The #1 Rated Football Handicapping Guide!

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1 The #1 Rated Football Handicapping Guide! www. statfox.com 156 Ways to Boost Your Bankroll 2012 volume 11 n u m b e r 3 Plus: In-depth 2012 previews Of every COllege and pro team three-year game logs for all 124 fbs COllege teams team stats, rankings, power ratings, Outplay factors and strengths Of schedule situational records for every COllege and pro team Eli Manning s new York giants: 18-to-1 odds to win super Bowl XlVii 2012 HEisMan trophy CandidatE Matt BarklEY s usc trojans: 7-to-2 favorites to win BCs national CHaMpionsHip ExclusivE ATs TrEnds for EvEry nfl TEAm!

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3 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview GuiDE FBS CONFERENCE-BY-CONFERENCE PREVIEWS AND PREDICTIONS Atlantic Coast Conference...48 Big 12 Conference...56 Big East Conference...63 Big Ten Conference...68 Conference USA...76 Mid-American Conference...84 STATS, SCHEDULES AND SUCH Letter from the Editor...4 NFL Preview with Predicted 2012 Standings...6 Football Futures...8 Fantasy Football Focus...9 Team-By-Team 2012 NFL Schedule...42 Week-By-Week 2012 NFL Schedule...44 College Football Top Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins New England Patriots New York Jets Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns Pittsburgh Steelers Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders San Diego Chargers Dallas Cowboys New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins Chicago Bears Detroit Lions Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Atlanta Falcons Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Buccaneers Arizona Cardinals St. Louis Rams San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks Montee Ball Mountain West Conference...92 Pac-12 Conference...98 Southeastern Conference Sun Belt Conference Western Athletic Conference Independents NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM HANDICAPPING ANALYSIS Michael Vick 2012 Edge Football Preview Guide Managing Editor Creative Director Executive Editor Associate Editors Senior Writer Contributing Writer Editorial Direction Scott Gramling Ian Knowles Jeff Makinen Brian Graham Tim Stephens Gary Bennett Zachary Cohen 10Ten Media SPorTS ENTHUSIAST MEDIA (a division of Daily Racing Form, LLC) President, SIG Digital Todd Unger Programming Manager Jacob Luft Director of Business Michael Zapin Development (212) Art Director Chris Donofry Advertising David Bartman: PUBLISHING OFFICES Daily Racing Form, LLC 708 Third Avenue 12th Floor New York, NY DAILY RACING FORM, LLC President Jim Kostas VP, Custom Publishing Duke Dosik The 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide is published annually by Daily Racing Form LLC, located at 708 Third Avenue, 12th Floor, New York, NY by Daily Racing Form, LLC. Daily Racing Form, LLC reserves the right to accept or deny any paid advertisements and is not responsible for any contracts entered in with such advertisers. THIS PUBLICATION IS NOT SPONSORED OR AUTHORIZED BY ANY ATHLETIC CONFERENCE NOR HOLDER OF ANY TRADEMARK OR SERVICE MARK. ALL TEAM NAMES AND LOGOS ARE TRADEMARKS OF THE TEAMS INDICATED. THIS PUBLICATION MAKES NO REPRESENTATION AS TO WHETHER ONLINE GAMING IS LEGAL IN YOUR JURISDICTION. PLEASE CHECK WITH YOUR LOCAL AUTHORITIES. ALL INFORMATION IS FOR NEWS MATTER ONLY. NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

4 letter From the editor his is one football annual that will get plenty of use during the season and is something every football handicapper should own. Easy for me to say, right? Although I obviously agree 100 percent with that sentiment, they re not my words; they re words taken from a review of this annual publication at About.com. If you were with us last year, you undoubtedly noticed that we revamped the look of this annual edition in an effort to make it more reader-friendly. In short, we re-designed the publication to be a handy resource to which you can constantly refer throughout the college and pro football seasons. What didn t change was the substance, and we re back again this year with all of the popular insight, information, analysis and statistics to which readers have become accustomed. Our capsules for all 156 teams 32 pro and 124 college include everything from past years game logs and situational records to the upcoming season s Outplay Factor and Power Ratings, both of which are generated by proprietary StatFox.com formulas and have proven to be great long-term handicapping tools. While we re confident that this publication will provide you with a solid head-start to your 2012 football handicapping season, our efforts certainly don t stop here. Our team of writers spends countless hours during the summer, fall and winter breaking down stats, trends and inside information to offer up keen betting insight all season long at StatFox.com. Our world-renowned FoxSheets take the analysis another few steps further, offering up remarkably valuable information for every college and pro game. Two FoxSheets features you ll want to be sure to check out are Situational Team Power Trends, which uncover situations where a team outperforms or underperforms their normal level of play; and Super Situations, which uncover conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. The Super Situations are not team specific the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.) and their remarkable success rate over the years speaks for itself. Another way to get access to this valuable information is by ordering our weekly Platinum Sheet publication. You can do so by calling or logging on to One of the new offerings this year from our family of handicapping products that help you expand your bankroll is the Best Bets we ll be offering throughout the football season with college and pro picks from our staff of human handicappers as well as our Statfox Forecaster, which has proven to be an extremely successful long-term handicapping tool. By weighing several key factors, including recent statistical averages, schedule strength and home-field advantage, the StatFox Forecaster is most accurate once a season is underway, as evident by a remarkable ATS success rate of 61% ( ) on all 2011 NFL regular-season games played between September 25 and the end of the calendar year. The Forecaster ended the NFL season (including the postseason) with a success rate of better than 58%. Of course, there s also plenty to be gained from the college football insight you ll receive via StatFox Best Bets, particularly from our human quartet, all of whom finished the 2011 college football regular season with a 50% mark or better on Best Bets in last year s weekly Platinum Sheet publication. Leading the way was yours truly, with a success rate on Best Bets of 54%, which was admittedly a bit disappointing after a 2010 season in which I was able to rack up a 59% success rate against the spread on Best Bets in our weekly Platinum Sheet publication. As you go through this issue and check out our offerings at StatFox.com, you ll notice that almost every bit of information in this magazine and at StatFox.com is dedicated to handicapping football. We always urge our readers to avoid confusing themselves by handicapping football with other publications that take a more mainstream view of the sport. They simply won t have what it takes to help you succeed as a football bettor. With that in mind, we ll proudly put the StatFox Edge print products and StatFox.com head-to-head against any competition when it comes to making you a more knowledgeable and profitable handicapper. Getting back to the About.com review I reference at the top of this page, it concluded by stating: As one who recommends the StatFox.com Web site to plenty of bettors on a regular basis, I ll admit to having some high expectations for this annual. But after reading through the annual for a few days it s safe to say that StatFox not only met my expectations, but exceeded them quite well. I could not have said it any better myself. Have a profitable season, Scott Gramling Managing Editor 2012 Pro and college Football Best Bets... See StatFox.com for more details! STATFOX DAVE StatFox Dave is one of the original four founders of StatFox and over the years has been renowned for his handicapping prowess in all sports. Anyone who signed up for our NBA postseason Best Bets certainly knows that to be true, as Dave racked up a 59% success rate on all picks (including a perfect 5-0 in the NBA Finals) and an astounding 66% success rate on Best Bets during the NBA postseason. STATFOX GARY StatFox Gary joined the StatFox and the Platinum Sheet staff prior to the 2010 football season, and subscribers were certainly happy he did: He proceeded to post a 55% success rate on NFL Best Bets in his rookie season. Football isn t the only sport at which Gary excels, as he finished the college basketball regular season with a (61%) record on all picks, which included a gaudy record against the spread (68%) on college basketball Best Bets. STATFOX SCOTT StatFox Scott serves as Managing Editor for StatFox, Platinum Sheet and the Edge Football Preview Guide, and is coming off a 2011 college football season in which he was 54% against the spread on Platinum Sheet Best Bets. That followed a 2010 season in which his college football Best Bets success rate was 59%. Not merely a one-sport pony, Scott had a college basketball regular season for the ages: He racked up a whopping record (71%) on Best Bets. STATFOX BRIAN A featured writer on both StatFox.com and for Platinum Sheet, StatFox Brian has yet to suffer a losing season of Platinum Sheet Best Bets in either college football, NFL, college basketball or NBA since coming on board during the summer of His most recent success earlier this calendar year was a record (62%) against the spread on college basketball Best Bet picks. It was a performance that did nothing to distract him from flexing his NBA muscle, however, as StatFox Brian racked up a record (66%) on NBA Best Bets prior to the late-february All-Star break. 4 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

5 Providing Unprecedented Handicapping Content StatFox is renowned for providing the most comprehensive game information on the Internet. Our popular FoxSheets are packed with proprietary handicapping tools that benefit everyone from the beginning bettor to the most advanced self-handicapper. LO G O N T O S TAT F OX. C O M A N D S TA R T W I N N I N G T O DAY!

6 NFL PREVIEW AFC EAST Just when you thought the Patriots offense couldn t get any better, Josh McDaniels returns to his OC role five years after play-calling for Tom Brady s record-setting 2007 season. Plus, newly acquired Brandon Lloyd gives Brady by far his best deep threat since Randy Moss prime. The defensive will improve as key tacklers get healthy and rookie pass-rushers contribute. It d take an epidemic of injuries to keep New England out of the playoffs... The Bills Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller form an underrated and highly effective backfield tandem, while Buffalo has gotten the most from Ryan Fitzpatrick s relatively weak arm. Their D, which has been atrocious the past two seasons, added elite talents Mario Williams and Mark Anderson to a promising, young unit... The Jets have a good enough defense to compete for a playoff spot, especially if their pass-rush improves. The offense is severely lacking in talent, though. They ll be run-heavy under new OC Tony Sparano, but Shonn Greene lacks speed and elusiveness and the Jets have no other enticing options at RB. Tim Tebow and Mark Sanchez are both inconsistent passers with gaping holes in their games... The Dolphins are in a rebuilding phase, as 2012 will feature a rotation of QBs throwing to one of the league s worst receiving groups. Their unheralded defense will keep them close most weeks, but Miami lacks offensive playmakers. AFC NORTH Terrell Suggs recovery from an Achilles tear may largely determine how far the Ravens go this season. He s a key piece in their potentially elite defense, and a late-season return to full health could trigger a Super Bowl run. Ray Rice is a dynamic runner and receiver, and Joe Flacco finally showed flashes of being an elite, pressure-situation passer last year... The Steelers aging defense led the league in scoring and yardage allowed, but failed to make many big plays and completely collapsed in the playoffs. They ll be asking a lot from declining stars in Ben Roethlisberger has a strong receiving corps at his disposal, but the running game is a question mark after Rashard Mendenhall s Week 17 ACL tear... Second-year wideout A.J. Green is a special talent, and he ll be asked to overcome a plethora of defensive attention on an otherwise lackluster offense. After going 0-8 against playoff teams last year, the Bengals are bound for a letdown with a much tougher 2012 schedule... Rookie RB Trent Richardson is a beast, and QB Brandon Weeden should improve an anemic passing game. Still, the Browns lack the firepower to overcome tough divisional foes. The defense will also be improved as stud second-year lineman Jabaal Sheard progresses, and Cleveland should be able to at least stay close in most games. AFC SOUTH The Texans running game may be the league s best, and it keeps defenses honest against now-healthy star WR Andre Johnson. Matt Schaub also returns to the lineup to give Houston the passing threat it lacked with rookie T.J. Yates under center late last season. Wade Phillips defense should be fine without Mario Williams, especially with J.J. Watt beginning to emerge as a star. They need another relatively healthy season from key players... The Titans will need to overcome a rough early-season schedule (five playoff teams in their first six games) to make the playoffs. The key to their season will be if volatile RB Chris Johnson gives consistent effort and regains his 2009 form. A revamped secondary could be problematic in the early going... Maurice Jones-Drew can only be asked to do so much for the Jaguars, and runs the risk of burning out from overuse. Aside from him, there s nothing to like about Jacksonville s offense, especially second-year QB Blaine Gabbert, who looked completely lost as a rookie. Their defensive front should be able to hold up in what could be a relatively weak division. But if anything happens to Jones-Drew, the Jags would be the worst team in the AFC... Don t expect much from the rebuilding Colts. Even a prospect as promising Andrew Luck needs time to learn the ropes as a pro. New head coach Chuck Pagano wants a power running game but lacks the personnel to succeed. Expect a few blowout losses as Indy s defense transitions to a new 3-4 scheme with an undermanned unit. AFC WEST Peyton Manning s health and arm strength will determine the Broncos success. If he s 100 percent, he ll surely develop Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas into productive WRs. Denver s defense carried the team at times in 2011 (the team won five games with fewer than 20 points scored) but was gashed by strong passing attacks. They re fortunate to play in such a weak division... New Chiefs offensive coordinator Brian Daboll s system will benefit from the healthy return of RB Jamaal Charles and signing of Peyton Hillis, which will allow Kansas City to keep the ball on the ground. The healthy return of SS Eric Berry will aid in K.C. s run at the 2012 AFC West division title... After a rough season, the Chargers need a better performance from Philip Rivers to contend for an AFC title Rivers needs to cut down on his mistakes. Their defense didn t add any difference-makers. Norv Turner s team has been underachieving for a few years now, but San Diego has a soft enough schedule to contend for the postseason... If Darren McFadden could ever stay healthy for an entire season, the Raiders could have a potent offense. Carson Palmer looked pathetic at times last season, and his skill set seems incongruent with a WR corps loaded with deep threats. Oakland s D should be better with DE Matt Shaughnessy healthy, but between MLB Rolando McClain s legal troubles and a terrible secondary, expect a handful of shootout losses. NFC EAST Expect the Eagles offense to return to its 2010 form. Michael Vick enters his first full preseason as the starting QB, DeSean Jackson is finally happy with his contract and underrated Jeremy Maclin is back to 100% after last summer s cancer scare. Meanwhile, LeSean McCoy has become an explosive weapon out of the backfield. On D, they need middle LB DeMeco Ryans to plug up a porous front seven that features an aggressive pass rush... 6 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

7 After their Super Bowl victory, the Giants have the NFL s toughest schedule in Eli Manning is coming off a career year, but has faltered late in the season more often than not in his career. The losses of Brandon Jacobs and Mario Manningham limit his weapons. The G-Men will surely have another great pass rush, and the return of CB Terrell Thomas will improve their secondary... The Cowboys offense will be one of the league s best, as an improved line will allow Tony Romo to fully utilize the outstanding talent that surrounds him. Dallas biggest concern is on defense, where they lack talent beyond ferocious sack-machine DeMarcus Ware. A lot will be asked of 6th-overall pick DB Morris Claiborne... Heisman winner Robert Griffin III s skills should translate well to the Redskins system, and Washington features promising young talent at other skill positions. While the future is bright for the Skins, a mediocre defense, a rookie QB and a tough schedule will lead to another long season in Washington. NFC NORTH Untimely mistakes spelled playoff disaster for the Packers after a dominant regular season. Reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers was near perfect, and his dynamic receiving corps is only getting better. Green Bay s lack of a running game shouldn t be a problem. The defense makes plenty of big plays, but needs to give up fewer if the Pack is going to return to the Super Bowl... The Bears were 7-3 before injuries to Jay Cutler and Matt Forte derailed their season. The addition of Brandon Marshall and a new passing scheme should improve Cutler s production in Chicago s defense is solid and Devin Hester s return skills are a game-changer... The passhappy Lions need Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson to stay healthy all year to make the playoffs again. Jahvid Best staying on the field is also key, as he s a threat to score out of the backfield on any play. The young DL combo of Nick Fairley and Ndamukong Suh is special, but Detroit s defense still gives us points in bunches against top offenses... Adrian Peterson s Week 1 status is uncertain as the Vikings look to recover from a three-win season. Christian Ponder and Percy Harvin are an intriguing combo, but not at the level of other NFC North passing games. Aside from Jared Allen and his 22 sacks in 2011, the Minnesota defense is feeble. NFC SOUTH The Saints offense should be just fine with Sean Payton suspended. Drew Brees will ably run the show after his record-setting 2011 season. Between DC Gregg Williams departure and captain Jonathan Vilma s suspension, it s the New Orleans defense that will hold them back this season. Their secondary doesn t create turnovers like they used to, and the front seven is full of holes... The Panthers coaching staff did a remarkable job capitalizing on the strengths of Rookie of the Year Cam Newton. Newton should be even better now that he has a year of experience under his belt. Meanwhile, Carolina s defense should improve with the addition of 9th-overall pick Luke Kuechly... The Falcons will pass the ball more under new coordinator Dirk Koetter. Matt Ryan may not be an elite passer, but his WR duo of Roddy White and Julio Jones may be the best in the NFL. The defense is mediocre up front and may struggle after the loss of MLB Curtis Lofton, but Asante Samuel s arrival gives them a second CB (along with Brent Grimes) who can cover the NFL s best wideouts... This offseason s head-scratcher was the Buccaneers hiring of Greg Schiano, whose only major successes at Rutgers were lucking into under-recruited Ray Rice and briefly rising to the top of the rapidly-declining Big East. Josh Freeman can only get better in his fourth season, and Vincent Jackson is the best WR he s had to work with. Tampa s defense was dreadful in 2011, but has some talented youngsters who could bring them back to respectability this season. NFC WEST If punt returner Ted Ginn had been healthy last January, the 49ers might be defending NFC champs instead of kicking themselves over a mistake-riddled loss to the Giants. San Fran added several playmakers to their backfield and receiving corps. Their hard-hitting defense should again dominate against the weak NFC West... The Cardinals need a reliable QB to emerge before they can compete for a playoff spot. Larry Fitzgerald s talent is too often wasted. Arizona s defense is improving up front, but their secondary, particularly Patrick Peterson, is vulnerable. Peterson is, however, one of the league s best return men coming off a four-td rookie season... Marshawn Lynch is a beast who the Seahawks can ill-afford to get hurt. Seattle s passing game is full of question marks. Their defense may be good enough to keep them in the playoff hunt. Chris Clemons has 22 sacks in the past two seasons and Seattle was usually strong against the run. Their young secondary has a chance to be one of the league s best for years to come... New head coach Jeff Fisher will eventually turn the Rams around, but it s likely to be sometime after Sam Bradford is still improving, though he ll be working with an inexperienced crop of receivers. Chris Long, Robert Quinn and James Laurinaitis form a solid young core for the defense, and the arrival of CB Cortland Finnegan will help. PREDICTED 2012 AFC Standings EAST...W... L New England Buffalo New York Jets Miami NORTH...W... L Baltimore Pittsburgh* Cincinnati Cleveland SOUTH...W... L Houston Tennessee Jacksonville Indianapolis WEST...W... L Denver Kansas City* San Diego Oakland AFC PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS WILDCARD WEEKEND: Ravens over Chiefs Steelers over Broncos DIVISIONAL ROUND: Ravens over Texans Patriots over Steelers AFC CHAMPIONSHIP: Ravens over Patriots *wildcard PREDICTED 2012 N FC S ta n di n gs EAST...W... L Philadelphia New York Giants* Dallas Washington NORTH...W... L Green Bay Chicago* Detroit Minnesota SOUTH...W... L New Orleans Carolina Atlanta Tampa Bay WEST...W... L San Francisco Arizona Seattle St. Louis NFC PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS WILDCARD WEEKEND: Eagles over Bears Saints over Giants DIVISIONAL ROUND: Packers over Saints Eagles over 49ers NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: Packers over Eagles SUPER BOWL XLVII PREDICTION: Ravens 26, Packers 24 *wildcard NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

8 Bovada Football Futures: Odds to win BCS National Title Super Bowl XLVII 2013 Conference title Game USC 7/2 Alabama 11/2 LSU 11/2 Oklahoma 10/1 Florida State 12/1 Oregon 12/1 Georgia 15/1 Arkansas 22/1 Michigan 25/1 Texas 28/1 Notre Dame 30/1 Virginia Tech 30/1 West Virginia 30/1 Clemson 35/1 South Carolina 35/1 Wisconsin 40/1 Nebraska 45/1 Florida 50/1 TCU 50/1 Michigan State 60/1 Auburn 65/1 Boise State 75/1 Miami (Florida) 75/1 Oklahoma State 80/1 Kansas State 100/1 Mississippi State 100/1 Missouri 100/1 Tennessee 125/1 Iowa 150/1 Louisville 150/1 Penn State 150/1 Texas A&M 150/1 Arizona Cardinals 50/1 Atlanta Falcons 25/1 Baltimore Ravens 16/1 Buffalo Bills 50/1 Carolina Panthers 35/1 Chicago Bears 16/1 Cincinnati Bengals 40/1 Cleveland Browns 200/1 Dallas Cowboys 18/1 Denver Broncos 15/1 Detroit Lions 20/1 Green Bay Packers 6/1 Houston Texans 14/1 Indianapolis Colts 100/1 Jacksonville Jaguars 150/1 Kansas City Chiefs 45/1 Miami Dolphins 50/1 Minnesota Vikings 150/1 New England Patriots 13/2 New Orleans Saints 18/1 New York Giants 18/1 New York Jets 25/1 Oakland Raiders 65/1 Philadelphia Eagles 12/1 Pittsburgh Steelers 16/1 San Diego Chargers 25/1 San Francisco 49ers 10/1 Seattle Seahawks 50/1 St. Louis Rams 75/1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 75/1 Tennessee Titans 50/1 Washington Redskins 50/1 Arizona Cardinals 28/1 Atlanta Falcons 14/1 Baltimore Ravens 7/1 Buffalo Bills 28/1 Carolina Panthers 20/1 Chicago Bears Cincinnati Bengals 18/1 Cleveland Browns 90/1 Dallas Cowboys 12/1 Denver Broncos 15/2 Detroit Lions 11/1 Green Bay Packers 10/3 Houston Texans 5/1 Indianapolis Colts 60/1 Jacksonville Jaguars 75/1 Kansas City Chiefs 20/1 Miami Dolphins 22/1 Minnesota Vikings 70/1 New England Patriots 11/4 New Orleans Saints 17/2 New York Giants New York Jets 12/1 Oakland Raiders 30/1 Philadelphia Eagles 13/2 Pittsburgh Steelers 15/2 San Diego Chargers 10/1 San Francisco 49ers 11/2 Seattle Seahawks 30/1 St. Louis Rams 40/1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35/1 Tennessee Titans 25/1 Washington Redskins 28/1 8 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

9 ODDS TO WIN DIVISION TITLE Arizona Cardinals +500 Atlanta Falcons +125 Baltimore Ravens +125 Buffalo Bills +700 Carolina Panthers +500 Chicago Bears +350 Cincinnati Bengals +400 Cleveland Browns Dallas Cowboys +250 Denver Broncos +170 Detroit Lions +500 Green Bay Packers -250 Houston Texans -400 Indianapolis Colts Jacksonville Jaguars Kansas City Chiefs +350 Miami Dolphins Minnesota Vikings New England Patriots -350 New Orleans Saints +125 New York Giants +200 New York Jets +600 Oakland Raiders +500 Philadelphia Eagles +160 Pittsburgh Steelers +125 San Diego Chargers +180 San Francisco 49ers -250 Seattle Seahawks +550 St.Louis Rams +900 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tennessee Titans +400 Washington Redskins Fantasy Football Focus Two men give their opinions on the 2012 season S cot t G r a m l i n g M a n ag i n g e d i t o r Top Fantasy Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, Packers Quarterback Sleeper Alex Smith, 49ers Quarterback Bust Peyton Manning, Broncos Top Fantasy Running Back LeSean McCoy, Eagles Running Back Sleeper Doug Martin, Buccaneers Deepest RB Sleeper Ronnie Hillman, Broncos Running Back Bust Frank Gore, 49ers Top Fantasy Receiver Calvin Johnson, Lions Wide Receiver Sleeper Greg Little, Browns Deepest WR Sleeper Brandon LaFell, Panthers Wide Receiver Bust Mike Wallace, Steelers Top Fantasy Tight End Rob Gronkowski, Patriots Tight End Sleeper Coby Fleener, Colts Deepest TE Sleeper Lance Kendricks, Rams Tight End Bust Tony Gonzalez, Falcons Top Fantasy Kicker Stephen Gostkowski, Patriots Kicker Sleeper Randy Bullock, Texans Kicker Bust Matt Prater, Broncos Top Fantasy Defense San Francisco 49ers Defense Sleeper Kansas City Chiefs Defense Bust New York Jets DRAFT DAY PHILOSOPHY Nab those running backs early. Only nine running backs topped 1,100 yards in 2011, and the RB class of 2012 is riddled with question marks as guys like Adrian Peterson and Jamaal Charles return from injury. Once you get past the top six or seven backs, the next group is packed with unproven commodities and oncedominant backs now on the downside of their careers. The other skill positions have more depth such solid QBs as Matt Schaub and Ben Roethlisberger are likely to be available in the middle rounds. And as usual, receiver is the deepest position with a slew of potential 1,000-yard guys ranked outside the position s top-20. MOST COMMON DRAFT DAY MISTAKE Many fantasy owners are very careless when it comes to spending a high draft pick on a player who has suffered a significant injury in a recent season. It s always tempting to go after a guy who s just a year or two removed from a huge season because all of the reports out of training camp are that he s in the best shape of his life and nearly 100 percent. But I snickered to myself every time I heard someone call out DeAngelo WIlliams in the third round of a 2011 fantasy draft. And I ll snicker again this year when some chump picks Adrian Peterson in the first round. ONCE THE SEASON STARTS Buy low and sell high: There s a reason this is the most overused cliché in fantasy football, and that s because it works. If your backup QB is third in the NFL in TDs by October, get on the horn to impatient chumps whose high draft picks have yet to start producing. Things tend to even out over a 16-game season, so you re best off working a deal for a guy who had high expectations at the beginning of the season in exchange for a mid-round pick who strung together a few nice weeks early. You ll be surprised at how quickly some owners are ready to give up on their high draft picks. Ga ry B e n n e t t S e n i o r W r i t e r Top Fantasy Quarterback Drew Brees, Saints Quarterback Sleeper Christian Ponder, Vikings Quarterback Bust Matt Schaub, Texans Top Fantasy Running Back Arian Foster, Texans Running Back Sleeper Shane Vereen, Patriots Deepest RB Sleeper Jacquizz Rodgers, Falcons Running Back Bust Michael Turner, Falcons Top Fantasy Receiver Calvin Johnson, Lions Wide Receiver Sleeper Eric Decker, Broncos Deepest WR Sleeper Doug Baldwin, Seahawks Wide Receiver Bust Demaryius Thomas, Broncos Top Fantasy Tight End Jimmy Graham, Saints Tight End Sleeper Jacob Tamme, Broncos Deepest TE Sleeper Dennis Pitta, Ravens Tight End Bust Antonio Gates, Chargers Top Fantasy Kicker David Akers, 49ers Kicker Sleeper Rian Lindell, Bills Kicker Bust Nate Kaeding, Chargers Top Fantasy Defense Pittsburgh Steelers Defense Sleeper Buffalo Bills Defense Bust Baltimore Ravens DRAFT DAY PHILOSOPHY Properly manage your risk. If you ve done your homework, you ll be able to put together a competitive team by playing it safe. Of course, you want to roll the dice on a couple of high-risk (whether it be because of injuries or an uncertain role), high-reward players because that s more fun. But make sure you have a Plan B in place. It might not be fun grabbing a Shonn Greene-type as your third running back, but when that hotshot rookie flames out or fails to secure playing time, you ll be glad you re plugging Greene into your lineup rather than scouring the waiver wire for some third-down back. MOST COMMON DRAFT DAY MISTAKE Failing to back up your most injury-prone guys. It s become standard operating procedure, but it s also incredibly boring. That s why you see so many owners waiting, waiting, waiting to get a backup they need, taking fliers on high-upside players instead, only to see someone else grab their handcuff player. For instance, if you took Darren McFadden a year ago but you didn t take Michael Bush in the top 75, you deserved your 3-11 season. A lot of the time doing the right thing and doing the boring thing are one in the same, but you ll be thankful you did come November. ONCE THE SEASON STARTS Be ready to pounce on the waiver wire, and be active in the trade market. This isn t baseball, where you can take a patient approach and trust that players will trend toward their career average statistics. A fantasy football regular season is short, and you need to move fast. And when making a move, keep strength of schedule in mind. If you have a back who had terrible games against the Niners and Ravens early in the season, you can bet that there are better days are ahead of him. If he got shut down by the Rams and Colts, then it s time to make a move. NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

10 AFC EAST BUFFALO BILLS StatFox Power Rating: 15 (#25 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#29 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (5th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (19th toughest) 2011 Record: 6 10 (-2.75 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at N.Y. Jets Kansas City at Cleveland New England at San Francisco at Arizona Tennessee BYE at Houston at New England Miami at Indianapolis Jacksonville St. Louis Seattle at Miami N.Y. Jets Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS BUFFALO is 10-4 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing =130 rushing yards/game the past 5 seasons. BUFFALO is 2-8 ATS off a division game the past 2 seasons. BUFFALO is 4-13 ATS after playing a game at home the past 3 seasons. BUFFALO is 8-3 ATS against AFC West division opponents the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs SEA W W (-2½) O (37½) 4 at JAC W W (+4) U (37) 9/21 vs OAK W L (-10) O (37) 9/28 at STL W W (-9) O (44) 10/5 at ARI L L (+2) O (44½) 10/19 vs SDG W W (+1) U (45) 10/26 at MIA L L (+1) U (41½) 11/2 vs NYJ L L (-5) U (43½) 11/9 at NWE L L (+3½) U (40½) vs CLE L L (-5) O (41) 11/23 at KAN W W (-3) O (43½) 0 vs SFO L 3-10 L (-6½) U (43) 12/7 vs MIA L 3-16 L (-2½) U (43) 12/14 at NYJ L W (+8) O (41) 12/21 at DEN W W (+6) O (46½) 12/28 vs NWE L 0-13 L (+5½) U (34½) The Bills are largely committed to zone blocking, going away from two-rb backfields and running effectively out of their three-wr base. They ll spread defenses out then use a lot of inside-zone plays, especially when Fred Jackson is healthy. If he s 100 percent, Jackson figures to take the majority of the snaps at running back over C.J. Spiller, who s used outside the tackles as more of an all-or-nothing runner. Buffalo s passing game is limited by Ryan Fitzpatrick s lack of arm strength, forcing the team to instead rely on spreading the field. His receivers are given freedom to run and adjust routes as they see fit, which puts a heavy emphasis on experience and chemistry with Fitzpatrick. Stevie Johnson is Fitzpatrick s security blanket, and the Bills run a lot of one-read slants off of that, with Johnson clearing and Jackson or Spiller crossing under him out of the slot. Buffalo doled out a lot of money for OLB Mario Williams and DE Mark Anderson this offseason, and this duo should improve the team s pass rush significantly. Williams, in particular, should thrive playing the LDE position in a new 4-3 scheme in Buffalo. He s added some muscle to tip the scales closer to 300, which should result in fewer missed tackles in The presence of Williams and Anderson should allow 22-year-old Marcell Dareus to find more room to rush his 320-pound frame up the middle. Nick Barnett transitioned nicely to a 4-3 weakside linebacker, recording 10-plus total tackles six times last year. George Wilson stepped up as a run-stopper after the departure of Donte Whitner, and as a converted wide receiver he has excellent ball skills. He was on pace for 90 solo tackles before injuring his neck. Kelvin Sheppard is another good young talent in the box, and Jairus Byrd is a ball-hawking free safety to round out an improving secondary OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 4 at NWE L W (+13) O (47) 9/20 vs TAM W W (-4) O (41½) 9/27 vs NOR L 7-27 L (+5½) U (51½) 10/4 at MIA L L (+2) O (37) 10/11 vs CLE L 3-6 L (-5½) U (41½) 10/18 at NYJ W W (+9) U (35½) 10/25 at CAR W 20-9 W (+7) U (37) 11/1 vs HOU L L (+3) U (42) 11/15 at TEN L L (+7½) O (40½) 11/22 at JAC L W (+8½) U (41) 11/29 vs MIA W W (+4) O (38) 12/3 vs NYJ L L (+3½) U (37) 12/13 at KAN W W (-3) U (38½) 12/20 vs NWE L P (+7) U (41½) 12/27 at ATL L 3-31 L (+8) U (40½) 1/3 vs IND W 30-7 W (-7½) O (32) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs MIA L L (+3) U (39) 9 at GNB L 7-34 L (+12½) U (42½) 9/26 at NWE L W (+14) O (42½) 10/3 vs NYJ L L (+5) O (36½) 10/10 vs JAC L L (-3) O (41½) 10/24 at BAL L W (+12½) O (39½) 10/31 at KAN L W (+7) U (45½) 11/7 vs CHI L P (+3) U (41½) 11/14 vs DET W P (-2) U (44½) 11/21 at CIN W W (+4) O (41) 11/28 vs PIT L W (+6½) U (43½) 12/5 at MIN L L (+5½) O (43½) 12/12 vs CLE W 13-6 W (pk) U (39½) 12/19 at MIA W W (+6) U (40) 12/26 vs NWE L 3-34 L (+7) U (46) 1/2 at NYJ L 7-38 L (pk) O (38) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +1 T13 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 25 T31 Sacks Allowed 23 1 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 31.7 T8 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 20 T6 Sacks 29 T27 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at KAN W 41-7 W (+4) O (39½) 8 vs OAK W L (-3½) O (41) 9/25 vs NWE W W (+7) O (53½) 10/2 at CIN L L (-3) O (42) 10/9 vs PHI W W (+3) O (52½) 10/16 at NYG L P (+3) O (49) 10/30 vs WAS W 23-0 W (-4) U (46) 11/6 vs NYJ L L (-2½) U (45) 11/13 at DAL L 7-44 L (+4½) O (48½) 11/20 at MIA L 8-35 L (+3) U (44) 11/27 at NYJ L W (+9) O (42½) 12/4 vs TEN L L (-1) U (44) 12/11 at SDG L L (+7) U (49½) 12/18 vs MIA L L (pk) O (43) 12/24 vs DEN W W (+3) O (43½) 1/1 at NWE L L (+10) O (50) 10 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

11 AFC EAST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 MIAMI DOLPHINS at Houston Oakland New York Jets at Arizona at Cincinnati St. Louis BYE at New York Jets at Indianapolis Tennessee at Buffalo Seattle New England at San Francisco Jacksonville Buffalo at New England Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS MIAMI is 8-2 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) the past 5 seasons. MIAMI is 11-2 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging =130 rushing yards/game the past 3 seasons. MIAMI is 9-2 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing =4.5 rushing yards/carry the past 2 seasons. MIAMI is 4-11 ATS off a loss against a division rival the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs NYJ L L (+3) U (37) 4 at ARI L L (+6) O (40½) 9/21 at NWE W W (+12) O (37) 10/5 vs SDG W W (+5½) U (44½) 10/12 at HOU L W (+3) O (44½) 10/19 vs BAL L L (-3) O (35½) 10/26 vs BUF W W (-1) U (41½) 11/2 at DEN W W (+4) U (50) 11/9 vs SEA W L (-7½) U (41½) 11/16 vs OAK W L (-10) U (37½) 11/23 vs NWE L L (+2) O (42) 0 at STL W L (-7) U (44½) 12/7 vs BUF W 16-3 W (+2½) U (43) 12/14 vs SFO W 14-9 L (-5½) U (41) 12/21 at KAN W W (-3) O (37) 12/28 at NYJ W W (+3) U (43) The Dolphins will have a different look under new head coach Joe Philbin, as his West Coast offense figures to emphasize short catch-and-run plays rather than the between-the-tackles running to set up the pass that Miami has used in recent years. The running game itself will undergo a big change as they transition to a zone-blocking scheme. Reggie Bush has some experience in it, as the Saints sprinkled in zone plays during his time there. Daniel Thomas gets a fresh slate and has the tools (especially pass protection and receiving) to thrive in the new system. Neither Bush nor Thomas is a true short-yardage back, though Bush figures to get the first crack at the role. Brandon Marshall is gone and slot man Davone Bess figures to be a major beneficiary stat-wise. The backs and TE Anthony Fasano will play a bigger role in the receiving game as well, with Fasano serving as a target near the goal line on play-action. Brian Hartline and Chad Ochocinco figure to be targeted rarely. Fullback/H-back Charles Clay is a part-time player but should be in for an increase in reps and targets. He could end up surpassing Fasano in receiving numbers. Miami excelled in stopping the run in 2011, and wound up placing third in the NFL with 95.6 rushing YPG allowed. Although the defense did not markedly improve in its offense-focused draft, the Dolphins signed CB Richard Marshall and should remain capable of stopping opposing offenses that don t possess the passing game of a team like New England. Miami is switching to a 4-3 and Karlos Dansby will be the key to maintaining the team s performance against the run as its middle linebacker. Dansby s best years, however, came playing in a 3-4, making the move a bit of a risk OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at ATL L 7-19 L (+4) U (44) 9/21 vs IND L L (+3) O (41) 9/27 at SDG L L (+5) U (45) 10/4 vs BUF W W (-2) O (37) 10/12 vs NYJ W W (+3) O (35½) 10/25 vs NOR L L (+6) O (47½) 11/1 at NYJ W W (+3) O (40) 11/8 at NWE L W (+11) U (47) 11/15 vs TAM W L (-10) O (43) 11/19 at CAR W W (+3) U (41½) 11/29 at BUF L L (-4) O (38) 12/6 vs NWE W W (+5) U (46) 12/13 at JAC W W (+2) U (43) 12/20 at TEN L W (+5) O (42½) 12/27 vs HOU L L (-1½) P (47) 1/3 vs PIT L L (+3) O (45) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at BUF W W (-3) U (39) 9 at MIN W W (+5½) U (41) 9/26 vs NYJ L L (-2) O (35½) 10/4 vs NWE L L (pk) O (48½) 10/17 at GNB W W (+3) U (44) 10/24 vs PIT L W (+3) O (40) 10/31 at CIN W W (-1) U (44) 11/7 at BAL L L (+5) U (41) 11/14 vs TEN W W (-1½) O (43) 11/18 vs CHI L 0-16 L (-3) U (40) 11/28 at OAK W W (+3) O (38) 12/5 vs CLE L L (-6) U (43½) 12/12 at NYJ W 10-6 W (+4½) U (38) 12/19 vs BUF L L (-6) U (40) 12/26 vs DET L L (-3½) O (41½) 1/2 at NWE L 7-38 L (+4) O (44) StatFox Power Rating: 22 (#12 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.86 (#12 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (12nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (26th toughest) 2011 Record: 6 10 (-3.75 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 12 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 29.3 T28 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 13 T8 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm 19.4 T15 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions Sacks 41 T10 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs NWE L L (+7) O (46½) 8 vs HOU L L (+3) U (47) 9/25 at CLE L W (+2) U (41) 10/2 at SDG L L (+6½) U (45) 10/17 at NYJ L 6-24 L (+7) U (41) 10/23 vs DEN L L (+1) U (41½) 10/30 at NYG L W (+9½) U (43) 11/6 at KAN W 31-3 W (+5½) U (40½) 11/13 vs WAS W 20-9 W (-4) U (38) 11/20 vs BUF W 35-8 W (-3) U (44) at DAL L W (+7) U (46) 12/4 vs OAK W W (-3) O (43) 12/11 vs PHI L L (-3) U (44½) 12/18 at BUF W W (pk) O (43) 12/24 at NWE L W (+7) O (49) 1/1 vs NYJ W P (-2) U (38½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

12 AFC EAST NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS StatFox Power Rating: 31 (#2 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 10.7 (#2 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (23th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (31st toughest) 2011 Record: 15 4 (+3.1 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at Tennessee Arizona at Baltimore at Buffalo Denver at Seattle N.Y. Jets at St. Louis BYE Buffalo Indianapolis at N.Y. Jets at Miami Houston San Francisco at Jacksonville Miami Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS NEW ENGLAND is 1-7 ATS in playoff games the past 5 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 15-5 ATS in October games the past 5 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse the past 3 seasons. NEW ENGLAND is 6-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging =130 rushing yards/game the past 2 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs KAN W L (-16½) U (43½) 4 at NYJ W W (-1) U (37) 9/21 vs MIA L L (-12) O (37) 10/5 at SFO W W (-3) O (41) 10/12 at SDG L L (+6) U (45) vs DEN W 41-7 W (-3) O (47½) 10/26 vs STL W L (-9) U (41) 11/2 at IND L W (+6½) U (44) 11/9 vs BUF W W (-3½) U (40½) 11/13 vs NYJ L L (-3) O (41) 11/23 at MIA W W (-2) O (42) 0 vs PIT L L (-2½) O (40) 12/7 at SEA W L (-7½) O (43) 12/14 at OAK W W (-7) O (38) 12/21 vs ARI W 47-7 W (-8) O (41) 12/28 at BUF W 13-0 W (-5½) U (34½) Josh McDaniels returns to the role of offensive coordinator he called plays for New England in 2007, a record-setting year for Tom Brady and the offense. But while he was gone the Patriots got more comfortable running the ball. Last year they ended up being middle of the pack in terms of run/pass split (41/59 vs. NFL average of 43/57). Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen are expected to split duties as the primary ball carriers. The Pats use spread principles in the passing game. Wes Welker and Aaron Hernandez are utilized frequently out of the slot underneath, while Rob Gronkowski is used as a field-stretcher working up the seam. The return of McDaniels and addition of Brandon Lloyd means more deep shots. Lloyd is familiar with the playbook from his days under McDaniels in Denver. The Patriots allow gobs of yardage, especially through the air, but they will also force a lot of turnovers and don t allow as many points as you d expect of a defense that surrenders so many yards. DT Vince Wilfork is a monster in the middle, and the team is expected to have a better pass rush in 2012 with the expected contributions from rookies Chandler Jones and Donta Hightower. Jerod Mayo was limited by a knee injury through most of 2011, and Brandon Spikes was also slowed by a knee injury during most of last season before bouncing back for an impressive 26 total tackles in three post-season games. Patrick Chung was en route to a career year statistically before a foot injury derailed him. He s at his best in the box, but is instinctive enough in pass coverage to make up for some of New England s deficiencies on the corners. If Mayo, Spikes and Chung can all remain healthy in 2012, the Patriots defense has a very good chance to be vastly improved OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 4 vs BUF W L (-13) O (47) 9/20 at NYJ L 9-16 L (-3½) U (44½) 9/27 vs ATL W W (-4) U (45½) 10/4 vs BAL W W (-2) O (45) 10/11 at DEN L L (-3) U (41) 10/18 vs TEN W 59-0 W (-9) O (39) 10/25 vs TAM W 35-7 W (-15½) U (44½) 11/8 vs MIA W L (-11) U (47) 11/15 at IND L W (+3) O (48½) 11/22 vs NYJ W W (-11) P (45) 0 at NOR L L (+2) U (57) 12/6 at MIA L L (-5) U (46) 12/13 vs CAR W L (-12½) U (43½) 12/20 at BUF W P (-7) U (41½) 12/27 vs JAC W 35-7 W (-9) U (44½) 1/3 at HOU L W (+8) O (47) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs CIN W W (-5) O (45) 9 at NYJ L L (-3) O (39½) 9/26 vs BUF W L (-14) O (42½) 10/4 at MIA W W (pk) O (48½) 10/17 vs BAL W P (-3) U (44½) 10/24 at SDG W W (+3) U (49) 10/31 vs MIN W W (-5) O (45) 11/7 at CLE L L (-4) O (43½) 11/14 at PIT W W (+4) O (45) 11/21 vs IND W L (-4) O (49) 11/25 at DET W W (-6) O (50) 12/6 vs NYJ W 45-3 W (-4) O (44) 12/12 at CHI W 36-7 W (-3) O (37½) 12/19 vs GNB W L (-14) O (43½) 12/26 at BUF W 34-3 W (-7) U (46) 1/2 vs MIA W 38-7 W (-4) O (44) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 12 T5 Sacks Allowed 32 T9 Att/Sack Sack Yards 173 T6 Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 23 T2 Sacks Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at MIA W W (-7) O (46½) 8 vs SDG W W (-6) O (53½) 9/25 at BUF L L (-7) O (53½) 10/2 at OAK W W (-6) U (55½) 10/9 vs NYJ W W (-7½) O (50) 10/16 vs DAL W L (-6½) U (54) 10/30 at PIT L L (-3) U (51½) 11/6 vs NYG L L (-9½) U (52) 11/13 at NYJ W W (+3) O (47) 11/21 vs KAN W 34-3 W (-17) U (46½) 11/27 at PHI W W (-3) O (51) 12/4 vs IND W L (-20) O (48) 12/11 at WAS W P (-7) O (46½) 12/18 at DEN W W (-7) O (47½) 12/24 vs MIA W L (-7) O (49) 1/1 vs BUF W W (-10) O (50) 12 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

13 AFC EAST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 NEW YORK JETS Buffalo at Pittsburgh at Miami San Francisco Houston Indianapolis at New England Miami BYE at Seattle at St. Louis New England Arizona at Jacksonville at Tennessee San Diego at Buffalo Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS NY JETS is 3-13 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging =4.5 rushing yards/carry the past 5 seasons. NY JETS is 5-19 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game the past 5 seasons. NY JETS is 9-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the past 2 seasons. NY JETS is 11-4 ATS off a home win the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at MIA W W (-3) U (37) 4 vs NWE L L (+1) U (37) at SDG L L (+8) O (46½) 9/28 vs ARI W W (-1½) O (43½) 10/12 vs CIN W W (-9½) U (44) 10/19 at OAK L L (-3) U (41) 10/26 vs KAN W L (-14) O (40½) 11/2 at BUF W W (+5) U (43½) 11/9 vs STL W 47-3 W (-9½) O (43½) 11/13 at NWE W W (+3) O (41) 11/23 at TEN W W (+5½) O (41) 0 vs DEN L L (-8) O (48) 12/7 at SFO L L (-5) U (45½) 12/14 vs BUF W L (-8) O (41) 12/21 at SEA L 3-13 L (-3½) U (41½) 12/28 vs MIA L L (-3) U (43) Ground and pound wasn t former OC Brian Schottenheimer s style. However, things will be different under new offensive coordinator Tony Sparano, who preached power running recently in Miami and Dallas. It will be a change from the zone-blocking scheme the Jets ran under former offensive line coach Bill Callahan, so there could be growing pains. Expect a heavy dose of Shonn Greene, though Bilal Powell and Joe McKnight should see an uptick in playing time since Sparano typically has used a time-share backfield. The Jets will surely work in some single-wing-type sets for Tim Tebow, who should see an average of up to 10 reps per game. As far as the passing game goes, Sparano wants to run a lot of play-action and get the ball downfield. But while Mark Sanchez has the feet and athleticism to make the play-action part work, he s never been an accurate downfield passer. Santonio Holmes is by far their best receiver, but rookie Stephen Hill, who s expected to start, is a better fit in this scheme. TE Dustin Keller is Sanchez s safety blanket; he and slot man Jeremy Kerley would normally be his favorite targets, but in this offense they re likely to be secondary targets. Say what you will about their antics and propensity to run their mouths, but the Jets defense continues to back up its talk. The one exception last year was the pass rush, where Gang Green is hoping rookie first-rounder Quinton Coples will help. If he does, it will allow David Harris to blitz less and commit to the run more often, which will improve a Jets rushing defense that was inconsistent at times in Darrelle Revis continues to be the best shutdown corner in the game, and the team is hoping that LaRon Landry will make an impact at the safety position after coming over from Washington OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at HOU W 24-7 W (+4½) U (44½) 9/20 vs NWE W 16-9 W (+3½) U (44½) 9/27 vs TEN W W (-1) O (36) 10/4 at NOR L L (+7½) U (47) 10/12 at MIA L L (-3) O (35½) 10/18 vs BUF L L (-9) U (35½) 10/25 at OAK W 38-0 W (-6) O (34) 11/1 vs MIA L L (-3) O (40) 11/15 vs JAC L L (-6½) O (40½) 11/22 at NWE L L (+11) P (45) 11/29 vs CAR W 17-6 W (-3) U (41) 12/3 vs BUF W W (-3½) U (37) 12/13 at TAM W 26-3 W (-3½) U (36½) 12/20 vs ATL L 7-10 L (-5) U (36½) 12/27 at IND W W (+3) O (40½) 1/3 vs CIN W 37-0 W (-9½) O (33½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs BAL L 9-10 L (-1½) U (36) 9 vs NWE W W (+3) O (39½) 9/26 at MIA W W (+2) O (35½) 10/3 at BUF W W (-5) O (36½) 10/11 vs MIN W W (-4) O (38) 10/17 at DEN W W (-3) O (42½) 10/31 vs GNB L 0-9 L (-6½) U (41½) 11/7 at DET W L (-5½) O (42½) 11/14 at CLE W W (-3) O (37) 11/21 vs HOU W L (-6½) O (46) 11/25 vs CIN W W (-9½) U (43) 12/6 at NWE L 3-45 L (+4) O (44) 12/12 vs MIA L 6-10 L (-4½) U (38) 12/19 at PIT W W (+3) O (36) 12/26 at CHI L L (+3) O (35½) 1/2 vs BUF W 38-7 W (pk) O (38) StatFox Power Rating: 20 (#15 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.55 (#14 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (7th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (10th toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (-2.6 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 10 6 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -3 T19 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 18 T23 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 31.7 T8 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 19 T10 Sacks 35 T17 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs DAL W L (-6) O (41) 8 vs JAC W 32-3 W (-8) U (38) 9/25 at OAK L L (-3) O (41) 10/2 at BAL L L (+5) O (43) 10/9 at NWE L L (+7½) O (50) 10/17 vs MIA W 24-6 W (-7) U (41) 10/23 vs SDG W W (+1) O (43½) 11/6 at BUF W W (+2½) U (45) 11/13 vs NWE L L (-3) O (47) at DEN L L (-6) U (38½) 11/27 vs BUF W L (-9) O (42½) 12/4 at WAS W W (-3) O (39) 12/11 vs KAN W W (-10½) O (35½) 12/18 at PHI L L (+3) O (44½) 12/24 vs NYG L L (-3) U (46) 1/1 at MIA L P (+2) U (38½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

14 AFC NORTH BALTIMORE RAVENS StatFox Power Rating: 26 (#6 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 4.68 (#9 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (20th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (7th toughest) 2011 Record: 13 5 (+0.6 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Cincinnati at Philadelphia New England Cleveland at Kansas City Dallas at Houston BYE at Cleveland Oakland at Pittsburgh at San Diego Pittsburgh at Washington Denver N.Y. Giants at Cincinnati Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS BALTIMORE is 4-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins the past 5 seasons. BALTIMORE is 13-5 ATS off a non-conference game the past 5 seasons. BALTIMORE is 7-2 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. the past 2 seasons. BALTIMORE is 9-3 ATS against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs CIN W W (+2) U (38) 9/21 vs CLE W W (-3) O (36½) at PIT L W (+6) O (34½) 10/5 vs TEN L L (+1) U (33½) 10/12 at IND L 3-31 L (+4) U (39) 10/19 at MIA W W (+3) O (35½) 10/26 vs OAK W W (-8) O (34½) 11/2 at CLE W W (+3) O (36½) 11/9 at HOU W W (+3) O (44) 11/16 at NYG L L (+6½) O (39) 11/23 vs PHI W 36-7 W (-2) O (39) 0 at CIN W 34-3 W (-7) O (36) 12/7 vs WAS W W (-6) U (35) 12/14 vs PIT L 9-13 L (-3) U (34) 12/20 at DAL W W (+5½) O (39) 12/28 vs JAC W 27-7 W (-10½) U (37½) The Ravens have slowly and successfully transitioned to a zone-blocking scheme over the past couple of seasons. They ve steadily mixed in more and more zone stretch plays for Ray Rice and have had plenty of success doing it, especially now that their line heavily utilizes cut blocking. They still use a lot of two-back sets with Rice running behind Vonta Leach. Rice will take a very heavy load again; even with Ricky Williams on the roster last season, Rice played more than 75 percent of their offensive snaps, so expect rookie Bernard Pierce to be used sparingly. Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron had always wanted to stretch the field but never had the receiver to do it until Torrey Smith emerged last season. Cameron has said he ll use more two tight end sets, as they did toward the end of last season. Dennis Pitta outperformed Ed Dickson in the second half of the year and is the one receiver Joe Flacco consistently looked for over the middle. Rice will also continue to have a huge role in the passing game, not only as a safety valve, but also on screens and in the slot to create mismatches. Anquan Boldin was a popular target in the end zone last year. The off-season Achilles injury to reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs could be enough to keep this from being an elite defense. Baltimore does have experience in veterans Ed Reed and Ray Lewis neither of whom shows any significant signs of slowing down and Haloti Ngata is one of the best interior linemen in the league. Cornerback Lardarius Webb capped his first year as a starter with three interceptions in the playoffs, and Bernard Pollard had 89 total tackles (62 solo) in 15 games (including playoffs) as a full-time player OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs KAN W W (-13) O (37) 9/20 at SDG W W (+1) O (41) 9/27 vs CLE W 34-3 W (-13½) U (38½) 10/4 at NWE L L (+2) O (45) 10/11 vs CIN L L (-9) U (42) 10/18 at MIN L W (+3) O (45½) 11/1 vs DEN W 30-7 W (-4½) U (42½) 11/8 at CIN L 7-17 L (-3) U (45) 11/16 at CLE W 16-0 W (-11) U (39½) 11/22 vs IND L L (+1) U (44½) 11/29 vs PIT W L (-7½) O (34½) 12/7 at GNB L L (+4) U (43) 12/13 vs DET W 48-3 W (-14) O (40½) 12/20 vs CHI W 31-7 W (-10½) U (39½) 12/27 at PIT L P (+3) P (43) 1/3 at OAK W L (-10) U (39½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at NYJ W 10-9 W (+1½) U (36) 9 at CIN L L (-3) U (39) 9/26 vs CLE W L (-12½) O (36) 10/3 at PIT W W (+2½) U (34) 10/10 vs DEN W W (-8) O (39½) 10/17 at NWE L P (+3) U (44½) 10/24 vs BUF W L (-12½) O (39½) 11/7 vs MIA W W (-5) U (41) 11/11 at ATL L L (+2) O (44) 11/21 at CAR W W (-13) O (36½) 11/28 vs TAM W L (-7½) U (41½) 12/5 vs PIT L L (-3) U (38½) 12/13 at HOU W W (-3) O (47) 12/19 vs NOR W W (-2) O (45) 12/26 at CLE W W (-3) U (39½) 1/2 vs CIN W 13-7 L (-9½) U (43) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +2 T11 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 12 T5 Sacks Allowed 33 T12 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 15 T17 Sacks 48 T3 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs PIT W 35-7 W (-1) O (37) 8 at TEN L L (-5½) O (38½) 9/25 at STL W 37-7 W (-5) O (42) 10/2 vs NYJ W W (-5) O (43) 10/16 vs HOU W W (-6½) U (43½) 10/24 at JAC L 7-12 L (-10) U (38½) 10/30 vs ARI W L (-11) O (42½) 11/6 at PIT W W (+3) O (41½) 11/13 at SEA L L (-6½) O (38½) 11/20 vs CIN W P (-7) O (40) vs SFO W 16-6 W (-3) U (40½) 12/4 at CLE W W (-7) U (38) 12/11 vs IND W L (-16) U (41½) 12/18 at SDG L L (-1) O (45) 12/24 vs CLE W L (-10½) U (38½) 1/1 at CIN W W (-3) O (37½) 14 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

15 AFC NORTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 CINCINNATI BENGALS at Baltimore Cleveland at Washington at Jacksonville Miami at Cleveland Pittsburgh BYE Denver N.Y. Giants at Kansas City Oakland at San Diego Dallas at Philadelphia at Pittsburgh Baltimore Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS CINCINNATI is 0-14 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game the past 5 seasons. CINCINNATI is 1-9 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 175 or less passing yards/game the past 5 seasons. CINCINNATI is 3-10 ATS off a loss against a division rival the past 5 seasons. CINCINNATI is 0-9 ATS after a 2 game road trip the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at BAL L L (-2) U (38) 4 vs TEN L 7-24 L (+1) U (37) 9/21 at NYG L W (+12½) O (42½) 9/28 vs CLE L L (-1) U (42) 10/5 at DAL L W (+16) O (46) 10/12 at NYJ L L (+9½) U (44) 10/19 vs PIT L L (+7½) O (36½) 10/26 at HOU L 6-35 L (+9) U (46) 11/2 vs JAC W W (+7) P (40) 11/16 vs PHI T W (+8½) U (41) 11/20 at PIT L L (+12) O (34½) 0 vs BAL L 3-34 L (+7) O (36) 12/7 at IND L 3-35 L (+13½) U (41½) 12/14 vs WAS W W (+6½) U (35½) 12/21 at CLE W 14-0 W (+2) U (31) 12/28 vs KAN W 16-6 W (-1) U (40) The Bengals returned to a run-first offense in 2011, and that should continue with BenJarvus Green-Ellis stepping in for Cedric Benson. Offensive coordinator Jay Gruden mixed in some more zone blocking principles and stretch plays last year, something that didn t fit with Benson at all. The Bengals have been looking to get Bernard Scott more involved, and this year they should be able to do it. Expect a 60/40 early-down split for Green-Ellis and Scott, with Brian Leonard keeping his third down role because of his ability as a pass protector. Green-Ellis figures to be the focal point of their red zone offense. In the passing game, Gruden prefers to pressure secondaries deep. A lot of their best plays were jump balls to A.J. Green. Either rookies Mohamed Sanu or Marvin Jones, or Jordan Shipley could slide in opposite Green on the outside, and Gruden will have to tweak the offense since none of them are deep threats. They use a lot of three-wr sets, so there should be ample playing time for two of those secondary targets. TE Jermaine Gresham is the No. 2 target for Dalton, and this offense creates room for him over the middle. The backs are more for pass protection than receiving. The Bengals defense showed an ability to get to the quarterback in 2011, with 14 players contributing at least one sack to a total that placed fifth in the NFL. Rookie CB Dre Kirkpatrick will help out the defense with his coverage skills, but this unit doesn t make enough big plays to provide the offense with a lot of short fields. The one guy in the secondary who is capable of making a big play is Reggie Nelson, a rangy centerfielder at free safety with solid ball skills OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs DEN L 7-12 L (-5) U (41) 9/20 at GNB W W (+9) O (41½) 9/27 vs PIT W W (+3) O (36½) 10/4 at CLE W L (-6) O (37½) 10/11 at BAL W W (+9) U (42) 10/18 vs HOU L L (-3½) U (46) 10/25 vs CHI W W (+1½) O (42½) 11/8 vs BAL W 17-7 W (+3) U (45) 11/15 at PIT W W (+7) U (41½) 11/22 at OAK L L (-8½) O (36) 11/29 vs CLE W 16-7 L (-12½) U (39) 12/6 vs DET W L (-13½) U (42) 12/13 at MIN L L (+6) U (42) 12/20 at SDG L W (+6½) O (44) 12/27 vs KAN W L (-13) U (39½) 1/3 at NYJ L 0-37 L (+9½) O (33½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at NWE L L (+5) O (45) 9 vs BAL W W (+3) U (39) 9/26 at CAR W 20-7 W (-3) U (37) 10/3 at CLE L L (-2) O (36½) 10/10 vs TAM L L (-6½) O (38½) 10/24 at ATL L L (+3) O (43) 10/31 vs MIA L L (+1) U (44) 11/8 vs PIT L L (+5) O (41½) 11/14 at IND L W (+7) U (47) 11/21 vs BUF L L (-4) O (41) 11/25 at NYJ L L (+9½) U (43) 12/5 vs NOR L W (+6½) O (45) 12/12 at PIT L 7-23 L (+8) U (40) 12/19 vs CLE W W (pk) U (41) 12/26 vs SDG W W (+7½) O (43½) 1/2 at BAL L 7-13 W (+9½) U (43) StatFox Power Rating: 18 (#19 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#18 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (27th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (12nd toughest) 2011 Record: 9 8 (+1.9 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers E 17 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 14 T12 Sacks Allowed 25 T4 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 10 T26 Sacks 45 5 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at CLE W W (+7) O (36½) 8 at DEN L W (+3) O (40½) 9/25 vs SFO L 8-13 L (-3) U (40) 10/2 vs BUF W W (+3) O (42) 10/9 at JAC W W (-2½) O (36½) 10/16 vs IND W W (-5) O (40½) 10/30 at SEA W W (-1½) O (37½) 11/6 at TEN W W (+3) P (41) 11/13 vs PIT L L (+3) O (40½) 11/20 at BAL L P (+7) O (40) 11/27 vs CLE W L (-6½) O (38½) 12/4 at PIT L 7-35 L (+7) U (43) 12/11 vs HOU L L (-3) O (37½) 12/18 at STL W P (-7) U (38½) 12/24 vs ARI W W (-4½) U (41) 1/1 vs BAL L L (+3) O (37½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

16 AFC NORTH CLEVELAND BROWNS StatFox Power Rating: 15 (#25 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#23 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (18th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (14th toughest) 2011 Record: 4 12 ( ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Philadelphia at Cincinnati Buffalo at Baltimore at N.Y. Giants Cincinnati at Indianapolis San Diego Baltimore BYE at Dallas Pittsburgh at Oakland Kansas City Washington at Denver at Pittsburgh Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS CLEVELAND is 0-5 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season the past 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 3-10 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging =130 rushing yards/game the past 5 seasons. CLEVELAND is 7-2 ATS in games played on turf the past 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs DAL L L (+6) U (48) 4 vs PIT L 6-10 W (+6) U (43) 9/21 at BAL L L (+3) O (36½) 9/28 at CIN W W (+1) U (42) vs NYG W W (+7½) O (42½) 10/19 at WAS L W (+7) U (41½) 10/26 at JAC W W (+7) U (41½) 11/2 vs BAL L L (-3) O (36½) 11/6 vs DEN L L (-3) O (46) at BUF W W (+5) O (41) 11/23 vs HOU L 6-16 L (-3) U (49½) 0 vs IND L 6-10 P (+4) U (44) 12/7 at TEN L 9-28 L (+13½) O (36½) 12/15 at PHI L L (+15½) P (40) 12/21 vs CIN L 0-14 L (-2) U (31) 12/28 at PIT L 0-31 L (+11½) U (33½) Head coach Pat Shurmur would like to make this offense more pass-heavy, but rookie Trent Richardson is by far his best offensive player. They ll continue to pound the ball between the tackles, and Richardson can stay on the field for three downs. Veteran Brandon Jackson may split third down reps with Richardson. The red zone touches will be Richardson s, as everything Cleveland does in the red zone is based on the run. Like Shurmur, new offensive coordinator Brad Childress comes from the Andy Reid coaching tree, so there will be no big changes in the passing attack. With Brandon Weeden starting, this will continue to be a classic West Coast attack, and Greg Little will continue to see the majority of passes. TE Benjamin Watson is the default No. 2 over the middle, while Mohamed Massaquoi s lack of separation skills relegate him to being an infrequent target. They also find uses for TE Evan Moore, who can stretch the middle of the field. Cleveland actually allowed the fifth-fewest points in the league last year, but the Browns defense doesn t make enough big plays to compensate for their weak offense. Manning the middle after Cleveland s switch to a 4-3 defense was D Qwell Jackson, whose 116 solo tackles were the most anyone in the NFL has had since The best player on this unit is DE Jabaal Sheard, who dominated as a rookie, playing every down and piling up six sacks in his final seven games. DT Ahtyba Rubin remained a run-stuffing monster and also started flashing some pass-rushing ability. Free-agent signee Frostee Rucker is a solid run-stuffer. T.J. Ward s disappointing 2011 was cut short by a serious foot sprain, but he s still a promising young downhill safety. Shutdown CB Joe Haden battled a knee injury for parts of last season and should also be better in OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs MIN L L (+4) O (39) 9/20 at DEN L 6-27 L (+3) U (39½) 9/27 at BAL L 3-34 L (+13½) U (38½) 10/4 vs CIN L W (+6) O (37½) 10/11 at BUF W 6-3 W (+5½) U (41½) 10/18 at PIT L W (+13½) O (37½) 10/25 vs GNB L 3-31 L (+8½) U (41½) 11/1 at CHI L 6-30 L (+11) U (39½) 11/16 vs BAL L 0-16 L (+11) U (39½) 11/22 at DET L W (+3) O (37½) 11/29 at CIN L 7-16 W (+12½) U (39) 12/6 vs SDG L W (+13½) O (42½) 12/10 vs PIT W 13-6 W (+10) U (34) 12/20 at KAN W W (+2) O (39) 12/27 vs OAK W 23-9 W (-3) U (37) 1/3 vs JAC W W (-2) O (35) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at TAM L P (+3) U (37) 9 vs KAN L L (-3) U (38) 9/26 at BAL L W (+12½) O (36) 10/3 vs CIN W W (+2) O (36½) 10/10 vs ATL L L (+3) U (41½) 10/17 at PIT L L (+14) O (37) 10/24 at NOR W W (+12½) O (44) 11/7 vs NWE W W (+4) O (43½) 11/14 vs NYJ L L (+3) O (37) 11/21 at JAC L L (+3) O (43) 11/28 vs CAR W L (-8) O (37) 12/5 at MIA W W (+6) U (43½) 12/12 at BUF L 6-13 L (pk) U (39½) 12/19 at CIN L L (pk) U (41) 12/26 vs BAL L L (+3) U (39½) 1/2 vs PIT L 9-41 L (+6) O (37½) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +1 T13 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 35.6 T11 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 13 T8 Sacks Allowed 39 T18 Att/Sack 14.6 T17 Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 9 T28 Sacks 32 T23 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs CIN L L (-7) O (36½) 8 at IND W W (-1½) O (39) 9/25 vs MIA W L (-2) U (41) 10/2 vs TEN L L (-1½) O (37½) 10/16 at OAK L L (+6½) U (45) 10/23 vs SEA W 6-3 P (-3) U (41) 10/30 at SFO L L (+9) U (38½) 11/6 at HOU L L (+10½) U (42½) 11/13 vs STL L L (-3) U (36½) 11/20 vs JAC W W (-1½) U (34½) 11/27 at CIN L W (+6½) O (38½) 12/4 vs BAL L L (+7) U (38) 12/8 at PIT L 3-14 W (+14) U (40) 12/18 at ARI L W (+6) P (37) 12/24 at BAL L W (+10½) U (38½) 1/1 vs PIT L 9-13 W (+7) U (33) 16 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

17 AFC NORTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 PITTSBURGH STEELERS at Denver N.Y. Jets at Oakland BYE Philadelphia at Tennessee at Cincinnati Washington at N.Y. Giants Kansas City Baltimore at Cleveland at Baltimore San Diego at Dallas Cincinnati Cleveland Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses the past 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 4-10 ATS off a home win the past 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 2-8 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging <=4.75 yards/play the past 3 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 3-9 ATS after a win by 10 or more points the past 2 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs HOU W W (-6) O (44) 4 at CLE W 10-6 L (-6) U (43) 9/21 at PHI L 6-15 L (+3½) U (44½) vs BAL W L (-6) O (34½) 10/5 at JAC W W (+5½) O (38) 10/19 at CIN W W (-7½) O (36½) 10/26 vs NYG L L (-3) U (41) at WAS W 23-6 W (+3) U (37½) 11/9 vs IND L L (-3) O (39) 11/16 vs SDG W L (-4) U (40) 11/20 vs CIN W W (-12) O (34½) 0 at NWE W W (+2½) O (40) 12/7 vs DAL W W (-4) U (38) 12/14 at BAL W 13-9 W (+3) U (34) 12/21 at TEN L L (-3) O (34) 12/28 vs CLE W 31-0 W (-11½) U (33½) Much was made about former coordinator Bruce Arians aversion to the running game, and new offensive coordinator Todd Haley seems to have been brought in to correct that. The Steelers have a big, man-blocking line and Haley prefers the committee approach. With Rashard Mendenhall recovering from a torn ACL, Isaac Redman will get a heavy workload early in the season. Jonathan Dwyer figures to take a chunk of the early down reps. Redman can handle third down duties, though Baron Batch could push him for that role. In the passing game, expect a lot of three-receiver sets and spread principles, with Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown on the outside and Emmanuel Sanders in the slot. Ben Roethlisberger s trademark is improvising and stretching out plays. Wallace might more often be the primary target, but Brown has shown more of an ability to shake open once the play breaks down. TE Heath Miller often stays in to protect. When the Steelers throw near the goal line, it s often play-action to someone in the middle of the field (Miller or the slot receiver, possibly Sanders now). The Steelers were tied for ninth in the league in sacks despite a rash of injuries to their linebackers. Although they forced an NFL-low 15 turnovers in 2011, Pittsburgh still led the league in scoring defense and yardage defense the 2012 schedule is kind enough to allow for a repeat of these numbers. Lawrence Timmons numbers were down last year because of a move to outside linebacker for about a third of the season. He ll play inside full time in 2012, and his numbers could revert closer to where they were in Troy Polamalu, meanwhile, looked a half-step slow by the end of last season due to all the nagging injuries he s been dealing with. He appears to finally be on the decline OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 0 vs TEN W L (-6) U (36) 9/20 at CHI L L (-3) U (38) 9/27 at CIN L L (-3) O (36½) 10/4 vs SDG W W (-5½) O (43) 10/11 at DET W L (-11) O (44) 10/18 vs CLE W L (-13½) O (37½) 10/25 vs MIN W W (-6) U (46½) 11/9 at DEN W W (-3) U (41) 11/15 vs CIN L L (-7) U (41½) 11/22 at KAN L L (-11) O (39½) 11/29 at BAL L W (+7½) O (34½) 12/6 vs OAK L L (-15) O (37) 12/10 at CLE L 6-13 L (-10) U (34) 12/20 vs GNB W L (-3) O (42) 12/27 vs BAL W P (-3) P (43) 1/3 at MIA W W (-3) O (45) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs ATL W 15-9 W (+1) U (39) 9 at TEN W W (+6) U (37) 9/26 at TAM W W (-3) O (33½) 10/3 vs BAL L L (-2½) U (34) 10/17 vs CLE W W (-14) O (37) 10/24 at MIA W L (-3) O (40) 10/31 at NOR L L (+1) U (44½) 11/8 at CIN W W (-5) O (41½) 11/14 vs NWE L L (-4) O (45) 11/21 vs OAK W 35-3 W (-7) U (41) 11/28 at BUF W L (-6½) U (43½) 12/5 at BAL W W (+3) U (38½) 12/12 vs CIN W 23-7 W (-8) U (40) 12/19 vs NYJ L L (-3) O (36) 12/23 vs CAR W 27-3 W (-14) U (37) 1/2 at CLE W 41-9 W (-6) O (37½) StatFox Power Rating: 25 (#9 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 4.99 (#7 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (31st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (24th toughest) 2011 Record: 12 5 (+4.65 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 10 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -13 T28 Points Scored 20.3 T21 1st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 15 T17 Sacks Allowed 42 T23 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 11 T24 Sacks 35 T17 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at BAL L 7-35 L (+1) O (37) 8 vs SEA W 24-0 W (-13½) U (40) 9/25 at IND W L (-10½) O (40) 10/2 at HOU L L (+4) U (46½) 10/9 vs TEN W W (-3) O (40) 10/16 vs JAC W L (-12) U (40) 10/23 at ARI W W (-4) O (46) 10/30 vs NWE W W (+3) U (51½) 11/6 vs BAL L L (-3) O (41½) 11/13 at CIN W W (-3) O (40½) 11/27 at KAN W 13-9 L (-11) U (41½) 12/4 vs CIN W 35-7 W (-7) U (43) 12/8 vs CLE W 14-3 L (-14) U (40) 12/19 at SFO L 3-20 L (+3) U (37) 12/24 vs STL W 27-0 W (-10) U (33½) 1/1 at CLE W 13-9 L (-7) U (33) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

18 AFC SOUTH HOUSTON TEXANS StatFox Power Rating: 25 (#9 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 4.99 (#7 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (30th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (26th toughest) 2011 Record: 11 7 (+1.3 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Miami at Jacksonville at Denver Tennessee at N.Y. Jets Green Bay Baltimore BYE Buffalo at Chicago Jacksonville at Detroit at Tennessee at New England Indianapolis Minnesota at Indianapolis Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging =5.65 yards/play the past 5 seasons. HOUSTON is 0-10 ATS vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game the past 5 seasons. HOUSTON is 7-1 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) the past 5 seasons. HOUSTON is 2-9 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=90 rushing yards/game the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at PIT L L (+6) O (44) 9/21 at TEN L L (+4½) O (40) 9/28 at JAC L W (+6½) O (43) 10/5 vs IND L W (+4½) O (48) 10/12 vs MIA W L (-3) O (44½) 10/19 vs DET W L (-11) O (48) 10/26 vs CIN W 35-6 W (-9) U (46) 11/2 at MIN L L (+5½) O (46½) 11/9 vs BAL L L (-3) O (44) 11/16 at IND L W (+7½) O (50½) 11/23 at CLE W 16-6 W (+3) U (49½) 12/1 vs JAC W W (-3) U (48½) 12/7 at GNB W W (+7) U (47½) 12/14 vs TEN W W (+3) U (45) 12/21 at OAK L L (-6½) U (43½) 12/28 vs CHI W W (-3) O (46) The Texans run the league s premier zone-blocking scheme, and they utilize it early and often. Last year, only the Tim Tebow Broncos were more run-heavy than Houston, who kept it on the ground even when quarterback Matt Schaub was healthy. Arian Foster still takes about 70 percent of the reps despite the emergence of Ben Tate. The Texans keep it run-heavy in the red zone, but they re much more likely to spell Foster with Tate in red zone situations. The Texans use a West Coast passing game that doesn t take a lot of chances downfield. Andre Johnson is the focal point, and they ll play him at numerous spots and are especially effective putting him in motion and creating mismatches. Owen Daniels should be healthier in his second year back from a torn ACL and is essentially the No. 2 receiver in this offense. Foster is used frequently in the screen game. When the Texans throw in the red zone, there is no clear-cut top option. Johnson usually draws a lot of attention, and Daniels led the team in red zone targets and catches. They ll go with two tight ends often near the goal line, and the second tight end (possibly Garrett Graham) will be targeted on the occasional play-action. Defensive coordinator Wade Phillips made dramatic improvements to this defense last year, but he also had better personnel to work with, especially in the secondary with newcomers Johnathan Joseph and Danieal Manning. Youngsters J.J. Watt and Connor Barwin are relentless pass rushers who create turnovers, and the team really didn t miss Mario Williams after he went down with a season-ending injury in October. Brian Cushing had a big year after moving inside in Phillips 3-4 defense. With the amount of blitzing Houston does, he ll continue to make life difficult for opposing quarterbacks OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs NYJ L 7-24 L (-4½) U (44½) 9/20 at TEN W W (+7) O (40½) 9/27 vs JAC L L (-4) O (47½) 10/4 vs OAK W 29-6 W (-8) U (42½) 10/11 at ARI L L (+6) U (50½) 10/18 at CIN W W (+3½) U (46) 10/25 vs SFO W P (-3) O (44½) 11/1 at BUF W W (-3) U (42) 11/8 at IND L W (+7½) U (50½) 11/23 vs TEN L L (-3½) U (48) 11/29 vs IND L L (+3) O (48½) 12/6 at JAC L L (-1) U (48) 12/13 vs SEA W 34-7 W (-7) U (45) 12/20 at STL W L (-14) U (43½) 12/27 at MIA W W (+1½) P (47) 1/3 vs NWE W L (-8) O (47) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs IND W W (+1) O (48) 9 at WAS W P (-3) O (43) 9/26 vs DAL L L (-2½) U (47½) 10/3 at OAK W W (-3) O (43) 10/10 vs NYG L L (-3) U (48) 10/17 vs KAN W L (-4½) O (45½) 11/1 at IND L L (+5) U (50½) 11/7 vs SDG L L (+3) O (50) 11/14 at JAC L L (pk) O (48) 11/21 at NYJ L W (+6½) O (46) 11/28 vs TEN W 20-0 W (-4½) U (46½) 12/2 at PHI L L (+8) O (51) 12/13 vs BAL L L (+3) O (47) 12/19 at TEN L L (+2) O (47) 12/26 at DEN L L (-1½) U (49) 1/2 vs JAC W W (-4½) O (48) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +7 T7 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 9 3 Sacks Allowed 33 T12 Att/Sack Sack Yards 190 T9 Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 33.6 T16 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 17 T13 Sacks 44 6 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs IND W 34-7 W (-8½) U (44) 8 at MIA W W (-3) U (47) 9/25 at NOR L L (+4) O (52) 10/2 vs PIT W W (-4) U (46½) 10/9 vs OAK L L (-4½) U (48) 10/16 at BAL L L (+6½) U (43½) 10/23 at TEN W 41-7 W (+3) O (44) 10/30 vs JAC W P (-10) U (41) 11/6 vs CLE W W (-10½) U (42½) 11/13 at TAM W 37-9 W (-3) O (45½) 11/27 at JAC W W (-6) U (37) 12/4 vs ATL W W (+2) U (38) 12/11 at CIN W W (+3) O (37½) 12/18 vs CAR L L (-5) U (45) 12/22 at IND L L (-6½) U (40½) 1/1 vs TEN L W (+2½) O (38½) 18 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

