP Debit Card. 5 COMPUTERCORNER Computer Forecast Diff/Vegas Army by 6.1 over TEMPLE 8.6 MICHIGAN ST by 32.3 over Purdue 6.8 TOLEDO by 13.8 over Navy 6.8 Oregon St by 19.4 over CALIFORNIA 9.4 Byu by 3.0 over HOUSTON 6.5 FEATURED PLAYS: In 2010 we added some new plays to Power Sweep. Although the Underdog Play of the Week is considered a Key Selection, this "new category" of plays are not. We review these plays each week while considering the Key Selections, and once again are sharing them with you. We look forward to many winners for this section in 2013! % on the year and % the L3W!!! TECHNICAL PLAY OF THE WEEK... OHIO ST REVENGE PLAY OF THE WEEK...WEST VIRGINIA SITUATIONAL PLAY OF THE WEEK...TEXAS ST Rice by 14 over NEW MEXICO ST - First meeting. NMSt is off a bye and Martin was 2-4 ATS off bye while HC at Kent. NMSt was 7-14 ATS at home under Walker and are now 1-2 ATS this year. Rice is on a 3rd straight away and in the L4Y was only an AF twice (both LY) going 0-2 ATS losing one outright. LW they opened as a favorite at UTSA but the gm was a pick em at KO as Rice won While the final stat line shows they were outfd d and outgained , they did lead 27-7 entering the 4Q. They have won 3 str gms but all have been by SD. NMSt has played well early at home in each of their 3 prev gms TY (outscored only in 1H) but a D that is all g 579 ypg and an incredible 341 rush ypg (7.2!) continues to wear down in the 2H. While Rice is clearly the better tm we fade them here as they have not been an AF of 2 td s since laying 14 to San Jose St in 2004, a gm they lost BOISE ST by 24 over Nevada - Boise has a 14Y streak of finishing #1 or #2 in their conf (BWC, WAC, MW) with 11 #1 s. In Boise s L3Y in the WAC, Nevada was their main threat as the Wolf Pack finished T-#1 and had a pair of #2 s. Boise is 12-1 SU (lost in 10) but Nevada has covered 4 straight. LY was BS s first trip to NV since their upset loss in 10 which cost them a spot in the National Title game. They appeared to have it locked up leading 24-7 after 3Q s (-8) but only finished with a yd edge. BS had a yd edge at the half but UN went 74/5pl for a 6 yd td run with 2:27 left for the backdoor cover. UN is off a bye with a HG vs UNLV on deck and Boise is off a key win over a depleted Utah St tm and have BYU on deck. The win over the Aggies was a bit misleading as they led entering the 4Q and USt scored a td w/:20 left. While Fajardo and Co are capable of the backdoor, Boise is now 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS on the blue turf TY w/a avg score as they are back to wearing the blue unis. Georgia by 10 over VANDERBILT - The Bulldogs have won 6 straight overall and 10 straight in Nashville BUT the home team has covered 3 straight. In UGA s non-covering win in 11 (-11 ) at Vandy, words were exchanged between VU HC Franklin and UGA DC Granthom so both staffs were keyed up prior to LY. It was VU s worst defeat s/ 03 as UGA was -14 at home and rolled to a 48-3 win. It was 48-3 after 3Q s and UGA had a yd edge at the half. The game was our almost 5H as it was our #2 LPS on a 5H weekend and they covered the spread by 30 pts! Vandy is off a bye and they went 4-1 as a HD the L2Y as many teams and players surely looked past them. That hasn t happened off a 9-win season as they are 1-3 ATS at home and in their L/gm were destroyed (E) by Mizzou as we cashed a 4H LPS on the Tigers. UGA LW simply couldn t overcome all the inj s in a loss (-7) to Mizzou. After trailing 28-10, the Bulldogs rallied to w/in 2 but their 2 pt conv failed and they were also -4 in TO s in the loss as they outgained the Tigers After sitting out 2 wks, RB Gurley could be back here and w/a bye on deck, the Bulldogs just need a win before the showdown w/uf. ARIZONA by 7 over Utah - These two play in much different home settings so it s surprising that the visitor is 4-0 ATS and there have been 4 outright upsets in 6 meetings s/ 00. LY AZ was +2 on the road but Carey rushed for 204 yds and Matt Scott ret d to the lineup after missing 1 game with a conc but only hit in the win. Utah led but AZ scored the gm s final 17 pts. Arizona went 1-4 ATS as an FBS HF in RR s 1st ssn and this in their only HG from Sep 14th thru Nov 9th (8 wks). While they are 2-0 SU/ATS at home TY, the covers were only by a comb 1.5 pts. LW they ran into a trap in LA as the Trojans played inspired ball under interim HC Orgeron and jumped out to 28-3 and leads before AZ rallied. One positive was the play of QB Denker down the stretch as he hit after avg just 111 ypg (50%) w/a 2-2 ratio in the 1st 4 gms. The Utes are off one of the biggest wins in schl hist as they upset #5 Stanford (+7 ). It was their 1st win over a top 5 team at home and the biggest win s/ joining the P12. They deserved the win to as they had a FD edge and led before Stan rallied at the end. However, this situation clearly favors the Cats here and Utah is 2-7 ATS on P12 road. FRESNO ST by 28 over Unlv - L/gm 97. UNLV travels to Fresno after recording 4 str wins for the 1st time s/ 00. LW they led Hawaii in the 4Q but the Rainbow Warriors rallied for a lead. The Rebels were able to get a 44-yd FG on the final play as we easily cashed our Top Weekly LPS Totals Play on the OVER as the tms comb for 1,033 yds and 59 FD s (UNLV edge). They now travel to face the MW s best team that is rested off a bye as well as having an easy win vs Idaho the prev week (61-14, -27 ). UNLV was 1-11 ATS as an AD in 10 and 11 and Vegas kept pumping up the # as they went 3-1 ATS LY incl a.5 pt and 3 pt cover. Fresno was lay the wood LY going 6-0 SU/ATS as a HF and 3-0 SU/ATS as an AF. But this year Vegas inflated their numbers and they are 1-4 ATS despite their 5-0 start. We think the Rebs will come in fat and happy here, while Fresno will want to prove who reigns supreme in the MW. PITT by 14 over Old Dominion - First meeting. ODU played EC & MD on the road the F2W but now has beaten 4 FCS tms and is off a bye. QB Heinicke is avg 348 ypg (75%) w/a 14-5 ratio and was inj d in their L/gm (conc, CS). Pitt is off a 19-9 loss at VT as we cashed a 3H LPS on the Hokies who led throughout. Pitt QB Savage was bruised and battered as he was sk d 7x and the offense continues to be hit and miss as they avg d 54 ppg and 563 ypg vs NM/Duke but only 12 ppg and 235 ypg in their other 3 gms. Pitt s D faces a wide open pass offense here and the next 2 wks has to face the option rush offenses of Navy and GT. Chryst is 5-1 ATS as a HF but the Monarchs have plenty of backdoor potential. Tuesday, October 22nd Louisiana at ARKANSAS ST - The home team is 10-2 SU in this series but just 5-7 ATS. UL had won 4 in a row ATS but LY was -4 at home in a Tue Nighter played before 19,873, the smallest in 1.5 seasons of the Hudspeth era. UL was down to bkp QB Broadway and while he hit he had 2 fmbl s and 3 int accounting for 5 TO. ASU went on to win (+4). While UL was our pick to win the SBC in the preseason, the sked edge goes to Ark St here as they are off bye and easy win over Idaho with a bye on deck while UL is on B2B AG s (6-1 ATS). Those 2 road gms will most likely decide SBC title. BIG DOG PLAYS OF THE WEEK TWENTY-EIGHT OUTRIGHT UPSETS I012! 8 ALREADY THIS YEAR!!! AVAILABLE THURSDAYS 220 outright upsets the last 20 years!

7 4 Excellent 3 Very Good 2 Good PRO SELECTIONS HOME TEAM IN CAPS KEY SELECTIONS 4H Carolina by 13 over St Louis - Both teams are off upset wins but they couldn t be more different. The Panthers were traveling for a second straight game and after losing to ARZ despite outgaining them , they went into an emotional Metrodome and Newton led the way with his arm (242, 77%, 3-0). HC Rivera has tried to protect Newton running him only 13 times in the 3 losses but he avg d 8 att s in the wins and scored a td in both. In fact LY when he ran 8 times or more, which opened the passing lanes, CAR went 6-1 ATS failing to cover only vs TB as a dog in OT. The Rams meanwhile are now traveling for a second straight with a 3-3 record incl B2B wins. STL, however, is coming off of a game which defines misleading score as they +4 in TO s and got a 40 yd pen leading to their first TD as they finished getting outgained at HOU. The value of playing against STL doesn t stop there as they ve been outgained in their other 2 wins as well incl JAX at home. The Panthers D has allowed the second fewest FD s and with the Rams avg under 19/gm, there will be no long drives while this being the