POWER PLAYS $10 NORTHCOAST SPORTS

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1 NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS $ Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 29 ISSUE 16/17 December 17, 2011-January 9, BOWL WRITE-UPS THRU JANUARY 9 th!! FINAL PASS EFF DEF & COLLEGE STATS DOUBLE BOWL ISSUE COLL 4H s & HIGHER: % ON H BASIS L5Y! Who Faced the Toughest Schedule in 2011? What makes our Toughest Opponents Faced rankings far superior to the NCAA method is that ours takes into account 9 sets of power ratings, combines them and factors in every team s schedule this year. We did this not only for the bowl teams, but for all the NCAA teams & found out which teams played the toughest schedules this year. UCLA ranked #30 in the NCAA rankings with an opp W/L % of 55.1% playing 7 gms vs teams with winning records but played our #1 toughest schedule including games against #4 Stanford, #5 USC & #6 Oregon. Per the NCAA, Wyoming faced the #62 toughest schedule with an opp W/L % of 50.4% facing 6 teams with winning records but took on our #98 schedule facing 2 FBS opp (Weber St & Texas St). UCLA had the toughest slate among bowl teams (finished 6-7) and Ohio had the easiest. The 2011 bowl teams are in boldface. 1 UCLA 2 Iowa St 3 Colorado 4 Kansas 5 Mississippi 6 Baylor 7 Arizona 8 Oregon St 9 Oklahoma St 10 Texas 11 Auburn 12 Oklahoma 13 Texas A&M 14 Washington 15 USC 16 Minnesota 17 Tennessee 18 Notre Dame 19 Stanford 20 Missouri 21 Kansas St 22 LSU 23 California 24 Vanderbilt 25 Maryland 26 Mississippi St 27 Texas Tech 28 Arizona St 29 Utah 30 Oregon 31 Alabama 32 Boston College 33 Florida 34 Duke 35 Nebraska 36 Kentucky 37 Rice 38 Washington St 39 Clemson 40 Georgia 41 Arkansas 42 Miami, Fl 43 Tulsa 44 Ohio St 45 South Carolina 46 Marshall 47 North Carolina 48 Michigan 49 Penn St 50 New Mexico 51 Illinois 52 Wake Forest 53 Indiana 54 UNLV 55 Michigan St 56 San Jose St 57 Syracuse 58 Pittsburgh 59 SMU 60 Virginia Tech 61 Northwestern 62 Louisville 63 Virginia 64 Navy 65 Florida St 66 Iowa 67 Boise St 68 New Mexico St 69 East Carolina 70 Purdue 71 Fresno St 72 UAB 73 Idaho 74 Louisiana Tech 75 North Texas 76 West Virginia 77 Connecticut 78 USF 79 Ball St 80 Wisconsin 81 NC State 82 UTEP 83 Georgia Tech 84 Rutgers 85 Florida Atlantic 86 Cincinnati 87 Nevada 88 Toledo 89 San Diego St 90 Army 91 Utah St 92 BYU 93 Miami, Oh 94 Kent St 95 Troy 96 ULM 97 WKU 98 Wyoming 99 Southern Miss 100 Colorado St 101 UCF 102 TCU 103 Tulane 104 Bowling Green 105 Cent Michigan 106 Buffalo 107 Memphis 108 Middle Tenn 109 Akron 110 Houston 111 Air Force 112 Louisiana 113 Northern Illinois 114 W Michigan 115 Hawaii 116 East Michigan 117 FIU 118 Arkansas St 119 Temple 120 Ohio Above ratings are based on overall strength of schedule. Now take a look at the toughest schedules of opponents units faced: Rush Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of rushing offenses: 1.) Notre Dame 2.) Kansas 3.) Miami, FL 4.) Texas 5.) Purdue 6.) Penn St 7.) Texas Tech 8.) Oklahoma 9.) Boise St 10.) Oklahoma St Pass Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of passing offenses: 1.) Stanford 2.) UCLA 3.) Washington 4.) Oregon 5.) Utah 6.) Arizona 7.) Texas 8.) Oregon St 9.) Oklahoma St 10.) California Rush Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of rush defenses: 1.) Tennessee 2.) Pittsburgh 3.) Mississippi 4.) Syracuse 5.) Colorado 6.) USC 7.) Auburn 8.) UCLA 9.) Wake Forest 10.) Iowa St 10.) Miami, FL Pass Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of pass defenses: 1.) Colorado 2.) Oregon St 3.) Oregon 4.) Utah 5.) UCLA 6.) Arizona St 7.) UNLV 8.) Tennessee 9.) Illinois 10.) Washington Total Offenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of total offenses: 1.) Kansas 2.) Oklahoma St 3.) Texas 4.) UCLA 5.) Oregon St 6.) Oregon 7.) Oklahoma 8.) Stanford 9.) Texas A&M 10.) Colorado Total Defenses - Here are the teams that took on the 10 toughest slates of total defenses: 1.) Tennessee 2.) Mississippi 3.) Kentucky 4.) Auburn 5.) Alabama 6.) LSU 7.) Florida 8.) Vanderbilt 9.) Georgia 10.) UCLA SPECIAL OFFER: We know that many of our Power Plays subscribers are self-handicappers and we want you to be the most informed player on the block! To help you along, we are offering the Double Bowl Issue of Power Sweep for just $15 (add $5 if you d like priority shipping) to all 2011/2012 Plays subscribers. What s different between the Sweep and Plays? The Double Bowl Issue of Power Sweep is 32 action-packed pages with half-page writeups on all 35 bowls. While you ll see the same checklist in both, Power Sweep expands the writeups to include emotion, bowl experience, talent matchups, momentum, special teams, coaching, etc. While we use the Power Plays numbers to analyze our Power Sweep forecasts and will never change a side, the ratings may vary from newletter to newsletter as each uses different factors to handicap (Power Plays is purely statistical). We want you to have both issues in your hand for this bowl season!! Call us today, and we ll mail you a copy and also give you guest access so you can download your favorite bowl games at before your issue arrives in the mail. Don t miss a single winner! *Offer valid thru office only.

2 NEW MEXICO BOWL Dec 17 2:00 pm ESPN University Stadium TEMPLE (8-4) Albuquerque, New Mexico WYOMING (8-4) TEMPLE WYOMING PP calls this matchup close to the number but gives Wyoming a yd edge. The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS as a dog this season pulling 3 upsets and we ll gladly take the pts here with WY having an altitude edge and playing in front of the home Mountain West fans. 3H WYOMING 19 (+) TEMPLE 24 IDAHO POTATO BOWL Dec 17 5:30 pm ESPN Bronco Stadium UTAH ST (7-5) Boise, Idaho OHIO (9-4) UTAH ST OHIO Both tms like to establish the run and while PP calls for the Aggies to have a edge, the Bobcats counter w/a large ST s edge. This is USU s 1st bowl appearance S/ 97 (longest among TY tms) NO PLAY: UTAH ST 28 OHIO 27 NEW ORLEANS BOWL Dec 17 9:00 pm ESPN Superdome LOUISIANA (8-4) New Orleans, Louisiana SAN DIEGO ST (8-4) LOUISIANA SAN DIEGO ST The Aztecs have the talent edge with RB Hillman one of the best in the NCAA but PP calls this right at the line and UL will have a huge crowd edge with in-state bowl. NO PLAY: SAN DIEGO ST 33 LOUISIANA 28 ST PETERSBURG BOWL Dec 20 8:00 pm ESPN Tropicana Field FIU (8-4) St Petersburg, Florida MARSHALL (6-6) FIU MARSHALL Home state FIU is in a bowl for a 2nd str ssn and while PP gives the Panthers a yd edge, Marshall has played a much tougher sked as 5 of their losses were to bowl tms. NO PLAY: FIU 25 MARSHALL 18 POINSETTIA BOWL Dec 21 8:00 pm ESPN Qualcomm Stadium LA TECH (8-4) San Diego, CA TCU (10-2) LA TECH TCU TCU had their 3rd straight BCS hopes dashed while LT is excited to be bowling for only the 2nd time in a decade. PP calls for this well under the DD number and we agree with LT a perfect 6-0 ATS as dog this year including 3 outright upsets. 