Inside the Pressbox. The Perfect Complement to Phil Steele s INSIDE THE PRESSBOX COLLEGE. BEST BETS in green

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1 PHIL STEELE S Inside the Pressbox BEST BETS in green 301 H WASHINGTON 8:25 p.m. 302 DALLAS 351 DETROIT 352 BALTIMORE 353 SAN FRANCISCO 354 CHICAGO 355 MINNESOTA 356 ATLANTA 357 NEW ENGLAND 358 BUFFALO 359 DENVER 360 MIAMI 361 HOUSTON 362 TENNESSEE 363 INDIANAPOLIS 364 JACKSONVILLE The Perfect Complement to s INSIDE THE PRESSBOX COLLEGE 365 TAMPA BAY 366 GREE BAY 367 KANSAS CITY 368 NY JETS 369 CAROLINA 370 NEW ORLEANS 371 CLEVELAND 4:05 p.m. 372 LA CHARGERS 373 LA RAMS 4:25 p.m. 374 ARIZONA 375 NY GIANTS 4:25 p.m. 376 H OAKLAND 377 PHILADELPHIA 8:30 p.m. NBC 378 SEATTLE 379 H PITTSBURGH 8:30 p.m. Monday ESPN 380 CINCINNATI

2 Washington Redskins Redskins Logs Vs NFC East Dallas Cowboys Cowboys Logs WAS RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES DAL SCOR WAS WAS WAS DATE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NFL RANKINGS DAL DAL DAL DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST E # #30 9/10 Philadelphia L CURRENT RANKINGS # #342 9/10 NY Giants 19-3 W # #245 9/17 at LA Rams W # #88 9/17 at Denver L Washington Dallas # #343 9/ W # #276 9/25 at Arizona W # #80 10/2 at Kansas City L #18 Rush Off # # #183 10/1 LA Rams L / #11 Pass Off # # #209 10/8 Green Bay L # #177 10/15 San Francisco W #11 Total Off # / # #87 10/23 at Philadelphia L #12 Off # # #349 10/22 at San Francisco W # #66 10/29 Dallas L #13 Sks Allowed # # #305 10/29 at Washington W # #97 11/5 at Seattle W #15 Rush Def # # #307 11/5 Kansas City W # #94 11/12 Minnesota L #20 Pass Def # # #69 11/12 at Atlanta 7-27 L # #151 11/19 at New Orleans L #20 Total Def # # #12 11/19 Philadelphia 9-37 L # #269 11/23 NY Giants W #25 Def # # #11 11/23 LA Chargers 6-28 L /30 at Dallas #14 Sks By # /30 Washington /10 at LA Chargers #13 Ypg Diff # /10 at NY Giants /17 Arizona Total TO's /17 at /24 Denver Off YPP /24 Seattle /31 at NY Giants #18 Off YPP Rank # /31 at Philadelphia Def YPP #25 Def YPP Rank #24 Vs NFC East Redskins Net Stats Cowboys Net Stats Philadelphia NY Giants at LA Rams at Denver at Arizona at Kansas City LA Rams Green Bay San Francisco at Philadelphia at San Francisco Dallas at Washington at Seattle Kansas City Minnesota at Atlanta at New Orleans Philadelphia NY Giants LA Chargers at Dallas Washington at LA Chargers at NY Giants Arizona at Denver Seattle at NY Giants at Philadelphia Average % % Average % % Vs NFC East % % Vs NFC East % % Away % % Home % % Position by Position Edges Philadelphia +1/49.5 Kirk Cousins Rob Kelley Terrelle Pryor Washington Dallas NY Giants -4/47 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Terrance Williams at LA Rams +2.5/45.5 Kirk Cousins Rob Kelley Jordan Reed WAS QB/WR at Denver -2.5/43.5 Dak Prescott Dak Prescott Jason Witten /53.5 Kirk Cousins Samaje Perine Chris Thompson at Arizona -3/47 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Brice Butler at Kansas City +7/48.5 Kirk Cousins Kirk Cousins Vernon Davis DAL SECONDARY LA Rams -6/49 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Dez Bryant WAS RB's Green Bay -2.5/53 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Jason Witten San Francisco -10.5/46 Kirk Cousins Chris Thompson Chris Thompson at Philadelphia +5/49 Kirk Cousins Chris Thompson Vernon Davis DAL LB's at San Francisco -6.5/49 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Ezekiel Elliott Dallas +2.5/45.5 Kirk Cousins Rob Kelley Jamison Crowder WAS OFF LINE at Washington -2.5/45.5 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Dez Bryant at Seattle +8/45 Kirk Cousins Chris Thompson Vernon Davis Kansas City -2.5/53 Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Terrance Williams Minnesota +1.5/41 Kirk Cousins Samaje Perine Vernon Davis DAL DEF LINE at Atlanta +3.5/49 Dak Prescott Alfred Morris Jason Witten at New Orleans +9.5/52.5 Kirk Cousins Samaje Perine Josh Doctson WAS DEF LINE Philadelphia +5.5/47.5 Dak Prescott Alfred Morris Dez Bryant NY Giants -7/44.5 Kirk Cousins Samaje Perine Jamison Crowder LA Chargers +1/48 Dak Prescott Rod Smith Terrance