KENTUCKY CONTINUES BID FOR PERFECT SEASON!
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- Leonard Wright
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1 Volume 0, Issue 7 February 1-7, 015 College Revenge Game Of The Month Goes Saturday! KENTUCKY CONTINUES BID FOR PERFECT SEASON! INSIDE THIS ISSUE: Picks on Every Lined Game Incredible Stat of the Week Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends Best Bets and Key Plays College & NBA Power Ratings GET SMART GET PLAYBOOK GET EVERY EDGE IMAGINABLE COPYRIGHT NOTICE - All materials in this newsletter are protected by United States copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, rebroadcast, displayed, or otherwise published without the prior written permission of Playbook.com. You may not alter or remove any trademark, copyright or other notice, nor may you offer for sale or resale the material included herein. VegasINSIDER.com
2 THIS WEEK IN BASKETBALL FEBRUARY 1-7, 015 Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 7 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line DAILY -MINUTE HANDICAP TRENDS (all trends ATS unless noted otherwise *contingent on result) A: Away Con: Conference D: Dog F: Favorite H: Home Rev: Revenge R: Road SU: Straight-Up Minnesota WISCONSIN Iowa St TEXAS Villanova MARQUETTE Clemson DUKE Ucla ARIZONA Ohio St MICHIGAN Utah OREGON Kansas KANSAS ST Wisconsin MARYLAND San Diego GONZAGA Saturday, February aft N'Western w/ DD SU rev -1 L4 in 1st BB A 7- Big 10 HF's aft Penn St 0-7 DD HF's vs opp off 5-1 RD's in nd BB A 1-6 L7 A vs <.700 opp SERIES: -1 L4 / Host 4-1 L5 1-5 L6 H btwn A 7-0 L7 Games 0-5 RF's off BB SUATS wins SERIES: 0-5 L5 1-6 L7 Games -7 H btwn A -11 aft Georgia Tech -9 A vs.800 > opp off SU win 6- in nd BB H 0-7 H aft N Carolina vs opp off SU 7- L10 A vs.850 > opp 1-6 L7 dogs off SU loss SERIES: -7 L9 8- L10 H 1- L4 w/ Tourney rev Sunday, February 9- off SU Mich St loss vs opp off SU loss 1-5 L6 H vs opp off SU loss 1-5 L6 aft Michigan St 10- A vs.700 > opp 17-5 L Games SERIES: 1-4 w/ + rest -0 H bef Cal -6 L8 bef A Monday, February 7- L9 vs opp w/ rev 1-5 Big 1 A btwn H SERIES: 4-1 H 7-1 H off BB A vs opp off SU win Tuesday, February RF's vs 800 > opp w/ rev 1-4 L5 A +/- Pts SERIES: 0- L 7-1 HF's vs.900 > opp 7- L9 HD's Thursday, February RD's < 0 pts vs.900 > opp 4-0 in nd of A SERIES: -7 L9 H 4-0 H aft Saint Mary's INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK The Crusaders of Valparaiso are 0-17 ATS in their last 17 SU losses versus avenging foes. Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Basketball Newsletter! COLLEGE BASKETBALL EAST CAROLINA WISCONSIN SYRACUSE ST. JOHN S NORTH CAROLINA Oklahoma Texas A&M VA COMMONWEALTH DELAWARE BAYLOR INDIANA ST Saturday, February 1 GEORGIA ST Kent St BOWLING GREEN WESTERN MICHIGAN XAVIER TOWSON LOUISVILLE 4 BEST BET Florida LSU by 10 South Florida by 9 Minnesota by 14 Pittsburgh by 5 Seton Hall by 8 Georgia Tech by 11 TEXAS TECH by 10 SOUTH CAROLINA by 1 Massachusetts by 11 Elon by 7 Kansas St by 1 Southern Illinois by 8 The Gators had a 6-game win skein in this series snapped by an 18-point home loss earlier this year not to mention that Florida has been favored in 1 of the last games versus the Tigers so it might be more difficult than you think for the Bayou Bengals to deal with an avenging foe while laying some lumber at the same time. Remember, while the Gators are a bit down right now, this is still the same team that was a preseason Top 10 ranked squad. What we have here is a classic DIA-DIA case of a dominating Dog In Action Doing It Again. And while we have been very impressed with LSU s onetwo punch of sophomore forwards Jordan Mickey and Jarell Martin, the Tigers are just ATS in their last 15 tries as conference chalk, including 1-5 ATS versus.55 or less opponents. Also, the striped cats have an Auburn revenger on deck, a situation where they are -1 ATS in Aubbie look-aheads, including 0-7 ATS when facing an opponent seeking payback. But here is The Clincher: The Gators are 1- ATS as SEC road dogs with revenge when owning a win percentage of.750 or less under Billy Donovan, including 10-1 ATS when Florida is off a home game. Appalachian St by 19 OHIO by Buffalo by Toledo by 1 Butler by 6 UNC Wilmington by 1 Miami Florida by 10 AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK Play On Tom Izzo s Michigan State Spartans with revenge from Game 0 out if they are playing with or more days of rest versus a sub.740 opponent. Play On: MICHIGAN STATE (Sunday, /) IZZO'S REVENGE ATS W-L Record Since 6: (89%) West Virginia OKLAHOMA ST by Huggy Bear was beaten twice by the Cowboys