4H LA TECH 22 (+) TCU 27 LAS VEGAS BOWL Dec 22 8:00 pm ESPN Sam Boyd Stadium ARIZONA ST (6-6) Las Vegas, NV BOISE ST (11-1) ARIZONA ST BOISE ST ASU is bowling for the 1st time in 4Y while Boise is disappointed to be playing here for the 2nd yr in a row. The Broncos are clearly the better team and PP agrees with a yd edge but ASU should rally around their departing soon-to-be HOF cch. NO PLAY: BOISE ST 42 ARIZONA ST 27 HAWAII BOWL Dec 24 8:00 pm ESPN Aloha Stadium NEVADA (7-5) Honolulu, Hawaii SOUTHERN MISS (11-2) NEVADA SOUTHERN MISS Nevada makes its 4th trip to the Islands in the L/4Y while SMiss makes their 1st trip S/ 77. PP calls for UN to have the yd edge but SM rates as the better tm and has a huge ST s edge while playing for departing HC Fedora. NO PLAY: SOUTHERN MISS 31 NEVADA 25 INDEPENDENCE BOWL Dec 26 5:00 pm espn2 Independence Stadium NORTH CAROLINA (7-5) Shreveport, LA MISSOURI (7-5) NORTH CAROLINA MISSOURI PP gives Missouri a yd edge but calls for the Heels to stay within the number. The dog has covered in 6 of 7 MO bowls and the Tigers are just 1-4 ATS as a fav vs the FBS TY. 1H NORTH CAROLINA 22 (+) MISSOURI 24 TU UW TU UW TU UW TU UW QB - 44 RB 41/2 - WR 1/2 - CCH - 41/2 This is Addazio s 1st ssn as a HC while Christensen has a bowl win under his belt. TU UW CHECKLIST COMMENTS UW deserves the edge for both altitude and OL - 1/2 TU avg , 4 Sr, 21 sk all d (11.3%), 5.3 ypc. Turf/ - 41/2 playing in front of Mountain West fans. UW avg , 3 Sr, 11 sk all d (2.8%), 4.9 ypc. Both want to run the ball but the Owls have DL 4 - TU avg , 2 Sr, 13.5 of tm 32 sks, 3.6 ypc. MTCH 44 - a far superior rush D. UW avg , 1 Sr, 16.5 of tm 22 sks, 5.1 ypc. Wyoming is 5-2 ATS as a dog this season LB 4 - Johnson #1 tkl r w/113, 4 tfl, Whitehead #3, 12 tfl. INT - 1/2 pulling 3 upsets. Hendricks #2 tkl r w/92, 3.5 tfl, Anderson #5. DB 1/2 - TU #44 pass eff D, 193 ypg (57%), ratio. UW #90 pass eff D, 202 ypg (61%), ratio. ST SCH - 4 USU OU USU OU USU OU USU OU QB - 1/2 RB 41/2 - WR - 41/2 CCH - 4 USU OU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - Turf/ 41/2 - DL 1/2 - Power Plays Subscribers Get $ 500 in Northcoast Debit Card Credit for $ 399! Load up for basketball! 2 LB - - TEMPLE by 2 s While OU has not had recent bowl success Solich has the exp with the extra prep time. Utah St played here last December and are accustom to the Blue Turf. Both tms similar in wanting to run the ball. Each has also played weak schedules. Both tms are pleased with a bowl appearance and extra practices. ST SCH 4 - OHIO by 1/2 s UL SDSt UL SDSt UL SDSt UL SDSt QB - 1/2 RB - 44 WR 1/2 - CCH - 41/2 While Long is making 1st bowl app w/aztecs, UL SDSt CHECKLIST COMMENTS he s a veteran with multi-year experience. OL - 41/2 UL avg , 1 Sr, 25 sk all d (6.4%), 3.6 ypc. Turf/ No question Ragin Cajuns excited and will have SD avg , 3 Sr, 10 sk all d (2.5%), 5.1 ypc. sizeable crowd edge with in-state bowl. DL - - UL avg , 3 Sr, 17 of tm 27 sks, 3.8 ypc. MTCH - 4 We favor the Aztecs running gm led by SD avg , 3 Sr, 11 of tm 28 sks, 4.2 ypc. Hillman vs Louisiana LB s. Great undefeated conf ssn for UL and they re LB - 1/2 UL Kelley #1 tkl r w/107, 8.5 tfl, Lewis-Buchanan #2. INT ATS as dog. SD Burris #1 tkl r w/72, 19 tfl, Fely #5. DB - 4 UL #76 pass eff D, 249 ypg (64%), ratio. SD #56 pass eff D, 199 ypg (56%), ratio. ST - - SCH - 41/2 SAN DIEGO ST by 5 s FIU MU FIU MU FIU MU FIU MU QB 1/2 - RB 4 - WR - - CCH 4 - Edge to FIU with 2nd str bowl appearance while Holliday is in his inaugural bowl. FIU MU CHECKLIST COMMENTS FIU gets a slight edge with an in-state gm, but OL 1/2 - FIU avg , 1 Sr, 13 sk all d (3.6%), 4.0 ypc. Turf/ 1/2 - don t feel they ll have a huge crowd edge. MU avg , 3 Sr, 26 sk all d (7.1%), 3.6 ypc. The Panthers have the better # s but Marshall DL - 4 FIU avg , 1 Sr, 13 of tm 34 sks, 3.4 ypc. has played the tougher competition. No edge. MU avg , 2 Sr, 20.5 of tm 25 sk, 4.2 ypc. FIU continuing to build winning ways while LB - - FIU Fraser #1 tkl r w/107, Hunt #3, 9.5 tfl. MU is excited. MU Carpenter #2 tkl r w/91, Gale #3, 10 tfl. DB 4 - FIU #18 pass eff D, 227 ypg (56%), 9-15 ratio. MU #65 pass eff D, 263 ypg (63%), ratio. ST 1/2 - SCH FIU by 1 LT TCU LT TCU LT TCU LT TCU QB - 41/2 RB - 41/2 WR - - CCH - 44 Patterson has taken this prog to B2B BCS gms vs Dykes in 1st bowl gm. LT TCU CHECKLIST COMMENTS Familiarity gives the Horned Frogs the edge OL - 1/2 LT avg , 1 Sr, 24 sk all d (5.5%), 3.7 ypg. Turf/ - 1/2 having visited here this year. TCU avg , 3 Sr, 13 sk all d (4.0%), 5.2 ypc. Both tms are built similar and this gm will be DL 1/2 - LT avg , 2 Sr, 29 of tm 32 sks, 3.4 ypc. won in the trenches. TCU avg , 0 Sr, 20 of tm s 24 sks, 3.5 ypc. BCS hopes dashed for TCU while LT will LB - - Cole #1 tkl r w/120, 13 tfl, Dudley #2, 7 tfl. INT 441/2 - be fired up. Cain #1 tkl r w/67, 3 tfl, Carder #2, 4.5 tfl. DB 1/2 - LT #12 pass eff D, 253 ypg (59%), ratio. ST - 1/2 SCH TCU - - TCU #67 pass eff D, 220 ypg (58%), 21-9 ratio. by 3 s ASU BSU ASU BSU ASU BSU ASU BSU QB - 44 RB - 1/2 WR 4 1/2 - CCH - 4 Petersen cont s to have his team prepared but Erickson is in final gm here. ASU BSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS ASU fans expected P12 Champ gm and OL - 1/2 ASU avg , 3 Sr, 24 sk all d (5.0%), 4.2 ypc. Turf/ - 44 Boise s played here twice in 2Y. BSU avg , 3 Sr, 8 sk all d (1.8%), 4.5 ypc. When matching the players and positions DL - 4 ASU avg , 3 Sr, 15.5 of tm 26 sk, 4.2 ypc. up, no real edges to either team. BSU avg , 4 Sr, 19.5 of tm 20 sks, 3.8 ypc. Have to feel ASU ply rs will rally behind soonto-be HOF HC. LB - - ASU Burfict #1 tkl r w/68, 7 tfl, Parker #2 w/67. INT 44 - BSU Hout #1 tkl r w/65, 4 tfl, Febis #4 w/46. ASU #72 pass eff D, 271 ypg (65%), ratio. BSU #38 pass eff D, 196 ypg (56%), ratio. ST 1/2 - SCH 41/2 - BOISE ST by 2 s UN SM UN SM UN SM UN SM QB - 1/2 RB - 4 WR - - CCH - - Although Ault in HOF, Fedora is young and enthusiastic and if still the HC, we ll call it even. UN SM CHECKLIST COMMENTS UN visited the Island twice in the L/2Y both OL - - UN avg , 2 Sr, 15 sk all d (3.4%), 5.2 ypc. Turf/ 4 - in the reg ssn and here in the Hawaii Bowl. SM avg , 2 Sr, 13 sk all d (3.4%), 5.3 ypc. SM rates as the better team, but no specific DL - 4 UN avg , 3 Sr, 18.5 of tm 22 sks, 4.5 ypc. advantage to give the edge here. SM avg , 20 of tm s 24 sks, 3.2 ypc. Fedora leaving may be a distraction but the LB - - Marshall #1 tkl r w/96, 7.5 tfl, Johnson #2 w/87. move is still?. Thornton #1 tkl r w/104, 9.5 tfl, Snowden #8. DB - - UN #8 pass eff D, 227 ypg (49%), ratio. SM #11 pass eff D, 233 ypg (58%), ratio. ST SCH 1/2 - NC MO NC MO NC MO QB - 1/2 RB 4 - WR 1/2 - NC MO CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 4 DL 4 - LB - - USU avg , 2 Sr, 17 sk all d (6.3%), 5.8 ypc. OU avg , 2 Sr, 22 sk all d (5.4%), 4.7 ypc. USU avg , 1 Sr, 11.5 of tm 23 sks, 3.5 ypc. OU avg , 1 Sr, 13 of tm 21 sks, 3.7 ypc. Wagner #1 tkl r w/140, 10.5 tfl, Gallagher #2. Keller #1 tkl r w/105, 7 tfl, Lewis #3 w/60. USU #49 pass eff D, 240 ypg (60%), 15-4 ratio. OU #41 pass eff D, 229 ypg (54%), ratio. NC avg , 1 Sr, 26 sk all d (7.9%), 4.2 ypc. MO avg , 3 Sr, 18 sk all d (5.0%), 5.2 ypc. NC avg , 2 Sr, 19 of tm 25 sks, 3.1 ypc. MO avg , 3 Sr, 22 of tm 26 sks, 3.6 ypc. Brown #1 tkl r w/91, 11.5 tfl, Reddick #2, 6 tfl. Wilson #1 tkl r w/89, 7.5 tfl, Lambert #2, 11.5 tfl. NC #69 pass eff D, 247 ypg (61%), ratio. MO #30 pass eff D, 247 ypg (63%), ratio. SOUTHERN MISS by 4 s NC MO CCH - 44 Obvious edges with a veteran coach vs an interim coach without even a spg practice. Turf/ - - Neither will have an overwhelming crowd with a trip to Louisiana the day after X-Mas. Both offenses and both defenses are very INT 4 - close in our rankings. No edges. Dog has covered 5 of 7 Missouri bowls, and Tigers are 4-2 as fav. ST - 44 SCH - 4 MISSOURI by 3 s 1 p e r c u s t o m e r. offer v a i l d t h r u b o w l ssn call

