UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK

Transcription

1 s Inside the Pressbox WK 05 Ro tat i o n # THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 28th All t i m e s a r e ET. TV s tat i o n s & t i m e s s u b j e c t to c h a n g e 103 TEAS 8:00 p.m. 104 IOWA STATE FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 29th 105 MIAMI, FL 7:00 p.m. 106 DUKE 107 NEBRASKA 8:00 p.m. 108 ILLINOIS 109 BYU 8:00 p.m. 110 UTAH STATE 111 USC 10:00 p.m. 112 WASHINGTON STATE SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 30th 113 CHARLOTTE 12:00 p.m. 114 FIU 115 RICE 12:00 p.m. 116 PITTSBURGH 117 USF 12:00 p.m. 118 EAST CAROLINA 119 MEMPHIS 12:00 p.m. 120 UCF 121 SYRACUSE 12:00 p.m. 122 NC STATE 123 EASTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m. 124 KENTUCKY 125 BALL STATE 12:00 p.m. 126 WESTERN MICHIGAN 127 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m. 128 BOSTON COLLEGE 129 AKRON 12:00 p.m. 130 BOWLING GREEN 131 OHIO 12:00 p.m. 132 MASSACHUSETTS 133 BUFFALO 12:00 p.m. 134 KENT STATE 135 HOUSTON 12:00 p.m. 136 TEMPLE 137 H H MARSHALL 12:00 p.m. 138 CINCINNATI 139 BAYLOR 12:00 p.m. 140 KANSAS STATE 141 MARYLAND 12:00 p.m. 142 MINNESOTA 143 OHIO STATE 12:00 p.m. 144 RUTGERS 145 IOWA 12:00 p.m. 146 MICHIGAN STATE 147 FLORIDA STATE 12:00 p.m. 148 WAKE FOREST 149 NORTHWESTERN 12:00 p.m. 150 WISCONSIN 151 INDIANA 12:00 p.m. 152 PENN STATE 153 H NAVY 1:00 p.m. 154 H TULSA 155 H CONNECTICUT 1:00 p.m. 156 SMU 157 TEXAS ST 2:00 p.m. 158 WYOMING 159 COLORADO 3:30 p.m. 160 UCLA 161 CALIFORNIA 3:30 p.m. 162 OREGON 163 WASHINGTON 3:30 p.m. 164 OREGON STATE 165 COASTAL CAROLINA 3:30 p.m. 166 ULM 167 SOUTH CAROLINA 3:30 p.m. 168 TEXAS A&M 169 TROY 3:30 p.m. 170 LSU 171 NEW MEXICO STATE 3:30 p.m. 172 ARKANSAS 173 H SAN JOSE ST 3:30 p.m. 174 H UNLV 175 UTEP 3:30 p.m. CBSC 176 ARMY 177 VANDERBILT 3:30 p.m. 178 FLORIDA 179 GEORGIA 3:30 p.m. 180 TENNESSEE HIGH SCORING POW 181 NORTH TEXAS 4:00 p.m. 182 SOUTHERN MISS 183 SOUTH ALABAMA 4:00 p.m. 184 LOUISIANA TECH 185 MIAMI, OH 5:00 p.m. NBCS 186 NOTRE DAME 187 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 7:00 p.m. 188 FAU 189 H MISSISSIPPI ST 7:00 p.m. 190 H AUBURN 191 NORTH CAROLINA 7:00 p.m. 192 GEORGIA TECH 193 H H CLEMSON 7:00 p.m. 194 VIRGINIA TECH 195 AIR FORCE 7:00 p.m. 196 NEW MEXICO 197 MISSISSIPPI 8:00 p.m. 198 ALABAMA 199 OKLAHOMA ST 8:00 p.m. 200 TEXAS TECH 201 H H ARIZONA STATE 10:00 p.m. 202 STANFORD 203 NEVADA 10:00 p.m. 204 FRESNO STATE 205 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 10:30 p.m. CBSC 206 SAN DIEGO STATE 207 COLORADO STATE 12:00 a.m. 208 HAWAII OTHER WEEK 5 MATCHUPS: Murray State at Louisville Maine at UCF s SPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No Selection this Week HIGH SCORING POW H SMU/Connecticut (over)

2 Texas Longhorns Longhorns Logs TM REC BIG 12 BIG /2 Maryland L RANKINGS /2 Northern Iowa W /9 San Jose St 56-0 W /9 Iowa L Texas Iowa St /16 at USC L /16 at Akron 414 W / #50 Rush Off # / /28 at Iowa St #29 Pass Off # /28 Texas /7 Kansas St #25 Total Off # /7 at Oklahoma /14 Oklahoma #25 Off # /14 Kansas /21 Oklahoma St #101 Sks Allowed # /21 at Texas Tech /28 at Baylor #46 Rush Def # /28 TCU /4 at TCU #82 Pass Def # /4 at West Virginia /11 Kansas #62 Total Def # /11 Oklahoma St /18 at West Virginia #71 Def # /18 at Baylor /24 Texas Tech #86 Sks By # /25 at Kansas St #37 Ypg Diff #54 Total +4 REC TM Cyclones Logs Iowa St Cyclones Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Maryland Northern Iowa San Jose St Iowa at USC at Akron at Iowa St Texas Kansas St Oklahoma Kansas Oklahoma St at Baylor TCU at TCU at Oklahoma at Texas Tech at West Virginia Kansas Oklahoma St at West Virginia Texas Tech Texas Longhorns LEADERS & AVERAGES Iowa St Cyclones at Baylor at Kansas St Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % 0 0.0% % 0 0.0% Conference % 0 0.0% % 0 0.0% Away % % % % Home % % % % Maryland Shane Buechele Chris Warren Collin Johnson Texas Iowa St Northern Iowa Jacob Park David Montgomery Allen Lazard San Jose St Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren Armanti Foreman Texas QB/WR Iowa Jacob Park David Montgomery Hakeem Butler at USC Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren Collin Johnson at Akron Jacob Park David Montgomery Trever Ryen Iowa St DB's at Iowa St Texas RB's Texas Kansas St 0.69 at Oklahoma Oklahoma Iowa St LB's Kansas Oklahoma St at Baylor 1.03 TCU at TCU at Texas Tech at West Virginia Kansas Texas DL Oklahoma St at West Virginia 0.43 at Baylor Texas Tech Texas Leaders Passing Sam Ehlinger Chris Warren Collin Johnson Texas DB's Jacob Park David Montgomery Hakeem Butler Shane Buechele Kyle Porter Armanti Foreman Iowa St Leaders Zeb Noland Mike Warren Allen Lazard Lil'Jordan Humphrey Sam Ehlinger Reggie Hemphill Iowa St QB/WR Jacob Park Trever Ryen Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Texas Iowa St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 173 yards Texas Iowa St 112 yards Texas Iowa St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 0.75 Texas Iowa St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 35 points Texas Iowa St 30 points 6.04 Texas Iowa St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Texas Iowa St yards 511 yards Projected Box Projected Texas Texas Iowa St 414 yards Projected Final Texas Texas Iowa St Iowa St Iowa St 301 yards Position by Position Edges Texas OL Iowa St DL Iowa St OL Texas LB'S Iowa St RB's Texas ST's Iowa St ST's Texas K Iowa St K Texas Coaches Iowa St Coaches Texas Pts Iowa St Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Texas By 4.06 Points at Kansas St Ratings Texas By Points Iowa St By 1.3 Texas By 7.3 Texas Texas Texas by 7 Passing Texas traveled here in 2015 and got shutout LY Texas got revenge at home 27-6, but ISU led 6-3 in the 3Q. ISU was shutout in the 2H, but 3 of its 5 drives ended in UT territory. Both teams are fresh off a bye and Tom Herman knows how dangerous Ames can be as he was the OC here from They were 12-7 at home those years (11-24 since) including their upset of #2 Okla St which kept the Cowboys from getting to the national title game. Texas has rebounded nicely from their embarrassing home loss to Maryland and even took a powerful USC team to OT on the road. Sam Ehlinger is hitting just 54%, but the rush D has allowed just 1.8 ypc the last 2 games. Jacob Park is hitting 67% with a 8-2 ratio, but their D is allowing opponents 87 ypg more than their season average and Texas s D is holding them to 23 below. The best stat in Texas s favor is they have held all 3 opp s to a season low in yards and gained a season high in yards vs each one s defense. Texas has faced my #24 sked and Iowa St just #94. Texas 35 Iowa St 28

3 TM REC Miami, Fl Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Hurricanes Logs ACC ACC Blue Devils Logs /2 Bethune-Cookman 413 W RANKINGS /2 NC Central 60-7 W / /9 Northwestern 417 W Miami, Fl Duke / /16 Baylor W /23 Toledo W #10 Rush Off # /23 at North Carolina 277 W /29 at Duke #33 Pass Off # /29 Miami, Fl /7 at Florida St #6 Total Off # /7 at Virginia /14 Georgia Tech #8 Off # /14 Florida St /21 Syracuse #6 Sks Allowed # /21 Pittsburgh /28 at North Carolina #23 Rush Def # /28 at Virginia Tech /4 Virginia Tech #114 Pass Def #41 11/ /11 Notre Dame #73 Total Def # /11 at Army West Point /18 Virginia #47 Def # /18 Georgia Tech /24 at Pittsburgh #86 Sks By # /25 at Wake Forest #21 Ypg Diff #14 +2 Total +5 REC TM Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Bethune-Cookman NC Central Northwestern Baylor Toledo at North Carolina at Duke Miami, Fl at Florida St Georgia Tech Florida St Syracuse Pittsburgh at North Carolina Virginia Tech Notre Dame at Virginia at Virginia Tech at Army West Point Virginia Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh Miami, Fl Hurricanes LEADERS & AVERAGES Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % 0 0.0% % 0 0.0% Conference % % % % Away % 0 0.0% % 0 0.0% Home % % % % Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier Mark Walton Darrell Langham Miami, Fl Duke NC Central Daniel Jones Brittain