last season, setting the table for today s call. The Mountain Men are a stellar 4- SU and ATS of late versus sub.700 opponents, including 14-1 SU and 8-5 ATS versus sub.700 opponents this season alone. They are also 6- SU and 7-1 ATS before playing Texas, so all the numbers point to the Hillbillies. On the flip side, long-established rival Texas Tech awaits on deck and that s never been an ideal situation for the Cowboys, considering they are a perplexing 1-11 SUATS in games before taking on the Red Raiders. The Pokes are coming into this one off a quadruple revenge affair with Iowa State (-6 ATS versus avenging foes after riding the Cyclone), while the Mountaineers ambushed Kansas Monday night after getting trounced in February by the Cyclones, Oklahoma and Baylor. Let s look for Huggins to keep the turnaround going in this visit to Stillwater. page
3 Dayton Iowa St VANDERBILT Villanova NORTHWESTERN Louisiana Tech BOISE ST PEPPERDINE Arkansas NORTHERN IOWA NORTHEASTERN KANSAS Notre Dame DUKE RICHMOND Rhode Island CENTRAL MICHIGAN TROY CHARLOTTE BROWN FLORIDA INT L LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT DUQUESNE by 9 TEXAS by Missouri by 14 MARQUETTE by 6 Penn St by 4 OLD DOMINION by Nevada by 17 San Francisco by 10 MISSISSIPPI ST by Bradley by 19 Drexel by 1 Tcu by 14 BOSTON COLLEGE by 1 Clemson by 10 George Washington by 6 GEORGE MASON by 6 Ball St by 1 Ark-Little Rock by Southern Miss by 14 Cornell by 6 North Texas by 6 Santa Clara by 8 Unlv NEW MEXICO by 7 Many of the casinos on the Las Vegas strip were set to dim their non-essential exterior bulbs for a few minutes starting at 10:0 p.m. on Wednesday night to honor Hall of Fame coach Jerry Tarkanian, right at the end of UNLV s home game against Boise State. It s a unique Vegas tribute that in the past has honored entertainers like Elvis Presley, Frank Sinatra and Sammy Davis Jr., along with former presidents Ronald Reagan and John F. Kennedy. But life moves on, and while this year s edition of the Runnin Rebels is nowhere near the quality of the teams that helped Tark the Shark put Vegas on the basketball map, keep in mind that the Rebs are 7- ATS in this series as road dogs of more than points, plus they suffered a setback to the Lobos in Sin City earlier this season. UNLV is 15-7 ATS away with conference revenge, including 7-1 ATS when the Rebels own a win percentage of less than.600. Meanwhile, the Lobos are coming into this contest off a humbling 17-point home loss to San Diego State at the Pit on Tuesday (UNM just 1-6 ATS as home chalk after playing the Aztecs) with a revenge game versus Boise State on deck. Worse, New Mexico also owns a dismal 1-6 ATS record as a single-digit favorite this season. In a down season for both squads, we ll back the revenging dog and if the game is close down the stretch, maybe we ll grab a towel to chew on for old times sake. COLORADO ST KENTUCKY NC STATE STANFORD FLORIDA ATLANTIC JAMES MADISON HARVARD DARTMOUTH YALE YOUNGSTOWN ST ST. JOSEPH S DAVIDSON AKRON Air Force by 14 Auburn by 1 Virginia Tech by 16 California by 8 Rice by 1 Coll of Charleston by 9 Princeton by 11 Penn by 16 Columbia by 11 Detroit by 4 St. Bonaventure by 4 Fordham by 16 Miami Ohio by 1 NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. SU WINNER in side-by-side game matchups appears in Bold check your line for ATS lean. PLAYBOOK selection in all game writeups is Bold and Underlined. MISSISSIPPI Tennessee by 15 These Rebels have been on a roll lately, winning six straight games before dropping a heartbreaker on Valentine s Day, 71-70, to the Razorbacks. They re also a heathy ATS in games when seeking revenge from one loss-exact the previous season. Add to that the fact that the Volunteers are in a natural letdown situation, coming off Kentucky and LSU revengers with in-state rival Vandy waiting on deck. Be sure to check the Ole Miss result at Mississippi State on Thursday night as the Vols are -9-1 ATS versus foes off a SU loss this campaign. And since late January, Tennessee is just -5 SU and -4 versus the number, with trips to Gainesville and Baton Rouge still on the agenda. This is a good spot for Ole Miss (6-1 ATS when playing with revenge this season) but they ll need Jarvis Summers to snap out of his recent shooting funk to cash a ticket here. Still, with the Rebs now ATS in SU wins as a favorite when seeking conference revenge, we can only look one way today. GA SOUTHERN ALABAMA La-Monroe ILLINOIS ST VALPARAISO GEORGETOWN UC Santa Barbara Eastern Michigan UAB UT ARLINGTON UTAH ST Fresno St by 16 The Aggies take the court tonight having gone 8-0 SU and ATS in this series when coming