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1 NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS $ Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 28 ISSUE 13 November 25-29, 2010 HAPPY THANKSGIVING! PP 4.5! s ON A % RUN! NEWS AND NOTES - WEEK THIRTEEN, 2010 NEWS AND NOTES: Air Force got off to a slow start vs UNLV but then rolled. The Falcons did have a couple of blown opportunities or could have won by more than 15. In the 1Q AF had a 1&gl at the 4 but fmbl d at the 2 and the Falcons actually trailed AF got a TD with 9:33 left to go up but UNLV faked a punt from the AF49 and fi red incomplete with 5:38 left. AF got 3 FD s and had a FD at the 12 but took a knee on the fi nal 2pl...Washington wore black uniforms for the fi rst time in school history and also painted the endzones black in this Thursday night game. UCLA led 7-0 behind backup QB Richard Brehaut and then LY s Groza Winner, Kai Forbath, missed a 44 yard FG at the end of the 1Q. UW missed a 53 yd FG but would drive 61/8pl and got a TD with 5:57 left in the half to tie it at 7. UW had a yd edge at the half. UCLA lost Brehaut on the 3Q s 2nd series and the teams would combine for 8 punts on the next 8 poss. Brehaut was replaced by Darius Bell (a running QB). With 6:22 left, Bell threw an int that was ret d 28 yds for a TD and UW took a 17-7 lead. They brought in 4th string QB Clayton Tunney who hit and had a pass int d and UW tacked on another TD 3pl later capping a 43 yd drive with 4:24 left for a misleading 24-7 win in what was a 1-score game early-4q. UCLA s 3 QB s combined for a ridiculous 6-25 with 3 int...boise only led 3-0 after 1Q and 10-0 mid-2q. Fresno fmbl d at the Boise30 down 17-0 and BSU led 20-0 at the half. In the 2H BSU would get 4 TD s and a FG. Three of their TD drives were 22 yds (after 14 yd IR), 40 yds (after 12 yd punt) and 36 yds (after 19 yd IR). Overall BS was impressive statistically with yd and 31-9 FD edges and came out in orange for the game trying to dispel the theory they win at home with blue uniforms on blue turf...kansas actually led Oklahoma St and the key play of the game happened with 8:27 left in the 2Q as they trailed They were stuffed on 3&gl from the 1 and went for it on 4&gl from the 1 and were stopped. OSU led at the half. After each team missed a FG in the 3Q OSU got a TD with 6:16 left in the 3Q to lead by 13. They blocked a punt for a TD to extend it to 20 then drove 61/5pl for a TD. KU got to the OSU40 but punted and OSU went 85/12pl for a TD with 5:41 left for the fi nal margin...louisville s leading rusher was actually P Chris Philpott who gained 21 yds on a fake punt. Bilal Powell had zero yds on 4 carries but was forced to the sideline with an illness. UL led 10-7 after rec ing a fmbl for a TD but WV went 82/8pl for a TD to lead at the half. There were 9 punts on the fi rst 10 drives of the 2H. UL was SOD at the WV47 with 4:59 left and WV had a 41 yd FG blk d with 2:33 left but on the next play UL was int d at midfi eld and WV ran out the clock...usf had a yd edge vs Pitt at the half but missed a couple opportunities at TD s and also missed a 52 yd FG and the game was tied at 3. Trailing they punted with 7:24 left and Pitt went on a 12pl drive missing a 43 yd FG with 1:31 left. USF got to midfi eld but with :07 was int d at the Pitt22...Kansas St/Colorado combined for 80 pts, their highest total ever in their 66 game series history. CU led at half but had a yd edge. The Buffs led by 2 scores for most of the 2H but KSU on 4&gl got a 16 yd TD pass with 13:18 left to pull within 8. After another CU TD made it 44-29, KSU on 4&12 got a 23 yd TD pass with 6:47 left to pull within 8 again but KSU s fi nal drive ended on a sk at their own 36 with 1:01 left...utep QB Trevor Vittatoe was questionable coming in and hit just yds. Tulsa had a yd edge but twice opted to go for it on 4th&long passing up makable FG s. Tulsa had a FD at the UTEP 18 but with 2:49 left on 4&22 they passed up a 47 yd FG and fi red incomplete. UTEP got 2 FD s to the TU36 but on 4&10 were int d at the 30 with 1:40 left...clemson had a yd edge at the half getting a 40 yd TD pass with :46 left 1H to lead CU led 30-3 before Wake Forest went 79/12pl getting a garbage TD with 6:02 left and CU fi nished the game at the WF36...Wyoming RB Alvester Alexander ran for a school record 5 TD s as WY beat Colorado St 44-0 in the Border War. WY dominated as you would think by the fi nal with a yd edge. It was 23-0 at half and WY had a pair of 80 yd TD drives to open the 3Q and extend it to Michigan St had a frustrating 1H vs Purdue and very nearly lost the game despite coming in with just 1 loss on the year. PU got an 80 yd TD run and a 35 yd IR TD. MSU had a pair of long drives for TD s but missed the xp and with 11:10 left in the 2Q, MSU had an 11-1 FD edge but actually trailed PU scored a TD with :08 left in the 1H and opened the 3Q with a drive for a TD and led MSU got a TD and 2 pt conv with 6:54 left to pull within 3 and then blk d a punt and rec d at the 3 and got a TD on the next play to go up PU did get to the MSU20 but on 4&7 was int d at the It was another incredible loss for North Carolina as they had a yd edge but Tom O Brien amazingly improved to 4-0 vs NC thanks to a TD pass in the 3Q on what looked like it would be a sure incompletion on 4th down then a PR TD and a stopped 2 pt conversion at the end. NC settled for 19, 21 and 38 yd FG s and despite having a yd edge, they only led It appeared NCSt s last gasp happened with :52 left 3Q. The Wolfpack opted to go for it on 4&2. QB Wilson, under pressure, threw it out of the back of the EZ but 3 players who were actually outside the EZ tipped the ball in the air and it came back into the EZ and was caught by Spencer for a 2 yd TD. NCSt then benefi tted from an 87 yd PR TD to take the lead. At the end of the game, UNC got a TD but their 2 pt conversion was incomplete and NCSt rec d the onside kick leading and later with NC pinned at their 5 NCSt tacked on a safety for a misleading fi nal...iowa has led or been tied with 4:00 to go in all of their losses this year...wisconsin RB s Montee Ball and James White became the 2nd pair of Badgers to rush for 150+ in the same game, the fi rst duo since 1973 when Billy Marek (226) and Ken Starch (184) did it vs Wyoming. Scott Tolzien hit his fi rst 13 passes which made it 24 straight including the end of LW s blowout win vs Indiana. Michigan s Denard Robinson set the FBS record for most rushing yards in a season by a QB (1538) topping AF s Beau Morgan s mark and became the fi rst player in NCAA history with 1,500 yards rushing and 2,000 passing in the same year. UW led 24-0 at the half with a yd edge. UM rallied to and and even but got no closer...south Carolina was coming off their big win over Florida but Troy fmbl d the opening KO and SC got a 17 yd drive for a TD. Later Troy fumbled a punt snap and SC went 29/2pl for a TD to lead Later, after a fmbl they drove 7 yds for a TD and then got a 22 yd IR TD with 1:42 left in the half. Troy, on the last play of the 1H, threw a pass that was int d and ret d 56 yds for a TD and SC led Alshon Jeffery became SC s single season school record holder with 1,210 yds topping Sidney Rice s 2005 record... While it was an Indiana HG, Penn St s white outnumbered IU s red 3-1 at FedEx Field. The game was tied at 24 when PSU missed a 43 yd FG but they blk d a punt for a TD late 3Q and after an int added a 35 yd FG. After IU was SOD, PSU drove 56/12pl and got ahead ATS with a TD with 3:20 left. IU punted on 4&9 with 2:01 left...duke had FD and yd edges but GT was