19 AFC SOUTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS at Chicago Minnesota Jacksonville BYE Green Bay at N.Y. Jets Cleveland at Tennessee Miami at Jacksonville at New England Buffalo at Detroit Tennessee at Houston at Kansas City Houston Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS INDIANAPOLIS is 0-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the past 2 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 13-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game the past 5 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 13-3 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging =4.5 rushing yards/carry the past 5 seasons. INDIANAPOLIS is 2-8 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs CHI L L (-10½) U (42½) 4 at MIN W W (pk) U (43½) 9/21 vs JAC L L (-4) O (41½) 10/5 at HOU W L (-4½) O (48) 10/12 vs BAL W 31-3 W (-4) U (39) 10/19 at GNB L L (-2½) O (46½) at TEN L L (+3½) O (41) 11/2 vs NWE W L (-6½) U (44) 11/9 at PIT W W (+3) O (39) 11/16 vs HOU W L (-7½) O (50½) 11/23 at SDG W W (+3) U (49½) 0 at CLE W 10-6 P (-4) U (44) 12/7 vs CIN W 35-3 W (-13½) U (41½) 12/14 vs DET W L (-16½) O (45) 12/18 at JAC W W (-5) O (43½) 12/28 vs TEN W 23-0 W (+3) U (39½) There s been a lot of turnover with the Colts, and it should be evident in the new look of their running game. Indy will try to be much more physical up front as opposed to past years. It will be a huge adjustment for their smallish o-line. Delone Carter would seem to be a better fit for their new style than Donald Brown, but Brown s more wellrounded skill set will likely make this at least a time share. Carter seems likely to get the first crack at goal-line carries. Andrew Luck essentially ran his own offense at Stanford and did it with surprising balance. This passing attack will feature a lot of timing routes and the Colts figure to install a two-tight end base after drafting Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen in the top 70. Fleener may be their top deep threat, stretching the middle of the field for Reggie Wayne, who will be Luck s No. 1 target. The Colts don t have the line to really get a push in a short field, so they ll have to get creative near the goal line. Fleener and Wayne are both capable red zone targets. The Colts defense was atrocious in 2011, and they could be just as bad this season. This is a unit with a bunch of holes to patch up, and Indy focused more on offensive improvements in the draft. Dwight Freeney will shift to outside linebacker this season with Indy switching to a 3-4 under new defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano he should be an effective pass rusher as long as he remains healthy. The undersized Pat Angerer made a lot of tackles last season after moving to middle LB in Week 2, and he ll be the team s primary run-stopper in Pagano s 3-4. Antoine Bethea is more effective in run support than he is in pass coverage, and his contributions will be key playing behind an undermanned front seven that will be transitioning to a new scheme OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs JAC W L (-6) U (45) 9/21 at MIA W W (-3) O (41) 9/27 at ARI W W (+3) U (48½) 10/4 vs SEA W W (-10) O (43) 10/11 at TEN W 31-9 W (-3) U (44) 10/25 at STL W 42-6 W (-14) O (45) 11/1 vs SFO W L (-12½) U (45) 11/8 vs HOU W L (-7½) U (50½) 11/15 vs NWE W L (-3) O (48½) 11/22 at BAL W W (-1) U (44½) 11/29 at HOU W W (-3) O (48½) 12/6 vs TEN W W (-6) U (47) 12/13 vs DEN W W (-6½) O (43½) 12/17 at JAC W W (-3) O (43) 12/27 vs NYJ L L (-3) O (40½) 1/3 at BUF L 7-30 L (+7½) O (32) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at HOU L L (-1) O (48) 9 vs NYG W W (-4½) O (48) 9/26 at DEN W W (-6) U (47) 10/3 at JAC L L (-6½) O (45½) 10/10 vs KAN W 19-9 W (-7) U (46) 10/17 at WAS W P (-3) O (44) 11/1 vs HOU W W (-5) U (50½) 11/7 at PHI L W (+3) O (46½) 11/14 vs CIN W L (-7) U (47) 11/21 at NWE L W (+4) O (49) 11/28 vs SDG L L (-1½) P (50) 12/5 vs DAL L L (-5½) O (48) 12/9 at TEN W L (-3) O (44) 12/19 vs JAC W W (-4) O (48) 12/26 at OAK W W (-2) O (46) 1/2 vs TEN W L (-8½) U (48) StatFox Power Rating: 14 (#28 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#31 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (13th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (15th toughest) 2011 Record: 2 14 (-7.85 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -12 T26 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 14 T12 Sacks Allowed 35 T15 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 8 T31 Sacks 29 T27 Att/Sack Sack Yards 192 T OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at HOU L 7-34 L (+8½) U (44) 8 vs CLE L L (+1½) O (39) 9/25 vs PIT L W (+10½) O (40) 10/3 at TAM L W (+10) O (40) 10/9 vs KAN L L (-1½) O (37½) 10/16 at CIN L L (+5) O (40½) 10/23 at NOR L 7-62 L (+13½) O (49) 10/30 at TEN L L (+7½) U (43½) 11/6 vs ATL L 7-31 L (+6½) U (44½) 11/13 vs JAC L 3-17 L (+3) U (37½) 11/27 vs CAR L L (+3) P (46) 12/4 at NWE L W (+20) O (48) 12/11 at BAL L W (+16) U (41½) 12/18 vs TEN W W (+6½) U (41½) 12/22 vs HOU W W (+6½) U (40½) 1/1 at JAC L L (+3) U (36½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

20 AFC SOUTH JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS StatFox Power Rating: 16 (#21 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#24 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (16th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (16th toughest) 2011 Record: 5 11 (-3.45 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at Minnesota Houston at Indianapolis Cincinnati Chicago BYE at Oakland at Green Bay Detroit Indianapolis at Houston Tennessee at Buffalo N.Y. Jets at Miami New England at Tennessee Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS JACKSONVILLE is 4-10 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) the past 5 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 4-12 ATS off a loss against a division rival the past 5 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 9-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing =350 yards/game the past 2 seasons. JACKSONVILLE is 2-7 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 175 or less passing yards/game. the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at TEN L L (-3) U (37) 4 vs BUF L L (-4) U (37) 9/21 at IND W W (+4) O (41½) 9/28 vs HOU W L (-6½) O (43) 10/5 vs PIT L L (-5½) O (38) 10/12 at DEN W W (+3) U (48) 10/26 vs CLE L L (-7) U (41½) 11/2 at CIN L L (-7) P (40) 11/9 at DET W W (-6) O (43) 11/16 vs TEN L L (+2½) U (39½) 11/23 vs MIN L L (-2) O (41½) 12/1 at HOU L L (+3) U (48½) 12/7 at CHI L L (+6½) U (40) 12/14 vs GNB W W (+3) U (45½) 12/18 vs IND L L (+5) O (43½) 12/28 at BAL L 7-27 L (+10½) U (37½) There doesn t figure to be a lot of change to the Jaguars running game. New head coach Mike Mularkey has always piloted run-heavy offenses, and he retained veteran offensive line coach Andy Heck. They ll continue to use a zone-blocking scheme and run a lot of stretch plays with Maurice Jones-Drew. Mularkey has always used a one-back system, so Jones-Drew should continue to carry a huge workload with Rashad Jennings picking up the scraps. Mularkey always skewed run-heavy in the red zone, and it makes sense with this personnel. With QB Blaine Gabbert, Mularkey will try to build his confidence with high-percentage throws. Gabbert has a poor sense of the pocket, but he was especially uncomfortable turning his back in play-action situations, something he won t do as much of this season. He ll also have simplified reads and quicker throws. Rookie Justin Blackmon is a perfect fit in this offense as a catch-and-run guy; he and Laurent Robinson should be 1 and 1A in targets. Mularkey, like departed offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter, uses tight ends frequently in the passing game, which is good news for Marcedes Lewis. The Jags saw an uptick in every category on the defensive end last season, as the defense was the team s strength. DL Jeremy Mincey was paid handsomely (4 years, $27.2M) after racking up an impressive 12 sacks and 81 total tackles in 24 games as a starter. LB Paul Posluszny posted big tackle numbers in his first season with the Jags, the question is whether he can remain healthy enough to string together two straight 16-game seasons for the first time in his career. LB Daryl Smith played primarily strong side for the first time in 2011 and was his typically solid self. Safety Dawan Landry doesn t provide much in terms of pass coverage, but he s a strong tackler OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at IND L W (+6) U (45) 9/20 vs ARI L L (-3) O (44) 9/27 at HOU W W (+4) O (47½) 10/4 vs TEN W W (+3) O (42) 10/11 at SEA L 0-41 L (+2) U (44) 10/18 vs STL W L (-9½) O (42) 11/1 at TEN L L (+3) U (44) 11/8 vs KAN W L (-7) O (41½) 11/15 at NYJ W W (+6½) O (40½) 11/22 vs BUF W L (-8½) U (41) 11/29 at SFO L 3-20 L (+3) U (42) 12/6 vs HOU W W (+1) U (48) 12/13 vs MIA L L (-2) U (43) 12/17 vs IND L L (+3) O (43) 12/27 at NWE L 7-35 L (+9) U (44½) 1/3 at CLE L L (+2) O (35) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs DEN W W (-3) U (41½) 9 at SDG L L (+7) O (45) 9/26 vs PHI L 3-28 L (+3) U (44½) 10/3 vs IND W W (+6½) O (45½) 10/10 at BUF W W (+3) O (41½) 10/18 vs TEN L 3-30 L (+3) U (43½) 10/24 at KAN L L (+9) O (39½) 10/31 at DAL W W (+6½) O (43½) 11/14 vs HOU W W (pk) O (48) 11/21 vs CLE W W (-3) O (43) 11/28 at NYG L W (+7½) O (43) 12/5 at TEN W 17-6 W (+3) U (43½) 12/12 vs OAK W W (-3) O (41½) 12/19 at IND L L (+4) O (48) 12/26 vs WAS L L (-7) U (45½) 1/2 at HOU L L (+4½) O (48) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +5 9 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 29.3 T28 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 15 T17 Sacks Allowed 44 T25 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 17 T13 Sacks 31 T25 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs TEN W W (+1) U (38) 8 at NYJ L 3-32 L (+8) U (38) 9/25 at CAR L L (+3) U (43) 10/2 vs NOR L L (+8) U (45) 10/9 vs CIN L L (+2½) O (36½) 10/16 at PIT L W (+12) U (40) 10/24 vs BAL W 12-7 W (+10) U (38½) 10/30 at HOU L P (+10) U (41) 11/13 at IND W 17-3 W (-3) U (37½) 11/20 at CLE L L (+1½) U (34½) 11/27 vs HOU L L (+6) U (37) 12/5 vs SDG L L (+3) O (40) 12/11 vs TAM W W (+3) O (42) 12/15 at ATL L L (+13) O (41) 12/24 at TEN L W (+7½) O (38½) 1/1 vs IND W W (-3) U (36½) 20 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

21 AFC SOUTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 TENNESSEE TITANS New England at San Diego Detroit at Houston at Minnesota Pittsburgh at Buffalo Indianapolis Chicago at Miami BYE at Jacksonville Houston at Indianapolis N.Y. Jets at Green Bay Jacksonville Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season the past 3 seasons. TENNESSEE is 11-4 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing =130 rushing yards/game the past 5 seasons. TENNESSEE is 12-4 ATS in non-conference games the past 5 seasons. TENNESSEE is 3-8 ATS after a win by 10 or more points the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs JAC W W (+3) U (37) 4 at CIN W 24-7 W (-1) U (37) 9/21 vs HOU W W (-4½) O (40) 9/28 vs MIN W W (-3) O (34½) 10/5 at BAL W W (-1) U (33½) 10/19 at KAN W W (-8½) O (35) vs IND W W (-3½) O (41) 11/2 vs GNB W P (-3) U (41) 11/9 at CHI W W (-3) U (37) 11/16 at JAC W W (-2½) U (39½) 11/23 vs NYJ L L (-5½) O (41) 11/27 at DET W W (-10½) O (44) 12/7 vs CLE W 28-9 W (-13½) O (36½) 12/14 at HOU L L (-3) U (45) 12/21 vs PIT W W (+3) O (34) 12/28 at IND L 0-23 L (-3) U (39½) The Titans are encouraged by what they deemed a productive offseason for RB Chris Johnson. They use a lot of two-tight end sets and still use a fullback to open things up for him. Javon Ringer will come in on every third or fourth series. The Titans get the ball downfield aggressively, something that didn t change whether it was Matt Hasselbeck or Jake Locker under center. Kenny Britt is the first look, with Nate Washington not far behind. Jared Cook is often used to stretch the middle of the field. Rookie Kendall Wright was brought in to provide a deep threat in the slot, though he may be used underneath as well for spacing purposes. The Titans also reintroduced the screen game last year, giving them another way to get Johnson the ball. The Titans often go into the red zone with the idea of running it, but they get easily frustrated after one busted play and ended up one of the league s most pass-heavy red zone teams. Defensive line coach Jim Washburn and DE Jason Babin leaving before last season was a big reason Tennessee finished with the second-fewest sacks in the NFL in A lot is going to be asked of LB Colin McCarthy, who was a monster after moving into the starting lineup, recording 50 solo tackles over eight games as a rookie. The secondary took a hit this year with the departure of CB Cortland Finnegan and contract dispute with franchise player S Michael Griffin. Tennessee will be looking for projected starting CBs Jason McCourty and Alterraun Verner to step up. McCourty led defensive backs in solo tackles in 2011, and opposing quarterbacks may target him even more often now that he ll be matched up with many opposing No. 1 WRs. Verner has 102 total tackles (86 solo) in 15 career starts and would seem to be the more attractive target for opposing QBs OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 0 at PIT L W (+6) U (36) 9/20 vs HOU L L (-7) O (40½) 9/27 at NYJ L L (+1) O (36) 10/4 at JAC L L (-3) O (42) 10/11 vs IND L 9-31 L (+3) U (44) 10/18 at NWE L 0-59 L (+9) O (39) 11/1 vs JAC W W (-3) U (44) 11/8 at SFO W W (+4) O (40½) 11/15 vs BUF W W (-7½) O (40½) 11/23 at HOU W W (+3½) U (48) 11/29 vs ARI W P (-3) U (44) 12/6 at IND L L (+6) U (47) 12/13 vs STL W 47-7 W (-14) O (40) 12/20 vs MIA W L (-5) O (42½) 12/25 vs SDG L L (-2) O (47½) 1/3 at SEA W L (-5½) U (46) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs OAK W W (-6½) O (39½) 9 vs PIT L L (-6) U (37) 9/26 at NYG W W (+3) U (43) 10/3 vs DEN L L (-6) O (43½) 10/10 at DAL W W (+6½) O (43½) 10/18 at JAC W 30-3 W (-3) U (43½) 10/24 vs PHI W W (-3) O (41) 10/31 at SDG L L (+6) O (45) 11/14 at MIA L L (+1½) O (43) 11/21 vs WAS L L (-7) U (44) 11/28 at HOU L 0-20 L (+4½) U (46½) 12/5 vs JAC L 6-17 L (-3) U (43½) 12/9 vs IND L W (+3) O (44) 12/19 vs HOU W W (-2) O (47) 12/26 at KAN L L (+4) O (42½) 1/2 at IND L W (+8½) U (48) StatFox Power Rating: 18 (#19 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#20 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (32nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (5th toughest) 2011 Record: 9 7 (+0.4 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +1 T13 Points Scored 20.3 T21 1st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 14 T12 Sacks Allowed 24 T2 Att/Sack Sack Yards 190 T9 Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game T18 Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 11 T24 Sacks Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at JAC L L (-1) U (38) 8 vs BAL W W (+5½) O (38½) 9/25 vs DEN W L (-7) U (42) 10/2 at CLE W W (+1½) O (37½) 10/9 at PIT L L (+3) O (40) 10/23 vs HOU L 7-41 L (-3) O (44) 10/30 vs IND W W (-7½) U (43½) 11/6 vs CIN L L (-3) P (41) 11/13 at CAR W 30-3 W (+3) U (47½) 11/20 at ATL L P (+6) U (44) 11/27 vs TAM W W (-3) U (43) 12/4 at BUF W W (+1) U (44) 12/11 vs NOR L L (+3) U (47½) 12/18 at IND L L (-6½) U (41½) 12/24 vs JAC W L (-7½) O (38½) 1/1 at HOU W L (-2½) O (38½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

22 AFC WEST DENVER BRONCOS StatFox Power Rating: 13 (#30 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#25 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (6th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (6th toughest) 2011 Record: 9 9 (+3.35 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Pittsburgh at Atlanta Houston Oakland at New England at San Diego BYE New Orleans at Cincinnati at Carolina San Diego at Kansas City Tampa Bay at Oakland at Baltimore Cleveland Kansas City Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS DENVER is 3-19 ATS vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better the past 5 seasons. DENVER is 7-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the past 5 seasons. DENVER is 1-8 ATS after playing on Monday night football the past 5 seasons. DENVER is 5-17 ATS off a road loss the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL at OAK W W (-3) O (40) 4 vs SDG W L (-1½) O (46½) 9/21 vs NOR W L (-5½) O (51½) 9/28 at KAN L L (-8) O (47) 10/5 vs TAM W L (-3½) U (47) 10/12 vs JAC L L (-3) U (48) at NWE L 7-41 L (+3) O (47½) 11/2 vs MIA L L (-4) U (50) 11/6 at CLE W W (+3) O (46) 11/16 at ATL W W (+6½) U (51) 11/23 vs OAK L L (-8½) U (44) 0 at NYJ W W (+8) O (48) 12/7 vs KAN W L (-9) U (49½) 12/14 at CAR L L (+7) U (46½) 12/21 vs BUF L L (-6) O (46½) 12/28 at SDG L L (+7) O (50) This entire offense will obviously be revamped going from Tim Tebow to Peyton Manning. Willis McGahee will have an adjustment to make. He benefitted from the threat of Tebow last year, but was mediocre in traditional sets and put the ball on the ground far too much. Rookie Ronnie Hillman could push him on early downs and also see a good portion of the reps on third down. Peyton Manning s passing game is all about feel; it s a lot of option routes and adjustments at the line of scrimmage. Demaryius Thomas is his most gifted receiver, but he ll have a major adjustment to make after playing in a triple-option offense in college, then Tebow s zone-read in his first significant NFL action. Eric Decker, who has experience in pro style offenses, should be able to pick this up more quickly. The Broncos figure to use two tight ends often, with Joel Dreessen blocking while Jacob Tamme plays more H-back and occasional slot as a receiver. The Broncos first option will be to throw it in the red zone. During his time in Indy, Manning would go to the line with a passing play and audible to a run only if needed. John Fox certainly made his mark on the defense in his first year as Denver s head coach. The healthy return of Elvis Dumervil to partner with Von Miller forms a potent pass-rushing LB tandem. After missing 2010 with a torn pectoral muscle, Dumervil took a while to adjust to Denver s new 4-3 scheme. He had all 9.5 of his sacks in November/ December, showing he s very capable of returning to his 2009 form. Miller isn t consistent against the run, but he is a 15-sack threat. He struggled late last year, with just two total tackles and zero sacks over the final three weeks, but that can likely be chalked up to him hitting the rookie wall OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at CIN W 12-7 W (+5) U (41) 9/20 vs CLE W 27-6 W (-3) U (39½) 9/27 at OAK W 23-3 W (-2½) U (38) 10/4 vs DAL W W (+3) U (44) 10/11 vs NWE W W (+3) U (41) 10/19 at SDG W W (+3) O (44½) 11/1 at BAL L 7-30 L (+4½) U (42½) 11/9 vs PIT L L (+3) U (41) 11/15 at WAS L L (-3) O (35½) 11/22 vs SDG L 3-32 L (+6) U (41½) 11/26 vs NYG W 26-6 W (+4½) U (43½) 12/6 at KAN W W (-5) O (38½) 12/13 at IND L L (+6½) O (43½) 12/20 vs OAK L L (-13½) O (37) 12/27 at PHI L W (+7) O (43½) 1/3 vs KAN L L (-9) O (38) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at JAC L L (+3) U (41½) 9 vs SEA W W (-3) O (41) 9/26 vs IND L L (+6) U (47) 10/3 at TEN W W (+6) O (43½) 10/10 at BAL L L (+8) O (39½) 10/17 vs NYJ L L (+3) O (42½) 10/24 vs OAK L L (-7) O (43) 10/31 vs SFO L L (+2) U (41) 11/14 vs KAN W W (+1) O (44½) 11/22 at SDG L L (+8½) U (50) 11/28 vs STL L L (-3) O (46½) 12/5 at KAN L 6-10 W (+8) U (48) 12/12 at ARI L L (-4) O (44½) 12/19 at OAK L L (+8) O (41½) 12/26 vs HOU W W (+1½) U (49) 1/2 vs SDG L W (+5½) O (47½) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -12 T26 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm 17.9 T20 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 13 T8 Sacks Allowed 42 T23 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 20.8 T18 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 9 T28 Sacks 41 T10 Att/Sack Sack Yards 283 T OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs OAK L L (-3) P (43) 8 vs CIN W L (-3) O (40½) 9/25 at TEN L W (+7) U (42) 10/2 at GNB L L (+12½) O (46½) 10/9 vs SDG L L (+3½) O (47½) 10/23 at MIA W W (-1) U (41½) 10/30 vs DET L L (+3) O (43½) 11/6 at OAK W W (+7) O (41) 11/13 at KAN W W (+3) U (42) vs NYJ W W (+6) U (38½) 11/27 at SDG W W (+4½) U (42½) 12/4 at MIN W W (+1½) O (37½) 12/11 vs CHI W P (-3) U (36) 12/18 vs NWE L L (+7) O (47½) 12/24 at BUF L L (-3) O (43½) 1/1 vs KAN L 3-7 L (-2) U (37) 22 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

23 AFC WEST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS Atlanta at Buffalo at New Orleans San Diego Baltimore at Tampa Bay BYE Oakland at San Diego at Pittsburgh Cincinnati Denver Carolina at Cleveland at Oakland Indianapolis at Denver Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS KANSAS CITY is 16-3 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse the past 5 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS off a road loss the past 2 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS after a 2 game road trip the past 5 seasons. KANSAS CITY is 20-7 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at NWE L W (+16½) U (43½) 4 vs OAK L 8-23 L (-3) U (36) 9/21 at ATL L L (+6) O (37½) 9/28 vs DEN W W (+8) O (47) 10/5 at CAR L 0-34 L (+9½) U (38) 10/19 vs TEN L L (+8½) O (35) 10/26 at NYJ L W (+14) O (40½) 11/2 vs TAM L W (+9½) O (37) 11/9 at SDG L W (+15) U (46½) 11/16 vs NOR L L (+6) U (50½) 11/23 vs BUF L L (+3) O (43½) 0 at OAK W W (+3) U (41) 12/7 at DEN L W (+9) U (49½) 12/14 vs SDG L W (+6) O (41½) 12/21 vs MIA L L (+3) O (37) 12/28 at CIN L 6-16 L (+1) U (40) New offensive coordinator Brian Daboll and offensive line coach Jack Bicknell Jr. are versed in power blocking, but they apparently lured RT Eric Winston from Houston by promising more of a zone scheme. RB Jamaal Charles is the starter as soon as he proves he s healthy, though Peyton Hillis should take at least a third of the reps at tailback and could be closer to a 50/50 split if Charles is slow to recover from his torn ACL. Under Daboll, things should be opened up a little more for QB Matt Cassel this year. K.C. will spread things out and go with more quick throws. Dwayne Bowe remains the No. 1 target while Steve Breaston is more of a catch-and-run guy who could thrive in this offense. He ll slide to the slot with Jonathan Baldwin playing outside when they go three-wide. Tony Moeaki will see his role scaled back slightly with the use of more three-wide sets. The backs will be used frequently as check-down options. The Chiefs 2011 defense was unspectacular, experiencing a drop in production across the board except for six more interceptions than in Kansas City does have some upside with a talented and blossoming defensive line and pass-rushing LB Tamba Hali (12 sacks in 2011). LB Derrick Johnson is a solid run-stopper on the inside who has been excellent since the arrival of coordinator Romeo Crennel. He was one of four NFL linebackers to reach triple digits in solo tackles in The most promising development in regards to this defense for 2012 is the fact that young star strong safety Eric Berry s knee should be 100 percent after he missed essentially all of 2011 once he tore his ACL in the season opener. He s excellent in pass coverage and able to contribute in run support OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at BAL L L (+13) O (37) 9/20 vs OAK L L (-1) U (40) 9/27 at PHI L L (+7½) O (39) 10/4 vs NYG L L (+9) P (43) 10/11 vs DAL L W (+7) O (43½) 10/18 at WAS W 14-6 W (+6½) U (36½) 10/25 vs SDG L 7-37 L (+6) P (44) 11/8 at JAC L W (+7) O (41½) 11/15 at OAK W W (+3) U (36½) 11/22 vs PIT W W (+11) O (39½) 11/29 at SDG L L (+13) O (44½) 12/6 vs DEN L L (+5) O (38½) 12/13 vs BUF L L (+3) U (38½) 12/20 vs CLE L L (-2) O (39) 12/27 at CIN L W (+13) U (39½) 1/3 at DEN W W (+9) O (38) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs SDG W W (+4) U (45½) 9 at CLE W W (+3) U (38) 9/26 vs SFO W W (+3) O (38) 10/10 at IND L 9-19 L (+7) U (46) 10/17 at HOU L W (+4½) O (45½) 10/24 vs JAC W W (-9) O (39½) 10/31 vs BUF W L (-7) U (45½) 11/7 at OAK L L (-1½) O (41) 11/14 at DEN L L (-1) O (44½) 11/21 vs ARI W W (-7) U (45) 11/28 at SEA W W (-1½) O (45½) 12/5 vs DEN W 10-6 L (-8) U (48) 12/12 at SDG L 0-31 L (+10) U (45½) 12/19 at STL W W (+3) U (43) 12/26 vs TEN W W (-4) O (42½) 1/2 vs OAK L L (-4) U (42½) StatFox Power Rating: 16 (#21 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#22 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (18th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (30th toughest) 2011 Record: 7 9 (+2.15 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 12 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm 17.3 T26 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 18.7 T23 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 18 T23 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm 18.2 T9 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 20 T6 Sacks 29 T27 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs BUF L 7-41 L (-4) O (39½) 8 at DET L 3-48 L (+7½) O (44½) 9/25 at SDG L W (+14½) U (44½) 10/2 vs MIN W W (+3) U (40) 10/9 at IND W W (+1½) O (37½) 10/23 at OAK W 28-0 W (+3) U (41) 10/31 vs SDG W W (+3) U (44½) 11/6 vs MIA L 3-31 L (-5½) U (40½) 11/13 vs DEN L L (-3) U (42) 11/21 at NWE L 3-34 L (+17) U (46½) 11/27 vs PIT L 9-13 W (+11) U (41½) 12/4 at CHI W 10-3 W (+9) U (35½) 12/11 at NYJ L L (+10½) O (35½) 12/18 vs GNB W W (+11½) U (46) 12/24 vs OAK L L (-3) U (43) 1/1 at DEN W 7-3 W (+2) U (37) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

24 AFC WEST OAKLAND RAIDERS StatFox Power Rating: 16 (#21 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#26 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (17th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (28th toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (+0.2 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 San Diego at Miami Pittsburgh at Denver BYE at Atlanta Jacksonville at Kansas City Tampa Bay at Baltimore New Orleans at Cincinnati Cleveland Denver Kansas City at Carolina at San Diego Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) the past 5 seasons. OAKLAND is 13-5 ATS versus division opponents the past 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 1-9 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - allowing =6 yards/play the past 5 seasons. OAKLAND is 4-10 ATS off a home win the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL vs DEN L L (+3) O (40) 4 at KAN W 23-8 W (+3) U (36) 9/21 at BUF L W (+10) O (37) 9/28 vs SDG L L (+8) P (46) 10/12 at NOR L 3-34 L (+7) U (47) 10/19 vs NYJ W W (+3) U (41) 10/26 at BAL L L (+8) O (34½) 11/2 vs ATL L 0-24 L (+3) U (41) 11/9 vs CAR L 6-17 L (+10) U (37½) 11/16 at MIA L W (+10) U (37½) 11/23 at DEN W W (+8½) U (44) 0 vs KAN L L (-3) U (41) 12/4 at SDG L 7-34 L (+9) P (41) 12/14 vs NWE L L (+7) O (38) 12/21 vs HOU W W (+6½) U (43½) 12/28 at TAM W W (+11) O (39½) After switching back to a power-blocking scheme last year, the Raiders are going back to the zone-blocking scheme they used with success in the Tom Cable years they still have the line to do it. Darren McFadden was better in last year s power-blocking scheme, but he s had success in the one-cut system. His backups, Mike Goodson and Taiwan Jones, are both one-cut runners. They ll ride McFadden as a three-down back until he gets hurt again. Offensive coordinator Greg Knapp prefers a catch-and-run West Coast passing game to the vertical attack the Raiders ran during the Al Davis years. Considering his fading arm strength, quarterback Carson Palmer should benefit. His receivers, however, don t really fit the West Coast mold Darrius Heyward-Bey, Denarius Moore and Jacoby Ford are all primarily deep threats. In the end, there could be a ton of passes going to McFadden. The Raiders were woeful on defense in They should benefit from the return of DE Matt Shaughnessy, whose 2011 season was cut very short by a shoulder injury. With a quick first step and long arms that allow him to fight off blocks, he ll not only produce from the starting RDE spot in 2012, but he ll draw attention away from Richard Seymour, who struggled without Shaughnessy on the field. Rolando McClain will be Oakland s starting middle LB in new head coach Dennis Allen s defense, but that s only if he avoids suspension and jail time McClain is appealing a 180-day jail sentence he received in May after being found guilty on assault charges. About the only good thing that can be said about that secondary is that safety Tyvon Branch is a solid run-stopper. The Raiders are severely lacking in talent when it comes to pass coverage OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 4 vs SDG L W (+10) O (42½) 9/20 at KAN W W (+1) U (40) 9/27 vs DEN L 3-23 L (+2½) U (38) 10/4 at HOU L 6-29 L (+8) U (42½) 10/11 at NYG L 7-44 L (+15) O (38) 10/18 vs PHI W 13-9 W (+14) U (40½) 10/25 vs NYJ L 0-38 L (+6) O (34) 11/1 at SDG L W (+15½) U (41½) 11/15 vs KAN L L (-3) U (36½) 11/22 vs CIN W W (+8½) O (36) 11/26 at DAL L 7-24 L (+13½) U (40½) 12/6 at PIT W W (+15) O (37) 12/13 vs WAS L L (+2½) O (37) 12/20 at DEN W W (+13½) O (37) 12/27 at CLE L 9-23 L (+3) U (37) 1/3 vs BAL L W (+10) U (39½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at TEN L L (+6½) O (39½) 9 vs STL W L (-3) U (37½) 9/26 at ARI L W (+5½) O (39) 10/3 vs HOU L L (+3) O (43) 10/10 vs SDG W W (+7) O (44) 10/17 at SFO L 9-17 L (+7½) U (41) 10/24 at DEN W W (+7) O (43) 10/31 vs SEA W 33-3 W (-2) U (40) 11/7 vs KAN W W (+1½) O (41) 11/21 at PIT L 3-35 L (+7) U (41) 11/28 vs MIA L L (-3) O (38) 12/5 at SDG W W (+13) U (45) 12/12 at JAC L L (+3) O (41½) 12/19 vs DEN W W (-8) O (41½) 12/26 vs IND L L (+2) O (46) 1/2 at KAN W W (+4) U (42½) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 23 T27 Sacks Allowed 25 T4 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 20.3 T15 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions Sacks 39 T15 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at DEN W W (+3) P (43) 8 at BUF L W (+3½) O (41) 9/25 vs NYJ W W (+3) O (41) 10/2 vs NWE L L (+6) U (55½) 10/9 at HOU W W (+4½) U (48) 10/16 vs CLE W W (-6½) U (45) 10/23 vs KAN L 0-28 L (-3) U (41) 11/6 vs DEN L L (-7) O (41) at SDG W W (+7) U (47½) 11/20 at MIN W W (+2) O (46½) 11/27 vs CHI W W (-3) O (40½) 12/4 at MIA L L (+3) O (43) 12/11 at GNB L L (+11½) O (50) 12/18 vs DET L W (+3) O (47½) 12/24 at KAN W W (+3) U (43) 1/1 vs SDG L L (-2½) O (50) 24 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

25 AFC WEST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS at Oakland Tennessee Atlanta at Kansas City at New Orleans Denver BYE at Cleveland Kansas City at Tampa Bay at Denver Baltimore Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Carolina at N.Y. Jets Oakland Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS SAN DIEGO is 8-3 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) the past 3 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 8-3 ATS off a home loss the past 5 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS in December games the past 5 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 2-7 ATS in September games the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs CAR L L (-8½) O (40½) 4 at DEN L W (+1½) O (46½) vs NYJ W W (-8) O (46½) 9/28 at OAK W W (-8) P (46) 10/5 at MIA L L (-5½) U (44½) 10/12 vs NWE W W (-6) U (45) 10/19 at BUF L L (-1) U (45) 10/26 vs NOR L L (-3) O (46) 11/9 vs KAN W L (-15) U (46½) 11/16 at PIT L W (+4) U (40) 11/23 vs IND L L (-3) U (49½) 0 vs ATL L L (-6½) U (48) 12/4 vs OAK W 34-7 W (-9) P (41) 12/14 at KAN W L (-6) O (41½) 12/21 at TAM W W (+4) O (42) 12/28 vs DEN W W (-7) O (50) Offensive line coach Hal Hunter picks up the offensive coordinator title after Clarence Shelmon s retirement, but this remains head coach Norv Turner s offense. They want to establish the power running game between the tackles, though Ryan Mathews gives them the versatility to mix in some zone blocking as well. With Mike Tolbert gone, newly acquired veterans Ronnie Brown and Le Ron McClain will pick up some carries. While Mathews figures to play a lot of the red zone snaps, McClain may step in on the goal line. Turner is an Air Coryell disciple who gets the ball downfield. Protection issues were at the root of Philip Rivers mid-season struggles in 2011, but they seem to have gotten things straightened out with Jared Gaither stepping in at left tackle. Rivers reads deepto-short, with Robert Meachem taking over for Vincent Jackson as the primary deep target. Antonio Gates will continue to run a lot of intermediate crossing routes as the No. 2 option, with Malcom Floyd occasionally targeted as a deep threat. When they throw in the red zone, Gates is overwhelmingly the top target. The Chargers defense experienced quite a drop-off in production last season, allowing 75 more yards per game than in They brought in some solid veterans to help in 2012, but no real game-changers. First-round draft pick DE Melvin Ingram will need some seasoning before he becomes an elite pass rusher. Safety Eric Weddle now plays more of a centerfield role rather than downhill in the box. This reduced his production in the tackle department and seemed to hurt the San Diego run defense a bit last season, but Weddle s seven interceptions in 2011 were more than he had in his previous four seasons combined OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 4 at OAK W L (-10) O (42½) 9/20 vs BAL L L (-1) O (41) 9/27 vs MIA W W (-5) U (45) 10/4 at PIT L L (+5½) O (43) 10/19 vs DEN L L (-3) O (44½) 10/25 at KAN W 37-7 W (-6) P (44) 11/1 vs OAK W L (-15½) U (41½) 11/8 at NYG W W (+5) U (48½) 11/15 vs PHI W W (-1) O (47) 11/22 at DEN W 32-3 W (-6) U (41½) 11/29 vs KAN W W (-13) O (44½) 12/6 at CLE W L (-13½) O (42½) 12/13 at DAL W W (+3½) U (49) 12/20 vs CIN W L (-6½) O (44) 12/25 at TEN W W (+2) O (47½) 1/3 vs WAS W P (-3) O (39) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at KAN L L (-4) U (45½) 9 vs JAC W W (-7) O (45) 9/26 at SEA L L (-3½) O (44) 10/3 vs ARI W W (-10) O (47) 10/10 at OAK L L (-7) O (44) 10/17 at STL L L (-8½) U (45) 10/24 vs NWE L L (-3) U (49) 10/31 vs TEN W W (-6) O (45) 11/7 at HOU W W (-3) O (50) 11/22 vs DEN W W (-8½) U (50) 11/28 at IND W W (+1½) P (50) 12/5 vs OAK L L (-13) U (45) 12/12 vs KAN W 31-0 W (-10) U (45½) 12/16 vs SFO W 34-7 W (-10) U (44½) 12/26 at CIN L L (-7½) O (43½) 1/2 at DEN W L (-5½) O (47½) StatFox Power Rating: 24 (#11 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 0.32 (#16 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (28th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (32nd toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (-3.15 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 8 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 20 T25 Sacks Allowed 30 8 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 17 T13 Sacks 32 T23 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs MIN W L (-9) U (44½) 8 at NWE L L (+6) O (53½) 9/25 vs KAN W L (-14½) U (44½) 10/2 vs MIA W W (-6½) U (45) 10/9 at DEN W W (-3½) O (47½) 10/23 at NYJ L L (-1) O (43½) 10/31 at KAN L L (-3) U (44½) 11/6 vs GNB L L (+5½) O (50) vs OAK L L (-7) U (47½) 11/20 at CHI L L (+4) O (45) 11/27 vs DEN L L (-4½) U (42½) 12/5 at JAC W W (-3) O (40) 12/11 vs BUF W W (-7) U (49½) 12/18 vs BAL W W (+1) O (45) 12/24 at DET L L (pk) U (52½) 1/1 at OAK W W (+2½) O (50) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

26 NFC EAST DALLAS COWBOYS StatFox Power Rating: 20 (#15 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.06 (#15 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (11st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (1st toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (-1.9 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at N.Y. Giants at Seattle Tampa Bay Chicago BYE at Baltimore at Carolina N.Y. Giants at Atlanta at Philadelphia Cleveland Washington Philadelphia at Cincinnati Pittsburgh New Orleans at Washington Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS DALLAS is 2-10 ATS versus division opponents the past 2 seasons. DALLAS is 6-17 ATS against conference opponents the past 2 seasons. DALLAS is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. the past 5 seasons. DALLAS is 7-0 ATS against NFC South division opponents the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at CLE W W (-6) U (48) vs PHI W L (-6½) O (46) 9/21 at GNB W W (-3) U (50½) 9/28 vs WAS L L (-10) O (46½) 10/5 vs CIN W L (-16) O (46) 10/12 at ARI L L (-4½) O (53½) 10/19 at STL L L (-8) O (45½) 10/26 vs TAM W 13-9 W (-1½) U (40½) 11/2 at NYG L L (+8½) O (42½) 11/16 at WAS W W (-2) U (42½) 11/23 vs SFO W W (-9½) O (45½) 11/27 vs SEA W 34-9 W (-11½) U (46) 12/7 at PIT L L (+4) U (38) 12/14 vs NYG W 20-8 W (-3) U (46) 12/20 vs BAL L L (-5½) O (39) 12/28 at PHI L 6-44 L (+2½) O (40½) Although new offensive coordinator Bill Callahan comes in with a reputation as one of the better zone blocking coaches, he does have experience coaching power schemes as well. The Cowboys have gotten younger and more athletic on the line, and they re capable of mixing in zone stuff, but don t expect wholesale changes in Callahan s first year. As far as the running back rotation, DeMarco Murray will take almost all the snaps on first and second down, while third down will likely belong to Felix Jones. Dallas still has an aggressive passing attack. They worked out of a three-receiver base last year, though whether they do again will depend on the development of Kevin Ogletree as Laurent Robinson s replacement. It s a pick-your-poison offense of top-to-bottom reads, where Dez Bryant is often the first look. The double teams he drew are what opened up room for Robinson and Romo s security blanket from a year ago, TE Jason Witten. Miles Austin still has a big role as well, as they ll put him in motion to create mismatches in the middle of the field. The screen game is a weapon they use with some frequency, mostly when Felix Jones is on the field. The Cowboys are still pass-heavy in the red zone, where Dez Bryant is their preferred target. Austin also has a big role, and Witten is used on play-action near the goal line. The Cowboys know they need to improve on defense, and drafting the top DB in college, Morris Claiborne, was a good first step in the right direction. OLB DeMarcus Ware (19.5 sacks in 2011) will always keep Dallas near the top of the sack charts, and he was also second in the league in non-sack pressures (40.5 knockdowns and hurries). Sean Lee showed off some impressive ball skills in intercepting four passes from the LB position OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at TAM W W (-4½) O (39½) 9/20 vs NYG L L (-3) O (45) 9/28 vs CAR W 21-7 W (-8) U (48) 10/4 at DEN L L (-3) U (44) 10/11 at KAN W L (-7) O (43½) 10/25 vs ATL W W (-5½) O (48) 11/1 vs SEA W W (-10) O (46½) 11/8 at PHI W W (+3) U (49) 11/15 at GNB L 7-17 L (-3) U (48) 11/22 vs WAS W 7-6 L (-10½) U (41½) 11/26 vs OAK W 24-7 W (-13½) U (40½) 12/6 at NYG L L (-1) O (45½) 12/13 vs SDG L L (-3½) U (49) 12/19 at NOR W W (+7) U (53½) 12/27 at WAS W 17-0 W (-7) U (41½) 1/3 vs PHI W 24-0 W (-3) U (47) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at WAS L 7-13 L (-3½) U (40) 9 vs CHI L L (-7) O (41½) 9/26 at HOU W W (+2½) U (47½) 10/10 vs TEN L L (-6½) O (43½) 10/17 at MIN L L (+1½) O (43½) 10/25 vs NYG L L (-3½) O (45) 10/31 vs JAC L L (-6½) O (43½) 11/7 at GNB L 7-45 L (+7½) O (46) 11/14 at NYG W W (+12½) O (46) 11/21 vs DET W W (-5½) O (47) 11/25 vs NOR L W (+4½) O (48) 12/5 at IND W W (+5½) O (48) 12/12 vs PHI L W (+4) O (50½) 12/19 vs WAS W L (-9½) O (44) 12/25 at ARI L L (-7) O (44½) 1/2 at PHI W L (-2½) U (43½) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 35.6 T11 Comp/Game 23.5 T4 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 12 T5 Sacks Allowed 39 T18 Att/Sack 14.6 T17 Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 15 T17 Sacks 42 T7 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at NYJ L W (+6) O (41) 8 at SFO W P (-3) O (41) 9/26 vs WAS W L (-3) U (44½) 10/2 vs DET L L (-2½) O (46) 10/16 at NWE L W (+6½) U (54) 10/23 vs STL W 34-7 W (-14) U (43) 10/30 at PHI L 7-34 L (+3) U (49) 11/6 vs SEA W L (-10½) U (46) 11/13 vs BUF W 44-7 W (-4½) O (48½) 11/20 at WAS W L (-7) O (43) vs MIA W L (-7) U (46) 12/4 at ARI L L (-4) U (46½) 12/11 vs NYG L L (-4½) O (49) 12/17 at TAM W W (-7) P (46) 12/24 vs PHI L 7-20 L (+2) U (49½) 1/1 at NYG L L (+3) U (48) 26 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

27 NFC EAST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 NEW YORK GIANTS Dallas Tampa Bay at Carolina at Philadelphia Cleveland at San Francisco Washington at Dallas Pittsburgh at Cincinnati BYE Green Bay at Washington New Orleans at Atlanta at Baltimore Philadelphia Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS NY GIANTS is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75%) the past 5 seasons. NY GIANTS is 8-1 ATS in playoff games the past 5 seasons. NY GIANTS is 9-2 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 260 or more passing yards/game the past 2 seasons. NY GIANTS is 14-5 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/4 vs WAS W 16-7 W (-4½) U (41) 4 at STL W W (-7½) O (43½) 9/21 vs CIN W L (-12½) O (42½) 10/5 vs SEA W 44-6 W (-6) O (43½) at CLE L L (-7½) O (42½) 10/19 vs SFO W W (-10) U (47) 10/26 at PIT W W (+3) U (41) 11/2 vs DAL W W (-8½) O (42½) 11/9 at PHI W W (+3) O (42½) 11/16 vs BAL W W (-6½) O (39) 11/23 at ARI W W (-3) O (48) 0 at WAS W 23-7 W (-3½) U (41) 12/7 vs PHI L L (-6) U (41) 12/14 at DAL L 8-20 L (+3) U (46) 12/21 vs CAR W W (-4) O (37½) 12/28 at MIN L W (+7) U (41) The Giants run game is built primarily around man-on-man power blocking. The backfield has been shuffled a bit with the plodding Brandon Jacobs out and explosive rookie David Wilson in. Despite burning a first-rounder on Wilson, Ahmad Bradshaw is still expected to handle the majority of the snaps. Bradshaw has become decent as a blocker and receiver, while Wilson has a long way to go in blitz pickup. The key players in offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride s complex passing game have meshed nicely. Victor Cruz, who is effective inside and out, will be Eli Manning s top target. Hakeem Nicks is a bigplay threat on the perimeter and will also be targeted frequently, especially in the red zone. Manning uses his tight ends as safety blankets, though new TE Martellus Bennett is more of an up-the-field threat with inconsistent hands. The Giants have nearly 100 sacks over the past two seasons, with stars Jason Pierre- Paul and Justin Tuck (when healthy) anchoring what s arguably the NFL s best defensive line. Pierre-Paul is the most athletic lineman in the league, able to rush the quarterback, tackle, bat down passes and force fumbles. Tuck, meanwhile, has vowed to be in the best shape of his life to start 2012, in an effort to prevent a second straight injurymarred campaign in which he saw limited snaps. Then there s Osi Umenyiora, who is usually good for about 10 sacks despite the fact that he s on the sidelines for many running downs. The secondary will get a boost from the return of cornerback Terrell Thomas, whose 21 passes defensed in 2010 ranked third in the NFL. Antrel Rolle played safety and some slot corner last year, but the return of Thomas, who tore his ACL last August, should allow Rolle to play more exclusively at his natural safety position in OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs WAS W W (-5½) O (37) 9/20 at DAL W W (+3) O (45) 9/27 at TAM W 24-0 W (-6) U (46) 10/4 at KAN W W (-9) P (43) 10/11 vs OAK W 44-7 W (-15) O (38) 10/18 at NOR L L (+3) O (47) 10/25 vs ARI L L (-7½) U (47) 11/1 at PHI L L (-3) O (43½) 11/8 vs SDG L L (-5) U (48½) 11/22 vs ATL W L (-7) O (46½) 11/26 at DEN L 6-26 L (-4½) U (43½) 12/6 vs DAL W W (+1) O (45½) 12/13 vs PHI L L (+1) O (42) 12/21 at WAS W W (-3) O (43½) 12/27 vs CAR L 9-41 L (-8) O (43) 1/3 at MIN L 7-44 L (+8) O (47½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs CAR W W (-5½) O (40½) 9 at IND L L (+4½) O (48) 9/26 vs TEN L L (-3) U (43) 10/3 vs CHI W 17-3 W (-4) U (43½) 10/10 at HOU W W (+3) U (48) 10/17 vs DET W L (-10) O (45½) 10/25 at DAL W W (+3½) O (45) 11/7 at SEA W 41-7 W (-7) O (40½) 11/14 vs DAL L L (-12½) O (46) 11/21 at PHI L L (+3) U (47½) 11/28 vs JAC W L (-7½) O (43) 12/5 vs WAS W 31-7 W (-7½) U (43) 12/13 vs MIN W 21-3 W (-5) U (43½) 12/19 vs PHI L L (-3) O (47) 12/26 at GNB L L (+3) O (43) 1/2 at WAS W L (-4½) U (44) StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#3 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 8.02 (#3 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (2nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (2nd toughest) 2011 Record: 13 7 (+6.95 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +7 T7 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 16 T19 Sacks Allowed 28 7 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 20 T6 Sacks 48 T3 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at WAS L L (-1½) O (41) 9 vs STL W W (-7) O (43) 9/25 at PHI W W (+9) U (48) 10/2 at ARI W W (-1) O (45) 10/9 vs SEA L L (-9½) O (43½) 10/16 vs BUF W P (-3) O (49) 10/30 vs MIA W L (-9½) U (43) 11/6 at NWE W W (+9½) U (52) 11/13 at SFO L L (+4) O (43) 11/20 vs PHI L L (-5½) U (45) 11/28 at NOR L L (+7) O (51) 12/4 vs GNB L W (+7) O (54) 12/11 at DAL W W (+4½) O (49) 12/18 vs WAS L L (-6) U (45) 12/24 at NYJ W W (+3) U (46) 1/1 vs DAL W W (-3) U (48) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

28 NFC EAST PHILADELPHIA EAGLES StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#3 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.81 (#5 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (15th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (7th toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (-17.1 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at Cleveland Baltimore at Arizona N.Y. Giants at Pittsburgh Detroit BYE Atlanta at New Orleans Dallas at Washington Carolina at Dallas at Tampa Bay Cincinnati Washington at N.Y. Giants Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS PHILADELPHIA is 9-3 ATS off a road win against a division rival the past 5 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 ATS after a win by 6 or less points the past 5 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD s per game the past 5 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 2-7 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs STL W 38-3 W (-9) U (43½) at DAL L W (+6½) O (46) 9/21 vs PIT W 15-6 W (-3½) U (44½) 9/28 at CHI L L (-3) O (39) 10/5 vs WAS L L (-6½) U (41½) 10/12 at SFO W W (-5) O (41) 10/26 vs ATL W W (-9) U (44½) 11/2 at SEA W 26-7 W (-7) U (44) 11/9 vs NYG L L (-3) O (42½) 11/16 at CIN T L (-8½) U (41) 11/23 at BAL L 7-36 L (+2) O (39) 11/27 vs ARI W W (-3) O (49) 12/7 at NYG W W (+6) U (41) 12/15 vs CLE W W (-15½) P (40) 12/21 at WAS L 3-10 L (-6) U (37½) 12/28 vs DAL W 44-6 W (-2½) O (40½) Philly has returned to a relatively balanced offensive attack, finishing middle of the pack in run/pass balance in The running game took off after the arrival of offensive line guru Howard Mudd last season, and they re now one of the league s most effective zone-blocking teams. LeSean McCoy was overworked last season, so look for him to get closer to about 70 percent of the team s reps rather than the 80-plus percent he got last year. The Eagles West Coast passing scheme is aggressive attacking downfield. Despite last year s issues, DeSean Jackson downfield is still this team s No. 1 option, especially when quarterback Michael Vick is able to buy time with his legs. Tight end Brent Celek emerged as a legitimate No. 2 target underneath, though Jeremy Maclin could have a bigger role now that he s entering training camp 100 percent healthy. They also feature McCoy heavily in the screen game. The loss of Asante Samuel hurts the Philadelphia defense, but plenty of talent remains in the secondary, most notably shutdown corners Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. There s also plenty of talent up front with DEs Jason Babin (18 sacks) and Trent Cole (11 sacks). Babin made a great decision following DL coach Jim Washburn back to Philly to play in the wide nine formation, and it resulted in six multisack performances in The weakness of this defense in 2011 was the LB corps, which is where former Texans LB DeMeco Ryans comes in. His best years in Houston were as a 4-3 middle linebacker before the Texans switched to a 3-4 a year ago. A likely threedown 4-3 MLB in Philly, he s a solid bounce-back candidate and, as long as he can remain healthy, the productive middle man the Eagles have been lacking since Jeremiah Trotter OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at CAR W W (-2½) O (43½) 9/20 vs NOR L L (+2½) O (46) 9/27 vs KAN W W (-7½) O (39) 10/11 vs TAM W W (-16) O (42) 10/18 at OAK L 9-13 L (-14) U (40½) 10/26 at WAS W W (-8½) O (38) 11/1 vs NYG W W (+3) O (43½) 11/8 vs DAL L L (-3) U (49) 11/15 at SDG L L (+1) O (47) 11/22 at CHI W W (-3) U (46½) 11/29 vs WAS W L (-10) O (40½) 12/6 at ATL W 34-7 W (-4) U (43½) 12/13 at NYG W W (-1) O (42) 12/20 vs SFO W W (-7) U (41½) 12/27 vs DEN W L (-7) O (43½) 1/3 at DAL L 0-24 L (+3) U (47) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs GNB L L (+3) U (48) 9 at DET W L (-6½) O (41) 9/26 at JAC W 28-3 W (-3) U (44½) 10/3 vs WAS L L (-5) U (44) 10/10 at SFO W W (+3) O (39½) 10/17 vs ATL W W (-2) O (43) 10/24 at TEN L L (+3) O (41) 11/7 vs IND W L (-3) O (46½) 11/15 at WAS W W (-3) O (44) 11/21 vs NYG W W (-3) U (47½) 11/28 at CHI L L (-3) O (42) 12/2 vs HOU W W (-8) O (51) 12/12 at DAL W L (-4) O (50½) 12/19 at NYG W W (+3) O (47) 12/28 vs MIN L L (-14½) U (44) 1/2 vs DAL L W (+2½) U (43½) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -14 T30 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 25 T31 Sacks Allowed 32 T9 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 18.8 T9 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 15 T17 Sacks 50 T1 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at STL W W (-3½) P (44) 8 at ATL L L (-2½) O (50) 9/25 vs NYG L L (-9) U (48) 10/2 vs SFO L L (-10) O (43½) 10/9 at BUF L L (-3) O (52½) 10/16 at WAS W W (-3) U (46½) 10/30 vs DAL W 34-7 W (-3) U (49) 11/7 vs CHI L L (-8) O (47½) 11/13 vs ARI L L (-13½) U (47) 11/20 at NYG W W (+5½) U (45) 11/27 vs NWE L L (+3) O (51) 12/1 at SEA L L (-3) O (43½) 12/11 at MIA W W (+3) U (44½) 12/18 vs NYJ W W (-3) O (44½) 12/24 at DAL W 20-7 W (-2) U (49½) 1/1 vs WAS W W (-7) U (44½) 28 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

29 NFC EAST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 WASHINGTON REDSKINS at New Orleans at St. Louis Cincinnati at Tampa Bay Atlanta Minnesota at N.Y. Giants at Pittsburgh Carolina BYE Philadelphia at Dallas N.Y. Giants Baltimore at Cleveland at Philadelphia Dallas Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS WASHINGTON is 3-10 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) the past 5 seasons. WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS in non-conference games the past 5 seasons. WASHINGTON is 9-4 ATS after a loss by 3 or less points the past 5 seasons. WASHINGTON is 3-10 ATS after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/4 at NYG L 7-16 L (+4½) U (41) 4 vs NOR W W (pk) O (43½) 9/21 vs ARI W W (-3) U (43½) 9/28 at DAL W W (+10) O (46½) 10/5 at PHI W W (+6½) U (41½) 10/12 vs STL L L (-11½) U (44) 10/19 vs CLE W L (-7) U (41½) 10/26 at DET W W (-7) P (42) vs PIT L 6-23 L (-3) U (37½) 11/16 vs DAL L L (+2) U (42½) 11/23 at SEA W P (-3) U (40) 0 vs NYG L 7-23 L (+3½) U (41) 12/7 at BAL L L (+6) U (35) 12/14 at CIN L L (-6½) U (35½) 12/21 vs PHI W 10-3 W (+6) U (37½) 12/28 at SFO L P (+3) O (37) The Redskins had to go away from the running game because they fell behind early and often last year, but their preference is to rely on their vaunted zone-blocking scheme. They generally settle on one feature back at the beginning of each game, but there s no guarantee who it will be week-to-week. Roy Helu enters the year as the favorite for carries, followed by Tim Hightower and Evan Royster. All three are capable of playing three downs. Robert Griffin III is an excellent fit in the passing game of head coach Mike and offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan. They want their QBs to move around and throw on the run, and Griffin can do exactly that. Santana Moss has a chance to be the No. 1 receiver by design, and he will move to the slot when they go three-wide. Pierre Garcon will stretch the field with Leonard Hankerson serving as a deep threat on the opposite side. Because TE Fred Davis runs more WR routes, the RBs could end up being Griffin s safety valve. The Shanahans love to put their quarterback on the move near the goal line too, and Griffin will have the option of throwing short or trying to punch it in himself. This will be a new-look defense with safeties LaRon Landry and O.J. Atogwe replaced by free agents Madieu Williams and Tanard Jackson. Cedric Griffin also improves the DB unit. Ryan Kerrigan and Brian Orakpo are skilled pass rushers on the outside. Any thoughts last year that ILB London Fletcher may be slowing down were erased by a big finish. One of two significant returnees to the secondary is DeJon Gomes, who proved to be a capable tackler with 28 total tackles in his five starts. He has the ability to play strong safety as well as nickel corner. Cornerback DeAngelo Hall, meanwhile, is so overaggressive that opposing quarterbacks can t resist throwing at him OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at NYG L L (+5½) O (37) 9/20 vs STL W 9-7 L (-10) U (37) 9/27 at DET L L (-6) U (39½) 10/4 vs TAM W L (-9½) U (35½) 10/11 at CAR L W (+5) U (37½) 10/18 vs KAN L 6-14 L (-6½) U (36½) 10/26 vs PHI L L (+8½) O (38) 11/8 at ATL L L (+8½) O (40½) 11/15 vs DEN W W (+3) O (35½) 11/22 at DAL L 6-7 W (+10½) U (41½) 11/29 at PHI L W (+10) O (40½) 12/6 vs NOR L W (+8) O (46½) 12/13 at OAK W W (-2½) O (37) 12/21 vs NYG L L (+3) O (43½) 12/27 vs DAL L 0-17 L (+7) U (41½) 1/3 at SDG L P (+3) O (39) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs DAL W 13-7 W (+3½) U (40) 9 vs HOU L P (+3) O (43) 9/26 at STL L L (-5) O (39) 10/3 at PHI W W (+5) U (44) 10/10 vs GNB W W (+3) U (45) 10/17 vs IND L P (+3) O (44) 10/24 at CHI W W (+3) U (39½) 10/31 at DET L L (+3) O (45) 11/15 vs PHI L L (+3) O (44) 11/21 at TEN W W (+7) U (44) 11/28 vs MIN L L (+2½) U (43½) 12/5 at NYG L 7-31 L (+7½) U (43) 12/12 vs TAM L P (+1) U (41) 12/19 at DAL L W (+9½) O (44) 12/26 at JAC W W (+7) U (45½) 1/2 vs NYG L W (+4½) U (44) StatFox Power Rating: 14 (#28 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#28 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (4th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (3th toughest) 2011 Record: 5 11 (-6.05 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 9 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -14 T30 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 24 T29 Sacks Allowed 41 T21 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions Sacks 41 T10 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs NYG W W (+1½) O (41) 8 vs ARI W L (-4½) U (45) 9/26 at DAL L W (+3) U (44½) 10/2 at STL W W (-3) U (44) 10/16 vs PHI L L (+3) U (46½) 10/23 at CAR L L (+3) O (44½) 10/30 vs BUF L 0-23 L (+4) U (46) 11/6 vs SFO L L (+4½) U (38) 11/13 at MIA L 9-20 L (+4) U (38) 11/20 vs DAL L W (+7) O (43) 11/27 at SEA W W (+3) O (37) 12/4 vs NYJ L L (+3) O (39) 12/11 vs NWE L P (+7) O (46½) 12/18 at NYG W W (+6) U (45) 12/24 vs MIN L L (-6) O (43) 1/1 at PHI L L (+7) U (44½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

30 NFC NORTH CHICAGO BEARS StatFox Power Rating: 20 (#15 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#17 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (9th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (21st toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (-1.75 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Indianapolis at Green Bay St. Louis at Dallas at Jacksonville BYE Detroit Carolina at Tennessee Houston at San Francisco Minnesota Seattle at Minnesota Green Bay at Arizona at Detroit Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS after a 2 game home stand the past 5 seasons. CHICAGO is 1-6 ATS off a home loss the past 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS off a road loss against a division rival the past 5 seasons. CHICAGO is 6-1 ATS in November games the past 2 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at IND W W (+10½) U (42½) 4 at CAR L P (+3) U (37½) 9/21 vs TAM L L (-3) O (34½) 9/28 vs PHI W W (+3) O (39) 10/5 at DET W 34-7 W (-3) U (45½) 10/12 at ATL L L (-3) U (43) 10/19 vs MIN W W (-3) O (38) 11/2 vs DET W L (-13) O (43½) 11/9 vs TEN L L (+3) U (37) 11/16 at GNB L 3-37 L (+3½) U (43) 11/23 at STL W 27-3 W (-7) U (44½) 0 at MIN L L (+5½) O (42) 12/7 vs JAC W W (-6½) U (40) 12/11 vs NOR W W (-2½) O (46) 12/22 vs GNB W L (-4) U (41) 12/28 at HOU L L (+3) O (46) New offensive coordinator Mike Tice coached the offensive line for the past two years, so there will be few changes to the running game. They figure to skew as run-heavy as they did under Mike Martz last year (46.6 percent rush percentage, seventh-highest in the NFL). Matt Forte will have only a slightly lesser workload than a year ago. Michael Bush should take percent of reps, and he could end up stealing short-yardage duties as well. The passing game will look different. They brought in Jeremy Bates, who was close with Jay Cutler in Denver, as quarterbacks coach. Rather than the anticipatory throws of Martz s offense, Cutler will be hitting big receivers facing him. Brandon Marshall is reunited with Cutler and should see a heavy majority of passes. Despite his questionable long speed, rookie WR Alshon Jeffery will probably be asked to stretch the field a bit more. They ll go three-wide with Earl Bennett playing the slot often. The tight ends will be used more than they were in Martz s offense, especially Kellen Davis. The star of the defense is Julius Peppers, who still dominated in all facets in 2011 despite playing through a knee injury. He sees a lot of double teams playing on an otherwise mediocre defensive line whose only other notable player is Israel Idonije. After years as a backup, Idonije worked hard to become a starter in 2010 and has had two strong seasons. Linebacker Brian Urlacher is coming off a major knee sprain that could linger at least into training camp, while Lance Briggs looked half a step slow last year. Charles Tillman is outstanding in run support, not so much in coverage. Special teams is where Chicago continues to excel, largely because of the reliable right leg of kicker Robbie Gould, and superstar Devin Hester, the best return man in NFL history OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at GNB L L (+5) U (46½) 9/20 vs PIT W W (+3) U (38) 9/27 at SEA W W (-3) O (37½) 10/4 vs DET W W (-10) O (43) 10/18 at ATL L L (+4) U (46) 10/25 at CIN L L (-1½) O (42½) 11/1 vs CLE W 30-6 W (-11) U (39½) 11/8 vs ARI L L (-2½) O (44½) 11/12 at SFO L 6-10 L (+3) U (43) 11/22 vs PHI L L (+3) U (46½) 11/29 at MIN L L (+10) U (47) 12/6 vs STL W 17-9 L (-9) U (41) 12/13 vs GNB L L (+3½) U (42) 12/20 at BAL L 7-31 L (+10½) U (39½) 12/28 vs MIN W W (+8) O (40½) 1/3 at DET W W (-5) O (44) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs DET W L (-6½) U (44½) 9 at DAL W W (+7) O (41½) 9/27 vs GNB W W (+3) U (45) 10/3 at NYG L 3-17 L (+4) U (43½) 10/10 at CAR W 23-6 W (+3) U (33) 10/17 vs SEA L L (-6) O (37½) 10/24 vs WAS L L (-3) U (39½) 11/7 at BUF W P (-3) U (41½) 11/14 vs MIN W W (pk) U (41) 11/18 at MIA W 16-0 W (+3) U (40) 11/28 vs PHI W W (+3) O (42) 12/5 at DET W L (-5) O (43½) 12/12 vs NWE L 7-36 L (+3) O (37½) 12/20 at MIN W W (-5½) O (34½) 12/26 vs NYJ W W (-3) O (35½) 1/2 at GNB L 3-10 W (+11) U (43) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +2 T11 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 20 T25 Sacks Allowed 49 T27 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm 18.2 T9 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 20 T6 Sacks 33 T19 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs ATL W W (+1½) O (40½) 8 at NOR L L (+5) U (46½) 9/25 vs GNB L L (+4) U (45) 10/2 vs CAR W L (-7) O (41½) 10/10 at DET L L (+6½) U (47) 10/16 vs MIN W W (-2) O (41½) 10/23 vs TAM W W (-2) U (44) 11/7 at PHI W W (+8) O (47½) 11/13 vs DET W W (-3) O (42½) 11/20 vs SDG W W (-4) O (45) 11/27 at OAK L L (+3) O (40½) 12/4 vs KAN L 3-10 L (-9) U (35½) 12/11 at DEN L P (+3) U (36) 12/18 vs SEA L L (-3½) O (34½) 12/25 at GNB L L (+13½) O (41) 1/1 at MIN W W (+2½) U (42) 30 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

31 NFC NORTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 DETROIT LIONS St. Louis at San Francisco at Tennessee Minnesota BYE at Philadelphia at Chicago Seattle at Jacksonville at Minnesota Green Bay Houston Indianapolis at Green Bay at Arizona Atlanta Chicago Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS DETROIT is 2-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75%) the past 5 seasons. DETROIT is 6-1 ATS off a road win the past 2 seasons. DETROIT is 5-14 ATS in November games the past 5 seasons. DETROIT is 3-9 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game the past 2 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at ATL L L (-3) O (41) 4 vs GNB L L (+3) O (46½) 9/21 at SFO L L (+4½) U (47) 10/5 vs CHI L 7-34 L (+3) U (45½) 10/12 at MIN L W (+13) U (44½) 10/19 at HOU L W (+11) O (48) 10/26 vs WAS L L (+7) P (42) 11/2 at CHI L W (+13) O (43½) 11/9 vs JAC L L (+6) O (43) 11/16 at CAR L W (+14) O (40½) 11/23 vs TAM L L (+8) O (42) 11/27 vs TEN L L (+10½) O (44) 12/7 vs MIN L W (+11) U (44) 12/14 at IND L W (+16½) O (45) 12/21 vs NOR L 7-42 L (+6½) U (50½) 12/28 at GNB L W (+11) O (41½) The Lions couldn t run the ball last year, so they pretty much stopped trying: They were the NFL s most pass-heavy offense, throwing 66.4 percent of the time. When they do run it s often out of a spread passing formation; more than 40 percent of their running plays were out of the shotgun. Jahvid Best will take the majority of the reps as long as he s healthy, with Kevin Smith and Mikel Leshoure rotating in. Leshoure figures to be in line for short-yardage and more traditional running formations. This is an aggressive downfield passing game that has Matthew Stafford looking to get the ball to Calvin Johnson on just about every play. They ll start using Titus Young to stretch the middle of the field, and Nate Burleson is often targeted at the line of scrimmage (rookie Ryan Broyles is his heir apparent). Brandon Pettigrew is pretty much a possession wide receiver over the middle, whereas No. 2 TE Tony Scheffler occasionally stretches the middle of the field. Best and Smith are heavily involved in the screen game. The Lions defense has improved tremendously over the past four years. Detroit still allows too many points and yards against the league s top offenses, but this unit has the ability to punish below-average offenses. Expect breakout years from young star DLs Nick Fairley and Ndamukong Suh, who will enter the season injury-free and out to prove to the world that he can dominate legally, and not just stomp on unprotected offensive linemen. DL Kyle Vanden Bosch started 2012 strong before fizzling in the second half of the season. Stephen Tulloch didn t match his gaudy 2010 tackle numbers after coming over from Tennessee to join a unit that has two active outside linebackers in DeAndre Levy and Justin Durant, but he s reliable in the middle, especially against the run OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at NOR L L (+14) O (49½) 9/20 vs MIN L L (+10) U (45) 9/27 vs WAS W W (+6) U (39½) 10/4 at CHI L L (+10) O (43) 10/11 vs PIT L W (+11) O (44) 10/18 at GNB L 0-26 L (+14) U (48½) 11/1 vs STL L L (-3) U (43½) 11/8 at SEA L L (+11) O (41½) 11/15 at MIN L P (+17) U (47½) 11/22 vs CLE W L (-3) O (37½) 11/26 vs GNB L L (+11) U (48) 12/6 at CIN L W (+13½) U (42) 12/13 at BAL L 3-48 L (+14) O (40½) 12/20 vs ARI L W (+14) O (46½) 12/27 at SFO L 6-20 P (+14) U (41) 1/3 vs CHI L L (+5) O (44) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at CHI L W (+6½) U (44½) 9 vs PHI L W (+6½) O (41) 9/26 at MIN L L (+13) U (42½) 10/3 at GNB L W (+14½) O (45½) 10/10 vs STL W 44-6 W (-3) O (43½) 10/17 at NYG L W (+10) O (45½) 10/31 vs WAS W W (-3) O (45) 11/7 vs NYJ L W (+5½) O (42½) 11/14 at BUF L P (+2) U (44½) 11/21 at DAL L L (+5½) O (47) 11/25 vs NWE L L (+6) O (50) 12/5 vs CHI L W (+5) O (43½) 12/12 vs GNB W 7-3 W (+7) U (45½) 12/19 at TAM W W (+3½) P (43) 12/26 at MIA W W (+3½) O (41½) 1/2 vs MIN W W (-3½) U (43½) StatFox Power Rating: 26 (#6 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 3.76 (#11 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (10th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (22nd toughest) 2011 Record: 10 7 (-0.2 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 11 6 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm 21.8 T6 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 16 T19 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 21 5 Sacks 41 T10 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at TAM W W (+1) O (43½) 8 vs KAN W 48-3 W (-7½) O (44½) 9/25 at MIN W P (-3) O (45) 10/2 at DAL W W (+2½) O (46) 10/10 vs CHI W W (-6½) U (47) 10/16 vs SFO L L (-5) U (44½) 10/23 vs ATL L L (-4½) U (46) 10/30 at DEN W W (-3) O (43½) 11/13 at CHI L L (+3) O (42½) 11/20 vs CAR W W (-7) O (47½) vs GNB L L (+4) U (55) 12/4 at NOR L L (+8) U (55½) 12/11 vs MIN W L (-10) O (47½) 12/18 at OAK W L (-3) O (47½) 12/24 vs SDG W W (pk) U (52½) 1/1 at GNB L L (-6½) O (42) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

32 NFC NORTH GREEN BAY PACKERS StatFox Power Rating: 27 (#5 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.93 (#4 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (24th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (12nd toughest) 2011 Record: 15 2 (+6.7 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 San Francisco Chicago at Seattle New Orleans at Indianapolis at Houston at St. Louis Jacksonville Arizona BYE at Detroit at N.Y. Giants Minnesota Detroit at Chicago Tennessee at Minnesota Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS GREEN BAY is 15-5 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging =5.65 yards/play the past 3 seasons. GREEN BAY is 13-1 ATS after a 2 game road trip the past 5 seasons. GREEN BAY is 11-2 ATS off a road win the past 2 seasons. GREEN BAY is 18-6 ATS vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL vs MIN W W (-2) O (37) 4 at DET W W (-3) O (46½) 9/21 vs DAL L L (+3) U (50½) 9/28 at TAM L L (+2) O (43) 10/5 vs ATL L L (-5½) O (42½) 10/12 at SEA W W (-1) P (44) 10/19 vs IND W W (+2½) O (46½) 11/2 at TEN L P (+3) U (41) 11/9 at MIN L W (+2) O (44½) 11/16 vs CHI W 37-3 W (-3½) U (43) at NOR L L (pk) O (51½) 0 vs CAR L L (-3) O (41½) 12/7 vs HOU L L (-7) U (47½) 12/14 at JAC L L (-3) U (45½) 12/22 at CHI L W (+4) U (41) 12/28 vs DET W L (-11) O (41½) The running game is an afterthought for the Packers, more often something Aaron Rodgers audibles to at the line. It s a zone-blocking scheme and they ve had good success with it. James Starks is the only back on the roster who s had significant NFL experience, but coach Mike McCarthy has leaned towards a time share in recent years. Alex Green, if he s recovered from a torn ACL, or Brandon Saine should work their way into a timeshare. John Kuhn will take short-yardage duties. The Packers have shown a lot of versatility in their passing game, throwing almost everything downfield. Greg Jennings gets the most looks, with Jordy Nelson taking advantage of single coverage and out-producing him despite fewer targets. They ll primarily play three-wide and go four-wide often, with James Jones taking on a big role as the third receiver. TE Jermichael Finley works medium-to-deep in the middle of the field. Green Bay is very pass-happy in the red zone; they threw more than 70 percent of the time in goal-to-go situations, highest in the NFL. Green Bay tied for the league lead with 38 forced turnovers last year, and will continue to pick off passes with a ball-hungry secondary. The addition of run-clogging DTs Anthony Hargrove and Daniel Muir will allow relentless pass rusher Clay Matthews to get to the quarterback. Desmond Bishop has been a rock the past two years, averaging 8.5 tackles per game over 25 career starts. He s also the rare ILB who can pick up a sack nearly every other game. Charles Woodson will force turnovers whether he plays cornerback or safety, and he has become one of the NFL s better defensive backs in run support. The other starters in the secondary Morgan Burnett, Tramon Williams and Charles Peprah go for the big play, but end up surrendering as many as they make OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs CHI W W (-5) U (46½) 9/20 vs CIN L L (-9) O (41½) 9/27 at STL W W (-6½) O (42½) 10/5 at MIN L L (+4½) O (46½) 10/18 vs DET W 26-0 W (-14) U (48½) 10/25 at CLE W 31-3 W (-8½) U (41½) 11/1 vs MIN L L (-3) O (46½) 11/8 at TAM L L (-9½) O (43) 11/15 vs DAL W 17-7 W (+3) U (48) 11/22 vs SFO W P (-6) O (41½) 11/26 at DET W W (-11) U (48) 12/7 vs BAL W W (-4) U (43) 12/13 at CHI W W (-3½) U (42) 12/20 at PIT L W (+3) O (42) 12/27 vs SEA W W (-13) O (43½) 1/3 at ARI W 33-7 W (+3) U (42) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at PHI W W (-3) U (48) 9 vs BUF W 34-7 W (-12½) U (42½) 9/27 at CHI L L (-3) U (45) 10/3 vs DET W L (-14½) O (45½) 10/10 at WAS L L (-3) U (45) 10/17 vs MIA L L (-3) U (44) 10/24 vs MIN W W (-3) O (44) 10/31 at NYJ W 9-0 W (+6½) U (41½) 11/7 vs DAL W 45-7 W (-7½) O (46) 11/21 at MIN W 31-3 W (-3) U (44½) 11/28 at ATL L L (+2½) U (47½) 12/5 vs SFO W W (-8½) O (41) 12/12 at DET L 3-7 L (-7) U (45½) 12/19 at NWE L W (+14) O (43½) 12/26 vs NYG W W (-3) O (43) 1/2 vs CHI W 10-3 L (-11) U (43) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 23.5 T4 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 8 2 Sacks Allowed 41 T21 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 31 1 Sacks 29 T27 Att/Sack Sack Yards 192 T OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL vs NOR W W (-5) O (47½) 8 at CAR W L (-10½) O (45) 9/25 at CHI W W (-4) U (45) 10/2 vs DEN W W (-12½) O (46½) 10/9 at ATL W W (-6) U (54½) 10/16 vs STL W 24-3 W (-14) U (47) 10/23 at MIN W L (-10) O (47) 11/6 at SDG W W (-5½) O (50) 11/14 vs MIN W 45-7 W (-12) O (49½) 11/20 vs TAM W L (-13½) O (48½) at DET W W (-4) U (55) 12/4 at NYG W L (-7) O (54) 12/11 vs OAK W W (-11½) O (50) 12/18 at KAN L L (-11½) U (46) 12/25 vs CHI W W (-13½) O (41) 1/1 vs DET W W (+6½) O (42) 32 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

