POWER PLAYS NORTHCOAST SPORTS

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1 NORTHCOAST SPORTS POWER PLAYS $ Northcoast Sports Service VOLUME 28 ISSUE 12 November 18-24, 2010 PP 4.5! s ON A % RUN! COLLEGE 4! s % L/4W!! COLL GOY WINS!! NFL GOM TW!!! NEWS AND NOTES - WEEK TWELVE, 2010 NEWS AND NOTES: Indiana was hanging with Wisconsin early. The game was tied at 10 early 2Q and when Indy missed a 52 yd FG with 5:46 left in the 2Q. QB Chappell was inj d for IU and that was the key to the game. UW went 66/2pl for a TD to make it then Chappell s replacement, Edward Wright-Baker, lost a fmbl on his fi rst snap and UW went 29 yds for a TD then after a 22 yd PR, went 46/5pl for a TD with :21 left in the half to make it and turn it into a blowout. The Badgers 83 pts were the most they scored since 1915 and the most for a Big Ten conf game since 1950 when Ohio St scored 83 vs Iowa. It was the most pts by an FBS school this season...illinois needed a win to become bowl eligible and it appeared they had a lay up hosting Minnesota who came in as losers of 9 straight. Unfortunately, leading 7-0 in the 2Q they would give up 2 TD s and a FG with 1 TD coming after UI was SOD on 4&5 at the UM22. They trailed 17-7 at the half. UI rallied. They got a TD with 10:44 left to lead and Leshoure got a 55 yd TD run with 8:14 left to apparently clinch it UM got a 92 yd KR to the 4 and got a TD with 7:55 left. After 3 punts, UM took over with 2:44 left and converted on 3&10 at their own 20 and went 80/10pl getting a 2 yd TD run with :16 left to pull off the upset...michigan/purdue was played on a rainy, windy day and each team had 5 TO s. UM got a 58 yd FR TD and jumped out to a 14-0 lead. Their 2nd TD was a 38 yd drive after a 9 yd punt. With UM up 14-3 PU got a 94 yd IR TD and only trailed at the half. UM was clinging to a lead when PU got off a 28 yd punt with 5:59 left and UM went 49/9pl for a TD with 1:58 to clinch it. UM had FD and yd edges...vanderbilt had not gained over 240 yards in any SEC game all year but had 242 at the half vs Kentucky. As had been the case all season long, UK played a much better 2H. Joker Phillips was incensed at half and left the locker room 10:00 early telling the seniors they should be embarrassed for their performance on Senior Day and to discuss it among themselves. The team came out fi red up in the 2H and would storm to a lead with 5:32 left. VU got a TD with 2:33 left to pull within 18 but the onside kick went OOB...Kent St had the nation s #1 rush D allowing just 69.4 ypg but Army ran for 233 yards on them...boston College/Duke was an interesting game. BC had a chance to put it away and leading 21-6, faced a 3&4 at the Duke9 when Harris fmbl d for the 2nd time inside the 15 and this time Duke s Campbell ret d it 95 yds for a TD, a 14 pt swing to put Duke back in the game, After 3 punts, Duke took over at their 37 with 4:52 left and went 59/12pl but on 4&gl, fi red incomplete from the BC4 yd line down by 5...Tennessee has won at least 3 conf games every year since 1977 but fi nally got Derek Dooley s fi rst SEC win with their wipeout of Mississippi. QB Bray threw for 265 yds in the 1H with UT rushing for just 7 and UT fi nished with a yd edge. UT led 14-0 when they got a 46 yd IR TD to go up 21-0 and led at the half. They added a 10 yd IR TD early 3Q to turn it into a blowout and in the 2H UM had just 1 drive across midfi eld until they trailed and less than 5:00 remained...dan Persa put together a heroic effort. Northwestern trailed Iowa 17-7 and the Hawkeyes were int d at the NU5 with 10:56 left. Persa led an 85/13pl drive for a TD with 6:21 left then a 91 yd drive and his 20 yd TD pass to Fields with 1:22 left put them in the lead. Unfortunately Persa tore his Achilles on the play and will be out the rest of the year. It was the Wildcats 3rd straight upset of Iowa. Iowa actually had just 4 FD s in the 1H and trailed 7-3 but scored on their fi rst 2 poss of the 3Q for their 17-7 lead. NU fi nished with a FD edge...louisville was without QB Froman vs USF. UL got an 11 yd drive for a TD after a USF fmbl early and USF got a spectacular 100 yd KR by Lamar to trail at the half. USF led and UL got a TD with 1:21 left then USF missed a 52 yd FG. They actually made a 52 yd FG but a time-out was called and they missed it on the fi nal pay of regulation. UL was SOD on 4&1 and USF hit a 37 yd FG for the win...both Miami, Fl and Georgia Tech started backup QB s. UM s Stephen Morris hit yds while GT s Tevin Washington hit but had 122 yds rushing on 21 carries. UM jumped out to a 14-0 lead and had a fmbl ret d for a TD overturned by review and it was 14-3 at the half after UM dropped a TD pass on 3&10 late 2Q. GT did fmbl at the UM6 but UM was SOD on 4&gl at the 1. When GT had a 2nd & 5 at the UM9 and fmbl d, there were hardly any fans left in the stadium in UM s win...ucf jumped out to a 14-0 lead vs Southern Miss but SM would rally to lead at the half and scored TD s on their 2nd & 3rd 2H poss while UCF missed a 30 yd FG and SM cruised to a win keeping the Golden Eagles in the CUSA Title chase...byu dominated vs Colorado St delivering another 4! Key Selection winner on these pages. BYU fmbl d on their fi rst poss but scored TD s on their next 5 poss to lead 35-0 at half. It was 49-3 when CSU went 80/8pl for a garbage TD with 3:07 left. BYU got a 74 yd run to the 5 yd line and took a knee...missouri and Kansas St played an even 1H. Trailing 21-14, KSU went 66/10pl. They had a 1st & gl at the 1 with :22 left in the half when they fmbl d the C exchange and MO rec d at the 7 and led by 3 at the half. MO got a 53 yd FR TD then after another fmbl got a 33 yd FG. KSU had 4 crucial fmbl s. MO extended the lead to early 4Q. KSU got a TD with 6:55 left and forced a punt with 4:28 left. KSU converted on 3&10, 4&5, 3&16 and got a 26 yd TD pass with 1:11 left for the backdoor cover. Both had 22 FD s and the yards were almost even with Missouri having a slight yd edge...west Virginia had a FD edge vs Cincinnati and a yd edge and led 30-3 at the half. Trailing 14-7 UC was int d in the EZ for a TB on FD from the 14. After a punt, WV got a 48 yd TD pass then after a 25 yd PR and pers foul, WV drove 60/3pl for a TD to lead 28-0 and coasted in the 2H...Wake Forest actually had a 9-7 FD edge vs NC State at the half and yd edge. The key play of the game happened at the end of the half. WF went on a 13pl drive and faced a 4&gl at the 2 trailing 10-3 with a chance to tie it, they lost a yard. NCSt scored a TD to open the 3Q and then WF fmbl d a punt on their 17 setting up another NCSt TD and the Wolfpack went on to a 38-3 win as WF had run a conservative gameplan trying to run the ball and shorten the game and did have a yd rushing edge...oklahoma extended the nation s longest home win streak to 36 and got revenge for the previous year s loss to TT. Each team opened with a TD but then OU rolled to a 38-7 halftime lead and 45-7 after 3Q s, even missing a 35 yd FG in the 4Q and fmbl ing at the TT37 late. OU had a yd edge...washington St got their fi rst P10 win since the 2008 Apple Cup and the Beavers lost for the fi rst time in 7 games at Reser Stadium. They now have USC, Stanford and Oregon left and need to win 2 of the 3 just to become bowl eligible. WSU had a yd edge at the half and OSU was booed heading into the locker room trailing WSU led 24-7 and it was when OSU was SOD at their own 38 