Brown Aaron Young Miami, Fl QB/WR Northwestern Daniel Jones Daniel Jones TJ Rahming Baylor Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson Brittain Brown Toledo Malik Rosier Mark Walton Braxton Berrios Duke DB's at North Carolina Daniel Jones Brittain Brown TJ Rahming at Duke Miami, Fl RB's Miami, Fl at Florida St 0.93 at Virginia Georgia Tech Duke LB's Florida St Syracuse Miami, Fl OL Pittsburgh at North Carolina 1.39 at Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Duke DL Notre Dame at Army West Point Virginia 0.93 Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh Miami, Fl Leaders Passing Malik Rosier Mark Walton Braxton Berrios Miami, Fl DB's Daniel Jones Shaun Wilson TJ Rahming Evan Shirrefs Travis Homer Christopher Herndon Duke Leaders Quentin Harris Brittain Brown Johnathan Lloyd Team Malik Rosier Travis Homer Duke QB/WR Parker Boehme Daniel Jones Aaron Young Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Miami, Fl Duke Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 134 yards Miami, Fl Duke 154 yards 1.81 Miami, Fl Duke Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Miami, Fl Duke Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 26 points Miami, Fl Duke 31 points 8.75 Miami, Fl Duke Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Miami, Fl Duke Position by Position Edges Passing 0.71 Projected Box yards Miami, Fl Duke 273 yards 380 yards Miami, Fl 73 Projected Duke Projected Final Miami, Fl Duke Miami, Fl Duke 74 Miami, Fl DL Duke OL Miami, Fl LB'S Duke RB's Miami, Fl ST's Duke ST's Miami, Fl K Duke K Miami, Fl Coaches 427 yards Duke Coaches Miami, Fl Pts Duke Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Miami, Fl By 7.92 Points at Wake Forest Ratings Miami, Fl By Points Duke By 0.5 Duke By 15.1 Duke Duke Miami, Fl by 7 Miami is 11 in this series. LTH Duke (2 ) appeared to have the gm won, but UM used an 8-lateral KR to win the gm LY UM won the reg ssn finale at home in a game they led 404 (Duke TD 2:41 left). Miami has a big game vs Florida St on deck. Duke appears to have a large defensive edge allowing just 262 ypg while Miami is allowing 390. Miami still has better athletes and while not as dominant in their 2 games as I expected they did hold Toledo to 176 yards below their season average. Duke is perfect vs the Vegas number and beat down Northwestern here 417. They have the experienced QB edge as well with Daniel Jones (904, 62%, 5-2) vs Malik Rosier (550, 69%, 6). My computer likes Duke 31-26, but I will side with Miami in this one as they had an unscheduled two weeks off and should improve weekly. Miami, FL 30 Duke 23

4 TM REC Nebraska Cornhuskers Illinois Fighting Illini Cornhuskers Logs BIG 10 BIG 10 Fighting Illini Logs REC TM /2 Arkansas St W RANKINGS /2 Ball St W /9 at Oregon L /9 WKU 20-7 W Nebraska Illinois /16 Northern Illinois L /15 at USF L /23 Rutgers 277 W #79 Rush Off # / /29 at Illinois #72 Pass Off # /29 Nebraska /7 Wisconsin #88 Total Off # /7 at Iowa /14 Ohio St #66 Off # /14 Rutgers /21 #58 Sks Allowed # /21 at Minnesota /28 at Purdue #29 Rush Def # /28 Wisconsin /4 Northwestern #97 Pass Def # /4 at Purdue /11 at Minnesota #57 Total Def # /11 Indiana /18 at Penn St #88 Def # /18 at Ohio St /24 Iowa #118 Sks By # /25 Northwestern #72 Ypg Diff #119-2 Total 0 Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Arkansas St Ball St at Oregon WKU Northern Illinois at USF Rutgers at Illinois Nebraska Wisconsin Ohio St Rutgers at Iowa at Minnesota at Purdue Wisconsin Northwestern at Minnesota Indiana at Penn St Iowa Northwestern Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % 0 0.0% % 0 0.0% Away % % % % Home % % % % Arkansas St Tanner Lee Tre Bryant Stanley Morgan Nebraska Illinois Ball St Chayce Crouch Mike Epstein Malik Turner at Oregon Tanner Lee Tre Bryant Stanley Morgan Nebraska QB/WR WKU Chayce Crouch Mike Epstein Mike Dudek Northern Illinois Tanner Lee Mikale Wilbon De'Mornay Pierson-El at USF Jeff George Jr Mike Epstein Ricky Smalling Rutgers Tanner Lee Devine Ozigbo JD Spielman Illinois DB's at