3 LITTLE CAESARS BOWL Dec 27 4:30 pm ESPN Ford Field WESTERN MICH (7-5) Detroit, MI PURDUE (6-6) WESTERN MICHIGAN PURDUE Broncos HC Cubit has a great track record for knocking off BCS foes and TY they held their own with a FD mark at Mich, only losing at Illinois and upsetting Conn PP again calls for the upset with the Broncos passing attack excelling in the dome. 4.5H WESTERN MICHIGAN 36 PURDUE 32 BELK BOWL Dec 27 8:00 pm ESPN Bank of America Stadium LOUISVILLE (7-5) Charlotte, NC NC STATE (7-5) LOUISVILLE NC STATE PP gives NCSt a yd edge but calls for UL to pull the upset. While UL has the ST s edge the in-state Pack are basically playing at home and HC O Brien will have them prepared. NO PLAY: LOUISVILLE 23 NC STATE 22 MILITARY BOWL Dec 28 4:30 pm ESPN RFK Stadium TOLEDO (8-4) Washington, DC AIR FORCE (7-5) TOLEDO AIR FORCE This one figures to be a shootout with the UT off scoring 44 or more pts in 6 of their L/7 gms while AF has scored at least 42 pts in 3 of their L/5. PP calls for 920 total yds, 76 pts and we agree. 3H OVER Toledo/Air Force HOLIDAY BOWL Dec 28 8:00 pm ESPN Qualcomm Stadium CALIFORNIA (7-5) San Diego, CA TEXAS (7-5) CALIFORNIA TEXAS The last time here for the Horns they came in off a disappointing 9-3 season and dominated #12 Az St. This time PP calls for only a win with a yd edge over an improved Cal D. NO PLAY: TEXAS 22 CALIFORNIA 21 CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL Dec 29 5:30 pm ESPN Florida Citrus Bowl NOTRE DAME (8-4) Orlando, FL FLORIDA ST (8-4) NOTRE DAME FLORIDA ST Both tms came into the ssn with high expectations but underachieved. While PP calls for the underdog Irish to have a yd edge, FSU is playing close to home and has our #1 ST s. NO PLAY: FLORIDA ST 19 NOTRE DAME 19 ALAMO BOWL Dec 29 9:00 pm ESPN Alamodome WASHINGTON (7-5) San Antonio, Texas BAYLOR (9-3) WASHINGTON BAYLOR PP calls for the Bears to have a yd edge but we like Wash as BU is now nearly a DD fav after not bowling from and LY we saw what Wash can do as a big dog in a bowl. 3H OVER Washington/Baylor ARMED FORCES BOWL Dec 30 12:00 pm ESPN Gerald J. Ford Stadium TULSA (8-4) Dallas, Texas BYU (9-3) TULSA BYU BYU continues its typical late season dominance covering its L/6 gms while Tulsa went 5-1 ATS down the stretch. PP calls for this right at the number with BYU having a yd edge. NO PLAY: BYU 31 TULSA 29 PINSTRIPE BOWL Dec 30 3:20 pm ESPN Yankee Stadium RUTGERS (8-4) Bronx, New York IOWA ST (6-6) RUTGERS IOWA ST Both tms return to the postssn after a year off. PP calls for a low scoring game but we like the Over as the L/3 RU bowl gms have avg d 68 ppg while ISU prefers a fast-paced gm w/barnett under C. NO PLAY: RUTGERS 16 IOWA ST 16 WM PU WM PU WM PU QB 44 - RB 1/2 - WR 44 - WM PU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 4 - DL - 1/2 LB - 1/2 DB 1/2 - UL NCSt UL NCSt UL NCSt QB - 4 RB - - WR - - UL NCSt CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 4 DL - 4 LB - 4 DL 44 - LB - - DB 41/2-3 UL NCSt CCH - 4 Strong has gotten most out of his group but O Brien has been a bowl machine yr after yr. The Belk Bowl wanted NCSt and the Wolfpack Turf/ wanted to be here for the in-state game. Both teams defense oriented but like the 304 lb MTCH - 1/2 OL of NCSt vs 260 lb DL of Louisville. UL avg , 1 Sr, 36 sk all d (10.6%), 3.4 ypc. St avg , 1 Sr, 32 sk all d (7.3%), 3.1 ypc. DL 1/2 - UL avg , 1 Sr, 22 of tm 32 sks, 3.1 ypc. LB - 4 St avg , 2 Sr, 21.5 of tm 33 sks, 3.8 ypc. UL was in BCS position but wasn t thinking about Heyman #1 tkl r w/83, 15.5 tfl, Brown #3, 3.5 tfl. that at start of yr. Cole #2 tkl r w/98, 9.5 tfl, Manning #4, 13.5 tfl. DB - 41/2 UL #59 pass eff D, 224 ypg (60%), 17-9 ratio. ST 4 - SCH - - St #28 pass eff D, 220 ypg (58%), ratio. UT AF UT AF UT AF QB 4 - RB - 1/2 WR 41/2 - UT AF CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 1/2 - DL 44 - LB - 1/2 WM avg , 2 Sr, 22 sk all d (4.4%), 4.2 ypc. PU avg , 2 Sr, 27 sk all d (7.3%), 4.4 ypc. WM avg , 2 Sr, 20 of tm 26 sks, 5.5 ypc. PU avg , 1 Sr, 15.5 of tm 21 sks, 4.4 ypc. Simon #1 tkl r w/103, 8.5 sks, Zajac #2 w/84. Beckford #1 tkl r w/91, 7 tfl, Holland #2, 8.5 tfl. WM #74 pass eff D, 218 ypg (61%), ratio. PU #81 pass eff D, 203 ypg (59%), 14-8 ratio. UT avg , 3 Sr, 9 sk all d (2.2%), 5.1 ypc. AF avg , 3 Sr, 9 sk all d (4.9%), 5.8 ypc. UT avg , 3 Sr, 13 of tm 22 sks, 3.9 ypc. AF avg , 2 Sr, 2.5 of tm 17 sks, 5.0 ypc. Bell #2 tkl r w/70, 3.5 tfl, Molls #3 w/58. Amack #1 tkl r w/125, 5 tfl, Means #3, 9 tfl. UT #103 pass eff D, 278 ypg (63%), ratio. AF #96 pass eff D, 163 ypg (61%), ratio. CAL UT CAL UT CAL UT QB - - RB - 41/2 WR 4 - CAL UT CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 Cal avg , 2 Sr, 22 sk all d (5.4%), 4.5 ypc. UT avg , 1 Sr, 26 sk all d (7.8%), 4.6 ypc. Cal avg , 2 Sr, 14 of tm 32 sks, 3.8 ypc. UT avg , 1 Sr, 18 of tm 23 sks, 3.3 ypc. Kendricks #1 tkl r w/96, 13 tfl, Holt #2, 10.5 tfl. Acho #1 tkl r w/120, 18 tfl, Robinson #2, 8 tfl. Cal #13 pass eff D, 209 ypg (56%), ratio. UT #5 pass eff D, 212 ypg (57%), ratio. NC STATE by 7 s UT AF CCH - 4 Like the job Beckman s done at UT, but Calhoun has gotten AF to 5 straight bowls. Turf/ - 41/2 AF wanted this bowl, AF got this bowl and it s called the Military Bowl. MTCH 41/2 - The option is a unique offense and teams benefit with extra time to prepare. Two diverse tms and both have better offenses than D s. ST SCH - - CAL UT CCH - 1/2 Turf/ - 4 INT - 4 AIR FORCE by 1/2 s Brown gets a slight edge because this is the 1st time he s coaching after being bowl-less the yr prior. Usually favor an in-state participant, but Burnt Orange will be the dominant color in the stands. Both tms have stronger defenses than the other side of the ball, but no edge. LTH Brown was off a non-10 win ssn and dominated. ST - 1/2 SCH - 4 TEXAS by 7 s ND FSU ND FSU ND FSU ND FSU QB - 41/2 RB 4 - WR 1/2 - CCH - - We ll call it even despite Fisher only in 2nd yr as he s been more than just an asst. ND FSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS Proximity gives FSU the edge and they OL 41/2 - ND avg , 3 Sr, 13 sk all d (3.0%), 5.0 ypc. Turf/ - 4 already sold extra tix they requested. FSU avg , 1 Sr, 36 sk all d (10.2%), 3.5 ypc. Neither tm has a strong unit to take care of DL - 41/2 ND avg , 1 Sr, 7 of tm 20 sks, 3.9 ypc. opponents weaknesses. FSU avg , 0 Sr, 24 of tm 36 sks, 2.3 ypc. While each is 8-4, both have underachieved LB - 4 Te o #1 tkl r w/115, 13 tfl, Fleming #5, 7 tfl. this ssn. Bradham #1 tkl r w/77, 9 tfl, Jones #2, 6 tfl. DB - 41/2 ND #73 pass eff D, 202 ypg (59%), 21-8 ratio. FSU #23 pass eff D, 193 ypg (60%), ratio. ST SCH 41/2 - UW BU UW BU UW BU QB - 44 RB 4 - WR - 4 UW BU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 DL - - LB - 1/2 UW avg , 2 Sr, 34 sk all d (9.2%), 4.4 ypc. BU avg , 2 Sr, 25 sk all d (6.4%), 4.9 ypc. UW avg , 2 Sr, 17.5 of tm 24 sks, 4.5 ypc. BU avg , 2 Sr, 18.5 of tm 19 sks, 5.2 ypc. Dennison #1 tkl r w/113, Fuimaono #3, 8.5 tfl. Coffey #3 tkl r w/99, 5 tfl, Chadwick #6. UW #47 pass eff D, 284 ypg (62%), ratio. BU #84 pass eff D, 279 ypg (64%), ratio. TU BYU TU BYU TU BYU QB 1/2 - RB 4 - WR - 4 TU BYU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - DL 41/2 - LB 1/2 - TU avg , 3 Sr, 15 sk all d (3.9%), 5.0 ypc. BYU avg , 2 Sr, 14 sk all d (3.3%), 4.4 ypc. TU avg , 1 Sr, 17.5 of tm 24 sks, 3.4 ypc. BYU avg , 1 Sr, 4.5 of tm 21 sks, 3.8 ypc. Arnick #1 tkl r w/142, 4.5 tfl, Jackson #2, 8 tfl. Ogletree #1 tkl r w/67, 3.5 tfl, Van Noy #2, 10 tfl. TU #32 pass eff D, 289 ypg (61%), ratio. BYU #16 pass eff D, 198 ypg (58%), ratio. RU ISU RU ISU RU ISU QB - 1/2 RB - - WR 4 - RU ISU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 4 RU avg , 3 Sr, 30 sk all d (6.7%), 2.6 ypc. ISU avg , 2 Sr, 24 sk all d (5.4%), 4.3 ypc. RU avg , 2 Sr, 16.5 of tm 33 sks, 3.9 ypc. ISU avg , 3 Sr, 13.5 of tm 17 sks, 4.6 ypc. Greene #1 tkl r w/127, 11 tfl, Beauharnais #2, 15 tfl. Knott #1 tkl r w/107, 4 tfl, Klein #2 w/101. RU #21 pass eff D, 168 ypg (53%), 8-17 ratio. ISU #22 pass eff D, 237 ypg (57%), ratio. WM PU CCH 4 - Turf/ - - MTCH 44 - WM HC Cubit has bowl exp while Purdue HC Hope preparing his tm for his first bowl. Western has in-state edge but we expect Purdue to have the crowd edge. Cubit has a knack for knocking off B10 teams and Dome helps WM pass game. Both teams excited for bowl and extra practices. ST 1/2 - SCH - 44 WESTERN MICH by 6 s FLORIDA ST by 5 s UW BU CCH - 1/2 Briles has not fared well in postssn play but certainly has more exp and earns the edge. Turf/ - 44 BU not only has in-state edge, but close enough for fans to be able to drive to. MTCH - 4 BU was +32 ypg vs bowl tms while Washington was -79 ypg vs bowl caliber tms. BU will be excited to get 10 wins, but Heisman talk could be a distraction. ST 441/2 - SCH - - s EVEN TU BYU CCH - 44 Blankenship in his first year while Mendenhall has led the Cougars to 7 straight. Turf/ 1/2 - Slight edge to the Golden Hurricane playing at this stadium every other year. Both tms like to pour it on when they can, but no edges in this matchup. These two met in 07 with Tulsa winning but new TU HC. ST - 4 SCH 41/2 - RU CCH 4 - Turf/ 441/2 - MTCH 4 - BYU by 1 s ISU Both are quality motivators, but Schiano has impressed us with past bowl experiences. Schiano s goal is to make Rutgers NYC s tm and the Scarlet Knights ply d Army here TY. ISU has 5 7 and 5 10 CB s and now has to face Rutgers with several rec s. ISU has shown they can win as a dog, while RU does well in bowls. DB - - ST 4 - SCH RUTGERS by 3 s Renew Power Plays for 2012 $ 79 (Download) $ 119 (Mail)

4 MUSIC CITY BOWL Dec 30 6:40 pm ESPN LP Field WAKE FOREST (6-6) Nashville, Tennessee MISS ST (6-6) WAKE FOREST MISSISSIPPI ST PP projects the Bulldogs with a yardage edge along with a substantial advantage in the checklist. With the predicted outcome right at the line however, we ll pass on this matchup. NO PLAY: MISSISSIPPI ST 26 WAKE FOREST 18 INSIGHT BOWL Dec 30 10:00 pm ESPN Sun Devil Stadium IOWA (7-5) Tempe, AZ OKLAHOMA (9-3) IOWA OKLAHOMA Much has changed for the Sooners since the start of the season as they have gone from BCS to bust and are now without their top RB and WR here. Throw in the fact that Oklahoma is 0-3 as a fav in non-bcs bowls (Iowa covered 5 straight as bowl dog), and we ll take the points here. 4H IOWA 16 (+) OKLAHOMA 27 CAR CARE BOWL Dec 31 12:00 pm ESPN Reliant Stadium TEXAS A&M (6-6) Houston, TX NORTHWESTERN (6-6) TEXAS A&M NORTHWESTERN The forecast calls for the Aggies to have a yd edge and an 11 pt victory over the Wildcats. With the projection landing right at line, we will move past this matchup with a No Play. NO PLAY: TEXAS A&M 37 NORTHWESTERN 26 SUN BOWL Dec 31 2:00 pm CBS Sun Bowl UTAH (7-5) El Paso, Texas GEORGIA TECH (8-4) UTAH GEORGIA TECH It s the GT offense vs the Utah defense in this meeting. While the Yellow Jackets have the yardage edge, the checklist and final outcome are in favor of the defensive dog Utes here. 3H UTAH 22 (+) GEORGIA TECH 22 FIGHT HUNGER BOWL Dec 31 3:30 pm ESPN AT&T Park UCLA (6-7) San Francisco, CA ILLINOIS (6-6) UCLA ILLINOIS Arguably the worst bowl matchup on the docket as both enter this matchup with interim HC s and uncertain futures. PP is calling for offense to be at a minimum here which has us pointing towards a low scoring outcome and a solid shot of delivering an Under totals play. 3H UNDER UCLA/Illinois LIBERTY BOWL Dec 31 3:30 pm ABC Liberty Bowl CINCINNATI (9-3) Memphis, TN VANDERBILT (6-6) CINCINNATI VANDERBILT Everything appears to be in Vandy s favor here as PP gives them a solid edge in yds, the checklist and on the scoreboard. Throw in the fact that the Commodores play in the far superior SEC while the Bearcats are in the very mediocre BE (QB not 100%) and we agree with the projections here. 4.5H VANDERBILT 29 CINCINNATI 20 CHICK-FIL-A BOWL Dec 31 7:30 pm ESPN Georgia Dome VIRGINIA (8-4) Atlanta, GA AUBURN (7-5) VIRGINIA AUBURN While the yardage and scoring forecasts are fairly close, it s important to take notice of the advantage the Tigers have on the checklist. While the Auburn team is very young, they have matured quickly in the very competitive SEC which should make the Cavaliers easy prey here. 4H AUBURN 25 VIRGINIA 21 TICKETCITY BOWL Jan 2 12:00 pm espnu Cotton Bowl PENN STATE (9-3) Dallas, TX HOUSTON (12-1) PENN ST HOUSTON While the forecast gives the Cougars solid yd and scoring edges, PP doesn t take into account the emotion of Houston having their BCS bubble burst in their last game and we like the dog here. NO PLAY: HOUSTON 34 PENN ST 21 WF MSU WF MSU WF MSU QB - - RB - 41/2 WR 1/2 - WF MSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 1/2 WF avg , 4 Sr, 29 sk all d (7.1%), 3.3 ypc. MSU avg , 3 Sr, 24 sk all d (7.3%), 4.3 ypc. DL - 41/2 WF avg , 1 Sr, 4 of tm 10 sks, 4.4 ypc. LB - 4 DB - - UI OU UI OU UI OU UI OU QB - 41/2 RB 1/2 - WR - 1/2 CCH - - No edge as a pair of tenured HC s face off after disappointing seasons. UI OU CHECKLIST 1/2 COMMENTS OU wants no part of an Arizona bowl, but not sure OL - 44 UI avg , 2 Sr, 26 sk all d (7.1%), 4.1 ypc. Turf/ - - there will be enough Iowa fans to garner an edge. OU avg , 1 Sr, 9 sk all d (1.6%), 4.6 ypc. OU rates better on both off and def which is obvious DL - 4 UI avg , 3 Sr, 16 of tm 20 sks, 3.7 ypc. in this checklist but no distinct matchup edges. OU avg , 1 Sr, 17.5 of tm 37 sk, 3.8 ypc. OU was pressn #1 and now falls here and while UI not LB - 44 Morris #1 tkl r w/105, 3.5 tfl, Kirksey #2 w/103. INT happy, they like dog role. Lewis #2 tkl r w/79, 2 tfl, Jefferson #3, 7.5 tfl. DB - 441/2 UI #91 pass eff D, 228 ypg (62%), 20-9 ratio. ST - - SCH - 44 OU #9 pass eff D, 244 ypg (55%), ratio. A&M NW A&M NW A&M NW QB - 4 RB 41/2 - WR 4 - A&M NW CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 44 - DL 44 - LB 441/2 - DB 41/2 - UCLA IL UCLA IL UCLA IL UCLA IL QB - 1/2 RB 4 - WR 4 - CCH - 1/2 Rare occurrence with 2 interim HC s facing off. Slight edge to IL with Koenning having HC exp. UCLA IL CHECKLIST COMMENTS While we don t exp either tm to bring a large OL 4 - LA avg , 2 Sr, 24 sks all d (7.6%), 4.7 ypc. Turf/ 1/2 - contingent, slight edge to UCLA for in-state. IL avg , 2 Sr, 35 sk all d (10.6%), 4.1 ypc. The Illini are +37 ypg vs bowl tms while Bruins DL - 441/2 LA avg , 2 Sr, 10 of tm 13 sks, 5.2 