Rams first game outdoors also can t hurt. 3H Detroit by 10 over Cincinnati - Both took to the road winning vs tms with new HC s playing someone other than their starting QB s. The Lions cashed as our 4H on these pages LW and after a slow start had a H edge with a 15-8 FD advantage. Stafford s early struggles were in part to Megatron not being 100% (8 targets, 3 rec) but another week removed from his injury will have him raring to go. The Bengals are a similar team on defense to the Browns (DET opp LW), but they can t be happy allowing BUF 322 yds without their top WR Smith and with a QB that was on the practice squad the previous week. On offense however CIN does have more weapons than their up north rival with a veteran QB Dalton who had his best game TY (337, 65%, 3-1). DET s #21 pass def is better than their ranking (7-10 ratio) as they ve started the same secondary for 6 str for the 1st time in over 4 yrs! Ford Field plays to the speed strength of Bush/Megatron as well as the DL and we ll take the home team. OTHER SELECTIONS 2H Washington by 6 over Chicago - CHI has a situational edge off LW s win vs NYG on Thurs with WAS having played on SNF. However, NDIV road teams with the extra rest are only 9-16 ATS. This is an interesting matchup with the mercurial Griffin and now healthy RB Morris (74 ypg 5.3) vs a depleted CHI def. The Bears who are all g 67 % comp were down to their 4th and 5th DT s vs NYG (#2 DT Paea may return) and they lost top MLB DJ Williams. CHI has all d only a pair of teams to top 80+ yds rushing TY and failed to cover both while WAS has topped that total mark 20 of the 21 games with RGIII here. On the flip side WAS #32 D is exciting for any QB to face and while Cutler looks much improved under new HC Trestman s offense in his last 5 on the road he has hit only 56% (6-5 ratio). The exclamation mark in this one is that the Bears haven t played well in close games and are ATS in games decided by 8 points or less while the Redskins are 7-6 ATS. OTHER GAMES Seattle at Arizona - Thurs. SEA 0-3 ATS as a div AF under Carroll and lost the L/2 here by 3 pts in OT and by 4 LY. ARZ has been a dog in all 6 TY and while they are playing arguably the 2 most physical teams in a 4 game span they already pulled upsets in both HG s. Marq noon EST on the NC VIP Debit System. New England by 7 over NY Jets - NE came into the ssn having avg d 28 FD/gm while topping 23 or more in every game LY. They opened up with 26 FD s vs BUF and then Ryan and the Jets held Brady to NINE FD s although NE came away win the non-covering win (-11, 13-10) in poor weather. Both teams have injury issues with NE expected to be without Amendola (conc) and CB Talib (hip) while the Jets are minus WR Holmes (hamstring) and CB Cromartie (knee) was limited LW. The Jets actually have the stat edge w/the #19 and #4 units vs NE s #15 and #15 units but the Patriots simply hold onto the ball better (+5 TO s vs -11 TO s). Brady should fare much better with NE finally expected to debut Gronkowski. San Diego by 6 Jacksonville - JAX played DEN very tough LW and trailed when DEN had to roll out a fake punt. Now they host SD who are just the 11th AF with bye on deck off a MNF game (6-4 ATS) s/ 89. Tough to handicap, as a win will have SD 3-3 and focused on every winnable game but if they re off a loss with a 2-4 record will LY s 4-8 finish carryover? This is SD s 1st DD AF role since Wk # and while the road record isn t great (6-4-1 ATS) Rivers has been pretty decent avg 249 ypg (67%, 21-9). LW JAX lost another weapon in WR Shorts (38% of rec yds). Henne gives them a shadow of a competent QB (over twice Gabbert s QBR) and gets the #26 pass def allowing 70% comp w/a 10-1 ratio TY. We won t call for JAX to win outright here as their OL issues are too big but they should cover the spread as home teams that are DD dogs for the 3rd straight are a reasonable ATS. Kansas City by 1 over Houston - Enigmatic, incomprehensible, inscrutable are the adjectives and maybe the answer is pick-6. We have one team 6-0 (5-1 ATS) with the #24 Off and #5 Def vs an 2-4 team (0-6 ATS) with the #6 and #1 units. There are always a handful of games that you can t handicap because of the unknown. This is one