off a SU win of or more points. Class makes the competition and USU is the epitome of that statement this season: -7 ATS versus.666 or greater opposition, but 11- ATS versus sub.666 foes this season. Meanwhile, we can add revenge to the equation as the Raisins beat the Aggies, 61-5, at home in early January. But while they ve won three straight games in the Save Mart Center, the Bulldogs paltry -7-1 ATS mark in away games this season is hardly intimidating. Consider, too, that FSU is coming off a same-season revenger with Colorado State and has a Wyoming revenge affair on tap. Fresno State did reach the CBI Championship Series last season, but without a string of victories down the stretch, it appears they ll be staying home for the postseason in 015. Don t look for the Bulldogs to get one here. UTEP ARIZONA Cincinnati Cal Poly San Diego St UC DAVIS Gonzaga UC IRVINE Portland OREGON ST Indiana Ohio St MIDDLE TENNESSEE Memphis WICHITA ST La Salle Cleveland St OAKLAND Sunday, February South Alabama by 11 Georgia by ARKANSAS ST BY 5 Loyola-Chicago by 1 Wright St by 15 DePaul by 15 CS FULLERTON by 4 NORTHERN ILLINOIS by 1 Marshall by 9 La-Lafayette by 4 Tex-San Antonio by 1 Ucla by 18 HOUSTON by 7 UC RIVERSIDE by SAN JOSE ST by 5 Hawaii by 6 SAINT MARY S by CS Northridge by 14 PACIFIC by 1 Colorado by RUTGERS by 4 MICHIGAN by Western Kentucky by 5 CENTRAL FLORIDA by 9 Evansville by 1 SAINT LOUIS by 4 MILWAUKEE by 4 Illinois-Chicago by 7 (continued on next page) page
4 Utah CONNECTICUT HOFSTRA TULSA VIRGINIA 5 BEST BET OREGON by 8 Tulane by 1 William & Mary by Temple by Florida St by 11 Michigan St ILLINOIS by 11 Well, it s that time of the year when the Spartans go to war with the Big Ten, looking to improve their March Madness stock, and looming large on Tom Izzo s mind is a matter of double revenge in this series one from last season, the other from the 01 campaign. The Illini gave Wisconsin a run on Monday (the score was tied 15 minutes in), but the Badgers were just too strong on the boards and pulled away in the nd half. Illinois HC John Groce should expect more of the same from the Spartans, who arrive as the No. rebounding team in the nation (+9.4 net margin). In addition, the Illini are 0- ATS versus foes with revenge this season, but the biggest hurdle they must come is a treacherous 0-11 ATS record in games before taking on Iowa. There are simply too many strong numbers to ignore in this major payback affair. That, and The Clincher: See this week s AWESOME ANGLE. DRAKE Washington ARIZONA ST NEBRASKA Monday, February Louisville ST. JOHN S Kansas Missouri St by 5 WASHINGTON ST by 1 Usc by 8 Iowa by 1 GEORGIA TECH by 4 Xavier by KANSAS ST by 1 Tuesday, February 4 WEST VIRGINIA VILLANOVA Wisconsin Bowling Green EASTERN MICHIGAN Central Michigan by 8 The Eagles had ced the spread against the Chippewas six straight times until a loss to CMU a month ago in Mt. Pleasant as 6-point underdogs. At press time, Central Michigan has posted an 18-5 SU record this season, and as they take the floor tonight, they could quite possibly be coming off their 0th win of season never a good role for teams taking to the road after popping the champagne. Now they must try to penetrate and score against a stingy Eastern Michigan defense, currently ranked No. 5 nationally in Defensive Field Goal percentage (6.6). One big edge for EMU is its -0 SUATS home with revenge this season, with the average win coming by 18 PPG. The Eagles are also looking to claw their way into rd place in the MAC West and a win here will go a long way toward making that happen. It won t be easy: this is a real strength versus strength matchup as the Chips, led by junior guard Chris Fowler (not ESPN s Chris Fowler), are leading the MAC in scoring at 80 PPG. Keep an eye on this week s schedule, but if CMU puts together two more wins before they take the floor in Ypsilanti, we ll definitely be going with the team that has more to prove. Western Michigan TOLEDO MIAMI OHIO BUFFALO ALABAMA Lsu NOTRE DAME Texas by 6 Providence by 11 MARYLAND by 8 OHIO by 4 BALL ST by 5 Northern Illinois by 10 Kent St by Akron by 5 South Carolina by 7 AUBURN by 10 Syracuse by 6 NORTH CAROLINA ARKANSAS PITTSBURGH Florida DEPAUL UTAH ST BOISE ST NC State by Texas A&M by 10 Boston College by 9 MISSOURI by 4 Creighton by 1 Unlv by 1 New Mexico by 6 Wednesday, February 5 UMASS St. Joseph s by 14 The Hawks are no longer soaring like they once were, going 0-5 SU and ATS on the road in Atlantic 10 play this season at press time. On top of that, St. Joe s is coming off a revenger with St. Bonaventure (-9 SU and 4-8 ATS after taking on the Bonnies) and has