with 4:47 left and the Cougars tacked on a TD 4pl later...memphis looked like they had a shot at the win with a 10-0 lead at the half but Marshall scored TD s on 3 of their fi rst four 3Q poss to jump to a lead and got a 62 yd TD pass with 6:18 left, up to ice it in their 15 pt win...c Michigan had a FG with :15 left in the half to take their fi rst lead of the game, but Navy battled back to lead with 7:27 left. CM got a TD with 3:04 left and then Navy was ready for the onside kick and kicked deep so Navy started at their 20. They got 1 FD & punted with 1:04 left and CM went 80/8pl getting a TD with :04 left but the 2 pt for the win failed...an amazing stat coming in was that Penn St had never had a TD pass in 8 tries in Big Ten play at Ohio Stadium. Walk-on Matt McGloin got two TD passes in the 1H and PSU jumped out to a 14-3 lead over the Buckeyes. OSU rallied, thanks in part to 34 and 30 yd IR TD s in the 2H. The latter put the Bucks up with 8:02 left. They got the ball with 7:10 left and marched 78/7pl and threw a 3 yd TD pass with 3:59 left for the frontdoor cover...one week after TJ Yates set a school record for passing yards, he had 4 int s and NC turned the ball over six times. NC led VT 10-6 over VT and 10-9 at the half but imploded with 6 TO s in the 2H. The Tar Heels were int d at the VT21. A punt did not appear to hit the returnman but was ruled a fmbl and VT rec d it, setting up a 21 yd drive for a TD. NC had a 1st & gl at the 2 but fmbl d and VT kicked it out of the EZ for a TB. NC was int d at the 2 and int d at the 13 as well and could not overcome 6 TO s in the loss...tcu did have 27-7 FD and yd edges vs the Aztecs. SDSt fell on a fmbl in the EZ for a def TD to lead 14-0 but at the half TCU was fi rmly in control, with a yd edge. The Frogs had leads of and in the 4Q and were at the Aztec13 with 9:05 left when they were int d. The Aztecs went 88/6pl getting a 33 yd TD pass with 6:43 left then after a 29 yd PR got a 35/1pl TD pass with 4:50 left to pull within TCU got 3 FD s getting to the SDS19 where they took a knee...colorado blew a big lead vs Kansas last week and it got Dan Hawkins fi red. Hawkins was very supportive since his son was the QB and was even at the stadium for the game vs Iowa St. Once again, CU got out to a big lead, this time after a 45 yd FR with 11:22 left and they led Iowa St scored a TD with 8:11 left and got to the CU12 where they were SOD on their last gasp with 4:41 left. Cody Hawkins had a 13th TD connection with Scottie McKnight which set a school record for a TD duo...mississippi St was off a bye but Alabama was coming in off a loss. MSU made a game of it early vs the Tide as they settled for a 24 yd FG and it was 3-3 late 1Q. Bama got a 45 yd FG and the team s punted 3 straight times then Bama got a 45 yd TD pass with 7:09 left to make it After a PR TD was called back, on the fi rst play Bama threw a screen to Ingram who took it 78 yds for a TD to lead Bama s fi rst 3Q play went 56 yds for a TD, At the end of the game, Bama got an IR to the MSU22 and from the 3 they fmbl d into the EZ for a TB with :43 left. Bama s last TD drive was led by backup QB McCarron... Continued on page 2

2 News & Notes continued from Front page...20:00 prior to game time, Nebraska played a highlight of Tuner Gill s playing days at NU. The Huskers evidently took it easy on him. Taylor Martinez, who played just 1 play vs Iowa St, was limited by design and had just 11 rushes in the game. NU got a TD with :33 left in the 1Q and a 54/9pl drive then went 75/9pl for a TD with 3:01 left to lead The Huskers had a yd edge. KU was limited to 5 FD s for the game and NU had a yd edge in the lackluster 20-3 win...lsu had been eliminated in the SEC West race prior to ULM and defense got them the margin. In the 1H ULM had a yd edge but LSU led The Tigers had a 32 yd IR TD and they had scoring drives of 14 (after 24 yd PR), 19 (after 34 yd punt), 12 (after 85 yd IR) and 14 (after fmbl) yds to lead 23-0 at half. Their longest drive of the game came after ULM was int d at the LSU23 with 12:46 left as they drove 66/10pl for their fi nal TD to go up For the game LSU had a yd edge. RARE BOWL ELIGIBLE TEAMS: Syracuse got to bowl eligibility in a tight one vs Rutgers where they were actually favored on the road. RU used frosh Jeremy Deering out of the Wildcat and he rushed for 166 yards. It was tied at 10 when RU missed a 45 yd FG with 3:51 left and SU went 66/11pl getting a 24 yd FG with 1:07 left. RU got to their 40 but on 4&17 was SOD with :06 left. RU had a yd edge. ThaJKsgM4MJg ENec.eeK O PQst R D!S for U days888 Thanksgiving Weekend is next week! Call for your passcodes NOW. Our favorite week is here to offer our Executive Service to all of our customers at an absurd rate. It's just $ 125 and has been that way since 1996! Thanksgiving Executive Club Service is a $ 499 value as you will receive EVERY LATE PHONE PLAY, TOP OPINION, MARQUEE PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE PLAY, TOTALS CLUB PLAY, SMALL COLLEGE PLAY - EVERYTHING! Why do we only charge $125? The answer is easy. We are superstitious. We have always done tremendously well on this week and have always charged just $125. We suggest that you sign up as soon as you can so that we can assign you the number and the passcodes needed for the week. Your Executive Club Service will start on Tuesday (11/23 and that's why we're advertising this week) and will commence with the Monday Night Magic on the side and Marquee Total. If you are thinking that this is a ridiculously low rate and that you will end up needing to purchase more plays - you are wrong. Your $ 125 Membership for Thanksgiving Exec will get you every single play that we release,! rated or otherwise and you will not need to spend one penny more! THE MOST UNIQUE POWER RATINGS IN THE COUNTRY These Power Play Forecasts are the most unique in the country because they are based on Northcoast Sports Private Power Ratings. Our ratings are unlike any computer rating, as we take into account all of the following: Strength of Opponents Individual Units (Rushing Offense & Defense, Passing Offense, & Defense, Scoring Off & Def, Garbage Yds, Weather, Inj s, Home Field Edge, and Successful Unbalanced Attacks). Here is how each is re"ected: Strength of Opponent: Our ratings do not just take the opposing team s overall power rating into account. For example, in 1992, Washington s defense vs the rush was rated at a 110 (From 1-100). They faced Colorado and allowed 183 yds rushing and dropped 12 spots in the national rushing defense ratings. However, Power Plays took into account the potent Buffalo run attack and had forecasted the Huskies yielding 225 yds. Due to the fact they did better than the forecast, Power Plays raised their rating to 112 even though they slipped in the national (straight yardage) rankings. Another example was Michigan vs Purdue in Michigan held Purdue to just 45 yards rushing and improved their ratings in rushing defense in the national statistics. However, our ratings had them rated at a 102 and moved them down to 99, as they should have yielded just 32 yards to an impotent Purdue rush attack. Next time an announcer on TV tells you that a certain team is #3 in the country vs the run you better check Northcoast Sports Power Ratings and see how good a rush defense they really have! The top twenty ratings in Power Ratings for each