33 NFC NORTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 MINNESOTA VIKINGS Jacksonville at Indianapolis San Francisco at Detroit Tennessee at Washington Arizona Tampa Bay at Seattle Detroit BYE at Chicago at Green Bay Chicago at St. Louis at Houston Green Bay Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS MINNESOTA is 3-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75%) the past 5 seasons. MINNESOTA is 4-11 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging =4.5 rushing yards/carry the past 3 seasons. MINNESOTA is 9-3 ATS off a home loss the past 5 seasons. MINNESOTA is 0-5 ATS off a home win the past 2 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL at GNB L L (+2) O (37) 4 vs IND L L (pk) U (43½) 9/21 vs CAR W W (-3) U (37½) 9/28 at TEN L L (+3) O (34½) at NOR W W (+3) O (46½) 10/12 vs DET W L (-13) U (44½) 10/19 at CHI L L (+3) O (38) 11/2 vs HOU W W (-5½) O (46½) 11/9 vs GNB W L (-2) O (44½) 11/16 at TAM L L (+5½) U (39) 11/23 at JAC W W (+2) O (41½) 0 vs CHI W W (-5½) O (42) 12/7 at DET W L (-11) U (44) 12/14 at ARI W W (+4½) O (46½) 12/21 vs ATL L L (-3) U (43) 12/28 vs NYG W L (-7) U (41) The Vikings will continue to transition from the zone-blocking scheme they used under Brad Childress to the man-to-man scheme offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave installed in his first season last year. If anything, the new system was a plus for Adrian Peterson and Toby Gerhart, who were both excellent running the ball last season. After tearing his ACL last December, Peterson might not be ready to go full speed in September, in which case Gerhart would carry a heavy workload with Lex Hilliard seeing spot duty. Percy Harvin also sees a couple of carries every game. Musgrave has Christian Ponder moving around a lot in a West Coast passing game. Harvin will play more after shining late last season. After a three-game suspension, Jerome Simpson will provide a vertical threat. Ponder looks short often, so TE Kyle Rudolph may be targeted frequently. Jared Allen (22 sacks in 2011) is still the most ferocious DE in football, falling one sack short of the league record despite having to play on a below-average defense where he gets double-teamed on most plays. One of the beneficiaries of all the attention that gets paid to Allen is fellow DL Brian Robison. After signing a three-year deal before the 2011 season, Robison earned his keep with a career-best performance. LB Chad Greenway is a bit one-dimensional as a run-stopper, but he has excelled in that area Greenway is second in the NFL in total tackles (395) over the past three years. This secondary is awful, coming off an eight-interception season with 251 passing YPG allowed. When healthy, Antonie Winfield is still excellent in run support, but at 35 years old he s not getting any more durable. The Vikings need him to stay healthy and effective if they re to have any chance of keeping up with the passing games of the NFC North OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at CLE W W (-4) O (39) 9/20 at DET W W (-10) U (45) 9/27 vs SFO W L (-6½) O (39) 10/5 vs GNB W W (-4½) O (46½) 10/11 at STL W W (-10) O (40½) 10/18 vs BAL W L (-3) O (45½) 10/25 at PIT L L (+6) U (46½) 11/1 at GNB W W (+3) O (46½) 11/15 vs DET W P (-17) U (47½) 11/22 vs SEA W 35-9 W (-10½) U (47) 11/29 vs CHI W W (-10) U (47) 12/6 at ARI L L (-3) U (48) 12/13 vs CIN W W (-6) U (42) 12/20 at CAR L 7-26 L (-8½) U (42½) 12/28 at CHI L L (-8) O (40½) 1/3 vs NYG W 44-7 W (-8) O (47½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 at NOR L 9-14 L (+4½) U (49) 9 vs MIA L L (-5½) U (41) 9/26 vs DET W W (-13) U (42½) 10/11 at NYJ L L (+4) O (38) 10/17 vs DAL W W (-1½) O (43½) 10/24 at GNB L L (+3) O (44) 10/31 at NWE L L (+5) O (45) 11/7 vs ARI W L (-7) O (42½) 11/14 at CHI L L (pk) U (41) 11/21 vs GNB L 3-31 L (+3) U (44½) 11/28 at WAS W W (-2½) U (43½) 12/5 vs BUF W W (-5½) O (43½) 12/13 vs NYG L 3-21 L (+5) U (43½) 12/20 vs CHI L L (+5½) O (34½) 12/28 at PHI W W (+14½) U (44) 1/2 at DET L L (+3½) U (43½) StatFox Power Rating: 15 (#25 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#27 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (14th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (25th toughest) 2011 Record: 3 13 (-10.4 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 10 6 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -3 T19 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 17 T21 Sacks Allowed 49 T27 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game 33.6 T16 Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 8 T31 Sacks 50 T1 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at SDG L W (+9) U (44½) 8 vs TAM L L (-1) O (41) 9/25 vs DET L P (+3) O (45) 10/2 at KAN L L (-3) U (40) 10/9 vs ARI W W (-3) U (45) 10/16 at CHI L L (+2) O (41½) 10/23 vs GNB L W (+10) O (47) 10/30 at CAR W W (+3) U (47) 11/14 at GNB L 7-45 L (+12) O (49½) 11/20 vs OAK L L (-2) O (46½) 11/27 at ATL L P (+10) U (44) 12/4 vs DEN L L (-1½) O (37½) 12/11 at DET L W (+10) O (47½) 12/18 vs NOR L L (+7) O (53) 12/24 at WAS W W (+6) O (43) 1/1 vs CHI L L (-2½) U (42) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

34 NFC SOUTH ATLANTA FALCONS StatFox Power Rating: 21 (#13 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 4.57 (#10 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (8th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (20th toughest) 2011 Record: 10 7 (+3.15 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at Kansas City Denver at San Diego Carolina at Washington Oakland BYE at Philadelphia Dallas at New Orleans Arizona at Tampa Bay New Orleans at Carolina N.Y. Giants at Detroit Tampa Bay Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record the past 5 seasons. ATLANTA is 4-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record the past 2 seasons. ATLANTA is 10-2 ATS in the last 4 weeks of the regular season the past 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 13-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs DET W W (+3) O (41) 4 at TAM L 9-24 L (+7) U (37½) 9/21 vs KAN W W (-6) O (37½) 9/28 at CAR L 9-24 L (+7) U (38½) 10/5 at GNB W W (+5½) O (42½) 10/12 vs CHI W W (+3) U (43) 10/26 at PHI L L (+9) U (44½) 11/2 at OAK W 24-0 W (-3) U (41) 11/9 vs NOR W W (-1½) O (50½) 11/16 vs DEN L L (-6½) U (51) 11/23 vs CAR W W (+1) O (41) 0 at SDG W W (+6½) U (48) 12/7 at NOR L L (+3) O (52) 12/14 vs TAM W L (-5) U (43) 12/21 at MIN W W (+3) U (43) 12/28 vs STL W L (-14) O (44½) New offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter isn t nearly as run-happy as departed play-caller Mike Mularkey. Atlanta was largely a man-blocking team under Mularkey, but Koetter runs a mix of man and zone, requiring an adjustment for the offensive line. As for the backs, Michael Turner is declining, and Jacquizz Rodgers has carved out a role as a change-of-pace back who will get the ball in a variety of ways. Koetter tends to not mess around with a lot of play-action in the red zone, so near the goal line is where Turner will continue to earn his money. Koetter likes to get his receivers stretching the field, especially on play-action, and he s always been able to find ways to get the ball to his tight ends, which is good news for Tony Gonzalez. Roddy White should again be Matt Ryan s No. 1 target, and Julio Jones will be targeted more frequently downfield. One of Koetter s biggest challenges is to improve the screen game, which is why Rodgers could be in for a much bigger role. He also plans on utilizing the no-huddle offense that the Falcons used effectively at times last year. The Falcons have a decent overall defense, but they lost their middle linebacker Curtis Lofton to the Saints. He ll be replaced by Sean Weatherspoon, who displayed outstanding range on the outside last season, but may take some time to adjust to the new role. The addition of CB Asante Samuel instantly improves Atlanta s secondary. He has the ability to make opponents pay for trying to avoid throwing at Brent Grimes. Both CBs are opportunistic playmakers capable of covering No. 1 receivers. DE John Abraham was the only player to surpass four sacks last season. Abraham can t keep his 10-sack production up forever, but he s still a solid tackler who has the ability to pop the football loose OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs MIA W 19-7 W (-4) U (44) 9/20 vs CAR W W (-6) O (43½) 9/27 at NWE L L (+4) U (45½) 10/11 at SFO W W (pk) O (39½) 10/18 vs CHI W W (-4) U (46) 10/25 at DAL L L (+5½) O (48) 11/2 at NOR L W (+11) O (56) 11/8 vs WAS W W (-8½) O (40½) 11/15 at CAR L L (-1) O (43½) 11/22 at NYG L W (+7) O (46½) 11/29 vs TAM W L (-13) U (46) 12/6 vs PHI L 7-34 L (+4) U (43½) 12/13 vs NOR L W (+10) U (49½) 12/20 at NYJ W 10-7 W (+5) U (36½) 12/27 vs BUF W 31-3 W (-8) U (40½) 1/3 at TAM W W (-3) U (41½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at PIT L 9-15 L (-1) U (39) 9 vs ARI W 41-7 W (-6½) O (43) 9/26 at NOR W W (+3) O (49) 10/3 vs SFO W L (-7) U (42) 10/10 at CLE W W (-3) U (41½) 10/17 at PHI L L (+2) O (43) 10/24 vs CIN W W (-3) O (43) 11/7 vs TAM W L (-10) O (44½) 11/11 vs BAL W W (-2) O (44) 11/21 at STL W W (-3) O (43) 11/28 vs GNB W W (-2½) U (47½) 12/5 at TAM W W (-3) O (43) 12/12 at CAR W W (-7) U (41½) 12/19 at SEA W W (-5½) O (46½) 12/27 vs NOR L L (-2) U (50) 1/2 vs CAR W W (-14) P (41) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +8 T5 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm 21.8 T6 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 22.8 T7 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 13 T8 Sacks Allowed 26 6 Att/Sack Sack Yards 173 T6 Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 21.3 T21 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 19 T10 Sacks 33 T19 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at CHI L L (-1½) O (40½) 8 vs PHI W W (+2½) O (50) 9/25 at TAM L L (+1½) U (46) 10/2 at SEA W L (-6) O (39) 10/9 vs GNB L L (+6) U (54½) 10/16 vs CAR W W (-3) U (49) 10/23 at DET W W (+4½) U (46) 11/6 at IND W 31-7 W (-6½) U (44½) 11/13 vs NOR L L (pk) U (49½) 11/20 vs TEN W P (-6) U (44) 11/27 vs MIN W P (-10) U (44) 12/4 at HOU L L (-2) U (38) 12/11 at CAR W W (-3) O (48) 12/15 vs JAC W W (-13) O (41) 12/26 at NOR L L (+7) O (53) 1/1 vs TAM W W (-10½) O (45½) 34 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

35 NFC SOUTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 CAROLINA PANTHERS at Tampa Bay New Orleans N.Y. Giants at Atlanta Seattle BYE Dallas at Chicago at Washington Denver Tampa Bay at Philadelphia at Kansas City Atlanta at San Diego Oakland at New Orleans Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS CAROLINA is 4-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record the past 2 seasons. CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing =130 rushing yards/game the past 5 seasons. CAROLINA is 11-4 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season the past 5 seasons. CAROLINA is 10-4 ATS vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at SDG W W (+8½) O (40½) 4 vs CHI W P (-3) U (37½) 9/21 at MIN L L (+3) U (37½) 9/28 vs ATL W 24-9 W (-7) U (38½) 10/5 vs KAN W 34-0 W (-9½) U (38) 10/12 at TAM L 3-27 L (+2½) U (37) 10/19 vs NOR W 30-7 W (-3) U (44½) 10/26 vs ARI W L (-5) O (43½) 11/9 at OAK W 17-6 W (-10) U (37½) 11/16 vs DET W L (-14) O (40½) 11/23 at ATL L L (-1) O (41) 0 at GNB W W (+3) O (41½) 12/8 vs TAM W W (-3) O (40) 12/14 vs DEN W W (-7) U (46½) 12/21 at NYG L L (+4) O (37½) 12/28 at NOR W P (-2) O (51½) While the Panthers are extremely run-heavy, that shouldn t be confused with being conservative. Offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski implemented a unique running game that is traditional about two-thirds of the time, with the rest of the playbook being option plays for Cam Newton. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart will continue to split reps in the backfield, while Mike Tolbert will primarily be a fullback. Chudzinski s passing game gives Newton some space to improvise, and his first read is almost always Steve Smith downfield. Brandon LaFell became more involved in the offense, but Newton rarely got past his second read, which was to come down to Greg Olsen in the middle of the field or whichever back is in the game. Expect LaFell to be more involved as Newton grows more comfortable running the offense in his second NFL season. The Panthers are content to let Newton create in the red zone, as he was by far their most often-used weapon deep in opponent s territory. Carolina ranked 27th in scoring defense and 28th in total defense in 2011, and still needs a ton of work. But selecting LB tackling machine Luke Kuechly ninth overall was a nice upgrade with Kuechly and Jon Beason at linebacker, defensive end Charles Johnson will be freed up to do what he does best, which is rush the quarterback. Expect at least a dozen sacks and an uptick in tackles this coming season. Also expect more from DE Greg Hardy, who saw a rise in his tackle numbers from 2010 to 11, and his sack total should jump with Carolina expected to abandon the hybrid 3-4 the team employed at times last year. Beason will likely play the weak side, as he did in Charles Godfrey, who has excellent range for a strong safety, should once again anchor the secondary OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs PHI L L (+2½) O (43½) 9/20 at ATL L L (+6) O (43½) 9/28 at DAL L 7-21 L (+8) U (48) 10/11 vs WAS W L (-5) U (37½) 10/18 at TAM W W (-3) O (40½) 10/25 vs BUF L 9-20 L (-7) U (37) 11/1 at ARI W W (+9½) O (43½) 11/8 at NOR L W (+12) U (51) 11/15 vs ATL W W (+1) O (43½) 11/19 vs MIA L L (-3) U (41½) 11/29 at NYJ L 6-17 L (+3) U (41) 12/6 vs TAM W 16-6 W (-3) U (40) 12/13 at NWE L W (+12½) U (43½) 12/20 vs MIN W 26-7 W (+8½) U (42½) 12/27 at NYG W 41-9 W (+8) O (43) 1/3 vs NOR W W (-10) U (40½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at NYG L L (+5½) O (40½) 9 vs TAM L 7-20 L (-4) U (38) 9/26 vs CIN L 7-20 L (+3) U (37) 10/3 at NOR L W (+12½) U (43½) 10/10 vs CHI L 6-23 L (-3) U (33) 10/24 vs SFO W W (+1½) O (35½) 10/31 at STL L L (+3) U (37½) 11/7 vs NOR L 3-34 L (+5½) U (40) 11/14 at TAM L L (+7) O (37) 11/21 vs BAL L L (+13) O (36½) 11/28 at CLE L W (+8) O (37) 12/5 at SEA L L (+5) O (40½) 12/12 vs ATL L L (+7) U (41½) 12/19 vs ARI W W (-2½) U (37½) 12/23 at PIT L 3-27 L (+14) U (37) 1/2 at ATL L L (+14) P (41) StatFox Power Rating: 19 (#18 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#19 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (26th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (16th toughest) 2011 Record: 6 10 (-4.3 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +1 T13 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 17 T21 Sacks Allowed 35 T15 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 14 T20 Sacks 31 T25 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 at ARI L L (+6½) O (37½) 8 vs GNB L W (+10½) O (45) 9/25 vs JAC W W (-3) U (43) 10/2 at CHI L W (+7) O (41½) 10/9 vs NOR L W (+6½) O (51) 10/16 at ATL L L (+3) U (49) 10/23 vs WAS W W (-3) O (44½) 10/30 vs MIN L L (-3) U (47) 11/13 vs TEN L 3-30 L (-3) U (47½) 11/20 at DET L L (+7) O (47½) 11/27 at IND W W (-3) P (46) 12/4 at TAM W W (-3) O (46½) 12/11 vs ATL L L (+3) O (48) 12/18 at HOU W W (+5) U (45) 12/24 vs TAM W W (-7½) O (48½) 1/1 at NOR L L (+7) O (55) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

36 NFC SOUTH NEW ORLEANS SAINTS StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#1 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#1 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (29th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (29th toughest) 2011 Record: 14 4 (+0.15 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Washington at Carolina Kansas City at Green Bay San Diego BYE at Tampa Bay at Denver Philadelphia Atlanta at Oakland San Francisco at Atlanta at N.Y. Giants Tampa Bay at Dallas Carolina Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS NEW ORLEANS is 13-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game the past 5 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS in the second half of the season the past 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS in dome games the past 2 seasons. NEW ORLEANS is 13-2 ATS off a road loss the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs TAM W W (-3) O (43) 4 at WAS L L (pk) O (43½) 9/21 at DEN L W (+5½) O (51½) 9/28 vs SFO W W (-4) P (48) vs MIN L L (-3) O (46½) 10/12 vs OAK W 34-3 W (-7) U (47) 10/19 at CAR L 7-30 L (+3) U (44½) 10/26 vs SDG W W (+3) O (46) 11/9 at ATL L L (+1½) O (50½) 11/16 at KAN W W (-6) U (50½) vs GNB W W (pk) O (51½) 0 at TAM L W (+3½) U (44) 12/7 vs ATL W W (-3) O (52) 12/11 at CHI L L (+2½) O (46) 12/21 at DET W 42-7 W (-6½) U (50½) 12/28 vs CAR L P (+2) O (51½) While this will be a trying year with head coach Sean Payton suspended, offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael Jr. has been his right hand man running the offense for the past three seasons, calling plays while Payton was recovering from a broken leg last year. New Orleans will continue to use its versatile, three-headed running back monster with a series of different blocking schemes up front. Mark Ingram will likely lead them in carries again, most often serving as a second-half closer. Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles usually split carries in the first half, though Sproles is most often used as a receiver as opposed to a ball carrier. Carmichael came onto the staff as quarterbacks coach in 2006, the same year Drew Brees arrived. New Orleans will continue to use spread principles and will be fine with Brees running the show. TE Jimmy Graham and receiver Marques Colston are targets 1 and 1A for Brees, who is more comfortable throwing to receivers facing him. Because they use two backs often, slot receiver Lance Moore plays only about 50 percent of their snaps. Sproles is the main catch-and-run threat, getting screen passes and occasionally splitting wide. Thomas is used often in the screen game as well. With Robert Meachem gone, Devery Henderson becomes the primary deep threat. There is not much to like about this defense. LB Jonathan Vilma is suspended for bounty nonsense and LB Jo-Lonn Dunbar is now in St. Louis. They ll be replaced by Curtis Lofton, who takes over at middle linebacker after playing the same position for the Falcons last season, and David Hawthorne, who was a solid run-stopper for Seattle. Safety Roman Harper often blitzed and played almost exclusively in the box, but he will likely have a less aggressive role under new coordinator Steve Spagnuolo OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs DET W W (-14) O (49½) 9/20 at PHI W W (-2½) O (46) 9/27 at BUF W 27-7 W (-5½) U (51½) 10/4 vs NYJ W W (-7½) U (47) 10/18 vs NYG W W (-3) O (47) 10/25 at MIA W W (-6) O (47½) 11/2 vs ATL W L (-11) O (56) 11/8 vs CAR W L (-12) U (51) 11/15 at STL W L (-14) O (50½) 11/22 at TAM W 38-7 W (-10) U (50½) 0 vs NWE W W (-2) U (57) 12/6 at WAS W L (-8) O (46½) 12/13 at ATL W L (-10) U (49½) 12/19 vs DAL L L (-7) U (53½) 12/27 vs TAM L L (-13½) U (48½) 1/3 at CAR L L (+10) U (40½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/9 vs MIN W 14-9 W (-4½) U (49) 9/20 at SFO W L (-4½) O (44) 9/26 vs ATL L L (-3) O (49) 10/3 vs CAR W L (-12½) U (43½) 10/10 at ARI L L (-6½) O (45½) 10/17 at TAM W 31-6 W (-5) U (43) 10/24 vs CLE L L (-12½) O (44) 10/31 vs PIT W W (-1) U (44½) 11/7 at CAR W 34-3 W (-5½) U (40) 11/21 vs SEA W W (-11) O (44½) 11/25 at DAL W L (-4½) O (48) 12/5 at CIN W L (-6½) O (45) 12/12 vs STL W W (-9½) U (47½) 12/19 at BAL L L (+2) O (45) 12/27 at ATL W W (+2) U (50) 1/2 vs TAM L L (-7) U (46½) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -3 T19 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 14 T12 Sacks Allowed 24 T2 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 9 T28 Sacks 33 T19 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL at GNB L L (+5) O (47½) 8 vs CHI W W (-5) U (46½) 9/25 vs HOU W W (-4) O (52) 10/2 at JAC W W (-8) U (45) 10/9 at CAR W L (-6½) O (51) 10/16 at TAM L L (-6½) U (49½) 10/23 vs IND W 62-7 W (-13½) O (49) 10/30 at STL L L (-13½) O (48½) 11/6 vs TAM W W (-8½) U (50½) 11/13 at ATL W W (pk) U (49½) 11/28 vs NYG W W (-7) O (51) 12/4 vs DET W W (-8) U (55½) 12/11 at TEN W W (-3) U (47½) 12/18 at MIN W W (-7) O (53) 12/26 vs ATL W W (-7) O (53) 1/1 vs CAR W W (-7) O (55) 36 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

37 NFC SOUTH 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS Carolina at N.Y. Giants at Dallas Washington BYE Kansas City New Orleans at Minnesota at Oakland San Diego at Carolina Atlanta at Denver Philadelphia at New Orleans St. Louis at Atlanta Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS TAMPA BAY is 3-10 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse the past 2 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 5-14 ATS in non-conference games the past 5 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 6-16 ATS after playing their last game on the road the past 3 seasons. TAMPA BAY is 2-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing =4.5 rushing yards/carry the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at NOR L L (+3) O (43) 4 vs ATL W 24-9 W (-7) U (37½) 9/21 at CHI W W (+3) O (34½) 9/28 vs GNB W W (-2) O (43) 10/5 at DEN L W (+3½) U (47) 10/12 vs CAR W 27-3 W (-2½) U (37) 10/19 vs SEA W L (-11) U (40) 10/26 at DAL L 9-13 L (+1½) U (40½) 11/2 at KAN W L (-9½) O (37) 11/16 vs MIN W W (-5½) U (39) 11/23 at DET W W (-8) O (42) 0 vs NOR W L (-3½) U (44) 12/8 at CAR L L (+3) O (40) 12/14 at ATL L W (+5) U (43) 12/21 vs SDG L L (-4) O (42) 12/28 vs OAK L L (-11) O (39½) The Bucs seem to be gearing up to do a lot of running this season. New head coach Greg Schiano oversaw a run-heavy team at Rutgers, and offensive line coach Bob Bostad oversaw Wisconsin s run-heavy power game among his previous jobs. They also added an elite left guard in Carl Nicks, a first-round back in Doug Martin and a great blocking wide receiver in Vincent Jackson. The Bucs will use primarily a zone-blocking scheme with a lot of inside runs. LeGarrette Blount and Martin will probably be close to a 50/50 share on early downs, with Martin taking all third down reps. Blount will have a chance to keep goal line carries. New offensive coordinator Mike Sullivan s offense will be far more aggressive throwing the ball downfield, which should be a nice match for Josh Freeman s arm strength and Jackson s downfield ball skills. The reads generally go deep-to-short and rarely side-to-side. So after Jackson, Freeman will more likely come down to Preston Parker than go across to Mike Williams. The Bucs also plan on using their backs in the passing game much more often, which is why they traded up to draft Martin. After allowing a league-high 30.9 PPG and ranking 30th in total defense, there s nowhere to go but up, right? Schiano is excited about young DLs Gerald McCoy and Adrian Clayborn, and also No. 7 overall pick S Mark Barron, but Tampa s schedule is jampacked with high-powered offenses. If McCoy can remain healthy a big if for a guy who has played only 19 games over two NFL seasons his presence will allow Clayborn to rush the quarterback more freely. McCoy is both powerful and shifty with great feet, and Schiano has said he expects the former No. 3 overall pick to dominate opponents in Barron, meanwhile, is excellent both stopping the run and in pass coverage OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs DAL L L (+4½) O (39½) 9/20 at BUF L L (+4) O (41½) 9/27 vs NYG L 0-24 L (+6) U (46) 10/4 at WAS L W (+9½) U (35½) 10/11 at PHI L L (+16) O (42) 10/18 vs CAR L L (+3) O (40½) 10/25 vs NWE L 7-35 L (+15½) U (44½) 11/8 vs GNB W W (+9½) O (43) 11/15 at MIA L W (+10) O (43) 11/22 vs NOR L 7-38 L (+10) U (50½) 11/29 at ATL L W (+13) U (46) 12/6 at CAR L 6-16 L (+3) U (40) 12/13 vs NYJ L 3-26 L (+3½) U (36½) 12/20 at SEA W 24-7 W (+6½) U (39) 12/27 at NOR W W (+13½) U (48½) 1/3 vs ATL L L (+3) U (41½) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs CLE W P (-3) U (37) 9 at CAR W 20-7 W (+4) U (38) 9/26 vs PIT L L (+3) O (33½) 10/10 at CIN W W (+6½) O (38½) 10/17 vs NOR L 6-31 L (+5) U (43) 10/24 vs STL W L (-3) U (39) 10/31 at ARI W W (+3) O (38) 11/7 at ATL L W (+10) O (44½) 11/14 vs CAR W W (-7) O (37) 11/21 at SFO W 21-0 W (+3½) U (41) 11/28 at BAL L W (+7½) U (41½) 12/5 vs ATL L L (+3) O (43) 12/12 at WAS W P (-1) U (41) 12/19 vs DET L L (-3½) P (43) 12/26 vs SEA W W (-5½) O (43½) 1/2 at NOR W W (+7) U (46½) StatFox Power Rating: 7 (#32 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#32 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (3th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (7th toughest) 2011 Record: 4 12 (-7.45 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm 17.3 T26 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 22.8 T7 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 24 T29 Sacks Allowed 32 T9 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 18.8 T9 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 14 T20 Sacks Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs DET L L (-1) O (43½) 8 at MIN W W (+1) O (41) 9/25 vs ATL W W (-1½) U (46) 10/3 vs IND W L (-10) O (40) 10/9 at SFO L 3-48 L (+3) O (41) 10/16 vs NOR W W (+6½) U (49½) 10/23 vs CHI L L (+2) U (44) 11/6 at NOR L L (+8½) U (50½) 11/13 vs HOU L 9-37 L (+3) O (45½) 11/20 at GNB L W (+13½) O (48½) 11/27 at TEN L L (+3) U (43) 12/4 vs CAR L L (+3) O (46½) 12/11 at JAC L L (-3) O (42) 12/17 vs DAL L L (+7) P (46) 12/24 at CAR L L (+7½) O (48½) 1/1 at ATL L L (+10½) O (45½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

38 NFC WEST ARIZONA CARDINALS StatFox Power Rating: 16 (#21 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#21 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (22nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (4th toughest) 2011 Record: 8 8 (+4.6 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 Seattle at New England Philadelphia Miami at St. Louis Buffalo at Minnesota San Francisco at Green Bay BYE at Atlanta St. Louis at N.Y. Jets at Seattle Detroit Chicago at San Francisco Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75%) the past 5 seasons. ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game the past 3 seasons. ARIZONA is 18-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. the past 5 seasons. ARIZONA is 4-10 ATS off a home win the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at SFO W W (-2½) U (42½) 4 vs MIA W W (-6) O (40½) 9/21 at WAS L L (+3) U (43½) 9/28 at NYJ L L (+1½) O (43½) 10/5 vs BUF W W (-2) O (44½) 10/12 vs DAL W W (+4½) O (53½) 10/26 at CAR L W (+5) O (43½) 11/2 at STL W W (-3) U (49) vs SFO W L (-9½) O (47½) 11/16 at SEA W W (-3) U (47½) 11/23 vs NYG L L (+3) O (48) 11/27 at PHI L L (+3) O (49) 12/7 vs STL W W (-14½) U (48) 12/14 vs MIN L L (-4½) O (46½) 12/21 at NWE L 7-47 L (+8) O (41) 12/28 vs SEA W W (-7) O (47) The Cards have largely given up on establishing the run because of their tendency to fall behind early in games. But their power running game, featuring a man-blocking scheme and between-the-tackles pounding, still remains. Beanie Wells was moderately effective last year, though they d rather have Ryan Williams taking a large portion of the carries once he s recovered from knee surgery. Arizona largely runs out of its two-receiver sets, with an even split between two tight ends and fullback Anthony Sherman. The Cards get conservative in the red zone, where Wells gets a heavy workload and should continue to for as long as he s able to remain healthy. Kevin Kolb will get another shot to lead the passing attack. The Cardinals got much more aggressive throwing downfield last season, especially letting Larry Fitzgerald battle for the 50/50 ball. They can do the same thing on the other side once rookie Michael Floyd is ready. They usually throw out of three-receiver sets, and while the No. 2 (Floyd or Andre Roberts) gets more reps, the Cards throw to the slot (Roberts or Early Doucet) underneath just as often. The Cards subpar offense kept its defense on the field for the third-most minutes in the NFL, but still their points allowed and sacks improved significantly in DL Calais Campbell does a nice job picking up blocking schemes and knows how to use his hands in traffic. Darnell Dockett remains one of the NFL s better defensive linemen despite his declining sack numbers. Daryl Washington is undersized for an inside LB, but he moves like a defensive back. It could be argued that Patrick Peterson s contributions on special teams last season (four return touchdowns) were more than offset by his inability to cover. Opposing quarterbacks will likely continue to attack him until he improves OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs SFO L L (-4½) U (45) 9/20 at JAC W W (+3) O (44) 9/27 vs IND L L (-3) U (48½) 10/11 vs HOU W W (-6) U (50½) 10/18 at SEA W 27-3 W (+3) U (45½) 10/25 at NYG W W (+7½) U (47) 11/1 vs CAR L L (-9½) O (43½) 11/8 at CHI W W (+2½) O (44½) 11/15 vs SEA W W (-8) O (46½) 11/22 at STL W L (-8½) U (46½) 11/29 at TEN L P (+3) U (44) 12/6 vs MIN W W (+3) U (48) 12/14 at SFO L 9-24 L (-4) U (44½) 12/20 at DET W L (-14) O (46½) 12/27 vs STL W W (-16½) U (44) 1/3 vs GNB L 7-33 L (-3) U (42) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at STL W W (-3) U (39½) 9 at ATL L 7-41 L (+6½) O (43) 9/26 vs OAK W L (-5½) O (39) 10/3 at SDG L L (+10) O (47) 10/10 vs NOR W W (+6½) O (45½) 10/24 at SEA L L (+6½) U (40½) 10/31 vs TAM L L (-3) O (38) 11/7 at MIN L W (+7) O (42½) 11/14 vs SEA L L (-3) O (41) 11/21 at KAN L L (+7) U (45) 11/29 vs SFO L 6-27 L (+1½) U (41½) 12/5 vs STL L 6-19 L (+3) U (44) 12/12 vs DEN W W (+4) O (44½) 12/19 at CAR L L (+2½) U (37½) 12/25 vs DAL W W (+7) O (44½) 1/2 at SFO L 7-38 L (+5½) O (39) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers -13 T28 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm 17.9 T20 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 23 T27 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game T18 Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 21.3 T21 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 10 T26 Sacks 42 T7 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs CAR W W (-6½) O (37½) 8 at WAS L W (+4½) U (45) 9/25 at SEA L L (-3) U (43) 10/2 vs NYG L L (+1) O (45) 10/9 at MIN L L (+3) U (45) 10/23 vs PIT L L (+4) O (46) 10/30 at BAL L W (+11) O (42½) 11/6 vs STL W W (-1½) U (42) 11/13 at PHI W W (+13½) U (47) 11/20 at SFO L 7-23 L (+10) U (40½) 11/27 at STL W W (+2) O (40) 12/4 vs DAL W W (+4) U (46½) 12/11 vs SFO W W (+3) O (38½) 12/18 vs CLE W L (-6) P (37) 12/24 at CIN L L (+4½) U (41) 1/1 vs SEA W W (-2) O (40½) 38 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

39 NFC WEST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 ST. LOUIS RAMS at Detroit Washington at Chicago Seattle Arizona at Miami Green Bay New England BYE at San Francisco N.Y. Jets at Arizona San Francisco at Buffalo Minnesota at Tampa Bay at Seattle Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS ST LOUIS is 2-11 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game the past 2 seasons. ST LOUIS is 4-16 ATS in the first month of the season the past 5 seasons. ST LOUIS is 9-21 ATS versus division opponents the past 5 seasons. ST LOUIS is 3-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75%) the past 5 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at PHI L 3-38 L (+9) U (43½) 4 vs NYG L L (+7½) O (43½) 9/21 at SEA L L (+8) O (45) 9/28 vs BUF L L (+9) O (44) 10/12 at WAS W W (+11½) U (44) 10/19 vs DAL W W (+8) O (45½) 10/26 at NWE L W (+9) U (41) 11/2 vs ARI L L (+3) U (49) 11/9 at NYJ L 3-47 L (+9½) O (43½) 11/16 at SFO L L (+7) O (43½) 11/23 vs CHI L 3-27 L (+7) U (44½) 0 vs MIA L W (+7) U (44½) 12/7 at ARI L L (+14½) U (48) 12/14 vs SEA L L (+1½) P (43) 12/21 vs SFO L W (+3) U (42) 12/28 at ATL L W (+14) O (44½) New offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer prefers to get cute with a lot of playaction trickery. New offensive line coach Paul Boudreau figures to keep transitioning to more man blocking, a transition they started in 2011 with little success. Steven Jackson will still be relied on heavily as long as he remains healthy; rookie Isaiah Pead will be more of a return specialist and straight backup as Jackson s heir. Jackson will continue to take third down reps, and he figures to stay on the field to handle red zone carries. There s a lot of crossing and dragging in Schottenheimer s complicated offense, which could be tough for the Rams young WRs to pick up. Rookie Brian Quick and slot guys Danny Amendola and TE Lance Kendricks are likely the biggest beneficiaries from a targets standpoint, while outside guys like Chris Givens and Austin Pettis figure to see fewer balls. Quick is the guy St. Louis is counting on to be QB Sam Bradford s go-to receiver; he s got a big adjustment to make coming from Appalachian State s spread offense. Only three teams forced fewer turnovers than the Rams did in 2011, and their horrible offense helped contribute to a rise in points and yards allowed. St. Louis did improve in the offseason with the signings of CB Cortland Finnegan and LB Jo-Lonn Dunbar, but those two guys aren t enough to make this an above-average unit. Chris Long had a career-high 13 sacks last season with then-rookie RDE Robert Quinn drawing attention to the opposite side. James Laurinaitis has more tackles than any NFL player over the past three seasons, and he has yet to miss a game in his career. The question is whether he ll be as productive in what s expected to be a more aggressive scheme under new head coach Jeff Fisher OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at SEA L 0-28 L (+7) U (41) 9/20 at WAS L 7-9 W (+10) U (37) 9/27 vs GNB L L (+6½) O (42½) 10/4 at SFO L 0-35 L (+9) U (36) 10/11 vs MIN L L (+10) O (40½) 10/18 at JAC L W (+9½) O (42) 10/25 vs IND L 6-42 L (+14) O (45) 11/1 at DET W W (+3) U (43½) 11/15 vs NOR L W (+14) O (50½) 11/22 vs ARI L W (+8½) U (46½) 11/29 vs SEA L L (+3) O (42½) 12/6 at CHI L 9-17 W (+9) U (41) 12/13 at TEN L 7-47 L (+14) O (40) 12/20 vs HOU L W (+14) U (43½) 12/27 at ARI L L (+16½) U (44) 1/3 vs SFO L 6-28 L (+7) U (39) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs ARI L L (+3) U (39½) 9 at OAK L W (+3) U (37½) 9/26 vs WAS W W (+5) O (39) 10/3 vs SEA W 20-3 W (+2) U (39½) 10/10 at DET L 6-44 L (+3) O (43½) 10/17 vs SDG W W (+8½) U (45) 10/24 at TAM L W (+3) U (39) 10/31 vs CAR W W (-3) U (37½) 11/14 at SFO L W (+5) O (38) 11/21 vs ATL L L (+3) O (43) 11/28 at DEN W W (+3) O (46½) 12/5 at ARI W 19-6 W (-3) U (44) 12/12 at NOR L L (+9½) U (47½) 12/19 vs KAN L L (-3) U (43) 12/26 vs SFO W W (-2½) O (40) 1/2 at SEA L 6-16 L (-3) U (43) StatFox Power Rating: 9 (#31 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#30 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (1st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (18th toughest) 2011 Record: 2 14 (-8.25 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 10 4 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions Sacks 39 T15 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs PHI L L (+3½) P (44) 9 at NYG L L (+7) O (43) 9/25 vs BAL L 7-37 L (+5) O (42) 10/2 vs WAS L L (+3) U (44) 10/16 at GNB L 3-24 L (+14) U (47) 10/23 at DAL L 7-34 L (+14) U (43) 10/30 vs NOR W W (+13½) O (48½) 11/6 at ARI L L (+1½) U (42) 11/13 at CLE W W (+3) U (36½) 11/20 vs SEA L 7-24 L (-3) U (41) 11/27 vs ARI L L (-2) O (40) 12/4 at SFO L 0-26 L (+14) U (39) 12/12 at SEA L L (+8) O (38) 12/18 vs CIN L P (+7) U (38½) 12/24 at PIT L 0-27 L (+10) U (33½) 1/1 vs SFO L W (+12½) O (34½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

40 NFC WEST SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS StatFox Power Rating: 26 (#6 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.65 (#6 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (20th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (10th toughest) 2011 Record: 14 4 ( ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 at Green Bay Detroit at Minnesota at N.Y. Jets Buffalo N.Y. Giants Seattle at Arizona BYE St. Louis Chicago at New Orleans at St. Louis Miami at New England at Seattle Arizona Situational records SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS SAN FRANCISCO is 17-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road the past 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 16-5 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing =5.65 yards/play the past 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8 ATS after a win by 14 or more points the past 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 ATS in the first month of the season the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 vs ARI L L (+2½) U (42½) 4 at SEA W W (+6) O (38) 9/21 vs DET W W (-4½) U (47) 9/28 at NOR L L (+4) P (48) 10/5 vs NWE L L (+3) O (41) 10/12 vs PHI L L (+5) O (41) 10/19 at NYG L L (+10) U (47) 10/26 vs SEA L L (-5½) O (41½) at ARI L W (+9½) O (47½) 11/16 vs STL W W (-7) O (43½) 11/23 at DAL L L (+9½) O (45½) 0 at BUF W 10-3 W (+6½) U (43) 12/7 vs NYJ W W (+5) U (45½) 12/14 at MIA L 9-14 W (+5½) U (41) 12/21 at STL W L (-3) U (42) 12/28 vs WAS W P (-3) O (37) Despite adding firepower to their receiving corps, the Niners offense will still be based on the power running game. Their scheme is almost exclusively man blocking and almost all between the tackles. Due to the presence of youngsters Kendall Hunter and LaMichael James, they re unlikely to run Frank Gore into the ground like they have in recent seasons. Assuming he beats out veteran Brandon Jacobs, Hunter is more of a traditional backup, while James will be the change-of-pace back and should see a lot of his reps on passing downs. Head coach Jim Harbaugh and offensive coordinator Greg Roman have built a passing game that works for QB Alex Smith. Most often Michael Crabtree is the first option, as they can get him isolated on the outside. Vernon Davis came on strong late once he picked up the offense, and he ll be used deeper down the middle of the field. Randy Moss will likely step into Braylon Edwards seldom-used deep threat role. When they go three-wide, which is often, Mario Manningham will play the outside with Crabtree sliding into a the slot. The 49ers defense is the complete package, with the league s best linebackers, a disruptive front four and an improving secondary. Justin Smith is arguably the NFL s most effective 3-4 DE he s one of the best in the league at stopping the run and also has more pass-rushing ability than your average two-gap end. The Niners defensive scheme funnels ball carriers to Patrick Willis, which is why he consistently racks up more than 100 solo tackles per season. NaVorro Bowman was excellent in his first season as a starting LB. San Francisco also boasts an exceptional return game. When speedy Ted Ginn Jr. is healthy, he s a threat to bring any returnable kick to the house OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 at ARI W W (+4½) U (45) 9/20 vs SEA W W (-1) U (38½) 9/27 at MIN L W (+6½) O (39) 10/4 vs STL W 35-0 W (-9) U (36) 10/11 vs ATL L L (pk) O (39½) 10/25 at HOU L P (+3) O (44½) 11/1 at IND L W (+12½) U (45) 11/8 vs TEN L L (-4) O (40½) 11/12 vs CHI W 10-6 W (-3) U (43) 11/22 at GNB L P (+6) O (41½) 11/29 vs JAC W 20-3 W (-3) U (42) 12/6 at SEA L L (+1) U (41) 12/14 vs ARI W 24-9 W (+4) U (44½) 12/20 at PHI L L (+7) U (41½) 12/27 vs DET W 20-6 P (-14) U (41) 1/3 at STL W 28-6 W (-7) U (39) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 at SEA L 6-31 L (-3) P (37) 9/20 vs NOR L W (+4½) O (44) 9/26 at KAN L L (-3) O (38) 10/3 at ATL L W (+7) U (42) 10/10 vs PHI L L (-3) O (39½) 10/17 vs OAK W 17-9 W (-7½) U (41) 10/24 at CAR L L (-1½) O (35½) 10/31 vs DEN W W (-2) U (41) 11/14 vs STL W L (-5) O (38) 11/21 vs TAM L 0-21 L (-3½) U (41) 11/29 at ARI W 27-6 W (-1½) U (41½) 12/5 at GNB L L (+8½) O (41) 12/12 vs SEA W W (-4½) O (42) 12/16 at SDG L 7-34 L (+10) U (44½) 12/26 at STL L L (+2½) O (40) 1/2 vs ARI W 38-7 W (-5½) O (39) DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 5 1 Sacks Allowed 44 T25 Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 20.8 T18 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 23 T2 Sacks 42 T7 Att/Sack Sack Yards 283 T OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs SEA W W (-6) O (38) 8 vs DAL L P (+3) O (41) 9/25 at CIN W 13-8 W (+3) U (40) 10/2 at PHI W W (+10) O (43½) 10/9 vs TAM W 48-3 W (-3) O (41) 10/16 at DET W W (+5) U (44½) 10/30 vs CLE W W (-9) U (38½) 11/6 at WAS W W (-4½) U (38) 11/13 vs NYG W W (-4) O (43) 11/20 vs ARI W 23-7 W (-10) U (40½) at BAL L 6-16 L (+3) U (40½) 12/4 vs STL W 26-0 W (-14) U (39) 12/11 at ARI L L (-3) O (38½) 12/19 vs PIT W 20-3 W (-3) U (37) 12/24 at SEA W L (-2½) U (36½) 1/1 at STL W L (-12½) O (34½) 40 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

41 NFC WEST 2012 Schedule Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS at Arizona Dallas Green Bay at St. Louis at Carolina New England at San Francisco at Detroit Minnesota N.Y. Jets BYE at Miami at Chicago Arizona at Buffalo San Francisco St. Louis Situational records (includes post-season results) SCENARIO yr total 6-yr% STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % PRESEASON ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs DIVISION ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % STATFOX.COM POWER TRENDS SEATTLE is 15-4 ATS vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. the past 5 seasons. SEATTLE is 5-18 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game the past 5 seasons. SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game the past 3 seasons. SEATTLE is 7-1 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season the past 3 seasons Regular Season Game Logs 2008 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 9/7 at BUF L L (+2½) O (37½) 4 vs SFO L L (-6) O (38) 9/21 vs STL W W (-8) O (45) 10/5 at NYG L 6-44 L (+6) O (43½) 10/12 vs GNB L L (+1) P (44) 10/19 at TAM L W (+11) U (40) 10/26 at SFO W W (+5½) O (41½) 11/2 vs PHI L 7-26 L (+7) U (44) 11/9 at MIA L W (+7½) U (41½) 11/16 vs ARI L L (+3) U (47½) 11/23 vs WAS L P (+3) U (40) 11/27 at DAL L 9-34 L (+11½) U (46) 12/7 vs NWE L W (+7½) O (43) 12/14 at STL W W (-1½) P (43) 12/21 vs NYJ W 13-3 W (+3½) U (41½) 12/28 at ARI L L (+7) O (47) The Seahawks are well-versed in zone blocking after a year under current offensive line coach Tom Cable, one of the best zone-blocking coaches in the game. They play a lot of two-tight end and three-receiver sets and do a lot of inside zone runs with Marshawn Lynch, who will continue to get a mammoth workload. Change-of-pace back Leon Washington will occasionally spell Lynch on passing downs. Seattle is run-heavy near the goal line, as Seattle was one of four teams to run it more than 60 percent of the time in goal-to-go situations. The Seahawks run a West Coast passing game similar to the one QB Matt Flynn played in at Green Bay. Seattle uses a lot of three-wr sets, and offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell was able to open things up for slot receiver Doug Baldwin. Split end Sidney Rice is more of a perimeter threat in this offense, and Golden Tate has a chance for an increased number of targets at flanker. Leading tackler LB David Hawthorne is now in New Orleans, but the Seahawks should remain an above-average defense. They finished fourth in the NFL with 22 interceptions and made huge improvements in both yards allowed and scoring defense in One of the reasons was the play of DL Chris Clemons. After floundering for several different teams he s found a home in Seattle with back-to-back 11-sack seasons. Safety Kam Chancellor is an elite in-the-box run-stuffer who even plays some linebacker on passing downs. He s also good enough in coverage that he s not a liability when opponents decide to pass the ball. Chancellor forms one of the NFL s best young safety tandems with Earl Thomas, who draws comparisons to Troy Polamalu due to his athleticism and exceptional instincts OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 3 vs STL W 28-0 W (-7) U (41) 9/20 at SFO L L (+1) U (38½) 9/27 vs CHI L L (+3) O (37½) 10/4 at IND L L (+10) O (43) 10/11 vs JAC W 41-0 W (-2) U (44) 10/18 vs ARI L 3-27 L (-3) U (45½) 11/1 at DAL L L (+10) O (46½) 11/8 vs DET W W (-11) O (41½) 11/15 at ARI L L (+8) O (46½) 11/22 at MIN L 9-35 L (+10½) U (47) 11/29 at STL W W (-3) O (42½) 12/6 vs SFO W W (-1) U (41) 12/13 at HOU L 7-34 L (+7) U (45) 12/20 vs TAM L 7-24 L (-6½) U (39) 12/27 at GNB L L (+13) O (43½) 1/3 vs TEN L W (+5½) U (46) 2010 OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 2 vs SFO W 31-6 W (+3) P (37) 9 at DEN L L (+3) O (41) 9/26 vs SDG W W (+3½) O (44) 10/3 at STL L 3-20 L (-2) U (39½) 10/17 at CHI W W (+6) O (37½) 10/24 vs ARI W W (-6½) U (40½) 10/31 at OAK L 3-33 L (+2) U (40) 11/7 vs NYG L 7-41 L (+7) O (40½) 11/14 at ARI W W (+3) O (41) 11/21 at NOR L L (+11) O (44½) 11/28 vs KAN L L (+1½) O (45½) 12/5 vs CAR W W (-5) O (40½) 12/12 at SFO L L (+4½) O (42) 12/19 vs ATL L L (+5½) O (46½) 12/26 at TAM L L (+5½) O (43½) 1/2 vs STL W 16-6 W (+3) U (43) StatFox Power Rating: 21 (#13 of 32) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.08 (#13 of 32) 2011 Schedule Strength: (25th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (23th toughest) 2011 Record: 7 9 (+2.1 ML units) 2011 Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 10 6 DIFFERENTIALS NO. RANK Scoring Yardage Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Turnovers +8 T5 Points Scored st Dwn/Gm Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 18.7 T23 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att INTs Thrown 14 T12 Sacks Allowed Att/Sack Sack Yards Points Allowed st Dwn/Gm 19.4 T15 Yards/Game Yds Per Play Yds Per Point Rush Yds/Gm Yards Per Rush Pass Att/Game Comp/Game 20.3 T15 Completion % Pass Yds/Gm Pass Yds/Att Interceptions 22 4 Sacks 33 T19 Att/Sack Sack Yards OPP SCORE ATS TOTAL 1 vs SEA W W (-6) O (38) 8 vs DAL L P (+3) O (41) 9/25 at CIN W 13-8 W (+3) U (40) 10/2 at PHI W W (+10) O (43½) 10/9 vs TAM W 48-3 W (-3) O (41) 10/16 at DET W W (+5) U (44½) 10/30 vs CLE W W (-9) U (38½) 11/6 at WAS W W (-4½) U (38) 11/13 vs NYG W W (-4) O (43) 11/20 vs ARI W 23-7 W (-10) U (40½) at BAL L 6-16 L (+3) U (40½) 12/4 vs STL W 26-0 W (-14) U (39) 12/11 at ARI L L (-3) O (38½) 12/19 vs PIT W 20-3 W (-3) U (37) 12/24 at SEA W L (-2½) U (36½) 1/1 at STL W L (-12½) O (34½) NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

42 2012 AFC Team-BY-TEAM Schedules buffalo bills Baltimore ravens Houston Texans denver Broncos Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at New York Jets Sept. 16 Kansas City Sept. 23 at Cleveland Sept. 30 New England Oct. 7 at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Oct. 14 at Arizona 4:05 p.m. Oct. 21 Tennessee Week 8 BYE WEEK Nov. 4 at Houston Nov. 11 at New England Nov. 15 Miami 8:20 p.m. Nov. 25 at Indianapolis Dec. 2 Jacksonville Dec. 9 St. Louis Dec. 16 Seattle 4:05 p.m. Dec. 23 at Miami Dec. 30 New York Jets Date Opponent Time Sept. 10 Cincinnati 7:00 p.m. Sept. 16 at Philadelphia Sept. 23 New England 8:20 p.m. Sept. 27 Cleveland 8:20 p.m. Oct. 7 at Kansas City Oct. 14 Dallas Oct. 21 at Houston Week 8 BYE WEEK Nov. 4 at Cleveland Nov. 11 Oakland Nov. 18 at Pittsburgh 8:20 p.m. Nov. 25 at San Diego 4:05 p.m. Dec. 2 Pittsburgh 4:15 p.m. Dec. 9 at Washington Dec. 16 Denver Dec. 23 New York Giants Dec. 30 at Cincinnati Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Miami Sept. 16 at Jacksonville Sept. 23 at Denver 4:15 p.m. Sept. 30 Tennessee Oct. 8 at New York Jets 8:30 p.m. Oct. 14 Green Bay 8:20 p.m. Oct. 21 Baltimore Week 8 BYE WEEK Nov. 4 Buffalo Nov. 11 at Chicago 8:20 p.m. Nov. 18 Jacksonville Nov. 22 at Detroit 12:30 p.m. Dec. 2 at Tennessee Dec. 10 at New England 8:30 p.m. Dec. 16 Indianapolis Dec. 23 Minnesota Dec. 30 at Indianapolis Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Pittsburgh 8:20 p.m. Sept. 17 at Atlanta 8:30 p.m. Sept. 23 Houston 4:15 p.m. Sept. 30 Oakland 4:05 p.m. Oct. 7 at New England 4:15 p.m. Oct. 15 at San Diego 8:30 p.m. Week 7 BYE WEEK Oct. 28 New Orleans 8:20 p.m. Nov. 4 at Cincinnati Nov. 11 at Carolina Nov. 18 San Diego 4:15 p.m. Nov. 25 at Kansas City Dec. 2 Tampa Bay 4:05 p.m. Dec. 6 at Oakland 8:20 p.m. Dec. 16 at Baltimore Dec. 23 Cleveland 4:05 p.m. Dec. 30 Kansas City 4:15 p.m. miami Dolphins Cincinnati Bengals Indianapolis colts Kansas City Chiefs Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Houston Sept. 16 Oakland Sept. 23 New York Jets Sept. 30 at Arizona 4:05 p.m. Oct. 7 at Cincinnati Oct. 14 St. Louis Week 7 BYE WEEK Oct. 28 at New York Jets Nov. 4 at Indianapolis Nov. 11 Tennessee Nov. 15 at Buffalo 8:20 p.m. Nov. 25 Seattle Dec. 2 New England Dec. 9 at San Francisco 4:05 p.m. Dec. 16 Jacksonville Dec. 23 Buffalo Dec. 30 at New England Date Opponent Time Sept. 10 at Baltimore 7:00 p.m. Sept. 16 Cleveland Sept. 23 at Washington Sept. 30 at Jacksonville 4:05 p.m. Oct. 7 Miami Oct. 14 at Cleveland Oct. 21 Pittsburgh 8:20 p.m. Week 8 BYE WEEK Nov. 4 Denver Nov. 11 New York Giants Nov. 18 at Kansas City Nov. 25 Oakland Dec. 2 at San Diego 4:15 p.m. Dec. 9 Dallas Dec. 13 at Philadelphia 8:20 p.m. Dec. 23 at Pittsburgh Dec. 30 Baltimore Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Chicago Sept. 16 Minnesota Sept. 23 Jacksonville Week 4 BYE WEEK Oct. 7 Green Bay Oct. 14 at New York Jets Oct. 21 Cleveland Oct. 28 at Tennessee Nov. 4 Miami Nov. 8 at Jacksonville 8:20 p.m. Nov. 18 at New England Nov. 25 Buffalo Dec. 2 at Detroit Dec. 9 Tennessee Dec. 16 at Houston Dec. 23 at Kansas City Dec. 30 Houston Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Atlanta Sept. 16 at Buffalo Sept. 23 at New Orleans Sept. 30 San Diego Oct. 7 Baltimore Oct. 14 at Tampa Bay Week 7 BYE WEEK Oct. 28 Oakland 4:05 p.m. Nov. 1 at San Diego 8:20 p.m. Nov. 12 at Pittsburgh 8:30 p.m. Nov. 18 Cincinnati Nov. 25 Denver Dec. 2 Carolina Dec. 9 at Cleveland Dec. 16 at Oakland 4:15 p.m. Dec. 23 Indianapolis Dec. 30 at Denver 4:15 p.m. New England Patriots Cleveland Browns Jacksonville Jaguars Oakland Raiders Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Tennessee Sept. 16 Arizona Sept. 23 at Baltimore 8:20 p.m. Sept. 30 at Buffalo Oct. 7 Denver 4:15 p.m. Oct. 14 at Seattle 4:05 p.m. Oct. 21 New York Jets 4:15 p.m. Oct. 28 at St. Louis Week 9 BYE WEEK Nov. 11 Buffalo Nov. 18 Indianapolis Nov. 22 at New York Jets 8:20 p.m. Dec. 2 at Miami Dec. 10 Houston 8:30 p.m. Dec. 16 San Francisco 8:20 p.m. Dec. 23 at Jacksonville Dec. 30 Miami Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Philadelphia Sept. 16 at Cincinnati Sept. 23 Buffalo Sept. 27 at Baltimore 8:20 p.m. Oct. 7 at New York Giants Oct. 14 Cincinnati Oct. 21 at Indianapolis Oct. 28 San Diego Nov. 4 Baltimore Week 10 BYE WEEK Nov. 18 at Dallas Nov. 25 Pittsburgh Dec. 2 at Oakland 4:15 p.m. Dec. 9 Kansas City Dec. 16 Washington Dec. 23 at Denver 4:05 p.m. Dec. 30 at Pittsburgh Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Minnesota Sept. 16 Houston Sept. 23 at Indianapolis Sept. 30 Cincinnati 4:05 p.m. Oct. 7 Chicago 4:05 p.m. Week 6 BYE WEEK Oct. 21 at Oakland 4:15 p.m. Oct. 28 at Green Bay Nov. 4 Detroit Nov. 8 Indianapolis 8:20 p.m. Nov. 18 at Houston Nov. 25 Tennessee Dec. 2 at Buffalo Dec. 9 New York Jets Dec. 16 at Miami Dec. 23 New England Dec. 30 at Tennessee Date Opponent Time Sept. 10 San Diego 10:15 p.m. Sept. 16 at Miami 4:15 p.m. Sept. 23 Pittsburgh 4:15 p.m. Sept. 30 at Denver 4:05 p.m. Week 5 BYE WEEK Oct. 14 at Atlanta Oct. 21 Jacksonville 4:15 p.m. Oct. 28 at Kansas City 4:05 p.m. Nov. 4 Tampa Bay 4:05 p.m. Nov. 11 at Baltimore Nov. 18 New Orleans 4:05 p.m. Nov. 25 at Cincinnati Dec. 2 Cleveland 4:15 p.m. Dec. 6 Denver 8:20 p.m. Dec. 16 Kansas City 4:15 p.m. Dec. 23 at Carolina Dec. 30 at San Diego 4:15 p.m. New York Jets Pittsburgh Steelers Tennessee Titans San Diego Chargers Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Buffalo Sept. 16 at Pittsburgh 4:15 p.m. Sept. 23 at Miami Sept. 30 San Francisco Oct. 8 Houston 8:30 p.m. Oct. 14 Indianapolis Oct. 21 at New England 4:15 p.m. Oct. 28 Miami Week 9 BYE WEEK Nov. 11 at Seattle 4:05 p.m. Nov. 18 at St. Louis Nov. 22 New England 8:20 p.m. Dec. 2 Arizona Dec. 9 at Jacksonville Dec. 17 at Tennessee 8:30 p.m. Dec. 23 San Diego 8:20 p.m. Dec. 30 at Buffalo Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Denver 8:20 p.m. Sept. 16 New York Jets 4:15 p.m. Sept. 23 at Oakland 4:15 p.m. Week 4 BYE WEEK Oct. 7 Philadelphia Oct. 11 at Tennessee 8:20 p.m. Oct. 21 at Cincinnati 8:20 p.m. Oct. 28 Washington Nov. 4 at New York Giants 4:15 p.m. Nov. 12 Kansas City 8:30 p.m. Nov. 18 Baltimore 8:20 p.m. Nov. 25 at Cleveland Dec. 2 at Baltimore 4:15 p.m. Dec. 9 San Diego Dec. 16 at Dallas 4:15 p.m. Dec. 23 Cincinnati Dec. 30 Cleveland Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 New England Sept. 16 at San Diego 4:15 p.m. Sept. 23 Detroit Sept. 30 at Houston Oct. 7 at Minnesota Oct. 11 Pittsburgh 8:20 p.m. Oct. 21 at Buffalo Oct. 28 Indianapolis Nov. 4 Chicago Nov. 11 at Miami Week 11 BYE WEEK Nov. 25 at Jacksonville Dec. 2 Houston Dec. 9 at Indianapolis Dec. 17 New York Jets 8:30 p.m. Dec. 23 at Green Bay Dec. 30 Jacksonville Date Opponent Time Sept. 10 at Oakland 10:15 p.m. Sept. 16 Tennessee 4:15 p.m. Sept. 23 Atlanta 4:05 p.m. Sept. 30 at Kansas City Oct. 7 at New Orleans 8:20 p.m. Oct. 15 Denver 8:30 p.m. Week 7 BYE WEEK Oct. 28 at Cleveland Nov. 1 Kansas City 8:20 p.m. Nov. 11 at Tampa Bay Nov. 18 at Denver 4:15 p.m. Nov. 25 Baltimore 4:05 p.m. Dec. 2 Cincinnati 4:15 p.m. Dec. 9 at Pittsburgh Dec. 16 Carolina 4:05 p.m. Dec. 23 at New York Jets 8:20 p.m. Dec. 30 Oakland 4:15 p.m. 42 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

43 2012 NFC Team-BY-TEAM Schedules Dallas Cowboys Date Opponent Time Sept. 5 at New York Giants 8:30 p.m. Sept. 16 at Seattle 4:05 p.m. Sept. 23 Tampa Bay Oct. 1 Chicago 8:30 p.m. Week 5 BYE WEEK Oct. 14 at Baltimore Oct. 21 at Carolina Oct. 28 New York Giants 4:15 p.m. Nov. 4 at Atlanta 8:20 p.m. Nov. 11 at Philadelphia 4:15 p.m. Nov. 18 Cleveland Nov. 22 Washington 4:15 p.m. Dec. 2 Philadelphia 8:20 p.m. Dec. 9 at Cincinnati Dec. 16 Pittsburgh 4:15 p.m. Dec. 23 New Orleans Dec. 30 at Washington New York Giants Date Opponent Time Sep. 5 Dallas 8:30 p.m. Sep. 16 Tampa Bay Sep. 20 at Carolina 8:20 p.m. Sep. 30 at Philadelphia 8:20 p.m. Oct. 7 Cleveland Oct. 14 at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Oct. 21 Washington Oct. 28 at Dallas 4:15 p.m. Nov. 4 Pittsburgh 4:15 p.m. Nov. 11 at Cincinnati Week 11 BYE WEEK Nov. 25 Green Bay 8:20 p.m. Dec. 3 at Washington 8:30 p.m. Dec. 9 New Orleans 4:15 p.m. Dec. 16 at Atlanta Dec. 23 at Baltimore Dec. 30 Philadelphia Philadelphia Eagles Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Cleveland Sept. 16 Baltimore Sept. 23 at Arizona 4:05 p.m. Sept. 30 New York Giants 8:20 p.m. Oct. 7 at Pittsburgh Oct. 14 Detroit Week 7 BYE WEEK Oct. 28 Atlanta Nov. 5 at New Orleans 8:30 p.m. Nov. 11 Dallas 4:15 p.m. Nov. 18 at Washington Nov. 26 Carolina 8:30 p.m. Dec. 2 at Dallas 8:20 p.m. Dec. 9 at Tampa Bay Dec. 13 Cincinnati 8:20 p.m. Dec. 23 Washington Dec. 30 at New York Giants Washington Redskins Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at New Orleans Sept. 16 at St. Louis 4:05 p.m. Sept. 23 Cincinnati Sept. 30 at Tampa Bay 4:15 p.m. Oct. 7 Atlanta Oct. 14 Minnesota 4:15 p.m. Oct. 21 at New York Giants Oct. 28 at Pittsburgh Nov. 4 Carolina Week 10 BYE WEEK Nov. 18 Philadelphia Nov. 22 at Dallas 4:15 p.m. Dec. 3 New York Giants 8:30 p.m. Dec. 9 Baltimore Dec. 16 at Cleveland Dec. 23 at Philadelphia Dec. 30 Dallas Chicago Bears Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Indianapolis Sept. 13 at Green Bay 8:20 p.m. Sept. 23 St. Louis Oct. 1 at Dallas 8:30 p.m. Oct. 7 at Jacksonville 4:05 p.m. Week 6 BYE WEEK Oct. 22 Detroit 8:30 p.m. Oct. 28 Carolina Nov. 4 at Tennessee Nov. 11 Houston 8:20 p.m. Nov. 19 at San Francisco 8:30 p.m. Nov. 25 Minnesota Dec. 2 Seattle Dec. 9 at Minnesota Dec. 16 Green Bay Dec. 23 at Arizona 4:15 p.m. Dec. 30 at Detroit Detroit Lions Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 St. Louis Sept. 16 at San Francisco 8:20 p.m. Sept. 23 at Tennessee Sept. 30 Minnesota Week 5 BYE WEEK Oct. 14 at Philadelphia Oct. 22 at Chicago 8:30 p.m. Oct. 28 Seattle Nov. 4 at Jacksonville Nov. 11 at Minnesota Nov. 18 Green Bay Nov. 22 Houston 12:30 p.m. Dec. 2 Indianapolis Dec. 9 at Green Bay 8:20 p.m. Dec. 16 at Arizona 4:05 p.m. Dec. 22 Atlanta 8:30 p.m. Dec. 30 Chicago Green Bay Packers Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Sept. 13 Chicago 8:20 p.m. Sept. 24 at Seattle 8:30 p.m. Sept. 30 New Orleans 4:15 p.m. Oct. 7 at Indianapolis Oct. 14 at Houston 8:20 p.m. Oct. 21 at St. Louis Oct. 28 Jacksonville Nov. 4 Arizona Week 10 BYE WEEK Nov. 18 at Detroit Nov. 25 at New York Giants 8:20 p.m. Dec. 2 Minnesota Dec. 9 Detroit 8:20 p.m. Dec. 16 at Chicago Dec. 23 Tennessee Dec. 30 at Minnesota Minnesota Vikings Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Jacksonville Sept. 16 at Indianapolis Sept. 23 San Francisco Sept. 30 at Detroit Oct. 7 Tennessee Oct. 14 at Washington 4:15 p.m. Oct. 21 Arizona Oct. 25 Tampa Bay 8:20 p.m. Nov. 4 at Seattle 4:05 p.m. Nov. 11 Detroit Week 11 BYE WEEK Nov. 25 at Chicago Dec. 2 at Green Bay Dec. 9 Chicago Dec. 16 at St. Louis Dec. 23 at Houston Dec. 30 Green Bay Atlanta Falcons Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Kansas City Sept. 17 Denver 8:30 p.m. Sept. 23 at San Diego 4:05 p.m. Sept. 30 Carolina Oct. 7 at Washington Oct. 14 Oakland Week 7 BYE WEEK Oct. 28 at Philadelphia Nov. 4 Dallas 8:20 p.m. Nov. 11 at New Orleans Nov. 18 Arizona Nov. 25 at Tampa Bay Nov. 29 New Orleans 8:20 p.m. Dec. 9 at Carolina Dec. 16 New York Giants Dec. 22 at Detroit 8:30 p.m. Dec. 30 Tampa Bay Carolina Panthers Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Tampa Bay 4:15 p.m. Sept. 16 New Orleans Sept. 20 New York Giants 8:20 p.m. Sept. 30 at Atlanta Oct. 7 Seattle 4:05 p.m. Week 6 BYE WEEK Oct. 21 Dallas Oct. 28 at Chicago Nov. 4 at Washington Nov. 11 Denver Nov. 18 Tampa Bay Nov. 26 at Philadelphia 8:30 p.m. Dec. 2 at Kansas City Dec. 9 Atlanta Dec. 16 at San Diego 4:05 p.m. Dec. 23 Oakland Dec. 30 at New Orleans New Orleans Saints Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Washington Sept. 16 at Carolina Sept. 23 Kansas City Sept. 30 at Green Bay 4:15 p.m. Oct. 7 San Diego 8:20 p.m. Week 6 BYE WEEK Oct. 21 at Tampa Bay Oct. 28 at Denver 8:20 p.m. Nov. 5 Philadelphia 8:30 p.m. Nov. 11 Atlanta Nov. 18 at Oakland 4:05 p.m. Nov. 25 San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Nov. 29 at Atlanta 8:20 p.m. Dec. 9 at New York Giants 4:15 p.m. Dec. 16 Tampa Bay Dec. 23 at Dallas Dec. 30 Carolina Tampa Bay Buccaneers Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Carolina 4:15 p.m. Sept. 16 at New York Giants Sept. 23 at Dallas Sept. 30 Washington 4:15 p.m. Week 5 BYE WEEK Oct. 14 Kansas City Oct. 21 New Orleans Oct. 25 at Minnesota 8:20 p.m. Nov. 4 at Oakland 4:05 p.m. Nov. 11 San Diego Nov. 18 at Carolina Nov. 25 Atlanta Dec. 2 at Denver 4:05 p.m. Dec. 9 Philadelphia Dec. 16 at New Orleans Dec. 23 St. Louis Dec. 30 at Atlanta arizona Cardinals Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 Seattle 4:15 p.m. Sept. 16 at New England Sept. 23 Philadelphia 4:05 p.m. Sept. 30 Miami 4:05 p.m. Oct. 4 at St. Louis 8:20 p.m. Oct. 14 Buffalo 4:05 p.m. Oct. 21 at Minnesota Oct. 29 San Francisco 8:30 p.m. Nov. 4 at Green Bay Week 10 BYE WEEK Nov. 18 at Atlanta Nov. 25 St. Louis 4:15 p.m. Dec. 2 at New York Jets Dec. 9 at Seattle 4:15 p.m. Dec. 16 Detroit 4:05 p.m. Dec. 23 Chicago 4:15 p.m. Dec. 30 at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Saint louis rams Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Detroit Sept. 16 Washington 4:05 p.m. Sept. 23 at Chicago Sept. 30 Seattle Oct. 4 Arizona 8:20 p.m. Oct. 14 at Miami Oct. 21 Green Bay Oct. 28 New England Week 9 BYE WEEK Nov. 11 at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Nov. 18 New York Jets Nov. 25 at Arizona 4:15 p.m. Dec. 2 San Francisco Dec. 9 at Buffalo Dec. 16 Minnesota Dec. 23 at Tampa Bay Dec. 30 at Seattle 4:15 p.m. San Francisco 49ers Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Green Bay 4:15 p.m. Sept. 16 Detroit 8:20 p.m. Sept. 23 at Minnesota Sept. 30 at New York Jets Oct. 7 Buffalo 4:15 p.m. Oct. 14 New York Giants 4:15 p.m. Oct. 18 Seattle 8:20 p.m. Oct. 29 at Arizona 8:30 p.m. Week 9 BYE WEEK Nov. 11 St. Louis 4:15 p.m. Nov. 19 Chicago 8:30 p.m. Nov. 25 at New Orleans 4:15 p.m. Dec. 2 at St. Louis Dec. 9 Miami 4:05 p.m. Dec. 16 at New England 8:20 p.m. Dec. 23 at Seattle 4:15 p.m. Dec. 30 Arizona 4:15 p.m. Seattle Seahawks Date Opponent Time Sept. 9 at Arizona 4:15 p.m. Sept. 16 Dallas 4:05 p.m. Sept. 24 Green Bay 8:30 p.m. Sept. 30 at St. Louis Oct. 7 at Carolina 4:05 p.m. Oct. 14 New England 4:05 p.m. Oct. 18 at San Francisco 8:00 p.m. Oct. 28 at Detroit Nov. 4 Minnesota 4:05 p.m. Nov. 11 New York Jets 4:05 p.m. Week 11 BYE WEEK Nov. 25 at Miami Dec. 2 at Chicago Dec. 9 Arizona 4:15 p.m. Dec. 16 at Buffalo 4:05 p.m. Dec. 23 San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Dec. 30 St. Louis 4:15 p.m. NFL Preview Football Futures AFC East AFC North AFC South AFC West NFC East NFC North NFC South NFC West Team Schedules Weekly Schedule StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

44 2012 WEEK-BY-WEEK NFL Schedule WEEK 1 Wednesday, Sept. 5 Dallas at NY Giants 8:30 p.m. Sunday, Sept. 9 Indianapolis at Chicago Philadelphia at Cleveland New England at Tennessee Atlanta at Kansas City Jacksonville at Minnesota Washington at New Orleans Buffalo at NY Jets St. Louis at Detroit Miami at Houston San Francisco at Green Bay 4:15 p.m. Seattle at Arizona 4:15 p.m. Carolina at Tampa Bay 4:15 p.m. Pittsburgh at Denver 8:20 p.m. Monday, Sept. 10 Cincinnati at Baltimore 7:00 p.m. San Diego at Oakland 10:15 p.m. WEEK 2 Thursday, SEPT. 13 Chicago at Green Bay sunday, SEPT. 16 Kansas City at Buffalo Cleveland at Cincinnati Minnesota at Indianapolis New Orleans at Carolina Houston at Jacksonville Arizona at New England Tampa Bay at NY Giants Baltimore at Philadelphia Dallas at Seattle Washington at St. Louis Oakland at Miami NY Jets at Pittsburgh Tennessee at San Diego Detroit at San Francisco MONday, SEPT. 17 Denver at Atlanta WEEK 3 Thursday, SEPT. 20 NY Giants at Carolina sunday, SEPT. 23 St. Louis at Chicago Buffalo at Cleveland Tampa Bay at Dallas NY Jets at Miami San Francisco at Minnesota Kansas City at New Orleans Cincinnati at Washington Detroit at Tennessee Jacksonville at Indianapolis Philadelphia at Arizona Atlanta at San Diego Houston at Denver Pittsburgh at Oakland New England at Baltimore MONday, SEPT. 24 Green Bay at Seattle WEEK 4 8:20 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 8:20 p.m. 8:30 p.m. 8:20 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 8:20 p.m. 8:30 p.m. Thursday, SEPT. 27 Cleveland at Baltimore 8:20 p.m. sunday, SEPT. 30 Carolina at Atlanta New England at Buffalo Minnesota at Detroit San Diego at Kansas City Seattle at St. Louis San Francisco at NY Jets Tennessee at Houston Cincinnati at Jacksonville 4:05 p.m. Miami at Arizona 4:05 p.m. Oakland at Denver 4:05 p.m. New Orleans at Green Bay 4:15 p.m. Washington at Tampa Bay 4:15 p.m. NY Giants at Philadelphia 8:20 p.m. MONday, OCT. 1 Chicago at Dallas 8:30 p.m. BYE: INDIANAPOLIS, PITTSBURGH WEEK 5 Thursday, OCT. 4 Arizona at St. Louis Sunday, Oct. 7 Miami at Cincinnati Green Bay at Indianapolis Baltimore at Kansas City Tennessee at Minnesota Atlanta at Washington 8:20 p.m. WEEK 5 (continued) Cleveland at NY Giants Philadelphia at Pittsburgh Seattle at Carolina 4:05 p.m. Chicago at Jacksonville 4:05 p.m. Denver at New England 4:15 p.m. Buffalo at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. San Diego at New Orleans 8:20 p.m. MOnday, Oct. 8 Houston at NY Jets 8:30 p.m. BYE: Dallas, DETROIT, OAKLAND, TAMPA BAY WEEK 6 Thursday, OCT. 11 Pittsburgh at Tennessee 8:20 p.m. Sunday, Oct. 14 Oakland at Atlanta Cincinnati at Cleveland St. Louis at Miami Indianapolis at NY Jets Detroit at Philadelphia Kansas City at Tampa Bay Dallas at Baltimore Buffalo at Arizona 4:05 p.m. New England at Seattle 4:05 p.m. NY Giants at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Minnesota at Washington 4:15 p.m. Green Bay at Houston 8:20 p.m. MOnday, Oct. 15 Denver at San Diego 8:30 p.m. BYE: CHICAGO, New ORLEANS, CAROLINA, JACKSONVILLE WEEK 7 Thursday, OCT. 18 Seattle at San Francisco 8:20 p.m. Sunday, Oct. 21 Tennessee at Buffalo Washington at NY Giants New Orleans at Tampa Bay Dallas at Carolina Baltimore at Houston Cleveland at Indianapolis Green Bay at St. Louis Arizona at Minnesota NY Jets at New England 4:15 p.m. Jacksonville at Oakland 4:15 p.m. Pittsburgh at Cincinnati 8:20 p.m. MOnday, Oct. 22 Detroit at Chicago 8:30 p.m. Bye: ATLANTA, DENVER, KANSAS CITY, MIAMI, PHILADELPHIA, SAN DIEGO WEEK 8 Thursday, OCT. 25 Tampa Bay at Minnesota 8:20 p.m. Sunday, Oct. 28 Carolina at Chicago San Diego at Cleveland Seattle at Detroit Jacksonville at Green Bay Indianapolis at Tennessee New England vs. St. Louis at London Miami at NY Jets Atlanta at Philadelphia Washington at Pittsburgh Oakland at Kansas City 4:05 p.m. NY Giants at Dallas 4:15 p.m. New Orleans at Denver 8:20 p.m. MOnday, Oct. 29 San Francisco at Arizona 8:30 p.m. Bye: BUFFALO, CINCY, BALTIMORE, HOUSTON WEEK 9 Thursday, NOV. 1 Kansas City at San Diego 8:20 p.m. Sunday, NOV. 4 Denver at Cincinnati Baltimore at Cleveland Arizona at Green Bay Chicago at Tennessee Miami at Indianapolis Carolina at Washington Detroit at Jacksonville Buffalo at Houston Tampa Bay at Oakland 4:05 p.m. Minnesota at Seattle 4:05 p.m. Pittsburgh at NY Giants 4:15 p.m. Dallas at Atlanta 8:20 p.m. MOnday, NOV. 5 Philadelphia at New Orleans 8:30 p.m. Bye: NEW ENGLAND, New YORK JETS, ST. LOUIS, SAN FRANCISCO WEEK 10 Thursday, NOV. 8 Indianapolis at Jacksonville 8:20 p.m. Sunday, NOV. 11 NY Giants at Cincinnati Tennessee at Miami Detroit at Minnesota Buffalo at New England Atlanta at New Orleans San Diego at Tampa Bay Denver at Carolina Oakland at Baltimore NY Jets at Seattle 4:05 p.m. Dallas at Philadelphia 4:15 p.m. St. Louis at San Francisco 4:15 p.m. Houston at Chicago 8:20 p.m. MOnday, NOV. 12 Kansas City at Pittsburgh 8:30 p.m. Bye: ARIZONA, CLEVELAND, GREEN BAY, WASHINGTON WEEK 11 Thursday, Nov. 15 Miami at Buffalo 8:20 p.m. sunday, Nov. 18 Arizona at Atlanta Cleveland at Dallas NY Jets at St. Louis Indianapolis at New England Green Bay at Detroit Cincinnati at Kansas City Philadelphia at Washington Tampa Bay at Carolina Jacksonville at Houston New Orleans at Oakland 4:05 p.m. San Diego at Denver 4:15 p.m. Baltimore at Pittsburgh 8:20 p.m.* MONday, Nov. 19 Chicago at San Francisco 8:30 p.m. Bye: MINNESOTA, New YORK GIANTs, SEATTLE, TENNESSEE WEEK 12 Thursday, Nov. 22 Houston at Detroit 12:30 p.m. Washington at Dallas 4:15 p.m. New England at NY Jets 8:20 p.m. sunday, Nov. 25 Minnesota at Chicago Oakland at Cincinnati Pittsburgh at Cleveland Buffalo at Indianapolis Denver at Kansas City Seattle at Miami Atlanta at Tampa Bay Tennessee at Jacksonville Baltimore at San Diego 4:05 p.m. St. Louis at Arizona 4:15 p.m. San Francisco at New Orleans 4:15 p.m. Green Bay at NY Giants 8:20 p.m.* MONday, Nov. 26 Carolina at Philadelphia 8:30 p.m. WEEK 13 Thursday, Nov. 29 New Orleans at Atlanta Sunday, Dec. 2 Jacksonville at Buffalo Seattle at Chicago Indianapolis at Detroit Minnesota at Green Bay Houston at Tennessee Carolina at Kansas City San Francisco at St. Louis New England at Miami Arizona at NY Jets Tampa Bay at Denver Cincinnati at San Diego Pittsburgh at Baltimore Cleveland at Oakland Philadelphia at Dallas Monday, Dec. 3 NY Giants at Washington 8:20 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 8:20 p.m.* 8:30 p.m. WEEK 14 Thursday, Dec. 6 Denver at Oakland Sunday, Dec. 9 St. Louis at Buffalo Dallas at Cincinnati Kansas City at Cleveland Tennessee at Indianapolis Chicago at Minnesota Philadelphia at Tampa Bay Baltimore at Washington Atlanta at Carolina NY Jets at Jacksonville San Diego at Pittsburgh Miami at San Francisco Arizona at Seattle New Orleans at NY Giants Detroit at Green Bay Monday, Dec. 10 Houston at New England WEEK 15 Thursday, Dec. 13 Cincinnati at Philadelphia Sunday, Dec. 16 NY Giants at Atlanta Minnesota at St. Louis Jacksonville at Miami Green Bay at Chicago Washington at Cleveland Denver at Baltimore Indianapolis at Houston Tampa Bay at New Orleans Detroit at Arizona Carolina at San Diego Seattle vs. Buffalo at Toronto Pittsburgh at Dallas Kansas City at Oakland San Francisco at New England Monday, Dec. 17 NY Jets at Tennessee WEEK 16 saturday, Dec. 22 Atlanta at Detroit sunday, Dec. 23 New Orleans at Dallas Tennessee at Green Bay Indianapolis at Kansas City Buffalo at Miami St. Louis at Tampa Bay Oakland at Carolina New England at Jacksonville NY Giants at Baltimore Minnesota at Houston Washington at Philadelphia Cincinnati at Pittsburgh Cleveland at Denver San Francisco at Seattle Chicago at Arizona San Diego at NY Jets WEEK 17 Sunday, DEC.30 Tampa Bay at Atlanta NY Jets at Buffalo Baltimore at Cincinnati Dallas at Washington Chicago at Detroit Jacksonville at Tennessee Houston at Indianapolis Green Bay at Minnesota Miami at New England Carolina at New Orleans Philadelphia at NY Giants Cleveland at Pittsburgh Oakland at San Diego Arizona at San Francisco St. Louis at Seattle Kansas City at Denver 8:20 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 8:20 p.m.* 8:30 p.m. 8:20 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 8:20 p.m.* 8:30 p.m. 8:30 p.m. 4:05 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 8:20 p.m.* 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. 4:15 p.m. POSTSEASON AFC and NFC Wild Card Playoffs (NBC) Saturday, January 5 AFC and NFC Wild Card Playoffs (CBS and FOX) Sunday, January 6 AFC and NFC Divisional Playoffs (CBS and FOX) Saturday, January 12 AFC and NFC Divisional Playoffs (CBS and FOX) Sunday, January 13 Conference Championship Games [3:00 p.m. on CBS (AFC); 6:30 p.m. on FOX (NFC)] Sunday, Jan. 20 Super Bowl XLVII at New Orleans, Louisiana (CBS) Sunday, February 3 * Sunday night games in Weeks subject to TIME change ALL TIMES EASTERN 44 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

