POWER SWEEP. Volume 36 Issue 13 November 24, COLLEGE 4H s %! DOG WINS AGAIN!

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1 FOLLOW US ON IND PAC-12 BIG TEN ACC BIG 12 AAC SOUTH NORTH WEST EAST COASTAL ATLANTIC WEST EAST 2018 COLLEGE STANDINGS Ttl Scr Ttl Scr Net Avg SU ATS O/U Off Off Def Def Ypg Scr Conf All Conf All Conf All POWER SWEEP MAC CUSA SBC MW SEC EAST WEST MOUNTAIN WEST EAST WEST EAST WEST $ Years TWENTY FIVE - NFL POWER SWEEPS (ALL H S WINNING) ncsports.com Volume 36 Issue 13 November 24, COLLEGE 4H s %! DOG WINS AGAIN! NFL 4H WINS AGAIN!! % L2Y! NFL 4H 4 STRAIGHT BY 23PPG! COLLEGE 2H s % L5Y! NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE P.O. BOX CLEVELAND, OHIO UCF Cincinnati Temple USF East Carolina Connecticut Houston SMU Tulane Memphis Navy Tulsa Oklahoma West Virginia Texas Iowa St Texas Tech Baylor Oklahoma St TCU Kansas St Kansas Clemson Syracuse Boston College NC State Wake Forest Florida St Louisville Pittsburgh Virginia Georgia Tech Virginia Tech Duke Miami, Fl North Carolina Michigan Ohio St Michigan St Penn St Maryland Indiana Rutgers Northwestern Wisconsin Purdue Iowa Illinois Minnesota Nebraska Washington St Washington Stanford Oregon California Oregon St Utah Arizona Arizona St USC Colorado UCLA Notre Dame BYU Army West Point Liberty UMass New Mexico St EAST WEST 2018 Northcoast Sports Service 2018 COLLEGE STANDINGS Ttl Scr Ttl Scr Net Avg SU ATS O/U Off Off Def Def Ypg Scr Conf All Conf All Conf All Georgia Kentucky Florida South Carolina Missouri Tennessee Vanderbilt Alabama LSU Texas A&M Auburn Miss St Mississippi Arkansas Utah St Boise St Colorado St Wyoming Air Force New Mexico Fresno St San Diego St Nevada Hawaii San Jose St UNLV Troy Appalachian St GA Southern Coastal Carolina Georgia St ULM Arkansas St Louisiana Texas St South Alabama MiddTennessee FIU Marshall Florida Atlantic Charlotte Old Dominion WKU UAB Louisiana Tech North Texas Southern Miss UTSA UTEP Rice Buffalo Ohio Miami, OH Akron Bowling Green Kent St North Illinois West Michigan East Michigan Toledo Ball St Cent Michigan

2 CAPS Home Team lower case away team Neutral site (B) Bowl game (C) Conf Champ Year in 14 column last time they met No yr In 14 column first meeting THURSDAY November 22, 2018 NC Open afa +10/ Colorado St NL AFA -6/ Air Force CSU +3/ NC Open um +15/ Mississippi St NL msu +10/ Mississippi um -1 / FRIDAY November 23, 2018 NC Open UA +12 / Akron OU -10 / Ohio ou -2 / NC Open ECU +3 / E Carolina UC -2/ Cincinnati uc +1 / NC Open E Michigan Kent St NC Open UB -8/ Buffalo BG -13 / Bowling Green bg -8/ NC Open ui -4 / Nebraska UI -2 / Iowa ui -1 / NC Open UT -33 / Texas -21 NL KU +23 / Kansas UT -28/ NC Open um -9 / Arkansas UM +8/ Missouri UA -14/ NC Open Coastal Carolina S Alabama NC Open ut -7 / C Michigan UT -10/ Toledo ut -4/ COLLEGE 4H s 8-4 THIS YEAR! DOG WINS AGAIN! COLLEGE 2H S % LAST 5 YEARS! COLLEGE FEATURED PLAYS NOW % L7W! NFL 4H 4 Straight - Now % last 2 years!! It was a rare losing week for the Power Sweep newsletter last week as we lost our 3 Key Selections, however our Underdog Play of the Week was an outright winner for the fourth time this season and we split our 2H selections. Despite a loss last week, the 4H College Key Selection is still a superb 8-4 on the season! The College 2H s since 2014 are still a super %!!! The Computer Corner had a rare losing week as well, but has shown a profit in 8 of the 12 weeks so far this season! The Featured Plays on Page 5 continue to be on fire, including 2-1 last week and in the last 7 weeks have gone %!!! The NFL Key Selections split, but the top play won once again for the 4th consecutive week! In fact, those 4 victories have been dominating with a 23 point average cover! Our 2 year record on NFL 4H Keys is now %!!! TOP COLLEGE TOTAL NOW % L2Y! COLLEGE TOTALS now % L6W!!! NFL TOP PLAY % ON THE SEASON! NFL LATE PHONES % L/13W!!! COLLEGE 5H SIDE & College TOTAL GOY THIS WEEK! We are coming off a weekend where our Late Phones combined to finish 7-5 as our top plays had another winning week, going 2-1. In fact, our top plays are on a % run the last 6 weeks! Going into this weekend we have a number of games circled in CFB that will include a 5H side release and our CFB Totals Game of the Year! While other services have to concentrate not only on football, but also basketball and hockey, we are a football only service, which easily explains our success! We ve said it over and over again that Sundays were fun days here as our NFL Late Phones are ON FIRE!!! While LW s plays did go 1-2 including our first Top Play loss of the season with the Texans (23-21 Win as 3 pt favorite), we are still % the L13W dating back to Wk 2 Preseason!!! Our NFL Top Late Phone Play is still % on the Season! You do not want to miss our Top NFL Play this weekend with that kind of record!! With our Outstanding NFL Plays, a 5H side release in CFB and our CFB Totals Game of the Year, make sure you check out page 8 for more details!!! COLLEGE BUTTON #9 COMP PLAYS NOW % LAST 8 WEEKS!!!! TEN FREE PLAYS EACH WEEK! EARLY BIRD EVERY MONDAY!! THE STORE AT NCSPORTS.COM IS!!!Visit Us Today! WEEK THIRTEEN COLLEGE MATCHUP HISTORY NC Open UCF -10/ UCF USF -10/ USF usf -23/ NC Open UO -25/ Oregon OSU +3/ Oregon St UO -35/ NC Open um +2 / Houston UM +6 / Memphis -14 NL UH -5 / NC Open vt -7/ Virginia VT -17 / Virginia Tech vt -3 / NC Open OU -22 / Oklahoma -4 PK ou -3 / West Virginia OU -6 / NC Open UW -10/ Washington uw -6/ Washington St UW -8/ SATURDAY November 24, 2018 NC Open up +11 / Pittsburgh UM -3/ Miami, FL um +7/ NC Open uc +10/ Temple tu -10/ Connecticut TU -13/ NC Open ul -9 / Kentucky uk +27/ Louisville ul -5 / NC Open cu -13 / S Carolina CU -25 / Clemson cu -20 / NC Open msu -13 / Rutgers MSU -15 / Michigan St msu -13/ NC Open gst -4/ Ga Southern GST +3/ Georgia St gst +21/ NC Open fiu +16 / Marshall FIU +2 / FIU MU -10/ NC Open bc -3/ Syracuse su +4/ Boston College -10 NL SU +3/ NC Open osu -12 / Michigan OSU -5/ Ohio St osu E/ NC Open nwu -16 / Illinois NWU -16 / Northwestern nwu ( ) -3 / NC Open ug -11/ Ga Tech gt +4 / Georgia ug -4/ NC Open WFU -11/ Wake Forest wfu +6 / Duke du -4/ NC Open uw -18/ Minnesota UW -14/ Wisconsin -21 NL uw -2 / NC Open NCSU -16/ NC State ncsu +10/ N Carolina unc -3 / NC Open lt +6 / WKU WKU (C) -10/ Louisiana Tech LT +2 / NC Open ODU -7/ ODU Rice NC Open USM -22 / Southern Miss usm -12 / UTEP USM -24/ NC Open New Mexico St Liberty Northcoast Sports Every Thursday Featuring 2 Northcoast Handicappers Big Ten, Big 12 and AAC conf coordinator Antonio Castro ACC, CUSA, SEC conf coordinator Chris Van Dine Visit our new website at for the podcast link and so