Williams at Dallas DAL OFF LINE Washington at LA Chargers WAS LB'S at NY Giants Arizona 0.17 at Denver DAL RB's Seattle at NY Giants WAS SECONDARY at Philadelphia 0.51 Kirk Cousins Samaje Perine Jamison Crowder Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Dez Bryant Washington Season Leaders Chris Thompson Vernon Davis DAL SPECIAL TMS Dallas Season Leaders Cooper Rush Alfred Morris Terrance Williams Rob Kelley Chris Thompson WAS KICKER Dak Prescott Jason Witten Washington DALLAS Projected Washington DALLAS yards Washington Dallas 214 yards 2.81 Washington DALLAS Washington DALLAS Washington Dallas Projected Box 111 yards Washington Dallas 113 yards 345 yards 23 points Washington Projected Final Washington Projected Dallas Dallas #2 Washington Dallas # yards 21 points #23 Washington Dallas #12 Washington Redskins DAL QB/WR WAS SPECIAL TMS DAL KICKER WAS COACHES DAL COACHES WAS TOTAL PTS DAL TOTAL PTS 0.70 Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys By 2.09 Points 4.90 Washington By Points Washington By 2.0 Dallas By 0.1 Washington Washington Washington By 7 Weather: Roof closed during inclimate weather. Washington has taken on the NFL's toughest schedule so far and still has a shot at playoffs as they will be favored in four of the last five. In Washington s last three games they are +21 yards per game and Dallas is -176 yards per game without Ezekial Elliott and linebacker Sean Lee. The Chargers beat them worse than the final with a yard edge. Washington did get a late field goal after the Giants went for it on 4&3 from their own 32 with 2:19 left. While Dallas won by 14 in Washington this year, that was aided by a 21 yard interception return touchdown with 21 seconds remaining. Washingon has already won on the road against the Rams and Seahawks while Dallas has lost its last three games by 20, 28 and 22 points. Best Bet: Washington 27 Dallas 20

3 Detroit Lions 6-5 Lions Logs Vs NFC North DET BAL SCOR DET DET DET DATE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NFL RANKINGS BAL BAL BAL DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST E # #279 9/10 Arizona W CURRENT RANKINGS # #324 9/10 at Cincinnati 20-0 W # #249 9/18 at NY Giants W # #229 9/17 Cleveland W Detroit Baltimore # #105 9/24 Atlanta L # #1 9/24 Jacksonville 7-44 L # #233 10/1 at Minnesota 14-7 W #30 Rush Off # # #23 10/1 Pittsburgh 9-26 L # #61 10/8 Carolina L #10 Pass Off # # #303 10/8 at W # #64 10/15 at New Orleans L #15 Total Off # # #139 10/15 Chicago L / #5 Off # # #62 10/22 at Minnesota L # #176 10/29 Pittsburgh L #28 Sks Allowed # # #345 10/26 Miami 40-0 W # #331 11/6 at Green Bay W #24 Rush Def # # #178 11/5 at Tennessee L # #207 11/12 Cleveland W #23 Pass Def # / # #164 11/19 at Chicago W #26 Total Def # # #309 11/19 at Green Bay 23-0 W # #48 11/23 Minnesota L #21 Def # # #210 11/27 Houston W /3 at Baltimore #21 Sks By # /3 Detroit /10 at Tampa Bay #22 Ypg Diff # /10 at Pittsburgh /16 Chicago Total TO's /17 at Cleveland /24 at Cincinnati Off YPP /23 Indianapolis /31 Green Bay #2 Off YPP Rank # /31 Cincinnati Def YPP #18 Def YPP Rank #4 6-5 Vs AFC North Baltimore Ravens Ravens Logs Lions Net Stats Ravens Net Stats Arizona at Cincinnati at NY Giants Cleveland Atlanta Jacksonville at Minnesota Pittsburgh Carolina at at New Orleans Chicago at Minnesota Pittsburgh Miami at Green Bay at Tennessee Cleveland at Chicago at Green Bay Minnesota Houston at Baltimore Detroit at Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh Chicago at Cleveland at Cincinnati Indianapolis Green Bay Cincinnati Average % % Average % % Vs NFC North % % Vs AFC North % % Away % % Home % % Position by Position Edges Arizona +2.5/48.5 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate Detroit Baltimore at Cincinnati +3/41 Joe Flacco Terrance West Jeremy Maclin at NY Giants +3/42 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Eric Ebron DET QB/WR Cleveland -7.5/39 Joe Flacco Javorius Allen Benjamin Watson Atlanta +3/50 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah TJ Jones Jacksonville -3.5/39.5 Ryan Mallett Alex Collins Nick Boyle at Minnesota +2.5/43 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr BAL SECONDARY Pittsburgh +3/42.