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46 THE Top USC The Trojans have the talent to win a national championship, just as USC s two-year postseason ban is lifted. QB Matt Barkley decided to wait an extra year to be a top-ten NFL draft pick, and will instead compete for the Heisman Trophy and a BCS bid. Robert Woods and Marqise Lee form the nation s top WR duo, combining for 2,484 total yards and 26 TDs as underclassmen last season. 1,000-yard rusher Curtis McNeal also returns to what looks like an unstoppable offense. While the secondary and linebacking corps feature a wealth of experience and talent, USC lost three starting defensive linemen and may not have the depth to continue to rotate fresh legs in and out of the lineup. If their defense can go from good to great, Lane Kiffin will be hoisitng the Coaches Trophy in Miami come January. 2. LSU This year s LSU team has a chance to be as good as last year s BCS runnerup. The Tigers bring back their bruising and dynamic RB foursome (Spencer Ware, Michael Ford, Alfred Blue, Kenny Hilliard). Zach Mettenberger s ascension to starting QB should open up the offense after Jordan Jefferson s abysmal BCS Championship Game performance last winter. LSU s defense is still stacked with elite talent in tackle Anthony Johnson (a.k.a. The Freak ) and dominant cornerback Tyrann Mathieu. With a soft non-conference schedule (North Texas, Washington, Idaho and Towson) and home games against SEC contenders Alabama and South Carolina (Georgia is not on the schedule at all), LSU may just run the table in the regular season once again. 3. Alabama The Crimson Tide should be fine without Trent Richardson, as Eddie Lacy will step after posting an eye-popping 7.5 yards per carry as the No. 2 RB last season. QB A.J. McCarron has developed into one of the nation s best passers, and how quickly he builds a rapport with a young WR corps will be key. Last year s incredible defense loses more than half of its starters, and a young team will be tested early with September games against Michigan s Denard Robinson and Arkansas Tyler Wilson. But if anyone can rebuild a national-title caliber defense in a hurry, it s the brilliant defensive minds of Nick Saban and coordinator Kirby Smart. 4. Oklahoma The Sooners are looking to bounce back from a disappointing end to an inconsistent and injury-plagued 2011 season. Landry Jones sputtered down the stretch last year, and suspensions may deplete his WR group. His performance is paramount to Oklahoma s title chances. The running game should be solid as long as Dominique Whaley is healthy again after averaging 130 total yards per game last year. The defensive front seven lost a lot of production, though the OU could still excel at tackling both passers and runners in the backfield. The secondary is talented enough to improve and hold up against the Big Oregon Obviously the Ducks have a ton of offensive production to replace. Marcus Mariota, the favorite to start under center, is another exceptional athlete who may be a better passer than Darron Thomas ever was. RBs De Anthony Thomas and Kenjon Barner are experienced and explosive runners who will keep Chip Kelly s offense rolling. As usual, the question is whether a questionable defense will be able to stop top-notch opponents. 6. Georgia QB Aaron Murray is back, along with a wealth of talent at WR. But Georgia s offensive line is inexperienced, and the dismissal of top-tier RB Isaiah Crowell leaves the running game in flux. The Bulldogs defense brings back nine starters and could be the nation s best unit. UGa has an easy schedule for an SEC team, and could make another trip to the SEC title game. 7. South Carolina RB Marcus Lattimore is primed for Heisman canidacy after a knee injury cut his 2011 short, and QB Connor Shaw is maturing nicely. DE Jadeveon Clowney is one of the most explosive defensive players in the nation, and improved play in the Gamecocks secondary would allow them to stay in the national title picture all season. The season may come down to their October 13 trip to Baton Rouge. 8. Michigan QB Denard Robinson has Heisman talent as a true dual threat, but needs a star to emerge from his green WR corps. The Wolverines lost some bulk on the D-line, but should still be solid throughout the defense. A Labor Day Weekend upset over Alabama (in Texas) would put Michigan in the national title conversation for sure, but road games at Notre Dame, Nebraska and Ohio State also linger. 9. Arkansas QB Tyler Wilson lost quite a bit of talent from his WR corps, but the Razorbacks running game should be much improved if Knile Davis is 100% after his August 2011 knee injury. If Arkansas is going to compete for the conference title, the defense needs contributions from young players at every level. New defensive coordinator Paul Haynes did well in his debut in last season s Cotton Bowl, and just may be able to get this unit up to par. 10. FLORIDA STATE If athletic QB E.J. Manuel stays healthy this season, the Seminoles should win the ACC title. He and WR Rashad Greene are due for a breakout season. Florida State s defense was among the nation s best last season and returns most of its talent, including lethal pass-rusher DE Brandon Jenkins. FSU needs mid-season road wins at South Florida, N.C. State and Virginia Tech to get into national title contention. 46 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

47 11. West Virginia There s no doubt Dana Holgorsen s offense will be explosive again. Geno Smith returns at QB after chucking for 4,385 yards and 31 TDs, and 1,000- yard receivers Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin also return. The defense has some athleticism and experience. But after losing their top two passrushers, the Mountaineers are bound to give up passing yards in bunches as they move from the offensively-challenged Big East to the potent air attacks of the Big TCU Coming off a two-loss down year (by their lofty standards), the Horned Frogs are ready to compete in the Big 12. In his first year as a starter, QB Casey Pachall posted numbers very similar to what Andy Dalton did in RBs Waymon James and Matthew Tucker and WRs Josh Boyce and Skye Dawson are true big-conference talents. TCU s defense will be strong again up front, thought it remains to be seen if the secondary can hold up against a much tougher schedule in terms of opposing passing attacks. 13. Wisconsin Montee Ball is back after a 39-TD, 2,229-total yard junior season. The Badgers running game will continue to dominate under Bret Bielema. Maryland transfer QB Danny O Brien is no Russell Wilson, but he was the 2010 ACC Freshman of the Year before a tumultuous sophomore campaign, and he inherits No. 1 wideout Jared Abbrederis. The defense returns six starters, including reliable LB Chris Borland, but a thin secondary could pull Wisconsin into more shootouts than they re equipped to win. 14. Virginia Tech The Hokies are strong in the passing game, as dual-threat, monster-sized QB Logan Thomas returns. Their RB corps is severely lacking in experience and the O-line returns only one starter, so the run game could make or break the season. Their aggressive defense will again be able to dominate more often than not. VaTech s schedule is quite easy, though definitely tougher than last year s cupcake-laden embarrassment. 15. Kansas State K-State s offense brings back most of its talent, including dual-threat star QB Collin Klein, fresh off a 13-passing-TD, 27-rushing-TD season. RB John Hubert is just as capable of a runner, and the Wildcats rarely turn the ball over. The back end of their defense holds up well enough, but they need to pressure QBs more often if they re going to compete for a Big 12 title. 16. NEBRASKA After a disappointing Big Ten debut season, Nebraska at least gets to host Wisconsin and Michgan this year (two of their three conference losses last year). QB Taylor Martinez and RB Rex Burkhead will again run the successful option offense, though Martinez s passing skills are limited and his WR corps depleted. The Huskers defense looks solid, but unspectacular, as they lack the star playmakers of Bo Pelini s previous Blackshirt units. 17. Michigan State The Spartans need to recover from their lost talent in a hurry, as they ll host Boise State, Notre Dame, and Ohio State within their first five games. With QB Kirk Cousins and WRs B.J. Cunningham and Keshawn Martin gone, the offense will rely on RB Le Veon Bell s increased workload as junior QB Andrew Maxwell learns the ropes. Expect another dangerous pass rush that gives Michigan State a chance to beat anyone. 18. Stanford The Cardinal will be extremely run-heavy whether it s Brett Nottingham or Josh Nunes filling Andrew Luck s shoes. Senior RB Stepfan Taylor is a Hesiman darkhorse who ll be asked to lead the offense. Stanford s D is elite against the run because of their powerful front seven and relentless toughness. Stanford fans are already geeked for the Sept. 15 visit from USC. 19. Ohio STATE With no bowl game possible, Urban Meyer gets a year to tinker with OSU. Athletic QB Braxton Miller will continue to develop into a star under Meyer, though there isn t much experience around him and an iffy O-line is learning a new scheme. Most of the strong 2011 defense is back, and the Buckeyes should be in the national title picture in Notre Dame With Dayne Crist transferring out and Tommy Rees kneeing cops in the gut, Andrew Hendrix may end up starting under center. Even with Michael Floyd gone, the Irish s receiving corps is deep, and RB Cierre Wood is an outstanding talent. Notre Dame s defensive front is excellent, though an improved pass rush will be needed to support what could be a flimsy secondary 21. Oklahoma State With the dominant Weeden-Blackmon passing combo gone, the Cowboys need freshman QB Wes Lunt to mature quickly. RB Joseph Randle will be asked to do even more after tallying 1,482 total yards and 26 TDs in OK State has a solid LB corps and talented DBs. They need a strong showing from their depleted D-line to stay close against the Big 12 s elite. 22. Florida As it has since Urban Meyer left, Florida s offense will struggle. QBs Jacoby Brisset and Jeff Driskel both look decent, but underachievers will surround whoever starts under center. Speed and versatility hasn t yet translated on on-field production for several top recruits. The Gators strength will again be their defense as they return a plethora of NFL talent. Their deep and explosive D-line might be the nation s best. 23. North Carolina STATE N.C. State has a legit shot at winning an ACC title. QB Mike Glennon finished last season on a tear, and the Wolfpack has an O-line that will surely move the ball despite a mediocre RB group. Their D-line is solid and their secondary is one of the nation s best. N.C. State s ACC schedule shapes up nicely, with Florida State at home and no scheduled game vs. Va Tech. 24. Texas Texas has depth and talent at running back and receiver, but needs a much better performance from the QB position if they re going to return to the top of the Big 12. David Ash and Case McCoy looked lost in 2011; freshman Connor Brewer gives them another option. The Longhorns defense has a chance to be special after dominating at times late last season. 25. Boise State The Broncos running game will be potent with D.J. Harper toting the rock behind a strong O-line. Replacing QB Kellen Moore with a band of inexperienced passer will be no easy task, and almost as detrimental is Boise State s loss of nine defensive starters and several key assistant coaches. All that said, road wins at Michigan State and Southern Miss would put the Broncos on track for a seventh-straight double-digit-win season. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

48 A C C PREDICTED FINISH ATLANTIC DIVISION COASTAL DIVISION 1. Florida State 2. N.C. State 3. Clemson 4. Wake Forest 5. Maryland 6. Boston College 1. Virginia Tech 2. Miami-Florida 3. Virginia 4. Georgia Tech 5. North Carolina 6. Duke Boston COllege Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Last season, RB Montel Harris knee injury forced Boston College to ditch its ground-and-pound style attack. Now that Harris has been dismissed from the team for repeated rule violations, the Eagles will move forward with junior Rolandan Finch (705 yards) and sophomore Tahj Kimble. Both are serviceable backs, but not nearly in the same class as Harris, the school s all-time rushing leader. QB Chase Rettig (12 TD, 9 INT) seemed out of place as the starter last year and will have to make massive improvements under new offensive coordinator Doug Martin if this team is going to avoid a third straight 4-8 season. A bright spot for the Eagles was that their defense held each of their last three opponents to under 20 points. Building off that success is crucial for the development of this Eagles team in 2012, but they will do so without Butkus Award winner Luke Kuechly. Clemson Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Fresh off giving up 70 points to West Virginia in the Orange Bowl, Clemson hired a new defensive coordinator in Oklahoma s Brent Venables. Venables is looking to simplify things for a defense that doesn t have to do anything spectacular in order for the Tigers to win the weak ACC. Clemson is getting back the firepower it had on offense this year with QB Tajh Boyd (3,828 pass yds, 33 TD, 12 INT), RB Andre Ellington (1,178 rush yds) and WR Sammy Watkins (1,219 rec yds, 13 total TD). If Venables can get through to this defense (36.6 PPG allowed in final 8 games) then look for the Tigers to continue the success they enjoyed early last year when they started off 8-0. Duke Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 8 This could be the year that Duke football finally becomes nationally relevant. QB Sean Renfree is coming off a year in which he threw for 2,511 yards and 14 TDs in his final 10 games. The 6-foot-5 junior has made great strides and he seems as though he s ready to take Duke to the next level. The Blue Devils have little running game (94 rush YPG, 6th-lowest in FBS), but they do have a standout WR in Conner Vernon (956 rec yds). While the defense was a mess last season (425 YPG, 31.2 PPG allowed), it should be able to improve in its second year under coordinator Jim Knowles. If this happens, there s an outside shot that the Blue Devils could be playing in a bowl game for the first time since the 1994 season. Florida State Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Last season, dual-threat QB E.J. Manuel suffered a shoulder injury in the third game of the year, which started a three-game losing skid for the Seminoles. The senior will need to stay healthy this year if the team wants to win the ACC. Manuel has a lot of weapons to throw to including sophomore Rashad Greene (596 rec, 7 TD in nine games), who could emerge as one of the top WRs in the ACC this year. On defense, it ll be a lot of the same for the Seminoles, who ranked fourth in FBS in both total defense (275 YPG) and scoring defense (15.1 PPG), as they should be one of the better teams in the nation in both categories again. Senior DE Brandon Jenkins, who has 21.5 sacks in the past two seasons, returns along with junior SS Lamarcus Joyner, who intercepted four passes last season. Georgia Tech Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 6 Georgia Tech opened up its QB competition this spring, but Tevin Washington still emerged as the starter. Last season, Washington threw for 1,652 yards and ran for 987 yards out of the Yellow Jackets tripleoption offense. The team is returning four starters on the offensive line, so Washington should be well-protected. They lost all of their wide receivers, but they have two promising underclassmen in 6-foot-4 Jeff Greene and 6-foot-5 Darren Waller. An issue for this Georgia Tech team is its weak defensive line. It s a unit that has trouble stuffing the run (94th in nation in TFL) and getting after the quarterback (77th in sacks), so somebody will need to step up. That somebody could be 6-foot-7 senior DT T.J. Barnes, who lost more than 25 pounds since last season to get down to about 340. Maryland Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 10 One thing the Terrapins should be able to do better this coming season is defend, as 10 defensive starters return from a 2011 unit that allowed 457 YPG and 34.3 PPG. The experience those guys built playing together for a full year should help. Offensively, the Terps will need a big year out of senior WR Kevin Dorsey (573 rec yds) in order to help out their only capable QB on the roster in junior C.J. Brown. Brown emerged as the starting QB following Danny O Brien s transfer to Wisconsin. He ll need to be on top of his game both running (574 rush yds, 5 TD) and passing (7 TD, 6 INT) for Maryland to avoid being the ACC doormat for a second straight year. 48 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

49 odds to win ACC ATLANTIC DIVISION Florida State 1/1 1/2 Clemson 5/1 11/4 N.C. State 20/1 Wake Forest 35/1 16/1 Boston College 50/1 22/1 Maryland 100/1 30/1 Miami-Florida Offense: Starters returning - 4 Defense: Starters returning - 6 Miami is going to have to figure out its QB situation if the Canes want to get back to challenging for an ACC title. Sophomore Ryan Williams seems like he ll be the starter when the season rolls around. The transfer from Memphis impressed in the spring game and it seems as though he ll edge out Stephen Morris (7 TD, 11 INT in career). The ground game should be a strength on the team as RBs Mike James (7 rush TD) and Eduardo Clements (5.5 YPC) are ready to step in and be a brilliant tandem for Miami. The defense was what really impressed in the spring game, forcing five turnovers. The Canes get back DE Anthony Chickillo, who recorded five sacks in his freshman season. Head coach Al Golden brought in a top-10 recruiting class and they ll need these guys to contribute immediately if they are to go anywhere this season. North Carolina Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 5 New Head Coach: Larry Fedora If the spring game is any indication of how junior QB Bryn Renner is going to fare in new head coach Larry Fedora s spread offense, then Tar Heel fans have a reason to be excited in a year in which the team is banned from playing in a bowl game. Renner completed 9-of-13 passes for 123 yards and a touchdown in his new offense. North Carolina will get back RB Giovani Bernard (1,253 rush yds, 13 TD) and WR Erik Highsmith (726 rec yds, 5 TD), both of whom will play an even bigger role in the offense this year. The defense is a huge question mark as the UNC defensive coordinators are changing their scheme to a 4-3 after losing their most talented players to the NFL draft. This team doesn t have a lot to play for, which doesn t bode well considering its lack of talent at most positions. North Carolina State Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 7 NC State is a team poised to break out in The Wolfpack return all four of their starting defensive backs, including David Amerson (13 interceptions). The linebackers are a question mark, but they do have experienced upperclassmen ready to play the position. On offense, 6-foot-6 QB Mike Glennon showed last season why his coach believed in him to take over for Russell Wilson, putting up 3,054 yards, 31 TD and just 12 INT as the starter. He ll be well-protected again with four returning offensive linemen. With another season of experience and the return of WR Tobais Palmer (5 TD), the Wolfpack offense could be good enough to put them atop the ACC. odds to win ACC COASTAL DIVISION Virginia Tech 3/1 10/11 Miami-Florida 9/2 North Carolina 15/1 11/2 Georgia Tech 15/1 6/1 Virginia 18/1 13/2 Duke 100/1 30/1 Virginia Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 4 Michael Rocco is looking to build on a his strong 2011 season in which he threw for 2,671 yards and 13 TD after winning the starting job out of a group of three candidates. Now he has to tone down his turnovers (12 INT), which should be possible considering the Cavaliers are returning three running backs, all of whom are capable of starting on other teams -- Perry Jones (915 rush yds, 5 TD), Kevin Parks (709 rush yds, 9 TD) and Clifton Richardson (366 rush yds, 5.1 YPC). Defensively, Virginia is losing its experienced corners, but its best DB, Demetrious Nicholson (60 total tackles, 2 INT), will return. The defensive line is going to have to make more plays (90th in FBS in sacks), otherwise it ll be a long year for the Cavaliers, who are coming off a strong 8-5 bowl season in Virginia Tech Offense: Starters returning - 3 Defense: Starters returning - 9 Of all of the ACC quarterbacks, Virginia Tech may have the best in Logan Thomas. The 6-foot-6, 254-pound Thomas threw for 3,013 yards and 19 TD while also running for 469 yards and 11 TD in his first year as a starter. Running back is a huge weakness for the Hokies as their top three RBs have little experience -- freshmen Michael Holmes and J.C. Coleman, and senior Martin Scales all enter the 2012 season with zero career carries. However, the Hokies will have one of the best defensive lines in the country next year, led by junior DE James Gayle (7 sacks, 12.5 TFL). They stack eight in the box often, with the technique paying off way more than it doesn t (12th in nation in sacks, 7th in points allowed). On the other side, VT will hope teams don t put eight in the box as the Hokies return just one starter on the offensive line. Wake Forest Offense: Starters returning - 3 Defense: Starters returning - 7 One thing the Demon Deacons will have going this season this season is a formidable QB-WR combo. Tanner Price is returning to school after throwing for 3,017 yards and 20 TD as a sophomore. He ll be looking again for WR Michael Campanaro, who caught 73 passes last year without even being the No. 1 target. Wake Forest is unfortunately only returning one member of the offensive line. The Deacons will need to figure out how to block (100th in FBS in sacks allowed) if they want to be competitive in the ACC this season. Defensively, Wake will be able to stop the run with seven starters coming back, most of whom play on the defensive line. They ll need some younger players to step up and make plays in the secondary after picking off just eight passes last season. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

50 ACC Boston College StatFox Power Rating: 38 (#56 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -2.7 (#84 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (45th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (38th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -5.3 (#86 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 1 11 MIAMI MAINE at Northwestern CLEMSON at Army at Florida St at Georgia Tech MARYLAND at Wake Forest NOTRE DAME VIRGINIA TECH at NC State 9/5 NORTHEASTERN W KENT ST W 34-7 W (-21) U (45) 9 at Clemson L 7-25 L (+9) U (44½) 9/26 WAKE FOREST W W (-1) O (41) 10/3 FLORIDA ST W W (+3½) O (45) 10/10 at Virginia Tech L L (+13½) O (44½) 10/17 NC STATE W W (-2½) O (48½) 10/24 at Notre Dame L W (+8) U (53½) 10/31 C MICHIGAN W W (-5½) U (48) 11/14 at Virginia W L (-4½) U (44) 11/21 N CAROLINA L L (-3) O (39½) 11/28 at Maryland W L (-5) U (45½) 12/26 vs USC L L (+7½) U (45) ACC Clemson 50 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 10/25 vs Auburn BALL ST FURMAN at Florida St at Boston College GEORGIA TECH VIRGINIA TECH at Wake Forest at Duke MARYLAND NC STATE S CAROLINA 9/5 MIDDLE TENN ST W W (-18½) O (47½) 0 at Georgia Tech L W (+5) O (43) 9 BOSTON COLLEGE W 25-7 W (-9) U (44½) 9/26 TCU L L (-2) U (41) 10/3 at Maryland L L (-12½) U (48) 10/17 WAKE FOREST W 38-3 W (-8) U (47½) 10/24 at Miami W W (+4) O (42) 10/31 COASTAL CAROLINA W /7 FLORIDA ST W W (-8½) O (57) 11/14 at NC State W W (-8) O (55) 11/21 VIRGINIA W L (-20½) O (45) 11/28 at S Carolina L L (-3) O (44) 12/5 vs Georgia Tech L L (+1) O (56½) 12/27 vs Kentucky W W (-6½) U (52½) 9/4 WEBER ST W L (-30½) 1 KENT ST W L (-17) U (47) 9/25 VIRGINIA TECH L 0-19 L (+3½) U (45½) 10/2 NOTRE DAME L L (+3) U (46½) 10/9 at NC State L L (+9) O (48) 10/16 at Florida St L W (+22½) U (48½) 10/23 MARYLAND L L (-4½) O (41) 10/30 CLEMSON W W (+7) U (42) 11/6 at Wake Forest W W (-4) U (48) 11/13 at Duke W W (-3) U (51) 11/20 VIRGINIA W L (-7) U (44½) 11/27 at Syracuse W 16-7 W (+3½) U (38) 1/9 vs Nevada L W (+7½) U (54) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 NORTH TEXAS W L (-28) U (54½) 1 PRESBYTERIAN W L (-48) 8 at Auburn L W (+8) U (54½) 10/2 MIAMI L L (+4) O (48½) 10/9 at N Carolina L L (+2) U (51) 10/16 MARYLAND W 31-7 W (-14½) U (48) 10/23 GEORGIA TECH W W (-4) U (51) 10/30 at Boston College L L (-7) U (42) 11/6 NC STATE W L (-4) U (54) 11/13 at Florida St L W (+6) U (46) 11/20 at Wake Forest W W (-14) U (48½) 11/27 S CAROLINA L 7-29 L (+2½) U (45) 12/31 vs S Florida L L (-5) O (40½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 NORTHWESTERN L L (-5) U (44½) 0 at UCF L 3-30 L (+7½) U (44½) 7 DUKE L L (-7) U (50) 9/24 MASSACHUSETTS W W (-12½) O (45½) 10/1 WAKE FOREST L L (-1) U (49) 10/8 at Clemson L L (+21) U (52) 10/22 at Virginia Tech L W (+21) U (45) 10/29 at Maryland W W (+6) U (48½) FLORIDA ST L 7-38 L (+14½) U (46) 11/12 NC STATE W W (+1½) U (45) 11/19 at Notre Dame L W (+24) U (46½) 11/25 at Miami W W (+12½) U (44) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.0 (#50 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (35th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (47th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +4.3 (#52 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 TROY W W (-15) O (53½) 0 WOFFORD W L (-26½) O (46½) 7 AUBURN W W (-5) O (57½) 9/24 FLORIDA ST W W (-1) O (46½) 10/1 at Virginia Tech W 23-3 W (+7) U (51) 10/8 BOSTON COLLEGE W W (-21) U (52) 10/15 at Maryland W W (-9) O (52½) 10/22 N CAROLINA W W (-9½) O (56) 10/29 at Georgia Tech L L (-3½) U (64) 11/12 WAKE FOREST W L (-16½) U (63) 11/19 at NC State L L (-7) U (54) 11/26 at S Carolina L L (+3) U (50½) 12/3 vs Virginia Tech W W (+7) U (54) 1/4 vs W Virginia L L (-3) O (64½)

51 ACC Duke FLA INTERNATIONAL at Stanford NC CENTRAL MEMPHIS at Wake Forest VIRGINIA at Virginia Tech N CAROLINA at Florida St CLEMSON at Georgia Tech MIAMI 9/5 RICHMOND W at Army W W (-2) O (44) 9 at Kansas L L (+23½) O (51½) 9/26 NC CENTRAL W L (-41) 10/3 VIRGINIA TECH L W (+17) O (48½) 10/10 at NC State W W (+15½) O (54) 10/24 MARYLAND W P (-4) U (54½) 10/31 at Virginia W W (+7½) U (48) 11/7 at N Carolina L 6-19 L (+9½) U (45) 11/14 GEORGIA TECH L L (+13½) P (59) 11/21 at Miami L W (+19) U (56½) 11/28 WAKE FOREST L L (+3½) O (53) ACC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % Florida State 11/8 MURRAY ST SAVANNAH ST WAKE FOREST CLEMSON at S Florida at NC State BOSTON COLLEGE at Miami DUKE at Virginia Tech at Maryland FLORIDA 9/7 MIAMI L L (-6½) O (46½) 2 JACKSONVILLE ST W 19-9 L (-34) 9 at BYU W W (+8½) O (54) 9/26 S FLORIDA L 7-17 L (-13½) U (51) 10/3 at Boston College L L (-3½) O (45) 10/10 GEORGIA TECH L L (-3) O (56) 10/22 at N Carolina W W (+1½) O (47½) 10/31 NC STATE W L (-10½) O (66) 11/7 at Clemson L L (+8½) O (57) 11/14 at Wake Forest W W (+4½) O (57) 11/21 MARYLAND W L (-16½) U (58) 11/28 at Florida L L (+26) U (57) 1/1 vs W Virginia W W (+3) U (56) 9/4 ELON W W (-7) 1 at Wake Forest L L (+5½) O (52½) 8 ALABAMA L L (+23½) O (57) 9/25 ARMY L L (-6) O (54½) 10/2 at Maryland L W (+9) U (61) 10/16 MIAMI L W (+15½) U (57) 10/23 at Virginia Tech L 7-44 L (+27) U (64) 10/30 at Navy W W (+12½) O (56½) 11/6 VIRGINIA W W (pk) O (55½) 11/13 BOSTON COLLEGE L L (+3) U (51) 11/20 at Georgia Tech L P (+10) U (61) 11/27 N CAROLINA L W (+8½) U (59) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 SAMFORD W 59-6 W (-36½) 1 at Oklahoma L L (+6½) O (58) 8 BYU W W (-10½) U (59½) 9/25 WAKE FOREST W 31-0 W (-20) U (61½) 10/2 at Virginia W W (-6½) U (49½) 10/9 at Miami W W (+5½) O (49½) 10/16 BOSTON COLLEGE W L (-22½) U (48½) 10/28 at NC State L L (-4) U (58½) 11/6 N CAROLINA L L (-11) O (51) 11/13 CLEMSON W L (-6) U (46) 11/20 at Maryland W W (-4) U (53) 11/27 FLORIDA W 31-7 W (-2½) U (51) 12/4 vs Virginia Tech L L (+4½) O (51) 12/31 vs S Carolina W W (+2) U (53½) StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#88 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -6.7 (#97 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (49th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (43rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -8.7 (#97 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 RICHMOND L L (-12) 0 STANFORD L L (+20½) U (62) 7 at Boston College W W (+7) U (50) 9/24 TULANE W W (-9½) O (57) 10/1 at FLA International W W (+3½) U (58½) 10/15 FLORIDA ST L L (+12½) U (58½) 10/22 WAKE FOREST L W (+3) U (60½) 10/29 VIRGINIA TECH L W (+15) U (52½) 11/5 at Miami L L (+15) O (57) 11/12 at Virginia L L (+9½) U (53) 11/19 GEORGIA TECH L W (+10) O (58½) 11/26 at N Carolina L L (+14) O (56) StatFox Power Rating: 53 (#11 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 14.6 (#14 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (50th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (61st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#14 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 9 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 LA MONROE W 34-0 W (-30½) U (54) 0 CHARLESTON SOUT W L (-55½) O (68½) 7 OKLAHOMA L L (+3½) U (56) 9/24 at Clemson L L (+1) O (46½) 10/8 at Wake Forest L L (-10) O (51½) 10/15 at Duke W W (-12½) U (58½) 10/22 MARYLAND W W (-19½) O (54½) 10/29 NC STATE W 34-0 W (-18½) U (52) at Boston College W 38-7 W (-14½) U (46) 11/12 MIAMI W L (-12½) U (51) 11/19 VIRGINIA L L (-17) U (46½) 11/26 at Florida W 21-7 W (-3) U (45) 12/29 vs Notre Dame W W (-3) U (47½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

52 ACC GEORGIA TECH StatFox Power Rating: 43 (#34 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 3.0 (#54 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (70th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (57th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.2 (#31 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 9/3 at Virginia Tech PRESBYTERIAN VIRGINIA MIAMI MIDDLE TENN ST at Clemson BOSTON COLLEGE BYU at Maryland at N Carolina DUKE at Georgia 9/5 JACKSONVILLE ST W CLEMSON W L (-5) O (43) 7 at Miami L L (+4) U (54) 9/26 N CAROLINA W 24-7 W (-3) U (46) 10/3 at Mississippi St W W (-5½) O (48) 10/10 at Florida St W W (+3) O (56) 10/17 VIRGINIA TECH W W (+3½) U (54) 10/24 at Virginia W 34-9 W (-5½) U (48) 10/31 at Vanderbilt W W (-13½) O (48) 11/7 WAKE FOREST W L (-13½) U (60) 11/14 at Duke W W (-13½) P (59) 11/28 GEORGIA L L (-9½) U (57) 12/5 vs Clemson W W (-1) O (56½) 1/5 vs Iowa L L (-6) U (51) ACC MARYLAND 52 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % WILLIAM & MARY at Temple CONNECTICUT at W Virginia WAKE FOREST at Virginia NC STATE at Boston College GEORGIA TECH at Clemson FLORIDA ST at N Carolina 9/5 at California L L (+21) O (50½) 2 JAMES MADISON W L (-10) 9 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (-7½) O (52½) 9/26 RUTGERS L L (-1) U (49) 10/3 CLEMSON W W (+12½) U (48) 10/10 at Wake Forest L W (+13½) O (52½) 10/17 VIRGINIA L 9-20 L (+3½) U (45) 10/24 at Duke L P (+4) U (54½) 11/7 at NC State L L (+6½) O (55½) 11/14 VIRGINIA TECH L 9-36 L (+20) U (47) 11/21 at Florida St L W (+16½) U (58) 11/28 BOSTON COLLEGE L W (+5) U (45½) 9/4 S CAROLINA ST W L (-34) 1 at Kansas L L (-14) O (51) 8 at N Carolina W W (+3) O (52) 9/25 NC STATE L L (-8½) O (60) 10/2 at Wake Forest W L (-9) U (61½) 10/9 VIRGINIA W W (-10) O (50) 10/16 MIDDLE TENN ST W W (-18½) U (58½) 10/23 at Clemson L L (+4) U (51) 11/4 at Virginia Tech L W (+13) U (56) 11/13 MIAMI L L (+2½) U (50) 11/20 DUKE W P (-10) U (61) 11/27 at Georgia L W (+14) O (58) 12/27 vs Air Force L 7-14 L (+3) U (55) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/6 vs Navy W W (+6) U (49) 1 MORGAN ST W 62-3 W (-36) 8 at W Virginia L L (+10) O (45) 9/25 FLA INTERNATIONAL W W (-10) O (44) 10/2 DUKE W L (-9) U (61) 10/16 at Clemson L 7-31 L (+14½) U (48) 10/23 at Boston College W W (+4½) O (41) 10/30 WAKE FOREST W W (-5) O (51½) 11/6 at Miami L W (+10) P (46) 11/13 at Virginia W W (-3) O (52½) 11/20 FLORIDA ST L L (+4) U (53) 11/27 NC STATE W W (+1½) O (54) 12/29 vs E Carolina W W (-8) O (70½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways W CAROLINA W W (-33½) () 0 at Middle Tenn st W W (-13) O (57) 7 KANSAS W W (-14½) O (62) 9/24 N CAROLINA W W (-6½) O (59) 10/1 at NC State W T (-10) O (62½) 10/8 MARYLAND W L (-14½) U (63½) 10/15 at Virginia L L (-7½) U (55½) 10/22 at Miami L 7-24 L (+3) U (63) 10/29 CLEMSON W W (+3½) U (64) VIRGINIA TECH L L (+2) O (49½) 11/19 at Duke W L (-10) O (58½) 11/26 GEORGIA L L (+4½) U (53) 12/31 vs Utah L L (-1½) O (49) StatFox Power Rating: 30 (#80 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -7.3 (#100 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (30th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (36th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#104 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /5 MIAMI W W (-4) O (44½) 7 W VIRGINIA L L (+1) O (55½) 9/24 TEMPLE L 7-38 L (-9½) U (52) 10/1 TOWSON W 28-3 L (-26½) U (56) 10/8 at Georgia Tech L W (+14½) U (63½) 10/15 CLEMSON L L (+9) O (52½) 10/22 at Florida St L L (+19½) O (54½) 10/29 BOSTON COLLEGE L L (-6) U (48½) 11/5 VIRGINIA L L (+3) U (52½) 11/12 vs Notre Dame L L (+21) O (57½) 11/19 at Wake Forest L L (+9½) U (57) 11/26 at NC State L L (+11) O (54)

53 ACC MIAMI-Florida 11/1 at Boston College at Kansas St BET COOK at Georgia Tech NC STATE vs Notre Dame N CAROLINA FLORIDA ST VIRGINIA TECH at Virginia S FLORIDA at Duke 9/7 at Florida St W W (+6½) O (46½) 7 GEORGIA TECH W W (-4) U (54) 9/26 at Virginia Tech L 7-31 L (-2) U (45½) 10/3 OKLAHOMA W W (+7½) U (51) 10/10 FLORIDA AM W L (-36½) 10/17 at UCF W 27-7 W (-12½) U (46½) 10/24 CLEMSON L L (-4) O (42) 10/31 at Wake Forest W L (-6½) O (52½) 11/7 VIRGINIA W W (-14½) O (44) 11/14 at N Carolina L L (-3) O (43) 11/21 DUKE W L (-19) U (56½) 11/28 at S Florida W W (-3½) U (53) 12/29 vs Wisconsin L L (-3½) U (55½) ACC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % North carolina 11/15 ELON at Wake Forest at Louisville E CAROLINA IDAHO VIRGINIA TECH at Miami at Duke NC STATE GEORGIA TECH at Virginia MARYLAND 9/5 THE CITADEL W at Connecticut W L (-5½) U (41½) 9 E CAROLINA W W (-8) O (43½) 9/26 at Georgia Tech L 7-24 L (+3) U (46) 10/3 VIRGINIA L 3-16 L (-12) U (43) 10/10 GA SOUTHERN W W (-25½) 10/22 FLORIDA ST L L (-1½) O (47½) 10/29 at Virginia Tech W W (+14½) U (43) 11/7 DUKE W 19-6 W (-9½) U (45) 11/14 MIAMI W W (+3) O (43) 11/21 at Boston College W W (+3) O (39½) 11/28 at NC State L L (-6) O (49) 12/26 vs Pittsburgh L L (+1) U (46) 9/2 FLORIDA AM W 45-0 W (-40) 1 at Ohio St L L (+9) O (47) 9/23 at Pittsburgh W 31-3 W (-3½) U (48½) 10/2 at Clemson W W (-4) O (48½) 10/9 FLORIDA ST L L (-5½) O (49½) 10/16 at Duke W L (-15½) U (57) 10/23 N CAROLINA W W (-6) U (48) 10/30 at Virginia L L (-14½) U (51½) 11/6 MARYLAND W L (-10) P (46) 11/13 at Georgia Tech W W (-2½) U (50) 11/20 VIRGINIA TECH L L (+2) U (50) 11/27 S FLORIDA L L (-13) U (46½) 12/31 vs Notre Dame L L (-3) O (48) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 vs LSU L W (+7½) O (43) 8 GEORGIA TECH L L (-3) O (52) 9/25 at Rutgers W W (-3) U (44) 10/2 E CAROLINA W W (-14½) U (61) 10/9 CLEMSON W W (-2) U (51) 10/16 at Virginia W W (-6) O (46) 10/23 at Miami L L (+6) U (48) 10/30 WILLIAM & MARY W L (-20) 11/6 at Florida St W W (+11) O (51) 11/13 VIRGINIA TECH L L (+3) U (51½) 11/20 NC STATE L L (-2) U (55½) 11/27 at Duke W L (-8½) U (59) 12/30 vs Tennessee W W (+1) O (50) StatFox Power Rating: 44 (#30 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 6.7 (#41 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (43rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (29th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +6.4 (#40 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /5 at Maryland L L (+4) O (44½) 7 OHIO ST W 24-6 W (-2½) U (46) 9/24 KANSAS ST L L (-12½) O (46) 10/1 BETHUNE-COOKMAN W L (-42½) U (60) 10/8 at Virginia Tech L W (+7½) O (45) 10/15 at N Carolina W W (+1½) O (52½) 10/22 GEORGIA TECH W 24-7 W (-3) U (63) VIRGINIA L L (-13½) O (47½) 11/5 DUKE W W (-15) O (57) 11/12 at Florida St L W (+12½) U (51) 11/19 at S Florida W 6-3 W (0) U (52½) 11/25 BOSTON COLLEGE L L (-12½) U (44) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.7 (#63 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (48th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (70th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +3.2 (#58 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 JAMES MADISON W W (-18) 0 RUTGERS W L (-9½) U (49½) 7 VIRGINIA W W (-10) U (48) 9/24 at Georgia Tech L L (+6½) O (59) 10/1 at E Carolina W W (-6½) U (62) 10/8 LOUISVILLE W 14-7 L (-13½) U (47) 10/15 MIAMI L L (-1½) O (52½) 10/22 at Clemson L L (+9½) O (56) 10/29 WAKE FOREST W W (-6½) O (53) 11/5 at NC State L 0-13 L (-3½) U (54) at Virginia Tech L W (+9½) U (48) 11/26 DUKE W W (-14) O (56) 12/26 vs Missouri L L (+4½) O (54) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

54 ACC NORTH CAROLINA STATE StatFox Power Rating: 42 (#38 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.1 (#61 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (78th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (63rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +3.5 (#56 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 8/31 vs Tennessee at Connecticut S ALABAMA THE CITADEL at Miami FLORIDA ST at Maryland at N Carolina VIRGINIA WAKE FOREST at Clemson BOSTON COLLEGE 9/3 S CAROLINA L 3-7 L (-5½) U (48) 2 MURRAY ST W 65-7 W (-41) 9 GARDNER WEBB W 45-7 W (-31) 9/26 PITTSBURGH W W (+1) O (48) 10/3 at Wake Forest L L (+3) O (50) 10/10 DUKE L L (-15½) O (54) 10/17 at Boston College L L (+2½) O (48½) 10/31 at Florida St L W (+10½) O (66) 11/7 MARYLAND W W (-6½) O (55½) 11/14 CLEMSON L L (+8) O (55) 11/21 at Virginia Tech L L (+21) U (58½) 11/28 N CAROLINA W W (+6) O (49) ACC VIRGINIA 54 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 11/15 RICHMOND PENN ST at Georgia Tech at TCU LOUISIANA TECH at Duke MARYLAND WAKE FOREST at NC State MIAMI N CAROLINA at Virginia Tech 9/5 WILLIAM & MARY W TCU L L (+11) O (42) 9 at Southern Miss L W (+13½) O (46½) 10/3 at N Carolina W 16-3 W (+12) U (43) 10/10 INDIANA W 47-7 W (-7) O (47) 10/17 at Maryland W 20-9 W (-3½) U (45) 10/24 GEORGIA TECH L 9-34 L (+5½) U (48) 10/31 DUKE L L (-7½) U (48) 11/7 at Miami L L (+14½) O (44) 11/14 BOSTON COLLEGE L W (+4½) U (44) 11/21 at Clemson L W (+20½) O (45) 11/28 VIRGINIA TECH L L (+14) O (44) 9/4 W CAROLINA W 48-7 W (-33) 1 at UCF W W (+3) U (52) 6 CINCINNATI W W (-2) U (54) 9/25 at Georgia Tech W W (+8½) O (60) 10/2 VIRGINIA TECH L L (+4) O (53½) 10/9 BOSTON COLLEGE W W (-9) O (48) 10/16 at E Carolina L L (-7½) U (69½) 10/28 FLORIDA ST W W (+4) U (58½) 11/6 at Clemson L W (+4) U (54) 11/13 WAKE FOREST W 38-3 W (-20) U (61) 11/20 at N Carolina W W (+2) U (55½) 11/27 at Maryland L L (-1½) O (54) 12/28 vs W Virginia W 23-7 W (+3) U (49½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 RICHMOND W W (-7) 1 at USC L W (+20½) U (53) 9/25 VMI W 48-7 W (-40½) 10/2 FLORIDA ST L L (+6½) U (49½) 10/9 at Georgia Tech L L (+10) O (50) 10/16 N CAROLINA L L (+6) O (46) 10/23 E MICHIGAN W W (-24) O (56) 10/30 MIAMI W W (+14½) U (51½) 11/6 at Duke L L (pk) O (55½) 11/13 MARYLAND L L (+3) O (52½) 11/20 at Boston College L W (+7) U (44½) 11/27 at Virginia Tech L 7-37 L (+21½) U (57) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 LIBERTY W L (-27½) 0 at Wake Forest L L (-1½) O (50½) 7 S ALABAMA W L (-26) U (49½) at Cincinnati L L (+7½) U (60½) 10/1 GEORGIA TECH L P (+10) O (62½) 10/8 C MICHIGAN W W (-11) O (54) 10/22 at Virginia W W (+3) U (51½) 10/29 at Florida St L 0-34 L (+18½) U (52) 11/5 N CAROLINA W 13-0 W (+3½) U (54) 11/12 at Boston College L L (-1½) U (45) 11/19 CLEMSON W W (+7) U (54) 11/26 MARYLAND W W (-11) O (54) 12/27 vs Louisville W W (-1½) O (44) StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#69 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -4.5 (#91 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (61st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (42nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -0.6 (#70 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 3 9 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 WILLIAM & MARY W 40-3 W (-8½) 0 at Indiana W L (-7) O (55) 7 at N Carolina L L (+10) U (48) 9/24 SOUTHERN MISS L L (-3) U (55½) 10/1 IDAHO W L (-16) U (53) 10/15 GEORGIA TECH W W (+7½) U (55½) 10/22 NC STATE L L (-3) U (51½) at Miami W W (+13½) O (47½) 11/5 at Maryland W W (-3) U (52½) 11/12 DUKE W W (-9½) U (53) 11/19 at Florida St W W (+17) U (46½) 11/26 VIRGINIA TECH L 0-38 L (+5) U (45) 12/31 vs Auburn L L (+3) O (49½)

55 ACC VIRGINIA TECH 9/3 11/1 11/8 GEORGIA TECH AUSTIN PEAY at Pittsburgh BOWLING GREEN vs Cincinnati at N Carolina DUKE at Clemson at Miami FLORIDA ST at Boston College VIRGINIA 9/5 vs Alabama L L (+6½) O (37) 2 MARSHALL W W (-20) O (44) 9 NEBRASKA W L (-5½) U (51) 9/26 MIAMI W 31-7 W (+2) U (45½) 10/3 at Duke W L (-17) O (48½) 10/10 BOSTON COLLEGE W W (-13½) O (44½) 10/17 at Georgia Tech L L (-3½) U (54) 10/29 N CAROLINA L L (-14½) U (43) 11/5 at E Carolina W 16-3 W (-12½) U (51½) 11/14 at Maryland W 36-9 W (-20) U (47) 11/21 NC STATE W W (-21) U (58½) 11/28 at Virginia W W (-14) O (44) 12/31 vs Tennessee W W (-5) O (48) ACC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % WAKE FOREST 10/25 LIBERTY N CAROLINA at Florida St ARMY DUKE at Maryland at Virginia CLEMSON BOSTON COLLEGE at NC State at Notre Dame VANDERBILT 9/5 BAYLOR L L (-2½) U (53½) 2 STANFORD W W (-3) U (46½) 9 ELON W 35-7 W (-20) 9/26 at Boston College L L (+1) O (41) 10/3 NC STATE W W (-3) O (50) 10/10 MARYLAND W L (-13½) O (52½) 10/17 at Clemson L 3-38 L (+8) U (47½) 10/24 at Navy L L (-2½) U (47½) 10/31 MIAMI L W (+6½) O (52½) 11/7 at Georgia Tech L W (+13½) U (60) 11/14 FLORIDA ST L L (-4½) O (57) 11/28 at Duke W W (-3½) O (53) 9/6 vs Boise St L L (-1½) O (53) 1 JAMES MADISON L L (-33) 8 E CAROLINA W W (-19½) O (59½) 9/25 at Boston College W 19-0 W (-3½) U (45½) 10/2 at NC State W W (-4) O (53½) 10/9 C MICHIGAN W W (-21½) O (55) 10/16 WAKE FOREST W W (-22½) O (54) 10/23 DUKE W 44-7 W (-27) U (64) 11/4 GEORGIA TECH W L (-13) U (56) 11/13 at N Carolina W W (-3) U (51½) 11/20 at Miami W W (-2) U (50) 11/27 VIRGINIA W 37-7 W (-21½) U (57) 12/4 vs Florida St W W (-4½) O (51) 1/3 vs Stanford L L (+3½) U (58½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 PRESBYTERIAN W L (-44½) 1 DUKE W W (-5½) O (52½) 8 at Stanford L L (+17½) O (56) 9/25 at Florida St L 0-31 L (+20) U (61½) 10/2 GEORGIA TECH L W (+9) U (61½) 10/9 NAVY L W (+3) O (47½) 10/16 at Virginia Tech L L (+22½) O (54) 10/30 at Maryland L L (+5) O (51½) 11/6 BOSTON COLLEGE L L (+4) U (48) 11/13 at NC State L 3-38 L (+20) U (61) 11/20 CLEMSON L L (+14) U (48½) 11/27 at Vanderbilt W W (+4½) U (48) StatFox Power Rating: 48 (#19 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 8.6 (#32 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (63rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (48th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#25 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 3 10 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 APPALACHIAN ST W W (-27) 0 at E Carolina W L (-17) U (64) 7 ARKANSAS ST W 26-7 L (-24) U (53) 9/24 at Marshall W L (-20½) U (46) 10/1 CLEMSON L 3-23 L (-7) U (51) 10/8 MIAMI W L (-7½) O (45) 10/15 at Wake Forest W W (-7) O (51) 10/22 BOSTON COLLEGE W L (-21) U (45) 10/29 at Duke W L (-15) U (52½) at Georgia Tech W W (-2) O (49½) N CAROLINA W L (-9½) U (48) 11/26 at Virginia W 38-0 W (-5) U (45) 12/3 vs Clemson L L (-7) U (54) 1/3 vs Michigan L P (+3) U (52) StatFox Power Rating: 33 (#75 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 0.1 (#71 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (41st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (51st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -1.0 (#72 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 8 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at Syracuse L L (+6) O (48½) 0 NC STATE W W (+1½) O (50½) 7 GARDNER WEBB W 48-0 W (-35) U (52) 10/1 at Boston College W W (+1) U (49) 10/8 FLORIDA ST W W (+10) O (51½) 10/15 VIRGINIA TECH L L (+7) O (51) 10/22 at Duke W L (-3) U (60½) 10/29 at N Carolina L L (+6½) O (53) 11/5 NOTRE DAME L W (+13) U (57½) 11/12 at Clemson L W (+16½) U (63) 11/19 MARYLAND W W (-9½) U (57) 11/26 VANDERBILT L 7-41 L (-1) U (49½) 12/30 vs Mississippi St L W (+7) U (49) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

56 B I G 1 2 PREDICTED 1. Oklahoma 2. West Virginia 3. TCU 4. Kansas State 5. Oklahoma State FINISH 6. Texas 7. Baylor 8. Texas Tech 9. Iowa State 10. Kansas Baylor Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Baylor begins life after the Robert Griffin III era, and it s not looking too hot. The Bears will now rely on senior Nick Florence at the quarterback position. Florence played well in the one game he started against Texas Tech last year (165 total yards, 3 TD), but he has more career picks (nine) than TD passes (eight). One name to look out for is RB Lache Seastrunk, who transferred from Oregon after being connected to the probe into the Ducks use of a Texas-based prep scouting service. The offense also loses RB Terrance Ganaway and WR Kendall Wright, who combined for 36 TD in 2011, but senior WR Terrance Williams (957 rec yds, 11 TD) does return. Defensively, the Bears couldn t stop anybody last year (488 YPG, 5th-most in FBS) and were always involved in high-scoring shootouts, allowing 37.2 PPG (8th-most in nation). Without Griffin III to bail them out, this defensive unit which returns all but three starters, will need to be much better in Iowa State Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 5 Iowa State showed flashes last year, upsetting 10-0 Oklahoma State in November, but the Cyclones lacked consistency, losing seven of their final 10 games. Although QB Jared Barnett threw for 376 yards and 3 TD against OSU, he struggled down the stretch and opened up a QB controversy with Steele Jantz that will continue in The Cyclones are losing two of their better WRs and quality players on their offensive line, but top RB James White (743 rush yds, 8 TD) comes back. On the other side of the ball, the defensive line said goodbye to three starters on a team that generated just 1.3 sacks per game (106th in FBS). The Cyclones do get back LB A.J Klein, who recorded a team-high 116 total tackles last season. It will take a lot of maturing for Iowa State to get back to a bowl game this year, but if there s one thing that can be said about the Cyclones, it s that you can never completely count them out. Kansas Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 6 New Head Coach: Charlie Weis The Turner Gill experiment with the Jayhawks failed miserably and that ultimately led Kansas to the hiring of Charlie Weis. The head coach made a big move for his new program by getting his former QB Dayne Crist to transfer from Notre Dame. Crist (16 TD, 9 INT, 6.9 YPA in career) has a strong arm and leadership qualities to provide stability at the most important position in football. Junior RB James Sims (727 rush yds, 9 TD) and speedy sophomore Tony Pierson (88-yd TD run in spring game) are the keys to a strong rushing attack. The defense ranked last among all 120 FBS teams in both yards (516 YPG) and scoring (43.8 PPG), and will most likely struggle again as they lost a few starters and didn t land any big-time transfers or recruits. Kansas State Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Kansas State snuck up on the rest of the Big 12 last year, finishing second only to Oklahoma State in the conference. This year the Wildcats will surprise nobody as they return QB Collin Klein and eight other offensive starters. Klein threw for 1,918 yards and 13 TD, and rushed for 1,141 yards and 27 TD (tied for 2nd in FBS). He is one of the premier dual-threat QBs in the game and rarely makes mistakes (6 INT in 300 career pass attempts). Junior RB John Hubert is also tough to bring down, rushing for 970 yards last season. The Wildcats have a solid secondary and linebacking corps, but if they want to take the next step and win the Big 12, they must do a better job pressuring the quarterback (1.6 sacks per game, 84th in FBS). Oklahoma Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 7 After starting the 2011 season as the favorites to win the BCS National Championship, the Sooners faltered down the stretch, losing four of their final seven games. A lot of it had to do with injuries to top offensive players WR Ryan Broyles and RB Dominique Whaley, but QB Landry Jones also struggled with 1 TD and 6 INT in his final four games, losing twice. Jones is Oklahoma s all-time leading passer though, and he has talented weapons to use including junior WR Kenny Stills (849 rec yds, 8 TD). With Whaley (627 rush yds, 5.5 YPC, 9 TD in 6 games) and Roy Finch (605 rush yds, 5.5 YPC) running behind a great offensive line, the Sooners offense will remain explosive. The secondary has a lot of potential, but it s a unit that struggled last year (241 passing YPG allowed, 79th in FBS). However, the front seven is fierce, returning most of the players that helped the Sooners rank among the nation s top-12 in both sacks (3.1 per game) and Tackles For Loss (7.5 per game). 56 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

57 ODDS TO WIN 2012 BIG 12 CONFERENCE TITLE Oklahoma 1/1 Texas 4/1 TCU 11/2 West Virginia 6/1 Kansas State 12/1 Oklahoma State 18/1 Texas Tech 30/1 Baylor 40/1 Iowa State 65/1 Kansas 100/1 Oklahoma state Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Reality sets in this year for Cowboys fans as the best QB-WR tandem in college football (Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon) has moved on to the NFL. OSU will replace Weeden with Wes Lunt, a freshman who ran a similar offense in high school and sparkled in spring practice. OSU was able to put up 48.7 PPG last year (2nd in FBS), thanks to the best turnover margin in the nation and 26 total TD from RB Joseph Randle, who finished with 1,216 rushing yards on 5.8 YPC. Senior WR Tracy Moore (672 rec yds, 4 TD) moves up to take Blackmon s No. 1 receiver spot. The Cowboys defense ranked among the top-40 teams in the nation in both sacks (2.2 per game) and Tackles For Loss (7.0 per game), but allowed a whopping 272 pass YPG in the pass-happy Big 12. But there is talent in the secondary, and most of last year s defense, which held Texas Tech to six points and Oklahoma to 10, returns for the 2012 season. TCU Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 7 TCU now moves to the Big 12 complete with a $164 million overhaul of its stadium, which will remain a difficult place to win for any opponent. The Horned Frogs are fresh off a 10-2 season with their only blemishes coming at Baylor (50-48) and an overtime loss to SMU. The majority of their starters return, including junior QB Casey Pachall (2,921 pass yds, 25 TD, 7 INT) and senior RB Matthew Tucker (702 rush yds, 12 TD), who were both keys in the team scoring 40.9 PPG last year (9th in FBS). The offensive line has a lot of openings, but they should be good enough by the start of the season to support this explosive backfield that rushed for 209 YPG in While the Horned Frogs have a dominant defensive line and quality linebackers, their secondary could be a problem against the strong passing offenses in the Big 12. Texas Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 8 After two straight losing seasons in Big 12 play, Texas is confident it can get back to the top of the conference standings in To do so, the defense will have to lead them there. Despite playing in an explosive offensive conference, the Longhorns finished 11th in the nation in total defense (306 YPG), holding five of their final seven opponents to 20 points or less. Most of this unit remains intact, highlighted by a stellar secondary. There are still question marks on offense, namely QB with the underwhelming duo of David Ash (4 TD, 8 INT) and Case McCoy (7 TD, 4 INT) returning. Texas will be able to run the football again (203 rush YPG) with a bevy of talented backs, most notably Joe Bergeron (463 rush yds, 6.4 YPC, 5 TD) and Malcolm Brown (742 rush yds, 5 TD). Texas Tech Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 9 After a miserable year on the defensive side of the ball, Tommy Tuberville brought in UNC s Art Kaufman as defensive coordinator. He s looking to spice things up for a unit that allowed 39.3 PPG and 486 YPG, which both placed among the seven worst schools in FBS. Kaufman and the nine returning defensive starters have no place to go but up this season. The Red Raiders should remain a top-notch offensive squad after gaining 472 YPG with 33.8 PPG last year. Senior QB Seth Doege is returning after a year in which he threw for 4,004 yards, 28 TD and just 10 INT. RB Eric Stephens will also be back after a dislocated knee derailed a season in which he had 565 rushing yards (5.2 YPC) and 8 TD in just five games. Texas Tech was 4-0 when he got hurt and lost seven of its final eight games without him. West Virginia Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 6 Another team that finds itself trying to steal the thunder in the Big 12 is the Mountaineers. Geno Smith returns as the quarterback after throwing for 4,385 yards, 31 TD and just 7 INT last season. He capped his season by picking apart Clemson in the Orange Bowl for 407 yards, 6 TD and 0 INT. Smith is getting his two favorite targets back in Stedman Bailey (1,279 rec yds, 12 TD) and Tavon Austin (1,186 rec yds, 8 TD), so this WVU offense is going to remain one of the best in the nation. The problem comes on the defensive side of the ball, where the Mountaineers allowed 31.3 PPG in their final seven games. The Big 12 offenses are much more potent than the Big East and WVU s best D-lineman in 2011, Bruce Irvin, was a firstround pick in the NFL draft. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

58 BIG 12 BAYLOR StatFox Power Rating: 49 (#18 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 9.8 (#28 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (22nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (24th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.1 (#32 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /2 12/1 SMU SAM HOUSTON ST at LA Monroe at W Virginia TCU at Texas at Iowa St KANSAS at Oklahoma KANSAS ST vs Texas Tech OKLAHOMA ST 9/5 at Wake Forest W W (+2½) U (53½) 9 CONNECTICUT L L (-10½) O (44½) 9/26 NORTHWESTERN ST W W (-37½) 10/3 KENT ST W L (-22½) U (48½) 10/10 at Oklahoma L 7-33 W (+28) U (52) 10/17 at Iowa St L L (+2½) U (53) 10/24 OKLAHOMA ST L 7-34 L (+7½) U (52) 10/31 NEBRASKA L W (+13½) U (46) 11/7 at Missouri W W (+15) O (45½) 11/14 TEXAS L L (+22½) O (51½) 11/21 at Texas A&M L 3-38 L (+6) U (61) 11/28 vs Texas Tech L W (+20½) U (59) BIG 12 IOWA STATE 58 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % TULSA at Iowa W ILLINOIS TEXAS TECH at TCU KANSAS ST at Oklahoma St BAYLOR OKLAHOMA at Texas at Kansas W VIRGINIA 9/3 N DAKOTA ST W IOWA L 3-35 L (+6½) U (47) 9 at Kent St W W (-3) O (47) 9/26 ARMY W W (-10½) U (46½) 10/3 vs Kansas St L L (-3) U (49) 10/10 at Kansas L W (+19½) O (58½) 10/17 BAYLOR W W (-2½) U (53) 10/24 at Nebraska W 9-7 W (+20) U (52) 10/31 at Texas A&M L L (+6½) U (61) 11/7 OKLAHOMA ST L 8-34 L (+7½) U (54) 11/14 COLORADO W W (-4½) U (48½) 11/21 at Missouri L W (+15½) O (51½) 12/31 vs Minnesota W W (+1½) U (47) 9/4 SAM HOUSTON ST W 34-3 L (-39½) 1 BUFFALO W 34-6 W (-14½) U (52½) 8 at TCU L L (+21½) U (55½) 9/25 at Rice W W (-8) U (56) 10/2 KANSAS W 55-7 W (-9) O (51) 10/9 vs Texas Tech L L (+2) O (62) 10/16 at Colorado W W (-1) O (53½) 10/23 KANSAS ST W L (-6) O (56½) 10/30 at Texas W W (+7½) U (55) 11/6 at Oklahoma St L L (+10) O (72½) 11/13 TEXAS A&M L L (+3) O (64½) 11/20 OKLAHOMA L L (+8) O (64) 12/29 vs Illinois L L (+2) U (64½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 N ILLINOIS W W (-4) U (51) 1 at Iowa L 7-35 L (+13) U (45½) 8 vs Kansas St L L (+3½) U (54) 9/25 N IOWA W 27-0 W (-8½) 10/2 TEXAS TECH W W (+6½) O (54½) 10/9 UTAH L L (+5½) O (54) 10/16 at Oklahoma L 0-52 L (+23) U (60) 10/23 at Texas W W (+21) U (50½) 10/30 KANSAS W L (-17½) U (54½) 11/6 NEBRASKA L W (+15½) O (54½) 11/13 at Colorado L L (-1) U (55) 11/20 MISSOURI L 0-14 L (+11½) U (53½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /2 TCU W W (+3½) O (53½) 7 SF AUSTIN W 48-0 W (-30) U (76) 9/24 RICE W W (-21) O (68½) 10/1 at Kansas St L L (-3) O (64) 10/8 IOWA ST W W (-15) O (63½) 10/15 at Texas A&M L L (+8) O (76) 10/29 at Oklahoma St L L (+14½) O (82) 11/5 MISSOURI W W (-2) O (73) 11/12 at Kansas W L (-20) U (75½) 11/19 OKLAHOMA W W (+17) O (75) 11/26 vs Texas Tech W W (-12) O (82½) 12/3 TEXAS W W (-1½) O (62) 12/29 vs Washington W W (-8) O (79) StatFox Power Rating: 36 (#64 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -3.0 (#85 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (16th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (7th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -6.7 (#92 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 N IOWA W L (-6½) 0 IOWA W W (+6½) O (44) 6 at Connecticut W W (+4) U (44½) 10/1 TEXAS L L (+9) O (47) 10/8 at Baylor L L (+15) O (63½) 10/15 at Missouri L L (+17½) O (56) 10/22 TEXAS A&M L W (+22) U (66½) 10/29 at Texas Tech W 41-7 W (+15) U (67) 11/5 KANSAS W L (-14½) U (58) 11/18 OKLAHOMA ST W W (+26½) U (69½) 11/26 at Oklahoma L 6-26 W (+28½) U (57½) 12/3 at Kansas St L W (+10) O (50½) 12/30 vs Rutgers L L (-1½) U (46)

59 BIG 12 KANSAS 12/1 S DAKOTA ST RICE TCU at N Illinois at Kansas St OKLAHOMA ST at Oklahoma TEXAS at Baylor at Texas Tech IOWA ST at W Virginia 9/5 N COLORADO W at UTEP W 34-7 W (-13) U (62½) 9 DUKE W W (-23½) O (51½) 9/26 SOUTHERN MISS W L (-11½) O (58) 10/10 IOWA ST W L (-19½) O (58½) 10/17 at Colorado L L (-7½) O (54½) 10/24 OKLAHOMA L L (+8½) U (55) 10/31 at Texas Tech L L (+6½) U (66) 11/7 at Kansas St L L (-1½) U (54½) 11/14 NEBRASKA L L (+4) O (45½) 11/21 at Texas L L (+28) O (57½) 11/28 vs Missouri L W (+3) O (57½) BIG 12 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % KANSAS STATE 12/1 MISSOURI ST MIAMI NORTH TEXAS at Oklahoma KANSAS at Iowa St at W Virginia TEXAS TECH OKLAHOMA ST at TCU at Baylor TEXAS 9/5 MASSACHUSETTS W at LA Lafayette L L (-6½) U (54) 9 at UCLA L 9-23 L (+11) U (44½) 9/26 TENNESSEE TECH W 49-7 W (-35½) 10/3 vs Iowa St W W (+3) U (49) 10/10 at Texas Tech L L (+16) O (54½) 10/17 TEXAS A&M W W (+5½) O (59) 10/24 COLORADO W 20-6 W (-4½) U (49½) 10/31 at Oklahoma L W (+28) O (47½) 11/7 KANSAS W W (+1½) U (54½) 11/14 MISSOURI L L (+2) U (51) 11/21 at Nebraska L 3-17 W (+15½) U (44) 9/4 N DAKOTA ST L 3-6 L (-27½) 1 GEORGIA TECH W W (+14) O (51) 7 at Southern Miss L L (+5) U (52) 9/25 NEW MEXICO ST W W (-23½) O (50½) 10/2 at Baylor L 7-55 L (+9) O (51) 10/14 KANSAS ST L 7-59 L (+3) O (50) 10/23 TEXAS A&M L L (+14) O (51½) 10/30 at Iowa St L W (+17½) U (54½) 11/6 COLORADO W W (+8½) O (47) 11/13 at Nebraska L 3-20 W (+33½) U (60½) 11/20 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+24½) U (65) 11/27 vs Missouri L 7-35 L (+24) U (54) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 UCLA W W (-1) O (44½) 1 MISSOURI ST W L (-27) 8 vs Iowa St W W (-3½) U (54) 9/25 UCF W L (-6½) U (46) 10/7 NEBRASKA L L (+10½) O (47) 10/14 at Kansas W 59-7 W (-3) O (50) 10/23 at Baylor L W (+6) O (56½) 10/30 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+4) U (66) 11/6 TEXAS W W (+3½) O (46½) 11/13 at Missouri L W (+13) O (55) 11/20 at Colorado L L (-2) O (54½) 11/27 at North Texas W L (-14) O (59) 12/30 vs Syracuse L L (pk) O (48½) StatFox Power Rating: 22 (#103 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#111 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (7th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (9th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#116 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 MCNEESE ST W W (-14) 0 N ILLINOIS W W (+4) O (63) 7 at Georgia Tech L L (+14½) O (62) 10/1 TEXAS TECH L L (+6½) O (66) 10/8 at Oklahoma St L L (+31) O (74) 10/15 OKLAHOMA L W (+37½) U (70½) 10/22 KANSAS ST L L (+10½) O (59½) 10/29 at Texas L 0-43 L (+27½) U (64½) 11/5 at Iowa St L W (+14½) U (58) 11/12 BAYLOR L W (+20) U (75½) 11/19 at Texas A&M L 7-61 L (+32) O (65) 11/26 vs Missouri L W (+26) U (56½) StatFox Power Rating: 46 (#25 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 7.2 (#37 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (17th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (17th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +3.8 (#54 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 E KENTUCKY W 10-7 L (-26) 7 KENT ST W 37-0 W (-17½) U (45½) 9/24 at Miami W W (+12½) O (46) 10/1 BAYLOR W W (+3) O (64) 10/8 MISSOURI W W (+3½) U (54) 10/15 at Texas Tech W W (+3½) O (59½) 10/22 at Kansas W W (-10½) O (59½) 10/29 OKLAHOMA L L (+13) O (58) 11/5 at Oklahoma St L W (+21) O (70½) 11/12 TEXAS A&M W W (+5½) O (66½) 11/19 at Texas W W (+7½) U (52½) 12/3 IOWA ST W L (-10) O (50½) 1/6 vs Arkansas L L (+9) U (65) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

60 BIG 12 OKLAHOMA StatFox Power Rating: 56 (#10 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 18.4 (#11 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (4th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (19th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#10 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /1 at UTEP FLORIDA AM KANSAS ST at Texas Tech vs Texas KANSAS NOTRE DAME at Iowa St BAYLOR at W Virginia OKLAHOMA ST at TCU 9/5 vs BYU L L (-22) U (65) 2 IDAHO ST W 64-0 W (-52) 9 TULSA W 45-0 W (-18) U (57) 10/3 at Miami L L (-7½) U (51) 10/10 BAYLOR W 33-7 L (-28) U (52) 10/17 vs Texas L P (+3) U (52) 10/24 at Kansas W W (-8½) U (55) 10/31 KANSAS ST W L (-28) O (47½) 11/7 at Nebraska L 3-10 L (-4½) U (41) 11/14 TEXAS A&M W W (-19½) O (57½) 11/21 at Texas Tech L L (-6½) U (54½) 11/28 OKLAHOMA ST W 27-0 W (-8) U (48) 12/31 vs Stanford W L (-10½) O (54½) BIG StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % OKLAHOMA STATE 12/1 SAVANNAH ST at Arizona LA LAFAYETTE TEXAS at Kansas IOWA ST TCU at Kansas St W VIRGINIA TEXAS TECH at Oklahoma at Baylor 9/5 GEORGIA W W (-5) U (60½) 2 HOUSTON L L (-16½) O (71) 9 RICE W L (-32½) U (66½) 9/26 GRAMBLING W 56-6 W (-40½) 10/10 at Texas A&M W P (-5) O (60½) 10/17 MISSOURI W W (-6½) U (55) 10/24 at Baylor W 34-7 W (-7½) U (52) 10/31 TEXAS L L (+9) O (53) 11/7 at Iowa St W 34-8 W (-7½) U (54) 11/14 TEXAS TECH W W (-4½) U (60½) 11/19 COLORADO W L (-17) O (47) 11/28 at Oklahoma L 0-27 L (+8) U (48) 1/2 vs Ole Miss L 7-21 L (+3½) U (51) 9/4 UTAH ST W L (-35) U (57) 1 FLORIDA ST W W (-6½) O (58) 8 AIR FORCE W L (-16½) U (53½) 9/25 at Cincinnati W L (-14) O (52½) 10/2 vs Texas W W (-3) O (46½) 10/16 IOWA ST W 52-0 W (-23) U (60) 10/23 at Missouri L L (-3) O (53) 10/30 COLORADO W W (-25) U (56) 11/6 at Texas A&M L L (-4½) U (63) 11/13 TEXAS TECH W 45-7 W (-16½) U (65) 11/20 at Baylor W W (-8) O (64) 11/27 at Oklahoma St W W (+2½) O (68) 12/4 vs Nebraska W L (-4½) U (52) 1/1 vs Connecticut W W (-16) O (53½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 WASHINGTON ST W W (-16½) O (51) 1 TROY W L (-13½) O (63½) 8 TULSA W W (-7) O (69) 9/30 TEXAS A&M W W (-2½) O (65½) 10/8 at LA Lafayette W W (-24) O (61) 10/16 at Texas Tech W W (+3) U (68) 10/23 NEBRASKA L L (+6) O (57½) 10/30 at Kansas St W W (-4) U (66) 11/6 BAYLOR W W (-10) O (72½) 11/13 at Texas W W (-4½) U (56) 11/20 at Kansas W W (-24½) U (65) 11/27 OKLAHOMA L L (-2½) O (68) 12/29 vs Arizona W W (-4½) U (68½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 TULSA W W (-24) U (62½) 7 at Florida St W W (-3½) U (56) 9/24 MISSOURI W L (-19½) O (56½) 10/1 BALL ST W 62-6 W (-40) O (63) 10/8 vs Texas W W (-10½) O (56) 10/15 at Kansas W L (-37½) U (70½) 10/22 TEXAS TECH L L (-29) O (69) 10/29 at Kansas St W W (-13) O (58) 11/5 TEXAS A&M W W (-14) U (67) 11/19 at Baylor L L (-17) O (75) 11/26 IOWA ST W 26-6 L (-28½) U (57½) 12/3 at Oklahoma St L L (+3½) U (71½) 12/30 vs Iowa W W (-13½) U (58) StatFox Power Rating: 62 (#3 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 24.9 (#6 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (2nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (32nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#6 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-38) O (62) ARIZONA W W (-14) U (65½) 7 at Tulsa W W (-13½) O (67) 9/24 at Texas A&M W W (+5) U (68½) 10/8 KANSAS W W (-31) O (74) 10/15 at Texas W W (-7) O (63½) 10/22 at Missouri W W (-6) U (70) 10/29 BAYLOR W W (-14½) O (82) 11/5 KANSAS ST W L (-21) O (70½) 11/12 at Texas Tech W 66-6 W (-19½) U (79) 11/18 at Iowa St L L (-26½) U (69½) 12/3 OKLAHOMA W W (-3½) U (71½) 1/2 vs Stanford W L (-4½) O (73)