offensive and defensive category will be listed in each week s issue of Power Plays. Garbage Yds: These are yds that a tm gains or allows in the! nal minutes of a gm when it has been decided. Example, Tm A is ahead 63-0 and allows a 93 yd TD pass vs its 4th string D. These yds are counted in national ratings, but not in Northcoast Sports Power Ratings! Weather: If a game is played in miserable weather conditions and is low scoring, the straight statistics credit the defense with outstanding performances. Our Power Ratings re" ect the conditions and do not give excess credit to the defenses. Injuries: When South Carolina played NC State in 1989, South Carolina QB Todd Ellis was injured on the third play of the game. His backup, who had seen very little action all year, was not prepared and hit on just 4 of 13 passes for 65 yards. The offensive coordinator did not risk any passes. In the national statistics NC State s pass defense MOVED UP 14 NOTCHES. In our Power Ratings they stayed the same, as the low yardage WAS NOT re"ective of an outstanding performance by the defense. Home Field Edges: The weekly projection of yards and points is weighted with the home!eld factored in. Successful Unbalanced Attacks: In 89, Ohio St was held to 127 yds pass vs N western. This dropped OSU in the national passing off ratings & RAISED the Wildcats in the pass D ratings. In our ratings the two units remained rated the same. Why? OSU rushed for 456 yds & DID NOT HAVE TO PASS & when they did they hit 9-11 passes, which is VERY effective. While N western s pass defense looked good in the national ratings, only Northcoast Sports Power Ratings re"ected the TRUTH! There you have it. More than just numbers, THESE RATINGS REFLECT the true strength of each unit and allow them to have the most accurate forecast of yards gained and points allowed in the country! No other rating system takes into account all the previous factors. Next time you hear that a team is rated third in the country in pass defense, just remember, yards are not everything and Northcoast Sports Power Plays will show you how strong the team really is. NORTHCOAST SPORTS PLUS OR MINUS POWER RATINGS The Power Ratings listed below are not based on the Power Plays, they are based on last year s!nal computer power rating numbers with the pluses and minuses from the off season changes factored in. They are then adjusted during the course of the season based on the!nal score of the games that are played on a weekly basis. The Power Ratings listed below can be used for you as a base power ratings to forecast up coming lines and strength of opponents, etc. Once again, they are not based on Power Plays and they differ from what we have shown in recent years, which has been our actual computer Power Ratings. These are Northcoast Sports Plus or Minus Power Ratings. ACC Virginia Tech Miami, Fl Florida St 130 NC State North Carolina Clemson Maryland Georgia Tech Boston College Duke Virginia Wake Forest 108 CONFERENCE USA Tulsa 123 S Mississippi 121 UCF 121 Houston 120 East Carolina 117 UAB 110 SMU 108 UTEP 107 Marshall 107 Tulane 101 Rice 101 Memphis 91 BIG EAST Pittsburgh West Virginia South Florida Louisville Syracuse Connecticut Rutgers Cincinnati INDEPENDENT Notre Dame 124 Navy 123 Army 116 SUN BELT FIU 110 Arkansas St 109 Troy St 106 North Texas 104 Florida Atlantic 102 Western Kentucky 102 Middle Tennessee 101 Louisiana-Lft 100 UL Monroe 99 MAC N Illinois 127 Temple 122 Ohio 113 Toledo 111 Cent Michigan 111 Miami, Oh 107 Kent St 107 West Michigan 106 Bowling Green 103 Ball St 103 Buffalo 93 Akron 90 East Michigan 90 WAC Boise St 149 Nevada Hawaii Fresno St Louisiana Tech Utah St Idaho New Mexico St San Jose St PAC-10 Oregon 144 Stanford 139 USC 132 Arizona St 129 California 127 Arizona 127 Oregon St 123 UCLA 119 Washington 117 Washington St 112 BIG TEN Ohio St Wisconsin Iowa Michigan St Penn St Michigan Northwestern Illinois Minnesota 113 Purdue Indiana SEC Alabama 142 Auburn 140 LSU 139 Arkansas 139 Florida 133 South Carolina 133 Georgia 132 Miss St 130 Tennessee 123 Kentucky 123 Mississippi 116 Vanderbilt REG SSN GAMES OF MONTH (Y) %!!""# %ept )*+,s 5! FAU (+7) 42 Minnesota 39./N 4! Atlanta (+3) 26 Houston 16./N!""# *ct )*+,s 5! Texas A&M (+3) 11 Kansas 19 loss 4! Over 45 Cleveland (27)/STL (20)./N!""# No4 )*+,s 5! USF (-16 ) 41 Syracuse 10./N 4! OVER 60 UAB 9/Memphis 25 loss 4! Tampa Bay (-3) 31 Atlanta 7./N!""# NFL )*788 5! Tennessee (-3) 26 KC 17./N!""9 %ept )*+,s 4! Atlanta (-6) 38 KC 14./N 5! Florida St (-5') 39 Colo 21./N!""9 *cto:er )*+,s 4! NY Giants (+3) 21 PIT 14./N 4'! OVER 59 UNLV (35) BYU (45) GOY./N 4! UNDER 54 Texas 38 Colorado 14 GOM./N 5! Ohio St (-3) 45 Mich St 7./N!""9 No4e<:er )*+,s 5! Ohio St (-11) 45 N western 10 GOY./N 4! Atlanta (-6') 20 Denver 24 loss!""9 NFL )*7 5! Green Bay (-6) 21 Houston 24 loss!""= %ept )*+>s 4! Oakland (+2) 3 Denver 23 loss 4! OVER 52' Mid Tenn (21)/N Texas(37)./N 5! Clemson (-7) 25 Boston Coll 7./N!""= *CT )*+,% 4! Indianapolis (-14) 42 St Louis 6./N 4! UNDER 51 Arizona (27)/UCLA (13)./N 5! SMU (+7) 35 Navy 38 (OT)./N!""= N*A )*+,% 5! Wisconsin (-11) 31 Indiana 28 GOY loss 4'! UNDER 50' Wisc (31)/N'wstrn (33) GOY loss 4! NY Giants (-7) 34 Atlanta 31 OT loss!""= DEC )*+ 5! Indianapolis (-6 ) 28 Denver 16 GOY./N!"D" %ept )*+>s 4! OVER 63' Oklahoma St (41)/Troy(38)./N 4! Atlanta (-6') 41 Arizona 7./N 5! Boston College (+4) 0 Virg Tech 19 loss!"d" *CT )*+>s 4! UNDER 44 LSU (16)/Tennessee (14)./N 5! Mississippi St (-5) 47 Houston 24./N 4! Chicago (-5') 20 Seattle 23 loss!"d" N*A )*+>s 4'! OVER 59 Arkansas (41)/S Carolina (20) GOY./N 5! Kentucky (-15) 38 Vanderbilt 20 GOY./N NFL N*A )*+ TE/% %UNDG7888 BIG 12 Oklahoma Nebraska Oklahoma St Texas A&M Missouri Kansas St Baylor Texas Texas Tech 120 Colorado Iowa St Kansas 110 MOUNTAIN WEST TCU 144 Utah 131 Air Force 127 BYU 124 San Diego St 121 Colorado St 104 UNLV 103 Wyoming 100 New Mexico 98

3 WEE#LY MATCHUP STAT COMPARISON TEAM PPG Off Rush Off Rush Off Pass Off PPG Def Rush Def Rush Def Pass Def Off Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp % Def Avg YPG YPC YPG Comp% A UCLA H Washington A Air Force H UNLV A Fresno St H Boise St A Indiana H Penn St A Tennessee H Vanderbilt A Connecticut H Syracuse A Florida St H Maryland A Clemson H Wake Forest A Duke H Georgia Tech A Virginia H Boston College A Rutgers H Cincinnati A Purdue H Michigan St A Wisconsin H Michigan A Ohio St H Iowa A Missouri H Iowa St A Oklahoma St H Kansas A Arkansas H Mississippi St A Northern Illinois H Ball St A East Carolina H Rice A Kent St H Western Michigan A UTEP H Tulsa A Eastern Michigan H Buffalo A Colorado St H Wyoming A Idaho H Utah St A Marshall H SMU A Illinois H Northwestern A NC State H North Carolina A Stanford H California A UCF H Tulane A Virginia Tech H Miami, Fl A Kansas St H Colorado A New Mexico St H Nevada A Memphis H UAB A New Mexico H BYU A Notre Dame H Army A Pittsburgh H USF A Houston H Southern Miss A Oklahoma H Baylor A Nebraska H Texas A&M A West Virginia H Louisville A USC H Oregon St A Mississippi H LSU A Utah H San Diego St A San Jose St H Hawaii A Troy H South Carolina A Florida Atlantic H Texas A Arkansas St H Navy A Middle Tenn H WKU A FIU H Louisiana A North Texas H ULM A Temple H Miami, Oh N*AE+ZEX NFL )*+ )*E% %UNDG78888 )*+>s!sod" #D[ REG SSN GOM S!!! PQst R S" ThMs %QJday Listed below are Northcoast Sports Power Play Rankings. These