ypc. MTCH - 41/2 have been a disappointing -75 ypg. No edge here as this could be the 1st bowl ever LB - 4 w/comb losing rec d. DB IL avg , 0 Sr, 25.5 of tm 36 sks, 3.3 ypc. LA Larimore #1 tkl r w/81, 2 tfl, Kendricks #2. IL Brown #1 tkl r w/102, 19 tfl, Thomas #2. LA #46 pass eff D, 233 ypg (64%), ratio. IL #17 pass eff D, 159 ypg (56%), 13-9 ratio. ST 441/2 - SCH 44 - UCLA by 1 UC VU UC VU UC VU UC VU QB 4 - RB - - WR - - CCH 1/2 - Both coaches are enthusiastic and great for the fans but edge to Jones with 2 gms exp. UC VU CHECKLIST COMMENTS VU has in-state edge and a HC doing a great OL 1/2 - UC avg , 3 Sr s, 18 sk all d (5.0%), 4.6 ypc. Turf/ job promoting ticket sales. VU avg , 1 Sr, 26 sk all d (8.3%), 4.4 ypc. Vandy has WR s that are 6 3 and 6 4 vs DL 1/2 - UC avg , 2 Sr, 37 of tm 44 sks, 2.6 ypc. MTCH - 1/2 Cincy s 5 9 and 5 11 corners. VU avg , 2 Sr, 18 of tm 24 sks, 3.4 ypc. While VU is more bowl hungry, Cincy still off LB - - Schaffer #1 tkl r w/105, 11.5 tfl, Bomar #6. a 4 win 10 ssn. Marve #1 tkl r w/84, 7 tfl, Barnes #5, 4 tfl. DB - 44 UC #71 pass eff D, 269 ypg (62%), ratio. ST 4 - SCH - 441/2 VU #29 pass eff D, 202 ypg (55%), ratio. UVa AU UVa AU UVa AU QB - - RB - 4 WR - 1/2 UVa AU CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - DL - - LB - - DB 4 - DL 44 - LB 4 - MSU avg , 1 Sr, 13.5 of tm 21 sks, 3.9 ypc. Wilber #1 tkl r w/65, 10.5 tfl, Olson #5, 6 tfl. Lawrence #1 tkl r w/114, 6 tfl, Wilson #3 w/92. WF #49 pass eff D, 236 ypg (57%), ratio. MSU #63 pass eff D, 195 ypg (66%), ratio. A&M avg , 0 Sr, 8 sk all d (1.6%), 5.2 ypc. NW avg , 1 Sr, 34 sk all d (9.3%), 3.9 ypc. A&M avg , 1 Sr, 13.5 of tm 43 sks, 2.7 ypc. NW avg , 1 Sr, 11 of tm 16 sks, 4.6 ypc. Stewart #1 tkl r w/89, 4.5 tfl, Porter #2, 16 tfl. Nwabuisi #3 tkl r w/79, 8 tfl, McNaul #4, 4 tfl. A&M #55 pass eff D, 281 ypg (62%), 18-7 ratio. NW #97 pass eff D, 222 ypg (60%), ratio. UVa avg , 2 Sr, 15 sk all d (3.7%), 4.3 ypc. AU avg , 2 Sr, 31 sk all d (11.5%), 4.3 ypc. UVa avg , 3 Sr, 12 of tm 19 sks, 3.7 ypc. AU avg , 0 Sr, 13.5 of tm 21 sks, 4.7 ypc. Greer #1 tkl r w/103, 6 tfl, Reynolds #2, 7 tfl. Bates #1 tkl r w/96, 7 tfl, Freeman #4, 8.5 tfl. UVa #39 pass eff D, 215 ypg (54%), ratio. AU #95 pass eff D, 211 ypg (63%), ratio. PSU UH PSU UH PSU UH QB RB 1/2 - WR - 4 PSU UH CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - - PSU avg , 4 Sr, 12 sk all d (3.4%), 4.2 ypc. UH avg , 1 Sr, 16 sk all d (2.6%), 5.0 ypc. PSU avg , 2 Sr, 21 of tm 29 sks, 3.6 ypc. UH avg , 1 Sr, 7.5 of tm 29 sks, 4.2 ypc. PSU Hodges #1 tkl r w/97, 10 tfl, Carson #3. UH McGraw #1 tkl r w/131, 13.5 tfl, Mathews #2. PSU #22 pass eff D, 162 ypg (54%), 9-14 ratio. UH #20 pass eff D, 214 ypg (57%), ratio. A&M NW CCH Big edge to Northwestern with Fitzgerald vs an interim head coach for A&M. Turf/ 44 - Despite the disappointing ssn, Aggie fans will MTCH 4 - still clearly outnumber Wildcat fans. A&M s potent pass offense will be able to move the ball vs N Western s #97 pass D. INT - A&M had pressn BCS hopes. NW s pressn goal 4444 was to win a bowl. ST SCH 44 - UT GT UT GT UT GT UT GT QB - 41/2 RB - 41/2 WR - 1/2 CCH 4 - UT GT CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 41/2 UT avg , 2 Sr, 31 sk all d (10.3%), 3.7 ypc. Turf/ 1/2 - GT avg , 0 Sr, 13 sk all d (8.5%), 5.8 ypc. DL 41/2 - UT avg , 2 Sr, 13.5 of tm 30 sks, 2.9 ypc. MTCH 4 - GT avg , 2 Sr, 9 of tm 20 sks, 4.5 ypc. LB 1/2 - Walker #1 tkl r w/103, 2.5 tfl, Martinez #2, 8 tfl. Burnett #1 tkl r w/113, 9.5 tfl, Attaochu #4, 8.5 tfl. DB 4 - UT #1 pass eff D, 246 ypg (56%), ratio. GT #36 pass eff D, 198 ypg (57%), ratio. WF MSU CCH 1/2 - Veteran gets an edge over the up-and-comer and perhaps next coach to move. Turf/ - 41/2 SEC country plus Miss St will bring the loud MTCH - and rowdy fans they re accustomed to. 44 MSU s heavy OL vs WF lite DL. Miss St avgs 38 ppg when they rush for 150+ yds. Both tms 6-6 and need a win to save the season. ST - - SCH - 4 VANDERBILT by 4 UVa AU CCH - 44 Chizik has a Nat l Championship under his belt while London is preparing for his 1st bowl. Turf/ - 44 The Georgia Dome is where Aub played LY and will hope to play again Dec Virginia is a much more veteran squad but no specific matchup edge in this game. The Tigers will use this gm as a start to next INT - 4 year s potential title. ST SCH - 44 PSU UH CCH - 4 Turf/ - 4 MTCH 4 - INT 441/2 - AUBURN by 10 s If UH s Sumlin is here, then Houston has the edge, but if he departs, it would shift to PSU. We give the Cougars the in-state edge but you will still see blue in the crowd. While UH has been productive on off, they have yet to see a top 10 defense. UH was a DD fav and lost $17 mil while PSU DISRESPECTED. TEXAS A&M by 10 s While we rate the cch s even, Whittingham is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in bowl gms. Utah still has new P12 excitement, while GT will struggle to sell even a min # of tix. Favor a solid D team with extra time to prep for the option offense. Both tms underachieved as 2 months ago, they were expecting more. ST 44 - SCH 41/2 - MISS ST by 8 s OKLAHOMA by 8 s UTAH by 4 s DB 1/2 - ST - - SCH PENN ST by 4 s BOWL TOTALS RATED as TRIPLE PLAYS now % L10Y!

5 OUTBACK BOWL Jan 2 1:00 pm ABC Raymond James Stadium MICHIGAN STATE (10-3) Tampa, FL GEORGIA (10-3) MICHIGAN ST GEORGIA The checklist has the Bulldogs with edges, albeit small, in almost every position. PP is also calling for Georgia to finish with a yard edge but with the score slanting Michigan St we ll pass. NO PLAY: MICHIGAN ST 26 GEORGIA 24 CAPITAL ONE BOWL Jan 2 1:00 pm ESPN Florida Citrus Bowl NEBRASKA (9-3) Orlando, FL SOUTH CAROLINA (10-2) NEBRASKA SOUTH CAROLINA It s pretty obvious from the checklist that both teams want to run the ball and PP is projecting that neither will do it very well. The forecast is for SC to pull out the win with a yard edge. NO PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA 24 NEBRASKA 22 GATOR BOWL Jan 2 1:00 pm espn2 EverBank Field FLORIDA (6-6) Jacksonville, FL OHIO ST (6-6) FLORIDA OHIO ST Quite a different game than their last meeting in the 06 Championship game when they were a combined 24-1 and the offenses avg d a combined 65 ppg. PP s forecast has Florida with a yd edge. We ll pass, however, as Florida is w/out OC Weis and OSU has the Meyer factor. NO PLAY: FLORIDA 26 OHIO ST 21 ROSE BOWL Jan 2 5:00 pm ESPN Rose Bowl WISCONSIN (11-2) Pasadena, CA OREGON (11-2) WISCONSIN OREGON Let s compare Wisky to Stanford as both have sizeable OL s that want to pound the ball. UO only had a yd edge in a misleading win vs the Cardinal and we expect the same in this game. 4H WISCONSIN 40 (+) OREGON 40 FIESTA BOWL Jan 2 8:30 pm ESPN U of Phoenix Stadium STANFORD (11-1) Glendale, AZ OKLAHOMA ST (11-1) STANFORD OKLAHOMA ST Stanford played the tougher schedule and the forecast is split. We ll agree with the yardage forecast as Stanford is projected with a yard edge and is a dog of over a FG. NO PLAY: OKLAHOMA ST 40 STANFORD 32 SUGAR BOWL Jan 3 8:30 pm ESPN Superdome MICHIGAN (10-2) New Orleans, LA VIRGINIA TECH (11-2) MICHIGAN VIRGINIA TECH VT is used to the big stage as this is their 4th BCS bowl in 5Y while UM is making its 1st appearance since PP is calling for the Wolverines to have a yd edge but we lean with VT. NO PLAY: MICHIGAN 29 VIRGINIA TECH 21 