61 12/1 BIG 12 TEXAS 12/1 Big 12 TCU GRAMBLING at Kansas VIRGINIA at SMU IOWA ST at Baylor TEXAS TECH at Oklahoma St at W Virginia KANSAS ST at Texas OKLAHOMA 2 at Virginia W W (-11) O (42) 9 TEXAS ST UNIV W L (-40) 9/26 at Clemson W W (+2) U (41) 10/3 SMU W L (-28½) P (53) 10/10 at Air Force W L (-10) U (43) 10/17 COLORADO ST W 44-6 W (-22½) U (50½) 10/24 at BYU W 38-7 W (-2½) U (51) 10/31 UNLV W 41-0 W (-35) U (57½) 11/7 at San Diego st W W (-24½) O (48) 11/14 UTAH W W (-19½) O (49) 11/21 at Wyoming W W (-30½) O (50) 11/28 NEW MEXICO W L (-44) O (57½) 1/4 vs Boise St L L (-7½) U (54½) WYOMING NEW MEXICO at Ole Miss at Oklahoma St W VIRGINIA vs Oklahoma BAYLOR at Kansas at Texas Tech IOWA ST TCU at Kansas St 9/5 LA MONROE W L (-42½) O (61) 2 at Wyoming W L (-32) U (56) 9 TEXAS TECH W L (-19½) U (66) 9/26 UTEP W 64-7 W (-37) O (64½) 10/10 COLORADO W L (-33½) U (59) 10/17 vs Oklahoma W P (-3) U (52) 10/24 at Missouri W 41-7 W (-13) U (51½) 10/31 at Oklahoma St W W (-9) O (53) 11/7 UCF W 35-3 L (-35½) U (47) 11/14 at Baylor W W (-22½) O (51½) 11/21 KANSAS W W (-28) O (57½) 11/26 at Texas A&M W L (-20½) O (63½) 12/5 vs Nebraska W L (-14) U (46½) 1/7 vs Alabama L L (+3½) O (44½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 vs Oregon St W L (-13½) O (49) 1 TENNESSEE TECH W 62-7 W (-50½) 8 BAYLOR W W (-21½) U (55½) 9/24 at SMU W L (-18) O (54½) 10/2 at Colorado St W 27-0 L (-33½) U (54) 10/9 WYOMING W 45-0 W (-35½) U (48½) 10/16 BYU W 31-3 L (-30) U (51) 10/23 AIR FORCE W 38-7 W (-18½) U (51) 10/30 at UNLV W 48-6 W (-34½) U (56½) 11/6 at Utah W 47-7 W (-4) O (50½) 11/13 SAN DIEGO ST W L (-27½) O (54) 11/27 at New Mexico W W (-44½) O (57½) 1/1 vs Wisconsin W L (-3½) U (54½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Rice W L (-31½) U (55½) 1 WYOMING W 34-7 L (-27½) U (51) 8 at Texas Tech W W (-3) U (51) 9/25 UCLA L L (-15½) O (43½) 10/2 vs Oklahoma L L (+3) O (46½) 10/16 at Nebraska W W (+10) U (45½) 10/23 IOWA ST L L (-21) U (50½) 10/30 BAYLOR L L (-7½) U (55) 11/6 at Kansas St L L (-3½) O (46½) 11/13 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+4½) U (56) 11/20 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-22) O (44) 11/25 TEXAS A&M L L (+3) U (48) StatFox Power Rating: 51 (#15 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 20.2 (#8 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (88th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (19th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#9 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 10 3 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /2 at Baylor L L (-3½) O (53½) 0 at Air Force W W (-1½) O (50½) 7 LA MONROE W L (-28) O (52½) 9/24 PORTLAND ST W P (-42) O (65½) 10/1 SMU L L (-13) O (53) 10/8 at San Diego st W W (-4½) U (56½) 10/22 NEW MEXICO W 69-0 W (-44½) O (63½) 10/28 vs BYU W L (-13) O (55½) 11/5 at Wyoming W L (-18½) U (55½) 11/12 at Boise St W W (+16½) O (59½) 11/19 COLORADO ST W L (-34) U (56) 12/3 UNLV W 56-9 W (-39) O (54½) 12/21 vs Louisiana Tech W L (-9½) O (53) StatFox Power Rating: 47 (#24 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 7.2 (#38 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (5th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (30th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.8 (#41 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 RICE W 34-9 W (-23½) U (54) 0 BYU W L (-7½) U (48½) 7 at UCLA W W (-4) O (47) 10/1 at Iowa St W W (-9) O (47) 10/8 vs Oklahoma L L (+10½) O (56) 10/15 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+7) O (63½) 10/29 KANSAS W 43-0 W (-27½) U (64½) 11/5 TEXAS TECH W W (-14) O (59½) 11/12 at Missouri L 5-17 L (0) U (58) 11/19 KANSAS ST L L (-7½) U (52½) at Texas A&M W W (+7½) U (53) 12/3 at Baylor L L (+1½) O (62) 12/28 vs California W W (-3) U (48) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

62 BIG 12 TEXAS TECH StatFox Power Rating: 36 (#64 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -3.3 (#87 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (29th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (44th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -5.4 (#87 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 3 NORTHWESTERN ST at Texas St Univ NEW MEXICO at Iowa St OKLAHOMA WEST VIRGINIA at TCU at Kansas St TEXAS KANSAS at Oklahoma St BAYLOR 9/5 N DAKOTA W RICE W W (-28) O (64) 9 at Texas L W (+19.5) U (66) 9/26 at Houston L L (-2) U (75.5) 10/3 NEW MEXICO W L (-34.5) O (56) 10/10 KANSAS ST W W (-16) O (54.5) 10/17 at Nebraska W W (+10.5) U (58.5) 10/24 TEXAS A&M L L (-22.5) O (65.5) 10/31 KANSAS W W (-6.5) U (66) 11/14 at Oklahoma St L L (+4.5) U (60.5) 11/21 OKLAHOMA W W (+6.5) U (54.5) 11/28 vs Baylor W L (-20.5) U (59) 1/2 vs Michigan St W W (-9.5) O (60) big StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % west virginia 12/1 MARSHALL vs James Madison MARYLAND BAYLOR at Texas at Texas Tech KANSAS ST TCU at Oklahoma St OKLAHOMA at Iowa St KANSAS 9/5 LIBERTY W E CAROLINA W W (-6) O (44) 9 at Auburn L L (+7) O (54½) 10/1 COLORADO W L (-17) O (55½) 10/10 at Syracuse W W (-10½) U (54½) 10/17 MARSHALL W 24-7 L (-20) U (51½) 10/24 CONNECTICUT W L (-8) O (47) 10/30 at S Florida L L (-2½) O (47½) 11/7 LOUISVILLE W 17-9 L (-17½) U (55) 11/13 at Cincinnati L W (+9½) U (56½) 11/27 PITTSBURGH W W (pk) U (48) 12/5 at Rutgers W W (+1) O (43½) 1/1 vs Florida St L L (-3) U (56) 9/5 SMU W L (-12.5) O (57.5) 1 at New Mexico W W (-24.5) O (55.5) 8 TEXAS L L (+3) U (51) 10/2 at Iowa St L L (-6.5) O (54.5) 10/9 vs Baylor W W (-2) O (62) 10/16 OKLAHOMA ST L L (-3) U (68) 10/23 at Colorado W P (-3) U (57) 10/30 at Texas A&M L L (+7) O (63) 11/6 MISSOURI W W (+5.5) U (59.5) 11/13 at Oklahoma L 7-45 L (+16.5) U (65) 11/20 WEBER ST W W (-25) 11/27 HOUSTON W W (-10) U (70.5) 1/1 vs Northwestern W L (-8) O (63) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 COASTAL CAROLINA W 31-0 L (-41½) 0 at Marshall W L (-12) U (46½) 8 MARYLAND W W (-10) O (45) 9/25 at LSU L W (+9½) U (44½) 10/9 UNLV W W (-26½) O (47½) 10/14 S FLORIDA W 20-6 W (-10) U (44) 10/23 SYRACUSE L L (-13½) U (44) 10/29 at Connecticut L L (-4½) U (44) 11/13 CINCINNATI W W (-5) U (50) 11/20 at Louisville W W (-3½) U (47) 11/26 at Pittsburgh W W (+3) O (42) 12/4 RUTGERS W L (-21½) O (46½) 12/28 vs NC State L 7-23 L (-3) U (49½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 TEXAS ST UNIV W W (-39½) 7 at New Mexico W W (-20½) O (54½) 9/24 NEVADA W L (-16) O (61) 10/1 at Kansas W W (-6½) O (66) 10/8 TEXAS A&M L W (+8½) O (72½) 10/15 KANSAS ST L L (-3½) O (59½) 10/22 at Oklahoma W W (+29) O (69) 10/29 IOWA ST L 7-41 L (-15) U (67) 11/5 at Texas L L (+14) O (59½) 11/12 OKLAHOMA ST L 6-66 L (+19½) U (79) 11/19 at Missouri L W (+18) U (67) 11/26 vs Baylor L L (+12) O (82½) StatFox Power Rating: 48 (#19 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 12.3 (#19 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (56th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (27th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#23 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 9 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /4 MARSHALL W L (-21½) U (52½) 0 NORFOLK ST W L (-47) O (50½) 7 at Maryland W W (-1) O (55½) 9/24 LSU L L (+6) O (47) 10/1 BOWLING GREEN W W (-17½) O (60½) 10/8 CONNECTICUT W W (-19½) O (58) 10/21 at Syracuse L L (-14) O (60) 10/29 at Rutgers W W (-6) O (50) 11/5 LOUISVILLE L L (-12½) O (52) 11/12 at Cincinnati W W (+3) U (68) 11/25 PITTSBURGH W L (-7) U (58) 12/1 at S Florida W W (-1) U (57½) 1/4 vs Clemson W W (+3) O (64½)

63 Big East Cincinnati Offense: Starters returning - 4 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Munchie Legaux (5 TD, 4 INT) may win the QB job outright, or Cincinnati will employ a two-qb system with senior Brendan Kay (8 career pass attempts). Junior WR Anthony McClung returns after a team-high 683 receiving yards and 6 TD in Senior RB George Winn lacks experience but had a 69-yard TD run in the Liberty Bowl. The Bearcats D-line helped lead the nation in Tackles For Loss (8.6 per game) and finish second in sacks (3.5 per game). The LBs are solid too, but the secondary allowed 261 passing YPG in 11. Connecticut Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 8 JuCo transfer QB Chandler Whitmer had a strong showing in the spring and may overtake incumbent starter Johnny McEntee (2,110 pass yds, 12 TD, 8 INT). The O-line lost two starters from a mediocre unit, which could slow the development of RB Lyle McCombs, who rushed for 1,151 yards (2nd in Big East) and 7 TD last season. The D-line will again be a strength for UConn (2.8 sacks per game, 13th in nation). The secondary needs work, but UConn has a chance to improve with several players who saw the field last year. Louisville Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 10 QB Teddy Bridgewater had a promising freshman year in which he threw for 2,129 yards and 14 TD. He may be the most talented signal-caller in the conference. He gets back his No. 1 WR in sophomore Michaelee Harris (team-best 455 rec yds). On the defensive side, Charlie Strong is very excited about the group of corners he has, as well as his linebackers. He s certainly not worried about a D-line that was integral in stopping the run (101 rush YPG allowed, 10th in nation) and generating 33 sacks. pittsburgh Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 4 New Head Coach: Paul Chryst Senior QB Tino Sunseri will have to improve his decision-making and accuracy after a season in which he threw more interceptions (11) than he did touchdowns (10). He does return his top three targets in WRs Devin Street (754 rec yds) and Mike Shanahan (493 rec yds), and TE Hubie Graham (325 rec yds). The running game is also an issue as Ray Graham (958 rush yds, 9 TD) is trying to recover from a torn ACL suffered in late October. PREDICTED FINISH 1. Louisville 2. South Florida 3. Cincinnati 4. Pittsburgh 5. Rutgers 6. Temple 7. Syracuse 8. Connecticut Rutgers Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 8 New Head Coach: Kyle Flood In a QB competition, Chas Dodd (10 TD, 7 INT) has a slight edge over Gary Nova (11 TD, 9 INT). The Scarlet Knights are getting back their leading rusher in Jawan Jamison (897 rush yds, 9 TD), and although they said goodbye to star WR Mohamed Sanu, Brandon Coleman (552 rec yds, 6 TD) is a capable No. 1 wideout. The defense ranked eighth in the nation in scoring (18.3 PPG) and ninth in pass defense (172 YPG). South Florida Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Despite last season s 5-7 record, South Florida has a shot at the Big East championship this year. B.J. Daniels is back at QB after throwing for 2,604 yards and 13 TD, while rushing for 601 yards and six scores as a junior. He has his top four receivers back from last year. USF s defensive line and linebacker groups are both excellent, as the Bulls ranked second in the nation in Tackles For Loss (8.3 per game) and fourth in sacks (3.3 per game), but USF s secondary lacks experience throughout. Syracuse Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 6 Syracuse should be a good passing team with Ryan Nassib (2,685 pass yds, 22 TD, 9 INT) returning. He ll get back his two best targets in leading receiver Alec Lemon (834 rec yds, 6 TD) and WR Marcus Sales, who missed all of 2011 but has since had his drug-related charges dropped. On the defensive side, the front four will miss elite pass-rusher Chandler Jones. The secondary could also be an issue again (258 pass YPG allowed, 98th in nation), as Syracuse lacks talent at the DB positions. Temple Offense: Starters returning - 4 Defense: Starters returning - 5 The Owls could be in for a rude awakening when they rejoin the Big East. They re finally strong at QB with junior Chris Coyer (30-for-50, 463 yds, 6 TD, 0 INT), who emerged as a leader. The running game loses Bernard Pierce and his 1,481 rushing yards and 27 TD, but gains Boston College s all-time leading rusher Montel Harris. On defense, Temple allowed a mere 13.9 PPG (3rd in nation), holding five teams to single digits. But the Owls return only five players and will be facing more talented offenses. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

64 big east cincinnati StatFox Power Rating: 44 (#30 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 8.3 (#34 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (72nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (66th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#16 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 9/6 10/26 11/23 12/1 PITTSBURGH DELAWARE ST vs Virginia Tech MIAMI OHIO FORDHAM at Toledo at Louisville SYRACUSE at Temple RUTGERS S FLORIDA at Connecticut 9/7 at Rutgers W W (+5) O (47) 2 SE MISSOURI ST W 70-3 W (-47) 9 at Oregon St W W (-1) U (57½) 9/26 FRESNO ST W L (-17) U (63½) 10/3 at Miami Ohio W L (-29½) U (59) 10/15 at S Florida W W (-1) O (48½) 10/24 LOUISVILLE W W (-16½) U (54½) 10/31 at Syracuse W 28-7 W (-15½) U (52) 11/7 CONNECTICUT W L (-16) O (51) 11/13 W VIRGINIA W L (-9½) U (56½) 11/27 ILLINOIS W L (-19) O (59) 12/5 at Pittsburgh W W (+1) O (56) 1/1 vs Florida L L (+12) O (59) big east 64 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % connecticut 8/30 10/19 11/9 12/1 MASSACHUSETTS NC STATE at Maryland at W Michigan BUFFALO at Rutgers TEMPLE at Syracuse at S Florida PITTSBURGH at Louisville CINCINNATI 9/5 at Ohio U W W (-3½) U (44½) 2 N CAROLINA L W (+5½) U (41½) 9 at Baylor W W (+10½) O (44½) 9/26 RHODE ISLAND W W (-34½) 10/10 at Pittsburgh L W (+6½) U (47½) 10/17 LOUISVILLE W W (-12½) O (47) 10/24 at W Virginia L W (+8) O (47) 10/31 RUTGERS L L (-7½) O (44) 11/7 at Cincinnati L W (+16) O (51) 11/21 at Notre Dame W W (+6) O (58) 11/28 SYRACUSE W W (-12½) O (44½) 12/5 S FLORIDA W L (-7) O (47½) 1/2 vs S Carolina W 20-7 W (+4) U (50½) 9/4 at Fresno St L L (+2½) U (57) 1 INDIANA ST W 40-7 L (-45) 6 at NC State L L (+2) U (54) 9/25 OKLAHOMA L W (+14) O (52½) 10/9 MIAMI OHIO W 45-3 W (-17½) U (53½) 10/15 at Louisville W W (-2½) O (55½) 10/22 S FLORIDA L L (-9½) O (47½) 10/30 SYRACUSE L 7-31 L (-5½) U (46½) 11/13 at W Virginia L L (+5) U (50) 11/20 RUTGERS W W (-10½) O (49) 11/27 at Connecticut L L (+1½) U (55½) 12/4 PITTSBURGH L L (+1½) U (55) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Michigan L L (+3) U (51½) 1 TEXAS SOUTHERN W 62-3 W (-43½) 8 at Temple L L (-5½) U (47½) 9/25 BUFFALO W W (-20½) O (48½) 10/2 VANDERBILT W W (-9) O (45) 10/8 at Rutgers L L (-5) O (42½) 10/23 at Louisville L 0-26 L (+3) U (53) 10/29 W VIRGINIA W W (+4½) U (44) 11/11 PITTSBURGH W W (+6) O (48) 11/20 at Syracuse W 23-6 W (+4) U (44½) 11/27 CINCINNATI W W (-1½) U (55½) 12/4 at S Florida W W (+2) U (43) 1/1 vs Oklahoma L L (+16) O (53½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 AUSTIN PEAY W W (-41½) 0 at Tennessee L L (+3½) O (56½) 7 AKRON W W (-34) O (57) NC STATE W W (-7½) U (60½) 10/1 at Miami Ohio W 27-0 W (-16) U (55) 10/15 LOUISVILLE W L (-13) U (49½) 10/22 at S Florida W W (+3) O (54) 11/5 at Pittsburgh W L (-3½) U (56½) 11/12 W VIRGINIA L L (-3) U (68) 11/19 at Rutgers L 3-20 L (+1) U (46½) 11/26 at Syracuse W W (-1) U (50) 12/3 CONNECTICUT W W (-7½) O (47½) 12/31 vs Vanderbilt W W (+2) O (50½) StatFox Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.6 (#65 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (66th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (64th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -0.1 (#69 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 FORDHAM W 35-3 L (-38) 0 at Vanderbilt L L (+1½) U (46) 6 IOWA ST L L (-4) U (44½) 9/24 at Buffalo W 17-3 W (-8½) U (46½) 10/1 W MICHIGAN L L (-3) O (46½) 10/8 at W Virginia L L (+19½) O (58) 10/15 S FLORIDA W W (+7½) U (47) 10/26 at Pittsburgh L L (+10) O (43) 11/5 SYRACUSE W W (-1½) O (43½) 11/19 LOUISVILLE L L (-2) O (42) 11/26 RUTGERS W W (+3½) O (40) 12/3 at Cincinnati L L (+7½) O (47½)

65 big east louisville 9/2 10/26 11/29 KENTUCKY MISSOURI ST N CAROLINA at FLA International at Southern Miss at Pittsburgh S FLORIDA CINCINNATI TEMPLE at Syracuse CONNECTICUT at Rutgers 9/5 INDIANA ST W at Kentucky L W (+12½) O (49) 9/26 at Utah L L (+14) U (52½) 10/2 PITTSBURGH L L (+7) U (52½) 10/10 SOUTHERN MISS W W (+2) U (50) 10/17 at Connecticut L L (+12½) O (47) 10/24 at Cincinnati L L (+16½) U (54½) 10/31 ARKANSAS ST W W (-1½) U (50) 11/7 at W Virginia L 9-17 W (+17½) U (55) 11/14 SYRACUSE W 10-9 L (-7½) U (46½) 11/21 at S Florida L W (+12½) O (45) 11/27 RUTGERS L L (+3) O (42½) big east pittsburgh STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/6 10/5 11/9 12/1 YOUNGSTOWN ST at Cincinnati VIRGINIA TECH GARDNER WEBB at Syracuse LOUISVILLE at Buffalo TEMPLE at Notre Dame at Connecticut RUTGERS at S Florida 9/5 YOUNGSTOWN ST W at Buffalo W W (-11½) O (42½) 9 NAVY W W (-8) U (49½) 9/26 at NC State L L (-1) O (48) 10/2 at Louisville W W (-7) U (52½) 10/10 CONNECTICUT W L (-6½) U (47½) 10/16 at Rutgers W W (-6) U (46) 10/24 S FLORIDA W W (-6½) O (48) 11/7 SYRACUSE W W (-21) U (49½) 11/14 NOTRE DAME W P (-5) U (59) 11/27 at W Virginia L L (pk) U (48) 12/5 CINCINNATI L L (-1) O (56) 12/26 vs N Carolina W W (-1) U (46) 9/4 KENTUCKY L L (+3) U (47½) 1 E KENTUCKY W L (-30) 8 at Oregon St L W (+20½) O (55) 10/2 at Arkansas St W W (-6½) U (60) 10/9 MEMPHIS W 56-0 W (-16½) O (51) 10/15 CINCINNATI L L (+2½) O (55½) 10/23 CONNECTICUT W 26-0 W (-3) U (53) 10/30 at Pittsburgh L 3-20 L (+9½) U (56) 11/6 at Syracuse W W (+7) O (44) 11/13 S FLORIDA L L (-2) U (46½) 11/20 W VIRGINIA L L (+3½) U (47) 11/26 at Rutgers W W (-3) O (45½) 12/21 vs Southern Miss W W (-2) O (58½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 at Utah L P (+3) O (48½) 1 NEW HAMPSHIRE W L (-29½) 9/23 MIAMI L 3-31 L (+3½) U (48½) 10/2 FLA INTERNATIONAL W W (-17) O (51) 10/9 at Notre Dame L P (+6) U (50) 10/16 at Syracuse W W (-2½) O (45½) 10/23 RUTGERS W W (-13) O (46½) 10/30 LOUISVILLE W 20-3 W (-9½) U (56) 11/11 at Connecticut L L (-6) O (48) 11/20 at S Florida W W (-3) U (47½) 11/26 W VIRGINIA L L (-3) O (42) 12/4 at Cincinnati W W (-1½) U (55) 1/8 vs Kentucky W W (-4½) U (52) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.5 (#59 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (62nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (55th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +1.8 (#64 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways MURRAY ST W 21-9 L (-28½) 9/9 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (-3) U (48) 7 at Kentucky W W (+4) P (41) 10/1 MARSHALL L L (-11) U (46½) 10/8 at N Carolina L 7-14 W (+13½) U (47) 10/15 at Cincinnati L W (+13) U (49½) 10/21 RUTGERS W W (-1) U (41½) 10/29 SYRACUSE W W (-2½) U (44) 11/5 at W Virginia W W (+12½) O (52) 11/12 PITTSBURGH L L (-3) U (45) 11/19 at Connecticut W W (+2) O (42) 11/25 at S Florida W W (+5½) O (44½) 12/27 vs NC State L L (+1½) O (44) StatFox Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 3.2 (#53 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (52nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (64th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +1.4 (#65 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 8 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 BUFFALO W L (-30) U (54½) 0 MAINE W L (-29½) O (47½) 7 at Iowa L L (+2½) O (50) 9/24 NOTRE DAME L W (+6½) U (56½) S FLORIDA W W (+2½) O (51) 10/8 at Rutgers L L (-6½) U (52) 10/15 UTAH L L (-6) U (45½) 10/26 CONNECTICUT W W (-10) O (43) 11/5 CINCINNATI L W (+3½) U (56½) 11/12 at Louisville W W (+3) U (45) 11/25 at W Virginia L W (+7) U (58) 12/3 SYRACUSE W W (-8) O (49) 1/7 vs SMU L 6-28 L (-4) U (47½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

66 big east rutgers StatFox Power Rating: 39 (#52 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.6 (#48 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (64th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (70th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.1 (#32 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /29 at Tulane HOWARD at S Florida at Arkansas CONNECTICUT SYRACUSE at Temple KENT ST ARMY at Cincinnati at Pittsburgh LOUISVILLE 9/7 CINCINNATI L L (-5) O (47) 2 HOWARD W 45-7 L (-46) 9 FLA INTERNATIONAL W L (-16) U (51½) 9/26 at Maryland W W (+1) U (49) 10/10 TEXAS SOUTHERN W 42-0 L (-52) 10/16 PITTSBURGH L L (+6) U (46) 10/23 at Army W W (-10½) U (38½) 10/31 at Connecticut W W (+7½) O (44) 11/12 S FLORIDA W 31-0 W (-1½) U (43) 11/21 at Syracuse L L (-10) U (45) 11/27 at Louisville W W (-3) O (42½) 12/5 W VIRGINIA L L (-1) O (43½) 12/19 vs UCF W W (-2½) O (45) big east 66 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % south florida 3 11/23 12/1 CHATTANOOGA at Nevada RUTGERS at Ball St FLORIDA ST at Temple at Louisville SYRACUSE CONNECTICUT at Miami at Cincinnati PITTSBURGH 9/5 WOFFORD W at W Kentucky W L (-26) U (52) 9 CHARLESTON SOUT W 59-0 W (-38) 9/26 at Florida St W 17-7 W (+13½) U (51) 10/3 at Syracuse W W (-7) O (47) 10/15 CINCINNATI L L (+1) O (48½) 10/24 at Pittsburgh L L (+6½) O (48) 10/30 W VIRGINIA W W (+2½) O (47½) 11/12 at Rutgers L 0-31 L (+1½) U (43) 11/21 LOUISVILLE W L (-12½) O (45) 11/28 MIAMI L L (+3½) U (53) 12/5 at Connecticut L W (+7) O (47½) 1/2 vs N Illinois W 27-3 W (-6½) U (50) 9/2 NORFOLK ST W 31-0 L (-38½) 1 at FLA International W L (-14½) U (47½) 9/25 N CAROLINA L L (+3) U (44) 10/2 TULANE L L (-17) U (41½) 10/8 CONNECTICUT W W (+5) O (42½) 10/16 vs Army W L (-6) O (42½) 10/23 at Pittsburgh L L (+13) O (46½) at S Florida L W (+10½) O (43½) 11/13 SYRACUSE L L (+2½) U (42) 11/20 at Cincinnati L L (+10½) O (49) 11/26 LOUISVILLE L L (+3) O (45½) 12/4 at W Virginia L W (+21½) O (46½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 STONY BROOK W W (-36) 1 at Florida L L (+14½) O (50) 9/25 W KENTUCKY W L (-27½) U (56) 10/2 FLA ATLANTIC W 31-3 W (-21½) U (51½) 10/9 SYRACUSE L 9-13 L (-8) U (45½) 10/14 at W Virginia L 6-20 L (+10) U (44) 10/22 at Cincinnati W W (+9½) O (47½) RUTGERS W L (-10½) O (43½) 11/13 at Louisville W W (+2) U (46½) 11/20 PITTSBURGH L L (+3) U (47½) 11/27 at Miami W W (+13) U (46½) 12/4 CONNECTICUT L L (-2) U (43) 12/31 vs Clemson W W (+5) O (40½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways 34 3 NC CENTRAL W 48-0 W (-43½) 0 at N Carolina L W (+9½) U (49½) 9/24 OHIO U W W (-3½) O (51) 10/1 at Syracuse W W (+1½) U (50) 10/8 PITTSBURGH W W (+6½) U (52) 10/15 NAVY W L (-3) U (54) 10/21 at Louisville L L (+1) U (41½) 10/29 W VIRGINIA L L (+6) O (50) 11/5 S FLORIDA W W (+2) U (49) 11/12 vs Army W W (-9) U (46) 11/19 CINCINNATI W 20-3 W (-1) U (46½) 11/26 at Connecticut L L (-3½) O (40) 12/30 vs Iowa St W W (+1½) U (46) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 8.1 (#35 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (60th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (45th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +6.6 (#36 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Notre Dame W W (+10½) U (46) 0 BALL ST W 37-7 W (-20½) U (50½) 7 FLORIDA AM W W (-41½) O (47½) 9/24 UTEP W L (-30) O (50) at Pittsburgh L L (-2½) O (51) 10/15 at Connecticut L L (-7½) U (47) 10/22 CINCINNATI L L (-3) O (54) 11/5 at Rutgers L L (-2) U (49) 11/11 at Syracuse W W (-3) O (53½) 11/19 MIAMI L 3-6 L (0) U (52½) 11/25 LOUISVILLE L L (-5½) O (44½) 12/1 W VIRGINIA L L (+1) U (57½)

67 big east syracuse 10/5 10/19 11/23 NORTHWESTERN vs USC STONY BROOK at Minnesota PITTSBURGH at Rutgers CONNECTICUT at S Florida at Cincinnati LOUISVILLE at Missouri at Temple 9/5 MINNESOTA L W (+7) U (47) 2 at Penn St L 7-28 W (+29½) U (51) 9 NORTHWESTERN W W (+1½) O (45½) 9/26 MAINE W L (-21) 10/3 S FLORIDA L L (+7) O (47) 10/10 W VIRGINIA L L (+10½) U (54½) 10/24 AKRON W W (-11) U (47½) 10/31 CINCINNATI L 7-28 L (+15½) U (52) 11/7 at Pittsburgh L L (+21) U (49½) 11/14 at Louisville L 9-10 W (+7½) U (46½) 11/21 RUTGERS W W (+10) U (45) 11/28 at Connecticut L L (+12½) O (44½) Big East TEMPLE STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 8/31 11/23 VILLANOVA MARYLAND at Penn St S FLORIDA at Connecticut RUTGERS at Pittsburgh at Louisville CINCINNATI at Army SYRACUSE 9/3 VILLANOVA W at Penn St L 6-31 W (+29½) U (48) 9/26 BUFFALO W W (-3½) O (46) 10/3 at E Michigan W W (-6½) U (44½) 10/10 BALL ST W L (-14½) U (45½) 10/17 ARMY W W (-10½) O (36½) 10/24 at Toledo W W (pk) O (53½) 10/31 at Navy W W (+6½) O (41) 11/5 MIAMI OHIO W L (-17) O (44½) 11/13 at Akron W W (-6) O (46) 11/21 KENT ST W W (-10) O (46) 11/27 at Ohio U L L (-1½) O (43½) 12/29 vs UCLA L L (+4½) O (44) 9/4 at Akron W 29-3 W (-9) U (42) 1 at Washington L L (+13) O (51½) 8 MAINE W W (-20½) 9/25 COLGATE W 42-7 W (-29½) 10/9 at S Florida W 13-9 W (+8) U (45½) 10/16 PITTSBURGH L L (+2½) O (45½) 10/23 at W Virginia W W (+13½) U (44) 10/30 at Cincinnati W 31-7 W (+5½) U (46½) 11/6 LOUISVILLE L L (-7) O (44) 11/13 at Rutgers W W (-2½) U (42) 11/20 CONNECTICUT L 6-23 L (-4) U (44½) 11/27 BOSTON COLLEGE L 7-16 L (-3½) U (38) 12/30 vs Kansas St W W (pk) O (48½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/3 VILLANOVA W W (-4½) O (48) 9/9 C MICHIGAN W L (-7½) U (47) 8 CONNECTICUT W W (+5½) U (47½) 9/25 at Penn St L W (+13½) U (43½) 10/2 at Army W W (-6) O (40½) 10/9 at N Illinois L L (+3) U (49½) 10/16 BOWLING GREEN W L (-20) O (51½) 10/23 at Buffalo W 42-0 W (-8½) U (46½) 10/30 AKRON W 30-0 W (-29½) U (50) 11/6 at Kent St W W (-3) U (43) 11/16 OHIO U L L (-10) O (45½) 11/23 at Miami Ohio L 3-23 L (-8½) U (44½) StatFox Power Rating: 31 (#77 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -2.1 (#79 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (53rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (37th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -4.3 (#84 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways WAKE FOREST W W (-6) O (48½) 0 RHODE ISLAND W L (-26½) U (47) 7 at USC L L (+17) O (50) 9/24 TOLEDO W W (-2) O (56) 10/1 RUTGERS L L (-1½) U (50) 10/8 at Tulane W L (-9½) O (50) 10/21 W VIRGINIA W W (+14) O (60) 10/29 at Louisville L L (+2½) U (44) 11/5 at Connecticut L L (+1½) O (43½) 11/11 S FLORIDA L L (+3) O (53½) 11/26 CINCINNATI L L (+1) U (50) 12/3 at Pittsburgh L L (+8) O (49) StatFox Power Rating: 40 (#49 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 10.3 (#26 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (117th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (60th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#11 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways VILLANOVA W 42-7 W (-6½) 0 at Akron W 41-3 W (-16½) U (48½) 7 PENN ST L W (+7) U (46) 9/24 at Maryland W 38-7 W (+9½) U (52) 10/1 TOLEDO L L (-8½) U (54) 10/8 at Ball St W 42-0 W (-9) U (50) 10/15 BUFFALO W 34-0 W (-22) U (47) 10/22 at Bowling Green L L (-12½) U (48½) 11/2 at Ohio U L L (-4½) O (46) 11/9 MIAMI OHIO W L (-13½) O (44½) 11/19 ARMY W W (-11) O (47) 11/25 KENT ST W W (-16½) O (40) 12/17 vs Wyoming W W (-7) O (51) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

68 Big TEN Leaders PREDICTED FINISH DIVISION... Legends DIVISION 1. Wisconsin 2. Ohio State 3. Penn State 4. Illinois 5. Purdue 6. Indiana 1. Michigan 2. Nebraska 3. Michigan State 4. Northwestern 5. Iowa 6. Minnesota Illinois Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 8 New Head Coach: Tim Beckman The Illini offense started off hot last season before struggling down the stretch with six straight losses to close out its Big Ten slate. Tim Beckman replaced Ron Zook as head coach to make sure that wouldn t happen again. Illinois returns playmaking quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase (13 pass TD, 6 rush TD) while the running game should improve upon last season s pedestrian 172 rushing yards per game (74 fewer than 2010). The Illini will need a wide receiver to make up for the loss of first-round pick A.J. Jenkins, and that could be sophomore Spencer Harris, who provides a big target at 6-foot-3 and 195 pounds. Tim Banks, the new defensive coordinator, isn t likely to stir things up, as the Illini were sixth in the nation in sacks (3.15 per game), fourth in Tackles For Loss (7.9 per game) and third in pass defense (162 YPG). Indiana Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 8 The good news for the Hoosiers is that they can t get any worse than they were last year. Indiana won only one game in 2011 (38-21 over FCS school South Carolina State), and returns all four starters from its defensive line as well as three defensive backs. Head coach Kevin Wilson has a decent group of running backs to work with, led by junior Stephen Houston (802 rush yds, 8 TD), but they are inexperienced at the quarterback position. The Hoosiers will need either Tre Roberson (3 TD, 6 INT) or Edward Wright-Baker (4 TD, 4 INT) to develop in order to have their answer under center. Iowa Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 5 It s hard to rule out the Hawkeyes with Kirk Ferentz and the rest of his brilliant coaching staff, but this team has plenty of reasons for concern entering Iowa lost its star running back, Marcus Coker, and receiver, Marvin McNutt. QB James Vandenberg made great strides last year (3,022 pass yds, 25 TD, 7 INT), but he doesn t have a lot of proven receivers to rely on. Iowa is going to struggle running the ball behind an inexperienced offensive line, and the team could struggle defensively as well. The Hawkeyes return their leading tackler James Morris (52 solo tackles, 58 assists), but they lose their two best players in the secondary. Iowa has a plethora of young recruits at skill positions, but ultimately this team is too inexperienced to compete for a conference title. Michigan Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 8 This could be the season for the Wolverines to return to the Rose Bowl. The offensive line is losing two starters, but luckily Michigan will not have to replace the untied shoes of senior QB Denard Robinson (2,173 pass yds, 20 TD; 1,176 rush yds, 16 TD). Not only is the Heisman Trophy candidate back, but so is his top running back, senior Fitzgerald Toussaint (1,041 rush yds, 9 TD). If a wide receiver can emerge and be at least almost as productive as Junior Hemingway was last year, the Wolverines offense could be one of the most explosive in the country. Defensively, three starters in the secondary return along with what should be one of the best defensive lines in the Big Ten. Michigan State Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 8 After a season that almost ended in a trip to the Rose Bowl, the Spartans are looking to take the next step. Offensively, they are losing almost all of their skill players, but QB Andrew Maxwell (18-for-26, 171 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT) and RB Le Veon Bell (948 rush yds, 13 TD) seem as though they are ready to make an impact. MSU will have one of the best offensive lines in college football in 2012 as they return four of last year s starters. Defensively, they lost Jerel Worthy, but it doesn t seem as though they ll miss him with William Gholston (5 sacks) and Marcus Rush (4 sacks) around. The Spartans should have a dominant pass rush as they have the size and depth to cause nightmares for opposing offenses. Minnesota Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 6 The Golden Gophers had a difficult first year under head coach Jerry Kill, but things should go a lot smoother this time around. QB MarQueis Gray has all the tools to be an effective player in an offense that desperately needs him. Gray is a dual threat who will likely lead Minnesota in both passing and rushing in this coming season. The team lacks talent at both the RB and WR positions. Defensively, leading tackler Mike Rallis (83 tackles) returns, but outside of him, there isn t much to get excited about. This team had a lot of trouble stopping opponents last year (31.7 PPG allowed), so it s hard to be optimistic about the fact that they return six defensive starters. 68 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

69 odds to win Big TEn Leaders DIVISION Wisconsin 5/2 1/2 Penn State 5/1 3/1 Illinois 20/1 15/2 Purdue 35/1 10/1 Indiana 50/1 15/1 Ohio State N/A N/A Nebraska Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 7 The switch to the Big Ten didn t go as well as Nebraska had hoped. This year, the Cornhuskers look to be the team everybody thought they would be last season. QB Taylor Martinez and RB Rex Burkhead return to the option offense where they rushed for 874 yards and 1,357 yards, respectively. The lack of wide receivers on this team is an issue, but there s no doubt Nebraska s offense will still be powerful with those two in the backfield. The defense should be sufficient as well, as the Huskers return five starters in key positions. But it won t be a typical dominant Blackshirts defense, as they lack proven playmakers on that side of the ball. NorthWestern Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 6 The Wildcats were second in the Big Ten last year with 470 total YPG, and they should be near the front of the pack again this year. QB Kain Colter was decent in his time starting last year (6 pass TD, 1 INT; 654 rush yds, 9 TD); he s another dual threat QB and whose running skills, complemented by sophomore RB Treyvon Green s speed (362 yds, 4 TD), will tire out opposing defensive lines. Northwestern also should have solid play from its wide receivers this year. Defensively, the team is stacked with talent at linebacker, but has little depth at the other positions. It was a long 2011 season on the defensive side of the ball last year (408 YPG allowed), and if nobody is able to provide stability on the defensive line or in the secondary, it could be more of the same in Ohio State Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 9 New Head Coach: Urban Meyer Ohio State lost a year of bowl eligibility, but that gives Urban Meyer a year of experimentation with his young QB Braxton Miller (1,159 pass yds, 13 TD, 4 INT; 715 rush yds, 7 TD). Miller was one of the most exciting players to watch in the country last year and his confidence grew after a few big wins, including one against Wisconsin. The defense will be outstanding as well, as the Buckeyes return almost every starter from last year. Ohio State will need to find a new RB and go-to WR to truly be among the Big Ten s elite, and Meyer will need to find a way to keep his Buckeyes focused in a year in which they really don t have much to play for. odds to win Big TEn Legends DIVISION Michigan 2/1 Nebraska 7/2 9/4 Michigan State 15/2 4/1 Iowa 20/1 8/1 Northwestern 35/1 12/1 Minnesota 100/1 40/1 Penn State Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 4 New Head Coach: Bill O Brien After a year of distractions and tragedy at Penn State, new head coach Bill O Brien is looking forward to a year in which the focus in Happy Valley is back on football. Last season, the Nittany Lions went back and forth between QBs Rob Bolden and Matt McGloin, neither of whom was impressive. The offensive line is also an issue, as the team needs to replace four starters. RB Silas Redd (1,241 rush yds, 7 TD) is the lone bright spot on offense. On the defensive side, the linebackers should be solid, but they will need to find fill-ins for all four starters they lost in the secondary. It s going to take a surprise at nearly every position for this Penn State team to resemble any of the better teams of the Joe Paterno era. Purdue Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 9 Purdue is yet another Big Ten team with a quarterback controversy. QB Robert Marve (633 pass yds, 4 TD, 5 INT) will return to take snaps away from another talented QB in Caleb TerBush (1,905 pass yds, 13 TD, 6 INT). Fortunately for Purdue, both of these quarterbacks are very capable. If they can sure up an iffy offensive line, their solid corps of running backs and receivers could make the Boilermakers one of the tougher offenses to stop. On the other side of the ball, Kawann Short (6.5 sacks, 54 tackles, 17 TFL) is trying to solidify himself as the best defensive end in college football. In the secondary, the team is losing some players, but also returns some nice talent at cornerback. Wisconsin Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 6 It appears Wisconsin has no interest in grooming its own QBs, as two years in a row the Badgers have landed big-name transfers. Danny O Brien isn t Russell Wilson, but he did throw for 2,438 yards, 22 TD and just 8 INT at Maryland in 2010 before a major coaching change stunted his development last year (7 TD, 10 INT). With Heisman Trophy candidate RB Montee Ball (1,923 rush yds, 33 TD; 6 rec TD) keeping defenses honest, O Brien should have a relatively easy time throwing to Jared Abbrederis (933 rec yds, 8 TD), the team s leading receiver from a year ago. Defense could be an issue for a unit that lost five starters, but the Badgers do return Chris Borland, who was one of the better linebackers in the nation last season. Head coach Bret Bielema usually does a solid job putting a quality defense on the field, so despite losing some key upperclassmen, there s reason to believe the Badgers defensive unit will again be a force. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

70 big ten illinois StatFox Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.0 (#62 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (57th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (48th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +3.0 (#59 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 3 10 W MICHIGAN at Arizona St CHARLESTON SOUT LOUISIANA TECH PENN ST at Wisconsin at Michigan INDIANA at Ohio St MINNESOTA PURDUE at Northwestern 9/5 vs Missouri L 9-37 L (-6½) U (60½) 2 ILLINOIS ST W L (-33½) 9/26 at Ohio St L 0-30 L (+14) U (50) 10/3 PENN ST L L (+8) O (48) 10/10 MICHIGAN ST L L (+4) U (55) 10/17 at Indiana L L (-3½) U (53½) 10/24 at Purdue L P (+10) U (55) 10/31 MICHIGAN W W (+7) U (53½) 11/7 at Minnesota W W (+6) O (54) 11/14 NORTHWESTERN L L (-6½) U (50½) 11/27 at Cincinnati L W (+19) O (59) 12/5 FRESNO ST L L (-2) O (58½) big ten indiana 70 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % INDIANA ST at Massachusetts BALL ST at Northwestern MICHIGAN ST OHIO ST at Navy at Illinois IOWA WISCONSIN at Penn St at Purdue 9/3 E KENTUCKY W W MICHIGAN W W (-1) U (54) 9 at Akron W W (+3) O (45) 9/26 at Michigan L W (+18½) O (53½) 10/3 OHIO ST L L (+17½) P (47) 10/10 at Virginia L 7-47 L (+7) O (47) 10/17 ILLINOIS W W (+3½) U (53½) 10/24 at Northwestern L W (+4½) O (53) 10/31 at Iowa L L (+17) O (47) 11/7 WISCONSIN L W (+13½) O (54) 11/14 at Penn St L W (+24) U (55½) 11/21 PURDUE L L (+3) P (59) 9/4 vs Missouri L W (+13½) U (53) 1 S ILLINOIS W 35-3 W (-11) 8 N ILLINOIS W L (-7) O (45) 10/2 OHIO ST L W (+15½) U (48½) 10/9 at Penn St W W (+9) O (42) 10/16 at Michigan St L 6-26 L (+6½) U (48½) 10/23 INDIANA W W (-13) O (53½) 10/30 PURDUE W W (-16½) O (42) 11/6 at Michigan L W (+2½) O (58) 11/13 MINNESOTA L L (-21) O (52½) 11/20 vs Northwestern W W (-8) O (49) 12/3 at Fresno St L L (-6½) U (60) 12/29 vs Baylor W W (-2) U (64½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 TOWSON W W (-29) 8 at W Kentucky W W (-13½) U (60½) 9/25 AKRON W L (-23½) U (56) 10/2 MICHIGAN L W (+10) O (65) 10/9 at Ohio St L L (+24½) U (59½) 10/16 ARKANSAS ST W L (-9½) O (64) 10/23 at Illinois L L (+13) O (53½) 10/30 NORTHWESTERN L W (+3½) U (58½) 11/6 IOWA L W (+18½) U (53½) 11/13 at Wisconsin L L (+22½) O (57) 11/20 vs Penn St L L (+10) O (58) 11/27 at Purdue W W (+4) O (54) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 ARKANSAS ST W L (-19) U (54) 0 S DAKOTA ST W 56-3 W (-26½) O (50) 7 ARIZONA ST W W (-2½) U (55½) 9/24 W MICHIGAN W L (-13½) U (51½) 10/1 NORTHWESTERN W L (-9½) O (54½) 10/8 at Indiana W W (-14) O (53½) 10/15 OHIO ST L 7-17 L (-3) U (44½) 10/22 at Purdue L L (-3) U (49) 10/29 at Penn St L 7-10 W (+4½) U (38½) 11/12 MICHIGAN L L (+1) U (48) 11/19 WISCONSIN L W (+14½) U (51) 11/26 at Minnesota L 7-27 L (-10) U (44) 12/31 vs UCLA W W (-3) U (45) StatFox Power Rating: 20 (#105 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#110 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (54th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (59th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#110 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 9 3 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs Ball St L L (-4) U (53) 0 VIRGINIA L W (+7) O (55) 7 S CAROLINA ST W W (-16) O (49½) 9/24 at North Texas L L (-5½) U (56) 10/1 PENN ST L W (+13½) U (49½) 10/8 ILLINOIS L L (+14) O (53½) 10/15 at Wisconsin L 7-59 L (+38) O (62) 10/22 at Iowa L W (+23) O (55) 10/29 NORTHWESTERN L L (+8½) O (63) 11/5 at Ohio St L W (+27) O (51½) 11/19 at Michigan St L 3-55 L (+27) O (53) 11/26 PURDUE L W (+8½) O (57½)

71 big ten iowa 11/23 vs N Illinois IOWA ST N IOWA C MICHIGAN MINNESOTA at Michigan St PENN ST at Northwestern at Indiana PURDUE at Michigan NEBRASKA 9/5 N IOWA W at Iowa St W 35-3 W (-6½) U (47) 9 ARIZONA W W (-4½) O (41) 9/26 at Penn St W W (+9½) U (40½) 10/3 ARKANSAS ST W L (-21) U (45½) 10/10 MICHIGAN W L (-9½) O (47) 10/17 at Wisconsin W W (+1½) U (46½) 10/24 at Michigan St W W (+2) U (43) 10/31 INDIANA W W (-17) O (47) 11/7 NORTHWESTERN L L (-15) U (45) 11/14 at Ohio St L W (+16½) O (38) 11/21 MINNESOTA W 12-0 L (-12½) U (43) 1/5 vs Georgia Tech W W (+6) U (51) big ten michigan STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % vs Alabama AIR FORCE MASSACHUSETTS at Notre Dame at Purdue ILLINOIS MICHIGAN ST at Nebraska at Minnesota NORTHWESTERN IOWA at Ohio St 9/5 W MICHIGAN W 31-7 W (-13) U (53½) 2 NOTRE DAME W W (+3) O (46½) 9 E MICHIGAN W W (-24) O (54½) 9/26 INDIANA W L (-18½) O (53½) 10/3 at Michigan St L L (+4) U (54) 10/10 at Iowa L W (+9½) O (47) 10/17 DELAWARE ST W 63-6 W (-39½) 10/24 PENN ST L L (+3½) U (48) 10/31 at Illinois L L (-7) U (53½) 11/7 PURDUE L L (-7) O (51½) 11/14 at Wisconsin L L (+8) O (54½) 11/21 OHIO ST L L (+10½) U (48) 9/4 E ILLINOIS W 37-7 L (-40) 1 IOWA ST W 35-7 W (-13) U (45½) 8 at Arizona L L (+2½) O (45) 9/25 BALL ST W 45-0 W (-28) U (45½) 10/2 PENN ST W 24-3 W (-7½) U (40) 10/16 at Michigan W W (-3½) O (53½) 10/23 WISCONSIN L L (-6) O (46) 10/30 MICHIGAN ST W 37-6 W (-6½) U (49½) 11/6 at Indiana W L (-18½) U (53½) 11/13 at Northwestern L L (-10) U (49½) 11/20 OHIO ST L P (+3) U (47) 11/27 at Minnesota L L (-14) U (51½) 12/28 vs Missouri W W (+3) O (46) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 CONNECTICUT W W (-3) U (51½) 1 at Notre Dame W W (+3½) U (53½) 8 MASSACHUSETTS W L (-29) 9/25 BOWLING GREEN W W (-25½) O (56) 10/2 at Indiana W L (-10) O (65) 10/9 MICHIGAN ST L L (-5) U (65½) 10/16 IOWA L L (+3½) O (53½) 10/30 at Penn St L L (-3) O (54) 11/6 ILLINOIS W L (-2½) O (58) 11/13 at Purdue W L (-12½) U (60) 11/20 WISCONSIN L L (+3½) O (69) 11/27 at Ohio St L 7-37 L (+17) U (65½) 1/1 vs Mississippi St L L (+3) O (61½) StatFox Power Rating: 40 (#49 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.6 (#65 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (58th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (66th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +3.7 (#55 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 TENNESSEE TECH W 34-7 L (-35½) 0 at Iowa St L L (-6½) O (44) 7 PITTSBURGH W W (-2½) O (50) 9/24 LA MONROE W W (-17) O (49½) 10/8 at Penn St L 3-13 L (+4) U (45) 10/15 NORTHWESTERN W W (-6) O (55½) 10/22 INDIANA W L (-23) O (55) 10/29 at Minnesota L L (-15) U (53) 11/5 MICHIGAN W W (+3½) U (58) 11/12 MICHIGAN ST L L (+2½) O (46½) 11/19 at Purdue W W (-1½) O (49) 11/25 at Nebraska L 7-20 L (+9) U (54) 12/30 vs Oklahoma L L (+13½) U (58) StatFox Power Rating: 48 (#19 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 15.7 (#12 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (32nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (24th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#13 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 8 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 W MICHIGAN W W (-14) U (58½) 0 NOTRE DAME W W (+3½) O (58) 7 E MICHIGAN W 31-3 L (-30½) U (62½) 9/24 SAN DIEGO ST W 28-7 W (-10) U (57) 10/1 MINNESOTA W 58-0 W (-21) O (54) 10/8 at Northwestern W W (-7½) O (60) 10/15 at Michigan St L L (+3) U (47) 10/29 PURDUE W W (-14) U (53½) 11/5 at Iowa L L (-3½) U (58) 11/12 at Illinois W W (-1) U (48) 11/19 NEBRASKA W W (-4½) O (52) 11/26 OHIO ST W L (-9) O (45½) 1/3 vs Virginia Tech W P (-3) U (52) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

72 big ten michigan state StatFox Power Rating: 50 (#16 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 13.4 (#16 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (47th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (34th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#17 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 7 8/31 BOISE ST at C Michigan NOTRE DAME E MICHIGAN OHIO ST at Indiana IOWA at Michigan at Wisconsin NEBRASKA NORTHWESTERN at Minnesota 9/5 MONTANA ST W C MICHIGAN L L (-15) O (50) 9 at Notre Dame L W (+10½) O (54) 9/26 at Wisconsin L L (+1½) O (52½) 10/3 MICHIGAN W W (-4) U (54) 10/10 at Illinois W W (-4) U (55) 10/17 NORTHWESTERN W L (-14) U (48½) 10/24 IOWA L L (-2) U (43) 10/31 at Minnesota L L (-3½) O (45½) 11/7 W MICHIGAN W W (-20½) O (55½) 11/14 at Purdue W P (-3) O (53) 11/21 PENN ST L L (+3) O (50½) 1/2 vs Texas Tech L L (+9½) O (60) big ten minnesota 72 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 8/30 at UNLV NEW HAMPSHIRE W MICHIGAN SYRACUSE at Iowa NORTHWESTERN at Wisconsin PURDUE MICHIGAN at Illinois at Nebraska MICHIGAN ST 9/5 at Syracuse W L (-7) U (47) 2 AIR FORCE W W (-3) U (49½) 9 CALIFORNIA L L (+13½) O (52½) 9/26 at Northwestern W W (-1) O (49½) 10/3 WISCONSIN L L (-2½) O (51½) 10/10 PURDUE W W (-3) O (51½) 10/17 at Penn St L 0-20 L (+17) U (44) 10/24 at Ohio St L 7-38 L (+17) O (41½) 10/31 MICHIGAN ST W W (+3½) O (45½) 11/7 ILLINOIS L L (-6) O (54) 11/14 S DAKOTA ST W L (-17) 11/21 at Iowa L 0-12 W (+12½) U (43) 12/31 vs Iowa St L L (-1½) U (47) 9/4 W MICHIGAN W W (-22½) O (51) 1 vs FLA Atlantic W L (-26½) U (56) 8 NOTRE DAME W L (-3½) O (53½) 9/25 N COLORADO W 45-7 W (-34) 10/2 WISCONSIN W W (+2½) O (54½) 10/9 at Michigan W W (+5) U (65½) 10/16 ILLINOIS W 26-6 W (-6½) U (48½) 10/23 at Northwestern W W (-4½) O (51) 10/30 at Iowa L 6-37 L (+6½) U (49½) 11/6 MINNESOTA W 31-8 L (-24) U (59) 11/20 PURDUE W L (-20½) O (51) 11/27 at Penn St W W (-1) U (51) 1/1 vs Alabama L 7-49 L (+7½) O (50½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 at Middle Tenn st W W (-1) U (49) 1 S DAKOTA L L (-29½) 8 USC L P (+11) U (55) 9/25 N ILLINOIS L L (-4) O (49½) 10/2 NORTHWESTERN L W (+4½) O (54) 10/9 at Wisconsin L W (+21½) O (58) 10/16 at Purdue L L (+6) U (50) 10/23 PENN ST L L (+8½) O (48½) 10/30 OHIO ST L L (+25) O (55) 11/6 at Michigan St L 8-31 W (+24) U (59) 11/13 at Illinois W W (+21) O (52½) 11/27 IOWA W W (+14) U (51½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /2 YOUNGSTOWN ST W 28-6 L (-34½) U (62) 0 FLA ATLANTIC W 44-0 W (-31) U (49½) 7 at Notre Dame L L (+6) U (51½) 9/24 C MICHIGAN W 45-7 W (-21½) O (49) 10/1 at Ohio St W 10-7 W (+3) U (42) 10/15 MICHIGAN W W (-3) U (47) 10/22 WISCONSIN W W (+7) O (50½) 10/29 at Nebraska L 3-24 L (+4½) U (51) 11/5 MINNESOTA W L (-27½) O (47½) 11/12 at Iowa W W (-2½) O (46½) 11/19 INDIANA W 55-3 W (-27) O (53) 11/26 at Northwestern W W (-5½) U (53) 12/3 vs Wisconsin L W (+9½) O (56) 1/2 vs Georgia W W (+2) O (48) StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#88 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -9.1 (#103 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (39th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (48th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#108 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at USC L W (+24) U (51) 0 NEW MEXICO ST L L (-22½) U (52½) 7 MIAMI OHIO W W (-4) O (43½) 9/24 N DAKOTA ST L L (-9) O (48½) 10/1 at Michigan L 0-58 L (+21) O (54) 10/8 at Purdue L L (+13½) O (48) 10/22 NEBRASKA L L (+24) U (58) 10/29 IOWA W W (+15) U (53) 11/5 at Michigan St L W (+27½) O (47½) 11/12 WISCONSIN L W (+29½) U (64) 11/19 at Northwestern L W (+16½) U (58) 11/26 ILLINOIS W 27-7 W (+10) U (44)

73 big ten nebraska 11/23 SOUTHERN MISS at UCLA ARKANSAS ST IDAHO ST WISCONSIN at Ohio St at Northwestern MICHIGAN at Michigan St PENN ST MINNESOTA at Iowa 9/5 FLA ATLANTIC W 49-3 W (-23) U (60½) 2 ARKANSAS ST W 38-9 W (-21½) U (52) 9 at Virginia Tech L W (+5½) U (51) 9/26 LA LAFAYETTE W 55-0 W (-30½) O (54) 10/8 at Missouri W W (-3½) U (49½) 10/17 TEXAS TECH L L (-10½) U (58½) 10/24 IOWA ST L 7-9 L (-20) U (52) 10/31 at Baylor W L (-13½) U (46) 11/7 OKLAHOMA W 10-3 W (+4½) U (41) 11/14 at Kansas W W (-4) O (45½) 11/21 KANSAS ST W 17-3 L (-15½) U (44) 11/27 at Colorado W L (-10) O (41) 12/5 vs Texas L W (+14) U (46½) 12/30 vs Arizona W 33-0 W (-2) U (42) big ten STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % northwestern at Syracuse VANDERBILT BOSTON COLLEGE S DAKOTA INDIANA at Penn St at Minnesota NEBRASKA IOWA at Michigan at Michigan St ILLINOIS 9/5 TOWSON W E MICHIGAN W L (-22) U (51½) 9 at Syracuse L L (-1½) O (45½) 9/26 MINNESOTA L L (+1) O (49½) 10/3 at Purdue W W (+7) U (56½) 10/10 MIAMI OHIO W 16-6 L (-17) U (55½) 10/17 at Michigan St L W (+14) U (48½) 10/24 INDIANA W L (-4½) O (53) 10/31 PENN ST L L (+17) P (47) 11/7 at Iowa W W (+15) U (45) 11/14 at Illinois W W (+6½) U (50½) 11/21 WISCONSIN W W (+7) O (49) 1/1 vs Auburn L W (+9) O (54½) 9/4 W KENTUCKY W L (-39½) O (52) 1 IDAHO W L (-27½) O (53½) 8 at Washington W W (-2½) O (51) 9/25 S DAKOTA ST W 17-3 L (-42½) 10/7 at Kansas St W W (-10½) O (47) 10/16 TEXAS L L (-10) U (45½) 10/23 at Oklahoma St W W (-6) O (57½) 10/30 MISSOURI W W (-8) U (54½) 11/6 at Iowa St W L (-15½) O (54½) 11/13 KANSAS W 20-3 L (-33½) U (60½) 11/20 at Texas A&M L 6-9 L (-2) U (55½) 11/26 COLORADO W W (-18) O (48½) 12/4 vs Oklahoma L W (+4½) U (52) 12/30 vs Washington L 7-19 L (-12) U (55) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Vanderbilt W L (-3) O (41) 1 ILLINOIS ST W 37-3 W (-24½) 8 at Rice W W (-6½) U (54½) 9/25 C MICHIGAN W L (-6½) O (51) 10/2 at Minnesota W L (-4½) O (54) 10/9 PURDUE L L (-8) U (48½) 10/23 MICHIGAN ST L L (+4½) O (51) 10/30 at Indiana W L (-3½) U (58½) 11/6 at Penn St L L (+6½) O (50) 11/13 IOWA W W (+10) U (49½) 11/20 vs Illinois L L (+8) O (49) 11/27 at Wisconsin L L (+23½) O (57½) 1/1 vs Texas Tech L W (+8) O (63) StatFox Power Rating: 43 (#34 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 6.0 (#44 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (36th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (27th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.8 (#41 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 CHATTANOOGA W 40-7 L (-38) 0 FRESNO ST W L (-28) O (53) 7 WASHINGTON W L (-17½) O (53½) 9/24 at Wyoming W W (-20½) U (56) 10/1 at Wisconsin L L (+9½) O (55½) 10/8 OHIO ST W L (-10) O (44) 10/22 at Minnesota W W (-24) U (58) 10/29 MICHIGAN ST W 24-3 W (-4½) U (51) 11/5 NORTHWESTERN L L (-17½) U (63) 11/12 at Penn St W P (-3) U (43) 11/19 at Michigan L L (+4½) O (52) 11/25 IOWA W 20-7 W (-9) U (54) 1/2 vs S Carolina L L (+3) U (45) StatFox Power Rating: 36 (#64 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 0.5 (#68 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (64th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (54th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +1.2 (#66 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Boston College W W (+5) U (44½) 0 E ILLINOIS W L (-33) O (53½) 7 at Army L L (-5½) U (54) 10/1 at Illinois L W (+9½) O (54½) 10/8 MICHIGAN L L (+7½) O (60) 10/15 at Iowa L L (+6) O (55½) 10/22 PENN ST L L (+4) O (47) 10/29 at Indiana W W (-8½) O (63) 11/5 at Nebraska W W (+17½) U (63) 11/12 RICE W 28-6 W (-16½) U (69½) 11/19 MINNESOTA W L (-16½) U (58) 11/26 MICHIGAN ST L L (+5½) U (53) 12/31 vs Texas A&M L L (+9½) U (68½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

74 big ten ohio state StatFox Power Rating: 44 (#30 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.8 (#57 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (32nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (31st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +3.5 (#56 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 MIAMI OHIO UCF CALIFORNIA UAB at Michigan St NEBRASKA at Indiana PURDUE at Penn St ILLINOIS at Wisconsin MICHIGAN 9/5 NAVY W L (-22) O (46½) 2 USC L W (+7) U (45½) 9 vs Toledo W 38-0 W (-22½) U (58½) 9/26 ILLINOIS W 30-0 W (-14) U (50) 10/3 at Indiana W W (-17½) P (47) 10/10 WISCONSIN W W (-14) U (46) 10/17 at Purdue L L (-13) P (44) 10/24 MINNESOTA W 38-7 W (-17) O (41½) 10/31 NEW MEXICO ST W 45-0 W (-44) U (48½) 11/7 at Penn St W 24-7 W (+5) U (41½) 11/14 IOWA W L (-16½) O (38) 11/21 at Michigan W W (-10½) U (48) 1/1 vs Oregon W W (+4½) U (51) big ten penn state 74 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % OHIO U at Virginia NAVY TEMPLE at Illinois NORTHWESTERN at Iowa OHIO ST at Purdue at Nebraska INDIANA WISCONSIN 9/5 AKRON W 31-7 L (-29½) U (59) 2 SYRACUSE W 28-7 L (-29½) U (51) 9 TEMPLE W 31-6 L (-29½) U (48) 9/26 IOWA L L (-9½) U (40½) 10/3 at Illinois W W (-8) O (48) 10/10 E ILLINOIS W 52-3 W (-39½) 10/17 MINNESOTA W 20-0 W (-17) U (44) 10/24 at Michigan W W (-3½) U (48) 10/31 at Northwestern W W (-17) P (47) 11/7 OHIO ST L 7-24 L (-5) U (41½) 11/14 INDIANA W L (-24) U (55½) 11/21 at Michigan St W W (-3) O (50½) 1/1 vs LSU W W (+2) U (40) 9/2 MARSHALL W 45-7 W (-28) O (47) 1 MIAMI W W (-9) O (47) 8 OHIO U W 43-7 W (-29½) O (45) 9/25 E MICHIGAN W W (-43½) O (58) 10/2 at Illinois W L (-15½) U (48½) 10/9 INDIANA W W (-24½) U (59½) 10/16 at Wisconsin L L (-4) O (48½) 10/23 PURDUE W 49-0 W (-23) O (47) 10/30 at Minnesota W W (-25) O (55) 11/13 PENN ST W W (-20) O (49½) 11/20 at Iowa W P (-3) U (47) 11/27 MICHIGAN W 37-7 W (-17) U (65½) 1/4 vs Arkansas W W (-3) U (57½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 YOUNGSTOWN ST W L (-38½) 1 at Alabama L 3-24 L (+14) U (43) 8 KENT ST W 24-0 W (-21) U (45) 9/25 TEMPLE W L (-13½) U (43½) 10/2 at Iowa L 3-24 L (+7½) U (40) 10/9 ILLINOIS L L (-9) O (42) 10/23 at Minnesota W W (-8½) O (48½) 10/30 MICHIGAN W W (+3) O (54) 11/6 NORTHWESTERN W W (-6½) O (50) 11/13 at Ohio St L L (+20) O (49½) 11/20 vs Indiana W W (-10) O (58) 11/27 MICHIGAN ST L L (+1) U (51) 1/1 vs Florida L L (+7) O (47½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 AKRON W 42-0 W (-31) U (46) 0 TOLEDO W L (-17½) U (53) 7 at Miami L 6-24 L (+2½) U (46) 9/24 COLORADO W W (-15) O (47½) 10/1 MICHIGAN ST L 7-10 L (-3) U (42) 10/8 at Nebraska L W (+10) O (44) 10/15 at Illinois W 17-7 W (+3) U (44½) 10/29 WISCONSIN W W (+8) O (48) 11/5 INDIANA W L (-27) O (51½) 11/12 at Purdue L L (-7½) O (44½) 11/19 PENN ST L L (-6) U (37½) 11/26 at Michigan L W (+9) O (45½) 1/2 vs Florida L L (+2½) U (44) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 6.1 (#43 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (38th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (41st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +2.5 (#61 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 INDIANA ST W 41-7 L (-37½) 0 ALABAMA L L (+10½) U (41½) 7 at Temple W L (-7) U (46) 9/24 E MICHIGAN W 34-6 P (-28) U (46½) 10/1 at Indiana W L (-13½) U (49½) 10/8 IOWA W 13-3 W (-4) U (45) 10/15 PURDUE W L (-12) P (41) 10/22 at Northwestern W W (-4) O (47) 10/29 ILLINOIS W 10-7 L (-4½) U (38½) 11/12 NEBRASKA L P (+3) U (43) 11/19 at Ohio St W W (+6) U (37½) 11/26 at Wisconsin L 7-45 L (+17) O (49) 1/2 vs Houston L L (+6½) U (56)

75 big ten PURDUE E KENTUCKY at Notre Dame E MICHIGAN MARSHALL MICHIGAN WISCONSIN at Ohio St at Minnesota PENN ST at Iowa at Illinois INDIANA 9/5 TOLEDO W W (-10) O (47½) 2 at Oregon L W (+13) O (57½) 9 N ILLINOIS L L (-12) U (52½) 9/26 NOTRE DAME L W (+6) U (59) 10/3 NORTHWESTERN L L (-7) U (56½) 10/10 at Minnesota L L (+3) O (51½) 10/17 OHIO ST W W (+13) P (44) 10/24 ILLINOIS W P (-10) U (55) 10/31 at Wisconsin L 0-37 L (+7) U (53) 11/7 at Michigan W W (+7) O (51½) 11/14 MICHIGAN ST L P (+3) O (53) 11/21 at Indiana W W (-3) P (59) big ten WISCONSIN STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % N IOWA at Oregon St UTAH ST UTEP at Nebraska ILLINOIS at Purdue MINNESOTA MICHIGAN ST at Indiana OHIO ST at Penn St 9/5 N ILLINOIS W L (-16½) U (49½) 2 FRESNO ST W L (-7½) O (51½) 9 WOFFORD W W (-21½) 9/26 MICHIGAN ST W W (-1½) O (52½) 10/3 at Minnesota W W (+2½) O (51½) 10/10 at Ohio St L L (+14) U (46) 10/17 IOWA L L (-1½) U (46½) 10/31 PURDUE W 37-0 W (-7) U (53) 11/7 at Indiana W L (-13½) O (54) 11/14 MICHIGAN W W (-8) O (54½) 11/21 at Northwestern L L (-7) O (49) 12/5 at Hawaii W W (-12) O (59) 12/29 vs Miami W W (+3½) U (55½) 9/4 at Notre Dame L P (+11) U (54) 1 W ILLINOIS W L (-28½) 8 BALL ST W L (-16) U (47½) 9/25 TOLEDO L L (-11) O (49) 10/9 at Northwestern W W (+8) U (48½) 10/16 MINNESOTA W W (-6) U (50) 10/23 at Ohio St L 0-49 L (+23) O (47) 10/30 at Illinois L L (+16½) O (42) 11/6 WISCONSIN L L (+20) U (49) 11/13 MICHIGAN L W (+12½) U (60) 11/20 at Michigan St L W (+20½) O (51) 11/27 INDIANA L L (-4) O (54) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at UNLV W L (-20½) O (55) 1 SAN JOSE ST W L (-39) U (53½) 8 ARIZONA ST W L (-11) U (49) 9/25 AUSTIN PEAY W 70-3 W (-45) 10/2 at Michigan St L L (-2½) O (54½) 10/9 MINNESOTA W L (-21½) O (58) 10/16 OHIO ST W W (+4) O (48½) 10/23 at Iowa W W (+6) O (46) 11/6 at Purdue W W (-20) U (49) 11/13 INDIANA W W (-22½) O (57) 11/20 at Michigan W W (-3½) O (69) 11/27 NORTHWESTERN W W (-23½) O (57½) 1/1 vs TCU L W (+3½) U (54½) StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#69 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.6 (#67 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (70th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (56th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +0.1 (#68 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 MIDDLE TENN ST W L (-15) O (47½) 0 at Rice L L (-2½) U (54) 7 SE MISSOURI ST W 59-0 W (-27½) O (47) 10/1 NOTRE DAME L L (+12) P (48) 10/8 MINNESOTA W W (-13½) O (48) 10/15 at Penn St L W (+12) P (41) 10/22 ILLINOIS W W (+3) U (49) 10/29 at Michigan L L (+14) U (53½) 11/5 at Wisconsin L L (+27½) O (59) 11/12 OHIO ST W W (+7½) O (44½) 11/19 IOWA L L (+1½) O (49) 11/26 at Indiana W L (-8½) O (57½) 12/27 vs W Michigan W W (-1½) O (62½) StatFox Power Rating: 61 (#5 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 25.4 (#4 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (51st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (70th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#4 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 10 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways UNLV W L (-36) O (56) 0 OREGON ST W 35-0 W (-20) U (56½) 7 vs N Illinois W 49-7 W (-16) U (65) 9/24 S DAKOTA W W (-46) O (59½) 10/1 NEBRASKA W W (-9½) O (55½) 10/15 INDIANA W 59-7 W (-38) O (62) 10/22 at Michigan St L L (-7) O (50½) 10/29 at Ohio St L L (-8) O (48) 11/5 PURDUE W W (-27½) O (59) 11/12 at Minnesota W L (-29½) U (64) 11/19 at Illinois W L (-14½) U (51) 11/26 PENN ST W 45-7 W (-17) O (49) 12/3 vs Michigan St W L (-9½) O (56) 1/2 vs Oregon L L (+4) O (74) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

76 Conference USA PREDICTED FINISH EAST DIVISION WEST DIVISION 1. Central Florida 1. Tulsa 2. Southern Miss 2. Houston 3. Marshall 3. SMU 4. East Carolina 4. UTEP 5. UAB 5. Rice 6. Memphis 6. Tulane Alabama-Birmingham Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 4 New Head Coach: Garrick McGee UAB enters the season with a new head coach in Garrick McGee, who learned how to run the offense under Bobby Petrino. McGee, who replaces Neil Callaway, has a great offensive mind and both he and offensive coordinator Jeff Brohm should be able to make the most out of QB Jonathan Perry (2,042 pass yds, 10 TD, 8 INT). Perry had a rocky start to his freshman year for the Blazers, but played much better down the stretch with 7 TD and 1 INT in his final three games. The offensive line has lost four starters, so McGee s toughest job will be finding somebody to block for his QB. The Blazers have the talent and depth at WR and RB to do damage in the C-USA. Defensively, this team will be getting back impact players at the linebacker position and on the defensive line, where they struggled a year ago with the fewest sacks in FBS (eight). An improvement will really help the secondary, which lacks experience. Central Florida Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Sophomore QB Blake Borles will start under center for UCF in 2012 after a superb finish to his 2011 freshman campaign (6 TD, 3 INT, 68.2% completions). Receivers Quincy McDuffie and Josh Reese are also looking to build upon impressive freshman years to make this offense something truly special. The Knights should have an excellent running game this season with Brynn Harvey (2,202 rush yds, 18 TD in career) and Latavius Murray (233 rush yds vs. UTEP) operating behind a solid offensive line. On the other side of the ball, eight starters are coming back on a defense that showed signs of dominance last year (18.3 PPG, 303 YPG, both 9th in FBS), before being offset by injuries. If this team can stay healthy and get consistent play from its linebackers, its defense is good enough to get this team to the conference championship game. East Carolina OOffense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Pirates will be a much different team than they have been in past years with the departure of QB Dominique Davis, who threw for 7,192 yards and 62 TD in two seasons. Junior Rio Johnson (20-for-29, 157 yds, 1 INT in career) will take over under center for Ruffin McNeill s pass-heavy offense. This team is loaded with talent at the WR position, led by Justin Hardy (658 rec yds, 6 TD) and WR/TE Justin Jones (3 TD in season finale). RB Torrance Hunt (489 rush yds) will likely get the bulk of carries. On the defensive side of the ball, this team is getting playmakers back in its front seven, as well as the linebacking corps. C-USA Freshman of the Year middle linebacker Jeremy Grove (45 solo tackles, 77 assists) is the anchor of the unit. The defense will be a strong suit for East Carolina while the offense s job will dramatically shift from airing out the football to cutting down mistakes after having the 2nd-worst turnover margin in FBS. Houston Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 7 New Head Coach: Tony Levine New head coach Tony Levine inherits a team without QB Case Keenum and most of the skill positions from the successful 2011 Cougars team. But QB David Piland is ready to fill Keenum s record-breaking cleats, throwing for 2,641 yards and 24 TD in eight games in 2010 when Keenum was injured. Piland will lead the Air Raid offense that dictates the Cougars tossing the ball down the field nearly every possession. Leading rusher Charles Sims (821 rush yds, 7.5 YPC, 9 TD; 575 rec yds, 4 TD) returns behind an experienced o-line, but all of the receiving weapons Keenum had last year are gone. Defensively, Houston was a solid team last year, allowing just 22.4 PPG, and now they switch back to a 4-3 with new defensive coordinator Brian Stewart. They will be keeping most of this unit intact, including a group of dynamic linebackers. The Cougars strength will be in the middle of the field with their linebackers, but the secondary is also strong and experienced, led by senior CB D.J. Hayden (66 tackles, 11 PD, 5 FF). Marshall Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 5 The Thundering Herd will be a more exciting offense to watch this upcoming season. QB Rakeem Cato is returning after a solid freshman campaign (2,059 pass yds, 15 TD, 11 INT) and back with him is his super talented RB duo of Tron Martinez (649 rush yds, 3 TD) and Travon Van (551 rush yds, 3 TD), as well as NFL prospect WR Aaron Dobson (668 rec yds, 12 TD). The offensive line should stand tall, returning three starters and adding JuCo LT Gage Niemeyer who looked great in the spring. Defensively, Marshall loses its best pass rusher (Vinny Curry), but the secondary gets a boost from S D.J. Hunter returning from a knee injury and Boston College transfers Dominick LeGrande and Okechukwu Okorha contributing. With all this DB depth, Devin Arrington moves back to his linebacker position to give this unit more speed. 76 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

77 Memphis Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 7 New Head Coach: Justin Fuente New head coach Justin Fuente will run his up-tempo offense through QB Jacob Karam, a transfer from Texas Tech. Karam s No. 1 target will be sophomore WR Kevin Wright (36 rec, 398 yds), who is an athletic specimen at 6-foot-4 and 215 pounds. The broken running game from last season will again lean on the oft-injured Jerrell Rhodes (152 yds, 2 TD in 3 games). Defensively, this team can t get much worse (491 YPG, 4th-most in FBS) despite the loss of first-round NFL draft pick DT Dontari Poe. The front seven performed very well this spring and shows signs of being a better run-stopping unit, and hopefully eclipsing 14 sacks from last year. Most of the secondary is back from last year s unit that finished dead last in the nation in passing yards allowed (299.4 YPG). Rice Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 5 Since going 10-3 in 2008, the Owls are a combined in the past three years. For them to get back to respectability, junior QB Taylor McHargue (1,072 pass yds, 8 TD, 5 INT) needs to play better. He does have weapons in WR Vance McDonald (532 rec yds, 5 TD) and TE Luke Wilson (313 yds, 3 TD), both of whom are legitimate targets. Rice will also get back playmaking RB/WR Sam McGuffie after his season was cut short by an ankle injury. On defense, two stars return in CB Bryce Callahan (6 INT) and LB Cameron Nwosu (108 tackles). Outside of those two, Rice is full of young, inexperienced players. Former CB coach Chris Thurmond will take over as defensive coordinator after a year in which the secondary allowed 279 passing YPG (9th-most in FBS). SMU Offense: Starters returning - 3 Defense: Starters returning - 6 SMU s success this season rests upon the shoulders of Texas outcast Garrett Gilbert, who was once considered a phenomenal QB prospect, but struggled in Big 12 play (13 TD, 23 INT). Gilbert s will get help from RB Zach Line, who has rushed for 2,718 yards and 27 TD in his past two seasons, and star wideout in Darius Johnson (1,118 rec yds, 8 TD). June Jones may finally have the players to perfect his run- n -shoot offense. The Mustangs will be returning six starters from a defensive unit that was second in C-USA last season (340 total YPG). They get back all of their linebackers, but must replace two talented defensive ends. The secondary will return a decent number of reliable starters, including CB Kenneth Acker (49 solo tackles, 4 PD) and S Ryan Smith (65 tackles, 4 PD). Southern Mississippi Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 5 New Head Coach: Ellis Johnson Whoever emerges between QBs Chris Campbell and Ricky Lloyd will have the chance to play behind a strong offensive line that will start four seniors. Desmond Johnson (5.7 YPC) is the guy who looks to get the most touches at tailback this season with the versatile Jeremy Hester also getting some carries. The strength of the Golden Eagles could be a wide receiving corps that includes the speedy and undersized Tracy Lampley (1,037 total yards, 7 total TD) and 6-foot-4 converted TE Markese Triplett. Former Memphis head man Tommy West takes over as defensive coordinator and has some talent on the defensive line and secondary. Southern Miss will have to rely on green players at the linebacker positions to round out a defense that could be strong again (20.8 PPG, 26th in nation). Tulane Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 8 New Head Coach: Curtis Johnson The good news for new Tulane head coach Curtis Johnson is that he will get back most of his starters to help erase the sting of losing their final 10 games. The offensive line is a question mark this season, but if they can block, this Tulane team will be solid offensively. Johnson loves QB Ryan Griffin (2,502 pass yds, 13 TD, 10 INT), and expects much bigger things from him. The Green Wave will also get back their star RB, Orleans Darkwa (924 rush yds, 13 TD). The offense looks promising, but it will mean nothing if their defense doesn t improve drastically after letting up 37.5 PPG (6th-most in FBS) and 410 total YPG. A lot of individually skilled players are back on defense, it s just a matter of when or if they come together. LB Trent Mackey (145 tackles) is a monster within an improving linebacking corps and the secondary should also be better with experience. Texas-El Paso Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 4 Head coach Mike Price needs to deliver a winning season in The pressure will be on QB Nick Lamaison (1,718 pass yds, 12 TD, 10 INT) who was derailed by a few injuries. This year he ll get back his two top targets in WRs Mike Edwards (657 rec yds, 3 TD) and Jordan Leslie (430 rec yds, 2 TD). RB Nathan Jeffery averaged 6.4 YPC last season and shows a lot of promise, especially with four starting OLs returning. The Miners defense struggled last year, allowing 442 YPG (104th in nation) and 49+ points three times. But the defensive line returns three quality starters and their linebackers will get a boost from Jamie Irving, who missed last season with shoulder injuries. The secondary could also be better with CB Drew Thomas (42 tackles, 5 PD) and S DeShawn Grayson (67 tackles, 2 INT) returning. Tulsa Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Tulsa is looking to repeat the success of last year s team despite losing QB G.J. Kinne. This year, the guy under center looks to be 6-foot-4, 247- pound Cody Green, who transferred from Nebraska. He ll have WR Bryan Burnham (850 rec yds) to throw to. RBs Trey Watts and Ja Terian Douglas, both of whom rushed for over 800 yards last season, will also make Green s job easier. However, the O-line lost three starters and lacks depth. The defense looks to be very promising in 2012 as they get back a few starters in every unit. This includes S Dexter McCoil (13 INT in career). They have a lot of speed on their defense, so it ll be very tough to move the ball on the Golden Hurricane, especially in a conference full of uncertainty at the quarterback position. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