Illinois Nebraska RB's Nebraska Wisconsin 0.19 at Iowa Ohio St Illinois LB's Rutgers at Purdue at Ohio St at Minnesota at Purdue 0.47 Wisconsin Northwestern Passing at Minnesota Nebraska DL Indiana at Penn St 0.80 at Ohio St Iowa Illinois OL Northwestern Nebraska Leaders Tanner Lee Tre Bryant Stanley Morgan Nebraska DB's Chayce Crouch Mike Epstein Mike Dudek at Purdue Mikale Wilbon De'Mornay Pierson-El Illinois Leaders Jeff George Jr Chayce Crouch Ricky Smalling Devine Ozigbo JD Spielman Illinois QB/WR RaVon Bonner Malik Turner Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 0.22 Nebraska Illinois Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 144 yards Nebraska Illinois 85 yards 0.36 Nebraska Illinois yards Nebraska Illinois 2014 Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 0.20 Nebraska Illinois Projected Final Nebraska Pts 2013 Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 27 points Nebraska Illinois 21 points Nebraska Nebraska Illinois yards Nebraska Projected Projected Box Illinois 199 yards 284 yards 126 Nebraska Illinois Nebraska Illinois Nebraska Cornhuskers LEADERS & AVERAGES Illinois DL Illinois Fighting Illini Position by Position Edges Nebraska OL Nebraska LB'S Illinois RB's Nebraska ST's Illinois ST's Nebraska K Illinois K Nebraska Coaches Illinois Coaches Illinois Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Nebraska By 4.02 Points Ratings Nebraska By Points Nebraska By 3.0 Nebraska By 8.4 Nebraska Nebraska by 14 Passing Nebraska 27 Illinois 13 Illinois is fresh off a bye and catch Nebraska playing a 5th straight week on a short week with huge games vs Wisconsin and Ohio St on deck. Nebraska had not lost to Illinois since 1924, but the LTH they were upset 143 with Bill Cubits Illini squad getting a 1 yard td run with :10 left for the win. LY Terrell Newby got a 63 yd td run with 1:58 left to win 316 at home. The Huskers defense is much improved as they allowed 591 ypg, and 52 ppg in the first 6Q of the season, but just 233 ypg and 8.4 ppg the last 10 quarters and taking away 3 Tanner Lee pick sixes. Nebraska could easily have covered vs Rutgers settling for a couple of short FG s late. Illinois is down to Jeff George Jr at QB and hitting just 52% with a 2-5 ratio passing the ball.

5 TM REC BYU Cougars Cougars Logs IND MTW Aggies Logs /26 Portland St 20-6 W RANKINGS /1 at Wisconsin L /2 LSU 0-27 L /7 Idaho St 513 W BYU Utah St /9 Utah 139 L /16 at Wake Forest L /16 Wisconsin 6-40 L #124 Rush Off # /23 at San Jose St 610 W / #119 Pass Off # /29 BYU /29 at Utah St #129 Total Off # /7 Colorado St /6 Boise St #130 Off # /14 Wyoming /14 at Miss St #85 Sks Allowed # /21 at UNLV /21 at East Carolina #94 Rush Def # /28 Boise St /28 San Jose St #61 Pass Def # /4 at New Mexico /4 at Fresno St #82 Total Def #67 11/ /10 at UNLV #53 Def # /18 Hawaii /18 UMass #104 Sks By # /25 at Air Force /25 at Hawaii #125 Ypg Diff #56-3 Total 2-2 Utah St Aggies REC TM Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Portland St at Wisconsin LSU Idaho St Utah at Wake Forest Wisconsin at San Jose St BYU at Utah St Colorado St Boise St Wyoming at Miss St at East Carolina Boise St San Jose St at Fresno St at UNLV Hawaii UMass at Hawaii BYU Cougars LEADERS & AVERAGES Utah St Aggies at UNLV at New Mexico at Air Force Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Portland St Tanner Mangum Squally Canada Matt Bushman BYU Utah St at Wisconsin Kent Myers Tonny Lindsey Jaren Colston-Green LSU Tanner Mangum Squally Canada Matt Bushman BYU QB/WR Idaho St Kent Myers Eltoro Allen Ron'Quavion Tarver Utah Tanner Mangum Ula Tolutau Matt Bushman at Wake Forest Jordan Love Eltoro Allen Zach Van Leeuwen Wisconsin Beau Hoge Ula Tolutau Micah Simon Utah St DB's at San Jose St Kent Myers Eltoro Allen Dax Raymond BYU RB's BYU at Utah St 0.22 Colorado St Boise St Utah St LB's Wyoming at Miss St at East Carolina 0.93 Boise St San Jose St at Fresno St BYU DL at UNLV 0.38 Hawaii UMass at Hawaii BYU Leaders Passing Tanner Mangum Squally Canada Matt Bushman BYU DB's Kent Myers Eltoro