much more! (The NCStore is open!) 2 NC Open bsu -9 / NC Open fsu -17/ Utah St BSU -21 / San Jose St sjsu -3/ Boise St USU +9 / Frenso St SJSU -4/ NC Open uu -3/ NC Open KSU -2/ Kansas St ksu -6/ BYU UU -3 / Iowa St KSU -3 / Utah uu (B) -2 / NC Open LSU -10/ NC Open LSU lsu -6 / Troy TU -1/ App State ASU -24/ NC Open UW +1 / Purdue IU -21/ Indiana iu -6 / Wyoming UNM +3/ NC Open NAVY -10 / New Mexico unm -3 / Navy navy -6/ NC Open UAB +4 / Tulane NAVY -23 / UAB NC Open ulm +6 / Midd Tenn Louisana ull -6 / NC Open COL -3 / Colorado California NC Open SU -7/ Texas A&M LSU -5 / NC Open PU -2 / ULM ULL -11 / NC Open SMU -9 / SMU UT -15 / Tulsa ut -2 / NC Open fau -23 / Stanford su -3/ Charlotte uc +13/ UCLA SU -6 / FAU fau -10/ NC Open vu +1 / NC Open ASU -26 / Arkansas St asu -24/ Tennessee -6 NL VU +7 / Texas St ASU -26/ Vanderbilt UT -18/ NC Open UNT +2 / NC Open tcu +13/ N Texas UTSA -3 / Oklahoma St -1 NL osu +6 / UTSA UNT +7/ TCU OSU +5/ NC Open UND -3 / NC Open fsu -5/ Notre Dame USC -17 / USC UND -5/ Florida FSU -7 / NC Open AU +5/ Florida St fsu -2 / Auburn UA -17 / NC Open psu -22 / Alabama ua -14/ Maryland PSU E/ NC Open UN -3/ Penn St psu ( ) -5/ Nevada un +10/ NC Open ttu ( ) -8 / UNLV unlv +5 / NC Open sdsu -8 / Texas Tech ttu ( ) +5 / Hawaii SDSU -21 / Baylor bu ( ) -17/ San Diego St sdsu +2 / NC Open ASU +2/ Arizona St UA +1 / Arizona ASU -7/ NFL Top Late Phone Play % THIS YEAR!!! 2018: 3 H UNDER 42 Jacksonville (20) NY Giants (15) WIN 3 H UNDER 42 NY Giants (13) Dallas (20) WIN 3 H UNDER 41 Dallas (13) Seattle (24) WIN 4 H Sep NFL GOM New England (-6 ) 38 Miami 7 WIN 3 H Pittsburgh (-3) 41 Atlanta 17 WIN 3 H Atlanta (-3) 34 Tampa Bay 29 WIN 3 H UNDER 41.5 Dallas (17) Washington (20) WIN 4 H Oct NFL GOM Washington (-1) 20 NY Giants 13 WIN 3 H Houston (+1 ) 19 Denver 17 WIN 3 H Green Bay (-10) 31 Miami 12 WIN 4 H Nov NFL GOM Houston (-3) 23 Washington 21 loss BIG GAMES % 2018: 4 H Nov NFL GOM Houston (-3) 23 Washington 21 loss 5 H College Game of the Year Arizona St (-11 ) 31 UCLA 28 loss 4 H Oct NFL GOM Washington (-1) 20 NY Giants 13 WIN 5 H Oct College Side GOM Arkansas (+1) 31 Vanderbilt 45 loss 3 H OCT MARQUEE GOM Boston College (+3.5) 27 Miami 14 WIN 5 H CTOT Oct GOM UNDER 54 North Texas (21) UAB (29) WIN 5 H Arkansas (+6 ) 33 Ole Miss 37 WIN 5 H Clemson (-16) 49 Georgia Tech 21 WIN 4 H Sep NFL GOM New England (-6 ) 38 Miami 7 WIN 4 H CTOT Sep GOM OVER 70 Alabama (62)/Ole Miss (7) loss 2017: 5 H Marshall (-14) 21 Kent St 0 WIN 4 H CTOT Sep GOM UNDER 47 San Diego St (28)/Air Force (24) loss 4 H Sep NFL GOM Kansas City (-3) 24 LA Chargers 10 WIN 4 H Oct NFL GOM UNDER 46 Miami (20) Atlanta (17) WIN 4 H Ctot Oct GOM OVER 50' Maryland (13)/Wisconsin (38) WIN 5 H Oct College Side GOM Ohio St (-6 ) 39 Penn State 38 loss MARQUEE GAME OF THE YEAR Idaho (+18) 21 Troy 24 WIN 4 H COLLEGE TOTALS GOY OVER 63 Ole Miss (34)/Kentucky (37) WIN 5 H 2017 COLLEGE SIDE GOY Alabama -14 (31) Miss St 24 loss 4 H Nov NFL GOM Denver (-2 ) 17 Cincinnati 20 loss 5 H Boston College (-3) 42 Syracuse 14 WIN 5 H 2017 NFL GOY Buffalo (-3 ) 24 Miami (16) WIN 5 H 2017 BOWL GOY Northwestern -9 (24) Kentucky 23 loss 4 H NFL Playoff GOY Minnesota (-5) 29/New Orleans (24) push

3 4 Excellent 3 Very Good 2 Good COLLEGE SELECTIONS HOME TEAM IN CAPS KEY SELECTIONS 4H TEXAS A&M over Lsu - LSU has won all 6 SEC mtgs SU/ATS. They struggled in Nov under the prev regime but we expect HC Fisher to have the Aggies playing their best here. We went with the A&M as our 4H Top LPS last week. The Aggies led 34-7 at half and won (-16 ). LSU enters off a relaxing (-42 ) win over Rice. LSU held a yd edge at half. The Tigers D allows 88 ypg less than their foes avg (#17 in FBS) but A&M allows 94 ypg less than their foes avg (#13 in FBS) and just 81 (3.0) rush ypg. Against their SEC West foes, A&M is -4 ppg but ypg while LSU is +4.8 ppg and -5.8 ypg. A&M is 6-0 ATS (+183 ypg) and we feel the Aggies can shut down the Tigers run game. FORECAST: TEXAS A&M by 10 3H Notre Dame over USC - Following an easy 33 pt win LW in the Bronx against Syracuse to stay in the Top 4 of the CFB Playoffs, the Irish head to LA for their final contest of the regular ssn against the Trojans. USC meanwhile returns home still in need of that elusive 6th win following a 7 pt loss LW in the Rose Bowl to rival UCLA (6 str bowl berths heading into 18). In their trip to South Bend a ssn ago, the Trojans came in banged up and playing in their 3rd straight road contest (ND off a bye). The Irish would go on to earn the easiest win in this storied series (dates back to 1926) with a victory ( yd edge). While the home team has now won 5 in a row both SU & ATS coming in and USC would love to end the Irish s undefeated streak, a 1-5 ATS streak at home for the Trojans dating back to LY has us calling for ND to get the 17 pt win in this one. FORECAST: Notre Dame by 17 3H Illinois (+) over NORTHWESTERN - It s Sr day in Evanston & the Land of Lincoln Trophy is at stake. NW is on a 3-0 SU/ATS series run, winning by 22 ppg & covering by 10 ppg. IL is travelling for the 4th time in 6 wks & enters off their worst shutout loss s/1906! NW clinched a spot in the B10 Title gm 2 wks ago & despite a flat spot situation, won LW (+3 TO s). IL avg 252 (6.0) rush ypg & NW is all g 144 (4.6) in B10 play. NW is 0-3 TY as home chalk incl being upset twice. NW s largest win is 14 pts as they don t have the OFF to blow tms out. IL should be angry off their historic blowout loss & will be focused in a rivalry gm. NW has played to the level of their competition all ssn so why should this game be any different? FORECAST: NORTHWESTERN by 9 OTHER SELECTIONS 2H NORTH CAROLINA over Nc State - This is a dog dominated series with 13 outright upsets in the L/20 mtgs and the dog is 15-5 ATS overall. The Tar Heels enter off an easy (-30 ) win over FCS Western Carolina. NCSt beat L ville 52-10, but was only -107 yds and all d 254 (6.7) rush. The Tar Heels avg 197 rush ypg (5.4). NC is +65 ypg at home while NCSt is +23 ypg on the road. The Tar Heels allow 56.8% compl and held QB Finley w/o a td pass LY. NCSt has struggled lately and we are calling for NC to end their ssn on a positive note and possibly save HC Fedora s job. FORECAST: NORTH CAROLINA by 1 2H Ucf over USF - It s Sr day in Tampa & the War on I-4 Trophy is on the line. USF is on a 7-2 ATS series run. UCF is travelling for the 1st time in 5 wks & hasn t let the undefeated pressure get the best of them. They re off an impressive win vs Cincy as they led Q. USF had plenty of? during their 7-0 start & now enters having lost 4 str after being held to a ssn low 266 yds LW, failing to protect a 17-0 HT