78 CONFERENCE USA ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM StatFox Power Rating: 20 (#105 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#113 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (79th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (75th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#113 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 TROY at S Carolina at Ohio St TULSA SE LOUISIANA at Houston E CAROLINA at Tulane at Southern Miss MARSHALL MEMPHIS at UCF 9/5 RICE W W (-6) O (60) 2 SMU L L (-11) O (59½) 9 at Troy L L (+6½) U (59½) 9/26 at Texas A&M L L (+15) O (64½) 10/1 SOUTHERN MISS W W (+10) U (58½) 10/17 at Ole Miss L L (+23) O (55) 10/24 at Marshall L 7-27 L (+7) U (51½) 10/31 at UTEP W W (+7½) O (63½) 11/7 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-7) O (63½) 11/14 at Memphis W W (-1) U (64) 11/21 at E Carolina L L (+14½) O (56½) 11/28 UCF L L (+3) O (52½) CONFERENCE USA 78 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % CENTRAL FLORIDA 8/30 10/4 at Akron at Ohio St FLA INTERNATIONAL MISSOURI E CAROLINA SOUTHERN MISS at Memphis at Marshall SMU at UTEP at Tulsa UAB 9/5 SAMFORD W at Southern Miss L W (+15½) U (50½) 9 BUFFALO W W (-5) U (46½) 9/26 at E Carolina L W (+9) U (43½) 10/3 MEMPHIS W W (-7) P (46) 10/17 MIAMI L 7-27 L (+12½) U (46½) 10/24 at Rice W 49-7 W (-10) O (51) 11/1 MARSHALL W L (-7) U (43) 11/7 at Texas L 3-35 W (+35½) U (47) 11/14 HOUSTON W W (+3½) O (67½) 11/21 TULANE W 49-0 W (-22½) O (47) 11/28 at UAB W W (-3) O (52½) 12/19 vs Rutgers L L (+2½) O (45) 9/2 FLA ATLANTIC L L (-14) O (50) 1 at SMU L 7-28 L (+11) U (55) 8 TROY W W (+3½) O (58) 9/25 at Tennessee L W (+14) O (51½) at UCF L 7-42 L (+11½) O (47½) 10/16 UTEP W 21-6 W (-3) U (59½) 10/23 at Mississippi St L W (+19½) U (53½) 10/30 at Southern Miss W W (+10) O (56) 11/6 MARSHALL L L (-10½) U (53) 11/11 E CAROLINA L L (-1) O (68½) 11/20 MEMPHIS W L (-20) U (57½) 11/27 at Rice L L (-3) U (68) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 S DAKOTA W 38-7 W (-26½) 1 NC STATE L L (-3) U (52) 8 at Buffalo W W (-7½) U (47½) 9/25 at Kansas St L W (+6½) U (46) UAB W 42-7 W (-11½) O (47½) at Marshall W W (-6½) O (45½) 10/23 RICE W W (-24) O (52) 10/30 E CAROLINA W W (-8½) O (53½) 11/5 at Houston W W (-2) O (63½) 11/13 SOUTHERN MISS L L (-10½) U (54½) 11/20 at Tulane W W (-18½) O (54) 11/27 at Memphis W L (-26½) U (56) 12/4 SMU W 17-7 W (-8) U (56) 12/31 vs Georgia W 10-6 W (+7) U (53½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at Florida L 0-39 L (+24½) U (53½) 7 TULANE L L (-12) O (54) 9/24 at E Carolina L W (+17) U (65) 10/1 at Troy L W (+16) U (58½) 10/8 MISSISSIPPI ST L 3-21 W (+19½) U (51½) 10/15 at Tulsa L W (+21) U (58½) UCF W W (+17) O (45) 10/29 at Marshall L L (+5) O (52) 11/5 HOUSTON L L (+28) U (76) 11/12 at Memphis W W (-5) O (53½) SOUTHERN MISS W W (+24) O (61½) 11/26 at FLA Atlantic L L (-3½) O (50) StatFox Power Rating: 38 (#56 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 8.5 (#33 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (96th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (85th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.8 (#28 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 CHARLESTON SO W 62-0 W (-41) 0 BOSTON COLLEGE W 30-3 W (-7½) U (44½) 7 at FLA International L L (-6½) U (50) 9/23 at BYU L L (+1½) U (44) 10/8 MARSHALL W 16-6 L (-20) U (42) 10/15 at SMU L L (+3½) O (46½) at UAB L L (-17) O (45) 10/29 MEMPHIS W 41-0 W (-29½) U (48) TULSA L L (-2) U (49½) 11/12 at Southern Miss L W (+10) O (52) 11/19 at E Carolina L L (-7) O (51) 11/25 UTEP W W (-10½) U (53)

79 CONFERENCE USA EAST CAROLINA 10/4 11/23 APPALACHIAN ST at S Carolina at Southern Miss at N Carolina UTEP at UCF MEMPHIS at UAB NAVY HOUSTON at Tulane MARSHALL 9/5 APPALACHIAN ST W at W Virginia L L (+6) O (44) 9 at N Carolina L L (+8) O (43½) 9/26 UCF W L (-9) U (43½) 10/3 at Marshall W W (-1½) U (48) 10/10 at SMU L L (-4) U (53) 10/17 RICE W W (-18) O (56) at Memphis W W (-6) O (49) 11/5 VIRGINIA TECH L 3-16 L (+12½) U (51½) 11/15 at Tulsa W W (+4) O (51) 11/21 UAB W W (-14½) O (56½) 11/28 SOUTHERN MISS W L (-6) U (54½) 12/5 HOUSTON W W (+1) O (68½) 1/2 vs Arkansas L W (+7½) U (60) CONFERENCE USA HOUSTON STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % TEXAS ST UNIV LOUISIANA TECH at UCLA vs Rice NORTH TEXAS UAB at SMU UTEP at E Carolina TULSA at Marshall TULANE 9/5 NORTHWESTERN ST W at Oklahoma St W W (+16½) O (71) 9/26 TEXAS TECH W W (+2) U (75½) 10/3 at UTEP L L (-14) O (69½) 10/10 at Mississippi St W W (+3) U (68) 10/17 at Tulane W W (-17) U (68½) 10/24 SMU W W (-16) U (71) 10/31 SOUTHERN MISS W W (-6½) O (65) 11/7 at Tulsa W L (-2) O (70½) 11/14 at UCF L L (-3½) O (67½) 11/21 MEMPHIS W W (-23) U (74) 11/28 RICE W W (-30½) O (71½) 12/5 at E Carolina L L (-1) O (68½) 12/31 vs Air Force L L (-4½) O (65½) 9/5 TULSA W W (+7) O (56½) 1 MEMPHIS W W (-13½) O (56½) 8 at Virginia Tech L L (+19½) O (59½) 10/2 at N Carolina L L (+14½) U (61) 10/9 at Southern Miss W W (+8½) O (62½) 10/16 NC STATE W W (+7½) U (69½) 10/23 MARSHALL W W (-13) U (61) 10/30 at UCF L L (+8½) O (53½) 11/6 NAVY L L (-2½) O (64) 11/11 at UAB W W (+1) O (68½) 11/20 at Rice L L (-8) O (73½) 11/26 SMU L L (+1½) O (70) 12/29 vs Maryland L L (+8) O (70½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 TEXAS ST UNIV W W (-39½) 0 UTEP W W (-20½) O (75½) 8 at UCLA L L (-3½) U (66) 9/25 TULANE W W (-18½) O (57) 10/9 MISSISSIPPI ST L L (+4½) O (57) 10/16 at Rice L L (-9½) U (66) 10/23 at SMU W W (+8) O (61) 10/30 at Memphis W W (-14) O (59½) 11/5 UCF L L (+2) O (63½) 11/13 TULSA L L (-3) U (76½) 11/20 at Southern Miss L L (+3½) O (68) 11/27 at Texas Tech L L (+10) U (70½) StatFox Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -5.2 (#95 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (68th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: 30.5 (81st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -6 (#90 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs S Carolina L W (+21) O (59½) 0 VIRGINIA TECH L W (+17) U (64) 9/24 UAB W L (-17) U (65) 10/1 N CAROLINA L L (+6½) U (62) 10/8 at Houston L 3-56 L (+12) U (74) 10/15 at Memphis W W (-14) U (56½) 10/22 at Navy W W (+13) O (66½) 10/29 TULANE W W (-15½) U (59) 11/5 SOUTHERN MISS L L (+9½) O (59½) 11/12 at UTEP L W (+6) U (57½) 11/19 UCF W W (+7) O (51) 11/26 at Marshall L L (+1) O (55½) StatFox Power Rating: 53 (#11 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 27.6 (#3 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (99th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (101st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#1 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 UCLA W W (-1½) O (59½) 0 at North Texas W W (-20½) O (65) 7 at Louisiana Tech W L (-6) O (67) 9/24 GEORGIA ST W 56-0 W (-40½) U (70) at UTEP W L (-14½) O (64) 10/8 E CAROLINA W 56-3 W (-12) U (74) 10/22 MARSHALL W W (-24) O (62) RICE W W (-27) O (73½) 11/5 at UAB W W (-28) U (76) at Tulane W W (-33½) O (77½) 11/19 SMU W 37-7 W (-19½) U (75½) 11/25 at Tulsa W W (-2½) U (77) 12/3 SOUTHERN MISS L L (-12) O (73) 1/2 vs Penn St W W (-6½) U (56) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

80 CONFERENCE USA MARSHALL StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#88 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -2.5 (#83 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (55th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (74th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -6.8 (#93 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /23 at W Virginia W CAROLINA OHIO U at Rice at Purdue TULSA at Southern Miss UCF MEMPHIS at UAB HOUSTON at E Carolina 9/5 S ILLINOIS W at Virginia Tech L L (+20) O (44) 9 BOWLING GREEN W W (+3) U (52) 9/26 at Memphis W W (+3) U (49) 10/3 E CAROLINA L L (+1½) U (48) 10/10 at Tulane W W (-3) U (48) 10/17 at W Virginia L 7-24 W (+20) U (51½) 10/24 UAB W 27-7 W (-7) U (51½) 11/1 at UCF L W (+7) U (43) 11/14 SOUTHERN MISS L L (+3) U (51½) 11/21 SMU W L (-3½) O (48½) 11/28 at UTEP L L (+2) O (60) 12/26 vs Ohio U W W (+3) U (49) CONFERENCE USA MEMPHIS 80 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % TENN-MARTIN at Arkansas St MIDDLE TENN ST at Duke RICE at E Carolina UCF at SMU at Marshall TULANE at UAB SOUTHERN MISS 9/6 OLE MISS L L (+17½) O (55) 2 at Middle Tenn st L L (pk) U (53) 9 TENN-MARTIN W W (-19) 9/26 MARSHALL L L (-3) U (49) 10/3 at UCF L L (+7) P (46) 10/10 UTEP W W (+1) U (58) 10/17 at Southern Miss L L (+14½) U (54) E CAROLINA L L (+6) O (49) 11/7 at Tennessee L L (+25½) O (53) 11/14 UAB L L (+1) U (64) 11/21 at Houston L L (+23) U (74) 11/27 at Tulsa L W (+16) O (61) 9/2 at Ohio St L 7-45 L (+28) O (47) 0 W VIRGINIA L W (+12) U (46½) 8 at Bowling Green L L (-3½) O (50) 9/25 OHIO U W L (-6½) P (47) 10/2 at Southern Miss L L (+9) O (54) UCF L L (+6½) O (45½) 10/23 at E Carolina L L (+13) U (61) 10/30 UTEP W W (-2½) U (54) 11/6 at UAB W W (+10½) U (53) 11/13 MEMPHIS W L (-16) U (51) 11/20 at SMU L L (+13½) U (48½) 11/27 TULANE W W (-11) O (52½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Mississippi St L 7-49 L (+22) O (47) 1 at E Carolina L L (+13½) O (56½) 8 MIDDLE TENN ST W W (+5½) U (55½) 9/25 at UTEP L W (+12½) U (59½) 10/2 TULSA L 7-48 L (+8) U (62) 10/9 at Louisville L 0-56 L (+16½) O (51) 10/16 SOUTHERN MISS L L (+16½) O (53) 10/30 HOUSTON L L (+14) O (59½) 11/6 TENNESSEE L L (+20½) O (52) 11/13 at Marshall L W (+16) U (51) 11/20 at UAB L W (+20) U (57½) 11/27 UCF L W (+26½) U (56) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /4 at W Virginia L W (+21½) U (52½) 0 SOUTHERN MISS W W (+7½) U (53) 7 at Ohio U L 7-44 L (+5½) O (48) 9/24 VIRGINIA TECH L W (+20½) U (46) 10/1 at Louisville W W (+11) U (46½) 10/8 at UCF L 6-16 W (+20) U (42) 10/15 RICE W L (-5½) U (51½) 10/22 at Houston L L (+24) O (62) 10/29 UAB W W (-5) O (52) 11/12 at Tulsa L L (+19) O (52) at Memphis W L (-13½) U (50½) 11/26 E CAROLINA W W (-1) O (55½) 12/20 vs FLA International W W (+4) U (48½) StatFox Power Rating: 12 (#115 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#116 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (112nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (105th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#115 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 3 9 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways MISSISSIPPI ST L L (+31) O (50½) 0 at Arkansas St L 3-47 L (+18) U (55½) 7 AUSTIN PEAY W 27-6 W (-17) U (60½) 9/24 SMU L 0-42 L (+24) U (54) 10/1 at Middle Tenn st L W (+23) O (57) 10/8 at Rice L 6-28 L (+20½) U (58½) 10/15 E CAROLINA L L (+14) U (56½) 10/22 at Tulane W W (+13) U (54½) 10/29 at UCF L 0-41 L (+29½) U (48) 11/12 UAB L L (+5) O (53½) MARSHALL L W (+13½) U (50½) 11/26 at Southern Miss L 7-44 W (+37½) U (56)

81 CONFERENCE USA RICE 8/30 UCLA at Kansas at Louisiana Tech MARSHALL vs Houston at Memphis TX-SAN ANTONIO at Tulsa SOUTHERN MISS at Tulane SMU at UTEP 9/5 at UAB L L (+6) O (60) 2 at Texas Tech L L (+28) O (64) 9 at Oklahoma St L W (+32½) U (66½) 9/26 VANDERBILT L L (+7½) O (49½) 10/3 TULSA L P (+17) U (63) 10/10 NAVY L L (+10) O (56) 10/17 at E Carolina L L (+18) O (56) 10/24 UCF L 7-49 L (+10) O (51) 11/7 at SMU L W (+18) O (57) 11/14 TULANE W W (-3) U (58) 11/21 UTEP W W (+6½) U (70½) 11/28 at Houston L L (+30½) O (71½) CONFERENCE USA SMU STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 at Baylor SF AUSTIN TEXAS A&M TCU at UTEP at Tulane HOUSTON MEMPHIS at UCF SOUTHERN MISS at Rice TULSA 9/5 STEPH F AUSTIN W at UAB W W (+11) O (59½) 9 at Washington St L L (-4) U (58) 10/3 at TCU L W (+28½) P (53) 10/10 E CAROLINA W W (+4) U (53) 10/17 NAVY L W (+7) O (53½) 10/24 at Houston L L (+16) U (71) 10/31 at Tulsa W W (+14½) U (53) 11/7 RICE W L (-18) O (57) 11/14 UTEP W L (-6½) O (62) 11/21 at Marshall L W (+3½) O (48½) 11/28 TULANE W L (-20) U (55½) 12/24 vs Nevada W W (+11) U (69½) 9/4 TEXAS L W (+31½) U (55½) 1 at North Texas W W (+3½) O (57) 8 NORTHWESTERN L L (+6½) U (54½) 9/25 BAYLOR L L (+8) U (56) 10/2 SMU L W (+11½) O (57) 10/9 at UTEP L L (+9) O (58) 10/16 HOUSTON W W (+9½) U (66) 10/23 at UCF L L (+24) O (52) 11/6 at Tulsa L L (+17) O (62½) 11/13 at Tulane L L (+4) O (57½) 11/20 E CAROLINA W W (+8) O (73½) 11/27 UAB W W (+3) U (68) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/5 at Texas Tech L W (+12½) O (57½) 1 UAB W 28-7 W (-11) U (55) 8 WASHINGTON ST W L (-23½) O (53½) 9/24 TCU L W (+18) O (54½) 10/2 at Rice W L (-11½) O (57) 10/9 TULSA W L (-6) U (64) 10/16 at Navy L L (+1) U (52) 10/23 HOUSTON L L (-8) O (61) 10/30 at Tulane W W (-9½) U (54) 11/6 at UTEP L L (-6½) U (55½) 11/20 MARSHALL W W (-13½) U (48½) 11/26 at E Carolina W W (-1½) O (70) 12/4 at UCF L 7-17 L (+8) U (56) 12/30 ARMY L L (-7) U (50½) StatFox Power Rating: 22 (#103 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -7.1 (#98 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (59th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (88th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#102 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 8 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Texas L 9-34 L (+23½) U (54) 0 PURDUE W W (+2½) U (54) 9/24 at Baylor L L (+21) O (68½) 10/1 at Southern Miss L L (+13½) O (63) 10/8 MEMPHIS W 28-6 W (-20½) U (58½) 10/15 at Marshall L W (+5½) U (51½) 10/22 TULSA L L (+10) U (60) at Houston L L (+27) O (73½) 11/5 UTEP W W (+1½) O (56½) 11/12 at Northwestern L 6-28 L (+16½) U (69½) 11/19 TULANE W 19-7 L (-14½) U (59) 11/26 at SMU L W (+13) U (54) StatFox Power Rating: 35 (#68 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 8.8 (#31 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (75th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (61st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +2.8 (#60 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /4 at Texas A&M L L (+14½) O (55) 0 UTEP W L (-20) U (53½) 7 NORTHWESTERN ST W 40-7 W (-29½) P (47) 9/24 at Memphis W 42-0 W (-24) U (54) 10/1 at TCU W W (+13) O (53) 10/15 UCF W W (-3½) O (46½) 10/22 at Southern Miss L 3-27 L (+3) U (60½) 10/29 at Tulsa L 7-38 L (+1½) U (58) 11/5 TULANE W L (-27) O (54) 11/12 NAVY L L (-8½) U (58½) 11/19 at Houston L 7-37 L (+19½) U (75½) 11/26 RICE W L (-13) U (54) 1/7 vs Pittsburgh W 28-6 W (+4) U (47½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

82 CONFERENCE USA SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI StatFox Power Rating: 45 (#27 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 19.5 (#9 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (93rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (76th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#12 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 8 at Nebraska E CAROLINA at W Kentucky LOUISVILLE BOISE ST at UCF MARSHALL at Rice UAB at SMU UTEP at Memphis 9/5 ALCORN ST W UCF W L (-15½) U (50½) 9 VIRGINIA W L (-13½) O (46½) 9/26 at Kansas L W (+11½) O (58) 10/1 at UAB L L (-10) U (58½) 10/10 at Louisville L L (-2) U (50) 10/17 MEMPHIS W W (-14½) U (54) 10/24 TULANE W 43-6 W (-21) U (52) 10/31 at Houston L L (+6½) O (65) 11/14 at Marshall W W (-3) U (51½) 11/21 TULSA W W (-9) O (55) 11/28 at E Carolina L W (+6) U (54½) 12/20 vs Middle Tenn st L L (-3½) O (61½) CONFERENCE USA TULANE 82 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % RUTGERS at Tulsa OLE MISS LA MONROE at LA Lafayette SMU at UTEP UAB RICE at Memphis E CAROLINA at Houston 9/4 TULSA L L (+13½) U (64) 2 BYU L 3-54 L (+18½) O (52½) 9/26 MCNEESE ST W W (-3) 10/3 at Army W W (+6) U (45) 10/10 MARSHALL L L (+3) U (48) 10/17 HOUSTON L L (+17) U (68½) 10/24 at Southern Miss L 6-43 L (+21) U (52) 10/31 at LSU L 0-42 L (+37) U (45½) 11/7 UTEP W W (+6½) O (57½) 11/14 at Rice L L (+3) U (58) 11/21 at UCF L 0-49 L (+22½) O (47) 11/28 at SMU L W (+20) U (55½) 9/2 at S Carolina L L (+13½) O (46½) 1 PRAIRIE VIEW W 34-7 L (-32½) 7 KANSAS W W (-5) U (52) 9/25 at Louisiana Tech W L (-3½) U (55½) 10/2 MARSHALL W W (-9) O (54) 10/9 E CAROLINA L L (-8½) O (62½) 10/16 at Memphis W W (-16½) O (53) 10/30 UAB L L (-10) O (56) 11/6 at Tulane W W (-10) O (55½) 11/13 at UCF W W (+10½) U (54½) 11/20 HOUSTON W W (-3½) O (68) 11/26 at Tulsa L L (+3) O (67) 12/21 vs Louisville L L (+2) O (58½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 SE LOUISIANA W L (-10) 1 OLE MISS L W (+20½) U (49½) 9/25 at Houston L L (+18½) O (57) 10/2 at Rutgers W W (+17) U (41½) 10/9 ARMY L L (-1) O (43½) 10/16 at Tulsa L L (+18) O (57½) 10/23 at UTEP W W (+10) O (55) 10/30 SMU L L (+9½) U (54) 11/6 SOUTHERN MISS L L (+10) O (55½) 11/13 RICE W W (-4) O (57½) 11/20 UCF L L (+18½) O (54) 11/27 at Marshall L L (+11) O (52½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 LOUISIANA TECH W L (-12) U (51½) 0 at Marshall L L (-7½) U (53) 7 SE LOUISIANA W 52-6 W (-30½) U (65) 9/24 at Virginia W W (+3) U (55½) 10/1 RICE W W (-13½) O (63) 10/8 at Navy W W (0) O (58½) 10/22 SMU W 27-3 W (-3) U (60½) 10/29 at UTEP W W (-10) U (59½) 11/5 at E Carolina W W (-9½) O (59½) 11/12 UCF W L (-10) O (52) at UAB L L (-24) O (61½) 11/26 MEMPHIS W 44-7 L (-37½) U (56) 12/3 at Houston W W (+12) O (73) 12/24 vs Nevada W P (-7) U (65) StatFox Power Rating: 10 (#117 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#117 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (107th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (85th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#112 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 SE LOUISIANA W L (-18½) 0 TULSA L 3-31 L (+13) U (64) 7 at UAB W W (+12) O (54) 9/24 at Duke L L (+9½) O (57) 10/1 at Army L 6-45 L (+7) U (53½) 10/8 SYRACUSE L W (+9½) O (50) 10/15 UTEP L 7-44 L (-1) U (57) 10/22 MEMPHIS L L (-13) U (54½) 10/29 at E Carolina L L (+15½) U (59) 11/5 at SMU L W (+27) O (54) HOUSTON L L (+33½) O (77½) 11/19 at Rice L 7-19 W (+14½) U (59) 11/26 at Hawaii L W (+19) O (55½)

83 CONFERENCE USA TEXAS - E L PASO OKLAHOMA at Ole Miss NEW MEXICO ST at Wisconsin at E Carolina SMU at Tulsa TULANE at Houston UCF at Southern Miss RICE 9/5 BUFFALO L L (-9½) U (61½) 2 KANSAS L 7-34 L (+13) U (62½) 9 at New Mexico st W W (-14) O (48) 9/26 at Texas L 7-64 L (+37) O (64½) 10/3 HOUSTON W W (+14) O (69½) 10/10 at Memphis L L (-1) U (58) 10/21 TULSA W W (+8½) U (60) 10/31 UAB L L (-7½) O (63½) 11/7 at Tulane L L (-6½) O (57½) 11/14 at SMU L W (+6½) O (62) 11/21 at Rice L L (-6½) U (70½) 11/28 MARSHALL W W (-2) O (60) CONFERENCE USA TULSA STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % at Iowa St TULANE NICHOLLS ST FRESNO ST at UAB at Marshall UTEP RICE at Arkansas at Houston UCF at SMU 9/4 at Tulane W W (-13½) U (64) 2 at New Mexico W W (-17) U (57) 9 at Oklahoma L 0-45 L (+18) U (57) 9/26 SAM HOUSTON ST W 56-3 W (-38) 10/3 at Rice W P (-17) U (63) 10/14 BOISE ST L W (+9) U (56) 10/21 at UTEP L L (-8½) U (60) 10/31 SMU L L (-14½) U (53) 11/7 HOUSTON L W (+2) O (70½) 11/15 E CAROLINA L L (-4) O (51) 11/21 at Southern Miss L L (+9) O (55) 11/27 MEMPHIS W L (-16) O (61) 9/4 AK-PINE BLUFF W L (-38½) 0 at Houston L L (+20½) O (75½) 8 NEW MEXICO ST W W (-15) U (57) 9/25 MEMPHIS W L (-12½) U (59½) 10/2 at New Mexico W W (-15) O (57½) 10/9 RICE W W (-9) O (58) 10/16 at UAB L 6-21 L (+3) U (59½) 10/23 TULANE L L (-10) O (55) 10/30 at Marshall L L (+2½) U (54) 11/6 SMU W W (+6½) U (55½) 11/13 at Arkansas L L (+28½) O (60) 11/20 at Tulsa L W (+17) U (61) 12/18 vs BYU L L (+10½) O (51) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/5 at E Carolina L L (-7) O (56½) 1 BOWLING GREEN W L (-16½) U (62½) 8 at Oklahoma St L L (+7) O (69) 9/25 C ARKANSAS W W (-24) 10/2 at Memphis W 48-7 W (-8) U (62) 10/9 at SMU L W (+6) U (64) 10/16 TULANE W W (-18) O (57½) 10/30 at Notre Dame W W (+9½) U (62½) 11/6 RICE W W (-17) O (62½) 11/13 at Houston W W (+3) U (76½) 11/20 UTEP W L (-17) U (61) 11/26 SOUTHERN MISS W W (-3) O (67) 12/24 at Hawaii W W (+10) O (75½) StatFox Power Rating: 26 (#96 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -1.5 (#76 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (94th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (52nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -3.8 (#83 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 STONY BROOK W L (-13) 0 at SMU L W (+20) U (53½) 7 at New Mexico st W W (+2½) U (49½) 9/24 at S Florida L W (+30) O (50) HOUSTON L W (+14½) O (64) 10/15 at Tulane W 44-7 W (+1) U (57) 10/22 COLORADO ST W W (-10) U (53½) 10/29 SOUTHERN MISS L L (+10) U (59½) 11/5 at Rice L L (-1½) O (56½) 11/12 E CAROLINA W L (-6) U (57½) 11/19 TULSA L L (+13) O (56½) 11/25 at UCF L L (+10½) U (53) StatFox Power Rating: 43 (#34 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 12.1 (#20 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (44th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (84th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.8 (#41 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 9 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Oklahoma L L (+24) U (62½) 0 at Tulane W 31-3 W (-13) U (64) 7 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+13½) O (67) 9/24 at Boise St L W (+28) U (63) 10/1 NORTH TEXAS W L (-23) O (59) 10/15 UAB W L (-21) U (58½) 10/22 at Rice W W (-10) U (60) 10/29 SMU W 38-7 W (-1½) U (58) at UCF W W (+2) U (49½) 11/12 MARSHALL W W (-19) O (52) 11/19 at UTEP W W (-13) O (56½) 11/25 HOUSTON L L (+2½) U (77) 12/30 vs BYU L L (-2½) U (59½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

84 M AC PREDICTED FINISH east DIVISION west DIVISION 1. Ohio 2. Kent State 3. Bowling Green 4. Miami-Ohio 5. Buffalo 6. Akron 7. Massachusetts 1. Toledo 2. No. Illinois 3. W. Michigan 4. Ball State 5. E. Michigan 6. C. Michigan Akron Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 6 New Head Coach: Terry Bowden Akron has some talent this season including QB Clayton Moore (1,655 pass yds, 9 TD, 9 INT). Also returning is RB Jawson Chisholm (961 rush yds, 5 TD) and WR Keith Sconiers (639 rec yds, 5 TD). On the defensive side of the ball, the Zips weren t as bad as they were offensively last year. Defensive coordinator (and former Bobby Bowden assistant) Chuck Amato will get back LB Troy Gilmer (71 tackles). Gilmer will need another big season if the Zips are to claim their first conference win in two years. Ball State Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 4 QB Keith Wenning (2,786 pass yds, 19 TD) showed flashes, but also made tons of errant passes (12 INT). RB Jahwan Edwards (786 rush yds, 11 TD) is looking to avoid a sophomore slump after a brilliant freshman campaign. Ball State could also have one of the best O-lines in the MAC, returning most of their starters from a unit that allowed only 11 sacks last season. The defense is in a very troubling position; a lot of young players are going to need to contribute for this team to win seven or more games. Bowling Green Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 10 QB Matt Schilz (3,024 pass yds, 28 TD) has the talent to be one of the best players in the MAC. He ll need to limit his mistakes to get the Falcons to turn over a new leaf. Sophomore RB Anthon Samuel (844 rush yds, 5 TD) could also help take the Falcons offense to a new level. BGSU had a major issue stopping the run last year, but with 10 starters returning on the defensive side of the ball, the team s experience will help solve that problem. Buffalo Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Last season, RB Branden Oliver (1,395 yds, 13 TD) was the only bright spot for the Bulls. Head coach Jeff Quinn faces a difficult decision with no standout starting QB on the roster. Without a decent passing game, teams will be able to stack the box. The Bulls have weak LBs and an underwhelming D-line. Last season they struggled rushing the passer and couldn t stop the run even when they knew it was coming. Central Michigan Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 8 The Chippewas gave an extension to head coach Dan Enos despite two years in a row of horrendous football. This season, QB Ryan Radcliff (3,286 pass yds, 25 TD) will have a dynamic offense to work with as he tries to limit his turnovers his 16 picks didn t give CMU a chance to win games. Defensively, this team needs to change a lot as its linebackers and defensive line failed to produce much of anything a year ago. The DBs led the team in tackles as opponents had their way up the middle. Eastern Michigan Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Eagles could be heading in the right direction, as they will be returning most of their starters on a team that showed a lot of promise in Dual-threat QB Alex Gillett (1,504 pass yds, 14 TD; 736 rush yds, 3 TD) is going to need to be every bit as versatile as he was last season while continuing to improve his accuracy. The Eagles were one of the best teams in the nation at stopping teams on third down. The secondary was an issue for them last year, but all of their starters are back and that bodes well for a team that needed experience last season. Kent State Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 QB Spencer Keith must take care of the ball and finally get the offense moving. RB Trayion Durham had an impressive showing at spring practice and may breakout as a sophomore. Their stellar defense gets back its leading tackler, Luke Batton (102 tackles), its leading pass rusher, Jake Dooley (5 sacks) and its best pass defender, S Luke Wollet (4 INT). Massachusetts Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 UMass transitions to the FBS with returning QB Kellen Pagel and an experienced offensive line running a no-huddle, spread scheme. They have very little experience at the other skill positions. The defense is in better shape, with senior Perry McIntyre (6.5 sacks, 11.5 TFL) set to play middle linebacker with UMass switching from a 3-4 to a 4-3. NT Hafis Williams is a transfer from Notre Dame who will help fortify an experienced defensive line, and senior safety Darren Thellen (5 INT) returns to lead the secondary. 84 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

85 Miami-Ohio Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 8 The RedHawks were frustratingly inconsistent in The O-line is spotty in front of talented QB Zac Dysert (3,513 pass yds, 23 TD), and Miami has absolutely no running game (FBS-worst 74 rush YPG). Their defense was simply on the field for too long. They have playmakers in CB Dayonne Nunley (58 tackles, 3 INT) and DL Jason Semmes (4.5 sacks). Northern Illinois Offense: Starters returning - 3 Defense: Starters returning - 8 The offense will be tailored to new QB Jordan Lynch s running abilities, while junior RB Akeem Daniels (303 rush yds, 3 TD) is looking to be the next great Huskies rusher after limited playing time in The Huskies defense was banged up last year. They struggled against the run, but if they can stay healthy they may be able to overcome their inexperience. Ohio Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Frank Solich has completely turned around Ohio s program. Star QB Tyler Tettleton (3,306 pass yds, 28 TD; 658 rush yds, 10 TD) has matured, but lost MAC AKRON 8/30 11/20 UCF at FLA International MORGAN ST at Tennessee MIAMI OHIO BOWLING GREEN at Ohio U N ILLINOIS at C Michigan at Kent St MASSACHUSETTS at Toledo 9/5 at Penn St L 7-31 W (+29½) U (59) 2 MORGAN ST W 41-0 W (-27) 9 INDIANA L L (-3) O (45) 9/26 at C Michigan L L (+15) O (54) 10/10 OHIO U L 7-19 L (+3½) U (52½) 10/17 at Buffalo L W (+7½) U (46½) 10/24 at Syracuse L L (+11) U (47½) 10/31 at N Illinois L L (+12) U (41) 11/7 KENT ST W W (+3½) O (42½) 11/13 TEMPLE L L (+6) O (46) 11/20 at Bowling Green L L (+12) O (55) 11/27 E MICHIGAN W L (-14½) U (51½) his top three targets from a year ago. Ohio has a very good run defense, but it will need its talented linebackers to be more aggressive pressuring opposing quarterbacks. They have a very strong secondary with the return of FS Gerald Moore and CB Travis Carrie, and Solich thinks that this defense has the potential to be his best one yet. Toledo Offense: Starters returning - 4 Defense: Starters returning - 4 New Head Coach: Matt Campbell Toledo runs a unique, two-qb offense that will continue to be electric with Austin Dantin (1,404 pass yds, 15 TD) and Terrance Owens (2,022 pass yds, 18 TD) splitting time under center. Last season the Rockets struggled to stay healthy on defense. They ll need to be at full strength in order to avoid becoming just an exciting team to watch lose. WEstern Michigan Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 6 QB Alex Carder (3,873 pass yds, 31 TD) could be the best player in the MAC and thrives under pressure, but has lost a lot of his WR weapons. The Broncos defense must improve. They re getting back two of their biggest playmakers in S Johnnie Simon (114 tackles) and DE Freddie Bishop (5.5 sacks). STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 SYRACUSE L 3-29 L (+9) U (42) 1 GARDNER WEBB L L (-16½) 8 at Kentucky L L (+24½) O (52) 9/25 at Indiana L W (+23½) U (56) 10/2 N ILLINOIS L L (+13½) O (47) 10/9 at Kent St L W (+17) U (46½) 10/16 at Ohio U L L (+17) P (48) 10/23 W MICHIGAN L L (+7½) O (52) 10/30 at Temple L 0-30 L (+29½) U (50) 11/6 at Ball St L W (+13½) O (48½) MIAMI OHIO L W (+8) U (46½) 11/26 BUFFALO W W (-1) U (43) StatFox Power Rating: 2 (#120 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#118 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (103rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (97th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#119 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Ohio St L 0-42 L (+31) U (46) 0 TEMPLE L 3-41 L (+16½) U (48½) 7 at Cincinnati L L (+34) O (57) 9/24 VMI W W (-13½) O (47½) 10/1 at E Michigan L P (+8) O (47½) 10/8 FLA INTERNATIONAL L W (+17) U (51½) 10/22 OHIO U L L (+14) O (53½) 10/29 C MICHIGAN L W (+7) U (52½) at Miami Ohio L 3-35 L (+14) U (49) 11/12 KENT ST L 3-35 L (+6) U (39) 11/19 at Buffalo L L (+10½) O (46½) 11/25 at W Michigan L L (+28) O (60½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

86 MAC BALL STATE StatFox Power Rating: 24 (#100 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -6.6 (#96 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (76th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (82nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -9.3 (#100 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 4 8/30 11/6 11/14 11/23 E MICHIGAN at Clemson at Indiana S FLORIDA at Kent St N ILLINOIS W MICHIGAN at C Michigan at Army at Toledo OHIO U at Miami Ohio 9/3 NORTH TEXAS L L (-15) U (54) 2 NEW HAMPSHIRE L L (-7) 9 at Army L W (+9) U (42) 9/26 at Auburn L W (+30½) O (54½) 10/3 TOLEDO L L (+5½) O (59) 10/10 at Temple L W (+14½) U (45½) 10/17 BOWLING GREEN L L (+3) U (55½) 10/24 at E Michigan W L (-2½) O (44) 10/31 OHIO U L W (+5½) U (44) 11/12 at N Illinois L W (+16) P (46) 11/18 C MICHIGAN L 3-35 L (+14½) U (51) at W Michigan W W (+10) U (54) MAC 86 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % BOWLING GREEN 11/7 11/23 at Florida IDAHO at Toledo at Virginia Tech RHODE ISLAND at Akron MIAMI OHIO at Massachusetts E MICHIGAN at Ohio U KENT ST vs Buffalo 9/3 TROY W W (+7½) U (55) 2 at Missouri L W (+20) U (56½) 9 at Marshall L L (-3) U (52) 9/26 BOISE ST L L (+16½) O (52) 10/3 OHIO U L L (-2½) O (48½) 10/10 at Kent St W L (-2) O (53½) 10/17 at Ball St W W (-3) U (55½) 10/24 C MICHIGAN L L (+9½) U (61½) at Buffalo W W (+3) O (57½) 11/12 at Miami Ohio W W (-4) U (59) 11/20 AKRON W W (-12) O (55) 11/27 TOLEDO W W (-7) U (66½) 12/30 vs Idaho L L (pk) O (69) 9/2 SE MISSOURI ST W L (-27) 1 LIBERTY L L (-10½) 8 at Purdue L W (+16) U (47½) 9/25 at Iowa L 0-45 L (+28) U (45½) 10/2 at C Michigan W W (+19) U (51½) 10/9 W MICHIGAN L L (-5½) O (48) 10/16 E MICHIGAN L L (-15) O (57) 10/23 at Toledo L W (+11½) O (50) 10/30 at Kent St L L (+10) O (42½) 11/6 AKRON W L (-13½) O (48½) 11/12 at Buffalo W 20-3 W (+3) U (47) 11/20 N ILLINOIS L L (+15½) O (52½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Troy L W (+14½) O (54) 1 at Tulsa L W (+16½) U (62½) 8 MARSHALL W W (+3½) O (50) 9/25 at Michigan L L (+25½) O (56) 10/2 BUFFALO L L (-3) O (50) 10/9 at Ohio U L L (+8) O (48½) 10/16 at Temple L W (+20) O (51½) 10/23 KENT ST L 6-30 L (+3) U (49½) 10/30 at C Michigan W W (+13) U (52½) MIAMI OHIO L L (+2½) U (51½) at Toledo L L (+10) U (54½) 11/26 W MICHIGAN L 7-41 L (+7) U (52½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs Indiana W W (+4) U (53) 0 at S Florida L 7-37 L (+20½) U (50½) 7 BUFFALO W L (-4) O (51½) 9/24 ARMY W W (+4) O (49) 10/1 at Oklahoma L 6-62 L (+40) O (63) 10/8 TEMPLE L 0-42 L (+9) U (50) 10/15 at Ohio U W W (+14½) U (57) 10/22 C MICHIGAN W W (-3) O (55) 10/29 at W Michigan L W (+11½) O (58) 11/5 at E Michigan W W (+1½) O (54½) 11/15 at N Illinois L W (+18) O (71) 11/25 TOLEDO L L (+14) O (72) StatFox Power Rating: 24 (#100 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -0.1 (#72 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (95th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (114th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -2.3 (#77 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at Idaho W W (+6) U (53) 0 MORGAN ST W W (-35) O (53½) 7 WYOMING L L (-10) U (55½) 9/24 at Miami Ohio W W (+4) O (53½) 10/1 at W Virginia L L (+17½) O (60½) 10/8 at W Michigan L L (+10½) O (59½) 10/15 TOLEDO L W (+9) U (62) 10/22 TEMPLE W W (+12½) U (48½) 10/29 at Kent St L L (-3½) O (39) 11/8 N ILLINOIS L L (+6) U (67) 11/16 OHIO U L W (+7½) U (59½) 11/25 at Buffalo W W (+3) O (53½)

87 MAC BUFFALO 9 11/23 at Georgia MORGAN ST KENT ST at Connecticut at Ohio U at N Illinois PITTSBURGH TOLEDO MIAMI OHIO W MICHIGAN at Massachusetts vs Bowling Green 9/5 at UTEP W W (+9½) U (61½) 2 PITTSBURGH L L (+11½) O (42½) 9 at UCF L L (+5) U (46½) 9/26 at Temple L L (+3½) O (46) 10/3 C MICHIGAN L W (+9½) U (53½) 10/10 GARDNER WEBB W 40-0 W (-17) 10/17 AKRON W L (-7½) U (46½) 10/24 at W Michigan L W (+5) O (51½) BOWLING GREEN L L (-3) O (57½) OHIO U L L (-2) O (46½) 11/18 at Miami Ohio W W (-4½) O (52½) 11/27 at Kent St W 9-6 L (-3½) U (49) MAC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % CENTRAL MICHIGAN 8/30 10/12 11/23 SE MISSOURI ST MICHIGAN ST at Iowa at N Illinois at Toledo NAVY BALL ST AKRON W MICHIGAN at E Michigan MIAMI OHIO at Massachusetts 9/5 at Arizona L 6-19 W (+13½) U (55½) 2 at Michigan St W W (+15) O (50) 9 ALCORN ST W 48-0 W (-43) 9/26 AKRON W W (-15) O (54) 10/3 at Buffalo W L (-9½) U (53½) 10/10 E MICHIGAN W 56-8 W (-24) O (54) 10/17 at W Michigan W W (-7) U (59) 10/24 at Bowling Green W W (-9½) U (61½) 10/31 at Boston College L L (+5½) U (48) 11/11 TOLEDO W W (-17½) O (64) 11/18 at Ball St W 35-3 W (-14½) U (51) 11/27 N ILLINOIS W P (-14) O (52½) 12/4 vs Ohio U W L (-13½) U (57) 1/6 vs Troy W L (-3½) O (63) 9/2 RHODE ISLAND W 31-0 W (-24) 1 at Baylor L 6-34 L (+14½) U (52½) 8 UCF L L (+7½) U (47½) 9/25 at Connecticut L L (+20½) O (48½) 10/2 at Bowling Green W W (+3) O (50) 10/16 at N Illinois L L (+14) O (50) 10/23 TEMPLE L 0-42 L (+8½) U (46½) 10/30 MIAMI OHIO L 9-21 L (+2½) U (44) 11/4 at Ohio U L L (+16) O (47½) 11/12 BALL ST L 3-20 L (-3) U (47) 11/20 E MICHIGAN L L (-6½) U (51) 11/26 at Akron L L (+1) U (43) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 HAMPTON W 33-0 W (-32) 9/9 at Temple L W (+7½) U (47) 8 at E Michigan W W (-10) O (47) 9/25 at Northwestern L W (+6½) O (51) 10/2 BALL ST L L (-19) U (51½) 10/9 at Virginia Tech L L (+21½) O (55) 10/16 MIAMI OHIO L L (-13) U (51) 10/23 at N Illinois L 7-33 L (+10) U (51½) 10/30 BOWLING GREEN L L (-13) U (52½) 11/5 W MICHIGAN W W (-3) U (53½) 11/13 at Navy L W (+14) O (55) 11/26 at Toledo L L (+4) O (52) StatFox Power Rating: 18 (#111 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -8.3 (#102 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: 26.5 (111st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (80th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -7.3 (#95 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Pittsburgh L W (+30) U (54½) 0 STONY BROOK W 35-7 W (-7½) U (48) 7 at Ball St L W (+4) O (51½) 9/24 CONNECTICUT L 3-17 L (+8½) U (46½) 10/1 at Tennessee L L (+28½) U (56) 10/8 OHIO U W W (+9) O (53½) 10/15 at Temple L 0-34 L (+22) U (47) 10/22 N ILLINOIS L W (+14) U (62) 10/29 at Miami Ohio L L (+5½) O (48½) 11/12 at E Michigan L L (+3) U (49½) 11/19 AKRON W W (-10½) O (46½) 11/25 BOWLING GREEN L L (-3) O (53½) StatFox Power Rating: 19 (#107 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#105 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (101st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (97th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#103 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 3 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways S CAROLINA ST W 21-6 L (-19) 0 at Kentucky L L (+9½) U (48) 7 at W Michigan L L (+6½) O (51½) 9/24 at Michigan St L 7-45 L (+21½) O (49) 10/1 N ILLINOIS W W (+8) O (61½) 10/8 at NC State L L (+11) O (54) 10/15 E MICHIGAN L L (-11) O (50½) 10/22 at Ball St L L (+3) O (55) 10/29 at Akron W L (-7) U (52½) 11/4 at Kent St L L (+2) O (43½) OHIO U L L (+7½) O (59) 11/18 TOLEDO L L (+14) U (74) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

88 MAC EASTERN MICHIGAN StatFox Power Rating: 19 (#107 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -3.7 (#88 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: 23.5 (120th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (90th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -3.1 (#80 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 6 8/30 11/1 11/23 at Ball St ILLINOIS ST at Purdue at Michigan St KENT ST TOLEDO ARMY at Bowling Green at Ohio U C MICHIGAN at W Michigan N ILLINOIS 9/5 ARMY L L (-3½) U (48) 2 at Northwestern L W (+22) U (51½) 9 at Michigan L L (+24) O (54½) 10/3 TEMPLE L L (+6½) U (44½) 10/10 at C Michigan L 8-56 L (+24) O (54) 10/17 KENT ST L 6-28 L (+6½) U (49) 10/24 BALL ST L W (+2½) O (44) 10/31 at Arkansas L W (+37) O (60) 11/5 at N Illinois L 6-50 L (+21½) O (48) 11/14 W MICHIGAN L L (+13) U (59) 11/20 at Toledo L L (+16) O (62) 11/27 at Akron L W (+14½) U (51½) MAC KENT STATE 88 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 8/ /23 TOWSON at Kentucky at Buffalo BALL ST at E Michigan at Army W MICHIGAN at Rutgers AKRON at Miami Ohio at Bowling Green OHIO U 9/3 COASTAL CAROLINA W at Boston College L 7-34 L (+21) U (45) 9 IOWA ST L L (+3) O (47) 9/26 MIAMI OHIO W W (-7) O (47) 10/3 at Baylor L W (+22½) U (48½) 10/10 BOWLING GREEN L W (+2) O (53½) 10/17 at E Michigan W 28-6 W (-6½) U (49) 10/24 at Ohio U W W (+10) U (46½) 10/31 W MICHIGAN W W (-2½) U (50½) 11/7 at Akron L L (-3½) O (42½) 11/21 at Temple L L (+10) O (46) 11/27 BUFFALO L 6-9 W (+3½) U (49) 9/4 ARMY L W (+9½) O (42) 1 at Miami Ohio L W (+13½) U (51½) 8 C MICHIGAN L L (+10) O (47) 9/25 at Ohio St L L (+43½) O (58) 10/2 OHIO U L L (+10) U (49) 10/9 at Vanderbilt L 6-52 L (+25) O (54) 10/16 at Ball St W W (+15) O (57) 10/23 at Virginia L L (+24) O (56) 10/30 TOLEDO L 7-42 L (+11½) U (56) 11/13 at W Michigan L W (+20) O (57½) 11/20 at Buffalo W W (+6½) U (51) 11/26 N ILLINOIS L 3-71 L (+24½) O (62) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 MURRAY ST W W (-28) 1 at Boston College L W (+17) U (47) 8 at Penn St L 0-24 L (+21) U (45) 10/2 at Miami Ohio L L (-3) O (44½) 10/9 AKRON W L (-17) U (46½) 10/16 at Toledo L L (+4) O (46½) 10/23 at Bowling Green W 30-6 W (-3) U (49½) 10/30 BALL ST W W (-10) O (42½) 11/6 TEMPLE L L (+3) U (43) 11/13 ARMY L L (-1½) O (44) 11/20 at W Michigan L 3-38 L (+2½) U (50½) 11/26 OHIO U W 28-6 W (+4½) U (46½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /4 HOWARD W 41-9 W (-30½) 0 ALABAMA ST W 14-7 L (-13½) U (49) 7 at Michigan L 3-31 W (+30½) U (62½) 9/24 at Penn St L 6-34 P (+28) U (46½) 10/1 AKRON W P (-8) O (47½) 10/8 at Toledo L L (+20½) O (52) 10/15 at C Michigan W W (+11) O (50½) 10/22 W MICHIGAN W W (+13) U (56) 11/5 BALL ST L L (-1½) O (54½) 11/12 BUFFALO W W (-3) U (49½) 11/19 at Kent St L L (+3) O (41½) 11/25 at N Illinois L W (+17½) U (63½) StatFox Power Rating: 24 (#100 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -5.0 (#93 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (97th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (116th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -7.2 (#94 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Alabama L 7-48 L (+38½) O (49) 0 LA LAFAYETTE L L (-8½) U (52½) 7 at Kansas St L 0-37 L (+17½) U (45½) 9/24 S ALABAMA W L (-9) O (40) 10/1 at Ohio U L W (+16) U (48) 10/8 at N Illinois L L (+14½) U (53½) 10/15 MIAMI OHIO L 3-9 L (+3) U (41) 10/29 BOWLING GREEN W W (+3½) O (39) 11/4 C MICHIGAN W W (-2) O (43½) 11/12 at Akron W 35-3 W (-6) U (39) 11/19 E MICHIGAN W W (-3) O (41½) 11/25 at Temple L L (+16½) O (40)

89 MAC MASSACHUSETTS 8/30 11/23 at Connecticut INDIANA at Michigan at Miami Ohio OHIO U at W Michigan BOWLING GREEN at Vanderbilt at N Illinois at Akron BUFFALO C MICHIGAN 9/5 at Kansas St L Albany W Rhode Island W /26 Stony Brook W /10 at Delaware L /17 New Hampshire W /24 at Richmond L /31 at Maine L /7 Northeastern W /14 James Madison L /21 at Hofstra L MAC MIAMI-OHIO STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 11/23 at Ohio St S ILLINOIS at Boise St MASSACHUSETTS at Akron at Cincinnati at Bowling Green OHIO U at Buffalo KENT ST at C Michigan BALL ST 9/5 vs Kentucky L 0-42 L (+15) U (49) 2 at Boise St L 0-48 L (+38) U (52½) 9 at W Michigan L L (+16) O (48½) 9/26 at Kent St L L (+7) O (47) 10/3 CINCINNATI L W (+29½) U (59) 10/10 at Northwestern L 6-16 W (+17) U (55½) 10/17 at Ohio U L 7-28 L (+14) U (47½) 10/24 N ILLINOIS L W (+10) O (45) 10/31 TOLEDO W W (+5) U (57½) 11/5 at Temple L W (+17) O (44½) 11/12 BOWLING GREEN L L (+4) U (59) 11/18 BUFFALO L L (+4½) O (52½) 9/4 William & Mary W Holy Cross W at Michigan L /25 at Stony Brook W /2 at Towson W /16 Richmond L /23 at New Hampshire L /30 at James Madison W /6 Maine W /13 Delaware L /20 at Rhode Island L STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Florida L W (+38) U (54½) 1 E MICHIGAN W L (-13½) U (51½) 8 COLORADO ST W W (-7) U (46) 9/25 at Missouri L L (+20) O (50½) 10/2 KENT ST W W (+3) O (44½) 10/9 at Cincinnati L 3-45 L (+17½) U (53½) 10/16 at C Michigan W W (+13) U (51) 10/23 OHIO U L L (+3) U (49½) 10/30 at Buffalo W 21-9 W (-2½) U (44) at Bowling Green W W (-2½) U (51½) at Akron W L (-8) U (46½) 11/23 TEMPLE W 23-3 W (+8½) U (44½) 12/3 vs N Illinois W W (+19½) U (55) 1/6 vs Middle Tenn st W W (+1½) O (49) 2011 FCS STATS OFFENSE NO. Points Scored 25.2 First Downs 20.0 Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm DEFENSE NO. Points Allowed 27.9 Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways 21 at Holy Cross W Rhode Island W /24 at Boston College L L (+12) O (45½) 10/1 at Old Dominion L /8 Central Conn St W /15 at Delaware W /22 New Hampshire L /29 at Richmond W /5 Villanova L /12 at Maine L /19 James Madison L StatFox Power Rating: 31 (#77 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -1.6 (#78 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (89th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (107th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -1.6 (#73 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Missouri L 6-17 W (+19½) U (49) 7 at Minnesota L L (+4) O (43½) 9/24 BOWLING GREEN L L (-4) O (53½) 10/1 CINCINNATI L 0-27 L (+16) U (55) 10/8 ARMY W W (+2) O (49½) 10/15 at Kent St W 9-3 W (-3) U (41) 10/22 at Toledo L L (+16) O (55) 10/29 BUFFALO W W (-5½) O (48½) AKRON W 35-3 W (-14) U (49) 11/9 at Temple L W (+13½) O (44½) 11/16 W MICHIGAN L L (+1½) U (59½) 11/22 at Ohio U L W (+9) U (55) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

90 MAC NORTHERN ILLINOIS StatFox Power Rating: 39 (#52 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 9.7 (#29 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (110th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (119th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.0 (#34 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /14 11/23 vs Iowa TENN-MARTIN at Army KANSAS C MICHIGAN at Ball St BUFFALO at Akron at W Michigan MASSACHUSETTS TOLEDO at E Michigan 9/5 at Wisconsin L W (+16½) U (49½) 2 W ILLINOIS W 41-7 W (-13½) 9 at Purdue W W (+12) U (52½) 9/26 IDAHO L L (-14) O (54½) 10/3 W MICHIGAN W 38-3 W (-6) U (49) 10/17 at Toledo L L (-7) U (60½) 10/24 at Miami Ohio W L (-10) O (45) 10/31 AKRON W W (-12) U (41) 11/5 E MICHIGAN W 50-6 W (-21½) O (48) 11/12 BALL ST W L (-16) P (46) 11/21 at Ohio U L L (+1) O (44½) 11/27 at C Michigan L P (+14) O (52½) 1/2 vs S Florida L 3-27 L (+6½) U (50) MAC OHIO 90 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 11/1 11/7 11/14 11/23 at Penn St NEW MEXICO ST at Marshall NORFOLK ST at Massachusetts BUFFALO AKRON at Miami Ohio E MICHIGAN BOWLING GREEN at Ball St at Kent St 9/5 CONNECTICUT L L (+3½) U (44½) 2 at North Texas W L (-2½) O (52) 9 CAL POLY SLO W W (-5½) 9/26 at Tennessee L W (+22) O (44) 10/3 at Bowling Green W W (+2½) O (48½) 10/10 at Akron W 19-7 W (-3½) U (52½) 10/17 MIAMI OHIO W 28-7 W (-14) U (47½) 10/24 KENT ST L L (-10) U (46½) 10/31 at Ball St W L (-5½) U (44) at Buffalo W W (+2) O (46½) 11/21 N ILLINOIS W W (-1) O (44½) 11/27 TEMPLE W W (+1½) O (43½) 12/4 vs C Michigan L W (+13½) U (57) 12/26 vs Marshall L L (-3) U (49) 9/2 at Iowa St L L (+4) U (51) 1 N DAKOTA W L (-24½) 8 at Illinois L W (+7) O (45) 9/25 at Minnesota W W (+4) O (49½) 10/2 at Akron W W (-13½) O (47) 10/9 TEMPLE W W (-3) U (49½) 10/16 BUFFALO W W (-14) O (50) 10/23 C MICHIGAN W 33-7 W (-10) U (51½) 10/30 at W Michigan W P (-7) U (52½) 11/9 TOLEDO W W (-11½) O (51½) 11/20 at Ball St W W (-15½) O (52½) 11/26 at E Michigan W 71-3 W (-24½) O (62) 12/3 vs Miami Ohio L L (-19½) U (55) 12/18 vs Fresno St W W (-1½) O (56½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 WOFFORD W W (-14) 1 TOLEDO L L (-10) U (52) 8 at Ohio St L 7-43 L (+29½) O (45) 9/25 at Marshall L W (+6½) P (47) 10/2 at E Michigan W W (-10) U (49) 10/9 BOWLING GREEN W W (-8) O (48½) 10/16 AKRON W W (-17) P (48) 10/23 at Miami Ohio W W (-3) U (49½) 10/30 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-17) O (51) 11/4 BUFFALO W W (-16) O (47½) 11/16 at Temple W W (+10) O (45½) 11/26 at Kent St L 6-28 L (-4½) U (46½) 12/18 vs Troy L L (+2) O (57½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 ARMY W W (-10) O (54½) 0 at Kansas L L (-4) O (63) 7 vs Wisconsin L 7-49 L (+16) U (65) 9/24 CAL POLY SLO W L (-24) O (69) 10/1 at C Michigan L L (-8) O (61½) 10/8 KENT ST W W (-14½) U (53½) 10/15 W MICHIGAN W W (-1½) O (68½) 10/22 at Buffalo W L (-14) U (62) 11/1 at Toledo W W (+9½) O (69½) 11/8 at Bowling Green W W (-6) U (67) 11/15 BALL ST W L (-18) O (71) 11/25 E MICHIGAN W L (-17½) U (63½) 12/2 vs Ohio U W L (-3½) U (71) 1/8 vs Arkansas St W W (+1½) U (66) StatFox Power Rating: 30 (#80 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 3.0 (#54 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (119th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (120th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.6 (#29 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at New Mexico st W W (-6) O (52) 0 GARDNER WEBB W 30-0 L (-33) U (53) 7 MARSHALL W 44-7 W (-5½) O (48) 9/24 at Rutgers L L (+3½) O (51) 10/1 KENT ST W L (-16) U (48) 10/8 at Buffalo L L (-9) O (53½) 10/15 BALL ST L L (-14½) U (57) 10/22 at Akron W W (-14) O (53½) 11/2 TEMPLE W W (+4½) O (46) at C Michigan W W (-7½) O (59) 11/16 at Bowling Green W L (-7½) U (59½) 11/22 MIAMI OHIO W L (-9) U (55) 12/2 vs N Illinois L W (+3½) U (71) 12/17 vs Utah St W W (0) U (62)

91 MAC TOLEDO 11/6 11/14 11/20 at Arizona at Wyoming BOWLING GREEN COASTAL CAROLINA at W Michigan C MICHIGAN at E Michigan CINCINNATI at Buffalo BALL ST at N Illinois AKRON 9/5 at Purdue L L (+10) O (47½) 1 COLORADO W W (+4) O (55) 9 vs Ohio St L 0-38 L (+22½) U (58½) 9/26 at FLA International W W (+1) O (58½) 10/3 at Ball St W W (-5½) O (59) 10/10 W MICHIGAN L L (-7½) O (63) 10/17 N ILLINOIS W W (+7) U (60½) 10/24 TEMPLE L L (pk) O (53½) 10/31 at Miami Ohio L L (-5) U (57½) 11/11 at C Michigan L L (+17½) O (64) 11/20 E MICHIGAN W W (-16) O (62) 11/27 at Bowling Green L L (+7) U (66½) MAC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % WESTERN MICHIGAN at Illinois E ILLINOIS at Minnesota CONNECTICUT TOLEDO MASSACHUSETTS at Ball St at Kent St N ILLINOIS at C Michigan at Buffalo E MICHIGAN 9/5 at Michigan L 7-31 L (+13) U (53½) 2 at Indiana L L (+1) U (54) 9 MIAMI OHIO W W (-16) O (48½) 9/26 HOFSTRA W L (-22) 10/3 at N Illinois L 3-38 L (+6) U (49) 10/10 at Toledo W W (+7½) O (63) 10/17 C MICHIGAN L L (+7) U (59) 10/24 BUFFALO W L (-5) O (51½) 10/31 at Kent St L L (+2½) U (50½) 11/7 at Michigan St L L (+20½) O (55½) 11/14 at E Michigan W W (-13) U (59) BALL ST L L (-10) U (54) 9/3 ARIZONA L 2-41 L (+15) U (58) 1 at Ohio U W W (+10) U (52) 8 at W Michigan W W (+3½) O (52½) 9/25 at Purdue W W (+11) O (49) 10/2 WYOMING L L (-4½) U (49½) 10/9 at Boise St L L (+38) O (59½) 10/16 KENT ST W W (-4) O (46½) 10/23 BALL ST W L (-11½) O (50) 10/30 at E Michigan W 42-7 W (-11½) U (56) 11/9 at N Illinois L L (+11½) O (51½) BOWLING GREEN W W (-10) U (54½) 11/26 C MICHIGAN W W (-4) O (52) 12/26 vs FLA International L P (+2) O (58½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Michigan St L L (+22½) O (51) 1 NICHOLLS ST W W (-28) 8 TOLEDO L L (-3½) O (52½) 10/2 IDAHO L L (+4) U (61) 10/9 at Ball St W W (+5½) O (48) 10/16 at Notre Dame L P (+24) O (53) 10/23 at Akron W W (-7½) O (52) 10/30 N ILLINOIS L P (+7) U (52½) 11/5 at C Michigan L L (+3) U (53½) 11/13 E MICHIGAN W L (-20) O (57½) 11/20 KENT ST W 38-3 W (-2½) U (50½) 11/26 at Bowling Green W 41-7 W (-7) U (52½) StatFox Power Rating: 39 (#52 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 11.4 (#23 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (83rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (112nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#24 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways NEW HAMPSHIRE W W (-10½) 0 at Ohio St L W (+17½) U (53) 6 BOISE ST L L (+20) U (59½) 9/24 at Syracuse L L (+2) O (56) 10/1 at Temple W W (+8½) U (54) 10/8 E MICHIGAN W W (-20½) O (52) 10/15 at Bowling Green W L (-9) U (62) 10/22 MIAMI OHIO W W (-16) O (55) 11/1 N ILLINOIS L L (-9½) O (69½) 11/8 W MICHIGAN W L (-12) O (71) 11/18 at C Michigan W W (-14) U (74) 11/25 at Ball St W W (-14) O (72) 12/28 vs Air Force W L (-3) O (68½) StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#69 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 7.0 (#39 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (109th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (111st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +6.6 (#36 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Michigan L L (+14) U (58½) 0 NICHOLLS ST W 38-7 P (-31) U (53½) 7 C MICHIGAN W W (-6½) O (51½) 9/24 at Illinois L W (+13½) U (51½) 10/1 at Connecticut W W (+3) O (46½) 10/8 BOWLING GREEN W W (-10½) O (59½) 10/15 at N Illinois L L (+1½) O (68½) 10/22 at E Michigan L L (-13) U (56) 10/29 BALL ST W L (-11½) O (58) 11/8 at Toledo L W (+12) O (71) 11/16 at Miami Ohio W W (-1½) U (59½) 11/25 AKRON W W (-28) O (60½) 12/27 vs Purdue L L (+1½) O (62½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

92 Mountain West Conference PREDICTED FINISH 1. Boise State 2. Wyoming 3. Fresno State 4. Nevada 5. Air Force 6. San Diego State 7. Hawaii 8. Colorado State 9. UNLV 10. New Mexico Air Force Offense: Starters returning - 3; Defense: Starters returning - 3 Air Force is a team that will be in rebuilding mode on both sides of the ball. Fifth-year QB Connor Dietz can run (678 rush yds, 5.3 YPC in career), but has attempted just 22 passes in the past two seasons. There is depth at RB for last year s third-best rushing offense in FBS (315 rush YPG). Defensively, this unit allowed 34+ points six times last year and still lacks experience. BOISE STATE Offense: Starters returning - 5; Defense: Starters returning - 2 Boise has experience on its O-line and a solid runner in sixth-year RB D.J. Harper (1,642 rush yds, 24 TD in career). Defensively, the Broncos are strong in the secondary with the return of corners Jerrell Gavins and Jamar Taylor. The unproven front seven is a question mark, and the team has a slew of new assistant coaches under Chris Petersen, including both coordinators. Colorado State Offense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8 New Head Coach: Jim McElwain Under former Alabama OC Jim McElwain, QB Garrett Grayson (542 pass yds, 2 TD, 6 INT) is set to be the top signal caller. RB Chris Nwoke broke out last year (1,130 rush yds, 9 TD) with two late-season 200-yard games. The Rams get back most of a defense unit that struggled mightily against the run. Fresno State Offense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 7 New Head Coach: Tim DeRuyter The Bulldogs are returning most of their skill-position talent, including QB Derek Carr (3,544 pass yds, 26 TD, 9 INT), RB Robbie Rouse (MWC-best 1,549 rush yds; 14 total TD) and solid WRs. The defense, which surrendered 35.2 PPG, is chaning under new coordinator Nick Toth. Fresno will improve an awful secondary (269 YPG allowed) with the return of S Phillip Thomas, the team s best DB who missed 2011 after breaking his leg in the preseason. Hawaii Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 4 New Head Coach: Norman Chow Hawaii will be a great throwing team yet again this year, and the O-line will allow RB Joey Iosefa (548 rush yds, 7 TD) to find gaps while QB David Graves throws to standout WR Billy Ray Stutzmann (901 rec yds, 4 TD). Norm Chow must retool a depleted defense that returns only one senior. Nevada Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6 Reigning Freshman of the Year Cody Fajardo (2,401 pass yds, 17 TD) returns as the team s QB and he ll get back WR Brandon Wemberly, who sat out 2011 after being shot in the torso. The O-line is completely retooled, and blocking for a group of inexperienced running backs. On defense, five seniors return in the Wolf Pack secondary, but new faces along the line make it tough to believe that this team will be able to stop the run. New Mexico Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 6 New Head Coach: Bob Davie The rebuilding Lobos as they were unable to play their spring game because of their tiny roster. QB B.R. Holbrook and WR Ty Kirk, the MWC s leader in catches per game, are back. Defensively, they were capable aginst the run, but a new defensive scheme from Bob Davie is likely to stir things up. San Diego State Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6 San Diego State was fortunate to land Oregon State transfer QB Ryan Katz (2,401 pass yds, 17 TD in 2010). Stepping in at starting RB is Adam Muema, who ran for 119 yards and 2 TD in a game against Boise State last season. Defensively, they re losing their top CB Larry Parker, who had 7 INT last year, and their three leaders in sacks. UNLV Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 5 QB Caleb Herring is back after a mediocre 2011 season (1,004 pass yds, 8 TD, 6 INT), but loses his top three receivers. Defensively, the Runnin Rebels have experienced backups stepping into starting roles for what could be an improving unit (they can t get much worse). UNLV s lack of a pass rush will lead to plenty more huge games for opposing QBs. Wyoming Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 7 After an impressive season in 2011, Wyoming is looking to compete for the MWC title. QB Brett Smith (3,332 total yds, 31 total TD) set the confernce record for total yards as a freshman last season, and the Cowboys get back their top three WRs. Defensively, they should be better than they were last year when they struggled mightily against the run. Playmaking CB Blair Burns (4 INT) returns to a secondary that was dominant at times last season. 92 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

93 mountain west AIR FORCE 11/16 IDAHO ST at Michigan at UNLV COLORADO ST NAVY at Wyoming NEW MEXICO NEVADA at Army at San Diego st HAWAII at Fresno St 9/5 NICHOLLS ST W at Minnesota L L (+3) U (49½) 9 at New Mexico W W (-16½) O (45½) 9/26 SAN DIEGO ST W L (-17) U (52½) 10/3 at Navy L P (+3) U (48½) 10/10 TCU L W (+10) U (43) 10/17 WYOMING W 10-0 L (-11½) U (45) 10/24 at Utah L W (+9) U (43) 10/31 at Colorado St W W (-7) O (45) 11/7 ARMY W 35-7 W (-17) O (37½) 11/14 UNLV W W (-17) O (47) 11/21 at BYU L L (+9) O (47½) 12/31 vs Houston W W (+4½) O (65½) mountain west STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % BOISE STATE 8/31 9/20 at Michigan St MIAMI OHIO BYU at New Mexico at Southern Miss FRESNO ST UNLV at Wyoming SAN DIEGO ST at Hawaii COLORADO ST at Nevada 9/3 OREGON W 19-8 W (-3) U (64) 2 MIAMI OHIO W 48-0 W (-38) U (52½) 8 at Fresno St W W (-7½) O (52½) 9/26 at Bowling Green W W (-16½) O (52) 10/3 CAL DAVIS W L (-47½) 10/14 at Tulsa W L (-9) U (56) 10/24 at Hawaii W 54-9 W (-25) O (59) 10/31 SAN JOSE ST W 45-7 W (-36) U (54) 11/6 at Louisiana Tech W L (-20) O (53) 11/14 IDAHO W W (-32) O (63½) 11/20 at Utah St W W (-22) O (62½) 11/27 NEVADA W L (-12) O (71) 12/5 NEW MEXICO ST W 42-7 L (-46½) U (58½) 1/4 vs TCU W W (+7½) U (54½) 9/4 NORTHWESTERN ST W P (-44) 1 BYU W W (-2) U (50) 8 at Oklahoma L W (+16½) U (53½) 9/25 at Wyoming W L (-13½) U (48½) 10/2 NAVY W 14-6 L (-9½) U (50) 10/9 COLORADO ST W L (-24) O (47) 10/16 at San Diego st L L (-1) U (55½) 10/23 at TCU L 7-38 L (+18½) U (51) 10/30 UTAH L W (+6½) U (55½) 11/6 at Army W W (-6) O (48½) 11/13 NEW MEXICO W L (-35) O (56½) 11/18 at UNLV W L (-19) U (56½) 12/27 vs Georgia Tech W 14-7 W (-3) U (55) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/6 vs Virginia Tech W W (+1½) O (53) 8 at Wyoming W 51-6 W (-23) O (51½) 9/25 OREGON ST W L (-18) O (56) 10/2 at New Mexico st W 59-0 W (-43½) U (61) 10/9 TOLEDO W W (-38) O (59½) 10/16 at San Jose st W 48-0 W (-40) U (58) 10/26 LOUISIANA TECH W L (-36) O (65½) 11/6 HAWAII W 42-7 W (-22) U (65) 11/12 at Idaho W W (-34½) U (67) 11/19 FRESNO ST W 51-0 W (-29) U (66) 11/26 at Nevada L L (-14) U (68) 12/4 UTAH ST W L (-40½) P (64) 12/22 vs Utah W 26-3 W (-16) U (58) StatFox Power Rating: 39 (#52 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.9 (#45 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (104th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (103rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +6.5 (#38 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 9 3 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 S DAKOTA W L (-34) 0 TCU L L (+1½) O (50½) 9/24 TENNESSEE ST W L (-40) O (59) 10/1 at Navy W W (+3) O (53½) 10/8 at Notre Dame L L (+14) O (55½) SAN DIEGO ST L L (-7) O (58) 10/22 at Boise St L W (+30) O (62) 10/29 at New Mexico W 42-0 W (-28½) U (63) 11/5 ARMY W L (-16½) U (55) 11/12 WYOMING L L (-16½) U (57½) 11/19 UNLV W W (-24) O (55½) 11/26 at Colorado St W W (-14) O (53) 12/28 vs Toledo L W (+3) O (68½) StatFox Power Rating: 59 (#7 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 25.2 (#5 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (67th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (78th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#3 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs Georgia W W (-3) O (51½) 6 at Toledo W W (-20) U (59½) 9/24 TULSA W L (-28) U (63) 10/1 NEVADA W L (-27½) U (59½) 10/7 at Fresno St W 57-7 W (-21) O (58½) 10/15 at Colorado St W W (-31½) O (53) 10/22 AIR FORCE W L (-30) O (62) 11/5 at UNLV W L (-43) O (59) 11/12 TCU L L (-16½) O (59½) 11/19 at San Diego st W L (-18½) O (55) 11/26 WYOMING W L (-32) U (61½) 12/3 NEW MEXICO W 45-0 L (-48) U (63) 12/22 vs Arizona St W W (-14) O (65) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

94 mountain west COLORADO STATE StatFox Power Rating: 19 (#107 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#106 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (100th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (97th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -9.8 (#101 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 9/2 vs Colorado N DAKOTA ST at San Jose st UTAH ST at Air Force FRESNO ST at San Diego st HAWAII at Wyoming UNLV at Boise St NEW MEXICO 9/6 at Colorado W W (+13) U (50½) 2 WEBER ST W L (-13½) 9 NEVADA W W (+5) U (57) 9/26 at BYU L W (+19½) O (56) 10/3 at Idaho L L (-4½) O (57) 10/10 UTAH L W (+9) U (50½) 10/17 at TCU L 6-44 L (+22½) U (50½) 10/24 SAN DIEGO ST L L (-8) O (50½) 10/31 AIR FORCE L L (+7) O (45) 11/7 at UNLV L L (+2) U (62) 11/21 at New Mexico L L (-3½) O (54) 11/27 WYOMING L L (-2½) U (48½) mountain west 94 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % FRESNO STATE WEBER ST at Oregon COLORADO at Tulsa SAN DIEGO ST at Colorado St at Boise St WYOMING at New Mexico HAWAII at Nevada AIR FORCE 9/5 CAL DAVIS W at Wisconsin L W (+7½) O (51½) 8 BOISE ST L L (+7½) O (52½) 9/26 at Cincinnati L W (+17) U (63½) 10/10 at Hawaii W W (-11) U (59½) 10/17 SAN JOSE ST W W (-19½) O (58) 10/24 at New Mexico st W 34-3 W (-24) U (51) 10/31 UTAH ST W L (-17) U (62½) 11/7 at Idaho W W (-9½) U (67) 11/14 at Nevada L L (+7½) U (68½) 11/21 LOUISIANA TECH W L (-9½) O (54½) 12/5 at Illinois W W (+2) O (58½) 12/19 vs Wyoming L L (-10) O (54½) 9/4 vs Colorado L 3-24 L (+11½) U (46½) 1 at Nevada L 6-51 L (+24½) U (58) 8 at Miami Ohio L L (+7) U (46) 9/25 IDAHO W W (+8) O (50½) 10/2 TCU L 0-27 W (+33½) U (54) 10/9 at Air Force L W (+24) O (47) 10/16 UNLV W W (-3½) O (51) 10/23 at Utah L 6-59 L (+31) O (56) 10/30 NEW MEXICO W W (-14½) O (51½) 11/6 at San Diego st L W (+18) U (58) 11/13 BYU L L (+6½) O (50) 11/20 at Wyoming L 0-44 L (+2½) U (50) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 CINCINNATI W W (-2½) U (57) 8 at Utah St W W (-3½) O (58) 9/25 at Ole Miss L L (+2) O (50½) 10/2 CAL POLY SLO W P (-21) 10/9 HAWAII L L (-11) O (65½) 10/16 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-30) U (56) 10/23 at San Jose st W L (-17½) O (49) 11/6 at Louisiana Tech W W (+3) O (59) 11/13 NEVADA L W (+8) O (68½) 11/19 at Boise St L 0-51 L (+29) U (66) 11/27 IDAHO W L (-10½) U (59) 12/3 ILLINOIS W W (+6½) U (60) 12/18 vs N Illinois L L (+1½) O (56½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at New Mexico W L (-6½) U (48) 0 N COLORADO W L (-21) O (41) 7 vs Colorado L L (+7½) U (51) 9/24 at Utah St W W (+12) O (53) 10/1 SAN JOSE ST L L (-3½) O (44) 10/15 BOISE ST L L (+31½) O (53) 10/22 at UTEP L L (+10) U (53½) 10/29 at UNLV L L (0) O (48½) 11/12 SAN DIEGO ST L W (+13½) U (55) 11/19 at TCU L W (+34) U (56) 11/26 AIR FORCE L L (+14) O (53) 12/3 WYOMING L W (+6) U (50) StatFox Power Rating: 27 (#93 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -4.7 (#92 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (81st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (66th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -6.6 (#91 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 9 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at California L L (+10) O (49) 0 at Nebraska L W (+28) O (53) 7 N DAKOTA W L (-28) U (51) 9/24 at Idaho W W (0) O (53) 10/1 OLE MISS L L (-4) O (55) 10/7 BOISE ST L 7-57 L (+21) O (58½) 10/15 UTAH ST W W (+2½) U (62) 10/22 at Nevada L W (+12) O (58½) 11/5 LOUISIANA TECH L L (-3½) O (58) 11/12 at New Mexico st L L (-6½) O (67½) 11/19 at Hawaii W W (+4½) U (63½) 11/26 SAN JOSE ST L L (-6½) U (64) 12/3 at San Diego st L P (+7) O (61)