of them with a talent laden Texans team that is winless with a All-Pro QB who might be benched under the disguise of an injury for Case Keenum. Texans players stood proud and made public statements LW and they came away with yet another blowout thanks to being -4 in TO s. Now with a bye on deck what will their reaction be. The Chiefs did what they do best LW play mistake free football and they have been even or +TO s in every game TY (+12). They don t care to be fancy (outgained vs OAK) as they are avg 326 ypg and have yet to reach 400 yards. Miami by 4 over Buffalo - After starting 3-0 the Dolphins went into their bye week in a disappointing fashion dropping their L/2 incl vs BAL when they allowed a 44 yd FG with 1:42 left then missed wide left from 57 yds on the final play. Prior to Philbin, Miami was 2-10 as a div HF but did cover LY in Wk 16 vs the Bills and split their 2 HF roles TY. The Dolphins are also a fav of 7+ for only the 2nd time in 4Y and they also covered that as well LY vs JAX (-7, 24-3). The unique stat in this game is that the Dolphins units rank #28 & #24 on Off/Def and while they have faced our toughest set of opponents it s not often you find a sizeable fav that has been outgained in every game so far this year. The Bills struggled as expected with Lewis making his first start at QB being here just 7 days but that was vs the Bengals top 10 D and without star WR Smith who was unavailable (personal). Paired with Spiller who avg d 7.4 ypc on the road LY and ran for 138 (6.3) here in MIA it kept the offense from being a lability. We will take generous points in what we expect to be a pair of conservative game plans. Dallas by 6 over Philadelphia - Eagles fans are never happy but they can t be in an overly hostile mood returning home off B2B road wins with their 3 losses on the season to teams that are a combined DAL meanwhile is off B2B A games battling the Bronco s and losing on the last play in a draining game then coming off that loss having hosted the Skins. While those factors lean PHI the Cowboys are clearly more talented. What we do know is that in LY s tumultuous Cowboys season they played on the road after B2B losses twice winning both incl here as a 2pt fav (38-23). With Vick out LW the Foles led the Eagles to 425 yards and HC Kelly said he would keep all guessing on who makes the start here. One thing the Eagles should be concerned about is a D that has just 4 sacks the L/3 games and has allowed 4 of their 6 foes season highs on offense with the other 2 getting their second highest yardage totals. The road team has covered 4 of 5 w/romo avg 267 ypg (67%) w/a 9-2 ratio in his L5 full games vs the Eagles and with the #4 rush D they can slow the Eagles #1 rush offense. Atlanta by 13 over Tampa Bay - Just 10 yards away from the Super Bowl LY, injuries at LB (Weatherspoon/Biermann) and now to WR Jones (30% of TY s off) have dealt major blows to ATL. The much needed bye week will not only help physically (RB s Jackson & White?) but also mentally. Under HC Smith the Falcons have never lost more than 2 games in a season but they did that in an 8 day window prior to the bye while also losing vs TB here in their reg ssn finale albeit resting starters. Ryan has enjoyed hosting the Buc s hitting 65% with a 4-0 ratio and Tampa has regressed allowing PHI s Foles to look like Peyton throwing for 296 (71%, 3-0) in his first start of the year. Rookie Glennon (273, 60%, 2-1) was handed the job after Freeman was jettisoned and while his numbers were respectable he was 6 SYSTEM Play on a HF if both teams scored 31 or more on the road last week %% THIS WEEKS PLAY: CAROLINA NFL OVER/UNDERS Our Over/Under Section is in its 26th season. Each week we list the Top 5 plays as of Sunday Night. 