lead. UCF is avg 258 (5.8) rush ypg, while USF is all g 232 (4.8)! USF is also -31 ypg at home. UCF is 7-3 as road chalk & has yet to prove they can t handle pressure so winning over their arch rival by nearly 3 td s shouldn t be an issue. FORECAST: UCF by 21 OTHER GAMES THURSDAY November 22ND: Colorado St at AIR FORCE - Against 5 common MW foes TY AF is 1-4 SU (1-3-1 ATS) and are +14 ypg & -3 ppg while CSU is 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS and are -19 ypg & -17 ppg. CSU is off a near upset (lost 29-24, GW TD negated by flag) vs Utah St, while AF blew a lead in the final 5 min to lose vs WY. AF avg s 298 rush ypg vs MW foes, while the CSU DEF allows 204 rush ypg this ssn (221 rush ypg all d L3W). Overall AF is 23-6 SU at home s/ 14 and AF is 10-2 SU vs CSU and the home team is 15-5 SU in the series w/ 3 outright upsets the L4Y. Neither team can reach a bowl this ssn, but are playing for the The Ram-Falcon trophy. Mississippi St at MISSISSIPPI - Miss St is out for legit revenge from LY s (-15 ) loss when QB Fitzgerald went out with a gruesome ankle inj. The home tm is 0-3 SU/ATS in the series. LW MSU led 17-3 at half then destroyed Ark in the 2H and won 52-6 (-21 ). Ole Miss enters off a (+3) OT loss to Vandy where they held a +191 yd edge but settled for 5 fg s. Both tms ply d w/o their starting RB s last week due to inj. The Bulldogs have a huge edge on defense, holding foes to 138 ypg below their avg (#4 in FBS) and have held 4 foes to their lowest yards on the ssn. Against their SEC West foes, MSU is +7 ppg & +69 ypg while Ole Miss is -22 ppg & -95 ypg. UM has failed to cover their L/5 as a dog. FRIDAY November 23RD: OHIO by 28 over Akron - Bobcats are playing with legitimate revenge as LY their saw their 9 gm win streak vs the Zips broken in a loss (-12 ), which ended up costing them a trip to the MAC Championship. LW Ohio destroyed MAC East leader Buffalo as a 2 pt HD, outgaining them Including 437 yds rushing, with an outstanding 7.8 ypc. LW Akron was upset by BG 27-7 as a 6 pt HF, als they allowed 221 yds rushing & 5.4 ypc. Against their 5 common MAC foes Ohio is 3-2 SU & ATS(+13.2 ppg, +104 ypg), while Akron is just 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS (-13.2 ppg, -133 ypg). Akron still has slim bowl hopes (need to win & beat SC), while Ohio still has a shot at the Div title (need to win and UB & Miami to both lose). We will look for the Bobcats hopes to survive here. CINCINNATI by 13 over East Carolina - It s Sr day in Cincy & UC is 5-0 ATS as the host in this series. UC is home for the 3rd time in 4 wks, but enters off an emotional loss at UCF, holding the Knights to a ssn low 402 yds. EC snapped a 5 gm skid LW in their blowout over UConn, cashing another Early Bird winner on our comp line (free every Monday, 64% winners L21Y!). UC RB Warren has run for 1,163 (5.2), but has been held under 100 rush yds 3 of the L/4 gms & EC is all g 3.5 ypc away. UC is 5-9 as home chalk & we ll call for EC to keep it closer than expected. Eastern Michigan by 14 over KENT ST - Kent St is 6-2 vs EM s/ 97 winning the L/4, but haven t plyd since a win in 12. EM is off a late ssn bye. They beat Akron wks ago as an 11 pt HF to become bowl eligible for the 2nd time in the L/3 yrs. KSU is off a blowout loss to Toledo as they trailed early 3Q before only losing by 22 as a 12 pt HD. Both could have had much better ssn s as EM had 4 close losses incl three by 3 pts each to SDSt, NIU & WM. while KS had two 1 pt losses to Akron & impressively Ohio as a 12 pt HD. Vs their 4 common MAC foes EM was 3-1 SU & ATD (+9.3 ypg, +92 ypg), while KS was 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS (-21.3 ppg, -113 ypg). We will look for EM to get their 7th win that would all but guarantee their 3rd bowl bid in school history. Buffalo by 21 over BOWLING GREEN - LY the Bulls ended a 6 gm losing streak to the Falcons winning as an 8 pt HF with a yd edge. The Falcons are on a 2 gm winning streak upsetting both CM & Akron under interim-hc/dc Carl Pelini. Buffalo came into LW, with a 9 gm conf winning streak (6-0 TY) and were punched in the mouth by Ohio as they trailed 31-7 late 2Q & were outgained yds in a loss as a 2 pt AD. Of course BG also lost to Ohio as a 16 pt AD (outgained ). Against their other 5 common foes Buffalo is 5-0 SU & ATS (+17.0 ppg, +162 ypg), while BG is 2-3 SU & 3-2 ATS (-2.4 ppg, +49 ypg). The Bulls need to win guarantee a trip to their first MAC Championship gm s/ 08 & just their 2nd since joining the conf in We look for the Bulls to take care of business here. IOWA by 6 over Nebraska - It s Sr day in Iowa City & this is the 8th str yr the Heroes Trophy will be on the line in the reg ssn finale. IO is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. After an 0-6 SU start, NU has won 4 of 5 incl LW over MSU in the snow, which was their 1st win w/o scoring a td s/1937 & 3 College and NFL MARQUEE Selections Save $ 3/pl online! Get plays on game day for $ 12 each at ncsports.com Or Save On Every Play with a 7/21/49 packs!! 7-pk... $ 69 $ (appx 10/pl) 21-pk... $ 169 $ (appx 8/pl) 49-pk... $ 349 $ (appx 7/pl) a 2H winner on these pages (65% winners L5Y!). IO ply d their best gm of the ssn LW, snapping a 3 gm losing skid in their shutout at IL. IO is #7 FBS on D, holding foes to 117 ypg less than their avg, while NU is #13 FBS on OFF, avg 90 ypg more than their foes allow. Against 5 common foes (UW/MN/PU/NW/IL) IO is 2-3 SU/3-2 ATS, +13 ppg & +49 ypg, while NU is 2-3 SU/3-1-1 ATS, +2 ppg & +66 ypg. IO is as home chalk. NU is as a dog away from Lincoln. Texas by 21 over KANSAS - It s Sr day in Lawrence & this will be KU HC Beaty s final gm as Les Miles will be the new sheriff in town. TX was on a 10-3 ATS series run, but KU has covered the L2Y, incl an outright upset the LTH in 16, (+23 ). While TX enters off their best gm of the ssn LW, QB Ehlinger inj d his shoulder for the 2nd time TY, forcing Sam Buechele, the full-time st r in 16, into the gm & he completed all 10 of his passes. KU trailed OU by over 3 td s 4Q LW, but did finish w/a B12 high 524 yds as RB Williams had a car high 252 (16.8!) rush. KU is 2-6 as a HD. TX is 7-4 ATS away from Austin, but is 0-3 as away chalk TY, being outright upset twice! TX has to win to have any hope of reaching the B12 Title gm & won t overlook a KU tm w/nothing to lose. MISSOURI by 17 over Arkansas - It s the Battle Line Rivalry. Last chance to take advantage of Drew Lock s domination of non-bowl foes (61-8 ratio). The home team is 4-0 SU/ATS and Mizzou has won 4 of 5 mtgs. Ark did keep this gm closer than expected LY, losing (+9 ). QB Lock has an 11-2 ratio in his