95 mountain west HAWAII 9/28 11/16 12/1 at USC LAMAR NEVADA at BYU at San Diego st NEW MEXICO at Colorado St at Fresno St BOISE ST at Air Force UNLV S ALABAMA 9/5 C ARKANSAS W vs Washington St W W (-2½) O (55) 9 at UNLV L W (+7) O (56) 9/30 at Louisiana Tech L 6-27 L (+4½) U (55½) 10/10 FRESNO ST L L (+11) U (59½) 10/17 at Idaho L L (+7½) U (62½) 10/24 BOISE ST L 9-54 L (+25) O (59) 10/31 at Nevada L W (+29) U (69) 11/7 UTAH ST W W (+2) O (61) 11/14 NEW MEXICO ST W 24-6 L (-19½) U (53½) 11/21 at San Jose st W W (-2) U (54) 11/28 NAVY W W (+9) U (56) 12/5 WISCONSIN L L (+12) O (59) mountain west NEVADA STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % at California S FLORIDA NORTHWESTERN ST at Hawaii at Texas St univ WYOMING at UNLV SAN DIEGO ST at Air Force FRESNO ST at New Mexico BOISE ST 9/5 at Notre Dame L 0-35 L (+14½) U (62½) 9 at Colorado St L L (-5) U (57) 9/25 MISSOURI L L (+7) U (61) 10/3 UNLV W W (-6½) O (58½) 10/9 LOUISIANA TECH W W (-10½) U (58) 10/17 at Utah St W L (-8) O (65½) 10/24 IDAHO W W (-16½) O (67½) 10/31 HAWAII W L (-29) U (69) 11/8 at San Jose st W 62-7 W (-14) O (60) 11/14 FRESNO ST W W (-7½) U (68½) 11/21 at New Mexico st W W (-31) O (59½) 11/27 at Boise St L W (+12) O (71) 12/24 vs SMU L L (-11) U (69½) 9/2 USC L W (+21) O (53) 1 at Army W W (+3) O (52½) 8 at Colorado L L (+13½) U (56) 9/25 CHARLESTON SOUT W 66-7 W (-32) 10/2 LOUISIANA TECH W W (-8½) U (63) 10/9 at Fresno St W W (+11) O (65½) 10/16 NEVADA W W (+6½) U (75) 10/23 at Utah St W 45-7 W (-3) U (58½) 10/30 IDAHO W W (-15) U (66½) 11/6 at Boise St L 7-42 L (+22) U (65) 11/20 SAN JOSE ST W 41-7 W (-30) U (59) 11/27 at New Mexico st W W (-27½) O (57½) 12/4 UNLV W W (-32½) O (65½) 12/24 TULSA L L (-10) O (75½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 E WASHINGTON W L (-28) 1 COLORADO ST W 51-6 W (-24½) U (58) 7 CALIFORNIA W W (+2½) O (66½) 9/25 at BYU W W (-4½) U (63) 10/2 at UNLV W L (-20½) O (61) 10/9 SAN JOSE ST W L (-37) U (64) 10/16 at Hawaii L L (-6½) U (75) 10/30 UTAH ST W L (-27½) O (65) 11/6 at Idaho W W (-12) O (68½) 11/13 at Fresno St W L (-8) O (68½) 11/20 NEW MEXICO ST W 52-6 W (-37½) U (62) 11/26 BOISE ST W W (+14) U (68) 12/4 at Louisiana Tech W W (-7½) U (72) 1/9 vs Boston College W L (-7½) U (54) StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#88 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -2.4 (#82 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (115th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (83rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +2.4 (#63 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 9 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 COLORADO W W (-6½) U (54½) 0 at Washington L L (+4) O (51½) 7 at UNLV L L (-17½) O (59) 9/24 CAL DAVIS W W (-25) O (57) 10/1 at Louisiana Tech W W (+4½) O (58) 10/14 at San Jose st L L (-6) U (56) 10/22 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-23½) O (60½) 10/29 at Idaho W L (-7) U (55½) 11/5 UTAH ST L L (-4) O (61) 11/12 at Nevada L P (+14) O (63) 11/19 FRESNO ST L L (-4½) U (63½) 11/26 TULANE W L (-19) O (55½) 12/3 BYU L L (+8) O (54½) StatFox Power Rating: 43 (#34 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 7.9 (#36 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (80th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (93rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +6.5 (#38 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at Oregon L L (+27) O (64) 7 at San Jose st W L (-6½) U (53½) 9/24 at Texas Tech L W (+16) O (61) 10/1 at Boise St L W (+27½) U (59½) 10/8 UNLV W 37-0 W (-21) U (58) 10/15 NEW MEXICO W 49-7 W (-30) U (61½) 10/22 FRESNO ST W L (-12) O (58½) 10/29 at New Mexico st W L (-14½) O (60½) 11/12 HAWAII W P (-14) O (63) 11/19 LOUISIANA TECH L L (-7) U (56) 11/26 at Utah St L L (-1½) U (64½) 12/3 IDAHO W 56-3 W (-18) O (56) 12/24 vs Southern Miss L P (+7) U (65) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

96 mountain west NEW MEXICO StatFox Power Rating: 8 (#118 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#120 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (73rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (91st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#120 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 4 8 SOUTHERN at Texas at Texas Tech at New Mexico st BOISE ST TEXAS ST UNIV at Hawaii at Air Force FRESNO ST at UNLV WYOMING NEVADA at Colorado St 9/5 at Texas A&M L 6-41 L (+14½) U (55) 2 TULSA L L (+17) U (57) 9 AIR FORCE L L (+16½) O (45½) 9/26 NEW MEXICO ST L L (-11½) U (44) 10/3 at Texas Tech L W (+34½) O (56) 10/10 at Wyoming L L (+10) O (45) 10/24 UNLV L L (+1) U (60) 10/31 at San Diego st L W (+16½) U (54) 11/7 at Utah L L (+27) O (47½) 11/14 BYU L W (+27) U (57½) 11/21 COLORADO ST W W (+3½) O (54) 11/28 at TCU L W (+44) O (57½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Oregon L 0-72 L (+36½) O (54½) 1 TEXAS TECH L L (+24½) O (55½) 8 UTAH L L (+21½) O (54) 9/25 at UNLV L L (+10½) O (50) 10/2 UTEP L L (+15) O (57½) 10/9 at New Mexico st L W (+2½) U (49) 10/23 SAN DIEGO ST L W (+23½) U (55) 10/30 at Colorado St L L (+14½) O (51½) 11/6 WYOMING W W (+9) O (48) 11/13 at Air Force L W (+35) O (56½) 11/20 at BYU L 7-40 L (+30) U (52) 11/27 TCU L L (+44½) O (57½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 COLORADO ST L W (+6½) U (48) 0 at Arkansas L 3-52 L (+37) U (56) 7 TEXAS TECH L L (+20½) O (54½) 9/24 SAM HOUSTON ST L W (+6½) O (42) 10/1 NEW MEXICO ST L L (+1) O (54) 10/15 at Nevada L 7-49 L (+30) U (61½) 10/22 at TCU L 0-69 L (+44½) O (63½) 10/29 AIR FORCE L 0-42 L (+28½) U (63) 11/5 at San Diego st L 7-35 W (+35) U (57) 11/12 UNLV W W (+7) U (51) 11/19 at Wyoming L W (+22) U (50) 12/3 at Boise St L 0-45 W (+48) U (63) mountain west SAN DIEGO STATE StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#69 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.3 (#60 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (92nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (85th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +4.8 (#49 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): at Washington ARMY N DAKOTA SAN JOSE ST at Fresno St HAWAII COLORADO ST at Nevada UNLV at Boise St AIR FORCE at Wyoming 9/5 at UCLA L L (+18½) U (47½) 2 S UTAH W L (-19) 9 at Idaho L L (-3½) U (58) 9/26 at Air Force L W (+17) U (52½) 10/3 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-17½) O (46½) 10/17 BYU L W (+17) O (54) 10/24 at Colorado St W W (+8) O (50½) 10/31 NEW MEXICO W L (-16½) U (54) 11/7 TCU L L (+24½) O (48) 11/14 WYOMING L L (-7) O (49) 11/21 at Utah L 7-38 L (+21) U (54½) 11/28 at UNLV L W (+6½) U (60½) 96 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 NICHOLLS ST W 47-0 W (-32) 1 at New Mexico st W W (-14) O (50½) 8 at Missouri L W (+14) U (59) 9/25 UTAH ST W 41-7 W (-9½) U (62) 10/9 at BYU L L (-4½) U (53½) 10/16 AIR FORCE W W (+1) U (55½) 10/23 at New Mexico W L (-23½) U (55) 10/30 at Wyoming W P (-10) O (49) 11/6 COLORADO ST W L (-18) U (58) 11/13 at TCU L W (+27½) O (54) 11/20 UTAH L L (+2½) O (55) 11/27 UNLV W W (-24) O (61½) 12/23 NAVY W W (-3) U (57½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 CAL POLY SLO W W (-25½) 0 at Army W L (-8½) U (52) 7 WASHINGTON ST W W (-4) O (57) 9/24 at Michigan L 7-28 L (+10) U (57) 10/8 TCU L L (+4½) U (56½) at Air Force W W (+7) O (58) 10/29 WYOMING L L (-18½) P (57) 11/5 NEW MEXICO W 35-7 L (-35) U (57) 11/12 at Colorado St W L (-13½) U (55) 11/19 BOISE ST L W (+18½) O (55) 11/26 at UNLV W W (-16½) U (54½) 12/3 FRESNO ST W P (-7) O (61) 12/17 vs LA Lafayette L L (-6) O (60½)

97 mountain west UNLV 8/30 4 MINNESOTA N ARIZONA WASHINGTON ST AIR FORCE at Utah St at Louisiana Tech NEVADA at Boise St at San Diego st NEW MEXICO at Colorado St WYOMING at Hawaii 9/5 SACRAMENTO ST W OREGON ST L W (+6½) U (53) 9 HAWAII W L (-7) O (56) 9/26 at Wyoming L L (-3) O (46) 10/3 at Nevada L L (+6½) O (58½) 10/10 BYU L L (+17) O (64½) 10/17 UTAH L L (+14½) U (60) 10/24 at New Mexico W W (-1) U (60) 10/31 at TCU L 0-41 L (+35) U (57½) 11/7 COLORADO ST W W (-2) U (62) 11/14 at Air Force L L (+17) O (47) 11/28 SAN DIEGO ST W L (-6½) U (60½) mountain west WYOMING STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % at Texas TOLEDO CAL POLY SLO at Idaho at Nevada AIR FORCE at Fresno St BOISE ST COLORADO ST at New Mexico at UNLV SAN DIEGO ST 9/5 WEBER ST W TEXAS L W (+32) U (56) 9 at Colorado L 0-24 L (+7) U (52) 9/26 UNLV W W (+3) O (46) 10/3 at FLA Atlantic W W (+5½) O (54½) 10/10 NEW MEXICO W W (-10) O (45) 10/17 at Air Force L 0-10 W (+11½) U (45) 10/31 at Utah L W (+17) U (44½) 11/7 BYU L 0-52 L (+13½) O (49) 11/14 at San Diego st W W (+7) O (49) 11/21 TCU L L (+30½) O (50) 11/27 at Colorado St W W (+2½) U (48½) 12/19 vs Fresno St W W (+10) O (54½) 9/4 WISCONSIN L W (+20½) O (55) 1 at Utah L L (+20½) U (54) 8 at Idaho L 7-30 L (+7) U (59) 9/25 NEW MEXICO W W (-10½) O (50) 10/2 NEVADA L W (+20½) O (61) 10/9 at W Virginia L L (+26½) O (47½) 10/16 at Colorado St L L (+3½) O (51) 10/30 TCU L 6-48 L (+34½) U (56½) 11/6 at BYU L 7-55 L (+19) O (49½) 11/13 WYOMING W W (+4) O (52) 11/18 AIR FORCE L W (+19) U (56½) 11/27 at San Diego st L L (+24) O (61½) 12/4 at Hawaii L L (+32½) O (65½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 S UTAH W L (-21½) 1 at Texas L 7-34 W (+27½) U (51) 8 BOISE ST L 6-51 L (+23) O (51½) 9/25 AIR FORCE L W (+13½) U (48½) 10/2 at Toledo W W (+4½) U (49½) 10/9 at TCU L 0-45 L (+35½) U (48½) 10/16 UTAH L 6-30 L (+22) U (53) 10/23 at BYU L W (+11) O (44½) 10/30 SAN DIEGO ST L P (+10) O (49) 11/6 at New Mexico L L (-9) O (48) 11/13 at UNLV L L (-4) O (52) 11/20 COLORADO ST W 44-0 W (-2½) U (50) StatFox Power Rating: 13 (#114 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#115 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (69th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (79th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#118 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at Wisconsin L W (+36) O (56) 0 at Washington St L 7-59 L (+13½) O (56) 7 HAWAII W W (+17½) O (59) 9/24 S UTAH L L (-9½) U (63) 10/8 at Nevada L 0-37 L (+21) U (58) 10/15 at Wyoming L L (+10) P (55) 10/29 COLORADO ST W W (0) O (48½) 11/5 BOISE ST L W (+43) O (59) 11/12 at New Mexico L L (-7) U (51) 11/19 at Air Force L L (+24) O (55½) 11/26 SAN DIEGO ST L L (+16½) U (54½) 12/3 at TCU L 9-56 L (+39) O (54½) StatFox Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -0.2 (#73 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (105th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (89th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -1.7 (#74 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 WEBER ST W L (-12½) 0 TEXAS ST UNIV W W (-20½) U (56½) 7 at Bowling Green W W (+10) U (55½) 9/24 NEBRASKA L L (+20½) U (56) 10/8 at Utah St L L (+10½) O (55) 10/15 UNLV W W (-10) P (55) 10/29 at San Diego st W W (+18½) P (57) 11/5 TCU L W (+18½) U (55½) 11/12 at Air Force W W (+16½) U (57½) 11/19 NEW MEXICO W L (-22) U (50) 11/26 at Boise St L W (+32) U (61½) 12/3 at Colorado St W L (-6) U (50) 12/17 vs Temple L L (+7) O (51) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

98 PAC-12 north PREDICTED FINISH DIVISION south DIVISION 1. Oregon 2. Stanford 3. Washington 4. California 5. Washington St 6. Oregon State 1. USC 2. Utah 3. UCLA 4. Arizona 5. Arizona State 6. Colorado Arizona Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 5 New Head Coach: Rich Rodriguez Former West Virginia and Michigan head coach Rich Rodriguez has a nice set of talent for his spread offense. Matt Scott steps in at QB with experience and the athleticism to fit this offense well. The running game could be light years ahead of what it was last year, with Ka Deem Carey (425 rush yds, 6 TD as a freshman) taking over. Defensively, this team has a solid secondary with CB Shaq Richardson (4 INT) as the top returning starter. The defensive line is a problem area, as the Wildcats lack a dominant pass rusher. They ll need to find a way to get to the QB and stuff the run if Rodriguez is going to bring this year s team to a bowl. Arizona State Offense: Starters returning - 4 Defense: Starters returning - 7 New Head Coach: Todd Graham Former Rice, Tulsa and Pitt head coach Todd Graham has a lot of people excited about a team that showed a lot of promise this spring. The Sun Devils running game should be explosive, as Graham has raved about an offensive line that is capable of opening big holes for stud RB Cameron Marshall (1,050 rush yds, 18 TD). One thing they ll need to figure out is their QB situation, as they lost Brock Osweiler to the NFL. It appears as if sophomore Mike Bercovici will be the starter when the season begins. ASU could have a strong group of receivers led by Jamal Miles (60 catches, 6 TD). The defense lost a lot of key players, so it will be a process rebuilding that side of the ball. One bright spot is that they get back LB Brandon Magee, who missed 2011 with an Achilles injury. California Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 6 The Golden Bears appear to be a team that could surprise people. Their offense should be solid as they are getting back junior QB Zach Maynard (2,990 pass yds, 17 TD, 12 INT), RB Isi Sofele (1,322 rush yds, 5.2 YPC, 10 TD) and WR Keenan Allen (98 rec, 1,343 yards, 6 TD). This team will be able to put up a lot points, especially considering Maynard has improved during the spring. Cal fans should also be excited about the fact that the team s strong recent defensive recruiting classes should now start to pay dividends. The Bears held three Pac-12 opponents to 10 points or fewer last season, and they led the conference in total defense (333 total YPG). Colorado Offense: Starters returning - 4 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Colorado lost its best QB, RB and WR from last season, and that leaves major uncertainty at the skill positions. Kansas transfer Jordan Webb (1,884 pass yds, 13 TD, 12 INT) will likely start if he s deemed eligible. If not, Connor Wood is likely to take the job. Wood has yet to play a collegiate game, so it s unlikely he ll put up any monster numbers. Tony Jones seems like he ll be the guy to step in for the departed Rodney Stewart and handle the bulk of the rushing workload. Jones averaged just 3.8 yards per carry, but caught 27 passes in his final 10 games. Defensively, this team is inexperienced in the secondary and also on the defensive line. After a 3-10 year, it s not likely things will get much better. Oregon Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Oregon lost QB Darren Thomas and RB LaMichael James, but in comes QB Marcus Mariota and RB De Anthony Thomas. Mariota is a magnificent athlete with better touch as a passer than Darron Thomas. De Anthony Thomas isn t going to start, but he will have an increased role in the offense after averaging 10.8 yards per carry and scoring 7 TD as a freshman. His worldclass speed is tough to prepare for. The starter is senior RB Kenjon Barner (939 rush yds, 6.2 YPC, 14 total TD), who can also fly. The Ducks get back seven defensive starters, including S John Boyett (108 tackles) and DE Dion Jordan (7.5 sacks). Their secondary will need to be better if the Ducks want to win the Pac-12, but this offense will again be exciting to watch. Oregon State Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Oregon State should be a lot better than it was last year, when it finished 3-9 overall. The Beavers return seven offensive starters as well as eight defensive starters. QB Sean Mannion threw for 3,328 yards last year, but also threw more interceptions (18) than he did touchdowns (16), and that will have to change. Coach Mike Riley has already stated that this team will be more committed to the running game, which will consist of numerous running backs. This team also has a good receiving corps with senior WR Markus Wheaton (73 catches, 986 yards, 1 TD) leading the pack. The defense should be much improved from last year s unit that allowed 30.8 PPG and 411 total YPG, as they have solid linebackers and defensive backs returning. If the offensive line holds up, the Beavers could surprise some teams. 98 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

99 odds to win Pac-12 North DIVISION Oregon 2/1 2/5 Washington 12/1 5/1 California 18/1 17/2 Stanford 25/1 10/1 Washington State 50/1 15/1 Oregon State 60/1 22/1 Southern California Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 8 The Trojans are finally eligible for postseason play, and the timing couldn t be better, because this team has the talent to win another national championship. QB Matt Barkley (3,528 pass yds, 39 TD, 7 INT) is the front-runner to win the Heisman Trophy and has two of the top WRs in college football in Robert Woods (111 rec, 1,292 yds, 15 TD) and Marqise Lee (1,143 rec yds, 11 TD). Throw in RB Curtis McNeal (1,005 rush yds, 6 TD) and a good offensive line, and you have what could be the best offense in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball, the Trojans are getting back eight starters and should have a great group of linebackers to go along with a very solid secondary. The defensive line could be an issue, as no dominant run stuffer has emerged to play nose tackle. Stanford Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Cardinal were fortunate to have QB Andrew Luck last season, but now reality sets in. Stanford will need to choose between Brett Nottingham and Josh Nunes for the starting job, and neither will be asked to do too much. RB Stepfan Taylor (1,330 rush yds, 10 TD) will be featured heavily in an offense with a good offensive line and a great playbook. Taylor carried the football 35 times in the Fiesta Bowl loss to Oklahoma State, racking up 177 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, this team has one of the best front sevens in college football, and the Cardinal s physicality in the trenches will make them tough to move the ball against, especially on the ground, where they ranked third in the nation with 84 rush YPG allowed. UCLA Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 7 New Head Coach: Jim Mora Jr. The Bruins start in a new direction with head coach Jim Mora Jr. stepping in for Rick Neuheisel. Mora brings NFL head coaching experience to a program that has struggled over the last decade. He will have to pick a QB out of a group of three that includes last year s starter Kevin Prince (1,828 pass yds, 12 TD, 8 INT), Brett Hundley and Richard Brehaut (948 pass yds, 6 TD, 1 INT). Hundley has the most upside of the trio, and that could win him the job with his new coach. UCLA will likely try to pound the football after ranking third in the Pac-12 in rushing last year (178 rush YPG), giving the ball mostly to senior Johnathan Franklin (976 rush yds, 5 TD). Defensively, the Bruins return seven starters. If the incoming recruiting class (ranked 12th in the nation) can provide some instant contributors, UCLA will be a team on the rise. odds to win Pac-12 South DIVISION USC 5/8 1/6 Arizona 35/1 10/1 Utah 35/1 10/1 UCLA 40/1 15/1 Arizona State 50/1 18/1 Colorado 100/1 30/1 UTAH Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Utes are looking forward to the 2012 season as they get back most of their starting lineup from last year. QB Jordan Wynn is looking to bounce back from an injury-filled 2011, and he did have a strong spring. Wynn will have plenty of offensive weapons to choose from, most notably senior WR DeVonte Christopher (663 rec yds, 5 TD). RB John White returns, and he will be leaned on heavily after rushing for 1,519 yards and 15 TD. The amount of room White will have to run depends on the performance of an inexperience offensive line, but head coach Kyle Whittingham is confident that his line will come together. Defensively, this team could be a nightmare for opponents, as they have a great group of linebackers as well as one of the best defensive lines in the conference. Washington Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Washington is another team that could make the jump to the top of the Pac-12. Keith Price (3,063 pass yds, 33 TD, 11 INT) returns at QB after a brilliant year in The running game could be an issue, however, as Washington lost RB Chris Polk to the NFL and has a very banged up offensive line. Highly regarded Justin Wilcox, formerly the defensive coordinator for Boise State and Tennessee, takes over as DC and gets back seven starters. The secondary is going to be stronger than in 2011, but they have a long way to go to erase last year s debacle (285 pass YPG allowed, 5th-worst in nation) that ended with a loss to Baylor. The Huskies will also need consistent play from a group of erratic linebackers to provide stability. Washington State Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 7 New Head Coach: Mike Leach The Mike Leach Era is underway at Washington State, and his first important move as head coach will be naming QB Jeff Tuel the starter. Tuel, who was limited to just two games after breaking his collarbone, made a very strong first impression this spring and should be ready to break out in The Cougars get back leading rusher Rickey Galvin (602 rush yds, 5 TD) as well as stud WR Marquess Wilson (1,388 rec yds, 12 TD). This offense should be potent and the defense looks promising as well. Leach has stirred things up from last year and the changes should benefit an aggressive group of linebackers, featuring LB Travis Long, who love to get after the quarterback. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

100 PAC-12 ARIZONA StatFox Power Rating: 37 (#60 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -0.5 (#74 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (15th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (3rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -4.7 (#85 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /23 TOLEDO OKLAHOMA ST S CAROLINA ST at Oregon OREGON ST at Stanford WASHINGTON USC at UCLA COLORADO at Utah ARIZONA ST 9/5 C MICHIGAN W 19-6 L (-13½) U (55½) 2 N ARIZONA W L (-30) 9 at Iowa L L (+4½) O (41) 9/26 at Oregon St W W (+2½) O (46) 10/10 at Washington L L (-4) O (54) 10/17 STANFORD W W (-4) O (53½) 10/24 UCLA W W (-7½) U (49½) 11/7 WASHINGTON ST W 48-7 W (-32½) U (56½) 11/14 at California L L (+2½) U (55½) 11/21 OREGON L W (+5) O (60) 11/28 at Arizona St W L (-3½) U (44½) 12/5 at USC W W (+7) U (50) 12/30 vs Nebraska L 0-33 L (+2) U (42) PAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % ARIZONA STATE 10/11 10/18 11/23 N ARIZONA ILLINOIS at Missouri UTAH at California at Colorado OREGON UCLA at Oregon St at USC WASHINGTON ST at Arizona 9/5 IDAHO ST W LA MONROE W W (-21) O (50) 9/26 at Georgia L W (+13½) U (48½) 10/3 OREGON ST L L (-5) U (45½) 10/10 at Washington St W L (-20½) U (47) 10/17 WASHINGTON W W (-6½) U (47½) 10/24 at Stanford L L (+7) U (49) 10/31 CALIFORNIA L W (+6) U (51½) 11/7 USC L 9-14 W (+12) U (45½) 11/14 at Oregon L L (+21) O (51) 11/21 at UCLA L L (+5½) U (41) 11/28 ARIZONA L W (+3½) U (44½) 9/3 at Toledo W 41-2 W (-15) U (58) 1 THE CITADEL W 52-6 W (-42½) 8 IOWA W W (-2½) O (45) 9/25 CALIFORNIA W 10-9 L (-5½) U (57½) 10/9 OREGON ST L L (-8½) O (52½) 10/16 at Washington St W 24-7 L (-23) U (61) 10/23 WASHINGTON W W (-6) O (53) 10/30 at UCLA W P (-8) O (47) 11/6 at Stanford L L (+7½) O (57½) 11/13 USC L L (-4) U (61) 11/26 at Oregon L W (+20) O (64½) 12/2 ARIZONA ST L L (-4) O (57) 12/29 vs Oklahoma St L L (+4½) U (68½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 PORTLAND ST W 54-9 W (-39) 1 N ARIZONA W L (-24) 8 at Wisconsin L W (+11) U (49) 9/25 OREGON L W (+12½) O (56½) 10/2 at Oregon St L L (+2½) O (53) 10/9 at Washington W W (-1) U (59) 10/23 at California L L (+3) O (50½) 10/30 WASHINGTON ST W 42-0 W (-22) U (57) 11/6 at USC L W (+6) O (61) 11/13 STANFORD L W (+4½) U (59) 11/26 UCLA W W (-13) O (48½) 12/2 at Arizona W W (+4) O (57) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 N ARIZONA W W (-28) at Oklahoma St L L (+14) U (65½) 7 STANFORD L L (+9½) U (56) 9/24 OREGON L L (+15½) O (65) 10/1 at USC L W (+13) O (57) 10/8 at Oregon St L L (-1) O (59½) UCLA W W (-4½) U (62) 10/29 at Washington L L (+3½) O (71½) 11/5 UTAH L L (-4½) O (52) 11/12 at Colorado L L (-10) O (59) 11/19 at Arizona St W W (+10) U (68½) 11/26 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-14) O (64½) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 4.6 (#51 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (19th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (24th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +4.5 (#51 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways 32 7 CAL DAVIS W L (-37½) 9/9 MISSOURI W L (-10) O (50½) 7 at Illinois L L (+2½) U (55½) 9/24 USC W W (-2½) O (54) 10/1 OREGON ST W L (-17½) O (54½) 10/8 at Utah W W (-3) P (49) 10/15 at Oregon L P (+14) O (66) 10/29 COLORADO W W (-32½) O (56½) 11/5 at UCLA L L (-8½) O (56½) 11/12 at Washington St L L (-12) O (59½) 11/19 ARIZONA L L (-10) U (68½) 11/25 CALIFORNIA L L (-6) O (56) 12/22 vs Boise St L L (+14) O (65)

101 PAC-12 CALIFORNIA 11/2 NEVADA S UTAH at Ohio St at USC ARIZONA ST UCLA at Washington St STANFORD at Utah WASHINGTON OREGON at Oregon St 9/5 MARYLAND W W (-21) O (50½) 2 E WASHINGTON W 59-7 W (-34) 9 at Minnesota W W (-13½) O (52½) 9/26 at Oregon L 3-42 L (-5½) U (55) 10/3 USC L 3-30 L (+4½) U (45) 10/17 at UCLA W W (-3½) O (44) 10/24 WASHINGTON ST W L (-36½) O (60) 10/31 at Arizona St W L (-6) U (51½) 11/7 OREGON ST L L (-6½) U (61) 11/14 ARIZONA W W (-2½) U (55½) 11/21 at Stanford W W (+7) O (60) 12/5 at Washington L L (-6½) U (57) 12/23 vs Utah L L (-2½) O (52½) PAC-12 COLORADO STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 10/11 11/23 vs Colorado St SACRAMENTO ST at Fresno St at Washington St UCLA ARIZONA ST at USC at Oregon STANFORD at Arizona WASHINGTON UTAH 9/6 COLORADO ST L L (-13) U (50½) 1 at Toledo L L (-4) O (55) 9 WYOMING W 24-0 W (-7) U (52) 10/1 at W Virginia L W (+17) O (55½) 10/10 at Texas L W (+33½) U (59) 10/17 KANSAS W W (+7½) O (54½) 10/24 at Kansas St L 6-20 L (+4½) U (49½) 10/31 MISSOURI L L (+3) O (46) 11/7 TEXAS A&M W W (+3) O (56) 11/14 at Iowa St L L (+4½) U (48½) 11/19 at Oklahoma St L W (+17) O (47) 11/27 NEBRASKA L W (+10) O (41) 9/4 CAL DAVIS W 52-3 W (-37) 1 COLORADO W 52-7 W (-10½) O (49½) 7 at Nevada L L (-2½) O (66½) 9/25 at Arizona L 9-10 W (+5½) U (57½) 10/9 UCLA W 35-7 W (-8) U (49) 10/16 at USC L L (+2) O (54) 10/23 ARIZONA ST W W (-3) O (50½) 10/30 at Oregon St L 7-35 L (+3) U (54) 11/6 at Washington St W L (-14) U (53½) 11/13 OREGON L W (+19) U (62½) 11/20 STANFORD L L (+6½) O (49) 11/27 WASHINGTON L L (-7) U (50) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 vs Colorado St W 24-3 W (-11½) U (46½) 1 at California L 7-52 L (+10½) O (49½) 8 HAWAII W W (-13½) U (56) 10/2 GEORGIA W W (+5) O (50½) 10/9 at Missouri L 0-26 L (+12) U (53) 10/16 BAYLOR L L (+1) O (53½) 10/23 TEXAS TECH L P (+3) U (57) 10/30 at Oklahoma L L (+25) U (56) 11/6 at Kansas L L (-8½) O (47) 11/13 IOWA ST W W (+1) U (55) 11/20 KANSAS ST W W (+2) O (54½) 11/26 at Nebraska L L (+18) O (48½) StatFox Power Rating: 45 (#27 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.7 (#47 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (25th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (8th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +4.2 (#53 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 8 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 FRESNO ST W W (-10) O (49) 0 at Colorado W L (-6) O (48½) 7 PRESBYTERIAN W W (-42½) O (58) 9/24 at Washington L L (-1½) U (59) at Oregon L L (+24) U (66) USC L 9-30 L (+3) U (58) 10/22 UTAH W W (-1½) U (46½) 10/29 at UCLA L L (-4) U (51½) 11/5 WASHINGTON ST W 30-7 W (-8½) U (55½) 11/12 OREGON ST W 23-6 W (-8) U (52) 11/19 at Stanford L W (+17½) O (56½) 11/25 at Arizona St W W (+6) O (56) 12/28 vs Texas L L (+3) U (48)) StatFox Power Rating: 30 (#80 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#109 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: 42 (10th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (14th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#114 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Hawaii L L (+6½) U (54½) 0 CALIFORNIA L W (+6) O (48½) 7 vs Colorado St W W (-7½) U (51) 9/24 at Ohio St L L (+15) O (47½) 10/1 WASHINGTON ST L L (-3½) U (60) 10/8 at Stanford L 7-48 L (+28½) U (61½) 10/15 at Washington L L (+17½) O (57) 10/22 OREGON L 2-45 L (+30½) U (64½) 10/29 at Arizona St L L (+32½) O (56½) 11/4 USC L L (+19½) O (57½) 11/12 ARIZONA W W (+10) O (59) 11/19 at UCLA L 6-45 L (+11½) U (55½) 11/25 at Utah W W (+22½) U (48½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

102 PAC-12 OREGON StatFox Power Rating: 62 (#3 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 22.6 (#7 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (11st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (39th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#7 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /18 ARKANSAS ST FRESNO ST TENNESSEE TECH ARIZONA at Washington St WASHINGTON at Arizona St COLORADO at USC at California STANFORD at Oregon St 9/3 at Boise St L 8-19 L (+3) U (64) 2 PURDUE W L (-13) O (57½) 9 UTAH W W (-4) O (53½) 9/26 CALIFORNIA W 42-3 W (+5½) U (55) 10/3 WASHINGTON ST W 52-6 W (-35) O (55½) 10/10 at UCLA W W (-3) U (44) 10/24 at Washington W W (-9½) O (55½) 10/31 USC W W (+3) O (48½) 11/7 at Stanford L L (-6½) O (57½) 11/14 ARIZONA ST W W (-21) O (51) 11/21 at Arizona W L (-5) O (60) 12/3 OREGON ST W L (-9½) O (63) 1/1 vs Ohio St L L (-4½) U (51) PAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % OREGON STATE NICHOLLS ST WISCONSIN at UCLA at Arizona WASHINGTON ST at BYU UTAH at Washington ARIZONA ST at Stanford CALIFORNIA OREGON 9/5 PORTLAND ST W at UNLV W L (-6½) U (53) 9 CINCINNATI L L (+1) U (57½) 9/26 ARIZONA L L (-2½) O (46) 10/3 at Arizona St W W (+5) U (45½) 10/10 STANFORD W W (+2) O (52½) 10/24 at USC L W (+21) O (52) 10/31 UCLA W L (-10) U (48) 11/7 at California W W (+6½) U (61) 11/14 WASHINGTON W W (-13½) O (58) 11/21 at Washington St W W (-31) U (56) 12/3 at Oregon L W (+9½) O (63) 12/22 vs BYU L L (-2½) O (58) 9/4 NEW MEXICO W 72-0 W (-36½) O (54½) 1 at Tennessee W W (-10½) O (52) 8 PORTLAND ST W 69-0 W (-55) 9/25 at Arizona St W L (-12½) O (56½) 10/2 STANFORD W W (-6½) O (64) 10/9 at Washington St W L (-37) U (70) 10/21 UCLA W W (-26½) O (60½) 10/30 at USC W W (-6) O (72) 11/6 WASHINGTON W L (-38) O (68) 11/13 at California W L (-19) U (62½) 11/26 ARIZONA W L (-20) O (64½) 12/4 at Oregon St W W (-16½) U (62½) 1/10 vs Auburn L L (-1) U (73½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 vs TCU L W (+13½) O (49) 8 LOUISVILLE W L (-20½) O (55) 9/25 at Boise St L W (+18) O (56) 10/2 ARIZONA ST W W (-2½) O (53) 10/9 at Arizona W W (+8½) O (52½) 10/16 at Washington L W (+2) O (60½) 10/30 CALIFORNIA W 35-7 W (-3) U (54) 11/6 at UCLA L L (-4) U (53) 11/13 WASHINGTON ST L L (-23½) U (56) 11/20 USC W 36-7 W (+3) U (58½) 11/27 at Stanford L 0-38 L (+14) U (57) 12/4 OREGON L L (+16½) U (62½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs LSU L L (-3½) O (54) 0 NEVADA W W (-27) O (64) 7 MISSOURI ST W 56-7 L (-57) U (69½) 9/24 at Arizona W W (-15½) O (65) CALIFORNIA W W (-24) U (66) 10/15 ARIZONA ST W P (-14) O (66) 10/22 at Colorado W 45-2 W (-30½) U (64½) 10/29 WASHINGTON ST W L (-37½) O (70½) 11/5 at Washington W W (-16½) U (76½) 11/12 at Stanford W W (+2½) O (71) 11/19 USC L L (-15) O (70½) 11/26 OREGON ST W W (-27½) O (64½) 12/2 UCLA W L (-31) O (67) 1/2 vs Wisconsin W W (-4) O (74) StatFox Power Rating: 38 (#56 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -3.7 (#88 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (14th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (6th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -9.0 (#99 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 SACRAMENTO ST L L (-23½) 0 at Wisconsin L 0-35 L (+20) U (56½) 9/24 UCLA L L (-4) U (52½) 10/1 at Arizona St L W (+17½) O (54½) 10/8 ARIZONA W W (+1) O (59½) 10/15 BYU L L (-3½) O (51½) 10/22 vs Washington St W W (+3) O (56) 10/29 at Utah L 8-27 L (+5½) U (49) 11/5 STANFORD L L (+20) U (61½) 11/12 at California L 6-23 L (+8) U (52) 11/19 WASHINGTON W W (+1) O (57½) 11/26 at Oregon L L (+27½) O (64½)

103 PAC-12 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 10/4 HAWAII vs Syracuse at Stanford CALIFORNIA at Utah at Washington COLORADO at Arizona OREGON ARIZONA ST at UCLA NOTRE DAME 9/5 SAN JOSE ST W 56-3 W (-34) O (47) 2 at Ohio St W L (-7) U (45½) 9 at Washington L L (-20) U (53) 9/26 WASHINGTON ST W 27-6 L (-45½) U (57½) 10/3 at California W 30-3 W (-4½) U (45) 10/17 at Notre Dame W L (-9½) O (51) 10/24 OREGON ST W L (-21) O (52) 10/31 at Oregon L L (-3) O (48½) 11/7 at Arizona St W 14-9 L (-12) U (45½) 11/14 STANFORD L L (-11½) O (58) 11/28 UCLA W 28-7 W (-13) U (47) 12/5 ARIZONA L L (-7) U (50) 12/26 vs Boston College W W (-7½) U (45) PAC-12 STANFORD STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/27 SAN JOSE ST DUKE USC at Washington ARIZONA at Notre Dame at California WASHINGTON ST at Colorado OREGON ST at Oregon at UCLA 9/5 at Washington St W W (-17) U (52½) 2 at Wake Forest L L (+3) U (46½) 9 SAN JOSE ST W W (-18) O (47½) 9/26 WASHINGTON W W (-9) U (54) 10/3 UCLA W W (-4½) U (45) 10/10 at Oregon St L L (-2) O (52½) 10/17 at Arizona L L (+4) O (53½) 10/24 ARIZONA ST W W (-7) U (49) 11/7 OREGON W W (+6½) O (57½) 11/14 at USC W W (+11½) O (58) 11/21 CALIFORNIA L L (-7) O (60) 11/28 NOTRE DAME W L (-10) O (64) 12/31 vs Oklahoma L W (+10½) O (54½) 9/2 at Hawaii W L (-21) O (53) 1 VIRGINIA W L (-20½) U (53) 8 at Minnesota W P (-11) U (55) 9/25 at Washington St W W (-22) O (54½) 10/2 WASHINGTON L L (-9½) O (59½) 10/9 at Stanford L W (+10) O (60) 10/16 CALIFORNIA W W (-2) O (54) 10/30 OREGON L L (+6) O (72) 11/6 ARIZONA ST W L (-6) O (61) 11/13 at Arizona W W (+4) U (61) 11/20 at Oregon St L 7-36 L (-3) U (58½) 11/27 NOTRE DAME L L (-5) U (53) 12/4 at UCLA W W (-6½) U (52) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 SACRAMENTO ST W L (-42) 1 at UCLA W 35-0 W (-5½) U (52) 8 WAKE FOREST W W (-17½) O (56) 9/25 at Notre Dame W W (-4½) U (59½) 10/2 at Oregon L L (+6½) O (64) 10/9 USC W L (-10) O (60) 10/23 WASHINGTON ST W L (-37) O (65½) 10/30 at Washington W 41-0 W (-7) U (64) 11/6 ARIZONA W W (-7½) O (57½) 11/13 at Arizona St W L (-4½) U (59) 11/20 at California W W (-6½) O (49) 11/27 OREGON ST W 38-0 W (-14) U (57) 1/3 vs Virginia Tech W W (-3½) U (58½) StatFox Power Rating: 58 (#8 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#22 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (13rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (12nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#18 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 MINNESOTA W L (-24) U (51) 0 UTAH W W (-7½) U (51) 7 SYRACUSE W W (-17) O (50) 9/24 at Arizona St L L (+2½) O (54) 10/1 ARIZONA W L (-13) O (57) at California W 30-9 W (-3) U (58) 10/22 at Notre Dame W W (+10) U (57) 10/29 STANFORD L P (+8) O (62½) 11/4 at Colorado W W (-19½) O (57½) 11/12 WASHINGTON W W (-12½) U (64) 11/19 at Oregon W W (+15) O (70½) 11/26 UCLA W 50-0 W (-16) U (56) StatFox Power Rating: 60 (#6 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 19.3 (#10 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (12nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (18th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#8 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 SAN JOSE ST W 57-3 W (-30½) O (53) 0 at Duke W W (-20½) U (62) 7 at Arizona W W (-9½) U (56) 10/1 UCLA W W (-23) O (57) 10/8 COLORADO W 48-7 W (-28½) U (61½) 10/15 at Washington St W W (-20) U (64½) 10/22 WASHINGTON W W (-18) O (66) 10/29 at USC W P (-8) O (62½) 11/5 at Oregon St W W (-20) U (61½) 11/12 OREGON L L (-2½) O (71) 11/19 CALIFORNIA W L (-17½) O (56½) 11/26 NOTRE DAME W W (-7) U (60) 1/2 vs Oklahoma St L W (+4½) O (73) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

104 PAC-12 UCLA StatFox Power Rating: 36 (#64 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -7.1 (#99 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (1st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (9th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -8.3 (#96 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 9 8/30 at Rice NEBRASKA HOUSTON OREGON ST at Colorado at California UTAH at Arizona St ARIZONA at Washington St USC STANFORD 9/5 SAN DIEGO ST W W (-18½) U (47½) 2 at Tennessee W W (+10½) U (46) 9 KANSAS ST W 23-9 W (-11) U (44½) 10/3 at Stanford L L (+4½) U (45) 10/10 OREGON L L (+3) U (44) 10/17 CALIFORNIA L L (+3½) O (44) 10/24 at Arizona L L (+7½) U (49½) 10/31 at Oregon St L W (+10) U (48) 11/7 WASHINGTON W L (-4½) U (52) 11/14 at Washington St W 43-7 W (-18) O (48) 11/21 ARIZONA ST W W (-5½) U (41) 11/28 at USC L 7-28 L (+13) U (47) 12/29 vs Temple W W (-4½) O (44) PAC-12 UTAH 104 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 8/30 9/7 10/4 11/23 N COLORADO at Utah St BYU at Arizona St USC at UCLA at Oregon St CALIFORNIA WASHINGTON ST at Washington ARIZONA at Colorado 9/3 UTAH ST W L (-20½) O (50) 2 at San Jose st W L (-13½) U (48) 9 at Oregon L L (+4) O (53½) 9/26 LOUISVILLE W W (-14) U (52½) 10/10 at Colorado St W L (-9) U (50½) 10/17 at UNLV W W (-14½) U (60) 10/24 AIR FORCE W L (-9) U (43) 10/31 WYOMING W L (-17) U (44½) 11/7 NEW MEXICO W W (-27) O (47½) 11/14 at TCU L L (+19½) O (49) 11/21 SAN DIEGO ST W 38-7 W (-21) U (54½) 11/28 at BYU L W (+8) U (55½) 12/23 vs California W W (+2½) O (52½) 9/4 at Kansas St L L (+1) O (44½) 1 STANFORD L 0-35 L (+5½) U (52) 8 HOUSTON W W (+3½) U (66) 9/25 at Texas W W (+15½) O (43½) 10/2 WASHINGTON ST W L (-23½) O (48) 10/9 at California L 7-35 L (+8) U (49) 10/21 at Oregon L L (+26½) O (60½) 10/30 ARIZONA L P (+8) O (47) 11/6 OREGON ST W W (+4) U (53) 11/18 at Washington L 7-24 L (+2) U (51½) 11/26 at Arizona St L L (+13) O (48½) 12/4 USC L L (+6½) U (52) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 PITTSBURGH W P (-3) O (48½) 1 UNLV W W (-20½) U (54) 8 at New Mexico W W (-21½) O (54) 9/25 SAN JOSE ST W 56-3 W (-30) O (52) 10/9 at Iowa St W W (-5½) O (54) 10/16 at Wyoming W 30-6 W (-22) U (53) 10/23 COLORADO ST W 59-6 W (-31) O (56) 10/30 at Air Force W L (-6½) U (55½) 11/6 TCU L 7-47 L (+4) O (50½) 11/13 at Notre Dame L 3-28 L (-5½) U (53) 11/20 at San Diego st W W (-2½) O (55) 11/27 BYU W L (-7½) U (50½) 12/22 vs Boise St L 3-26 L (+16) U (58) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Houston L L (+1½) O (59½) 0 SAN JOSE ST W L (-20) U (49½) 7 TEXAS L L (+4) O (47) 9/24 at Oregon St W W (+4) U (52½) 10/1 at Stanford L L (+23) O (57) 10/8 WASHINGTON ST W L (-4) U (59) at Arizona L L (+4½) U (62) 10/29 CALIFORNIA W W (+4) U (51½) 11/5 ARIZONA ST W W (+8½) O (56½) 11/12 at Utah L 6-31 L (+7) U (45½) 11/19 COLORADO W 45-6 W (-11½) U (55½) 11/26 at USC L 0-50 L (+16) U (56) 12/2 at Oregon L W (+31) O (67) 12/31 vs Illinois L L (+3) U (45) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.8 (#56 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (42nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (45th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +4.8 (#49 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways 33 4 MONTANA ST W L (-29½) 0 at USC L L (+7½) U (51) 7 at BYU W W (+4) O (44½) 10/1 WASHINGTON L L (-10) U (55½) 10/8 ARIZONA ST L L (+3) P (49) 10/15 at Pittsburgh W W (+6) U (45½) 10/22 at California L L (+1½) U (46½) 10/29 OREGON ST W 27-8 W (-5½) U (49) 11/5 at Arizona W W (+4½) O (52) 11/12 UCLA W 31-6 W (-7) U (45½) 11/19 at Washington St W L (-4) O (49) 11/25 COLORADO L L (-22½) U (48½) 12/31 vs Georgia Tech W W (+1½) O (49)

105 PAC-12 WASHINGTON 9/27 11/2 11/23 SAN DIEGO ST at LSU PORTLAND ST STANFORD at Oregon USC at Arizona OREGON ST at California UTAH at Colorado at Washington St 9/5 LSU L W (+17½) O (52½) 2 IDAHO W L (-20½) O (55) 9 USC W W (+20) U (53) 9/26 at Stanford L L (+9) U (54) 10/3 at Notre Dame L W (+12) O (55) 10/10 ARIZONA W W (+4) O (54) 10/17 at Arizona St L L (+6½) U (47½) 10/24 OREGON L L (+9½) O (55½) 11/7 at UCLA L W (+4½) U (52) 11/14 at Oregon St L L (+13½) O (58) 11/28 WASHINGTON ST W 30-0 W (-25½) U (60½) 12/5 CALIFORNIA W W (+6½) U (57) PAC-12 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % WASHINGTON STATE 8/ /23 at BYU E WASHINGTON at UNLV COLORADO OREGON at Oregon St CALIFORNIA at Stanford at Utah UCLA at Arizona St WASHINGTON 9/5 STANFORD L L (+17) U (52½) 2 vs Hawaii L L (+2½) O (55) 9 SMU W W (+4) U (58) 9/26 at USC L 6-27 W (+45½) U (57½) 10/3 at Oregon L 6-52 L (+35) O (55½) 10/10 ARIZONA ST L W (+20½) U (47) 10/24 at California L W (+36½) O (60) 10/31 vs Notre Dame L W (+28) U (62) 11/7 at Arizona L 7-48 L (+32½) U (56½) 11/14 UCLA L 7-43 L (+18) O (48) 11/21 OREGON ST L L (+31) U (56) 11/28 at Washington L 0-30 L (+25½) U (60½) 9/4 at BYU L L (-1½) U (56½) 1 SYRACUSE W W (-13) O (51½) 8 NEBRASKA L L (+2½) O (51) 10/2 at USC W W (+9½) O (59½) 10/9 ARIZONA ST L L (+1) U (59) 10/16 OREGON ST W L (-2) O (60½) 10/23 at Arizona L L (+6) O (53) 10/30 STANFORD L 0-41 L (+7) U (64) 11/6 at Oregon L W (+38) O (68) 11/18 UCLA W 24-7 W (-2) U (51½) 11/27 at California W W (+7) U (50) 12/4 at Washington St W W (-5½) O (54) 12/30 vs Nebraska W 19-7 W (+12) U (55) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Oklahoma St L L (+16½) O (51) 1 MONTANA ST W L (-7½) 8 at SMU L W (+23½) O (53½) 9/25 USC L L (+22) O (54½) 10/2 at UCLA L W (+23½) O (48) 10/9 OREGON L W (+37) U (70) 10/16 ARIZONA L 7-24 W (+23) U (61) 10/23 at Stanford L W (+37) O (65½) 10/30 at Arizona St L 0-42 L (+22) U (57) 11/6 CALIFORNIA L W (+14) U (53½) 11/13 at Oregon St W W (+23½) U (56) 12/4 WASHINGTON L L (+5½) O (54) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 0.2 (#70 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (19th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (4th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -2.5 (#79 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 E WASHINGTON W L (-16½) 0 HAWAII W W (-4) O (51½) 7 at Nebraska L W (+17½) O (53½) 9/24 CALIFORNIA W W (+1½) U (59) 10/1 at Utah W W (+10) U (55½) 10/15 COLORADO W W (-17½) O (57) 10/22 at Stanford L L (+18) O (66) 10/29 ARIZONA W W (-3½) O (71½) 11/5 OREGON L L (+16½) U (76½) 11/12 at USC L L (+12½) U (64) 11/19 at Oregon St L L (-1) O (57½) 11/26 vs Washington St W W (-8½) U (61½) 12/29 vs Baylor L L (+8) O (79) StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#69 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -2.3 (#81 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (45th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (35th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -1.9 (#75 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 IDAHO ST W W (-29½) 0 UNLV W 59-7 W (-13½) O (56) 7 at San Diego st L L (+4) O (57) 10/1 at Colorado W W (+3½) U (60) 10/8 at UCLA L W (+4) U (59) 10/15 STANFORD L L (+20) U (64½) 10/22 vs Oregon St L L (-3) O (56) 10/29 at Oregon L W (+37½) O (70½) 11/5 at California L 7-30 L (+8½) U (55½) 11/12 ARIZONA ST W W (+12) O (59½) 11/19 UTAH L W (+4) O (49) 11/26 vs Washington L L (+8½) U (61½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

106 SEC SEC East - odds to win SEC EAST 1. Georgia 11/2 17/10 2. South Carolina 10/1 5/2 3. Florida 12/1 3/1 4. Missouri 35/1 11/1 5. Tennessee 35/1 11/1 6. Vanderbilt 60/1 16/1 7. Kentucky 100/1 25/1 SEC West - odds to win SEC WEST 1. LSU 11/5 8/5 2. Alabama 11/5 8/5 3. Arkansas 7/1 4/1 4. Auburn 22/1 12/1 5. Mississippi St. 30/1 15/1 6. Texas A&M 40/1 20/1 7. Mississippi 100/1 50/1 Alabama Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 5 Trent Richardson may be gone, but things still look bright for the Crimson Tide. Eddie Lacy proved to be a tremendous backup last season, averaging more than seven yards per carry, and he should be the next star in Alabama s backfield. QB A.J. McCarron now has a full year under his belt after throwing for 2,615 yards and 16 TD last year. Alabama will need some of its receivers to step up, but these guys are all highly regarded recruits and should be up for the task. The defense won t be as good as it was last year, but Alabama is getting another spectacular recruiting class to plug the holes. Arkansas Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 6 New Head Coach: John L. Smith The Razorbacks are looking to put the Bobby Petrino debacle behind them, and they have the offense to do it. QB Tyler Wilson threw for 3,638 yards and 24 TD last season. The team also has a very good running game that sees a number of RBs get touches, though All-America candidate Knile Davis will lead the way if he s fully recovered from a knee injury that kept him out in An issue for Arkansas this year may be its offensive line, as the team lost a few starters and must do a good job protecting Wilson to keep this offense flowing. Defensively, the Razorbacks have trouble getting to the quarterback and stopping the run, but a good recruiting class and more experience for their young players should make for an improved defense. Auburn Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 9 After a year of rebuilding, the Tigers return 16 starters in 2012 and should regain their position near the top of the SEC. All of their success, however, will depend on the performance of the winner of the QB battle between Clint Moseley and Barrett Trotter. Star RB Michael Dyer followed offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn to Arkansas State, leaving undersized Onterio McCalebb as Auburn s only proven runner. The Tigers will need to pass the ball better this season to keep defenses honest. However, Auburn should have one of the better defenses in the SEC with nearly all of its players returning on that side of the ball. Given the experience they gained last season, this unit could end up being among the SEC s elite. Florida Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 9 Florida is in an unusual position of having too many high-upside quarterbacks. Replacing departed John Brantley will be Jacoby Brissett or freshman Jeff Driskel, both of whom are good enough to play. The Gators roster is full of backs and receivers with track-star speed but little on-field production. On the other hand, the defense should have no issues with nine starters returning from a solid unit. They have a couple of future NFL players in Sharrif Floyd and Jelani Jenkins, but as was the case with LSU last year, it s difficult to win a national championship without at least a little offensive production. Georgia Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 9 As if the SEC wasn t going to be full of national title contenders already, here s another one. The Bulldogs are losing only two starters from one of the nation s top defenses, so they should be even better than they were last year now that they have more experience. Offensively, junior QB Aaron Murray had a phenomenal year (3,149 pass yds, 35 TD, 14 INT) and he s getting back all of his favorite weapons with the exception of RB Isaiah Crowell, whose arrest in late June on three weapons charges, two of which were felonies, triggered an immediate suspension from the team. The offensive line is going to have to replace a few starters, but if they can successfully plug those holes, this team could be in the hunt to play for a national championship. Kentucky Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 5 Last season was definitely one to forget for the Wildcats, whose offense had trouble scoring in the worst of ways (15.8 PPG, 4th-worst in FBS). Things should be a little better in 2012 mainly because the team has finally decided to stick with one quarterback. Maxwell Smith struggled at times as a freshman, but he did show signs of promise with a 283-yard, two-td game against Ole Miss in November. This team will need guys to step up around him though. Defensively, they couldn t stop any of the SEC powerhouses, and although they have some starters returning and some promising new recruits, it s likely going to be another tough year for this defense. 106 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012

107 LSU Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 5 LSU fans disappointed about not winning the national championship can take solace in this year s team s chance to be even better. The Tigers did lose some key players on defense, including first-round NFL draft picks Michael Brockers and Morris Claiborne, but they are still loaded with such talented players as DB Tyrann Mathieu and DL Anthony The Freak Johnson. This defense shouldn t slip, and offensively this team has a chance to be much better. All top four running backs return, led by Michael Ford (756 rush yds, 7 TD) and Spencer Ware (707 rush yds, 8 TD). The Tigers also finally have a quarterback who can make some gutsy throws in Zach Mettenberger, so they no longer have to play conservatively and win defensive battles. Mississippi Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 6 New Head Coach: Hugh Freeze Ole Miss had a lot of trouble on both sides of the ball last year, and that could be the case again in The Rebels scored just 16.1 PPG (5th-least in FBS) and allowed New head coach Hugh Freeze hopes to change all that, but his team doesn t have a clear choice at QB, and in the SEC that s a problem. The running game will struggle due to an inexperienced O-line even though Jeff Scott (529 rush yds, 6 TD) is a decent runner. The defense finished last in the SEC in sacks and Tackles For Loss. This secondary is strong, but the front seven struggles stopping the run (224 rush YPG allowed) and pressuring the quarterback. Mississippi State Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Although the Bulldogs have made improvements over the past couple of years, they have failed to break through in the SEC. This season Tyler Russell will take over as QB after a year of splitting time. He should be able to handle the job as long as his offensive line holds up. RB LaDarius Perkins has shown a lot of promise, averaging just over five yards per carry in two seasons. On defense, Mississippi State won t be as good as last season when it allowed 19.7 PPG (16th in nation). The Bulldogs have lost their anchor, DT Fletcher Cox, and their secondary is very inconsistent, finishing 11th in the SEC in passing defense (197 YPG). Missouri Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Tigers have most of their talent back at skill positions. Dual threat QB James Franklin (2,865 pass yds, 21 TD; 981 rush yds, 15 TD) gets back outstanding targets in WRs T.J Moe (649 rec yds, 4 TD) and Marcus Lucas (414 rec yds, 5 TD). RB Henry Josey (1,168 rush yds, 9 TD) is likely out for the year with a knee injury, but Kendial Lawrence (566 rush yds, 5 TD) is a capable replacement. This offense will be able to put up points in a hurry if the line holds up. On the defensive side, the Tigers bring back an experienced secondary, but their top linemen, DE Brad Madison and DT Sheldon Richardson, both missed the spring with shoulder injuries. They ll need to get healthy and have big years for Missouri to be competitive in the SEC. South Carolina Offense: Starters returning - 7 Defense: Starters returning - 6 This could be the best team Steve Spurrier has had since arriving at South Carolina. QB Connor Shaw proved to be solid last season (65.4% completions, 14 TD, 6 INT; 8 rush TD in final six games) and RB Marcus Lattimore (818 rush yds, 10 TD in 7 games) should be fully recovered from his knee injury and ready for a Heisman campaign. The team is confident in its group of receivers, and the offensive line should be a lot better than it was last year. If the Gamecocks get consistent play from their secondary, they should be at least as good as they were a year ago. Sophomore DE Jadeveon Clowney (8 sacks) has superstar potential and should make this defense one of the nation s best. Tennessee Offense: Starters returning - 10 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Tennessee is looking to climb back up the ranks of the SEC. Former NFL and Alabama assistant Sal Sunseri takes over as defensive coordinator and is going to have to bring out some untapped potential in his line and secondary. On offense, the Vols return QB Tyler Bray (283 passing YPG, 17 TD, 6 INT in 7 games) and stud WR Justin Hunter, who totaled 302 receiving yards in two games before suffering a season-ending ACL injury. The running game should improve too, as Tennessee is getting back every offensive lineman it had last year, and there is enough talent at running back to make up for the loss of departed senior RB Tauren Poole. The best of the lot should be sophomore Marlin Lane, who had just 75 carries as a freshman. Texas a&m Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 6 New Head Coach: Kevin Sumlin Former Houston head coach Kevin Sumlin s toughest job is going to be finding a quarterback to run his high-octane offense. Jameill Showers, who attempted just five passes as a freshman, will likely win the starting job. Senior WR Ryan Swope remains the top target in the passing game (89 rec, 1,207 yds, 11 TD). The health of RB Christine Michael will be very important if this team is going to move the ball consistently. DE Damontre Moore (8.5 sacks) is going to be a crucial part of the defense. A&M is going to have a lot of trouble covering wideouts after losing three important DBs in a secondary that allowed 276 passing YPG last year (109th in FBS). Vanderbilt Offense: Starters returning - 9 Defense: Starters returning - 7 This has the look of a promising season for the Commodores as their top three offensive players return in QB Jordan Rodgers (1,524 pass yds, 9 TD, 10 INT), RB Zac Stacy (1,193 rush yds, 14 TD) and WR Jordan Matthews (778 rec yds, 5 TD). The success of this team is ultimately going to come down to the defense, which loses several key players from a unit that overachieved by allowing just 323 total YPG (18th in nation) and ranking 29th in FBS in points allowed (21.6 PPG). Yet the Commodores still finished only 2-6 in SEC play, beating only Ole Miss and Kentucky at home for their two conference victories. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

108 SEC ALABAMA StatFox Power Rating: 67 (#1 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 28.5 (#1 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (24th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (33rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#2 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 vs Michigan W KENTUCKY at Arkansas FLA ATLANTIC OLE MISS at Missouri at Tennessee MISSISSIPPI ST at LSU TEXAS A&M W CAROLINA AUBURN 9/5 vs Virginia Tech W W (-6½) O (37) 2 FLA INTERNATIONAL W L (-33½) O (50½) 9 NORTH TEXAS W 53-7 W (-37) O (51) 9/26 ARKANSAS W 35-7 W (-17½) U (54½) 10/3 at Kentucky W W (-16) O (47) 10/10 at Ole Miss W 22-3 W (-4) U (46) 10/17 S CAROLINA W 20-6 L (-17½) U (43½) 10/24 TENNESSEE W L (-14) U (42) 11/7 LSU W W (-7) O (38) 11/14 at Mississippi St W 31-3 W (-11) U (44½) 11/21 CHATTANOOGA W /27 at Auburn W L (-10) P (47) 12/5 vs Florida W W (+5) O (41) 1/7 vs Texas W W (-3½) O (44½) SEC ARKANSAS 108 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % JACKSONVILLE ST LA MONROE ALABAMA RUTGERS at Texas A&M at Auburn KENTUCKY OLE MISS TULSA at S Carolina at Mississippi St LSU 9/5 MISSOURI ST W GEORGIA L L (-1½) O (54½) 9/26 at Alabama L 7-35 L (+17½) U (54½) 10/3 vs Texas A&M W W (-2) U (67) 10/10 AUBURN W W (+2) O (63) 10/17 at Florida L W (+24) U (57) 10/24 at Ole Miss L L (+6½) U (53½) 10/31 E MICHIGAN W L (-37) O (60) 11/7 S CAROLINA W W (-7½) U (55½) 11/14 TROY W W (-14) O (64) 11/21 MISSISSIPPI ST W W (-12) O (57½) 11/28 at LSU L W (+3½) O (54) 1/2 vs E Carolina W L (-7½) U (60) 9/4 SAN JOSE ST W 48-3 W (-40) U (52) 1 PENN ST W 24-3 W (-14) U (43) 8 at Duke W W (-23½) O (57) 9/25 at Arkansas W L (-6½) U (56) 10/2 FLORIDA W 31-6 W (-8) U (48) 10/9 at S Carolina L L (-6½) O (47) 10/16 OLE MISS W L (-20) U (53½) 10/23 at Tennessee W W (-17) O (47½) 11/6 at LSU L L (-7) P (45) 11/13 MISSISSIPPI ST W W (-13) U (45½) 11/18 GEORGIA ST W 63-7 W (-44) 11/26 AUBURN L L (-4) U (59) 1/1 vs Michigan St W 49-7 W (-7½) O (50½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 TENNESSEE TECH W 44-3 L (-49) 1 LA MONROE W 31-7 L (-33½) U (60) 8 at Georgia W W (+1½) O (53) 9/25 ALABAMA L W (+6½) U (56) 10/9 vs Texas A&M W W (-5½) U (62) 10/16 at Auburn L L (+3½) O (60) 10/23 OLE MISS W W (-10) O (57) 10/30 VANDERBILT W W (-20) O (54½) 11/6 at S Carolina W W (+4) O (60½) 11/13 UTEP W W (-28½) O (60) 11/20 at Mississippi St W W (-3) O (54½) 11/27 LSU W W (-3½) U (57) 1/4 vs Ohio St L L (+3) U (57½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 KENT ST W 48-7 W (-38½) O (49) 0 at Penn St W W (-10½) U (41½) 7 NORTH TEXAS W 41-0 L (-47) U (58½) 9/24 ARKANSAS W W (-12½) O (50½) 10/1 at Florida W W (-4) O (43) 10/8 VANDERBILT W 34-0 W (-29) U (44) 10/15 at Ole Miss W 52-7 W (-27½) O (45½) 10/22 TENNESSEE W 37-6 W (-29½) U (47) 11/5 LSU L 6-9 L (-5½) U (41½) 11/12 at Mississippi St W 24-7 L (-18) U (44½) 11/19 GA SOUTHERN W L (-43) O (54) 11/26 at Auburn W W (-21½) O (45) 1/9 vs LSU W 21-0 W (-2½) U (42) StatFox Power Rating: 57 (#9 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 12.4 (#17 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (31st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (15th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#15 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 MISSOURI ST W 51-7 W (-42) 0 NEW MEXICO W 52-3 W (-37) U (56) 7 TROY W L (-23) O (62) 9/24 at Alabama L L (+12½) O (50½) 10/1 vs Texas A&M W W (+2½) O (62) 10/8 AUBURN W W (-10) U (64½) 10/22 at Ole Miss W L (-15½) U (58½) 10/29 at Vanderbilt W L (-8) O (53½) 11/5 S CAROLINA W W (-4½) O (51) 11/12 TENNESSEE W 49-7 W (-16½) O (53½) 11/19 MISSISSIPPI ST W W (-13) O (54) 11/25 at LSU L L (+11) O (53½) 1/6 vs Kansas St W W (-9) U (65)

109 SEC AUBURN vs Clemson at Mississippi St LA MONROE LSU ARKANSAS at Ole Miss at Vanderbilt TEXAS A&M NEW MEXICO ST GEORGIA ALABAMA A&M at Alabama 9/5 LOUISIANA TECH W W (-13½) O (46) 2 MISSISSIPPI ST W W (-15½) O (47) 9 W VIRGINIA W W (-7) O (54½) 9/26 BALL ST W L (-30½) O (54½) 10/3 at Tennessee W W (+2½) U (49) 10/10 at Arkansas L L (-2) O (63) 10/17 KENTUCKY L L (-13½) U (56½) 10/24 at LSU L L (+7½) U (49) 10/31 OLE MISS W W (+6½) O (51) 11/7 FURMAN W L (-37½) 11/14 at Georgia L L (+4) P (55) 11/27 ALABAMA L W (+10) P (47) 1/1 vs Northwestern W L (-9) O (54½) SEC FLORIDA STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % BOWLING GREEN at Texas A&M at Tennessee KENTUCKY LSU at Vanderbilt S CAROLINA vs Georgia MISSOURI LA LAFAYETTE JACKSONVILLE ST at Florida St 9/5 CHARLESTON SOUT W TROY W 56-6 W (-37) O (61) 9 TENNESSEE W L (-30) U (52) 9/26 at Kentucky W 41-7 W (-20) U (53½) 10/10 at LSU W 13-3 W (-9½) U (46) 10/17 ARKANSAS W L (-24) U (57) 10/24 at Mississippi St W L (-22½) U (50) 10/31 vs Georgia W W (-16½) O (48½) 11/7 VANDERBILT W 27-3 L (-35) U (47) 11/14 at S Carolina W L (-17) U (44) 11/21 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 62-3 W (-47½) O (60) 11/28 FLORIDA ST W W (-26) U (57) 12/5 vs Alabama L L (-5) O (41) 1/1 vs Cincinnati W W (-12) O (59) 9/4 ARKANSAS ST W L (-31½) O (52½) 9/9 at Mississippi St W W (-1½) U (56) 8 CLEMSON W L (-8) U (54½) 9/25 S CAROLINA W W (-3) O (49) 10/2 LA MONROE W 52-3 W (-35) U (55½) 10/9 at Kentucky W L (-6) O (59) 10/16 ARKANSAS W W (-3½) O (60) 10/23 LSU W W (-5) U (51½) 10/30 at Ole Miss W W (-6½) O (61) 11/6 UT-CHATTANOOGA W L (-43½) 11/13 GEORGIA W W (-7½) O (65) 11/26 at Alabama W W (+4) U (59) 12/4 vs S Carolina W W (-4) O (61½) 1/10 vs Oregon W W (+1) U (73½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 MIAMI OHIO W L (-38) U (54½) 1 S FLORIDA W W (-14½) O (50) 8 at Tennessee W W (-13) O (44½) 9/25 KENTUCKY W W (-14) O (49½) 10/2 at Alabama L 6-31 L (+8) U (48) 10/9 LSU L L (-6½) O (44) 10/16 MISSISSIPPI ST L 7-10 L (-9½) U (47) 10/30 vs Georgia W W (-1) O (49½) 11/6 at Vanderbilt W W (-14) O (45½) 11/13 S CAROLINA L L (-6½) U (51½) 11/20 APPALACHIAN ST W W (-24) 11/27 at Florida St L 7-31 L (+2½) U (51) 1/1 vs Penn St W W (-7) O (47½) StatFox Power Rating: 41 (#40 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 0.4 (#69 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (21st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (11st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -3.2 (#81 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 UTAH ST W L (-24) O (56½) 0 MISSISSIPPI ST W W (+5) O (57) 7 at Clemson L L (+5) O (57½) 9/24 FLA ATLANTIC W L (-31) U (61) 10/1 at S Carolina W W (+10½) U (58½) 10/8 at Arkansas L L (+10) U (64½) 10/15 FLORIDA W 17-6 W (+3) U (50) 10/22 at LSU L L (+20½) O (47) 10/29 OLE MISS W W (-12) O (51) 11/12 at Georgia L 7-45 L (+11½) U (56) 11/19 SAMFORD W L (-30½) U (57½) 11/26 ALABAMA L L (+21½) O (45) 12/31 vs Virginia W W (-3) O (49½) StatFox Power Rating: 46 (#25 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 6.9 (#40 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (27th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (16th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.2 (#47 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 FLA ATLANTIC W 41-3 W (-34) U (49) 0 UAB W 39-0 W (-24½) U (53½) 7 TENNESSEE W W (-9½) O (51½) 9/24 at Kentucky W W (-17½) O (44½) 10/1 ALABAMA L L (+4) O (43) 10/8 at LSU L L (+14) O (41) 10/15 at Auburn L 6-17 L (-3) U (50) 10/29 vs Georgia L L (+3½) U (46½) 11/5 VANDERBILT W L (-12½) O (44) 11/12 at S Carolina L L (+2½) U (40) 11/19 FURMAN W L (-32½) O (48½) 11/26 FLORIDA ST L 7-21 L (+3) U (45) 1/2 vs Ohio St W W (-2½) U (44) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

110 SEC GEORGIA StatFox Power Rating: 52 (#13 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 14.8 (#13 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (26th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (69th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#21 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 7 BUFFALO at Missouri FLA ATLANTIC VANDERBILT TENNESSEE at S Carolina at Kentucky vs Florida OLE MISS at Auburn GA SOUTHERN GEORGIA TECH 9/5 at Oklahoma St L L (+5) U (60½) 2 S CAROLINA W L (-7) O (40) 9 at Arkansas W W (+1½) O (54½) 9/26 ARIZONA ST W L (-13½) U (48½) 10/3 LSU L L (-3½) U (50½) 10/10 at Tennessee L L (pk) O (46) 10/17 at Vanderbilt W W (-7½) U (47½) 10/31 vs Florida L L (+16½) O (48½) 11/7 TENNESSEE TECH W 38-0 L (-42) 11/14 AUBURN W W (-4) P (55) 11/21 KENTUCKY L L (-10) O (50) 11/28 at Georgia Tech W W (+9½) U (57) 12/28 vs Texas A&M W W (-6) U (65½) SEC KENTUCKY 110 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 at Louisville KENT ST W KENTUCKY at Florida S CAROLINA MISSISSIPPI ST at Arkansas GEORGIA at Missouri VANDERBILT SAMFORD at Tennessee 9/5 vs Miami Ohio W 42-0 W (-15) U (49) 9 LOUISVILLE W L (-12½) O (49) 9/26 FLORIDA L 7-41 L (+20) U (53½) 10/3 ALABAMA L L (+16) O (47) 10/10 at S Carolina L W (+9½) O (45½) 10/17 at Auburn W W (+13½) U (56½) 10/24 LA MONROE W W (-14) O (47) 10/31 MISSISSIPPI ST L L (-3½) O (47½) 11/7 E KENTUCKY W L (-31) 11/14 at Vanderbilt W W (-3½) U (45) 11/21 at Georgia W W (+10) O (50) 11/28 TENNESSEE L L (+3) O (49½) 12/27 vs Clemson L L (+6½) U (52½) 9/4 LA LAFAYETTE W 55-7 W (-29½) O (53) 1 at S Carolina L 6-17 L (+3) U (44½) 8 ARKANSAS L L (-1½) O (53) 9/25 at Mississippi St L L (+1) U (46) 10/2 at Colorado L L (-5) O (50½) 10/9 TENNESSEE W W (-11½) O (48) 10/16 VANDERBILT W 43-0 W (-14) U (49½) 10/23 at Kentucky W W (-6) O (58) 10/30 vs Florida L L (+1) O (49½) 11/6 IDAHO ST W 55-7 W (-45) 11/13 at Auburn L L (+7½) O (65) 11/27 GEORGIA TECH W L (-14) O (58) 12/31 vs UCF L 6-10 L (-7) U (53½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Louisville W W (-3) U (47½) 1 W KENTUCKY W W (-24½) O (53½) 8 AKRON W W (-24½) O (52) 9/25 at Florida L L (+14) O (49½) 10/2 at Ole Miss L L (+2½) O (56½) 10/9 AUBURN L W (+6) O (59) 10/16 S CAROLINA W W (+5½) O (54½) 10/23 GEORGIA L L (+6) O (58) 10/30 at Mississippi St L L (+6) U (55½) 11/6 CHARLESTON SOUT W L (-47) 11/13 VANDERBILT W W (-16½) O (54) 11/27 at Tennessee L L (+2½) U (59) 1/8 vs Pittsburgh L L (+4½) U (52) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs Boise St L L (+3) O (51½) 0 S CAROLINA L L (+2½) O (51) 7 COASTAL CAROLINA W 59-0 W (-39½) O (56) 9/24 at Ole Miss W W (-9½) U (54) 10/1 MISSISSIPPI ST W W (-7) U (52) 10/8 at Tennessee W W (-2½) U (54½) 10/15 at Vanderbilt W L (-13) O (42) 10/29 vs Florida W W (-3½) U (46½) 11/5 NEW MEXICO ST W W (-34½) O (57½) 11/12 AUBURN W 45-7 W (-11½) U (56) 11/19 KENTUCKY W L (-30½) U (50½) 11/26 at Georgia Tech W W (-4½) U (53) 12/3 vs LSU L L (+11½) O (46½) 1/2 vs Michigan St L L (-2) O (48) StatFox Power Rating: 31 (#77 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -7.4 (#101 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (40th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (21st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -8.8 (#98 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways vs W Kentucky W 14-3 L (-18) U (50) 0 C MICHIGAN W W (-9½) U (48) 7 LOUISVILLE L L (-4) P (41) 9/24 FLORIDA L L (+17½) O (44½) 10/1 at LSU L 7-35 W (+29½) U (45½) 10/8 at S Carolina L 3-54 L (+21) O (43) 10/22 JACKSONVILLE ST W W (-12½) O (50) 10/29 MISSISSIPPI ST L L (+10½) O (41½) 11/5 OLE MISS W W (+2½) U (44) 11/12 at Vanderbilt L 8-38 L (+13) O (44½) 11/19 at Georgia L W (+30½) U (50½) 11/26 TENNESSEE W 10-7 W (+6) U (42½)