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Mike Wallace Carolina -2.5/42.5 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr DET RB's at +3/40 Joe Flacco Javorius Allen Mike Wallace at New Orleans +4.5/50 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr Chicago -6/39.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Chris Moore BAL LB's at Minnesota +4/38.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Benjamin Watson Pittsburgh +3/45 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr DET OFF LINE Miami -3/37.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Jeremy Maclin at Green Bay -2.5/43 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate at Tennessee +3/41.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Jeremy Maclin Cleveland -10.5/43 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Golden Tate BAL DEF LINE at Chicago -3/40.5 Matthew Stafford Theo Riddick Marvin Jones Jr DET DEF LINE at Green Bay -2/38.5 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Mike Wallace Minnesota +3/44.5 Matthew Stafford Theo Riddick Marvin Jones Jr Houston -7.5/39 Joe Flacco Alex Collins Mike Wallace at Baltimore BAL OFF LINE Detroit at Tampa Bay DET LB'S at Pittsburgh Chicago 0.77 at Cleveland at Cincinnati BAL RB's Indianapolis Green Bay DET SECONDARY Cincinnati 0.39 Matthew Stafford Ameer Abdullah Marvin Jones Jr Joe Flacco Alex Collins Mike Wallace Detroit Season Leaders Theo Riddick Golden Tate BAL SPECIAL TMS Baltimore Season Leaders Ryan Mallett Javorius Allen Mike Wallace Matthew Stafford TJ Jones DET KICKER Sam Koch Terrance West Jeremy Maclin Comp-Att-Yds Detroit Baltimore Projected Projected Box 93 yards Detroit Baltimore 128 yards 239 yards 332 yards 22 points #8 Detroit Baltimore 205 yards 0.78 Detroit Detroit Projected Baltimore Projected Final Baltimore 332 yards 24 points Detroit Baltimore #24 #28 Detroit Baltimore #29 Detroit Lions BAL QB/WR Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens DET SPECIAL TMS BAL KICKER DET COACHES BAL COACHES DET TOTAL PTS BAL TOTAL PTS By 4.18 Points Baltimore By Points Baltimore By 4.5 Baltimore By 1.6 Baltimore Baltimore Baltimore By 3 Weather: Sunny, Mid 50's. Baltimore is off a Monday night game and Detroit has extra time off following a Thanksgiving Day contest against Minnesota. Baltimore has won their home games by a average, while Detroit is 4-1 on road this year with a win over Minnesota. The Lions are minus 44 yards per game at home and only minus 4 yards per game on the road. Neither team is a legitimate contender as both teams are minus 26 yards per game overall. Baltimore has the edge on defense allowing just 306 yards per game. Detroit has the edge at quarterback with Matthew Stafford hitting 62 percent with a 21-6 ratio and Joe Flacco at 66 percent, but with a 9-11 ratio. I rate these teams even and most of their combined wins are against bad teams. Baltimore has three shutouts already this season and they also have a top five unit on special teams. I would look to go against the winner of this game next week, but would favor Baltimore by three here. Baltimore 24 Detroit 21

4 San Francisco 49ers 49ers Logs 1-10 Vs NFC West SF RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES CHI SCOR SF SF SF DATE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NFL RANKINGS CHI CHI CHI DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST E # #100 9/10 Carolina 3-23 L CURRENT RANKINGS # #125 9/10 Atlanta L # #221 9/17 at Seattle 9-12 L # #81 9/17 at Tampa Bay 7-29 L San Francisco Chicago # #240 9/21 LA Rams L # #184 9/24 Pittsburgh W # #242 10/1 at Arizona L #23 Rush Off # # #90 9/28 at Green Bay L # #310 10/8 at Indianapolis L #17 Pass Off # # #148 10/9 Minnesota L # #236 10/15 at Washington L #21 Total Off # # #226 10/15 at Baltimore W # #13 10/22 Dallas L #28 Off # # #254 10/22 Carolina 17-3 W # #101 10/29 at Philadelphia L #26 Sks Allowed # # #156 10/29 at New Orleans L # #172 11/5 Arizona L #30 Rush Def # / # #320 11/12 NY Giants W #26 Pass Def # # #141 11/12 Green Bay L / #28 Total Def # # #212 11/19 Detroit L # #115 11/26 Seattle L #28 Def # # #20 11/26 at Philadelphia 3-31 L /3 at Chicago #26 Sks By # /3 San Francisco /10 at Houston #27 Ypg Diff # /10 at Cincinnati /17 Tennessee Total TO's /16 at Detroit /24 Jacksonville Off YPP /24 Cleveland /31 at LA Rams #31 Off YPP Rank # /31 at Minnesota Def YPP #22 Def YPP Rank # Vs NFC North Chicago Bears Bears Logs 49ers Net Stats Bears Net Stats Carolina Atlanta at Seattle at Tampa Bay LA Rams Pittsburgh at Arizona at Green Bay at Indianapolis Minnesota at Washington at Baltimore Dallas Carolina at Philadelphia at New Orleans Arizona NY Giants Green Bay Detroit Seattle at Philadelphia at Chicago San Francisco at Houston at Cincinnati Tennessee at Detroit Jacksonville Cleveland at LA Rams at Minnesota Average % % Average % % Vs NFC West % % Vs NFC North % % Away % % Home % % Position by Position Edges Carolina +4.5/47.5 Brian Hoyer Carlos Hyde Pierre Garcon San Francisco Chicago Atlanta +7/48.5 Mike Glennon Tarik Cohen Tarik Cohen at Seattle +13.5/41.5 Brian Hoyer Carlos Hyde Pierre Garcon SF QB/WR at Tampa Bay +7/44.5 Mike Glennon Tarik Cohen Kendall Wright LA Rams +2.5/40 Brian Hoyer Carlos Hyde Pierre Garcon Pittsburgh +7.5/44 Mike Glennon Jordan Howard Jordan Howard at Arizona +6.5/43.5 Brian Hoyer Carlos Hyde Aldrick Robinson CHI SECONDARY at Green Bay +7/45 Mike Glennon Jordan Howard Kendall Wright at Indianapolis +1.5/44.5 Brian Hoyer Matt Breida Marquise Goodwin SF RB's Minnesota +3.5/40.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Kendall Wright at Washington +10.5/46 CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde Aldrick Robinson at Baltimore +6/39.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Dion Sims Dallas +6.5/49 CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde Marquise Goodwin CHI LB's Carolina +3/41 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Tarik Cohen at Philadelphia +12.5/44 CJ Beathard CJ Beathard Matt Breida SF OFF LINE at New Orleans +9.5/47 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Tre McBride Arizona +2.5/39 CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde Carlos Hyde NY Giants +2.5/41.5 CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde Marquise Goodwin CHI DEF LINE Green Bay -4.5/37.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Dontrell Inman SF DEF LINE Detroit +3/40.5 Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Dontrell Inman Seattle +6.5/44.5 CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde Marquise Goodwin at Philadelphia +13.5/44 Mitch Trubisky Mitch Trubisky Dontrell Inman at Chicago CHI OFF LINE San Francisco at Houston SF LB'S at Cincinnati Tennessee 1.24 at Detroit Jacksonville CHI RB's Cleveland at LA Rams SF SECONDARY at Minnesota 0.20 CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde Marquise Goodwin Mitch Trubisky Jordan Howard Kendall Wright San Francisco Season Leaders Brian Hoyer Matt Breida Pierre Garcon CHI SPECIAL TMS Chicago Season Leaders Mike Glennon Tarik Cohen Tarik Cohen CJ Beathard Carlos Hyde SF KICKER Pat O'Donnell Mitch Trubisky Zach Miller San Francisco CHICAGO Projected San Francisco CHICAGO yards San Francisco Chicago 213 yards 2.21 San Francisco Chicago Projected Final 2012 Comp-Att-Yds San Francisco Chicago yards San Francisco #11 Projected Box 108 yards San Francisco Chicago 125 yards San Francisco Projected Chicago 15 points San Francisco Chicago Chicago 337 yards 23 points #6 San Francisco Chicago #1 #32 San Francisco 49ers CHI QB/WR SF SPECIAL TMS CHI KICKER SF COACHES CHI COACHES SF TOTAL PTS CHI TOTAL PTS Chicago Bears Chicago Bears By 1.13 Points Chicago By 3 41 Points Chicago By 9.5 Chicago By 4.0 Chicago Chicago Chicago By 3 Weather: Mostly Sunny, Mid 50's. San Francisco quarterback C.J. Beathard was injured late and that opened the door for the much-anticipated debut of Jimmy Garoppolo. All Garoppolo did was lead the 49ers to a touchdown on his one possession. Chicago was embarrassed by the mighty Philadelphia Eagles last week, but goes from facing the best team in the NFL on the road to playing one of the weakest at home. Chicago is ATS as a home dog, but in their lone role as favorite they lost to the Rodgerless Packers. These two played here last year and Chicago won 26-6 with a yardage edge. Five of San Francisco s eight losses are by three points or less. Chicago has the defensive edge allowing just 328 yards per game and holding their foes to 21 yards per game below their season average. The 49ers allow 374 yards per game and opponents gain 36 yards per game above their season average. I feel the Bears are the stronger team and while my computer has them winning by eight, I will pass here as they ve lost their last five as a home favorite. Chicago 20 San Francisco 17