L/5 and the Tigers beat Tenn (-6 ), with 2 TO s leading to 21 pts. Ark is -78 ypg on the road while Mizzou is +121 ypg at home. The Razorbacks have our #108 pass eff D while Mizzou only #81. Ark is still looking for their first SEC win and considering LY s score and how both teams have struggled against the pass, the OVER is in the mix for our ttl s GOY! SOUTH ALABAMA by 3 over Coastal Carolina - First mtg. CC still needs 1 more win to reach a bowl (41-17 loss vs GS) and SAla lost at LA ( yd edge, -2 TO s) & the Jags have just 2 wins SU vs FBS foes in their L/15 gms. Against 6 common SBC foes CC is 1-5 SU & ATS and are -115 ypg & -15 ppg while SAla is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS and are -136 ypg & -27 ppg. SAla is not great at stopping the run (228 ypg all d in SBC play) while CC s OFF strength is their run game (209 rush ypg). SAla QB Orth (1,704 yds, 65%, 10-6) has missed the L/2 gms but the offense managed to put up 38 pts & 477 yds vs LA last week. CC has been beaten bad the L3W (outgained by 214 ypg, outscored by 23 ppg). TOLEDO by 24 over Central Michigan - Toledo has won 8 straight vs CM by an avg 16 ppg including LY as a 7 pt AF. CM is fresh off a bye, while after a wk 2 bye, Toledo is playing their 11th straight week. Both are having disappointing ssn s. CM s only win was over FCS Maine 17-5, Toledo, LY s MAC Champ, has just 6 wins & while they are bowl eligible a loss here could see them missing a bowl for the first time since Against their 6 common foes Toledo is 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS (+6.0 ppg, -5 ypg) while CM is 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS (-10.8 ppg, -80 ypg). The Rockets are 9-3 SU in Glass Bowl finales including 3-1 the L/4 and should easily take care of business here. Oregon by 21 over OREGON ST - Following a narrow 2 pt win LW in Eugene where they nearly blew a DD 4Q lead ( yd edge, -3 TO s), the Ducks head to Corvallis for the 122nd Civil War. The Beavers meanwhile limp into action on a 3-game losing skid (22 pt avg loss) after LW s defeat in Seattle to the Huskies (UW yd edge). In LY s meeting at Autzen Stadium, the hometown Ducks earned the easy win (-25) w/a yd edge. With UO seeking revenge from their last trip here in 16 where they suffered their only loss in a 10-yr span, we ll call for them to get the cover in this one as the visitor has covered 9 of the past 12 overall. MEMPHIS by 14 over Houston - It s Sr day in Memphis & UM is home for the 4th time in 5 wks. UM is on a 3-0 ATS series run. The AAC West Div Title is still up for grabs w/both schls alive. UH enters on a couple of days extra rest following their blowout win LW, however QB King was inj d & OFY. True frosh Clayton Tune will make his 1st car start. UM enters on a 3 gm winning streak w/lw s Friday win at SMU essentially being another West Div eliminator. Against 5 common foes (Navy/Tulane/EC/Tulsa/SMU) UM is 3-2 SU/ATS, +7 ppg & +48 ypg, while UH is 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS, +13 ppg & +14 ypg. UH is all g 254 (5.1) rush ypg the L/5 gms, which doesn t bode well when having to face UM s RB Henderson (1,521, 8.7!). UM is 7-2 as home chalk & wins by 2 td s. Virginia by 7 over VIRGINIA TECH - VT clearly has the edge in the Commonwealth Cup, having won the L/14 mtgs (10-4 ATS). UVA was shtuout last year 10-0 (+7) and VT finished w/a yd edge. The Hokies have lost 4 straight at home for first time since VT was only +5 FD s vs UM in LW s (+6 ) loss but were done in by TO s (-3) and a PR td. We cashed a 3H LPS on UVA in their (+5 ) OT loss at GT. The Hoos finished with +98 yd & +11 FD edges. UVA is #14 in our pass eff D led by CB Hall who leads the ACC in pbu s w/19. VT QB Willis has a 17-6 ratio but is coming off his worst game of the ssn (50%, 1-2 ratio). UVA has a big edge on defense here and we will call for the Hoos to finally end their 14 game series losing streak. Oklahoma by 4 over WEST VIRGINIA - It s Sr day in Morgantown. OU is on a 4-0 SU/ATS series run, winning by 22 ppg & covering by 12 ppg. While OU is #1 FBS on OFF avg 194 ypg more than their foes allow, the D remains a concern as they ve all d each of their L/2 foes to gain 132+ yds more than their ssn avg! WV enters off an emotional loss LW, failing to hold onto a DD 4Q lead in Stillwater & all d the GW td w/:42 left. WV is #11 FBS on OFF, avg 97 ypg more than their foes allow. In B12 play OU is +16 ppg & +156 ypg, while WV is +15 ppg & +81 ypg. OU is ATS away. WV is a HD for the 1st time TY & has failed to cover their L/2 gms in that role. The winner of this gm will be in the B12 Title gm & we ll call for OU to win by over a fg in a high scoring shootout, which will also keep them alive for the Playoff. Could this be in the mix for our Totals GOY? WASHINGTON ST by 6 over Washington - After a 19 pt win LW at home against the Beavers where they had a yd edge, the Huskies journey to Pullman in search of their 2nd P12 North title in the past 3 yrs. The Cougars meanwhile are still within reach of a spot in the CFB Playoff following LW s mauling of Arizona where they put up 55 pts in the 1H. While the Huskies have had full control of the Apple Cup dating back to 09 with an 8-1 record & 22 pt avg MOV (incl a 27 pt win LY in Seattle), the Cougars have covered 8 of their past 9 contests overall while outscoring their home foes by 20 ppg over the past 2 years (13 consec SU wins!). SATURDAY November 24TH: MIAMI FL by 14 over Pittsburgh - In 17 QB Pickett was making his first career start vs an unbeaten #2 ranked Canes squad and pulled the upset, (+11 ). This year the Canes have a great situation, catching Pitt off their (-6) win at WF which clinched the Panthers first ever ACC Coastal Title. UM became bowl elig LW by beating VT (-6 ). Against ACC Coastal foes, UM is +8.8 ppg & +61 ypg while Pitt is ppg & +34 ypg. Pitt is -46 ypg on the road while UM is +151 ypg at home vs P5 foes. UM s D holds foes 128 ypg below their avg (#5 in FBS). We will take the revenge minded Canes, who have the better defense, are at home, and in a better situation. Temple by 30 over CONNECTICUT - It s Sr day in Storrs. TU is 10-2 ATS in this series & is in revenge mode after losing at home LY (-10). The visitor in this series is on a 5-1 SU/ATS run. TU is travelling for the 3rd time in 4 wks, but enters having won 5 of 6 incl holding USF to a ssn low 184 yds LW. UConn enters off their 8th loss by 30+ pts in their blowout at EC. TU RB Armstead was held to his fewest rush yds since the opener LW & UConn is all g 363 (8.0!) rush ypg in AAC play. TU is as road chalk & we ll call for UConn to lose their 9th gm by 30+ pts.