Allen Gerold Bright Beau Hoge Kavika Fonua Talon Shumway Utah St Leaders Jordan Love Kent Myers Ron'Quavion Tarver at UNLV at New Mexico at Air Force Ula Tolutau Micah Simon Utah St QB/WR Eltoro Allen LaJuan Hunt Jordan Nathan Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds BYU Utah St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 119 yards BYU Utah St 149 yards BYU Utah St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds BYU Utah St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 20 points BYU Utah St 26 points 2.78 BYU Utah St Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds BYU Utah St yards BYU Projected Box Projected Utah St 265 yards 287 yards BYU Utah St 414 yards Projected Final 1.01 Position by Position Edges Passing BYU OL Utah St DL Utah St OL BYU LB'S Utah St RB's BYU ST's Utah St ST's BYU K Utah St K BYU Coaches Utah St Coaches BYU Pts Ratings Byu By 3 46 Points Utah St By 0.3 Utah St By 13.7 Utah St Utah St Pts 89 BYU Utah St 107 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Utah St Utah St 25 BYU Utah St 70 Utah St by 4 By 2.08 Points 1.84 Utah St 24 BYU 20 BYU is LTH BYU trailed 210, but in the L/2:42 before HT tossed a 72 yd td pass & got a 37 yd FR td. BYU led into the 4Q and after USU cut it to 10 BYU scored L/13 holding Aggies to 25/19pl. USU has won 7 str hosting non-conf foes (L/loss in 13 vs BYU 314). LY the Aggies led 3-0 into 2Q & only trailed 140 at HT. USU was shutout in the 2H running just 17pl (46 ttl yds on 4 poss) losing 280. These schools are 125 miles apart. BYU has played 3 top teams in LSU, Utah and Wisconsin but are ypg and their offense is generating just 222 ypg and 10 points. They went to Beau Hoge in the last game with Tanner Mangum banged up, but he hit just Both teams lost to Wisconsin but USU was actually 100 at half on the road and BYU trailed by 18 at half at home. My average game grades have USU playing at a 82.5 level and BYU at a 75.6 level and USU is a home dog.

6 TM REC USC Trojans Wash St Cougars Trojans Logs PAC 12 PAC 12 Cougars Logs REC TM /2 Western Michigan W RANKINGS /2 Montana St 31-0 W /9 Stanford W /9 Boise St W USC Wash St /16 Texas W /16 Oregon St W /23 at California W #51 Rush Off # /23 Nevada 45-7 W /29 at Washington St #22 Pass Off # /29 USC /7 Oregon St #22 Total Off # /7 at Oregon /14 Utah #38 Off # /13 at California /21 at Notre Dame #58 Sks Allowed # /21 Colorado /28 at Arizona St #74 Rush Def # /28 at Arizona /4 Arizona #54 Pass Def # /4 Stanford /11 at Colorado #60 Total Def # /11 at Utah /18 UCLA #64 Def #29 11/18 11/25 #22 Sks By # /25 at Washington #34 Ypg Diff #5 +3 Total +4 Defense Defense Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Western Michigan Montana St Stanford Boise St Texas Oregon St at California Nevada at Washington St USC Oregon St Utah at Oregon at California at Notre Dame Colorado at Arizona St Arizona Stanford at Colorado UCLA USC Trojans LEADERS & AVERAGES Wash St Cougars at Arizona at Utah at Washington Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Western Michigan Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett USC Wash St Montana St Luke Falk Jamal Morrow James Williams Stanford Sam Darnold Stephen Carr Deontay Burnett USC QB/WR Boise St Tyler Hilinski James Williams Renard Bell Texas Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett Oregon St Luke Falk James Williams Tavares Martin Jr at California Sam Darnold Stephen Carr Deontay Burnett Wash St DB's Nevada Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tavares Martin Jr at Washington St USC RB's USC Oregon St 0.94 at Oregon Utah at California at Notre Dame USC OL Colorado at Arizona St 0.55 at Arizona Arizona Wash St DL Stanford at Colorado UCLA 0.37 Position by Position Edges Passing Passing USC Leaders Sam Darnold Ronald Jones Deontay Burnett USC DB's Luke Falk Jamal Morrow Tavares Martin Jr Wash St Leaders Team Stephen Carr Steven Mitchell Tyler Hilinski James Williams James Williams at Utah at Washington Vavae Malepeai Stephen Carr Wash St QB/WR Gerard Wicks Isaiah