ORANGE BOWL Jan 4 8:30 pm ESPN Sun Life Stadium WEST VIRGINIA (9-3) Miami, FL CLEMSON (10-3) WEST VIRGINIA CLEMSON Both the Tigers and Mountaineers games have avg d a total of 800+ yards on the season. In this matchup PP is calling for that again with a total of 885 yds and an even more impressive 70 pts. 4.5H OVER West Virginia/Clemson COTTON BOWL Jan 6 8:00 pm FOX Cowboys Stadium KANSAS ST (10-2) Arlington, TX ARKANSAS (10-2) KANSAS ST ARKANSAS It s no surprise that PP favors the Razorbacks. K-St is a unique team that has been outgained in 9 of 10 gms vs BCS foes yet went 8-2 SU/ATS. We can t go against Wildcats HC Snyder so No Play. NO PLAY: ARKANSAS 39 KANSAS ST 28 MSU UGA MSU UGA MSU UGA MSU UGA QB - 1/2 RB - - WR - 4 CCH - 1/2 Both are great leaders, but edge to Richt with a 7-3 record vs Dantonio who s winless here. MSU UGA CHECKLIST COMMENTS We ll give a slight edge to the Bulldogs with OL - 1/2 MSU avg , 1 Sr, 15 sk all d (3.8%), 4.0 ypc. Turf/ - 1/2 many more SEC fans in the FL area. UGA avg , 3 Sr, 29 sk all d (7.2%), 4.1 ypc. Quality matchup between the SEC and Big DL - - MSU avg , 1 Sr, 20.5 of tm 41 sks, 2.9 ypc. Ten with a pair of Top 10 defenses. UGA avg , 1 Sr, 8.5 of tm 34 sks, 3.3 ypc. MSU is 3rd B10 pick after being among LB - 1/2 Bullough #1 tkl r w/86, 7 tfl, Allen #2, 17 tfl. INT - 4 conf s best all yr. Jones #1 tkl r w/69, 19.5 tfl, Gilliard #3, 7 tfl. MSU #19 pass eff D, 168 ypg (53%), ratio. ST 41/2 - SCH - 1/2 UGA #15 pass eff D, 165 ypg (50%), ratio. SU OSU SU OSU SU OSU SU OSU QB 4 - RB - - WR - 4 CCH - 44 Gundy has taken OSU to the next level after 5 str bowls while Shaw is in 1st year. SU OSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS #3 BCS vs #4 BCS and both teams will be OL - - SU avg , 3 Sr, 9 sk all d (2.3%), 5.3 ypc. Turf/ - - well supported here. No edge. OSU avg , 3 Sr, 11 sk all d (2.0%), 5.4 ypc. While SU has seen very quick offenses, OSU DL 41/2 - SU avg , 1 Sr, 10.5 of tm s 38 sks, 3.1 ypc. MTCH 1/2 - has not faced this type of physicality. OSU avg , 2 Sr, 17 of tm 28 sks, 4.3 ypc. The Cardinal are 23-2 the L2Y yet are now LB - 1/2 Lancaster #1 tkl r w/63, 7 tfl, Tarpley #3, 5 tfl. INT 1/2 - an underdog. Elkins #2 tkl r w/78, 5 tfl, Lavey #3, 4 tfl. DB - 4 SU #26 pass eff D, 241 ypg (61%), 15-6 ratio. ST - 4 SCH OKLAHOMA ST - - OSU #2 pass eff D, 266 ypg (58%), ratio. by 2 s UM VT UM VT UM VT UM VT QB 4 - RB - 4 WR 1/2 - CCH - 44 Obvious edges to VT with Beamer while Hoke is preparing for his 1st ever BCS bowl. UM VT CHECKLIST COMMENTS Mich sold more tix early, but expect Hokie OL - - UM avg , 2 Sr, 15 sk all d (5.7%), 5.3 ypc. Turf/ - - fans to match them in the dome. VT avg , 4 Sr, 15 sk all d (3.9%), 4.5 ypc. Although Mich QB Robinson runs more, both DL - 1/2 UM avg , 3 Sr, 16.5 of tm 28 sks, 4.1 ypc. have mobile QB s. No edge. VT avg , 0 Sr, 23 of tm s 38 sks, 3.3 ypc. VT lost ACC Champ while UM beat OSU, LB - 1/2 Demens #1 tkl r w/86, 5 tfl, Morgan #5 w/53. but still BCS bowl. Edwards #4 tkl r w/63, 9.5 tfl, Tyler #9. DB - 41/2 UM #43 pass eff D, 189 ypg (58%), 12-8 ratio. ST - 4 SCH 1/2 - VT #6 pass eff D, 206 ypg (50%), ratio. 5 GEORGIA by 4 s NU SC NU SC NU SC NU SC QB - - RB 4 - WR - 4 CCH - 4 We ll give the edge to Spurrier although they ve underachieved the last few bowls. NU SC CHECKLIST COMMENTS Orlando is SEC country but Nebraska fans OL 1/2 - NU avg , 2 Sr, 15 sk all d (5.4%), 4.8 ypc. Turf/ - - will travel for its 1st Big Ten NYD bowl. SC avg , 2 Sr, 26 sk all d (8.7%), 4.6 ypc. MTCH - 4 SC can take away and use run gm forcing DL - 41/2 NU avg , 1 Sr, 13 of tm 17 sks, 4.1 ypc. Martinez into mistakes. SC avg , 2 Sr, 23 of tm 25 sks, 3.7 ypc. No edges as it s the SEC vs the Big Ten in LB - 1/2 David #1 tkl r w/122, 11 tfl, Compton #2, 6 tfl. a major bowl gm. Allen #1 tkl r w/81, 8.5 tfl, Paulk #3, 3.5 tfl. DB - 44 NU #25 pass eff D, 189 ypg (53%), ratio. ST 44 - SCH - - SC #4 pass eff D, 133 ypg (50%), ratio. S CAROLINA by 3 s UF OSU UF OSU UF OSU UF OSU QB - - RB 1/2 - WR 1/2 - CCH 1/2 - We were planning to give UF a full check, but with Weis gone, we ll drop it to a 1/2. UF OSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS UF has the proximity edge, but for a NYD gm, OL - - UF avg , 1 Sr, 23 sk all d (7.6%), 4.0 ypc. Turf/ 4 - Buckeye Nation will be well supported. OSU avg , 3 Sr, 40 sk all d (18.0%), 4.5 ypc. Both tms loaded with top-notch ply rs, but UF DL 1/2 - UF avg ,1 Sr, 10.5 of tm 22 sks, 3.4 ypc. MTCH - 4 has yet to see a mobile QB like Miller. OSU avg , 0 Sr, 16 of tm 23 sks, 3.9 ypc. Hard to believe 1 will have losing rec d but UF 0-7 LB 1/2 - Bostic #1 tkl r w/86, 6 tfl, Jenkins #3, 6 tfl. INT - 4 ATS vs bowl tms. Sweat #2 tkl r w/68, 5 tfl, Sabino #5 w/58. DB 1/2 - UF #34 pass eff D, 167 ypg (53%), 13-8 ratio. ST - 1/2 SCH 1/2 - OSU #57 pass eff D, 186 ypg (60%), ratio. FLORIDA by 2 s UW UO UW UO UW UO UW UO QB 4 - RB - 1/2 WR - - CCH - - Great matchup as LY these 2 HC s took their tms to the Nat l Champ gm and Rose Bowl. UW UO CHECKLIST COMMENTS UW was here LY but UO plays here every other OL - - UW avg , 2 Sr, 23 sk all d (7.6%), 5.5 ypc. Turf/ - - yr and both snatched up all available tix. UO avg , 2 Sr, 12 sk all d (3.3%), 6.5 ypc. Gave no edge but Wisconsin s D vs UO s DL - 4 UW avg , 2 Sr, 17.5 of tm s 23 sks, 3.9 ypc. speed and tempo was close. UO avg , 1 Sr, 26.5 of tm s 43 sks, 3.6 ypc. UW here for 2nd yr but Oregon off National LB - - Taylor #1 tkl r w/137, 8 tfl, Borland 131 tkl, 18 tfl. Champ loss. Clay #2 tkl r w/89, 6.5 tfl, Stuckey #3, 6 tfl. DB - 4 UW #50 pass eff D, 155 ypg (60%), ratio. ST - 441/2 SCH - 41/2 UO #14 pass eff D, 244 ypg (58%), ratio. OREGON by 5 s VIRGINIA TECH by 4 s WV CU WV CU WV CU WV CU QB - - RB - 41/2 WR - 4 CCH - 41/2 Obvious edge to Swinney who has bowl exp while Holgorsen s 1st bowl is a BCS affair. WV CU CHECKLIST COMMENTS Clemson thrilled in making 1st Orange Bowl OL - 4 WV avg , 3 Sr, 26 sk all d (5.2%), 3.8 ypc. Turf/ - 4 appearance since 1981 and will have edge. CU avg , 4 Sr, 30 sk all d (6.3%), 4.0 ypc. Both QB s earn an edge over the opponents DL - - WV avg , 1 Sr, 17 of tm 28 sks, 3.8 ypc. secondaries, but no other advantages. CU avg , 3 Sr, 21 of tm 24 sks, 4.4 ypc. Clemson won it on the field and WV backed LB - 1/2 Goode #1 tkl r w/84, 12.5 tfl, Snow #8. in, but no edge. Hawkins #3 tkl r w/73, 4 tfl, Willard #5. DB - - WV #34 pass eff D, 199 ypg (58%), ratio. ST - 41/2 SCH - 44 CU #63 pass eff D, 203 ypg (57%), ratio. CLEMSON by 10 s KSU UA KSU UA KSU UA KSU UA QB - 1/2 RB - 1/2 WR - 44 CCH - - HOF HC Snyder usually would have edge but Petrino has done a superior job. KSU UA CHECKLIST COMMENTS This is the Razorbacks 3rd trip to Jerry s OL - 41/2 KSU avg , 3 Sr, 36 sk all d (13.8%), 4.1 ypc. Turf/ - 44 palace in the last 2 seasons. UA avg , 2 Sr, 25 sk all d (5.7%), 4.3 ypc. Neither tm has a significant edge against DL 1/2 - KSU avg , 2 Sr, 15.5 of tm 19 sks, 4.0 ypc. the other teams weaknesses. UA avg , 1 Sr, 13 of tm 22 sks, 4.5 ypc. K-St as a dog has been money going 6-2 LB - - Brown #1 tkl r w/95, 7.5 tfl, Lamur #3, 4.5 tfl. INT 41/2 - SU and 7-1 ATS. Franklin #1 tkl r w/93, 10 tfl, Highsmith #3, 10.5 tfl. KSU #51 pass eff D, 267 ypg (63%), ratio. ST - 4 SCH 4 - UA #40 pass eff D, 197 ypg (57%), ratio. ARKANSAS by 5 s FREE PLAYS DAILY!