Power Play Rankings are unique. Our rankings are unlike any computer ranking, as we take into account all the following: Strength of Opponents, Individual Units (Rushing Offense, Rushing Defense, Passing Offense, and Passing Defense) Garbage Yards, Weather, Injuries, Home Field Edges, and successful Unbalanced Attacks. Regular rankings based solely on numbers DO NOT take into account these factors. XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) *FFEN%E *FFEN%E *FFEN%E DEFEN%E DEFEN%E DEFEN%E 1 Navy 1 Oklahoma St 1 Auburn 1 Boston College 1 Nebraska 1 Clemson 2 Georgia Tech 2 Hawaii 2 Oregon 2 S Carolina 2 LSU 2 LSU 3 Auburn 3 Oklahoma 3 Arkansas 3 Ohio St 3 Boise St 3 Alabama 4 Nevada 4 Arkansas 4 Boise St 4 Iowa 4 Texas 4 Miami, Fl 5 Oregon 5 East Carolina 5 Wisconsin 5 Mississippi St 5 TCU 5 Ohio St 6 Air Force 6 Boise St 6 TCU 6 Arizona St 6 Ohio St 6 TCU 7 Michigan 7 SMU 7 Nevada 7 TCU 7 Miami, Fl 7 West Virginia 8 N Illinois 8 Texas Tech 8 Ohio St 8 USC 8 Oklahoma 8 Mississippi St 9 Wisconsin 9 Houston 9 Oklahoma St 9 West Virginia 9 California 9 Iowa 10 Army 10 Idaho 10 Stanford 10 Temple 10 Air Force 10 Virginia Tech 11 TCU 11 Baylor 11 Georgia 11 Clemson 11 Oregon 11 Oklahoma 12 Nebraska 12 Texas A&M 12 USC 12 California 12 Stanford 12 Arizona St 13 Ohio St 13 San Diego St 13 Michigan 13 Arizona 13 Pittsburgh 13 Oregon 14 Stanford 14 NC State 14 Oklahoma 14 Kent St 14 Louisville 14 California 15 Baylor 15 Troy 15 East Carolina 15 Utah 15 Penn St 15 Stanford 16 Illinois 16 Arizona 16 Baylor 16 Oregon 16 Florida 16 Nebraska 17 Mississippi 17 Cincinnati 17 Alabama 17 Maryland 17 Syracuse 17 Boston College 18 USC 18 Duke 18 Texas A&M 18 Stanford 18 Virginia Tech 18 Boise St 19 Virginia Tech 19 W Michigan 19 Virginia Tech 19 North Carolina 19 UTEP 19 South Carolina 20 Miami, Fl 20 Miami, Oh 20 S Carolina 20 Michigan St 20 West Virginia 20 Missouri XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) *FFEN%E *FFEN%E *FFEN%E DEFEN%E DEFEN%E DEFEN%E 101 NC State 101 N Mexico St 101 Kent St 101 FAU 101 Toledo 101 Bowling Green 102 N Mexico St 102 Ohio 102 E Michigan 102 Virginia 102 Indiana 102 Toledo 103 San Diego St 103 Mid Tenn 103 Bowling Green 103 Idaho 103 Michigan 103 Mid Tenn 104 Kent St 104 Memphis 104 New Mexico 104 E Carolina 104 W Michigan 104 UAB 105 Marshall 105 Wake Forest 105 Miami, Oh 105 Kansas St 105 Ohio 105 San Jose St 106 ULM 106 Ball St 106 Vanderbilt 106 Ball St 106 North Texas 106 ULM 107 New Mexico 107 Nebraska 107 Colorado St 107 Bowling Green 107 USC 107 Idaho 108 SMU 108 N Illinois 108 North Texas 108 Air Force 108 E Carolina 108 Wyoming 109 Akron 109 LSU 109 Mid Tenn 109 E Michigan 109 E Michigan 109 N Mexico St 110 Buffalo 110 UCLA 110 Marshall 110 Arkansas St 110 Baylor 110 UNLV 111 Memphis 111 Vanderbilt 111 Wyoming 111 Vanderbilt 111 Kent St 111 Akron 112 W Michigan 112 WKU 112 ULM 112 Wyoming 112 Troy 112 Utah St 113 Hawaii 113 Mississippi St 113 Purdue 113 San Jose St 113 UAB 113 Troy 114 FAU 114 Akron 114 Ball St 114 Troy 114 LA Tech 114 New Mexico 115 C Michigan 115 Purdue 115 San Jose St 115 N Mexico St 115 Tulsa 115 Louisiana 116 Louisiana 116 Air Force 116 N Mexico St 116 Utah St 116 Memphis 116 Tulane 117 Idaho 117 Buffalo 117 FAU 117 Houston 117 Navy 117 Memphis 118 Miami, Oh 118 Georgia Tech 118 Akron 118 Tulane 118 Akron 118 E Carolina 119 Bowling Green 119 Navy 119 Memphis 119 UTEP 119 Rice 119 Rice 120 San Jose St 120 Army 120 Buffalo 120 New Mexico 120 Duke 120 E Michigan 2010 TO'GHEST OPPONENT 'NITS FACED WHAT ARE THE TOUGHEST OPPONENT RANKINGS? These rankings go far beyond the NCAA s straight statistical ranking of each team. For example last year Bowling Green ranked #3 in the NCAA avg 40.8 ppg, but ranked #39 in our scoring off rankings. However they faced the #114th schedule of scoring defenses. As you can see, the NCAA s statistical rankings can be misleading. In the upcoming weeks we ll provide examples of this year s statistical disparities. These are the current rankings for this year. Here are the teams that have taken on the toughest & easiest schedules. XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) *FFEN%E% *FFEN%E% *FFEN%E% DEFEN%E% DEFEN%E% DEFEN%E% 1 Washington 1 Texas A&M 1 Washington 1 Washington 1 Wyoming 1 Washington 2 Duke 2 Colorado 2 UCLA 2 Washington St 2 Colorado St 2 Florida 3 Minnesota 3 Texas Tech 3 Arizona St 3 Florida 3 Iowa St 3 Washington St 4 UCLA 4 Oklahoma St 4 S Carolina 4 Tennessee 4 N Carolina 4 N Carolina 5 BYU 5 Washington 5 USC 5 Oregon St 5 Florida 5 Alabama 6 Arizona St 6 Oklahoma 6 Vanderbilt 6 Notre Dame 6 Oregon St 6 Florida St 7 Tennessee 7 Texas 7 Washington St 7 UCLA 7 Kansas St 7 Duke 8 Wake Forest 8 Vanderbilt 8 Texas 8 Alabama 8 Duke 8 Oregon St 9 Miami, Fl 9 Rice 9 California 9 Penn St 9 Auburn 9 UCLA 10 Indiana 10 USC 10 Notre Dame 10 Vanderbilt 10 Air Force 10 S Carolina 11 Notre Dame 11 UCLA 11 Oklahoma St 11 California 11 Tennessee 11 Kansas St 12 Kansas 12 Oregon St 12 Oregon St 12 Florida St 12 Florida St 12 California 13 California 13 N Mexico St 13 Oklahoma 13 Illinois 13 UCLA 13 Texas Tech 14 Oregon St 14 S Carolina 14 Stanford 14 LSU 14 S Carolina 14 Miami, Fl 15 N Carolina 15 Missouri 15 Mississippi St 15 Minnesota 15 Baylor 15 Iowa St 16 Illinois 16 Mississippi St 16 Arizona 16 Virginia 16 Kansas 16 LSU 17 UNLV 17 Baylor 17 Missouri 17 Auburn 17 San Jose St 17 Michigan 18 S Carolina 18 Stanford 18 Colorado 18 S Carolina 18 Alabama 18 Pittsburgh 19 Penn St 19 Memphis 19 Florida 19 Michigan 19 TCU 19 Auburn 20 Florida 20 Utah St 20 Miami, Fl 20 Pittsburgh 20 Washington 20 Notre Dame XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) XU%E PG%% %C*X/N) *FFEN%E% *FFEN%E% *FFEN%E% DEFEN%E% DEFEN%E% DEFEN%E% 106 UAB 107 Akron 108 S Miss 109 Troy 110 Houston 111 Army 112 Texas A&M 113 Utah St 114 Boise St 115 N Mexico St 116 Miami, Oh 117 Ball St 118 Nevada 119 Tulsa 120 UTEP 106 Ohio 107 Mid Tenn 108 Connecticut 109 W Michigan 110 E Michigan 111 Buffalo 112 San Diego St 113 West Virginia 114 Akron 115 Maryland 116 C Michigan 117 Duke 118 Rutgers 119 Kent St 120 Temple North Texas 107 FAU 108 Houston 109 S Miss 110 Akron 111 San Diego St 112 Mid Tenn 113 UTEP 114 Army 115 Ohio 116 Kent St 117 W Michigan 118 Ball St 119 Troy 120 Miami, Oh 106 WKU 107 C Michigan 108 Houston 109 North Texas 110 Tulsa 111 New Mexico 112 Miami, Oh 113 SMU 114 Army 115 Ohio 116 N Mexico St 117 Troy 118 Mid Tenn 119 San Diego St 120 UTEP 106 Texas A&M 107 Akron 108 UTEP 109 Memphis 110 Miami, Oh 111 Ohio 112 Army 113 Virginia 114 Bowling Green 115 UCF 116 Tulsa 117 Ball St 118 W Michigan 119 N Illinois 120 Mid Tenn 106 Army 107 Tulane 108 Kent St 109 N Mexico St 110 UCF 111 Arkansas St 112 Tulsa 113 FAU 114 North Texas 115 W Michigan 116 Ball St 117 Troy 118 Mid Tenn 119 UTEP 120 Ohio