4 continued from Page 3... Kentucky by 24 over LOUISVILLE - The home team has covered just 1 of the L/11 meetings and is on an 0-4 SU/ATS run in the Governor s Cup. UK led Q LW vs Middle Tenn thanks to TO s but the OFF never truly got rolling and finished with just 324 yds and 15 FD s in their 11 pt win. Luckily UL s defense is progressively getting worse after allowing 52 pts and 518 yds in a 42 pt home loss (+16) vs NCSt and has given up 59.8 ppg in their L/4! KY OLB Allen set the school rec for both ssn sks (13.5) and car sks (27.5). He gets to face a UL OL that has all d 41 sks TY. UK has failed to cover their L/12 as a fav but UL can t wait for this ssn to end and is 1-10 ATS TY. We won LY s Totals GOY on the OVER (63 ) in KY s loss to Ole Miss. Could this be our Totals GOY? CLEMSON by 24 over South Carolina - The home team is 8-3 ATS in the series. SC enters off an easy win over an FCS foe. Clemson enters off a 35-6 (-28 ) win over Duke. The Tigers have won their L/6 gms by 42 ppg and are +266 ypg on the ssn. SC is +20 ypg on the ssn. Naturally all the statistical edges goto Clemson. QB Bentley struggled early TY and nearly lost his job but in his L/5 he has a 12-3 ratio. SC is 10-3 as a dog.the Tigers have the ACC Title game on deck and they ve won the L/4 in the Palmetto Bowl by 24 ppg which is where we set the line. MICHIGAN ST by 24 over Rutgers - It s Sr day in East Lansing. MSU is 3-1 ATS as B10 rivals. RU is travelling for just the 2nd time in the L/6 wks, but enters having lost 10 in a row following another gm that saw st g QB Sitkowski benched due to bad int s. MSU was w/o st g QB Lewerke in their loss at NU as they ve been held to under 300 yds 3X in 5 gms incl B2B. The Sparty D remains a strength as they re #8 FBS, holding foes to 112 ypg less than their avg, which spells doom for a RU OFF that is #128 FBS, avg 123 ypg less than their foes allow. MSU was 4-1 as home chalk LY, but 0-3 TY. RU lost to NW by 3, UW by 14, & PSU by 13 and will stay within the number here. Georgia Southern by 21 over GEORGIA ST - 5th mtg, but this is already a heated rivalry. LY a Penny Hart td catch in the final 3 minutes gave GSt the comeback win GSt has won the L/3 mtgs so GS will be out for revenge. The Eagles got back on track LW w/ a win at CC, while GSt was pummeled (outgained ) by App St & have now lost 6 straight SBC gms TY. Despite being 4-2 SU vs 6 common SBC foes GS is -55 ypg & +3 ppg while GSt is 1-5 SU, but they are just -33 ypg and -7 ppg vs those common foes. GS is on the road for a 5th time in 7 games, but the revenge factor is in play here & GSt struggles vs the run (248 rush ypg all d) while the Eagles avg 259 rush ypg & are #1 in TO margin (+21) while GSt has a -7 TO margin this ssn. Marshall by 10 over FIU - FIU clinches the CUSA East with either a win here or a Middle Tenn loss vs UAB. We won a 3H LP Totals play (3-1 LW, 10-2 L3W!!!) on the UNDER LW with Marshall getting the shutout against UTSA. MU led 20-0 and put up 505 yds but only scored a fg in the 2H. QB Green threw for a car high 387 and WR Brady had his 4th 100-yd effort TY. FIU was fortunate once again in their (-6) win at Charlotte. The Panthers were -44 yds and -7 FD s but the big difference was a 61 yd FR td. Against 7 common foes, FIU is +7 ppg and ypg while MU is +9.8 ppg and ypg! MU has the edge on both OFF and Def and 4 of their 5 CUSA wins are by DD s. BOSTON COLLEGE 10 Syracuse - Last year we used a 5H on Thanksgiving Weekend and BC (-3) covered by 28 pts! LW the Eagles blew a Q lead, giving up an 77 yd td pass w/1:49 left. RB Dillon went for 116 yds but is still not 100%. Cuse was crushed by ND in Yankee Stadium 36-3 (+10). The Orange were outg d and their only pts came w/:10 left. Cuse lost QB Dungey in the 1Q LW (inj, CS). BC is +109 ypg at home while Cuse is -66 ypg on the road. The Eagles D holds foes to 28 ypg below their avg (#50 in FBS) while Cuse s OFF avg 43 ypg more than their foes allow (#36 in FBS). BC is 9-3 ATS at home and 4-1 as an AF. Cuse is 8-2 ATS on the road and 5-1 as an AD. Michigan by 7 over OHIO ST - The Game. It s Sr day in Columbus & the winner advances to the B10 Title gm. While OSU is on a 13-1 SU series run, incl 6 str, UM is on a 4-1 ATS run. The last time UM was chalk was 11 (LTH chalk 04) & the last time they beat OSU on the road was 2000! Both were likely looking ahead to this mtg as each won LW in gms that were closer than expected. Our LPS Totals went 3-1 LW, highlighted by a 4H winner on the UNDER in the UM/IU gm! (Totals now 17-5, 77% L/6 wks, Top total 18-3 L2Y & our Totals GOY is this wk)! OSU forced OT w/:40 left at MD LW & escaped despite all g a ssn high 339 (7.1) rush (OSU +153 yds). Against 6 common foes (RU/PSU/IU/NU/MSU/ MD) OSU is 2-4 ATS, +17 ppg & +134 ypg, while UM is 4-2 ATS, +27 ppg & +241 ypg. This is OSU s 1st time being a HD under HC Meyer (it s deserved) & UM will go 4 for 4 on their revenge tour TY. GEORGIA by 12 over Georgia Tech - UGA is 11-5 ATS vs their rival but the home team has lost 5 straight in this series and the visitor is on a ATS run! GT is on a ATS run when travelling to Sanford Stadium. UGA is playing their 3rd str home gm after easily beating UMass (-41 ) and is +263 ypg at home. We picked up a 3H LPS going against GT LW in their (-5 ) OT win over UVA. GT was fortunate to win considering they were -98 yds & -11 FD s but beneffited from a safety, a KR td and a fumbled punt that set up a td. With Georgia looking ahead to Bama in the SEC Title game, and the visitor s stellar ATS run, we feel compelled to take the Jackets. DUKE by 5 over Wake Forest - Duke is 5-1 SU (5-1-1 ATS run). LY the roles were reversed, with 2017 BOX SCORE OF 2018 MATCHUP WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Western Michigan N Illinois Miami, Oh Ball St WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Air Force Colorado St Mississippi Mississippi St WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Ohio Akron WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Cincinnati East Carolina WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Bowling Green Buffalo Iowa Nebraska WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Kansas Texas Missouri Arkansas WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Toledo Cent Michigan USF UCF Oregon St Oregon WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Memphis Houston Duke needing a win to get bowl elig, and they won (+11 ). Now WF needs a win to get bowl eligible after losing LW vs Pitt (+6). WF trailed Q when they all d 2 td s in the L/7:27. Duke enters off a physical beating from Clemson, 35-6 (-28 ). QB Jones should have a huge game against WF s pass Def which allows 64% comp (21-4 ratio) and is #101 in our pass eff D. WF could get RB Colburn back (sat out w/inj LW, CS) and Duke has all d 327 (7.7). Duke is 0-9 as a HF while WF is 11-4 as an AD, so we will call for WF to keep it closer than expected. WISCONSIN by 21 over Minnesota - It s Sr day in Madison & these B10 rivals play for Paul Bunyan s Axe. UW has failed to cover 4 of the L/5 mtgs as the host. MN is 1 win away from bowl elig, but likely blew their opportunity LW as their 3 TO s resulted in 10 pts, which was the amount