5 Minnesota Vikings Atlanta Falcons Vikings Logs Vs NFC North Vs NFC South Falcons Logs MIN ATL SCOR MIN MIN MIN DATE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NFL RANKINGS ATL ATL ATL DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST E # #160 9/11 New Orleans W CURRENT RANKINGS # #213 9/10 at Chicago W # #7 9/17 at Pittsburgh 9-26 L # #196 9/17 Green Bay W Minnesota Atlanta # #255 9/24 Tampa Bay W # #170 9/24 at Detroit W # #28 10/1 Detroit 7-14 L #6 Rush Off # # #92 10/1 Buffalo L # #114 10/9 at Chicago W #12 Pass Off # / # #198 10/15 Green Bay W #5 Total Off # # #111 10/15 Miami L # #144 10/22 Baltimore W #8 Off # # #43 10/22 at New England 7-23 L # #208 10/29 Cleveland W #1 Sks Allowed # # #206 10/29 at NY Jets W / #2 Rush Def # # #134 11/5 at Carolina L # #106 11/12 at Washington W #11 Pass Def # # #290 11/12 Dallas 27-7 W # #241 11/19 LA Rams 24-7 W #5 Total Def # # #117 11/20 at Seattle W # #199 11/23 at Detroit W #5 Def # # #244 11/26 Tampa Bay W /3 at Atlanta #9 Sks By # /3 Minnesota /10 at Carolina #2 Ypg Diff # /7 New Orleans /17 Cincinnati Total TO's /18 at Tampa Bay /23 at Green Bay Off YPP /24 at New Orleans /31 Chicago #19 Off YPP Rank # /31 Carolina Def YPP #12 Def YPP Rank #15 Vikings Net Stats Falcons Net Stats New Orleans at Chicago at Pittsburgh Green Bay Tampa Bay at Detroit Detroit Buffalo at Chicago Green Bay Miami Baltimore at New England Cleveland at NY Jets at Carolina at Washington Dallas LA Rams at Seattle at Detroit Tampa Bay at Atlanta Minnesota at Carolina New Orleans Cincinnati at Tampa Bay at Green Bay at New Orleans Chicago Carolina Average % % Average % % Vs NFC North % % Vs NFC South % % Away % % Home % % Position by Position Edges New Orleans -3/48 Sam Bradford Dalvin Cook Adam Thielen Minnesota Atlanta at Chicago -7/48.5 Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Austin Hooper at Pittsburgh +9.5/43.5 Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Kyle Rudolph MIN QB/WR Green Bay -3/54 Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Julio Jones Tampa Bay +1.5/40 Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Stefon Diggs at Detroit -3/50 Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Julio Jones Detroit -2.5/43 Case Keenum Dalvin Cook Stefon Diggs ATL SECONDARY Buffalo -8/49 Matt Ryan Tevin Coleman Tevin Coleman at Chicago -3.5/40.5 Case Keenum Jerick McKinnon Jerick McKinnon MIN RB's Green Bay +3/45.5 Case Keenum Jerick McKinnon Adam Thielen Miami -13/46 Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Julio Jones Baltimore -4/38.5 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Jarius Wright ATL LB's at New England +3/56.5 Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Julio Jones Cleveland -9.5/38 Case Keenum Jerick McKinnon Adam Thielen MIN OFF LINE at NY Jets -6.5/43.5 Matt Ryan Tevin Coleman Mohamed Sanu at Carolina -2.5/42 Matt Ryan Devonta Freeman Julio Jones at Washington -1.5/41 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Adam Thielen ATL DEF LINE Dallas -3.5/49 Matt Ryan Tevin Coleman Taylor Gabriel LA Rams -2/45.5 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Adam Thielen MIN DEF LINE at Seattle E/46 Matt Ryan Tevin Coleman Julio Jones at Detroit -3/44.5 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Adam Thielen Tampa Bay -10/47 Matt Ryan Tevin Coleman Julio Jones at Atlanta ATL OFF LINE Minnesota at Carolina MIN LB'S New Orleans Cincinnati 0.51 at Tampa Bay at Green Bay ATL RB's at New Orleans Chicago MIN SECONDARY Carolina 1.26 Case Keenum Latavious Murray Adam Thielen Matt Ryan Tevin Coleman Julio Jones