fortunate to come away with the win. Duke led 13-6 at the half with a yd edge. The key play of the game happened with GT trailing Duke had a FD at the GT14 threatening to make it a 20-9 game but was int d and ret d 85 yds for a TD and instead of leading by 11, they trailed Duke was down when they missed a game tying 34 yd FG with 9:20 left. GT faced a 3&9 at their own 21 and got a 79 yd TD pass to go up by 10. Duke missed a 54 yd FG with 5:50 left and GT got 3 FD s and ran out the clock...while Kent St was destroyed by 35 by W Michigan they did have some key mistakes and actually fi nished with a yd edge. KSU was int d setting up a WM 28 yd drive for a TD. KSU on 4&gl from the 2 faked a FG and was SOD. KSU on 2&gl from the 3 was int d in the EZ late 2Q then SOD on 4&4 at their own 48 with :16 left in the half and WM got a 42 yd FG 3pl later. KSU was SOD at the WM9 in the 3Q and trailed 31-3 four pl later...in the 1H Miami, FL had a dominating yd edge vs Virginia Tech. UM fmbl d at the VT34 with 6:57 left in the half and missed a 47 yd FG at the end of the half. The game was tied at 17 when VT got an 84 yd TD run. UM had a TD go off the fi ngertips of WR Benjamin and punted then was int d on their next 3 poss and VT added a TD...Stanford scored on every poss with Andrew Luck on the fi eld going up This was the most lopsided loss for Cal in the rivalry since Stanford beat them 41-0 back in Brock Mansion fmbl d on the 3rd play setting up an SU score and it was all downhill from there. In fact, SU had a yd edge at the half and led Cal even scored on 4&7 with a hook and ladder for a 23 yd TD with :15 left...ucf returned the opening KO vs Tulane for a TD and after a pair of TO s got 4 and 29 yd drives rolling to a 38-0 lead in their win. TU was playing without starting QB Ryan Griffi n and Kevin Moore hit delivering an Early Bird POW winner on UCF as the line went from 14 to 17...In the Texas A&M/Nebraska game NU had 16 pen s while A&M had 2. With 5:51 left, NU was called for a very questionable roughing the QB penalty and NU HC Pelini was penalized for unsportsmanlike conduct...lsu got another narrow escape, this time vs Mississippi. Houston Nutt is known for knocking off Top 5 teams and UM led after 3Q s and also led with 8:49 left. Markeith Summers got a 65 yd TD pass with 4:57 left to give Mississippi the lead but unfortunately he dove into the EZ so UM had to kick off from its own 15 and LSU started at midfi eld setting up the game winning TD drive with :44 left. UM only got out to their own 25 and was int d on the game s fi nal play...memphis has now lost 10 games in consecutive seasons and 3rd time since The key pointspread play happened late. UAB led and had a FD at the UM31. They opted to go for it on 4&6 and were not only int d but ret d 63 yds to the UAB7. UM was SOD at the 5 with 1:13 left but UAB only won by 16...Texas/Florida Atl was closer than the fi nal as the Longhorns had some key plays. UT only led 17-7 and FAU went for it on 4&34 but was SOD at the UT18 with just :34 left in the half. UT got 2 FD s then threw a Hail Mary on the fi nal play of the half and their prayer was answered with a TD for a 24-7 lead. FAU only trailed and had a FD at the UT44 in the 4Q when they were int d and ret d 57 yds for a TD. FAU fmbl d on the next play and UT drove 41/9pl to fi nally get ahead ATS, and UT tacked on a TD with 2:26 left for the fi nal...nevada played well for having a big game vs Boise St on deck but were fortunate to get the margin that they did. New Mexico St missed a 46 yd FG in the 1H and NV, leading 24-3 had a FD at their own 21 when they got a 79 yd pass to Taua for a TD with :22 left to make it 31-3 at halftime. NMSt was int d at the NV33 then punted with 11:32 left trailing NV got a 57 yd TD run by Mark with 10:03 left. NMSt had a 4&2 at the NV17 and were int d & ret d 90 yds for a TD with 5:17 left and NMSt s fi nal drive ended on a fmbl at the NV13 with 1:06 left The Sooners dominated Baylor and led after 3Q s. BU gained 148 yds in the 4Q vs the OU backups and got 2 garbage TD s to make the fi nal and the yards appeared close at Continued on page 2

2 continued from Front Page NEWS & NOTES It was a very interesting game for Marshall and SMU. SMU controlled the 1H with a yd edge and settled for a 20 yd FG on the 1H last play, MU battled back to in the 4Q. MU went 56/13pl and had a 1st & gl at the 5 but was SOD at the 8. After SMU got 2 FD s they punted with 1:49 left. MU got 5 FD s to the 12 but was int d in the EZ with :05 left...rice delivered another outright upset winner for the Big Dog POW. Rice had leads of 27-7 and and ended the game at the EC15...Maryland/Florida St was a misleading fi nal. FSU benefi tted from 4 MD TO s including a huge one at the end of the game. Trailing MD had a FD at the FSU22 in the fi nal minute. On 4&7 MD was int d and FSU got a 96 yd IR TD for a very misleading 14 pt win. MD had FD and yd edges...iowa St came out in gold jerseys vs Missouri and did have a yd edge. ISU missed a 38 yd FG after a 10pl drive in the 1Q, was SOD at its own 46 to end the 1Q, went on an 86/14pl drive but missed a 27 yd FG in the 3Q trailing 7-0. MO faked a punt for a FD and continued on an 80/13pl drive for a TD and a 14-0 lead. ISU fmbl d at the MO30, was SOD at the MO43 and then went for it on 4&22 but was SOD at their own 32 and then on 4&28 was tkl d at their own 2 with 2:02 left and MO took a knee. Thanksgiving Exec Week - Just $ 125 for 6 days!!! Thanksgiving Weekend is next week! Call for your passcodes NOW. Our favorite week is here to offer our Executive Service to all of our customers at an absurd rate. It's just $ 125 and has been that way since 1996! Thanksgiving Executive Club Service is a $ 499 value as you will receive EVERY LATE PHONE PLAY, TOP OPINION, MARQUEE PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE PLAY, TOTALS CLUB PLAY, SMALL COLLEGE PLAY - EVERYTHING! Why do we only charge $125? The answer is easy. We are superstitious. We have always done tremendously well on this week and have always charged just $125. We suggest that you sign up as soon as you can so that we can assign you the number and the passcodes needed for the week. Your Executive Club Service will start on Tuesday (11/23) and will commence with the Monday Night Magic on the side and Marquee Total. If you are thinking that this is a ridiculously low rate and that you will end up needing to purchase more plays - you are wrong. Your $ 125 Membership for Thanksgiving Exec will get you every single play that we release,! rated or otherwise and you will not need to spend one penny more! THE MOST UNIQUE POWER RATINGS IN THE COUNTRY These Power Play Forecasts are the most unique in the country because they are based on Northcoast Sports Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer rating, as we take into account all of the following: Strength of Opponents Individual Units (Rushing Offense & Defense, Passing Offense, & Defense, Scoring Off & Def, Garbage Yds, Weather, Inj s, Home Field Edge, and Successful Unbalanced Attacks). Here is how each is re"ected: Strength of Opponent: Our ratings do not just take the opposing team s overall power rating into account. For example, in 1992, Washington s defense vs the rush was rated at a 110 (From 1-100). They faced Colorado and allowed 183 yds rushing and dropped 12 spots in the national rushing defense ratings. However, Power Plays took into account the potent Buffalo run attack and had forecasted the Huskies yielding 225 yds. Due to the fact they did better than the forecast, Power Plays raised