3H SD/JAX 3H CIN/DET 3H BAL/PIT 2H HOU/KC 2H CHI/WAS at home facing the Eagles #31 D. Throw in the Dome noise and a DL that has had 4+ sks in 2 of their last 3 games and this will be a different story. San Francisco by 7 over Tennessee - While there is no love between SF and SEA, the other should benefit when playing the same team in the second of B2B games. Not only has the team been through a physical battle but in this case SF can make adjustments to any new schemes the Titans threw at Seattle s read option. TEN is off misleading cover vs SEA as a 77 yd return for a td on a flubbed FG as they were outgained LW. RB Johnson was held to 33 yds (2.8) and almost half of Wright s rec yds (32 of 69) came on a rare busted play by SEA s secondary. After these 2 physical games, TEN does get a needed bye but HD s of 6+ are only being 5-11 ATS prior to their break. Fitzpatrick in his 2 sts has hit (54% 6 sks and a 1-4 ratio) as the fact he has one of the weaker arms in the NFL means more defenders creeping up vs the run and intermediate game. We don t mind backing SF on the road under Harbaugh as they are 8-2 SU/ATS vs non-div foes and have covered all 8 wins by at least a TD (14 ppg avg). Green Bay by 17 over Cleveland - The Browns D was ranked #4 going into LW when DET put up 24 pts and 257 yds in the 2H. What happened? The Browns finally faced an offense that was ranked in the top 15 (DET #9) as their first 5 foes avg d #22 on Off. Now they face the league s #2 off on the road which just put up 438 yds at BAL despite some key injuries at WR. What make Rodgers so special is that not only is he accurate he throws deep and he is the only QB beside Manning to hit over 65% AND have a ypa over 8.6. He s been especially sharp at home TY hitting 75% and a 5-0 ratio! On the flip side the Packers Def has been atrocious and are now without LB Matthews but we would still side with them vs CLE s Weeden who was benched for the now inj d Hoyer. In his last 6 starts he has not led CLE to over 20 points and in his lone road start TY he led his team to 6 points and 13 FD s getting sacked 5 times. The Packers had 9 sacks their previous 2 games but there was no fall off without their star LB as they had another 5 in BAL. Lambeau is still special as GB has gone 22-1 SU and 17-5 ATS. Pittsburgh by 4 over Baltimore - As you would expect with these defensive minded teams the dog is 9-2 ATS in the series. PIT went into their bye week 0-4 and came out healthy vs the NY Jets. The Steelers had 4 scoring drives of 8+ plays and while they were held to FG s it was on the road versus the leagues #2 D. BAL meanwhile is on their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and off hosting GB where their D allowed 438 yds. The road has spelled trouble for the Ravens and it starts up front with an OL allowing 3.3 sks/ gm while opening holes for only 72 ypg rushing and 3.1 ypc. Without the time for play action Flacco is hitting 54% with a 4-8 ratio on the road and while they ve put up 24 ppg it was vs D s that came into LW ranked (#20, #24 & #28) while the Steelers are ranked #6. Pittsburgh may be 1-4 but with a win here they know they will only trail BAL by 1/2 a game and they have CIN in their sights. Denver at Indianapolis - Peyton returns home and will honored by the Colts. The Bronco s scoring fest slowed a bit LW as they only won by 16 laying almost 4 TD s LW. It is unknown how Luck and Co. handled their first prime time role at SD but it will make for an unusual week having played on the West Coast and having to deal with the obvious distractions. Denver has covered 9 of their L/10 overall and has gone 8-0 SU (7-1 ATS) on the road while Indy has not only covered all 5 as a HD the L2Y but has pulled the upset in all 5 incl GB, HOU, MIN and SEA. Minnesota at NY Giants - An emotional week for AP and the visiting Vikings who were outgained vs the Panthers. The Giants continued their historically poor start dropping their 6th straight at Chicago but it s obvious that they haven t quit getting their first cover TY. Now these 2 are a combined 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS with defenses that both rank near the bottom. The most amazing stat may be that the Giants are -16 in TO s while the next worst NFC team is -4!! Pride is on the line. NFL LINES AND 2013 STATS OVER OVER UNDER UNDER OVER Byes: Oakland, New Orleans OFFENSE DEFENSE SACK% NC OP SU ATS O/U TO s Ttl Sc Ypp Ttl Sc Ypp Off Def Seattle Seahawks NL (13) (6) 10.2% (27) 8.7% (10) Arizona Cardinals NL (24) (12) 5.9% (8) 6.9% (18) New England Patriots (21) (3) 6.3% (10) 6.4% (23) NY Jets (28) (27) 11.0% (30) 9.0% (8) San Diego Chargers (18) (16) 4.2% (6) 