Johnson-Mack Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Washington St USC Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 161 yards USC Wash St 23 yards Washington St USC yards 417 yards USC 32 points Projected Box Projected USC Wash St Projected Yardage Total Wash St Projected Final 367 yards 390 yards USC Wash St 26 points 72 USC Wash St 15 4 USC Wash St Wash St LB's USC DL Wash St OL USC LB'S Wash St RB's USC ST's Wash St ST's USC K Wash St K USC Coaches Wash St Coaches USC Pts Wash St Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: USC By 4.59 Points Ratings USC By Points USC By 5.5 USC By 4.3 USC USC USC by 10 USC is 7-3 vs Pac2 foes in weekday mtgs. Trojans have won 5 str trips to Pullman by 33 ppg. LTH ( 14) USC won 447 (also was L/mtg). USC is 13-5 on the Pac2 road incl 4 straight wins by 20 ppg. USC has my #5 rated DB s to stand up to Luke Falk and are allowing just 49% completions this year. USC has taken on my #4 toughest schedule so far facing Western Michigan, Stanford, Texas and California. They are +122 yards per game. Wash St comes in at 4-0 and plus 242 yards per game, but have taken on Montana St, Boise St, Oregon St and Nevada. Wash St has taken on an FCS foe, my #48, #122 and #113 pass D s and now take on by #4 pass D. USC has 11 sacks while WSt has allowed 14. While Wash St is averaging 44 ppg they only had 21 offensive points in regulation vs Boise. USC has won their last 5 trips here by 33 ppg and the projected temp is 76 degrees so the Trojans will enjoy this trip. USC 34 Washington St 24

7 TM REC Charlotte 49ers FIU Golden Panthers 49ers Logs CUSA CUSA Golden Panthers Logs REC TM /1 at Eastern Michigan 7-24 L RANKINGS /31 at UCF L /9 at Kansas St 7-55 L /9 Alcorn St 170 W Charlotte FIU /16 North Carolina A&T L / /23 Georgia St 0-28 L #75 Rush Off # /23 at Rice 13-7 W /30 at FIU #121 Pass Off # /30 Charlotte /7 Marshall #121 Total Off # /7 at Middle Tennessee /14 at WKU #128 Off # /14 Tulane /21 UAB #114 Sks Allowed #76 10/21 10/28 #90 Rush Def # /28 at Marshall /4 at Old Dominion #78 Pass Def # /4 UTSA /11 Middle Tennessee #96 Total Def # /11 Old Dominion /18 at Southern Miss #110 Def # /18 at Florida Atlantic /25 Florida Atlantic #104 Sks By # /25 WKU #117 Ypg Diff # /2 UMass Total -3 Defense Defense Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at Eastern Michigan at UCF at Kansas St Alcorn St North Carolina A&T Georgia St at Rice at FIU Charlotte Marshall at WKU Tulane UAB at Old Dominion UTSA at Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee Old Dominion at Southern Miss Florida Atlantic WKU Charlotte 49ers LEADERS & AVERAGES FIU Golden Panthers at Marshall at Florida Atlantic UMass Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % 0 0.0% % 0 0.0% Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Passing Position by Position Edges Passing at Eastern Michigan Hasaan Klugh Hasaan Klugh Trent Bostick Charlotte FIU at UCF Alex McGough Napoleon Maxwell Thomas Owens at Kansas St Hasaan Klugh Hasaan Klugh Uriah Lemay Charlotte QB/WR Alcorn St Alex McGough Alex Gardner Julian Williams North Carolina A&T Hasaan Klugh Benny Lemay Workpeh Kofa Georgia St Hasaan Klugh Benny Lemay Mark Quattlebaum FIU DB's at Rice Alex McGough Alex Gardner Tony Gaiter IV at FIU Charlotte RB's Charlotte Marshall 0.66 at Middle Tennessee at WKU FIU LB's Tulane UAB Charlotte OL 0.54 at Marshall at Old Dominion FIU DL UTSA Middle Tennessee Charlotte DL Old Dominion at Southern Miss 0.56 at Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic FIU OL WKU Charlotte Leaders Hasaan Klugh Benny Lemay Workpeh Kofa Charlotte DB's Alex McGough Alex Gardner Thomas Owens Brooks Barden Hasaan Klugh Mark Quattlebaum FIU Leaders Maurice Alexander Shawndarri Phillips Julian Williams Chris Montgomery Robert Washington T.L Ford II FIU QB/WR Napoleon Maxwell Tony Gaiter IV Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds Charlotte FIU ST's FIU By 12.5 FIU Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 124 yards Charlotte FIU 157 yards Charlotte FIU yards