Minnesota Season Leaders Sam Bradford Jerick McKinnon Stefon Diggs ATL SPECIAL TMS Atlanta Season Leaders Mohamed Sanu Devonta Freeman Mohamed Sanu Ryan Quigley Dalvin Cook Kyle Rudolph MIN KICKER Matt Ryan Austin Hooper Minnesota ATLANTA Projected Minnesota yards Projected Box Minnesota Atlanta yards Minnesota Atlanta 240 yards points Minnesota #17 Minnesota Atlanta Projected Atlanta 105 yards 361 yards Minnesota Atlanta 345 yards Projected Final Atlanta 22 points #15 Minnesota Atlanta #10 #3 Minnesota Vikings ATL QB/WR MIN SPECIAL TMS ATL KICKER ATL COACHES MIN TOTAL PTS ATL TOTAL PTS Minnesota Vikings Atlanta Falcons MIN COACHES By 0.53 Points Atlanta By 3 47 Points Minnesota By 1.0 Minnesota By 0.7 Minnesota Minnesota Minnesota By 1 Weather: Dome. Atlanta had two cornerbacks injured last week and they remain questionable here. Minnesota led Detroit and won by seven taking a knee at the Detroit five yard line at the end. Atlanta opened up 4-4 and could easily have been 2-6 but they have looked more like last year s Super Bowl squad lately with home wins by 20 and 14 and a road win over a desperate Seahawks team. Minnesota has had one of the NFL s top defenses the last two years but this year have a potent offense to match (have actually scored more points than Atlanta). The Vikings defense is holding foes to 52 yards per game below their season average and the offense is gaining 41 yards per game more than their foes normally allow. Interestingly, Case Keenum has a QBR of 96.2 and Matt Ryan is right behind him at 95.7 which is a far cry from last year s The Vikings have won six in a row ATS and are the more complete team while Atlanta is 6-15 ATS as a home favorite. Minnesota 24 Atlanta 23

6 New England Patriots Patriots Logs Vs AFC East NE RECORD PLUS/MINUS GAME GRADES BUF SCOR NE NE NE DATE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NFL RANKINGS BUF BUF BUF DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST E # #6 9/7 Kansas City L CURRENT RANKINGS # #335 9/10 NY Jets W # #257 9/17 at New Orleans W # #253 9/17 at Carolina 3-9 L New England Buffalo # #86 9/24 Houston W # #262 9/24 Denver W # #54 10/1 Carolina L #14 Rush Off # # #268 10/1 at Atlanta W # #98 10/5 at Tampa Bay W #1 Pass Off # # #166 10/8 at Cincinnati L # #119 10/15 at NY Jets W #1 Total Off # / # #192 10/22 Atlanta 23-7 W #3 Off # # #260 10/22 Tampa Bay W # #155 10/29 LA Chargers W #11 Sks Allowed # # #328 10/ W / #22 Rush Def # # #121 11/2 at NY Jets L # #297 11/12 at Denver W #31 Pass Def # # #3 11/12 New Orleans L # #275 11/ W #30 Total Def # # #31 11/19 at LA Chargers L # #280 11/26 Miami W #11 Def # # #326 11/26 at Kansas City W /3 at Buffalo #18 Sks By # /3 New England /11 at Miami #11 Ypg Diff # /10 Indianapolis /17 at Pittsburgh Total TO's /17 Miami /24 Buffalo Off YPP /24 at New England /31 NY Jets #6 Off YPP Rank # /31 at Miami Def YPP #1 Def YPP Rank #17 Vs AFC East Buffalo Bills Bills Logs Patriots Net Stats Bills Net Stats Kansas City NY Jets at New Orleans at Carolina Houston Denver Carolina at Atlanta at Tampa Bay at Cincinnati at NY Jets Atlanta Tampa Bay LA Chargers at NY Jets at Denver New Orleans at LA Chargers Miami at Kansas City at Buffalo New England at Miami Indianapolis at Pittsburgh Miami Buffalo at New England NY Jets at Miami Average % % Average % % Vs AFC East % % Vs AFC East % % Away % % Home % % Position by Position Edges Kansas City -8.5/48 Tom Brady Mike Gillislee Danny Amendola New England Buffalo NY Jets -8/41.5 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Jordan Matthews at New Orleans -6.5/55.5 Tom Brady Mike Gillislee Rob Gronkowski NE QB/WR at Carolina +6.5/43 Tyrod Taylor Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Houston -13.5/45 Tom Brady Mike Gillislee Brandin Cooks Denver +3/39.5 Tyrod Taylor Mike Tolbert Jordan Matthews Carolina -9.5/48 Tom Brady Mike Gillislee Rob Gronkowski BUF SECONDARY at Atlanta +8/49 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Charles Clay at Tampa Bay -5.5/55 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Brandin Cooks NE RB's at Cincinnati +3/39.5 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Nick