6.7% (21) Jacksonville Jaguars (32) (30) 10.3% (28) 5.0% (28) Houston Texans (30) (32) 6.7% (13) 10.2% (4) Kansas City Chiefs (5) (1) 7.4% (17) 13.3% (1) Cincinnati Bengals (25) (9) 6.5% (12) 8.1% (13) Detroit Lions (10) (10) 4.2% (5) 5.0% (27) Buffalo Bills NL (11) (21) 9.9% (26) 8.4% (12) Miami Dolphins NL NL (9) (11) 13.2% (31) 6.3% (24) Chicago Bears NL NL (4) (25) 4.1% (4) 4.5% (31) Washington Redskins NL (23) (15) 4.1% (3) 10.6% (2) Dallas Cowboys NL NL (2) (22) 6.9% (15) 6.6% (22) Philadelphia Eagles NL (19) (24) 7.2% (16) 4.9% (29) St Louis Rams (3) (20) 5.6% (7) 8.0% (14) Carolina Panthers (16) (2) 10.5% (29) 8.8% (9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (31) (8) 6.1% (9) 7.4% (17) Atlanta Falcons (17) (26) 4.1% (2) 6.3% (25) San Francisco 49ers (8) (14) 8.1% (21) 6.8% (19) Tennessee Titans (12) (7) 7.9% (20) 8.6% (11) Cleveland Browns (22) (23) 9.4% (24) 8.0% (15) Green Bay Packers (20) (13) 7.6% (19) 9.4% (7) Baltimore Ravens (15) (19) 8.1% (22) 10.6% (3) Pittsburgh Steelers (27) (28) 9.8% (25) 4.5% (30) Denver Broncos NL (1) (17) 2.1% (1) 6.8% (20) Indianapolis Colts (6) (4) 7.5% (18) 9.8% (5) Minnesota Vikings (7) (29) 8.3% (23) 5.1% (26) NY Giants NL (29) (31) 6.9% (14) 2.1% (32)

8 Y a r d s Y a r d s Turn Special Rushing Passing Points Overs Teams Quick revenge for the Huskies after last year s bowl loss. PP is making a BOLD statement to start this season as it s forecasting UW to finish with a yard edge. The Broncos have only been outgained by that amount ONCE in the L4Y at Mich St last year (lost 17-13, ). WEEK ONE 2013 Matchups on Thursday 8/29/13. North Carolina South Carolina UNLV Minnesota Tulsa Bowling Green Akron UCF Utah Utah St Mississippi Vanderbilt Rutgers Fresno St USC Hawaii ATS WINS Northwestern 7 Arkansas St 6 Vanderbilt 6 Baylor 6 San Jose 5 ATS LOSS Texas Tech 6 California 5 La Tech 5 Air Force 5 Duke 5 Navy 5 S Alabama 5 USF 5 1 Florida Oklahoma Florida St Arizona St Alabama TCU Oregon Virginia Tech Utah St LSU RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 1 Missouri 2 Army 2 TCU 3 Stanford 3 Missouri 3 Mississippi 3 Notre Dame RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 3 Penn St 122 S Alabama 123 Utah St 124 UTSA 1 Stanford 2 Kansas 122 Fresno St 123 Indiana 124 Army OVERS Oregon St 6 UTSA 5 La Tech 4 Buffalo 7 Toledo 6 Kentucky 4 New Mexico 4 1 Kansas 2 Oklahoma St 122 Bowling Green 123 W Michigan 124 UTSA 1 Arkansas 2 Texas A&M 122 Ohio U 123 N Illinois 124 UTSA 1 Missouri 2 Florida 122 Toledo 123 UTSA 124 N Illinois 1 Missouri 2 California 122 Texas St 123 N Illinois 124 UTSA NORTHCOAST SPORTS TOP 40 POWER POLL The following Power Ratings are a combination of 5 different of our Power Ratings, including his Plus & Minus, Power Plays and Computer Power Ratings NFL POWER RATINGS We grade each team position by position and list the 2013 Power Ratings. Each week we update these Power Ratings in our weekly Power Sweep editions Power Ratings Record TEAM... OPEN 1 Denver Seattle New Orleans Kansas City Green Bay San Francisco Cincinnati Detroit Dallas New England Chicago Baltimore Houston Indianapolis Philadelphia Miami Increase on 11/1/13 CURRENT TEAM... OPEN CURRENT 17 Atlanta Carolina Tennessee Cleveland NY Jets St Louis Pittsburgh Minnesota San Diego Arizona Oakland Washington Buffalo Tampa Bay NY Giants Jacksonville POWER RATING PLAY OF THE WEEK: JACKSONVILLE REG SSN MEETINGS S/' POWER SWEEP 74 / 114 mail Call How true rookie HC's TOTALS fare in the following situations Note Home/Away are SU only 2011 % 2012 % 2013 % Comb % SU % % % % Home % % % % Away % % % % O/U % % % % Home Fav % % % % Home Dog % % % % Away Fav % % % % Away Dog % % % % vs Conf % % % % vs Non-Conf % % % % Off SU Win % % % % Off SU Loss 0-4 0% % % % Fav % % % % By 3 or Less % % % % Single Digit % % % % Double Digit % % % % UNDERDOG % % % % By 3 or Less 0-0 0% 0-0 0% 0-0 0% % Single Digit % % % % Double Digit % % % % DIVISIO-5 29% % % % Home Fav % % % % Home Dog % % % % Away Fav % % % % Away Dog 0-2 0% % 0-6 0% % VS Non-Div 0-0 0% 0-3 0% 0-1 0% % Home Fav % % % % Home Dog % % % % Away Fav 0-4 0% % % % Away Dog % % % % Scored < % % % % Scored > % % % % Allowed < % % % % Allowed > % % % % Win by 3 or % % % % Lost