a revenge game with Richmond up next (0- SUATS away before the Spiders). Meanwhile, the Minutemen are 6- ATS in this series with same-season revenge (they dropped a 6-56 decision at St. Joe s earlier this season on January 11th) and are 11- ATS as favorites this year. They re also a spotless 4-0 SUATS all when seeking revenge this campaign. Don t forget to check the UMass result at VCU on Saturday, as the Minutemen are 1-1 ATS in this series when coming off a spread win of more than 6 points. But the bottom line here is that Massachusetts can t afford a pair of embarrassing setbacks to the losing Hawks, so expect a big effort here tonight. La Salle Virginia Connecticut Indiana GEO WASHINGTON Valparaiso Wichita St DUQUESNE OAKLAND WILLIAM & MARY Va Commonwealth UNC WILMINGTON DAYTON FORDHAM by 1 WAKE FOREST by 10 EAST CAROLINA by 5 NORTHWESTERN by 4 St. Bonaventure by 6 DETROIT by 6 INDIANA ST by 7 Saint Louis by 4 Youngstown St by 8 Towson by 11 RICHMOND by James Madison by 5 George Mason by 16 Kentucky MISSISSIPPI ST by 7 Dick Vitale said that this year s Kentucky squad is the best defensive team he has seen in 6 years of broadcasting college basketball on ESPN. However, the bulls-eye grows larger and larger with the perfect season still intact, and while we re not going to predict the outright upset in Starkville, we will look for the Bulldogs to keep this one relatively close. We ll also tell you this is the third of three straight home games for MSU, and that the Bulldogs are ATS as home pups of 7 or more points when they have a win percentage of more than.411 on the season. State also owns a ATS mark as a dog when seeking double-revenge for losses from the previous season if they are facing a.750 or greater foe. If you need something more to push you the top, we ll let the hard-working database supply it: Mississippi State is ATS with revenge in this series when the Wildcats are coming off a double-digit win (check Saturday result versus Auburn), including 5-0 ATS home. You know what to do. HOFSTRA RHODE ISLAND CINCINNATI TCU TULSA Loyola-Chicago BUTLER MISSOURI ST Coll of Charleston by 10 Davidson by Central Florida by 16 Texas Tech by 8 Tulane by 11 DRAKE by 1 Marquette by 1 Bradley by 6 page 4
5 015 COLLEGE BASKETBALL POWER RATINGS Add 4 points to each team's rating for home court value Ratings courtesy of Statfox.com ACC BOSTON COLLEGE 75 CLEMSON 80 DUKE 90 FLORIDA STATE 78 GEORGIA TECH 80 LOUISVILLE 87 MIAMI FLORIDA 81 NC STATE 84 NORTH CAROLINA 86 NOTRE DAME 8 PITTSBURGH 80 SYRACUSE 81 VIRGINIA 91 VIRGINIA TECH 7 WAKE FOREST 77 AMERICAN ATHLETIC CENTRAL FLORIDA 68 CINCINNATI 80 CONNECTICUT 80 EAST CAROLINA 71 HOUSTON 69 MEMPHIS 81 SMU 84 SOUTH FLORIDA 65 TEMPLE 80 TULANE 71 TULSA 78 ATLANTIC 10 DAVIDSON 8 DAYTON 8 DUQUESNE 69 FORDHAM 70 GEO MASON 70 GEO WASHINGTON 77 LA SALLE 77 MASSACHUSETTS 75 RHODE ISLAND 80 RICHMOND 79 SAINT BONAVENTURE 75 SAINT JOSEPH'S 7 SAINT LOUIS 69 VA COMMONWEALTH 8 BIG EAST BUTLER 85 CREIGHTON 75 DEPAUL 75 GEORGETOWN 87 MARQUETTE 76 PROVIDENCE 81 SETON HALL 77 ST. JOHN'S 81 VILLANOVA 89 XAVIER 8 BIG TEN ILLINOIS 8 INDIANA 8 IOWA 8 MARYLAND 81 MICHIGAN 77 MICHIGAN STATE 87 MINNESOTA 8 NEBRASKA 77 NORTHWESTERN 75 OHIO STATE 89 PENN STATE 79 PURDUE 8 RUTGERS 7 WISCONSIN 9 BIG 1 BAYLOR 87 IOWA STATE 89 KANSAS 89 KANSAS STATE 80 OKLAHOMA 88 OKLAHOMA STATE 84 TCU 79 TEXAS 84 TEXAS TECH 7 WEST VIRGINIA 8 BIG WEST CAL POLY 74 CS FULLERTON 66 CS NORTHRIDGE 66 HAWAII 76 LONG BEACH STATE 7 UC DAVIS 74 UC IRVINE 75 UC RIVERSIDE 68 UC SANTA BARBARA 74 COLONIAL COLL OF CHAS TON 65 DELAWARE 67 DREXEL 67 ELON 64 HOFSTRA 74 JAMES MADISON 70 NORTHEASTERN 7 TOWSON 68 UNC-WILMINGTON 71 WILLIAM & MARY 75 CONFERENCE USA CHARLOTTE 7 FLORIDA ATLANTIC 65 FLORIDA INT L 66 LOUISIANA TECH 80 MARSHALL 68 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 7 NORTH TEXAS 67 OLD DOMINION 74 RICE 67 SOUTHERN MISS 6 TEX-SAN ANTONIO 69 UAB 7 UTEP 78 W KENTUCKY 7 HORIZON CLEVELAND STATE 76 DETROIT 69 GREEN BAY 77 ILLINOIS- 67 MILWAUKEE 68 OAKLAND 70 VALPARAISO 79 WRIGHT STATE 68 YOUNGSTOWN ST 66 IVY LEAGUE BROWN 70 COLUMBIA 7 CORNELL 71 DARTMOUTH 71 HARVARD 80 PENNSYLVANIA 61 PRINCETON 7 YALE 79 MID-AMERICAN (E) AKRON 76 BOWLING GREEN 75 BUFFALO 77 KENT STATE 7 MIAMI OHIO 69 OHIO U 67 MID-AMERICAN (W) BALL ST 65 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 76 EASTERN MICHIGAN 74 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 69 TOLEDO 77 WESTERN MICHIGAN 74 MISSOURI VALLEY BRADLEY 68 DRAKE 64 EVANSVILLE 7 ILLINOIS STATE 79 INDIANA STATE 74 LOYOLA- 70 MISSOURI STATE 66 NORTHERN IOWA 8 SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 69 WICHITA STATE 