they lost by. UW is off their best gm s/sept as RB Taylor ran for a car high 321 (9.7!) & QB Coan hit 67% (2-0). Hornibrook is likely to return TW. On the road MN is all g 305 (8.3) rush ypg & UW avg 317 (6.6) rush ypg at home. UW is ATS in B10 home gms, while MN is ATS on the B10 road. We ve used UW many times in our storied history as a 5H, will we use the Badgers again? LOUISIANA TECH by 14 over Wku - LT has won the L/2 SU & ATS. The home team is 4-1 SU/ATS. Rumors are that a win here would save HC Sanford s job for one more ssn. The Toppers got int s on UTEP s F/4 poss then added a pick 6 to lead 40-0 at half then were shutout in the 2H. LT settled for 3 fg s inside the SM12, incl 1 miss which was the difference in their (+1) loss. The Bulldogs have edges on OFF & DEF & ST. WKU will give a full effort but we still think LT wins by 2 td s. Odu by 9 over RICE - ODU is 2-0 SU but the dog is 2-0 ATS in this series. QB LaRussa had 3 str 300 yd pass gms prior to ODU s easy win over FCS VMI. The Monarchs may finish with two 1,000 yd WR s in Duhart and Fulgham. QB Stankavage ret d from inj in Rice s (+42 ) loss at LSU. Rice trailed 28-3 and was outgained in the 1H. The Owls look to get a struggling run game going (89 rush ypg, 2.8 in CUSA play). ODU allows 216 (5.0) rush in CUSA play. Rice has covered their L/3 as Dogs and we don t feel comfortable laying DD s with a 4-7 football team. Southern Miss by 12 over UTEP - LY SM got their first conference shutout since 1991, holding UTEP to just 147 yds. SM got QB Abraham back from inj LW and pulled out a (-1) home win over LT. UTEP threw int s on their F/4 poss, then threw a pick-6 later in the first half and trailed 40-0 before adding 2 2H td s with the gm well decided. The Miners are -51 ypg in CUSA play while SM is +76 ypg. SM holds foes to 81 ypg below their avg (#24 in FBS) while UTEP allows 41 ypg above their opp s ssn avg (#101 in FBS). SM will become bowl elig with a win here but UTEP did stay close with both N Texas and LT earlier TY so we will lean with the dog. LIBERTY by 7 over New Mexico St - This is a rare in-ssn rematch as the sked struggles IND s led to a home & home series in the same year. NMSt won the first mtg on Oct 6th, as a 3 pt HD with a yd edge. NMSt after ending the FBS s longest bowl drought LY, is trying to finish a disappointing ssn. Liberty will play a rescheduled game vs FCS foe Norfolk St, next week and if they win both could finish 6-6, fulfilling their goal of being theoretically bowl eligible (ineligible as 1st yr FBS transitional team). We look for the Flames to win the rematch. Utah St by 3 over BOISE ST - Winner goes to the MW title game. UTSt is 1-14 SU this series. UTSt avg 529 ypg on OFF in MW play. BSU avg 465 ypg. Against 4 common foes (WY/CSU/AF/ NM) BSU is 4-0 ATS, +22 ppg & +117 ypg, while UTSt is ATS, +16 ypg & +16 ppg. Aggies QB Love (2,845 yds, 66%, 25-4) will be facing a BSU pass D that is #105 in our rankings. BSU QB Rypien faces a UTSt pass D that is #28 in our rankings. UTSt is on their 4th road game in 6 weeks, but have the stronger offense and will leave Boise w/a close win. UTAH by 10 over Byu - This marks the 93rd meeting of the Holy War (Utes own a edge) but first regular ssn finale matchup since Following 23 pt win LW in Boulder with rfr Shelley (223 pass yds, 2 TD) earning his 1st career road start, Utah returns to SLC where they ve covered 8 of their L/9 as a HF. The Cougars meanwhile earned bowl eligibility LW at home vs NMSt with a 35 pt victory ( yd edge). With the Utes earning 7 consec SU wins (5-2 ATS) in the series incl LY s victory in Provo, we ll go ahead and call for them to continue their recent dominance while earning 9+ wins for the 4th time in 5 ssns. APPALACHIAN ST by 4 over Troy - Winner goes to the SBC title game. App St is 2-1 SU vs Troy as SBC foes. Their last mtg was in 16 when App St lost at Troy on a go-ahead TD run with 62 seconds left. LTH ( 15) App St won a 3 OT thriller, App St is off a dominating win vs GSt ( ), while Troy put up only 220 yds of offense vs TXSt, but won 12-7 (+6 TO s). Against 6 common SBC foes App St is 5-1 SU & ATS and are +145 ypg & +15 ppg while Troy is 6-0 SU & ATS and are +94 ypg & 15 ppg. App St s DEF allows 103 ypg less than foes avg vs SBC foes while Troy s OFF gains 2 ypg less than foes allow. Troy is 9-1 as an AD. Wyoming by 3 over NEW MEXICO - WY s offense had been rolling under QB Chambers (330 rush yds in last 3 gms) & RB Evans (1,183 yds, 6.4 ypc, 7 TD), but both went down LW with inj & Chambers is doubtful while Evans is? this week. NM is on a 6 game slide & is avg g just 263 ypg & 17 ppg on OFF while their DEF is giving up 506 ypg & 40 ppg and are getting outgained by an avg of 242 ypg in the L/6. WY has won 3 in a row SU (4 in a row ATS) and NM is just 2-6 ATS in their L/8 gms. The Cowboys DEF gives up 344 ypg in MW play & hold MW foes to 86 ypg below their ssn avg. The offense could be w/o their top 2 stars, but their DEF is good enough to still get a win. Virginia Tech Wisconsin Virginia Minnesota West Virginia North Carolina Oklahoma NC State WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Washington St Louisiana Tech Washington WKU WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Miami, Fl Rice Pittsburgh Old Dominion WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Connecticut UTEP Temple Southern Miss WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Louisville Boise St Kentucky Utah St WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Clemson Utah South Carolina BYU WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Michigan St New Mexico Rutgers Wyoming WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Georgia St Middle Tennessee Ga Southern UAB WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F FIU California Marshall Colorado WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Boston College UCLA Syracuse Stanford WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Ohio St Vanderbilt Michigan Tennessee WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Northwestern TCU Illinois Oklahoma St Georgia Florida St Georgia Tech Florida Duke Penn St Wake Forest Maryland WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Texas Tech Baylor WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Fresno St San Jose St Iowa St Kansas St Texas A&M LSU Indiana Purdue WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Tulane Navy WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F ULM Louisiana WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Tulsa SMU FAU Charlotte WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F Texas St Arkansas St WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F UTSA North Texas WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F USC Notre Dame Alabama Auburn UNLV Nevada WK LINE SCORE FD R Att-Yds P Comp-Atts-Yds I/F San Diego St Hawaii Arizona Arizona St