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th (score forcast=proj pts for Thur & Fri) UCLA " " " " WASHINGTON NO PLAY: UCLA 24 WASHINGTON 22 AIR FORCE " " UNLV NO PLAY: AIRFORCE 41 UNLV 19 FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 19th FRESNO ST " BOISE ST NO PLAY: FRESNO ST 16 BOISE ST 50 We will select the best side or total on Thurs & Fri and release it as our Marquee Play of the day. Call for $15 after 3 pm ET each day or save $ and purchase it on the NC debit card for just $9! SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 20th INDIANA PENN ST " " Landover, MD. PSU is 13-0 SU and 7-4 ATS vs UI but Indy has covered the L3. PP says PSU will win by 16 (line 10 ) with a yd edge and PSU fans should dominate the crowd. 4! PENN ST 35 INDIANA 19 TENNESSEE VANDERBILT " UT is 26-1 in this series and on an 8-4 ATS run plus the visitor has covered the L5. PP says UT will win by 18 (line 10 ) and we have won big plays the L2 wks going against Vandy (4.5 FL, 5 GOY KY). 4.5! TENNESSEE 35 VANDERBILT 17 CONNECTICUT SYRACUSE The favorite is a perfect 6-0 ATS in this series. PP calls this right around the line showing Syr with a 4 pt win and a yd edge. NO PLAY: SYRACUSE 24 CONNECTICUT 20 FLORIDA ST MARYLAND " " UM is 2-13 SU, 5-10 ATS in this series but is on a 4-2 ATS run. PP calls for UM to win outright (+6) with the ydg forecast almost even (FSU ). 3! MARYLAND (+) 28 FLORIDA ST 27 CLEMSON " " " " WAKE FOREST The visitor is 1-7 SU (0-5 ATS) but PP says that Clemson will win by 20 (line 13) with a yd edge. CU needs this win to clinch a bowl spot and can t afford to look ahead to rival SC on deck. 4! CLEMSON 29 WAKE FOREST 9 DUKE " GEORGIA TECH GT has covered 5 in a row in this series all as a DD fave. PP calls for GT to win by 11 (line 12 ) with a massive yd edge. NO PLAY: GEORGIA TECH 36 DUKE 25 VIRGINIA " BOSTON COLLEGE PP says that BC will win by 12 (line 7 ) with a huge yd edge giving them their 6th win. 4! BOSTON COLLEGE 28 VIRGINA 16 RUTGERS " CINCINNATI Rutgers is 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS (dog 4-0 ATS) in this series. PP says UC escapes with a 1 pt win (line 11) but the ydg forecast says UC will have a edge and we agree with the yds and like UC. NO PLAY: CINCINNATI 24 RUTGERS 23 PURDUE MICHIGAN ST " " PU has dropped 3 in a row to MSU after winning 7 of 8. PP says that MSU will win by 23 (line 21) with a yd edge. NO PLAY: MICHIGAN ST 30 PURDUE 7 WISCONSIN MICHIGAN " " " The home tm has won and covered the L5 by an avg of 9 ppg. PP says UW will win by 10 (line 6) but gives Michigan a yd edge and we agree with the yds and like UM has a HD. NO PLAY: WISCONSIN 44 MICHIGAN 34 4 OHIO ST IOWA " " OSU is SU, 11-5 ATS vs Iowa. PP says OSU wins by 5 (line 3) & OSU 6-2 ATS in Nov AG. 1! OHIO ST 26 IOWA 21 MISSOURI " IOWA ST The fave is 2-6 ATS and the visitor is 9-3 ATS in this series. PP says MU will win by 14 (line 12). NO PLAY: MISSOURI 31 IOWA ST 17 OKLAHOMA ST " " " KANSAS OSU is 5-1 SU & ATS vs KU. PP says OSU wins by 27 (line 22 ) but they have the Sooners on deck. NO PLAY: OKLAHOMA ST 44 KANSAS 17 ARKANSAS MISSISSIPPI ST " The HT has covered 8 in a row but Ark is 13-2 SU in this series. PP says that Ark will win by 10 (line 4) but we lean with MSU as a HD. NO PLAY: ARKANSAS 31 MISSISSIPPI ST 21 NORTHERN ILLINOIS BALL ST " " " NI can capture their 1st MAC West Title since 05 with a win and PP says NI will win by 25 (line 14 ) with a dominating rush edge. 3! N ILLINOIS 39 BALL ST 14 EAST CAROLINA RICE " " The home tm has gone 3-0 SU/ATS in this series. PP says EC will win by 12 (line 11) but the ydg forecast is close (EC ) and we like Rice. NO PLAY: E CAROLINA 52 RICE 40 KENT ST " WESTERN MICHIGAN WM hasn t lost to Kent St in Kalamazoo since 88 (6 str wins by 24 ppg). PP says WM wins by 7 (line 3 ) with a yd edge. 2! W MICHIGAN 30 KENT ST 23 UTEP TULSA " Tulsa has covered 7 in a row (see streakers) and PP likes them again TW showing a 22 pt (line 18) win over UTEP with a massive yd rushing edge. 4! TULSA 40 UTEP 18 EASTERN MICHIGAN " BUFFALO PP calls this close to the line showing UB with a 5 pt win and the ydg almost even. NO PLAY: BUFFALO 30 E MICHIGAN 25 COLORADO ST " WYOMING The home tm had won 6 str in the Border War but the visitor has won the L2 SU & ATS. PP calls for CSU to win by 2 (line WY -1 ) with a yd edge but we will pass for now. NO PLAY: COLORADO ST 28 WYOMING 26 IDAHO UTAH ST USU is 3-0 SU & ATS in this series and the dog is 6-2 ATS with 5 outright upsets in that span. PP says USU will win by 2 but that is right at the line. NO PLAY: UTAH ST 35 IDAHO 33 MARSHALL SMU " PP says SMU will win by 6 (line 13 ) and the Mustangs are on a 1-5 ATS run. We like Marshall plus the pts as they are fi ghting to stay in the bowl mix and have won 3 in a row. 4! SIDES - Wins Tulsa 7 Arkansas 4 Maryland 4 S Miss 4 Tennessee 4 Texas A&M 4 Wisconsin 4 Arizona St 3 Boston College 3 Kansas 3 Louisiana 3 NC State 3 N Texas 3 Ohio St 3 Oklahoma St 3 SIDES - Losses Michigan 6 Buffalo 5 Idaho 5 vanderbilt 5 Washington 5 Florida St 4 Mississippi 4 Texas 4 Troy 4 Wake Forest 4 Arizona 3 Cincinnati 3 Missouri 3 Rice 3 UAB 3 Utah 3 TOTALS - Overs Rice 6 Arkansas 5 Penn St 5 Tennessee 5 Illinois 4 Georgia 4 Navy 4 Wyoming 4 Auburn 3 BYU 3 E Carolina 3 Ohio St 3 Vanderbilt 3 TOTALS - Unders FAU 8 Clemson 6 Miami OH 5 Georgia Tech 4 Hawaii 4 Marshall 4 NC State 4 West Virginia 4 Boston College 3 Bowling Green 3 California 3 Iowa 3 Oklahoma 3 Oregon St 3 Virginia Tech 3 Washington St 3

5 ILLINOIS " NORTHWESTERN This is one foreacst that we have to throw out. NW s QB Persa was a vital cog to the Wildcats offense and he is now OFY. Illinois is in need of a bowl eligible 6th win and should get it at Wrigley Field. NO PLAY: ILLINOIS 28 NORTHWESTERN 26 NC STATE " NORTH CAROLINA PP has NCSt winning a close one but the yards disagree and so do we. NC is projected with a yd edge. NCSt has struggled on the road against good D s gaining only 239 yds at UCF and 278 yds at Clemson. NO PLAY: NC ST 24 NORTH CAROLINA 22 STANFORD CALIFORNIA " PP does have Stanford projected to win at the number but the yards say it will be closer, Cal has outgained opp s by 160 ypg at home & the 324 yds all d to Oregon LW was 219 under their ssn avg. 3! CALIFORNIA 19 (+) STANFORD 26 UCF " " " " " TULANE UCF has now all d 449 ypg the L3 but that was vs EC, Hou & SM. While PP is calling for TU to gain 356 yds have to think that UCF D will be reminiscent of the unit that all d 260 ypg in the fi rst 7. UCF is off puts up 419 yds. 3! UCF 40 TULANE 22 VIRGINIA TECH " MIAMI, FL Wow, check out the DOMINATING yardage forecast for Miami. The Canes are projected with a yd edge and opened as a HD. UM has outgained their L5 by 149 ypg while VT s stats are padded due to Duke & WF. 4! MIAMI, FL (if dog) 23 VIRGINIA TECH 21 KANSAS ST " " " COLORADO The points say Kansas St but the yds say Colorado with a yd edge. We ll like the Buffs to fi nish strong as they re on their 2nd straight home vs B2B away s for KSU. Col has a solid 20 pt win & yd edge LW. NO PLAY: KANSAS ST 33 COLORADO 29 NEW MEXICO ST " NEVADA Video game type numbers with UN avg 584 ypg at home & having put up 826 yds at Idaho. PP is calling for the Pack to have a yd edge. The forecast is at the line and Nevada has Boise in 6 days! NO PLAY: NEVADA 51 NEW MEXICO ST 13 MEMPHIS UAB " " " The records may seen close at 3-7 & 1-9 but the difference in these teams is immense. UAB s offense has topped 500+ yds 4 times while Memphis has topped 290 yds 3 times. UAB with a yd edge. NO PLAY: UAB 39 MEMPHIS 18 NEW MEXICO BYU " " " We talked about this BYU team jelling and the L2W they ve covered by 30 & 31 pts. The young QB Heaps now has command of the offense with 521 ypg the L2. PP is calling for BYU to have a yd edge. 4! BYU 44 NEW MEXICO 10 NOTRE DAME ARMY ND used the bye to refocus and snap a 2 game losing streak. Big edge to the Irish having seen the option 3 games ago and PP is calling for ND to have a yd edge. ND will be excited to play in Yankee Stadium. 