their rating to 112 even though they slipped in the national (straight yardage) rankings. Another example was Michigan vs Purdue in Michigan held Purdue to just 45 yards rushing and improved their ratings in rushing defense in the national statistics. However, our ratings had them rated at a 102 and moved them down to 99, as they should have yielded just 32 yards to an impotent Purdue rush attack. Next time an announcer on TV tells you that a certain team is #3 in the country vs the run you better check Northcoast Sports Power Ratings and see how good a rush defense they really have! The top twenty ratings in Power Ratings for each offensive and defensive category will be listed in each week s issue of Power Plays. Thanksgiving Executive Club Call-In Schedule Tuesday 3:00-7:00 pm Tuesday s Game Wednesday 3:00-7:00 pm Games for Thanksgiving Day Friday 10:30 am-noon Friday Games Saturday 10:00 am-noon College Totals Saturday 11:00 am-noon College Sides Sunday 11:00 am-1:00pm NFL Plays Monday 3:00-8:30 pm Monday Night Side/Total Times EST NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s! nal computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the! nal score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. The Power Ratings listed below can be used for you as a base power ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents, etc. Once again, they are not based on Power Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years, which has been our actual computer Power Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Power Ratings. ACC Virginia Tech 139 Florida St Miami, Fl NC State North Carolina Clemson Maryland Georgia Tech Boston College Duke Virginia Wake Forest 107 CONFERENCE USA UCF 125 S Mississippi 123 Tulsa 120 Houston 118 East Carolina 112 UTEP 110 SMU 110 UAB 109 Rice 106 Marshall 105 Tulane 97 Memphis 92 Garbage Yds: These are yds that a tm gains or allows in the! nal minutes of a gm when it has been decided. Example, Tm A is ahead 63-0 and allows a 93 yd TD pass vs its 4th string D. These yds are counted in national ratings, but not in Northcoast Sports Power Ratings! Weather: If a game is played in miserable weather and is low scoring, the straight statistics credit the D with outstanding performances. Our Power Ratings re" ect the conditions and do not give excess credit to the D. Injuries: When South Carolina played NC State in 1989, South Carolina QB Todd Ellis was injured on the third play of the game. His backup, who had seen very little action all year, was not prepared and hit on just 4 of 13 passes for 65 yards. The offensive coordinator did not risk any passes. In the national statistics NC State s pass defense MOVED UP 14 NOTCHES. In our Power Ratings they stayed the same, as the low yardage WAS NOT re" ective of an outstanding performance by the defense. Home Field Edges: The weekly projection of yards and points is weighted with the home!eld factored in. Successful Unbalanced Attacks: In 89, Ohio St was held to 127 yds pass vs N western. This dropped OSU in the national passing off ratings & RAISED the Wildcats in the pass D ratings. In our ratings the two units remained rated the same. Why? OSU rushed for 456 yds & DID NOT HAVE TO PASS & when they did they hit 9-11 passes, which is VERY effective. While N western s pass defense looked good in the national ratings, only Northcoast Sports Power Ratings re" ected the TRUTH! There you have it. More than just numbers, THESE RATINGS REFLECT the true strength of each unit and allow them to have the most accurate forecast of yards gained and points allowed in the country! No other rating system takes into account all the previous factors. Next time you hear that a team is rated third in the country in pass defense, just remember, yards are not everything and Northcoast Sports Power Plays will show you how strong the team really is. BIG EAST Pittsburgh 129 West Virginia Connecticut South Florida Louisville Syracuse Cincinnati Rutgers 113 INDEPENDENT Notre Dame 126 Navy 123 Army 116 SUN BELT FIU 112 Arkansas St 109 Middle Tennessee 103 Troy St 103 UL Monroe 102 North Texas 101 Florida Atlantic 100 Western Kentucky 100 Louisiana 98 MAC N Illinois 130 Ohio 118 Temple 117 Toledo 112 Cent Michigan 111 West Michigan 110 Miami, Oh 106 Kent St 103 Bowling Green 102 Ball St 100 East Michigan 93 Akron 91 Buffalo 90 WAC Boise St 151 Nevada Hawaii Louisiana Tech Fresno St Idaho Utah St San Jose St New Mexico St PAC-10 Oregon 144 Stanford 143 Arizona St 129 Oregon St 128 USC 127 Arizona 127 California 123 Washington 120 UCLA 116 Washington St 112 BIG TEN Ohio St 142 Wisconsin Iowa Illinois Penn St Michigan St Michigan Northwestern Purdue Minnesota Indiana SEC Alabama 142 Auburn 140 Arkansas 139 LSU 136 South Carolina 136 Florida 133 Georgia 132 Miss St 130 Tennessee 123 Kentucky 123 Mississippi 119 Vanderbilt REG SSN GAMES OF MONTH (Y) %! 2007 Sept GOM's 5! FAU (+7) 42 Minnesota 39 WIN 4! Atlanta (+3) 26 Houston 16 WIN 2007 Oct GOM's 5! Texas A&M (+3) 11 Kansas 19 loss 4! Over 45 Cleveland (27)/STL (20) WIN 2007 Nov GOM's 5! USF (-16 ) 41 Syracuse 10 WIN 4! OVER 60 UAB 9/Memphis 25 loss 4! Tampa Bay (-3) 31 Atlanta 7 WIN 2007 NFL GOY!! 5! Tennessee (-3) 26 KC 17 WIN 2008 Sept GOM's 4! Atlanta (-6) 38 KC 14 WIN 5! Florida St (-5') 39 Colo 21 WIN 2008 October GOM's 4! NY Giants (+3) 21 PIT 14 WIN 4'! OVER 59 UNLV (35) BYU (45) GOY WIN 4! UNDER 54 Texas 38 Colorado 14 GOM WIN 5! Ohio St (-3) 45 Mich St 7 WIN 2008 November GOM's 5! Ohio St (-11) 45 N western 10 GOY WIN 4! Atlanta (-6') 20 Denver 24 loss 2008 NFL GOY 5! Green Bay (-6) 21 Houston 24 loss 2009 Sept GOM s 4! Oakland (+2) 3 Denver 23 loss 4! OVER 52' Mid Tenn (21)/N Texas(37) WIN 5! Clemson (-7) 25 Boston Coll 7 WIN 2009 OCT GOM'S 4! Indianapolis (-14) 42 St Louis 6 WIN 4! UNDER 51 Arizona (27)/UCLA (13) WIN 5! SMU (+7) 35 Navy 38 (OT) WIN 2009 NOV GOM'S 5! Wisconsin (-11) 31 Indiana 28 GOY loss 4'! UNDER 50' Wisc (31)/N'wstrn (33) GOY loss 4! NY Giants (-7) 34 Atlanta 31 OT loss 2009 DEC GOM 5! Indianapolis (-6 ) 28 Denver 16 GOY WIN 2010 Sept GOM s 4! OVER 63' Oklahoma St (41)/Troy(38) WIN 4! Atlanta (-6') 41 Arizona 7 WIN 5! Boston College (+4) 0 Virg Tech 19 loss 2010 OCT GOM s 4! UNDER 44 LSU (16)/Tennessee (14) WIN 5! Mississippi St (-5) 47 Houston 24 WIN 4! Chicago (-5') 20 Seattle 23 loss 2010 NOV GOM s 4'! OVER 59 Arkansas (41)/S Carolina (20) GOY WIN 5! Kentucky (-15) 38 Vanderbilt 20 GOY WIN 4! Baltimore (-11 ) 37 Carolina 13 WIN BIG 12 Oklahoma 141 Oklahoma St Nebraska Texas A&M Missouri Texas Texas Tech Kansas St Colorado Baylor Iowa St Kansas 108 MOUNTAIN WEST TCU 144 Utah 131 Air Force 126 BYU 124 San Diego St 121 Wyoming 105 UNLV 104 Colorado St 99 New Mexico 98