6 PASS EFFICIENCY DEFENSE TEAM YDS ATT COM % TD INT GRADE OPP 1 Oklahoma St LSU South Carolina Utah Virginia Tech Texas Alabama Oklahoma Nevada Georgia Southern Miss UCF California Louisiana Tech Oregon BYU FIU Illinois Michigan St Iowa St Rutgers Houston Penn St Vanderbilt Florida St Nebraska NC State Arkansas St Missouri Florida Stanford Kentucky Boston College Georgia Tech Arkansas Tulsa West Virginia Kent St Virginia Boise St UTEP Ohio Michigan Tennessee Bowling Green Wisconsin Temple UCLA Washington Wake Forest Texas A&M Utah St Connecticut Kansas St USF San Diego St Louisville ULM Ohio St Pittsburgh USC Mississippi St East Carolina Marshall Clemson Tulane WKU North Carolina Cincinnati TCU Louisiana Notre Dame Arizona St Fresno St Mississippi San Jose St Miami, Oh W Michigan Hawaii New Mexico St Purdue SMU North Texas Baylor Army Oregon St Syracuse Colorado St E Michigan Iowa Auburn Wyoming Arizona Florida Atlantic Air Force N Illinois Rice Maryland Duke Northwestern Texas Tech Idaho Toledo Middle Tennessee Troy Buffalo Cent Michigan UNLV Washington St Memphis Miami, Fl Indiana Minnesota Navy Colorado Akron UAB Kansas Ball St New Mexico COLLEGE TEAM STATISTICAL AVERAGES OFF OFF - RUSHING - - PASSING - DEF DEF - OPPONENTS RUSH - SK SK Air Force PTS 34.4 FD 23.4 ATT 55.7 YDS AVG FUM COM ATT PCT YDS INT TD 7 14 PTS 27.3 FD 21.3 ATT YDS AVG FUM VS 9 BY 17 Akron Alabama Arizona Arizona St Arkansas Arkansas St Army Auburn Ball St Baylor Boise St Boston College Bowling Green Buffalo BYU California Cent Michigan Cincinnati Clemson Colorado Colorado St Connecticut Duke E Michigan East Carolina Florida Florida Atlantic FIU Florida St Fresno St Georgia Georgia Tech Hawaii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Iowa St Kansas Kansas St Kent St Kentucky Louisiana Tech Louisiana Louisville LSU Marshall Maryland Memphis Miami, Fl Miami, Oh Michigan Michigan St Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi St Missouri N Illinois Navy NC State Nebraska Nevada New Mexico New Mexico St North Carolina North Texas Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio St Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oregon Oregon St Penn St Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers Southern Miss San Diego St San Jose St SMU South Carolina Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas Texas A&M Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UAB UCF UCLA ULM UNLV USC USF Utah Utah St UTEP Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech W Michigan Wake Forest Washington Washington St West Virginia WKU Wisconsin Wyoming

7 PRO FOOTBALL DECEMBER 15th-19TH Obviously this newsletter is based upon statistical numbers & rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. The numbers in parenthesis are a comparison of the teams rankings (Visitor, visitors offense ranking vs home defense ranking, Home, home offensive ranking vs visitor defensive ranking). THURSDAY, DECEMBER 15th, 11 JACKSONVILLE #28 ATLANTA #20 (JAX #27 vs ATL #14, ATL #8 vs JAX #11) - JAX is off their 1st win for interim HC Turner where they scored more points vs TB (41) than in their previous 3 combined (37). Falcons HC Smith used to be the DC for JAX prior to ATL & he s only 1-2 ATS as a DD favorite. That combined with the fact that they have NO on MNF next makes this a No Play until we see how they practice this week. NO PLAY: FALCONS 26 JAGUARS 10 SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17th, 2011 DALLAS #19 TAMPA BAY #10 (DAL #11 vs TB #22, TB #18 vs DAL #25) - Both teams are off bad losses with DAL giving up 37 pts & 500 yds at home to the Giants on SNF. TB gave up 41 pts to JAX thanks to a whopping 7 TO s which is equal to how many games Morris has lost in a row. DAL has gone from leading the NFC East to the #8 seed & lost rookie stud RB Murray (897 yds 5.5) for the year. We need to see the state of mind for both teams this week so No Play. NO PLAY: COWBOYS 30 BUCS 18 SUNDAY, DECEMBER 18th, 2011 WASHINGTON #23 NY GIANTS #22 (WAS #7 vs NYG #32, NYG #2 vs WAS #16) - The Giants earned a huge win with Eli putting the team on his shoulders like he has most of the year and leading them to 37 pts & 500 yds on the road vs DAL. NFC East teams off a SU win as a DIV dog are just 3-8 ATS vs a div foe though since 2003 and WAS has covered 3 of 4 despite their injuries on the OL. PP has this right at the line though the Giants have the 2nd largest yard edge of the week (+113). We ll pass on the side but put a small play on the total (807 yds 3rd biggest TW) here. NO PLAY: GIANTS 32 REDSKINS 24 2H GIANTS/REDSKINS: OVER GREEN BAY #14 KANSAS CITY #25 (GB #6 vs KC #7, KC #31 vs GB #29) - After being held to 10 or less for 6 straight games the Chiefs released Todd Haley as HC. DC Crennel who is widely respected will take over as interim HC vs a GB team that can clinch the #1 seed with a win here. GB lost true #1 WR Jennings (MCL) until the playoffs & there isn t much value with them anymore. This is a No Play due to the coaching change with GB being close to the line anyways. NO PLAY: PACKERS 30 CHIEFS 14 NEW ORLEANS #9 MINNESOTA #16 (NO #1 vs MIN #9, MIN #10 vs NO #31) - MIN pulled Ponder (hip) for his own good LW after tossing 3 int s & 115 yds vs DET. MIN had 14 pts & 212 yds with Webb as DET wasn t ready for him. NO is off B2B primetime games with a goal line stand at the end to stop TEN with Locker. NO had a 15:06 TOP edge going 11 for 19 on 3rd Dns while holding TEN to 1 for 10. There is no line due to Ponder & Peterson status here so No Play. NO PLAY: SAINTS 36 VIKINGS 24 SEATTLE #13 CHICAGO #1 (SEA #25 vs CHI #12, CHI #26 vs SEA #10) - CHI did a good job of holding DEN to 186 yds til mid-4qtr but couldn t put them away. They have a big sked edge at home vs a SEA team off its 1st MNF home game since mid SEA is down 3 OL from just 3 Wks ago & CHI is only allowing 80 ypg rush (3.5) the L8. We won a 4.5H NFL Playoff GOY on CHI LY vs SEA who were coming off a big home win & while there is no line for the side the total makes a lot of sense here. NO PLAY: BEARS 16 SEAHAWKS 14 2H BEARS/SEAHAWKS: UNDER MIAMI #3 BUFFALO #21 (MIA #28 vs BUF #8, BUF #22 vs MIA #5) - LW s loss to PHI sealed Sparano s fate but the team didn t quit on him. Moore (concussion) is expected to return & he has played well enough to be the 2012 opening day starter. BUF lacks a pass rush (4 sks), has a beat up receiving unit, has given up 142 ypg rushing (4.7) (28th) with a whopping 12-1 TD/Int ratio allowed in the L4W. There is no line so this is a No Play. NO PLAY: DOLPHINS 25 BILLS 16 CAROLINA #32 HOUSTON #15 (CAR #5 vs HOU #6, HOU #15 vs CAR #24) - HOU s defense came up huge in the 2H LW holding CIN to 6 FD s & 81 yds. Yates led the Texans on TD drives of 83 & 80 yds in the final 11 min as the Texans have their 1st AFC South title. With 4 teams tied at 10-3 in the AFC the playoffs are already here and this is CAR s 4th road game in 5 Wks after they collapsed in the 2H vs ATL. HOU s +105 yds is the 3rd largest TW (HOU is only allowing 79 ypg rush 3.8 at home TY) with the point margin to back it up. 4H TEXANS 32 PANTHERS 19 TENNESSEE #6 INDIANAPOLIS #31 (TEN #16 vs IND #18, IND #30 vs TEN #26) - Despite losing Hasselbeck (calf), who is iffy to play here, LW the Titans had a shot to win vs NO LW. TEN needs to win out & get some help for a playoff shot and look for RB Johnson (23 yds 2.1 LW) to be reemphasized here. IND only had 91 yds prior to their final drive when BAL gave up the backdoor cover. IND is 0-7 ATS as a dog of less than 10 TY, TEN is 4-0 ATS after a SU loss w/ Munchak but PP gives with IND the yards here tempering the grade. 2H TITANS 23 COLTS 13 CINCINNATI #18 ST LOUIS #29 (CIN #14 vs STL #20, STL #32 vs CIN #19) - STL is off LW s MNF game at SEA & its not known who started at QB for them. They are 1-5 ATS at home TY & facing a CIN team that is 8th in the playoff seedings right now. CIN had a 13 pt lead at the half vs a much healthier & more talented HOU team LW. CIN has several solid edges (health, sked, WR s, OL, DL, DB s) here but with no line this is a No Play. NO PLAY: BENGALS 22 RAMS 17 DETROIT #30 OAKLAND #8 (DET #3 vs OAK #23, OAK #19 vs DET #28) - Suh (susp) returns for DET giving a much needed boost to the interior of their DL. We won t overreact to LW s results vs MIN as they didn t prep for Webb. OAK was roasted by GB LW with 5 TO s flipped to 20 pts as the entire team was worn down entering the game. DET is holding onto the #6 seed in the NFC right now & despite their concerns in the secondary (Delmas/Houston) are the healthier team. PP has this right around the number with OAK having a +81 yd edge making it a No Play. NO PLAY: LIONS 27 RAIDERS 25 NEW ENGLAND #11 DENVER #5 (NE #4 vs DEN #21, DEN #20 vs NE #30) - DEN stands alone atop the AFC West right now but the sked has been very favorable to them (aside from DET) since Tebow was the starter. They have yet to be challenged by a consistent passing team that can put the game on Tebows shoulders for 4 Qtrs. NE does give up a lot of yards (#32 defense) but 330 yds passing by NE shouldn t be overlooked. PP has the side at the line so No Play though the total is worth a small look here (#1 combined yds TW). NO PLAY: PATRIOTS 29 BRONCOS 23 1H PATRIOTS/BRONCOS: OVER NY JETS #7 PHILADELPHIA #26 (NYJ #24 vs PHI #15, PHI #13 vs NYJ #4) - PHI got back into the win column thanks to a defense that tallied 9 sacks, 3 TO s & 5 3 & outs on the road. Vick was rusty in his return (208 yds 50% 1-1) but should be better vs a Jets defense that just lost SS Leonhard (knee). PHI has a nice edge in terms of speed & this is a very favorable matchup with their CB s vs the Jets slower WR s. PP calls for this to be a close game but we disagree here so No Play. NO PLAY: EAGLES 24 JETS 23 CLEVELAND #27 ARIZONA #4 (CLE #29 vs ARZ #13, ARZ #21 vs CLE #26) - Both teams QB s are unknowns due to concussion issues. ARZ upset SF by exploiting their issues in the red-zone (SF 0-3 LW) & Skelton was impressive off the bench for 282 yds (68%) w/a 3-2 ratio. PP leans with the home team that has covered 6 of its L7 with a 76 yd edge but ARZ hasn t been a favorite this big since Wk 1 when they pushed vs CAR. The