86 MOUNTAIN WEST AIR FORCE 71 BOISE ST 81 COLORADO STATE 81 FRESNO ST 7 NEVADA 68 NEW MEXICO 75 SAN DIEGO STATE 85 SAN JOSE STATE 54 UTAH STATE 75 UNLV 79 WYOMING 7 PAC-1 ARIZONA 95 ARIZONA STATE 81 CALIFORNIA 75 COLORADO 78 OREGON 80 OREGON STATE 77 STANFORD 8 UCLA 8 USC 74 UTAH 9 WASHINGTON 74 WASHINGTON STATE 70 SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA 79 ARKANSAS 85 AUBURN 7 FLORIDA 8 GEORGIA 8 KENTUCKY 96 LSU 84 MISSISSIPPI 8 MISSISSIPPI STATE 74 MISSOURI 71 SOUTH CAROLINA 77 TENNESSEE 78 TEXAS A&M 81 VANDERBILT 81 SUN BELT APPALACHIAN STATE 64 ARK-LITTLE ROCK 67 ARKANSAS STATE 64 GEORGIA SOUTHERN 7 GEORGIA STATE 79 LA-LAFAYETTE 7 LA-MONROE 7 SOUTH ALABAMA 66 TEXAS STATE 68 TROY 65 UT ARLINGTON 7 WEST COAST BYU 8 GONZAGA 89 LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT 70 PACIFIC 67 PEPPERDINE 74 PORTLAND 75 SAN DIEGO 76 SAN FRANCISCO 7 SANTA CLARA 66 ST. MARY'S 79 ILLINOIS ST Southern Illinois by 19 The once-powerful Salukis enter this contest just -14 SU in their last 17 games. They re also coming off a triple-revenger with Indiana State and have a Drake revenger on deck (1-1-1 ATS before playing the Bulldogs, including 0-8 ATS away). On the flip side, after a fine start to the season the Red Birds have hit an ATS wall, going just ATS of late and losing three in a row SU. Don t let that scare you off, though, because it will bring plenty of value to this fray as Illinois State looks to avenge a loss at SIU as 5-point road chalk 18 days ago. In addition, we can t ignore ISU s sterling ATS mark in SU revenge victories when playing with or more days of rest and we won t. Like a sailor on leave, we ll call this a good lay. NORTHERN IOWA COLORADO ST AIR FORCE MISSISSIPIPI IOWA ST MIAMI FLORIDA Duke IOWA WYOMING USC UCLA Oregon Monday, February Northeastern MICHIGAN ST OHIO ST Evansville by 17 San Jose St by 0 Nevada by 10 Georgia by 4 Baylor by 5 Florida St by 10 VIRGINIA TECH by 14 Illinois by Fresno St by 5 Washington St by 5 Washington by 1 CALIFORNIA by 4 ELON by 4 Minnesota by 4 Nebraska by 1 TENNESSEE WRIGHT ST DREXEL TEMPLE Ga Southern SOUTHERN MISS Old Dominion WESTERN KENTUCKY MARSHALL La-Monroe LOUISIANA TECH Green Bay NORTH TEXAS UT Arlington Georgia St TEXAS ST PURDUE Vanderbilt by 1 Milwaukee by 6 Delaware by 4 Houston by 19 APPALACHIAN ST by 5 Tex-San Antonio by RICE by 1 Florida Atlantic by 11 Florida International by 9 SOUTH ALABAMA by Utep by 6 ILLINOIS- by Charlotte by ARKANSAS ST by 4 ARK-LITTLE ROCK by 8 Troy by Rutgers by 14 MEMPHIS Smu by 10 The Mustangs kicked the Tigers squarely in the hind-quarters with a 7-59 stomping on January 8th, but Larry Brown s team plays more like Charlie Brown on the road, going 0- ATS away versus revenge this season. Then again, this series has been a homedominated affair for quite some time, with the visitor going -1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Meanwhile, Memphis has had success in the avenging role, posting a 7- ATS record at home against the Mustangs with payback in play. In addition, our well-oiled machine reports the Tigers are 10- SUATS seeking same-season loss revenge when playing on or more days of rest, including 9-0 SUATS with a win percentage of less than.740. We ll back Memphis here. page 5
6 Arizona Byu CS NORTHRIDGE CAL POLY SANTA CLARA UC SANTA BARBARA UTAH STANFORD GONZAGA Saint Mary s HAWAII Friday, February 7 Harvard BROWN YALE COLUMBIA BEST BET COLORADO by 8 PORTLAND by 1 CS Fullerton by 6 UC Irvine by 6 Pacific by UC Davis by 6 Arizona St by 11 Oregon St by 10 San Diego by 17 SAN FRANCISCO by 1 Long Beach St by 9 CORNELL by 5 Penn by 1 Princeton by 10 Dartmouth by 5 CLEVELAND ST Valparaiso by 11 Behind Trey Lewis, the former Penn State transfer who is said to be the best player in the Horizon League by informed sources, the Vikings have shaken off slow start (6-8 SU before the New Year) to challenge for League honors and this season-ending affair will likely determine the regular season champ. The Vikes lost to the Cruaders at Valpo earlier in the season by points and they want desperately to make amends. It doesn t hurt that CSU is 1- SU on this court this season and has a 7-1 SU mark in Last Home Games, while Valparaiso is 1-5 ATS here as a dog of or more points in this series and owns a rancid -7-1 ATS record after playing Detroit. And not only is CSU 6-5 ATS in SU revenge wins as a favorite, they are also 6- SUATS with or more days of rest. The Crusaders, however, have the final word, one they aren t proud of coming via our INCREDIBLE STAT on page and it serves as The Clincher: Valpo is 0-17 ATS in its last 17 SU losses to avenging opponents. NBA