3 !""#$Y '()*+,-.)() */'-(0I./N TEAM PPG Off Rush Off Rush Off Pass Off PPG Def Rush Def Rush Def Pass Def Off Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp % Def Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp% A Texas A&M H Texas A Buffalo H Akron A Central Michigan H Toledo A Western Michigan H Bowling Green A Northern Illinois H Eastern Michigan A West Virginia H Pittsburgh A Louisville H Rutgers A Ohio H Kent St A SMU H East Carolina A Auburn H Alabama A UCLA H Arizona St A Colorado H Nebraska A Southern Miss H Tulsa A Arizona H Oregon A Boise St H Nevada A Michigan H Ohio St A Indiana H Purdue A Tulane H Marshall A USF H Miami, Fl A Mississippi St H Mississippi A Florida H Florida St A Kentucky H Tennessee A South Carolina H Clemson A UCF H Memphis A Cincinnati H Connecticut A Boston College H Syracuse A Northwestern H Wisconsin A Wake Forest H Vanderbilt A Iowa H Minnesota A NC State H Maryland A North Carolina H Duke A Virginia H Virginia Tech A Kansas H Missouri A Hawaii H New Mexico St A UAB H Rice A Georgia Tech H Georgia A Michigan St H Penn St A Oklahoma H Oklahoma St A Washington H California A BYU H Utah A Oregon St H Stanford A LSU H Arkansas A TCU H New Mexico A Houston H Texas Tech A Notre Dame H USC A Louisiana Tech H San Jose St A UNLV H San Diego St A Idaho H Fresno St A Louisiana H ULM A Florida Atlantic H Middle Tenn A Kansas St H North Texas A Arkansas St H FIU A WKU H Troy SIDES - Wins Arkansas 5 S Miss 5 Tennessee 5 Texas A&M 5 Wisconsin 5 SIDES - Losses Michigan 7 Buffalo 6 Vanderbilt 6 Troy 5 Wake Forest 5 TOTALS - Overs TOTALS - Unders Rice 7 Clemson 7 Arkansas 6 Miami OH 6 Penn St 6 Georgia Tech 5 Illinois 5 Hawaii 5 West Virginia 5 Marshall 5 Listed below are Northcoast Sports Power Play Rankings. These Power Play Rankings are unique. Our rankings are unlike any computer ranking, as we take into account all the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units (Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, and Passing Defense) Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges, and successful Unbalanced Attacks. Regular rankings based solely on numbers DO NOT take into account these factors. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 1 Georgia Tech 1 Hawaii 1 Auburn 1 West Virginia 1 Nebraska 1 Clemson 2 Auburn 2 Oklahoma St 2 Oregon 2 Ohio St 2 Oklahoma 2 Nebraska 3 Navy 3 Houston 3 Arkansas 3 S Carolina 3 Boise St 3 West Virginia 4 Oregon 4 San Diego St 4 Boise St 4 Iowa 4 TCU 4 Ohio St 5 Nevada 5 Oklahoma 5 Stanford 5 Boston College 5 Ohio St 5 Boise St 6 Air Force 6 Arkansas 6 Wisconsin 6 Arizona St 6 LSU 6 Iowa 7 Wisconsin 7 Boise St 7 Oklahoma 7 Clemson 7 Miami, Fl 7 Virginia Tech 8 Illinois 8 Texas Tech 8 TCU 8 NC State 8 Texas 8 Missouri 9 Michigan 9 East Carolina 9 Oklahoma St 9 TCU 9 California 9 TCU 10 N Illinois 10 Duke 10 Nevada 10 Mississippi St 10 Oregon 10 Mississippi St 11 TCU 11 Cincinnati 11 Georgia 11 Stanford 11 Pittsburgh 11 Oklahoma 12 Army 12 Idaho 12 S Carolina 12 Arizona 12 Louisville 12 Alabama 13 Stanford 13 N Carolina 13 N Illinois 13 Utah 13 Stanford 13 Stanford 14 Ohio St 14 SMU 14 Ohio St 14 Oregon 14 UCLA 14 Arizona St 15 Virginia Tech 15 Texas A&M 15 Alabama 15 Maryland 15 Virginia Tech 15 Oregon 16 Baylor 16 Arizona 16 Virginia Tech 16 USC 16 Syracuse 16 Miami, Fl 17 Nebraska 17 Stanford 17 Michigan 17 S Miss 17 Army 17 Boston College 18 Mississippi 18 Utah 18 Baylor 18 Boise St 18 Illinois 18 Texas A&M 19 Miami, Fl 19 Baylor 19 Illinois 19 Purdue 19 Penn St 19 Pittsburgh 20 Mississippi St 20 Troy 20 Florida 20 California 20 Washington 20 Oregon St RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSE OFFENSE OFFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE DEFENSE 101 Kent St 101 Connecticut 101 Kansas 101 Arkansas St 101 Notre Dame 101 Mid Tenn 102 SMU 102 Memphis 102 Louisiana 102 W Michigan 102 W Michigan 102 North Texas 103 San Diego St 103 E Michigan 103 Utah St 103 Air Force 103 Tulsa 103 Houston 104 N Mexico St 104 Boston College 104 Mid Tenn 104 Colorado St 104 E Carolina 104 UAB 105 UNLV 105 Mississippi St 105 E Michigan 105 C Michigan 105 S Miss 105 San Jose St 106 New Mexico 106 Vanderbilt 106 New Mexico 106 Northwestern 106 Akron 106 Akron 107 Louisiana 107 Wake Forest 107 Marshall 107 Vanderbilt 107 Troy 107 UNLV 108 Colorado St 108 Ball St 108 Boston College 108 Virginia 108 Indiana 108 Ball St 109 Akron 109 Purdue 109 Vanderbilt 109 UNLV 109 Colorado 109 N Mexico St 110 FAU 110 Akron 110 Bowling Green 110 FAU 110 Baylor 110 Colorado St 111 Memphis 111 Illinois 111 Ball St 111 Kansas St 111 Navy 111 Utah St 112 Rutgers 112 Ohio 112 Miami, Oh 112 Mid Tenn 112 E Michigan 112 ULM 113 Marshall 113 Mid Tenn 113 Kent St 113 Utah St 113 Ohio 113 Memphis 114 C Michigan 114 UCLA 114 FAU 114 Bowling Green 114 LA Tech 114 New Mexico 115 Miami, Oh 115 Buffalo 115 San Jose St 115 Troy 115 Cincinnati 115 Louisiana 116 Buffalo 116 WKU 116 Colorado St 116 UTEP 116 UAB 116 Rice 117 Idaho 117 Air Force 117 N Mexico St 117 Tulane 117 Duke 117 Troy 118 Hawaii 118 Army 118 Akron 118 E Carolina 118 San Jose St 118 E Michigan 119 San Jose St 119 Georgia Tech 119 Memphis 119 Houston 119 Memphis 119 Tulane 120 Bowling Green 120 Navy 120 Buffalo 120 New Mexico 120 Rice 120 East Carolina!"#"$%&'()*+%$&,,&-*-%$'-.%+$/01*2 WHAT ARE THE TOUGHEST OPPONENT RANKINGS? These rankings go far beyond the NCAA s straight statistical ranking of each team. For example last year Bowling Green ranked #3 in the NCAA avg 40.8 ppg, but ranked #39 in our scoring off rankings. However they faced the #114th schedule of scoring defenses. As you can see, the NCAA s statistical rankings can be misleading. In the upcoming weeks we ll provide examples of this year s statistical disparities. These are the current rankings for this year. Here are the teams that have taken on the toughest & easiest schedules. RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 1 Duke 1 Texas A&M 1 Washington 1 Washington 1 Wyoming 1 Washington 2 Washington 2 Colorado 2 Arizona St 2 Washington St 2 North Carolina 2 N Carolina 3 UNLV 3 Texas Tech 3 UCLA 3 Oregon St 3 Iowa St 3 Washington St 4 Minnesota 4 Rice 4 S Carolina 4 Virginia 4 Colorado St 4 Florida 5 Notre Dame 5 Oklahoma 5 California 5 California 5 Kansas St 5 Florida St 6 UCLA 6 Oklahoma St 6 Mississippi St 6 Florida St 6 Baylor 6 Duke 7 Arizona St 7 Vanderbilt 7 Oregon St 7 Notre Dame 7 Duke 7 Oregon St 8 California 8 Mississippi St 8 Vanderbilt 8 Florida 8 Auburn 8 California 9 Miami, Fl 9 Baylor 9 USC 9 Vanderbilt 9 Mississippi 9 Miami, Fl 10 Oregon St 10 USC 10 Washington St 10 LSU 10 Oregon St 10 Iowa 11 Tennessee 11 S Carolina 11 Oklahoma 11 Minnesota 11 Florida 11 Iowa St 12 Indiana 12 Texas 12 Notre Dame 12 UCLA 12 UCLA 12 UCLA 13 Kansas 13 Utah St 13 Arizona 13 Illinois 13 Air Force 13 Michigan 14 BYU 14 Oregon St 14 Colorado 14 Tennessee 14 Tennessee 14 Pittsburgh 15 Wake Forest 15 UCLA 15 Miami, Fl 15 Penn St 15 San Diego St 15 Arkansas 16 Illinois 16 Washington 16 Stanford 16 Auburn 16 Washington 16 Kansas St 17 Iowa 17 Memphis 17 N Carolina 17 Pittsburgh 17 Florida St 17 Stanford 18 LSU 18 N Mexico St 18 Oklahoma St 18 Virginia Tech 18 TCU 18 Auburn 19 Purdue 19 UTEP 19 Iowa St 19 Michigan 19 Kansas 19 USC 20 Florida 20 Missouri 20 Virginia Tech 20 Louisville 20 New Mexico 20 Minnesota RUSH PASS SCORING RUSH PASS SCORING OFFENSES OFFENSES OFFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES DEFENSES 106 FIU 107 TCU 108 S Miss 109 Kent St 110 Houston 111 Boise St 112 UAB 113 Army 114 Akron 115 Ball St 116 Miami, Oh 117 Utah St 118 UTEP 119 Nevada 120 Tulsa 106 Ball St 106 FAU 107 Ohio 107 Buffalo 108 San Diego St 108 Nevada 109 Rutgers 109 Army 110 W Michigan 110 N Illinois 111 Maryland 111 North Texas 112 Connecticut 112 Akron 113 Mid Tenn 113 Ohio 114 Buffalo 114 Kent St 115 West Virginia 115 Mid Tenn 116 C Michigan 116 E Michigan 117 E Michigan 117 Miami, Oh 118 Kent St 118 Ball St 119 Duke 119 W Michigan 120 Temple 120 Troy ULM 107 UCF 108 SMU 109 C Michigan 110 Army 111 San Diego St 112 Buffalo 113 North Texas 114 Utah St 115 WKU 116 Nevada 117 N Mexico St 118 Tulsa 119 Mid Tenn 120 UTEP 106 Houston 107 Tulsa 108 Buffalo 109 Ohio 110 Virginia 111 Army 112 Arkansas St 113 UCF 114 Bowling Green 115 UTEP 116 Memphis 117 Ball St 118 N Illinois 119 W Michigan 120 Mid Tenn 106 FAU 107 Troy 108 Kent St 109 N Mexico St 110 Memphis 111 Arkansas St 112 Ball St 113 Tulsa 114 Buffalo 115 W Michigan 116 UCF 117 North Texas 118 Ohio 119 Mid Tenn 120 UTEP