3! NOTRE DAME 32 ARMY 19 PITTSBURGH " USF PP has the Panthers winning by 3 pts which is right at the line. We lean with the home dog off a confi dence building win that is allowing only 264 ypg at home. A USF win puts the BE standing in a log jam. NO PLAY: PITTSBURGH 26 USF 23 HOUSTON " SOUTHERN MISS PP is calling for SMiss to fi nish with a yd edge but they ve struggled at home losing to both UAB & EC and are dealing with an off-fi eld tragedy. UH has been a conf AD TWICE in 3 years winning both SU. NO PLAY: SOUTHERN MISS 38 HOUSTON 34 OKLAHOMA " BAYLOR Not surprised that the potent OU off is forecasted to gain 526. PP thinks BU can move the ball but OU held TT, A&M, Col & Tex to 102, 73, 81 & 100 yds under their ssn avg. Bears are 3-11 ATS as a conf HD. 3! OKLAHOMA 40 BAYLOR 27 NEBRASKA " " " TEXAS A&M Neb has avg just 336 ypg the L2 with a banged up QB Martinez which has affected the PP numbers. We ll back the Huskers and their D which allowed 87 total yds LW vs an Aggies D that is all g 407 ypg in conf play. NO PLAY: TEXAS A&M 28 NEBRASKA 21 WEST VIRGINIA LOUISVILLE " PP is calling for UL to fi nish with a yd edge. The Cards may still be without QB Froman but their D is improved all g 13 FD s & 241 ypg. Despite only scoring 13 at UConn WV s off has put up 417 ypg the L2. NO PLAY: WEST VIRGINIA 17 LOUISVILLE 16 USC OREGON ST " OSU has lost and been outgained in 3 of their L4 gms incl LW as a 24 pt HF. USC continues to play hard and PP is calling for the Trojans to fi nish with a yd edge. OSU has pulled home upset vs SC L2 times. 2! USC 30 OREGON ST 24 MISSISSIPPI LSU " " " " " LSU now fi nds themselves #5 in the BCS which means added pressure. PP is calling for LSU but we disagree as Miss HC Nutt is a master vs ranked teams and HC MIles is ATS as a conf HF here. NO PLAY: LSU 39 MISSISSIPPI 12 UTAH " " " " SAN DIEGO ST Let s look at SDSt s loss at TCU. The Frogs had allowed 188 ypg TY to MWC opp s and a TOTAL of 23 pts. The Aztecs gained 304 yds & had 35 points. Utah still is struggling with the bubble burst & we ll back the underrated HD. 4! SAN DIEGO ST 31 (if dog) UTAH 31 SAN JOSE ST HAWAII " San Jose continues to battle but despite late leads the L2 has come up short. Hawaii ran into the Boise buzz saw but returns home were they avg 501 ypg & outgain opp s by 170 ypg. UH with a yd edge. 4! HAWAII 42 SAN JOSE ST 6 TROY SOUTH CAROLINA As we mention often PP can not forecast emotion and this is the biggest fl at spot on the board. SC was crowned the East Champ after knocking off Florida and have instate rival Clemson on deck. We ll pass. NO PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA 48 TROY 18 FLORIDA ATLANTIC TEXAS " Six weeks ago Tex knocked off Neb & was ranked #19. Now after 4 losses they stand at 4-6. The Longhorns D allowed 520 yds LW to OSU but had allowed 269 ypg prior. PP is calling for UT with a yd edge. NO PLAY: TEXAS 26 FLORIDA ATLANTIC 5 ARKANSAS ST " NAVY PP is calling for Navy to have a yd edge but we ll repeat the angle again: YOU ARE 17-0 ATS PLAY- ING ON NAVY AS A DOG OR FAV OF 3 OR LESS AND AGAINST THEM AS A FAV OF 3 OR MORE. NO PLAY: NAVY 40 ARKANSAS ST 26 MIDDLE TENNESSEE " " " " " WKU WKU may have lost 26 in a row but in their L4 they ve won twice & in a 1 pt loss to FAU had a yd edge. Talk about line valueas MT came into the year after a Bowl win and can make it back to the postseason if they win out. NO PLAY: WKU 28 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 24 FIU LOUISIANA " FIU controls their own destiny and deservedly so. The Panthers totaled 668 yds (Florida had 663 vs Troy LY) in a win (1st time TU all d 50+ at home s/ 61). They continue on towards a SBC crown. NO PLAY: FIU 36 LOUISIANA 27 NORTH TEXAS ULM Impressive late season fi nish for NT after fi ring their HC and having multiple QB s injured. Their offense has improved in each of the L4W and they ve rushed for 251 & 2.6 ypc the L3. PP is calling for the upset here. 4! NORTH TEXAS 25 ULM 21 TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 23rd TEMPLE MIAMI, OH NO PLAY: TEMPLE 27 MIAMI, OH 16 5

6 P3O FOOTBALL NO6EMBE3 18t: TH3' NO6EMBE3 22t:, 2010 Power Plays is based upon statistical numbers & rankings that are used to develop the projections you see here. As with all types statistical information the more numbers that one inputs ordinarily the stronger the accuracy of the results. Therefore, one would expect the projections to be more reliable after a number of weeks worth of stats are input. The numbers in parenthesis are a comparison of the teams rankings (Visitor, visitors offense ranking vs home defense ranking, Home home offensive ranking vs visitor defensive ranking) over each teams last 4 games. THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 18th CHICAGO #5 MIAMI #29 (CHI #27 vs MIA #8, MIA #21 vs CHI #7) - CHI comes in off a huge win vs MIN where they outclassed them in every way. MIA is off a pyrrhic victory losing both Henne (leg) & Pennington (shoulder) possibly for the year. A bigger concern though is a shoulder injury to LT Long. Thigpen does have starting experience (1-10 SU 6-5 ATS) & his playstyle fi ts right in with the Wildcat & what they wanted Pat White to do. MIA does have a good defense vs a CHI team travelling off a short week & shouldn t be written off. This is a No Play as we need to see the injury reports for both teams. NO PLAY: DOLPHINS 22 BEARS 15 SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 21st OAKLAND #14 PITTSBURGH #2 (OAK #7 vs PIT #15, PIT #19 vs OAK #2) - PIT faced NE without the left side of their OL & as expected struggled to deal with the blitz giving up 5 sacks. 265 of their 387 passing yds came in the 4Q when they were down 20. OAK is 0-7 SU & ATS after a bye but will have lots of confi dence after 3 good wins & they did win as a 14.5 pt AD here LY with a lesser team. This is a No Play until we get a better handle on the state of the PIT OL & Wards concussion status. NO PLAY: STEELERS 22 RAIDERS 21 HOUSTON #23 NY JETS #7 (HOU #8 vs NYJ #3, NYJ #4 vs HOU #29) - Instead of running out the clock & going to OT LW HOU fumbled at midfi eld. This set up a tipped Hail Mary on the fi nal play that gave JAX the win & HOU is in another midseason slump (1-4 SU & ATS) that could cost them a playoff spot. The Jets are the 1st team to win B2B OT games on the road in NFL history. They had a yd edge & now get a beat up HOU team on the road for the 2nd straight week. PP gives NY a 132 yd edge & more than enough for the win here. Despite going all of OT for the win the Jets defense was only on the fi eld for 59 snaps & we agree with PP here. 4! JETS 33 TEXANS 16 BALTIMORE #25 CAROLINA #12 (BAL #12 vs CAR #16, CAR #32 vs BAL #25) - BAL s defense isn t as intimidating as previous units but they are better than most. They have 3 extra days to stew over giving up a 7 play/80 yd drive TD drive in just 45 sec that cost them the game. CAR has only scored 9 offensive TD s on 110 drives TY & 12 of their L15 giveaways have resulted in opposing pts. CAR lacks the talent & experience to rally from a big defi cit & with the rookie wall due to hit the youngest team in the NFL vs physical Ravens team we agree with PP here. 3! RAVENS 30 PANTHERS 10 WASHINGTON #8 TENNESSEE #13 (WAS #24 vs TEN #20, TEN #25 vs WAS #23) - WAS is off a big MNF rematch vs PHI & get a TEN team off a surprise loss to MIA. Moss