BASKETBALL Saturday, February 1 CHARLOTTE Oklahoma City by 6 We ll tip off the first Saturday of the NBA s second season with a real lyin in the weeds special. If OKC takes care of Dallas on Thursday, the Thunder will roll into Charlotte on a 4-game win streak. No such luck for the Hornets, who exit the All-Star break on the heels of losing three straight games the last a 8-point beatdown at Detroit. Think anybody will want MJ s swarm here tonight? Think again. Oklahoma City trounced the Hornets, 98-75, at home the day after Christmas, and revenge for that rout should be sufficient to get the hive buzzing here. The concept isn t unknown to the Hornets: they re a strong ATS with revenge from a loss of 0 or more points, including ATS in same-season revenge rumbles. Equally encouraging is Charlotte s 6-0 ATS mark as a nonconference home dog when seeking revenge from a loss of 19 or more points. Not only are the Thunder flying into North Carolina off a triple-revenger against the aforementioned Mavericks, they re also caught in a weird scheduling quirk a mini-one game road trip wrapped around before-and-after -game homestands. These ain t your daddy s Hornets, either. Charlotte enters this game tied with Miami for the 7th-best record in the Eastern Conference and Jordan s boys boast the league s 5th-stingiest defense. A great spot to Be Like Mike and take the points. MIAMI HOUSTON LA CLIPPERS New Orleans by 1 Phoenix by 4 Toronto by 5 Sacramento by 10 Sunday, February Cleveland Atlanta DETROIT ORLANDO Golden State OKLAHOMA CITY DALLAS 4 BEST BET NEW YORK by 7 MILWAUKEE by Washington by 1 Philadelphia by 4 INDIANA by Denver by 5 Charlotte by 7 PORTLAND Memphis by 14 Battle between division-leading opponents finds Memphis with a -game lead the Blazers and Rockets for nd-best in the West. The Grizzlies took care of Portland in both matchups this season, winning at home and on this floor. That plays right into some strong ATS situations for the Trail Blazers as they re 4-1 ATS in this series when seeking same-season double loss-exact revenge, plus they re a perfect 4-0 ATS mark this campaign when looking to get even for a pair of previous defeats. Long periods of rest have not been beneficial to the Grizzlies in tonight s role as they re 0-6 ATS in conference road games when playing with 4 or more days of rest. This also happens to be the first game back from the All-Star break for the boys from Elvis country, while Portland got to shake off the rust in a Friday night contest at Utah (Blazers now 0-8 ATS after playing the Jazz). And in case you didn t see it, last week s AWESOME ANGLE supplies The Clincher: NBA road dogs with 6 or more days of rest in their first game back from the All-Star break are -17 ATS when facing an opponent playing with 5 or fewer days of rest. Boston LA LAKERS by 1 Monday, February MIAMI NEW ORLEANS HOUSTON San Antonio PHOENIX DENVER BEST BET Philadelphia by 9 Toronto by Milwaukee by 1 Minnesota by 15 UTAH by Boston by 5 Brooklyn by 4 LA CLIPPERS Memphis by 1 What s this you say? Going against the Southwest Division-leading Grizzlies on back-to-back nights? Yes, indeed. It s high time the paper Clips get their act together (-4 SUATS skid heading into the break) and this looks like the right spot, playing with 16-point same-season revenge against a Grizzles squad coming off a bigtime battle in Portland last night. Memphis is a dismal 9-18 ATS versus a foe playing with double-digit revenge, including -10 ATS away from FedExForum. The Grizz are also just 5-1- ATS with no rest after taking on the Blazers, plus they have a Minnesota revenger on deck (1-4 ATS away before Minnesota). Blake Griffin and the boys may not have a shot at catching runaway Golden State for the Western Conference s top playoff seed but they re right in the mix with five other teams for nd place. The Clippers, who will be playing their 4th consecutive home game, own an impressive - SU mark at home versus unrested opponents, which sets up The Clincher: The Clippers are ATS in SU wins as a favorite when avenging a double-digit loss. page 6