total is worth a small look here though. NO PLAY: CARDINALS 20 BROWNS 11 1H CARDINALS/BROWNS: UNDER BALTIMORE #17 SAN DIEGO #24 (BAL #12 vs SD #17, SD #9 vs BAL #2) - The Chargers have gained momentum with 2 wins thanks to Rivers hitting for 267 yds (75%) with 6 TD s. He ll have a stout challenge vs a BAL defense that has held foes to 10 or less in 3 straight games despite not having Ray Lewis. With BAL still contending for the #1 seed & the Chargers still in striking distance for the AFC West we have another quality SNF matchup. Get this play on the Northcoast Debit Card System for only $9 after 11:00 am ET on Sunday. Sunday Night Private Play Hotline Marquee Plays have gone L/13Y!!! NO PLAY: CHARGERS 25 RAVENS 21 MONDAY, DECEMBER 19th, 2011 PITTSBURGH #12 SAN FRANCISCO #2 (PIT #17 vs SF #1, SF #23 vs PIT #3) - PIT is off a very costly game vs CLE & its not known if Roethlisberger or Ctr Pouncey will play as both have high ankle sprains. SF is in danger of losing the #2 seed to NO & are 10-1 ATS at home off a SU loss. PIT s injuries makes this a competitive game for SF but without knowing the Steelers practice report or if LB Harrison will be suspended this is a No Play. We are offering a MONEY BACK PLUS Guarantee on MNM through the Northcoast Debit Card System - take advantage on Monday night after 3:00 pm ET! Pay just $30 for the MNM Play and if it fails to cover - you ll get $40 back on your Northcoast Debit Card the very next day! NO PLAY: 49ERS 16 STEELERS NFL POWER RATINGS TEAM RTG 1 Green Bay New Orleans New England Pittsburgh San Francisco Baltimore Houston NY Giants San Diego Dallas Denver NY Jets Detroit Cincinnati Atlanta Chicago TEAM RTG 17 Oakland Tennessee Philadelphia Buffalo Carolina Miami Washington Arizona Seattle Kansas City Tampa Bay Minnesota Jacksonville Cleveland St Louis Indianapolis These are current 2011 Power Rating grades for each team based on talent. STREAKERS STREAKERS SIDES WINS NEW ORLEANS 5 ARIZONA 3 HOUSTON 3 SIDES LOSS DALLAS 4 CINCINNATI 3 DETROIT 3 ST LOUIS 3 TAMPA BAY 3 OVERS OAKLAND 4 WASHINGTON 4 NEW ENGLAND 3 NY GIANTS 3 NY JETS 3 UNDERS TENNESSEE 7 BALTIMORE 3 PITTSBURGH 3

8 COMPASS BOWL Jan 7 1:00 pm ESPN Legion Field SMU (7-5) Birmingham, Alabama PITT (6-6) SMU PITT PP feels that SMU can move the ball and the projection is for the Mustangs to have a yardage edge. However, Pitt has edges on the scoreboard, in turnovers, ST s and pride for a winning season. 3H PITTSBURGH 24 SMU 15 GODADDY.COM BOWL Jan 8 9:00 pm ESPN Ladd-Peebles Stadium ARKANSAS ST (10-2) Mobile, AL NORTHERN ILLINOIS (10-3) ARKANSAS ST NORTHERN ILLINOIS PP favors the Red Wolves but as what often happens with bowl bound non-bcs teams, they are without their departed coach. The forecast is for ASU to finish with a yard edge. NO PLAY: ARKANSAS ST 35 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 30 BAMA LSU BAMA LSU BAMA LSU BCS CHAMPIONSHIP QB - - RB 41/2 - WR - 4 Jan 9 8:30 pm ESPN Superdome BAMA LSU CHECKLIST COMMENTS ALABAMA (11-1) New Orleans, LA LSU (13-0) OL 4 - UA avg , 1 Sr, 15 sk all d (4.6%), 5.6 ypc. LSU avg , 2 Sr, 14 sk all d (5.3%), 5.0 ypc. ALABAMA DL - - UA avg , 1 Sr, 8.5 of tm 25 sks, 2.5 ypc. LSU LSU avg , 1 Sr, 25.5 of tm s 37 sks, 2.6 ypc. The best 2 teams face off but in this game any injuries or suspensions could sway our decision. LB 4 - Hightower #1 tkl r w/81, 9.5 tfl, Upshaw #3, 17 tfl. Get the National Championship side and total for just $37 thru our office, $29 on the Northcoast Baker #4 tkl r w/58, 3.5 tfl, Minter #5 w/56. Debit Card or just $14.50 at ncsports.com. DB - - UA #7 pass eff D, 116 ypg (48%), 6-12 ratio. NO PLAY: LSU 25 ALABAMA 21 LSU #3 pass eff D, 167 ypg (51%), 7-18 ratio. HHH LATE PHONE SPECIALS! HHH POST SEASON PACKAGE (First Bowl Dec 17th)... $ 699 It s Post Season Executive Club! This is the best value for the Post Season and includes the Lucky 7 Bonuses. You ll get every Late Phone Play that we release in the Post Season for College Bowls and Pro Playoffs including the Bowl and Playoff Plays of the Year! Opinions on all sides and totals not released as Late Phone Selections will be given out as well! COLLEGE BOWL exec... $ 499 Sign up for our Bowl Package and receive every Executive Club Late Phone Selection for the entire bowl season. You will receive opinions on sides and totals not released as Late Phone Plays. Your first selection will start on December 17th. All College Bowl Totals are included. This package will GUARANTEE you will get the Bowl Play of the Year (date not released to public). COLLEGE BOWL TOTALS PACKAGE... $ 299 We rate our Private Play Hotline Bowl Totals as Single, Double and Triple Plays. Over the last 10 years, the Triple Bowl Totals have gone %! If you were to purchase these plays separately it would cost over $400! Sign up for the Bowl Totals Package and don t miss a single Winner! EXECUTIVE CLUB FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE 2011 SEASON... $ 899 When you join the Executive Club you will receive EVERY SINGLE football play from Northcoast Sports. Not only will you receive a play or opinion on each and every bowl and playoff game (sides and totals) but you also will be an Executive Club Member for the last 2 weeks of the NFL Regular season including the red-hot Monday Night NFL Plays! You ll be covered from the moment you sign up through the Pro Bowl and you will automatically be eligible for a significant discount on a 2012 Executive Club Membership!!! Don t miss out! SEC LSU Alabama Arkansas Georgia South Carolina Vanderbilt Mississippi St Florida Tennessee Auburn Kentucky Mississippi SMU PITT SMU PITT SMU PITT SMU PITT QB - 1/2 RB - 41/2 WR - - CCH - - SMU PITT CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL 4 - SMU avg , 4 Sr, 27 sk all d (6.0%), 4.4 ypc. Turf/ - - Pitt avg , 3 Sr, 56 sk all d (14.2%), 3.7 ypc. DL - 4 SMU avg , 2 Sr, 13.5 of tm 27 sks, 3.5 ypc. MTCH - 4 Pitt avg , 2 Sr, 18 of tm 39 sks, 3.4 ypc. LB - 4 Reed #1 tkl r w/93, 7.5 tfl, Davis #3, 11 tfl. Gruder #1 tkl r w/107, 7.5 tfl, Roberts #5. DB - 4 SMU #82 pass eff D, 224 ypg (64%), 15-5 ratio. Pitt #60 pass eff D, 233 ypg (61%), 15-8 ratio. ASU NI ASU NI ASU NI QB - 4 RB - 4 WR 4 - ASU NI CHECKLIST COMMENTS OL - 44 ASU avg , 3 Sr, 24 sk all d (5.4%), 4.1 ypc. DL 4 - LB 4 - DB 41/2 - NI avg , 4 Sr, 9 sk all d (2.5%), 5.7 ypc. ASU avg , 3 Sr, 23.5 of tm 32 sks, 3.1 ypc. NI avg , 1 Sr, 19.5 of tm 25 sks, 4.2 ypc. Davis #1 tkl r w/65, 8 tfl, Herrold #3 w/61. Schiller #1 tkl r w/108, 10 tfl, Ward #2 w/93. ASU #28 pass eff D, 218 ypg (57%), ratio. NI #95 pass eff D, 240 ypg (57%), ratio. NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s final computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the final score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. The Power Ratings listed below can be used for you as a base power ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents, etc. Once again, they are not based on Power Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years, which has been our actual computer Power Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Power Ratings. MOUNTAIN WEST Boise St TCU Air Force San Diego St Wyoming Colorado St UNLV New Mexico BIG TEN Wisconsin Michigan St Michigan Nebraska Ohio St Penn St Northwestern Iowa Minnesota Purdue Illinois Indiana CUSA Houston Tulsa S Mississippi UCF SMU East Carolina Marshall UTEP Rice UAB Memphis Tulane *download only LAST CHANCE -- Power Plays 2012 $79 price increase 1/1/12 BIG 12 Oklahoma St Oklahoma Texas A&M Kansas St Baylor Missouri Texas Iowa St Texas Tech Kansas WAC Louisiana Tech Nevada San Jose St Utah St Fresno St Hawaii Idaho New Mexico St PAC-12 USC Stanford Oregon California Utah Oregon St UCLA Arizona St Washington Arizona Washington St Colorado MAC Toledo Temple N Illinois W Michigan Ohio Miami, Oh Ball St Bowling Green E Michigan Kent St Cent Michigan Buffalo Akron INT - 441/2 he s still here. These two coaches are familiar as they were CUSA foes but no edge. SMU traveled here in 09, but Pitt played here last year in this bowl. We project Pitt with 4+ sks and SMU is 0-2 scoring just 7 pts in both gms they ve all d 3. HC Jones told ply rs he s leaving, but yet ST - 44 SCH - 4 PITT by 10 s ASU NI CCH - 44 While NI s Doeren is a bowl virgin, Arkansas St will have a patchwork of coaches. Turf/ 4 - With post holiday bowl expect few Huskie fans to make trip, so edge for proximity. Both off have obvious edges over both def but comparing the 2 there is no matchup edge. Ironic that ASU is in almost same coaching situation as NI LY. ST 4 - SCH - - ARKANSAS ST by 1/2 s BAMA LSU A pair of heavyweights meet again and no one can argue they re among the top 2 elite. Obviously every ticket will be snatched up but edge to LSU with local fans. We saw just a 2 months ago that these tms have no significant edges over each other. Tough to beat a tm twice in the same yr and UA s missed FG s haunt. CCH - - Turf/ - 4 INT 4 - ST - 44 SCH - 1/2 All Times Listed Are Eastern and Subject to Change. ACC Florida St Virginia Tech Miami, Fl Clemson NC State Boston College North Carolina Georgia Tech Virginia Wake Forest Duke Maryland Saturday, December 17 Tuesday, December 20 Wednesday, December 21 Thursday, December 22 Saturday, December 24 PRO CALL-IN 11-1 pm Monday, December 26 3:00 pm to 5:00 pm Tuesday, December 27 3:00 pm to 4:30 pm Wednesday, December 28 3:00 pm to 4:30 pm Thursday, December 29 3:00 pm to 5:00 pm Friday, December 30 11:00 am to 12:00 noon Saturday, December 31 Sunday, January 1 PRO CALL-IN 11-1 pm Monday, January 2 11:00 am to noon Tuesday, January 3 SUN BELT Arkansas St WKU FIU Louisiana ULM North Texas Troy Middle Tenn Florida Atlantic EVEN s BOWL LATE PHONE CALL-IN SCHEDULE CLOSED CHRISTMAS DAY (Times EST & Subject to Change) Wednesday, January 4 Friday, January 6 Saturday, January 7 Sunday, January 8 PRO CALL-IN 11-1 pm Monday, January 9 Happy Holidays from the Staff at Northcoast Sports! BIG EAST Louisville West Virginia Pittsburgh Cincinnati USF Connecticut Rutgers Syracuse INDEPENDENT Notre Dame BYU Navy Army PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS UPDATED THRU 12/10/11

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