5 UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK Over 36 years this play has been a reader favorite and now has a combined record of 58% winners over 36 years!! Outright upsets have been a major theme in recent years INCLUDING 4 OUTRIGHT UPSETS in 2017 and FOUR OUTRIGHT WINNERS TY!! Here is This week's Underdog Play: Louisiana +3' over ULM Battle on the Bayou. Played every ssn s/ 97. LA is 8-2 SU this series. The home team is just ATS. Both teams are 4-3 SU in SBC play & a win by LA means they are in the SBC title game, while ULM needs a win & a Ark St loss to make it. The L/4 gms ULM has all d just 270 ypg & 20 ppg (all d 519 ypg & 39 ppg in F/7). LA s offense is led by their run attack of Ragas, Mitchell & Calais (all have 650+ yds) and they avg 229 rush ypg. Against 6 common SBC foes LA is 4-2 SU and +2 ypg & +5 ppg while ULM is 3-3 SU and +21 ypg & +1 ppg. LA has a large edge on OFF & with the visitors success in this series we have no problem backing the Cajuns to give us our 5th outright upset this year as our Underdog POW. FORECAST: Louisiana by 4 continued from Page 4... Uab by 4 over MIDDLE TENNESSEE - MT needs a win and an FIU loss to win the CUSA East. UAB has clinched the CUSA West and a win here gives them home field edge for the Title Game. We picked up a winner going against UAB as our 4H Top LPS play LW with TX A&M beating the Blazers (-16 ). MT fell behind Q at KY LW but rallied and got within 8 in the 4Q. QB Stockstill hit and has a 14-3 ratio in his L/5. UAB is allowing just 48.5% compl (#19 in FBS). The Blazers lead CUSA with 35 sks and MT has all d 31 incl 7 LW! UAB is +117 ypg on the road and is 6-1 ATS in CUSA road gms. MT HC Stockstill is 6-10 as a HD and MT is -32 ypg at home. CALIFORNIA by 5 over Colorado - After an unexpected week off (Stanford gm moved to Dec 1st following Cal wildfires), the Bears (4-0 ATS run) welcome a Buffs squad that s still a win away from bowl eligibility following their home loss to Utah (outgained ). In LY s trip to Boulder, the Buffs had a yd edge and got a 100-yd IR TD in the closing minutes to hold on to the victory (-3). While we ll go ahead and call for Cal to exact some revenge here, Colorado s search for their elusive 6th win of 18 could see a tighter than expected final & tms often play with a fire after the firing of their HC. Stanford by 7 over UCLA - After seeing their Big Game matchup in Berkeley moved back to Dec 1st due to the Cal wildfires, the Cardinal head South to take on a Bruins squad that s on Cloud Nine following their home victory LW against rival USC (UCLA RB Kelley 289 rush yds). While Stanford has won 10 in a row by 18 ppg in the series including a victory a year ago on The Farm, laying too many points in favor of the Cardinal is out of the question as their avg road MOV over the past 2 years is just 4.5 ppg! Tennessee by 6 over VANDERBILT - Vandy has covered 5 of the L/6 vs Tenn but Tenn is 2-1 SU/ATS as a dog in the series. Vandy pulled out a (-3) OT win vs Ole Miss LW despite getting outg d by 191 yds! Tenn lost QB Guarantano (CS) in the 1Q of LW s (+6) loss vs Mizzou. Tenn s D holds foes to 40 ypg below their avg (#40 in FBS). Tenn has struggled to run the ball but Vandy gives up 235 (5.4) rush ypg in SEC play. Against their SEC East foes, Tenn is ppg & ypg while Vandy is ppg & ypg! Tenn is 3-0 as an AD TY and we expect HC Pruitt to make it a priority to own the state and beat Vandy. Oklahoma St by 1 over TCU - It s Sr day in Fort Worth. There has been 3 str outright upsets this series. OSU is travelling for the 3rd time in 4 wks & is off 4 str emotional gms that came down to the wire! TCU was left for dead after losing by 37 two wks ago, but their win LW leaves them 1 win shy of bowl elig. 3rd string QB Muehlstein, a 5Y Sr, had just 1 car completion entering the gm & repl d Collins (ankle, CS) 1Q. OSU is #10 FBS on OFF avg 103 ypg more than their foes allow, but TCU is #22 FBS on D, holding foes to 82 ypg less than their avg. In B12 play OSU is +2 ypg, while TCU is -29 ypg. OSU has been outright upset their L/2 as road chalk TY. We ll lean with a TCU squad that has plenty of motivation. Florida by 13 over FLORIDA ST - FSU is 5-0 SU/ATS in this rivalry. The Noles still have a shot at a bowl thanks to their come from behind win to beat BC (+1) on a 74 yd td pass with 1:49 left. Florida enters off an easy win over FCS Idaho. The Gators are still in contention for a Group of 5 Bowl gm with a win here. Florida avg 29 ypg more than their foes allow (#50 in FBS) while FSU avg 24 ypg less than their foes all (#91 in FBS). FSU avg just 87 (2.6) rush and Cam Akers just got his 1st 100 yd rush game of the entire ssn. UF has covered all 3 true road gms TY and FSU is 1-5 as a HD so we will call for the Gators to end their series losing streak. 11 of the L/14 mtgs have gone UNDER the total, making this a possibility for our TOTALS GOY! PENN ST by 13 over Maryland - It s Sr day in Happy Valley & PSU is on a 5-2 ATS series run. MD has been 1 win shy of bowl elig since mid Oct as they ve lost 4 str, incl a heartbreaker LW when QB Pigrome missed a wide open receiver in the end zone on a 2 pt try in OT that would ve beaten OSU! RB McFarland ran for a car high 298 (14.2!). PSU has won 4 of 5, but after avg 515 ypg the F/5 gms, they re avg 330 ypg the L/6. PSU is all g 177 rush ypg in B10 play, so MD can have success on the ground. Vegas appears to have pegged this gm right on the money. Texas Tech by 7 over Baylor - This is the 8th str ssn these B12 rivals will meet at Jerry s World, home of the NFL Cowboys. Both enter 1 win shy of bowl elig! TT is on a 3-1 ATS series run. BU has lost 4 of 5 & couldn t take advantage of facing a 3rd string QB w/1 car completion despite being at home LW vs TCU. TT enters on a 4 gm losing streak & was held to ssn lows in pts (6), FD s (11) & yds (181) LW at KSU. In B12 play TT is +2 ppg/+8 ypg, while BU is -10 ppg/-21 ypg. TT QB Bowman returned from a collapsed lung earlier TY in 21 days so he could return TW. TT became bowl elig in their final gm LY & we ll call for history to repeat itself. FRESNO ST by 24 over San Jose St - SJSt has actually 4 of the L/6 in this series SU, but Fresno won LY as the Bulldogs held SJSt to just 205 yds. Fresno has locked up the MW West Div & plays the winner of the Boise/Utah St gm. SJSt has just 2 FBS wins the L2Y and avg just 318 ypg on OFF and allow 493 ypg on DEF. Fresno is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS and is +126 ypg vs common foes while SJSt is 1-4 SU and is -105 ypg, but are 4-1 ATS vs common MW foes. Fresno holds MW foes to 81 ypg under their ssn avg, while SJSt allows 53 ypg more than foes avg and Fresno only allows opposing QB s to hit 50% and have 16 INT s & 53 pbu s. Fresno should have no problem in this one & are 6-1 ATS as DD chalk this ssn. IOWA ST by 13 over Kansas St - It s Sr day in Ames. These B12 rivals have ply d every yr s/1917, the longest non-interrupted series in FBS. KSU is on a 10-0 SU series run, but ISU has covered the L4Y. KSU has won B2B gms & is 1 win shy of bowl elig in what could be HOF HC Snyder s final ssn. The D has held 5 foes to either their lowest or 2nd lowest yd total of the ssn incl holding TT to a ssn low 181 LW! ISU is #11 FBS on D, holding foes to 94 ypg less than their avg. KSU is 24-8 as an AD. We ll call for ISU to end their series losing streak in a low scoring affair that will get a long look for our Totals GOY. Purdue by 1 over INDIANA - It s Sr day in Bloomington & the Old Oaken Bucket is at stake. LY both entered 1 win shy of bowl elig & PU won at home (-2 ). TY both again enter 1 win shy of bowl elig, but IU gets to play host. Against 4 common foes (MSU/OSU/IO/MN) IU is 0-4 SU/1-3 ATS, ppg & -125 ypg, while PU is 1-3 SU/ATS, -3 ppg & -59 ypg. PU has lost 3 of 4, while IU has lost 5 of 6. With PU HC Brohm likely headed to his alma mater, that is a large enough distraction to have us lean with an IU squad that showed no quit in their loss at Michigan LW. 5 The Computer Corner will feature the top Computer Forecast plays from our Computer Power Ratings. These plays are based solely on the tms' Power Ratings vs the Vegas Line & do not take into account matchups, injuries, etc. The team in bold is the computer's selection. COMPUTERCORNER Diff/Vegas WASHINGTON ST by 12.0 over Washington 8.5 OHIO by 30.0 over Akron 8.0 TOLEDO by 23.3 over Central Michigan 5.3 INDIANA by 1.3 over Purdue 5.3 Notre Dame by 15.0 over USC 5.0 FEATURED PLAYS % L7W!: In 2010 we added a new category to Power Sweep. Although the Underdog Play of the Week is considered a Key Selection, this "featured plays category" is not. We review these plays each week while considering the Key Selections, and once again are sharing them with you. We look forward to many winners for this section in 2018! REVENGE PLAY OF THE WEEK...OHIO TECHNICAL PLAY OF THE WEEK...WAKE FOREST SITUATION PLAY OF THE WEEK...MIAMI, FL TULANE by 6 over Navy - It s Sr day in the Big Easy. Navy is on an 11-5 ATS series run. TU enters 1 win shy of bowl elig & while they were embarrassed LW, it s easy to explain in an unfamiliar role on national TV in prime time against a UH tm that has been there, done that. Navy snapped their 7 gm skid LW, running for 389 (6.2), their most vs an FBS schl TY. Against 5 common foes (Mem/Cincy/SMU/Tulsa/UH) TU is 2-3 SU/ATS, -6 ppg & -1 ypg, while Navy is 2-3 SU/ATS, -9 ppg & -61 ypg. Navy is travelling for the 4th time in 5 wks, but is as an AD, while TU is as home chalk. TU came up 1 yd shy of a bowl LY & we ll call for them to get win #6 here by 6 pts. Smu by 6 over TULSA - It s Sr day in Tulsa. TU is on a 2-7 ATS run when hosting this series. SMU is 1 win shy of bowl elig, while TU is ply g for pride. SMU was held to 25 (1.0) rush LW, but did have 196 (4.9) vs UH & will need that sort of an effort vs a TU D that is all g 287 (5.8) rush ypg in AAC play. Against 5 common foes (Navy/Tulane/UH/ UConn/Mem) SMU is +4 ppg & +10 ypg, while TU is -5 ppg & -54 ypg. TU is 4-10 as a HD. SMU still had a chance to make the AAC Title gm LW & will become bowl elig TW. FAU by 21 over Charlotte - LY FAU had the CUSA Title gm on deck and UC kept it within 3 td s as a 23 pt dog. The Owls won t be looking past the 49ers this year as FAU needs a win to get bowl eligible. UC won t be bowling TY after LW s (+6) home loss to FIU. UC put up a ssn high 534 yds with QB Klugh making his first start of the ssn and held +44 yd edge but a 61 yd FR td was the difference. FAU fell behind 17-0 at NT last week. They led Q but lost by a fg. FAU has a huge edge on OFF. The Owls avg 85 ypg more than their foes allow (#16 in FBS). UC still only avg 58 ypg less than their foes allow (#115 in FBS). This will be HC Lambert s last game as UC announced he won t be retained. We like FAU to get their 6th win by DD s and HC Kiffin likes to pour it on when he gets a chance. Arkansas St by 16 over TEXAS ST - Ark St is 4-1 SU and all 5 games have been decided by 17+ pts. Ark St has won 3 in a row by 26 ppg and last year won & had a yard edge. Ark St has won 4 of their L/5 and needs a win & a LA loss against ULM to reach the SBC title game. TXSt is off a 12-7 loss (-6 TO s) vs Troy. Ark St has 475 ypg & 41 ppg in their L/5 gms, while TXSt allows 11 more ypg than foes avg and their OFF gains 124 ypg fewer than their foes allow. In Ark St s L/3 wins they are all g 276 ypg & 16 ppg, while TXSt has put up just 251 ypg & 7 ppg in their L/2 gms. Ark St is 16-7 ATS in SBC play. TXSt will be led by their DC as Everett Whithers was fired. North Texas by 24 UTSA - The home team is 4-0 SU/ATS in this series. RB Torrey has 459 rush yds in his L/3 incl a ssn high 184 yds vs FAU in LW s (-4) win. We picked up a 3H winner on the UNDER in UTSA s 23-0 (+24) loss to Marshall. The RoadRunners trailed 20-0 at half and finished with 137 ttl yds and -26 rush! NT has a huge edge on OFF, avg 60 ypg more than their foes allow (#23 in FBS) while UTSA avg 150 ypg less than their foes allow (Dead last in FBS!). UTSA s Def has also worn down, giving up 528 ypg their L/4 and they are #126 in our pass eff D rankings. We won t hesitate to go against UTSA who is on a 3-12 ATS run and 0-5 ATS at home TY. ALABAMA by 31 over Auburn - The home tm is 5-1 SU/ATS in the Iron Bowl. Bama has won 4 of 5 at home in this series with their wins coming by 28.5 ppg. Bama is out for legit revenge after losing the Iron Bowl LY (-5). The Tide are +259 ypg and enter fresh off a 33 pt win over FCS The Citadel. Aub got their confidence up by beating Liberty 53-0 (-35) with a +397 yd edge. Aub has all d 142 (3.7) rush ypg but in their 2 gms prev to Liberty they all d 252 (5.4) vs A&M & UGA. Against 6 common foes (SEC West+Tenn) Aub is +4.5 ppg & -55 ypg while Bama is ppg & ypg. Bama won t hesitate to crush their rival but they do have the SEC Title gm on deck. Nevada by 8 over UNLV - Battle for the Fremont Cannon. NEV is 13-2 SU in this series s/2005. The home team is 0-4 ATS in the L/4 & there have been 3 upsets in the L/4 years. LY neither team led by more than a TD & NEV got the GW TD run w/ under 8 min left to win NEV is rolling right now w/ 4 straight wins (469 ypg, 35 ppg) and are gaining 48 more ypg than foes give up. UNLV blew a lead vs Hawaii LW and have now lost 7 of their L/8 SU. QB Rogers is back & the Rebel OFF ran for 221 yds LW, but NEV allows MW foes to gain 78 yds under their ssn avg & they have 31 sks on the ssn. NEV has also all d just 230 ypg & 11 ppg the L2W. SAN DIEGO ST by 13 over Hawaii - Hawaii is 2-15 SU in their L/17 vs SDSt. LY SDSt held UH to just 195 total yds in a 28-7 win. Despite the loss to Fresno LW, SDSt is still all g 295 ypg in MW play & are holding MW foes to 116 ypg under their ssn avg. UH did come back from 15 pts down vs UNLV and won LW. SDSt s pass DEF is ranked #51, but UH runs the Run and Shoot and avg s 310 pass ypg this ssn. UH allows 477 ypg in MW play, but SDSt only puts up 338 ypg in MW play. SDSt is just 2-9 ATS this ssn, while UH is 4-8 ATS & the Aztecs have been playing up/down to the level of their competition all ssn & this one could be closer than expected. ARIZONA by 7 over Arizona St - The home team has won 5 consec Territorial Cups incl LY when the Sun Devils came back from a HT defict to claim the victory (UA yd edge). ASU nearly stormed back from a 15 pt HT deficit LW in Eugene (gm-tying 2 pt conv failed w/4 min left). The Wildcats meanwhile suffered a significant beatdown LW in Pullman against WSU who finished w/a yd edge. With Arizona having a bye just 2 weeks ago and ASU playing a 6th straight week and 3rd road game in 5 weeks, we ll go ahead and give the TD edge to the Wildcats as they re still a win away from bowl eligibility.