7 THIS WEEK'S BEST BETS WEEK ENDING FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 7, 015 COLLEGE NBA NBA TOTALS BEST BET CLEVELAND STATE (Friday /7) CLIPPERS (Monday /) Magic UNDER (Sunday /) A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT RATED BEST BET SELECTIONS 4 BEST BET FLORIDA (Saturday /1) TRAIL BLAZERS (Sunday /) Trail Blazers OVER (Sunday /) 5 BEST BET MICHIGAN STATE (Sunday /) CAVALIERS (Thursday /6) Nuggets OVER (Wednesday /5) Tuesday, February 4 Golden State Cleveland OKLAHOMA CITY DALLAS WASHINGTON by DETROIT by Indiana by 7 Toronto by 4 Wednesday, February 5 Miami BOSTON ATLANTA Washington NEW ORLEANS MILWAUKEE ORLANDO by New York by Dallas by 7 MINNESOTA by Brooklyn by 8 Philadelphia by 9 HOUSTON LA Clippers by 1 Let s call this biting the hand that hopefully fed us two nights ago. The Rockets are one of those five teams we mentioned that has an opportunity to compete for the No. playoff spot in the West and they ll look to turn on the afterburners against a Los Angeles squad that pounded them by margins of 17 and 15 points in this season s two earlier meetings. It s unusual to see a team take on the same foe as bookends to a -game set but the Clippers are caught in the middle of a rare Grizzly sandwich here (L.A ATS after and 1-7 ATS before Memphis). Worse, when the Clips are matched up with Houston off a revenge game, they ve stumbled to a poor 9-18 ATS record. Kevin McHale s Rockets don t have to undergo any scheduling anomalies tonight as they re playing the third of five consecutive games at the Toyota Center. And when Houston takes the court at home off a game with a non-division opponent, the Rockets have soared to a 16-4 SU and 15-5 ATS mark this season including 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS if their opponent is off a revenge contest. We can t argue with numbers like those so we won t. Lay the spot as the Rockets lift off in this double payback. Phoenix UTAH Memphis PORTLAND Charlotte by 8 DENVER by 4 LA Lakers by 5 SACRAMENTO by 7 San Antonio by 4 Thursday, February 6 5 BEST BET CLEVELAND Golden State by 14 While folks along the north coast have been shivering under record-low temperatures, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been pushing the thermostat in the opposite direction. From January 15th to the All-Star break, King James and company went on a blistering 14- SU and 1-4 ATS run, a skein that saw the Cavs post a perfect 9-0 SUATS mark versus Western Conference foes and that tells us the Cavaliers are indeed the team to beat come playoff time. Revenge looms large for LeBron here as the Warriors made the mistake of waxing Cleveland by 18 points in their earlier meeting in Oakland this season. Despite being the only team in the league with single digits in the loss column, Golden State has had almost no success against opponents playing with double-digit revenge, going 1-6 ATS. The bottom line is we expect the Warriors to start coming back to the pack in the nd half of the campaign now that the league is familiar with HC Steve Kerr s schemes. That and The Clincher: The Cavaliers are 10-1 SUATS at home off a win when seeking same-season double-digit loss revenge. PHOENIX Oklahoma City by Friday, February 7 Washington Cleveland DETROIT ATLANTA TORONTO BOSTON MEMPHIS HOUSTON NEW ORLEANS DENVER San Antonio Milwaukee PORTLAND PHILADELPHIA by INDIANA by New York by 4 Orlando by 17 Golden State by 4 Charlotte by 7 LA Clippers by 5 Brooklyn by 1 Miami by 7 Minnesota by 1 Utah by SACRAMENTO by 4 LA LAKERS by Oklahoma City by 1 MARCH MADNESS IS COMING. Whether it s conference tourney time, the opening round of the Big Dance or the Final Four, Marc Lawrence s award-winning basketball selections are always available at: VegasINSIDER.com page 7
8 015 NBA POWER RATINGS & DAY TO DAY TRENDS BY VICTOR KING NBA POWER RATINGS HOME COURT VALUE HOME & AWAY OVER / UNDER RATINGS EASTERN CONFERENCE TEAM PWR HCV H O/U A O/U ATLANTA TORONTO CLEVELAND WASHINGTON MILWAUKEE INDIANA BOSTON DETROIT MIAMI CHARLOTTE BROOKLYN ORLANDO NEW YORK PHILADELPHIA WESTERN CONFERENCE TEAM PWR HCV H O/U A O/U GOLDEN STATE MEMPHIS HOUSTON LA CLIPPERS DALLAS PORTLAND SAN ANTONIO OKLAHOMA CITY NEW ORLEANS PHOENIX UTAH SACRAMENTO DENVER LA LAKERS MINNESOTA All results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless otherwise noted. Legend as follows: A: Away AFT: After BB: Back to Back BEF: Before CONF: Conference Dog: Underdog DD: Double Digit Fav: Favorite Gm:Game H: Home HD: Home Dog HF: Home Favorite HG: Home Game HS: Home Stand L: Last O : Over OPP: Opponent RD : Road Dog Res: Rest RF: Road Favorite RG: Road Game RT: Road Trip SS: Same Season SIT: Situation SU: Straight Up TY: This Year 'U: Under V: Versus Vst: Visiting Team w/: With Y : Year /: After >: More Than < : Less Than All ATS ties omitted. O/U trends are ATS and in OVER (First) and UNDER (Second) sequence. SAT /1 Oklahoma CHARLOTTE Thunder: 10- Saturdays / Hornets: 4-0 O/U home w/ 5+ rest New MIAMI Pelicans: 7-1 in 0/0 rest sit / Heat: in 0/0 rest sit... Suns: 1-4 O/U away in 0/0 rest sit / Bulls: 0-4 home in 0/0 rest sit vs non-conf opp... HOUSTON Raptors: O/U in 0/0 rest sit / Rockets: 4-1 O/U L5 vs Tor... LA