only had 1 rec for 26 yds in a quiet debut & Collins left with a calf injury. TEN was unprepared to deal with the Wildcat or a mobile QB with Thigpen after knocking out the top 2 QB s. PP calls for a very even game here & without a line due to MNF this is a No Play. NO PLAY: TITANS 27 REDSKINS 21 DETROIT #1 DALLAS #19 (DET #19 vs DAL #32, DAL #23 vs DET #10) - Kitna goes up against his former team as both teams prep for their Thanksgiving games. DAL snapped a 5 game losing streak by responding to a stricter interim HC with Garrett. However both of their starting CB s (Newman & Jenkins) left due to injuries. DET reset their own NFL road losing streak at 25 vs BUF LW playing in poor weather in their 1st road game in a month. PP calls for DET to pull the upset but we think Garrett can fi nally get the Cowboys to play up to their talent level here. The side is a No Play but the Over is worth a small look here. NO PLAY: LIONS 29 COWBOYS 22 1!: LIONS/COWBOYS: OVER GREEN BAY #27 MINNESOTA #18 (GB #18 vs MIN #12, MIN #4 vs GB #14) - MIN was beat up in all phases LW vs CHI in what Favre called a must win game. They may not have Harvin (left ankle) here as he hurt himself at the start of the 2H. GB will be refreshed after their bye week which helped their injury report greatly. PP calls for GB to pull the outright upset here but we dont agree here. MIN s defense feeds off the crowd noise (+92 ypg, 70% comp by Favre), they were 2 bad offi ciating calls that kept them from beating GB on the road despite Favre s mistakes & they know they have no margin for error. This is a No Play. NO PLAY: PACKERS 25 VIKINGS 17 BUFFALO #17 CINCINNATI #31 (BUF #11 vs CIN #18, CIN #22 vs BUF #21) - BUF got its 1st win of the year at home in poor weather vs the worst road team in NFL history playing with a 1 armed QB. CIN is off B2B losses to a pair of quality foes as they struggle to run the ball (-36 ypg 0.4 vs LY) & rush the passer (1 sack every 34 att vs 16 LY). PP gives CIN a 163 yd edge but has this right around the line for a team that is 0-7 ATS as a HF so No Play. NO PLAY: BENGALS 24 BILLS 18 S"#$S & 'ins!"#$%&'(# ) *+,,-#./0# 1 2/34/-5# 1 S"#$S & +osses 6'--,(%"/# ) STREAKERS 7/+%4'-/# 1 8%&("%-# 1 9/-(/(#7'"0# 1 T/TA+S & /vers :/44/(# ; <"4/-"/# ) 74,=,4/-5# ) >?#*'/-"(# ) <+'C%-/# 1 >,D#E-F4/-5# 1 G/H3(%-='44,# 1 I/JB/#./0# 1 I,--,((,,# 1 T/TA+S & 3n4ers.&KK/4%# 1 7A'H/F%# 1 6 CLEVELAND #4 JACKSONVILLE #10 (CLE #28 vs JAX #26, JAX #15 vs CLE #22) - CLE has run the gauntlet of 4 teams with a combined record of while JAX L4 foes are The Browns defense was on the fi eld for 91 plays (60-65 is avg) & 2 Def starters (LB Fujita, CB Brown) are unknown here. JAX is off one of the luckiest wins of the year with a Hail Mary tip which they don t really practice. This is the game to really evaluate McCoy vs a bad pass defense as he should be able to go thru all his reads (#1 rusher Kampan IR) in a good weather venue. JAX is just 2-10 ATS as a HF & PP calls for them to lose outright to CLE here. We agree but CLE s injury situation is a concern though the Over is interesting here. 2! BROWNS 28 (+) JAGUARS 20 ARIZONA #6 KANSAS CITY #11 (ARZ #29 vs KC #19, KC #2 vs ARZ #31) - KC is livid after B2B Div road losses getting blown out by DEN 35-0 at the half. They now have a great matchup at Arrowhead (3-1 ATS TY) vs an ARZ team that has given up 490+ yds the L2W. KC has the coaching edge with DC Crennel vs Anderson (6.2 ypa 54% 2-4 on road TY) as he used to be his HC in CLE. PP calls for KC to have a 207 ypg edge & we think their #1 rush attack will get their 5th 200 yd rush effort here in a big win. 3! CHIEFS 34 CARDINALS 20 SEATTLE #3 NEW ORLEANS #16 (SEA #31 vs NO #1, NO #3 vs SEA #27) - The L4W stats to here show NO with a massive edge on both sides of the ball vs a SEA team that will be travelling 500 miles longer than SEA to London UK over the L2W. Hasselbeck broke a bone in his non-throwing hand & will face a healthy Saints defense that is pulling in 1 sack every 12 pass att s at home. Look for Brees gets his rhythm in the 2H & pull away big. PP calls for NO to have a 231 yd edge here. DD Fav s are 3-7 ATS TY but the talent, situation & PP all agree here for a play. 3! SAINTS 30 SEAHAWKS 14 ATLANTA #24 ST LOUIS #26 (ATL #10 vs STL #5, STL #30 vs ATL #24) - ATL has extra rest off LW s Thur Nite win vs BAL. ATL has established themselves as one of the top teams in the NFC TY. They have only won by DD s once on the road TY & that was off a Delhomme fumble vs CLE at the end of the 1H. STL is off a tough loss to SF in OT where they held them to 0 for 11 on 3rd Dns. STL has the #10 defense at home TY (264) & are +6 TO s there also. PP thinks the yardage will be close (21 yds diff) with 3 TO s by STL being the difference & this is a No Play as we like the Rams toughness at home TY (4-1 ATS). NO PLAY: FALCONS 24 RAMS 17 TAMPA BAY #15 SAN FRANCISCO #21 (TB #16 vs SF #9, SF #17 vs TB #13) - TB easily handled CAR LW & now have to travel cross country vs SF off a home OT win. Its very surprising that a young TB team is 4-0 SU & ATS on the road. SF is only 2-5 ATS as a fav TY & the coaching staff is still unsure on how best to employ Troy Smith. Freeman s road QBR is 8.3 pts better than his home & his 6 4th Qtr comeback wins make him very dangerous. PP gives SF a 3 pt edge here which is right at the line for a No Play. NO PLAY: 49ERS 25 BUCS 22 INDIANAPOLIS #30 NEW ENGLAND #9 (IND #14 vs NE #28, NE #26 vs IND #17) - IND survived an off day by Manning (185 yds 56%) in his 1st sub-200 game (no rest) in almost 2 years. IND does have the #28 road defense (#7 at home) but the Colts are used to playing at the Razor. NE got right vs PIT LW after losing to CLE with Brady tossing 350 yds (70%) & 3 TD s. There is no line yet due to SNF & a slew of IND injuries so this is a No Play. NO PLAY: PATRIOTS 30 COLTS 23 NY GIANTS #28 PHILADELPHIA #20 (NYG #1 vs PHI #10, PHI #6 vs NYG #4) - PHI is off LW s MNF game vs WAS. PHI has won 4 consec meetings SU & ATS & get a wounded Giants OL on the road here. It remains to be seen if Vick can stay healthy vs a physical & disciplined defense though who were embarrassed by DAL at home in a sloppy game. With no line due to MNF this is a No Play. NO PLAY: EAGLES 31 GIANTS 27 MONDAY, NOVEMBER 22nd DENVER #22 SAN DIEGO #32 (DEN #13 vs SD #6, SD #9 vs DEN #30) - DEN rolled KC LW with a 35-0 lead at the half. They also upset the Chargers in SD on MNF as a 3.5 pt AD. SD could have their entire WR unit here with Jackson back next week. We need to see the injury report before making a play here so No Play. Don t miss out on Monday Night Magic! We are offering a MONEY BACK PLUS Guarantee on MNM through the Northcoast Debit Card System - take advantage on Monday night after 3:00 pm EDT! Pay just $30 for the MNM Play and if it fails to cover - you ll get $40 back on your debit card the very next day! ly % on the year!! NO PLAY: CHARGERS 33 BRONCOS NFL POWER RATINGS TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG TEAM... RTG 1 Pittsburgh Indianapolis Houston NY Giants Tennessee St Louis Dallas Baltimore Philadelphia Cleveland New England Kansas City Cincinnati NY Jets Oakland San Francisco New Orleans Chicago Seattle Atlanta Minnesota Arizona Denver Green Bay Jacksonville Detroit San Diego Tampa Bay Buffalo Miami Washington Carolina These are current 2010 Power Rating grades for each team based on talent.