4 NOTE: Po)er Plays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th TEXAS A&M TEXAS """ UT is 1-4 ATS vs A&M and the home team is ATS. NO PLAY: TEXAS A&M 27 TEXAS 20 FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26th BUFFALO AKRON " PP predicts that Akron could end the nation s longest losing streak (11 gm) with a 4 pt win over UB (line Akron -1). However, we disagree with PP and lean with Buffalo. NO PLAY: AKRON 19 BUFFALO 15 CENTRAL MICHIGAN TOLEDO " UT is 15-5 ATS in home fi nales and PP says UT will win by 6 (line 4) with a yd rush edge. 2! TOLEDO 30 C MICHIGAN 24 WESTERN MICHIGAN " BOWLING GREEN WM is just SU but 8-2 ATS vs BG. PP says that WM will win by 12 (line 7) with a yd edge and a WM win gives them bowl eligibility. 4! W MICHIGAN 32 BOWLING GREEN 20 NORTHERN ILLINOIS EASTERN MICHIGAN " PP calls for a dominating 36 pt win and a yd edge, but PP doesn t take into account the big situational edge that EM has because NI has the MAC Title game on deck. NO PLAY: N ILLINOIS 54 E MICHIGAN 18 WEST VIRGINIA PITTSBURGH " The last 3 Backyard Brawls have been decided by 4 pts or less (30.3 total ppg) with the last 2 decided in the fi nal minute. PP calls for Pitt to win by 5 (line 2 ) with a yd edge. 3! PITTSBURGH 19 WEST VIRGINIA 14 LOUISVILLE RUTGERS " Rutgers is ATS (7-2 SU) vs UL but the visitor is 4-1 ATS. PP calls this close to the line showing UL with a 4 pt win and a yd edge and the loser is eliminated from the bowls. NO PLAY: LOUISVILLE 24 RUTGERS 20 OHIO " KENT ST PP says that Ohio will win by 13 (line 4) but gives Kent St a yd edge. If Temple beats Miami OH Tues, this gm will be meaningless for Ohio because they will have already clinched the MAC East spot in the Title gm plus this is KSU HC Martin s fi nal game. NO PLAY: OHIO 30 KENT ST 17 SMU EAST CAROLINA " PP calls for a close one showing EC with a 1 pt win over SMU but gives SMU a yd edge. SMU controls their own destiny in the CUSA West and we like SMU here. NO PLAY: E CAROLINA 39 SMU 38 AUBURN ALABAMA PP predicts that Aub s perfect ssn ends with a loss to rival AL by 5. Aub s most important gm of the ssn is on deck as they can win the SEC Title and still play in the BCS Champ gm even with a loss here. NO PLAY: ALABAMA 38 AUBURN 33 UCLA " ARIZONA ST UCLA is ATS vs ASU. PP calls for ASU to win by 18 (line 11 ) with a yd edge and the loser is eliminated from the bowls. 4! ARIZONA ST 27 UCLA 9 COLORADO NEBRASKA """ CU is 11-3 ATS and the dog is 10-4 ATS in this series. PP calls for a 15 pt win by NU (line 20) and a yd edge. CU is fi ghting for a bowl while NU is fi ghting for the B12 North Title. 4! COLORADO (if +17 or more) 15 NEBRASKA 30 SOUTHERN MISS TULSA """" Tulsa needs a win here paired with a loss by SMU to reach the CUSA Title gm. PP says Tulsa grabs a 2 pt win with a yd edge. NO PLAY: TULSA 37 SOUTHERN MISS 35 4 ARIZONA OREGON """" The Ducks are 14-5 SU and 12-7 ATS vs AZ. PP says Oregon rolls to a 26 pt win over AZ with a yd edge and a signifi cant edge on sp tms also. 2! OREGON 40 ARIZONA 14 BOISE ST """ NEVADA Unoffi cial WAC Title gm between 10-0 Boise and 10-1 Nevada. PP calls for Boise to win by 14 with a yd edge and that is right at the line. NO PLAY: BOISE ST 42 NEVADA 28 SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27th MICHIGAN OHIO ST Tressel is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS vs UM winning 6 straight. PP calls for OSU to win by 26 (line 18) with a yd edge. 4! OHIO ST 46 MICHIGAN 20 INDIANA PURDUE " PU is 11-2 SU and 8-5 ATS vs their in-state rival. PP calls this close to the line (3 ) but we lean with the dog in this one. NO PLAY: PURDUE 30 INDIANA 25 TULANE MARSHALL "" Both tms come in beat up with MU missing 3 RBs and some WRs LW and TU going without QB Griffi n LW. PP calls for MU to win by 13 (line 8) but we will hold off on this one. NO PLAY: MARSHALL 37 TULANE 24 USF MIAMI, FL USF is 10-3 SU vs tms from the state of FL but is 0-2 vs Miami. PP says UM wins by 14 (line 12 ) with a yd edge. NO PLAY: MIAMI FL 27 USF 13 MISSISSIPPI ST """ MISSISSIPPI The home tm has won 6 in a row in the Egg Bowl (10-1 SU, ATS). PP calls for MSU to win by 7 but gives Ole Miss the ydg edge ( ) and this is the Rebels bowl game. NO PLAY: MISSISSIPPI ST 29 MISSISSIPPI 22 FLORIDA "" FLORIDA ST UF has won 6 in a row in the rivalry (5-1 ATS) but PP calls for FSU to win by 5 (line FSU-3). We disagree with PP here and like the Gators. NO PLAY: FLORIDA ST 29 FLORIDA 24 KENTUCKY TENNESSEE UT delivered our Top Weekly LPP winner LW in their win over Vandy. UT has won 25 in a row over UK (longest series win streak) and PP says they win by 12 (line 3) with a yd edge to clinch a bowl. 4! TENNESSEE 37 KENTUCKY 25 SOUTH CAROLINA CLEMSON """ LY SC blasted CU as 3 pt HDs as CU had the ACC Title gm on deck. TY the situation is reversed as SC has the SEC Title gm on deck and CU is a 3 pt HD. NO PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA 21 CLEMSON 18 UCF """" MEMPHIS PP says UCF wins by 37 (line 25 ), but a win is assumed here meaning UCF has CUSA Title on deck. NO PLAY: UCF 43 MEMPHIS 6 CINCINNATI CONNECTICUT " The home team has won 3 straight outgaining the visitor by 175 ypg. PP says that Conn will win by 13 (line 2) but gives Cincy the ydg edge ( ). NO PLAY: CONNECTICUT 38 CINCINNATI 25 BOSTON COLLEGE SYRACUSE """ The road tm has won and covered the L7 Syr games. PP says that SU will win by 4 (line 2) with a yd edge but we like BC. NO PLAY: SYRACUSE 13 BOSTON COLLEGE 9

5 NORTHWESTERN " WISCONSIN Northwestern now plays it s 2nd game without QB Persa. While the numbers slant to Wisconsin NW HC Fitzgerald has gone 3-1 ATS in reg ssn fi nales and now has another week to work with his new QB. NO PLAY: WISCONSIN 45 NORTHWESTERN 19 WAKE FOREST VANDERBILT "" These 2 come in with identical 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS records. PP forecast has it right at the number with Vandy fi nishing with a yd edge. WF has won & covered the last 2 in this series. NO PLAY: VANDERBILT 26 WAKE FOREST 21 IOWA """ MINNESOTA Iowa is forecasted with a only yd edge but points, TO s and ST s says Hawkeyes. Iowa faced Minny LY off B2B losses and won & covered shutting out the Gophers & holding them to 155 yds. 4! IOWA 34 (if -17 or less) MINNESOTA 16 NC STATE MARYLAND """ While PP is calling for an NCSt win we ll side with the HD as they are forecasted to win the yardage battle The Terps had covered 4x before LW s misleading loss to FSU where they had a yd edge. NO PLAY: NC STATE 26 MARYLAND 24 NORTH CAROLINA DUKE "" With this game opening at the line, we ll pass. NC would like nothing better than to get the taste out of their mouth from B2B losses vs NCSt & VT. Duke meanwhile is looking for it s 1st series win s/ 03. NO PLAY: NORTH CAROLINA 35 DUKE 25 VIRGINIA VIRGINIA TECH " We ll throw the forecast out the window. VT has the ACC Title Game and a potential BCS berth on deck. Now they re asked to lay over 3 TD s vs their in-state rival who will play with their hair on fi re. NO PLAY: VIRGINIA TECH 42 VIRGINIA 13 KANSAS MISSOURI """ The Tigers have a projected yd edge but they re also a prohibitive favorite. Tough to lay the wood with Mizzou as they were 11 &13 pt fav vs Col & KSU & outgained the 2 by 27 ypg. NO PLAY: MISSOURI 36 KANSAS 7 HAWAII " NEW MEXICO ST No question Hawaii s offense has been potent but this is not a favorable spot. UH did win & cover as an AF TY but in the last 3Y they haven t been an AF of 7+ pts and now they re laying almost 4 TD s. NO PLAY: HAWAII 40 NEW MEXICO ST 8 UAB RICE "" PP is calling for a high scoring game with almost 900 yards of offense. Both teams are off wins LW and we ll side with a UAB squad that is tested on the road covering at Tenn, Miss St & S Miss. NO PLAY: RICE 38 UAB 35 GEORGIA TECH GEORGIA """" Reasons to side with Georgia: 1) Off a bye to prepare for option. 