CLIPPERS Kings: 8- away in 0/1 rest sit / Clips: -8 O/U home in 1/0 rest sit. SUN / NEW YORK Cavs: 1-9 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit / Knicks: 1-5 O/U Sunday HG MILWAUKEE Hawks: 10-1 in 1/1 rest sit vs conf opp / Bucks: 1-4 O/U home in 1/1 rest sit... DETROIT Wiz: 1-5 in 1/1 rest sit / Pistons: 1-5 O/U in 1/1 rest sit... ORLANDO *** Best Bet UNDER Sixers: 0-7 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit / 1-5 O/U away vs.50 < opp / 1-4 O/U on Sundays // Magic: 0-4 O/U L4 vs Phil / 0-4 O/U as HF s in 1/1 rest sit / 1-10 O/U on Sundays w/ OU line < 198 points... Golden INDIANA Warriors: 1-5 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit / Pacers: -9 O/U L11 non-conf HG... OKLAHOMA CITY Nuggets: 1-4 away vs unrested opp / Thunder: 4-1 home w/ no rest DALLAS Hornets: 0-8 away w/ no rest vs non-conf opp / Mavs: 0-5 O/U home vs unrested non-conf opp... PORTLAND 4**** Best Bet OVER Grizz: 7-0 O/U away vs.650 > conf opp / 4-0 O/U L4 vs Port / 4-0 O/U away w/ 5+ rest // Blazers: 5-0 O/U home vs opp w/ 5+ rest / 5-0 O/U vs.700 > conf opp / 4-1 O/U with 1 day rest... LA LAKERS Celtics: 6-0 O/U away in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opp / Lakers: 7-1 home in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opp. MON / MIAMI Sixers: 0-7 O/U away in 0/1 rest sit / Heat: Series host 0-4 NEW ORLEANS Raptors: 8-1 L9 vs New Orl / Pelicans: 1-5 Monday favs... Bucks: 5-1 away w/ no rest / Bulls: 7-0 O/U home in 1/0 rest sit... HOUSTON T Wolves: 8-0 away w/ rest vs conf / Rockets: 4-0 O/U L4 vs Min... San UTAH Spurs: 11-1 away in / rest sit / Jazz: 0-4 home in / rest sit... PHOENIX Celtics: 7-0 away w/ no rest vs non-conf / Suns: 1-5 O/U home vs unrested non-conf opp DENVER Nets: 1-8 O/U away vs unrested opp / Nuggets: 0-4 O/U home w/ no rest vs non-conf opp... LA CLIPPERS Grizz: O/U Mondays / Clips: 0-5 O/U Monday HG. TUE /4 Golden WASHINGTON Warriors: 8- Tuesday non-conf RG / Wiz: 1-4 O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opp DETROIT Cavs: 1-5 O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs div opp / Pistons: 1-6 home in 1/1 rest sit vs div opp... OKLAHOMA CITY Pacers: 1-6 on Tuesdays / Thunder: 10- O/U L1 vs Ind... DALLAS Raptors: 5-1 O/U away in 0/1 rest sit / Mavs: -7-1 home vs >.600 opp TY. WED /5 ORLANDO Heat: Series visitor / Magic: 5-0 O/U in /1 rest sit New BOSTON Knicks: 1-4 O/U Wednesdays / Celtics: 1-4 O/U Wednesdays... ATLANTA Mavs: 9- away w/ no rest vs non-conf opp / Hawks: -10 home w/ rest... MINNESOTA Wiz: Series visitor 0-5 / T Wolves: 4-1 O/U home in 1/0 rest sit NEW ORLEANS Nets: 11-1 O/U L1 vs New Orl / Pelicans: 5-1 O/U in 1/1 rest sit... MILWAUKEE Sixers: 0-9 O/U Wednesdays / Bucks: 4-0 L4 vs Phil... La HOUSTON Clips: 1-5 in 1/1 rest sit / Rockets: 4-1 in 1/1 rest sit Hornets: -8 O/U L10 vs Chi / Bulls: 0-4 in 1/ rest sit... DENVER 5**** Best Bet OVER Suns: 6-0 O/U Wednesdays vs conf / 5-0 O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs conf opp / 4-0 O/U L4 vs Den // Nuggets: 10-0 O/U Wednesdays vs conf / 4-0 O/U L4 vs >.500 opp / 6-1 O/U home w/ OU line 0 > pts... La UTAH Lakers: 5-1 in /1 rest sit / Jazz: 1-9 O/U in 1/ rest sit... SACRAMENTO Grizz: Series visitor 5-0 / Kings: 1-5 Wednesday home dogs... San PORTLAND Spurs: 1-5 O/U in 1/ rest sit / Blazers: 1-4 O/U in /1 rest sit. THUR /6 Golden CLEVELAND Warriors: -9 Thursday non-conf RG / Cavs: 4-0 in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opp... Oklahoma PHOENIX Thunder: 1-5 O/U away vs unrested opp / Suns: 1-4 O/U home w/ no rest. FRI /7 PHILADELPHIA Wiz: 1-4 O/U L4 as conf RF s / Sixers: Series host 1-6 INDIANA Cavs: 0-5 as div favs w/ no rest / Pacers: 5-1 home vs unrested opp New DETROIT Knicks: 1-4 O/U Friday non-div RD s / Pistons: 1-7 O/U L8 vs NY... ATLANTA Magic: 4-1 O/U L5 vs Atl / Hawks: 8-1 home in 1/1 rest sit... Golden TORONTO Warriors: 5-1 O/U away w/ no rest / Raptors: 4-0 O/U home vs unrested non-div opp... BOSTON Hornets: 6- O/U Fridays / Celtics: 5-1 O/U Friday HG... La MEMPHIS Clips: 1-7 L8 vs Mem / Grizz: 5-1 home in 1/1 rest sit HOUSTON Nets: -1-1 L16 vs Hou / Rockets: 6-1 O/U in 1/1 rest sit vs non-conf opp... NEW ORLEANS Heat: 1-5 O/U in 1/1 rest sit / Pelicans: 6-0 Friday HG... T Wolves: Series visitor 6-1 / Bulls: 4-0 O/U Friday HG DENVER Jazz: 1-4 O/U L5 vs Den / Nuggets: 0-7 L7 as div HF s San SACRAMENTO Spurs: 7-1 away in 1/1 rest sit / Kings: 1-8 Friday conf HD s... LA LAKERS Bucks: 1-5 O/U as non-conf RF s / Lakers: 1-5 O/U Fridays... Oklahoma PORTLAND Thunder: -8 O/U L10 vs Port / Blazers: 6-1 home vs unrested div opp. page 8
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