111 SEC LSU NORTH TEXAS WASHINGTON IDAHO at Auburn TOWSON at Florida S CAROLINA at Texas A&M ALABAMA MISSISSIPPI ST OLE MISS at Arkansas 9/5 at Washington W L (-17½) O (52½) 2 VANDERBILT W 23-9 P (-14) U (46½) 9 LA LAFAYETTE W 31-3 W (-27) U (52½) 9/26 at Mississippi St W L (-12) O (45) 10/3 at Georgia W W (+3½) U (50½) 10/10 FLORIDA L 3-13 L (+9½) U (46) 10/24 AUBURN W W (-7½) U (49) 10/31 TULANE W 42-0 W (-37) U (45½) 11/7 at Alabama L L (+7) O (38) 11/14 LOUISIANA TECH W L (-22½) U (47) 11/21 at Ole Miss L W (+6) O (45) 11/28 ARKANSAS W L (-3½) O (54) 1/1 vs Penn St L L (-2) U (40) SEC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % MISSISSIPPI C ARKANSAS UTEP TEXAS at Tulane at Alabama TEXAS A&M AUBURN at Arkansas at Georgia VANDERBILT at LSU MISSISSIPPI ST 9/6 at Memphis W W (-17½) O (55) 9 SE LOUISIANA W 52-6 W (-41) 9/24 at S Carolina L L (-4) U (51½) 10/3 at Vanderbilt W 23-7 W (-10) U (43½) 10/10 ALABAMA L 3-22 L (+4) U (46) 10/17 UAB W W (-23) O (55) 10/24 ARKANSAS W W (-6½) U (53½) 10/31 at Auburn L L (-6½) O (51) 11/7 N ARIZONA W L (-35) 11/14 TENNESSEE W W (-5½) O (47½) 11/21 LSU W L (-6) O (45) 11/28 at Mississippi St L L (-7½) O (48) 1/2 vs Oklahoma St W 21-7 W (-3½) U (51) 9/4 vs N Carolina W L (-7½) O (43) 1 at Vanderbilt W 27-3 W (-10½) U (46) 8 MISSISSIPPI ST W 29-7 W (-7) U (45) 9/25 W VIRGINIA W L (-9½) U (44½) 10/2 TENNESSEE W L (-16½) U (43) 10/9 at Florida W W (+6½) O (44) 10/16 MCNEESE ST W L (-43½) 10/23 at Auburn L L (+5) U (51½) 11/6 ALABAMA W W (+7) P (45) 11/13 LA MONROE W 51-0 W (-32½) O (47) 11/20 OLE MISS W L (-14) O (52) 11/27 at Arkansas L L (+3½) U (57) 1/7 vs Texas A&M W W (-1½) O (48½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 JACKSONVILLE ST W at Tulane W L (-20½) U (49½) 8 VANDERBILT L L (-11½) U (43) 9/25 FRESNO ST W W (-2) O (50½) 10/2 KENTUCKY W W (-2½) O (56½) 10/16 at Alabama L W (+20) U (53½) 10/23 at Arkansas L L (+10) O (57) 10/30 AUBURN L L (+6½) O (61) 11/6 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-29½) O (62) 11/13 at Tennessee L L (+2) O (55) 11/20 at LSU L W (+14) O (52) 11/27 MISSISSIPPI ST L L (+3) U (54½) StatFox Power Rating: 66 (#2 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 28.1 (#2 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (3rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (23rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#5 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs Oregon W W (+3½) O (54) 0 NORTHWESTERN ST W 49-3 L (-50) U (56) at Mississippi St W 19-6 W (-3½) U (48) 9/24 at W Virginia W W (-6) O (47) 10/1 KENTUCKY W 35-7 L (-29½) U (45½) 10/8 FLORIDA W W (-14) O (41) 10/15 at Tennessee W 38-7 W (-16) P (45) 10/22 AUBURN W W (-20½) O (47) 11/5 at Alabama W 9-6 W (+5½) U (41½) 11/12 W KENTUCKY W 42-9 L (-42) U (53) 11/19 at Ole Miss W 52-3 W (-32) O (47½) 11/25 ARKANSAS W W (-11) O (53½) 12/3 vs Georgia W W (-11½) O (46½) 1/9 vs Alabama L 0-21 L (+2½) U (42) StatFox Power Rating: 26 (#96 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -9.8 (#104 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (8th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (4th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#111 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 BYU L W (+2) U (54) 0 S ILLINOIS W L (-20½) O (58½) 7 at Vanderbilt L 7-30 L (-2½) U (47) 9/24 GEORGIA L L (+9½) U (54) 10/1 at Fresno St W W (+4) O (55) 10/15 ALABAMA L 7-52 L (+27½) O (45½) 10/22 ARKANSAS L W (+15½) U (58½) 10/29 at Auburn L L (+12) O (51) 11/5 at Kentucky L L (-2½) U (44) 11/12 LOUISIANA TECH L 7-27 L (0) U (51) 11/19 LSU L 3-52 L (+32) O (47½) 11/26 at Mississippi St L 3-31 L (+17) U (46½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

112 SEC MISSISSIPPI STATE StatFox Power Rating: 45 (#27 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 6.2 (#42 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (36th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (53rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.6 (#45 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 8 JACKSON ST AUBURN at Troy S ALABAMA at Kentucky TENNESSEE MIDDLE TENN ST at Alabama TEXAS A&M at LSU ARKANSAS at Ole Miss 9/5 JACKSON ST W at Auburn L L (+15½) O (47) 9 at Vanderbilt W 15-3 W (+8½) U (45) 9/26 LSU L W (+12) O (45) 10/3 GEORGIA TECH L L (+5½) O (48) 10/10 HOUSTON L L (-3) U (68) 10/17 at Middle Tenn st W 27-6 W (-5) U (52½) 10/24 FLORIDA L W (+22½) U (50) 10/31 at Kentucky W W (+3½) O (47½) 11/14 ALABAMA L 3-31 L (+11) U (44½) 11/21 at Arkansas L L (+12) O (57½) 11/28 OLE MISS W W (+7½) O (48) SEC MISSOURI 112 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % SE LOUISIANA GEORGIA ARIZONA ST at S Carolina at UCF VANDERBILT ALABAMA KENTUCKY at Florida at Tennessee SYRACUSE at Texas A&M 9/5 vs Illinois W 37-9 W (+6½) U (60½) 2 BOWLING GREEN W L (-20) U (56½) 9 FURMAN W W (-33½) 9/25 at Nevada W W (-7) U (61) 10/8 NEBRASKA L L (+3½) U (49½) 10/17 at Oklahoma St L L (+6½) U (55) 10/24 TEXAS L 7-41 L (+13) U (51½) 10/31 at Colorado W W (-3) O (46) 11/7 BAYLOR L L (-15) O (45½) 11/14 at Kansas St W W (-2) U (51) 11/21 IOWA ST W L (-15½) O (51½) 11/28 vs Kansas W L (-3) O (57½) 12/31 vs Navy L L (-6½) U (54½) 9/4 MEMPHIS W 49-7 W (-22) O (47) 9/9 AUBURN L L (+1½) U (56) 8 at LSU L 7-29 L (+7) U (45) 9/25 GEORGIA W W (-1) U (46) 10/2 ALCORN ST W L (-44) 10/9 at Houston W W (-4½) O (57) 10/16 at Florida W 10-7 W (+9½) U (47) 10/23 UAB W L (-19½) U (53½) 10/30 KENTUCKY W W (-6) U (55½) 11/13 at Alabama L L (+13) U (45½) 11/20 ARKANSAS L L (+3) O (54½) 11/27 at Ole Miss W W (-3) U (54½) 1/1 vs Michigan W W (-3) O (61½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 vs Illinois W L (-13½) U (53) 1 MCNEESE ST W 50-6 W (-39) 8 SAN DIEGO ST W L (-14) U (59) 9/25 MIAMI OHIO W W (-20) O (50½) 10/9 COLORADO W 26-0 W (-12) U (53) 10/16 at Texas A&M W 30-9 W (+4) U (56½) 10/23 OKLAHOMA W W (+3) O (53) 10/30 at Nebraska L L (+8) U (54½) 11/6 at Texas Tech L L (-5½) U (59½) 11/13 KANSAS ST W L (-13) O (55) 11/20 at Iowa St W 14-0 W (-11½) U (53½) 11/27 vs Kansas W 35-7 W (-24) U (54) 12/28 vs Iowa L L (-3) O (46) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at Memphis W W (-31) O (50½) 0 at Auburn L L (-5) O (57) LSU L 6-19 L (+3½) U (48) 9/24 LOUISIANA TECH W L (-20) U (58) 10/1 at Georgia L L (+7) U (52) 10/8 at UAB W 21-3 L (-19½) U (51½) 10/15 S CAROLINA L W (+3½) U (46½) 10/29 at Kentucky W W (-10½) O (41½) 11/5 TENN-MARTIN W W (-33½) O (54½) 11/12 ALABAMA L 7-24 W (+18) U (44½) 11/19 at Arkansas L L (+13) O (54) 11/26 OLE MISS W 31-3 W (-17) U (46½) 12/30 vs Wake Forest W L (-7) U (49) StatFox Power Rating: 48 (#19 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 12.1 (#21 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (22nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (13rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +9.3 (#27 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 MIAMI OHIO W 17-6 L (-19½) U (49) 9/9 at Arizona St L W (+10) O (50½) 7 W ILLINOIS W 69-0 W (-30½) O (46½) 9/24 at Oklahoma L W (+19½) O (56½) 10/8 at Kansas St L L (-3½) U (54) 10/15 IOWA ST W W (-17½) O (56) 10/22 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+6) U (70) 10/29 at Texas A&M W W (+10) O (64) 11/5 at Baylor L L (+2) O (73) 11/12 TEXAS W 17-5 W (0) U (58) 11/19 TEXAS TECH W L (-18) U (67) 11/26 vs Kansas W L (-26) U (56½) 12/26 vs N Carolina W W (-4½) O (54)

113 8/30 SEC TENNESSEE 8/31 SEC SOUTH CAROLINA at Vanderbilt E CAROLINA UAB MISSOURI at Kentucky GEORGIA at LSU at Florida TENNESSEE ARKANSAS WOFFORD at Clemson 9/3 at NC State W 7-3 W (+5½) U (48) 2 at Georgia L W (+7) O (40) 9 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-20½) O (52) 9/24 OLE MISS W W (+4) U (51½) 10/3 S CAROLINA ST W L (-35½) 10/10 KENTUCKY W L (-9½) O (45½) 10/17 at Alabama L 6-20 W (+17½) U (43½) 10/24 VANDERBILT W L (-14) U (41) 10/31 at Tennessee L L (+6) O (42½) 11/7 at Arkansas L L (+7½) U (55½) 11/14 FLORIDA L W (+17) U (44) 11/28 CLEMSON W W (+3) O (44) 1/2 vs Connecticut L 7-20 L (-4) U (50½) vs NC State GEORGIA ST FLORIDA AKRON at Georgia at Mississippi St ALABAMA at S Carolina TROY MISSOURI at Vanderbilt KENTUCKY 9/5 W KENTUCKY W 63-7 W (-29½) O (44½) 2 UCLA L L (-10½) U (46) 9 at Florida L W (+30) U (52) 9/26 OHIO U W L (-22) O (44) 10/3 AUBURN L L (-2½) U (49) 10/10 GEORGIA W W (pk) O (46) 10/24 at Alabama L W (+14) U (42) 10/31 S CAROLINA W W (-6) O (42½) 11/7 MEMPHIS W W (-25½) O (53) 11/14 at Ole Miss L L (+5½) O (47½) 11/21 VANDERBILT W L (-17) U (47½) 11/28 at Kentucky W W (-3) O (49½) 12/31 vs Virginia Tech L L (+5) O (48) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 SOUTHERN MISS W W (-13½) O (46½) 1 GEORGIA W 17-6 W (-3) U (44½) 8 FURMAN W L (-33) 9/25 at Auburn L L (+3) O (49) 10/9 ALABAMA W W (+6½) O (47) 10/16 at Kentucky L L (-5½) O (54½) 10/23 at Vanderbilt W 21-7 W (-11½) U (46) 10/30 TENNESSEE W L (-17) O (49) 11/6 ARKANSAS L L (-4) O (60½) 11/13 at Florida W W (+6½) U (51½) 11/20 TROY W W (-20½) O (59) 11/27 at Clemson W 29-7 W (-2½) U (45) 12/4 vs Auburn L L (+4) O (61½) 12/31 vs Florida St L L (-2) U (53½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 TENN-MARTIN W 50-0 W (-38½) 1 OREGON L L (+10½) O (52) 8 FLORIDA L L (+13) O (44½) 9/25 UAB W L (-14) O (51½) 10/2 at LSU L W (+16½) U (43) 10/9 at Georgia L L (+11½) O (48) 10/23 ALABAMA L L (+17) O (47½) 10/30 at S Carolina L W (+17) O (49) 11/6 at Memphis W W (-20½) O (52) 11/13 OLE MISS W W (-2) O (55) 11/20 at Vanderbilt W W (-7½) U (49) 11/27 KENTUCKY W W (-2½) U (59) 12/30 vs N Carolina L L (-1) O (50) StatFox Power Rating: 50 (#16 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 12.4 (#17 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (32nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (21st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#19 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 8 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 vs E Carolina W L (-21) O (59½) 0 at Georgia W W (-2½) O (51) 7 NAVY W L (-15) U (59½) 9/24 VANDERBILT W 21-3 W (-15) U (49½) 10/1 AUBURN L L (-10½) U (58½) 10/8 KENTUCKY W 54-3 W (-21) O (43) 10/15 at Mississippi St W L (-3½) U (46½) 10/29 at Tennessee W 14-3 W (-3½) U (44½) 11/5 at Arkansas L L (+4½) O (51) 11/12 FLORIDA W W (-2½) U (40) 11/19 THE CITADEL W L (-39½) O (50) 11/26 CLEMSON W W (-3) U (50½) 1/2 vs Nebraska W W (-3) U (45) StatFox Power Rating: 38 (#56 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 2.6 (#58 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (18th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (40th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -2.3 (#77 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 MONTANA W P (-26) 0 CINCINNATI W W (-3½) O (56½) 7 at Florida L L (+9½) O (51½) 10/1 BUFFALO W W (-28½) U (56) 10/8 GEORGIA L L (+2½) U (54½) 10/15 LSU L 7-38 L (+16) P (45) 10/22 at Alabama L 6-37 L (+29½) U (47) 10/29 S CAROLINA L 3-14 L (+3½) U (44½) 11/5 MIDDLE TENN ST W 24-0 W (-22) U (54½) 11/12 at Arkansas L 7-49 L (+16½) O (53½) 11/19 VANDERBILT W W (-1½) O (46) 11/26 at Kentucky L 7-10 L (-6) U (42½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

114 SEC TEXAS A&M StatFox Power Rating: 52 (#13 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 10.5 (#25 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (9th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (2nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#22 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 6 8/30 vs Louisiana Tech FLORIDA at SMU ARKANSAS at Ole Miss LSU at Auburn at Mississippi St at Alabama SAM HOUSTON ST MISSOURI 9/5 NEW MEXICO W 41-6 W (-14½) U (55) 9 UTAH ST W L (-21) O (58½) 9/26 UAB W W (-15) O (64½) 10/3 vs Arkansas L L (+2) U (67) 10/10 OKLAHOMA ST L P (+5) O (60½) 10/17 at Kansas St L L (-5½) O (59) 10/24 at Texas Tech W W (+22½) O (65½) 10/31 IOWA ST W W (-6½) U (61) 11/7 at Colorado L L (-3) O (56) 11/14 at Oklahoma L L (+19½) O (57½) 11/21 BAYLOR W 38-3 W (-6) U (61) 11/26 TEXAS L W (+20½) O (63½) 12/28 vs Georgia L L (+6) U (65½) SEC VANDERBILT 114 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 8/30 S CAROLINA at Northwestern PRESBYTERIAN at Georgia at Missouri FLORIDA AUBURN MASSACHUSETTS at Kentucky at Ole Miss TENNESSEE at Wake Forest 9/5 W CAROLINA W at LSU L 9-23 P (+14) U (46½) 9 MISSISSIPPI ST L 3-15 L (-8½) U (45) 9/26 at Rice W W (-7½) O (49½) 10/3 OLE MISS L 7-23 L (+10) U (43½) 10/10 at Army L L (-10) U (37½) 10/17 GEORGIA L L (+7½) U (47½) 10/24 at S Carolina L W (+14) U (41) 10/31 GEORGIA TECH L L (+13½) O (48) 11/7 at Florida L 3-27 W (+35) U (47) 11/14 KENTUCKY L L (+3½) U (45) 11/21 at Tennessee L W (+17) U (47½) 9/4 SF AUSTIN W 48-7 W (-33½) 1 LOUISIANA TECH W W (-17½) O (59) 8 FLA INTERNATIONAL W L (-29) U (61½) 9/30 at Oklahoma St L L (+2½) O (65½) 10/9 vs Arkansas L L (+5½) U (62) 10/16 MISSOURI L 9-30 L (-4) U (56½) 10/23 at Kansas W W (-14) O (51½) 10/30 TEXAS TECH W W (-7) O (63) 11/6 OKLAHOMA W W (+4½) U (63) 11/13 at Baylor W W (-3) O (64½) 11/20 NEBRASKA W 9-6 W (+2) U (55½) 11/25 at Texas W W (-3) U (48) 1/7 vs LSU L L (+1½) O (48½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 NORTHWESTERN L W (+3) O (41) 1 LSU L 3-27 L (+10½) U (46) 8 at Ole Miss W W (+11½) U (43) 10/2 at Connecticut L L (+9) O (45) 10/9 E MICHIGAN W 52-6 W (-25) O (54) 10/16 at Georgia L 0-43 L (+14) U (49½) 10/23 S CAROLINA L 7-21 L (+11½) U (46) 10/30 at Arkansas L L (+20) O (54½) 11/6 FLORIDA L L (+14) O (45½) 11/13 at Kentucky L L (+16½) O (54) 11/20 TENNESSEE L L (+7½) U (49) 11/27 WAKE FOREST L L (-4½) U (48) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /4 SMU W W (-14½) O (55) 7 IDAHO W 37-7 L (-36½) U (60) 9/24 OKLAHOMA ST L L (-5) U (68½) 10/1 vs Arkansas L L (-2½) O (62) 10/8 at Texas Tech W L (-8½) O (72½) 10/15 BAYLOR W W (-8) O (76) 10/22 at Iowa St W L (-22) U (66½) 10/29 MISSOURI L L (-10) O (64) 11/5 at Oklahoma L L (+14) U (67) 11/12 at Kansas St L L (-5½) O (66½) 11/19 KANSAS W 61-7 W (-32) O (65) TEXAS L L (-7½) U (53) 12/31 vs Northwestern W W (-9½) U (68½) StatFox Power Rating: 42 (#38 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.7 (#46 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (28th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (58th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.1 (#48 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 ELON W W (-15) 0 CONNECTICUT W W (-1½) U (46) 7 OLE MISS W 30-7 W (+2½) U (47) 9/24 at S Carolina L 3-21 L (+15) U (49½) 10/8 at Alabama L 0-34 L (+29) U (44) 10/15 GEORGIA L W (+13) O (42) 10/22 ARMY W W (-12) O (47) 10/29 ARKANSAS L W (+8) O (53½) 11/5 at Florida L W (+12½) O (44) 11/12 KENTUCKY W 38-8 W (-13) O (44½) 11/19 at Tennessee L L (+1½) O (46) 11/26 at Wake Forest W 41-7 W (+1) U (49½) 12/31 vs Cincinnati L L (-2) O (50½)

115 Sun Belt Arkansas State Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 3 New Head Coach: Gus Malzahn After going undefeated in conference play, head coach Hugh Freeze bolted for Ole Miss and will be replaced by Gus Malzahn. The former Auburn OC will inherit QB Ryan Aplin (3,588 yards, 19 TD, 16 INT) and No. 2 and 3 WRs Taylor Stockemer (756 rec yds, 7 TD) and Josh Jarboe (730 rec yds). RB Frankie Jackson (355 rush yds, 6 TD) will be running behind an inexperienced O-line. The Red Wolves are rebuilding last year s solid defense. Florida Atlantic Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 8 New Head Coach: Carl Pelini The Owls finished 1-11 last year and are likely in for another long season in Former Nebraska assistant Carl Pelini needs to find a QB who can implement the team s new spread offense. JuCo transfer Melvin German is best suited for this role among a group of pro-style passers. Defensively, Pelini is working in new schemes that tailor more to his junior college transfers than his returning starters. This team is a work in progress. Florida International Offense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 10 FIU won eight games last season as it continues to turn around a program that was once awful both on and off the field. The Golden Panthers offensive strength will be emerging RB Kedrick Rhodes (1,149 rush yds, 8 TD). Defensively, they re returning nearly everyone from last season s roster. The strength will be their pass defense, as all of their secondary returns, as well as pass rushers Greg Hickman (5 sacks) and Tourek Williams (4.5 sacks). Louisiana-Lafayette Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 2 The Ragin Cajuns explosive offense brings back a wealth of talent. QB Blaine Gautier (2,958 pass yds, 23 TD) is back after a superb season and again has the luxury of throwing to WR Javone Lawson (1,092 yards, 8 TDs). Defensively, this team was a mess last season. Only returning two starters could be a positive. They have a lot of young talent that saw the field last year, and some JuCo transfers will be asked to contribute right away. Louisiana-Monroe Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 5 QB Kolton Browning (2,483 pass yds, 13 TD, 8 INT) is looking to bounce back after experiencing a little bit of a sophomore slump in 2011, and he needs his porous offensive line to keep him clean. RB Jyruss Edwards (667 rush yds, 11 TD) has the talent to run for 1,000 yards. Defensively, this team excelled stopping the run last year (100 rush YPG, 8th in FBS) and should do more of the same with a strong influx of talent joining the unit. 1. Arkansas State 2. Fla. International 3. La.-Lafayette 4. W. Kentucky 5. La.-Monroe PREDICTED FINISH 6. Middle Tennessee 7. North Texas 8. Troy 9. Florida Atlantic 10. South Alabama Middle Tennessee Offense: Starters returning - 6; Defense: Starters returning - 6 The Blue Raiders have a lot of issues to address. It starts with replacing 80 percent of an O-line that was a strength last year. They do, however, bring back most of the skill position talent that contributed to their Air Raid offense last season. Defensively, this team loses its best linebackers and defensive backs, which is a major problem when factoring in that this defensive line struggled against the run last year (230 rush YPG). North Texas Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 5 North Texas lost its workhorse, RB Lance Dunbar. The offense will rely on QB Derek Thompson, who performed admirably as a freshman last season (1,759 pass yds, 11 TD, 6 INT). The RB job will be split between four different backs, but Jeremy Brown (five carries, 23 yds) appears to be the best of the bunch. Six starters are gone from a defense that prided itself on causing turnovers. The Mean Green ranked 15th in the nation in turnover margin at +0.8 per game. South Alabama Offense: Starters returning - 4; Defense: Starters returning - 9 South Alabama begins the fourth season in the history of their program, and first as an FBS member. The offense will shift from a power-running attack to a spread offense. Sophomore QB C.J. Bennett is favored to star despite a poor 2011 season (164 pass YPG, 7 TD, 17 INT). The defense has experience, but last year racked up only 15 sacks against weak competition. The two new starters on defense will be the CBs, which doesn t bode well in a conference that has so many teams employing a spread offense. Troy Offense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 6 Last season was disastrous for the Trojans, who struggled on defense (33.7 PPG, 465 YPG) and turned the ball over far too often. QB Corey Robinson (3,411 pass yds, 21 TD, 15 INT), WR Eric Thomas (67 rec, 875 yds, 9 TD) and RB Shawn Southward (556 rush yds, 4 TD) are back. The O-line struggled last season and lost their top two linemen. The secondary was a weakness last season and the defense is transitioning from a 3-4 to a 4-3 base. Western Kentucky Offense: Starters returning - 9; Defense: Starters returning - 6 The Hilltoppers lost RB Bobby Rainey, who accounted for nearly half of the team s yardage in WKU returns a very solid O-line, and it s QB Kawaun Jakes (1,854 pass yds, 10 TD) turn to carry the team after a turnover-plagued season. On D, they need the front seven to excel at stopping the run and getting after quarterbacks. Their young secondary will have to play better this season for the Toppers to make a push for a.500 record. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

116 SUN BELT ARKANSAS STATE StatFox Power Rating: 34 (#69 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 10.0 (#27 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (118th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (110th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#19 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /4 10/23 11/8 12/1 SUN BELT FLORIDA ATLANTIC 8/31 11/16 12/1 at Oregon MEMPHIS at Nebraska ALCORN ST W KENTUCKY at FLA International S ALABAMA at LA Lafayette at North Texas LA MONROE at Troy MIDDLE TENN ST 9/5 MISS VALLEY ST W at Nebraska L 9-38 L (+21½) U (52) 9/26 TROY L L (-3) O (50½) 10/3 at Iowa L W (+21) U (45½) at LA Monroe L L (+2½) U (51) 10/24 FLA INTERNATIONAL W W (-11½) U (58) 10/31 at Louisville L L (+1½) U (50) 11/7 LA LAFAYETTE L L (-13½) U (48½) 11/14 at FLA Atlantic L L (-3) U (55½) 11/21 at Middle Tenn st L L (+10½) O (51) 11/28 NORTH TEXAS W L (-7½) O (55½) 12/3 at W Kentucky W L (-6½) U (51½) WAGNER at Middle Tenn st at Georgia at Alabama NORTH TEXAS at LA Monroe at S Alabama TROY at Navy at W Kentucky FLA INTERNATIONAL LA LAFAYETTE 9/5 at Nebraska L 3-49 L (+23) U (60½) 9 at S Carolina L L (+20½) O (52) 9/26 LA MONROE L L (-3½) U (56½) 10/3 WYOMING L L (-5½) O (54½) 10/17 at North Texas W W (-1) O (61½) 10/24 at LA Lafayette W W (+3) O (60) 10/31 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (-3) U (61½) 11/7 at UAB L L (+7) O (63½) 11/14 ARKANSAS ST W W (+3) U (55½) 11/21 at Troy L L (+17) O (64½) 11/28 W KENTUCKY W L (-12½) U (66) 12/5 at FLA International W W (+1½) U (64) 116 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Auburn L W (+31½) O (52½) 1 at LA Lafayette L L (+1½) O (51½) 8 LA MONROE W W (-4½) O (50½) 9/25 at Troy L W (+10) U (66) 10/2 LOUISVILLE L L (+6½) U (60) 10/9 at North Texas W W (-3½) U (55) 10/16 at Indiana L W (+9½) O (64) 10/23 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-7) O (52) 11/2 MIDDLE TENN ST W W (+2½) O (57½) 11/13 W KENTUCKY L L (-12) O (56) 11/20 at Navy L L (+12½) U (64½) 11/27 at FLA International L L (+5½) U (62) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 at UAB W W (+14) O (50) 1 vs Michigan St L W (+26½) U (56) 9/25 NORTH TEXAS L L (-10) U (51½) 10/2 at S Florida L 3-31 L (+21½) U (51½) 10/9 at LA Monroe L L (+2½) U (46½) 10/23 at Arkansas St L L (+7) O (52) 10/30 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 21-9 W (+4½) U (47) 11/6 at W Kentucky W L (-2½) U (48) 11/13 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-10½) U (50) 11/20 at Texas L L (+22) O (44) 11/27 at Middle Tenn st L L (+5½) O (49) 12/4 TROY L 7-44 L (+4) U (55½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Illinois L W (+19) U (54) 0 MEMPHIS W 47-3 W (-18) U (55½) 7 at Virginia Tech L 7-26 W (+24) U (53) 9/24 C ARKANSAS W W (-19½) O (53½) 10/1 at W Kentucky W L (-11½) U (52½) 10/8 at LA Monroe W W (-2½) U (55) 10/18 FLA INTERNATIONAL W W (-3½) U (54½) 10/29 NORTH TEXAS W W (-17½) U (54) 11/5 at FLA Atlantic W W (-17) O (47) 11/12 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-11) U (56½) 11/19 at Middle Tenn st W W (-13½) O (58) 12/3 TROY W W (-17½) O (57) 1/8 vs N Illinois L L (-1½) U (66) StatFox Power Rating: 8 (#118 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#119 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (89th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (95th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#117 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Florida L 3-41 L (+34) U (49) 0 at Michigan St L 0-44 L (+31) U (49½) 9/24 at Auburn L W (+31) U (61) 10/1 at LA Lafayette L W (+7½) O (48½) 10/8 at North Texas L L (+3) U (49) 10/15 W KENTUCKY L 0-20 L (-2) U (43½) 10/22 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (+4) P (52) 11/5 ARKANSAS ST L L (+17) O (47) 11/12 at FLA International L 7-41 L (+17) O (46½) 11/19 at Troy L 7-34 L (+13½) U (50) 11/26 UAB W W (+3½) O (50) 12/3 LA MONROE L 0-26 L (+7) U (47½)

117 10/4 11/16 SUN BELT LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 10/16 10/23 12/1 SUN BELT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at Duke AKRON at UCF LOUISVILLE at LA Lafayette ARKANSAS ST MIDDLE TENN ST at Troy W KENTUCKY at S Alabama at FLA Atlantic LA MONROE 2 at Alabama L W (+33½) O (50½) 9 at Rutgers L W (+16) U (51½) 9/26 TOLEDO L L (-1) O (58½) 10/3 at LA Monroe L L (+6½) O (55) 10/10 at W Kentucky W W (-6) O (56½) 10/17 TROY L L (+8) O (58½) 10/24 at Arkansas St L L (+11½) U (58) 10/31 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-5) U (56½) 11/7 at Middle Tenn st L L (+12½) O (55½) 11/14 NORTH TEXAS W W (-3) U (67) 11/21 at Florida L 3-62 L (+47½) O (60) 12/5 FLA ATLANTIC L L (-1½) U (64) LAMAR at Troy at Oklahoma St FLA INTERNATIONAL TULANE at North Texas ARKANSAS ST at LA Monroe at Florida W KENTUCKY S ALABAMA at FLA Atlantic 9/5 SOUTHERN W KANSAS ST W W (+6½) U (54) 9 at LSU L 3-31 L (+27) U (52½) 9/26 at Nebraska L 0-55 L (+30½) O (54) 10/10 NORTH TEXAS W L (-4½) O (52½) 10/17 at W Kentucky W W (-6½) O (51) 10/24 FLA ATLANTIC L L (-3) O (60) 10/31 at FLA International L W (+5) U (56½) 11/7 at Arkansas St W W (+13½) U (48½) 11/14 at Middle Tenn st L L (+13½) U (54) 11/21 LA MONROE W W (+5) U (51½) 11/28 TROY L L (+10½) O (58) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 1 RUTGERS L W (+14½) U (47½) 8 at Texas A&M L W (+29) U (61½) 9/25 at Maryland L L (+10) O (44) 10/2 at Pittsburgh L L (+17) O (51) 10/9 W KENTUCKY W L (-9) U (54½) 10/16 at North Texas W W (-4½) U (48) 10/30 at FLA Atlantic L 9-21 L (-4½) U (47) 11/6 LA MONROE W L (-10½) O (49½) 11/13 at Troy W W (+8) O (58) 11/20 at LA Lafayette W W (-9½) U (58½) 11/27 ARKANSAS ST W W (-5½) U (62) 12/4 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (-5) U (56) 12/26 vs Toledo W P (-2) O (58½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Georgia L 7-55 L (+29½) O (53) 1 ARKANSAS ST W W (-1½) O (51½) 9/25 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (+2) U (51½) 10/2 at North Texas W W (+5½) O (48) 10/8 OKLAHOMA ST L L (+24) O (61) 10/16 at Troy L W (+20½) U (59) 10/23 W KENTUCKY L L (-6) O (53½) 10/30 at Ohio U L W (+17) O (51) 11/6 at Ole Miss L W (+29½) O (62) 11/13 at FLA Atlantic L W (+10½) U (50) 11/20 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (+9½) U (58½) 11/27 at LA Monroe W W (+7) U (56) StatFox Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -0.8 (#75 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (116th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (118th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.5 (#46 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 3 10 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways NORTH TEXAS W W (-14) O (53½) 9/9 at Louisville W W (+3) U (48) 7 UCF W W (+6½) U (50) 9/24 LA LAFAYETTE L L (-16½) O (51) 10/1 DUKE L L (-3½) U (58½) 10/8 at Akron W L (-17) U (51½) 10/18 at Arkansas St L L (+3½) U (54½) 10/25 TROY W L (-6½) U (55) 11/5 at W Kentucky L 9-10 L (-3) U (49½) 11/12 FLA ATLANTIC W 41-7 W (-17) O (46½) 11/19 at LA Monroe W W (+1) U (49½) 11/26 at Middle Tenn st W W (-8) U (54) 12/20 vs Marshall L L (-4) U (48½) StatFox Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 1.7 (#64 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (114th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (108th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +2.5 (#61 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 9 4 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Oklahoma St L W (+38) O (62) 0 at Kent St W W (+8½) U (52½) 7 NICHOLLS ST W L (-21½) O (54½) 9/24 at FLA International W W (+16½) O (51) 10/1 FLA ATLANTIC W L (-7½) O (48½) 10/8 TROY W W (+6) U (59) 10/15 NORTH TEXAS W W (-8½) U (55) 10/22 at W Kentucky L L (-3) O (48) 10/29 at Middle Tenn st W W (+3) O (63) 11/5 LA MONROE W L (-5) O (55½) 11/12 at Arkansas St L W (+11) U (56½) 11/26 at Arizona L W (+14) O (64½) 12/17 vs San Diego st W W (+6) O (60½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

118 SUN BELT LOUISIANA-MONROE StatFox Power Rating: 27 (#93 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -2.3 (#80 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (108th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (97th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -0.8 (#71 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /8 at Arkansas at Auburn BAYLOR at Tulane at Middle Tenn st FLA ATLANTIC at W Kentucky S ALABAMA LA LAFAYETTE at Arkansas St NORTH TEXAS at FLA International 9/5 at Texas L W (+42½) O (61) 2 TEXAS SOUTHERN W 58-0 W (-43) 9 at Arizona St L L (+21) O (50) 9/26 at FLA Atlantic W W (+3½) U (56½) 10/3 FLA INTERNATIONAL W W (-6½) O (55) ARKANSAS ST W W (-2½) U (51) 10/24 at Kentucky L L (+14) O (47) 10/31 at Troy L L (+13½) O (58) 11/7 at North Texas W 33-6 W (-3) U (64) 11/14 W KENTUCKY W L (-21½) U (61) 11/21 at LA Lafayette L L (-5) U (51½) 11/28 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (+2½) O (54½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 1 at Arkansas L 7-31 W (+33½) U (60) 8 at Arkansas St L L (+4½) O (50½) 9/25 SE LOUISIANA W L (-10½) 10/2 at Auburn L 3-52 L (+35) U (55½) 10/9 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-2½) U (46½) 10/16 at W Kentucky W W (+3) O (52½) 10/23 at Middle Tenn st L L (+12½) U (54½) 10/30 TROY W W (+17) U (55) 11/6 at FLA International L W (+10½) O (49½) 11/13 at LSU L 0-51 L (+32½) O (47) 11/20 NORTH TEXAS W W (pk) O (49½) 11/27 LA LAFAYETTE L L (-7) U (56) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Florida St L 0-34 L (+30½) U (54) 0 GRAMBLING W 35-7 () 7 at TCU L W (+28) O (52½) 9/24 at Iowa L L (+17) O (49½) 10/8 ARKANSAS ST L L (+2½) U (55) 10/15 at Troy W W (+6½) U (58½) 10/22 at North Texas L L (-7) O (47) 10/29 W KENTUCKY L L (-6) O (48) 11/5 at LA Lafayette L W (+5) O (55½) 11/12 MIDDLE TENN ST W W (-6½) O (55) 11/19 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (-1) U (49½) 12/3 at FLA Atlantic W 26-0 W (-7) U (47½) SUN BELT MIDDLE TENNESSEE StatFox Power Rating: 12 (#115 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#114 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (106th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (117th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#109 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /30 11/1 12/1 MCNEESE ST FLA ATLANTIC at Memphis at Georgia Tech LA MONROE at FLA International at Mississippi St NORTH TEXAS at W Kentucky at S Alabama TROY at Arkansas St 9/5 at Clemson L L (+18½) O (47½) 2 MEMPHIS W W (pk) U (53) 9 at Maryland W W (+7½) O (52½) 9/26 at North Texas W W (-5) O (56) at Troy L 7-31 L (+6½) U (56) 10/17 MISSISSIPPI ST L 6-27 L (+5) U (52½) 10/24 W KENTUCKY W W (-17) O (53½) 10/31 at FLA Atlantic W W (+3) U (61½) 11/7 FLA INTERNATIONAL W W (-12½) O (55½) 11/14 LA LAFAYETTE W W (-13½) U (54) 11/21 ARKANSAS ST W W (-10½) O (51) 11/28 at LA Monroe W W (-2½) O (54½) 12/20 vs Southern Miss W W (+3½) O (61½) 118 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/2 MINNESOTA L L (+1) U (49) 1 AUSTIN PEAY W L (-29) 8 at Memphis L L (-5½) U (55½) 9/25 at LA Lafayette W W (-2) U (51½) 10/5 TROY L L (-4) U (63½) 10/16 at Georgia Tech L L (+18½) U (58½) 10/23 LA MONROE W W (-12½) U (54½) 11/2 at Arkansas St L L (-2½) O (57½) 11/13 NORTH TEXAS L L (-10½) U (54) 11/20 at W Kentucky W L (-5) P (53) 11/27 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-5½) O (49) 12/4 at FLA International W W (+5) U (56) 1/6 vs Miami Ohio L L (-1½) O (49) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Purdue L W (+15) O (47½) 0 GEORGIA TECH L L (+13) O (57) 9/24 at Troy L W (+12½) O (63) 10/1 MEMPHIS W L (-23) O (57) W KENTUCKY L L (-10½) O (53½) 10/22 at FLA Atlantic W W (-4) P (52) 10/29 LA LAFAYETTE L L (-3) O (63) 11/5 at Tennessee L 0-24 L (+22) U (54½) 11/12 at LA Monroe L L (+6½) O (55) 11/19 ARKANSAS ST L L (+13½) O (58) 11/26 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (+8) U (54) 12/3 at North Texas L 7-59 L (+4½) O (54)

119 10/16 SUN BELT SOUTH ALABAMA 0 7 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29 11/12 11/19 12/3 SUN BELT NORTH TEXAS at LSU TEXAS SOUTHERN at Kansas St TROY at FLA Atlantic at Houston LA LAFAYETTE at Middle Tenn st ARKANSAS ST S ALABAMA at LA Monroe at W Kentucky 9/3 at Ball St W W (+15) U (54) 2 OHIO U L W (+2½) O (52) 9 at Alabama L 7-53 L (+37) O (51) 9/26 MIDDLE TENN ST L L (+5) O (56) 10/10 at LA Lafayette L W (+4½) O (52½) 10/17 FLA ATLANTIC L L (+1) O (61½) 10/24 at Troy L L (+20½) O (60½) 10/31 W KENTUCKY W W (-14) O (64½) 11/7 LA MONROE L 6-33 L (+3) U (64) 11/14 at FLA International L L (+3) U (67) 11/21 ARMY L L (-1) U (53) 11/28 at Arkansas St L W (+7½) O (55½) at FLA International HOUSTON at Alabama INDIANA at Tulsa FLA ATLANTIC at LA Lafayette LA MONROE at Arkansas St at Troy W KENTUCKY MIDDLE TENN ST 9/5 Hargrave W /26 army prep W /10 georgia military W /17 louisburg W /31 fork union W /7 milford W /12 huntingdon W 35-0 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Clemson L W (+28) U (54½) 1 RICE L L (-3½) O (57) 8 at Army L 0-24 L (+4½) U (51½) 9/25 at FLA Atlantic W W (+10) U (51½) 10/2 LA LAFAYETTE L L (-5½) O (48) 10/9 ARKANSAS ST L L (+3½) U (55) 10/16 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (+4½) U (48) 10/30 at W Kentucky W 33-6 W (+6) U (52½) 11/6 TROY L W (+9) O (56) 11/13 at Middle Tenn st W W (+10½) U (54) 11/20 at LA Monroe L L (pk) O (49½) 11/27 KANSAS ST L W (+14) O (59) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 Pikeville W Nicholls W /25 at Edward Waters W /2 Ky Wesleyan W /9 Missouri S&T W /16 at Lamar W /23 at UC Davis W /30 Georgia St W /6 Henderson St W /11 Ark-Monticello W StatFox Power Rating: 25 (#98 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -4.3 (#90 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (84th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (94th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -5.8 (#88 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways at FLA International L L (+14) O (53½) 0 HOUSTON L L (+20½) O (65) 7 at Alabama L 0-41 W (+47) U (58½) 9/24 INDIANA W W (+5½) U (56) 10/1 at Tulsa L W (+23) O (59) 10/8 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-3) U (49) 10/15 at LA Lafayette L L (+8½) U (55) 10/22 LA MONROE W W (+7) O (47) 10/29 at Arkansas St L L (+17½) U (54) 11/12 at Troy W W (+8) O (52½) 11/19 W KENTUCKY L L (+2) O (48) 12/3 MIDDLE TENN ST W 59-7 W (-4½) O (54) 2011 FCS STATS OFFENSE NO. Points Scored 24.4 First Downs 18.2 Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm DEFENSE NO. Points Allowed 21.7 Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways 23 West Alabama W Lamar W at NC State L W (+27½) U (50½) 9/24 at Kent St L W (+9) O (41) 10/8 at Tex-San Antonio W /15 Tenn-Martin W /22 at Georgia St L /29 Henderson St W 28-3 Miss Valley St W /19 Cal Poly L College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

120 SUN BELT TROY StatFox Power Rating: 19 (#107 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#107 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (98th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (106th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#105 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /11 at UAB LA LAFAYETTE MISSISSIPPI ST at North Texas at S Alabama W KENTUCKY FLA INTERNATIONAL at FLA Atlantic at Tennessee NAVY ARKANSAS ST at Middle Tenn st 9/3 at Bowling Green L L (-7½) U (55) 2 at Florida L 6-56 L (+37) O (61) 9 UAB W W (-6½) U (59½) 9/26 at Arkansas St W W (+3) O (50½) MIDDLE TENN ST W 31-7 W (-6½) U (56) 10/17 at FLA International W W (-8) O (58½) 10/24 NORTH TEXAS W W (-20½) O (60½) 10/31 LA MONROE W W (-13½) O (58) 11/7 at W Kentucky W L (-24) U (63) 11/14 at Arkansas L L (+14) O (64) 11/21 FLA ATLANTIC W W (-17) O (64½) 11/28 at LA Lafayette W W (-10½) O (58) 1/6 vs C Michigan L W (+3½) O (63) SUN BELT 120 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % WESTERN KENTUCKY 10/11 11/1 AUSTIN PEAY at Alabama at Kentucky SOUTHERN MISS at Arkansas St at Troy LA MONROE at FLA International MIDDLE TENN ST FLA ATLANTIC at LA Lafayette NORTH TEXAS 9/5 at Tennessee L 7-63 L (+29½) O (44½) 2 S FLORIDA L W (+26) U (52) 9 C ARKANSAS L 7-28 L (+2) 9/26 at Navy L W (+31) O (51) 10/10 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (+6) O (56½) 10/17 LA LAFAYETTE L L (+6½) O (51) 10/24 at Middle Tenn st L L (+17) O (53½) 10/31 at North Texas L L (+14) O (64½) 11/7 TROY L W (+24) U (63) 11/14 at LA Monroe L W (+21½) U (61) 11/28 at FLA Atlantic L W (+12½) U (66) 12/3 ARKANSAS ST L W (+6½) U (51½) 9/4 BOWLING GREEN W L (-14½) O (54) 1 at Oklahoma St L W (+13½) O (63½) 8 at UAB L L (-3½) O (58) 9/25 ARKANSAS ST W L (-10) U (66) 10/5 at Middle Tenn st W W (+4) U (63½) 10/16 LA LAFAYETTE W L (-20½) U (59) 10/30 at LA Monroe L L (-17) U (55) 11/6 at North Texas W L (-9) O (56) 11/13 FLA INTERNATIONAL L L (-8) O (58) 11/20 at S Carolina L L (+20½) O (59) 11/27 W KENTUCKY W W (-12½) U (60½) 12/4 at FLA Atlantic W 44-7 W (-4) U (55½) 12/18 vs Ohio U W W (-2) O (57½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Nebraska L W (+39½) O (52) 1 at Kentucky L L (+24½) O (53½) 8 INDIANA L L (+13½) U (60½) 9/25 at S Florida L W (+27½) U (56) 10/9 at FLA International L W (+9) U (54½) 10/16 LA MONROE L L (-3) O (52½) 10/23 at LA Lafayette W W (+6) O (53½) 10/30 NORTH TEXAS L 6-33 L (-6) U (52½) 11/6 FLA ATLANTIC L W (+2½) U (48) 11/13 at Arkansas St W W (+12) O (56) 11/20 MIDDLE TENN ST L W (+5) P (53) 11/27 at Troy L L (+12½) U (60½) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Clemson L L (+15) O (53½) 7 at Arkansas L W (+23) O (62) 9/24 MIDDLE TENN ST W L (-12½) O (63) 10/1 UAB W L (-16) U (58½) 10/8 at LA Lafayette L L (-6) U (59) 10/15 LA MONROE L L (-6½) U (58½) 10/25 at FLA International L W (+6½) U (55) 11/5 at Navy L L (+8½) U (61½) 11/12 NORTH TEXAS L L (-8) O (52½) 11/19 FLA ATLANTIC W 34-7 W (-13½) U (50) 11/26 at W Kentucky L L (+4) O (51) 12/3 at Arkansas St L L (+17½) O (57) StatFox Power Rating: 27 (#93 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -3.1 (#86 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (113rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (96th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -1.9 (#75 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways vs Kentucky L 3-14 W (+18) U (50) 0 NAVY L L (+10) O (52½) 7 INDIANA ST L L (-14) O (57) 10/1 ARKANSAS ST L W (+11½) U (52½) at Middle Tenn st W W (+10½) O (53½) 10/15 at FLA Atlantic W 20-0 W (+2) U (43½) 10/22 LA LAFAYETTE W W (+3) O (48) 10/29 at LA Monroe W W (+6) O (48) 11/5 FLA INTERNATIONAL W 10-9 W (+3) U (49½) 11/12 at LSU L 9-42 W (+42) U (53) 11/19 at North Texas W W (-2) O (48) 11/26 TROY W W (-4) O (51)

121 WA C Idaho Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 5 Idaho had a defense that was lit up at the end of the season, allowing 147 points (49.0 PPG) in the final three games. The Vandals are losing two of their top playmakers from that defense, but they ll be getting back LB Robert Siavii, a top playmaker in 2010 (13.5 TFL, 4 FF) who missed last season with a knee injury. Junior Taylor Davis has the most experience (28-of- 62, 234 yds, 1 TD, 4 INT) in a weak QB crop and will likely win the job. The offensive line was a strength last year and should be again. The running game, which will feature former Arizona State RB Ryan Bass (175 rush yds, 2 TD), must improve, otherwise the Vandals will be stuck in a lot of thirdand-long situations that they can t afford to be in. Louisiana TEch Offense: Starters returning - 8 Defense: Starters returning - 5 The Bulldogs enter 2012 as one of the favorites in the WAC. QB Colby Cameron (1,667 pass yds, 13 TD) is back under center after playing phenomenal football down the stretch. Cameron rarely turns the ball over (3 INT in 215 pass attempts), a great attribute for a young QB to have in an Air Raid system. He ll also be happy to have WR Quinton Patton (1,202 rec yds, 11 TD) back to reel in some big throws for him. Defensively, this team causes a lot of turnovers (31, +11 margin) and that should continue this season as they return all of their starters in the secondary. New Mexico State Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 3 New Mexico State had tons of injuries in its 4-9 season, but it will get back QB Andrew Manley, the guy they originally pinned as their starter last year. Manley threw for six touchdowns and three interceptions in three games last year before a season-ending ACL injury. RB Kenny Turner is gone after rushing for 1,074 yards and Manley also loses his best wide receivers. But New Mexico State has some solid skill position recruits coming in and could still push for a winning season. The Aggies are going to struggle defensively early on as they are losing eight starters and don t have much depth. Last season, NMSU ranked 112th in the nation in both scoring defense (36.8 PPG) and total defense (462 YPG), but new defensive coordinator David Elson was brought in to improve those numbers. San Jose State Offense: Starters returning - 6 Defense: Starters returning - 4 San Jose State is having an interesting offseason. It appears its quarterback job will go to junior college transfer David Fales, who impressed in the spring game (16-for-22, 257 yds). RB David Freeman is back from injury and 1. Louisiana Tech 2. Utah State 3. San Jose State 4. New Mexico State PREDICTED FINISH 5. Texas State 6. Idaho 7. Texas-San Antonio will move back into the starting lineup, but he ll be running behind an unreliable offensive line. The receivers will be the strength of the offense, namely Noel Grigsby (886 rec yds) and Chandler Jones (566 rec yds). Defensively, the Spartans will bring back top pass rusher DE Travis Johnson (9.5 sacks). The front four should be dominant, but they must get better in the secondary and receive more consistent play out of a promising group of linebackers led by top tackler LB Keith Smith (104 tackles). Texas-San Antonio Offense: Starters returning - 11 Defense: Starters returning - 10 UTSA went just 4-6 as an FCS independent, but the school does show a lot of promise as it prepares to jump to FBS. The Roadrunners had some very competitive games with good teams and they ll return all but one starter from last year s squad. The most vital of those players for head coach Larry Coker is QB Eric Soza (2,148 pass yds, 14 TD, 10 INT). Coker also has an abundance of contributors in his backfield and a group of talented sophomore wide receivers led by Kam Jones (578 rec yds). Defensively, UTSA was very good last season and it has the size on its defensive line to stay competitive against WAC opponents. The young secondary should continue to improve as well. Texas State Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 8 Making the jump to FBS football, the Bobcats will be getting back most of their skill position talent. QB Shaun Rutherford (1,227 pass yds, 12 TD) is going to have an expanded role in an offense that ran more than 60 percent of the time last season. His job is primarily to take care of the ball. RBs Terrence Franks (863 rush yds, 9 TD) and Marcus Curry (637 rush yds) return as well. The defense is a question mark. The Bobcats return eight starters, but they ve been a middling defense and will be facing better talent in the WAC. They had a mere nine interceptions in 2011 and they lose their top pass rusher, Michael Ebbitt, who had 11.5 sacks last year. Utah State Offense: Starters returning - 5 Defense: Starters returning - 7 Utah State got hot at the end of last season, winning its final five regularseason games, all by seven points or less. The defense loses its top two tacklers, but their depth will come in handy. There should be no glaring weaknesses on an Aggies defense that led the WAC with 366 YPG allowed. Offensively, sophomore QB Chuckie Keeton (1,200 pass yds, 11 TD) is back after a year in which he threw only two interceptions in eight games. The RB position loses its two leading rushers, including 1,517-yard back Robert Turbin. In steps senior RB Kerwynn Williams (542 rush yds, 6.7 YPC), who should excel as the main ball carrier in an offense that averaged a WACbest 33.6 PPG last season. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

122 WAC IDAHO StatFox Power Rating: 18 (#111 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#112 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (89th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (92nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#107 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 5 8/30 E WASHINGTON at Bowling Green at LSU WYOMING at N Carolina NEW MEXICO ST at Texas St univ at Louisiana Tech SAN JOSE ST at BYU TX-SAN ANTONIO at Utah St 9/5 at New Mexico st W 21-6 W (+2½) U (52½) 2 at Washington L W (+20½) O (55) 9 SAN DIEGO ST W W (+3½) U (58) 9/26 at N Illinois W W (+14) O (54½) 10/3 COLORADO ST W W (+4½) O (57) 10/10 at San Jose st W W (+6½) O (53½) 10/17 HAWAII W W (-7½) U (62½) 10/24 at Nevada L L (+16½) O (67½) 10/31 LOUISIANA TECH W L (-2½) O (56) 11/7 FRESNO ST L L (+9½) U (67) 11/14 at Boise St L L (+32) O (63½) 11/28 UTAH ST L L (-3) O (70) 12/30 vs Bowling Green W W (pk) O (69) WAC 122 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % LOUISIANA TECH 8/30 vs Texas A&M at Houston RICE at Illinois at Virginia UNLV IDAHO at New Mexico st TX-SAN ANTONIO at Texas St univ UTAH ST at San Jose st 9/5 at Auburn L L (+13½) O (46) 2 at Navy L L (+7) U (50½) 9 NICHOLLS ST W W (-27½) 9/30 HAWAII W 27-6 W (-4½) U (55½) 10/9 at Nevada L L (+10½) U (58) 10/17 NEW MEXICO ST W 45-7 W (-20½) O (41½) 10/24 at Utah St L L (+1½) U (52½) 10/31 at Idaho L W (+2½) O (56) 11/6 BOISE ST L W (+20) O (53) 11/14 at LSU L W (+22½) U (47) 11/21 at Fresno St L W (+9½) O (54½) 12/5 SAN JOSE ST W W (-24) O (49) 9/2 N DAKOTA W 45-0 W (-20) 1 at Nebraska L W (+27½) O (53½) 8 UNLV W 30-7 W (-7) U (59) 9/25 at Colorado St L L (-8) O (50½) 10/2 at W Michigan W W (-4) U (61) 10/16 at Louisiana Tech L L (-1) O (53½) 10/23 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-25½) U (54) 10/30 at Hawaii L L (+15) U (66½) 11/6 NEVADA L L (+12) O (68½) 11/12 BOISE ST L L (+34½) U (67) 11/20 at Utah St W 28-6 W (+2½) U (57) 11/27 at Fresno St L W (+10½) U (59) 12/4 SAN JOSE ST W L (-14) U (56½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Grambling W 20-6 L (-24½) 1 at Texas A&M L L (+17½) O (59) 8 NAVY L L (+3) O (51) 9/25 SOUTHERN MISS L W (+3½) U (55½) 10/2 at Hawaii L L (+8½) U (63) 10/9 UTAH ST W 24-6 W (-2½) U (56½) 10/16 IDAHO W W (+1) O (53½) 10/26 at Boise St L W (+36) O (65½) 11/6 FRESNO ST L L (-3) O (59) 11/13 at New Mexico st W W (-16½) O (55) 11/27 at San Jose st W L (-13½) O (54) 12/4 NEVADA L L (+7½) U (72) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways BOWLING GREEN L L (-6) U (53) 0 N DAKOTA W at Texas A&M L 7-37 W (+36½) U (60) 9/24 FRESNO ST L L (0) O (53) 10/1 at Virginia L W (+16) U (53) 10/8 LOUISIANA TECH L L (+4) U (55) 10/15 at New Mexico st L L (-1) O (50) 10/29 HAWAII L W (+7) U (55½) 11/5 at San Jose st W W (+8) O (47) 11/12 at BYU L 7-42 L (+22) O (48) 11/19 UTAH ST L P (+7) O (52) 12/3 at Nevada L 3-56 L (+18) O (56) StatFox Power Rating: 40 (#49 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 9.6 (#30 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (81st toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (104th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +6.9 (#35 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Southern Miss L W (+12) U (51½) 0 C ARKANSAS W L (-17½) O (49) 7 HOUSTON L W (+6) O (67) 9/24 at Mississippi St L W (+20) U (58) 10/1 HAWAII L L (-4½) O (58) 10/8 at Idaho W W (-4) U (55) 10/22 at Utah St W W (+6) U (57) 10/29 SAN JOSE ST W W (-7) O (49½) 11/5 at Fresno St W W (+3½) O (58) 11/12 at Ole Miss W 27-7 W (0) U (51) 11/19 at Nevada W W (+7) U (56) 11/26 NEW MEXICO ST W 44-0 W (-23) U (58) 12/21 vs TCU L W (+9½) O (53)

123 WAC NEW MEXICO STATE 8/30 12/1 SACRAMENTO ST at Ohio U at UTEP NEW MEXICO TX-SAN ANTONIO at Idaho at Utah St LOUISIANA TECH at Auburn SAN JOSE ST BYU at Texas St 9/5 IDAHO L 6-21 L (-2½) U (52½) 2 PRAIRIE VIEW W L (-17) 9 UTEP L L (+14) O (48) 9/26 at New Mexico W W (+11½) U (44) 10/3 at San Diego st L W (+17½) O (46½) 10/10 UTAH ST W W (+10½) U (49½) 10/17 at Louisiana Tech L 7-45 L (+20½) O (41½) 10/24 FRESNO ST L 3-34 L (+24) U (51) 10/31 at Ohio St L 0-45 L (+44) U (48½) 11/14 at Hawaii L 6-24 W (+19½) U (53½) 11/21 NEVADA L L (+31) O (59½) 11/28 at San Jose st L W (+11½) U (42) 12/5 at Boise St L 7-42 W (+46½) U (58½) WAC STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % SAN JOSE STATE at Stanford CAL DAVIS COLORADO ST at San Diego st at Navy UTAH ST at Tx-San Antonio TEXAS ST UNIV at Idaho at New Mexico st BYU LOUISIANA TECH 9/5 at USC L 3-56 L (+34) O (47) 2 UTAH L W (+13½) U (48) 9 at Stanford L L (+18) O (47½) 9/26 CAL POLY SLO W 19-9 W (-6½) 10/10 IDAHO L L (-6½) O (53½) 10/17 at Fresno St L L (+19½) O (58) 10/31 at Boise St L 7-45 L (+36) U (54) 11/8 NEVADA L 7-62 L (+14) O (60) 11/14 at Utah St L 9-24 L (+12½) U (57) 11/21 HAWAII L L (+2) U (54) 11/28 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-11½) U (42) 12/5 at Louisiana Tech L L (+24) O (49) 1 SAN DIEGO ST L L (+14) O (50½) 8 at UTEP L L (+15) U (57) 9/25 at Kansas L L (+23½) O (50½) 10/2 BOISE ST L 0-59 L (+43½) U (61) 10/9 NEW MEXICO W L (-2½) U (49) 10/16 at Fresno St L W (+30) U (56) 10/23 at Idaho L W (+25½) U (54) 10/30 SAN JOSE ST W W (+3) O (46½) 11/6 at Utah St L W (+18½) U (54) 11/13 LOUISIANA TECH L L (+16½) O (55) 11/20 at Nevada L 6-52 L (+37½) U (62) 11/27 HAWAII L L (+27½) O (57½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Alabama L 3-48 L (+40) U (52) 1 at Wisconsin L W (+39) U (53½) 8 S UTAH W L (-10½) 9/25 at Utah L 3-56 L (+30) O (52) 10/2 CAL DAVIS L L (-10½) 10/9 at Nevada L W (+37) U (64) 10/16 BOISE ST L 0-48 L (+40) U (58) 10/23 FRESNO ST L W (+17½) O (49) 10/30 at New Mexico st L L (-3) O (46½) 11/13 UTAH ST L L (+3½) O (52½) 11/20 at Hawaii L 7-41 L (+30) U (59) 11/27 LOUISIANA TECH L W (+13½) O (54) 12/4 at Idaho L W (+14) U (56½) StatFox Power Rating: 16 (#113 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: (#108 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (85th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (115th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: (#106 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 8 5 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 OHIO U L L (+6) O (52) 0 at Minnesota W W (+22½) U (52½) 7 UTEP L L (-2½) U (49½) 9/24 at San Jose st L W (+10½) O (46) 10/1 at New Mexico W W (-1) O (54) 10/15 IDAHO W W (+1) O (50) 10/22 at Hawaii L W (+23½) O (60½) 10/29 NEVADA L W (+14½) O (60½) 11/5 at Georgia L L (+34½) O (57½) 11/12 FRESNO ST W W (+6½) O (67½) 11/19 at BYU L 7-42 L (+23) U (61) 11/26 at Louisiana Tech L 0-44 L (+23) U (58) 12/3 UTAH ST L W (+14) U (62) StatFox Power Rating: 25 (#98 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -5.1 (#94 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (73rd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (102nd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -5.8 (#88 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Stanford L 3-57 L (+30½) O (53) 0 at UCLA L W (+20) U (49½) 7 NEVADA L W (+6½) U (53½) 9/24 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-10½) O (46) 10/1 at Colorado St W W (+3½) O (44) 10/8 at BYU L W (+15) U (52) 10/14 HAWAII W W (+6) U (56) 10/29 at Louisiana Tech L L (+7) O (49½) 11/5 IDAHO L L (-8) O (47) 11/12 at Utah St L W (+10) O (52) 11/19 NAVY W W (+6½) U (61) 11/26 at Fresno St W W (+6½) U (64) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

124 WAC Texas-San Antonio 8/30 at S Alabama TEX A&M-COMM at Georgia St NW OKLAHOMA ST at New Mexico St at Rice SAN JOSE ST UTAH ST at Louisiana Tech MCNEESE ST at Idaho TEXAS ST UNIV UTSA did not have a football team until 2011 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % UTSA did not have a football team until 2011 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 Northeastern St W McMurry L at Southern Utah L /24 Bacone College W /1 at Sam Houston St L /8 South Alabama L /15 at UC Davis L /29 Georgia St W /12 at McNeese St L /19 Minot St W 49-7 WAC Texas STATE 12/1 at Houston TEXAS TECH SF AUSTIN NEVADA at New Mexico IDAHO at San Jose St at Utah St LOUISIANA TECH at Navy at Tx-San Antonio NEW MEXICO ST 9/5 Angelo St W at TCU L /26 Texas Southern W /3 at Southern Utah L /10 SE Louisiana L /17 at Nicholls W /24 at Northwestern St W /31 SFA W /7 at Central Arkansas W /14 McNeese St L /21 Sam Houston St W StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % NON-CONFERENCE ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 at Houston L So Arkansas W Cal Poly W /25 Southern Utah W /9 at SE Louisiana L /16 Nicholls L /23 Northwestern St L /30 at SFA W /6 Central Arkansas L /13 at McNeese St L /20 at Sam Houston St L Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Texas Tech L L (+39½) U (70) 0 at Wyoming L L (+14) U (56½) 7 Tarleton St W /24 at SF Austin W /1 Nicholls W /8 at McNeese St W /15 Lamar W /22 at SE Louisiana L /29 Northwestern St L /5 Prairie View A&M W /12 at Central Arkansas L /19 Sam Houston St L 14-36

125 8/30 9/7 10/5 WAC UTAH STATE S UTAH UTAH at Wisconsin at Colorado St UNLV at BYU at San Jose st NEW MEXICO ST at Tx-San Antonio TEXAS ST UNIV at Louisiana Tech IDAHO 9/3 at Utah L W (+20½) O (50) 9 at Texas A&M L W (+21) O (58½) 9/26 S UTAH W L (-19½) 10/2 at BYU L W (+24) U (62½) 10/10 at New Mexico st L L (-10½) U (49½) 10/17 NEVADA L W (+8) O (65½) 10/24 LOUISIANA TECH W W (-1½) U (52½) 10/31 at Fresno St L W (+17) U (62½) 11/7 at Hawaii L L (-2) O (61) 11/14 SAN JOSE ST W 24-9 W (-12½) U (57) 11/20 BOISE ST L L (+22) O (62½) 11/28 at Idaho W W (+3) O (70) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % Independents Army Offense: Starters returning - 7; Defense: Starters returning - 8 The loss of a slew of starters forced a young, inexperienced group of Black Knights to play big minutes before they were ready in This season, that youth has the experience to improve upon a disappointing 3-9 season. Fourth-year starting QB Trent Steelman (3 TD, 2 INT; 645 rush yds, 12 TD in 9 games) is back after a season plagued by injuries. The Knights get back RBs Raymond Maples (1,066 rush yds, 7.3 YPC, 4 TD) and Jared Hassin (450 rush yds). The offensive line will be a solid group, as they will be starting four seniors. Defensively, Army is losing only three starters, so the unit that was on the field last season had an entire year to grow together. BYU Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7 The Cougars left the Mountain West and face five tough road contests (Ole Miss, Texas, Oregon St., TCU, Hawaii). QB Jake Heaps (2,316 pass yds, 15, TD, 9 INT), RB JJ Di Luigi (1,397 total yds, 5.2 YPC, 9 TD) and WR Cody Hoffman (42 rec, 527 yds, 7 TD) comprise a great offensive trio. The defense is solid, but still needs a pass rusher and three new starters in the secondary. 9/4 at Oklahoma L W (+35) U (57) 1 IDAHO ST W L (-31) 8 FRESNO ST L L (+3½) O (58) 9/25 at San Diego st L 7-41 L (+9½) U (62) 10/1 BYU W W (+4½) U (51) 10/9 at Louisiana Tech L 6-24 L (+2½) U (56½) 10/23 HAWAII L 7-45 L (+3) U (58½) 10/30 at Nevada L W (+27½) O (65) 11/6 NEW MEXICO ST W L (-18½) U (54) 11/13 at San Jose st W W (-3½) O (52½) 11/20 IDAHO L 6-28 L (-2½) U (57) 12/4 at Boise St L W (+40½) P (64) StatFox Power Rating: 29 (#83 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 5.3 (#49 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (102nd toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (108th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +5.7 (#44 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 7 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Auburn L W (+24) O (56½) 0 WEBER ST W W (-14) O (61½) 9/24 COLORADO ST L L (-12) O (53) 9/30 at BYU L W (+8) U (52½) 10/8 WYOMING W W (-10½) O (55) 10/15 at Fresno St L L (-2½) U (62) 10/22 LOUISIANA TECH L L (-6) U (57) 11/5 at Hawaii W W (+4) O (61) 11/12 SAN JOSE ST W L (-10) O (52) 11/19 at Idaho W P (-7) O (52) 11/26 NEVADA W W (+1½) U (64½) 12/3 at New Mexico st W L (-14) U (62) 12/17 vs Ohio U L L (0) U (62) Navy Offense: Starters returning - 4; Defense: Starters returning - 8 One of the only bright spots last year for Navy was its running game, and they return RB Gee Gee Greene (501 rush yds, 7 total TD). The offensive line is a big question mark, though. On defense, the Midshipmen struggled last year (28.9 PPG, 414 YPG), but they get back almost all of their secondary as well as linebackers, whose extra year of experience should make Navy above average on the defensive side of the ball. Notre Dame Offense: Starters returning - 8; Defense: Starters returning - 7 The loss of stud WR Michael Floyd hurts, but he is the only major contributor gone for a young Notre Dame team. Following QB Tommy Rees arrest, the starting job may be given to Andrew Hendrix, a big, athletic sophomore in whom the coaches have a lot of confidence. Notre Dame is going to rely even more on RB Cierre Wood (1,102 rush yds, 9 TD), who at times looks elite. The same can also be said for TE Tyler Eifert (803 rec yds, 5 TD). The Irish return starters at most of the defensive positions, including stud LB Manti Te o (128 tackles), but they lost three starters in the secondary. College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

126 INDEPENDENTS ARMY StatFox Power Rating: 28 (#88 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: -1.6 (#77 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (87th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (77th toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: -3.4 (#82 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): /8 at San Diego st N ILLINOIS at Wake Forest STONY BROOK BOSTON COLLEGE KENT ST at E Michigan BALL ST AIR FORCE at Rutgers TEMPLE vs Navy 9/5 at E Michigan W W (+3½) U (48) 2 DUKE L L (+2) O (44) 9 BALL ST W L (-9) U (42) 9/26 at Iowa St L L (+10½) U (46½) 10/3 TULANE L L (-6) U (45) 10/10 VANDERBILT W W (+10) U (37½) 10/17 at Temple L L (+10½) O (36½) 10/23 RUTGERS L L (+10½) U (38½) 11/7 at Air Force L 7-35 L (+17) O (37½) 11/14 VMI W L (-25) 11/21 at North Texas W W (+1) U (53) 12/12 vs Navy L 3-17 W (+14½) U (41½) INDEPENDENTS 126 StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide 2012 STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % BRIGHAM YOUNG 8/30 9/20 9/28 10/5 WASHINGTON ST WEBER ST at Utah at Boise St HAWAII UTAH ST OREGON ST at Notre Dame at Georgia Tech IDAHO at San Jose st at New Mexico st 9/5 vs Oklahoma W W (+22) U (65) 2 at Tulane W 54-3 W (-18½) O (52½) 9 FLORIDA ST L L (-8½) O (54) 9/26 COLORADO ST W L (-19½) O (56) 10/2 UTAH ST W L (-24) U (62½) 10/10 at UNLV W W (-17) O (64½) 10/17 at San Diego st W L (-17) O (54) 10/24 TCU L 7-38 L (+2½) U (51) 11/7 at Wyoming W 52-0 W (-13½) O (49) 11/14 at New Mexico W L (-27) U (57½) 11/21 AIR FORCE W W (-9) O (47½) 11/28 UTAH W L (-8) U (55½) 12/22 vs Oregon St W W (+2½) O (58) 9/4 at E Michigan W L (-9½) O (42) 1 HAWAII L L (-3) O (52½) 8 NORTH TEXAS W 24-0 W (-4½) U (51½) 9/25 at Duke W W (+6) O (54½) 10/2 TEMPLE L L (+6) O (40½) 10/9 at Tulane W W (+1) O (43½) 10/16 vs Rutgers L W (+6) O (42½) 10/30 VMI W 29-7 L (-31½) 11/6 AIR FORCE L L (+6) O (48½) 11/13 at Kent St W W (+1½) O (44) 11/20 vs Notre Dame L 3-27 L (+8½) U (49) 12/11 vs Navy L L (+7½) U (53) 12/30 at SMU W W (+7) U (50½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 WASHINGTON W W (+1½) U (56½) 1 at Air Force L L (+2) U (50) 8 at Florida St L L (+10½) U (59½) 9/25 NEVADA L L (+4½) U (63) 10/1 at Utah St L L (-4½) U (51) 10/9 SAN DIEGO ST W W (+4½) U (53½) 10/16 at TCU L 3-31 W (+30) U (51) 10/23 WYOMING W L (-11) O (44½) 11/6 UNLV W 55-7 W (-19) O (49½) 11/13 at Colorado St W W (-6½) O (50) 11/20 NEW MEXICO W 40-7 W (-30) U (52) 11/27 at Utah L W (+7½) U (50½) 12/18 vs UTEP W W (-10½) O (51) Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at N Illinois L L (+10) O (54½) 0 SAN DIEGO ST L W (+8½) U (52) 7 NORTHWESTERN W W (+5½) U (54) 9/24 at Ball St L L (-4) O (49) 10/1 TULANE W 45-6 W (-7) U (53½) 10/8 at Miami Ohio L L (-2) O (49½) 10/22 at Vanderbilt L L (+12) O (47) 10/29 FORDHAM W 55-0 W (-29) O (51½) 11/5 at Air Force L W (+16½) U (55) 11/12 vs Rutgers L L (+9) U (46) 11/19 at Temple L L (+11) O (47) 12/10 vs Navy L W (+7) U (56) StatFox Power Rating: 44 (#30 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 10.6 (#24 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (86th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (73rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +9.7 (#26 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 6 7 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 at Ole Miss W L (-2) U (54) 0 at Texas L W (+7½) U (48½) 7 UTAH L L (-4) O (44½) 9/23 UCF W W (-1½) U (44) 9/30 UTAH ST W L (-8) U (52½) 10/8 SAN JOSE ST W L (-15) U (52) 10/15 at Oregon St W W (+3½) O (51½) 10/22 IDAHO ST W 56-3 W (-43) O (52) 10/28 vs TCU L W (+13) O (55½) 11/12 IDAHO W 42-7 W (-22) O (48) 11/19 NEW MEXICO ST W 42-7 W (-23) U (61) 12/3 at Hawaii W W (-8) O (54½) 12/30 vs Tulsa W W (+2½) U (59½)

127 INDEPENDENTS NAVY 10/12 12/8 vs Notre Dame at Penn St VMI SAN JOSE ST at Air Force at C Michigan INDIANA at E Carolina FLA ATLANTIC at Troy TEXAS ST UNIV vs Army 9/5 at Ohio St L W (+22) O (46½) 2 LOUISIANA TECH W W (-7) U (50½) 9 at Pittsburgh L L (+8) U (49½) 9/26 W KENTUCKY W L (-31) O (51) 10/3 AIR FORCE W P (-3) U (48½) 10/10 at Rice W W (-10) O (56) 10/17 at SMU W L (-7) O (53½) 10/24 WAKE FOREST W W (+2½) U (47½) 10/31 TEMPLE L L (-6½) O (41) 11/7 at Notre Dame W W (+13) U (56) 11/14 DELAWARE W L (-21) 11/28 at Hawaii L L (-9) U (56) 12/12 vs Army W 17-3 L (-14½) U (41½) 12/31 vs Missouri W W (+6½) U (54½) INDEPENDENTS STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % NOTRE DAME vs Navy PURDUE at Michigan St MICHIGAN vs Miami STANFORD BYU at Oklahoma PITTSBURGH at Boston College WAKE FOREST at USC 9/5 NEVADA W 35-0 W (-14½) U (62½) 2 at Michigan L L (-3) O (46½) 9 MICHIGAN ST W L (-10½) O (54) 9/26 at Purdue W L (-6) U (59) 10/3 WASHINGTON W L (-12) O (55) 10/17 USC L W (+9½) O (51) 10/24 BOSTON COLLEGE W L (-8) U (53½) 10/31 vs Washington St W L (-28) U (62) 11/7 NAVY L L (-13) U (56) 11/14 at Pittsburgh L P (+5) U (59) 11/21 CONNECTICUT L L (-6) O (58) 11/28 at Stanford L W (+10) O (64) 9/6 vs Maryland L L (-6) U (49) 1 GA SOUTHERN W 13-7 L (-29) 8 at Louisiana Tech W W (-3) O (51) 10/2 at Air Force L 6-14 W (+9½) U (50) 10/9 at Wake Forest W L (-3) O (47½) 10/16 SMU W W (-1) U (52) 10/23 vs Notre Dame W W (+6½) O (49) 10/30 DUKE L L (-12½) O (56½) 11/6 at E Carolina W W (+2½) O (64) 11/13 C MICHIGAN W L (-14) O (55) 11/20 ARKANSAS ST W W (-12½) U (64½) 12/11 vs Army W W (-7½) U (53) 12/23 at San Diego st L L (+3) U (57½) STRAIGHT UP % OVERALL ATS % HOME ATS % ROAD ATS % vs CONFERENCE ATS % Non-Conference ATS % as FAVORITE ATS % as UNDERDOG ATS % OVER-UNDER % 9/4 PURDUE W P (-11) U (54) 1 MICHIGAN L L (-3½) U (53½) 8 at Michigan St L W (+3½) O (53½) 9/25 STANFORD L L (+4½) U (59½) 10/2 at Boston College W W (-3) U (46½) 10/9 PITTSBURGH W P (-6) U (50) 10/16 W MICHIGAN W P (-24) O (53) 10/23 vs Navy L L (-6½) O (49) 10/30 TULSA L L (-9½) U (62½) 11/13 UTAH W 28-3 W (+5½) U (53) 11/20 vs Army W 27-3 W (-8½) U (49) 11/27 at USC W W (+5) U (53) 12/31 vs Miami W W (+3) O (48) StatFox Power Rating: 33 (#75 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 3.7 (#52 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (77th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (113rd toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: 0.8 (#67 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): 5 6 Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 DELAWARE W W (-7½) 0 at W Kentucky W W (-10) O (52½) 7 at S Carolina L W (+15) U (59½) 10/1 AIR FORCE L L (-3) O (53½) 10/8 SOUTHERN MISS L L (0) O (58½) 10/15 at Rutgers L W (+3) U (54) 10/22 E CAROLINA L L (-13) O (66½) 10/29 at Notre Dame L L (+23) O (61½) 11/5 TROY W W (-8½) U (61½) 11/12 at SMU W W (+8½) U (58½) 11/19 at San Jose st L L (-6½) U (61) 12/10 vs Army W L (-7) U (56) StatFox Power Rating: 48 (#19 of 120) StatFox Outplay Factor: 13.9 (#15 of 120) 2011 Schedule Strength: (5th toughest) 2012 Schedule Strength: (1st toughest) 2011 Scoring Differential: +8.5 (#30 of 120) 2011 Record Straight-Up: Record Against the Spread: Totals (Over-Under): Points Scored First Downs Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Points Allowed Yards/Game RushYds/Gm Pass Yds/Gm Takeaways /3 S FLORIDA L L (-10½) U (46) 0 at Michigan L L (-3½) O (58) 7 MICHIGAN ST W W (-6) U (51½) 9/24 at Pittsburgh W L (-6½) U (56½) 10/1 at Purdue W W (-12) P (48) 10/8 AIR FORCE W W (-14) O (55½) 10/22 USC L L (-10) U (57) 10/29 NAVY W W (-23) O (61½) 11/5 at Wake Forest W L (-13) U (57½) 11/12 vs Maryland W W (-21) O (57½) 11/19 BOSTON COLLEGE W L (-24) U (46½) 11/26 at Stanford L L (+7) U (60) 12/29 vs Florida St L L (+3) U (47½) College Preview ACC Big 12 Big East Big Ten Conference USA MAC Mountain West Pac-12 SEC Sun Belt WAC StatFox Edge Football Preview Guide

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