Projected Box 4.54 Projected Charlotte FIU 257 yards Projected Yardage Total 282 yards Charlotte FIU 14 points Charlotte FIU 28 points 93 Projected Final Charlotte FIU 90 Charlotte FIU 415 yards Charlotte LB'S FIU RB's Charlotte ST's Charlotte K FIU K Charlotte Coaches FIU Coaches Charlotte Pts FIU Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Charlotte By 1.76 Points UMass Ratings 45.5 Points FIU By 18.8 FIU By 13.4 FIU FIU 284 FIU by 14 LY the Panthers trailed 263, but got a 15 yd td pass w/4:21 left to cut the deficit to 6. After forcing a punt FIU drove 45/2pl (gm deciding 9 yd td pass w/1:05). UC missed a 49 yd fg w/:05 (short). While LY s game was close FIU is #4 on my Exp Chart and Charlotte is #93. FIU has just 3 td s in 3 games so tough to lay double digits. FIU has a edge on defense (#106 vs #121) and is at home. Charlotte is 30 ypg and their offense and defense combined for 209 ypg below what their opponents average. Charlotte just lost at home to Georgia St by 28 and face a stronger FIU on the road. FIU 27 Charlotte 13

8 TM REC Rice Owls Owls Logs CUSA ACC 1 0 Pittsburgh Panthers /26 Stanford 7-62 L RANKINGS /2 Youngstown St W / /9 at Penn St L Rice Pittsburgh /9 at UTEP 314 W /16 Oklahoma St L /16 at Houston 3-38 L #64 Rush Off # /23 at Georgia Tech L /23 FIU 73 L #122 Pass Off # /30 Rice /30 at Pittsburgh #119 Total Off # /7 at Syracuse /7 Army West Point #126 Off # /14 NC State /14 #85 Sks Allowed # /21 at Duke /21 at UTSA #58 Rush Def # /28 Virginia /28 Louisiana Tech #109 Pass Def #108 11/ /4 at UAB #87 Total Def # /9 North Carolina /11 Southern Miss #100 Def # /18 at Virginia Tech /18 at Old Dominion #11 Sks By # /24 Miami, Fl /25 North Texas #115 Ypg Diff #120-5 Total +1 REC TM Panthers Logs Defense Defense Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Stanford Youngstown St at Penn St at UTEP Oklahoma St at Houston at Georgia Tech FIU Rice at Pittsburgh at Syracuse Army West Point NC State at UTSA Virginia Louisiana Tech at UAB North Carolina Southern Miss at Duke at Virginia Tech at Old Dominion Miami, Fl North Texas Rice Owls LEADERS & AVERAGES Pittsburgh Panthers Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % Stanford Sam Glaesmann Samuel Stewart Samuel Stewart Rice Pittsburgh Youngstown St Max Browne Qadree Ollison Qadree Ollison Rice QB/WR at Penn St Max Browne Qadree Ollison Jester Weah at UTEP Sam Glaesmann Samuel Stewart Aaron Cephus Oklahoma St Ben DiNucci Chawntez Moss Rafael Araujo-Lopes at Houston Jackson Tyner Nahshon Ellerbe Jordan Myers Pittsburgh DB's at Georgia Tech Ben DiNucci Jordan Whitehead Aaron Mathews FIU Jackson Tyner Samuel Stewart Aaron Cephus Rice RB's Rice at Pittsburgh 0.37 at Syracuse Army West Point Pittsburgh LB's NC State at UTSA 0.16 Virginia Louisiana Tech Pittsburgh DL at UAB Rice DL North Carolina Southern Miss 0.40 at Virginia Tech at Old Dominion Pittsburgh OL Miami, Fl None Passing Position by Position Edges Passing North Texas Rice Leaders Rice OL Rice LB'S Pittsburgh RB's Jackson Tyner Samuel Stewart Aaron Cephus Rice DB's Max Browne Qadree Ollison Rafael Araujo-Lopes Sam Glaesmann Austin Walter Samuel Stewart Pittsburgh Leaders Ben DiNucci Chawntez Moss Qadree Ollison Parker Smith Nahshon Ellerbe Jordan Myers Pittsburgh QB/WR Team Quadree Henderson Matt Flanagan yards 162 yards Rice Projected Yardage Total 284 yards 317 yards Rice Pittsburgh 456 yards 17 points Rice 70 Projected Box Projected Rice Pittsburgh 172 yards Pittsburgh Projected Final Pittsburgh Rice Pittsburgh 34 points 41 Rice Pittsburgh Rice ST's Pittsburgh ST's Rice K Pittsburgh K Rice Coaches Pittsburgh Coaches Rice Pts at Duke Ratings Pittsburgh By Points Pittsburgh By 21.8 Pittsburgh By 14.1 Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Pts 123 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Pittsburgh 347 Pittsburgh By 3.56 Points Pittsburgh by 24 Last met in Pitt just faced the option of Georgia Tech last week and is probably still recovering from the cut blocks and they have Dino Babers pass happy offense on deck. Rice traveled to Australia and had a week off and now are in their 3rd road game in 4 weeks. Rice did lose their road games by 22 ppg last year and this year by 24 ppg. Rice is averaging just 243 ypg vs teams not names UTEP and run into Pat Narduzzi s Pitt defense that has just allowed 580 ypg the last 2 games so they will be angry and the same defense held Penn St to just 312 total yards 3 weeks ago. Walk On Ben DiNucci took over at QB for Pitt since PS#1 Max Browne was struggling. Pitt has taken on the #3 toughest schedule and needs a feel good win. Pittsburgh 34 Rice 10