2) Off a loss. 3) Needs a win for bowl eligibility. 4) yds edge. 5) TO s edge. 6) Big ST s edge. Reasons to bet on GT: Being an alum? 4! GEORGIA 37 GEORGIA TECH 20 MICHIGAN ST PENN ST " Penn St avg d 301 ypg the 1st 3 B10 gms but since QB McGloin took over at QB they ve avg d 486 ypg in their 3 wins where he s had a 7-0 ratio. PP has the Lions with a yd edge in perhaps Paterno s fi nale? 4.5! PENN ST 28 MICHIGAN ST 23 OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA ST The Cowboys have the NCAA s #1 offense but PP favors the Sooners in this matchup. OSU has been held under 492 yds just once & under 33 pts just once and PP thinks OU will do both in the upset. 3! OKLAHOMA (+) 32 OKLAHOMA ST 31 WASHINGTON CALIFORNIA "" Cal s offense has struggled w/out QB Riley the L2 games but despite allowing 468 yds LW to SU, the Bears are allowing 248 ypg at home. Wash s D is all g 469 ypg away & PP has Cal with a yd edge. 4! CALIFORNIA 27 WASHINGTON 16 BYU UTAH """ The yds give Utah a sizeable edge as BYU s early season struggles pulls theirs down. PP has BYU keeping it under the number as the Cougars have won/covered their L/3 3x with an avg yd edge. 4! BYU 23 (+) UTAH 28 5 OREGON ST """ STANFORD OSU has not only been outgained by 137 ypg away from home they ve allowed 450+ yds in 4 of 5. Stanford is avg 500 ypg at home and PP is calling for the Cardinal to fi nish with a edge. 4.5! STANFORD 35 OREGON ST 16 LSU """" ARKANSAS Ark on a 8-1 ATS run and PP says they ll stay hot. The Hogs are forecasted with a yd edge. Not a huge surprise as LSU is getting outgained away from home (-2 ypg) and has had 5 games this season in which their offense has gained 282 yds or less. 4.5! ARKANSAS 38 LSU 28 TCU """"" NEW MEXICO This forecast is shocking! Not that TCU will have 51 pts or will gain 546 or that they have PP s largest ST edge this week. TCU has allowed over 7pts in just 1 MWC gm of 7 this year and NM gets 8? NO PLAY: TCU 51 NEW MEXICO 8 HOUSTON " TEXAS TECH Hou needs a win to reach a bowl but TT is looking for revenge from LY s loss. Passing yards are even with the Raiders projected with a 115 yd rush edge. With the opening line at 10, we ll pass. NO PLAY: TEXAS TECH 46 HOUSTON 35 NOTRE DAME USC " Both teams will probably go with backup QB s so this forecast becomes less relevant. ND has played only 2 true road games TY covering both while USC s psyche is in question after LW s 36-7 loss. NO PLAY: USC 29 NOTRE DAME 19 LA TECH "#" SAN JOSE ST San Jose s injury riddled roster just doesn t have the depth to be competitive and has allowed 519 ypg the L6. LT is off a bye and handled it s only other AF s role just fi ne beating NMSt (-16). 3! LA TECH 34 SAN JOSE ST 20 UNLV SAN DIEGO ST While the points are close to the line, the yardage says SDSt with an overwhelming yd edge. The Aztecs have topped 500+ yds in 3 of 5 home games incl 590 LW which was a Utah ssn high allowed. NO PLAY: SAN DIEGO ST 44 UNLV 21 IDAHO FRESNO ST " PP has the Bulldogs with a yard edge but only a 10 pt win. We prefer Fresno s situation as they are off an embarrassing shutout loss w/ extra time against a UI team off a road upset on their 2x away. NO PLAY: FRESNO ST 33 IDAHO 23 LOUISIANA ULM " For these 2 schools this rivalry is as intense as any and ULL would love to knock ULM from a potential bowl. PP has the Warhawks with a yd edge but for the Cajuns to keep it close to the number. NO PLAY: ULM 36 LOUISIANA 30 FAU MIDDLE TENNESSEE "#"#" Bowl elimination game. MT has played 6 gms s/ getting QB Dasher back getting outgained in 5 by 158 ypg. Crafty FAU HC Schnellenberger is now 6-1 ATS the L2W of the ssn when away from home. NO PLAY: MIDDLE TENNESSEE 25 FAU 21 KANSAS ST "#" NORTH TEXAS If you look at the score it s close to the line but checkout the yardage. PP only has NT getting outgained KSt is on their 3rd straight road game while NT has been battered TY by attrition. NO PLAY: KANSAS ST 42 NORTH TEXAS 25 ARKANSAS ST "#"#" FIU Not many Sun Belt or many non-bcs programs have faced 4 BCS teams and have outgained their foes by 35 ypg. PP does think Ark St can keep it close and FIU must now handle the frontrunners role. NO PLAY: FIU 30 ARKANSAS ST 26 WKU TROY "#" LY Troy was an 9-4 team that swept their SBC schedule while WKU was an 0-12 team. PP is calling for only a 5 pt win as the Trojans have failed to cover 5x allowing 500 ypg their last 4. 3! WKU 34 (+) TROY 39

6 ,3&$/&&%4055$-&6*74*3$!89:$%)3'$-&6*74*3$!;9:<$!"#"$ Power Plays is based upon statistical numbers & rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. The numbers in parenthesis are a comparison of the teams rankings (Visitor, visitors offense ranking vs home defense ranking, Home home offensive ranking vs visitor defensive ranking) over each teams last 4 games. THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 25th NEW ENGLAND #12 DETROIT #5 (NE #13 vs DET #11, DET #21 vs NE #30) - NE had a 17 pt lead vs IND going into the 4Q but their young defense gave up a pair of 70+ yd drives to Manning as they barely hung on. DET dropped to ATS TY after a 97 yd PR broke open the game for DAL. DET has avg d 33 ppg at home & get a NE team allowing a sizeable 24 ppg on the road after big game on a short week. PP calls for a higher scoring game here with a combined 738 yds & we agree for a small play here. 1! PATRIOTS/LIONS: OVER NEW ORLEANS #23 DALLAS #16 (NO #4 vs DAL #26, DAL #24 vs NO #2) - This is the Cowboys Super Bowl & a loss here will likely get the Dec 12th game fl exed off SNF. DAL has posted a pair of big wins under Garrett but thats been vs a beat up Giants team off a long trip to SEA & a DET team thats now lost 26 straight on the road. Saints GM Loomis admitted that the staff spent a lot of time prepping for this game & they do have true revenge here as DAL ruined their bid at a perfect season LY in NO. PP only calls for an 11 yd difference though with a small margin so this is a No Play. NO PLAY: SAINTS 28 COWBOYS 23 CINCINNATI #30 NY JETS #1 (CIN #26 vs NYJ #4, NYJ #3 vs CIN #16) - CIN is off their biggest collapse since Nov 2006 when they blew a 28-7 lead to SD. They gave up 35 points to BUF as they were down to just 4 DB s in the 2H (177 yds 77% 3 TD). Whether lucky or good the Jets have failed to cover 3 of the L4 playing down to the level of their foes. The Jets have a big edge with health, confi dence from beating a better CIN team on the road in LY s playoffs ( ) & PP gives them a 119 yd edge here. We ll hold off on a call for now as we need to see CIN & NY s (RT Woody - knee) injury reports. NO PLAY: JETS 32 BENGALS 18 SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28TH MINNESOTA #27 WASHINGTON #11 (MIN #11 vs WAS #25, WAS #16 vs MIN #13) - The Vikings season is over as its unlikely a 9-7 team will make the playoffs in the NFC TY. Favre is not the same player as LY & the return of WR Rice LW (3 rec 18.7) was too little too late. WAS had 7 players forced to the sidelines LW vs TEN but held on to win in OT. PP calls for WAS to win outright here but with the Redskins injuries are a concern. MIN fi nally released HC Childress after the GB loss and until we get a feel of the interim HC this is a No Play. NO PLAY: REDSKINS 25 VIKINGS 19 PITTSBURGH #2 BUFFALO #19 (PIT #12 vs BUF #20, BUF #18 vs PIT #6) - BUF followed