by 3 or % % % % Win by % % % % Lost by % % % % After Win as Dog 0-0 0% % % % After Lose as Fav 0-3 0% % % % ARIZONA 2012 at SEA L LAD W O 2012 SEA ' W WHD W U 2011 SEA -3 40' W PHF P O 2011 at SEA L LAF W U 2010 SEA L LHF L O 2010 at SEA L LAD W U NY JETS 2013 at NE UPDATE AFTER FIRST MEETING THIS YEAR 2012 NE 7 48' L LHD L O 2012 at NE L WAD L O 2011 NE L LHF L O 2011 at NE 7 50' L LAD W O 2010 at NE ' 3-45 L LAD W O 2010 NE 3 38' W WHD W O JACKSONVILLE 2011 SD 3 39' L LHD L O 2010 at SD L LAD W O KANSAS CITY 2010 at HOU 4 44' L PAD P O DETROIT - NONE MIAMI 2012 BUF W WHF W U 2012 at BUF L LAD W U 2011 at BUF 2 40' W WAD L O 2011 BUF W WHF W U 2010 BUF L LHF L U 2010 at BUF W WAF L U WASHINGTON 2010 at CHI 3 40' W WAD L U PHILADELPHIA 2012 at DAL L WAD L O 2012 DAL L LHD L O 2011 at DAL W WAD L U 2011 DAL -3 48' 34-7 W WHF W U 2010 DAL L LHF L U 2010 at DAL W LAF W O CAROLINA 2010 at STL L LAD W U ATLANTA 2012 TB -3 45' L LHF L U 2012 at TB W WAF L U 2011 TB W WHF W O 2011 at TB L LAD W U 2010 at TB -3 43' W WAF L O 2010 TB ' W LHF L O TENNESSEE - NONE GREEN BAY - NONE PITTSBURGH 2012 at BAL ' W WAD L O 2012 BAL ' L HD W U 2011 BAL L LHF L O 2011 at BAL 1 36' 7-35 L LAD W O 2010 at BAL 3 39' W WAD L U 2010 BAL L LHF L U INDIANAPOLIS 2010 at DEN W WAF L U NY GIANTS 2010 MIN ' 21-3 W WNF N U 2013 WEST SOUTH NORTH EAST WEST SOUTH NORTH EAST POWER SWEEP subs Can ADD A POWER PLAYS SUBSCRIPTION 39 DOWNLOAD 69 MAILED Ten or more 4H Plays Each Week! Call We ll talk to you soon! conf ttl rush rush pass pass sk ttl rush rush pass pass sk to AFC s u s u p p g y p g at s o/u o f f o f f y p c o f f p c t v s d e f d e f y p c d e f p c t b y e d g New England Miami Ny Jets Buffalo Cincinnati Baltimore Cleveland Pittsburgh Indianapolis Tennessee Houston Jacksonville Denver Kansas City San Diego Oakland conf ttl rush rush pass pass sk ttl rush rush pass pass sk to NFC s u s u p p g y p g at s o/u o f f o f f y p c o f f p c t v s d e f d e f y p c d e f p c t b y e d g Philadelphia Dallas Washington Ny Giants Detroit Chicago Green Bay Minnesota New Orleans Carolina Atlanta Tampa Bay Seattle San Francisco St Louis Arizona LAST WEEK'S NFL STATS RUSHING PASSING TEAM LINE SCORE FD Att-Yds Comp-Att-Yds I/F NFL Week Five October 6th & 7th San Diego Oakland -5 45' Houston San Francisco 42' NY Jets Atlanta NFL Week Six Oct 10th & 13th NY Giants Chicago 48-7' Oakland Kansas City 41-7' Philadelphia Tampa Bay -3 44' Green Bay Baltimore -2' Detroit Cleveland Carolina Minnesota 44' -2' St Louis Houston 42' -7' Pittsburgh NY Jets Cincinnati Buffalo OT -5' 27 41' Tennessee Seattle 41' Jacksonville Denver 52' 19-26' Arizona San Francisco New Orleans New England 50' PRO STATISTICS 2013 NFL TEAM RANKINGS PRO STAT PLAY: HOUSTON PRO ANGLES NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS ARZ is 5-2 as a Div dog ATL is in Div play BAL is on the road BUF is 3-9 on the road BUF is 2-5 as a Div dog CAR is 4-8 as a NDIV HF CHI is 6-1 away vs NDIV CIN is on the road CLE is 3-7 as a NDIV AD DAL is as an AF DEN is 5-2 as an AF DET is 10-6 as a HF GB is 14-6 hosting a NDIV foe GB is 13-5 vs the AFC HOU is 0-7 vs NDIV foe IND is 5-0 as a HD JAX is 5-12 at home JAX is 2-8 vs NDIV KC is 6-3 as a NDIV fav MIA is 1-8 as a fav of 7 or more PHI is 0-7 as a HD PHI is 5-10 hosting a Div foe SD is 2-6 as a favorite SD is vs NDIV foes SF is 8-2 away vs NDIV SF is as a favorite SEA is 6-3 on the road STL is 3-6 vs a NDIV foe TB is 1-4 on the road TEN is 1-4 vs the NFC WAS is 3-8 hosting a NDIV foe Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 31 ISSUE 1 August 31, 2013 COLLEGE WEEK ONE % L/6Y!! Week One 4.5H s 67% L2Y!! 1 ST PLACE IN POWER SWEEP NEWSLETTER CONTEST in 4 OF THE LAST 6 YEARS!!! The most unique Power Ratings in the country! They are based on our Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer ratings, as we take into account all of the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, Passing Defense, Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges and Successful Unbalanced Attacks. POWER PLAYS NEWSLETTER INCLUDE THESE ACTUAL 2013 EXAMPLES: An average of TEN+ 4H s per week! STREAKERS EXCLUSIVE PASS EFF D RANKINGS to follow who is HOT A projected box score on EVERY GAME! and who is NOT Strength of Opponents faced s Top 10 Finish BELOW IS AN ACTUAL WEEK ONE WRITEUP FOR 2013!!!!!!!!! PASS EFFICIENCY DEFENSE BOISE ST WASHINGTON PLAY: 4H WASHINGTON 33 BOISE ST 20 WEEKLY MATCHUP STAT COMPARISON up-to-date avg for road team and home avg for host STREAKERS STREAKERS UTEP 4 UNDERS TOP 20 AND BOTTOM final # s. Updated weekly thru the season on who has faced the toughest and easiest units. 