O'Leary at NY Jets -9/47.5 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Brandin Cooks Atlanta -3/56.5 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Chris Hogan BUF LB's Tampa Bay -3/45.5 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Deonte Thompson LA Chargers -7/48.5 Tom Brady Dion Lewis James White NE OFF LINE -2.5/46 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Andre Holmes at NY Jets -3/42.5 Tyrod Taylor Tyrod Taylor Deonte Thompson at Denver -7/45 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Rob Gronkowski BUF DEF LINE New Orleans +2.5/48 Nate Peterman LeSean McCoy Kelvin Benjamin /54 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Brandin Cooks NE DEF LINE at LA Chargers +6.5/41 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Zay Jones Miami -16.5/48.5 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Brandin Cooks at Kansas City +9.5/47 Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Charles Clay at Buffalo BUF OFF LINE New England at Miami NE LB'S Indianapolis at Pittsburgh 0.07 Miami Buffalo BUF RB's at New England NY Jets NE SECONDARY at Miami 0.06 Tom Brady Dion Lewis Brandin Cooks Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Charles Clay New England Season Leaders Brian Hoyer Mike Gillislee Rob Gronkowski BUF SPECIAL TMS Buffalo Season Leaders Nate Peterman Tyrod Taylor LeSean McCoy Rex Burkhead Danny Amendola NE KICKER Mike Tolbert Zay Jones New England BUFFALO Projected 3.09 New England BUFFALO yards New England Buffalo 221 yards 7.81 New England BUFFALO E New England BUFFALO #16 New England Buffalo #19 New England Buffalo yards 374 yards 29 points Projected Box New England New England Projected Final New England Buffalo Projected Buffalo Buffalo 113 yards 333 yards 21 points #18 New England Buffalo #7 New England Patriots BUF QB/WR NE SPECIAL TMS BUF KICKER NE COACHES Buffalo Bills BUF COACHES NE TOTAL PTS BUF TOTAL PTS New England Patriots By 6.80 Points 1.01 New England By Points New England By 12.5 New England By 3.2 New England New England New England By 14 Weather: Mostly Cloudy, Mid 40's. Angle players will point out that New England is just 2-8 ATS as a division away favorite and the Bills have covered four of their last five as a home dog. Trumping that is the fact that the Patriots have covered their last three trips to Buffalo winning by two touchdowns per game. Buffalo has been outgained in all but two games and are minus 56 yards per game with a subpar offense (No. 26) and defense (No. 25). Over the last four weeks New England has the No. 2 offense in the NFL but more importantly the No. 8 defense. New England is getting into their groove with seven straight wins (allowing just 13 points per game) and having covered five in a row (18.4 point margin of victory). Prior to their upset of Kansas City last week, Buffalo had lost its previous three by 27 points per game. Buffalo has had the turnover edge in every one of their wins. Tom Brady has a ratio of 55-6 the last two years so they are not about to give the Bills the turnovers they need to survive. I like to ride streaks and will continue to lean with the Patriots here as they ve had ATS runs of four or more on three occasions over the past two years. New England 31 Buffalo 17

7 Denver Broncos Broncos Logs Vs AFC West DEN MIA SCOR DEN DEN DEN DATE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST NFL RANKINGS MIA MIA MIA DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST E # #258 9/11 LA Chargers W CURRENT RANKINGS /10 Bye # #330 9/17 Dallas W # #291 9/17 at LA Chargers W Denver Miami # #215 9/24 at Buffalo L # #72 9/24 at NY Jets 6-20 L # #282 10/ W #16 Rush Off # # #65 10/1 New Orleans 0-20 L / #19 Pass Off # # #315 10/8 Tennessee W # #187 10/15 NY Giants L #22 Total Off # # #285 10/15 at Atlanta W # #96 10/22 at LA Chargers 0-21 L #26 Off # # #317 10/22 NY Jets W # #203 10/30 at Kansas City L #28 Sks Allowed # # #34 10/26 at Baltimore 0-40 L # #26 11/5 at Philadelphia L #4 Rush Def # # #270 11/ L # #47 11/12 New England L #4 Pass Def # # #51 11/13 at Carolina L # #247 11/19 Cincinnati L #3 Total Def # # #251 11/19 Tampa Bay L # #132 11/26 at L #27 Def # # #82 11/26 at New England L /3 at Miami #18 Sks By # /3 Denver /10 NY Jets #10 Ypg Diff # /11 New England /14 at Indianapolis Total TO's /17 at Buffalo /24 at Washington Off YPP /24 at Kansas City /31 Kansas City #27 Off YPP Rank # /31 Buffalo Def YPP #32 Def YPP Rank #28 Vs AFC East Miami Dolphins Dolphins Logs Broncos Net Stats Dolphins Net Stats LA Chargers Bye Dallas at LA Chargers at Buffalo at NY Jets New Orleans Tennessee NY Giants at Atlanta at LA Chargers NY Jets at Kansas City at Baltimore at Philadelphia New England at Carolina Cincinnati Tampa Bay at at New England at Miami Denver NY Jets New England at Indianapolis at Buffalo at Washington at Kansas City Kansas City Buffalo Average % % Average % % Vs AFC West % % Vs AFC East % % Away % % Home % % Position by Position Edges LA Chargers -3/43 Trevor Siemian CJ Anderson Demaryius Thomas Denver Miami Bye Dallas +2.5/43.5 Trevor Siemian CJ Anderson Demaryius Thomas DEN QB/WR at LA Chargers +3.5/45.5 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi DeVante Parker at Buffalo -3/39.5 Trevor Siemian Jamaal Charles Demaryius Thomas at NY Jets -6/43.5 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi DeVante Parker /44 Trevor Siemian CJ Anderson AJ Derby MIA SECONDARY New Orleans +3/52 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi DeVante Parker DEN RB's Tennessee -2/42.5 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry NY Giants -12/38.5 Trevor Siemian Jamaal Charles Demaryius Thomas at Atlanta +13/46 Jay Cutler Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry at LA Chargers E/41 Trevor Siemian CJ Anderson AJ Derby MIA LB's NY Jets -3/38.5 Matt Moore Jay Ajayi Jarvis Landry at Kansas City +7/42.5 Trevor Siemian CJ Anderson Demaryius Thomas DEN OFF LINE at Baltimore +3/37.5 Matt Moore Jay Ajayi Kenny Stills at Philadelphia +7/41.5 Brock Osweiler Devontae Booker Demaryius Thomas /45 Jay Cutler Kenyan Drake Julius Thomas New England +7/45 Brock Osweiler CJ Anderson Emmanuel Sanders MIA DEF LINE at Carolina +8.5/38.5 Jay Cutler Kenyan Drake Kenny Stills Cincinnati -2.5/38 Brock Osweiler Devontae Booker Demaryius Thomas DEN DEF LINE Tampa Bay E/43 Matt Moore Damien Williams Kenny Stills at +4.5/41.5 Trevor Siemian Paxton Lynch Cody Latimer at New England +16.5/48.5 Matt Moore Damien Williams Jarvis Landry at Miami MIA OFF LINE Denver NY Jets DEN LB'S New England at Indianapolis 2.98 at Buffalo at Washington MIA RB's at Kansas City Kansas City DEN SECONDARY Buffalo 0.20 Trevor Siemian CJ Anderson Demaryius Thomas Jay Cutler Jay Cutler Jarvis Landry Denver Season Leaders Brock Osweiler Jamaal Charles Emmanuel Sanders MIA SPECIAL TMS Miami Season Leaders Matt Moore MarQueis Gray Kenny Stills Paxton Lynch Devontae Booker Bennie Fowler III DEN KICKER MarQueis Gray Jarvis Landry DeVante Parker MIA KICKER Denver Projected Box Miami Projected 116 yards Denver Miami 101 yards 210 yards Denver Miami 217 yards yards 23 points Denver Projected Miami Projected Final Denver Miami 318 yards 22 points #12 Denver Miami #7 #26 Denver Miami #5 Denver Broncos MIA QB/WR DEN TOTAL PTS Denver Broncos Miami Dolphins DEN SPECIAL TMS DEN COACHES MIA COACHES MIA TOTAL PTS By 3.47 Points Denver By Points Miami By 3.5 Denver By 0.7 Denver Denver Denver By 4 Weather: Mostly Sunny, High 70's. Denver started Paxton Lynch last week but Trevor Siemian came off the bench to lead a pair of touchdown drives in the final quarter. All three of Denver s wins came early when he was entrenched as the starter. Denver has the No. 2 defense in the NFL holding foes to 62 yards per game below their season average. Denver is the better team but they are 0-5 on the road this year losing by 15 points per game. I like the fact that Siemian is back under center to go along with their superior defense. While I prefer to play on streaks, both are sliding at the moment with Denver dropping seven straight and Miami five in a row. I will go with the better team and statistically it is not even close. Despite their 3-8 record, Denver is actually plus 31 yards per game on the season while Miami is minus 60 yards per game with their 4-7 mark. Denver 20 Miami 16