up its 1st win of the year with their biggest comeback in 13 years with 35 2H points vs CIN s depleted secondary. PIT fl exed its defensive muscle at home vs OAK LW with a yd edge in the 1H with just 61 yds (3.8) rushing allowed. BUF has been able to work the 4 WR set to spread defenses out but PIT has the OLB s to punish a weak OL. PP has this right around the line with only a 60 yd difference though & this is a No Play. NO PLAY: STEELERS 25 BILLS 18 TENNESSEE #3 HOUSTON #25 (TEN #22 vs HOU #27, HOU #17 vs TEN #29) - The Titans are in disarray as Fisher disowned Vince Young after the Redskins game. They are off 3 tough losses with the L2 vs teams they had the health & talent edges. HOU has lost B2B road games on last second plays but are only 2 games behind IND/ JAX in the standings. PP calls for TEN to keep it close but it doesn t take into account 6th RD rookie QB Rusty Smith from FAU getting the start here. We ll pass on this for now as we wait for the dust to settle in TEN, await the status of TE Daniels for HOU as there isn t a line at the moment. NO PLAY: TEXANS 28 TITANS 27 JACKSONVILLE #4 NY GIANTS #29 (JAX #8 vs NYG #7, NYG #2 vs JAX #24) - The Jags are off B2B last second wins at home vs the #31 & #20 defenses. They survived a CLE team that forced 6 TO s but couldn t capitalize due to injuries. The Giants had an outstanding defensive plan vs PHI on SNF but 3 key mistakes cost them the game. The offense had 208 yds offense & are 8th right now in playoff seeding. PP calls for the Giants to rebound here with a 168 yd edge with a comfortable margin and we agree. 4! GIANTS 31 JAGUARS 20 CAROLINA #13 CLEVELAND #9 (CAR #32 vs CLE #23, CLE #30 vs CAR #21) - The Panthers were forced to start street FA QB St Pierre off 4 practices vs BAL in our 4! NFL GOM winner on BAL. 80 of his 173 yds passing came on a pitch & catch to Gettis when BAL blew the coverage.cle is off another tough 4Q loss despite forcing 6 TO s vs the Jags. CAR s inability to be competitive (-135 pts 31 pts worse than ARZ) destroyed line value here and this is only the 2nd time CLE has been a DD fav. PP likes CLE big here (+107 yds) but they are very beat up (McCoy left ankle, Cribbs toes), this is only the 2nd time they ve been a DD fav (vs SF in 2007) which tempers the grade here. 3! BROWNS 32 PANTHERS 9!"#E! - '()s!"##$%&'(% ) *'+,-.$/011#% 2 3#4%5"1#'$-% 2 STREAKERS!"#E! - +osses 60$$#-.7'% 8 9'".10$'% ) :#$$#--##% 2 TOT0+! - O1ers ;'11'-% < =71'$7'% 8 91#/#1'$>% 8 *'+,-.$/011#% ) ) A.B-7.$% 2 3C%*#7-% 2 D#'771#% 2 TOT0+! - 3)4ers ) 6 TAMPA BAY #15 BALTIMORE #20 (TB #19 vs BAL #19, BAL #10 vs TB #10) - BAL dominated CAR statistically LW as our 4! NFL GOM LW with a pair of int returns for TD s late to put the game away. TB is 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS on the road TY (+12 ypg +6 TO s 3rd best) shutting out SF & holding them to just 189 yds. BAL has a SNF home game vs PIT on deck and could be looking ahead. PP likes TB to keep this game close in yardage (just 5 yds) but BAL has 4 of 6 at home remaining and knows wins are at a premium in a tight AFC North race. NO PLAY: BUCS 17 RAVENS 21 PHILADELPHIA #17 CHICAGO #8 (PHI #1 vs CHI #1, CHI #28 vs PHI #9) - PHI overcame a solid defensive effort by the Giants & now travel off B2B primetime games. CHI posted a road shutout win vs MIA LW & have extra rest to gameplan. They have the defensive speed to contain Vick & DE Peppers is familiar with his talents when they played together. CHI has only allowed 5 sacks the L3W as the OL fi nally gelled & their Cover 2 is designed to limit big plays. PP likes CHI to pull the outright upset here & we agree with the situation & talent for a play. 3! BEARS 23 (+) EAGLES 20 GREEN BAY #28 ATLANTA #18 (GB #19 vs ATL #15, ATL #5 vs GB #12) - GB is off a big win vs MIN where they effectively ended their playoff hopes. They now have to travel to an ATL team that is 19-1 ( ATS) at home under Ryan where the crowd noise & turf plays to their speed packages. Both are play on teams at this point with PP looking for GB to pull the upset. We ll hold off on a call here as we want to see GB s mental state here. NO PLAY: PACKERS 25 FALCONS 22 MIAMI #22 OAKLAND #10 (MIA #27 vs OAK #3, OAK #6 vs MIA #5) - MIA is off a shutout home loss to CHI where OC Henning put a fl awed gameplan together that exposed a beat up OL & put too much on an inexperienced QB. OAK was blasted by PIT who crumpled their strengths in the run game & on defense. There is no line as we don t know who will start at QB for either team here & there is no line so this is a No Play. NO PLAY: RAIDERS 20 DOLPHINS 19 KANSAS CITY #14 SEATTLE #7 (KC #7 vs SEA #32, SEA #25 vs KC #22) - KC bounced back from a pair of Div losses by beating ARZ at home giving up a garbage time 83 yd TD drive at the end. SEA was caught in a B2B travel situation & were worn down by the Saints coming off their bye. SEA now has the travel & crowd edge here and got back LT Okung LW with DT Cole & WR Tate slated to return here. Carrol is smartly picking his battles with injured players to maximize their play at home & we disagree with PP here. NO PLAY: CHIEFS 25 SEAHAWKS 22 ST LOUIS #26 DENVER #21 (STL #31 vs DEN #28, DEN #14 vs STL #14) - DEN is off LW s MNF game vs SD & its unknown if their offensive surge vs KC was the result of a bye week of planning or if McDaniels fi nally has a run game to lean on. STL starts a run of 3 straight road games here (3-1 ATS TY) & they have only avg d 14 ppg away vs 20 ppg at home. DEN runs the short passing game itself to make up for their RB s injuries TY & will know how to defend Bradford here. PP calls for DEN to win by a TD but without a fi rm line this is a No Play. NO PLAY: BRONCOS 27 RAMS 20 SAN DIEGO #32 INDIANAPOLIS #31 (SD #9 vs IND #17, IND #15 vs SD #8) - SD is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS inc playoffs vs IND. SD faced DEN at home after their bye week on MNF & those results are unknown. IND s injuries are starting to pile up as they were without their starting MLB/WLB vs NE. This is a No Play as we want to see SD on MNF & get a look at both teams injury reports before making a decision. SNF BLURB PLEASE TODD NO PLAY: COLTS 26 CHARGERS 22 MONDAY, NOVEMBER 29th SAN FRANCISCO #24 ARIZONA #6 (SF #29 vs ARZ #31, ARZ #22 vs SF #18) - SF is just the 8th team since 1992 to be on MNF after a shutout loss (2-5 ATS afterwards). TB did a great job of neutralizing Gore (23 yds 1.9) & putting the onus on Smith in just his 3rd start with the team (148 yds 52% 1 int) getting sacked 6 times. ARZ is on a 5 game losing streak & Whiz admitted his team doesn t have a lot of confi dence right now. The good news for each team is that everyone in the NFC West lost LW (by 17.8 ppg margin) and the division is in reach for the victor. Don t miss out on Monday Night Magic! We are offering a MONEY BACK PLUS Guarantee on MNM through the Northcoast Debit Card System - take advantage on Monday night after 3:00 pm EDT! Pay just $30 for the MNM Play and if it fails to cover - you ll get $40 back on your debit card the very next day! ly % on the year!! NO PLAY: 49ERS 23 CARDINALS NFL POWER RATINGS TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG 1 Pittsburgh Atlanta Tampa Bay NY Giants Tennessee Houston St Louis Baltimore Miami Seattle New England Kansas City San Francisco New Orleans Chicago Cleveland Green Bay Jacksonville Cincinnati NY Jets Washington Denver Arizona Indianapolis Dallas Detroit San Diego Oakland Buffalo Philadelphia Minnesota Carolina These are current 2010 Power Rating grades for each team based on talent.