1 Alabama 2 Ohio St 3 Oregon 4 Florida St 5 Texas (4) Angle Plays % L/10Y! (3) GREEN BAY (3) SAN FRANCISCO NORTHCOAST COMP LINE IS YOUR SOURCE FOR FREE WINNERS! EARLY BIRD A WINNER AGAIN! NOW 5-2 TY!!!

9 SBC MW INDEP Off Off Def Def YPG Scr All All All BYU Notre Dame Old Dominion (9.8) Navy (26-29) Army (176.9) (16-43) Idaho (219.8) (16-49) New Mexico St Off Off Def Def YPG Scr MOUNTAIN Conf All Conf All Conf All Wyoming Boise St Utah St (52.5) (30-33) Colorado St (52.7) New Mexico (117.9) (25-38) Air Force WEST Conf All Conf All Conf All Fresno St (33-36) UNLV (2.7) (27-33) San Diego St (54.2) (31-38) Nevada (24-29) San Jose St (108.5) (23-35) Hawaii Off Off Def Def YPG Scr conf All Conf All Conf All Louisiana Arkansas St WKU Troy (92.3) (17-30) ULM S Alabama (162.0) (17-38) Georgia St (73.0) (23-24) Texas St What have we done for you lately? Check out Weeks Late Phones L3W College Sides and Sunday LPS: THE LONGER YOU SUBSCRIBE 2014 Renewal Exp 11/1/13 THE MORE YOU SAVE! When taking advantage of pricing, must be a '13 sub renewing for future 2013 COLLEGE STANDINGS MAC CUSA Week 7 College 4 H Wisconsin (-10) 35 Northwestern 6 WIN 4 H Mississippi St (-11) 21 Bowling Green 20 loss 4 H Tulane (+10') 36 E Carolina 33 WIN 3 H N Texas (-6) 34 Middle Tenn 7 WIN 3 H Virginia Tech (-7) 19 Pittsburgh 9 WIN NFL 4'H Houston (-7) 13 St Louis 38 loss 3 H Detroit (-2) 31 Cleveland 17 WIN 3 H Seattle (-11') 20 Tennessee 13 loss Off Off Def Def YPG Scr EAST Conf All Conf All Conf All Marshall E Carolina (88.3) (29-39) UAB (193.5) (12-40) FIU (112.9) (23-30) Middle Tenn (22-26) FAU (76.2) (12-37) Southern Miss WEST Conf All Conf All Conf All (68.9) Tulane (27.7) (26-27) Rice North Texas (33.7) (20-27) LA Tech (35.8) (23-33) Tulsa (23-34) UTSA (43.7) (31-38) UTEP Off Off Def Def YPG Scr EAST Conf All Conf All Conf All Bowling Green (43.0) Buffalo Ohio (170.3) (9-28) UMass (130.1) (19-30) Kent St (270.7) (9-33) Miami, OH (101.7) (19-34) Akron WEST Conf All Conf All Conf All Ball St N Illinois Toledo (73.3) (19-33) Central Mich (113.3) (18-40) Eastern Mich (133.3) (13-37) Western Mich Week 6 College 5 H SMU (+3') 52 Rutgers 55 WIN 4 H Ohio St (-6') 40 Northwestern 30 WIN 4 H Stanford (-8) 31 Washington 28 loss 4 H Missouri (-1) 51 Vanderbilt 28 WIN 3 H Virg Tech (-7) 27 N Carolina 17 WIN 3 H Tulane (+3) 24 N Texas 21 WIN 3 H BYU (-5') 31 Utah St 14 WIN NFL 3' H New Orleans (-1) 26 Chicago 18 WIN 3 H Cleveland (-3') 37 Buffalo 24 WIN 3 H Atlanta (-10) 28 NY Jets 30 loss Week 5 College 4 H Ohio St (-6') 31 Wisconsin 24 WIN 4 H Idaho (+7') 26 Temple 24 WIN 4 H SMU (+17') 17 TCU 48 loss 3 H Houston (-2) 59 UTSA 28 WIN 3 H Alabama (-13') 25 Mississippi 0 WIN NFL 4 H Houston (-2) 20 Seattle 23 loss 3 H Detroit (-3') 40 Chicago 32 WIN 3 H New Orleans (-6') 38 Miami 17 WIN Rest of Renewal 2015 Renewal 69 / 99 mail 74 / 114 mail 69 / 109 mail PACKAGE: VIP Acct Non-Subs 2013 Sub 2014 Sub 2015 Sub Pricing PAY: PAY: PAY: PAY: TOP PLAY TRIO Includes Fri and Mon Marquees! Sat Sides & NFL Includes Thurs/Fri/Mon Marquees! Wk 8 Exec (Tues-Mon) Not a Current Subscriber? It's never too late to subscribe! Current Rates For: 69 '13 for the subscription to POWER SWEEP add 30 for mail delivery. 69 '13 for the subscription to POWER PLAYS add 30 for mail delivery. 39 '13 for the subscription to POWER PLAYS if I am a 2013 subscriber to Power Sweep. This subscription does not include any bonus offers POWER SWEEP or POWER PLAYS subscriptions. Exp date TBA 8 SUBSCRIBE FOR 2013 AND PAY JUST 69 / 99 MAIL Plus YOU WILL RECEIVE A FREE MARQUEE 7 PACK! Mail Payments to us at: NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE PO Box Cleveland, OH Make a Credit Card Payment: and online ncsports.com 125 Rest of Oct Marquees Rest of '13 Marquees At least 70 Marquees!