9 TM REC USF Bulls East Carolina Pirates Bulls Logs AAC AAC Pirates Logs REC TM /26 at San Jose St W RANKINGS /2 James Madison L /2 Stony Brook 317 W /9 at West Virginia L USF East Carolina / /16 Virginia Tech L /15 Illinois W #9 Rush Off # /24 at Connecticut W /21 Temple 43-7 W #85 Pass Off # /30 USF /30 at East Carolina #21 Total Off # /7 Temple /7 #21 Off # /14 at UCF /14 Cincinnati #85 Sks Allowed # /21 BYU /21 at Tulane #3 Rush Def #125 10/ /28 Houston #43 Pass Def # /4 at Houston /4 at Connecticut #13 Total Def # /11 Tulane /11 #22 Def # /18 Cincinnati /16 Tulsa #11 Sks By # /25 at Memphis /24 at UCF #8 Ypg Diff # Total -6 Defense Defense Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks at San Jose St James Madison Stony Brook at West Virginia Virginia Tech Illinois at Connecticut Temple USF at East Carolina Temple Cincinnati BYU at Tulane Houston at Connecticut Tulane Cincinnati Tulsa at UCF USF Bulls LEADERS & AVERAGES East Carolina Pirates at UCF at Houston at Memphis Average % % % % Average % % % % Conference % % % % Conference % % % % Away % % % % Home % % % % at San Jose St Quinton Flowers D'Ernest Johnson Marquez Scantling USF East Carolina James Madison Thomas Sirk Derrell Scott Davon Grayson Stony Brook Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Tyre McCants USF QB/WR at West Virginia Thomas Sirk Tyshon Dye Trevon Brown Virginia Tech Gardner Minshew Tyshon Dye Trevon Brown Illinois Quinton Flowers Quinton Flowers Marquez Scantling East Carolina DB's at Connecticut Thomas Sirk Derrell Scott Davon Grayson Temple Quinton Flowers Darius Tice Tyre McCants USF RB's USF at East Carolina 2.18 Temple Cincinnati USF OL BYU at Tulane 2.70 Houston at Connecticut USF DL Tulane 1.44 Cincinnati Tulsa at UCF Passing Position by Position Edges Passing Quinton Flowers Darius Tice Marquez Scantling USF DB's Thomas Sirk Tyshon Dye Davon Grayson USF Leaders Brett Kean D'Ernest Johnson Tyre McCants East Carolina Leaders Gardner Minshew Hussein Howe Trevon Brown Team Quinton Flowers Deange Antoine East Carolina QB/WR Derrell Scott Quay Johnson Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds South Florida East Carolina Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 333 yards USF East Carolina 68 yards 1.34 South Florida East Carolina Rank Line FD Rush Comp-Att-Yds 0.75 South Florida East Carolina yards USF Projected East Carolina 331 yards 1.65 East Carolina LB's East Carolina DL East Carolina OL USF LB'S East Carolina RB's USF K East Carolina K USF Coaches 610 yards USF East Carolina 399 yards East Carolina Coaches 49 points Projected Box at UCF at Houston at Memphis USF By 25.3 Projected Final USF Pts USF East Carolina 24 points USF USF East Carolina USF East Carolina 30 USF ST's East Carolina ST's East Carolina Pts POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: USF By Points 0.53 Ratings USF By Points USF By 26.3 USF USF by 27 Bulls are 6. LY the Pirates rallied from a 24-6 deficit to get within w/6:58 left. EC elected to go for two, but the EZ pass was incomplete. Three plays later USF tacked on a 62 yd td run, forced an int & went 17/2pl for another td w/3:04. USF is playing a 6th straight week while ECar just played on Sunday and is on a short week. USF has gotten stronger by the week and had 326 yards vs Illinois and a yard edge at Temple last Thursday, so they have extra time to prep. I like the Bulls here, but my main concern is that East Carolina has back door potential. USF 51 East Carolina 24