7 PASS EFFICIENCY DEFENSE TEAM YDS ATT COM % TD INT GRADE OPP 1 Nebraska Virginia Tech TCU Alabama Oregon Miami, Fl Boise St Ohio St Florida Oklahoma California Texas A&M LSU Missouri Kansas St Arkansas UCF Michigan St Clemson Utah St Air Force Iowa Mississippi St Texas Florida Atlantic San Diego St Tennessee Florida St Maryland Pittsburgh Stanford Boston College SMU Southern Miss N Illinois West Virginia Oklahoma St Georgia Nevada Miami, Oh Tulane Buffalo Northwestern FIU Troy Wisconsin Houston Illinois ULM BYU Louisville Fresno St Notre Dame Marshall Syracuse Virginia UTEP Georgia Tech North Carolina Army Kent St Middle Tennessee Hawaii Kentucky Toledo NC State Texas Tech Arizona Arizona St Bowling Green Penn St UAB UCLA Arkansas St USC Utah Temple North Texas Ball St New Mexico St USF Auburn Ohio Baylor Connecticut W Michigan Cent Michigan Tulsa Iowa St Michigan Rutgers Washington Idaho Wyoming WKU San Jose St East Carolina Duke South Carolina Oregon St Mississippi Purdue Louisiana Tech Colorado Vanderbilt Navy UNLV Washington St Louisiana New Mexico Kansas Cincinnati Wake Forest Minnesota Indiana Rice Akron Colorado St Memphis E Michigan COLLEGE TEAM STATISTICAL AVERAGES OFF OFF - RUSHING - - PASSING - DEF DEF - OPPONENTS RUSH - SKS SKS PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FMBL COM ATT PCT YDS INT TD PTS FD ATT YDS AVG FMBL VS BY Air Force Akron Alabama Arizona Arizona St Arkansas Arkansas St Army Auburn Ball St Baylor Boise St Boston College Bowling Green Buffalo BYU California Cent Michigan Cincinnati Clemson Colorado Colorado St Connecticut Duke E Michigan East Carolina Florida Florida Atlantic FIU Florida St Fresno St Georgia Georgia Tech Hawaii Houston Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Iowa St Kansas Kansas St Kent St Kentucky Louisiana Tech Louisiana Louisville LSU Marshall Maryland Memphis Miami, Fl Miami, Oh Michigan Michigan St Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi Mississippi St Missouri N Illinois Navy NC State Nebraska Nevada New Mexico New Mexico St North Carolina North Texas Northwestern Notre Dame Ohio Ohio St Oklahoma Oklahoma St Oregon Oregon St Penn St Pittsburgh Purdue Rice Rutgers Southern Miss San Diego St San Jose St SMU South Carolina Stanford Syracuse TCU Temple Tennessee Texas Texas A&M Texas Tech Toledo Troy Tulane Tulsa UAB UCF UCLA ULM UNLV USC USF Utah Utah St UTEP Vanderbilt Virginia Virginia Tech W Michigan Wake Forest Washington Washington St West Virginia WKU Wisconsin Wyoming

8 N"L %A'E O" THE ',-./ %OES S $ 50 for the NFL GOM )*+a7b!sod" #D[ %`,"# c Z/) PLG7% =O! 9![ T78 NORTHCOAST SPORTS TOP 40 POWER POLL The following Power Ratings are a combination of 6 different Power Ratings, including Plus & Minus, Power Plays and Computer Power Ratings. 1 Oregon 2 Boise St 3 TCU 4 Ohio St 5 Auburn 6 Alabama 7 Stanford 8 LSU 9 Oklahoma 10 Arkansas 11 Wisconsin 12 Nebraska 13 Miami, Fl 14 Virginia Tech 15 Georgia 16 South Carolina 17 Texas A&M 18 Oklahoma St 19 Florida 20 USC 21 Florida St 22 Iowa 23 Missouri 24 Utah 25 Arizona 26 Michigan St 27 California 28 Arizona St 29 Miss St 30 Penn St 31 Pittsburgh 32 Nevada 33 Michigan 34 NC State 35 West Virginia 36 Clemson 37 Notre Dame 38 North Carolina 39 UCF 40 Maryland %UZ%CX/ZE N*. T*!"DD P*.EX PLG7%8 # I enclose $ 74 (download) or $ 114 (mail delivery) for my '11 subscription to POWER PLAYS NORTHCOAST SPORTS PRIVATE PLAY HOTLINE WINS OR EXT # 1 ON THE NORTHCOAST DEBIT CARD SYSTEM Pay BIG DOG PLAY $ 15 thru the 900 line or just $ 9 using the NC Debit Card 152 OUTRIGHT UPSETS in 17 Years by 7+ point dogs!! Last 8 Weeks with 17 OUTRIGHT UPSETS!!!!! Including TWO LW - Northwestern +310 and N Texas +330! ATS L/5Y!! +$6610 ON THE ML OVER 4Y!!!!! EARLY BIRD PLAY % L/5Y!! % L/14Y!!! U" T% & N() COLLEGE 900 PLAY OF THE DAY % L/13Y! 9-2 TY! P+,-. U"/,0(/ E,23 D,- 5%6 THURSDAY NIGHT TV PLAY Since L7Y!! C%++(8( 9 NFL NFL TOTALS PLAY % L/12Y!! Incl % L9Y!!! SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY L/12Y!! PAC 10 PLAY % L/3Y!!!! # I enclose $69 for my '10 download subscription to POWER PLAYS or POWER SWEEP. (Every issue thru the Super Bowl!) This includes $50 on a Northcoast Debit Card and FREE schedules. Add $30 mail delivery subscribers adding the other newsletter will pay just $39 (no bonuses) for download only. ***All prices in Vol. 28 Issue 12 Expire & Cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer*** Payment Method: # MasterCard # Visa # American Express # Discover # Check/Money Order Name Address City State Zip Credit Card Signature B"ild Yo"r Own Late Phone Pa34age6 Sign up for the Plays That You Like Best! Saturday & Sunday SIDE LATE PHONES Get! rated side Late Phones PLUS Thurs/Friday & Monday Marquees! Non Subs... $ Subs... $ Subs... $ 129 Includes NFL GOM!!!! Check savings below on adding Exec for Thanksgiving to this package. Add Thanksgiving Exec at same time and Save!!!! College Totals Xated 3dS! & EMgher 3"OD] U9[ Best Hal"e to IoJbine6 Exp. Date N*XTEC*G%T %P*XT% %EXA/CE PO Box Cleveland, OH OR COLLEGE TOTALS LATE PHONES Our! rated College Totals are % THE LAST 9 WEEKS! TOP TOTALS PLAYS % TY! Non Subs... $ Subs... $ Subs... $ 49 PAY 8UST $ 30?HEN ADDDNG TO SFS Save Big Now6 ENecQtM4e ClQ: For the.eek a.ed O +*N U FULL DG7%8bdddddddddddddddddddddddddddd R ]!S Sign up now for this weekend's Executive Club Late Phone Service. You'll receive plays from Wed through Monday. You'll get EVERY! rated Late Phone Selection for College and Pro, College Totals and Small College Plays as well as our Top Opinions and Marquee PPH Plays. This package, of course, includes the NFL NOVEMBER GAME OF THE MONTH!!"D" %UZ% PG7 PU%T dddd R Not a!"dd %Q: 7ete 3#S R!"DD %UZ% PG7 PU%T dddd R 3S"! ADD THANKSGIVING EXEC SERVICE!: #].hat are yoq wamtmjg foree R!"D" %UZ% PG7 PU%T dddd R ]=" Power Plays!"DD DD]!"DD %UZ% PG7 PU%T dddd R ]US 2011 S"bs 3an get EOe3"tive Il"b Servi3e FroJ Nov. 1R S Nov 29th Uor $ VW56 DowJload VISA/MC has 16 or 13 digits DISC has 16 digits / AMEX has 15 digits DO9""OUS]O3]]9 ZMg Plays ThMs 7ear =O! 9![ Co4erMJg :y D]d3 ppg8 Than4sgiving EOe3 Starts T"es, Nov. 23rd Add the Than4sgiving?ee4 EOe3 (reg $125) to yo"r ]a34age above and save6 Non Subs... $ 290 Non Subs... $ Subs... $ Subs... $ Subs... $ Subs... $ 204 +aml DelM4ery BIG 12 PLAY % L/80!!! % In 07!! TOP PLAY TRIO Has cashed 67% of the time! Get the Top Totals Play, Top Side College Play and the NFL GOM!! Non Subs... $ Subs... $ Subs... $ 89 BONUS: Friday and Monday Mar`"ees6 Add Thanksgiving Exec: $ 9 PER PLAY using the NC Debit Card DO3]#OU##OD#"" FXEE Foot:all Plays EAEX7 DG788 ZasKet:all PMcKs G4aMla:le Too8 Z/) D*) PLG7 *F TEE.EE\ PQst R DS DO=""O]39O=]U# *J The PrM4ate Play EotlMJe or R = oj the Northcoast De:Mt Card %yste< DS! oqtrmght Qpsets :y #_ pt dogs L`D#78 D# the L`9.88 T.* L.888.E P/C\ G D*).E TE/N\./LL./N *UTX/)ET EAEX7.\ G% TEE Z/) D*) P*. *N Northcoast %ports, PPE a+*xe TEGN D PLG7 P*%%/ZLEb8