7 !"SS %&&'('%)(* +%&%)S% TEAM YDS ATT COM % TD INT GRADE OPP 1 Nebraska Virginia Tech Alabama TCU Boise St Miami, Fl Oregon Oklahoma Ohio St UCF Florida Missouri Texas A&M LSU California Air Force Utah St Iowa Texas Tennessee West Virginia Clemson Florida St Maryland SMU Kansas St Boston College Pittsburgh Mississippi St FIU Michigan St Stanford Arkansas Georgia Nevada Northwestern Illinois San Diego St Southern Miss Miami, Oh Oklahoma St N Illinois BYU Florida Atlantic Tulane Buffalo Marshall Kent St Louisville Hawaii North Carolina Notre Dame Wisconsin Syracuse Georgia Tech ULM UTEP UCLA Washington Army Toledo Virginia Kentucky Penn St Temple Wyoming Connecticut Fresno St Idaho Houston Troy Middle Tennessee Arizona St UAB Arizona Auburn Tulsa Ohio USF Baylor Oregon St Iowa St W Michigan New Mexico St Bowling Green NC State Texas Tech USC Rutgers Utah Cent Michigan WKU South Carolina Ball St Michigan Arkansas St North Texas San Jose St Louisiana Tech Vanderbilt Duke East Carolina Mississippi New Mexico Navy Washington St Purdue Colorado UNLV Louisiana Kansas Wake Forest Cincinnati Minnesota Rice Indiana Akron Memphis Colorado St E Michigan (,--%G% /%"0 S/"/'S/'("- "1%R"G%S OFF OFF - RUSHING - - PASSING - DEF DEF - OPPONENTS RUSH - SKS SKS PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FMBL COM ATT PCT YDS INT TD PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FMBL VS BY Air Force Akron Alabama Arizona Arizona St Arkansas Arkansas St Army Auburn Ball St Baylor Boise St Boston College Bowling Green Buffalo BYU California Cent Michigan Cincinnati Clemson Colorado Colorado St Connecticut Duke E Michigan East Carolina Florida Florida Atlantic FIU Florida St Fresno St Georgia Georgia Tech Hawaii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Iowa St Kansas Kansas St Kent St Kentucky Louisiana Tech Louisiana Louisville LSU Marshall Maryland Memphis Miami, Fl Miami, Oh Michigan Michigan St Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi St Missouri N Illinois Navy NC State Nebraska Nevada New Mexico New Mexico St North Carolina North Texas Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio St Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oregon Oregon St Penn St Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers Southern Miss San Diego St San Jose St SMU South Carolina Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas Texas A&M Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UAB UCF UCLA ULM UNLV USC USF Utah Utah St UTEP Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech W Michigan Wake Forest Washington Washington St West Virginia WKU Wisconsin Wyoming

8 Thanksgiving is a traditional American Holiday where families all over the USA sit down for dinner at the same time - Halftime FREE BONUSES Become a Thanksgiving Weekend Executive Club Member for SIX DAYS from Nov Nov. 29 College Late Phone Side Selections Pro Late Phone Selections Top Opinions Pro Over/Unders College Late Phone Totals Marquee Private Play Hotline Plays Small College Plays NORTHCOAST SPORTS TOP 40 POWER POLL The following Power Ratings are a combination of 6 different Power Ratings, including Plus & Minus, Power Plays and Computer Power Ratings. 1 Boise St 2 Oregon 3 TCU 4 Ohio St 5 Auburn 6 Stanford 7 Alabama 8 Oklahoma 9 Oklahoma St 10 South Carolina 11 Wisconsin 12 Virginia Tech 13 Arkansas 14 Nebraska 15 LSU 16 Miami, Fl 17 Florida St 18 Florida 19 Texas A&M 20 Iowa 21 Missouri 22 Georgia 23 Arizona 24 USC 25 Utah 26 Michigan St 27 Arizona St 28 West Virginia 29 Nevada 30 Miss St 31 Pittsburgh 32 Illinois 33 Clemson 34 NC State 35 Oregon St 36 Notre Dame 37 California 38 N Illinois 39 North Carolina 40 Hawaii SUBSCRIBE NOW TO 2011 POWER PLAYS! NORTHCOAST SPORTS PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE WINS OR EXT # 1 ON THE NORTHCOAST DEBIT CARD SYSTEM Pay BIG DOG PLAY $ 15 thru the 900 line or just $ 9 using the NC Debit Card 153 OUTRIGHT UPSETS in 17 Years by 7+ point dogs!! Last 9 Weeks with 18 OUTRIGHT UPSETS!!!!! Including LW - Rice +300 over E Carolina! ATS L/5Y!! +$6210 ON THE ML OVER 4Y!!!!! EARLY BIRD PLAY % L/5Y!! % L/14Y!!! Up To 3 New COLLEGE 900 PLAY OF THE DAY % L/13Y! 9-3 TY! Plays Updated THURSDAY NIGHT TV PLAY Since L7Y!! Each Day for College & NFL NFL TOTALS PLAY % L/12Y!! Incl % L9Y!!! SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY L/12Y!! PAC 10 PLAY L/3Y!!!! $ I enclose $ 74 (download) or $ 114 (mail delivery) for my '11 subscription to PO*ER PLAYS $ I enclose $69 for my '10 download subscription to PO*ER PLAYS or PO*ER S*EEP. (Every issue thru the Super Bowl!) This includes $50 on a Northcoast Debit Card and FREE schedules. Add $30 mail delivery subscribers adding the other newsletter will pay just $39 (no bonuses) for download only. ***All prices in Vol. 28 Issue 13 Expire & Cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer*** Payment Method: $#MasterCard $#Visa $#American Express $#Discover $#Check/Money Order Name Address City State Zip Credit Card Signature Just $ 125 For 6 Days of Exec Service!!! A) Two FREE weeks of the 2011 NFL Preseason Late Phone Service [$150 value]. Choose which 2 weeks you want: Weeks 1&2, 2&3 or 3&4 OR a FREE $50 Northcoast Debit Card B) Free 2011 September 5! Late Phone Selection [A $50 value] C) Free Preseason Power Sweep Issue D) FREE 2011 Football Schedules! Exp. Date NORTHCOAST SPORTS SERVICE PO Box Cleveland, OH OR Y&ur N&rt+,&a"t Deb0t Card F&r4 6 Pri9ate Play Hotline Releases 6 ECecuti9e CluF G22 Plays 6 Inner Circle HToI PlaysJ 6 NC CoLLunity Line Ser9ices!ORT%&OAST SPORTS WO,L. L/KE TO W/S% YO, A!. YO,RS A 3ERY SA4E A!. %APPY T%A!KS5/3/!56 VISA/MC has 16 or 13 digits DISC has 16 digits / AMEX has 15 digits Call In Times To Receive Your Executive Club Plays (all times EST) BIG 12 PLAY % L/81!!! % In 07!! Tue Nov 23rd 3:00 pm - 7:00 pm Tuesday s Game Wed Nov 24th 3:00 pm - 7:00 pm Thursday s Games Fri Nov 26th 10:30 am - Noon Friday s Games Sat Nov 27th 10:00 am - Noon Totals Saturday s Games Sat Nov 27th 11:00 am - Noon Sides Saturday s Games Sun Nov 28th 11:00 am - 1:00 pm Sunday s Games Mon Nov 29th 3:00 pm - 8:30 pm Monday s Game IF THIS PRICE SOUNDS CRAZY - IT IS!!! RENEW POWER SWEEP FOR 2011 AND SAVE!! LAST WEEK BEFORE RATE INCREASE! YOU PAY' DEBIT CREDIT' / / 122 / / 342 / / 522 Reg. $145 $ 74 DOWNLOAD Reg. $185 $ 114 MAIL DELIVERY GAMES KICK TUESDAY! Sign up Today! The time to renew is NOW. On Nov. 28th there will be a price increase so don't delay! Call $ 9 PER PLAY using the NC Debit Card FREE Football Plays EVERY DAY!! Basketball Picks Available Too! BIG DOG PLAY OF THE WEEK Just $ On The Private Play Hotline or $ 9 on the Northcoast Debit Card System 153 outright upsets by 7+ pt dogs L/17Y! 18 the L/9W!! WE PICK A DOG WE THINK WILL WIN OUTRIGHT EVERY WK AS THE BIG DOG POW ON Northcoast Sports' PPH (MORE THAN 1 PLAY POSSIBLE)!

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